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Dec. 22, 2015 - Rush Limbaugh Program
31:39
December 22, 2015, Tuesday, Hour #3
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And here we are back at it behind a golden EIB microphone, Rush Limbaugh with talent on loan from God.
Great to have you here.
Telephone number, if you want to be on the programs, 800-282-2882, the email address, lrushbo at eibnet.com.
From the morning consult, why Donald Trump performs better in online polling.
This is, I think, more proof of the phenomenon that I, El Rushbow, was the first to posit and name the Trump effect.
But I can't take total credit for it because there is the wilder effect out there, which is much the same thing.
And it is the theory that Trump has actually got stronger support than some of the polls indicate because the media has been so obvious in its opposition to Trump and so obvious in its disgust that when a pollster comes calling, a respondent will not say he or she is for Trump because they don't want to be ridiculed by the pollster or they don't want the pollster to think they're one thing or another.
So they lie.
And that underreports Trump's strength.
And the reason they think this is because online polling is where Trump just scorches it.
And online polling is synonymous.
Republicans are more likely to say they want Donald Trump in the White House if they're taking a poll online versus in a live telephone interview.
And if you are a highly educated or engaged Republican voter, it turns out you are far less likely to tell anybody else that you want Trump.
Now, stop and think of that.
If you are highly educated, engaged, if you're an informed Republican voter and you are for Trump, it turns out you're far less likely to tell somebody than other people are because you believe that most of your friends couldn't possibly be for Trump because they either say so or the media says that.
So you don't say what you really think.
And I can provide anecdotal evidence to back this one up on the golf course, folks.
I know some of you stick to the issues.
People don't like it when I talk about golf or the golf course.
But that's an excellent proving ground for this concept.
And the conclusion of this piece near the bottom, how much this divide matters is hard to gauge.
But what this divide suggests is that some polling may be understating Trump's actual level of support.
Now, you can hear the heads of the drive-by media exploding when they ponder this.
And of course, you can envision the heads of the Republican leadership exploding at the same time.
This is the last thing they want to hear.
This is the last thing they want to consider.
They would like for the opposite to be true, that people are lying about their support for Trump because they think it's the cool thing to do.
They're actually hoping that most people who say they support Trump don't.
And that secretly there's a bunch of support for Jeb out there that will show up when actual voting takes place.
And if not Jeb, then Rubio.
Now, this next story is from the Wall Street Journal.
And this is something that, look, I don't watch much cable news.
I mean, I don't mean that as a criticism either.
I'm just passing on information to you more than anything.
And I don't listen to much else either.
And I never have, and that's for competitive reasons.
So I don't know if other people have made this point, but I know that I have, and I haven't heard it anywhere else.
And that is the makeup of the Trump coalition.
And I've mentioned it numerous times before.
The Trump coalition happens to be made up of people that the Republican Party claims it wants to be.
The Republican Party claims it doesn't like its base and wants to broaden the base to include blue-collar, Hispanic, independents, women, minorities, and all.
And that's who make up the Trump support base right now.
The unique base of support that has pushed Donald Trump to the top of the Republican presidential field is also likely to give him a boost this spring when the campaign shifts to the south.
Ted Cruz has drawn wide attention for his own efforts in southern states, many of which will vote as part of the big March 1st SEC primary, when more convention delegates will be awarded than on any other day.
Mr. Cruz, who is surging in the polls, is focusing on evangelical Christian voters and other social conservatives, which form the cornerstone of his support, and they're plentiful in those states.
But a breakdown of recent Wall Street Journal NBC News polling shows that Donald Trump also has a likely base of support in the southern states.
And it comes with something of a surprise.
Mr. Trump's likely strength can be detected by looking at Republican primary voters who live in counties with large African-American and Hispanic populations.
Trump does particularly well in counties that the American Communities Project calls minority centers.
Data from the last three polls shows that Trump has support of 34% of Republican primary voters who live in these communities.
Anyway, the point of all this is the Wall Street Journal has done some investigation of its own deep polling data, and they have found that the Trump base of support is all over the place.
The drive-bys will not admit a potential erosion in their base support.
The Republicans won't admit that Trump has finally hit the holy grail they've been seeking.
But Trump is very strong in minority districts in the South.
We just had a caller who made the point that 30 to 35% of the African-American people he works with support Trump.
And the NBC poll internal data suggests that that's actual data, not anecdotal.
Trump is also very strong with low-income, lesser-educated working people, which used to be owned by the Democrats.
The South is where the majority of delegates will be decided early in the Republican primaries, these SEC primaries.
Now, the point that I'm making here is that Trump's support base is entirely unconventional.
The drive-bys have their conception of it.
The Republican Party has their conception of it, and they're all wrong.
And neither of them, when they're faced with the reality, want to admit the coalition that Trump's been able to put together.
And it's all over the place.
It is exactly, I'm not exaggerating, it's exactly what the Republican Party claims or says or thinks it has to do to win the presidency.
You've heard them.
They've got to support amnesty because they've got to reach out to the Hispanics.
They've got to reach out to the women because of the war on women.
They've got to reach out to blue-collar working people.
Well, Trump is drawing significant support from all of those groups just by being who he is.
The Republican Party is trying to get those groups by agreeing with Democrats on policy, from amnesty to contraception bordering on some of the other social issues and immigration, maybe even a little bit of Obamacare.
You get right down to it.
And that's not working.
The Republican.
No, don't miss it.
Trump has a significant number of conservatives in his base, but it's by no means the lion's share.
The Republican Party thinks that Trump has come along and is getting the Republican base.
And they're not all that worried about it for that reason, because they'd like to be rid of it.
But the interesting thing is that what the Republican Party claims, and what, by the way, what the media and the Democrats say the Republican Party has to do to win the presidency, which I find laughable that they actually want to help.
But what they say is, you Republicans, you can't win if all you're going to get is your own voters.
You're going to have to reach out.
You're going to have to change who you are.
You're going to have to broaden your mind.
You're going to have to become less rigid.
You're going to have to become open and tolerant of a lot of left-wing type groups, otherwise you don't have a prayer.
Well, bingo.
Trump is doing it not by reaching out to anybody, just being himself.
Trump does not have one plan.
There's not one specific plan or policy of Trump's that's aimed at a group.
Trump's just taking his message out there.
Here's who I am.
We're going to make America great again.
We're going to build a wall.
It's going to have a great door in it.
The Mexicans are going to pay for it.
We're not going to let any more terrorists into this country.
We're not going to negotiate any stupid more deals.
And we're not going to certainly make ourselves look like the problem in the world.
We're going to be the solution.
Yay!
It doesn't matter where they come from.
Americans are cheering it.
The political parties think you've got to go after group by group by group.
You've got to have a message for this group.
You're going to have a message for that group.
I have always said that I have always said, believe that the way to go out and actually put together a winning coalition is just go out and speak to people as though they're Americans and to heck with their men, women, Hispanic, Asian, black, white, gay, straight.
It doesn't matter.
Just go out and speak to Americans about their country.
Now, granted, there are a bunch of leftists out there who aren't going to be interested, but they're still a minority.
I don't care what anybody says.
And it's for this reason, by the way, all these polls that show Trump loses in an election to Hillary.
I'm not sure you can say that yet.
Everybody wants to believe it in both parties.
Interestingly, the Republicans want to believe it.
The Democrats want to believe it.
That's way too soon to say.
This even polling data outright.
Ted Cruz has pulled even with Hillary in some of these national polls.
Who would have believed six weeks ago?
Who would have believed that?
Ted Cruz?
I mean, Republican Party, Democrats meeting.
Ted Cruz, my boy, no more despicable, reprobate human being.
You remember the image that Cruz had with these people.
Now, all of a sudden, he's in a tie with Hillary Clinton in a head-to-head race for the presidency.
Meanwhile, the biggest news about Hillary is she couldn't get to the bathroom and back in one commercial break on CNN.
That's the big news about her, plus Trump schlonger.
So what's that all about?
Well, let's go to the audio sound bites.
Last night, Grand Rapids, Michigan, a campaign event, Trump speaking about Hillary's late return to the debate stage from a bathroom break Saturday night.
I'm watching the debate, and she disappeared.
Where did she go?
Where did she go?
I thought she quit.
I thought she gave up.
Where did she go?
Where did Hillary go?
They had to start the debate without her.
Phase two.
I know where she went.
It's disgusting.
I don't want to talk about it.
No, it's too disgusting.
Don't say it.
It's disgusting.
Let's not do it.
We want to be very, very straight up, okay?
I mean, folks, that's, I mean, just from a, well, I don't care, political or performance standpoint.
That's just, I mean, if Trump were a leftist, they would call what just happened their genius.
Instinctive genius.
This is the kind of thing you can't be taught.
There's nobody who can teach you to go out and give a speech this way or to make an appearance.
You either have that ability to empathize and connect with your audience or you don't.
And she quit.
It's disgusting.
I don't want to talk about it.
It's too disgusting.
I don't want to say what she did.
That's all you have to go.
What was she doing back there?
And it's, whoa, whoa, whoa, no, it's too disgusting.
Well, and then, yeah, you know, it's too disgusting.
I can't talk about it.
No, no, no, no.
I want to be very straight up.
Let's not talk about it.
It's too disgusting.
We don't want to.
And all of a sudden, Trump is saying what everybody in the audience, two things, wants to say themselves and is thinking.
And then furthermore, hoping that it's actually true that she was doing something disgusting.
And it somehow, someday, somewhere, it will be revealed.
But he wasn't through, folks.
He's in hot water because of this.
Hillary, that's not a president.
She's not taking us to everything that's been involved in Hillary has been lost.
As you take a look, even a race to Obama.
She was going to beat Obama.
I don't know who'd be worse.
I don't know.
How does it get worse?
But she was going to beat, she was favored to win.
And she got schlanged.
She lost.
I mean, she lost.
But I watched her the other night.
It was hard.
It was really hard because there were a lot of other things on better, including reading books and reading financial papers, which I actually enjoy reading.
Right.
But I had to watch.
I had to watch.
She got schlonged out there.
Well, the media has begun a linguistic investigation, trying to understand what in the hell he's talking about.
Because in their world, you know what schlonged is in their world.
What do you think it is in their world?
What do you think?
Well, okay, maybe.
You might say that.
Schlong is a slang term for the male member.
That ought to be protect you, parents from your young kids.
I mean, that's not giving anything away.
The schlong is a term.
So if Hillary's out there getting schlonged, well, let your mind wander.
Well, see, in the drive-bys world, Trump has just said something despicable.
It's unspeakable.
It's profane what he suggested happened to Hillary.
She got schlonged out there.
I mean, there's all kinds of things encompassed in it.
Disrespected.
It's the kind of thing that might offend the lesbian voters out there.
Any number of things about this.
So they're desperately trying to find out what Trump means.
And they've concluded, for example, Washington Post, that Trump misused a Jewish slang word, and he goofed it up because he's too goyam.
He doesn't, he's trying to use a Yiddish term, and he goofed it up, and so he actually should be embarrassed by this.
And the Yiddish term that they say Trump was trying to use is the definition of it is defeat.
She got schlonged, she got beat, defeated.
And of course, the word is nothing close to that.
And Trump would know it anyway.
No, they know what it is.
They just, they're trying to.
It's such a great insult.
They're trying to deflect it, make it look like Trump misused and doesn't know what he's talking about instead of lauding what a great insult it was, because it was, and will be back.
I'm just going to say it flat out, what he meant.
I'm just going to tell you, I'm going to say exactly what Trump meant.
No more beating around a bush.
It's not complicated.
Trump was saying Hillary got shafted by Obama.
It's no more complicated than she got schlonged.
She got shafted.
Don't wait for the media to explain it to you.
They're so far off the reservation on this.
They're looking for dirt where there isn't any dirt.
They're looking for something to discredit.
He just said she got shafted by Obama.
It happens to be true.
It's more newsworthy than simply saying she got beat.
She gets schlonged.
She gets shafted.
Makes perfect sense to those of us who know.
No, I never did.
I never imagined 27 years ago, 30 years, and never, ever imagined I'd be discussing schlonged on the radio, especially during Christmas week.
But, I mean, it's an indication of where our culture has gone.
Anyway, welcome back, folks.
Great to have you.
Here is Wolf Blitzer.
You know, this really irritates them.
In fact, let me precede this.
Nope, I'll play the bite first, and I'll do it with an antecedent.
This is Wolf Blitzer, CNN this afternoon, and talking about Trump with one of his correspondents, Joe Johns.
And they have an exchange here about Trump and what he gets away with saying and all that.
It's pretty explanatory.
Here it is.
He did the other day, before the debate, say that Cruz was a little bit of a maniac.
He used the word maniac, and then he was criticized by Rush Limbaugh.
And Trump himself later acknowledged, Joe, that he was influenced.
I think that's the first time we heard Donald Trump acknowledge that he was influenced by the criticism he got for some of these conservative radio talk shows.
Yeah, and you almost never hear that from Trump.
He's a never back down guy.
They're so livid.
They're upset.
They can't make Trump back down.
They can't cause Trump to change.
They can't affect any change in Trump whatsoever.
And it bugs them that they think Trump changed his tune toward Cruz because of me on this program.
And who knows whether or not that's the case, but they think it is.
Now, a little observation here.
2015 truth.
The two Republicans, let's just, let me just put something out there, if I might.
The two Republicans that I have commented upon most favorably happen to be what?
The leaders in the Republican primary, Trump and Cruz.
Now, they can take plenty of credit for where they are, and they deserve it all.
Don't misunderstand here.
But there can be no doubt that they have benefited from talk radio, from El Rushbo.
Establishment candidates have no traction.
And here we are.
We're up in the final days before we get to the actual votes being cast, first in the Hawkeye Caucasians in New Hampshire.
And I think it's fascinating because we've had pieces written over the years about how the Republican Party needs to forget what talk radio is about.
Talk radio is an albatross around the Republican Party's neck.
Remember, Obama, in his second week in office, 2009, brings the congressional leadership of both parties, and he tells Boehner and the guys, you've got to stop listening to Rush Limbaugh.
That's not how things get done here in Washington.
You've got to forget that.
You've got to stop listening to people like that.
And the Republican Party itself, over the years, has had, well, not the party, but there have been, I don't want to mention any names because I really don't want to credit people who give them any publicity, but there have been numerous supposed conservative writers and commentators who have also suggested that talk radio.
That's part of the problem the Republican Party has.
And I just find it interesting that the two guys leading the Republican Party primary happen to be two guys who have been fairly commented upon and supported here on this program.
It's also interesting, I think, that neither Trump nor Cruz are afraid of the media.
They will engage anybody at the drop of a hat.
They will accept every invitation.
You can't turn on TV and you don't see Trump.
It seems like he's accepting every invitation.
Cruz too.
They're not afraid of the media.
Happy Warriors, whatever you want to call them, they are out there and they're mixing it up and they will engage at the drop of a hat.
Equally as interesting is Hillary Clinton.
She never makes herself available to the media.
And the media hates Republicans.
She couldn't have a more friendly support group and she won't get anywhere near them.
She has to be dragged, kicking, and screaming into a press conference.
And they do everything they can to shape the media so that it's practically a support group rather than a bunch of journalists.
She's leaving a significant advantage on the table because she cannot connect with voters.
She doesn't want to demonstrate she has no way of connecting with voters.
In her own mind, she's too way above people.
The voters are the little people.
And in Hillary's mind, in Hillary's world, it's an insult that she even has to campaign, but nobody's found a way around it yet.
So she does it as little as possible.
Her personality is off-putting.
Her policies don't make Americans feel safe.
So they've made the calculation, let's keep her hidden.
The more bathroom breaks during debates, the better.
McCain and Romney.
McCain and Romney hid from talk radio.
McCain and Romney wanted no part.
Romney would come by here.
I'll give you.
Romney would come by here.
He came by here a total of two or three times during the campaign for 45 minutes to an hour.
And he would sound to me like the, well, the most severe conservative, in his words, I've ever heard.
And he would leave here, and he would go to a fundraiser right down the street and not even mention he was here.
He's too embarrassed to mention he had been here.
Wouldn't dare do it.
McCain, Romney, ran from talk radio, didn't want to be touched by it, didn't want to seem to be too close to it.
Cruz and Trump, the exact opposite, and look at them.
They're not afraid of the media.
They will engage at the drop of a hat.
In other words, they're not playing it safe like Hillary is.
And they're not following what they think conventional wisdom is.
They've blown through the idea that talk radio is a stepchild or is somehow harmful.
And instead, they are profiting from it, using it, unafraid of it, whatever.
Hillary's strategy is to craft and protect a phony image while riding Obama's coattails.
And Obama doesn't even have any.
He's got Iran.
He's got Obamacare.
He's got the border.
He's got terrorism.
He's got, you know, people wondering, who the hell is he?
What is his really, what is his agenda, really?
This is the transformation of this country that Obama has begun will haunt Hillary Clinton, not help her.
So I just, these little observations here that you can't miss, can't avoid making.
So to me, it's just another set of things, if you will, that the mainstream Republican Party has at its disposal but refuses to learn from it, profit from it, or what have you.
And don't miss, I'm not saying that there's any kind of a relationship here.
I'm just pointing out the obvious.
They just have a disdain.
The party leadership does, apparently, just have a disdain for their base.
Jan in New Jersey suburb, you're next.
We head back to the phones.
Hello.
Hi, Rush.
How are you?
Good, thank you.
I'm a little nervous about being on here.
I do work for the government.
That's okay.
No problem.
Okay.
So I just want to talk about the immigration problem that we have that has gotten a lot worse over, I would say, since the summer before.
Yeah.
Since last summer.
And we're vaccinating so many people that don't speak English.
We're seeing tons and tons and tons of kids.
We're seeing diseases that we haven't seen in decades.
And I feel like nobody's talking about it.
And in my opinion, watching this happen, watching the numbers go up of people coming into the country, I don't see how any Republican will win because they leave us, they have driver's license, and I believe that they'll vote.
So, I mean, hopefully I'm jaded, but I don't think so.
It's a real, real, real problem.
No, no, you're not jaded.
You're exactly right about a great possibility that's out there.
There's no question.
This is something that I'm going to plan on getting into in greater detail when I get back in the next year because it's outside the political norms.
It's outside polling data.
It's outside every bit of analysis people use to determine who we're talking about fraud, essentially.
We're talking about steps Democrats will take people to vote are not legally able to and still will be allowed to and so forth.
Anyway, Jan, I appreciate I'm late.
I got to run back after this, folks.
Here's Renee in Colleen, Texas.
Hey, Renee, I'm glad you called.
Great to have you here.
Hi.
Thanks.
I've got three reasons why Ted Cruz might be establishment in Outsider's Disguise.
Uh-oh.
Oh, no.
Oh, no.
One, one, his wife works, she's an executive with Goldman Sachs.
She works also, she's also done work with the Council on Foreign Relations with the North American Agreement.
He also worked for George Bush for three years, and he wanted to have more H-1B visas two years ago.
You mean Heidi?
Are you telling me Heidi Cruz is CFR?
Yes.
Well, she was a representative under Goldman Sachs that contributed to an article or whatever work with the North American Agreement.
Yeah.
But she's not running for anything, Renee.
Well, as a spouse's wife, I have to make sure that my relationships don't interfere with.
Renee, are you one of these people that think the wife runs the show, calls the shots?
Well, Hillary does.
Well, you know, at least as far as we know, yeah.
But Bill was still out there on his own catting around.
Well, yeah.
Didn't stop him.
Didn't stop him.
In all candor, I don't think I understand your concern here, the areas you're looking at.
I don't think that you need to be concerned about Ted Cruz being a trilateralist or the socialist international or a Bolshevik.
I don't, in all candor, I don't think you've got anything to worry about there.
Understand, as I say, your sensitivity to this.
What are you laughing at in there?
Snurdle is going absolute.
Well, I invite people to call here.
I'm not going to characterize them.
It's just, I'm just trying to tell her she's got nothing to worry about.
Everything's cool.
Just a brief moment, folks, to once again express all my gratitude to all of you in more ways than I know are possible for helping to make my life an adult Christmas every day.
Never take any of it for granted.
I am grateful for all of you each and every day.
And I never assume day to day you're just going to be here.
I've also told you when I thought it was time to panic, and I don't think we've gotten there yet, but I do want to repeat one thing.
Don't look for hopeful signs on the news.
That's not where you're going to find it.
Might find now one here and there.
It's Christmas time.
Don't let the news frustrate you.
Turn to God.
Put all your worry, your hope, your faith, trust, particularly this week, to God.
If there's hope, and if there is hopefulness, if there are good signs, that's where you'll find them.
God bless.
Merry Christmas.
Thank you ever so much again.
No matter how valuable you think this program is to you, pales in comparison to what you have done for me and my family and the rest of the staff here at the EIB Network, the Limball Letter and the Rush Revere Time Travel with Adventures, Exceptional Americans.
Still available for Christmas, by the way, too.
Great, great four-pack Christmas present for the kitties.
See you next year.
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