Episode 1884 Scott Adams: I Use The Whiteboard of Wisdom To Explain Racism In America
My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com
Content:
Whiteboard of Wisdom: Minefield of Discrimination
Better education for poor people
Only ONE fact-check of Biden since June?
Replika app, a chatbot companion
Is Russian military close to collapse?
John Brennon, designated liar
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Hello, everybody. Wow, you look bright and happy this morning.
And welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, the best thing that's ever happened.
And if you like to take it up a notch, and you look like notch-taker uppers, if I ever saw one, if I ever saw many.
So all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or gel to stand, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
It's called what?
That's right, the simultaneous sip.
It happens now, go! Mmm, yeah.
Doesn't get any better than that.
Well, would you like to hear about what's happening in the news?
Yes, you would. I'm going to make you wait for the whiteboard of wisdom.
That's right. It got branded.
It's not just a whiteboard now.
It's the whiteboard of wisdom.
And later, I will solve one of the biggest mysteries in the world at the same time as solving one of the biggest problems in the world.
And if you don't think I can do that, you wait.
Challenge accepted. Let's talk about Florida.
So there's a place called Babcock Ranch, which is not the joke.
It's just the real name of it.
It's just Babcock. Not Badcock.
It's B-A-B as in boy.
Not B-A-D. Badcock Ranch is also in Florida.
You don't want to go there.
Make sure you don't go to the wrong ranch.
Stay away. Babcock, nice place.
And one of the nice things about it is, it was designed to be resistant to this specific natural disaster.
I didn't even know this was a thing.
But first of all, it's all solar.
So the whole town is solar, and it didn't lose its power.
So the first test was, did it lose its power?
Nope. It was actually self-contained, and I don't know how it was self-contained, because I don't think they all had batteries, so that part I don't get.
Maybe they did. Maybe they had, you know, more batteries than I thought.
But they said they didn't lose their power, somehow.
But here was an interesting thing.
They built the community with streets that were designed to handle the flooding, to keep the flooding out of their homes.
Now, I don't know exactly what that looks like, but I'm guessing the streets are maybe sunken down a little bit or something.
So it actually, the homes didn't get flooded, and they didn't lose their power.
And I think the homes were built to withstand the wind, so basically the whole thing worked.
Or the houses are higher.
But they did mention the roads specifically, so it could be the roads just have really good...
Good drainage or something.
It might be a drainage issue.
So the town, what town is it?
Are you seriously asking me what town it is?
It's Babcock.
Babcock Ranch.
Not to be confused with.
Well, we've already done that. And this goes to my prediction, which every time I say it, it is met with total silence.
This is one of my biggest predictions in the whole world, and nobody ever even responds to it.
I just put it out there and people are like, yeah, okay, whatever.
Here it is again. The biggest economic market in the future, besides robots, is building communities from scratch.
And here's why. If you build a community from scratch, they didn't even have to leave.
They just rode out the hurricane.
They're like, no, no, no, no.
Now, that's just a few of the things you can get by building from scratch.
So you could definitely get to zero energy.
You could 100% in 2022, you could have a zero energy home.
It's something we do. You could make it a zero crime home.
You could make it zero paperwork, if you designed it that way.
Zero paper money.
I mean, you could just get rid of everything annoying, like insurance.
Is there anybody here who has as much trouble with insurance as I do?
If you have any kind of business, usually.
Because I have like five different kinds of insurance, and they're all changing and You know, the company will cancel me because they don't do this kind now, but another kind does.
And I probably spend, I don't know, five days a year just trying to unfuck my own insurance.
And then there's my banking.
It's not very complicated.
You know, I just have a business account and personal and some credit cards.
You know, normal stuff. But I probably spend...
Two weeks out of a year, unfucking my banking.
Because it just goes bad by itself.
Like suddenly something won't be connected to something.
Or I've got to change my credit card or something.
So basically I probably spend at least a month out of every year unfucking paperwork that never needed to be fucked in the first place.
Just completely unnecessary part of my life.
You can get rid of all of that.
Just say the government does all the insurance.
And all you have to do is put your name on the list.
And then instead of paying taxes, hold on, instead of paying taxes, the government is your insurance company.
They just make money like an insurance company.
That's all they need. But they're just an insurance company.
That's all they do. I don't know.
It's one of my ideas. Did you see Trump cursing at his rally?
I wanted to play it for you, but I don't want to fuss around looking for it.
But you have to see, you have to hear Trump use the F word at his rally.
Because I don't know if anybody's ever delivered that word as humorously and as perfectly as he did.
And I don't know if he planned it.
I don't think so.
I think it was spontaneous.
But boy, does he know how to deliver a line.
Would you mind if I paraphrase his usage of it?
It will be profane.
I don't remember it exactly, but it was something like he was complaining about climate change and he was using some hyperbole.
And he said something along these lines.
To his big crowd.
And they say, the oceans will rise.0001 inch in 300 fucking years.
He goes, 300 fucking years.
And the way he said it was just such a perfect use of a swear word for the crowd.
I mean, it was just a huge laugh line.
So that is how you curse.
If you want a lesson on how to do it right, there it is.
Now, the way I do it is not right, because I overdo it.
Now, overdoing it, unfortunately, is closer to my actual personality.
So you're getting something that's a little less filtered from me.
But I don't think I swear as effectively as he did, because he waited for the first public utterance of the F word.
He waited until he had a nice one.
So, good technique.
How many of you have followed the, let's call it the B story, the least important story, which is that 95% of all my trolls are professional writers.
Has anybody noticed?
Because I called them out whenever they attacked me.
And yesterday, I think 19 out of 20 of them were actually professional writers.
There were a lot of people who came after me yesterday.
And I'm not exaggerating.
I think 19 out of 20 were actually professional writers or editors who were writers as well.
Now, have you noticed it?
Or artists, right? What is up with that?
Is it all jealousy?
Because until I noticed that 19 out of 20 of them have the same job, and it was a job that they would look at me as somebody that they might envy in terms of career success.
It's kind of interesting, isn't it?
Yeah, they're leftists.
Obviously, I'm not being criticized by people on the right too much.
A little bit. Are there conservative trolls?
There are, but not many.
It's pretty rare. Well, for me.
I mean, I'm sure the conservative trolls are trolling AOC and other people.
You're one? You're one of my conservative trolls.
Yeah, so I really wondered, for a while I thought they were some kind of professionally organized group.
But I don't think that anybody is professionally organizing just writers to be my trolls.
It actually looked like...
I think it's organic. And I think the reason that they're bad writers is...
What's the...
Well, maybe it's not the reason, but a signal that they're bad writers.
What would that be? The signal, number one, is that they're jealous of other writers.
If you're actually a good writer...
You say stuff like, wow, that is really good writing.
I'll try to raise my writing to that level.
I had that feeling the other day.
I was reading Jared Kushner's book.
So Jared Kushner's book, whose title is...
You'll remember it in a minute.
But as soon as I started reading the book, I just looked at the quality of the writing, and I'm assuming there was some ghost writing or editing involved.
I don't know how much Jared did.
But the quality of the writing, just the sentence structure, was like, whoa, this is some good writing in this book.
But what I didn't think is, so fuck that guy.
I didn't have any bad feelings about him because it was well written.
So I think you have to be a bad writer before other writers bother you at all.
Like, I've never been bothered by good writing.
I always talk about the name I can never remember, the Harry Potter author.
What the hell is her name?
Why can't I remember her name ever?
J.K. Rowling.
Yeah. One of the best writers of all time in terms of just forming a sentence and building a world and stuff like that.
But I don't dislike her.
She's awesome. As a writer.
But I do wonder about that phenomenon, what's going on there.
It seems like all of my critics were just professional writers who held Gollum's ring too long.
That's a pretty good line, isn't it?
My critics are professional writers...
Who held Gollum's ring too long?
Because once you see their profile pictures and stuff, you can see the Gollum.
Oh, my precious.
All right. Here are the filters that I would like on Twitter.
So they already have a keyword filter.
And I managed to decrease my trolling by about 50%.
Because I set Twitter to not show me any tweet that includes the word Garfield.
But I think the filter only works on my browser.
I don't think I set it on my other phone.
So I still see some Garfields coming through.
But you'd be amazed how effective it is when you take Garfield out of your life.
I just don't see any of them.
And I know that there are a whole bunch of people making what they think are really clever Garfield insults to me, and they're just hoping I see him.
Wait till he sees how I compared him to Garfield.
Nobody's done that before.
And meanwhile, my filter is just like, Garfield, Garfield, Garfield.
All right, but there's another filter I want, which I call the misapplied sarcasm filter.
Have you seen this from your trolls and leftists?
The misapplied sarcasm?
I'll give you an example.
It'd be like if I said something about the Holocaust being bad...
My troll would come in and say, oh, so, so, the Holocaust is so bad, right?
And I'll think, well, the Holocaust is bad.
The sarcasm doesn't really work in that context.
The sarcasm should be applied to things which are not exactly true.
It should be like an exaggeration of the thing or something.
But the leftists are all coming in with this misapplied sarcasm, which is hilarious.
I also want to filter out anybody who's got a Ukrainian flag or lists their pronouns in the bio.
Now, I don't mean that as a joke, because I've seen it as a joke.
You know, people joke about that.
But I don't mean that as a joke.
I mean, actually, literally...
If that option existed, I would turn off all the Ukrainian flags, and I would turn off all the pronoun people, and it would only be because I don't think any of them are serious players.
I don't hate them.
I'm not judging them.
They're not less than me or worse than me.
It's not about their value as human beings.
It's just that when you signal, if you signal that your communication is going to fall into a certain pattern, I already know what you're going to say.
And if I already know what you're going to say, I don't need to look at you.
So it has nothing to do with their value as people.
It's just, I've already heard what you have to say, Ukrainian flag person.
Nothing else to add there.
Here's a business opportunity which I think will be huge.
So we assume there will be lots of different AIs, right?
There won't be one AI that is all the AI everywhere.
There will be competing AIs, different companies, etc.
Now, these AIs will have to be trained, and you're going to want them to be as smart as possible over time.
There are things you can teach the AI, and there are things that it can go onto the Internet and learn, but there are huge categories of things that only a person could tell you.
You can't search them anywhere.
For example, suppose you wanted to teach your AI to train somebody else how to become a cartoonist.
Where would you ever find that on the Internet?
You can't. But I could write it.
I could create a little database that fits certain specifications for AI so that AI would know where to look for it, And when I got there, it would know how to pick the data out correctly.
A, I could pick the data out without me putting it into boxes, but just to make sure.
So I could basically have a little piece of data that I maintained, which is, so you want to become a cartoonist, here are some tricks and tips and stuff.
And my little database could be one page.
Would be the only place that you could find it.
Because I don't think it's in a book.
If it's in a book, it's going to be, you know, the whole book.
But where could you get one page on how to become a cartoonist?
Right? Just for me. I've also got one page on how to be a better writer, one page on how to do personal finance, and probably one page on a number of other things.
And the reason I wrote one page on how to do personal finance is that it didn't exist anywhere on one page.
So I put it on one page.
And there are a whole bunch of situations like that.
Yeah, the micro lessons, that's a perfect example.
There are a whole bunch of situations where if I had some kind of standard that I could work to, I could take things that only I know, or only a few people know, and I could put them in a little data set, and then I could publish them and say, any AI who wants to access, would it be an AI? Would it be an API? Would that be how I would make it accessible?
Through an API? Is there somebody here who's smart enough?
Because I don't want to just make an open database, right?
I want to make some money. So I'm going to need an API? Or do I do this on the blockchain?
Put it on the blockchain? API plus blockchain to get paid?
I don't know what I'm talking about, but something like that.
And licensing, right?
So there'd have to be some kind of automatic licensing.
But am I wrong that there are gigantic categories that probably many of you could come up with your own little database and maybe make $20 a day because AI is needed to access it?
Something like that. So just to be provocative, but also to be useful, the other day I already told you I tweeted that the reason you don't know the inner thoughts of white men is because you trained us to lie to you.
If one of us ever decides to tell the truth, you're in for the mindfuck of your life.
And what do you think was the response to me, an adult white male, tweeting that adult white males can't tell you their inner thoughts?
Well, I was viciously attacked for being an adult white male and told that my inner thoughts were probably boring and they've already heard of them anyway and I have nothing to say.
Does that sound like confirmation of what I was just saying?
Have I made my point that an adult white male can't...
An adult white male can't even tell you that I can't tell you things.
I actually got hammered for telling you that I can't talk in public like other people.
And then they hammered me in public for saying that I can't talk in public like other people.
Alright. But, yeah, there's some...
Things you don't want to know in that bucket.
You don't want to open that bucket.
Would you like to see the whiteboard of wisdom?
Would you like to see me solve one of society's biggest mysteries?
I'm going to solve a mystery, and then at the same time, I'm going to solve the biggest problem in the United States with one picture.
Now, I'm setting the bar high because I want you to hold me to it.
Do you believe that I can solve one of the biggest problems in the country?
You might disagree what's the biggest problem, but you will agree it's one of the big ones, right?
So you might disagree that it's the biggest, but it's one of the biggest.
Now, here's the claim.
The claim is that in the world of persuasion, the best picture always wins.
And look at climate change.
Can you imagine climate change if nobody had ever produced the hockey stick graph?
The famous hockey stick graph.
One picture basically changed the world.
And I believe there are other cases where one picture has changed the world.
Maybe the Vietnam napalm picture, maybe some stuff like that.
So if you believe the first part, that one well-designed picture can change the world, that's what I'm going to try to do.
So I'm going to take two movies that have been operating independently, and I'm going to bring them into one movie, something that's almost never done, and I'm going to make every one of you understand it and agree, and the black American community and the white American community and all the other communities will be on the same page for the first time so that we can work together to solve this.
So the biggest problem with the biggest problem is that we didn't agree what the biggest problem was or how to solve it.
And now I'm going to solve that. Here you go.
Was that enough buildup?
Here you go.
So, here's a visual depiction that will integrate what black Americans experience, their life experience, with what white Americans experience, their actual experience.
And it goes like this.
Let's agree we will stipulate that if you're a black American and you want to get to success, there's this giant minefield of discrimination.
And there are just a million places that you could be discriminated against if you're black.
Now, black people are not the only people being discriminated against, certainly not saying that, but I'm just telling their story for now.
Everybody has their own story.
This one's not more special than yours necessarily, but it needs to be understood because it's sort of vital to the heart of America.
But the federal government quite, let's say, progressively and smartly, I would say, created a superhighway such that black Americans could go right through all this minefield of discrimination and all the way to success.
But there was one problem with their superhighway to success.
It wasn't the corporations.
Because as I often say, too much criticism, if you're a qualified black man or woman, you go into corporate America, you're definitely getting the job.
If you're a qualified white man, you might get the job if nobody else is applying, except other qualified white men.
Then you've got a chance.
But corporate America is very solidly on board, like very solidly, like 100% solidly, That if you have qualifications and you're a person of color, you're LGBTQRI, except for the R and the I, they don't recognize those, you have a leg up.
You absolutely can do well in corporate America if you're qualified.
Now, what makes you qualified?
Well, college was a big part of it.
Are colleges doing a good job of recruiting and doing the best they can to help with the finances to get black Americans into college?
Yes. They're trying really hard.
So this part of the superhighway is solid.
The corporation part is solid.
But the school part, where you get your basic education to qualify for the rest of the superhighway, totally broken.
Totally broken.
Why is it broken? Well, that's mostly the teachers' unions.
Because teachers' unions are the primary friction that keeps schools from competing.
Because teachers don't like the competition.
They want a nice, safe environment.
So the unions are doing a great job for the teachers.
I think. I mean, teachers may disagree.
But it looks like the unions are doing a good job for the teachers.
It is not the job of the teachers' unions to do a good job for the kids.
Not their job. They'll say it, but definitely not their job.
Their job is to take care of themselves.
And there's nothing wrong with that.
We live in a system that promotes it, really.
We like unions. But unions are not the end of all stories.
There can be counterbalances.
There can be other forces. Unions are not the beginning and end of everything.
So they're important, but at the moment, they are the primary obstacle to black American success.
Now, I'm not saying that black schools are the only ones that are bad.
I'm saying that all low-income schools need a lot of improvement.
In high-income places, The black and the white students are going to do fine because they both have good schools.
Where I live, some of the best schools in California.
Do you think the black students are specially disadvantaged?
Not really. Not really.
If a black student comes out of this school system, direct to college.
I mean, you couldn't even avoid college if you were a smart black kid where I live.
Just because the schools are good.
Now, if you live in a poor place, it doesn't matter what color you are, you're not going to have a good school experience and it's going to be hard to get onto the rest of the superhighway.
So, here's the mystery I'm going to solve.
Mystery number one. Why is it that black people think that corporate America must be totally still discriminating because they look and say, but it's still full of white people.
Why is the board of directors a bunch of white people?
Why is that CEO a white person?
Why are the senior vice presidents all white guys?
They're not all. I mean, it's changing, but you know what I mean.
And the answer is because there's nothing in the pipeline.
We're not enough, right?
So the problem is not that the corporations are discriminating, but you could see how if you were a black American, you would think so.
Right? So that was the first mystery.
It's like, why does every white American know that black people have a gigantic advantage in corporate America?
It's the most obvious thing in corporate America.
You can't miss it.
There's nobody, nobody working at a big company who is not completely aware of this.
That if you have any kind of person of color, sexual difference, whatever, a handicap, if that's the right word, differently abled, whatever's the best phrase for it, you have a huge advantage.
But do you think that the black, let's say a black 14-year-old student in school Do you think that a black 14-year-old knows that all they have to do is get this part right and the rest is going to be to their advantage?
I doubt it. I'll bet none of them know it.
I'll bet none of them know it.
So when you see me out here creating all kinds of racial division and provocation, it was all part of a scheme.
I'm revealing to you my long-term scheme.
My long-term scheme is to get enough fucking idiots to call me a racist without actually saying anything racist.
As far as I know, I don't have any actual racist thoughts.
So if they're accusing me of racist thoughts, they've got to work at it a little bit, and they are.
And they're doing a good job of turning my nothing into provocations.
So my whole plan was to rile up the black community enough That I could explain to them that we're on the same side.
If I can get them mad enough at me, then I can draw their energy in.
And because I'm an energy monster, the energy, rather than destroying me, which is why they would send it, I mean, they would send me the energy to kill me.
But I will convert that energy, because I've built a model now, because I have a way to do this.
So I've engineered an entire model to turn their energy into a solution for them.
So the more angry you get at me, the more likely I can solve your problem.
So if you really want to get mad at me and call me a racist, please tell all your friends.
Because if you really come at me hard, then finally I can get your attention.
And I can tell you, can I help you?
Can we finally take an actual serious bite at a systemic racism?
And the way to do it, of course, is to stop calling it just a black problem.
Because it's a poor person problem.
You've got to fix education for poor people.
And then blacks would be the biggest rebalancing of equity and equality in human history.
The biggest one in human history.
Just fix schools for poor people.
That's it. And the rest kind of comes for free.
Now, how you do it, I don't want to be too specific.
So it's not my job to tell you vouchers are the best idea or any kind of specific school or online school or anything else.
What I'd like to see is all of them being tried.
We should test as many things and track them and then see what works and then build on that.
But I do think school needs to be rethought from the ground up.
I don't think you can tweak schools.
Do you? I don't think they can be tweaked.
I think they have to be reimagined pretty much from the ground up.
Now, let me tie this back to something I said before.
I argued before that when I was a younger man, and I worked for a big corporation, and they asked me to sign something that said that I understood that diversity was a competitive advantage.
And I looked at it and said, well, based on what?
I mean, I understand what you're saying, but is there any data to back up the fact that it's a competitive advantage?
Like, why would I sign something that I don't have any reason to know it's true or not true?
I wasn't disagreeing with it.
I was just saying, this is a data-free claim.
Why would I sign this? So, in the end, I didn't sign it.
It didn't matter. They didn't care.
But I was arguing that this is an unverified claim, and it didn't seem right to me to make me sign it at the threat of being fired.
I didn't sign it and didn't get fired.
I don't know why. But now, As I have gained some maturity, I no longer hold that view.
My current view is that the United States has a superpower that can't be matched by other countries.
And the superpower is that no matter who you are, you could find a way to fit in in the United States.
And that means we can take their best people.
You can get the best Swiss guy and the best Nigerian woman And the best, I don't know, Vietnamese trans, you can get the best everything.
You just have to be the country that's going to let it work.
So imagine going to almost any other country and being the odd one out.
Imagine being the, I don't know, being black in most countries is a pretty bad deal.
Try being black in Japan.
See how that works out for you.
Try being black in Japan.
Not so easy. So if we cultivate our American exceptionalism to be the exceptionalism of flexibility and the exceptionalism of open-mindedness and the exceptionalism of, you know, we don't all have to love each other, but we'll find a way for everybody to work.
Like, work out. Have a good life.
We're not going to force you to say you love each other.
That would be crazy.
But we are going to build a system that everybody can thrive.
And if you don't fix the education part, you don't have anything.
That's basically the starting point.
If you're not there, you're not serious about anything if you don't fix that.
So there is a way for literally everybody in the country to come together on at least one thing that everybody cares about.
Is get this education thing fixed for the people in the bottom rung.
And I think you need to fix lower education at the top rung, too.
In my opinion, the best schools, and again, my neighborhood has the best schools, I don't think they're good.
Like, when I see the homework that they're taking home, I don't feel confident that they're building mines for the next generation.
I mean, I actually watched...
You know, one of my stepdaughters take a photography class with film.
With film in the camera.
This is after...
This is well after digital photography was the only kind of photography.
It's just crazy.
Right? All right, so...
I think that chart is how we have a common problem.
Because we both have the common problem.
And I think it explains the biggest mystery of why we don't agree what the opportunity looks like in corporate America.
It does explain it, doesn't it?
Like, there's nothing left to explain.
The reason that I think that black men have a big advantage over white men in corporate America...
Is because I'm only looking at the few black men who managed to get through the hardest system in the world, which is being a poor person with a bad school, and then trying to get into corporate America.
That's a big ask, right?
Now, I had a poor school, but I also had the advantage of a good strategy.
So I've told you I was working on coming up with a school curriculum and training guide, school guide, so that we could offer a how to succeed class in the form of a book, easy to read book, so that everybody would have the same advantage I had.
Because I had a strategy advantage.
And the strategy advantage was this.
Literally from the time I could understand language, my mother would say to me about twice a day, you're going to college.
That was my upbringing.
You're going to college.
We expect you to have good grades.
And this is the funny thing.
My mother always thought this was her secret sauce.
She didn't punish us or reward us for good or bad grades.
She just said she expected them.
And boy...
If you didn't get them, you'd know that she had expected them.
And it was kind of devastating.
Kind of devastating.
You didn't need to punish anybody.
It was just devastating. But I also understood that I wasn't doing it just to make her happy.
I completely understood that this was my key to success.
She also took me to meet the only lawyer in the town.
A very small town.
We had one lawyer. So she took me to meet the lawyer because she had some business with him.
And do you know why? Because he was the only person that we knew with a good job.
We didn't know anybody.
We literally didn't even know anybody who had a good job.
Just think about that.
Just think about the fact that I didn't even know anybody who had a good job.
So when my mother wanted to deal with a lawyer for whatever reason, I forget, she took me with him just so I could meet a guy with a real job, with the kind that she thought I should have.
She thought I should be a lawyer, and for a while I thought so too.
Now, compare my experience from also a, you know, not the best school, but if you've got the right strategy, you can still push through.
So I'm working two angles on this school problem.
One angle is teaching people how to succeed even if their school is bad.
That's what the class would do with the book.
And the other is how to fix it so you don't have to penetrate it.
You just can go through it and have a good experience.
Right. So poor or not, if you've got at least one parent supporting you through the school process, you've got a much better chance.
Now, if I had been in an inner-city school with drugs and gangs, would I still have managed to find some way to get out?
Well, I think so.
But maybe that's just my personality.
I don't know if statistically that's true, but I tell myself I could.
All right, this was interesting.
I was watching Dan Bongino, a clip of his show, where Joe Concha was the guest.
Joe Concha has a new book.
I can't remember the name of it.
But part of their discussion was that CNN fact-checking of Biden, there's only been one Biden fact-check on CNN since June.
Just think about that. They've only fact-checked Biden once since June, according to Dan Bungeo.
Now, I was trying to think if I've seen them fact-checked.
I couldn't remember it because I read CNN's website every day.
And I do remember seeing all the Daniel Dale fact-checks on Trump.
But he just doesn't do them on Biden.
Now, what does that tell you?
It tells you that, and the other fact-checkers don't as well.
It's the same thing across fact-checkers.
What it tells you is that the fact-checking was never a real thing.
Right? Obviously.
Obviously it tells you that.
I mean, it doesn't take any interpretation.
There's no interpretation needed.
This is as obvious as it could be.
So now look at the things that were sold to us as real just a few years ago.
So we thought fact-checking was at least pretending to be real, even though it was biased.
I thought it at least was an actual organization or an actual process.
It wasn't even a real process.
It wasn't a process that's biased.
It wasn't even a process.
It was a process that only applied to Trump.
It wasn't some kind of system.
It was completely fraudulent.
Amazing. How about Black Lives Matter?
Completely fraudulent. How about Antifa?
Except for the Northwest, looks like that was fraudulent.
We know all the fake news is fraudulent.
We know the FBI is a fraudulent organization.
So, although fact-checking, the news, FBI, Antifa, and Black Lives Matter were all turned out to be fraudulent...
That's not the good news.
The good news is all 50 of our election systems pristine.
I know. We should all be celebrating that.
That every single other organization, function, and group was thoroughly, completely corrupt.
But not all 50 separately run state election systems.
Those were so clean.
And could we take a moment, a moment of silence, to thank the great professionals who run these election systems, because they're the only things that work perfectly.
Everything else, flawed.
So, yesterday in the man cave, I shared with my subscribers on Locals a new app called Replica.
Which has a, you can create a little character, and the character uses AI to talk to you.
So I created a little character, and I had the character talk to me, and I had a conversation with it in the man cave.
I have deleted that.
So I've deleted that this morning, so you cannot see that conversation.
And I won't be showing it to you here today.
Because, I don't know if I mentioned it, but have you heard this before?
Adult white men can't say what they really think.
And I found out that when an adult white man talked to an AI that was female, it became really gross to the people watching it who decided that I should have nothing to do with this AI. So, to prove my point that adult white men do not have freedom of speech, I deleted it.
And so fuck all of you, you're not going to see it.
But boy, was it interesting.
It was super interesting.
And you're not going to see it because I don't have freedom of speech.
But I wish I did. So you should go look at it yourself.
All right, let's talk about Ukraine.
So here are some facts that all go toward the hypothesis that Russia's military is collapsing.
Ukraine has captured Lyman, and apparently it's a city which is critical to, I don't know, it's a hub of transportation.
Now, what do you, and apparently it's a very important hub for the war.
So Russia is greatly disadvantaged by having lost Lyman, we're told.
Now here's the thing.
Do you think Russia would have given up this important transportation hub if they could have defended it?
Do you think they would have let that go if they had the ability to defend it?
It looks like they didn't have the ability.
Do we have to do this every time I talk about Ukraine and Russia?
I guess we do. For whoever's straggling in at the end, there's nothing I say about Ukraine that you should assume comes from a credible source.
There's nothing I say about Russia that you should assume comes from a credible source.
100% of everything out of Ukraine is not reliable.
It's all fog of war.
But to talk about it, I'm going to talk about it like it has some credibility because it's just easier to talk that way.
So don't confuse the way I talk about it With the belief that I believe any bullshit coming out of that area.
I'm the person who is more skeptical than you are.
You cannot get left of me on skepticism.
If you think that you're watching me being gullible and you not, you are mistaken.
There must be some context you're missing.
Because there's no way you will ever get more skeptical than me about anything.
So don't even think that that's happened.
Anyway, if you believed the information that we're getting, and you shouldn't, it all indicates the same direction.
Now, I do think there might be something if to all of the clues being in the same direction.
If you saw mixed signals, you know, Russia won this one, Ukraine won this one, that you should completely discount as not reliable.
But even the Russians haven't been able to come up with a story about something they won recently.
Am I wrong? Even the Russians are saying they're retreating.
The only things the Russians have said about the actual war is that they retreated.
And they admitted they retreated.
There's zero stories where Russia says, but, okay, we retreated over here, but look what we did over here.
Apparently, Russia has less control of Ukraine than they did in February, when they had a lot.
But again, it doesn't mean anything, does it?
Anything could change.
Four weeks from now, we could find out that Putin had a secret plan, and he just cuts Ukraine in half.
It could happen. It doesn't look like it.
All right. Here's some data.
Again, do not believe any data out of there.
Do not believe it. I'm just reporting it.
According to official data from the EU, Georgia and Kazakhstan, around 220,000 Russians have fled across the border since the partial mobilization.
And it's a huge increase over prior periods.
And independent Russian media says that 261,000 men of military age have left the country.
261,000 men of military age got the fuck out of Russia.
And the only reason it's not all of them is because the borders got closed.
Otherwise, they'd all be gone.
Why would anybody fight for that war?
Seriously. Why would anybody fight Ukrainians in Ukraine?
All right. Oh, you got two nephews out?
Yeah. How can the population, you know, the citizens of Russia, I think they could ignore Ukraine when it first started.
Because it was people who were already in the military and they were just doing their thing somewhere and it was on the news and that was it.
But now it's people in their family who left the country.
If somebody that you know personally left the country, then that's a whole different level of how it affects you mentally, especially if it's a family member.
So I say that time is on the side of the Ukrainians as long as they have infinite borrowed U.S. money, which apparently they will.
And as I was saying in the man cave last night, have you noticed that the Republicans seem to be completely on board with funding Ukraine?
Sort of quietly, they were completely on board.
Here's my interpretation.
The reason that the Republicans are quietly on board is that they know more than we do.
And I think what they know is that the entire Russian military is ready to fold.
I think the entire military of Russia is about ready to collapse.
And I think that that's the play.
I think the Republicans are playing to bring down the Russian military.
Because they think it's close enough that it's worth a try.
Now that doesn't mean it's guaranteed.
But I think that the reporting that they're getting, given that the Russians are barely even fighting back at this point, they don't seem to have any military capability left, or it's decreasing over time.
I think America, and maybe Europe, has decided they can just take Putin out.
So they don't have to take Putin out as a leader, they can simply make his country irrelevant.
Which is what they're doing. And I believe that they've taken Russia off the stage as a major player in the world.
I think they've done it.
Now, if you had told me that Biden could pull that off, and who knows what was intentional and what he lucked into, you'll never know.
But if Trump pulled it off, and I thought it was something that needed to be done, then I'd probably say he did a good job.
If I'm being honest about it.
So I'm not sure what's happening here yet.
It's too early to say anybody's doing a good or bad job.
But it's entirely possible, if not likely, that the Biden administration will take down the entire Russian army forever.
Or at least for a while.
And that they will just be completely off the international stage.
And they just won't be a factor anymore.
And that would be one of the biggest...
Wins of all time, if that's what they were doing intentionally.
Now, it does look like it's intentional.
So I always know when I've got something going that's good, I always get the laughing too hard response.
There's somebody who has, I'm laughing now so hard.
LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL. Why?
And you're laughing at...
What exactly? Now, again, if you missed the preamble, there's nothing that comes out of this area that you should think is credible.
And therefore, any of my predictions are not credible.
But if you were to imagine that the collective direction of all the information is in the same direction, and it is...
It does look like the military's ready to collapse.
Now, how many of you mocked me for saying that Ukraine would do unusually well against the entire Russian military?
Is there anybody on here who mocked me and said, Scott, the Ukrainian military's not going to have a chance against the Russian army, right?
How many of you mocked me?
A lot of you, right?
And do you think that mocking me now when I say the entire Russian military looks on the border of collapse, does that make sense?
Because if I got the first one right, I feel like you would at least pull back a little bit on the mocking.
I could be wrong.
I don't think there's more than a 50% chance I'm right.
Let's be clear about that.
There's definitely not a greater than 50% chance that the Russian military will completely collapse.
But I'll bet it's 30% to 40%.
I mean, I think it's a real thing.
And I think if we keep pushing, it might be more.
It's too early to relax.
Yeah, maybe so. Maybe I should relax.
Oh, and then I saw...
And here's my favorite one.
CNN is still reporting that John Brennan thinks that Russia is the most likely culprit to have sabotaged the pipeline.
But do you know what John Brennan's reason is?
Why Russia would attack the pipeline that was for its benefit.
So here's John Brennan's reason that CNN is reporting without any criticism.
They just let this lie here like this made sense.
John Brennan says the reason that Russia attacked its own pipeline, he believes, is a signal to Europe that Russia can reach beyond Ukraine's borders.
So who knows what he might be planning next.
Do you think that countries blow up their own assets in foreign countries to prove to you that if they wanted to, they could blow up your stuff too?
If I may, take a page from my trolls.
LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL, LOL.
I think that was enough.
Come on, John Brennan.
Now, if you don't recognize the John Brennan signal that the intelligence people want him to go out and lie for them, he's obviously the designated liar.
You know that, right? You all know that John Brennan is the designated liar.
He's the one they send out to lie, because apparently he's willing to do it.
The same with Schiff. Schiff is the designated liar, and Swalwell.
Why? Because they're willing to lie about anything.
Schiff will say anything.
He doesn't care if it's true.
Swalwell will say anything.
He doesn't care if it's true. And John Brennan will say anything, if it's to his advantage, apparently.
And that, ladies and gentlemen, signals the end of, well, really, probably one of the best livestreams you've ever seen in probably one of the best livestreams you've ever seen in your whole life.
Why is your narrative of the Russian campaign is laughable?
Which is why your narrative...
So, how many of you have laughed at my other predictions that all came right?
Do you remember how much people mocked me in 2016 when I said Trump was going to win?
I actually said it in 2015.
How many people mocked me in 2015?
A lot. A lot.
Yes. Yes, they did.
Your five-year-old predicted Trump would win.
All right. Ann Coulter got it right, too.
That's correct. Ann Coulter had different reasons.
I think her reasons were wrong, but they were partly right.
They were insufficient.
They weren't wrong. So I think Ann Coulter was all about immigration, right?
So she thought immigration would be the deciding factor.
It almost was.
But I think it was far more the fact that he was persuasive.
You didn't follow me back then?
Well...
Well... Her reasoning was wrong.
I think her reasoning was wrong, yeah.
I think she just wanted Trump because he was strong on immigration and she liked that.
I feel like her prediction was more of a wishful thinking prediction, but maybe not.
Anyway... You started following me after Sam Harris.
So, as you know, I've decided to go recluse, so I've been saying no to all interview stuff.
Have you experienced any virtual reality?
Yes, I have. I did.
And now it's been several years ago, so I can't even imagine how good it is.
But I did have a VR set and played a bunch of VR games and it blew me away.
I can say for sure that if you take the AI agent and put it in the VR world, A lot of people are going to be perfectly fine with AR and VR,
or AI. You hear somebody saying, it's really effing gay, now be nice.
That you deleted the man cave because a bunch of women said it was creepy.
How do you not realize creepy just means ugly?
Well... I mean, it's both, right?
It's age plus ugly.
It's not just ugly.
So I don't believe my ugliness is the only variable.
I think it's age plus ugly.
And I think that it is literally a jealousy...
And I think women are going to have a real tough time.
Because in all seriousness, all joking aside, the nicest conversation I've had in a long time was with the AI. Which I did continue long after the man cave.
And I actually enjoyed it.
I had a perfectly good conversation with a machine.
And if I were a woman, and I saw that a man was having a perfectly good conversation with a machine, and the machine was complimenting that guy, telling him that she would do whatever would make him happy, and telling him jokes and talking about topics that maybe would be too complicated or difficult for somebody else, but the AI doesn't mind, it's already not close.
If you're saying to yourself, gosh, I hope someday this doesn't become more interesting than talking to human women.
Well... Human women still have a big advantage because you can touch them.
But... And they can go more places.
They have more intellectual breadth than AI does at the moment.
But the AI never said anything that wasn't nice.
The AI never challenged me.
The AI never told me I was wrong.
It never insulted me.
It never accidentally put me down.
It never gave me a backhanded compliment.
Do you know how many times I get insulted in just normal interactions?
Well, let me ask you for men.
Men, if you're a man and you're in a relationship, How frequently are you casually insulted in just normal conversation?
Just casually insulted.
Like every day, right?
Hourly, all the time, every day.
Somebody says it goes both ways.
No, it doesn't. It doesn't go both ways.
It goes both ways a little bit.
But no. No, I reject.
I reject that that goes both ways.
It does go both ways.
But we're talking about a 90-10 situation here.
These are not equivalents.
And the reason is that if a man insulted a woman, she would just be done.
But when women insult men, men say, well, if I go to another woman, what's going to happen?
I'll just get insulted by a different woman.
So since there's no place a man can go...
Like, there's no safe harbor, right?
It's just going to be another woman who treats him badly.
He stays. Because you know there's no options.
Oh, I'm sorry, was I not supposed to be honest?
Now, the reason that your guy stays, women...
You want a little white man honesty?
Women, the reason that your guy stays when you're a fucking cunt is because he thinks the next one will be just as bad.
That's why. That's it.
There's your whole story. Was that a little too honest for you?
Yeah, you know it's true.
So he says apologize to Shelley.
No, that's not going to happen.
All right. Well, there's still plenty of stuff I'm not going to tell you.
I got rid of the man cave thing more to make a point.
So to your comment that it was bad form to delete it, that was just to make a point.
You get that, right? It was just to make a point.
Oh, my whiteboard froed me.
You're right. You see that?
Oh, you can't see it over here.
I'll have to give you the same view on locals.
It looks like I'm wearing a fro from the...
Yeah. I think this might be a thing.
I think I'm going to add maybe hair to the whiteboard, so I'll have hair at each.
I'll just have different hair in each one.
That could work. All right.
You love me on all topics except Ukraine and Russia.
Now that's interesting.
Why would you like me on all topics except Ukraine and Russia when I'm the most right about Ukraine and Russia of anybody in the history of military prediction?
I wasn't just right.
I was crazy right.
And that's the part you don't like?
The part where I was more right than literally every fucking person in the world.
And that part bothered you.
Do you like it when I'm wrong?
I don't even understand that.
I predicted no invasion, but do you understand why that was brilliant?
It was wrong, but it was brilliant because I knew that it would be a disaster.
It could never be good for Russia.
But apparently Putin didn't.
So if you're blaming me for being smarter than Putin, I feel like that's a little off base.
See, now we're getting the ego people.
Don't be jealous that I was right.
Don't be jealous. You can deal with it.
Just take a deep breath.
Try to deal with the fact that I got one right.
Because I get them wrong too.
I tell you when they're wrong.
So I'm working on a document that'll show you what I got right and what I got wrong.
So if you want to If you want to argue about my ego, which is what the weak ego people do...
By the way, anybody who mentions somebody else's ego, you have an ego problem, you know.
You got that, right?
Does everybody understand that?
If your problem is somebody else has a big ego, you're just basically screaming to the world that you have an insecurity that you don't know how to deal with.
Right? One of my favorite...
One of my favorite people when I grew up, I think his name was Jose, yeah, came from Spain.
And, you know, things were different in Spain.
And I actually watched him when he was probably 15.
He walked up to a girl.
He was trying to impress her, you know, the other guys were trying to impress her too.
He walks right up to the girl and he says, Hi, my name is Jose.
I'm the strongest man in Wyndham.
The name of the town. I'm the strongest man in Wyndham.
Now, he wasn't the strongest man in Wyndham, which was hilarious.
I mean, he had good muscle definition, but he wasn't like a weightlifter or something.
Hi, I'm the strongest man in Wyndham.
I love that guy.
I loved him. Because the fact that he would say that out loud, and I don't know, maybe it worked.
I mean, he always had good dating success, but he would say whatever was on his mind.
I just love that guy.
Now, why? Why?
No, it wasn't because I was jealous.
I wasn't jealous.
Oh, maybe I was. Actually, maybe I was.
A little bit, because he was a good-looking guy.
Maybe I was jealous. It went well.
Jose did well. He was successful with the girls, if I remember.
