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July 25, 2012 - Rush Limbaugh Program
31:41
July 25, 2012, Wednesday, Hour #3
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Republicans' Voting Enthusiasm Exposed 00:06:41
Welcome back, folks.
Great to have you here, Rush Limbaugh and the Excellence in Broadcasting Network, the Limbaugh Institute for Advanced Conservative Studies.
Telephone number if you want to be on the program 800-282-2882, the email address, lrushboedibnet.com.
Gallup has just released the following.
Democrat voting enthusiasm down sharply from 2004 and 2008.
So, and I have a details here in just a second.
It just, it further exposes the NBC Wall Street Journal poll as a corrupt, bogus piece of work.
Republicans are more enthusiastic than in 2008.
Democrats are significantly less likely now to vote.
Less likely than they were in the summers of 2004 and 2008 to say they're more enthusiastic about voting than usual.
Republicans more enthusiastic now than in 2008, the same as they were in 2004.
The point is, Obama's attempted voter suppression is not working.
This is from the Gallup USA Today poll that came out yesterday.
Gallup is just now getting around to putting out this aspect of the results today.
And the results are based on the July 19th or 22nd USA Today Gallup poll, and they suggest a shift in Republican and Democrat orientation to voting in the upcoming presidential election compared with the last two, with Republicans expressing more voting enthusiasm.
Currently, 51 to 39% Republican advantage in voter enthusiasm is larger than the 53-45 Republican advantage Gallup measured in February of this year.
So the NBC poll says that Democrat voter enthusiasm is way up as indicated by their sample.
11% more Democrats turning out to vote than Republicans.
That's what that plus 11 meant in the NBC Journal poll.
They gave the Democrats a plus 11 advantage in terms of number of respondents in the poll based on what they think the turnout is going to be.
Gallup goes on to say that Republicans' greater enthusiasm about voting is a troubling sign for the Obama campaign, especially given the fact that registered voters are essentially tied in their presidential voting preferences and that Republicans historically voted a higher rate than Democrats do.
If that last part is true, why does Gallup oversample the Democrats?
This doesn't make any sense.
Unless they're trying to suppress Republican vote, which we know they are, and they're trying to goose or inspire Democrat vote.
So if it's true that Republicans have greater enthusiasm about voting, and that's a troubling sign for Obama, how in the world, why in the world did NBC, Wall Street Journal, and every other polling outfit oversample Democrats so much?
And it's because they're using their poll to make news not reflect public opinion.
They're trying to create public opinion, trying to bend it and shape it.
But the big news here is that Obama's effort to suppress the vote isn't working.
And in Gallup's own release, the headline, Democrat voting enthusiasm down sharply from 2004 and 2008.
Democrats now significantly less likely, 39%, than they were in the summers of 2004, 2008 to say that they are more enthusiastic about voting than usual.
This is why I always trust my instincts.
I see an NBC Wall Street Journal poll or any poll that comes out that shows the Democrats with a plus 11.
There's no way that you can't even make that case.
Even if it were true, it's not reflected anywhere, even in the way they're reporting the news.
It's not reflected in the way Obama's behaving.
It's not reflected in the way the Democrats are behaving and the way they're talking.
And guess what?
F. Chuck Todd, NBC News, has just admitted, quote, our poll was skewed.
Okay, now it's time for audio sound bite number one.
I wasn't going to do it.
I like Brian Williams, even though Brian Williams, this is so tough.
You remember when Brian Williams had that 9 o'clock show at MSNBC?
Back when MSNBC was a responsible place.
I was a guest on that.
I was guest on Chris Matthews' show now and then.
We'd go over there to Secaucus or wherever it was, Fort Lee, and we'd hang around.
And I remember laughing with Matthews about stuff and always commiserating with him.
His ratings were always much lower than I thought his actual audience was.
And I'd tell him that.
We go back to Brian Williams' office.
Is he getting ready for his 9 o'clock show?
And one of the funniest guys in the world.
Now, these guys have just become totally infected with full-fledged partisanship.
And they're angry all the time.
I don't know about Brian, but they're angry and they're just at war every day.
So last night on the NBC Nightly News, here's Brian Williams with F. Chuck Todd as they trumpet their poll.
Our new NBC News Wall Street Journal poll debuting here tonight has some eye-opening findings about the way this campaign is being run and the effect it's having on both sides.
Our political director, Chief White House correspondent Chuck Todd with the numbers.
Chuck, good evening.
This campaign in the month of July has taken an especially nasty turn, and perhaps it was only a matter of time that voters would express their frustration.
That's the biggest takeaway from our new NBC Wall Street Journal poll.
While the fundamentals of the overall race haven't changed that much, President Still leads 4943 in this survey.
It's the negative campaign that has taken a toll on how voters view both the president and Mitt Romney.
That's just out the window now.
The Gallup poll is out, and NBC News' poll is an outlier.
He Didn't Build It 00:07:47
It's the only one.
Well, now they're joined by Reuters.
You only got two of them that show Obama in the lead, both of them incidentally by six points.
Both of them show enthusiasm down into negative ads working.
They're not working.
Chuck Todd admitted it was on Scarborough's show this morning.
Our poll was skewed.
So I wanted to play the way they introd the poll last night on nightly news.
And now they even in their web release of the poll, the headline was a lot of bad news for Romney Obama in the latest poll.
This is the poll that oversampled the Democrats by 11 points.
But again, Gallup is just out now with the exact opposite information.
The Republican voter enthusiasm is off the charts, higher than 2004, higher than 2008.
The effort to suppress isn't working.
The bad news for Romney is not bad news.
There isn't the bad news for Romney in the Gallup survey that NBC claims is in theirs.
Now, I want to go back and close the loop here on our discussion of health care and the various CBO reports and the confusing numbers.
Now, I want to go back to theHill.com report specifically.
They said in that story, the Supreme Court ruling will lower Obamacare costs.
And their headline in that story is incorrect.
Supreme Court decision cuts cost of health care reform by $84 billion.
The headline's false.
Here's why.
The ruling reduces the scope of Obamacare.
The costs to taxpayers fall because there's going to be less Obamacare.
Meaning, the states can opt out.
They don't have to spend.
There's going to be less, there'll be less people covered, fewer people covered, so there's going to be less Obamacare.
Now, this contradicts the claim of the regime that Obamacare was going to reduce costs.
Reducing Obamacare is what reduces costs, not Obamacare.
This is where the Hill gets their headline wrong.
If you look at the details of their story, what they're essentially saying is that the cost to taxpayers is falling because there are going to be less Obamacare.
There's going to be less health care.
I'm sorry for not catching that.
It was right in front of my face.
And I was too focused on all the different stories, the different numbers, the different interpretations.
The bottom line is to whatever extent costs are falling, it's because there's less Obamacare.
It's not because of the Supreme Court ruling.
It's not because Obamacare is reducing costs.
It's because less Obamacare, fewer people being covered.
Medicare is what's reducing the costs.
All right.
Let me make a programming format decision here.
Take a break.
Come back.
Get to the audio soundbites.
I've got a little revisit here of Obama and you didn't build it.
You didn't make that happen.
Because we're not going to let that go away.
And Obama's now got an ad out.
And I think all this is really getting under his skin, folks.
He's got an ad out now, whining and moaning at people taking him out of context.
He's out there saying people do what he does for a living.
You have to expect people to make things up about you.
And you have to expect people to lie about you.
And you have to expect that kind of criticism.
That's part of doing a job.
But this, he's not going to put up with.
This kind of misrepresentation and taking him out of context.
So this is getting under his skin.
And since we know it, and even if it weren't, we would keep focus on it because this is who he is.
So we'll take a break.
We'll come back to the latest chapter of all this when we return.
Hi, welcome back.
Here's Obama.
This is a new re-elect Obama TV ad.
It's called Always.
It has the president directly responding to Romney's use of Obama's you didn't build that remarks.
I think this might be Obama's first rebuttal ad.
Maybe ever.
Here's how it sounds.
Those ads, taking my words about small business out of context, they're flat out wall.
Of course, Americans build their own businesses.
Every day, hardworking people sacrifice to meet a payroll, create jobs, and make our economy run.
And what I said was that we need to stand behind them, as America always has, by investing in education and training, roads and bridges, research and technology.
And I prove this message because I believe we're all in this together.
Oh, well, bring out the Strativarians.
Bring out the violins.
Oh, we're all in this thing.
Roads and bridges.
You liberals drive me nuts with your clichés.
Roads and bridges, investing in education, as though we don't.
Training?
We wouldn't need training if education were worth it there.
We wouldn't need work training stations or whatever the hell these things are called.
If people were properly educated in school, you wouldn't need to have these stupid federal, whatever they're called, work centers.
Research and technology, you don't do any of that.
Ah, folks, it drives me nuts all these liberal cliches.
And isn't this whining?
What's he whining about?
Let's go back.
Friday, February 13th, Roanoke, Virginia.
If you've been successful, you didn't get there on your own.
You didn't get there on your own.
I'm always struck by people who think, well, it must be because I was just so smart.
There are a lot of smart people out there.
It must be because I worked harder than everybody else.
Let me tell you something.
There are a whole bunch of hardworking people out there.
If you were successful, somebody along the line gave you some help.
There was a great teacher somewhere in your life.
Somebody helped to create this unbelievable American system that we had that allowed you to thrive.
Somebody invested in roads and bridges.
If you got a business, you didn't build that.
Somebody else made that happen.
The internet didn't get invented on its own.
Government research created the internet.
So then all the companies couldn't make money off the internet.
Those ads taking my words about small business out of context.
They're flat out wrong.
Of course, Americans build their own business.
Now, you didn't say that.
They're trying to say that he was taking it out of context when he said, somebody invested in roads and bridges.
You got a business.
You didn't build it.
Well, if he really was talking about roads and bridges, he would have said, if you got a business, you didn't build those.
Roads and bridges are plural.
You didn't build those, but he didn't say that.
You didn't build that.
Right after he said, you got a business, you didn't build that.
He was thinking, you didn't build your business.
Polls and Questions Matter 00:09:09
He said exactly what he intended to say.
Who built Caterpillar?
The guys that made the roads.
Caterpillar, guys that made the roads.
Look, this is so.
This is.
He doesn't.
He really doesn't.
Romney had it right.
His experience does not comport with the American experience.
It just doesn't, folks.
Romney is dead on right.
Whatever Obama's experience in life is, his education, mentoring, it doesn't comport with the American experience.
Here, here, my friends, this is who Obama thinks he is.
White comedian Paul Shanklin, and I'm the soul of your heart's perspiration.
Portraying vocally there the voice of Barack Hussein Obama, who's simply saying, rich people have got to get back.
I'm going to take from the rich.
They stole from you.
They don't deserve what they've got.
They didn't do anything on their own.
We did it for them.
You did it for them and you didn't get paid.
You got stolen from and you got used.
It has nothing to do with roads and bridges or infrastructure.
By the way, if You know, we've had more government than ever under Obama.
How come the economy didn't take off?
And I wonder, how many personalities does this guy have?
So, what he said last week is different than what he says now.
And in any event, he was right the first time, and he's right now.
He's never wrong.
We're dealing with Sybil here.
All right, now back to the phones.
And this is Phil in Orlando.
Phil, thank you for waving.
Nice to have you on the EIB network.
Hello.
Yeah, can you hear me, Rush?
Yeah, here you go.
Yeah, I just want to say, Mega Dittos, been listening to you for decades, and I want to thank you and Ronald Reagan for saving the country.
Thank you, sir.
Very, very, well, I appreciate being lumped in that way.
I'm sure you would.
I'm sure you would.
Thank you very much.
I've got a lot of interesting things to say about what you're saying about.
First of all, in 2010, I was looking for any work I could get.
I hired on with a nationwide political survey company here in the central Florida area.
I won't mention their name, but they're one of the biggest.
And I was doing 15, 16-hour shifts seven days a week for the three months prior to the midterm 2010 election.
And most of the people they were calling were liberals.
They're trying to marshal the troops, but they sometimes had issues.
Oh, ho, ho, ho, ho.
I need two things.
Need you to slow down so that I can follow you.
Number two, most of the people you call from the big name polling company were liberals?
Yes, they were paid by liberals, and I was scripted to ask questions a certain way.
Now, they did sometimes call a certain number of conservatives to try to get a balance point.
How did you know you were calling liberals?
It was an indication on the computer screen as I'm clicking, and the party affiliation was there, and they would also confirm that when I called in.
And the nature of the questions also made it very obvious.
Now, I just wanted to say one thing.
One of the most interesting questions I was asked to ask was: do you approve or do you disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president?
Now, 95% of the conservatives immediately said, are you kidding me?
Disapprove.
You know, it was like almost unanimous.
But on the liberal side, it was up in about 75, maybe 70, 75% were saying approve.
But then, on my own volition, I decided to reword the question a little bit.
And I said, on the next several hundred calls, I mean, I was doing, I don't know how many calls a day.
I said, do you approve?
Do you disapprove?
Or are you undecided about the job that Barack Obama is doing as president?
Again, the conservatives, no change, 95% or more.
The liberals were going, you know, I would have to say undecided.
It was up to 50, 65% were then all of a sudden undecided.
It was kind of a very telling thing.
Just the way you structure your questions makes a difference.
You know, there were 100 people in this call center.
Most of them were liberals.
It was about five conservatives like myself.
I felt like an infiltrator, but I have a disability and had to take any work I could get, and I took this job.
It was very, very interesting.
And another very interesting thing that happened, I ended up, one of the conservatives I called just happened to be, his name was John Hancock, and he told me, he was very patriotic.
He said, look, my grandfather's grandfather was the original John Hancock.
And he went on and on.
He was a big fan of yours.
He was a big fan of the Tea Party.
He even gave me permission to hang on to his phone number, but unfortunately, my cell phone busted a few weeks later.
I never got a chance to call that guy back.
But he remembered me, and I was laughing because I said, look, you'll remember me when I call you because I'm Phil the Infiltrator.
And he laughed.
But it was just an interesting thing.
I did surveys for these people for 90 days.
We were all scripted.
And, you know, I occasionally took the liberty to try to reword the question, to try to gauge what's really going on out there.
And I do believe these, and this is one of the biggest survey companies in the nation, calling all the way to Alaska and Hawaii at 1 o'clock in the morning from 9 a.m. to 1 in the morning.
And I was working these graveyard shifts.
I was working my way out of foreclosure, which I managed to do.
I mean, I busted my butt.
But anyway, it's just a very interesting process.
And 100 people in the call center on computer scripting and the name and the party affiliation is.
What would you say if I were to ask you to say in one or two sentences what you learned doing this?
What would you say?
It is easy to structure surveys to produce the results that the client wants.
All you have to do is be careful about the way you're wording it and the way you ask the question.
Yeah, but there's something even more powerful here.
You call these liberals and you ask them approve or disapprove and what 75% approve, but you give the option undecided and that gets cut in half.
Oh, yeah.
And you've got to remember, Rush, when I was getting 80% approved, 20% actually disapproved.
And they were actually set up.
This was 2010, back when they were still arguing stupid things like environmental issues and the polar bears are for drowning.
And now that was just during the midterm election.
It was the 90 days right before the November election in 2010.
Okay, so having done this, what's your reaction now when you hear the results of any poll that's reported in the news?
I believe we have to look very closely at the questions being asked and who's asking them.
And I just, I feel that Romney's on far better ground than he realizes.
And as a person who's been on the inside of this, I would like to tell him to just come out, please come out with a stronger message.
We'll all get behind him.
Start pushing a strong conservative message.
Well, it sounds to me like essentially what you're saying here is that the polls that you were taking had questions structured in such a way that Democrats were boxed into answers that regardless how they answered, you got an acceptable opinion for Obama because only certain options were available to him.
And we all know this.
You structure a poll to get whatever you want out of it.
I've long believed, and I've long stated, that polls have ceased many moons ago being reflections of public opinion.
Polls are now news stories.
They are an excuse to report the news as news networks and news divisions want the news covered.
They're simply ways to shape public opinion now in the form of a news story rather than actually reflect public opinion.
The polls that are taken that actually reflect public opinion are the polls taken by the campaigns.
They can't afford to monkey around.
And these are the polls that we never see.
Campaign polls, White House internals, they're called, in some cases, or the Romney and Turtle polls.
They can't afford to lie to themselves.
They can't afford to live delusions.
You've got to wonder, though, about Obama and if they're all caught up in delusions.
I think they are.
I think they are.
I think they really still stuck in this Messiah mindset, and they're stuck in this notion that their guy is universally loved, adored, and respected, and looked way, way up to.
I think they're fooling themselves.
83 Million Unemployment Claims 00:06:41
Big time.
It's interesting, Phil.
Thanks for the call.
I appreciate it.
It's James in Rolla, Missouri.
Great to have you on the program, sir.
Hello.
Hello, Rush.
Been listening to you for 20 years.
I'm a conservative, retired university professor.
One of my aunts is from Rolla, Missouri.
My aunt Mary is from Rolla, Missouri.
She married my uncle Manly, which is my dad's brother.
It's a wonderful town.
It is a great town.
School of Mines.
It was the University School of Mines is in Rolla, Missouri.
Yeah, now it's called Missouri University of Science and Technology.
Yeah, well, there's more than mines that are being taught there.
Yes, it is.
My question is very simple: how can we have 8.2% unemployment when if you add up all of the first-time jobless claims every Friday that's been carried out since Obama's been in office, that sums up as of the end of June to 83,918,000 people have lost their jobs.
Well, because if I understand your question, let's say the number is the 400,000 number that they either try to avoid 400,000 applications for unemployment.
Those are not brand new every week.
Some of those are the same people reapplying.
It says first time, though.
It says first-time unemployment claims.
First-time unemployment claims.
Yes.
And your number you get is 83 million?
83,918,000 as of the end of June, the end of July.
It'll be 85 million.
This is very interesting because within the past three months, in talking about unemployment, there was a period of a week or two where a number very close to that was cited as the actual number of adults not working in the country.
And it was a scary number when you look at the fact that 210 million adults, I think the number was around 80 million adults who were not working.
According to the BLS numbers, the number of Americans who are looking for work and can't find any, and those who have given up looking for work and don't have a job, that percentage is 18.2% right now.
The U6 numbers are on 18.2%.
Now, what that translates to in actual raw numbers, I don't know.
Did what you have, since Obama took office, you've taken the weekly numbers.
The weekly numbers and summed them all up in a spreadsheet, yes.
At first time, you've found the number every week, first time unemployment.
That's right.
And you've come up with 83 million.
So that's.
Now, those numbers come from the state have to report every week how many have filed for first-time unemployment numbers.
That's where that number comes from.
Well, you ask an interesting question.
You ask an interesting question that no question about it deserves an answer.
And of course, you've called the right place.
We will get the answer.
Now, in May, this is what I was talking about.
In May, James, we were told that 88 million Americans were no longer in the labor force.
This is the labor force participation rate.
This is the number that keeps rising that keeps actually, well, the labor force participation rate actually keeps shrinking, which is what keeps the unemployment percentage low.
I remember getting into arguments with people who tried to tell me that the labor force participation rate had nothing to do with the unemployment rate.
I said, you can't possibly be right.
Well, it was a long, drawn-out discussion of the number of jobs that no longer exist in the country.
And that number, since Obama took office, the government has just reduced the labor force participation rate by over 2 million.
They've just said that there are 2 million fewer jobs to be had.
And I would say, well, okay, if the universe of jobs has shrunk and you're comparing the people seeking jobs, you're obviously going to have a smaller unemployment percentage, which is why I have accused the regime of monkeying around with the numbers.
Now, are you using the so-called seasonally adjusted unemployment numbers, or are you using the real unadjusted new claims number?
Do you know the difference?
My numbers came from the U.S. Jobless Claims Chart published by Bloomberg on the way.
U.S. jobless claims chart published by Bloomberg.
It's a chart, and if you click on each week, it'll print out at the top of it the actual number for that week, and that's where I got my numbers.
These are first-time unemployment claims.
But you don't know if it's seasonally adjusted or raw data.
I do not know.
Okay, it's probably seasonally adjusted.
But either way, it's tremendously different than the 8% they talk about.
Well, everybody knows it's not 8%.
The government's own U6 number is around 18% now.
That 8.2% just counts people who are looking.
There's a whole lot of people who've given up looking.
Their 99 weeks have perspired, and they're now on disability.
Well, if you took it in 99 weeks, the last 99 weeks, there's 44 million people that filed for unemployment claim.
Well, I think it makes sense.
It's devastating out there.
We ought to run a total each week that that comes out when they give that number.
Why don't you put the sum total for his total?
Total Unemployment Counts 00:01:21
Look, we got a staff here.
We got a staff.
And maybe somebody on the staff get to the bottom of it.
Me.
This interesting, I've got to take a break here.
I'm way long, but interesting.
I'll do my best to have an answer for you before the election.
You know, this calculation gets really complicated because even if you're using the raw number of first-time unemployment claims, you still have to know how many people are being hired that week.
People are being hired.
Are people getting jobs?
It's just not nearly enough to compensate for those that are losing jobs and to speak up the pace of the economy.
Well, we'll do our best to get to the bottom of that.
Well, another fastest three hours in media is fini.
Toto la completa.
But as always, my friends, it never really ends.
We have a 21-hour timeout here where we rev up and get ready to go for tomorrow.
Thanks for being with us today, and see you tomorrow.
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