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That was a little extra good.
All right, today after the show, because it's Saturday, there will be an after party.
Owen Gregorian will be hosting that on Spaces, the audio-only service on the X platform.
So just look for Owen Gregorian or you can look for my X account and it has a repost there.
But make sure you watch it.
The after party right after the show.
Alright. So I wonder if there's any science that could have been skipped.
If they just ask me instead.
Oh yeah, there is.
According to SciPost, agnostics are more indecisive, neurotic, and prone to maximizing choices.
So agnostics are less decisive than atheists and Christians.
You know how they could have come to that same conclusion, spending a lot less money and taking a lot less time?
Just ask me.
Hey, do you think agnostics are as certain as atheists and Christians?
And I would say, probably not.
Do you think they can rapidly order at the Cheesecake Factory?
I would say, probably not.
Probably not.
You don't need to study that one.
So next time, ask me.
ChatGPT has a very big upgrade, which is scary.
But oh so useful.
So you decide how much fear you want.
But Ars Technica is reporting on it.
Samuel Laxon, that now ChatGPT will be able to remember if you set it to do that.
You have the option of turning it off.
It will remember all of your prior conversations.
So if you were asking ChatGPT about a certain topic months ago, And then you wanted to follow up?
You wouldn't have to re-explain everything again.
You would already know, oh, this person already asked me these questions, so I don't need to answer the same stuff again.
I'll just add this new thing that they asked me about.
So how much more useful that will become is a lot.
That's a pretty big advancement.
It's hard to imagine they can store all that, but they've got a lot of...
A lot of data centers.
So that's coming.
Well, Trump had his physical.
We don't have the results yet.
But I did a comic yesterday called Robots Read News.
Those of you on Locals get to see it only.
Robots Read News is literally a robot and a sex doll who do the news.
And I'm going to compare what Trump said himself.
About the results of his medical exam.
And then I'm going to compare it to the joke version that I wrote before Trump spoke about it.
And I want you to see if I captured the vibe of it approximately correct.
So here's what Trump said.
The doctor hasn't said anything yet.
But Trump said, Overall, I felt I was in very good shape.
A good heart.
A good soul.
Very good soul.
Very good soul.
Which medical test tested his soul?
Looks like your soul is doing great, Mr. President.
You're at 100% in the soul.
No one in the world would have said that.
He's the only human being who would have said...
He went to a medical examination and he had a good heart and a good soul.
A very good soul.
Then he says, I wanted to be a little different than Biden.
I took a cognitive test.
uh i don't know what to tell you other than i got every answer right
Okay. Now that's what he actually said.
Now, here's what the comic version said when the robot in my comic strip, Robots Read News, was reporting on the same event.
So the robot reading the news, he was quoting the doctor.
The doctor hasn't actually spoken yet, but it's a fake quote of the doctor.
A quote that Trump is essentially immortal and slightly smarter than Einstein.
His testicles are like bowling balls and his ear grew back better.
Now, don't you think I captured the vibe?
His ear grew back better?
There's no way you can report his medical examination straightforward.
It just has to be funny.
Because you know the real one's going to be hilarious.
Whatever it is the doctor says is going to be, you know, It's going to have to be approved by Trump.
So it's going to be classic, whatever it is.
Anyway, let's talk about some news.
So Trump signed the executive order.
I guess he's going to end federal funding for sanctuary cities.
So if you're a sanctuary city, basically you're shit out of luck for federal funding.
And he's serious about this whole...
About closing the border and shipping people back.
He's really serious.
In case you wondered, is he just joking?
No. No.
He's completely serious.
So, sanctuary cities, you could have a little trouble.
That would include Seattle, Chicago, Denver, Boston, New York, Los Angeles, and others.
So, we'll see if they bow to that.
Meanwhile, if you didn't think that was tough enough, According to the Gateway Pundit.
Do you remember Alina Haba, who was one of Trump's attorneys?
Well, she's now the U.S. attorney of New Jersey.
So she's a U.S. attorney there, and she's opening a criminal probe into the governor of New Jersey for obstructing ICE.
So apparently the governor said they wouldn't cooperate with ICE trying to deport people.
So that would be obstruction with the federal government's law enforcement.
So Alina Haba is going to do a criminal probe into the governor for saying no to the federal government.
Now that's pretty serious.
That's pretty serious.
Meanwhile, Doge has inserted itself so that there's some kind of federal grant website I've never heard of.
Grants.gov.
But apparently this website is sort of the central clearing place for $500 billion a year in awards for...
Let's see, the grants are for...
What are they for?
Grants. They're a bunch of grants.
So I guess there's a lot of different grants for a lot of different things.
But Doge is going to make sure that...
Any of those grants get looked at by Doge.
So all the crazy stuff, like a million dollars to find clothing for squirrels.
I made that one up, but could have been real.
Or 20 million dollars to turn insects gay.
I made that one up too, but they sound kind of real, don't they?
All right, so that's happening.
CNN, I was watching CNN yesterday after the market closed.
It was in the afternoon.
And it was hilarious because it looked like they wrote their entire opening monologue of the host before they saw the market closed up.
So what they had already written was the market is full of volatility and uncertainty and there's chaos and volatility and the volatility and the uncertainty.
But what actually happened was that the market closed up.
The actual news should have been, well, it looks like the market has adjusted to whatever volatility and uncertainty there is, or it looks like the market understands now what Trump's trying to accomplish and can see that there would be a light at the end of the tunnel.
So the market is a little more confident, so it ended up.
But instead, they had already readied this whole, there's so much uncertainty.
So they had to not mention the actual close of the market until they'd really loaded on the uncertainty.
And I'm thinking to myself, if the market goes up, like a nice little, it was a nice little gain, actually, at the end of the week.
I don't know.
I don't think you can sell the uncertainty message as well.
So here's a little lesson on public communication.
If you're ever a financial expert and somebody asks you, you know, what's going to happen with the economy, and you want to sound like you're an expert so that you really said something, but you don't want to say anything, then copy Larry Fink of BlackRock.
So he was asked about the economy.
Where's the economy going?
And he's like one of the top money guys in the whole country.
The world, really.
So, I mean, he's somebody who should really know.
I mean, if you listen to Larry Fink, he should know.
Is it going up?
Is it going down?
Here's what Larry Fink says.
The U.S. is very close to a recession.
You magnificent weasel.
Very close to a recession.
So let me get this right.
If we have a recession, Larry Fink can say, I told you we were very close to it.
I mean, I guess I nailed it.
I said we were very close to it, and then here we are, sure enough.
But if we don't have a recession, you can later say, wow, we sure were close.
It's a completely unverifiable...
Claim that we're very close.
And the fact that he added very to close, you don't need the very.
That's just like acting like you know something.
So if anybody asks you how the economy is going to go, just shake your head and say, I think we're very close to recession.
Very close.
And then later, when somebody checks on you, you go, I didn't say we'd have a recession.
I said we were very close.
Thank goodness we didn't.
Yeah, you could win either way.
Well, according to the Financial Times, they've got some data, John Byrne Murdoch is writing about this, that the Europeans have cancelled a ton of travel to the United States.
So let's see if you can find out what's wrong with this story.
So I only saw the posts, there was a thread on it with graphs and stuff.
So the thread said that the number of people traveling from Europe to the U.S. in recent weeks has plummeted by as much as 35%.
Plummeted by as much as 35%.
And travelers have canceled plans in response to Trump's policies and rhetoric and horror stories from the border.
Now, here's my first question.
Remember I taught you that if somebody gives you the percentage without the raw numbers, or they give you the raw numbers without the percentages, that that's not news, that's propaganda.
This is percentages without raw numbers.
That's propaganda.
The second question I would ask is, how much of this is Easter-related?
Would there normally be an uptick in travel from Europe around Easter, or would people more likely want to stay home because they might want to celebrate Easter at home?
I don't know.
So I wonder about that.
I also wonder, has travel from the U.S. to Europe gone down?
And then I wonder how many people are involved.
For example, How many people were coming from Austria to the United States?
What would be the baseline?
Because I've lived in the United States my entire life.
I've never met an Austrian who was on vacation.
I've never met one.
Or they said that Denmark really fell off.
I have never met anybody from Denmark who was on vacation.
It can't be that many people.
Now I have met Germans.
And, you know, people from the UK.
So they definitely go on vacation.
But all these little countries that I've never even met a single person who's been on vacation from those places.
Do we really care?
And does it matter?
Here's the story they're trying to tell, the bad guys, is that Trump has ruined the United States brand for a generation.
Do you believe that?
No. The minute people are happy with the United States, either because Trump's out of office or because they like the job he's done, they'll just come back.
There's no such thing as judging another country by its brand.
There's only what's happening right now, and how do you feel right now?
At the moment, I wouldn't go near Great Britain.
I wouldn't go near it.
Actually, I wouldn't go to Europe at all.
But I could easily see that changing.
If the conditions that make Europe seem unpalatable at the moment, if they were to change, I'd say, oh, different conditions?
Maybe yes.
So, I don't know how much of a story that is.
But I would note that the big complaint that Democrats have about Trump and about Musk is that they're in it for themselves.
If you were Trump and you owned hotels around the world, but a lot of them in the U.S., do you think that you would be happy that you would decrease European tourism?
Probably not.
It's probably expensive for Trump.
So, can we dispense with the...
Trump's only in it for the money.
I don't think he would be tariffing and pissing off the people who are probably maybe 20% or a third of all of his customers at his hotels if he was in it for the money.
If he were in it for the money, he wouldn't tariff anybody.
He'd just try to be friends with everybody like everybody else does.
So clearly, Trump is in it to fix actual problems in the real world.
So I keep telling you that the complaints about Trump and about Musk are imaginary, but it's really hilarious when you see them all together.
So just compare this.
So the Republicans' biggest things they're working on are things like closing the border.
The border's a real thing, and it was really open, and it was really a problem.
It's a real thing.
And Trump's Done a good job of closing it.
Then there's the spending problem.
That's very real.
The most real thing ever.
And Doge is working on reducing it.
There's the tariffs, which no matter what you think about his strategy for the tariffs, tariffs are a real thing.
And we really do have bad trade agreements.
They should be a lot better.
So pretty much you could go down the line.
Everything that Trump is working on, everything that Musk is working on, are real, legitimate problems, and nobody would argue otherwise.
Nobody would say, well, the border is imaginary.
Nobody's going to say that.
But now look at the problems that the Democrats are putting forward as the main thing they're working on.
That black people and divorced women don't know how to get IDs to vote.
I'm going to assign that to the Department of Imaginary Concerns.
Unless we can meet at least one black person or at least one woman who can't figure out how to get an ID to vote.
How about the chaos will lead to something that we can't imagine and it's bad?
Well, that's literally imaginary.
Chaos is a word designed to scare senior citizens.
So basically the Democrats are running a long-term scam on seniors.
If they can get the seniors to be afraid of Elon Musk and Doge, they can continue ripping off seniors and everybody else by putting their tax money into NGOs that eventually return the money to the spouses of the same Democrats once we've figured out the trick.
So that's basically just a scam that they're running on seniors.
Then there's, Musk will steal your secret, your social security numbers and give them to people.
That's as imaginary as you could come up with.
Like, why would he even think of that?
Like, why would that even be a thing?
So again, that's just to scare senior citizens, because the Democrats are running a long-term scam on seniors.
There was a town hall in which one of the members asked this question.
It was on CNN.
It said the question was being asked to some Republican candidate.
What are you doing to control Elon Musk?
He was not elected by the voters and is running completely unchecked.
He was not elected by the voters puts him in the same category as nearly everybody working for the government.
That's not a real problem.
The not elected by the people means nothing.
Because most of everything that gets done in the government is done by people who are not elected.
What kind of a complaint is that?
It's literally a made-up complaint that you assume that the people paying no attention to the news think is somehow important.
It's not.
Plus, you know, Musk won't be there forever.
And that he's running completely unchecked.
Is that real?
My understanding is that the department heads, the cabinet heads, have the final say on any cuts.
That's the opposite of unchecked.
It's literally the opposite of the news that everybody is aware of.
So that's imaginary.
We'll assign that to the...
Department of Imaginary Concerns.
And then there was a complaint that Musk's actions were bad and his treatment of federal workers is bad.
Well, what would those actions be?
And what exactly is he doing to federal workers that they're supposed to like when they're being downsized?
There's no such thing as employees being downsized who are happy about it, who think it happened the right way.
Nobody ever gets fired and says, you know, I don't like getting fired, but I have to admit, the way they did it, very good.
They just handled it right.
Nobody says that.
These are completely imaginary concerns.
Rachel Maddow was warning people that Musk might share their tax information.
And that would be very illegal.
Okay. That would be kind of illegal, but why exactly would he be sharing anybody's tax information?
That's completely imaginary.
That's the best they could come up with?
He's going to share your tax information?
Okay. The other thing is that Musk and Trump are going to take away your healthcare.
Based on nothing.
They're doing the only thing you could do to maybe protect it, which is to get the debt under control.
So opposite.
Imaginary. Trump's going to become a fascist.
All imaginary.
He's going to take away women's rights and gay rights.
They stopped saying that because it's so dumb, but that was imaginary.
And the only thing that Democrats have that's real...
That's like a real issue that they can look to, is that the Republicans are looking to get rid of trans men in women's sports.
Now what's funny about that is that the only real issue they have, because that's really happening, there really are trans in women's sports, and they really are being banned by Trump's administration.
But the funny part is, That the issue itself is people imagining something that's not real.
They're imagining that they're another gender or another sex.
Now, you could argue whether they're imagining it or not, but it's funny that that's the exception.
That the exception is based on what most of you would say is people just imagining something that's not real.
That their sex is something different than it is.
Okay. According to the New York Times, the Democrats' greatest leader, Kamala Harris, is contemplating all of her future possible moves.
But one of the things she's thinking about, and I don't think this would be funny if it came from anybody else, but she's considering an institute for policy and ideas.
It would be the world's smallest institute.
Because they don't have any policies and they don't have any ideas.
I think you could fit the entire thing in a phone booth.
It's like, oh, where's your building, the Institute for Policies and Ideas?
Well, you see that shed over there?
Yes, it's in that shed.
What else is in the shed?
Well, lawnmowers and tools and stuff.
We didn't need the entire shed.
We just needed a little corner of the shed.
So that's funny.
Apparently there's another wannabe potential Trump assassin who was caught in Butler, Pennsylvania.
What the hell is wrong with Butler, Pennsylvania that is producing wannabe assassins?
So this particular wannabe assassin doesn't sound like he was very well trained by anybody because he had been bragging online his plans to...
To kill Trump and Elon Musk and other U.S. officials, and he reportedly purchased firearms after Trump took office.
Now, I'm assuming that this one is not being backed by any intelligence groups from our country or anywhere else, because he seems a little uncontrollable.
Maybe a little bit crazy.
Or maybe just watches MSNBC.
It'd be the same thing.
So here's my...
Here's my strategic evaluation of the Democrat process.
So they've decided that they're going to push this chaos thing.
You know, chaos, chaos, chaos.
At the same time, they're backing the protests against Tesla, which are chaos.
So they're literally paying people to create chaos on the streets.
Well, they're complaining about all the chaos.
That's the dumbest strategy I've ever seen.
But the Republicans haven't really called it out.
Every time chaos comes up, they should say, you're literally paying for riots on our streets.
You're literally organizing them under the banner of Democrats, basically.
So you can't get any more chaos than trying to overthrow the current country.
Making it too dangerous to go outside, filling the world with fake news, and then trying to take down one of the biggest, most important companies in the United States.
That's a lot of chaos.
But here's my real point.
What happens when Elon Musk is done with his 130 days?
And he just says, I've done what I can do.
Take a look at all our work.
From now on, the...
There'll be a team that's left there, but I won't be running it because my term came to an end.
And we're going to put in somebody you've never heard of, but really good.
Somebody who was a successful entrepreneur somewhere, let's say.
And they won't be nearly the magnet for attention as Musk was.
So what happens if Musk gives the Democrats what they asked for?
What they ask for is for him to not be on the job.
And they're going to get it.
Now, that doesn't mean he's going to quit.
All he has to do is wait until his term is up at the end of May.
So what happens when they get the thing they wanted the most?
What are they going to do then?
I don't think they planned this out because it doesn't exactly position them for the midterms.
Because it will look like Doge accomplished a bunch of things, saved a bunch of money of crazy things, and then he left willingly, just like he always planned.
They're going to really run out of stuff to say.
I don't think they've planned this out at all.
And then what happens when they're complaining about all the chaos of the tariff stuff?
What happens when countries start...
Making deals.
Because countries have already made offers that, at least at a high level, look like the outline of a deal.
They're coming into town like crazy.
The negotiators are going to be busy.
And the funniest thing I heard was, you know how Trump threatened all the law firms that tried to lawfare him?
And you reached agreement with several of them.
That they would provide, in many cases, over $100 million of pro bono work for whatever Trump wanted them to do.
And apparently, Trump might want them to negotiate trade deals.
Can you imagine that?
Can you imagine if everybody's like, oh, you went after all these lawyers and you tried to lawfare the lawyers?
And then you find out that they offered all this free service, and he said, yeah, that's perfect, because we've got all these trade deals we have to negotiate.
They're really complicated.
So maybe you could give us $100 million worth of helping us negotiate good trade deals.
What are Democrats going to complain about then?
I don't know.
So Bill Maher has finally come back from vacation, so he was gone.
Hold on, my light just went out.
How does that happen?
I don't know.
So Bill Morris finally gave us a readout on his meeting with Trump.
Does anybody remember what I said was going to happen?
I had a prediction about how the meeting would go.
So my prediction was based on my own and other people's experience meeting Trump for the first time, which is what I told you was that Trump is unusually charismatic and generous, meaning that he gives you eye contact,
he lets you talk, he asks about your opinion, and while you're there, you're the only person in the world.
He makes you feel like you're the only person who matters in the world, and he has no other interest about anything except you.
Now, I felt that, and I told you that's what Bill Maher's going to get.
He's going to get the, oh my God, this guy's just sort of awesome in person.
So let me give you a readout of what Bill Maher said himself about his own experience.
He was talking to his audience and he said, everything I don't like about him, meaning Trump, was, I swear to God, absent, at least on that night.
Let me read that again.
Everything I don't like about him was, I swear to God, absent, at least on that night.
He said he's much more self-aware than he lets on in public.
That is correct.
He's self-aware.
He said, quote, Marr said, you can hate me for it, but I'm not a liar.
Trump was gracious and measured.
Exactly. He made eye contact.
He asked Marr for his opinion and then listened to it.
Exactly what I told you was going to happen.
Remember I told you that he asked for your opinion and then he actually really listens to it.
It's like a superpower.
When you feel heard like that, you never forget it.
He got a tour of the house, which was impressive, of course.
And Mars said he shared a printout of all the insults that Trump had ever gave him over the years.
And Trump signed it with, quote, good humor.
So Trump just took it as it was fun.
And he just signed it and gave it back to him.
Which was perfect.
Then Mars said he was surprised.
That Trump laughs.
Something he said he had never seen him do in public, and he told his audience, quote, he does, including at himself.
He does.
And then Marr said, and it's not fake, believe me, as a comedian of 40 years, I know a fake laugh when I hear it, and that wasn't fake.
So remember everybody talks about Trump being authentic?
There it is.
There it is.
A comedian knows a fake laugh.
His was authentic.
And then Maher said, I never felt I had to walk on eggshells around him.
And then he said, and honestly, Maher said, I voted for Clinton and Obama, but I would never feel comfortable talking to them the way I was able to talk with Donald Trump.
Just listen to that.
And he says, that's just how it went down.
Make of it what you will.
Me? I feel it's emblematic of why the Democrats are so unpopular these days.
There it is.
He was in the presence of the head of MAGA and did not feel judged.
Did not feel judged.
And did not feel that he would be judged.
But his own team, he feels that one misstep and he would be judged.
That's so powerful.
And that's, I think that actually explains MAGA pretty well.
So Marwanani said, a crazy person doesn't live in the White House.
A person who plays a crazy person on TV a lot lives there, which I know is effed up.
It's just not as effed up as I thought it was.
So he finally understands that Trump understands how to put on a show.
And that if you believe the show was the person, then you were completely confused about anything that was going on, and I think that was the case.
How many times have I told you, I've used the word, that it's a show?
And that he uses hyperbole and he's playing to the audience?
I've been telling you that forever.
Of course his real personality is not the show.
The show is the show.
The show is work.
It's important in its own way, but the show is the show.
It's not his personality.
And then Mars said that he walked away with nothing from the White House except hats and a very generous amount of time and a willingness to listen.
And accept me as a possible friend, even though I'm not MAGA, which was the point of the dinner.
Wow. Wow.
Now, again, I take you back to my prediction.
So, you know, I've only spent 20 minutes with the president, and it was in 2018, but this was my exact experience.
Exact experience.
Just this.
So, right on point.
I don't think it'll change, you know, Maher's criticism.
Nobody expects him to, but it's such a reframe.
It's incredible.
So, meanwhile, Taiwan is offering to drop tariffs and to buy more stuff from the U.S., Reuters says.
I don't want to get too excited about any offers from any countries on tariffs, because once you get into the details...
You know, things get crazy.
Trump has said he wants to, according to the Brussels signal, he suggested linking tariff negotiations in Europe with US troop deployment.
He says those could be part of the same thing.
What have I told you that Trump does well in negotiating?
One of the things he does is he brings things into the negotiation that you don't think are part of the negotiation.
There's no Democrat who would have said we should talk about troop deployment in the same conversation as tariffs.
Only one person.
The one person who understands how to make a deal.
So if bringing in extra variables gets you to the deal, well, you bring them in.
And I've said this a million times.
If you can't make a deal...
And throughout history, everybody's been stymied because they can't make a deal.
Whatever it is, tariffs or anything else, you just broaden the variables.
You just add, well, what if we also included this other topic that we weren't talking about?
Now can we have a deal?
It's just basic deal-making.
And only Trump seems to even understand that it exists as a technique, and then he uses it.
So he said the same about South Korea, too, that troop deployment might be part of a tariff negotiation.
Well, as you know from Doge, there were a lot of illegal migrants in the country who were given social security numbers.
And it turns out that the easiest way to fix that is to just change the database if you know which ones are the non-citizens who have them.
Change the database to list them as dead.
It's just easier.
Because once you list them as dead, the system prevents you from using the social security number anymore.
So you wouldn't be able to get an ID or vote or do all the things that you use it for.
So I guess that's one way to do it.
Glenn Greenwald was on Jesse Waters' show talking about...
You know, the difference between the Democrats who have nothing to offer and Trump.
And even Greenwald says that Trump is authentic no matter what you think of him, but the Democrats have no identity.
All they have is words that consultants have given them.
So they repeat the words.
But here's what I want you to watch for.
You'll think this is hilarious the next time you see it.
Now, this only applies to the senior Democrat leaders.
So it'd be Schumer, Warren, Jeffries.
So this won't apply to just pundits on CNN.
But they've obviously been taught that chaos is the key word.
And people who are experts at communicating know that people will forget 90% of whatever you say about anything.
So if there's one part of your message you want them to remember and repeat, you've got to really emphasize it.
So what the top Democrats do, and I saw this in a compilation clip the other day, they chickenhead the word chaos.
By chickenhead, I'm going to do my impression of it, like the head thrusts forward like a chicken walking.
So if you see them talking, they'll be saying stuff like...
Trump is doing terrible things.
He's not elected to do that.
We're worried that it'll cut your health care.
And he's bringing chaos.
Chaos. And they're checking at it.
Chaos. Because they want to make sure that the one thing you remember is that word.
Chaos. So next time you see it, you're going to laugh your ass off.
It's so obvious.
That is a consultant chosen word.
And it's part of their scamming senior citizens.
Because chaos doesn't necessarily scare a young person.
Because young people are like, ah, chaos, that might be fun.
But if you're old and you don't want anything to change because you can just barely afford your life the way it is, you don't want any chaos.
So between the chaos word...
And the fact that they keep repeating he's going to cut your health care, your Medicare, Medicaid stuff.
Those are scams on seniors.
They've basically taken the Nigerian prince approach to politics where why don't we just scam seniors?
We'll just tell them some things that they're not likely to check and we'll get them all worried and then we can get elected.
Anyway, it's hard to claim chaos is the problem when you're running.
Fake protests against Tesla.
Harry Enten, who's the data guy on CNN, has yet another shocking poll that I'll give CNN credit for running the poll and giving it a lot of time.
The question was, who cares more for the needs of people like you, Democrats or Republicans?
Who cares more?
In 1994, by 19 points, Democrats were picked as the ones who care more about people like you.
In 2005, it was all the way up to 23, an advantage for Democrats, that Democrats are the ones who care more about people like you.
In 2017, it was still, you know, with Trump's first term, they were still up 13. Now, these are big advantages.
If the public thinks that the Democrats care more about people like them, well, of course they're going to vote that way.
Guess what it is in 2025?
It's a tie.
It's a tie.
Trump actually brought up 19, up 23, up 13. He brought that advantage to zero.
It's a tie.
So Democrats are no longer seen as the party of the people.
Trump has made the complete transition.
But people who have college degrees still think by a good amount that Democrats are the ones for people like them.
People with college degrees.
People without college degrees...
Absolutely think the Republicans are people like them and are concerned about people like them.
So that is just wild.
You know, you've heard people say, even the Democrats say this, they'll say this about Trump, that he's the best political athlete they've ever seen.
Have you heard them say that?
It's kind of a good way to acknowledge the reality that he's so successful in politics without sounding
gushing. So they just say he's the best political athlete they've ever seen.
That's right.
I've told you he was the most persuasive person I'd ever seen.
You know, even 2016, I was saying that.
And this just really brings that home.
And then if you're wondering how this would affect the midterm...
The generic midterm, if you were looking at a generic Republican versus a generic Democrat, in November 2024, the Democrats were only up one.
And in 2017, when things went wrong for the midterms, for Trump in his first term, Democrats were up by seven.
So even the advantage of what you expect would be a midterm wipeout, the data does not suggest that there will be a midterm wipeout.
Now, there might still be, but the data doesn't signal it.
Because up one is the same as a tie, basically.
Just think about that.
With all of the efforts of the Democrats to protest Tesla and...
And it brought him only to a tie as the midterms are looking ahead.
And like I said, their biggest complaint is Elon Musk's contribution, and that could be completely wound down before the midterms.
What have they got?
What happens if Trump has, I don't know, 25 trade deals lined up and they all look better than they used to be as we head into the midterms and China is isolated.
I don't know.
It might be a real bad day for Democrats.
It's way too early to know.
So you know that SAVE Act?
That's the one where Republicans are trying to pass a law that everybody needs an ID to be able to vote.
Stephen Miller is reminding us that there's literally only one reason that Democrats would be in favor of not having an ID requirement to vote.
There's only one reason.
It's so you can get a bunch of illegal voters to vote for you.
There's not really a second reason.
Because that whole women can't get ID, nobody thinks that is true.
Or that black people can't get ID and they want to vote.
Nobody thinks that's true.
We're still waiting for the first example of that.
You know, all day long, CNN will give you stories about here's this fisherman whose business will be destroyed by tariffs.
Here's this small business person who does business with Amazon and their business will be destroyed by tariffs.
Then you change the channel to Fox News and it's Here's this victim of illegal immigrants.
Here's another victim of illegal immigrants.
Any time you can find even one frickin' person to make your case, they get highlighted.
Every single time.
You only need to find one.
Just one victim or one example.
And then you go wild of acting like it's representative of the whole.
Sometimes it is.
But just think about how long we've been talking about black people who want to vote can't get ID, and now how long we've talked about divorced or unmarried women not being able to get ID.
And yet, not one example.
Not one example.
Now, how hard is it to find one example of anything?
You could almost throw a dart at all the issues in the world, and you would almost certainly find one person who represents the point you're making, even if it's not representative of the whole.
You can always find one, but they can't find one.
And their base hasn't noticed.
Somehow their base hasn't noticed that this is the only topic.
Of all time, the only topic where you can't find one in the whole country.
So, that's just funny to me.
Here is some controversial move Trump's making.
So, allegedly, this hasn't happened yet, but I think CNN's reporting this, that the Trump administration is going to make big cuts to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
That would allegedly, we don't know that this is true yet.
So far this is rumored.
Rumored based on documents, but rumored.
That would close all weather and climate labs and eviscerate the budget along with several NOAA offices.
And the plan would cut the overall NOAA budget by 27%.
A bunch of functions would be rolled into other But they would go hard at the research office, cutting the research office by roughly 75%.
Now, here's the context, which CNN, of course, will leave out.
If what NOAA was doing was essential work and good science, this sounds like it would be a very bad idea, because they would be...
Doing a bunch of essential science.
They'd be warning us about climate change.
We'd know what to do.
We'd know how fast it's coming.
We'd have a good sense of it.
But probably all the climate change stuff was fake.
So it looks like Trump is just saying, just get rid of everything that's fake.
And anything that looks useful and real, we'll just keep it, but maybe it's under different departments or something.
So the big question is how fake was the science all along?
My own opinion is that the climate models have always been fake and that everything that went into supporting them must have also been about equally fake.
So I can't prove that, but I can tell you that there's no such thing as predicting the future 80 years in advance.
With a multivariable model.
That's not a thing.
Never will be a thing.
Even AI can't do it.
Well, I keep hearing MSNBC carping on Peter Navarro for what they say was he would refer to what they call a fictional expert in several of his books.
So he's written several books.
Trade with China and related topics.
This fictional character, which we now know is not real, was called Ron Vara, which is an anagram of Navarro's own last name.
He would refer to the expert to bolster the opinions that he was saying in the book.
The expert was allegedly a Harvard-trained economist, which I believe is what Peter Navarro is.
So he was basically referring to himself as the expert.
Now, the first time I heard it, I thought, that doesn't sound real.
So I ignored it.
But it's getting a lot of legs.
And so I went to Grok and I said, is this real?
Did Peter Navarro really use an expert that was just himself?
And then he wrote books about it.
Well, here's the first thing you need to know.
That Peter Navarro completely admits it.
So it is real.
He did refer to somebody called Ron Varro.
It was not a real person.
It was just Peter Navarro essentially referring to himself.
But he said that he used it as a used it as a what do you call it?
He admitted to creating this character as a whimsical device for entertainment, not as a factual source.
So I said to myself, hmm, I guess we have to figure out what expert means.
Does expert mean that he has data and that he's analyzed something?
Or is expert being overused?
In other words, did Peter Navarro call him an expert?
Because if he did, that would seem kind of damning, wouldn't it?
But then I went to Grok and I said, can you give me an example of what this alleged fake character Ron Vera said in one of the books?
So one of the books was Death by China, 2011.
And this is the fake quote from the fake person Ron Vera.
Quote, only the Chinese can turn a leather sofa into an acid bath.
A baby formula into a poison, a drywall into sarcoma gas, and a pet food into a lethal cocktail.
So the quotes were about Chinese products that were unsafe for consumers.
Now, how much of that is expert?
Not really any of it.
Not really any of it.
Because it's just sort of a whimsical way to say the same thing that Peter Navarro was saying.
So Navarro probably had some data about these very products, probably referred to the data, but then when he wanted to kind of cleverly sum them up, he just had his other character do the summing up,
so it sounded like somebody else was saying it.
Now, that's not really any expertise.
Now, do I approve of this?
No. No.
I don't think this was...
The best way to go about it.
But it didn't sound like expertise.
So as soon as MSNBC says it's like expertise, none of this changed his opinions.
None of it had a bearing on his main points.
It was just a clever way to sum them up.
Now, I haven't seen all the examples, so maybe there's some example that's more damning.
I just think it's kind of funny that he would have a whimsical character that's clearly he's not trying to hide it too hard.
Because if you name the character an anagram of your own last name, it wasn't that hard to spot.
So it does give me the impression that he thought it was funny and like a useful author tool.
But rather than trying to pass it off as real expertise.
So you can have your own opinion about that.
So Jack Dorsey and Elon Musk appeared to agree on the X platform yesterday.
And what they agreed on was ending IP laws.
So intellectual property.
So instead of fighting about the intellectual property all the time, which is an enormous It uses a lot of resources.
Dorsey and Musk both seem to agree that we might be better off if we got rid of all intellectual property.
Now, I believe Tesla has done some of that.
I believe they've made some of their technology available to others.
But I would say where you are depends on how much you think that's a good idea.
If it includes copyright, I don't know if it does.
They might be thinking more about products.
But if it includes artistic stuff, I don't think any artist would work anymore.
I mean, I can't imagine creating a book that's immediately available from 25 other sources the day it's published.
Oh, wait, that's the exact current situation.
Because China rips off any book that looks like it's going to do well.
They do it immediately.
So if I publish a new book tomorrow, there will be 10 Chinese versions of it almost at the same time.
And consumers won't know the difference.
So we have an enormous IP problem with creative stuff.
If this were the baseline and I were not already successful, I wouldn't even think of going into cartooning.
It wouldn't make any sense at all.
I definitely wouldn't write a book.
And those are the things I've had the most success with and have created the most value.
So I think if you have a dominant car company that is so good at manufacturing that nobody can catch up, you can just tell them what you're doing.
Then they'll never catch up.
Here's my IP.
Good luck.
Now, do you think that Elon Musk will give away his...
AI that drives the self-driving cars?
Do you think that would be on the list of things he would give away for free?
It's the most valuable thing he has.
What about whatever is going to drive his robots?
Do you think he wants to give that away for free?
I could be wrong, but it seems to me that that would take the value of his robots from a trillion dollars.
To a billion dollars.
Is that what he has in mind?
To give up a trillion dollars?
I don't know.
So I think the whole getting rid of the IP might be something that people who are already billionaires say because they already made their money.
I just don't know how real that is or how limited it would be if they got their way.
I do understand why the IP...
is an enormous problem to innovation.
Because if you're trying to invent anything in America, as soon as you put it out, you're going to get sued.
Because there's somebody who has some kind of IP that interferes with.
So there must be some middle ground.
According to the Daily Mail, there used to be, in 1994, a top secret plan to turn soldiers gay.
But not our own soldiers.
There was going to be a gay bomb that was filled with chemical aphrodisiacs that they would drop on enemy soldiers to make them irresistibly attracted to one another.
Now, the plan was ultimately scrapped, but apparently it was seriously considered that they would drop some chemicals on the enemies and the enemies would just start I don't know, giving each other hand jobs instead of firing guns,
and then they could just overrun their positions when they were exhausted.
So, I like that outside-the-box thinking.
Get it?
Outside-the-box?
Never mind.
So, Trump has a plan, according to the Financial Times, to stockpile deep-sea critical minerals to counter China.
So apparently, there are just nodules on the bottom of the ocean that are filled with stuff, rare earth stuff, like things we need for batteries.
Which ones?
So they've got nickel and cobalt and copper and manganese in them.
Of course, we need a lot more rare earth stuff than that.
But those would be ones that are especially good for batteries and electrical wiring and munitions.
So Trump's going to start stockpiling that.
That wouldn't get us to the point where we could instantly produce it on our own.
We'd still need to be able to process it.
So the whole how do you process this stuff needs to get solved.
But seems like a good idea.
I feel like if we're not putting our entire shoulders into making sure that You know, we have pharmaceuticals and rare earth materials and China can't completely turn us off.
I feel like that's the right direction.
And maybe we need to do a lot more.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's my show for today.
I know it was amazing, but not as amazing as the after party will be with Owen Gregorian.
They'll start in a few minutes and it will be on Spaces on the X platform.
Just search for Owen Gregorian, or you can search for me, and you'll see that I reposted it, so you can see the link to it.
I'm going to just say a very quick word to my local subscribers, but then I'm going to let them be free to go find Owen's spaces, okay?
