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May 20, 2024 - Human Events Daily - Jack Posobiec
49:02
STEALING & REELING: MICHAEL COHEN ADMITS TO APPROPRIATING FUNDS FROM TRUMP ORG

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This is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare.
A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
Deliver us from evil.
The International Criminal Court just now announced it is seeking arrest warrants for Hamas leader Yahashin Noir, but also for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Another destabilizing event in the already volatile Middle East as a helicopter crash kills Iran's president and other top officials.
That aircraft went down in heavy fog in northwest Iran near the border with Azerbaijan.
According to Iranian state media, a quote, technical failure is the cause.
A Facebook executive was sentenced to five years in prison for, you know, this scam.
And they were a DEI, diversity executive, and they had a scam.
They were ripping people off.
They ripped the company off, five million bucks, going to jail.
But they used the sort of the shield of DEI and racism to avoid criticism and prosecution.
The human rights campaign today is announcing a $15 million investment to mobilize voters in six key swing states.
We know black history is American history.
At Atlanta's historically black Morehouse College, President Joe Biden used his commencement speech to appeal to black voters in a state he won four years ago.
We're doing record numbers with the African American voters.
Former President Donald Trump also made overtures to black voters over the weekend while addressing the National Rifle Association's annual meeting.
But Americans are not struggling.
You know, this is the worst platform.
Who put this stage up here?
The frickin' place is falling down!
Cohen confirms that he owed Red Finch 50 grand and never paid the full cash.
Trump's attorney, Blanche, says, you stole from the Trump Organization.
Cohen says, yes, sir.
He also confirms lying to Allen Weisselberg.
I don't know how many that is on the list, but that's another prevarication.
Blanche presses Cohen, you did steal from the Trump Organization based upon the expected reimbursement of Red Finch.
And he says, yes, sir.
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard.
Today's edition of Human Events Daily, live from Washington, D.C.
Today is May 20th, 2024.
Anno Domini.
Michael Cohen on the stand today for what's potentially his last day, as far as we know, of cross-examination.
Trump's lawyer went to town.
Absolutely went to town.
Folks, we got him.
Okay?
Mission accomplished.
And I'll tell you something right now.
You would have to be blind to find President Trump guilty after seeing that testimony.
This was never about justice.
This was about retribution for Trump winning 2016, looking like he's going to win 2024, and probably winning the 2022 election as well.
But here's what's even more important.
Cohen testified that he was stealing as part of the scheme.
He was in on the scheme.
The guy who was the crooked fixer had actually fixed it so that he could make money by skimming off the middle to the tune of $30,000 to $40,000 in his own pocket.
He was the guy who set up the payment scheme.
He was the guy who set up the illicit funds.
He was the guy who admitted to grand larceny on the stand.
And by the way, Mr. Alvin Bragg, no one is bigger than the law.
Why haven't you charged Michael Cohen for the crime of grand larceny?
Did you even make him pay it back?
Or was that a nice little sweetening of the pot when you agreed or when he agreed to be your informant?
David Zier is there at the courthouse.
David, walk us through these bombshell revelations today.
Well, when Stormy Daniels took the stand, you heard the keyboards blazing away in there, you know, because most of the media is liberal.
But then when Michael Cohen says yes, basically that he stole from the Trump Organization by receiving a check, And not repaying Redfinch, the $30,000 balance that was due out of the $50,000 that was originally owed to them.
You didn't hear those keyboards typing away.
I think it was very damaging to the prosecution's case.
And now it appears, you know, is the judge slowing things down, Jack?
Is he going to slow things down and maybe, you know, break out early on Thursday because the juror has a thing and then not convene on Friday and wait until next Tuesday?
So the sting from Cohen being called out and the establishment of the gross lies that he told over time that Blanche has been so effective in lining up in chronological order the lies, including even when he was sentenced.
Michael Cohen lied again to the judge when he was being sentenced after receiving leniency on the sentence.
This has been an extraordinary day.
Can I ask you, just before we go to break here, what's been the reaction from the jurors, the jury box?
So observing them, about three of them were feverishly taking notes, which means, appears to be, that maybe they're taking this very seriously.
Maybe before, they could have seen it as a walk in the park for the prosecution.
Not so sure.
Cohen damaged everybody.
Stormy tainted the case.
Not such an easy decision now, Jack.
Well, well, we will see David Zier doing the yeoman's work there at the courtroom.
David, thank you for your update, and I'm sure Real America Sports will be checking back.
We'll be back here at Human Events Daily right after the break.
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You talk about influences.
These are influences.
And they're friends of mine, Jack Rusovic.
Where's Jack?
Jack, he's done a great job.
All right, folks, we are back here.
New York City is where the trial is going on.
We're in Washington.
We're going to have all the latest on this.
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Richard Barris is someone who's got his and had his for a long time.
The People's Pundit rejoins us here, Human Events Daily.
Rich, I gotta ask you, man.
It's looking to me that at this point, Cohen has impeached himself on the stand, admitted to crimes against the Trump Organization.
At this point, the only person that they have proven to commit a crime is their own star witness, Michael Cohen!
Rich, we were told that these cases were going to be the end of Donald Trump.
What's going on?
Listen, Jack, as a native New Yorker, okay, I live in the South now, but as a native New Yorker, I never even thought I'd see- Here we go, here we go, he's winding up, folks.
I've never thought I'd see something like this, you know?
This is the only case, especially high profile like this, where the defendant is on trial.
And the star witnesses are admitting on the stand, committing crimes against the defendant.
Yet he's the one who's on trial.
It's absolutely insane.
And for those who don't know this, I've worked on a lot of high profile stuff.
We pick juries.
We observe juries.
And from what I'm hearing, it does look like this jury is being serious, taking it all very seriously.
You have got to get the jury to like you!
And they did not appreciate Stormy Daniels with her attempt at humor.
And when they were being serious, they did not appreciate the prosecution misleading them.
They did not appreciate Mr. Cohen lying, getting caught lying on the stand multiple times.
The question now is whether or not there are enough liberal jurors in that jury box that hate Donald Trump more than they dislike the prosecution and their witnesses.
And that's really what it's gonna come down to.
It's an interesting way how the human brain, how we all filter evidence and the stories, the prosecution, the defense tell us through these lenses of our own belief systems.
It's very interesting, a lot more interesting than do you approve or disapprove.
And in this case, it's going to be, it's going to come down to that.
That's what we're, that's what we're seeing.
I never thought that they would blow this case this badly.
I never thought any other venue, this case would be done by now.
Over.
This is crazy.
It's just crazy.
This is a ludicrous case.
Sorry.
Facts.
Now, do you think, do you think, do you think Trump testifies?
I don't think he needs to.
I really don't, you know.
There's a really old saying, you don't put the client on the stand unless they have to.
I don't really see a need for Trump to testify, especially since he's got a habit of being a little bit combative.
He was cool as a cucumber in the last time that he testified and the prosecution was the one who got so flustered and started to lose their minds a little bit.
But you don't need to unless you need to tell another story.
You need the defendant to get up there, get liked by the jury, and then to explain away something the prosecution has levied at you.
Right now, Trump doesn't need to do any of that.
Michael Cohen has killed this case and what they allowed to happen with Stormy Daniels is absolutely irreversible error.
They are, this case will be overturned even if they get a conviction.
I don't know how anyone could honestly say otherwise.
By the way, same jurisdiction, Harvey Weinstein and that case was a lot harder case to make to the higher court that things should be overturned and reversed and overturned.
And yet they got it.
So, in this case, it's a much clearer instance of such an error.
This is their best bet to go get Donald Trump?
I gotta say this, Jack.
It's amazing, truly amazing, how this man deals with adversity.
And then, you know, not only does he deal with it, but he comes out on top, like Fannie has destroyed herself.
You know, Jack Smith is on hold for the foreseeable future.
This man has a remarkable way of bouncing back and dealing with adversity like no other public figure we've ever seen, Jack.
It's crazy.
That's right!
- Well, and just going back on the case there for a second, it seems to me the only person in the courtroom that hasn't been proven of a crime at this point is the defendant, Donald Trump.
Trump's the only guy that they haven't proved a crime against.
They proved crime.
Stormy Daniels, I could see some criminal activity there.
Stormy Daniels, this ex-husband, ex-boyfriend type.
Obviously a bunch of the guys who were associated with bringing the case in the first place and some of the malfeasance that they performed.
But then now this star witness, I'll never forget Rich, and I know you read Political Playbook and all those sites as well because we do this because we have to see what the other side is up to.
They were all telling us that Michael Cohen was the guy, that Michael Cohen, he was like the cleanup hitter.
They're like, oh, we got them all set up now.
They got three men on base.
And Michael Cohen, the slugger, the Babe Ruth of politics, is going to come out and he's going to put Trump away.
One, two, three, wham, bam, thank you, ma'am.
This guy has not only has he struck out, he's actually hit pop flies that have made the other runners get out.
All right, I'm going to drop the baseball references, but what can I say?
My kid's been playing T-ball.
I've been watching a lot of baseball lately.
But this is ridiculous.
This is so ridiculous because now you've got a situation where they, remember the Blue Anon types have been told for years that Trump was going down.
So, I mean, Rich, What effect is the media going to have?
You know, we have seen at least some of the smarter people, like say what you want about Anderson Cooper and those types.
He's not dumb.
He's not, he might be a liar, but he's not dumb.
Those guys already started dumping Cohen immediately.
Do you think there's gonna be people in the media left holding a bag on this? - Even Ari Melber.
He's a get, he's in a get Trump mouthpiece for six years now, Jack.
He's running for the hills.
Running for the hills.
What did Ari say?
What did Ari say?
I didn't catch that.
He said that Michael Cohen, at first, he got on that stand, and I totally agreed with what Ari said.
On Tuesday, he got on the—last week, the prosecution had him tell the story they wanted him to tell, and then Todd Blanch just came out The very first interaction, the first day, which they had to, of course, take back up until the next day.
But that first day, Ari said there were punches landed.
Then there were bruises.
This is Ari Melbert, MSNBC, by the way.
Yes.
And then by Friday, he said, blood in the water.
Blood has been drawn.
Blood has been spilled.
Rich, don't forget Ari Melber is the guy who ran that stunt where he got Michael Avenatti, the original lawyer, remember?
Creepy porn lawyer, on the phone from prison and Ari Melber was like, I'm gonna put you on and he thought it was gonna be this big exclusive and Michael Avenatti calls into MSNBC from prison in California and Ari Melber thinks it's gonna be this big, you know, great interview on the On the eve of the Trump trial and Avenatti says, what are you doing?
What are you doing?
Putting these guys on trial?
You can't put him up there.
You can't bring this case.
This is beyond the statute of limitations.
The character witnesses that you brought forward and the material witness use of you brought forward are convicted perjurers.
You're going to put people like that on the stand.
They're going to continue Lying.
Your case is going to be destroyed.
And Melbourne was sitting there like, what do I do?
What do I do?
He lets Avenatti speak.
Then he goes back.
Then MSNBC puts Ari on a struggle session.
And they're like, how dare you?
You should have pushed back.
You should have talked to everyone.
I rest my case, Jack.
So it feels like Ari has learned his lesson a little bit.
I rest my case, Jack.
His hand touched the stove.
His hand touched the stove a little too long.
Yeah.
It got a little burnt.
I rest my case.
If he is running for the- Last minute, Rich.
Last minute.
Yeah, that's it.
I rest my case.
If someone like him is running for the hills from this, then what does that tell you, folks?
Where does that tell you about where we are?
I just want to bring up again that Mueller kicked this guy to the Southern District, the Southern District kicked it, everybody kicked the can, only Albert Bragg, with the number three Biden lackey at the Justice Department, was dumb enough to try to pull this off.
And even if they, by some chance, you know what, freezes over and they get a conviction, It's going to be overturned.
This is the worst attempted prosecution I've ever seen.
They crossed the Rubicon for this?
For this, Jack?
This is what they crossed the Rubicon for?
God help us.
God help us all.
And think about that, right?
Think about that, what you just said.
They crossed the Rubicon of indicting a presidential candidate, the top opponent, to the current sitting party, the top opposition leader.
over Michael Cohen and this guy who was thieving as, and this is what people need to understand.
Yes.
He was thieving as part of the scheme.
That means that all of his motivations and all of his actions now are completely impeached because he had a financial incentive to see that this extortion theme went through.
He was making money off of the back end.
He was skimming off the top like the rat that Mickey Cohen has always been.
I rolled with bloods, and them boys had a saying.
You can't be listening to all that slappy whack, trim out his outlet, it's a bam ship, nippy bam bam, like Human Events with Jack Posobiec.
Jack Posobiec back live, Human Events Daily.
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We're on with Rich Barris, the People's Pundit.
Rich, now it's been a while since we had you on for a polling update, and I want to go through that.
Let's just go top line.
If you're running the Trump campaign right now, and you're out there looking at the battleground states, What is your strategy?
Where does Trump need to go to win this thing?
Yeah, I mean, he's doing a remarkable job putting together what I long have advocated is the strongest route for Republicans, which is the urban-rural coalition.
If you have a populist head of the party, that's something you can do that no other Republican have been able to do.
The Sunbelt is rejecting Biden hardcore.
So, where he has some strength and Trump needs to just put the nail in the coffin, Uh, is in the Rust Belt.
So, I would put him on defense too, and I know that they are doing that.
Virginia and Minnesota, they're top targets.
Listen, I'm telling you, if he wins Maine's second congressional district, uh, by as much as the Pan-Atlantic polls suggest that he will, I'm waiting for the DRI, that's a great poll out there.
Then Maine could be in play.
It's serious, and it's not a lot of electoral votes, but it tells you a lot about where you need to go.
And Minnesota is not fool's gold.
He almost took it from Hillary.
If he can get, you know, the Twin Lakes suburbs to Twin Cities suburbs to vote more like they did for him in 16, along with, you know, coupled along with the strength that he's been building in the southeastern part of that state, and then the Iron Range, That is definitely a state that Biden will have to defend.
And he is defending it, by the way, Jack.
So for people who think, why is he going to New Jersey?
Why is he talking about New York?
The more you make the president defend, he's going to have a massive financial advantage over Donald Trump.
The more he makes Biden defend states that should be already in his column, Is less is one more dollar, one more million that he gets to spend in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, because Trump really given the way the Sun Belt is voting, Trump just at this point kind of just needs one of them, Jack.
I mean, Florida is not in play.
North Carolina has been moving with the nation almost identically.
And we always talked about the red wave in Florida in 22.
Nobody noticed the red wave that was in North Carolina in 22.
They swept Legislatures with super majorities won both Supreme Court seats, won the Senate seat.
North Carolina is starting to remind me a little bit of Florida circa 2016-17.
So it's moving with the nation almost identically.
Nevada, he looks well positioned to take that.
So when you put all these pieces and you put the math together, it means Biden has got to hold every single Rust Belt state plus Maine.
Maine's at large.
If he loses any of them, he's done.
He's done.
And by the way, this is not something just the right acknowledges.
Biden's own team knows that he's hurting badly in the Rust Belt and he needs to protect in Michigan, in Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.
I would just run between Minnesota Yeah, I would run between Minnesota and Maine.
Minnesota and Maine, bro.
Minnesota and Maine, and just keep hitting the northern battlegrounds like that.
Again, even if he doesn't carry Maine.
Even if he doesn't carry Minnesota.
It won't matter.
You know what I'm going to ask?
You know what question I'm going to ask, Rich?
I'm going to ask the P word.
You knew it was coming up.
You've come on my show.
Pennsylvania.
What can you tell me about the Keystone State?
Yeah, look, Trump's got a lead there.
He does.
Is it as big as he would like it to be?
No, because Democrats do what Democrats do.
We all need to stop pretending as if they don't.
But the good news for him and other Republicans, if they were smart enough to acknowledge it, it seems like the president does get this, is that that low-prop voter, Jack, and the no-prop voter is such a Republican-rich target.
I've never seen this in my lifetime.
And he gets those people out, he's going to win and potentially.
This is what this is what I've I've walked through people through a few times here as people start to catch on to this.
I've heard I've heard Charlie talk about it now as well as Charlie Kirk that Pennsylvania's motor voter law has told this this rule that Josh Shapiro has put forward where it's not not just universal ballots.
Now it's universal registration.
When you go to get your your driver's license renewed, you are automatically registered to votes.
And guess what?
Those new registrants at the motor voter are breaking red.
They're all breaking red.
Pennsylvania is breaking red.
Now this is the trick though, because you're taught this, this it's amazing.
I remember when I got a phone call from someone who works up there still that I worked with many moons ago, and he was talking about this going on.
The issue then is that, Rich, these are the people that you've been talking about for a year, the no propensity voter, the people that aren't checked into politics.
So that means if you're not registered to vote, that means you either haven't registered in the last four years or possibly never registered at all to vote.
Yeah.
That means, though, you've got no culture of voting.
You've got no history of voting.
It's not something you regularly do.
What do they need to do, then, to reach those types of people?
That's obviously not just Pennsylvania.
That's everywhere.
Yeah, that's a very complicated question, but I would sum it up, I would answer and sum it up like this.
Republicans need something that they have been missing for a very long time.
Democrats are much, much better at this.
They need to do true relationship building with these people, alright?
So, instead of cold door walks, cold calls through phone banks, they need a more personal approach.
And the good news for them is, there are a handful of groups that we know and have been talking with that are doing that.
So it's much easier when, let's say, Jack, I work with you, you know me for a while, we shoot the you-know-what at the water cooler, and I'm constantly talking trash about Biden.
It's so much easier to use and leverage your supporters and your activists and get them to do it on a more personal level, give them access to that information.
And they have got to convince these people, and Trump will play a huge part in this, that their vote actually does matter.
So when we have researched these people, the number one thing we hear is the system is rigged and my vote doesn't count.
Trump is, you know, there's a lot of research.
Yeah.
There's a lot of research.
I hear it every time.
Every time.
Every time.
And there's a lot of research to suggest they do listen to leaders.
That video Trump did last week was so important when he came out and he said, you know, vote anyway.
Vote by mail.
That's good.
That's fine to vote on Election Day.
That's fine.
Whatever.
Just vote.
Make sure you vote.
They will believe Donald Trump because we have done so many interviews with these people and we have said, who would motivate you?
Donald Trump.
Nobody else.
Who would you, who do you believe, who could get you to vote?
Donald Trump.
So it's got to come from him.
It's got to come from him.
Let me say this.
This is why I've advocated for the return of the Trump ground offices, because a Trump ground office isn't just, you know, a place for people to work, like in a traditional Republican sense.
It's like, oh, you've got a couple of staffers.
They're making like six figures that, you know, and not really doing much.
No, you make them like Trump centers.
That's right.
They will come!
in these key areas and you open the doors and you've got whatever the free food is.
If it's Philly, you know, you got Wawa hoagies and coffee the entire time.
If you're in Sheets country, you got Sheets, et cetera.
It's fully stocked.
You can, you can volunteer.
You don't have to volunteer, but you can.
Um, you know, that's available.
There's signup sheets, et cetera, but you're constantly holding events and you're reaching out to local people and you're saying, and you're becoming an institution in that area.
And then you could even have mini rallies where you bring a bunch of people together.
And then what does Trump do?
Maybe Trump calls in, maybe Don Jr.
calls in.
This is a way of taking that idea.
Yeah, yeah.
of these offices and instead of looking at them as ways to generate money the way that the typical party used or the old RNC used to, why not look at them as Trump community centers?
Trump community centers.
That's what they should be called.
Jack, that is exactly what I'm talking about.
Have them have access.
We've been building these low-prop, no-prop lists.
Believe me, when they come, and they will, give them access to those lists that we've put together, and they will look at them, and they will see, oh my god, my brother-in-law doesn't vote, I'm gonna go bust his chops to make sure he gets his ballot in.
Like, this is the way, this is what Republicans have been missing for years.
They have no personal approach.
In Florida, I used to watch the Obama campaign come and Exactly!
barbecues in people's houses and the projects, Jack, it was amazing.
Exactly.
Yeah, they were in the hair salons.
They were in the nail places, right?
Hey guys, brought your donuts.
We did this.
Don't forget, stop by over here.
We're having barbecues.
Believe me, they came, they brought their uncle and their 10 brothers and sisters.
I mean, that's how it worked.
And you could not beat that with a cold call phone bank, garbage operation or a stupid ad.
You paid $50 million to run on TV.
They're going to tune it right out because already they know that you are with them in their community and that they have your, you have their back.
You have their interests and they know there's a face to it.
They can put a name to a face to the name that they're speaking with.
It's not just some random phone banker who says, Hey, did you get your ballot in?
Hey, believe me, your vote matters.
Trust me, go vote.
They don't care. - No, I love this.
I'm gonna be building on this idea, that this idea that we've come up with here, Trump community centers, where you go to build community over making America great again.
You're breaking bread.
You're having food.
You're meeting people.
This is how I got started in politics was just going to events and, you know, meeting people and doing stuff like this.
But there's always, you know, there's always that added edge of like, well, how many calls did you make today?
How many doors you knock on?
You can have that, right?
Have that as well, but also just offer those energy.
Like you just said, barbecues, parties.
We're in the summer.
Memorial Day weekend is coming up.
Why wouldn't your office be opening up on Memorial Day?
If you build it, they will come!
Rich Harris, last minute, brother.
Yeah, man.
Thanks for having me, as always.
Where can people follow you?
Oh, yeah!
Best place to follow me on, always, Jack, is on Locals.
peoplespundit.locals.com Go check out the Public Polling Project.
Alright?
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We'll be right back with The Great Eric Griffiths.
Where's Jack?
Where's Jack?
Where is he?
Jack, I want to see you.
Great job, Jack.
Thank you.
What a job you do.
You know, we have an incredible thing.
We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys, and these are the guys who should be getting policies.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, we are very excited now and honored to bring on Eric Prince, joining Human Events Daily live from an undisclosed location.
But Eric, you're someone who's been at the forefront of major geopolitics, particularly in the Middle East.
What we've seen over the last 24 to 48 hours, this situation with the first loss of the helicopter, and then The confirmation of the death of the President of Iran and numerous members of the highest levels of their government.
What does this mean geopolitically going forward for the region?
There is already set to be a change of power as the Supreme Leader does have cancer and was, I think, set to be replaced and voted on.
So there's certainly a chance of some kind of internal power struggle or perhaps it was done by the MEK and internal Opposition group to the regime.
I would say the likelihood of it being an external hit, meaning a Israeli or U.S.
or someone sponsored hit, is exceedingly unlikely.
My educated guess would come from the fact that when you look at the rescue pictures, they're walking in heavy fog and rain.
And I actually happened to be driving into Los Angeles on the morning that Kobe Bryant's helicopter Smashed into the side of a mountain.
At full speed.
And, if it's one thing the Iranians would suffer from, from all the sanctions, is that they have not a good supply of parts, not a great supply of maintenance, and they probably don't have access to something called PAWS.
Terrain Awareness Warning System.
Which, um, uh, pilots would refer to as the bitchbox.
Because if you're too low to the ground, and you're descending too fast, it'll say, pull up!
Pull up!
Pull up now!
Or if you're hearing terrain, it'll say terrain, terrain.
I would almost guarantee they didn't have that on that aircraft, and so flying in what were clearly awful conditions, I think they drove it right into the side of a mountain with all the passengers on board.
I don't know if it was a Bell 412 or if it was an MI-17.
I've seen pictures of him flying around in both types of helicopters, so we don't know what type it was.
I really can't tell from the wreckage, but I would say Uh, like Kobe Bryant, it was bad aviation that, uh, that took his life.
Now, that being said, though, one of the questions... That video is in a Belfort 12.
Sorry, the video that you just played was definitely a Belfort 12.
Actually, an American... Play that again, guys.
Put that back up for Eric.
They're gonna pull it up here in a second.
Um, the question... Oh, here it is, here it is.
Yeah, that video is definitely taken inside of a Bell 412.
That's an American-made utility helicopter, typically used for the oil and gas industry.
I'm not sure how they'd be legally buying parts for that, but obviously they do well enough to put their president on, but their pilots look like they drove it in the side of a mountain.
Well, Eric, this is the question that a lot of people have been asking me.
My phone blew up yesterday, as I'm sure yours did as well.
Not physically, of course, unless, of course, you wanted it to blow up.
The question is, if this is the president, all right, those are going to be some of the top pilots that they've got in Iran.
That's going to be the aircraft that is the most well maintained in the entire Islamic Republic.
Should we be asking those kinds of questions about whether or not this wasn't just a, you know, pilot error, aviation or a maintenance issue?
Sure.
If it wasn't that, then it's either going to be the MEK or it could even be an internal power struggle.
Between people that are posturing effectively for the throne.
But the real... And this guy, the president that died, it's the head of state.
It's not the real end-all be-all power like the Supreme Leader is.
And the president, the deceased, was certainly, I would say, the odds-on favorite to be the next Supreme Leader of Iran.
And with his track record of marauding against the citizens, having killed and executed thousands of them, Uh, there could easily be the case made that someone, uh, got after them.
But why I think it was not sabotage is the chances of trying to do sabotage and timing it so that the weather is perfectly awful, uh, at the same time you're going to do your sabotage.
That's a very hard, that is a, that is a needle upon a needle to try to thread.
And that's, that's a tough one.
That's absolutely right.
Looking at the regional picture though, what should we be looking for as Iran's regime responds to this?
Do you predict that they'll go into a period of inactivity or could they potentially be looking to make it look as though it will be business as usual and perhaps get more aggressive in the near term?
I would say worse than that, there'll be people posturing For credibility and street cred amongst themselves, who is going to be the most aggressive, who is going to carry on really almost the legacy of Qasem Soleimani and the rest of the really bad actors that surround the power structure in Tehran.
Because remember, you have the Guardian Council, which effectively is a board over the Supreme Leader.
Maybe somewhat of a check and balance on their power, but really it's the Supreme Leader and the head of the IRGC That, uh, that calls the shot, just like the, um, almost like the Fuhrer and, uh, and the head of the Gestapo did, uh, during the Nazi Reich.
And, and you see amazing similarities between those two equally hated by the rank and file people of the country.
Um, the, the power structure that enriches themselves at the expense of everyday people.
And, and really the, you know, from the women life freedom protest to students to, Environmentalists, to labor unions, to the other different ethnic minorities, the Iranian regime is exceedingly unpopular with its own people.
And it, you know, when you think about from 2009, I would say that the Arab Spring, all the protests throughout the Middle East, started in Iran amongst the Iranian people who are sick of their regime.
Um, and, and want freedom.
They want a lot more of a, of a traditionally liberal, free society.
When you look at pictures, pre-1979, the women were wearing skirts, the, um, they were drinking beer, listening to music, and it was much more of a free, uh, freewheeling, independent-thinking society, and the mullahs have really put them on an opposite track, and that is, and it is an historic opposition to the way the Iranian people really want to live and, and conduct their lives.
I would not be surprised if there's an enormous amount of hate.
There's a lot of cheering that went on for the death of this guy.
But I would still put the odds on it being a weather-related incident.
Weather slash pilot error.
Not a conspiracy.
Because remember, a helicopter is like 34,000 pieces of metal, bolted, strapped, welded together.
Actively trying to shake themselves apart, so there's a lot of things that can go wrong in a helicopter, and they just don't glide very well.
And that's actually a huge question, though, that I have.
And I know we have a break coming up, but in a couple of minutes, but I'd like to get into it because really, so you've seen so Soleimani has been gone for a few years now.
IRGC leadership has been has been restructured since then.
Obviously, the president leaving, there's going to be huge reshuffling.
The death of the supreme leader has always been a time for internal power struggles within within Iran.
Do you think there's another Soleimani or Soleimani type on the horizon there?
Well, remember that the IRGC head of all their operations in Lebanon was just clipped within the last two weeks, um, by the Israelis, which led to that exchange of missiles into each other's countries.
So, uh, apparently the Israelis felt strongly enough about that target risk, um, that level of provocation to take him out.
So look, Soleimani was a very unusual character because he was a combination of like an Otto Skorzeny, Heinrich Himmler and Joseph Goebbels all rolled into one guy.
Extremely important to the regime.
His loss, they still haven't fully recovered from.
I'm glad the Israelis took out that guy a few weeks ago.
And again, it's such a miss from this, from the Obama administration and the Biden administration, that they've never really sided with the Iranian people.
Just diplomatic statements that came out and say, We support women's rights in Iran.
We support people's actual right to vote.
But, you know, it seems maybe the administration here in the States welcomes the Guardian Council controlling who can go on the ballot, kind of like the Biden administration has been trying to do to their political opponent, Donald J. Trump.
Amen.
All right, I'll be right back.
Bombshell interview here with Erik Prince, walking us through all the shakeups and shakedowns within the Iranian regime.
Stay tuned.
Be right back.
Human Events editorial board, this case is a joke.
Christian Kutcher is going to the top of the left to tell us that we've been pumped.
Jack, we're back live, Human Events Daily.
We're speaking now with Eric Prince.
Exclusive interview.
Eric was talking about how there is going to be a huge shakeup power struggle in Iran, more than likely not just because of the death of this president, but also because of the impending bad health and then death of the current Supreme Leader.
Eric, this is my question then.
Given IRGC's current status, the fact that they've been getting schwacked, they got hit up in Lebanon, which led to, of course, this missile exchange between Israel and Iran, the first time we've ever seen a direct missile exchange between the two countries.
Usually it's, as you well know, these proxy fights that go on between the two of them.
Do you see escalation along those lines where we actually see more state-on-state violence And this thing bubbles over into a more of a regional conflict, as many people have been have been warning.
Or do you think that it will stay at that proxy level?
I think it will resort to a proxy type fight.
Because when the Israeli, sorry, when the Iranians responded to the hit on this so-called diplomatic facility in Lebanon, where they schwacked this, this IRGC guy, the Iranians launched 230 type devices from Iran, from Yemen, from Iraq, all headed towards Israel.
I think 98 or 99% of them were shot down.
And the Israelis responded to that with a very specific hit, not on a nuclear facility, but on an Iranian facility right next to the nuclear facility, which means Hey, we can smack you still in your nuclear facilities right next to your state of the art s 400 Russian air defense system.
And they did that as a kind of a last warning shot to say we can still touch you anywhere we want to and you really can't do anything about it.
So I think I think the Iranian regime ends up looking weak after that exchange.
And so I think they'll go back to their long proven model of trying to hide behind surrogates.
The Houthis will still be ravaging Um, the Red Sea and shutting off, um, continuing to close that off.
The Egyptians are losing $800 million a month from the Red Sea being shut off.
Um, Iraq, you know, look, the popular mobilization forces, the Hashd al-Shaabi, effectively like the Hezbollah of Iraq, controlled by Iran, paid for by the Iraqi government, armed with American weapons.
They will continue to do bad things there, and eventually they're going to drive the United States out of Iraq.
Um, so the use of surrogates by the Iranians, they're pretty good at it, and the U.S.
is not particularly good at pushing back in a clear and convincing way to make it stop.
That said, when we're looking at the wider, or I guess acuter, Israel-Gaza conflict, we see ICC has put out these, you know, prosecutions or warrants for Netanyahu and the head of Hamas.
I'm not sure that anything's actually going to come of that other than a few press releases.
But when it comes to the actual fighting that we're tracking on the ground, do you think that we're going to see peace before the election?
And what role will it play as we move into these debates?
I think The administration is pushing hard to try to settle the Ukraine fight by August.
I would predict some kind of freezing of the lines or some kind of a ceasefire called because they have to unburden themselves and try to scrape out, not even a win, but at best a draw.
I think in Gaza, the IDF will continue to struggle because they can't clear out Rafa, not with that many civilians on the surface.
I think you have absolutely political paralysis.
The Netanyahu administration can't even conduct a full-on War Cabinet meeting anymore without it breaking down into a shouting mat.
That's the level of tension between Netanyahu and Gallant.
So I don't see the Gaza situation being solved.
It'll probably go down to a lower boil.
I don't see the Hezbollah guys fully lighting off.
That would be a real threat if they did, because there's, you know, Hamas had tens of thousands of rockets that they launched at Israel, but the Lebanese Hezbollah have hundreds of thousands, and it would become overwhelming even for the Iron Dome and the other defensive systems the Israelis have in place.
And so they would sustain a lot of civilian casualties, and then they would have to respond and really annihilate all of southern Lebanon.
So I don't think Um, Hezbollah knows that those consequences would come very hard to include even Barat Haraik, which is kind of the Hezbollah neighborhood of Beirut.
And so, um, I see things kind of calming down there to a low boil, but certainly not getting to a, a, any kind of peace deal, or there's not going to be any Appomattox moment with one side winning and one side surrendering.
So it's gonna kind of like both fighters going back to their quarters and regrouping.
And so essentially, you kind of get back to a pre-October 7th situation.
It seemed to me that, as you say, that Netanyahu's plan going in was to get rid of the political entity known as the Gaza Strip and replace it with something that doesn't have anywhere near the level of autonomy.
But as you're getting into, it doesn't look like the military operations have gotten them that effect that he wanted.
And it clearly seems like he's the one driving for Yeah, and the really sad thing is I gave them the option back in November to really take the best of Texas horizontal drilling.
and that's what's really driving a lot of the pushback.
Yeah, and the really sad thing is I gave them the option back in November to really take the best of Texas horizontal drilling.
I had pumps lined up that would pump, a 12,000 horsepower pump, moving 60,000 gallons a minute, 1,000 gallons a second, to flood the entire network of tunnels, the 300 miles of tunnels underneath Gaza.
PR wise and humanitarian wise, it would have been vastly more effective because it would have destroyed all the weapons caches, it would have prevented the enemy from using the tunnels for maneuver, and it would have forced Hamas to move the hostages.
Because they don't really want dead hostages because they can't negotiate with them.
But it would have prevented, it would have negated the IDF Using Mark 82s, 3s, and 4s, big bombs dropped amongst civilians, which killed a lot of them, and I would say, sadly, unnecessary.
And so, who can complain about water?
Just water.
People have flooded basements.
We would have flooded out every underground Hamas fighter, because Hamas made it very clear the tunnels were for their defense.
They didn't really care about the civilians.
So, I'd say the IDF walked into the trap that Hamas set for them, Um, by bombing among civilians.
And I don't think they had really thought about using water.
And I think even the Pentagon ultimately is who blocked it.
So it's yet more senior leadership fail.
We're just about out of time.
We've got to get you back on.
Where can people follow you?
Uh, you can follow me at Real Eric D. Prince.
D-R-I-K, D as in Delta, Prince.
I'm not.
Make sure, make sure you're going to follow Eric Prince.
This guy knows it because this guy lived it.
I want to thank you all our followers.
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