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Oct. 29, 2022 - Rudy Giuliani
01:16:06
Inside the Importance of the 2022 Midterm | Rudy Giuliani | October 29th 2022 | Ep 285
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Welcome to Rudy Giuliani's Common Sense.
It's great to have you back again.
And today we're going to look at overall the 2022 elections and roughly where people stand.
But we're going to take a more particular look at New York.
We're going to take a particular look at Pennsylvania because they just recently had two debates that were quite interesting and I think quite decisive.
In terms of helping one candidate in each race and hurting the other.
But we'll be with that in a moment.
We'll first set an overview of where all the races are.
Then at the end we'll tell you what we think.
Here we are two weeks out with regard to the 2022 election.
And we'll keep dispersing that now for the next two weeks so that you get a sense of what's going on If you don't already have it, you may have it.
There's a good deal of coverage of it, but I'll give you my perspective on it, and to the extent that I get a certain amount of information other people don't, of course we'll share it with you, or the conclusions that come from it.
Disguised as, you know, not really violent.
Brought about by two anarchist groups, one a communist group, probably the other also, but one acknowledges a communist group, Black Lives Matter, and a group dedicated to the killing of police officers, hence the invocation at every one of their protests, and they claim they have peaceful protests, I've yet to see one, but even if they do have peaceful protests, every protest they're at They will say, you know, pigs in a blanket, fry them like bacon, and then more direct things, but that's an invocation to killing police officers.
There must have been four, five, six hundred of these riots, some of them really major.
They count 26 people dead just as a result of the riots.
Thousands and thousands and thousands of people in the hospital.
Tens of thousands of people in the hospital.
More than that injured.
Police officers injured.
Police officers dead.
Damage in the billions of dollars.
Much of it to small business.
Much of it to minority business.
All of that's terrible.
All of that we've witnessed before.
Here's what we witnessed in 2020 that changed the psyche of the American criminal.
We witnessed large-scale invasions of stores, big and small.
We watched lawless criminals take out the items in those stores in a violent way.
And instead of watching what we normally would expect, the interruption of that, or not all of it, some of it by the police, what we witnessed instead was the police observing it.
Back usually across the street, not getting involved, and letting them take everything out of Macy's they wanted to take, or everything out of the shoe store they wanted to take, everything they wanted to take.
So that becomes a Those are basically happening a lot of them during the hours of the prime time soap operas and the dramas on television at night.
It became a routine.
To the average honest American, it was just plain shocking.
But to those inclined toward crime, it was a great lesson.
It was an invitation to go do the same thing.
Now, if you watch the If you watch the retail invasions that go on, small or large, Los Angeles has had probably the most, but we've had some in New York.
Those are almost direct replicas of the Black Lives Matter and Antifa riots that were not condemned by the then-presidential candidate of the Democrat Party, not condemned by any Democrat.
Um, tacitly really defended as necessary because the violation of civil rights was so great.
The theory was that the murder of George Floyd was so horrendous that it entitled you to destroy entire cities of innocent people.
That, you know, my goodness, you couldn't contain yourself as a result of The death of this great man in such a horrible way, and therefore people were gonna destroy other people's property, they were gonna beat other people to the point of death, they were gonna shoot and kill other people, they're gonna burn buildings down, they're gonna set up their own cities.
They were going to relentlessly attack almost everything about America.
They were going to attack outside those regions.
And the police were expected to allow it because, after all, it should be understood.
Finally, it was even worse since this was the summer of the pandemic and everybody else was locked up inside, having to wear masks if they were outside, not being allowed to go into large protests, not being allowed to go to church because they'd be too close to people.
Yet the Black Lives Matter and the Antifa people would march in the thousands and thousands holding hands.
Linking arms, you could see them kissing, you could see them spitting each other's face, you could see themselves in very close proximity, most often without masks on, but sometimes with masks on, doing all the things that Dr. Fauci had told us were prohibited, and Dr. Fauci, who has since proven to be a scoundrel, was defending it.
And absurd Democrat governors were saying, well, they're marching for civil rights as if that's a cure for COVID.
See, if you march because the prices in the grocery store have gone up too much, you'll get COVID.
But if you march because somebody was killed in Minnesota and you don't like the way they were killed, Destroy property because you're entitled to, because that's what looked that way, and you steal property because you are entitled to, because, well then you're not going to get COVID.
So among other things, not only did it breed a sense of entire and complete disrespect for the law, but it also created a whole distortion of science to the point of insanity, really.
That unleashes the next year, 21, in which approximately 17 cities set records for crime.
Now, it's not by accident.
The cities are almost all, if not all, governed by Democrat mayors who were supportive of those tactics.
Many of them were the very mayors that allowed them to happen.
Many of those cities had district attorneys that were elected with the intervention, the multimillionaire of George Soros, and they were anti-district attorneys.
In other words, they were district attorneys who were put there to undermine the system of justice.
They released criminals, large numbers of criminals, before George Floyd and then after George Floyd.
Sometimes a combination of a mayor and a district attorney, like in Philadelphia, which is now setting a record for the most murders in its history.
So all this exists now, and this 2022 election takes place in the middle of that.
So the number one issue is crime in much of America.
Now we take another step.
What's the other issue?
The other issue is the economy and the fact that every day that someone buys something, they're paying more for it.
It doesn't matter if they're buying a few little things or a lot of things, they're paying more for it.
If they are ahead of the household and do the shopping for the food, they're paying bills that are considerably higher than they have been over the past Oh, my goodness.
To see something like this, you've got to go back 40 years.
They would have no recollection of a time where there was inflation of 8, 9, 10, 12 percent.
I would because I'm a lot older.
Goes back to Jimmy Carter, actually, and was solved by Ronald Reagan.
This one will have to be solved by a Republican president because all that Joe Biden's going to do about it is add to the spending.
And when asked what to do about it, Mr. Fetterman, who wants to be the senator from Pennsylvania, but doesn't seem to be able to speak, said, he was asked directly, what are you going to do about inflation?
And what he said was, more.
He didn't say any specific, like more of More of what?
More, more releases and more, more, more release of the Strategic Reserve.
So we have none.
In case there's an attack or an emergency.
That's pretty irresponsible to do, but he's done that.
So, so he gave no strategy.
He, or she, yes, Federman gave no strategy.
He just said more.
So until a few weeks ago, Because of the intervention of the issue of abortion with the overturning of the Roe against Wade decision, in which, let's be specific here so we describe the opinion accurately and not feed into hysteria,
The decision did not ban Roe against Wade.
The decision left the ultimate architects of what should be done about abortion to the state legislatures.
Because it was considered that this was traditionally within our separation of powers, which includes the separation of powers between the federal government and the state, this was a matter for local determination.
When that happened, the Democrats put a little spin on it to, they're outlawing abortion.
Well, there's nothing in that decision that outlaws abortion.
So they struck a middle ground.
They didn't outlaw it, they mandated it.
They left it up to the brilliant democracy of this country to determine in different places will there be different ways of approaching this.
For quite some time, however, that was drowned out.
And the Democrat version, spin, if you will, on it prevailed, which is, those terrible Democrats have taken a right away from women.
But as things calmed down, and as it was probably over-argued, the actual nature of it sort of revealed itself more.
And what it was was an opportunity for the states to fashion what fit the morality and the decency of the particular states involved.
From restrictions of 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18 weeks.
In other words, you have to have your abortion then in order to have it.
To things like in New York, where you can abort a child the moment before it's born And there is a question as to whether or not there's a certain grace period should a child be born despite an abortion.
In other words, they try the abortion but the child lives.
There are significant number of advocates on the Democrat side that believe that you can still call that an abortion even though that is quite plainly first-degree murder.
You're destroying The child.
In fact, over the course of the last three months, I'm sure, in the womb, you're basically murdering the baby.
It's no longer a fetus.
It's a baby and you crush its skull and then dispose of its body parts.
It's a barbaric thing to do, which makes one wonder, since we do it so often now.
What has it done to the soul of this nation?
Is it one of the reasons why this nation seems to have trouble adhering to a set of values and to a common understanding of morality on the most basic things of all, life and death and the responsibility of children?
So that issue, that issue is not one that's going to get decided in this election.
This is going to get played out in the state legislatures that exist.
And it probably can get played out over the next two or three elections.
But two things are paramount, forced on us in this election.
You can think about abortion all you want, go in the grocery store and it's 10% more.
You can think about abortion all you want and all you're hearing about is your children being unsafe going to school or another issue that's emerged quite dramatically with big, big division between the two political parties and almost everyone running on either side.
Who really gets to decide how your child is educated?
The parent or the government bureaucrat?
Democrats are clearly in favor of the government bureaucrat doing it and taking it away from the parent and Republicans are equally as vehement that it has to be the parent.
Following the American model.
I will have to say that the Democrat model comes directly from Karl Marx.
That's precisely how he wanted a child educated, by the state.
And he's come pretty close now to achieving that, where the child mandatorily is educated by the state.
And that has gone as far as allowing teachers and administrators and health personnel in the schools to advise a child that although they're dressed as and think they're a boy, they might very well be a girl.
And if the child gets enough into that, the child can make the unreviewable decision by the parent, unknown to the parent, the decision to mutilate themselves.
I do not have a better way to describe it than that.
I know there will be people that say that it's unfair that it isn't mutilation, but to chop off one of your private parts is mutilation.
It may be for the purpose of turning yourself into a different gender or something, but it's mutilation.
Removal of a body part is mutilation.
The tragedy of this is that that body part is removed from an impressionable young child who changes their mind, and many of them have had terrible consequences as a result of this, having done irreparable things like that, only to find themselves wanting to be members of the sex they started with.
And this is a battle in this election.
Make no mistake about it.
Democrats are very, very, very, very driven to the government decides approach.
Republicans are very, very, very, very driven to the parents decide approach.
And that's a decision you're going to get to make probably in every one of these elections.
Because even if you're a Democrat, you're a local Democrat, Should agree with more of a, you get to decide, viewpoint.
The majority of the party has already said that that is not their position.
And your wonderful representative is not going to be able to vote his will, and you're going to end up supporting a vote like that, whether you like it or not, if you vote for a Republican.
So this is something that has to be considered very, very carefully.
So I think we will at this point take a short break.
We'll be back in two minutes, and we hope to hear from you.
Thank you.
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Thank you.
This is Rudy Giuliani back with you.
The basis was on let's be fair to the criminal.
Let's be fair.
Now I came out of the Democrat party.
That's one of the main reasons I left the Democratic party way back in the seventies.
It's always been the more criminal party.
It's always wanted criminals to vote.
And I'm sure if you looked, criminals vote for them 70 or 80 percent.
But now it's become entirely that way.
Nobody will stand up to the wackos like Fetterman, who wanted to release a third of the prisoners, just like any third.
He wanted to release people for second-degree murder, Because he didn't think it was as serious as first-degree murder.
Did you ever contemplate that maybe there was something wrong with Fetterman even before?
He took some pretty wacky positions.
Someone described him as, like, infantile positions to impress people.
Guy's got a strange background, right?
He's never worked a day in his life.
He's had two government jobs where he doesn't show up very much.
He has lived with his parents until he was 50 and they support him because they're very wealthy.
And then he got married in, I'm not going to say anything about his wife, but you go read about it.
And I think he may still live with his parents and they still support him.
So this is not like the kind of guy you, the self-made man, This is like someone discovered as a manchild.
And then, of course, he rides around and dresses like, I don't know, he's some kind of a freaky wrestler or a character in a horror movie or something.
He doesn't walk around dressed like a responsible adult.
Now, you know, you can dress any way you want, but I also have the right To make conclusions about your level of maturity when you take the positions that you take and say that, you know, second-degree murderers should be released and that you should defund the police.
That's either a deliberately anarchistic position to support the movement of this country to a one-world dominance or communist dominance or You're a criminal yourself or you're stupid.
And then when you look at the glaring inconsistencies that he couldn't address, I mean, until he's able to address them, nobody should be able to.
If he can't explain how two years ago, he was vehemently anti-fracking, now he's dramatically pro-fracking.
And I don't know if he was able to answer that question.
He just kept repeating the same thing.
The woman twice showed him his prior quote.
And the second time, she said, I'd like you to square this.
And he just repeated.
The second time, it sounded like a child Who was taught for kindergarten to recite, but he took about an hour to remember it.
Big long pause.
And then he said, I'm for fracking.
I'm for fracking.
I am.
I'm for fracking.
I'm for fracking.
But of course, two years before, he said that fracking was the worst thing in the world.
Same thing with socialized medicine.
Three years ago, he said that Bernie Sanders' approach to single payer, which is the best kind of socialized medicine, is the best thing for America.
Now he tells us he's against socialized medicine.
But he goes beyond that.
He says, I've always been against it.
He hasn't always been against it.
So what are those two things?
Is he a liar?
He was before.
He got caught in lies before he had the stroke.
So maybe there are other problems here.
And given some of his behavior, like taking the gun out and threatening the black man, obviously a totally innocent man.
Imagine if he was a Republican that did that.
Wow.
Takes a gun and puts it in the guy's belly.
With those crazy looking eyes.
I mean, I don't know.
It would be unbelievably discouraging.
If they were able to sell this to the people of Pennsylvania the way they sold Biden to America.
I mean, we now have a president that's a complete broken-down old fool who's lost the lives of Americans because of his irresponsible decision-making.
And we got a bunch of people who don't really give a damn about America, just care about their own preferment position in power because they won't report that he cannot carry out the duties of President of the United States.
Those aren't patriots.
Those are just the opposite of patriots.
Well, I think we've run out of time for this show.
We're going to be on, oh gosh, just in about two minutes, which we're going to devote it to doing the best we can to get you to call us.
If you don't call us, I'm going to ask myself questions.
Okay?
All right.
So we'll be back.
We'll be back with our call-in show.
It'll continue on the theme of the election, but feel free, even with the prior show, feel free to call in on any of the subjects where you want information or you have observations.
The purpose of this show is to contribute in some small way To the preservation of free speech, which is in jeopardy in this country under Joseph Robinette Biden.
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This is Rudy Giuliani.
We're back again and we're here with Chat with the Mayor and following up on the show we just did on the Twenty-two election where we tried to deal with the overview of it, and in particular the New York and Pennsylvania races that had the rather interesting debates this week that might well have had a big impact on the race.
I mean, you get the impression that the debate in Pennsylvania, unless there's something very weird going on, It's going to have a big, big impact on the race in Pennsylvania, since Mr. Fetterman was as inarticulate as the reporter who described it, who was almost dismissed from reporting as a result of it, but turns out to have, if anything, underestimated the nature of his cognitive disabilities, which are severe.
And one wonders how a major political party His friends and family can allow someone who can hardly complete a logical sentence, how they can allow him to run for public office and for a major public office like that.
But beyond those two races, There's the entire matter of the Senate itself and the control of the Senate itself, as well as the control of the House of Representatives.
The feeling, more than the feeling, the polling that I have available to me basically shows that the Republicans are going to prevail with regard to The House of Representatives, and it's a question of, really, a question of the number of seats that it will take.
Will it be 510?
Will it be 2030?
Will it be more than that?
Right now, when I look at what they call the generic ballot, which is a pretty good Reliable indicator of how the congressional election is going to come out.
It seems to me that there's a good chance that the Republican victory in the House will be at the higher end of the ones that we've had over the last 20 years or so.
Now, I'm only basing it on the polls here.
No, no, I'm not.
I'm not only... Here I am contradicting myself.
I'm basing it on two things.
I'm basing it, yes, on the polls, but I'm also basing it on the fact that you get the feeling that Republican concern about the future of the Republic Under Joe Biden is much greater than the Democratic concern of what would happen if there were a Republican Congress and a Democratic president.
If we weren't in such a partisan era, that Democrat vote might even be higher because there's sort of like a Biden has made so many Really completely irrational, not even, you know, particularly partisan decisions, but irrational, stupid decisions, dangerous decisions that if it weren't so deeply divided, I think more people would move.
But I think the decision making and the result of them has been so profound that there'll be a lot of movement.
It's like what happened with Fetterman.
There'll be people that just could never vote for a Republican that will not ever put down a lever for Fetterman because they wouldn't vote for a man who doesn't know what's going on.
I mean, you don't vote for somebody because you feel sorry for them.
Particularly if they're taking on a job that they have no right asking for because they lack The critical ingredients for that job, which is an active and strong and vibrant intellect, gone, for now at least, might be able to come back if he rehabilitates.
And number two, a significant problem in expressing himself in a deliberative body that depends on speeches, negotiation, I don't know, it's like if you've lost your ability to speak, how can you be a simultaneous translator at the UN?
You might feel very woke and very sorry for the person, but I'm sorry, you're just going to have to find another job for them.
If they can't speak, they can't speak into the microphone in order to translate.
I know it sounds stupid, but his nomination was stupid.
Wasn't it?
And it was sneaky and dishonest because he hid it.
Democrats could have nominated a person of total capability of doing the job.
He might ideologically be as strange.
I doubt it.
I don't know.
I can't think except for Shapiro who's running for governor.
There's nobody else as strange and weird ideologically as he is.
I mean Shapiro and he are like clones.
I don't know who's worse and particularly in having given us Krasnick or having had us hang on to Krasnick because they supported him.
And a good deal of the Democrat Party in Philadelphia opposed him because they have to live there.
And just because you're a member of the Democratic Party doesn't mean you don't get killed.
And he has set a record for murder twice now in that great city.
And that's the kind of record that you have that should mean you should go find another job because you can't do the one that you're presently doing.
You're not capable of it.
There are certain criteria that measure the significance of a job setting a record that goes back 300 plus years for murder.
I do also believe that last year they had more murders than New York and Chicago combined.
Chicago is basically a killing field.
The New York murders have increased quite dramatically.
So, um, I would think that Philadelphia and the rest of the state of Pennsylvania is pretty much fed up with Shapiro and Fetterman.
I would think so, but we'll have to see.
The other Senate race that could have a lot to do with this, of course they all can, although if the Democrats hold on to what they have, and gain one, then they have a working majority.
So, or if they lose one and gain two, that's the same thing.
So that's why Pennsylvania becomes so important to them, right?
So let's say they lose, let's say they lose Arizona.
Well, that's represented right now by a Democrat.
So that would not be a net loss.
That would be a net win.
But if they lost Florida with Rubio, then that would be a net loss.
And now they'd have to make up.
Right now, they have to hold what they have and win one.
If they lose one, they have to hold what they have and win two.
If they hold what they have and win two, then the majority becomes 52 to 48, which is a little safer.
And there are people predicting 53 to 47, which would be even safer.
But I would say I am persuaded that they're going to make it by a seat.
They're going to control the House by a large number of seats.
They're going to control the Senate by a seat or at best two.
And because the momentum in the last week, the trip, the trip to Moscow.
I was thinking about Moscow because of the money.
Because of the money that Biden got from Moscow that they finally explained.
I've been thinking about that money for quite some time.
I really have.
But, I mean, the reality is, let's see if we can get it down to the key races.
I'm gonna take one of my boards here.
Ted, could you give me one of my boards, which I like to play with, No matter what.
No, no, not that one.
Well, yeah, maybe we should do it by state.
Let's have some fun with the map.
Let's have some fun with the map.
Give me, yeah.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, let's have some fun with the map.
Here we go.
Let's see, what do we have here?
We got, well, these have been used before, so you'll have to just ignore This map was previously used to describe the three major entry points from the border.
So let's look at the states.
We can go with a nice clean one.
Since I'm a Republican, I'm going to mark them all red, but that doesn't mean they are going to be red.
I don't want to waste the time to color it up too much, right?
So we've got a race.
We've got a race right here in New Hampshire, right?
That's a Senate race that's in play, in doubt.
I would like to say the one in New York is.
But I can't, in good conscience, because I love Joe Pinion.
He's been a guest on the podcast, on the show, and he'd be a much better senator than Schumer.
But I would say, Albany, we would just have to concede to the party that is rotting from the head down.
This is Harrisburg.
That's, of course, Pennsylvania.
So there's another one.
So here are two.
Here are two that are in doubt.
One held by a Democrat.
So, theoretically, you could lose this one.
And as long as you don't lose any others and you pick up one, you're okay.
But you never know, right?
I mean, it could go... These are close enough it could go the other way.
Here you have General Baldock.
And you have Senator Hassan.
She was leading by very large margins for quite some time.
And now he has made it what everyone would consider to be an even race.
This, before the catastrophic debate, this was a two-point election for Fetterman.
Hard to believe, and many people do believe now, that Oz is ahead.
By a few points.
Now, we come down through here.
We don't really have a competitive race, but we could go to Ohio next.
It's going to go right down straight south, but here is Ohio.
This is Vance and Ryan.
And so now I will tell you the only one I'm willing to call right now And a lot of people wouldn't because it is close.
But I just have a feeling that Trump won this by 10, 11 points.
There's a residual of Republican support here.
I would call that for the Republicans.
I'd say that's a win.
These are toss-ups, that's a win.
I would say the same thing is true down here.
If we come down to Atlanta, okay, there's Atlanta.
Oh, you want to put them in as... Oh, we are?
So Ted's gonna be fancy.
He's gonna keep them undecided.
One.
Two.
Okay.
So we got a red there.
I would say Georgia is definitely Republican.
This is really not a contested state.
Florida with Rubio.
We'll just mark it off just to get it out of the way.
Now, let's go to Wisconsin, where we have a very important race with Senator Johnson holding onto a seat for a senator who is a very strong defender of President Trump.
And I would say he has gone out now to a pretty darn good lead.
He's gone out to a pretty darn good lead there.
So I would mark that.
I would mark that for Johnson.
Right?
That's what I say.
Okay.
So now we go toward the West.
I don't know if we're missing any in between.
We'll go back and check to make sure.
Nevada is a very, very tight race.
Laxalt and Costas Matsos, I think her name is.
I would mark that one the UCAN Black right now.
I don't know that I'm ready to... I don't know that I'm ready to... Utah, I would say that Senator Lee is going to pull that out.
It could be close, or then it should be, but he'll pull that out.
So now we have Colorado.
That's another one.
I'll give that to the Democrats right now.
Unfortunately.
So now that gives us one, two, three, four, five, six, seven.
I know, I know, I know.
It's eight races that they pretty much consider toss-ups, right?
The black and the blue are hard to notice the difference of, but we can't.
What would we do in Arizona?
I tell you what, Ted, what do you think is going to happen in Arizona?
Well, in Arizona, of course, you have the Senate race and the governor's race.
If we were to look at the governor's race, Harry Lake is looking really strong.
And the other is much closer.
And the other one is much closer.
Masters didn't start looking good until about three or four days ago.
That's right, Mayor.
And the debate, is there enough time?
So we'll mark that one down black.
Now it's hard to see the difference between blue and black, unfortunately.
So that's okay.
We can still do it.
shot in the face. So we'll mark that one down black.
Now it's hard to see the difference between blue and black unfortunately.
So that's okay we can still do it. So that gives us one, two, three, four,
for free.
Five red.
Five red.
Right?
The blues.
That's still a toss-up.
I wouldn't worry about that.
I consider that a toss-up.
I consider that a toss-up.
I consider. Uh, close up.
And...
And Arizona.
Democrat.
And Denver Democrat.
So we got two Democrats.
I would say Colorado and Phoenix.
So now let's see if we find a pickup.
That becomes really interesting now for us, right?
We find a pickup.
No pickup yet here.
For us, because if we were to win that, we would take it from the Democrats.
If we were in New Hampshire, we'd take it from the Democrats.
If they were to win Pennsylvania, they'd take it from the Republicans.
Those are both toss-ups.
They could cancel each other out, correct?
Right?
So let's say that they pick up Pennsylvania.
Let's say that somehow For some weird reason, because it's Halloween, Oz loses and Fetterman wins, but then if General Bulldog were to win, we'd be back where we started.
Yes.
Even Senate.
Yes.
So, right now, we don't call that.
This is a gain of a seat in Ohio.
So, right now, we're plus one.
If we go over to Wisconsin, it's holding a seat that makes it plus one.
If we go down to Georgia and Walker wins, it's plus two.
Rubio, doesn't matter.
It remains the same.
Now, when we go out here in Denver, they're just holding onto a seat they already have.
In Arizona, they're holding onto a seat they already have.
In Salt Lake City, we're holding onto a seat we have.
Lee is holding onto his seat.
And in Carson City, we're picking up the seat.
So you see, it could be plus three Republicans.
It could be plus three Republican, it could be... And that's a conservative estimate, right?
You're still not ready... That could be 53, and then it would be, on the Democrat side, it would be 47.
Now, if... If they... If they split Harrisburg and New Hampshire, If they split Harrisburg, if they split Pennsylvania and New Hampshire it remains the same.
If they split these it remains the same.
If they were to win both, if they were to win both,
my goodness, that would be 55.
That'd be 55 if they were to win both.
And if they were to pick up Nevada, it would be 56.
So that's probably the furthest they could go, 56.
It would be down to 56.
44.
And that would be quite a margin.
So my guess is it's going to end up about here.
If it gets to this, then you have a really big Democratic, big red wave.
To get, remember to get to, to get to 53.
So if you, if you pick up, if you pick up If you pick up New Hampshire, you pick up one.
Harrisburg means you don't lose anything.
Columbus, you pick up two.
Georgia, you pick up three.
Tallahassee, you don't lose anything.
Wisconsin, you don't lose anything.
So we're at three.
I want to clarify something.
Mayor, in Ohio, it is a Republican who is retired.
Oh, I thought it was a Democrat.
Oh, you are right.
You are right.
So take everything down by one.
This is 52.
And this is 55.
Right, right, right.
So it's 53 to 55.
conservative estimate. And this is 55. Because this is you.
You're not ready to call PA.
Right, right, right. So it's 53 to 55. So once again, if you win New Hampshire,
if you win New Hampshire, you pick up one. If you hold on, that's one for New Hampshire.
If you hold on to Harrisburg, you remain the same.
If you hold on to Columbus, you remain... If you hold on to Columbus, you remain the same.
If you hold on to Madison, you remain the same.
If you pick up Georgia, it's plus two.
If you pick up... If you hold on to Tallahassee, it remains the same.
If you...
If you lose Colorado, it literally means nothing, in the sense that you don't lose anything.
If you lose Nevada, you lose nothing, right?
If you lose Arizona, You lose nothing.
This was Utah, I'm sorry.
If you lose Arizona, you lose nothing.
The only place you could lose out here, you'd have to lose Utah.
Lee would have to lose.
And I would say Lee is gonna win.
So the most likely that we could call right now is two.
It's basically 52 to 40.
Uh, to 48, I would say, is the most likely.
The one that you get in New Hampshire?
If you can take it.
The one you're gonna get in Ohio.
Or, not get in Ohio, rather, in Georgia.
That's where you would pick, that's where you would pick them up.
Now, if you get, if you get, um, if you get lucky, And this is totally conceivable and you pick up Las Vegas, now you're a 53.
And this is, let's put them in the order in which they're the most doable.
The most doable is this one, Ohio.
That is going to happen.
And that again will be us holding a seat against Senator Portman who's retiring.
The next two are Georgia and Pennsylvania in terms of likely.
to the U.S. There's technically an open seat, but if we're able to keep it, it's a stable economy.
The next two are Georgia and Pennsylvania in terms of likely. The next one is New Hampshire
and Nevada, about the same. So in terms of all doable.
So that tells you that the chance of a Republican victory in the Senate is, I would say, for sure, a good chance.
For sure.
Not even.
Now, here's the caveat to all of this, which is there's two weeks to go.
And two weeks.
Two weeks ago today, I think most people would have predicted A fairly narrow but decisive victory in the House.
I don't know if that's ever been in doubt.
With all the flips and flops and turns, I don't know that that has at all been in doubt.
And it probably would have been thought of as the Senate was going to stay tied.
Or maybe even go up one vote for Democrats.
But now I would say the odds are moderately big victory in the House, not just moderate, to a small victory in the Senate.
Governors, I haven't looked at as carefully.
Governors, I haven't looked at it as carefully.
People, I'm sure, are interested in my opinion of the two big ones.
The two big ones are Florida and New York.
And I would say Florida is DeSantis all the way against one of the biggest and most dishonest scoundrels in politics, Charlie Crist.
I would say New York is Still, one, you can't call for Republicans, but it's just quite remarkable that you could call it pretty close to a toss-up, particularly after Zeldin's performance in the last debate, which was quite superior to Hochul's.
And Hochul's ridiculous remark that she didn't know why Zeldin was making crime and punishment for crime so important.
And Mayor, what does it tell you that we're 12 days out Tell them they want to lose.
Why would you bring the president?
He might not even know he's in New York.
We also should say that the race in Michigan is a very big one and become a very, very close one when it wasn't supposed to be.
The one in Arizona is a big one, and it looks like Carrie Lake's going to win that one, which might help the Senate, which might help the Senate win.
There are a couple of surprises, too, where Democratic governors that were supposed to win are one or two behind by a point.
I'm not exactly sure which ones they are.
The race in Austin, Texas with the... I don't know where the Democrats find these people, you know, like Fetterman and O'Rourke.
Robert Francis O'Rourke, who was born to be president.
It looks like it's not going to be a step in his inevitable destiny to the White House.
And as much as the media hypes up Stacey Abrams, that's solid red in the governor's race.
Oh yeah, yeah, he won that race.
I mean, that race is over.
I bet that race is over in the absentee balloting.
They went too far there with that Jim Crow stuff, and Jim Crow stuff resulted in more people voting in the state of Georgia than ever before in its history, including black people.
So I think that's a pretty good analysis of it and I guess the question becomes what could happen between now and then that would change it?
A lot, right?
But I don't think it can change it dramatically.
I think that what could happen is you could go back to where you were two weeks ago and have a much more Competitive race in the Senate, which might go to the Dems or the Republicans, or might remain tied.
It could go back to that.
I don't think it will, but you never know.
And the House, the numbers could come down a bit, but I think the House is now inevitably Republican, and the Senate is probably Republican.
And it'll be a very good thing for the country because the President needs a check and balance badly.
He needs something badly.
I think you know, if you will listen to me at all, that I believe that the President should be removed under the 25th Amendment.
I believe he fits the words of the amendment which says that you should seek his removal if he's not capable of carrying out the duties of President of the United States.
He has shown in every indication that he has a diminished capacity to think and to remember and to do the things that a president has to do to keep us safe.
And even though Harris is undesirable, you don't get to make that choice.
You've got to make an honest decision on that first question.
And the honest decision is that they should begin the proceedings, the constitutional proceedings, to remove him, which Which are always very jarring and always very difficult.
But I fear that if we don't do it, we will get into a lazy pattern of allowing these people who are very unwilling to give up power whenever they have to, to continue to do that and play this game in the future.
So, I think we move on.
But that's got to get decided now at the ballot box in just two weeks.
Of course, vote.
Make sure you vote.
And make sure that you say to yourself that you're not going to let anybody in any way discourage you from doing that.
It's critically important that you Exercise your ballot, and anything goes wrong, you report it, because we sure don't want to see the same thing as last time happen.
Mayor, what would you say to some folks, maybe even some Republicans, some voters in Pennsylvania who may have been strong supporters of President Trump, who they look at Dr. Oz as maybe untested.
You know, some of them have even questioned if he is conservative.
What would you say to that term?
A lot of people get elected to the Senate that were untested and turn out to be great senators.
President Trump was untested and he turned out to be a great president from the conservative point of view for sure.
I don't think that that's, first of all, I don't think experience in the Senate means that much.
There's nothing you particularly do in the Senate that's Intricate.
I'm not saying you don't do something extraordinarily important.
You vote on the most important legislation in the world.
You take positions that can have influence over some of the most important decisions in the world.
But it isn't a job where you need to be there for 20 years to understand it.
A good deal of the job you understand almost intuitively if you've been in politics.
And what would you say to voters who may, and how do Republicans keep their voters coming out if they're looking at bullying?
And you're hearing, oh, Republicans, big red wave coming.
Big red wave coming.
What only happens if you get up and go vote.
I mean, yeah, there is always a fear.
Either way, there's a fear.
If you are losing, if you're losing too much, there's a fear that nobody will come out and vote because you're complacent.
You know, we're going to win.
What the heck?
But people like to join a, I think that's a little less true than the other way around, because people like to join a victory.
So they like to say they think somebody's going to win, and they marginally even like that person.
They want to vote for him and say, yeah, I vote for the person that won.
I think the vote that's unaffected by it is the Democratic vote in New York, unfortunately.
But we'll see.
I think that they will come out to vote in large numbers.
And I think the enthusiasm level on the Democratic side must be more precise about that.
I think that the enthusiasm level on the Democrat side is going to be hard to pick up.
I don't see, I don't see with Obama's, Biden's approval rating being down at the 40 to 35% level.
That keeps people away rather than sends them there.
And, um, So in a state like New York, Mayor, President Biden has tried to paint himself as kind of a blue-collar Joe.
Will that work?
They have him come into upstate New York.
Will this work?
Well, Trump beat him in upstate New York.
I don't see how he turns that.
I mean, if anything, he's much more unpopular than he was with Iran among the people who voted against him or had the desire to vote against him.
So his vote in Long Island and his The vote out in upstate New York, and I don't know.
I mean, if you're going to take him anywhere, you take him to New York City, or you take him to the middle of Philadelphia, or the middle of Chicago, where you've got the solid Democratic vote, and you want to bring some home.
I would not take him to a neutral or Republican area if I were them, but I'm not them, and therefore I'm happy to do it.
What factors do you think former President Barack Obama could play or is going to play for the Democrat Party down the home stretch?
We know he's visiting or putting out messages to places like Michigan on behalf of incumbent Governor Gretchen Whitmer.
Do you think there are places where he can help the Democrats?
I guess if they pick Democratic districts that are still very loyal to him, that'll be places where he could help.
But I think nowadays, You go to your place and the rest of the press lets you know that you're there, including the people who dislike you, then find it out.
And therefore, they're going to come out in much larger numbers.
So, I mean, there's no easy question to it.
There never is when a president gets himself in the negative numbers.
And what do you anticipate will be the top two issues, right?
The economy is really going to be driving... Crime.
The economy and crime.
If you might want to make it three issues, it gets harder.
Do you think the culture wars, how much of the kind of the ongoing culture wars, you know, whether it's the transgender issue, some of the censorship we're seeing across campuses, do you think those sorts of things are moving people?
Yes.
I think they're moving people, but I think that the crime in the economy has been so much a part of our headlines, so much a part of our coverage, conservative, liberal media, woke media, whatever, that those will be the two driving issues.
And if you're right on both of them, you're going to win big.
If you're right on one of them, the one to be right on, well, in New York City, it would be crime.
Are Democrats overplaying their hand on an issue like abortion?
You're seeing them talk about that a lot in some of these districts.
Is it, one, because they can't defend some of these other big issues?
Or is it, two, they really think this is something a majority of Americans kind of put as their top issue?
or is something else happening here?
I think Democrats are hoping that they can revive it as a subject as a
It is a subject, and it's on the polls, and it's at a fairly substantial margin, although it is down to 8% in some.
If I were the Democrats, I would not give up on it.
I think all told, their repetition of it has hurt them, but I'd almost want to look for new and more creative ways to say the same thing, because it is the issue they're going to have to convince people on.
That's the only thing they have going for them because I don't think they're going to
sell themselves on crime or the economy, meaning the government economy. It's at least
at least a guess that I could muster at this point.
And so we want to get through the midterms, of course, Mayor, but looking ahead to the day after, the morning after, do you anticipate, maybe it depends on how Election Day goes, do you anticipate an immediate push from the Democrat Party to keep Joe Biden from running for re-election?
No.
Unless something happens.
But I think it'll happen in the next two years.
I don't see the Democratic Party letting him be the standard bearer of the party.
I mean, he's too sick.
He's too... He doesn't look like the kind of person that needs help.
But he, you know, we'll see.
Can somebody like Kamala Harris, something like that, do you think that she could appeal to a broader base of Americans going into 24?
I think they've destroyed Kamala Harris.
Who's that?
The press.
The press that loves them has destroyed Kamala.
They cover her problems much more than they do his.
And people are aware of it.
And I think that that coverage has defined her.
Publicly.
And it's very hard to work your way out of a definition like that.
Quite something, right?
I mean, this is someone, Kamala Harris, who made her announcement, I believe, in Oakland, California.
And at that time, a lot of the press were with her, and calling her, you know, the next president.
Soros' son donated the most money to her.
She was, I don't know if she was ever a frontrunner, but she was a strong contender.
And then, Chelsea Gabbard destroyed her.
Speaking of Pulsey-Gabbard, what do you make of having someone like Pulsey-Gabbard switching from the Democrat Party over, as opposed to someone like, you know, we're seeing a lot of Maybe, I don't know if you call them old school Democrats, you know, I like to refer to them as my father's Democrat party.
Right, right.
They don't see, they don't align themselves.
They don't see a lot in common with some of today's far left.
They don't, they're not, they're not, they're not big with Bush and, and AOC and they're not big with that.
So how do they vote?
And that's the million dollar question.
Sure.
I mean, he's fighting for his life to the extent that he can.
Are they waking up to the fact that they may be losing some of these voters as they did to Trump?
And so maybe they're trying to shift messaging to bring them back,
try to put out someone like President Biden who's trying to paint himself as, you know, Scranton Joe.
Are they panicking, do you think, ahead of the midterms?
Sure.
I mean, he's fighting for his life to the extent that he can.
I don't know how much he knows about what's going on, but… I don't think he's going to run.
I think he's going to want to, but I don't think his physical and mental capacity will be there.
It is, after all, an illness that gets worse.
He doesn't have a, you know, you take a look at Fetterman, for example.
Fetterman has the possibility of improving.
Not likely, given the kind of illness it was, but he has a possibility of improving.
But Trump has had so many from so young, it's hard.
So I would like to say to everyone that organize yourselves so you're going to vote.
You remember last time, and by last time I mean 2020, not 21, there were large deficits in some places in terms of people that didn't vote.
I think those people feel very sorry right now.
This is the time to make up for it.
If you've got strong convictions about this thing, don't keep it between yourself and yourself.
This is something that you owe to your federal citizens to make a decision here.
Watch as many of these newspaper programs as you can, or read what you can, so you get an idea of the candidates, including the local ones, and don't neglect the local government.
That's going to have a lot more to do with how we come out of everything.
So we need your support to do that.
Mayor, how can listeners, viewers keep up with you as we get closer to this election?
We know you're putting out content constantly, fighting the good fight, mobilizing good patriotic Americans to come out and exercise their right to vote.
How can they stay in touch with you?
I know social media, some of your platforms, your website.
I think the way to do it is to go to RudyGiulianiCS.com and send us what we need to see there.
What does the CS stand for?
Common sense.
Rudy Giuliani CS.
That is lacking greatly in the United States.
It's lacking greatly.
We desperately need common sense.
Of course, you're on social media across platforms.
You can follow the mayor on Facebook, Instagram.
Twitter, Deader, Truth Social, subscribe to his YouTube channel.
And there's so many other places to stay in touch with the mayor.
Well, we're going to have to see how this emerges next week.
This was a very important week because of the debates.
And I don't think that the Democrats are going to give either one of them another debate.
I think they both made it as strong as they could.
We'll have it as late as we can.
As short as we can.
So, is there any reason for the Democrat candidate in Pennsylvania, Shapiro for governor, following such a poor debate performance by Mr. Fetterman, does it serve any reason for him to go out to try and maybe fix things, protect his own race, and to go out there and debate Mr. Mastroianni?
Any line of thinking there?
Anything there?
He's not debating, right?
That's a Democrat across the board rule, with a few exceptions, where they're behind or they're just really just naturally aggressive.
I would have thought that he'd be one of those, but he's not.
So the main thing is it's going to rest on the advertising, the appearances, what they know of the two candidates.
Mastriano is a real American patriot.
He went out and assisted us when my son was running and faced possible threats because of just a little headscarf that he was wearing.
They were playing different things, playing different scenes.
So he had to be very, very careful.
And the amount of animosity toward Trump, particularly back at the beginning when Andrew was running, it was very great.
Now that's changed.
Are people waking up to the realities of the current president?
Isn't it? Is that why it's changing?
You know, it seems to me, and this just could be a process we're going through.
It seems to me that randomness crime has taken over now.
We end up with these crimes.
They're not necessarily the mass shootings, but they're smashing grabs in the stores and the people thrown on the subways, and we don't know why.
It's just angry behavior, which is something that never led to such consequences before.
And I really do think it's 2024 that drove people beyond being properly controlled by the laws.
Any closing remarks here as we wrap up another great hour with Mayor Rudy Giuliani?
Well, I would say stay involved in the election.
Don't lose track of it.
Don't become complacent whether you're ahead by too much or behind by too much.
I've seen many of those reversed.
Many of that momentum... Momentum depends on whether people get up off their unit and go vote.
And no one knows exactly what it's going to be, and I would just get up and vote.
So, I would say that we're at the end now, and I want to thank you for listening in, and I want to thank you, particularly if you respond to RudyGiulianiCS.com and ask me the questions.
I'm really interested in conversing with you and going back and forth because I've learned so much from you.
You're a source of knowledge.
A source of wise decisions.
So if you could send them in to me at RudyGiulianiCS.com, you'll help me, and you'll help all of us that are working very, very hard to try to preserve the First Amendment.
Thank you very much for listening in.
Thank you for being part of this.
And until the next time, God bless America.
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