Nov. 7, 2018 - Real Coffe - Scott Adams
09:47
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| Time | Text |
|---|---|
| Hey everybody! | |
| You're probably watching the election. | |
| Just like I am. | |
| I thought I'd check in with you. | |
| See how everybody's feeling. | |
| Hey Fracker Dave. | |
| Wigwag. Witzik. | |
| Why is everybody with strange names coming in here? | |
| Justin? Hey. | |
| Rich? So, I don't know if you're having this experience, but I'm watching CNN, and on CNN anyway, pretty much all of the races they're showing are Democrats in the lead. | |
| Now, of course, it's far too early to know anything. | |
| But I switched from Fox News, and I swear I thought on Fox News they kept showing Republicans in the lead. | |
| And then you go to CNN, and they're only showing Democrats in the lead. | |
| So I think it would be... | |
| Yeah, I think it would be... | |
| Fair to say that they're both showing their version of reality. | |
| Does anybody have a revised guess of what's happening? | |
| So I'm going to stick with my entertaining prediction that we will not have a result tonight. | |
| Meaning that the result will be so close and there will be a few races that are in dispute that we won't actually know at the end of the night who won. | |
| So that's my fun prediction. | |
| Because everybody else is predicting one side or the other is going to win. | |
| So I thought I'd make the most unusual prediction. | |
| But we may not be drinking the tears of our enemies. | |
| We may be drinking our own tears today, or some of you will. | |
| But I'd like to give you my good news version. | |
| Here's what I think is likely to happen. | |
| If we imagine that the Democrats win the House, they're gonna be like the dog that chased the car. | |
| And the dog has to figure out what happens when you catch the car. | |
| What are you gonna do? | |
| So if the Democrats win the House, but let's say not the Senate, which that seems where the experts are heading, I think that the president will be in better shape, not worse. | |
| I think he'll be able to get through the Congress the stuff that he need Congress for, and he will be able to bank the stuff that he didn't need Congress for. | |
| So in other words, he'll still be fine on his Supreme Court. | |
| He'll still be fine on North Korea. | |
| He'll still be fine on negotiating trade deals. | |
| So he's going to be fine on Iran, Middle East, all of the big stuff that he doesn't need Congress for that much, he's going to be fine on. | |
| The things that he has been weak on up to this point were almost entirely because he had a Republican majority. | |
| And it made the other side look like a bunch of losers if they rolled over on any of the domestic stuff. | |
| The domestic stuff being anything from healthcare to infrastructure to prison reform, that sort of thing. | |
| Maybe even something about weed, who knows. | |
| I'm not sure you need Congress for that. | |
| But my guess... | |
| Is that a democratic victory tonight, if it happens, if it happens, would be the best thing that ever happened to this president. | |
| Because once they have a little bit of power, they can't really just be the obstacle party. | |
| That's something you can do when you don't have power. | |
| But once you have a little power, you've got a little responsibility. | |
| So... I think that they may do a little less investigating than you're worried about and a little more legislating. | |
| Everybody's going to be a little bit unhappy with the results. | |
| The Democrats and the Republicans will not be entirely happy about infrastructure, not entirely happy about whatever happens with health care, etc. | |
| But we might move forward. | |
| So I think that there's a reason for optimism. | |
| And, yeah, so Trump will probably get some more Supreme Court picks no matter what. | |
| I don't think that Trump could have succeeded on health care or infrastructure or maybe even prison reform, a few other things, unless he was working with Democrats. | |
| And they're going to put themselves in a position where they kind of have to work with him and he kind of has to work with them, which is your best possible situation. | |
| So, I would not be too sad. | |
| And as I said before, if Democrats win, if they take the House, the appropriate response is, good work. | |
| Well fought. You put in the time, you put in the effort, apparently the strategy was good. | |
| Good work. That's the system we're in. | |
| Tim Kaine just won. | |
| I think that was expected, right? | |
| Didn't that work for Reagan? | |
| Well, it worked for Bill Clinton. | |
| Bill Clinton managed to triangulate. | |
| And we may be on the dawn of something really, really good here. | |
| But we'll see. | |
| All right. | |
| So I wouldn't panic about any of this. | |
| What I'm seeing is a system that's a few hundred years old, our Constitution, our Republic, and it's working really well. | |
| Think about it. | |
| Our system was designed hundreds of years ago. | |
| Before anybody had an idea that there would ever be a computer or a cell phone or anything like that. | |
| And the system is still working. | |
| It's working really well. | |
| In fact, we have the highest citizen engagement of all time. | |
| We do have a President Trump who's promised to take down the rhetoric a little bit. | |
| We'll see. Maybe he will, maybe he won't. | |
| But he's made that statement anyway. | |
| Yeah, immigration is going to be a tough sell. | |
| But I feel as though nothing can happen good with immigration unless both sides are in on it. | |
| So I think that's what's going to happen. | |
| I don't know if I'm taking the high road so much as the realistic road. | |
| Realistically, if you don't have both sides in the decisions for the domestic stuff, You just don't get decisions. | |
| So we might be in a stronger position after tonight. | |
| We'll see. A little too hard to know for sure. | |
| So are you calling it for the Dems or what? | |
| No, I'm not calling it yet. | |
| My prediction had been for a tie at the end of the night. | |
| And then no prediction about which way the tie falls when it's all over. | |
| So I'm not going to Bet my reputation on a tie. | |
| But it's a fun prediction. | |
| And we'll see how it goes. | |
| So I've got CNN on right now. | |
| And it's looking all blue. | |
| I'm seeing a lot of blue on the CNN map. | |
| But we'll see if there's a surprise toward the end. | |
| The predictions that I did have are as follows. | |
| So I predicted back in January that the Republicans would do a lot better than people thought. | |
| So that seems to be true. | |
| And secondly, that the Republican turnout would be jaw-dropping. | |
| I think that will be true as well. | |
| So that was as far as I could go on predictions. | |
| What's Scott's cult going to do once they realize he's a hack? | |
| Well, you sound like someone who has not read Winn-Bickley. | |
| If you were to educate yourself a little bit, you might understand what's going on. | |
| Take a chance. | |
| Too close to call. Alright, I'll be checking in with all of you a few times tonight. | |
| And... It's the CNN map, Scott. | |
| We'll see. It's going to be exciting tonight, and I'll check in with you later. |
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