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Aug. 11, 2024 - Dennis Prager Show
04:26
Low Supplies Of Western Weapons To Israel ft. Michael Oren
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The point you made was, I can't believe I hadn't thought of it.
I hate when I hear a great point and I think, why didn't I think of that?
The depleting of Western arms because of the war in Ukraine.
So even if places wanted to send arms to Israel, there isn't the quantity that was normally available.
Did I hear you correctly?
Correctly.
Because nobody in the West has any.
Ukraine itself is short on these types of arms.
And I've been a longtime advocate when I was in government.
Remember, I was in Knesset and I was the deputy minister.
I was a longtime advocate of establishing munitions independence for the state of Israel.
Not to be dependent on anybody because I was very much influenced by a decision made by the Obama administration back in 2014 in an earlier war with Hamas where the administration said we were killing too many Palestinians.
And they began to delay the supply of vital munitions.
And I concluded that Israel can never be in a situation where it's dependent on any foreign government to that degree.
And I thought maybe we could get into another war that would be far larger.
And all of a sudden, someone's going to turn off the faucet.
And that is what has happened.
And it greatly constrains our decision-making and our maneuverability.
I assume that the reason that they didn't take your advice, although obviously they do have their own arms industry in Israel, is simply the economics of it.
Because Israel has a budget and it can't be so imbalanced toward armaments.
Is that the problem?
Well, that was the argument that the Army gave me.
The Army is a very powerful lobby in Israel, and they said, listen, we've already spent the money.
But American armed aid to Israel, and of course we deeply appreciate the aid, it comes to about $4 billion a year.
And once upon a time, that was a huge share of Israel's defense budget.
It was about 50%.
Today it's about 15%.
And the question is, okay, what are the opportunity costs that are lost by receiving the $4 billion?
We can't sell it to whom we want.
We have to buy things that basically the United States tells us to buy because those $4 billion are in essence a subsidy for the American arms industry.
All that money is spent in the United States on American arms.
And I think also that type of relationship where we are the receiving of largesse from the United States opens us up to charges by politicians, and I won't name them, but you know them who will say, well, we can criticize Israel because we give you money.
And I don't think that's appropriate for a country which is strong, which is affluent, and lives in a tough neighborhood.
We can't afford to broadcast that type of dependency and weakness.
So I recommend that we get into a relationship of equality, of cooperating with the United States, and not being on the receiving end, but really being a partner in areas like cyber defense, laser defense, certainly intelligence, weapons development.
And that's a healthier relationship, and I hope we go to that.
At the same time, we will achieve Munitions production independence in the future.
So would it be a curse or a blessing or mixed if, let's say, next year an American administration would announce no more military aid to Israel?
Well, it depends if we were in a position at that point to be independent.
It would be very, very difficult if we weren't.
And then, you know, we would be grievously exposed to aggression by all our enemies.
So conclude.
How long would it take Israel to become independent, in your view?
It would take several years, I would imagine.
It depends, you know, if we really expedite the process.
I know there were certain types of munitions that even during...
I was in the second Lebanon war in 2006, and the Bush administration even gave us criticism for using certain types of munitions.
And we concluded that we had to make those munitions for ourselves.
And we did.
And I'm told I'm not an artilleryman.
I'm a paratrooper.
I'm an infantryman.
But I'm told that our munitions are actually superior.
That's right.
And Israel would then be in a position to do what America and others do, as you mentioned, sell.
So it would cover some of the costs.
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