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Jan. 15, 2024 - Rudy Giuliani
01:45:09
America's Mayor Live (E321): The 2024 Iowa Caucus Results & Reaction
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Good evening, this is Rudy Giuliani.
A little bit early with America's Mayor Live, because at eight o'clock we start to get the results.
We start to get, I think, some of the results of the Iowa caucus.
They actually vote at eight, but some of them come in very, very quickly.
Some come in a little later.
A little later than that.
So, I don't know exactly when we will be getting all of them.
When we will be getting all of them coming in to us.
Generally, the cities come in first.
First, let's wish everyone a very happy Martin Luther King Day.
This is the anniversary of the birth of Dr. Martin Luther King.
A very appropriate day to be having a very, very important primary.
Dr. King was an advocate of peaceful protest, of facing people with their contradictions and hypocrisies and having them resolve it rather than battering them and doing violence and Who knows what?
Showing more anger than sometimes the people that you're angry at, and therefore that then turns around, and it may be that the people now that are running around demonstrating against racists are the biggest racists.
I mean, it's really strange, I think, Dr. King.
would find himself very, very confused, particularly by, of course, the critical test that he used to judge people by the content of their character, the color of their skin.
And we see that so many people, whenever accused of anything, immediately run to the victimization of skin, of color.
And, um, avoid accountability.
We have a short clip if we want to play it.
And I think Dr. King's words would be enormously helpful today, but I don't know that there are many people that have their ears open for that.
Sure, we can play that short clip.
My poor little children!
We'll one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin, but by the content of their character.
I have a dream!
Well, let's hope that that over time, uh, reestablishes itself as a message.
And we will now take a short break.
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America's Mayor live back again just a little before 8 o'clock.
We're starting a little bit early.
We took a short break because we got a call from President Trump who has said that he's heading over to his campaign headquarters feeling good about Feeling good about the caucuses.
So at this point, now that we approach eight o'clock, all of the speeches in all of the 600 plus caucus areas are over.
Everybody's gotten to say the last words they get to say to the delegates.
And the delegates are now meeting in little groups.
This is like, you know, 18th century, 19th century democracy, I guess.
They're meeting in little groups and kind of vaguely Trump groups, DeSantis groups, Haley groups, Ramaswamy groups, really nobody else, right?
And what happens, which is really interesting if you could get to see it, but they don't let you see the inside part of it.
You actually see them move around.
Not much, but you'll see somebody maybe go from a Ramaswamy group, go over to a Trump group, and then go over to a DeSantis group, and then go back to the Trump group, and that's where he lines up.
So, you see some of the indecision, and you see some of the change of position.
And this is a process that produces I think somewhat more last minute changes than is normally the case.
Now Trump is going into it with a big advantage because in the poll that was taken yesterday, the numbers of people that are definitely going to vote for him as compared to definitely going to vote for the others is just crazy different.
Like he's an 85, 89% whereas, um, DeSantis isn't bad, he's in his 60s, and she's down around 40s.
That means there are more people that are unsure of her than are sure of her that are going to vote for her.
Now, unless that poll is wrong, or unless she made some great big closing argument today, she should be the one that has the slippage.
And I don't know how much of it would go to Trump.
Because if you're on her, you might be more likely to go to DeSantis.
So, I guess I'm saying I wouldn't be surprised if the big change in that poll is that DeSantis comes in second and Haley comes in third.
It really depends on what the nature of that hesitancy was.
But it was a broad-based hesitancy, and that's not a good thing in an election like this, where there's a lot of changing of mind that goes on.
So here are the questions that have to be answered tonight.
Mayor, we just hit 8 o'clock, so do you want to welcome our new audience?
Let me officially now say hello to all of our wonderful audience for America's mayor alive, and we're going to be covering the caucus in Iowa that is just about the time that we open closing.
And we just had a call, some of the people that were on early got to hear at least a teeny bit of it from President Trump, who said he was just leaving for the campaign headquarters.
And I don't think, if I recall correctly, you'll get any numbers.
You may get a couple that slip around around 8.30.
You're not going to really get the numbers until 9.00.
So, looks like they've closed down.
And now they are going about voting.
And they vote in different ways.
They vote by secret ballot, they vote by lining up, they vote by hand, and then the chairman of the meeting certifies the vote.
Everybody has a chance to go over it, and then they send it to the clerk.
Almost about as secure a way as you can do it, because every voter can tell if there's any cheating going on.
This might be the way we should teach them how to vote in a few of those crooked places.
But this is about a secure way to vote if you can.
Each one of the candidates was all over the place today, despite the inclement weather.
I don't know that there's going to be a tremendous impact on the number of people that voted as a result of the
weather.
weather.
All the reports today were, it seemed pretty normal, but I can't believe there isn't going to be.
So the last contested Republican primary was in 2016.
The last big contested Republican primary was in 2016, and I think that produced about
180,000 voters, which was the record.
Thank you.
They were actually thinking before the weather situation emerged that this could produce 200.
But now the thinking is that it might not reach the numbers of 20 of 2016.
So we'll have to see if that, if that happens.
Uh, while we wait for that, I need to remind all of you because the crooked, dishonest, Pravda-like press that we have in America has, of course, not told you that on Friday night there was a rather major riot in front of the White House that looked a lot like what they exaggerated January 6th to be.
It seemed considerably more violent, except for the fact that these people were not attacked by the police.
There was no use of tear gas on them, even though they were shaking The gates of the White House.
Now for the life of me, I can't imagine why anyone would let you shake the gates of the White House without getting arrested.
But I guess if you are a left wing, a left winger who's angry at the president, but could still possibly vote for him.
And you're hoping that if you sell out Israel enough, you can get that vote.
You don't arrest him because we don't have a criminal justice system any longer.
We have a political punitive system, so things get judged by the politics of it.
Now, were those people that were complaining that there was some cheating going on in a democratic county, they'd all have been arrested.
Maybe nowadays, after the sentences by the judges of the District of Columbia who act more like commissars, who knows?
Maybe there's been a shot on the spot.
I don't know.
But no punitive action was taken against these people.
It required White House personnel to go into secure locations.
And despite that, not a single arrest was made, nor was any tear gas used, which maybe they used up all their tear gas on January 6th.
Because when you look at the film that is now released, and we haven't seen all of it yet, looks to me like one very, very peaceful crowd of thousands and thousands and thousands of people.
was attacked with very pungent tear gas to cause the commotion.
Oh, and this was all outside.
And these are the people they now want to go after.
There are 1,200 people that they've tried isn't enough.
So now they want to try even more, even though we have crime going on in America, in some places, you know, record murders.
But we're going to spend our time on a group of people like the, um, Like the, um, the guy who was walking around dressed up like it was Halloween and was escorted by the police and had the police hold the door for him.
The shaman had the police, had the police hold the door for him as he entered the Senate chamber.
Guy was really shocked when he found out he wasn't wanted.
They escorted him all around.
They tried to help him get in the first door.
When that didn't work, they got the key for the second door.
They opened it.
They held the door for him.
He went in, he made his speech.
They told him to leave.
He asked if he could say a prayer.
He said a prayer and he left.
Then they told him he was involved in an insurrection.
And he was wondering, who am I insurrecting against?
What is an insurrection?
Tell me, what's an insurrection?
Is it being escorted by the police around very cordially?
Well, this wasn't cordial.
Maybe we'll have some pictures of it later, Ted, to show it, to show it, uh, to show it.
Uh, the, the, um, exit polls to the extent that they exist from the reading between the lines, um, at Fox and, um, harder to do with CNN and MSNBC, I think that Trump's lead is going to hold.
Now, they're not going to cheat here.
There's no way to cheat.
Remember when Fox called Arizona for Biden when two votes were in?
And then it ended up being a 2% election, which maybe wasn't a 2% election with votes that still haven't been found.
And how they could have, irrespective of the result in the election, How they could have called it with two votes in.
That's when you knew it was going to be an interesting night.
Particularly when at that very moment, Pennsylvania had 65% of the vote cast and Trump was ahead by 800,000.
But in any event, we're going to, we'll keep an eye on them too, because they cannot be trusted.
Their operation is intended to Try to get their candidate elected.
Fox has desperately tried.
First, I mean, the real big efforts that the Murdoch's put in was for DeSantis.
And when DeSantis disappointed him, they abandoned him for quite some time.
I mean, they threw him down like a useless dog.
And then they tried Haley and they tried to pump her balloon up.
But something went wrong there.
So they're back.
They're back now with a last minute try with DeSantis and a little bit of sucking up to Trump.
Because they're afraid that he's going to be president, and he won't be nice to them.
Because this is very, very independent journalism, right?
This is very independent journalism.
Very, very.
At least at CNN and MSNBC, you know where they stand.
It's real simple.
If Trump gets elected, we will become Nazi Germany, and they will all be put in prison, and they will not be allowed to broadcast.
No, don't be sarcastic and sheer at home.
That isn't right.
We do not want that to happen to them.
We want them to be able to get to say whatever the hell they want to say.
As long as we can get to say whatever the hell we want to say.
Because what we want to say is a lot more intelligent than what they want to say.
And if we have a battle in the marketplace of ideas, within about 10 years, communism will be gone, Marxism will be gone, and all extreme left-wing thinking will be gone.
Because that's what happens everywhere.
Communism runs its course.
If you just let it run its course and you challenge it.
Um, so the way, the way the state, uh, the way the state is going to work is, uh, it's not conveniently divided, uh, geographically into Republican, Democrat, liberal conservative, because the cities, the cities are in different places and the rural counties are everywhere.
Now the rural counties are solidly Republican.
And they are solidly Trump Republican.
And that's the place that DeSantis has to make his inroads.
Because DeSantis decided to run to the right of Trump.
Was it a good idea?
Was it a bad idea?
I guess about 10 o'clock tonight, we can tell you.
But he decided he was going to run to the right.
Haley didn't know where she was running.
She wasn't criticizing Trump very much.
Then she started with the, I'll be less chaotic.
Now, she's running pretty hard, so she's really running to the left.
In fact, in New Hampshire, she's trying very, very hard to get the Democratic vote, to the extent that it exists, registered before Friday, to sabotage the Republican primary, and the left-leaning independent vote, which is available.
they are allowed to vote in New Hampshire. So she is, I guess you can simplify it by saying
the Santa's going to the right and she's going to the left.
Now, let's see how much room, let's see how much room there is for that.
If we take a good look here, let me see if I can move this over a little.
And of course, Mayor, in 2016 we started getting some results.
As early as 830.
So right now across Iowa in thousands of hundreds of locations, the voters are meeting in person.
They probably have.
I mean, it's all a question of how of how many.
It's all a question of how many of how many have gotten finished by now.
At this point, if they are finished, They will be able to report.
Yep.
If they're finished, they'll be able to report.
And they started, yep.
Here's, here's a, if you want to look right now, here is a good look at, here's a good look at the state of Iowa.
So that, that I'll make it a little small to get the whole state in.
There's the whole state of Iowa.
Um, the blue, the blue happened to be, The only places carried by Joe Biden.
Now, Trump won this by 13%, so that will, to some extent, guide what you're thinking here.
But if you'll notice, the blue are largely the cities.
Davenport, Cedar Rapids, Des Moines, the capital, and Sioux City over here, which is really a Republican city.
The only one that's really a Republican city.
So your Democratic vote is in these areas.
Now, that's where your Haley vote is going to come from.
The Haley vote is going to come from in here.
In those places right there.
And they should come in early.
So you should expect a somewhat larger Haley vote at the beginning than as we move along.
Now, part of it also has to do with the size, part of it also has to do with the size of the counties.
So here's a map that shows you the size of the counties.
The very, very green areas are pretty much the same cities you just saw converted into counties.
And they're in a range of about 400,000 plus people.
400 to 430,000.
So you can see right there, Des Moines, right in the center, that's Polk County.
Des Moines is right there.
Are they able to see it?
Yep, we got it up on the screen there, Mayor.
Ames is over here and that would be, you know, Democrats not going to win this state, this time out.
But if a Democrat were to win, that's where they would win.
And if Haley's looking to pick up votes, I would say the greener it gets, the better chance for Haley.
Lighter it gets, the better chance for Trump.
Except what will happen with the evangelical vote?
Cruz won it.
Cruz won the evangelical vote last time.
The election was close, but as they say, close but no cigar.
Dick, can you bring up the 16 map again?
The results?
At the primary?
Yeah.
Yeah.
So here's the result.
You'll see it was close.
It was 27-6 for Cruz and 24-3 for Trump and 23 for Rubio.
So they will lump together, which suggested possibly Rubio's endorsement will mean a few votes.
Now, Rubio carried, interestingly, the Democratic counties and Rubio carried the The counties that Haley has to carry.
Rubio carried Dallas and Polk.
That's the capital.
Polk is the capital.
Story at University, Ames.
And then Davenport and cities there.
So he carried only one, two, three, four, five.
He carried five counties.
Meanwhile, the darker counties, the ones that you see in the darker red, brown, or whatever that is.
Dark red.
We'll say light red and dark red.
The dark red were the cruise counties, and they were the most, they were the most, they were the most right-wing counties.
And you'll see there, the counties that are the Center of evangelical groups, Sue Lyon up in the corner here.
These are places where if Cruz is going to do well, he is going to have to do well.
Down here, Wayne and Davis, also very heavily Uh, evangelical.
Now you notice, despite that, Trump carried Davis.
Now there's actually, I'll tell you the reasons.
First of all, Trump is not anathema even back then to the evangelical voter.
And number two, Davis wasn't as evangelical then.
It's switched over the last, a very big switch in population.
So these are the areas where you're going to see.
You're going to see early or not a bump for DeSantis.
If you don't see a bump here, now there are evangelicals all over the state.
You saw how much of the state voted for Trump in 2020.
All throughout the state is rural areas and evangelical forms of Christianity.
But those are the places it's concentrated, and that's where you'll be able to see it early enough if it emerges as a vote.
If, however, you see in those areas the ones that should be the most favorable to DeSantis, like Leon and Sue and Wayne and Davis, or Dallas and Polk and Story and Johnson and Scott, ones that should be Better for Haley.
If you see Trump running anywhere near the mid 40s there, then he's going to come in at 48, 49 or 50.
And looking at my watch, they've actually finished counting a few places.
And maybe they're waiting just a little so that a few don't trickle in.
I mean, you know, there's a big difference.
There's a big difference in some of these Some of these caucuses have 30 people, and some of these caucuses have hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of people.
Don't know if there are too many over a thousand.
Yeah, there are a couple.
There are a couple.
So, you know, it'll take a while to see exactly how it comes in and which counties go Which counties go which way?
So Mayor, is there a chance that when we look at this map here, so if you look at the 2016 results, the dark red, light red, and blue.
You want to go back to Cruz, Rubio.
The Cruz, Rubio, I forgot it was such a big three-way race that Rubio was still in it.
But yes, Rubio had a nice showing, 23%.
Rubio had a good showing.
That's right.
So if you look at that map, so the blue there, so here's my question.
Is there a chance this time around that President Trump holds on, of course, to the counties he won in 16, picks up what Cruz got in 16, and then these blue counties we see here, those may go for Haley.
But Trump should come out first in almost all those other counties. Is there
a chance that that happens?
Is there a chance that DeSantis doesn't even win a county?
Ah, well, okay, so that's a good, that pushes back against, you'd think with all the time he spent
there, he'd win something. So, and that's where you'd want to know, where is he set up, right?
So maybe DeSantis is set up in one of those blue counties.
I'm told that DeSantis is the places to look for DeSantis.
Yeah.
To do well.
So let's do DeSantis in, uh, what color should we give DeSantis?
We'll give DeSantis, um, we'll give DeSantis red.
Okay.
Okay.
We'll make him the, We'll make him the most right wing, just for the heck of it.
Because he'd like to be.
I don't think he is, but he'd like to be.
So Wayne County would be one right there.
That'd be one.
And Davis County.
Here.
And Lyon County up here.
And Sioux County up here.
And then, believe it or not, Sioux City is down here.
And that would be another area where So up there in the... So take a look up at the... For him to do well, he's gonna have to either win several of those, right?
Or he's gonna have to have a really good showing there.
For her, her opportunity... So let's make her... What color shall we make her?
We'll make her green, okay?
We're gonna make... So now how... What does Nikki need to do here?
Okay.
What she needs to do is... These are her counties of opportunity.
Dallas, Story and Polk, which is the center of the state.
That's Des Moines and Ames.
And this is the center of the Democratic vote, as well as the more moderate Republican vote.
The other counties you can see here are, you can see Johnson, that's another one.
Scott, which Which contains right on the border of Chicago.
And over here, down in here, this was Trump country.
So I would say the ones that I've checked are the ones where there is the greatest likelihood that somebody else but Trump could win it.
Now, could Trump win every county?
That's so that's so that's the one I did.
That's the predict.
That's one possibility we should consider.
He could you could come on top in every county, even if Haley and DeSantis are against against Biden.
He won all but six counties.
Against Biden, he won all but six counties, probably all the blue ones, all of them, except for the blue ones that he lost with those one, two, three, four, five and one other.
Probably wherever Ames, Ames, Iowa is located in story.
Okay.
So that's where, yeah.
So those are the two schools, right?
Story and Polk.
That's Iowa State and the University of Iowa.
And I'm guessing over on the, over on the Eastern edge, that must be the Quad Cities.
That kind of goes up against Illinois, like you were mentioning.
And it'd be interesting to see.
So will Trump- Remember, Ronald Reagan, who came from Illinois, started his radio career in Iowa.
I don't remember what city, but- Right along here somewhere, right along here somewhere, broadcasting Chicago Cub games.
And he had a great story about that, right?
Oh, sure.
He had a great story where they used to broadcast him on the wire.
And then every once in a while, the wire would go out.
Meaning he is announcing the game based off of a piece of paper.
To the people in Iowa, for example.
And then they have sound effects.
Yeah.
Yay, boo!
But this is how people would listen to the, they'd be listening to Ronald Reagan or, you know.
Home run!
But he's going off of what a telegraph machine is.
And then he would have to supply, he'd have to press a little button for, for like the little buttons we have right over here, right over there.
Yeah.
Press the little buttons for cheers and, and for boos and for all sorts of other things.
Yep.
And then every once in a while, the machine wouldn't work.
And you wouldn't get the guy to have a 2-2 count.
He's at the plate.
Nothing comes in.
So the trick was do foul balls.
Just do one foul ball after another, after another, after another.
And then when you get the wire catches up, quickly catch him up.
You know, wait for it.
Don't take a break and quickly catch him up.
One time it took so long that I don't know what happened, but by the time it caught up, the game was over.
He thought he was going to be fired and they didn't really, they didn't blame it on him.
They thought he had done a good job of keeping the people.
They thought he had done a good job of keeping the people entertained, which tells you what, uh, what a great, what a great, uh, uh, showman he was.
Right.
A lot of, a lot of balls.
Yeah.
Oh yeah.
A lot of, a lot of, a lot of bad pitches, a lot of wild pitches.
Yeah.
I don't think too many people question that about his, um, about his stamina.
Right.
That's right.
So as we, so about, so eight years ago, Mayor.
Here, I got, I just put up for you because I knew you were interested.
I put up for you the 2020 results.
The 2020 caucus results.
Let's see them.
The red is Trump, is Biden.
This is the election.
This is the 2020 election results.
This is the most, uh, most honest election in American history, according to, uh, Governor Kemp, the Republican governor of Atlanta, of Georgia.
Your views on YouTube are going to skyrocket now.
Just call it the most honest election ever.
The most positive election in American history.
So there are the counties that were carried by the Democrats.
Just a few.
And you can see the big cities.
There are the big cities, right?
Yeah.
And I think it was Davenport where Trump was broadcasting.
You made a good point, Mayor.
I think Trump's going to sweep every county.
I think Davenport's where Reagan was.
Reagan, he won every, yeah.
I think Davenport's the place where he was doing the broadcast for the Cubs.
Oh, okay.
But I'm just thinking for tonight, you made a good point.
I think Trump wins every county, right?
He's going to be the favorite.
The question is, it's a race for second.
Every county is hard.
But he was, you know, I mean, there's got to be at least one, you know, because some of these counties are very small.
So just a little, um, just a little, um, just a little annoyance at you.
Just a little, a little annoyance that you will get you in, in a lot of, in a lot of trouble.
That's right.
Right.
Uh, but, but, but even in a county, let's say where the others are performing well, they're still splitting up.
up that boat right to San Francisco.
I'm showing you the distance between Chicago and Davenport.
There's Chicago.
Straight across the state.
There's Chicago right there.
And Mayor, we are now getting results coming in.
And there's Davenport all the way over there.
Not far.
Just got to go across the state of Illinois and you are there.
So what do you have so far?
So we are now getting some results that are now coming in.
This is according to the New York Times.
Polk County, less than 1% of the vote in, Trump leads with just 13 votes reporting.
So let's see where some of these heavier counties that are coming in.
Polk County is a county that could be a Haley County.
Remember?
Yep.
Polk County voted against Trump in the last election, even though he won the state by 13%.
Johnson County, just 1% of the vote in.
Ron DeSantis is, uh, wow.
Again, so these results that we're getting now, it's, it's usually just one.
They're always fun.
So these early ones here, maybe we can put it up on the screen here for folks.
We'll share.
Uh, the thing with the New York times, they are just with kind of early, uh, they're able to, um, here, let's take a look right here.
Here we have the, I've tracker.
These counties that are reporting.
The estimated vote here, again, just less than 1% reporting.
None of the counties are fully in.
Polk County, less than 1% of the votes are in.
Trump with 77% to Ron DeSantis 15% and Vivek with 8%.
But of course that's 13 votes, so that's too early.
Here we go, Lyon County in the Upper or in the, in the Northwest corner of the state.
This is one you were telling us to look at for DeSantis.
Trump coming in big at 72%.
DeSantis 12%, Nikki Haley, just 9%.
And how much counted?
11% reporting.
And so we are starting to get some results.
There we go.
We are starting to get some results coming in here.
And so that's from the New York times again, probably too early to start.
Calling any of these counties, but the votes are now coming in and this is about the same time Eight years ago that results started coming out.
They come in at 830.
That's when they begin Now that that's uh There's a there's a shot on the screen that we're looking at right now where where Ramaswamy is making his pitch at a caucus Yeah That's that that then and there's the chairman of the caucus sitting up on top there That's right.
So We are watching the results are starting to come in.
Stick with us.
We'll be following this all night.
The Iowa caucus results are coming in.
And we are awaiting some of these states.
Again, the most Bye.
Most outlets are prepared to call it for Trump.
Even with those early numbers, right?
They just wanted- They're calling for Trump already.
They're calling it for Trump.
Well, I see one here that says Donald Trump wins.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Associated Press.
AP, and that's the one everyone waits for, the AP to call it.
AP has called it for Trump.
They just wanted to make sure they saw it.
Right now, he's at 69%.
And of course he- With only- Very few votes are being reported.
Again, most of these places, they're just turning in- You know, a few sheets here.
So Hancock County, for example, Trump up big, uh, the percentage here it is.
It'll be interesting to see if the vague can get close to Nikki Haley for a third place finish.
I think it's pretty clear that Trump is going to win this.
Uh, DeSantis is looking like a strong second or not a strong second.
He's looking like he may come in second, which.
I feel like he had to do right to even go on to New Hampshire.
Nikki Haley and Vivek seem to be fighting now for a third place.
But again, that's just with just a few hundred votes reporting, so there's still a lot of time.
This will be interesting to see if Haley can keep it close with DeSantis, because as of now, DeSantis is doubling Haley's.
Well, we don't know where the votes are coming in.
The votes are coming in from Polk County.
That's Des Moines, Johnson County outside of Cedar Rapids.
And then some of the more rural counties that you had mentioned, and those, of course, went strong for Trump in 2016.
Well, Trump and Cruz kind of split a lot of those counties.
Trump appears to have a strong lead in those places.
So as the mayor has mentioned all night, you know, we're watching some key counties.
So, so far, less than a thousand votes have been counted.
That's right.
So with less than a thousand votes- And Trump has 70%, DeSantis has 15, Haley has 8, Ramaswamy 5, and Brinkley .4.
Haley has eight, Ramaswamy five, and Brinkley point four.
I think that Fox is, well, they're calling it based on their exit polls.
And you could tell by their, you could tell by their, their, their, yeah, if you get enough
news, but by the news, they were flashing that he was doing very well.
That turnout in his area was strong.
Enthusiasm was strong.
You know, they ask a lot of underlying questions, you know, why are you voting?
So a lot of people must have been saying economy, economy, economy, or, um, or I guess they're trying to make up for Arizona, huh?
Let's not, let's hope it's not as stupid as Arizona.
That's right.
And, uh, so we'll keep counting these results.
We'll take another commercial break.
It's somewhat, it's somewhat surprising because one would think the earlier votes Would favor DeSantis and Haley because they should be coming from the more urban areas.
Difference being the urban areas have bigger votes to count, and if they are connected with a pretty good online system, it's a lot easier to count 500 votes than 5,000, right?
You'll get it done a lot faster and be a lot more certain that you're correct.
That's right.
So shall we take a short break?
And which one are we doing?
Tell everyone who we're going to ask them to support right now, because all these people are patriots, and this is support for the cause as well as support for them.
Q-U-X.
Q-U-X, which is where you should be watching.
A number of you are watching on Q-U-X.
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Had to make a good showing.
And we're back.
Then she had to make a good showing in the, well, right now Trump is eating up the counties where they have to make a good showing, which is maybe why they called it for him so quickly.
Now he's quickly down to 69%.
He's not ending up at 69%.
He's not ending up at 69%.
The last poll taken was 48% for Trump.
If he does that, that will be the largest victory by a Republican ever in a contested caucus.
What's that?
This will be the largest.
It'll be the largest victory ever in an Iowa caucus.
It would exceed Bob Dole's victory in 96.
By more than two to one.
So even if he makes his 48%, which is the number that the newspaper gave him, the last poll, that would be a massive wipeout.
But right now, I'm looking at two counties that I just pointed out for our audience.
Yep.
One of which has to be a county where DeSantis has to do well, and one has to be a county where Where Trump has to do where Haley has to do well, and he's winning both of them.
Looks like he won them early.
So with just so of course, we're still early results are just coming in now there.
Again, Mayor, just 700 votes statewide have been reported, but they're from enough of a cross-section of the state where they are willing to predict that this shows a pattern enough to show that Trump's going to win.
They're not doing it on the votes that came in.
They're doing it on their exit polls.
I could have told you, you know, About six o'clock tonight when I saw their first chyrons, right?
Yeah.
That they had a big Trump exit poll.
Just the stuff they were writing.
So the exit polls, plus they wanted to wait until a few, right?
Well, you don't call it until a vote comes in.
Yeah, yeah.
You have to have a vote come in to call.
And of course, you know, that's how they made their mistake in the past.
So right now, right now, Des Moines, right?
We're talking now about Johnson City, which is a democratic city.
The G-d is the one who created it.
Johnson City, of course, that is an area where... Johnson City, Trump is losing, and that is a... They are now appearing on the map... They're now appearing on the map places where... Places where Haley is doing well.
And, um, uh, Des Moines, Des Moines is, um, right now fairly close.
Sioux City, heavily Trump.
It, it appear, it appears to me that the, um, Des Moines is again, Polk County, of course, where Des Moines is located.
Again, just a few vote counts are coming in from there.
Under 1% of the vote is in, so that's still very much too early to read too much into it, Mayor.
Trump with 49%, Nikki Haley now with 25%, and Ron DeSantis with 16%.
And that's for Polk County, where of course Des Moines is located.
And of course, as more votes come in, Trump's lead is shrinking.
Not by a lot, but it is shrinking.
Now at 62.5 percent.
Ron DeSantis at 15.6 percent.
Nikki Haley now at 14 percent.
The New York Times has estimated a final vote for Trump.
You want to know what it is?
Yes.
53 percent.
So based off of their exit polls, they believe he's going to get 53%,
that Haley's going to get 21%, and that DeSantis will get 18%.
percent.
But then, because they are not sure of themselves, they have a range.
Yeah.
And the range is Trump could get anywhere from 39 to 65.
Haley could get anywhere from 12 to 33.
And DeSantis could get anywhere from 9 to 30.
They haven't told us that.
I love the Vakes range.
1% to 18%.
That's quite a range.
I mean, if you read that literally, It could be 39-33 Trump-Haley.
That would be a big win for Haley.
Yeah.
I would call that dreamland.
New York Times dreamland.
It's interesting, but I think for Haley and DeSantis, they just want to get a second place finish and they're going to be happy to move on to New Hampshire.
Haley and DeSantis are now virtually even.
That's what I have showing now, new numbers coming in.
Still only 1% of the vote counted.
Which is 1%.
Trump at 61%.
Ron DeSantis, 15.4%.
Nikki Haley, 15.2%.
So they're neck and neck.
Vivek at 7%.
And I guess, you know, Chris Christie with two votes.
People are still voting for Chris.
You've got more votes than our friend Ada.
So according to the most recent numbers, Haley is within 2% of a point.
And more numbers coming out.
DeSantis maintaining that lead over Haley now.
16.9% to Haley's 16.2%.
Trump has dropped now to a more realistic 58.6%.
Trump is now at 58.6%.
We're still only 1% counted, which seems a little silly, but there must be more than that counted.
We'll put a live tracker up right now.
So we're going to try and track these numbers now that we've got a few more votes in.
Caucus.
Live results.
It's day one and the little screen, you notice I have the times on the screen.
Yeah.
So people can watch it.
Yep.
If they want to watch.
You see it there?
Yep.
Right there?
Yep.
I brought it up.
Yep.
1% reporting.
I'm going to, I'm just copying now for our graphic here so we can put a little bit on and that's still with 1% of the votes in.
We got to put Vivek on there.
Nobody else does, so we're going to have four names on ours.
We're going to have... We're going to include Vivek's name, at least in our list.
These other outlets don't even include him.
Who doesn't include him?
Leave him off!
Well, I guess they don't think he's not nice.
So, of course, so we're following closely here some of these numbers.
Um, and if you hear us being a little bit quiet at times where we're punching and trying to get them as, as, uh, up to date as we're going to put them on there for you to see what we are seeing.
And again, the latest numbers have Donald Trump still with a commanding lead with just 1% reporting and Ron DeSantis maintains, uh, a distant second place.
And he is neck and neck with Nikki Haley for second.
And coming in third, or coming in at- Now we have a decent size sample of 620,000 votes.
of 620,000 votes.
Now, that, I mean, that, um, if that's correct.
Oh, I'm looking at something else.
I'm looking at something else.
Okay.
it. That's wrong.
So we're still looking folks.
We're going to have these numbers up on the screen now in just one second.
President Trump still with a commanding lead as the results continue to come in.
And of course, we're going to put those up to you right now.
Here we go, folks.
This is the latest numbers we have with 1% reporting President Trump at 57.7%, Ron DeSantis, 17.1%, Nikki Haley, 16.8%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 7.1%.
So more numbers are coming in.
1% Nikki Haley, 16.8% Vivek Ramaswamy at 7.1%.
So more numbers are coming in.
Haley has now taken over Ron DeSantis with 17.7% of the vote.
Ron DeSantis at 17.2%.
Vivek Ramaswamy now at 7.5%.
Trump's lead now, he's at 55.2%.
This is with 1% reporting.
Uh, Nikki Haley, and we talked about this mayor.
She is now leading in Story County.
There's two counties right now where Trump does not lead.
Story County is the capital.
That's right.
So Story County and then over.
Close to where Cedar Rapids is, that's Johnson County.
Yeah, and that's also Democratic.
So Nikki Haley maintains a lead in Johnson County.
She's running in the wrong, someone needs to tell her she's running in the wrong primary.
She should run against Biden.
Maybe she'll be Biden's vice president.
That should be a new campaign, Nikki for Biden VP.
Maybe she'll be his vice president, who knows?
So with just 1% reporting, Nikki Haley now at 18.2%, Ron DeSantis at 16.7%.
So that is really changing fast.
Vivek Ramaswamy with 7.5% of the vote.
But Nikki Haley has now taken over for Ron DeSantis, who is now in third place.
So, you know, it's, So now Nikki Haley, 19%, Ron DeSantis, 16.9%.
And Haley is now up at 19%.
That's a two percentage point lead over Ron DeSantis.
We're still at the same 1% of the vote cast.
And that's still with just 1% of the vote cast.
President Trump now at what percentage, Mayor, do you have?
54.
54 and some change or just 54 even? 54.7.
And so Nikki Haley has taken over Ron DeSantis' place for second, and Ramaswamy is now at 8%, which sounds better than 7.5, so we'll give him that little bump here.
We'll make sure we include that in our Total.
So here we have the latest numbers right here on the screen.
You have President Trump still maintaining a commanding lead with 54.7% of the vote.
Nikki Haley in a distant second at 19%.
Ron DeSantis, third place, 16.9%.
Vivek coming in with 8% of the vote.
We just got a group of new numbers in and Trump went to 53.9% and stayed there.
We just got a group of new numbers in and Trump went to 53.9, or stayed there.
Haley at 20 and DeSantis at 16.9.
Then if you look at the map, the distribution of that, let's take a look at that.
If you want to look down here, pretty much what we were telling you about, right?
That's right.
But a couple of surprises, right?
A couple of surprises, because the reds are heavy trumps.
So over here, near the There's only two places where she's made a bump, really.
And that's here in Johnson City.
That's right here.
This would be Johnson City right here.
And the other would be in Story County, which is right above the Capitol.
The first of the two major evangelical centers that had to be taken, Trump took, in the northwest corner up there.
The areas in the southeast corner were both areas where Haley had a chance.
One is solidly red, and the other one is almost solidly red.
So, okay, so now that's a... The distribution, you notice with all those red boxes on the map, the distribution where Trump is over 60%.
Any place where you see a big red box, Trump is over 60%.
Now you just saw another one come up, that's another evangelical county in the southern part of the state.
So if there was any doubt about the evangelical vote because DeSantis got the support of the ministry he gave $90,000 to, it doesn't seem like the $90,000 had the impact that it was supposed to have.
So with 2% reporting, Trump is now at 55.3%, Nikki Haley at 19%, Ronda Santas 17%, Vivek
Ramaswamy 7.4%.
Chris Christie has four votes statewide.
That's out of about 2,000.
So he's polling at about 0.2%.
Well, not polling.
Those are the votes he's getting.
He's coming in at 0.2%.
Interesting thing is at this point, if I read the map correctly, DeSantis is not leading in any county.
See the colors?
Yeah.
There are no gold counties.
There are the counties.
There are the counties right there.
And the counties are, you have two in which Haley is leading, right?
And you, and you have, um, and you have all the rest.
Trump is either way ahead or ahead by 60% or ahead by 40% or more.
So...
That's right.
So again, the latest numbers we have with 2% reporting President Trump at 55.3%, Nikki Haley, 19%, Ron DeSantis, 17, Vivek Ramaswamy coming in with 7.4%.
Of course, a number of other individuals are on the ballot as a part of this race.
Okay.
New numbers coming in.
Nikki Haley seems to be.
Keeping about a two percentage point lead over Ron DeSantis.
And it really does come down to where those votes are coming in for Nikki Haley.
And it's two of the counties that we talked about.
She's leading in Story, the state capital, and in Johnson County.
And those are two counties, Mayor, of course, you had mentioned.
You'll see if you want to look at my map, right?
Do you have it?
Let me know when it's up.
My map is up now.
There it is.
This is from the beginning of the night.
So if you look at the blues and where I put the X's, The green X's I put places that could be won by Nikki Haley.
Dallas, Polk, Story, and Johnson.
Then the red are places where not so much the Sanders could win, but he can make a good showing.
And Trump has already taken Dallas County there down on the right.
He has taken Lyon County way up in the north in the northwest corner.
See, Haley is leading in Johnson County, which is right here.
Bye.
And she's leading in Story County.
And Trump is leading in the other two counties where she has to do well.
So, She's doing well in a few, but she's faltering in the others.
And she really has to do well in all of them.
She can't just do well in a few.
She really has to do well in every, basically in every single one of them.
And she has Story and Johnson, she seems to be doing well.
Let's see.
So with 2% reporting, Ron DeSantis closing that gap now at 17.4% to Nikki Haley's 19%.
Trump 54.8%.
Vivek 7.5.
So, so mayor with just a few percentage points coming in, what is it telling you so far?
55% and Haley's gone down to 18.
So it's dry.
It's getting, um, 18.5 to Ron DeSantis, 17.4.
DeSantis and Haley are getting closer in, um, I mean, if Trump wanted to go to bed, he could really
announce victory right now.
18.8 to 18 to 17.8.
18.8 to 18 to 17.8.
We'll see how good the times is on their, what did I say their projection was, Vim?
53.
7.8, 54.2.
And of course if you hear, you know, sometimes we're typing in these numbers, folks, for you, so if it goes quiet, sometimes we gotta, I gotta concentrate on updating the numbers, right?
So you have the most accurate information from Daley and DeSantis have just gotten closer at 18.8 and 18.0, still with only 2% reporting.
And Trump has jumped up about two points.
Oh, still with only 2% reporting.
And Trump has jumped up about two points.
The counties still remain.
Johnson County looks like it's gone more solidly haley.
Thank you.
Story County has remained the same.
So far, there are no counties where DeSantis is leading.
That's right.
That's right.
Of course, thank you for joining us on America's Mayor Live.
We're covering the 2024 Iowa caucus with America's mayor himself, Rudy Giuliani, who has some experience himself, not just as a candidate, but as a top surrogate and a top surrogate spokesperson advisor for numerous other people who have ran for president.
And so he knows the Hawkeye State quite well.
So why don't we go we're going to play a short clip They have a flashback probably. I'll go ahead. You want to
make a point, but then I'll play it, play it, play the clip because then we can take it'll be,
you know, the later we go, the more, more and better information we'll have where we're going,
we're going to have. And yeah, don't go anywhere. We're staying live. Maybe from having
been the mayor of a city, I know that your first defense against terrorist attack is
that local police station or that local firehouse. That's it. It's not the FBI. It's not FEMA. It's
not some magical people running around with federal uniforms on. If God forbid, there's an
attack right here.
It's how, how good is that local fire department?
How good is that local police department?
How good is the local emergency services people?
So what my, my function as president would be to make sure they get the help they need, but they've got to do the job, but they should get the help they need.
And I think the same thing is the way you handle it.
Maybe they're not getting the help they need.
I'd be sure willing to increase that, but I would not want to supplant their role.
Wow.
So you're sounds like a conservative to me.
He's wiping out, I just took a look at Lyon County, which is the county in the upper northern, northwest corner, and he's winning there like about five to one with 11% of the vote counted, which means the evangelical vote is delivering for him, which is very bad news for DeSantis because DeSantis made, as you know, a massive effort to try to take that vote away.
Including getting the most, um, prestigious, supposedly evangelical vote getter who won the last two elections, theoretically.
I happen to think that the candidates may have won them, but the Reverend thinks he won them.
Funny how that works.
Funny how that works.
Yeah.
So what does it look like?
It looks like Trump beat the Reverend about four to one.
In fact, right now DeSantis is coming in third.
In that, in that, in Lyon County.
That's right.
And we're looking at that right now.
Of course, the latest numbers with just 2% reporting President Trump at 55.4%.
Interesting.
Interesting.
For those people who don't like Nikki Haley, DeSantis just passed her.
Again, 2% only of the vote cast.
DeSantis has passed her.
That's right.
It's funny, everybody's doing better than projected, if I recall correctly.
That's right, Rhonda Santos has now overtaken Nikki Haley for second.
But again, it's so- No.
So I'm looking at the poll from Sunday.
Vivek and Haley are doing under the projection.
The projection, remember, was 48 for Trump.
Trump's at 54.
20% for Haley, she's at 17.
16% for DeSantis, he's at 19.
and 8% for Vivek and he's at 7%.
But that's right, but a race alert, you know, DeSantis has overtaken Haley for second.
And...
But again, with such a small number reporting, Mayor, Those percentages, the differences really still only amount to a few dozen votes.
Still just 2% reporting.
Yes.
And where they're coming in from, as you and you've talked about this, Lyon County in the Northwest, Donald Trump.
Oh, new numbers came in to Lyon County.
DeSantis is climbing on Trump.
And you mentioned that's where DeSantis has to do well.
He's at 40% in Lyon County to Trump's 48%.
Vivek Ramaswamy was 17 and Nikki Haley nowhere to be found.
It does appear that the attacks against Nikki Haley from really all of the other candidates may have worked in terms of hurting her and actually helping DeSantis and Vivek may be a beneficiary of that.
People that were, you know, maybe not looking at Trump or DeSantis.
There's two counties where she has A lead.
One is Story County, which is in the middle of the state.
That's where Ames, Iowa is.
That's 32 to 27 to 21.
Trump is in third place there.
And then in Johnson County, it's 41% Haley and 28% Trump and 23% Trump.
and 28% Trump and 23% Trump.
Otherwise Trump is leading in every other county with a number of counties with nothing in.
you In fact, most counties have nothing in yet.
A lot of the smaller counties still yet to come in.
And by small, I mean smaller in population.
The smaller, the more they're going to be for Trump.
The more they're going to be, yes.
And of course, now with 3% reporting, where we've now moved from 2% to 3% reporting, DeSantis has opened up a Chris Christie actually lost a vote.
He had four votes statewide.
Now he has three.
I'm not gonna make the joke about what happened to the fourth vote.
point six percent followed by the centers at nineteen point four nikki hailey
seventeen point two the big in fourth at seventeen
and used to quickly check in chris christie actually lost the vote
he had four votes statewide now he has three i'm not gonna make the joke about what
happened to the fourth vote we're not gonna joke about it
we are not going to go to watch risk is playing the meeting one of those votes
He's going to claim it was a cheap job.
They took away a quarter of my votes.
So that's interesting.
Christie went from four votes to three.
So if anyone has any, um, any, any information on why that happened.
Early caucus.
So, so are people allowed to rescind or no, once you vote, you vote once it's recorded, it's recorded, right?
Something happened there.
I swear that was at four because I've been following him close, very closely.
With 3% of the vote in, Trump maintaining a strong lead, 53.2%, Ron DeSantis in second at 19.5, Nikki Haley now at 18.3, Vivek climbing to 8%.
That's what he was predicted to get.
Eight?
Eight.
Eight.
Well, he's looking strong.
He's looking like he may get that 8%.
Nikki Haley at 18.3.
That's below what she was predicted to, 20.
And of course, we have 19.5 for DeSantis and 53.2 for President Trump.
That's four above a landslide.
And DeSantis, yes, 19.5.
So for those that You know, of course, Ron DeSantis, Governor DeSantis mayor, he spent so much time.
It's very, very, very odd.
I mean, right now, it looks like he may not.
Right now, the times, and I don't know how accurate they are.
Say that Haley has a 58% chance of being in second place, and DeSantis has a 40% chance.
Ah.
And I would imagine that is a calculation of what's out there.
You know what I mean?
Yeah, yeah.
And then go back on if you want to go on.
We're not going to have an ending.
Yeah.
So for those of us, bear with us.
We're going to do a quick, just kind of a nice ending for Newsmax.
Of course, the results are not completely known yet for the show, but our viewers will know the results when they see this program.
So Mayor, maybe you want to thank our Newsmax audience for tuning in.
Thank our Newsmax audience for listening in.
I'll also leave you with a prediction.
Even though it's only about 3% in, right?
About 3% in?
That's right.
So I'm going to give you a prediction of where this ends up.
How would you like that?
Give a prediction to our Newsmax audience.
Of course, we'll stay on for everybody else.
I say that Trump ends up at 53 percent.
DeSantis...
Trump at 52 to 53 is a pretty safe bet.
Yeah.
The toughest one is who comes out first.
I came in thinking that DeSantis, because he had stronger support, might be able to overcome her.
The New York Times says he can't.
The fact that he owns no county, she has two, would suggest that he can't.
However, the parts of the state that haven't come in, there are huge parts of the state that are rural that haven't come in at all.
And he's going to outperform her in those, meaning DeSantis is.
That's right.
So again, with Just 3% reporting, Trump at 53.7%, Ron DePinto's 19.3%, Nikki Haley 18.1%.
They're both going to end up about where they are right now.
They might flip.
They might flip and Haley will end up at like 19 and he'll end up at 18 or something like that.
He's been a huge disappointment.
I mean, even if he should squeak out second, it's such a weak second.
Without dominating even a county that it's a really, I mean, this is a, at this point, if this remains at 50% or better for Trump, it's a massive historic victory.
No, this is two and a half to one compared to any other Republican, including Ronald Reagan in an Iowa primary.
So one has to say.
Stop it with the idea that the Republican Party doesn't want him.
Even on windy, cold, freezing, deadly freezing days, they go out and vote for him in record numbers.
So cut it out.
And also, Mr. President Biden, some very substantial portion of this country wants this man as its president.
So will you stop attacking them?
At least respect their choice.
And stop this, uh, that Matt Maggar people are, are, uh, what are we exactly?
Basket of deplorables.
Well, that's what that comes from the other moron.
But what are, what, what, what, oh, we're fascists, right?
We're Hitler.
He's Hitler.
We're all of us.
All of us are supporting Hitler.
All these people in Iowa, which turned out to be more than half of the Republicans, where he was outspent three to one.
Support him because he's Hitler.
Now I would say, even though you're demented, that shows great disrespect for the people of your country.
And stop trying to put us all in jail, huh?
Cut it out.
Cut it out.
It's not going to work, and you're going to end up not just being the worst president ever, you could Good start for Trump.
Doubt that it's going to change very much.
We'll do a wrap-up on America's mayor confidential either late tonight or early tomorrow to give you where we think it's going into New Hampshire.
Dr. Maria and Ted and I are headed to New Hampshire on Thursday and we're going to hang out there and we're going to give you much more in-depth coverage there than we were able to do in Iowa because we know it so well.
Dr. Maria comes from New Hampshire, very active in politics there.
I ran in the primary in 08 and I participated as a surrogate in the primary three times and I supported other candidates for the Senate and Congress, and I know New Hampshire really well, not the way she does, but I know her from the point of view of a candidate.
So I think we can give you a lot of insights into what's going to happen with this race.
So I'm going to go out on a limb and I am going to say that Trump finishes at about 52 percent
historic, massive win, best ever by a Republican.
That DeSantis passes Haley, and the way he did it is he had the more committed vote.
Hers was a late coming vote, flavor of the week kind of vote.
And in a storm, flavor of the week doesn't work.
And Trump's vote in a storm doesn't matter.
It shows you his His vote is rock solid.
It's much stronger than it ever has been before.
And I would say the Democrats tonight are having a very bad night.
But they should, because the people running the place are really bad people.
And that comes from someone they want to put in jail.
Except their prosecutor may go to jail before I do.
So, so, so mayor and I'm not going to jail.
So she may be going to jail by herself.
So, so mayor, of course, we're now using our, our two cameras.
Hello everybody.
I'm, I'm on there now.
I've been working on this for a year.
So we'll see you at the ratings.
And not only, not only, not only, not only the two cameras, we got our board here that we can play with.
And I think we're going to make that monitor.
They can't see the monitor.
We're going to make that.
Post it out so I can see it.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
We're going to have a big monitor.
And so we want to thank all of you, all of your support.
You've been with us now for 60, this is our 65th.
I'm feeling pretty good.
I'm feeling pretty good about my early predictions because I told you, I told you that the two counties that she could win with Story and Johnson.
And right now, those are the two counties that she's leading in.
In Story County, she has a rather commanding 40 to 24 to 19 lead.
And in Johnson County, she's got a 41 to 28 lead.
And that's it.
Beyond that, let's just take one quick look at Polk County.
Polk County is the capital and it contains the most And it contains Des Moines, right?
And I would say Trump, a little less than the statewide numbers, but for a state capital that tends to be liberal, more liberal than the rest of the state and democratic, and he lost it to Biden, he's beaten them 44-29-23.
He's beating them 44-29-23. He's winning that pretty well, but only 2% it.
That's right.
That's right.
With just 3%.
Then you get a county like Bremer, which is a small county.
He's got 81% of the vote.
Potawatomi, 60% of the vote.
That's right.
And so as people are, as these votes continue to come in, we'll of course be covering it live.
We have still such few numbers in.
We're awaiting Uh, it looks like Nikki Haley may be speaking soon.
Uh, some other candidates.
Well, I don't, I'm not sure we'll still be on at that point.
However, uh, we'll be following the results all night and mayor, what, what should folks be?
Of course we, we know what we set out, told people to look for at the beginning of the night.
And as these numbers are coming out, should folks kind of still kind of keep an eye on those same counties?
I think now people are interested in political junkies, the race for second, right?
We all, it does appear Trump's going to win this thing pretty handily as we predicted, as you correctly predicted.
Uh, the race for second and how, uh, DeSantis and Haley, and I guess we did, can we bring that map up?
You showed us the beginning where you marked it up for DeSantis and Haley.
Let me know when that's on.
I'd like to revisit that because as this.
The, I believe Haley is in green, right?
And DeSantis is in red.
No, Haley?
Well, Haley's in green and blue.
Those blue counties there, which are Democratic counties, those are the Xs I had put down for Haley.
And she has, now she is losing one of those, Polk.
Polk County looks like, I mean, it looks like it's pretty much going to be Trump.
He's got like a 20-point lead on her there.
But Story County, she's got a fairly decent lead, and Johnson County, she's got a very big lead, which is right here.
Johnson County is right there.
See it?
Right there.
That's right.
And those are her only two right now.
That's all she has.
So those of you that are going to be watching this here for the next few hours, Keep an eye on those green counties.
And those others, those reds, those reds that you see, the X, the X reds there?
Yes.
Like those two?
Those have gone to Trump.
Or they're going to Trump.
And Sioux City actually has gone heavily for Trump.
That's there.
And Sioux, the county, has gone for Trump.
And this is the only one that's close, Lyon.
But it's still for Trump.
And those are places you'll see.
Sue was Cruz.
Lyon was Cruz that Trump took.
Down here, down in this little corner here, Wayne, which he's winning in big time, was Cruz.
He's taking all the Cruz counties, as well as the ones he had before.
Right now it looks like he's going to lose two counties, Story and Johnson.
And it doesn't look like, it doesn't look like, it doesn't look like there's much of a chance for DeSantis to take a county.
It does not appear that way.
So we're still on the air.
We have a big group chat.
Comment below, let us know where you're tuning in from.
We like to do this once in a while.
Comment below your city and state or country.
Let us know where in the world you're tuning in from.
Here I am.
We've added another camera here, but we like to read off every once in a while and have that in the record.
Where folks are tuning in to America's Mayor Live.
We've done it before and of course we've At one point, even in one episode, we listed off all the states and we had almost all 50 states tuned in.
There might've been a couple.
I mean, Story County that was supposed to be closed, it's 40, 24, 19.
So that's a pretty, that's a pretty solid lead with 6% counted.
The ones that were supposed to be closed are not, are just not close.
Not even close.
So it's kind of like we talked about where A lot of folks are.
I'm trying to look for a county where DeSantis would have a chance.
So, of course, as we talked about before, Trump appears to be doing just as well, if not better, in the places he did well in 2016.
And then he's almost, Mayor, he's almost Doing better in those counties than, of course, taking all the counties that Cruz had won, meaning it does appear that the Christian evangelicals are with Trump this time around.
Yeah, and not heavily enough with DeSantis.
And in the one county where he's beating Trump, which is Story County, he's losing to Haley, 40 to 24 to 19.
That's the state capitol.
That's the most liberal.
So, um, I don't see, I don't see how he wins the county.
I'm looking at his numbers here.
He's got 40 percent in Sioux County, which has a heavy evangelical population, but Trump has 52
percent.
We have some viewers in Iowa, Fort Madison, Iowa checking in.
Ken, if you have any comments about the Iowa caucus and what you're seeing, feel free to comment below.
Nebraska checking in, that's not too far, but of course we aren't going to confuse the two.
We're not Joe Biden after all.
So Nebraska checking in, Kentucky, Northern Louisiana.
Juliet, Illinois.
A lot of Midwesterners tuning in.
Upstate New York mayor is tuning in.
I'm not sure how that Buffalo game ended.
We'll check in with that.
But we have more important things tonight.
The future of the country.
Right.
Texas checking in.
Denver.
Denver checking in.
So now with 4% counted, DeSantis has gone up to 21.7.
And Haley to 19.3.
has gone up to 21.7 and Haley to 19.3 and Trump down to 51%.
He just jumped a tenth of a percent to 51.1.
So we'll get those numbers back up.
Well, it's going to be very interesting to see exactly where he ends up when the whole thing is over.
That's right.
So, of course, next week, folks, can wait for our coverage live from New Hampshire.
Of course, we have the expert.
Maybe the best person you'd want to have with you in New Hampshire with Dr. Maria.
When I think of New Hampshire, I think of Dr. Maria, and of course the primary, the first in the nation primary.
So Mayor, what should folks be looking for?
Let's say these numbers hold.
Let's say Trump wins big, DeSantis second, Haley third place, and our friend Vivek in fourth.
Kind of go through each campaign and what they're doing here.
The best possibility for Trump is if it ends right where it is now.
Right where it is now.
He's won over 50%.
He's won the biggest victory by a Republican by two to one ever in the history of the Iowa caucuses, which tend to be ornery as hell.
Haley, who was supposed to be the new flavor of the month and the one who's going to beat him, gets defeated by DeSantis and loses whatever momentum she has going into New Hampshire.
And DeSantis has no votes in New Hampshire.
I mean, he was behind Christie at one point and is actively disliked in New Hampshire.
They don't like him.
So Haley coming in third here will slow her down.
I mean, going into tonight, the only chance anyone had in New Hampshire, I don't think of winning, but of making a showing that could dent Trump's inevitability was Haley.
So if she takes a loss tonight, if she underperforms expectations, remember the expectations were for her to beat the Sanders by four points.
She's now losing to him by two.
So if that happens, then the clear winner is Trump.
Of everything.
I mean, he, um, largely because DeSantis is going to have no chance in New Hampshire.
He's certainly gonna have no chance in South Carolina where Trump, where Haley was the governor and Trump is leading her.
So the only thing this doesn't do is if DeSantis comes in second, It probably doesn't get him out of the campaign.
He probably falsely thinks he has a chance and wants to hang on for Florida, although he'll lose two in a row.
As I said, he has no chance to catch him in New Hampshire, and her chances are going to be diminished by his defeating her if that happens.
So that's my that's my uh right now right right
Well, what about our friend Vivek?
I guess he's a respectful 78%, but not necessarily a breakout number.
I do feel that he'll hang in there through New Hampshire.
I don't see him.
There's no reason for him to I mean, no new reason, right?
After the results.
There's no reason for him to stay in and there's no reason for him to stay out.
And of course, yeah, he has become irrelevant.
I'm sorry.
I mean, irrelevant.
I like Vivek.
I know you like Vivek.
I like Vivek too, but he's become a pest.
I mean, Trump had to slap him around the other day and he accepted it.
But I mean, he's not, he, by staying in too long, he's hurt himself.
He should have.
And he hurt himself by being a wise-ass in the debate.
He'll be remembered that way.
That's why his number went down to single digits.
On that note, we're still waiting for more numbers to come in.
We're about an hour into the results, starting to trickle in.
Still a lot outstanding.
What are you going to be watching, Mayor?
I mean, my interest is the Santa's Haley situation, because it really does tell us, is there going to be much of a race going forward?
If it remains again, as I say, if it remains the way it is with DeSantis coming in number two
and her defying expectations, disappointing people, it's going to slow, if not stop, her momentum. And DeSantis
has no prayer in New Hampshire or South Carolina.
So you don't see DeSantis again until Florida.
And I know what that's like when you get shut out of two in a row, they forget you.
So I would say if Trump remains above 50, you could say he's got a 98% chance of getting the nomination no matter what they do.
If Trump remains above 50 and DeSantis wins, the 98 goes to 99.
Because there's no road for DeSantis to build on this and there's nothing to build on.
Right now he's losing by 30 points.
I mean, you don't get nominated for president losing by 30 points when you've spent three times more than your opponent and spent 10 times more time there.
So we'll keep watching closely and maybe we'll hop on with a Tune, stay tuned either late tonight or early tomorrow.
Make sure to subscribe over to X for the mayors.
You know, we're not, we're not gonna, we're not like some other folks.
We're going to actually wait for the results.
Oh yeah.
So our reaction is authentic.
Uh, and, and we'll get something out, but you'll want to subscribe to the mayor right over on X. If you're watching on X, just hit that purple.
I mean, there's going to be a lot of things coming up and a lot of interviews and, um, Today before the primary, earlier this morning, we did a survey for you so you'd be prepared for the primary.
We'll continue to do that.
We'll be particularly able to supply you with confidential information with regard to the New Hampshire primary.
So I'd really suggest joining up.
Hit subscribe and become a member of America's Mayor Confidential.
That's right.
Thank you.
This is a good start.
I mean, I'm happy with the start.
Whatever happens here now is more a question of, does this extend a little bit longer because DeSantis comes
in number two?
No, it probably shortens it if DeSantis comes in number two, because it really takes away
any momentum that Haley had, and probably Trump will win the next.
You know, three primers.
And he's beating him badly in Florida.
All you had to do was see Rubio's endorsement yesterday to figure that out.
And this will mean a lot more endorsements, too.
They'll all come aboard.
Oh, Mr. President, I always was on your side.
I was always rooting for you.
Hmm.
I wonder how the head of the Republican Party in Iowa feels today when he was explaining yesterday what a good chance he thought Haley had.
Hell of a political prognosticator.
Hmm.
Okay.
So it's going to be really interesting to see what happens.
This could mean one or two more indictments, because that would be the Democrat answer.
What's the Democratic strategy to deal with such a landslide victory by Trump?
That's right.
For what?
Who cares?
We never care.
Who cares?
That's right.
That's right.
And of course, hit that subscribe button on Twitter.
That allows us, as you can see, to kind of expand and grow our program.
We're now operating with multiple cameras from multiple angles.
Dr. Maria will pay very little attention to the Iowa caucuses because the people in New Hampshire are very stuck up about that.
But I was going to ask, where are the diners better?
They're showing a diner on one of the TV stations.
The diners are fabulous in New Hampshire.
I do have to say that.
You know why?
They have a lot of Greeks in New Hampshire and nobody Runs diners like the Greek people.
It used to be when Greeks were poor, now they're all rich.
They owned all the diners and that's what made them rich.
And I used to say that to own a diner in New York, you had to be Greek.
Food was terrific.
Terrific.
The Neptune Diner is still there.
If you ever want to go with me, let me know.
Yeah, comment below.
We'll get you in New Hampshire.
We'll have more info, yeah.
Subscribe, confidential, and we'll give you more information like that.
Absolutely.
Yeah, absolutely.
We'll, uh, we'll become an expert on New York and New Hampshire.
That's right.
And so we'll be in maybe even part of Florida now.
We're getting pretty good on Florida.
That's right.
We, you know, we've, yes, we've got a good little network down there, mayor.
Uh, and so hello to all of our friends tuning in from Florida.
So how soon will it be that DeSantis returns to being governor?
About two weeks?
That's, that's my question.
Maybe, you know, why go to New Hampshire?
I mean, so he comes into, let's say he gets a distant second here.
Where's the path forward for him?
New Hampshire, he's pulling in like seventh place.
It's almost cruel.
He was re-elected governor.
He should come in third and put him out of his misery.
But it is good for Trump if he comes in second, because it buries Haley a little.
And she's the only one who has a chance to challenge him.
Well, thank you very much for watching and we'll be back.
We'll be back definitely tomorrow, but we're going to be back on.
So if you want to keep checking on X and hit subscribe, we'll do some updates on there too, to leave them for you for the morning.
Okay.
So God bless you.
Thank you for sticking with us.
And I feel better now that we're on our way that it's gotten started.
It's like we've waited so long and it has seemed so long that we have to live under this dictatorship.
And now we've got our chance to do something about it.
So, God willing, we're going to do it.
Thank you.
God bless the people of Iowa for braving the weather tonight and taking a risk with your health and maybe with your life to participate in the most important thing in democracy, voting.
That the Democrats, in addition to all of the other rights of ours that they have trashed and destroyed, have attempted to destroy in our country, but we're going to get it back.
God bless America.
day.
America was created at a time of great turmoil, tremendous disagreements, anger, hatred.
There was a book written in 1776 that guided much of the discipline of thinking that brought to us the discovery of our freedoms, of our God-given freedoms.
It was Thomas Paine's Common Sense, written in 1776, one of the first American bestsellers, in which Thomas Paine explained, by rational principles, the reason why these small colonies felt the necessity to separate from the Kingdom of Great Britain and the King of England.
He explained their inherent desire for liberty, for freedom, freedom of religion, freedom
of speech, the ability to select the people who govern them.
And he explained it in ways that were understandable to all the people, not just the elite.
Because the desire for freedom is universal.
The desire for freedom adheres in the human mind and it is part of the human soul.
This is exactly the time we should consult our history.
Look at what we've done in the past and see if we can't use it to help us now.
We understand that our founders created the greatest country in the history of the world.
The greatest democracy, the freest country.
A country that has taken more people out of poverty than any country ever.
All of us are so fortunate to be Americans.
But a great deal of the reason for America's constant ability to self-improve is because we're able to reason.
We're able to talk.
We're able to analyze.
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