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Aug. 23, 2012 - Rush Limbaugh Program
32:00
August 23, 2012, Thursday, Hour #3
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Hi folks, welcome back.
Great to have you here, Rush Limboy, here on the cutting edge of societal evolution.
What is that mean?
It means if you listen every day here, you will know well in advance.
All that's important.
You'll hear about it here first.
If you don't hear about it here at all, it's not worth knowing.
You can trust that.
Telephone number 80082-2882 and the email address Lrushbow at EIBNet.com.
This is interesting.
A University of Colorado analysis of state by state factors leading to the electoral college selection of every U.S. president since 1980.
They've never missed forecasts that Mitt Romney will win the presidency.
And he will win 320 electoral votes.
52.9% of the vote.
University of Colorado analysis.
It's not a poll.
It's an analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the electoral college selection of every president since 80.
They haven't missed.
The key is the economy, according to the political science professors in charge of this thing.
Kenneth Bickers of Colorado University Boulder and Michael Barry of CU Denver.
Their prediction model stresses economic data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia.
It includes both state and national unemployment figures, as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors.
And they say this based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble.
Now, according to their analysis, Obama will win 218 electoral votes.
You need 27.
And though they chiefly focus on the electoral college, they do predict that Romney will win 52.9% of the popular vote.
Obama will get 47.1.
Now that doesn't factor a third party or minuscule write-ins.
They just look at the two primary candidates.
For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner.
The economy has uh has seen some improvement since Obama took office, this guy says.
I don't know where he gets that, but regardless, he said what remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms.
If it's the former, if they consider the economy in relative terms, the president might receive credit for the economy's trajectory and win a second term.
In the latter case, absolute terms, Romney will pick up a number of states that Obama won in 2008.
Now again, these guys model correctly predicted all elections since 1980, including two years when independent candidates ran strongly, 1980 and 1992.
And it also correctly predicted the outcome in a 2000 race.
Al Gore received the most popular votes, but George W. Bush won the presidency.
They predicted that.
Now, while while many forecast models are based on the popular vote, the electoral college model developed by the these guys is the only one of its type to include more than one state level measure of economic conditions.
In addition to state and national unemployment rates, these guys look at per capita income, which indicates the extent to which people have more or less disposable income.
Research shows that these two factors affect the major parties differently.
Voters hold Democrats more responsible for unemployment rates, while Republicans are held more responsible for per capita income.
So you can see how they arrive at their conclusion.
They haven't missed since 1980.
They are predicting that Romney will win 320 electoral votes.
And I'm if I throw myself in here, this does not surprise me.
You know me.
I have it held back.
I don't have any scientific basis for my belief, just my gut.
And I will admit I make a lot of assumptions.
I assume that a majority of the country is opposed to what's happening.
I assume a majority of the country does not want to be a bunch of takers.
And I know that many of you disagree with me.
But these guys say in tw in 2012, what is striking about their state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered swing states.
These guys predict, based on their data that hasn't missed since 1980, that he will lose North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida.
Now in Colorado, which went for Obama in 2008, the model predicts that Romney will get 51.9% of the vote, Obama 48.1%.
But they did, and it would only be right to mention this, they did, they did provide some caveats.
Factors that they said may affect their prediction include the time frame of the economic data used in the study and close tallies in certain states.
The current data was taken five months in advance of the election, and they plan to update it with a more current model and more current data in September.
And we will eagerly anticipate that report.
A second factor is that states very close to a 50-50 split may fall in an unexpected direction.
Let's assume for the sake of the fun of it that these guys are right.
I want you to imagine election day plus one.
The day after the election, if the Democrats lose, North Carolina, Virginia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida, if that happens, there is going to be hell to pay like you haven't seen.
If that happens, no way they can charge fraud.
Well, won't stop them, maybe, but if that happens, you are going to see one of the biggest soul searches that you've ever seen for a while.
And then it won't take them long to get back on track of blaming the stupidity of the voters.
Which is something that they carry with them each and every day, and that is contempt for average people.
Now the Washington Times, David Boyer story, poll shows Romney closing gap with Obama in the swing states.
As the Republicans had to Tampa to nominate Romney for president, the contest with Obama is narrowing in the ten battleground states that likely will decide the election.
Since the 1st of August, Romney's gained ground in eight of these ten states, and two of them, Wisconsin and Michigan, are now considered too close to call by some of these pollsters.
Obama has expanded his lead only in New Hampshire.
Everywhere else, it's tightening.
Significantly so.
And it's tightening in polls that have the far out of reality weighted Democrat sample.
The AP poll is the late.
The APGFK poll is uh in that poll, Obama was up ten points in May, or maybe it was June.
He's now up four, losing ground rapidly, but it's a poll that has an outsized Democrat sample.
If it was the I saw an analysis of this poll, if this poll, I mean it's cooked, this this latest AP poll with GFK is cooked.
If this poll had an accurate party sample that reflected turnout on election day 2008, Obama would be a point down In the latest AP poll.
And guy named Jason Johnson here, who is a professor of political science at the esteemed Hiram College in Northeast Ohio said the reason that this is all tightening up is with the it has to do with people's frustration with Obama rather than an increased appreciation of Romney.
Well duh, that's not a surprise either.
It's exactly what I thought would be the case.
I thought this was always going to be a referendum on Obama.
And to the extent that Romney and uh Ryan can make themselves likable, then that's icing on the cake.
But it's always was going to be a referendum on Obama.
It all it still is gonna be a referendum.
I don't care what the Obama campaign tries to say.
I don't care what the drive-by media tries to say and how they try to slant this and how they try to portray it.
This is gonna be a referendum on Obama, he is not the likable guy he was.
I don't care what anybody says, folks, they he does not have that aura that he had in 2008.
It's blown.
His cover is blown wide open.
And he is seen to be human and incompetent at that.
Puts his pants on one leg at a time just like every other guy.
And nothing messianic here.
Hope and change gone.
And don't forget the poll of the toddlers, the 18 to 29-year-olds.
Claiming that they are so upset that they're gonna turn out in record numbers.
Another interesting poll, Washington Times.
What's more important than ensuring that children get a better education?
For most Americans, this election cycle, it's the federal budget.
You believe this.
As the regime and Obama continue to assail the Republican ticket for pushing a budget blueprint that they say would cut education, which it doesn't.
They're in the cut anywhere anywhere.
Not yet.
Polling data that emerged yesterday shows the vast majority of Americans think getting the country back on solid fiscal footing or footing Trump's increasing school funding.
Hallelujah.
Gosh, I hope that makes so much sense to me.
And it tells me that we're not yet a majority nation of morons.
And this is the Tea Party, folks.
This is the Tea Party.
When you see this poll, and this result that more Americans want our fiscal problems solved before school funding goes up, that's the Tea Party.
And I'll tell you what else it means.
It means that at least the people in this poll fully understand that our problems in education are not money.
We're spending plenty.
It's who we have teaching kids.
It's what they're being taught.
It's the curriculum.
I mean, you've got high school seniors can't read their diplomas.
We have to have job training centers for people that come out of college.
What the hell?
Why does anybody why do we need one job training center if we got a decent education system?
What's the point of education?
Among other things, teach people how to work.
It's to help focus them and educate them toward a career and citizenship.
But see, it's not for the Democrats.
Education's indoctrination.
And after you've indoctrinated, then you send them to the work training center.
Because education's not about a career.
Education is not about getting a job.
Education is where your propagandize.
Education, schools at all levels.
That's where you inculcate your ideology.
This is a Gallup and Phi Delta Kappa International Education Association survey.
60%.
60% of Americans think it's more important to balance the budget than to improve the quality of it.
Folks, 24 years ago, if this question had been asked of people, it wouldn't have registered.
Balancing the federal budget wouldn't have mattered anywhere near a majority of the American people.
Change is ongoing and constant.
Brief time out.
We'll be back.
Your phone calls are up next.
Here is uh Bill in Seaside Park, New Jersey.
Bill, great to have you.
Hello, sir.
Roche Bo.
Muchos dedos.
How are you?
Fine, sir.
Thank you very much.
Good.
Hey, uh, you know, I I've been on a hole for a while here, and I've been enjoying every second listening to you.
This is a special day for me.
Thank you very much, sir.
Getting through to you and uh and uh you know, talking about what I want to say.
But you know, I uh I listened to the soundbite of Bill of Bill Clinton uh uh vouching uh for Obama and uh you know the reasons for him to get re-elected.
Yesterday my book came in the mail.
I ordered it the amateurs.
Uh have you read it by Edward Klein?
I have uh I have his excerpts.
I've not read the whole book.
No, you ever the the Klein book, Ed Klein?
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah, I know.
It's been out all summer, but uh I went on one of the websites, so I took advantage of an opportunity to uh I I got it for basically free, uh, other than the 495 shipping charges, you know.
But that's a that's a hell of a deal.
I love stuff getting even though I can afford anything I want, I love getting free stuff.
Yeah, brand new $28 hardcover, you know.
You can't you can't beat that with a stick.
Isn't that great?
Isn't that great?
I mean, all you had to pay was the shipping charge.
Exactly.
That's great.
Congratulations.
Yeah, thank you.
Uh but I'm I'm two years older than you, Rush.
I'm uh I'm uh ex uh teacher, educator.
I taught school for ten years uh when I got out of college in uh 71.
And then I uh I taught school for ten years, and then I went into the private sector for this for the subsequent 30 years.
I I had uh my own sitco gas station, I had a restaurant, I had my own uh new car automobile dealership, and up until oh eight, I even had my own uh uh a mortgage company in in Pennsylvania.
You didn't build you didn't build any of that.
We you just yeah, that's I knew you were gonna say that.
Okay.
But uh I'm recently retired involuntarily, and uh I just wanted to uh bring up this uh this book, The Amateur, because the prologue is entitled As Bill Sees It.
And it goes into about uh seven or eight pages of how uh uh Mr. Clinton uh was hammering his wife uh to run for president.
He he even commissioned his own uh you know private polling.
Uh and and he he wouldn't let up.
Uh I'm I'm sure you read the prologue.
He wouldn't let up, and then in the prologue, Chelsea walks in a room.
He was having a dinner party dinner party at the residence.
Well, the point is the point of the point of the book is the Clintons really, Bill Clinton particularly does not like Obama and doesn't think much of him.
Correct.
Correct.
And that's why I just couldn't believe my ears listening to him uh, you know, uh uh vouching.
Well, good.
You you shouldn't get Mike, let's grab what he's talking about.
Grab some bite four.
This is what he's talking about.
This is an ad that that Clinton has cut for Obama.
And we know that Clinton has as ripped Obama for criticizing Bain Capital.
Clinton likes private equity.
Uh Clinton has been critical of Obama on a number of things.
So when when you hear Clinton do this ad, people have been paying attention, like you, you read the book.
You wait a minute, this doesn't compute, it doesn't make sense because you know, having read that book, if you believe it, that Clinton doesn't believe any of this.
This election to me, it's about which candidate is more likely to return us to full employment.
This is a clear choice.
The Republican plan is to cut more taxes on upper income people and go back to deregulation.
That's what got us in trouble in the first place.
President Obama has a plan to rebuild America from the ground up.
Investing in innovation, education, and job training.
It only works if there is a strong middle class.
That's what happened when I was president.
We need to keep going with his plan.
I mean, here's a guy who in this, and he's an ad for Obama has to plug himself.
That's what happened when I was president.
Um I I it's it's phenomenal.
Obama, we need a strong middle class.
Who's destroying it?
It was it was Clinton, by the way, the title of the book, the amateur, that's what Clinton calls Obama.
According to Klein's book, it's Bill Clinton who called Obama the amateur.
So that ad, when you hear it, uh if you're up to speed, and those of you listening to this program are, you realize that ad doesn't have any believability.
It it doesn't even have salesmanship or passion in it.
But it's still Bill Clinton, and he's still the rock star of the Democrat Party.
In a party that really wants to try to convince people that it's the Republicans conducting a war on women.
Anyway, uh Bill, I appreciate the call.
I um um I'm glad that you uh got through.
Um I'm I appreciate that you stayed on hold as long as you did.
Uh but it's worth it when you're on hold on this program.
It's unlike being on hold anywhere else.
Something actively some people want is to be on hold uh to virtually hear every element that we make possible uh during commercial breaks and everything else are some of the parodies.
In the meantime, another obscene profit timeout.
We'll be right back with much more.
Julie Osage Beach, Missouri.
Hi, and great to have you here.
Thank you.
I've been waiting an hour and a half since you were talking about that earlier.
Thank you for waiting longer.
I've been waiting for it.
Well, I appreciate it.
I I I appreciate you wait so long.
Well, let me tell you why, because in nineteen eighty eight, which you brought up earlier, I was an eleven-year-old girl, and my mother pulled me out of school, and I started listening to a program called the Rush Limbaugh Show, and I gained those ideals.
Thank you very much.
And I get it.
Well, I appreciate thank you so much for yourself.
I appreciate that.
I've also seen your brother at uh Wellview Weekend conference, so I've also met David.
But anyways, so the reason I'm calling.
I um I really think the Republicans bombed it here with Todd Aiken.
You know, they blew an entire opportunity here to slam Claire McCaskill and bring up her dirt.
You know, she's got so much dirt and so much baggage.
I don't know why they keep talking about him.
It's ridiculous.
We totally all we needed to do was change the talking points.
Simple, simple solution.
Change the talking points.
All he said.
What did he say?
That maybe a woman's body shuts down under stress.
Big deal.
A man can't say that in our country now.
We don't have freedom of speech as that.
I mean, we throw them under the brass.
Look at all the amazing things that he has done in our government.
Amazing things.
Not only that, but he did the dirty work that a lot of Republicans weren't gonna do, like clean up a bunch of women who were gonna claim rape.
You know, and it's too bad that we just didn't change the talking points.
It's real simple.
I just said it.
So he speculates that maybe a woman's body sets down.
That doesn't even have anything to do with whether or not she's conceived or not he hates abortion.
They're you know, the Democrats are already offended by that.
Women who are pro that are already offended by that.
And we know he's very pro-life.
So I don't quite get why they didn't just quickly use the media for good.
You talked about winning the game.
We could have won the game.
They blew it up.
They blew it up.
Big time.
I agreed with Vinny on that.
There was no reason for that.
They're already offended.
Well, but you understand there's this there's this naturally defensive posture that conservatives and particularly in Washington, conservatives and Republicans have, and they don't control the media.
There's no way they can get their talking points on the media.
It isn't no matter what they did, the media was not going to start talking about Claire McCaskill, no matter what they said.
So the calculation, the calculation then became Anne Colter could have talked about Claire McCaskill.
Sarah Palin could have talked about Claire McCaskill.
Plenty of those Sean Hannity could have talked about Claire McCaskill.
I mean, it's ridiculous.
Yeah, what about the airplane?
Let's talk about her airplane.
How she's hiding hundreds of thousands of dollars, you know, that she has the government.
I mean, there's so much stuff there.
I'm just saying, you know, he's just a pro-lifer.
Big deal.
He's just very pro-life.
But they just turned this into something it wasn't, gave the feminists more reason to hate men, you know, when they all they needed to say was, it's okay for men to actually talk about a woman's egg and not make a big deal about it.
They can do that.
You know, and we just feed right into the whole political re correctness, you know, that you even speculate or something.
Well, there's a piece today.
Let me see if I can find this.
Let me see if I I I'm not sure I printed this out, but you would appreciate this.
It's by George New Mayer, who used to be the editor at the American Spectator, and he might have written this piece there.
It sounds like uh uh word for word what you just said.
Umier is saying this incident illustrates the fatal problem that the Republican Party has, and that is a desire to please its critics, please its enemies, knee-jerk defensiveness and all.
Sounds like I didn't print it out.
I don't have it here.
I thought I did.
There's this, oh, we need to be afraid of the left, because somehow they're right.
No, they're not.
We're right.
Why are we carrying?
No, it's not.
No, no, wait a minute.
It's not that they're right.
It's that there's there's a battle for the hearts and minds of voters for the American people.
What was the the great fear here was that Democrats have these caricatures of us, Julie.
I mean, you're well aware of them, racist, sexist, big at home, anti-women.
So Aiken came along and he said something that was it's indefensible what he said in terms of fact.
It's simply indefensible.
And so the fear was oh my God, this guy is helping the media confirm a bunch of lies about us.
And that's what they We don't need to be afraid.
We don't need to be afraid of the left, and we're acting afraid by saying that.
Like we're confirming the media.
No, we don't.
We just simply take the talking point.
Explain it differently.
That's what they do.
They sit around and make explanations for Joe Biden and President Obama who's like, yeah, I'm wrong, and people love him for it.
People love us that you know I was wrong, and I agree.
We shouldn't let them have that power over us, and some of us don't let them have that power.
But but uh it's very few that that that act that way.
It's uh you know, being on defense becomes a habit.
And it's it's uh uh it in some cases it's uh it just doesn't change.
But I hear you, I I I thought you know some of the piling on of Todd Aiken was a a little gratuitous.
Uh uh he's not a pig, he's not any of this kind of stuff.
I I cringe sometimes with at some of the criticism, but at the same time, he's now gone and and and made himself bigger than the cause and bigger than the bigger than the purpose here, and it it is making it very difficult to support him.
And we can't change the talking points.
I wish we could.
Uh so and some people decided, uh, even if it was reflexively, that that this was not the place to plant the flag.
That there will be other places.
Anyway, Julie, uh your mom pulled you out of school at age eleven to listen to this program and listen how she turned out.
You hear that passion, you heard that some you you mothers out there should do more of that.
Pull your kids out of school at age eleven, let them listen to this program, and they'll be that much ahead.
What do you mean, do a flyover at the convention?
Yeah.
I um I've had honest to God, I've had three reporters in the last week have sent me emails wanting to know what parties and social activities that I'm attending at the convention so they can cover them.
You do, you got more?
Well, I've had so that's HR, he's had even more requests.
I've had three reporters inquire, not what parties are you attending?
What what social function so we can go, I would want to cover.
And I I wrote and says, sorry, I'm too famous, I'm not going.
And I didn't hear back from them.
After that.
Oh no, you oh, you've got invitations.
You're talking I'm talking about press requests to follow me.
Um they want to know what parties they need to get tickets for in order to cover me.
And one of them, one of them did write back, so if you're not going, I don't know why I should.
I said, 'cause I'm not going.
Anyway, uh Snerdley asked if I was going to go do a flyover.
EIB one, do a fly by dip the wing, and officially kick the thing off.
I hadn't thought about that.
I actually hadn't thought about it.
It's an it's not a bad idea.
I found the George Newmayer piece.
It is in the American Spectator.
And Let me just give you some pull quotes from this thing.
A party less cowed by political correctness and less enthralled to conventional wisdom would not have cannibalized its own so quickly.
Let's not forget Barack Obama hired as one of his top department of education officials a gay rights activist named Kevin Jennings, who once glibly counseled a 15-year-old student, thought to have been statutorily raped by another man.
Quote, I hope you knew to use a condom.
Jennings also known for having been inspired by Harry Hay, a supporter of Namblum.
Nobody complains about this, and the Democrats aren't even embarrassed.
In a culture that panders to proaboration feminists like Sandra Fluck, thought crimes always rank higher than real ones.
Words, not deeds, drive Paul's from public office.
So Aiken has to go.
He simply harbors the wrong thoughts.
New Meyer, but our new mayor is not happy with what happened.
An authentically conservative party would find Romney's unprincipled position far more chilling than Aiken's gaffe.
If unborn children gain or lose their right to life depending upon the circumstances of their conception, then the party's already conceded that the right doesn't exist.
Reagan understood the implications of that concession, never wavered in his defense of the right to life of all unborn, not just some of them.
And folks, I'm here to tell you I know exactly what Aiken was trying to say.
I know exactly.
He believes that the baby's the essence of innocence, and there is no exception.
It's never the baby's fault.
And all he believes is that if you're going to allow abortion in the case of rape, then you're really not pro-life.
That's all he was trying to say.
He just didn't know how to say it.
So, in an order to be in order to be persuasive, he came up with this biological lesson's not true.
And it got a fact wrong.
Newmayer here is saying that his stupid remark was turned into a supposedly wicked one and treated as a great crisis.
A party less cowed by political correctness and less enthralled to conventional wisdom would not have cannibalized its own so quickly.
So the New Mayer believes that the Republicans just panicked.
Because they are they are they are prisoners to conventional wisdom, political correctness, and wanting to be liked or not criticized.
Look, there's a this guy uh uh what's his name?
Uh uh the twisted D. Snyder, Twisted Sister.
Apparently, Paul Ryan at his events is using a song by this guy.
And so this guy's out there saying, I'm not letting Ryan use my song.
Who the hell do they think they are?
So D. Snyder has told Ryan, you can't use my song.
And the media loves this.
Why?
Because that, here's a pop culture guy, Twisted Sister.
It's it's a perfect vehicle for showing that Republicans aren't cool.
That Republicans aren't hip, that Republicans aren't likable.
That's why they like it.
That's why these musicians come out and do it.
And that's the kind of stuff that ticks you off.
I know it does.
Because you know exactly what the objective of this is.
Ryan's not a threat to anybody.
So he likes this guy's tune.
This guy's to come, you can't do that, and the media jumps all over it because when you boil it all down.
People have problem with the media.
I think you can boil it down to real simple essence.
You're fed up with the media determining who's likable and who isn't, who's cool and who isn't, who's hip and who isn't.
And totally understand, but you can't change it.
And Ryan using the guy's song doesn't make him hip.
Notice, Ryan using the guy's song doesn't make him likable.
Does it work?
See?
You can't change it.
So if I were Ryan, say hell with it.
You can't tell me when I can and can't play your song.
I'm using it.
You know, come make me stop.
I happen to like your stupid song.
Folks, that's it.
Have a great day.
Rest of the day, great evening tonight, and we'll be back in 21 hours.
It'll be Friday.
And that means open line Friday.
We will see you tomorrow.
Thanks so much for being with us today.
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