IRAN WAR DAY 31: Trump Signals END OF WAR IMMINENT??? | America First Ep. 1665
Nick Fuentes hosts a chaotic episode claiming the U.S. is an Israeli-occupied nation, alleging a 2016 Trump-Israel collusion to scuttle the JCPOA and fueling a shadow war where Palantir blacklists citizens via the "Canary Mission." He argues Iran holds escalation dominance, trapping America in an attritional conflict over the Strait of Hormuz while Israel seeks regime change. Fuentes dismisses immigration as futile, mocks critics like Matt Walsh, and urges white Christian men to become "soldiers of Christ" to reclaim sovereignty against what he terms a Jewish supremacist agenda threatening global commerce. [Automatically generated summary]
People that are scrambling, trying to protect their ever-shrinking share of what they have are foolish.
It's all going.
It's all going away.
This country is being ripped apart and raped and looted.
We're being slowly poisoned and in some cases quickly murdered and assassinated.
And we're killing ourselves every day.
Inadvertently, with the kinds of things that we eat and breathe and drink and see.
People have got to start to radically begin to obey their conscience and tell the truth and do the right thing.
People have got to start to get courageous.
And this is the time for everybody to turn and look to God and to pray and to ask for strength and to ask for wisdom to get through this time and to transform and sanctify this country.
And the alternative is that there will be no country.
Is it really only as big as low gas prices?
Is it really only so big as bringing inflation and gas prices and the corporate tax rate back down?
It's not about waiting for someone to come in and change the policy and make it better.
It's a personal decision that we all have to make to become soldiers of Christ.
No one's allowed to say that the blood is a quintessential part of this, that the blood of our people is something that is essential.
That we are different.
that america was different because we are different palantir is an ai data analytics company
They use artificial intelligence to look at vast amounts of data and create insights.
If the government has an amount of data which is kind of unimaginable, if you've got every phone call, every email, every transaction, every photograph of a license plate on the highway, satellite data, it's too much data for a bureaucracy to sift through.
Palantir comes in and interprets the data using algorithms, using artificial intelligence, using software to make vast amounts of data usable.
That's what they are.
And so many of the people that worked with Elon that came into the government through Doge worked with Palantir.
Now that Doge is finished, Palantir seems to be just getting started.
Thirteen period and it just a week between me and your commander and a chief.
Definitely I fear and never when you remove the fear and love you create fear above everything else You're talking to somebody right now that only fears God has won the victory, bro.
This is a Christian nation.
This is a miracle.
I cannot let my family call I go home, that's old God.
If we don't have freedom on the Internet in the age of AI, we are going to be mind raped every day forever.
Think about anything you've ever said or done in the vicinity of your phone's camera or microphone, everything you've ever put into your phone, and even things that are not necessarily so scandalous, but even things like your favorite restaurants, your geolocation, because your phone also has a GPS.
They know where you are at all times.
They know where you go and when.
They know what you buy.
They have access to your bank account.
AI will literally know everything about you.
Everyone you know, your relationship to them, your tastes, your preferences, your habits, your whereabouts, your routines, your schedule, when you sleep.
They know how much REM sleep you're getting.
They know your resting heart rate.
They know how many calories you consume.
Think about the ways that they can manipulate you.
You have a computer in your refrigerator, computer in your car, computer in your home security system, computer in your everything, computer in your clothes, your watch, your glasses, your VR headset, your alarm clock.
You have a smart home, economy of things.
It's like total, like, rape of everybody by the system forever.
My life is like a first-person video game, you know?
My voice says nothing when I scream it out for help.
unidentified
I stretch my hand on my car just because I was caught When I get home,
I want you Hello, I got places to be Good evening, everybody you're watching America First,
my name is Nicholas Jake Quentis, we have a great show for you tonight, that's a like a bump You got that bump,
a lion good to heal They have total control That a lion could, from his courage, be pride over every single thing, That the lion himself would learn to kneel.
They pull the string that the lion would not care, even if his lion died.
Things have to change that the lion himself would accept such a deal And they have to change right now.
Right Side Of History00:04:30
unidentified
In the end It was only to themselves they had lied.
Poop diddy whoop scoop poop poop scoop diddy whoop whoop diddy scoop whoop diddy scoop My love has got no money.
He's got his strong beliefs.
My love has got no power.
He's got his strong beliefs.
My love has got no fame.
He's got his strong beliefs.
My love has got no money.
He's got his strong beliefs.
One, more and more.
People just want more and more freedom and love What he's looking for.
More and more, People just want more and more freedom and love What he's looking for, Freed from desire.
People that are scrambling, trying to protect their ever-shrinking share of what they have are foolish.
It's all going.
It's all going away.
This country is being ripped apart and raped and looted.
We're being slowly poisoned and in some cases quickly murdered and assassinated.
And we're killing ourselves every day.
Inadvertently, with the kinds of things that we eat and breathe and drink and see.
People have got to start to radically begin to obey their conscience and tell the truth and do the right thing.
People have got to start to get courageous.
And this is the time for everybody to turn and look to God and to pray and to ask for strength and to ask for wisdom to get through this time and to transform and sanctify this country.
And the alternative is that there will be no country.
Is it really only as big as low gas prices?
Is it really only so big as bringing inflation and gas prices and the corporate tax rate back down?
It's not about waiting for someone to come in and change the policy and make it better.
It's a personal decision that we all have to make to become soldiers of Christ.
Charlie Kirk, because they voted for Kamala Harris.
People do not stab young girls on trains because they're born black.
People do not shoot Palestinians in the back of the head or cheer it on just because they're Jewish.
The people that do this are lost.
They have to be isolated and segregated out.
A new consensus must emerge.
Are you in favor of a society with meaning?
A society where life is sacred, where life has sanctity, where people's lives and their dignity and their integrity is respected?
Or are we going to live in a society that is a never-ending war between nihilistic tribes, warlords, savages, pagans?
I see an emerging consensus.
And I think that the mature people that actually love America, actually love our children, and the people that recognize the division, the peril that we're in, we need to fortify a new consensus and rally the people of conscience, the people of decency, the people of humanity, the people of charity towards their fellow man,
against those that want to kill us, against those that laugh and celebrate when innocent people are harmed.
For any reason, for any ideological reason.
Against the people that are cruel, the people that are hateful.
And by that, I mean the people that are really cruel.
Not the people that say things you disagree with, not the people that are provocative, not the people that are sometimes angry, but the people that are really cruel and really evil.
What makes Christianity and Christ so different from the other religions is that our religion is based on the bearing of suffering for the sake of even those that persecute us.
An overflowing of love.
An overflowing of self-giving love.
So much of it, it cannot be contained.
An unconditional, absolute standard of love for all of God's children, even those that are misguided, even those that persecute us, even the most heinous among us.
That is what makes us different.
Is what makes us good.
Canary Mission Blacklist00:06:48
unidentified
Canary mission
is an Israeli-funded blacklist which, since july 2025, has been confirmed to be used by the Trump administration to target students, professors and professionals who oppose Israel and reside in the United States.
This idea is part of an initiative created by the Heritage Foundation, the same group responsible for the infamous Project 2025.
In their initiative, titled Project Esther, they state that students participating in pro-Palestinian protests and activism are supporting Hamas, a group that the United States designates as a foreign terrorist organization.
Therefore, pro-Palestinian students are considered to be supporting terrorism and are subject to the revocation of visas, frozen bank accounts, asset seizures, and the denial of basic constitutional rights.
In effect, the Canary mission serves as a means to circumvent constitutional protections, allowing the federal government to engage in intelligence gathering activities that would otherwise be considered unlawful.
But the Canary mission is not alone.
Palantir, another company closely aligned with the state of Israel, uses AI-driven analytics to maintain private databases on U.S. citizens and currently works with four federal agencies.
While government contracting with the private sector is long-standing, the prominent influence of Jewish groups within these increasingly powerful organizations warrants careful examination.
I renew the call for all able-bodied young American men, all of our elite human capital, all of our geniuses, warriors, intelligent people to dedicate themselves to American sovereignty and independence.
As Christians, as Americans, as white people, as citizens of the United States.
And anybody that settles for anything less is just as much of an enemy.
I would actually consider them worse than our oppressors.
So on Independence Day, it's important to reflect on the fact that we are an occupied nation.
Now, just like then, we're being ruled by a small country across an ocean, serving itself at our expense.
And as long as that is the case, I will always be obsessed with that.
As long as that is the case, I will always be speaking out against that and fighting against that.
And I will always be anchored, understanding that that is the fundamental struggle.
As long as our presidents have to kiss the wall in Israel and wear a small hat, as long as they have to say that we want to make Israel great again and they're the greatest country ever, I will never be okay with that.
Ever.
And it doesn't matter what they offer me or us.
It doesn't matter how they might try to placate us or appease our interests, the concessions they'll make.
Barack Obama created the joint comprehensive plan of action, the JCPOA, or the Iranian nuclear deal.
And Barack Obama brought together China, Russia, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and the United States and the European Union to enforce a nuclear deal that restricts Iran's enrichment of uranium.
The early talks were conducted in secret, and the Israelis were furious, furious about this.
They hated Obama.
Netanyahu went to a joint session of Congress and gave a speech in defiance of the American president and its nuclear deal, and Congress gave 37 standing ovations.
This is the background of Trump's first election.
2016 election happens.
Trump gets elected with the help of the Israelis.
You don't believe me?
There's a whole article about it.
It's an excerpt from James Bamford's book, Spy Fail.
It goes into great detail about the hidden collusion in the 2016 election.
It wasn't Trump and Russia.
It was Trump and Israel.
And why was Israel so hell-bent on getting a Republican elected in 2016?
In 2018, Donald Trump declares the IRGC, the Revolutionary Guard, which is the military of the regime, a terrorist group.
Greenlights that group for sanctions, for attacks.
Now the United States is in a shadow war with Iran.
It culminates by January 2020 in the assassination of Qasem Suleimani.
Suleimani was the architect of the axis of resistance.
Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, Suleimani built all of it.
Are you starting to see Obama had this solved?
He made the deal.
The Israelis hated him for it.
They colluded with Trump to get him elected so that Trump would do maximum pressure and create a ladder of escalation, pulling us out of the deal, declaring the IRGC terrorists, then killing its leader, putting sanctions on the regime.
This is a war that started a long time ago, that Trump made hot in 2018 and has been going on for seven years.
Just like in Iraq, which went from 1990 until today, just like Libya, which went from 2011 to today, Syria, which went from 2011 to today, and Iran, which went from 2018 until today.
That's the nature of forever wars.
And if you're not paying attention to those underlying forces, you're going to fall for it again and again.
You're going to be surprised and confused and coping over and over.
And people are just tripping over themselves to do it again.
People that are scrambling, trying to protect their ever-shrinking share of what they have are foolish.
It's all going.
It's all going away.
This country is being ripped apart and raped and looted.
We're being slowly poisoned and, in some cases, quickly murdered and assassinated.
And we're killing ourselves every day.
Inadvertently, with the kinds of things that we eat and breathe and drink and see.
People have got to start to radically begin to obey their conscience and tell the truth and do the right thing.
People have got to start to get courageous.
And this is the time for everybody to turn and look to God and to pray and to ask for strength and to ask for wisdom to get through this time and to transform and sanctify this country.
And the alternative is that there will be no country.
Is it really only as big as low gas prices?
Is it really only so big as bringing inflation and gas prices and the corporate tax rate back down?
to say that the blood, the blood of our people, is something that is essential.
That we are different.
That America was different because we are different.
Palantir is an AI data analytics company.
They use artificial intelligence to look at vast amounts of data and create insights.
If the government has an amount of data which is kind of unimaginable, if you've got every phone call, every email, every transaction, every photograph of a license plate on the highway, satellite data, it's too much data for a bureaucracy to sift through.
Palantir comes in and interprets the data using algorithms, using artificial intelligence, using software to make vast amounts of data usable.
If we don't have freedom on the Internet in the age of AI, we are going to be mind raped every day forever.
Think about anything you've ever said or done in the vicinity of your phone's camera or microphone, everything you've ever put into your phone, and even things that are not necessarily so scandalous, but even things like your favorite restaurants, your geolocation, because your phone also has a GPS.
They know where you are at all times.
They know where you go and when.
They know what you buy.
They have access to your bank account.
AI will literally know everything about you.
Everyone you know, your relationship to them, your tastes, your preferences, your habits, your whereabouts, your routines, your schedule, when you sleep.
They know how much REM sleep you're getting.
They know your resting heart rate.
They know how many calories you consume.
Think about the ways that they can manipulate you.
You have a computer in your refrigerator, computer in your car, computer in your home security system, computer in your everything, computer in your clothes, your watch, your glasses, your VR headset, your alarm clock.
You have a smart home, economy of things.
It's like total, like, rape of everybody by the system forever.
People that are scrambling, trying to protect their ever-shrinking share of what they have are foolish.
It's all going.
It's all going away.
This country is being ripped apart and raped and looted.
We're being slowly poisoned and in some cases quickly murdered and assassinated.
And we're killing ourselves every day.
Inadvertently, with the kinds of things that we eat and breathe and drink and see.
People have got to start to radically begin to obey their conscience and tell the truth and do the right thing.
People have got to start to get courageous.
And this is the time for everybody to turn and look to God and to pray and to ask for strength and to ask for wisdom to get through this time and to transform and sanctify this country.
And the alternative is that there will be no country.
Is it really only as big as low gas prices?
Is it really only so big as bringing inflation and gas prices and the corporate tax rate back down?
It's not about waiting for someone to come in and change the policy and make it better.
It's a personal decision that we all have to make to become soldiers of Christ.
Charlie Kirk, because they voted for Kamala Harris.
People do not stab young girls on trains because they're born black.
People do not shoot Palestinians in the back of the head or cheer it on just because they're Jewish.
The people that do this are lost.
They have to be isolated and segregated out.
A new consensus must emerge.
Are you in favor of a society with meaning?
A society where life is sacred.
Where life has sanctity, where people's lives and their dignity and their integrity is respected?
Or are we going to live in a society that is a never-ending war between nihilistic tribes, warlords, savages, pagans?
I see an emerging consensus.
And I think that the mature people that actually love America, actually love our children, the people that recognize the division, the peril that we're in, we need to fortify a new consensus and rally the people of conscience, the people of decency, the people of humanity, the people of charity towards their fellow man,
against those that want to kill us, against those that laugh and celebrate when innocent people are harmed.
For any reason, for any ideological reason.
Against the people that are cruel, the people that are hateful.
And by that, I mean the people that are really cruel.
Not the people that say things you disagree with, not the people that are provocative, not the people that are sometimes angry, but the people that are really cruel and really evil.
What makes Christianity and Christ so different from the other religions is that our religion is based on the bearing of suffering for the sake of even those that persecute us.
An overflowing of love.
An overflowing of self-giving love.
So much of it, it cannot be contained.
An unconditional, absolute standard of love for all of God's children, even those that are misguided, even those that persecute us, even the most heinous among us.
That is what makes us different.
Is what makes us good.
Shadow War With Iran00:06:48
unidentified
Canary mission
is an Israeli Funded blacklist which, since july 2025, has been confirmed to be used by the Trump administration to target students, professors and professionals who oppose Israel and reside in the United States.
This idea is part of an initiative created by the Heritage Foundation, the same group responsible for the infamous Project 2025.
In their initiative, titled Project Esther, they state that students participating in pro-Palestinian protests and activism are supporting Hamas, a group that the United States designates as a foreign terrorist organization.
Therefore, pro-Palestinian students are considered to be supporting terrorism and are subject to the revocation of visas, frozen bank accounts, asset seizures, and the denial of basic constitutional rights.
In effect, the Canary mission serves as a means to circumvent constitutional protections, allowing the federal government to engage in intelligence gathering activities that would otherwise be considered unlawful.
But the Canary mission is not alone.
Palantir, another company closely aligned with the state of Israel, uses AI-driven analytics to maintain private databases on U.S. citizens and currently works with four federal agencies.
While government contracting with the private sector is long-standing, the prominent influence of Jewish groups within these increasingly powerful organizations warrants careful examination.
I renew the call for all able-bodied young American men, all of our elite human capital, all of our geniuses, warriors, intelligent people to dedicate themselves to American sovereignty and independence as Christians, as Americans, as white people, as citizens of the United States.
And anybody that settles for anything less is just as much of an enemy.
I would actually consider them worse than our oppressors.
So on Independence Day, it's important to reflect on the fact that we are an occupied nation.
Now, just like then, we're being ruled by a small country across an ocean, serving itself at our expense.
And as long as that is the case, I will always be obsessed with that.
As long as that is the case, I will always be speaking out against that and fighting against that.
And I will always be anchored, understanding that that is the fundamental struggle.
As long as our presidents have to kiss the wall in Israel and wear a small hat, as long as they have to say that we want to make Israel great again and they're the greatest country ever, I will never be okay with that.
Barack Obama created the joint comprehensive plan of action, the JCPOA, or the Iranian nuclear deal.
And Barack Obama brought together China, Russia, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and the United States and the European Union to enforce a nuclear deal that restricts Iran's enrichment of uranium.
The early talks were conducted in secret, and the Israelis were furious, furious about this.
They hated Obama.
Netanyahu went to a joint session of Congress and gave a speech in defiance of the American president and its nuclear deal, and Congress gave 37 standing ovations.
This is the background of Trump's first election.
2016 election happens.
Trump gets elected with the help of the Israelis.
You don't believe me?
There's a whole article about it.
It's an excerpt from James Bamford's book, Spy Fail.
It goes into great detail about the hidden collusion in the 2016 election.
It wasn't Trump and Russia.
It was Trump and Israel.
And why was Israel so hell-bent on getting a Republican elected in 2016?
In 2018, Donald Trump declares the IRGC, the Revolutionary Guard, which is the military of the regime, a terrorist group.
Green likes that group for sanctions, for attacks.
Now the United States is in a shadow war with Iran.
It culminates by January 2020 in the assassination of Qasem Suleimani.
Suleimani was the architect of the axis of resistance.
Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, Suleimani built all of it.
Are you starting to see Obama had this solved?
He made the deal.
The Israelis hated him for it.
They colluded with Trump to get him elected so that Trump would do maximum pressure and create a ladder of escalation, pulling us out of the deal, declaring the IRGC terrorists, then killing its leader, putting sanctions on the regime.
This is a war that started a long time ago, that Trump made hot in 2018 and has been going on for seven years.
Just like in Iraq, which went from 1990 until today, just like Libya, which went from 2011 to today, Syria, which went from 2011 to today, and Iran, which went from 2018 until today.
That's the nature of forever wars.
And if you're not paying attention to those underlying forces, you're going to fall for it again and again.
You're going to be surprised and confused and coping over and over.
And people are just tripping over themselves to do it again.
unidentified
Don't you see the universe matters more than your meaningless squad of matters?
Very excited to be back here with you tonight on Monday.
We have a lot to talk about tonight.
Lots to get into.
A big show.
Our featured story, we are once again covering the war in Iran.
Now in its fifth week.
Five weeks of war.
Can you believe it?
Just another two more weeks to, what is the expression again?
Flatten the curve, flatten Iran.
And today is day 31, I believe it is.
Day 31 of the war.
And sort of interesting.
Our big story tonight, this conflict is going to go in either one of two directions.
These are both signals from the president in just the past 24 hours.
Yesterday, Trump said on Truth Social that if Iran does not open up the Strait of Hormuz, then he's going to level the entire country.
He's going to bomb desalination, power plants, electrical grid, oil industry, even the oil infrastructure on Carg Island.
So that's option number one.
That's plan A. Plan A is if Iran does not surrender immediately, we are going to escalate, bomb everything.
We may even take the island.
According to a new interview from the Financial Times, Trump said he's considering seizing the oil, which we've discussed many times over the past week and a half, two weeks.
Plan B, option number two, and again, this is also just in the past 24 hours.
Earlier tonight, it was reported by the Wall Street Journal that Trump may end the war without even reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
So that's option, that's plan B. Option number two is we're just done.
We're just going to finish the war and we won't even open up the strait.
We're just giving it to Iran permanently or unless or until we intervene again to open up the strait.
Although it's hard to see how we would do that.
So as always, just like every other week in the conflict so far, we really have no clue based on purely what is being said by the administration, by Trump himself, where this is going.
Is it escalating?
Is it de-escalating?
Will it go on for four weeks or months, years, or is it going to end any day?
No clue.
That being said, I think I've figured it out.
We're going to provide some clarity.
The operative word there is if you're going purely off of what is being said.
But if you're following what is being done and you consider why these things are being said, I think it's pretty clear the direction we're heading in.
And so we'll analyze this a little bit.
I'll just tell you right out of the gate, I think it's a fake out.
When Trump says he's going to leave without opening the Strait of Hormuz, what is the intended reaction to that announcement?
The reaction isn't even for us.
It's not even about how we respond to this.
This is about how Asia will respond.
This is about how Europe will respond.
If Trump says we're leaving without reopening the Strait, it will affect us and it will affect us more as time goes on.
But it will affect every country at a different time.
It will affect Asia first.
It will affect Europe second.
And it will affect us lastly and probably the least acutely out of all these countries.
We don't rely on oil from the Persian Gulf like the Asian countries do.
We don't rely on LNG like Europe does.
We have enough energy that we are safe.
So if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed or if Iran imposes a toll on that, then that becomes a problem for every other country far before and more than it does for us.
And so I think that is a strategy.
I think that's a play.
And I think we're still on.
Based on the deployments that are happening in the Middle East and based on what Trump has been telegraphing for the past two or three weeks, I think we are still on for ground operations in the Persian Gulf, either at Karg Island, at Hormuz Island, or one of the other islands, maybe one of the contested islands claimed by the United Arab Emirates, or possibly up to and including coastal areas on the mainland in Iran near the strait.
I still think that is the trajectory.
So we'll talk about all that.
That's going to be our big development on Iran.
If we have time, okay, get a load of this.
If we have time, we'll cover this as well.
The other big news from today is that Trump has unpaused the processing of asylum requests.
So you might remember that at the end of last year in December, Trump went to U.S. Customs and Immigration and told them to stop processing all asylum claims by asylum seekers.
And that effectively shut down the refugee process and the asylum process.
There's now 4 million applications backlogged because effectively none of them were getting through.
That was it.
Well, now today, Trump has unpaused that.
He reversed that rule.
And so now immigration will once again begin processing asylum claims.
It gets better every day.
It just gets better.
Every day, it's like you're just getting punched in the face every day repeatedly.
Every day, you're just getting socked in the mouth by the administration, and you're getting it in two directions.
You're getting it on both sides.
It's a classic two-man, not to be gross, but it's a classic two-man.
The Jews are running a classic two-man on you and everyone you love because they're hitting you with the war in Iran.
Goyim are dying for Israel.
Goyam are going to land on the island and get drone striked to death.
It's going to cost us $200 billion.
How are we going to pay for that?
We're going to cut all the health care money.
So you're getting it on that front.
The Zionist Jews, they're really squeezing us.
It's costing us a lot of money, and we're all going to die.
And it's going to be a nuclear war.
But then they're also getting you from the other side.
They're also getting you hitting it from the other direction because now the immigration is continuing apace.
And so those 10 million illegals under Biden, they're not going anywhere.
The deportations are over.
They gave up.
They changed the slogan.
They said, we're not running on that anymore.
It's not happening anymore.
We have somehow a worse DHS secretary.
First one was already terrible.
Asylum requests going through.
10 million Biden illegals effectively amnestied.
You're getting it from the other side as well.
Stephen Miller's getting thrown under the bus.
What happened?
So this administration truly is just a gift that keeps on giving every day.
At least for me, for everybody else, some people are having a hard time with this.
Some of our plan trusters, we got to check in on them.
They're on suicide watch, got to pop in for a wellness check.
For those plan trusters in your life, what do they call?
I guess they call themselves the plan trusters, Trump loyalists.
My ideology is unironically loyalty to Donald Trump.
It's like, hey, pal.
Hey, buddy, you doing okay?
Have a conversation.
Open up that conversation.
Ask them how they're doing.
If all of a sudden they seem suddenly optimistic and they have this burst of energy, that's a big red flag.
But there's like a shirt with me and someone that looks like Candace Owens.
That one's great.
A man can dream.
But anyway, Fuentus.store, if you want to support the show, do that.
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I literally popped off.
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Okay, with that, we're going to get into the show.
There's one other thing I wanted to talk about before we get into the latest on the war.
And this is really important.
Now, if you follow me on Twitter, you already saw my tweet about this, but it made me think a lot because I feel like I cover a lot of things on the show and we pick up on a lot of different threads here and there.
But this is something that's really extremely important to follow up on.
So this weekend, I saw a tweet from Matt Walsh of the Daily Wire.
And as you know, Matt Walsh works for Ben Shapiro.
He's a Shabbos guy.
He flips the lights on and off.
He's a race trader.
He's betraying his religion to work for one of the worst Jewish supremacists on the entire planet.
And Matt Walsh seems to be having some sort of epiphany lately.
He's realizing that, you know, maybe a war in Iran is not in America's interest.
And, you know, maybe that's a problem for us.
So he puts out this tweet over the weekend, a long tweet, long paragraph.
I'm not going to read it to you.
But he basically says, this war in Iran is a bad idea.
And let the record show that ever since the war started, I said it would be a bad idea.
And this is a catastrophe.
There's no exit plan.
It's causing economic damage and it's not in our interest and so on and so forth.
And a lot of people are congratulating him for this discovery, for this take.
But you want to know something about that and Matt Walsh?
I want you to take a little trip down memory lane because unlike a lot of other people, if you watch my show, you know this about me and maybe you're the same way.
We don't have collective amnesia.
We do not have brain rot here.
We remember what people said and what people did last week and last month and last year and two years ago.
And I'm old enough to remember, and I have enough of a recall to remember that Matt Walsh went on Tucker Carlson's show last year.
And do you know what he said about the Middle East?
His take on the Middle East a year ago is that if you are extremely pro-Israel and if you are extremely anti-Israel, that both sides of that conversation are not putting America first.
He said the real America first position is to be indifferent to the developments in the Middle East, indifferent to Palestine, indifferent to Iran, indifferent to Lebanon and Yemen.
He said the real America first position is to fixate on what happens in America and school board meetings and the economy and Disney Plus and transgender athletes competing in girls sports and all that.
He said he really did the both sides thing.
If you're obsessed with the Middle East as anti-Israel or pro-Israel, those are two sides of the same coin and they're both wrong.
Well, you know what?
And I said this on Twitter in reply to his epiphany that this war in Iran is bad.
We have been marching toward a war in Iran for two and a half years and even longer than that.
We have been marching toward a war in Iran really since like 2003, if you want to know the truth.
And it really accelerated in 2018 when Trump pulled this out of the Iran nuclear deal.
And then after October 7th, it was a fait accompli.
It was inevitable.
And there were some people that have been putting up the flare about this for a long time and warning people, pay attention to the Middle East.
And what's more, pay attention to what is happening domestically because there is a dual track here.
At once, you have very troubling developments in the Middle East.
Clearly, Israel has undertaken since October 7th, this ambitious expansionist project to steamroll Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the other Shiite militias, and then to decapitate Iran.
That is obvious to anyone who is paying attention that that is the plan, was the plan, has always been the plan.
And the other part of it is that simultaneously in America, the Jews have been ascending in politics on the Republican side in particular, taking critical national security roles, infiltrating the MAGA movement, Mar-a-Lago, the Republican Party, because they believe that the Trump administration, that a Trump presidency will facilitate all of this.
They will deliver Israel's agenda using the U.S. military.
And like I said, for years, people have been pointing this out, like myself, like yours truly, and many other people.
And all along the way, every step of the way, every step on this pathway towards the war in Iran, we've had people like Matt Walsh telling us, you are obsessed with the Middle East.
You are obsessed with Israel.
That's overblown.
You have gone so anti-Israel that you are now America last because your fixation is on that region.
I'm the real America first because I'm indifferent to all that stuff over there.
In a word, every step of the way, they have tried to distract us.
They have tried to obstruct us, gaslight us.
They have told us to bury our head in the sand as all of these developments have been happening.
And this has been a long time coming.
After October 7th, we gave Israel $26 billion to prosecute their war in Gaza.
After October 7th, we intervened in Yemen in a full-fledged air and sea campaign against the Houthi rebels.
We bombed Iran last year and everybody told us it's not a big deal.
It's not a real war.
We just carried out one strike and then that was it.
And now it's over.
Now here we are.
Now here we are in a regime change war in Iran.
It's going to cost us $200 billion.
There might be a ground operation next week.
And now they tell us, I don't think this war is a good idea.
Oh, really?
You don't say.
Well, where were you every other step that led up to this?
Oh, yeah, you were telling us to look the other way and stop paying attention.
You were minimizing the issue and downplaying it.
And the reason that I say this, make a note.
The reason I'm saying this is not to toot my own horn and say, you were wrong, I was right.
Because people might say, well, who really cares?
As long as we all wound up in the same place, what difference really does it make who was wrong and who was right?
The reason I say this is because that was a very particular point of view and still is, that is being promulgated.
And I would say this is the indifferentist opinion, which is that Israel is not really that big of a problem.
It's not really that big of an issue.
It's really more of a distraction.
People look at it as an inconvenience.
They say, well, this Israel thing happens to be blowing up the MAGA coalition.
Isn't that unfortunate?
Israel may have pressured us into the war.
Gee, maybe that was a mistake.
But obviously, they and their lobby have played a central influence.
They've orchestrated all of this, which has led to all of these outcomes.
The fiscal cost of the war, the Americans dead in the war, the catastrophic ramifications for the global economy and our allies and credibility and deterrence in the world.
The explosion of the MAGA movement, the division in our camp.
They have played a central role.
They have orchestrated all of it.
And here's the point.
You can't be America first unless you are pushing in the opposite direction, forcefully and explicitly every day.
That's the point.
It's not one issue among others.
Clearly, this is a huge problem.
If the Iran war is destroying the MAGA movement, if the Iran war is blowing up the dissident right nationalist movement, if it's forcing America to fight another regime change war in Iran, then there is no way to get to America first without confronting Israel.
You understand?
You can't sidestep it.
You can't avoid it.
You can't go over it, around it, underneath it.
The only way to get to America first is through Israel first.
It has to be confronted.
It has to be destroyed.
That's it.
That's the only way.
It's Mark Levin, Laura Loomer, Randy Fine, Jared Kushner.
It's Fox News.
It's the Blaze.
It's people like Josh Hammer.
These people are standing in the way directly obstructing our goals.
They have to lose.
They have to be defeated.
And the only way they can be defeated is if they are decisively confronted.
We have to call them out.
We have to expose them for what they are.
We have to make the argument, not with dog whistles, not incrementally, explicitly, all the time, every day, until we win.
And he goes to work every day for Ben Shapiro, who is practically the chief propagandist promoting the war.
He, along with Mark Levin and all the others, how can you entertain this contradiction?
How do you not see that?
And then you realize, of course, Matt Walsh, he does see it.
He's not a dumb guy.
He knows what Ben Shapiro is.
He sees it.
And he sees our comments and he sees our replies.
And he chooses selectively not to engage.
And so in a way, you have to understand that the people that are like Matt Walsh, they're actually our biggest enemy in a way.
They might actually be the biggest impediment.
And you want to know why that is?
Because if everybody is watching the Ben Shapiro show, they see a short, ugly Jew with a big yarmulke commanding us to die for Israel.
And it is plain for everyone to see.
It is unambiguous.
They see a short, ugly Jew with a big hat, a hateful, odious, disgusting person.
Could not be more obvious whose side he's on, what country he has allegiance to.
It would be naked and transparent what is going on there.
And equally, people watch my show, and they may think I'm an anti-Semite, and they may think I'm anti-Israel.
And I say, let them think that.
But at the end of the day, they see someone that is promoting America first, claiming America first, born in America, loving America only against the Israel lobby.
And if that were the dialectic, it would be pretty clear which side 90% of conservatives would take.
If that was the dialectic, if that was the argument, Shapiro, foam finger, flag waving, yarmulke wearing, Israel firster versus America first, you know, 99% of Americans take my side every day of the week.
But then you introduce somebody like Matt Walsh.
And somebody like Matt Walsh is going to beat his chest every day about how he's proud to be white.
And he's going to air his grievances about brown and black people and immigrants and wokeness and transgenders in the media and in sports and so on.
And he's going to take a position on Israel that's not actually all that definitive.
Well, I just don't really care that much.
Well, I'm just unlike Nick Fuentes and Ben Shapiro, I'm not obsessed with it.
I'm indifferent.
Now, once you introduce a guy like that, it muddies the waters a little bit.
Because then there's a lot of people who are going to say, you know, I don't like Shapiro, but maybe Nick Fuentes is too extreme.
I guess I'm like Matt Walsh.
I guess I just don't really care that much about the issue.
I guess I just don't understand why everybody cares so much about Palestine for some reason.
Why everybody cares so much about Iran for some reason?
Aren't they Muslims?
How's that any better?
And all of a sudden, now you've split the difference.
And now maybe you got 50% that go Matt Walsh and 30% that go Shapiro and 30% or 20% that go my way.
For two years, we've been marching towards a war with Iran.
People have been trying to warn you.
I have been trying to warn you every single day, saying, Look at how all of this is progressing.
Look at the developments in the Middle East that are leading to this.
It's not just, why do I care about Palestine?
Because Israel is using that as a pretext.
It is also the long-term goal as well.
They're using that to roll October 7th into a justification for a war in Lebanon and a war in Iran, which has now become a regional conflict.
And that was always the point.
And I spelled that out from day one.
The war in Gaza will eventually become a full-on war with Iran, and it can't be done without us.
And all along the way, every step, they told us, just don't think about that.
Don't look over there.
Look over here.
Look at Disney Plus.
Look at the Transgender Soccer League or whatever.
Oh, those people like Sneeko and Fuentis and the rest of them, they're a third worldist.
Oh, they just care about Palestine.
They're left wing spiritually.
They lost the plot.
And that's why for two years, conservatives buried their head in the sand.
And that's why they're all so surprised.
And they say, well, I thought the war was a bad idea.
What?
A few weeks ago, we've been headed here for years.
And by the way, if the end result of Matt Walsh and the conservative movement is to get you to look away for just long enough, just long enough for them to achieve what they want, that's all they need.
Don't you understand that?
Some people say, well, this war has woken people up now.
Yeah, well, it's a little late.
We're five weeks in now.
This is week number five.
And look at the price of oil and look at what's happening in the Strait of Hormuz.
There is one way out of this in the long term, and that is regime change.
That's the only way out of this.
You think we're getting a deal?
You think Iran is giving the Strait of Hormuz back?
How exactly is that going to work?
We're already through the looking glass.
We are on the other side.
Oh, now you think it's a bad idea.
After we killed the Ayatollah, after we bombed them 13,000 times, after they seized the Strait of Hormuz and crashed the global economy, now you realize what happened?
It's too late.
It's too late now.
Now people say, how can we turn it around?
What can we do?
We should protest.
We should call the White House.
Call the White House.
What are you going to tell the White House that will change a reality on the ground in the Middle East or in the markets?
There's nothing you can say.
Nothing you can post on Twitter.
Nothing you can tell the president that he doesn't know.
There's nothing that can be done.
It's too late.
They didn't need to pull the wool over your eyes forever.
They just needed you to look the other way for long enough for them to make their move.
And they did.
Netanyahu went to the White House or the United States five times, six times last year, and then came back another time this year.
And every time he came here, he was pushing for a war with Iran.
And Trump's entire national security team was pushing for a war with Iran.
And Trump's donors in the 2024 election were pushing for a war with Iran.
They were pushing for it in the first term.
But that entire time, people said, pay no attention to the Jewish Zionists behind the curtain.
Because mass deportations are the only thing that matter, right?
Immigration is the only issue that matters.
Nothing else matters.
Really?
Epstein doesn't matter.
Iran doesn't matter.
The economy doesn't matter.
Well, try that in the midterm elections.
You tell all the voters in the midterms, but immigration is the only issue that matters.
Good luck.
Good luck with that.
When oil is $200 a barrel, when gas is $5 a gallon, when mortgage rates are back over 6%.
Good luck telling those voters, hey, but immigration is the only thing that matters.
And if you disagree, you're a brown-coated, spiritually leftist third worldist.
Everybody that knows the score needs to start explicitly and forcefully opposing Israel first every single day.
That's all you can do now.
If you don't see it now, you're never going to see it.
And if you don't start opposing it now, there's no excuses for you anymore.
Regime change, war with Iran.
10 years into the Trump movement, we were just, just about to exit Syria and Iraq.
Now we're bombing Iraq.
Did you know that?
Now we're bombing the majority Shiite Iraq, their popular mobilization forces.
Obvious outcome from all of this.
We were just about to leave.
Isn't that what the whole Trump movement was about in 2015?
Extricating from Iraq?
And now.
Okay, I think we're back.
Okay, I think we're back.
Whoops.
Okay, we have a thunderstorm going on here.
So there was like a power surge for a second.
That's why, don't worry, we didn't get zogged.
Everybody was saying, people were saying it was a Mossad attack.
no no it's just weather inclement weather over here we're good anyway well it's going to be hard for me to pick back up where I left off I was kind of I was kind of dialed in there.
I was tapped in, but that's okay.
Well, we're back.
So anyway, so that is what is happening with Matt Walsh.
I guess where I left off is I was saying the only way forward is that people that know what is going on have to decisively confront Israel first.
And thank God that Tucker is doing that.
And Megan Kelly and Piers Morgan and others.
I wish Candace Owens would focus more on that as opposed to, you know, like the other stuff.
The lizard people, that whole thing, the time travel, astral projecting and so on.
But that is the only way forward.
If you want to get to America first, you have to recognize this is not an issue that you can sidestep.
This is the issue.
This is the impediment to America first.
You are either on one side or the other.
You are either America first or you are Israel first.
There is no other position where you say, I just don't want to send foreign aid to any country.
That is no longer acceptable.
It never was.
That is not adequate.
It is no longer acceptable to say, I don't understand why anybody's obsessed with Israel.
Because here is why.
You want to know why they are obsessed with Israel?
Because they are Jewish.
And that is the only country they care about.
They are loyal to world Jewry.
They're loyal to the state of Israel.
And as long as these people have any influence, they are going to use our country for their own ends.
That is what is going on in American politics.
Radical left-wing Jews want to turn America into a diverse brown shithole because that is what promotes their agenda.
A rising tide of tolerance and equality lifts all of the boats for every ethnic and racial minority, even the smallest one, which is the Jews.
And the conservative, right-wing Zionist Jews, for them, it is Jewish nationalism.
Jewish, I'm a nationalist.
I'm an American nationalist.
The right-wing Jews are Jewish nationalists.
They are promoting a strong Jewish identity, a strong Jewish state, a muscular Jewish state.
And as long as these people are around, they're going to put their interests ahead of ours.
And as long as they are doing that and succeeding, we have to counter them.
That is a hostile occupation.
If you're America first, your sole and overriding objective is liberation.
We want to free America from the hostile occupation.
We want to liberate America from these people.
That doesn't make us Israel obsessed.
It makes us America obsessed.
If they are the occupiers, if they are the occupation regime, then our first priority is to liberate ourselves.
Well, there's the people occupying our country, stealing our sovereignty, usurping our independence.
And then there's those people that are obsessed with undoing that.
Then there are those spiritual leftist nutjobs that are obsessed with throwing all of that off.
I'm over here in the middle where I shrug my shoulders.
Ben Shapiro runs America.
Well, maybe we shouldn't send him foreign aid.
Shouldn't send them foreign aid.
We need sovereignty.
So as far as I'm concerned, this is a line in the sand moment.
If you didn't get it before, I don't understand how you didn't.
But now there's no excuse.
If you're one of those few people that's still out there trusting the plan, five-dimensional chess, it's about China.
Trump always campaigned on bombing Iran.
This is your opportunity to get off.
This is your opportunity to get off at this stop and join America first.
If you want to salvage what we have, if you want to salvage our country, if you want to salvage an American nationalist movement from the wreckage of MAGA, now is the time to say unequivocally, you're either America first or Israel first.
We knew this when the Tucker cost happened.
We know it now.
So that's that.
Matt Walsh says, I've been against the war since the beginning.
No, you haven't.
The war has been going on for years.
And your job was to obfuscate it for your Jewish boss.
Whether you knew it, didn't know it, intentional, unintentional, that was the effect.
And that is what matters.
The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
So if in the end your effect was to get everybody to look the other way, we just have to hold our nose and vote for Trump because immigration is the most important thing.
To those people, I say, fuck you.
You brought us here.
Because that was literally the message.
Don't pay attention to anything else.
Don't pay attention to Jared Kushner behind the curtain.
And the next generation, ever since 2012, the newborns had been 50% white.
What exactly do you think Trump is going to do to undo any of that?
Our country is fucked because of immigration.
But you know what that is?
It's the past tense.
It was fucked and now it is.
It happened in the past.
And that's the way it is.
And I don't like it.
And I know you don't like it.
And if we could wave a magic wand and go back to the way things used to be, we would probably all do that.
But we can't.
And it's not going to happen, at least not anytime soon.
It's not going to happen in the next four years.
So when all these people told us we have to vote for Trump because of immigration, what exactly did you think was going to happen?
Did you really think that in the next four years, America was meaningfully going to become less diverse?
Serious question.
Did you think that after four years, after just four years, America would be visibly, noticeably, meaningfully less diverse?
And if so, where was that happening?
And how was that going to happen?
Did you think that Los Angeles was no longer going to be 20% white?
Did you think Chicago was no longer going to be 30% white?
That New York was going to no longer be 20% white.
Where was this going to happen?
And how was it going to happen?
It was never going to happen.
At best, you would see a partial reduction in the rate of immigration.
And that was all you were ever going to get.
And that is all that we have.
Trump has reduced legal immigration by a whopping 10%.
But they're not deporting 10 million people.
You'll be lucky if they remove a million.
And they've shut down illegal immigration.
Well, you know what?
That's a little bit too late.
That's about 20 years too late on shutting down the border.
We wanted the border shut down in 2016.
And in the meantime, there's been about 15 million more illegals that have come here.
So if you're not deporting anybody and you're not restricting legal immigration severely, then who gives a shit if they close the border?
Honestly.
And people say, well, so what?
So we should vote for the Democrats to make it worse?
It means let's stop jingling keys in front of our face about immigration like it makes a fucking difference because it doesn't.
And people need to hear that.
You're not going to like to hear that, but you need to hear that.
And take it from somebody that marched at Charlottesville.
Take it from somebody that was part of the OG white nationalist movement.
That's just the way it is.
Seriously.
People say immigration, immigrant, as if it will change a thing.
35 years of unrelenting, always increasing mass migration, and they think four years, a 10% reduction in legal immigration is going to is going to change anything, that it's even going to make a difference, that it would even be noticeable?
Don't kid yourself.
They say, well, any little bit counts.
Well, maybe in a vacuum, but not if the price we have to pay is a war in Iran, an AI regulation moratorium, the Epstein files being covered up and destroying the Trump anti-immigration movement.
You know, that's not worth the price of admission.
People say any little bit counts.
You know what?
It really doesn't.
It really does not, actually.
You get nothing for almost.
I hear that from the other side.
Everybody that, because it always goes together, it's always this package deal.
They say these guys are obsessed with Israel and the third world.
Immigration's the thing we got to buckle down and focus on.
And what are we hoping to achieve there?
I mean, honestly, we are closer to establishing a lunar colony than we are to even having a majority white nation ever again.
I mean, come on.
And it doesn't mean give up on that.
It doesn't mean I'm not in favor of white identity politics, but we got to start being a little bit more practical here.
But people don't want to hear that.
That's realistic.
That's the truth.
And you can listen to a Shabbos goi beat his chest all day long about white pride and we don't want these brown people living here.
It doesn't make a lick of a difference because they're running and they're hiding.
The places where we can even live are getting smaller and shittier all the time.
And four years of King Shabba's goy, four years of best goi, it's not going to change a thing about that.
So get real, get real.
Don't be a sucker.
Don't get tricked.
Immigration.
Give me a break.
Stephen Miller's autistically focused on mass deportations.
I think he's autistically focused on Israel.
I think him and his wife, who goes on Piers Morgan and says, I have Jewish children, I think they're obsessed with Israel, actually.
These people that, you know, anyway, we're going to move on.
We're going to get into the war, but that's just a word on where the movement is.
Because like I said, if this is, if all of that has brought us here, of what use was the movement?
If the movement, if the movement has brought us to this point, of what use was the movement?
As far as immigration is concerned, we have nothing.
As far as Israel is concerned, they have everything.
So of what use was your movement that people are trying to say, yeah, but we're just, you know, Trump really wants to do it and we just want it to happen.
Well, all of that and a dollar will no longer be able to buy you a cup of coffee because coffee is now $10 a cup.
It's worth nothing.
Anyway, we're going to move on.
We're going to get into our big story tonight.
We're going to cover our updates here on the war in Iran.
We're at day 31, fifth week of the war.
No major developments this weekend, it seems, at least nothing that changes the nature of the conflict, which we all understand now at this point.
Now, a lot of people were anticipating that there would be a major ground operation this past weekend.
But if you recall, I said last week, more likely it's going to happen next weekend, if it is going to happen at all.
And why is that?
Well, it has everything to do with the timing of these troop deployments.
We at the show, and by we, I mean me, we believe that a ground operation will commence once the force posture has been reinforced by the 82nd Airborne, by the Marine Expeditionary Unit, and by a third aircraft carrier.
It will technically be only number two that is actually in the region, but it will be the third one that's been deployed so far.
And we believe that once all of these forces are present and once the operational planning has been finished and once the markets close this coming Friday and Trump's deadline runs out just before April 6th, that is probably the most likely time for a ground operation.
But we're getting ahead of ourselves.
Our big developments on the conflict, first and foremost, like I said, it is what has not happened.
A ground operation has not happened and things were relatively quiet.
Like I said, it means the conflict is still relatively the same.
The dynamics of the conflict, the current state of things is the same as it was on Friday, as the same as it was the week before.
And I'll refresh your memory quickly on where things are, and then we'll talk about where things are going.
As you know, we've entered the fifth week, so we are now a little bit more than one full month into the conflict.
Initially, they said it would be four days.
And Trump, probably persuaded by Israel, was convinced that a decisive all-out attack on Iran would bring down the regime and there would be a quick end to the conflict.
The regime change would effectively end everything.
And then the United States could accomplish whatever it needed to.
If that was a nuclear deal, cutting off funding for proxies, disabling or destroying missiles, that would happen in the aftermath of the regime collapse.
As we now know, that did not happen.
And Trump did not get his promised quick and decisive action that brought an end to this 47-year conflict.
Instead, the war has now become an attritional war that has more to do with economics.
The Iranian regime survived.
It grows stronger every day.
And Iran maintains the capability to bombard the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the Gulf countries, our allies, Israel and U.S. bases with drones and ballistic missiles.
And so now the pressure is going in the other direction.
Currently, Iran has all the cards.
Our weapons are not working.
We cannot achieve the objectives that we set out to achieve with our current tactics and with what we are comfortable with doing.
With air and sea power alone, even using all of our weapons, our most precise and advanced weapons, as overwhelming as we can make it.
We are not able to topple the regime, not able to suppress all drone and missile fire.
There is nothing that we can do.
And in the meantime, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing oil prices to spike, which is causing inflation across the entire world.
And the longer this goes on, the more it threatens to create a global economic crisis.
And we're talking a global recession.
It's not just the increase in the price of fuel, but it's also the increase in the price of food and potentially a semiconductor shortage because of the lack of helium and other commodities.
If this goes on for another month, two more months, you're talking about $200 per barrel of oil.
You're talking about an economic recession, which will have a contagion-like effect.
It will spread.
The fuel shortages will cause panic.
Other shortages will cause price increases.
And this will be a systemic economic crisis for Europe, for the United States, for Asia.
And it's not clear that this can even be averted at this point.
Even if everything returns to normal tomorrow, which is not going to, it's not clear that this can even be avoided anymore.
Everybody with knowledge about this situation in government, for example, like in the Italian government, South Korean or Japanese government, and major leaders in the oil and gas industry, they all say it's far worse than anybody even realizes.
The economic pain is already baked in and cannot be averted.
It's just a question now of how bad it's going to be, depending upon how long it goes on.
So we are stuck.
Iran has all the cards.
They actually have escalation dominance.
We have no way to achieve our objectives.
And now Trump is effectively trapped.
This administration is looking for a way out.
We cannot escalate to win, short of a ground invasion or using a nuclear weapon.
And we cannot withdraw and finish the conflict on our terms.
Of course, we could simply stop bombing Iran.
We could sue for peace.
If we do, we will have to accept Iran's terms for ending the conflict.
Because at this point, we are at their mercy.
Whether they choose to stop bombing the strait, whether they choose to stop bombing the Gulf is really their decision.
And so although one way that we can alleviate the economic pressure, one way that we can exit the conflict is to simply sue for peace and seek a truce, we have to do it on their terms.
Not only can we not impose the terms, but we will actually have to give up some pretty significant concessions to Iran.
And this, by itself, would constitute a strategic defeat for the U.S.
And that by itself would also be striking because you consider that we threw everything in our arsenal at this country.
Tomahawk missiles and F-35s and 13,000 airstrikes and decapitation strikes.
Everything that we have in our arsenal, aircraft carriers and our own drones that we copied from Iran and attack helicopters, everything that we had.
And not only did we not win, but we effectively lost.
Iran is arguably in a stronger position than they were before.
They will have expanded their control over the Strait of Hormuz.
The regime will come out fortified rather than weakened.
That also carries a pretty significant consequence against the United States because it hurts our credibility and it hurts deterrence, which is what we use to effectively control the entire world.
So there's this cascading sequence of consequences for ending the peace on their terms.
One, if we leave, we got to give a lot of stuff up.
Two, that means we lose.
If we lose, that means nobody takes us seriously.
So for us to end the conflict on Iran's terms, to de-escalate and end the conflict, this is an unacceptable humiliation for the United States.
And it's not like some people think that it's just about being the bigger man, that it's just about calling the quits, it's about cutting your losses.
You have to understand this is a catastrophic defeat which tangibly hurts the United States.
So we are effectively caught in a bear trap.
Trump tried to kill Iran.
He failed.
And now what Iran is doing is they are trying to impose the maximum cost on not only the United States, but everybody else in the region and also in the entire world.
And the reason they are doing this is so that they can reestablish deterrence.
Iran wants this to go on for a pretty long time, not forever and not indefinitely, but Iran wants this to hurt.
And for it to hurt, it needs to go on for longer than we're comfortable with.
And they need to make it hurt badly, badly for the regional players that assisted the United States, badly for the United States, which has done the bulk of the fighting, and also badly for all the other regions of the world that will be affected by the price increases.
And the reason they're doing that naturally is so that the United States, Israel, and every other country will avoid ever attacking Iran again.
And so we are stuck by design.
We were drawn into a trap by Iran and by Israel, interestingly enough, so that there is no escape hatch.
There's no exit plan for the United States.
And that's a feature.
So that is the state of the conflict.
That doesn't mean that Trump is not seeking a way out.
As I said, Trump and the military planners are trying to get creative.
They're looking for a way that we can leverage Iran just enough that we can get out of this.
And how do you change this equation?
Well, so far, our attacks and our weapons are not able to achieve the objectives that we set out to accomplish in the war.
And so we have effectively had to admit defeat that we are not going to topple Iran's regime, that we're not going to be able to destroy all of their missile launch platforms.
We may not even be able to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
So what the administration is doing is they're finessing our stated objectives, and they're looking for a cheap and easy win, or maybe a risky win, maybe a gamble, but they're looking for a smaller win.
They're looking for a win on the battlefield.
And they're looking to increase their leverage ever so slightly, not so that we could claim total victory, not so that we can run the table and get everything we set out to get, but so that we don't have to accept such a humiliating defeat so obviously on Iran's terms.
So Trump is looking for something he can do to up the ante so that one, we could say, well, we won this battle.
Now we're ending the conflict on our terms.
And that has a purely rhetorical significance.
But also, from a tactical point of view, trying to gain a little bit of leverage over Iran so that in reality, in a tangible way, we actually don't have to accept all of Iran's terms.
And clearly, Iran is going to win on a lot of them.
The regime remains intact.
They're not giving up their highly enriched uranium.
They maintain their missile program.
And they might even keep the Strait of Hormuz.
But maybe we'll be able to get a little something, just a little something to show for it.
And how is Trump seeking to do that?
Well, it's very clear that he is looking to escalate the conflict into an energy war.
And Trump is looking to attack civilian infrastructure in Iran, which will damage their economy.
Either he is going to destroy the infrastructure or he is going to seize control over it with an invasion or to seize control of Iranian territory.
And this will force Iran's hand either by making them negotiate for control over their energy or by depriving them of control of the Strait of Hormuz.
And doing one or both of those things will allow the United States to say, we got a victory on the battlefield and now we're done.
And also prevent Iran from wielding all the cards and dictating the terms to the technologically superior United States.
And we've been talking about this for a few weeks.
It is my belief that if you've been following these developments over the past two and a half weeks, that Trump is building towards a ground operation either to retake the Strait of Hormuz by seizing islands near it or Iran's coastline there, and or Trump is going to invade Karg Island, which is the linchpin, the critical node in Iran's energy sector.
And by seizing Karg Island, he can choke off Iran's exports, from which they get 50% of their revenue from their energy exports.
And he can then negotiate for the strait or sue for peace and get other concessions.
And that seems to be the plan based on the fact that there is a major reinforcement happening in the Middle East with Marines, paratroopers, and another aircraft carrier.
And also based on the fact that he seems to be buying time simultaneously, promoting a completely fake peace process and mixing up the signals, telegraphing, all sorts of contradictory things.
While there is a major reinforcement going on, he's also talking up these peace talks, this diplomatic process that just simply isn't happening.
Saying that there will be meetings in Pakistan or in Turkey, that intermediaries are in touch with Iran, that Iran has agreed to all of our terms.
And in reality, none of this seems to seriously be happening.
Now, the big developments from this weekend about the war are that once again, we're getting two completely different messages.
So you might recall that the big arc last week in the story is that Trump has created a new ultimatum for Iran.
Not last weekend, but the weekend before that, Trump said that Iran had 48 hours to open up the strait, or else he would attack their power grid.
He would attack their power plants, their electrical grid, not necessarily their oil infrastructure, but their electric infrastructure.
And naturally, Iran replied and said, well, if Trump escalates it into an energy war, then Iran will respond in kind against Saudi Arabia, against the Emirates, and Kuwait as well.
Trump on Monday last week pushed that deadline back.
He gave Iran five more days.
Then on Thursday, he pushed the deadline back 10 days.
And so where it sits as of last week is that Iran is currently on a countdown until April 6th, which is next Monday, to open up the strait, or else Trump has promised to bomb all of their energy.
And yet again, there's a question, is Trump actually serious about this deadline or any deadline?
Because the 48-hour deadline got extended.
The five-day deadline got extended.
Now we're currently in a 10-day deadline.
And we all know that if Trump were to bomb Iran's infrastructure, this would be totally unacceptable.
By itself, it would also be unacceptable because of Iran's inevitable retaliation.
Right now, currently, we are actually letting Iran sell their oil.
There is oil that has gone out to sea already that is on its way to its final destination, and the United States is no longer sanctioning that.
So, all the oil that left the Strait of Hormuz from Iran prior to the war, we're going to let them sell it.
Why?
Because we want the maximum supply of oil in the market right now to stabilize prices.
Currently, Iran is still sending oil through the Strait of Hormuz.
If our allies send their oil through the Strait, Iran will bomb it.
Well, we have the same capability, technically speaking, but we are letting Iran continue to export oil, even though they deny our allies from doing the same for the same reason.
It's the same reason we stopped sanctioning the oil that's at sea.
We're continuing to allow them to export oil because we need all the oil in the economy that we can get.
So, we can't bomb Iran's oil infrastructure.
We can't bomb their grid for that reason alone.
But even more, if we do that, Iran will bomb Saudi Arabia, they will bomb the Emirates, they will bomb Qatar, potentially, they'll bomb Kuwait and Bahrain.
And if they do that, then this worsens that effect even more.
Like I said, so you already have $116 a barrel for oil.
If we bomb Iran, that goes up.
And when Iran retaliates against the Gulf, it goes up even more.
And even still, we might not even open up the Strait of Hormuz after that point.
So now we're in a true energy crisis.
So if Trump has a deadline and keeps extending it, we don't know that the deadline will ever actually be enforced, if it will ever arrive.
Will it get extended in perpetuity?
Will Trump call it off?
Will he simply decline to enforce it?
And we know that he realistically cannot even enforce it.
We will get to April 6th and we'll know then, just as we do now, that Trump really has no ability to follow through on the threat.
So why make the threat?
Well, yesterday, Trump basically re-upped and renewed the threat.
So if there was a question about whether the deadline was still in effect, if that was still going to come due at some point, Trump reminded us that we are still underneath this ultimatum.
And Trump put out a tweet.
This is according to CNN.
It says, quote, President Trump said if Iran does not reach a deal with the United States and open up the Strait of Hormuz, the country would conclude military involvement in the region by, quote, blowing up and obliterating electric plants and oil wells in Iran.
This is from Truth Social.
Trump said, quote, the United States of America is in serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime to end our military operation in Iran.
Great progress has been made.
But if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Strait of Hormuz is not immediately open for business, we will conclude our lovely stay in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their electric generating plants, oil wells, Carg Island, and possibly all desalinization plants, which we have purposefully yet not touched.
So this is the new threat.
And Trump says it's going to be power plants, Carg Island, oil, desalination.
It will be all critical civilian infrastructure.
We will effectively destroy their economy.
That's the new threat.
So we're still under the ultimatum as it stands this week.
But then, earlier tonight, we get a new report from the Wall Street Journal, which says that actually Trump is considering ending the war without even opening up the Strait of Hormuz at all.
This is from the journal.
It says, quote, President Trump told aides that he is willing to end the military campaign against Iran, even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
In recent days, Trump and his aides assessed that a mission to pry open the choke point would push conflict beyond his timeline of four to six weeks.
He decided the U.S. should achieve its main goals of hobbling Iran's navy and missile stocks and wind down current hostilities while pressuring Tehran diplomatically to resume the free flow of trade.
There are also military options the president could decide on, but they are not his immediate priority.
Trump's desire to end the war quickly is at odds with other moves he's planning to make.
This weekend, the USS Tripoli and the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit entered the region.
Trump also ordered elements of the 82nd Airborne and is considering sending another 10,000 ground troops to the Middle East.
On Monday, White House press secretary Carolyn Levitt told reporters the U.S. was working toward normal operations in the Strait, but didn't list it among core military objectives of targeting Iran's Navy, missiles, defense industry, and its ability to make a nuclear weapon.
The Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking to Al Jazeera, said the current campaign to complete U.S. military objectives will be finished within weeks.
He said then we will be confronted with this issue of the Strait of Hormuz, and it will be up to Iran to decide or a coalition of nations from around the world and the region with the participation of the United States.
We will make sure that it's open one way or the other.
So this is the story for tonight.
Simultaneously, Trump is making the threat that if Iran doesn't open the strait or doesn't make a deal to open the strait, then we're going to obliterate their entire country.
We've already destroyed their navy, military, decapitated the leadership.
Trump says we will finish the job by effectively destroying their economy.
And this is what Israel wants as well.
This is echoed by the Israeli press.
This is in the Times of Israel.
Israel says before the war ends, we're shifting to our final phase.
We're halfway done.
And we're now going to focus on economic targets, which is oil, which is everything else.
And Israel is eager to do this because they sense that maybe a deal is within reach.
And this is the messaging that's going out on TrueSocial.
This is the messaging that's going out in the Journal, the Post, the Times.
This is the messaging on the one hand.
They have to open up the Strait.
And Trump has insisted on this, by the way, for weeks.
They have to open up the Strait.
Apparently, this is now the only victory condition because regime changes out and destruction of the missile program is out and securing enriched uranium is out.
So on the one hand, the only condition remaining to succeed for a deal, for surrender, is this.
Simultaneously, we're also getting all this talk that we're going to leave regardless.
And this is coming from White House aides, but it's also coming from the Secretary of State.
And it's coming from the White House press office.
Rubio says this is with Al Jazeera, which is a Qatari outlet, the Alphani royal family.
Rubio says to them, well, we're going to leave and then we'll deal with the Strait of Hormuz later.
We're going to fight this over the next few weeks until we achieve our military objectives.
And then the Straits, well, that's for another day.
He seemed to echo the Wall Street Journal report and says we will resolve that diplomatically with every other country at some other time.
Now, what are we to make of all this?
Because there's so much being said.
And they're talking out of both sides of their mouth.
On the one hand, you get reporting from the Pentagon that says, we're going to seize Karg Island.
We're going to invade the coastline.
We're going to invade the islands in the strait with the help probably of the United Arab Emirates.
And they say, Iran has a 10-day deadline, and we're going to destroy all their infrastructure.
And we're going to bomb everything.
And we don't care what the consequences are.
We already did it in the southern Pars gas field and we already did it on Karg Island.
But then simultaneously, you get this messaging that says Iran has already agreed to every point.
We're going to meet in Islamabad.
We've already made a deal.
And they keep going and they say, actually, we don't even care if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
We'll just deal with that later.
We've bombed them and now we're just going to come back on a later day.
So what are we to make of all these different conflicting reports?
Well, I would say about the Strait of Hormuz, there's something you need to understand about the economic pain that is being applied by Iran.
And that is that the sharing of economic pain is not even.
It's not even chronologically, and it's not even even economically either.
The pain that results from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz will be felt first by some countries and later by other countries.
And why is that?
It has to do with the final destination of the energy products.
The oil and natural gas that comes from the Persian Gulf mostly goes to Asia.
The oil from Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, the Emirates, Saudi Arabia, all of that oil, for the most part, is exported to India, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Malaysia, the Philippines.
This is where the oil actually goes first.
So if that oil is not going out from the strait, there's a couple of things that are happening.
And the first thing that is happening is that these countries are not going to get their shipment of oil.
That is what happens first.
The actual oil in the barrels that's pumped out of Iran and Saudi Arabia, it just stops showing up to India.
And that actually hasn't started happening yet because there's a timed delay.
The oil that left the strait before the war is still out at sea and is still arriving in ports.
They're still getting it.
They're still getting their jet fuel and diesel and their petrol.
They're still getting all those products.
They're still getting it and they're still able to have energy.
But it's on a timed delay.
And once all those shipments are completed, there's going to be a gap in the oil import from the Persian Gulf.
This is why the prices are going up.
And that's a secondary effect.
Because of course, what are these countries going to do?
Well, they still need energy.
They still need fossil fuels.
So they're just going to buy it from somewhere else.
They'll buy it from another supplier.
And this is why the prices go up, because the supply is constrained while demand remains the same.
So if there is the same demand, but there's a smaller supply, then the price goes up.
And that's why it affects us.
But we still are getting oil.
We still are getting oil from Canada.
And we're still getting oil from other sources.
And so we're only hit by the price shock.
We're actually not affected necessarily in the same way by the supply crunch.
And so when Trump says we'll leave the Strait of Hormuz closed, first and foremost, that's a problem for Asia because they're not going to get their oil.
And if they want it, they're going to have to pay Iran $2 million a pop, which they don't want to do.
It's prohibitively expensive.
Secondly, it's going to hit Europe because Europe is dependent on Qatar and the United States for liquefied natural gas.
Europe got a lot of their energy from Russia before the Ukraine war started.
It was pumped in from Cold War era, Soviet-era pipelines through Ukraine and then through the Nordic Sea.
And that is where they were getting their energy mix.
It was a lot of natural gas from Russia.
Obviously, the United States blew up that pipeline.
And to replace the natural gas they were getting from Russia, which is not easily replaced, they started to get natural gas from the United States and from Qatar.
Qatar supplies 20% all by itself of the world's liquefied natural gas.
You stop that from coming out, and the price of natural gas for Europe goes through the roof.
This is a big problem for them.
Again, it's a problem for Asia first.
It's a problem for Europe second.
And only at the very end of the process is it a problem for the United States.
And only because of the price shock, only because energy becomes more expensive.
But we're not necessarily going to run out of energy.
It is Europe that will have to ration its energy resources.
It is Asia which will have to ration their energy resources.
It will be bad globally for the whole economy, but this is like everything else.
If you understand Trump's MO, this is a game of chicken.
It's no different than Trump bombing Iran's energy.
He is daring Iran to retaliate against the Persian Gulf or the Gulf Cooperation Council nations because he's effectively saying, you should really see if we need the Persian Gulf oil as badly as you need it.
He's trying to call their bluff.
Go ahead, bomb Saudi Arabia.
We don't care.
You need your oil more than we need their oil.
Now, that may or may not be true.
It would be detrimental.
But Trump is trying to convince Iran that if we make a decisive strike on their energy infrastructure, in the long run, they're going to miss it more.
Yes, it will be bad for us, but our regime will survive.
Can Iran survive without its military, without the Ayatollah, and without their energy infrastructure?
Surely they will impose a severe cost, but maybe not as high as the cost we impose on them in the long run.
And in exactly the same way, Trump is now doing the same to our allies in Asia and Europe.
Because recall, two weeks ago, Trump pled with Europe and with the G4 countries and the other allies in the Pacific and begged them to assist the United States in opening up the strait, begged them to provide their naval resources, begged them to send their troops to die in this war.
And every single country refused.
Australia, South Korea, Japan, Italy, Germany, Poland, every country refused to help.
And then Trump said, well, fine, you know what?
Fine.
We'll solve it.
We don't even need you guys.
Now, a week and a half later, the messaging is, well, maybe we'll leave the war and we'll let all of our so-called allies, they can figure it out because they need it more than we do.
So what's the purpose of that messaging?
In this case, that messaging isn't for us.
And certainly that messaging is not for Iran.
It's mixed messaging for different audiences.
The message for Iran is you have a deadline.
If you don't do what we say, we might wipe you off the map.
And you should be confident that we're serious.
We know what you're capable of, and we know that you will retaliate against the Gulf, but see if we care.
If we destroy your energy infrastructure, then you're not going to have a regime in six months.
It'll just be easier for us to come back.
That's what Trump is communicating to Iran with the ultimatum yesterday.
But what he is communicating to Asia and Europe is you better help us.
You better hope that we succeed because if we don't, and if you don't help us, we're going to leave without solving this problem that we happen to create, but you're going to be left picking up the pieces.
And Trump is trying to convince these other countries in the same way that he's trying to convince Iran, you need the Strait of Hormuz open more than we do.
Okay, fine.
You don't want to help?
Then we'll leave.
You need that energy far more than we do because you actually import it.
It'll get more expensive for us.
We'll absorb the energy shock.
We have reserves.
We have other suppliers.
It's you that's going to be out of luck first.
So try and figure that one out.
And there's something pathetic and desperate about this because you realize this is a person that has no credibility.
Does he think this is going to work?
Does anybody?
No, this is the strategy.
I'm not saying I think this is a good idea.
I'm not saying I endorse this.
I'm saying this is the intentionality behind it.
I saw a clip the other week.
I was explaining Trump's planning on Carg Island and people said, Fuentes is flip-flopping.
Now he supports it.
I'm simply laying out the thought process.
I'm laying out what the planners are thinking in the same way here.
So is this going to work?
Well, does Iran really believe that the United States is willing to let the Gulf countries be destroyed?
Because that's surely what would happen.
We go in and we bomb Carg Island, as we promised to do, and desalination, and we bomb their electrical grid.
Well, like I said, first and foremost, that is going to cause oil to go even higher, which Trump has done everything in his power to prevent by lying to the press, lying to the markets, changing his operation, changing the playbook depending upon when the markets open and close, opening up the strategic reserves, 261 million barrels of oil were released.
So does Trump's threat track with how he's approached that problem?
Absolutely not.
When Israel bombed Iran's energy, Trump disavowed.
When Israel went and bombed the southern Pars gas field, Trump said they made a mistake and they'll never do it again.
So do the Iranians really believe?
Does Trump believe they believe that Trump is going to go in, bomb everything at all, but then even more, and then allow Iran to rain missiles on Dubai, Doha, Abu Dhabi, Riyadh, destroy Saudi Aramco, destroy Qatari's LNG, destroy desalination?
Of course, of course that is unacceptable for the United States.
And on some level, he has to know that they know it's a bluff because it's simply unacceptable.
Like I said, if we were willing to sacrifice Iran's energy, why would we release the sanctions on the Iranian energy that's already out to sea?
Why would we let Iran continue to transit oil through the Strait of Hormuz?
We wouldn't.
Why would we be reassuring the markets every weekend?
Why would we carefully avoid bombing the oil on Karg Island?
Why would we reprimand Israel for bombing the gas field?
We wouldn't.
And moreover, as far as Japan and India and South Korea and Europe are concerned, once again, it's a bluff.
When Trump says we're going to walk away without opening up the strait, it's a possibility we might do that or might be forced to do that.
But does he really believe that these other countries believe that we're going to give up?
And how does that make any sense?
We're going to go to war with Iran and then we're going to let them take control of the strait.
And they went from controlling 4% of the global energy supply to 20% because now they're charging a toll in the Strait of Hormuz.
They actually expanded their territory in our war of aggression.
Does Trump think that these other countries think we're going to do that?
And by the way, that is going to destroy our economy too.
And we might be more acutely affected than other countries because it is our economy which is totally reliant on artificial intelligence, which is totally dependent on cheap and abundant energy.
We actually need more energy than we have, and we have less energy than we started out with.
So what happens when oil gets to $200 a barrel?
Well, all of a sudden, all that compute that we have running and all these data centers, which is driving commercial real estate, which is driving the SP 500, which is driving NVIDIA and its valuation, all of that is going to collapse.
And what happens when that real estate stops being built?
And what happens when those chips stop being purchased?
And what happens when all of a sudden, OpenAI and Gemini, and all these other companies that borrowed so much money, what happens when they are no longer profitable or there's no expectation of profitability?
Well, we're going to have problems too.
Just because we're not getting the oil from Saudi Arabia doesn't mean this is going to be a walk in the park for us either.
And so it comes down to credibility.
The Trump playbook is the maximalist demand, the ultimatum, the deadline.
We have all the cards.
You don't have the cards.
We're going to dictate the terms.
We're the United States.
Every single time.
And then Trump always chickens out.
And you see it every single time.
It happened with Greenland.
We have to have Greenland.
We're going to take it.
And then NATO put troops there, made some threats, and he totally backed down.
We got nothing.
And Trump did it with China in the trade war.
On Liberation Day, when Trump announced the tariffs, he said, if China puts retaliatory tariffs on our goods, that we're going to raise the tariff to 100%.
And China did.
And then we raised it to 200% and China reciprocated.
And then Washington was begging Beijing to come to the table and make a deal, begging them.
Well, they were telling the media that China was asking us for relief, which they weren't.
He did it with Russia.
He told Putin, you have 30 days, you have two weeks, you have 10 days.
And then when Putin didn't meet the deadline, Trump said, never mind, we're having productive talks and we're just going to cut them some slack.
We're just going to give them a break anyway.
Literally every single time with Russia, with China, with Greenland, with all of these countries, this is a person with no credibility.
This is what eroding deterrence really looks like.
And fundamentally, it's about overexpansion.
The United States is still unquestionably a first-tier great power.
China is not on our level.
Russia is not on our level.
But we are no longer a hyperpower.
We are no longer a global hegemon.
We cannot pressure Russia to do what we want them to do.
We can't pressure China.
And increasingly, we can't even pressure these middle powers effectively, North Korea, Iran.
We've really done as much as we can do to them.
Maximum pressure sanctions.
But if they have a nuclear arsenal, a strategic weapon in the case of North Korea, or if they have a conventional arsenal of strategic weapons like Iran, there is little in the way of military action that we can even do.
So this is overestimating our capability.
This is overextension.
We're writing checks that we can't cash.
It doesn't mean that we're not a powerful nation.
It doesn't mean we don't have leverage.
It doesn't mean that that leverage is not powerful to persuade or leverage other countries to do what we want them to do.
But what we're seeing in Ukraine and Iran is the true limits of U.S. force projection.
We can't retake Crimea and the Donbass.
We can't prevent Iran from closing the Strait of Hormuz.
We can't achieve regime change.
We just simply can't.
And so promising to do all these things and then not being able to do them, every time that happens, it erodes deterrence.
It erodes U.S. credibility.
And increasingly, people are starting to look at America as a paper tiger that cannot really and truly follow through on its threats.
That is not that superpower that took down Saddam Hussein with shock and awe, that was able to push other countries around like it did in the 10 years after the Cold War.
And this is being undone, ironically, by Trump.
It was the Democrats that had a doctrine of smart power, using our power in a restrained way, in a tactical way for limited objectives, using it to achieve diplomacy when possible.
It is under the Trump doctrine, overestimating and overextending our capabilities that now people are starting to see the true limits.
And we're able to get away with a lot less.
So the question is, does anybody really believe this?
When Trump says, we're going to destroy all your stuff, we're going to let them keep the Strait of Hormuz, the answer is clearly no.
I don't think anybody believes this.
And what it shows is that Trump is truly stuck in this conflict.
You think about if plan A was we pound Iran as hard as we can and we hope that they topple or if they don't, that they don't close the Strait of Hormuz.
Well, then what exactly was Plan B?
What was the alternative?
Because it seems like the alternative is now we're going to try to rush a small force to the Persian Gulf.
We're going to bluff and we're going to make up a bunch of stuff.
We're going to start sounding crazy and make all these demands again that everybody knows we have no ability to follow through on.
And then in the end, we're going to try an extremely risky operation to try to salvage this.
We're going to escalate it, put more Americans in harm's way.
We're going to risk a real strategic humiliation, a real tactical defeat, in order to resign without looking like a complete embarrassment.
It seems like that's the plan B.
And it's like we discussed last week.
While all of this is going on, the Marines, the first group, has arrived in the Persian Gulf, and the paratroopers are arriving in the Persian Gulf this week.
And another aircraft carrier is arriving.
In the meantime, Trump is saying simultaneously, while he's making threats, threatening to walk away without opening the strait, he is telling the media that we have made a deal with Iran.
And this is how you know that what is coming is a military operation.
Because he is simply saying things that are not true.
He is telling the press that Iran has accepted the 15-point plan, which they have outright rejected.
And they've actually rejected negotiating altogether because of the plan.
They've said unless the United States walks back some of these ridiculous demands, we can't even sit with you.
We won't even talk to you.
And Trump is not only saying that negotiations are underway, he's saying that they're pleading for negotiations and that they've already agreed.
So that's not true.
At the same time, he's extending his own deadline over and over.
Well, if he was really looking for an exit, if he was really bored with the fighting, interested in other priorities, if he was really going to walk away without opening the strait, why wouldn't he have walked away yesterday?
If the deadline was on Friday, why would he not have walked away this weekend?
Why wait for another week of economic pain?
Why wait another week of an energy crunch?
Why would he wait another week if there's no peace process underway?
If Iran is not becoming more compliant because they're not really under pressure, why not just cut our losses now?
It doesn't make sense because this is what is being telegraphed and signaled by the White House.
They say Trump is bored.
He wants to move on to Cuba.
He wants to do something else.
They're saying he wants the war only to go on for five weeks and not any longer.
He's ready to move on after the Strait of Hormuz.
He's frustrated.
He realizes that we're not going to topple the regime.
Really?
So why did the deadline get extended?
Why did we not call the quits?
And what, we're just going to suffer another week?
Why?
There is no peace process.
We're not talking to the Iranians.
All that it would profit us to extend the war one more week arbitrarily is it's going to make oil cost more and it's going to cost everything cost more in the long run so if something doesn't add up it means that something else is happening behind the scenes and i think it's very clear that the peace talks are a sham And to the extent that you're reading about these things in the media, this is meant to reassure the markets.
And it's also meant to signal to the other allies that maybe they should help.
I think that's been the strategy for the past week and a half.
Even to the extent that Trump says we're going to bomb their oil, that would have the same effect as letting the Strait of Hormuz remain closed.
If Trump says he's going to bomb Iran's energy sector, that ultimately has a worse effect than leaving the Strait of Hormuz in the hands of Tehran, at least for Asia, and then secondarily for Europe.
So that's just as much of a threat against Tehran as it is for all those other countries.
And that type of messaging has simply not stopped since those countries refused to assist.
Trump recognized he got trapped, called for help from his allies, embarrassingly.
They rejected him.
And ever since then, Trump has been threatening Iran, but also all of them.
We're going to hurt your long-term energy prices and supply by bombing Iran, letting them bomb the Gulf, and leaving the Strait of Hormuz in their control.
In the meantime, he's been hedging now, or rather, I should say, everything has now become about opening up the strait, open it up or else, only for him today and his State Department and White House to start telegraphing.
Actually, we don't need the straight.
Well, if we don't need the strait, then why are we waiting on them to make a deal to open it?
And if we're willing to bomb Iran's energy, then why haven't we done it yet?
And if we could open up the strait without our allies, then why do we still keep begging them for help?
Well, the answer is it's all a farce.
This is all classic Trump.
He is bluffing against Iran.
He's bluffing against the Gulf.
He's bluffing against Asia and he's bluffing against Europe.
Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Kuwait, Bahrain, they all want Iran to get hit more before we leave.
Trump is telling them, well, if you want to hit Iran more, then why don't you help?
And these Asian and European countries, they want to make a deal.
Trump is telling them, if you want the straight open so badly, then you need to help.
And he's telling Iran, if you don't want us to actually visit destruction upon your country, then you should just cut us a deal.
But he's creating options for himself.
And if none of these come through, or to whatever extent help is contributed, Trump is preparing for a ground incursion in Iran.
And that seems to be the ultimate play.
How are we going to exit without giving Iran the strait, exit without losing our deterrence and our credibility and legitimacy?
It is by winning a decisive battle against Iran, taking hostage something they can't live without, and that's Karg Island, or it's an attempt to reopen the strait through military force.
And I continue to believe that until that happens, it's about as transparent as it can get, which is that they're buying time, leveraging allies as they prepare all the way to retake those islands unilaterally with this Marine force, reinforce it with the paratroopers, and then ground forces from the rest of the infantry.
I think that's the play.
And if it wasn't, you would see Trump act in other ways.
There would be other actions.
You would expect other messaging from the White House.
So I still think that's the way it's headed.
And I have to say, it's not going to go the way you think.
This is a terrible idea.
And earlier, I alluded to this, and this is the last thing I'll say about this operation.
This is a trap by Iran, but it's nested inside of a trap which is laid by Israel.
It's a trap from both countries.
Now you have to go back to these strategic objectives of all the parties involved.
Iran wants survival.
Israel wants regime change.
They are in a fundamental tension.
Israel wants Iran to be destroyed.
Well, Iran wants not to be destroyed.
So Iran has developed strategic weapons.
Their nuclear hedge, their missile arsenal, their drone and missile industry, as well as the proxy network.
Well, these capabilities have now brought the United States into the equation because these capabilities threaten Israel necessarily.
And that doesn't mean that Iran will use them offensively or aggressively, but it does mean every weapon has a deterrent as well as an offensive capability.
You could just as easily say those exist to deter Russia as you can say they exist to destroy Russia, because ultimately deterrence is the threat of destruction.
So because Iran has this stockpile of strategic weapons, ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, drones, nuclear enrichment, as well as the proxies, it necessarily threatens the regional order because it puts the Gulf countries in those concentric circles of the range of those weapons, as well as Israel and U.S. bases.
So this is where we are brought into the equation.
Now, fundamentally, we are brought into this equation because of Israel.
Israel seeks Iran's destruction.
So Iran has to invest all of its resources in these deterrent weapons.
And that is what draws in the United States to counter those weapons, either by destroying them or through diplomacy.
And this has been the triangulation from the beginning.
Now, Israel is seeking Iran's destruction, but those weapons stand in the way.
And those weapons do a very good job at deterring Israel because Israel can never regime change Iran by itself.
Why?
Well, we're seeing why, because Iran is a huge country with 90 million people, four times the size of Iraq, mountains and desert.
They've got a middle class, a big economy, oil-rich.
They've got allies in Russia and China.
Israel, a nation of 9 million people, could never step to Iran.
And they especially can never step to Iran when Iran has them encircled by Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Shiite militias in other countries, and especially, especially not when Iran has 3,000 missiles.
That if it were a war only between Tel Aviv and Tehran, Iran would wipe Israel out with that missile arsenal.
So Israel has to bring in the United States to destroy those weapons, to render Iran defenseless, so that the U.S. and Israel can topple Iran.
But here's the rub.
The United States does not necessarily want to topple Iran.
Again, the only interest for the United States is we cannot tolerate the existence of those weapons.
As long as those missiles exist, we have to assume they're pointed at Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, and Israel.
As long as that enrichment exists, we have to assume they're pursuing a weapon of mass destruction.
And this affects us.
So we are brought in to destroy the weapons, but we're not married to the idea of toppling the government.
So Israel, their trap is to draw us in to a existential total war with Iran with the weapons as the bait.
And this is what they've done.
So for example, last year, when we bombed Iran the first time, what was the pretext?
We bombed Iran in Midnight Hammer because Israel provoked a war with Iran and couldn't finish their attack on Iran's nuclear complex.
Where they're enriching the uranium, it's too far underground for Israel to reach.
They don't have the ordinance to destroy it.
And so you could say that Israel started the job and initiating that hostility meant that Iran would accelerate their race towards a nuclear bomb.
If Israel bombs their nuclear facilities, well, what's Iran going to do?
They're going to speedrun to a nuclear bomb to actualize their deterrent.
But because Israel couldn't finish the job, it forced the United States to intervene.
By starting something Israel couldn't finish, by hitting those weapons, which are use them or lose them, Iran recognized in that moment they would either break out and become a nuclear power, or they would lose deterrence and they would get bombed all the time by Israel and the United States.
And Israel could not prevent them from breaking out after that point.
They triggered a countdown timer, and that meant the United States had to jump in.
Israel can't finish the job, but they initiated the countdown to an Iranian bomb.
It made it urgent.
And so they drew us in with the nuclear program.
We didn't necessarily go in to topple Iran's regime.
We went in to prevent a nuclear breakout.
So we dropped a couple of bombs in Midnight Hammer, and we weren't happy about it.
Trump came out and said, I don't know what the fuck they're doing.
I can't believe it.
Fine, we bombed them once.
Are you happy?
But of course, what did that do?
It started a different timer because once we bombed Iran the first time, Iran expelled all the IAEA inspectors.
They refused to negotiate any further.
And they redoubled their efforts to build missiles.
If they couldn't access the uranium, then they would build 300 to 500 missiles per month.
And so they expanded their missile arsenal, replenished it, and maybe increased it since the war.
So then Netyahoo came to Washington and said, now Iran has missiles.
They're going to use missiles against us.
And if we don't act, they're going to use them against us in the United States.
Famously, Rubio said days after the war started, Israel was planning yet another preemptive attack.
And if they attacked their missiles, they couldn't finish the job.
And those missiles would be used against U.S. positions or the Gulf.
So that's why we had to go in.
Okay, so here we go again to bomb Iran's missiles.
Again, it's their weapons.
We were drawn in first to bomb the nukes, but it sealed our fate.
Then we were brought in to bomb their missiles, just the missiles, and it sealed our fate.
Now we're stuck.
Why?
Because now that we've gone whole hog, like we talked about earlier, this was a killing blow.
This was attempted murder.
We tried to kill everyone in Iran's regime and decapitate their government.
So now they have to make it as miserable as possible so that we don't do it again to deter us in the future.
That's what deterrence is.
It deters future aggression.
We say we shouldn't, we tried and failed.
It didn't work.
And next time we think about trying something like that again, we'll remember how badly it went, how economically it devastated us.
So maybe we'll think twice about another, you know, decapitation, decisive strike on Iran.
That's what Iran has to do.
So now we're stuck.
But we're truly stuck because, like we talked about before, if we leave this conflict, we can only do so on Iran's terms.
That means it's a strategic victory for them.
That means they are emboldened.
Their regime is fortified.
Their people have rallied around it.
And the regime is only just going to get to work preparing for the next war.
So we've only just reset the existing timer.
They're going to build more missiles.
They're going to try to recover the uranium.
And we can't just restart the hostilities because it'll be deja vu all over again.
So we'll have to watch them do it all over again until once again, it's too late.
So there's really no exit ramp.
But this was by design.
Israel wanted us stuck so that the only way out is to devastate their regime.
And so Israel is actually whispering in Trump's ear, and they're telling Trump, you have to invade Karg Island.
You have to take the islands in the Strait of Hormuz.
And the Gulf countries are telling Trump, you have to finish the job.
You have to destroy Iran.
Now, why are they telling Trump to do this?
Because they know that if we invade the islands, a lot of Americans are going to die.
And we may or may not be successful.
And if we're not successful, well, now we're really stuck.
We're stuck now because they're making gas a little bit too expensive.
What happens when we try to invade an island and they kill 100 Americans or 1,000 Americans?
God forbid.
And what if we don't even take the island?
You thought it would be humiliating to leave now.
You thought we lost our deterrent credibility before.
Wait until that happens.
What do you think the options are after this operation fails?
And surely, what else could be the outcome?
If Iran can continue to hit the Persian Gulf and the Gulf Cooperation Council, if they can bomb one of our AWACs in Saudi Arabia with precision, what makes it think they can't hit their own island?
What makes it think they can't hit the islands in the strait?
Of course they could do it.
And how are Marines going to survive?
We won't even send our carriers into the Persian Gulf.
We won't send our destroyers into the Persian Gulf.
The U.S. Navy is 3,000 kilometers away from the Persian Gulf because we know we're going to get hit if we even get close.
So how's a Marine going to land on Karg Island and they're going to be okay?
They're not.
And Israel knows that.
And that's why they're, again, drawing us in step by step.
First it was the nukes.
Then it was the missiles.
Now it's the strait.
Then they'll be avenging those Americans that were killed.
And Iran still is capable of escalating.
What happens after we fail to take the island?
And maybe we just unleash more air power on Iran.
What happens then when the Iraqi militias join the fight?
Has anyone even thought of that?
You know, Iraq is a majority Shiite nation.
So is Bahrain.
So what happened?
And so is, by the way, Saudi Arabia's eastern province where all the oil is.
So what happens when the Houthis close the Red Sea?
What happens when the Houthis bomb Saudi Arabia?
What happens when the Shiites in Saudi's eastern province and Bahrain and Iraq, what happens when they get restive?
What happens when they storm the consulate or embassy in Baghdad and fucking kill everybody?
What happens when an all-out war breaks out between the U.S. position in Erbil and the Shiite militias headquartered in Baghdad or elsewhere in Iraq?
What happens then?
Well, I don't think anyone's even thinking of that.
And so you think this is going to be a two-week war, four-week war, two more months to stop the spread, whatever.
People are saying there's peace talks.
Trump is going to leave without opening the strait.
None of that makes sense.
All of this is pointing towards regime change one way or another.
Either Trump is going to bite the bullet and we're going to try to retreat with honor, in which case we'll be back.
We'll be back.
Israel is going to unload on them in the final, however many hours of the conflict, and they're going to cripple Iran's economy.
Iran's command and control is already defective, and they're just going to sit back while Mossad goes to work and they're going to wait for the civil war in six to nine months.
Or Trump is going to escalate, try to invade one of the islands on the ground.
If it goes well, if it doesn't go well, casualties are going to be high.
It's only going to draw us further in.
And that's the whole point of it.
And it just seems like now there's no way to go.
There's no way out of this other than through this.
People are saying, call your congressman, call your senator and say what?
What are you going to tell them that's going to be more persuasive than APAC's money?
Remember when everybody said APAC isn't a big deal, the dental lobby's more powerful?
Go ahead.
Call your Republican congressman.
Call your Republican congressman, your Republican senator.
Remember, Thomas Massey said every Republican in Congress has an APAC guy?
Maybe that'd be a more productive use of your time.
They say, light up the switchboards.
Call Congress.
Too late.
Too late.
We're stuck.
There's no off-ramp.
They're not going to open up the strait.
We're not going to be able to liberate it.
I don't even see how that's possible.
And as you know, Israel is still hell-bent on getting the regime change they want, and they're going to get it one way or excuse me, one way or the other.
So that's why I say pray for Iran.
Pray for the designs of the Jews to fail.
That's all we could do.
Iran is fighting for the whole world right now.
And don't get me wrong.
I'm not praying for more casualties.
I want that to stop.
I want the United States to be finished.
But Iran right now is fighting for all of humanity.
They really are.
In a way, they're fighting for us.
Because if Iran falls, it means Israel controls the entire Middle East.
And the power that Iran exercises over the strait, over the Red Sea, that's what Israel wants.
That's what Israel's playing for.
They want that power over our government.
They want that power over the Gulf.
They want that power over all the trade, all the commerce, all the supply chains, everything that goes through the Middle East.
They want all of it.
And never forget, they are a nuclear-armed intelligence superpower with a fifth column in the United States, Europe, Russia.
Increasingly, they're spreading their tentacles even into Asia.
If Iran can't shut them down, nobody can.
Trump can't or won't.
The United States can't.
Russia can't.
Europe can't.
It is literally Iran, a country that has turned itself into a fortress for this eventuality.
They're fighting for all of us.
Iran is fighting for all the Goyim.
Make no mistake about it.
If we, the United States, were challenging Israel the way Iran is, they would be murdering us too.
They'd be bombing our schools.
They'd be assassinating our leaders.
They'd be killing our soldiers.
They'd be doing the same thing.
Everyone that stands in their way, they give the Gaza treatment.
Hey, man, as long as we're all behaving, I don't, I'm fine with that.
You know, and I appreciate that.
As long as you get it, that it's a pro-white movement, as long as you're not obnoxious, and we're fine with that.
I mean, I really don't hate black people.
You just, you really get irritated by them niggas, you know.
I went to dinner the other night.
Big mistake, big mistake.
Went to dinner last night with my family.
We went to a steakhouse near the mall.
Big mistake.
You guys pilled on this?
You know what I'm about to say?
I don't know.
Maybe my parents just don't know ball like that.
But we go to one of these fancy steakhouses by the mall and it was James Franco, Planet of the Apes.
I mean, it was the most ridiculous fucking thing you've ever seen.
And I remember texting my parents saying, like, I don't have anything clean.
Is there a dress code?
All I have is like a hoodie to wear.
I said, should I buy a collared shirt?
I said, you know what?
I'll take a chance because they got like a dress code, you know?
Oh, I should have known.
I should have known.
They go in there.
There's no fucking rules.
There's no rules.
There's no decorum.
It's a total free-for-all.
It's a total free-fraw.
You might as well call it Rainforest Cafe.
Capital Grill.
I thought this, this is like Rainforest Cafe.
Except what happened to all the other animals?
What happened to all the other?
What happened to the toucans?
Where's the decorations?
They just left some of the other stuff.
It was the most ridiculous fucking thing.
And normally I avoid.
I just avoid.
I go to places where they are not, but it's like screaming, screaming, talking, talking so loud, so obnoxious, fat, morbidly obese, ass hanging out, tits hanging out, yelling across the room, yelling at the waiter.
Oh, and they probably tip 1% if they're lucky, if they tipped it off, they paid.
This is why we can't have nice things.
And I almost think they deliberately put us there because it was almost like there was a white section and a black section.
It was like the black people were all the way over here and the rest of the restaurant was white people.
And we got the show.
We had a front row seat to what are these new movies called?
What are they called?
Kong Island or whatever.
We got a front row seat to the monster movie.
Holy.
So it's just, that's so uncalled for.
It really is.
Fucking behave.
I don't got a problem with black people for being black.
I have black friends.
It's fine.
Everybody should have a problem with that kind of behavior, that kind of screaming and carrying on.
That's what makes people want to segregate.
Nobody wants to be around that.
You go out for a nice night.
You're at a fancy restaurant.
You're paying a lot of money.
You want everybody to be dressed appropriately, acting appropriately, using inside voices.
Is that too much to ask?
And they wonder why we want to segregate.
Nobody wants to live like that.
Nobody wants to live like that.
How much of a premium would you pay to travel, dine, live, work away from black people?
Because I would pay a 50% premium.
If it was all white people.
And people say, but it's the, but all black people aren't like that.
White people aren't like that too.
Yeah, but we all know that if it's 0% black and 100% white, you're going to get a fuckload less of that nonsense.
Everyone knows that.
And everyone would pay more for that.
Imagine an airport, no blacks.
Imagine a restaurant, no blacks.
Imagine a neighborhood, no blacks.
A liquor store, no blacks.
You wouldn't have to bolt the ATM to the wall.
You wouldn't have to put a glass pane in front of the gas station window.
You wouldn't have to lock up the shampoo and conditioner.
You could actually have nice things.
We could actually live like fucking human beings and not animals.
You wouldn't have to put a metal cage around the liquor store because you're going to drive through the window.
It's so bad.
So bad.
So I got, that was my little treat as a treat.
We had that as a treat the other night.
Little front row seat.
Thought it was a Lincoln Park zoo.
It was insane.
I'm sure the bill was $500.
You pay for that bullshit.
This is so ridiculous.
Anyway, so what was the question?
So that's what I have a problem with.
And everybody's sick of it.
Everybody's sick of it.
Everybody is sick of that behavior.
In the old days, people say, people would want to post this clip and say, get a load of this guy.
seems to be the inevitable endpoint because of nonsense like this sprinkles sent fifty dollars nick is right about everything the only thing he ever lied about is the show's start time if that is the worst it gets i think we can all live with that Ritardmode sent $20.
I just discovered this guy, Jenkweager, the other day.
Do you think he is a Groyper?
He seems rape Vancouver Maswami with Sokruypers sent $20.
You are right about eating box.
If a woman has HPV, you can get cancer from that.
Mr. Spleen sent $30.
Nicholas, your show on Friday was a banger, but Claude was right.
Lincoln Park is good.
God bless.
Unity Not Diversity sent $50.
Brzezinski said US power depends on arbitrating Eurasia.
After this war, with alliances fraying, choke points weaponized, and Russia/slash/China/slash/Iran aligning.
Have you shifted your opinion on why so many Jews are anti-Russia at all?
You have said that Jews aren't opposed to Putin and that he is an ally, but the same Jews pushing the USA into Iran are the exact same ones who pushed the USA to support Ukraine.
I would absolutely force the president of the United States to publicly admit that Israel forced this war and that I was the one who had to sue for peace.
The only way to get through to some people is to rage bait them.
That's the brutal reality.
Sometimes the only way to get people to pay attention to what time it is is a little rage bait.
Got to stir the pot.
She goes, you have it backwards.
Nick Fuentes lies about me all the time.
Like he claims I'm unprofessional because I allegedly have a video podcast where I sit on my couch and drink, quote, red wine in a mug, even though I have no podcast and I don't even drink alcohol.
He makes shit up about me and also attacked me for calling Kent an op, claiming I didn't bring up teal-funded Kent when I clearly did in the clip.
I know Fuentes has been, and blah, blah, blah.
She goes on about this, but the red wine thing was super funny.
I'm just painting a picture, idiot.
She's sitting on her couch with her boyfriend in a fucking zip-up hoodie, chopped Zilla.
It's like she didn't even do her hair or anything.
She didn't even do her makeup.
She's got the I really don't care look going on.
And I said, I imagine she's like holding a mug like this with red wine, talking about the Epstein files.
It's like, wear a dress, idiot.
Like, I don't know.
Wear something presentable.
Can't you look more like Emily Jashinsky?
Can't you put yourself together like Emily Jashinsky does?
Can't you put yourself together like Crystal Ball?
You fucking chophead.
That's all I'm saying.
Sheesh.
I just said, why can't you get dolled up like Crystal Ball?
Crystal Ball's an idiot.
Just get dolled up like her.
You think you're better than that?
You're in show business, sweetheart.
Ditch a Logitech webcam.
Get a producer and put some makeup on.
Put some makeup on.
That's all I'm saying.
Anyway, your take about Joe Kent was even more embarrassing than your look.
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