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Nov. 6, 2006 - Rush Limbaugh Program
36:20
November 6, 2006, Monday, Hour #1
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Welcome to today's edition of the Rush 24-7 podcast.
Ever since, I guess, mid-afternoon yesterday, last night, the drive-by media Democrats have been descending into a mini panic, ladies and gentlemen, because all of a sudden, three or four different polls show the Republicans closing and closing fast.
I am the only one who was not breathless about this.
I knew it was going to happen.
I predicted this first on the 24th of October and then every day since.
Greetings.
Great to have you with us.
Hope your weekend was cool.
We're here for Broadcast Excellence Three Hours, a Big Day here at the Limbaugh Institute for Advanced Conservative Studies, America's real anchorman, Rush Limbaugh, serving humanity simply by showing up.
Here's the phone number.
We're looking forward to talking to you today, 800-282-2882.
And the email address is rush at EIBnet.com.
Yes, all the polls are closing now, quite a few of them.
The Amendment 2 issue, the cloning issue, State Constitution, Missouri, deadheated, 47.
It was, well, in the high 50s 20 days ago, all these Senate races and neck and neck.
I've even got a poll here.
I never heard of this outfit.
They're out of Chicago.
McCullough polling group that's got Santorum down only four.
And everybody's going, well, how can this be?
How can this be?
And the liberals and the Democrats are putting out their little stories today to cover themselves, the old CYA, in case the unthinkable happens tomorrow.
And that is that it's John Kerry's fault.
But that's BS.
John Kerry may have energized some voters on the right.
But I reject the notion that Republicans fled the coupe in the first place.
You know what I've always thought about these polls, whether they're political polls or polls on anything else run to the Drive-By Media, they're simply a new way of reporting news or supposed news, faux news, if you will.
They run out and do the polls that they pay for and commission and report the results as though it's some kind of news.
How long has polling been going on for this midterm election even?
It seems like over a year now.
Poll after poll after poll after poll.
And the purpose, I believe, of these polls, and then I back this up, by the way, by suggesting to you that the drive-by media, and Howard Kurtz even admits it in the Washington Post today is interested in the change of hands in Washington, D.C., only because, only because, now, it's not ideology, you understand, it's only because they want more conflict.
They want Bush subpoenaed.
Journalists love action.
They don't like to be bored.
And so it's not ideology and the fact that they're 90% liberals that want a change of power in Washington.
It's just they want more exciting things to happen in their jobs on a day-to-day basis.
Now, if you're going to admit that, I don't care what the reason, if you're going to admit that the Drive-By Media is engaged for change, the Drive-By Media has an agenda, then you'd have to say that everything they're doing, or pretty much everything they're doing, is oriented toward effecting that change.
I believe polls are part of it.
There's no question Kerry did energize some, but I reject the notion that there have been massive numbers of Republicans that have fled in the first place.
And I think this is only natural that these polls are closing here because these people who do the polls are going to need credibility the day after the election or the week after the election.
And none of them want to be zogbied.
And by that, I mean none of them want to have to face the same questions the exit pollsters got in 2004 when by 5 o'clock everybody was ready to proclaim John Kerry President of the United States.
So we'll go through some of the polling data in depth here.
Just for the fun of it, the only holdout, the only holdout, you've got three polls here, Washington Post and ABC, Pew and Gallup, which now works with USA Today.
They don't CNN.
And there used to be a Troika there, USA Today, CNN Gallup, but now it's just USA Today Gallup.
And CNN is using their own bunch now, their own bunch.
I think the average in the generic ballot now is 7, 6, and 5.
So 6 is the average.
Folks, this was 23 points a month ago.
A month ago, or September, 23 points.
That's what the Democrat advantage was in the generic ballot today.
If you average the three, it's six, which is the identical number it was in 1998, by the way, which showed very little change, not significant change in Bill Clinton's six-year midterm elections.
So, and you can't count 94.
94 was the Republicans had a generic ballot lead of seven points in 1994.
And look what happened there, Rush.
Yeah, but totally different circumstances.
This is the sixth year of a second-term presidency, and that was not the case in 1994.
But CNN's the lone holdout.
They have the Democrats up 20 in their generic ballot in a poll from the last three days, the 5th, the 4th, and the 3rd of November.
We also have the Saddam Hussein verdict to factor in here.
I'm laughing at this too.
The first thing the Democrats said was, well, that isn't going to make any difference.
I mean, expect this.
If this is all they got as their November surprise, well, if it's not going to make any difference, why are you people so worried about it out there on the left?
Why are you acting so concerned about the Saddam verdict?
The more interesting thing about the Saddam verdict is all of these libs coming forth and the European Union crowd saying, he shouldn't be executed, or this trial wasn't fair, or and I read some of the chat boards on the Democrat Kook blogosphere sites.
And I mean, some of the things these people were writing was just, well, some of it's not even repeatable.
One comment was, well, if it's good enough for Saddam, it's good enough for Bush.
Let's hang them both.
And these are Democrats.
So perhaps not very many, but still some.
Now, I want to tackle this notion that John Kerry is being set up as the fall guy for the Democrats.
Don't misunderstand.
I would love for that to be the case, but we're into accuracy here, and I don't think that's the reason.
I've got polling data here, which I again will go through, that basically shows in all of these polls, and here, I don't want to appear to be falling into the trap of buying everything these things say.
I have my own doubts as to why they're not accurate.
For one thing, and let me go through those first.
For one thing, it's getting harder and harder and harder for pollsters to find qualified respondents.
I think people are fed up with the phone ringing when the caller ID saying out of area or some fake number.
I think they're fed up with solicitations of all kinds on the phone.
Cell phone users are not polled.
From what I've been told, it's getting harder and harder and harder for pollsters to find qualified respondents.
More and more telephone calls to find qualified respondents.
A lot of the polls during the course of this year have featured adults.
And the reason instead of likely voters, and the reason for that is that it just takes more money and more time to dig through all of the garbage to find likely voters rather than adults.
There's also the possibility that people lie to the pollsters for whatever reason.
There are a number of factors, but we've had stories on this program in the past month about how a bunch of retailers that do business on the phone are having much more trouble getting it done simply because it's a flooded market.
And the people that answer the phones are getting fed up with it.
And a lot of them don't answer the phone.
They'll use their voice machines to answer the phone and decide not to call back, which means pollsters just have to work harder and harder and harder at getting people they deem to be qualified.
As to Kerry, when I go through these polls, one of the things I have noticed is that the Democrats peaked about 10 days ago.
And in the last 10 days is when their plunge started or the Republican ascendancy in the poll started.
Kerry happened on day six of this 10-day period.
So he might have given it a boost, but he's not the reason.
They're just covering their rear ends.
If they do lose or if they don't win as big as they are predicting, they don't want the blame to be on them and what they stand for and what they've said and what their issues are.
They want to be able to throw a carry overboard.
And even though that's a tempting prospect, would love to see it.
We're not going to let them get away with hiding the fact, if they don't win as big as they thought if they lose, that they are the factor.
That's going to be the primary reason.
Troubling, or not troubling.
Interesting, fascinating headline here in the Los Angeles Times.
As races get tighter, Iraq still the focus.
Well, now, how can that be?
Because I was under the impression that Iraq was what was keeping Republicans away from the poll.
Sorry, Mark Foley and Iraq were keeping Republicans away from the polls.
And Iraq was what drives Democrats in record numbers, we're told, to the polls.
Now, if the polls indeed show this tightening, and my, again, I want to go on record.
I don't think the margin has ever been as wide in reality as what the polls have indicated.
If they have been, what good are polls two months ago?
What good are polls a month ago?
What good are polls three weeks ago?
If they're now tightening, the stuff that was happening out there, accurate or not, was irrelevant.
So why was it done?
It was the pollsters were working in concert with Democrats to depress Republicans and suppress turnout.
Now they've done their job.
They think now it's time to tighten these babies up to make sure they have credibility after the fact.
And that's how you end up with a headline, as races get tighter, Iraq still the focus.
What does that tell you?
What in the world does that tell you if Iraq is still the focus and the races are getting tighter?
It could tell you any number of things, if you believe all this, and there's always that caveat.
It could be that only now certain people are starting to really think about this.
It could be that the independents starting to make up their minds and they're deciding after the Hussein verdict and after the Kerry statement, whoa, not really crazy about things here, but I know we don't need more Democrats to fix this.
Could be any number of things to explain this.
But if you want to, again, analyze this stuff in a rational way from the premise that you believe the polls.
I don't.
But if you want to play it that way, but I think it's still funny that you get this headline, as races get tighter, Iraq still the focus.
That doesn't make any sense.
If Iraq is still a focus and everything that drive-by media and upholsters have been telling us for the last year, the Democrats' margin should be increasing.
The lead should be expanding exponentially if Iraq is still the factor they have portrayed it to be this whole year.
Brief timeout.
Broadcast excellence back after this.
Having more fun than a human being should be allowed to have.
All right, the new Rasmussen tracking poll has just been released, ladies and gentlemen.
President Bush's job approval is now at 45% in the Rasmussen poll.
It's the highest it has been this year.
On Friday, it was 41%.
On Saturday, it was 43%.
And today, it's 45.
So it's, I don't know what it's going to be tomorrow.
We'll wait on this as a rolling track average here.
But we've got 43 approval on November 5th to 53% disapproval, 45% to 52% today, 45 approval, disapproval.
And this is the trend.
And this is another thing.
And I, you know, I'm sorry to keep saying this because I don't want you people to think I've fallen into the trap of believing everything the polls say, but since they're out there today, I just want to give you some of the conventional wisdom that is uttered about polls.
And one of the things that's always said about polls this late in the game is the results when close are not that important.
It's the momentum that you look at.
Clearly, Bush has a rolling positive momentum.
It makes sense in this case because he's been out there.
He'd been out there all week.
He swamped parts of the country on the weekend.
So it would only make sense that these numbers are correct.
Now, if the Rasmussen presidential approval of poll tomorrow has him at 46 or 47, which is up from the 45% today, which is the highest in the year, you can interpret that as extremely good news.
And it will be news that will panic these people on our television sets who live and die by this stuff.
And they do.
And they are, if you read it right, if you watch it right, you can hear some of the panic setting in.
We'll play you some soundbites here in just a minute.
There are some holdouts here.
Stu Rothenberg of the Rothenberg Reports.
They don't believe any of this.
Six Senate seats and 40 House seats will go to the Democrats on the election tomorrow.
Here are the results from the Pew poll just summarizing the Pew Research Center.
Remember, this is the same poll that identified you people as the most informed audience in all the broadcast media.
On the generic ballot, the Democratic lead has been shaved from 11 points to 4 points.
In this poll, the Bush job approval among registered voters has gone from 37 to 41%.
And they are one of the three polling units that say a lot of this is owing to John Kerry's big mouth.
Again, I've got data here that will show you the Democrat trend was 10 days ago, which is four days before Kerry opened his mouth out in California.
So in some of the textual information from the Pew Poll, Republicans gained in the new poll reflect a number of late-breaking trends.
First, Republicans have become more engaged and enthused in the election than they had been in September and October.
President Bush's political standing has improved in the final week before the election.
Job approval rating among registered voters up from 37% in early October to 41% in the current survey.
Again, 45% in the Rasmussen survey.
84% of voters say they have heard a lot about Kerry's remarks.
60% say a lot or a little.
84% say they've heard a lot or a little about Kerry's remarks.
60% saying they've heard a lot.
By comparison, just 26% say that they've heard a lot about Bush's statement that he would keep Rumsfeld as Secretary.
So what?
What?
See, this is something.
Why even put that question?
You think Bush saying he's going to keep Rumsfeld will affect your vote?
I refuse to believe that when people walk into the polling place tomorrow, they're going to be voting for or against Rumsfeld as Secretary of Defense.
This is wishful thinking.
This is exactly what I've been talking about, how these people are attempting to create news and attitudes and opinions by the use of polls.
Now, Ed Morrissey at Captain's Quarters, which is the name of his blog, has taken a look inside the Pew Poll internals.
And the internals, he writes, deliver even more bad news to the Democrats as significant leads in several demographic categories have been cut drastically or wiped out entirely.
The last Pew Poll was in early October.
In the following month, the Democrats have lost non-minorities altogether.
That would mean whites for those of you in Rio Linda.
The gap among all whites went from plus five Democrats to plus five GOP in a month.
That's a 10-point swing.
White females had supported Democrats by a 15-point margin, a majority of 55 to 40, but now give the GOP a two-point lead in less than a month.
The Democrats have also lost the middle class, a big problem for them in this election.
And we'll have some information for those of you in the middle class.
For those of you who are in the $50,000 a year tax bracket, let me just give you the ballpark numbers.
Now, give you the specifics here as the program unfolds before your very eyes and ears.
Under the Bush tax cuts, Family 450 Grand average household income is paying about $1,300 in federal income taxes.
Without the Bush tax cuts, you'd be paying $3,300.
The Democrats want to cut the Bush tax cuts.
So it's going to cost you $2,000 more to be an American if the Democrats win.
Again, specifics coming up.
According to the Pew Poll, households earning between $50,000 and $75,000 and $30,000 and $50,000 a year have both slipped to the GOP.
The 50,000 to 75,000 group switched from a 14-point margin for the Democrats to an eight-point Republican lead, all this within a month, while the latter, the $30,000 to $50,000 a year range, has had an even more drastic shift.
Those earners had favored Democrats by 22 points, but now go Republican by 3.
Now, how can this be?
Is it gas prices?
How do you count for such huge, major demographic shifts inside of a month?
Polar credibility after the election is the answer.
Back in just a second.
Ah, yes, you're guiding light through times of trouble, confusion, murkiness, tumult, despair, Saddam verdicts, chaos, torture, humiliation, Koran flushing down the toilet, and even the good times here on the EIB network at 800-282-2882.
All right.
The theme of the Pew Poll, ladies and gentlemen, is, I mean, when you read this, when you read the internals, it's inescapable.
The Democrat gains in this election cycle demographically are gone in this poll.
The Republican Party's rolled back the Democrat intrusion onto Republican demographics, and it leaves the field.
If you go back and look at previous polls in previous election years, you almost see the similar same results that we had in these polls anyway, 2002 and 2004.
And Ed Morrissey is one of a few beginning to flex their muscles out there, saying that this election may hold some very unpleasant surprises for the Democrats in the House races if these numbers hold up or continue to erode over the next 40 hours.
Then there's the ABC News Washington Post poll.
What happened?
What happened?
They had a generic ballot lead, the Democrats of anywhere from 11 to 15%.
But now the new post ABC News poll shows only a 6% lead for the Democrats.
It was 14% in the last poll.
This is the generic.
This should go out and ask people all over the country.
You're going to vote Republican, you're going to vote Democrat.
There are no names used in these polls.
And of course, this one of these polls, they'll go back and forth using this poll or is country on the right track or wrong track.
Whatever gives them the best answer to help Democrats is the question they use.
But they've got to tighten these polls up, as I said, ladies and gentlemen, because they have to have some semblance of credibility after the election on Tuesday.
I mean, they can't have all these massive margins of victory and advantages for Democrats if that's not going to be the end result.
Here's a little sample of media panic going on about this.
We have a little montage here from last night and this morning from a whole bunch of people.
The race is tightening, but that's to be expected.
It's perfectly normal.
Listen to this.
Why is it that Republicans are tightening in the polls?
Polls show the races are tightening.
You would see a tightening in the House and the Senate races.
We have a new poll.
It shows the race has tightened.
The race is tightening.
Our indications are that things could be tightening.
The polls are tightening and tightening.
The races are tightening.
The big races seem to be tightening.
Yes, but then, of course, there's an explanation for this, and they'll come up with all these confounded idiotic reasons to explain why the race might be tightening.
Like this L.A. Times headline, as races get tighter, Iraq's still the focus.
How can that be?
If Iraq is going to keep people away from the Republicans hate Bush, hate Iraq, country hates Bush, hate Iraq.
If that's true, then the race ought to be widening in vast numbers for the Democrats.
It isn't happening.
This morning, CNN solid O'Brien had this exchange with James Carville, and she's biting the fingernails.
James, James, the DOP can't come back, right?
They can't come back from this.
The race is tightening more than even the last time we spoke a couple of days ago.
Realistically, is there anything that can be done at this point?
You have it 58 to 38.
It'll be very tight if we believe our votes.
Yeah, Carville laughing at his own poll.
They're the lone holdout.
Everybody's got the race tightening.
CNN's got it 58, 38 Democrats in the generic ballot.
And is there anything that surmise this much?
Is there anything can be done?
Is there anything that can be done at this point to stop this, James?
Is there anything can be done?
The race is tight.
Anything that can be done.
What happened to all this confidence these people had?
By the way, Pelosi has surfaced, ladies and gentlemen, new face and new hairdo.
And she has surfaced.
And I think we drew her out.
She's been away getting a makeover.
Become a new speaker.
And yes, speaking of tightening, she has been out getting a new makeover, new hairdo, and Nancy Pelosi has even put forth, it's not a new theme, but coming from the future new Speaker of the House, quote unquote, it's somewhat interesting.
She says essentially, it's either we win or they cheated.
This is all about the voting machines and the integrity of the count.
Details coming up.
Really, here's more of Soledad O'Brien and James Carville.
What can realistically be done at this stage of the game?
They're doing a lot of things.
I don't know how much of it is going to matter, but it's not going to be for a lack of action in these campaign headquarters.
So what she's talking about, what can the Republicans realistically do at this stage?
What really can be done?
Soledad, it's called Not Give Up.
It's very simple.
It's called Not Give Up.
How many of you watched Meet the Press yesterday?
Do you watch it, Snerdly?
All right, there was a lone woman on this show, Elizabeth Liddy Dole.
She was on with Ram Emmanuel, who runs a Democrats election effort in the House.
Chuck Schumer runs a Democrats' election effort in the Senate.
I didn't see the program.
I was out yesterday playing golf.
I got in and prepared to read the transcript of the show, and I'm going to go into emails.
And it's been a long time since I've received email from people about a Sunday show to this degree about how rude everybody on this show was to Elizabeth Dole.
So we got some bites of it, and you can judge for yourself.
Tim Russert says to Chuck Schumer.
No, let's start with Emmanuel.
Let's say number five.
Russert says, so you're confident of a Democrat takeover?
I'm confident that we are playing offense across this country in every region of this country.
You go to history.
In 58, there was a big election.
In 1966, a big election.
1974, a big election.
1982, a big election.
In 1994, a big election.
Every decade, the American people have a big election where they say no to the status quo and yes to a new direction.
And this election is a yes to a new direction, which is what Democrats are offering.
Now, that's meaningless because after he made these comments and after his appearance on Meet the Press yesterday, these three polling units released their polls that show the Republicans tightening.
Ron Emmanuel has since said of those polls, this is making me nervous.
I don't know what to make of it.
Of course it's making them nervous.
They've, you know, they've been celebrating on a 10-yard line.
They haven't scored the touchdown yet.
Nancy Pelosi, tightening up, went out there, got a makeover, new hair, new hairstyle.
You know, she's gotten all dressed up for the ball, and she hadn't gotten the invitation yet.
There's something about all of that, too.
You know, I delved into this in some detail last weekend, but there's just something unseemly here about a bunch of people who start talking about their victory and what they're going to be doing after their victory before they have secured it.
Things like that generally come back to bite you.
And if there's a group of people that deserve to be bit, it's certainly this bunch.
Russert says to Schumer, well, will the Democrats take control of the Senate?
Well, Tim, we're right on the edge of taking back the Senate.
I wouldn't open up the champagne or do the high fives, but we are feeling very good, something we never would have said even three months ago.
Come on, Chuck.
You know, this is disingenuous as can be.
You guys have been predicting this for a year.
Less so in the Senate than in the House.
But you guys have been predicting this since 2002.
Wellstone Memorial, and in 2004, it was, I forget what it was.
You guys have been predicting this for the longest time, but he's wise not to pop the champagne corks and start spraying it all over everybody like in a sports locker room after the Super Bowl here, but Pelosi just can't help herself.
Now, here is Russert saying to Liddy Dole, the two leading proponents of the war are now saying forget about it, incompetence, and we shouldn't have done it.
It's almost as if the Democrats, you know, it's like they are content with losing because to pull out, to withdraw from this war is losing.
No question about it.
The Democrats are content with losing.
The Democrats appear to be content with losing.
I mean, that's a timeout.
We'll have different things where we do not.
No wonder I thought they wouldn't let her talk after she accused them of the truth.
Come on, folks.
Everybody knows they've tried to sabotage victory in this war from trying to defeat the Patriot Act to the foreign surveillance program to undermine terrorist prisoner interrogation to letting the legal system try these suspects as criminals rather than to let the commander-in-chief prosecute a war.
The Democrats have done everything they could.
They're the cut-and-run Democrats.
Jack Murtha Pelosi, what do you mean?
She is exactly right.
They do want to lose.
They'll lose.
They'll do anything to get their power back.
Ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to tell you about these people.
And I'm going to put it a little bit different way than I have phrased it in the past.
You know, what I've always said to you in my view of doing this program and effecting change in America, I have always said, create an informed, ever-increasingly large, informed number of people who participate in the process and vote.
That will affect change.
And that has happened.
Since 1994, other than the presidential election, Democrats are losing, Republicans are winning.
A more informed base, a more informed and participatory group of voters exists on the Republican side.
The Democrats, however, don't like the Democrat process, particularly when they lose.
So they seek to undermine it.
How do they do this?
By controlling the institutions of America, education, the courts, the bureaucracies of the State Department and the CIA and the Pentagon.
The Democrats are in the business of thwarting the Democratic process.
The Democrats are in the business of thwarting the popular will because it's not going their way.
And that's exactly what they're doing in trying to sabotage the war.
They voted for it, in fact.
They voted for what happened.
The war on terror, the war in Iraq, they voted for it.
But now they heard from their base that their base doesn't like it, so they've got it, and they think Bush is vulnerable on it.
So they're doing everything they can to sabotage victory.
It's not news.
Liddy Dole, I wonder if she was surprised she got this kind of reaction because everybody knows this about Democrats on the Republican side.
Everybody knows they want to lose this.
They would love for this war to be lost.
They've been trying to engineer this for who knows how long because it'll humiliate Bush and it'll humiliate and depress Republicans and keep them away from the polls.
But make no mistake, the Democratic process is fine for Democrats when they win it, but when they lose it, they will undermine it to get their power back.
If they can't win at the ballot box, they will thwart the will of the people at the institutional level each and every chance they get.
And they cannot be allowed to get away with this, folks.
I don't want you to have the attitude, well, hell, Rushdie, everything's lost.
They still control the institutions.
Yes, they used to control Congress.
We took care of that.
Now's not the time to give up, ladies and gentlemen.
Understanding their tactics, understanding their objectives is key to defeating them in all of these areas.
There's no question we need elected conservative leadership in Washington.
There's no question we need that.
We haven't had as much as we'd like, but it's no reason to throw in a towel.
Quick timeout.
We'll be back.
Because we can get it again.
Back after this.
Stay with us.
Doo-doo-doo.
Hang on here, folks.
I'm still looking for that story about your finances.
The Democrats went on tax cases.
And I can't remember what stack I put in, but I'll find it.
In the meantime, folks, I must reiterate something.
The Pew Poll results that I just shared with you a mere moments ago.
In the first half hour of the program, I can now tell you officially the Democrats are scared to death of these internals.
And what's happened is that the Pew Research Center on its website has published what are called the crosstabs, which essentially means that it makes it hard to rationalize the result because the reason the result is there's what the crosstabs are for.
And I just want to go through this again because this genuinely has the Democrats in a behind-the-scenes panic.
And you're probably going to see more evidence of it as the day goes on if you check their websites.
The latest Pew Poll was taken in early October.
In one month, this is what has them stunned.
In one month, early October through early November, the Democrats have lost whites altogether, men and women.
They've lost them.
And it's huge.
The gap among all whites went from plus five Democrats in early October to plus five GOP in early November.
That is a 10-point swing in one month.
If you believe this stuff.
Now, the Democrats are going to believe it because they've invested everything in these polls.
White families, white females, I'm sorry, had supported Democrats by a 15-point margin.
You remember all this talk about security moms and all that?
And how they were fleeing the GOP.
They didn't like Bush anymore.
It was all caca.
White females had supported Democrats by a 15-point margin with a 55-40 majority voting Democrat.
But now the Republicans have a two-point lead.
That is a huge swing inside of one month.
They have lost all the whites, men and women.
In addition to that, they've lost the middle class.
Households earning between $50,000 and $75,000 a year and $30,000 and $50,000 a year have both crossed over to the GOP in the Pew Poll.
The $50,000 to $75K range switched from a 14-point Democrat margin to an 8-point Republican lead.
It's a 22-point swing.
The $30,000 to $50,000 income range has had an even more dramatic shift.
Those earners have favored Democrats by 22 points, now go Republican by 3.
That's a 23-point shift.
The Democrats have even lost the tie they had with earners above 75.
Remember all those polls about people favoring the Democrats on the economy and nobody can figure this out and everybody's scratching their heads?
My point to you, it never was the case.
And these massive swings, what would you chalk this up to?
Gas prices falling, Dow Jones at $12,000.
Stuff didn't get reported very much other than on non-drive-by media websites and radio shows and a television network.
So how can how do you explain this?
In the religious demographics, where the Democrats have tried mightily to find some traction, they also have some problems.
They held a thin five-point lead among all Protestants a month ago that are now trailed by nine.
That's a 14-point swing.
Their 10-point lead among white Protestants has dissipated to a tie, and they lead among all Catholic, having lost three points off an eight-point lead.
But non-Hispanic Catholics now favor the GOP by five points, which is a 10-point shift.
Now, these demographics are fascinating and key.
And again, they're cross-tabbed in this poll, which means the evidence for it is so that rationalizing this is almost impossible to do.
Even in areas where Democrats have maintained their leads in the Pew Poll, they've got some problems.
They lost part of their margin among self-described moderates going from 44 points to 27.
They had led in all regions of the country a month ago, but now they've lost the South altogether in a 16-point shift.
And a 26-point gap in the Northeast has narrowed to nine points.
That's 17 points the Republicans have picked up in the Northeast in one month.
Democrat lead among urban voters down from 32 points to 10 points.
These are leads, but the old mole is clearly in this poll against Democrats.
And I'm telling you, the Democrats are scared to death about this, folks.
Okay, folks, so what are we doing tomorrow?
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