Nov. 29, 2019 - Real Coffe - Scott Adams
32:46
| 
| Time | Text |
|---|---|
| Hey Jennifer! | |
| Come on in here. | |
| Good to see all of you. | |
| Erica, always a pleasure. | |
| Do you have your copy of Loser Think yet? | |
| It's Christmas season, and this is the perfect book for reading and giving away. | |
| So, make sure you get yours, because everybody's talking about it. | |
| You might wonder why you're here. | |
| It's because today is Black Coffee Friday. | |
| You don't have to have black coffee, but it's delicious. | |
| Join me now for the simultaneous sip all you need. | |
| Here's a cupper, mugger, a glass of snifter, stein, chalice, tanker, thermos, flask, canteen, grill, goblet, vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid. | |
| I like coffee. And get ready for the dopamine at the end of the day. | |
| The thing that makes everything better, this simultaneous sip. | |
| Go! Ah, yes, it's always good. | |
| Why do I act surprised? | |
| Thank you for buying my book, Sambo and Jonah. | |
| Well, let's talk about what's in the news. | |
| As you may have known, last week, Rasmussen had a poll showing that President Trump had 34% or so support from African Americans. | |
| And people like me said, well, that's not true. | |
| I saw that poll and the first thing I thought was, how did he ask that question? | |
| And then an Emerson poll came out soon after, asking the same question and getting the same answer. | |
| 33-34% support for President Trump among African Americans. | |
| And I thought to myself, what are the odds that there would be two polls that would get the same result? | |
| Yesterday there was a third. | |
| Three polls. | |
| Three different companies have all found unprecedented support for President Trump by African Americans. | |
| Now, does that translate into votes? | |
| Some of it, but we don't know. | |
| Now, are you surprised that the President has spent three years Fighting to reduce immigration, primarily for the benefit of the African-American population, as well as others, but there's a bigger impact. | |
| And doing prison reform, and lowering unemployment, and helping the historically black colleges, and having opportunity zones. | |
| I don't know, this might be real. | |
| If it turns out that it's real that the president has a third of the support from the African-American communities, I think Candace Owens needs some kind of a Nobel Peace Prize. | |
| I don't think they give Nobel Peace Prizes for domestic politics, but Candace Owens has changed things. | |
| I mean, lots of other people are involved, but she's probably the most effective Effective, let's say, advocate for the president. | |
| All right, so a weird and unusual and wonderful thing happened in Hong Kong, where most of the situation is dire and terrible. | |
| But after President Trump signed the legislation that was overwhelmingly passed by Congress, there were two bills that were sort of putting some pressure on China for what's happening in Hong Kong. | |
| I guess one put some pressure on the individuals who are involved, another limits the things that we sell to the police force. | |
| Now, neither of those things has much impact. | |
| China is not going to be too influenced by those tiny little bills signed in America. | |
| But they don't like it. | |
| They don't like it at all. | |
| And what was interesting is that the Hong Kong protesters gathered on Thanksgiving, which is not their Thanksgiving, obviously. | |
| It's our Thanksgiving, with American flags, And big posters of that meme of President Trump's head photoshopped onto the body of a muscular boxer that's actually sliced alone. | |
| And they're holding up the poster as sort of showing the power of President Trump. | |
| And I don't know about you, and apparently they were singing the national anthem or something. | |
| And I watched some of that coverage, just the photographs and the articles, and I have to, I got to tell you, I had a strong emotional reaction to it. | |
| I don't know if that happened to any of you. | |
| But watching people on literally the opposite side of the world, what they're basically saying, and maybe I'm reading too much into it, so just tell me if you agree, I think what they're saying is, That their only hope is President Trump. | |
| Now, they wouldn't word it that way, I'm sure. | |
| But the more I think about the situation, the more I think that there's literally only one person on the planet that has any chance, should he try to do it, of protecting Hong Kong. | |
| Think about that. | |
| There's 7 billion people on the planet or so. | |
| Hong Kong is in desperate times. | |
| Obviously, if China gets their way with Hong Kong, a lot of those protesters, their lives are over. | |
| And they gathered to wave American flags and show pictures of our president because I think they understand he's actually the only person. | |
| And of 7 billion people, he's the only one. | |
| Who can save them? Now, I don't even know if he can save them. | |
| I don't know if it's practical. | |
| I don't know if it's good for the country. | |
| I'm not saying it's going to happen. | |
| But I found it very powerful that they focused on President Trump as their sort of symbol of hope. | |
| There's a lot there. | |
| It takes a while to sort of process that thought. | |
| That the United States, through its electoral process, produced a leader who is the only leader in the whole world, there's nobody else who can make any difference realistically, who could save them. | |
| It's a remarkable situation and certainly worth watching. | |
| Now, there was a tweet from An individual who's in the Chinese government, Li Zhang Zhao, I hope I'm pronouncing it right, Z-H-A-O. And he's the, they have big titles over there. | |
| So he's the Deputy Director General, Information Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs for China. | |
| And his profile on Twitter says, try my best to tell the story of China and spread the voice of China. | |
| So he's sort of one of the spokespeople for China. | |
| And he decides to tweet this. | |
| He said, in Washington, talking about Washington, D.C., and I'm going to read it the same way it's written, so his English is a little bit broken, so I'm just going to read it the way he wrote it. | |
| He says, in Washington, the white seldom go to Southeast area, as it's an area for the black. | |
| President Trump even demanded four women lawmakers of color to leave U.S. Out of respect for President Trump, U.S. and the black there, please follow, quote, America first policy and take care of racial discrimination. | |
| And then it goes on in a thread to talk about the bad conditions for African Americans in this country. | |
| So, their response to us meddling in their foreign affairs is to interfere with our election. | |
| Now, it's interesting that they went for this target. | |
| President Trump is doing everything he can that's, you know, practical to help the African American community And apparently the polls are showing that they're recognizing that. | |
| We have three polls now showing us unparalleled, unprecedented support for a Republican. | |
| And China's decided to go after that. | |
| They see that weakness domestically. | |
| They're like, let's stoke that racial division. | |
| But is there anything that's happening in this country that could be, at the moment, That could be compared to what China's doing with Hong Kong, what they're doing with the Uyghurs, putting them in concentration camps, what they're doing with the Flungong, which is literally murdering them for parts and selling off their organs. | |
| Is there anything we're doing in this country that's even slightly, slightly as bad as any of the four holocausts going on in In China. | |
| The four are the Uyghurs, the Falun Gong, the fentanyl they're sending to this country, and then Hong Kong. | |
| Now, I'm calling it four holocausts to trap idiots into debating it. | |
| Now, if I've taught you anything, one of the best ways to get attention is to be wrong. | |
| Because when you say something that's just true, It just kind of lays there and says, well, it's true. | |
| It doesn't have any power. | |
| But if you say something provocative that's a little bit wrong, people will pay attention because they want to tell you you're wrong. | |
| So I've been talking about the four Chinese holocausts in progress, and by throwing Hong Kong into the mix because they haven't killed a lot of people yet, People stop and say, I don't know about this Hong Kong, there's a fourth holocaust. | |
| Yeah, the other three, I can see the point there. | |
| But that fourth one, I don't know. | |
| I don't think that belongs on the list. | |
| That's right. You have fallen for my trap. | |
| So I'll be saying publicly there are four holocausts and letting people debate it. | |
| It's almost too easy. | |
| All right. Dr. | |
| Robert Epstein, you might remember him, he did some testifying in Congress about Google's potential bias. | |
| So now he's operating a study in which he has a whole bunch of people that are identified only within the study, but not publicly, who are simply using Google And using regular search terms and stuff. | |
| And they're trying to see if they can get different results over time as the election approaches than they would on the other search engines. | |
| And the hypothesis here is that if Google continues to show a bias that is not present in Bing or Yahoo or DuckDuckGo, that that will show something. | |
| It will show that Google is intentionally biasing their search. | |
| Now here's what's interesting. | |
| They're definitely going to find out that Google is massively biasing their search. | |
| Then what? Google massively biased their search last election? | |
| Did that hurt Google in any way? | |
| Doesn't look like it. | |
| What would stop Google from just doing it, completely getting caught, and just saying, well, no, we didn't do that. | |
| You can't look at our internal stuff. | |
| We didn't do that. I don't think there's anything to stop them. | |
| It looks like you can just go ahead and do it. | |
| I saw in the news today that Jack Dorsey, CEO of Twitter, he tweeted, I think, that he's using DuckDuckGo on his phone and as his browser because of the privacy stuff. | |
| And I just downloaded the DuckDuckGo app on my phone. | |
| I was already using The browser on my computers, but I thought, oh yeah, I should move to that on my phone as well. | |
| So for privacy reasons, and because Google is really un-American, un-American in the sense that they're messing with their elections, which is about the most un-American thing you can do, I'm also looking into doing some research on some alternates for YouTube. | |
| As you know, YouTube is throttling my content and it's just shrinking instead of growing, even though it's growing in viewers and shrinking in revenue. | |
| So obviously there's something going on there. | |
| So there are several platforms on the way and already up and I'm going to take a look at those and see which one to move to. | |
| Minds.com is one. | |
| Rockfin is another. | |
| And I don't know the differences between them. | |
| And there's at least one startup that I know of that's coming online as well. | |
| So there's some alternatives to YouTube and I will be Probably selecting one of them, or possibly using, oh yes, bit shoot is the other. | |
| Now, there's a problem with the alternates. | |
| If you go full bit shoot, and you're saying, we're not going to... | |
| Sixhammer uses bit shoot? | |
| See, the trouble with bit shoot is that they do attract a lot of bad elements. | |
| I think what I'm likely to do... | |
| Somebody's mentioning ThinkSpot, and I don't know about it. | |
| ThinkSpot is... | |
| Is who? | |
| What is ThinkSpot? | |
| Is that Jordan Peterson's thing? | |
| I'm going to look it up here so I know what I'm talking about. | |
| ThinkSpot is... | |
| Yeah, Jordan Peterson's thing. | |
| Is that what he's working on with Dave? | |
| Yeah. Ruben. | |
| So I'm looking at something on Medium. | |
| So there's a blog on Medium. | |
| And the title is, Jordan Peterson's Think Spot is doomed to fail. | |
| It's doomed to fail. | |
| I think people say that about everything. | |
| What about Vimeo? | |
| I don't know. So I think what I'll do is maybe for... | |
| I'll be looking to put my content on more platforms, and if any of those other platforms work out well, then I just get off of YouTube. | |
| But in the meantime, I'll probably just have multiple platforms. | |
| There's a report that the Kamala Harris campaign is totally falling apart, and I guess Mike Bloomberg just hired one of her top campaign advisors. | |
| As I suspected, you know how I was telling you that Kamala Harris seemed like a talented politician, but I couldn't understand why her campaign was the worst I've ever seen. | |
| The worst. Just the worst. | |
| There's no campaign that's ever been as bad as Kamala Harris'. | |
| And I had speculated that the campaign staff was bad, and I learned, at some point I learned that her sister was, I guess, the chair of the campaign or something. | |
| But today I learned it's even worse than that. | |
| So, indeed, Kamala Harris' sister is a leader of the campaign, but there's another leader. | |
| So the other leader is apparently associated with the political advising company that brought Kamala Harris to the Senate and got her to this point. | |
| So she's got two advisors that are not on the same page, and she can't really get rid of either one of them, because one's a sister, and one is this political group that got her where she is. | |
| And I guess she's running out of money and people aren't talking and coordinating and their message is bad and their slogans have changed. | |
| Basically, it's just a complete mess. | |
| Now, it kind of highlights the problem with a senator running for president, doesn't it? | |
| Do you know what senators don't do? | |
| A lot of hiring and firing. | |
| You know, they do some. | |
| But it's not like running a business. | |
| Trump is famous for firing like crazy. | |
| How many people has Trump fired? | |
| Fire, fire, fire. | |
| And one of the smartest things I ever heard, this is something that Naval says, that the real talent in hiring and firing is the firing part. | |
| Because when you hire people, They usually look good on paper, maybe they can get through the interviews, but you don't really know how they're going to do in your company. | |
| You can sort of find out how they did in their past jobs, but you don't really know how they're going to do in your company. | |
| So the real skill, given that hiring is a lot of guessing, the real skill is firing. | |
| So if you can do it quickly and kindly in a way that doesn't make you enemies for life, So you look for the firing skill as the real skill. | |
| It's sort of, you know, look for the blank space situation. | |
| Does Trump have good hiring skills? | |
| Well, a lot of people would say no. | |
| But that's mostly guessing, right? | |
| Does Trump have good firing skills? | |
| Well, his firing skills are a lot better than his hiring skills, and the firing skills are more important. | |
| So, Kamala Harris has, apparently, no firing skills, because she's got two people in her campaign that either one of them needs to be fired, or both, probably both, but certainly her sister. | |
| No doubt about it, her sister needs to be fired. | |
| I mean, that's what it looks like from a distance. | |
| So, there's some talk that Harris won't even make it long enough to get into any kind of a brokered convention, because she's running out of money and she's got no message, no nothing. | |
| I feel as if I could fix her whole campaign in like an hour. | |
| You know, if she spent an hour with me, I feel like I could fix all of that. | |
| All she needs is a better message and to ignore her advisors and just stick on her better message. | |
| Because she's got everything else. | |
| She's got, you know, the Democratic Party likes her. | |
| She's got the right Democratic things. | |
| She's the right age. Blah, blah, blah. | |
| People are saying, don't do it, don't do it. | |
| Well, I don't think you have to worry about her contacting me for advice. | |
| I would say the odds of that, very low. | |
| Very low. Somebody's saying, why? | |
| She'll smoke all your weed, somebody said. | |
| You don't like to lose, do you? | |
| No, I don't like to lose. Yeah, you know, when I predicted that she would be the nominee, I don't think anybody could have predicted it would be the worst campaign staff in the history of all campaign staffs. | |
| I mean, I didn't see that common. | |
| So, you're right. | |
| It is tempting for me to want to fix her just well enough that she can win the nomination and then lose in the general. | |
| I don't think there's any chance that Trump's going to lose in the general election. | |
| Why are you sideways, somebody asks. | |
| I'm not. So, there's something happening on your end. | |
| If she can't run her campaign, how could she run a country? | |
| Well, that's a good question. Poorly, it appears. | |
| Scott's the mole. So there's not much news going on at the moment. | |
| So we're mostly going to enjoy our four-day weekend and our simultaneous sip. | |
| Do you think this translates into a promising presidency? | |
| No. Now, let me say as clearly as possible, Kamala Harris would not be a good president, and she doesn't have a chance of beating Trump in the general election. | |
| But I did think she'd do well enough to get the nomination. | |
| Will Hillary run? | |
| You know what? You know what's weird? | |
| Is that for the longest time I've been thinking that Hillary was too old. | |
| But apparently she's actually kind of young compared to the other people in the race. | |
| She's, what, 71 or something? | |
| So Hillary would actually be one of the youngest people in the race, of the people who would get a lot of support. | |
| But I can't imagine her doing it. | |
| It just seems too difficult to imagine. | |
| Because if you were her, could you take a chance of losing again? | |
| Somebody says, Dow down 2%. | |
| Is it down 2% or 0.2%? | |
| There's one thing I want to check on the stocks right now. | |
| Oh, it looks like stocks all turned down. | |
| Yeah, a little bit. | |
| But let me check. | |
| Oh, one of mine is up. | |
| All right, so there are two things that are relevant to To Bitcoin prices. | |
| So Bitcoin went up 6% yesterday and another 3% today. | |
| If you put them together, it's one of the biggest two days and, I don't know, a number of weeks. | |
| So one of the things I said about Bitcoin is that if it's true that what the president says, that they're going to designate the cartels, As terrorists, it could be that the cartels will have billions of dollars that they don't have anything that they can put into a bank, because the banks just will be out of play. | |
| So where are they going to put their money? | |
| If you're a cartel, and you've got billions of dollars, where are you going to put it? | |
| I was suggesting it might be Bitcoin. | |
| No, I don't know, because I'm not a drug dealer. | |
| But I don't think they put it in any other crypto. | |
| They might spread it around a little bit. | |
| But at the very least, they put some amount in Bitcoin because they'd have to. | |
| And then we have this other news, bringing Jack Dorsey back into it again. | |
| Apparently Jack Dorsey just spent a number of weeks in different places in Africa and has decided he's going to move there for part of the year. | |
| So he's going to spend substantial time in Africa. | |
| We don't know the details, but trying to be a positive force. | |
| And when talking about that, Jack Dorsey mentioned Bitcoin. | |
| So Bitcoin in Africa could be a solution to what? | |
| Corruption? A solution to no banking? | |
| I suppose it could be some kind of a solution. | |
| So imagine if Africa goes Bitcoin and the cartels go Bitcoin, and both of these pieces of news came out, and sure enough, Bitcoin is up on the news. | |
| I should say that I own some Bitcoin, just so you know, for full disclosure. | |
| I'll also tell you that you should not make any financial recommendations based on what cartoonists say on Periscope. | |
| And this is not financial advice. | |
| I am not advising you. | |
| Indeed, if you buy any kind of cryptocurrency, doesn't matter which it is, It's not really investing. | |
| It's more like guessing. | |
| So buyer beware. | |
| I will tell you one of my investments. | |
| So I made the worst investment in the world a number of years ago by buying the Turkish cell phone company. | |
| So the thought was that no matter what happens in Turkey, There will probably be more people born. | |
| It's likely that they'll have a high birth rate. | |
| And they'll all need phones. | |
| And their cell phone company has kind of a monopoly there. | |
| And so a while ago I bought shares that you can buy in the United States of the Turkish cell phone company Turkcell. | |
| And lately that's up sharply, probably because the dangers of The dangers between the United States and Turkey seem to have passed. | |
| In other words, US and Turkey don't look like they're heading for something bad at the moment. | |
| So that's up. | |
| I do not recommend anybody buy any of the stocks that I mentioned or any of the assets that I mentioned on this Periscope. | |
| I'm just telling you what I did. | |
| And I feel that it's necessary to share with you Some of my predictions. | |
| So it's very rare for me to buy an individual stock. | |
| I did buy Apple, individual stock, quite a while ago. | |
| That's worked out really well. | |
| In fact, it's the best stock investment I've ever made. | |
| I still have that. | |
| But don't do what I do, because that would be a bad idea. | |
| All right, I'm just looking at your... | |
| Why don't you talk about WenHub? | |
| Well, I will be talking about WenHub a little bit more. | |
| In fact, if your holidays... | |
| As your holidays are coming up, you might want to use one of our products called Approach, which I've talked about before. | |
| So Approach allows you to see a little map And you just send out a link from the app and you can see your friends on the map or your family members converging on a point. | |
| So it's fun to watch a variety of people coming to Christmas or coming to an event. | |
| And if you use that app, which is free... | |
| You can do an in-app purchase and buy a little header so that your company will show. | |
| And if you're a small business and you service homes, you probably want this app. | |
| Snapchat has a feature like that. | |
| Snapchat has Snap Map. | |
| So if you're on Snapchat and if you've shared your location, you can see your friends on a map. | |
| But that's more of a, where are all my friends at the moment? | |
| What this does is it's a temporary tracking as a timer, so it times out, just so you can see the people that you want coming to an event, and they don't have to be on any service or sign up for anything. | |
| They don't even have to have the app. | |
| The app is called Approach by WenHub. | |
| It's a free app. | |
| You just can send out a link, email it or text it, and everybody who hits it can see each other on the map, and if they don't have the app, they can still track a little browser map. | |
| So it still works even if you don't have the app. | |
| Somebody says it's too invasive. | |
| Well, it's... It's only for people who are willing to share their location when people already know their location. | |
| So the point of it is that if you've invited somebody to your house or your friends are all meeting at the movies or something, they've already shared their location because you know that They're going to be traveling from wherever they are to the same place. | |
| So it's just being a little more specific about something that you already know where they are. | |
| They're on their way to this restaurant. | |
| They're on their way to the party If you have a phone You've already been invaded Yeah, I feel like I've kind of given up on any kind of thoughts about privacy. | |
| Have you? | |
| I feel like privacy isn't really a thing that I need to work to protect because it's already gone. | |
| Yeah, so the idea is that if you shared your location on the app, you can get rid of all those text messages that say, I'm already in the restaurant. | |
| I got a table. | |
| I'm in the back. | |
| You know, I'll be there late. | |
| You don't have to do any of those messages. | |
| The host or anybody else can just look at the map and say, oh, darn, looks like Bob's going to be late. | |
| The app approach could end marriages, lol. | |
| No, it couldn't because it's optional every time you use it and it times out. | |
| So we built it so you couldn't track people permanently. | |
| You don't have that option. | |
| It's just on the way to a meeting. | |
| All right, I'm just looking at your... | |
| Yeah, the WEN, we have some news on WEN Hub, but I've got a meeting coming up, so we'll wait on that. | |
| All right, I don't have anything else to talk about. | |
| Will Africa become a social justice mecca? | |
| Eh. What was the name of the Turkish cell phone company? | |
| It's one word, it's Turkcell, and the cell part is like cell phone, C-E-L-L. Turkcell, one word. | |
| But I'm not recommending it. | |
| I'm just telling you I bought it, and so far it's been a terrible investment. | |
| So, do with that what you want. | |
| Alright, that's enough for me. |
Export Selection