| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
|
Unleashed Spirit
00:02:18
|
||
| If you do something bad to us, we are going to do things to you that have never been done before. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Don't sit yet, get it like this. | |
| The socialists, globalists, Marxists, communists who are attacking our civilization have no idea of the sleeping giant they have awoken. | ||
| They cannot even begin to imagine the brave and righteous spirit they've unleashed in men and women. | ||
| But they're going to find out the hard way. | ||
| They will find out like never before. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This nation, the It was patriots like you that built this country, and it's patriots like you that are going to save our country. | |
| To all of those who think that they can coerce and subjugate the citizens of this land, hear these words. | ||
| For me tonight, the people of America will not surrender our borders. | ||
| We will not surrender our culture. | ||
| We will not surrender our faith. | ||
| We will not surrender our values. | ||
| We will not surrender our history. | ||
| We will not surrender our liberty. | ||
| And above all, we will not surrender our children. | ||
|
The Respect We Deserve
00:05:23
|
||
|
unidentified
|
We are done with their distorted visions for America. | |
| It's time to start talking about greatness for our country again. | ||
| We want our country to be great again. | ||
| We want our country to be respected. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The time for action has come. | |
| As long as we are led by politicians who will not put America first, then we can be assured that other nations will not treat America with respect, | ||
| the respect that we deserve my | ||
| time the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that | ||
| we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that | ||
| we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect | ||
| that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient the respect that we deserve to be patient and the Gryphers will save the Trump campaign. | ||
| We will give a voice to all of the rightful frustrations that the Trump supporters have, whether they're willing to direct their anger at me or the campaign, and I'll let them know. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We love Trump. | |
| I love Trump. | ||
| We all love Trump. | ||
| And if they don't make the course correction, then it's on them. | ||
| He was saying to me, he's like, this is probably pretty cool for you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm like, yeah, it is. | |
| Trump is melting down at Mar-a-Lago as he watches his polling lead evaporate against Kamala Harris. | ||
| In a time like that, a lot of campaign gurus might throw their old playbook out the window, but not Chris Lasavito. | ||
| A war has been waged in the shadows to take control of his movement and his brand. | ||
| It has been hijacked. | ||
| The attack is free to go. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All Trump patriots now are These are the forgotten men and women of our country. | |
| And they are forgotten. | ||
| But they're not going to be forgotten long. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You've done a hell of a lousy job. | |
| You're fired. | ||
| Get out of here! | ||
| I do this shit for my brothers, we do this shit for each other The courageous fallen! | ||
| The anguished fallen! | ||
| Their lives have meaning because we, the living, refuse to forget them! | ||
| And as we ride to certain death, we trust our successors to do the same for us! | ||
|
Great Day Ahead
00:03:35
|
||
|
unidentified
|
Because my soldiers do not buckle or yield when faced with the cruelty of this world! | |
| My soldiers push forward! | ||
| My soldiers scream out! | ||
| My soldiers RAAAASED! | ||
|
unidentified
|
You can't go back to the past. | |
| That's what people always say, isn't it? | ||
| They say, can we really go back? | ||
| And the answer is, whether you're conservative or liberal, write what you're left with. | ||
| And the answer is no. | ||
| We're never going back. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's gone. | |
| It's gone. | ||
| All of that is gone. | ||
| But I would call myself something like a Christian futurist instead. | ||
| Because Jesus Christ was our past before any of us were born or conceived. | ||
| Jesus Christ is our present now. | ||
| and Jesus Christ is our future after we die on earth. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We want this century to be the most Christian century in the history of planet earth. | |
| We want this century to be the most Christian century in the history of planet earth. | ||
| We love everybody. | ||
| And we want people that can burn really more than anybody. | ||
| But this country can no longer be held hostage by a small minority that doesn't believe in the world. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The mission of our movement is to make this country a Christian country. | |
| The mission is to create a Christian future in our time. | ||
| The only way we're going to do it is not by infiltrating, not by subverting, not by lying, which is what a lot of people do. | ||
| The only way that we're going to make this happen is with the boldness of a real Christian. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's the only way. | |
| We have got to be willing to die for Jesus Christ. | ||
| We have to want it more than they do. | ||
| because there are thousands and millions and tens of millions and hundreds of millions of Christians ready to meet their final destiny. | ||
| Then nothing can stop us and nothing will. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The end of the day is a great day. | |
| The end of the day is a great day. | ||
| It's unstoppable. | ||
| And the reason why is because it's not good to shill for big businesses. | ||
|
Christian Nation Miracle
00:03:16
|
||
|
unidentified
|
It's not good to share your Israel. | |
| It's not. | ||
| It's good. | ||
| It's not. | ||
| It's not. | ||
| This is... | ||
| This is a Christian nation. | ||
| This is a miracle. | ||
| We brainwashed out here, bro. | ||
| Come on, man. | ||
| This is the free man talking. | ||
| This is the free man talking. | ||
|
Activism's Point of No Return
00:04:17
|
||
|
unidentified
|
This is the free man talking. | |
| This is the free man talking. | ||
| They don't know what they are supporting. | ||
| They don't know how bad it has gotten. | ||
| They don't know what is necessary to make the difference. | ||
| They didn't hear us on Twitter. | ||
| They didn't hear us on True Social. | ||
| They just censored the hashtags. | ||
| They didn't hear us when we emailed them. | ||
| And they didn't hear us when the Washington Post and every other news media outlet reported it. | ||
| For that reason, the Gorper War will continue, and we will accelerate and intensify our plans. | ||
| We have to deploy to Michigan, and we have to make it hurt as much as possible. | ||
| If he wants to stop the pain, he must stop the betrayal of America first. | ||
| My own narrative is not one of some sudden looming bolt of lightning out of the blue. | ||
| It was a slow and steady, unrelenting stream of blips and blinks, glimmers and glares, low beams and high beams of light, some of which I did not want to see. | ||
| And then finally, a point of no return reckoning. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Why are you called Mommy Malcolm? | |
| I think it was because I fiercely came out during the Greupel Wars of 2019, when so many of these brave young men were on college campuses challenging the likes of Zio Schill Dan Crenshaw, questioning him about his undying loyalty and, of course, defending Nick Fuentes and so many of the stars of the burgeoning America First movement. | ||
| who through an increasing amount of activism are really going to ensure the future and the success of that movement. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The End | |
| The End | ||
| Sorry to keep you waiting, complicated business. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The End The End The | |
|
Call To American Patriots
00:06:29
|
||
|
unidentified
|
End The End The End The End The End | |
| We will give a voice to all of the rightful frustrations that the Trump supporters have, whether they're willing to direct their anger at me or the campaign, and I'll let them know. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We love Trump. | |
| I love Trump. | ||
| We all love Trump. | ||
| And if they don't make the voice correction, then it's on them. | ||
| Our movement is about replacing a failed and corrupt political establishment with a new government controlled by you, the American people. | ||
| This election will determine whether we're a free nation or whether we have only the illusion of democracy but are in fact controlled by a small handful of global special interests rigging the system and our system is rigged. | ||
| This is reality. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You know it, they know it, I know it, and pretty much the whole world knows it. | |
| This is not the Trump campaign from 2016. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's worse. | |
| I see this stuff, and I have to wonder, why has nobody been fired? | ||
| Isn't that Trump's trademark? | ||
| That if results aren't happening, that people are fired? | ||
| Isn't that the whole trademark? | ||
| Someone needs to be fired. | ||
| It happened back in 2016. | ||
| He went through campaign managers and advisors all the time. | ||
| And it was good. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It kept things fresh. | |
| It kept things competitive. | ||
| It was interesting. | ||
| Fire Chris Lasavita. | ||
| Fire Susie Wiles. | ||
| Get new campaign managers. | ||
| Fix this campaign before it's too late. | ||
| Before we blow it again. | ||
| We want Trump to win. | ||
| We want America first. | ||
| But you are letting us down. | ||
| You're blowing it. | ||
| This is the biggest missed opportunity in history. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You're blowing it for Trump. | |
| You're blowing it for us. | ||
| And we're not going to let it happen. | ||
| You have alienated us. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You have ignored us. | |
| You don't listen to our concerns. | ||
| We have been left behind. | ||
| The Trump movement and the GOP have moved on without us. | ||
| It serves Israel and corporations and immigrants, but it doesn't serve Native Americans. | ||
| What about Native Americans? | ||
| I don't want to hear any more about communism. | ||
| I don't want to hear any more about Vance. | ||
| I don't want to hear about whatever. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And the message is simple. | |
| America first. | ||
| Native Americans. | ||
| America only. | ||
|
unidentified
|
No Israel. | |
| No corporations. | ||
| No foreign influence. | ||
| No foreigners. | ||
| No immigrants. | ||
| None of that. | ||
| Just America. | ||
| America first and Christ the King. | ||
| So this is a call to all Christians, immigration restrictionists, foreign policy non-interventionists, trade protectionists, those in favor of industrial policy, patriots, nativists, nationalists, non-interventionists, traditionalists that are not happy with the state of the Trump campaign, you are being recruited. | ||
| Trump is a peaceful man. | ||
| We're declaring war on the evil Trump campaign. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He needs to be liberated. | |
| We will liberate him. | ||
| We will make him independent from his donors. | ||
| We will make him independent from Silicon Valley. | ||
| We will make him independent from foreign influence. | ||
| Otherwise, and if we don't succeed, there's no hope. | ||
| You're done. | ||
| If we don't succeed, if this doesn't work, there's no hope. | ||
| You either get Kamala, and it's total left-wing oppression, it's total bullshit, BLM nonsense, or if you get Trump, it's gonna be total Zionist corporate domination. | ||
| So if we don't succeed, it's over. | ||
| You need to get involved in this, or honestly, just quit. | ||
| In 2024, we are going to fight the hostile takeover. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's a different battle. | |
| But it's the same war. | ||
| We're going to fight and save Trump from his own people. | ||
| The more that a broken system tells you that you're wrong, the more certain you should be that you must keep pushing ahead. | ||
|
unidentified
|
No. | |
| Because it's the outsiders who change the world and who make a real and lasting difference. | ||
| Nothing worth doing ever came easy. | ||
| Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation. | ||
| The future belongs to the people who follow their heart no matter what the critics say. | ||
| We must always remember that we share one home And one glorious destiny. | ||
| We all bleed the same red blood of patriots. | ||
| We all salute the same great American flag. | ||
| Our best days are yet to come. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I am officially running for president of the United States. | |
|
Make America Great Again
00:05:36
|
||
| We need a leader. | ||
| I will be the greatest jobs president that God ever created. | ||
| It can be wonderful if you have smart people, but we have people that are stupid. | ||
| The American dream is dead. | ||
| But if I get elected president, I will bring it back. | ||
| Bigger and better and stronger than ever before. | ||
| The American dream. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| We will make America great again. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| We will make America great again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We want to go. | |
| We want to go. | ||
| America great again. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| America great again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But as soon as people start playing games, I stop. | |
| I stop playing games. | ||
| And at any moment, I can just get that yay button. | ||
| Okay. | ||
|
Everything Warming On Everybody
00:04:05
|
||
| I can force them, alright? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Black dog, Scott. Scott. | |
| Everything. | ||
| Warming on everybody. | ||
| I just endorse them, alright? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Black dog is not a person. | |
| Everything. | ||
| Warming on everybody who dared to evolve. | ||
| Warming on everybody who dared to evolve. | ||
| Warming on everybody who dared to evolve. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| And then nowadays I am so upset. | ||
| That the things we did and the things we fought for and the boys that died for us, it's all gone down the drain. | ||
| Our country's gone to hell in a handbasket. | ||
| We haven't got the country we had when I was raised. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Not at all. | |
| Nobody will have the fun I have. | ||
| Nobody will have the opportunity I have. | ||
|
America Ripped Apart
00:02:47
|
||
| It's just not the same. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Jesus is the way and the life and the King of Israel. | |
| We just lead with love. | ||
| We're really at a crossroads here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Look around you. | |
| It's drag queens in schools. | ||
| It's 18-year-olds joining OnlyFans. | ||
| It's the filth on TikTok. | ||
| It's this country not having a border. | ||
| It's the idea that our kids and we, this generation, are never going to own anything. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Think about it. | |
| Never making an income to support a family. | ||
| Never being able to have a family. | ||
| People being corrupted before they're even a teenager by things on their phone. | ||
| Sick addiction to technology. | ||
| The future is so bleak, but that has changed the calculation. | ||
|
unidentified
|
God is using me. | |
| He's breaking me down, removing all of the, you know, richest person, all of this, so I can serve him. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I think they've been extremely unfair to you. | |
| Who is they, though? | ||
| You can't tell who they is, can they? | ||
| There is no future if we do nothing now. | ||
| There is nothing to lose. | ||
| of what they have are foolish. | ||
| It's all going, it's all going away. | ||
| This country is being ripped apart and raped and looted. | ||
| We're being slowly poisoned and in some cases quickly murdered and assassinated. | ||
| And we're killing ourselves every day, inadvertently, with the kinds of things that we eat and breathe and drink and see. | ||
| People have got to start to radically begin to obey their conscience. | ||
| Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo. | ||
| It's going to be only America first. | ||
| America first. | ||
| The American people will come first once again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
With respect, the respect that we deserve. | |
| From this day to always, it's going to be only America First. | ||
|
America First Stream Begins
00:02:25
|
||
|
unidentified
|
America first America first America first | |
| Thank you. | ||
| Good evening, everybody. | ||
| You are watching America First. | ||
| My name is Nicholas J. Fuentes. | ||
| We have a huge stream for you tonight. | ||
| Today's the big day. | ||
| Election Day 2024. | ||
| It is November 5th. | ||
| It is a quarter to five o'clock Central Time and we are getting started here on this absolutely historic stream. | ||
| We're going to be here all night and potentially all day tomorrow covering live the results of the presidential election. | ||
| Donald Trump for the third time versus the Vice President Kamala Harris. | ||
|
50-50 Swing States
00:15:17
|
||
| It is a coin toss election. | ||
| 50-50 in the polling. | ||
| 50-50 in every swing state. | ||
| 50-50 in the averages. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Everywhere. | |
| Nate Silver's betting odds. | ||
| And so tonight, really, anything could happen. | ||
| By the end of this week, it could be four years of Kamala Harris in a landslide. | ||
| Could be four years of Donald Trump in a landslide. | ||
| It could be a tie. | ||
| It could be down to thousands or tens of thousands of votes in a handful of states. | ||
| And we're going to know very shortly. | ||
| In 20 minutes, we get our first results out of Kentucky and Indiana where they have a split time zone. | ||
| So at 5 o'clock Central, in just about 15 minutes, we're going to go live with our first ever results. | ||
| And it's going to give us a taste. | ||
| Okay, it's not going to be conclusive, but it's going to give us our first taste of what is to come. | ||
| It's going to point some arrows for us about what the turnout looks like, and we'll have a pretty good idea of which models are going to be correct about the outcome of this election. | ||
| But of course, we'll be here all night and it'll be down to the wire. | ||
| Or it could not be down to the wire at all. | ||
| Maybe it'll be a complete blowout. | ||
| But we'll be here for it. | ||
| So welcome to the stream, everybody. | ||
| If you're just tuning in, remember to follow this channel here on Rumble. | ||
| Like the stream, leave a comment, all that stuff. | ||
| I have to say, I'm pretty excited. | ||
| I've been very not excited, unexcited for the past... | ||
| I've been very blackpilled about this day and about what is going to come next. | ||
| But I have to say, whatever the outcome, history will be made tonight. | ||
| And it's very exciting. | ||
| So we're going to keep it upbeat. | ||
| We're going to keep it positive. | ||
| There's going to be pros and cons, whatever the outcome, honestly. | ||
| I've told you I do not plan on voting, and I did not vote in this election. | ||
| I personally would prefer that Donald Trump win for a few reasons. | ||
| On a personal level, I want to see him triumph. | ||
| I'd like to see him in front of the podium for the next four years instead of Kamala. | ||
| I would like to see a right-wing nation, even if it's only slightly right-wing nation. | ||
| But for political reasons, I sat this one out. | ||
| I think that this is going to fall far short of what it could have been. | ||
| And I think we have to have a mind not just towards the next four years or the next two years, but really for the next eight years, 16 years, the next 40, 100 years. | ||
| And I think that although for personal reasons I'd prefer to see Trump win and on some level I think Trump would administer the country in a better way. | ||
| I think the country will be better under Trump. | ||
| I think that for our particular movement, for the America First nationalist movement, a Trump victory might create more complications and more challenges for us than if he lost. | ||
| Either way... | ||
| Trump did not really do enough for me this time to earn my vote, and I'm a big believer that that is how we have to approach every election and every candidate. | ||
| We have to look at it in a selfish and self-interested way. | ||
| We have to take our own side. | ||
| We have to get used to asking, as every other voter does, what's in it for us? | ||
| And as Christians, nationalists, white people, I just didn't see it this time. | ||
| Regardless, it looks like, based on early indicators, based on anecdotes, we could be looking tonight at a Trump landslide, a Trump blowout. | ||
| We're getting early reports out of Georgia and Wisconsin that these states could be a lock. | ||
| Early reports from my sources in Georgia say he's already won there, which is massive. | ||
| I'm hearing word from Wisconsin, huge Trump turnout in Milwaukee. | ||
| I'm even hearing reports from blue states like California, Illinois, New York, that lines for voting are wrapped around the block. | ||
| And same day election day voting does favor the Republicans. | ||
| So for the past couple of weeks, for months, and even the information we have right now, it says that the race is supposed to be close. | ||
| The data that's available, the polling, says it's a coin toss 50-50. | ||
| The modeling by some of the best pollsters and analysts, or I should say, maybe they're not the best, but they're considered the best. | ||
| People like Nate Silver, they say that out of 40,000 simulations, Trump wins about 20,000. | ||
| Kamala wins 20,000 herself. | ||
| But based on all of the early voting data, which has been collected over the past month, and based on some of the signs that we've seen this morning and afternoon, people are saying Trump will not only win, he will run the table, win every swing state, including Pennsylvania, win every swing state, including Pennsylvania, including Wisconsin, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, and maybe even win a state that nobody considers in play like this. | ||
| like Virginia, Minnesota, New Hampshire. | ||
| I think that's a little far-fetched, but it is possible based on some of the early signs we are seeing now. | ||
| So I'm excited. | ||
| Welcome to the stream. | ||
| I'm glad to be here. | ||
| This may be the biggest stream I've ever done. | ||
| And I have to say before we get into it, just a huge thank you to Chris Pavlovsky at Rumble. | ||
| Got to give a shout out. | ||
| Got to give an 07 to Chris Pavlovsky. | ||
| You know, it's been kind of a long journey for me. | ||
| It's been a long story. | ||
| This is the second presidential election that I have covered. | ||
| Last one didn't go so well. | ||
| 2020, we did the election stream. | ||
| It was huge, but they stole it. | ||
| By the end of the election stream, the election was stolen. | ||
| One thing led to another. | ||
| I wound up at the Capitol on January 6th. | ||
| I was ignominiously banned from everything. | ||
| I was censored on all live streaming, all social media. | ||
| I was censored from boarding an airplane for a year. | ||
| Censored from making money or having a bank account. | ||
| It's pretty extreme. | ||
| But in the last year and a half, we have been graciously hosted here on Rumble where they protect free speech and they really mean it. | ||
| I know Chris has made a lot of sacrifices to make it so. | ||
| It's not easy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They're under a lot of pressure. | |
| But we are now able to bring the show back, have a massive live stream, cover these results in an honest, independent way, thanks to Chris and the people at Rumble and the investors. | ||
| So this is not a sponsored post, by the way, but just a big thank you to them. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Because it's good to be here. | |
| It's good to be back after a few years in the wilderness, after all the drama last time. | ||
| So with that, I want to get, and by the way, we have a lot of, it's going to be a fun stream. | ||
| We have a lot of decorations. | ||
| As you can see, we are excited. | ||
| We have, you know, the flag and everything. | ||
| We've got some cool graphics. | ||
| We're going to be monitoring the electoral college vote here. | ||
| This is your official, this is the best, most professional election headquarters desk. | ||
| I'm going to be joined by some guests later tonight, including Vince James. | ||
| He'll be joining me in about 40 minutes. | ||
| We'll bring on Vince James, the Red Elephants, and he'll join us briefly and we'll bring him back later tonight. | ||
| Also, I'm announcing now for the first time, just came together today, we're going to be having a debate tonight. | ||
| It's been a minute since I've defended the title, but tonight I am going head-to-head with Andrew Tate at about 7.30 p.m. | ||
| Central Time, so in roughly three hours, a little under three hours. | ||
| I'll be going head-to-head, live, face-to-face, in a no-holds-barred, bare-knuckle brawl, rhetorically, with Andrew Tate. | ||
| We're going to be debating Trump. | ||
| Andrew Tate is a big Trump supporter. | ||
| On some level, I do support Trump, but I'm not encouraging people to vote for him this time. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It'll be friendly. | |
| I love Tate. | ||
| I love Tristan and Andrew Tate. | ||
| They're great guys, and we see it a little bit differently. | ||
| So we're going to have a friendly debate in a few hours here tonight. | ||
| It's going to be very exciting, and we might have some more guests joining us as well throughout the stream. | ||
| So stay tuned. | ||
| It's going to be a lot of excitement, a lot of surprises. | ||
| We're going to be looking at Twitter. | ||
| We're going to be looking at the betting odds. | ||
| We're going to be watching the New York Times needle, our favorite needle. | ||
| You remember the infamous New York Times needle? | ||
| They're literally writing articles about it. | ||
| We'll get into that. | ||
| It's kind of funny. | ||
| We're going to be filling out our map on 270 to win. | ||
| And we're going to be looking at super chats, all that kind of stuff, watching the live chat. | ||
| So don't go anywhere. | ||
| Get comfortable. | ||
| Get your snacks together. | ||
| I have my prime here. | ||
| We're in the thick of it, bitch. | ||
| We got the prime. | ||
| We got the monster. | ||
| AF hat stays on. | ||
| MAGA hat might be coming back on, reluctantly. | ||
| So stay tuned. | ||
| It's going to be a fun night. | ||
| A lot of interesting stuff. | ||
| Historic night. | ||
| Outcome is going to change the country forever. | ||
| Remember, this is the most important election of our lifetimes. | ||
| I know we said it the last time and the time before that and the time before that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But this is real. | |
| This is the most important election of our lifetimes. | ||
| This election will determine whether we're going to have taxes on gay marriages. | ||
| This election will determine when women are allowed to kill their children in the womb. | ||
| Will it be a week, two weeks, three weeks? | ||
| It's going to come down to the days and weeks. | ||
| This election will determine are we going to go to war with Russia on behalf of Ukraine? | ||
| Or will we go to war with Russia on behalf of Israel? | ||
| This stuff really matters, you guys. | ||
| Are we going to get 100 million Mexicans jumping the border fence? | ||
| Are we going to get 100 million Indians that are imported through the schools? | ||
| This is serious stuff, you guys. | ||
| Mexicans or Indians? | ||
| Israel or Ukraine? | ||
| Gay marriage with taxes? | ||
| Gay marriage without taxes? | ||
| I don't know about you, but I stand shoulder to shoulder with rappers, Indians, Little Tech, Israel, and gay people that just want to be left to hell alone. | ||
| No, that's sarcastic, of course. | ||
| I stand with the Groypers and John Pork in this election. | ||
| That's who I'm with. | ||
| But anyway, enough about that. | ||
| We had a huge stream last night. | ||
| I talked all about my vote and the election. | ||
| We'll be talking about it throughout the night. | ||
| But I want to transition real quick. | ||
| And we're just going to set the stage for you. | ||
| We're going to get set up here, show you our map right now. | ||
| So this is what we're going to be looking at all night tonight. | ||
| This is the New York Times election results. | ||
| Like I said, we're five minutes away from the first results. | ||
| We're going to have Kentucky and Indiana coming in in about five minutes at five o'clock central. | ||
| That is when polls close over there and we're going to get our first reports. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And... | |
| It's not going to tell us a ton, but it will give us some idea about what modeling is correct about how this thing is going to play out. | ||
| It's going to tell us about turnout. | ||
| It's going to tell us, you know, maybe some things about men and women voting. | ||
| We're going to see how many people overall are going to vote, what election day turnout looks like. | ||
| We're going to get some early indicators. | ||
| So we'll be watching all night tonight. | ||
| How this plays out on this map. | ||
| This is 270 to win. | ||
| We have a blank map here. | ||
| We're going to be filling it out over the course of the night. | ||
| And I guess, you know, real quickly, why don't we just fill it out? | ||
| And I just want to give you a few scenarios here. | ||
| So we'll fill this out real quickly, kind of like what we know. | ||
| So we know Washington's going to go to the Democrats, Oregon Democrat, California Democrat. | ||
| Idaho doesn't get reported until late. | ||
| That's going Republican. | ||
| Montana, Wyoming, Utah. | ||
| Colorado used to be purple, effectively now blue. | ||
| North, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, as you know, all red. | ||
| Iowa, you know, we're going to leave it blank just because there was an outlier poll from Seltzer that came out a few days ago, had everybody panicked. | ||
| Iowa used to be considered the bellwether state, or one of the major bellwether states. | ||
| It used to be a swing state. | ||
| Ever since 2016, it has effectively not been a swing state. | ||
| We're going to leave a blank just because of that outlier poll. | ||
| Missouri, same story actually as Iowa, same with Indiana. | ||
| Used to be swing states, now red in the era of Trump. | ||
| Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Deep South, all going red. | ||
| Kentucky, Tennessee, whoops. | ||
| West Virginia, Appalachia, this is all red. | ||
| Ohio, same story as Indiana, Iowa, Missouri. | ||
| New York, you know, is going blue. | ||
| Vermont, blue. | ||
| Massachusetts, blue. | ||
| Connecticut, Rhode Island. | ||
| You know, all that. | ||
| New England is blue. | ||
| New Jersey, in spite of what people said, I think is blue. | ||
| Delaware, Maryland, blue. | ||
| Florida, seems like it's already red. | ||
| Early voting says Miami might go red, as it did in the midterms of 2022. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Alaska, red. | |
| Hawaii, blue. | ||
| Minnesota, you know, we're going to leave some of these blank. | ||
| This is, roughly speaking, D.C. Blue. | ||
| And we're going to say Maine. | ||
| We're going to say probably goes statewide for Democrats. | ||
| First District Democrats, Second District Republicans. | ||
|
Census Map Looks Heavily Decided
00:15:22
|
||
| Okay, so this is roughly speaking. | ||
| Oh, and South Carolina red. | ||
| This is roughly speaking your map. | ||
| We're being very conservative here. | ||
| This is basically what we can expect. | ||
| This is probably how the table is set. | ||
| Oh, and Illinois, of course, goes blue. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Whoops. | |
| This is roughly how the table is set two minutes before our first results without making any assumptions. | ||
| Republicans, 214. | ||
| Democrats, 193. | ||
| I want to go through a few scenarios here for you. | ||
| We're going to make some assumptions based on how this is going to play out, some safe assumptions. | ||
| And we're going to give you some scenarios, show you how the night is going to play out, what the math looks like. | ||
| Now, if this election plays out similar to 2016 and 2020, we can make some assumptions about this map. | ||
| Iowa's gonna go red. | ||
| Minnesota's gonna go blue. | ||
| New Hampshire, or I'm sorry, New Mexico's gonna go blue. | ||
| Virginia, although people say is in play, most likely gonna go blue. | ||
| New Hampshire probably blue based on what the polling suggests. | ||
| And this is really, if we're being extremely conservative, this is what the likely map looks like. | ||
| You have seven swing states, Nevada and Arizona in the west. | ||
| You have in the Sun Belt on the east coast, Georgia and North Carolina. | ||
| And then in the Rust Belt, you've got Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania. | ||
| This is our map. | ||
| All swing states. | ||
| And by the way, every one of these swing states is rated as a toss-up. | ||
| So if you go on the New York Times, if you go to the Washington Post, if you go to Real Clear Politics, every single one of these states is rated as a toss-up, meaning that it does not lean one way or the other. | ||
| It doesn't lean red, it doesn't lean blue. | ||
| The polling on average does favor one or the other candidate. | ||
| For example, Wisconsin and Michigan on average favor Kamala by less than a percentage point. | ||
| Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. | ||
| On average, Trump is leading there by about one or less than one percent. | ||
| But they're all rated as toss-ups by various pollsters. | ||
| If we're looking at the lean, however... | ||
| According to how the polling averages out, like I said, you've got Trump winning Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Kamala winning Michigan and Wisconsin. | ||
| This is, if there are no toss-ups, no toss-ups and we just look purely at the polling average, this is what our map looks like. | ||
| Republicans 288, Democrats 250. | ||
| It's a Trump victory. | ||
| And this is certainly one scenario. | ||
| You've got four states that lean very heavily, Trump, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. | ||
| And that leaves you in a scenario where Trump must win all four of those. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Those are all four. | |
| They're rated for Trump very heavily. | ||
| I should say more than the other swing states. | ||
| And it comes down to the Rust Belt. | ||
| Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania. | ||
| Trump's got to pull one of those. | ||
| He won all three in 2016. | ||
| He lost all three by a whisker in 2020, according to the fraudulent results. | ||
| And as you can see, without one of them, but winning all the rest of the swing states, it brings them just shy of 270. | ||
| Trump's at 269. | ||
| So again, Trump is favored in four out of the seven, more heavily than the others. | ||
| He's got to win all of those, and it really doesn't even matter if he wins Nevada, to be honest with you. | ||
| And then he's got to pull at least Pennsylvania, which puts him over the top, Michigan, which puts him over the top, or Wisconsin, which puts him at 279. | ||
| But he's got to run the table when Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada's not really must win. | ||
| And then he's got to pull one of the three. | ||
| So I'll give you a few scenarios here tonight. | ||
| That is the scenario where Trump wins. | ||
| That's the floor. | ||
| That's the minimum. | ||
| He's got to win Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and at least one. | ||
| He's got to win Pennsylvania. | ||
| He's got to win Wisconsin. | ||
| He's got to win Michigan. | ||
| He can, of course, win all three or two, but he's got to win at least one. | ||
| That's the pathway to victory for Trump. | ||
| But I'll give you some scenarios. | ||
| Obviously, the worst case scenario, Kamala wins all of them. | ||
| And this is what her ceiling looks like, I think. | ||
| 318 to 220. | ||
| She expands on Joe Biden's lead in 2020. | ||
| And she picks up North Carolina. | ||
| I think that's extremely unlikely. | ||
| You have another scenario where Trump wins Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina. | ||
| Comes up short. | ||
| Isn't able to pull it off in Pennsylvania. | ||
| Republicans have struggled there in statewide races recently. | ||
| Same in Wisconsin. | ||
| Doesn't pull it out there. | ||
| Michigan seems like, you know, I don't even know how he won that in 2016. | ||
| He could come just shy. | ||
| And I should actually say Nebraska's second is going to go blue. | ||
| It's a liberal district. | ||
| It gives Republicans 268, Democrats 270. | ||
| This is what the map looks like in the heartbreaking scenario. | ||
| He loses it by two Electoral College votes. | ||
| And I want to talk a little bit about this scenario in particular. | ||
| You know, I've actually heard some people talk about this. | ||
| As it turns out, so the way that the Electoral College works, like Congress, is that every 10 years the United States conducts a census. | ||
| They count everybody in the country. | ||
| I think a lot of people actually don't even know about this. | ||
| The significance of the census, why we count... | ||
| It's because, of course, the Electoral College and congressional representation in the House of Representatives is determined based on the population size of the state. | ||
| The bigger the population of the state, the more electors it has in the Electoral College, the more congressmen represent that state. | ||
| And so every 10 years, they conduct the census, and based on the results of the census, they then apportion and distribute the The Electoral College votes and the representation in the House. | ||
| Now, I've heard some people say this week, including people like Ben Shapiro, that in 2020, this was an extremely contested matter. | ||
| In the 2020 census, Trump tried to get the census to ask people whether they are a citizen of the United States or not. | ||
| And the reason that Trump fought to include that question in the census is he thought that if the people taking the census asked a citizenship question, it would discourage illegal immigrants from participating in the census. | ||
| And if they didn't participate, they wouldn't be counted. | ||
| And if they weren't counted, then states with a lot of illegal immigrants like California— Among others, would have smaller populations and then have fewer electors and fewer representatives. | ||
| But Trump's effort to force the citizenship question was struck down. | ||
| And so the citizenship question was not asked. | ||
| As a result, illegal immigrants did participate in the census. | ||
| And that means they were counted as part of the population. | ||
| And that means that California probably has a couple more electors in the Electoral College than it should have because illegals were counted and When they shouldn't because they cannot vote because they are not citizens. | ||
| And yet they're getting representation in the presidential race as well as in the House of Representatives. | ||
| And the way that it shakes out is that the census probably skewed the Electoral College and the House by about nine votes or nine seats. | ||
| Now they say that if this is the map... | ||
| And this is based on a faulty census. | ||
| There's an argument that could be made that you could take it to the Supreme Court and you can say the census included illegals. | ||
| As a result, it was flawed and we apportioned the electors in the wrong way. | ||
| That had an effect on the outcome of the election. | ||
| And you could potentially remedy this map and erase two electors from California and give two to a state like North Carolina or some other state and give Trump the victory. | ||
| Some people have said this, that if it's this close, if it's this map in particular, you can do some judge judicial magic and you could change the outcome. | ||
| I've heard that said. | ||
| I think that is complete nonsense. | ||
| It is 100% true that the census was flawed. | ||
| It's 100% true that because the census was flawed, the Electoral College is skewed by nine. | ||
| The House of Representatives is skewed by nine. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's all true. | |
| But we learned something in the 2020 election, which is this. | ||
| When votes are counted, they are never uncounted. | ||
| That's an ironclad law that was demonstrated in 2020. | ||
| What does that mean? | ||
| It means that we have a constitutional system in this country. | ||
| It is based on representation. | ||
| Representation is determined by elections, which is a democratic process. | ||
| The people go out and they cast their votes. | ||
| We count the votes. | ||
| We observe this constitutional process. | ||
| It determines the next government. | ||
| It determines who is seated, who rules. | ||
| What we learned in 2020 is that, be that as it may, we have had election fraud. | ||
| We have had obvious signs that the elections are not legitimate. | ||
| Regardless of the merits of the contest against the results of the election, nobody is willing to reverse the expressed will of the people. | ||
| People vote. | ||
| The vote is counted. | ||
| A winner is declared. | ||
| No judge, federal judge, Supreme Court judge, no legislative body, not a state legislative body, not the federal legislative body or its members. | ||
| None of them are willing, not the president, not the Department of Justice. | ||
| Nobody in government has the political will or the courage or the wherewithal to challenge elections. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right. | |
| So that's why I say once the votes are counted, no judge is going to come in and say, well, we're scrapping the election. | ||
| The votes are now uncounted. | ||
| No state legislature will call a special session, throw out the result, and send their own slate of electors. | ||
| No representative in Congress or the Senate is going to refuse to... | ||
| Cast the electoral college votes on January 6th, which is a constitutional date. | ||
| No governor, no attorney general is going to intercede. | ||
| It won't happen. | ||
| So you can come up with any kind of challenge, whether it was the type of challenge in 2020 where you say the election was rigged because of mail-in ballots or irregularities. | ||
| You can say the census was rigged. | ||
| The media was rigged. | ||
| It does not matter. | ||
| Okay, this is something you need to understand. | ||
| The votes come in today, the cutoff is tonight, and then it's over. | ||
| Then they count them, they count them, they get the total, and then that's it. | ||
| There is no real battle over certification. | ||
| There is no real battle over whether you send the electors. | ||
| There's no real battle over whether they read the Electoral College votes. | ||
| There's no battle in the courts. | ||
| With few exceptions, I mean, unless there is something really, really remarkable, and we're talking black swan, you know, we can't rule that out necessarily, but no census challenge, no, it's not going to overturn it, okay? | ||
| I just want to make that super clear because I've heard that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wishful thinking. | |
| And I remember, I was there in 2020 when the election was stolen. | ||
| I watched it in real time. | ||
| I watched it when they opened up the boxes again at 3 a.m. | ||
| and they started the count. | ||
| And I can assure you... | ||
| I was there for every deadline, every procedural deadline, certification, choosing the electors, all of it. | ||
| Nobody was willing, no matter how conservative, how Republican, with Republicans in power, in the White House, in the state, it didn't matter. | ||
| They get counted and that's it. | ||
| So whatever the outcome is, it's final. | ||
| Republicans may contest it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It won't matter. | |
| They're going to shut us right down. | ||
| It'll be interesting to see, however, if Trump loses and they contest it with Musk and many of the oligarchs. | ||
| It'll be interesting to see what that looks like, but I'm very bearish on prospect that it would change anything. | ||
| But so this is maybe Trump's floor. | ||
| I think that realistically speaking, back to the map. | ||
| If this is the map, it's not going to change. | ||
| But I think this is probably Trump's floor. | ||
| If Trump has a good night, he's going to win Pennsylvania. | ||
| He's going to win Michigan. | ||
| He's going to win Wisconsin. | ||
| This is your realistic, if I were hedging and I were conservative, I would say this is Trump's ceiling. | ||
| Trump expands on his landslide victory from 2016. | ||
| He adds Nevada. | ||
| This was the 2016 map. | ||
| This may be Trump's best case scenario tonight. | ||
| He wins Nevada, gets 312. | ||
| Some people are saying, however, that the turnout is so good, it's so strong. | ||
| Some people are saying Trump may win one state that we don't even consider contested. | ||
| A state like Minnesota. | ||
| Trump lost Minnesota by 1%. | ||
| Less than 1% in 2016. | ||
| Nearly won it by... | ||
| The skin of his teeth. | ||
| Some are saying maybe it's Minnesota. | ||
| Trump gets 322, which would be unbelievable. | ||
| I don't remember the last time a Republican won Minnesota. | ||
| I think it was 72. | ||
| Famously, Minnesota was the only state that Reagan did not win in 1984, lost to Walter Mondale, otherwise won every state other than D.C. territory, or whatever you call it, a federal district, and Minnesota. | ||
| Some people are saying he could win in New Hampshire. | ||
| He lost by a very slim margin in 2016. | ||
| I actually worked on the campaign in New Hampshire in 2016, and sources that I knew on the campaign say we won in 2016. | ||
|
New Hampshire Upset?
00:15:24
|
||
| It was stolen. | ||
| We had it under control in the south in Manchester, but in the north, I guess they weren't watching closely enough. | ||
| Some say he could pull it out of New Hampshire, and we might have an upset there. | ||
| Some say Virginia could be an upset. | ||
| Of course, you have a Republican governor there in Virginia. | ||
| He's a very different candidate, obviously, from Trump. | ||
| But he was able to pull it out based on backlash against the educational system because of critical race theory and DEI, things like that. | ||
| Some are saying Trump could pull out an upset, although I think that's highly unlikely. | ||
| Trump has lost Virginia by like 10 points each time. | ||
| It hasn't been close in the polling. | ||
| So, you know, there are some people that are saying it's going to be such a big blowout, we could see Minnesota, we could see New Hampshire, we could see Virginia, you know, and it's fun to imagine the best case scenario. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Who knows? | |
| I mean, I suppose it's possible. | ||
| It's extremely unlikely. | ||
| You know, but that's one way that it could go down. | ||
| I think, though, that this is probably your best case scenario, 312. | ||
| And based on what we're seeing so far, I think this is likely. | ||
| This is our map. | ||
| I want to shift over, though, and take a look at New York Times. | ||
| We do have some votes in already. | ||
| So this is our New York Times voting tracker. | ||
| We'll take a look here. | ||
| We've got some results from Indiana. | ||
| 1% of the votes in, it's Trump. | ||
| 71%, Kamala 28%. | ||
| And then we have some results from Kentucky with 2% reporting. | ||
| We have Trump with 65%, Kamala with 34%. | ||
| Obviously, super early still. | ||
| We're going to get some more results at 6 p.m. | ||
| in about 45 minutes out of Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia, and Vermont. | ||
| So we're going to be... | ||
| Paying close attention, but so far, nothing crazy. | ||
| We'll take a look also at the betting odds. | ||
| This is my favorite betting odds site. | ||
| Maybe you guys haven't seen this one. | ||
| I know everybody uses Polymarket, Predict It, Kalshi. | ||
| This is election betting odds by Maxim Lott and John Stossel, and they take their odds from all of the different betting sites. | ||
| They take them from Betfair, SmartKets, Predicted, Polymarket, Calci. | ||
| So I prefer it because I think that some of the betting sites skew. | ||
| They're a little unreliable. | ||
| Polymarket's been way favorable to Trump more so than anybody. | ||
| I'm told that's because there was a $30 million bet made in France in favor of Trump. | ||
| And they've been a wild outlier compared to all the other betting sites. | ||
| So this site takes them all out as an average. | ||
| Right now it has Trump, the favorite, with 58%. | ||
| This is probability, not percentage. | ||
| And Kamala with, rounding up, 42%. | ||
| Trump is up 2% in the last day compared to this time yesterday. | ||
| In the last four hours, Trump is down 1% and Kamala is up 1%. | ||
| So you could say that based on the available information – again, before we really have any states that have formally announced their totals – Based on the early signs, people think that Kamala is actually more likely to win now than they did at the beginning of the day. | ||
| So we'll also be watching the betting odds, and we'll see how that adjusts over the course of the night. | ||
| But I want to take a look at Twitter. | ||
| We'll see what people are seeing on Twitter. | ||
| And then in about 10 minutes, I'm going to bring in Vince James. | ||
| We haven't heard from him in a minute, but we're going to bring him on. | ||
| We're going to have, like I said, him and maybe some other guests. | ||
| He'll pop on for about a half hour. | ||
| We'll see what he's thinking about this, but we'll take a look at Twitter. | ||
| We'll see what the poll says. | ||
| This is Aiden Ross, Aiden Ross alt account. | ||
| My dear friend, he says... | ||
| I have my personal reasons such as crypto, but for America's sake, these are his reasons for voting Trump. | ||
| One, fixing our borders from illegals coming in, committing crime, taking opportunities away from Americans. | ||
| Two, Americans busting their ass, working nine to five to provide for their families, tax breaks for them, policies like no tax on tips goes a long way. | ||
| Three, no new wars. | ||
| Biden still hasn't done anything about Israel. | ||
| Palestine, Trump wants to end that and also find a solution for Russia. | ||
| Ukraine, those are some reasons. | ||
| If you'd like to do more, do your own research. | ||
| It's a pretty solid take, actually. | ||
| And I imagine this is probably what most Republican voters would say. | ||
| Sort of interesting. | ||
| You know, Aiden Ross, he is a young guy. | ||
| He's 22. | ||
| Jewish. | ||
| Super popular live streamer. | ||
| As goes Aiden Ross, so goes the nation. | ||
| I think this is a pretty common sentiment. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| AF Post reporting. | ||
| Pennsylvania exit poll shows white voter turnout has increased by 2%. | ||
| Black voter turnout has fallen 2%. | ||
| Obviously bodes well for Trump. | ||
| Trump is slightly favored among white people and decisively not favored by the black people. | ||
| So that's so far good for him. | ||
| We have an edit here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is Chris Burnett. | |
| Let's see. | ||
| Can you hear this? | ||
|
unidentified
|
My sole and exclusive mission is to go to work for our country. | |
| To go to work for you. | ||
| It's time to deliver a victory for the American people. | ||
| We don't win anymore, but we are going to start winning again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm not just MAGA. I'm God. | |
| Gothic MAGA. From mountain to mountain. | ||
| From ocean to ocean. | ||
| Hear these words. | ||
| You will never be ignored again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And yes, together, we will make America America | |
| is a nation of believers, dreamers, and strivers. | ||
| We will bring back our jobs. | ||
| We will bring back our borders. | ||
| We will bring back our wealth. | ||
| And we will bring back our dreams. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| God bless you. | ||
| and God bless America. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's pretty sick. | |
| I'm not going to lie. | ||
| You know, I've been super critical of Trump over the past year, a few years. | ||
| The memes are pretty awesome. | ||
| I'm not going to, look, I tell it like it is. | ||
| I have my feelings about it. | ||
| I have my thoughts about it. | ||
| The memes are fucking awesome. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Elon is awesome. | |
| Like, and I'm, again, I'm skeptical of Elon as a guy. | ||
| He's the richest guy in the world. | ||
| He runs a couple of companies that are federal contractors, SpaceX, Starlink. | ||
| You know, so he is an interested party. | ||
| He is an immigrant. | ||
| He's in favor of legal immigration. | ||
| Okay, so let's get the gay stuff out of the way. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But he is aura. | |
| When he went up at the rally, he was like, that was awesome. | ||
| I love that. | ||
| He's like one of the top 20 Diablo players in America. | ||
| He's launching rocket ships. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He loves robots. | |
| He's white. | ||
| He's six feet tall. | ||
| He's legitimately autistic. | ||
| It's hard not to love him. | ||
| I do love Elon. | ||
| I'm skeptical of him. | ||
| I'm critical of him. | ||
| I do love him, though. | ||
| Like, the idea of Trump—we cannot lie. | ||
| I refuse to lie on the show. | ||
| Trump and Elon together is fucking awesome. | ||
| Dark Gothic MAGA is awesome. | ||
| Rocket ships are awesome. | ||
| I just wish—I just so wish that what we were getting was as awesome as the rhetoric. | ||
| That's the—that's my issue, you know? | ||
| The memes are awesome. | ||
| I love it for the meme. | ||
| I wish it was really as awesome as the meme because, I mean, damn, it is awesome. | ||
| Song choice, little gay. | ||
| I don't love the 80s stuff. | ||
| But these, I mean, the edits are sweet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You know, this is sick. | |
| Rocket ships going up. | ||
| The RNC speech. | ||
| Dreamers, believers, strivers. | ||
| I gotta see the yell one more time. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Dark Maga. | |
| As you can see, I'm not just Maga, I'm Dark Maga. | ||
| One more time, not the whole thing. | ||
| An exclusive mission is to go to work for our country, to go to work for you. | ||
| It's time to deliver a victory for the American people. | ||
| We don't win anymore, but we are going to start winning again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm not just Mago. | |
| Yes! | ||
| I'm God. | ||
| God like Mago. | ||
| From mountain to mountain. | ||
| From ocean to ocean. | ||
| Hear these words. | ||
| You will never be ignored again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And yes, together, we will make America great again. | |
| Dude, honestly, America will start winning again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Honestly, it's just like, it's like Romans, dude. | |
| No, it's like real saluting, not Romans. | ||
| We gotta just, you know, we just have to salute the king. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is Donald Trump's house, brother. | |
| This is awesome. | ||
| It's awesome. | ||
| It's awesome. | ||
| You can't, it's awesome. | ||
| I will always give you my love. | ||
| So awesome. | ||
| America is a nation of believers, dreamers, and strivers. | ||
| We will bring back our jobs. | ||
| We will bring back our borders. | ||
| We will bring back our wealth. | ||
| And we will bring back our dreams. | ||
| Thank you, God bless you, and God bless America. | ||
| Man, that's just awesome. | ||
| You know, so here's what I'm going to say. | ||
| Here's what I'm going to say. | ||
| And I want, okay, so the voting is over. | ||
| The voting is basically done, okay? | ||
| I mean, well, not really. | ||
| I mean, for the next seven hours, people are going to be voting. | ||
| But it is election day. | ||
| You know, most people kind of made up their mind. | ||
| I think Trump is probably going to win. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know, though. | |
| I think it's, we really have no idea. | ||
| I think it's likely he'll win. | ||
| We're gonna give ourselves permission to enjoy the Trump victory, okay? | ||
| Even though, look, if Trump wins in a landslide, we are gonna fucking rage tonight. | ||
| I don't care. | ||
| We could deal with the fallout tomorrow. | ||
| Trump wins, we're gonna fucking rage, okay? | ||
| If Kamala wins, I will be gloating. | ||
| If Trump wins, I don't give a shit. | ||
| We're gonna fucking rage, okay? | ||
| And we're going to enjoy the victory. | ||
| You know, because Trump is an unstoppable force, I would never stand in the way. | ||
| Then tomorrow we can get to work on, we're going to have to fight the administration. | ||
| I mean, the administration is going to be filled with little tech. | ||
| It's going to be filled with Zionists. | ||
| Shabbos Kestenbaum is going to be the minister of, you know, anti-Semitism. | ||
| It's going to be a little bit hellish and nightmarish and blackpilling. | ||
| We can blackpill about it tomorrow. | ||
| I don't give a shit what the outcome is tonight. | ||
| We're going to go hard. | ||
| The MAGA hat is going to come back on, and then it's going to come back off, and, you know, we're going to put this hat back on, okay? | ||
| So I'm just saying, I'm warning you, nobody better say, oh, we are going to enjoy... | ||
| For what it is, okay? | ||
| Because it's just, it's too strong. | ||
| The meme energy is too strong. | ||
| Keck has willed it. | ||
| Keck is back. | ||
| If it's a Trump landslide, we are going to have to enjoy it. | ||
| And then we could blackpill about it tomorrow. | ||
| Then we could blackpill about, you know, he's a Zionist and all that other shit. | ||
| We're going to allow ourselves to enjoy it. | ||
| I'm going to give us permission to enjoy, you know, but then tomorrow we got to deal with the fallout, which is war with Iran, everything like that. | ||
| This is just too, it's too delicious. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| What else? | ||
| What else do we have on the timeline? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go! | |
| Our first result is in! | ||
| Election headquarters 2024. | ||
| The Associated Press has called it for Thomas Massey. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's go! | |
| W. Iran. | ||
| W. Hezbo... | ||
| I mean, Patriots. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Our first call. | |
| Our first call of the 2024 election. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Are you ready? | |
| Representative Thomas Massey has won. | ||
| Associated Press has called it. | ||
| For the number one anti-Semite, anti-Israel congressman. | ||
| Representative Massey, let's go. | ||
|
unidentified
|
W is in the chat. | |
| W is in the chat. | ||
| Thomas Massey is back. | ||
| He never left. | ||
| Let's fucking... | ||
| You love to see it. | ||
| That's a Patriot victory. | ||
|
Aipac's Statewide Defeat
00:02:21
|
||
|
unidentified
|
That's an America first victory. | |
| So sorry, as a fan's tree. | ||
| Running with a crazy crowd. | ||
| Beautiful. | ||
| I'm climbing, going higher. | ||
| Wait, this is my favorite part. | ||
| part is my favorite part very good very huge you You know, AIPAC put in millions of dollars in negative ads. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Get this. | |
| Can you hear me, by the way? | ||
| Can you hear me okay? | ||
| Not only did AIPAC put in all this money in ads, but they put them statewide. | ||
| Thomas Massey, of course, is a congressman, meaning he represents one district. | ||
| AIPAC put in millions of dollars in the entire state to get Thomas Massey ousted. | ||
| And they lost. | ||
| Absolute defeat of AIPAC. Total America First victory. | ||
| So it's a W for Thomas Massey. | ||
| Huge victory for America First. | ||
| You know, he might be the future. | ||
| He's a libertarian, but he might be the future because he's one of the only America First guys in Congress. | ||
| Just one moment. | ||
| It looks like we're getting a call. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Ring, ring. | |
| So I think we have Vince James calling in. | ||
| He's joining us. | ||
| I'm going to bring him in. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's test this out. | |
| Technical ability here is being tested. | ||
| Hey, what's going on, Vince? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Can you hear me? | |
| Oh, here we go. | ||
| Wait, wait. | ||
| I got to unmute my mic. | ||
| All right, this is our first trial run here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go. | |
| Vince, can you hear me? | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right. | |
| Okay. | ||
| Give me one second. | ||
| Let me bring you in here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I think this... | |
|
50-50 Coin Toss Election
00:15:39
|
||
|
unidentified
|
I'm going to have to... | |
| Whoa. | ||
| Let's take a look at this. | ||
| And we'll do like this. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay. | |
| Beautiful. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| All right. | ||
| What's going on, Vince? | ||
| You're on Aiden Ross's stream. | ||
| You figured out the virtual cam and all that stuff. | ||
| So you're just flawless now. | ||
| It's just boom, boom, boom. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, yeah. | |
| Oh, yeah. | ||
| You know, my... | ||
| Figuring it out. | ||
| My powers have doubled since the last time we met, Vince. | ||
| I see that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I see that. | |
| So what's going on? | ||
| So, all right. | ||
| It's the big day. | ||
| Obviously, it all comes down to this. | ||
| 50-50 coin toss election. | ||
| Just right out of the gate. | ||
| What's your call? | ||
| Who wins? | ||
| What's the map? | ||
| What's the path to victory? | ||
| I don't know. | ||
| It's hard. | ||
| This is the longest I've waited in line to vote ever. | ||
| I've never seen lines like this ever. | ||
| I waited an hour in line to vote. | ||
| I remember last time I was on your stream in 2020 and we were live until midnight. | ||
| So I know I'm going to leave and I'm going to come back later tonight after about an hour or so, if you'll have me, of course. | ||
| And maybe we'll be streaming until midnight again. | ||
| And we didn't even find out the results of the election for days. | ||
| So it just depends on how it goes. | ||
| You see all sorts of shenanigans going on in Michigan with the 500,000 extra voters than people and all these voting machines going down. | ||
| I'm seeing a lot of the same videos that we did in 2020. | ||
| I think that it's going to come down to Michigan. | ||
| It's like my gut feeling. | ||
| So you think he's going to lose in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin? | ||
| I don't know. | ||
| I mean, those are coin flips. | ||
| Because you just don't know what's, you know, if... | ||
| I think they're going to try what they did last time, and we're going to see what happens. | ||
| I don't know what your feelings are on this. | ||
| I've watched your streams, and I've watched your stuff on, you know, voting and voting for Trump and all that stuff, but I don't know how you feel about, you know, the election. | ||
| Is it going to be... | ||
| Are they going to try to steal it? | ||
| Like, how that's going to go. | ||
| But I just feel like they're trying the same shit again from the stuff that I'm seeing, the stuff that I'm posting. | ||
| Yeah, I've seen a lot of irregularities too. | ||
| I feel like, though, you get that every year. | ||
| I mean, I did also watch the 16 election. | ||
| I feel like, and don't get me wrong, obviously 2020 was totally exceptional in every way. | ||
| But I feel like every election, there's always stories about, because it's a huge election, 150 million people plus are probably going to vote. | ||
| You get these idiots running these things. | ||
| I mean, it's like, who is maintaining the elections? | ||
| It's like a lot of, like, your usual suspects, so to speak. | ||
| You know, like I saw in Georgia, they plugged in a space heater next to an election management system and fucking blew up the whole machine. | ||
| It's like Fulton County, yeah. | ||
| Yeah, that kind of stuff happens all the time. | ||
| But I agree. | ||
| I think they are going to try and steal it. | ||
| I think that that's what all the early voting is always about. | ||
| But the early voting numbers have been very good for Republicans. | ||
| The proportion of women is down. | ||
| Proportion of Republicans is up. | ||
| You know, so if they were going to do that, I feel like there'd be signs. | ||
| So you think it's going to come down to Michigan, so you think Trump is going to win? | ||
| If you had to make a prediction, I'm putting a loaded gun to your head. | ||
| You're saying, I don't know. | ||
| I don't know either, but I just put a loaded gun in your mouth, and my finger's on the trigger. | ||
| I'm going to fucking shoot you in the face. | ||
| If you don't give me a prediction, you think it's going to be a Trump blowout? | ||
| Trump by one state in the Rust Belt? | ||
| Kamala wins by one state, you know, or she wins the whole Rust Belt or Kamala blowout. | ||
| Out of those four, what do you think is the most likely? | ||
| You know, the reason why my channel blew up in the first place when I was on YouTube was because I correctly predicted the 304 electoral electoral votes for Trump using an autistic system that I created in my head. | ||
| And, you know, that's why the channel blew up. | ||
|
unidentified
|
No one believed me. | |
| They were like, no way, like Hillary is going to win. | ||
| I'll be back here. | ||
| And then I gained like 50,000 subscribers overnight when he won by exactly that amount of electoral votes. | ||
| I used the same system in 2020 and it was just completely off. | ||
| And that's how I knew, like, how is this? | ||
| Something's wrong here. | ||
| So if I were to guess... | ||
| I would say, like I'm just looking at my map here, I would say that he wins by one or two, like he ekes out a couple of states. | ||
| I think that they they replaced by they pushed Biden out because they knew that they couldn't steal enough votes for to close that gap. | ||
| And they put they put Kamala in because, you know, maybe she might be able to close that gap of vote stealing. | ||
| But I don't think it'll be enough. | ||
| I think that's just crazy. | ||
| I've never seen lines like this in my entire life. | ||
| And I've voted in several, several elections for years. | ||
| And I've never seen lines like this. | ||
| Do you think that's Trump turnout? | ||
| I think it is. | ||
| I mean, a lot of people are... | ||
| Well, I mean, I live in Idaho, okay? | ||
| So my presidential vote doesn't really matter. | ||
| And of course, you're going to get an overwhelming conservative turnout. | ||
| But I don't know. | ||
| I think I think people are kind of like fed up. | ||
| I think people are fed up. | ||
| Did you see the white vote increase by 2%? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I did, yeah. | |
| We just saw that on Twitter brought to us by AFPost. | ||
| Yeah, so I did something a while ago and I said that's why Trump needed to pander to white people instead of trying to pander to minorities because a small increase in the white vote is equivalent to a big increase in the minority vote. | ||
| You get a 20% increase in the Hispanic and black vote. | ||
| It's equivalent to a 2% increase in the white vote. | ||
| The numbers aren't completely accurate, but you understand where I'm going with this. | ||
| That's I agree with you. | ||
| I mean, you look at the actual exit polling in those Rust Belt states, and as you know, he's got to win one of the Rust Belt states in combination with the other three, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina. | ||
| In all three of those Rust Belt states, the exit polling shows that whites are more than 80% of the voters in all three, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. | ||
| And I felt the same way. | ||
| I saw that interview. | ||
| I think it was The Atlantic with Susie Wiles. | ||
| And they kind of put the words in her mouth. | ||
| But they said, so you're replacing the Karens with Jamals and Enriquez. | ||
| And she goes, yes, exactly. | ||
| We're replacing. | ||
| And it's like you say. | ||
| Blacks are going to be a smaller share of the vote. | ||
| They're already a minuscule share of the vote. | ||
| And they go 90% for Democrats in every cycle. | ||
| If you even get an historic number of blacks, like 15 or 20 percent, I mean, that sounds crazy, but that would be enormous. | ||
| It does not translate into a victory, especially if in order to pander to them, you are depressing turnout among white conservatives or white rural voters or non-college educated whites or something like that. | ||
| Because that's that's really where the numbers come in. | ||
| So I agree with you. | ||
| I want to ask you, though. | ||
| So did you vote for Trump? | ||
| And if so, I mean, you've seen some of the things I've said. | ||
| What are your thoughts on that whole conversation? | ||
| I did. | ||
| I was saying a lot of the same things that you said. | ||
| You know, on your show that you've been seeing on your show. | ||
| I don't know if you've caught any of the clips or anything like that, but I've been saying a lot of the same. | ||
| Like, I was so mad. | ||
| And then you love him again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And then you hate him again. | |
| And then you love him again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And then you hate him again. | |
| And then he says something based and you're like, fuck yeah. | ||
| And my thing is like, I, if there's a, of course, I get all of it. | ||
| Obviously, my presidential vote doesn't matter here. | ||
| I vote mostly because of the local elections here because some of these things go like 10 votes. | ||
| Some of them can really screw up what we're trying to do here. | ||
| My thing is, if there's a chance, is there a chance that he can do something with immigration? | ||
| Despite what he says, despite what he said, is there a chance that Maybe. | ||
| My biggest thing is the J6ers, though. | ||
| Is there a chance that he would actually pardon them? | ||
| That's something that's super important to me. | ||
| So, I don't know. | ||
| Again, my vote doesn't matter for president anyway. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's true. | |
| We have to free Tristan Sartor. | ||
| Our dear friend T.R. Sartor got caught up. | ||
| He's one of the only J6er groipers that still likes me. | ||
| Everybody's like, oh, you attacked it. | ||
| It's like, okay. | ||
| One of the Groypers, for example, that got arrested, he called in a bomb threat to AFPAC-2. | ||
| And I said, oh, well, F him. | ||
| And they go, you threw your own guy under the bus. | ||
| It's like, okay, well, I think he kind of hit me first. | ||
| But yeah, Tristan Sartor will be going to jail if Trump loses. | ||
| And so this is the most important election of his lifetime. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You could certainly say. | |
| 100%. | ||
| Might not be the most important election of our lifetimes, but certainly it's the most important election of his lifetime. | ||
| And I think those are actually valid reasons. | ||
| For me... | ||
| It was actually a difficult decision. | ||
| I was telling people, even today, I had a temptation to vote for Trump. | ||
| I said it yesterday. | ||
| I'm very ambivalent about it. | ||
| You know, my mind is telling me all the things we know, which is that this administration is going to be plagued with the same personnel problems, that the Israel lobby put their finger on the scale to win it for Trump, and that will have consequences. | ||
| You know, there's a quid pro quo and everything else. | ||
| Yeah, did you hear he might bring in Pompeo again? | ||
| Oh, I think almost certainly he will. | ||
| You know, Shapiro said that. | ||
| Trump volunteered that name on Joe Rogan. | ||
| He looks super weird, by the way. | ||
| Have you seen him lately? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yes. | |
| Yes, I have. | ||
| Yeah, I heard Ben Shapiro say that. | ||
| He's like, I know. | ||
| I'm talking with them. | ||
| I know who they're going to bring in. | ||
| It's like, oh, fuck. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I know. | |
| Well, and Pompeo's a CIA, deep state spook, big Zionist, pushed Trump to move the embassy. | ||
| He's got that Ozempic face because he used to be so fat. | ||
| And I saw a video of him the other day. | ||
| I'm like, who's this little guy? | ||
| Then I heard his voice. | ||
| I'm like, damn, that's him. | ||
| That's crazy. | ||
| But anyway, so I mean, you and I both know that, but... | ||
| But even like today, my heart was telling me like, it's Trump. | ||
| Because, I mean, you and I, we've been a part of this since the beginning. | ||
| We've been on this ride for 10 years. | ||
| We were at Charlottesville. | ||
| We were at J6. We love this guy. | ||
| And I don't want to see, I still do love him, but I just, you know, out of sheer, a sense of powerlessness, I said, somebody's got to speak up. | ||
| And I feel like the only way that we could get any kind of attention on these issues and maybe get a chance to be heard was to say we're not going to vote. | ||
| You know, because I feel like you can bitch and moan all you want, but as long as you're going along singing a song and you're going to dutifully cast your vote, people go, yeah, yeah, whatever. | ||
| Like, you know, because the money talks. | ||
| You and your vote is whatever. | ||
| Adelson's shoveling in $100 million. | ||
| Elon Musk's shoveling in $100-plus million. | ||
| Blackstone's shoveling in $6 million. | ||
| So, you know, I don't know. | ||
| Was it Bill Kristol or Robert Kagan? | ||
| Was it Robert Kagan? | ||
| No, who was it that I just saw something about? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Who was it? | |
| Like the old architect of 9-11. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Who was it? | |
| Someone donated like four or five million bucks or something. | ||
| I think, didn't he fund the... | ||
| Why is his name slipping my mind right now? | ||
| He funded the project for New American Century. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Who's the big donor? | |
| I'm not sure, but it's all of them. | ||
| I mean, even the more left-wing Jewish donors like Bill Ackman are now getting in on this. | ||
| If you look at Open Secrets, it's just like a who's who of Jewish billionaires. | ||
| The top 100 individual donors, most of them are going to Trump. | ||
| They're all billionaires. | ||
| The top 10 are stacked with them, and the top 100 are stacked. | ||
| They're all Jewish billionaires going in for Trump. | ||
| And that just gave me—and people just have to consider— A lot of these guys, like Shapiro, Paul Singer, Bill Ackman, they were all anti-... | ||
| Yeah, there you go. | ||
| Elliott Management, yeah. | ||
| They were all anti-Trump in 16. | ||
| And now they're not only pro... | ||
| Even Sean McGuire, Sequoia, they were not only anti-Trump and pro-Democrat, Now they're like so pro-Trump. | ||
| Shapiro is like, get out and vote! | ||
| Hosting fundraisers. | ||
| Sean McGuire posted this whole thing. | ||
| And I'm looking at these people and I'm thinking, okay, so, you know, we're voting for Trump because we're like, you know, white nationalist, white identitarian, we're American nationalist, we're critical of Israel, etc., Well, if Trump are really those things, Shapiro and Maguire and Ackman and Singer, they'd be running away from him, but they're doing the opposite. | ||
| So, do they not know what Trump is going to do, or do we not know a piece of information? | ||
| And I feel like since Shapiro and them have his ear, because they're giving the money and they're doing the fundraisers, and we don't, I'm thinking we don't know that missing piece of information. | ||
| That's sort of my calculus. | ||
| Sean McGuire at Sequoia did not accidentally give millions of dollars to a white nationalist. | ||
| But you might accidentally vote for somebody who is a Zionist-captured shill. | ||
| That's my calculus. | ||
| But I do agree with you that if there's a chance that we could get in there and shape the Trump administration, I suppose that's a good argument that it might be worth it. | ||
| But what are your thoughts on that? | ||
| You live in a state where it doesn't matter either, though, right? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right. | |
| Yeah. | ||
| I don't know. | ||
| Yeah, they were running from him the first time around. | ||
| It was Paul Singer, Bill Kristol. | ||
| These guys were trying to start another PNAC. And they basically came out and said in this article, I think it was in The Atlantic, that we can't do this now with Trump in office. | ||
| It was like in 2017. | ||
| And they cut all the funding for this revamp or this rebuild of a new project for a new American century, a new FPI or whatever it was called. | ||
| And I think it was either Crystal or Singer that specifically said, we can't do this with Trump in office. | ||
| Our goals will not be fulfilled. | ||
| He'll never do the things that we want to do. | ||
| And, you know, they were really pushing him to bomb Syria and all this. | ||
|
Refugee Resettlement Shutdown
00:00:56
|
||
| And I think he ended up bombing like a vacant airfield. | ||
| And, you know, you saw the MSNBC saying, look at our beautiful weapons. | ||
| Trump became president tonight. | ||
| And that was basically the extent of it. | ||
| So I'm just going off of and maybe I'm wrong. | ||
| I could be wrong. | ||
| I'm wrong about a lot of shit, and I learn shit every day. | ||
| I'm just going off of what I saw in the last administration with him saying all this stuff. | ||
| All of the refugee resettlement offices closed in 2017 with Trump. | ||
| He had the wait in Mexico policy. | ||
| He had this and that. | ||
| But there was a lot of interference, right? | ||
| You had people like Mike Pompeo, and he would bring in people who hated Trump, like Mary Kissel and all these other people that were total rabid anti-Trumpers, and now he looks like he's doing the same thing again. | ||
|
Museum Security Measures
00:15:18
|
||
| So, I don't know. | ||
| But is there a chance? | ||
| There's a chance with him, but there's not a chance with Kamala. | ||
| But there's also a chance that it can go the other way, like you're saying. | ||
| But also, to be fair, Israel is literally doing whatever the fuck they want right now. | ||
| They are doing whatever they want. | ||
| No one's stopping them from doing what they want. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So... | |
| I don't even know if it matters. | ||
| I don't even know if it matters who's there. | ||
| Well, I wouldn't even push back. | ||
| I mean, you know, last year, Netanyahu faced riots over the judicial reform. | ||
| Remember, he passed it. | ||
| For those that don't know, you know, Netanyahu just clawed his way back into power a couple of years ago, built a coalition government after he was ousted. | ||
| And he goes to push this judicial overhaul, VNR. | ||
| Very controversial legislation through the Knesset. | ||
| And the goal was to subordinate the Israeli Supreme Court to the Knesset. | ||
| And this would achieve two things. | ||
| One, Netanyahu could evade prosecution because they were going to investigate him and convict him, and so he could replace judges and basically make those problems go away. | ||
| And two, it would eliminate any opposition to the revisionist agenda. | ||
| Netanyahu wants to expel the Palestinians, so on. | ||
| The Supreme Court has broad latitude there, and they do protect the Palestinians. | ||
| They don't have a constitution, but they do have – I forget the technical details of it, but in the past they have interceded on behalf of the Palestinians. | ||
| And there were riots over this. | ||
| He dismissed the defense minister, Yov Galant, who he just actually fired again today. | ||
| And there were general strikes being threatened. | ||
| They shut down the airports. | ||
| Military said they can't defend themselves. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Catastrophic. | |
| And Biden did not bail him out. | ||
| Biden would not visit him. | ||
| Biden would not let Netanyahu come to the White House. | ||
| Biden gave him no support. | ||
| Was willing to let him get overthrown, which would have been good. | ||
| And I said at the time, it actually would have been better... | ||
| To have Biden in office during that than Trump, because Trump would have bailed him out. | ||
| Now, you look at what's going on right now. | ||
| Now, Yahoo today just dismissed Yov Galant, the defense minister. | ||
| He's talking about dismissing the head of Shin Bet and another, and I think his chief of staff. | ||
| And it's looking like it could be a repeat of that situation. | ||
| The military in Israel wants to bring an end to the fighting. | ||
| The casualties are too high. | ||
| They're not making enough progress. | ||
| Netanyahu wants to keep it going by any cost to, again, evade prosecution. | ||
| He wants to hang on to power. | ||
| In a situation like this, it'd be better if Biden or Harris were president strictly on that issue— Not in general, obviously, but on that issue. | ||
| If Netanyahu was challenged again, you know that Harris would let him get kicked out. | ||
| Trump would bail him out. | ||
| So that's kind of the issue where it's like, I do think it makes a difference. | ||
| The question, though, to your point is, you know... | ||
| into the White House and shape outcomes, at least there's a non-zero chance. | ||
| Whereas if Harris is in, it's a zero chance. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right. | |
| And I guess that's the argument, right? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Same with the J6ers and same with immigration and same with like all the other stuff except for, yeah, this Israel thing is kind of like, I think it's very sus for sure. | ||
| Like, what does all that money buy you? | ||
| Well, it buys you a seat at the table, right? | ||
| All that money that Adelson's given you, all the money that Singer's given you, like, what is that actually paying for? | ||
| I guess it is good, though, that Trump doesn't need to get re-elected. | ||
| So he could just, like, take the money and if, you know, just take the money and just be like, fuck you. | ||
| But I don't know that that's going to happen. | ||
| But yeah, it's just... | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know man. | |
| I could see it both ways, for sure. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Me too. | |
| And me too, honestly. | ||
| And I told people throughout, it's like, if people vote for Trump, I don't really, I don't take it personally. | ||
| I don't hold it against them. | ||
| And I didn't even really discourage people. | ||
| I just said, look, if you want to vote for Trump, knock yourself out. | ||
| This is why I'm not, and I can't tell people to vote for Trump. | ||
| Because honest to God, I do get it. | ||
| And for me, it's a coin toss, you know, like the election, whether I went in or didn't go in. | ||
| Because on the one hand, I so get it. | ||
| I really do. | ||
| Because it's here are the benefits of Trump. | ||
| He is going to shut down illegal immigration. | ||
| It is going to probably shift the GOP to the right, objectively speaking. | ||
| You know, and with regard to foreign wars, I think he's more likely to bring us into It would be extreme, but I think it's possible. | ||
| And there's a scenario, although I think, again, super unlikely, where, you know, maybe just like in the first term, we've slogged it out in the personnel and we get a loyalist like McEntee in charge. | ||
| So I totally understand all that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's just that... | |
| On the other hand, there are some very ominous warnings. | ||
| And like Shapiro going in so hard. | ||
| Sean McGuire going in hard. | ||
| For those that don't know, you've got to know the stuff about finance capitalism. | ||
| Otherwise, you just don't know the score. | ||
| If you don't know Sequoia, if you don't know Andreessen Horowitz, if you don't know the players. | ||
| But that's the problem. | ||
| I said on the show, there's people like us that get it. | ||
| And we can make a decision based on the deep politics and say, I'm going to vote for him anyway. | ||
| We can make it work. | ||
| Or not. | ||
| But then you have all these chuds that go, oh, well, you know, he's going to cut our taxes. | ||
| And it's like, yeah, but he's, you know, not really. | ||
| He's going to cut the corporate tax rate. | ||
| And there's so much more that comes with it. | ||
| Like you said, what do you get for $100 million? | ||
| You think that's for free? | ||
| You think they're doing that for fun? | ||
| Like, they're getting something for it. | ||
| So I'm very concerned about that. | ||
| But, you know, I guess if he does win, it'll be, you know, how hard we fought last time when he was in. | ||
| For the the direction of the administration, it will be a much harder fight this time. | ||
| Yeah, I think with all that money flowing in there, I agree. | ||
| It's going to be hard. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, I agree. | |
| I mean, and, you know, the personnel they're setting up, it's Howard Lutnick, it's Jared Kushner. | ||
| And again, I'm really nervous about Vance. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's the other thing. | |
| For me, when Vance was tapped, that was it for me because, you know, Pence ran interference, as you know, with Nick Ayers and a lot of other people. | ||
| He ran interference against Trump in the White House. | ||
| And Vance is much more energetic. | ||
| He's younger. | ||
| I think he's way smarter. | ||
| I legitimately think he's the bigger threat because his ascendancy is so conspicuous. | ||
| Two years ago, he never held public office. | ||
| A year ago, he got seated as a congressman, as a senator, I should say. | ||
| Now he's going to be the vice president. | ||
| He's a heartbeat away from the presidency. | ||
| God forbid. | ||
| Let's say Trump doesn't play ball. | ||
| I mean, you saw what happened in Butler. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They could kill him. | |
| Because you're right. | ||
| I mean, he's not running for re-election. | ||
| So he could just say, fuck it. | ||
| I'm just going to do whatever. | ||
| But they have that ultimate veto. | ||
| Mossad specializes in assassinations. | ||
| You don't want to think like that, but it could happen. | ||
| And Vance goes from being a VC teal guy to being president. | ||
| And he's like, he's under 40 years old. | ||
| I think he just turned 40 a few months ago. | ||
| And he is in the pocket of the CIA, Peter Thiel, Yarvin, Israel, all of our worst adversaries, our worst nightmare. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Palantir. | |
| Exactly. | ||
| To me, that's the nightmare scenario. | ||
| What do you think about Vance? | ||
| Same. | ||
| I feel the same exact way. | ||
| I think he's more dangerous than Pence, like you said, especially with that Thiel-Palantir connection. | ||
| Alex Karp, he's the CEO of Palantir, and he's on video. | ||
| I've posted this video on Telegram multiple times. | ||
| He said that his Gotham software that they created single-handedly stopped the rise of the far right in Europe. | ||
| That same Gotham software was actually responsible in the creation of the COVID vaccines and the collection of all of the health data of basically everyone in the world. | ||
| Like that, that is who we're dealing with here. | ||
| That's the company. | ||
| And they got their start as their first client up until 2008 was the CIA. | ||
| They were a venture capital. | ||
| They were like, they're the CIA. | ||
| Like if any corporation is the CIA, it's Palantir. | ||
| It's Oracle. | ||
| It's these corporations that are now involved or going to be involved in the coming Trump administration if he wins. | ||
| That to me is scary as fuck. | ||
| And then you add in all the warnings coming from the Q conspiracy theorist about Neuralink and all this stuff, and it's pretty scary stuff, for sure. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It is. | |
| Yeah, well, and I'm terrified about that, because you're right. | ||
| I mean, these guys, like you said, they announced to the world, we shut down the far right. | ||
| And their guy is now the vice president and they think he is the far right. | ||
| And it's like, how do people not see what's going on here? | ||
| He goes out and says, my biggest fear is Christian nationalists coming to power. | ||
| This is Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir. | ||
| His biggest fear is being thrown out of the window by the Christian nationalists. | ||
| We shut down the far right in Europe. | ||
| They built the vaccine. | ||
| And then Palantir is responsible for half of Thiel's net worth. | ||
| Thiel is single-handedly responsible for king-making Vance, gave him the $15 million to run in the Senate race, got him the Trump endorsement, traded a favor to get it. | ||
| Now Vance is a heartbeat away from the presidency. | ||
| This is scary stuff. | ||
| And the rabbit hole on all that goes so deep. | ||
| 99% of people have no idea about any of it. | ||
| And that's the part that freaks me out. | ||
| In-Q-Tel funded the creation of Palantir. | ||
| And In-Q-Tel was specifically a CIA venture capital firm. | ||
| So it's like when you say he's a VC guy, like those are the venture capital firms that you're talking about. | ||
| Exactly. | ||
| Yeah, it's pretty scary stuff. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know, man. | |
| Well, I, you know, again, like, my vote doesn't matter. | ||
| I'm just, like, banking on, I'm black. | ||
| Banking on, I'm rolling for black here. | ||
| We're gonna see what happens. | ||
| We're gonna see what happens. | ||
| You know, you say you might bring us into Iran. | ||
| You know, that's pretty big. | ||
| Like, if we go to war with Iran, that's, like, the end of the world, basically. | ||
| Or the beginning of it. | ||
| And it's pretty serious stuff. | ||
| I'm just going off of what I saw from the last time around. | ||
| A lot of people were worried about that. | ||
| I think the extent was bombing a vacant airfield in Syria and bringing in John Bolton for small people. | ||
| You had a theory on that, which I think was correct. | ||
| Your theory on why he brought in John Bolton. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| But again, there's a lot more players involved this time around with a lot of money that weren't around last time. | ||
| Like I said, it was a fight. | ||
| It was a hard fight last time that we lost trying to steer the direction of the Trump administration. | ||
| It's going to be a harder fight this time now because all those people that ran from him last time around are now joining hands with him. | ||
| And it's like a controlled opposition scenario, right? | ||
| I use the analogy on my show. | ||
| It's sort of like, you know, the right wing is going in the right direction and you sort of envision like walking through a museum and you have to stay on the roped off path. | ||
| You can't go into that room and, you know, they're the security guards, right? | ||
| These people that are buying their way into the Trump administration that control the narrative on the right wing, that control the narrative in the conservative media. | ||
| Those are the security guards in the museum that are keeping you on that roped off path. | ||
| You try to lift up one of those ropes and walk into that room. | ||
| They're like, no, get back in the path. | ||
| They'll kick you out of the museum. | ||
| That's what controlled opposition is. | ||
| They're trying to control the direction that this goes because they see that it could be a threat to them. | ||
| It could be a threat to their existence. | ||
| I think maybe a lot of people now are finally, because of October 7th, putting two and two together and realizing, what is going on here? | ||
| Why is it that every politician from Maloney to Trump to Malay to all these different politicians around the world, why do they have to go to the Western Wall? | ||
| Why do they have to pray on the Western Wall? | ||
| Why do they have to pander to Israel? | ||
| They're like basically a smaller voting, a smaller electorate than the freaking Amish here, than the Mormons, I guess is a better analogy, than the Mormons here in America. | ||
| I think numbers-wise, they are. | ||
| What's going on here? | ||
| And it's because they're the ones with the money. | ||
| They're the ones with the power. | ||
| They're the ones with the control. | ||
| They're the ones who are the security guards in the museum making sure that you stay on that roped-off path. | ||
| Making sure the right wing doesn't go right. | ||
| And we talked earlier about the Hispanic vote and how a small percent increase in the white vote is equivalent to a big percent, a big increase in the minority vote. | ||
| You know, the only way that Republicans are going to ever get that vote, that black vote or the minority vote, is to become the left. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's the only way. | |
| It's to become the left. | ||
| And that's what they're doing slowly. | ||
| And it's just... | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| It's... | ||
| We have our first results. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right, here we go. | |
| Would you like to know? | ||
| All right, let's take a look. | ||
| So we got Kentucky has just been called for Trump and Vermont for Harris. | ||
| No surprises there. | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| We have a, I think, Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina, and Virginia are uncalled. | ||
| So their polls have just closed. | ||
| But they're not called. | ||
| Georgia, too early to call. | ||
| Not too close, but too early to call. | ||
| I've heard that Georgia's a lock. | ||
| Are you hearing anything from on the ground? | ||
| And let me know when you got to go. | ||
| I know you said you got to go around now, but you could stay on for as long as you're available. | ||
| Yeah, like 15 minutes, and I'll be back if you'll have me. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Absolutely. | |
| Yeah, just let me know. | ||
| But so have you heard anything from on the ground? | ||
| Do you have any sources? | ||
| Because I've heard from Georgia. | ||
| I know some people over there on the campaign. | ||
| They say Georgia's a lock. | ||
| And I've heard that early voting, they've won it outright. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Yeah, I'm hearing the same stuff. | ||
| What worries me is the shenanigans going on in Fulton County, but we'll see. | ||
| Yeah, I see Indiana and Kentucky are called for Trump, right? | ||
| And then Vermont for Kamala? | ||
| I'm on NBC. They haven't called Indiana yet, but I believe it. | ||
| Oh, okay, yeah, I'm looking at New York Times. | ||
| Yeah, then he'll get that one. | ||
|
Voting Lines and Turnout
00:15:33
|
||
|
unidentified
|
But you're right. | |
| It is the shenanigans. | ||
| I mean, and what do you think about this? | ||
| I mean, I feel like in 2020, as you know, of course, the election was rigged. | ||
| But I feel like a lot of people either don't really believe that or they're acting like they don't believe it. | ||
| Because, you know, maybe for political reasons, they've completely ceased talking about it. | ||
| You know, they just won't mention it at all. | ||
| Trump and Vance are kind of in some ways even denying that it was rigged at this point in time. | ||
| But, of course, we know that it was. | ||
| That has massive ramifications. | ||
| I think it has everything to do with the early voting. | ||
| That's obviously a huge part of it. | ||
| Popularizing the in-person and absentee voting has made the elections ripe for fraud and ballot harvesting by illegal means. | ||
| And I feel like almost nothing was done, although there were some efforts in Georgia, Arizona, some other states... | ||
| Apart from that, I feel like there was not a systematic effort to address that. | ||
| And in the Trump campaign, there's no election integrity team. | ||
| And I feel like in 2020, we knew it was coming then. | ||
| We knew as early as June 2020 that there would be this red mirage steal, that the results on election night would show a Trump victory. | ||
| But as they counted all the mail-in ballots over the weeks... | ||
| It would appear to be a mirage and Kamala or rather Biden would pull out the victory. | ||
| We knew it back then. | ||
| They did nothing. | ||
| Four years have passed. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We saw it. | |
| We fought it. | ||
| We lost. | ||
| And now they still don't have any kind of rapid response. | ||
| We still don't have poll watchers. | ||
| Do you have any information on that? | ||
| What are your thoughts about the Trump's team to address this or lack thereof? | ||
| No, yeah, I saw the same tweets. | ||
| I forget who it was, that lady who posted about this, who said that they have no ground game, no election integrity ground game whatsoever. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Emerald Robinson, right? | |
| Yeah, Emerald Robinson, right? | ||
| Like, what are they getting for their billions of dollars that they're spending? | ||
| Like, they're getting Chris Lasavita getting paid $27 million, and that's about it. | ||
| Yeah, I mean, they're completely unprepared again this time around. | ||
| They were unprepared for what we heard. | ||
| What we're seeing coming out of Pennsylvania right now, a lot of these videos. | ||
| What we're seeing coming out of Michigan. | ||
| We talk about the red mirage and the same articles are coming out. | ||
| I see one from NBC News. | ||
| What's a red and blue mirage and how election night vote counts make it hard to tell who will win. | ||
| We might not know for weeks again, is basically what they're saying. | ||
| And last time around, and I know we went through all of the data on this when we were on the stream last time in 2020, but the Republicans were winning in mail-in ballots requested and returned in some of these swing states that they said a red mirage was going to happen in. | ||
| So it's complete bullshit. | ||
| Again, I just don't know what's... | ||
| I don't know how many votes they're going to be able to steal. | ||
| I don't know how many votes they're going to be able to steal, but I think that You know, it's going to be close. | ||
| It's going to be close. | ||
| Like, if Trump wins Pennsylvania, we know how a lot of these states are going to shake out. | ||
| Like, there's no way that some of these states are ever going to flip blue. | ||
| But if Trump wins Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Georgia, loses Arizona, it's going to come down to, like, Michigan. | ||
| I don't think that he's going to win Wisconsin. | ||
| I don't think that he's going to win Minnesota. | ||
| He might win Wisconsin, but I don't think so. | ||
| Michigan could be a state that it could come down to. | ||
| Is he going to win Arizona? | ||
| Do you think he's going to win Arizona? | ||
| What have you heard out there? | ||
| I've heard that—I've actually heard that his turnout's really strong in Wisconsin, and I've heard that Arizona's a lock as well. | ||
| And I think that, you know, in terms—obviously, they're all coin toss. | ||
| That's what makes it difficult, because there's seven states—like you say, there's a number of ways it could shake out. | ||
| It could be a Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia map. | ||
| It could be an Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania map. | ||
| You know, there's multiple combinations, but he really needs to win— He needs to win a big combination of those or else there's no chance. | ||
| So it's kind of like an all-or-nothing situation. | ||
| He's going to either walk away with five of those states. | ||
| If he doesn't walk away with five of them, he just loses the election. | ||
| I mean, simply just can't compete. | ||
| There's no pathway. | ||
| I think he's probably more likely to win in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina. | ||
| The thing is, I'm super worried about Pennsylvania. | ||
| They said in 16, I know you watched the same election, they said it was fool's gold. | ||
| They said, Republicans have tried for Pennsylvania every cycle. | ||
| It hasn't gone our way for 30 years. | ||
| And when he pulled it out in 2016, it was by a hair. | ||
| He won Pennsylvania by a hair. | ||
| I don't remember the total, but it was less than a percent. | ||
| It was a small fraction. | ||
| People forget how close it was. | ||
| Yes, he ran the table, but in Pennsylvania and Michigan, it was so slim, it could have easily gone the other way. | ||
| Obviously, in 2020, we lost. | ||
| In 22, John Fetterman won. | ||
| A retard. | ||
| I mean, a literal retard won in Pennsylvania against a pretty good Republican. | ||
| And so when you think about it in those terms, the polling says one thing. | ||
| Your gut says one thing. | ||
| But look, the results of the past two cycles are what they are. | ||
| Republicans have not done well statewide. | ||
| And I think it's a case of in 2016, the goalie just wasn't in the net. | ||
| You know, they kind of left the net unattended and allowed us to score. | ||
| I think they were just skeptical that we weren't going to be able to pull it out. | ||
| And if you remember, Clinton just didn't show up in Pennsylvania. | ||
| She didn't show up in the Rust Belt because they thought it couldn't happen. | ||
| They were playing for a much bigger map. | ||
| And I think what has basically happened is that in 2020 and 24, they caught on. | ||
| So they spent a ton of money in Pennsylvania, a ton of last minute get out the vote. | ||
| The Harris campaign did a huge media blitz. | ||
| They spent tens of millions of dollars in literally the last 48, 72 hours of the campaign. | ||
| I think that they just got wise. | ||
| And I think when the Democrats turn out, they win Pennsylvania, they win Michigan, they win Wisconsin. | ||
| The question is, and you kind of alluded to it, is it too big to rig? | ||
| Is it going to be such a Trump blowout? | ||
| Is his turnout going to be so crazy? | ||
| Has he caught up in the early voting? | ||
| Will there be a massive election day turnout such that we can kind of pull off the same impossible victory that he had in 16? | ||
| That's really the question, because when Democrats are in it, when they're in the game, they win Georgia. | ||
| You know, they won both the Senate seats. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It was too close. | |
| Then they won the runoff. | ||
| They won Georgia in 20. | ||
| Like when all the black people go and vote, it's blue. | ||
| I think the same is true in Michigan and Pennsylvania. | ||
|
unidentified
|
For sure. | |
| We didn't lose there—or rather, we didn't win there in 22 either. | ||
| So I'm really just concerned about the Rust Belt. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's just a numbers game. | |
| Yeah, it's a numbers game. | ||
| If more white people show up, then he's more likely to win, right? | ||
| It's just like a numbers game because, what, it's like 9 out of 10 Trump voters are— Or white people. | ||
| So, you know, if more of them show up, I mean, I don't know if this is indicative of the entire country, but from what I've heard from people I was talking to in line, I was in line for like an hour today. | ||
| They said that this wasn't even like this in 2016, how many people were in line. | ||
| So, and this is Idaho we're talking about, how many people were in line. | ||
| They said it wasn't like this in 2016. | ||
| You can walk in, you know, it went by quick. | ||
| So maybe the turnout is going to be that big. | ||
| I'll tell you that if he doesn't win Pennsylvania, he's going to have to win Arizona and Wisconsin or Arizona and Michigan. | ||
| It's going to have to be one of those combinations. | ||
| So that's big. | ||
| And we know what happened in Pennsylvania with the ballot harvesting. | ||
| And the votes getting mailed or the votes getting recorded as returned in the data before they were even sent out like some very shady shit that happened in Pennsylvania. | ||
| I'm sure that they're going to try that again because it's 19. | ||
| It's a big number there. | ||
| It's a big portion of the votes. | ||
| So we'll see. | ||
| I mean, if he doesn't win Pennsylvania, it has to be Michigan and Arizona or Wisconsin and Arizona. | ||
| Yeah, well, and that's my concern, too, because in all three of the obviously in all the swing states in Maricopa and Fulton, but also in Philadelphia and Detroit and Milwaukee, these are Democrat strongholds where they rig it. | ||
| It's like a Democrat machine. | ||
| And there was some I heard something today that in Milwaukee, they're going to move the mail in ballots and count them at 1 a.m. | ||
| I don't know if you heard the same thing, but I heard that today. | ||
| And you remember how it played out in 2020. | ||
| I was live until 2, 3 a.m. | ||
| They had stopped counting for hours. | ||
| And I said, all right, we're going to call it. | ||
| They haven't counted a single new vote in literally two or three hours. | ||
| I said, we're going to come back in the morning. | ||
| I shut down my stream. | ||
| I got changed out of my suit. | ||
| My head hit the pillow and my phone starts blowing up. | ||
| They started the count again. | ||
| They started it up again in Milwaukee. | ||
| They're stealing it. | ||
| You got to go. | ||
| And, you know, they very well could do that again tonight, especially with people like Obama said, we're not going to know for days. | ||
| They're already telling us to brace ourselves, saying we will not know the outcome for days. | ||
| And when they say stuff like that, that's how you know they're going to start finding votes. | ||
| And like you say, irregularities with the machines and with the printers and with all the different machinery. | ||
| It's like a third world election. | ||
| And it happened in Green Bay in Wisconsin. | ||
| They ran out of ink last time, restarted the count early morning. | ||
| Michigan, they put up the pizza boxes in the windows, stopped people seeing the counting room. | ||
| So when it comes down to Philadelphia, Detroit, and Milwaukee, I just don't trust those people. | ||
| And that's why the turnout's got to be, and really election day turnout's got to be massive, because the Republicans are favored on election day. | ||
| That's how they prefer to vote. | ||
| If they don't show up, if they don't blow it out of the water, and it's close, if it's close, we lose. | ||
| I think that's kind of the lesson of 2020, wouldn't you say? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It has to be. | |
| Yeah, 100%. | ||
| I mean, it has to be big. | ||
| It has to be because that is going to happen. | ||
| That shit's going to happen. | ||
| They're going to do it again. | ||
| They're going to try to do it again. | ||
| And so Election Day turnout has to be big, just like it was in 2016. | ||
| It's crazy to think about all the things that happened back then. | ||
| A lot of the stuff we don't even remember happened. | ||
| You're just mentioning some of these things, and I'm just remembering being on stream with you, watching these things come in, watching these videos on Twitter, and these people showing up with a white van with boxes and boxes of ballots, ballots being counted after they were supposed to after the deadline, and then the courts coming out and saying, oh, it's fine. | ||
| It's just crazy that it's turned into this, but this is the way that it's going to be, I think, for the long run. | ||
| Yeah, it's a total joke. | ||
| I can't believe it. | ||
| But I guess we'll see. | ||
| And I hope that it would be so sad to think that Trump just got lazy. | ||
| Well, and like I said, I'm sort of ambivalent about the outcome. | ||
| I actually don't think it's the worst thing if he loses. | ||
| It would be sad, though. | ||
| Just objectively speaking, if it was so close and just because they got lazy and they didn't have an election integrity team that we just let it slip through our fingers again. | ||
| But you know, that would almost kind of be like a perfect just desserts. | ||
| That would be like the perfect ending. | ||
| Because that's what's characterized this entire thing. | ||
| It's just like dysfunction, lack of organization, lack of operational competence leading to missed opportunities, enormous missed opportunities, whether it be with personnel, policy, and even winning elections. | ||
| So they're going out there and they're saying, well, everyone's just going to vote bigger and that just won't be a concern. | ||
| They really better hope that people pull through and turn out. | ||
| Fortunately for them, it seems like that is the case. | ||
| Like you said, I'm hearing from everywhere. | ||
| In Chicago, in Wisconsin, people I know in California, they're saying the same thing as you. | ||
| They're saying they've never seen anything like it. | ||
| Lines wrapped around the building. | ||
| You know, people say they haven't seen anything like that in 20 years in Milwaukee. | ||
| And that tends to bode well for Trump if the previous patterns that have been established hold in this election. | ||
| So I guess we'll see. | ||
| We're not going to know until we know. | ||
| If he does win, they're going to be like, white lash. | ||
| Thanks, white people. | ||
| It's like they see it, but then white Trump voters don't understand it. | ||
| They're always calling for the Blexit and Lexit. | ||
| But the media is telling you it's your fault, white people, because white people are the ones who vote for Republicans, the ones who vote for Trump. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Go ahead. | |
| Right. | ||
| Totally. | ||
| I was going to say, so we have Indiana, like you said, Indiana, Kentucky, and Vermont have been called. | ||
| And I'm just watching the betting markets very closely because I feel like the betting markets are going to be super volatile. | ||
| They'll be kind of a good indicator of sentiment. | ||
| Looks like Trump, since the first results have come out, Trump is slightly down in the betting markets. | ||
| It was about 58-42. | ||
| Kamala had about 41.6. | ||
| She's up 1%. | ||
| Trump is down about 1% since the first states reported. | ||
| I don't know what insight they're gleaning from these early returns. | ||
| We knew the outcome, but maybe the modeling has been affected by these results. | ||
| Odds for Trump have gone slightly down, and I think that might go against the landslide narrative. | ||
| The way some people are talking about it right now, maybe this will look foolish, maybe it'll look correct in 24 hours. | ||
| But the way people have been talking about it this morning... | ||
| They've been saying, oh, Trump's going to win New York. | ||
| Trump's going to win Minnesota. | ||
| He's going to win Virginia. | ||
| He's going to win a state we didn't even think about. | ||
| It's going to be a Trump blowout. | ||
|
unidentified
|
California, right? | |
| Trump's going to win California. | ||
| Every year they say that. | ||
| It's like, okay, we're on drugs, you know? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's like... | |
| So, I don't know. | ||
| I mean, we're getting more data, but yet the odds aren't changing, you know, and they're giving him a substantial, you know, they say he's got a 56% chance, but it's not like they're giving him an 80%. | ||
| Clinton had a 70-some percent chance. | ||
| It's about 67, 70% chance on predicted in 2016. | ||
| So, they were giving her, by far and away, the odds. | ||
| It's not so much this time around. | ||
| I think people are pricing in a lot of the uncertainty from 16, 20. | ||
|
California Question Mark
00:08:02
|
||
| Everything that we're talking about, people that are putting millions on the line, they've priced it in. | ||
| So, I wouldn't believe the hype. | ||
| I believe the market more than I believe the hype. | ||
| What do you think? | ||
| Yeah, for sure. | ||
| No, he's not gonna win New York. | ||
| He's not gonna win California. | ||
| He's not gonna win these places. | ||
| Maybe like in the 80s when California was like 80% white, like he'd have a chance. | ||
| I think the highest that a Republican's ever gotten with Hispanics was like 45% with George Bush because he promised everyone amnesty. | ||
| And like, it hasn't been, I think, would Trump, didn't Trump match that maybe once or 44%, 42% or something. | ||
| So I don't think, yeah, I don't think that's not going to happen. | ||
| Yeah, I think California is out of the question. | ||
| Yeah, California is out of the question. | ||
| That's why Arizona is becoming worrisome, you know, every election cycle. | ||
| So, I don't think it's going to be a blowout. | ||
| I think it's going to be close. | ||
| Like we said, it's going to come down to a few little scenarios here and there. | ||
| I'm looking at predicted. | ||
| Is that what you're looking at? | ||
| Predicted right now? | ||
| I'm actually looking at betting odds by John Lott. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, betting odds. | |
| Or Maxim Lott and John Stossel. | ||
| That's my favorite one. | ||
| Predict it. | ||
| Let me take a look. | ||
| There's been kind of funky. | ||
| They're giving Trump like 53 and Kamala 52. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's kind of broken. | |
| Yeah, right now. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Like 55 right now. | |
| Parades are up. | ||
| Parades are up two cents. | ||
| Let me tell you, there's one market where it's like, will she be president? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, yeah. | |
| They're giving her 54% chance on predict it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Interesting. | ||
| Her odds are slightly up. | ||
| Trump was at 60% on October 29th. | ||
| So now he's down to 54%, which is a pretty big swing. | ||
| It's very interesting. | ||
| Yeah, well, I guess we'll see. | ||
| So we got one of the next polls closed. | ||
| I think the next one's at 7 p.m. | ||
| We got 40 minutes until, or no, I'm sorry, at 6.30. | ||
| So in about 10 minutes, we're going to get North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia. | ||
| So we'll see how the markets react to that information. | ||
| Yeah, I see Virginia is starting to come in. | ||
| I'm just looking at New York Times. | ||
| Florida's coming in. | ||
| Trump's 53... | ||
|
unidentified
|
how much? | |
| 54%? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Florida? | |
| That's what I'm seeing. | ||
|
unidentified
|
54%. | |
| Trump's up by about almost a million there. | ||
| 53 to 46. | ||
| I think we know which way Florida is going to go. | ||
| Yeah, nothing really new. | ||
| He said about 10 minutes. | ||
| Yes, yeah, it's 630 Central. | ||
| We're going to get some more results. | ||
| I'm going to take a look at my sources here. | ||
| Have you heard about this bomb threat in Georgia? | ||
| Apparently, they're in black-majority polling stations in Georgia. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Uh-oh. | |
| Here we go. | ||
| Yeah, so it sounds like some—they say it's from a Russian domain that a bomb threat was called in at a polling location. | ||
| Apparently, those are black-majority polling stations. | ||
| Obviously, it's going to hurt the Democrats, and they say that because of this, polling has been extended there. | ||
| So the deadline has been passed. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, that makes sense. | |
| Yeah, that's exactly what they need. | ||
| Yeah, they need a few more days just in case to find the pipe bomb. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, right. | |
| Yeah, right. | ||
| Well, you know, in 2020, a pipe burst in Fulton County. | ||
| Now it's a pipe bomb, right? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Pipe bomb threat. | |
| Oh, well, we got to push it back. | ||
| We need a little bit more time to count the votes. | ||
| So it begins, right? | ||
| That's so crazy. | ||
| It's like a third world country. | ||
| So even if he does win Michigan and Arizona, if he loses Georgia, that's it. | ||
| And Pennsylvania. | ||
| And he would definitely need to win Pennsylvania then, at that point. | ||
| If he loses Georgia... | ||
| If he loses Georgia... | ||
|
unidentified
|
It'll be... | |
| I don't think he could win without Georgia. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Um... | |
| I mean, the odds that he loses Georgia but wins North Carolina, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Michigan or Wisconsin, I think is very low. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Very low. | |
| I don't think he could recover. | ||
| That's just a must-win state. | ||
| I don't think there's a map for him without it. | ||
| We don't have a ton of results in. | ||
| But it makes me nervous when they, like you said earlier, when they talk about these shenanigans going on and we're already seeing it. | ||
| I mean, it's almost like a bad joke at this point. | ||
| You know, like Election Day, oh, I hope nothing goes wrong. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, the Russians called in a bomb threat. | |
| Guess we gotta, you know, make the voting last until next week for all the black majority districts. | ||
| And I'm sure it's super, like, disciplined, right? | ||
| I'm sure those black majority polling locations, they're really playing by the rules. | ||
| Yeah, totally locked down. | ||
| We're gonna allow all poll watchers to come in. | ||
| I'm surprised there hasn't been any violence at the polling places yet. | ||
| I thought for sure there was going to be people punching each other and throwing people through the windows. | ||
| I haven't seen much of that yet. | ||
| So far, so good. | ||
| Well, did you hear about, apparently there's some, I don't know, I think it was in Michigan, somebody threatened to do a mass shooting if Trump wins against Christians. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Have you heard this? | |
| No, I didn't hear about that. | ||
| Yeah, apparently – and again, I don't know what state it was in, but the feds actually detained the guy. | ||
| But some guy made a digital threat saying that if Trump wins the election, he's going to go on some killing spree against Christians as revenge, and they arrested the guy. | ||
| But seeing stuff like that – Darren Beattie actually said this on Alex Jones. | ||
| And, you know, me and him have been kind of going back and forth lately. | ||
| But I think he's right about this. | ||
| He said, you know, the establishment's obviously going down. | ||
| The left is going down. | ||
| They have no credibility. | ||
| Nobody believes them anymore. | ||
| The media is thrown in the towel. | ||
| Washington Post said they're not even endorsing. | ||
| And he said, you know, the left actually gets more dangerous when they're in a position of weakness. | ||
| They're like a caged animal. | ||
| You know, they're pushed up against the wall. | ||
| And it's when they're in that desperate position when they're going to do something risky, lash out wildly, so that they don't have to give up control. | ||
| And I actually think there's something to that. | ||
| I think it actually increases the odds of something spectacular going on. | ||
|
unidentified
|
100%. | |
| If only because they kind of know that if Trump comes back in, it's sort of over for them. | ||
| It is going to injure them for a long time, the things that Trump will do if he gets back in. | ||
| And that makes me a little nervous when I hear stuff like this. | ||
| Yeah, I know. | ||
|
unidentified
|
For sure. | |
| 100%. | ||
| Yeah, I'm just thinking about... | ||
| Because we're talking about the shenanigans. | ||
| There already was shenanigans. | ||
| We know that... | ||
| Like what they did with Biden, like pushing Biden out, was shenanigans, right? | ||
| They knew that they couldn't win with Biden, or at least it wouldn't be as believable as a Kamala Harris win. | ||
| And, you know, they needed to maintain the faith in our electoral process and the faith in our institutions and the trust in our institutions and all of this. | ||
| And so Kamala was a better option or whatever. | ||
| But I don't know that it's going to be enough. | ||
| Like I said, I feel like the turnout's crazy on election day. | ||
| They're going to try the shenanigans, but I think that there's a path for him to win. | ||
|
Nothing Ever Happens
00:02:24
|
||
| I don't think it's going to be a blowout like people are predicting, but I think he'll win, and I think that things like that definitely will happen. | ||
| I think things like that definitely will happen if there's not something already underway that we're not aware of. | ||
| So it's kind of scary, for sure. | ||
| Yeah, I'm a little freaked out. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| I feel like nothing ever happens. | ||
| Part of me is like, I was far more willing to believe that earlier this year, but after everything that's gone on, I'm kind of like, you know, nothing ever really happens. | ||
| Knock on wood, I hope nothing happens, and I hope it's not a jinx. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But I feel like nothing ever happens. | |
| The nothing ever happens crowd. | ||
| Undefeated. | ||
| Pulls through again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Undefeated. | |
| Yeah. | ||
| All right. | ||
| Well, you got to get going. | ||
| I know it's almost 630 here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, I'll be back on... | |
| Yeah, I'll be back on... | ||
| I just realized I'm on screen. | ||
| I thought I was... | ||
| I'm seeing some clips on Twitter. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Maybe I better hide this belly. | |
| Yeah, you and me both, dude. | ||
|
unidentified
|
These pants are a little old. | |
| I'm spilling out of these pants. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's crazy. | |
| That's what happens when you get old. | ||
| I saw you wearing the, a couple weeks ago, wearing the Red Elephant's camo hoodie. | ||
| Oh yeah, I always support. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You like that hoodie, huh? | |
| I support the team. | ||
| That's a good hoodie. | ||
| Yes. | ||
| We'll have to bring that back. | ||
| All right, so I'll be back later tonight if you'll have me, if you're not bored of me already. | ||
| No, no, sounds good. | ||
| Yeah, hit me up when you're back and we'll bring you back on. | ||
| All right, cool. | ||
| Well, we'll talk to you guys soon. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right, buddy. | |
| Take it easy. | ||
| Talk to you soon. | ||
| Bye. | ||
| I see ya. | ||
| All right, well, we just heard from Vince James. | ||
| Very good stuff. | ||
| Vince James, old friend. | ||
| Me and him go way back. | ||
| He's been around from the very beginning. | ||
| Like he said, he was huge on YouTube before he got banned. | ||
| But his Red Elephants channel was massive. | ||
| He's tight with Tim Pool. | ||
| And him and I, we go back a long ways. | ||
| You know, he was at, I believe he was a Seville veteran. | ||
| He was there with us on January 6th, part of the America First Foundation. | ||
| And he's one of the most solid commentators. | ||
|
Trump Gains With Hispanics and Blacks
00:06:32
|
||
| I think he's not been making as much content. | ||
| He's been coming back a little bit more. | ||
| But it's always good to hear from him. | ||
| So here we are. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're back. | |
| Now it's just you and me again. | ||
| And we'll take a look at what we got. | ||
| This is our map so far. | ||
| No surprises. | ||
| Trump wins Indiana. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Kentucky. | |
| Harris wins Vermont. | ||
| Here it is on the New York Times, but polls are beginning to be counted in New Hampshire, Virginia, South Carolina, Georgia and Florida. | ||
| None of them have been called yet. | ||
| So, you know, although I've heard some rumors that Georgia is a lock for Trump, Clearly not a big enough majority that they can call it yet. | ||
| New Hampshire, Virginia, you know, some say, like we talked about earlier, these are states that Trump has not won in 16 or 20. | ||
| But people say if it's a Trump blowout, you know, they could be an upset victory for Trump, although I'm skeptical. | ||
| Florida was 64% reported. | ||
| Trump is in the lead 53 to 46. | ||
| I think they'll probably call that soon. | ||
| Florida is one of the few states where they actually had a really good election reform. | ||
| It's one of the things I credit Ron DeSantis with. | ||
| I don't like Ron DeSantis as a governor. | ||
| I thought it was disloyal that he raised up a challenge against Trump. | ||
| And he's obviously super pro-Israel. | ||
| I think he's an establishment hack. | ||
| With that being said, Ron DeSantis is one of the few Republican governors that made election integrity a priority after the 2020 elections. | ||
| He pushed through a really good election integrity bill. | ||
| And then in 2022... | ||
| I think it kind of demonstrates the point. | ||
| In 2022, DeSantis and Rubio each won by 20 points statewide in Florida. | ||
| Insane blowout. | ||
| You know, Florida was a swing state in 16, less so in 20. | ||
| In 22, Rubio and DeSantis both won it by 20. | ||
| They carried Miami-Dade. | ||
| Miami is one of the biggest cities in the country, and it's like a Caribbean country. | ||
| It's like a Caribbean nation. | ||
| And it went for Republicans in 22. | ||
| I think the lesson is pretty obvious. | ||
| If you have election integrity, Republicans win Florida by 20. | ||
| Somehow we lost Pennsylvania in the same election that we won Miami. | ||
| Now, obviously, there's some exceptional facts about Florida. | ||
| I think it was shaped by the pandemic and the fact that they didn't lock down. | ||
| And, you know, there's some other things. | ||
| But I do think there's a correlation between the election integrity and the vote. | ||
| So Florida, they blew it out. | ||
| Now they do very good elections down there. | ||
| And so they've already got 65% in. | ||
| I think they'll probably call that soon. | ||
| But we do now have, I think the polls are about to close in North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia. | ||
| Yeah, so they closed at 7.30 Eastern. | ||
| It's 7.30 Eastern now, so we should be getting some results from there soon. | ||
| West Virginia is expected to go to Trump. | ||
| Yeah, so they just called West Virginia. | ||
| So Trump now has West Virginia. | ||
| He's got 23 electoral votes. | ||
| Again, no surprises there. | ||
| Ohio, North Carolina, polls have just closed there as well, but those will be closer. | ||
| So we probably won't have a result immediately. | ||
| Let's go to Twitter. | ||
| We'll see what people are saying on Twitter. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| We got our favorite Portuguese. | ||
| I believe he's Portuguese or Spanish. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Commentator. | |
| Antunes. | ||
| He's tuning in. | ||
| Thierry Bidet is tuning in. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Our favorite commentator, Amren Peter Griffin, Florida already has 62% reporting. | ||
| Indiana and Kentucky reported first at 20%. | ||
| DeSantis runs a tight ship. | ||
| Yeah, you know, look, credit where it's due. | ||
| I don't like DeSantis for a lot of reasons, but he did reshape elections, and that's what you're supposed to do. | ||
| When you are a Republican and you become the governor... | ||
| You make the elections work. | ||
| You make the trains run on time. | ||
| So, say what you will, he is competent. | ||
| And, you know, a lot of credit to him for that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's kind of funny. | |
| Too big to rig, says Gina Bontempo. | ||
| I don't know about that, but we'll see. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| We have some exit polling favorability. | ||
| 49% of white voters have a favorable view of Trump, down from 57% in 2020. | ||
| Meanwhile, he has gained 4% with Latinos and blacks each from 2020. | ||
| So, you know, this kind of vindicates what I've been saying the whole time. | ||
| This is really, really bad. | ||
| Trump is down 8% in favorables with whites. | ||
| Now, could this be because Trump is not pandering, excuse me, to white voters, whether they be liberal or conservative? | ||
| And is instead pandering to Hispanics and Blacks? | ||
| I think there's a strong case to be made for that. | ||
| This is one of the big criticisms I've had of Trump over the past year. | ||
| This is what Susie Wiles, one of the senior campaign advisors, said. | ||
| She said, we don't care if we're losing Karens, we're winning Enrique's and Jamal's. | ||
| Well, that seems to be the case. | ||
| He lost eight points in his favorables over the last four years with whites. | ||
| But he made up for that by gaining four with Hispanics and Blacks. | ||
| Just one problem. | ||
| 80% of the electorate in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania is white. | ||
| So if you're losing 8%, but they're 80%, you're not making up for that by gaining 4% with Blacks and Hispanics, which combined are 20% of the vote. | ||
| It's uneven. | ||
| It's not good. | ||
| So some of these numbers are not great. | ||
| But let's see. | ||
| Looks like Trump is leading in Georgia, but it's a little bit early, so I wouldn't read too much into that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Nick Fuentes live stream gets twice the amount of viewership as Ben Shapiro, and he's not even on YouTube. | ||
|
56,000 Views Live Stream
00:03:43
|
||
| Shapiro's got $25,000. | ||
| Nick Fuentes, the king of Rumble, with $50,000. | ||
| I think I just hit 50,000 recently. | ||
| So thank you everybody for tuning in. | ||
| I'm at 56,000. | ||
| This is already my biggest live stream ever on Rumble by far. | ||
| So thank you everybody for tuning in. | ||
| We got to put on this. | ||
| Thanks everybody for tuning in. | ||
| We're going to put on the song. | ||
| I just got to do a separate tab for this, right? | ||
| Let me just open up a separate tab. | ||
| Excuse me for being a little bit sloppy here. | ||
| But let's do it, okay? | ||
| Never Come Down, 10-hour version. | ||
| And we put on the fucking song, because we got 56,000 patriots watching the stream. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You know, look, guys. | |
| We are going to make our country win again. | ||
| Everybody in your channel. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's America's first. | |
| We're never coming down! | ||
| We're never coming down! | ||
| Even here is nothing! | ||
| Look at that! | ||
| Look at it! | ||
| Look at it! | ||
| You see what this means? | ||
| You see what this means? | ||
| It means not! | ||
| You see what this means? | ||
| I'm flying, going high | ||
| I don't care if I ever come down | ||
| Everyone, people are saying, we can't hear you That's the point. | ||
| It's part of the joke. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thanks. | |
| My producer, my mom's texting me, we can't hear you. | ||
| I know, it's funny. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's called ear rape. | |
| Ear rape, the music's too loud. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You can't. | |
| Okay, it's called explaining the fucking joke. | ||
| Thanks, everybody, though. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right, let's, but let's. | |
| But thanks, y'all, for showing the light. | ||
| Thanks for fucking ruining it, right? | ||
| For fuck's sake. | ||
| We are going to make ear rape. | ||
| Our country great again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right, but let's see. | |
| But we're getting right back into it. | ||
| But we're getting right back into it. | ||
| We're going to thank you, everybody, for your concern. | ||
| I appreciate it. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| We're going to take a look at the count. | ||
| We got 4% in in New Hampshire. | ||
| Trump, or rather, Harris, leading with 56%. | ||
| Ohio has begun their count only in Ohio. | ||
| South Carolina, North Carolina have begun their count only. | ||
| Take a look at the betting odds. | ||
| We'll see how they're reacting to this information. | ||
| Let's see the update. | ||
| Trump is up to 59%. | ||
| His odds are only getting better. | ||
|
Numbers Looking Good
00:03:09
|
||
| His odds are only increasing. | ||
| The more votes that are counted, the higher Trump's odds go. | ||
| He's up 1% over the last hour. | ||
| We'll take a look on Predict It specifically. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We'll see... | |
| Because we could get an hour-by-hour comparison. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Whoops. | |
| Some of these markets are a little bit goofy. | ||
| Yes, and just in the past few minutes, Harris has gone from 54% to 48% on Predict It. | ||
| You can see on the 24-hour, went up to 53. | ||
| That's where it was at the top of the hour. | ||
| Now down to 48. | ||
| So the numbers are looking good for Trump. | ||
| The betting markets have spoken. | ||
| So far, the numbers are looking good for Trump. | ||
| We'll see what NBC is saying. | ||
|
unidentified
|
More on the make-or-break state of Pennsylvania as the polls get ready to close there. | |
| I don't think they're just taking a break now. | ||
| The potential for high drama for control of Congress, whoever controls the U.S. Senate could handcuff or help the next president with cabinet appointments, Supreme Court nominations, and oh, by the way, policy. | ||
| And Democrats are already in a corner. | ||
| They had limited margin of error, and they just lost it. | ||
| First of all, take a look at the numbers. | ||
| You can see Democrats- We don't care. | ||
| I don't really care about the Senate. | ||
| Republicans are going to win the Senate. | ||
| There's almost a 100% chance that they're going to control at least 51 seats by the end of the night when they flip Montana and West Virginia. | ||
| So we basically know the outcome of the Senate. | ||
| We don't really care about that. | ||
| So it's 23 to 3. | ||
| And you know, this is one of the big things that we were talking about with Vince. | ||
| This outcome of the election. | ||
| I am a little bit scared about Donald Trump winning. | ||
| I'm not going to lie. | ||
| We're going to try our best to enjoy it. | ||
| I'm going to be excited. | ||
| We're going to give ourselves permission to be white-pilled and to live in the moment and celebrate the Trump victory. | ||
| But I do think it is very important to say that you're not only getting Trump. | ||
| You're getting a package deal. | ||
| You're getting Trump. | ||
| You're getting Vance. | ||
| You're also getting the people that he's already tapped to choose his personnel. | ||
| People like Howard Lutnick, Jared Kushner, Mark Rowan, Charles Schwab. | ||
| They are going to energetically compete for power inside the new Trump administration. | ||
| And all these guys are beholden to foreign governments. | ||
| They're beholden to big critical financial firms. | ||
| They're beholden to the intelligence agencies. | ||
| And so it is not without some trepidation that we are going to celebrate potentially a landslide Trump victory. | ||
|
Markets Trump's Odds
00:15:42
|
||
| It could mean some things that are not so good. | ||
| And I go back and forth with myself about this. | ||
| You know, some people say, well, who cares if they get their benefit? | ||
| Because we're going to benefit too. | ||
| The economy is going to be better. | ||
| Illegal immigration will be down. | ||
| And there's a question of, is it worth it then to give the donors their quid pro quo? | ||
| Because that's obviously the expectation. | ||
| And we could actually shift gears a little bit while we wait for some of these states to return results. | ||
| I want to look at open secrets. | ||
| And I want to give you guys an idea of what I'm talking about. | ||
| So, this is the 2024 cycle... | ||
| These are the top individual donors in the entire election. | ||
| And as you can see, the top ten, eight of them are all Republicans. | ||
| The number one individual contributor in the election is Timothy Mellon. | ||
| He gave $200 million dollars. | ||
| $200 million to Republicans, and he comes from a major banking family. | ||
| So the number one individual donor by dollar amount is a banker who contributed roughly one-sixth. | ||
| So what is that, about 16%, 17% of the entire haul of the Trump campaign? | ||
| 17% of the whole thing. | ||
| It came from a banker named Timothy Mellon. | ||
| Number two... | ||
| Richard Uline, $138 million. | ||
| Miriam Adelson, $137 million. | ||
| Elon Musk, $133 million. | ||
| Ken Griffin, Wall Street guy from Citadel, $100 million. | ||
| Jeffrey Yass, $96 million. | ||
| Paul Singer, $61 million. | ||
| Stephen Schwarzman from Blackstone, private equity, $39 million. | ||
| Tim Dunn from Texas, $35 million. | ||
| Rob Bigelow, $35 million. | ||
| Mark Andreessen, Andreessen Horowitz, $30 million. | ||
| Okay? | ||
| And it goes on and on and on. | ||
| Trump has won, out of 25 of the top individual donors, you can count the Democrats. | ||
| There's one, two, three, four, five, six... | ||
| Out of the top 25 individual donors in the whole cycle, they're all billionaires. | ||
| 21 of them have given the majority of the funding to the Republicans. | ||
| Four for the Democrats. | ||
| So Trump has won the billionaires, clearly. | ||
| And that was not the case in 2016. | ||
| If you go back to 2016, it was almost the reverse. | ||
| If you look at the top federal contributors in 2016... | ||
| The Republicans had four out of the top ten. | ||
| And about half of the top 25. | ||
| Now it's flipped. | ||
| In 2016, Tom Steyer gave $91 million. | ||
| And you look, the dollar amounts are much smaller, too. | ||
| I know there's inflation, but also the billionaires contributed less. | ||
| Adelson, $82 million. | ||
| Sussman, $42 million. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay? | |
| Okay. | ||
| Now, here's the point. | ||
| Why do I bring this up? | ||
| People say, well, you need money to win an election. | ||
| That's true. | ||
| But how do you get somebody to give you $200 million? | ||
| How do you get somebody to give you $130 million? | ||
| You make promises. | ||
| It's a quid pro quo. | ||
| And so the argument that some people make is, this is the cost of doing business. | ||
| This is what you got to do to win. | ||
| And this is how you get your team across the finish line. | ||
| Well, when you look at these billionaires like Tim Mellon, like Ken Griffin, like Miriam Adelson, do you believe that their support is unconditional? | ||
| Obviously not. | ||
| And if not, what are the conditions? | ||
| I'm sure they want certain things, but I'm sure also things, if they happened... | ||
| There's also negative conditions. | ||
| So Miriam Adelson, maybe she wants Trump to recognize the West Bank. | ||
| Maybe Ken Griffin wants Trump to cut the corporate tax rate down to 21%. | ||
| But maybe there's also things that Trump could do that they've told him not to do. | ||
| What do you think those things are? | ||
| I'll give you a good example. | ||
| Elon Musk runs SpaceX. | ||
| SpaceX is a government contractor. | ||
| Because SpaceX is a national security federal contractor, it can't hire people that are not permanent residents. | ||
| So SpaceX needs high-skill legal immigrants, green cards, to work at their company. | ||
| Do you think that Elon Musk gave Trump $130 million so he could restrict the number of green cards and legal immigrants coming into the country, which would hurt SpaceX? | ||
| Or do you think likely there was an agreement made that Elon would give Trump $130 million so that Trump would not only do one or another thing, but also so that he would keep the flow of legal immigrants coming and maybe increase it? | ||
| So that Elon has more talent to pick from. | ||
| And the labor cost goes down. | ||
| That's the concern. | ||
| And if what we want is nationalists, because that's what we are, we're nationalists. | ||
| We want America first immigration. | ||
| We want America first foreign policy. | ||
| We want America first trade. | ||
| If America first and nationalism comes into conflict with the economic interests of the billionaires or their allegiance to Israel or some other country, which do you think Trump will pick? | ||
| Will he pick the voters or the donors? | ||
| That's the fear. | ||
| That's the concern, among others. | ||
| But that's the big issue. | ||
| And so, I get it. | ||
| Some people say it's worth it to roll the dice. | ||
| Trump will probably restrict illegal immigration. | ||
| He'll probably do other things. | ||
| And yes, he'll do things like increase legal immigration. | ||
| Some people say that's worth it. | ||
| Fine. | ||
| If that's your argument, fine. | ||
| But people must understand that in politics, there's always compromises. | ||
| And we could argue about whether they're the right compromises or the wrong ones, whether it's the right hill to die on or not, but that must be the basis of any understanding. | ||
| But just that's a little aside on the donors. | ||
| It's a very relevant fact that although Kamala won the overall fundraising race, Trump won with the billionaires by a lot. | ||
| But let's get back into it. | ||
| Let's see the New York Times, if they made any other calls. | ||
| Florida looks like it's buttoned up, 76% reporting. | ||
| So they're running it far better than really any other state. | ||
| They have more votes in than any other state, even states that have finished hours earlier. | ||
| Pretty unbelievable. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Trump is leading by 100,000 votes in Georgia. | ||
| Not saying much, though. | ||
| There's only 12% reporting. | ||
| And there's nothing in from Fulton County yet, which is their most populous county. | ||
| I wouldn't get carried away yet. | ||
| We're not going to have a good idea about Georgia until we hear from Fulton County. | ||
| And we have 0% reporting so far. | ||
| So let's maybe withhold judgment on Georgia, but I have heard it's looking good there. | ||
| Let's see, what other updates do we have? | ||
| Fox already called Stein over Robinson in North Carolina. | ||
| Hope you enjoyed your based black guy. | ||
| So if you guys don't know, Mark Robinson was like a based black Christian that the GOP ran for governor in North Carolina. | ||
| And it came out that 10 years ago he was on these internet forums and Talking about some really weird sexual stuff like rape and race stuff and a lot of goofy, weird shit. | ||
| Calling himself a Nazi, but in like a sexual context. | ||
| And it's like a horrifying scandal and it killed him. | ||
| And I guess they called North Carolina for governor. | ||
| And that may hurt Trump. | ||
| I mean, we'll see, but that could potentially hurt Trump if there's not a lot of... | ||
| Crossover within an individual ballot. | ||
| Remember what could have been? | ||
| Ah, well. | ||
| Maybe next time. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, well, I don't know. | |
| There's always next time. | ||
| There's always the next cycle. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Pennsylvania exit poll. | ||
| Yep, white voters are up 2%. | ||
| Looking good. | ||
| Look at this chud. | ||
| Yeah, typical Kamala voter. | ||
| Thank you, Zerka. | ||
| You should be watching. | ||
| W Zerka! | ||
| There's our guy. | ||
| I mean, never mind. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's just skip that. | |
| Let's see. | ||
| Apparently the betting markets are really going hard for Trump right now. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We'll refresh Predict It. | |
| Whoa! | ||
| Guys, it's over for Kamala. | ||
| Predict It has her down to 40%. | ||
| Trump is up. | ||
| So she's down from 54% to 40% on Predict It, guys. | ||
| Looking like a Trump victory. | ||
| And on all of the betting markets, she is down to 35%. | ||
| America First can confidently predict that Donald Trump will be the next president of the United States. | ||
| Not yet, that's a joke. | ||
| They have Donald Trump at 66%, Kamala at 34% on Polly Market. | ||
| That has skewed favorably to Trump in the past. | ||
| So take that with a grain of salt. | ||
| But on average, all the betting markets have Trump at 64%. | ||
| It's only going up. | ||
| The more that the vote comes in, the higher his odds go. | ||
| Trump is having a very good evening so far. | ||
| And it's looking like he just might pull this out sooner rather than later. | ||
| It might be over before the night is finished. | ||
| Contrary to what people say. | ||
| So let's see. | ||
| We have a bit more of the vote in in New Hampshire. | ||
| No new calls. | ||
| We're going to have, let's see, polls will close in a number of states in about nine minutes. | ||
| We're about ten minutes out. | ||
| From the 7 o'clock deadline, Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, and D.C. will all be called within the next 10 minutes. | ||
| In 9 minutes, we're going to get—well, they're not going to be called, but polls will close. | ||
| In about a dozen more states. | ||
| This election night is going very quickly. | ||
| It's going quickly. | ||
| And it looks like a very strong night for Trump. | ||
| I don't know if there's going to be any upsets yet, but it's looking like Georgia is a lock. | ||
| Florida is a lock. | ||
| If Georgia's a lock, it's looking good in North Carolina as well. | ||
| So this could be a very good night for Trump. | ||
| If we look at the map like this... | ||
| We are already on our way, but we can't make those calls just yet. | ||
| Let's not get ahead of ourselves. | ||
| The betting markets just keep, wow, another 1% in just the last minute. | ||
| I just refreshed it. | ||
| It was 63.8, now up to 65% on average. | ||
| Poly market's probably going crazy. | ||
| Poly markets got Trump up to 67, almost 68% odds. | ||
| Look at this. | ||
| Now look at this. | ||
| Look at this in the last six hours. | ||
| In the last one hour. | ||
| Huge break for Trump in the last day. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Look at this. | |
| Look at this curve. | ||
| Trump was as low as 57%. | ||
| This was one hour ago. | ||
| He's now up 69% almost, slightly down from that. | ||
| So now, I want you to keep in mind, though, here's a little insight about the betting markets. | ||
| And I can tell you this because I watched it in 2016 before the betting markets were really a thing, when it was on PredictIt only. | ||
| And I watched it in 2020 as well. | ||
| I tend to find that the betting markets are not predictive. | ||
| They match sentiment. | ||
| So this does not actually mean that Trump has a 67% chance of winning. | ||
| It really just means that people think he has a chance of winning right now. | ||
| And if, of course, if unfavorable results come out, this number will not predict it. | ||
| No pun intended. | ||
| So keep in mind, I just want people to brace themselves. | ||
| I think the reports, the returns are very good for Trump so far. | ||
| The betting markets reflect that clearly. | ||
| The betting markets have spoken. | ||
| But bear in mind, the same thing happened in 2020. | ||
| And I watched it. | ||
| They swung wildly throughout the night. | ||
| And if there's a red mirage, this is consistent with that. | ||
| So we can't rule out a Kamala victory yet, but it is looking increasingly less likely. | ||
| And we'll see. | ||
| Do we have a needle? | ||
| I want to see if we have any kind of a needle here. | ||
| You know, in the old days, are we going to get a needle? | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Why have the needle? | ||
| How does the needle work? | ||
| But where is it? | ||
| You know, infamously, the New York Times had a needle. | ||
| This is what it looks like. | ||
| And depending on who's favored to win a given state or the whole thing outright, the needle moves to the left or to the right. | ||
| If it's more Harris, obviously it goes down to Harris. | ||
| It's like an arm wrestling match. | ||
| And you know, in 2016, it gave everybody anxiety. | ||
| The Democrats. | ||
| Because over the course of the night, the needle went from all the way to Harris, slowly but surely moved all the way to Trump. | ||
|
Trump Expected to Win Florida Narrowly
00:01:33
|
||
| And it was, unironically, a source of trauma for the Democrats. | ||
| I remember they were complaining about it online. | ||
| They said, how could the New York Times have a needle? | ||
| It said she had a 95% chance of winning. | ||
| How could it? | ||
| They freaked out because the needle... | ||
| It literally traumatized them. | ||
| They were kept awake at night. | ||
| They had images in their mind of the form of the needle moving. | ||
| And so every year now, the New York Times has to do this apologism. | ||
| Okay, here's why we have a needle. | ||
| I quite like it, but I don't know. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Do they have it? | |
| I don't even see it this time. | ||
| I think we'll get a needle maybe down here, but we don't have one now. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go. | |
| So Trump is expected to win Florida narrowly. | ||
| Harris is expected to win Virginia, New Hampshire narrowly. | ||
| And then again, the most competitive. | ||
| These are our seven swing states. | ||
| So no real insight from here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Four minutes away from another drop. | ||
| Another dozen states are going to drop here. | ||
| We'll keep updating you on Polymarket and Betfair, betting odds. | ||
|
Georgia Toss-Up
00:11:26
|
||
| Let's see, 64.6 in the average. | ||
| We'll reload it. | ||
| Wow, it just keeps going up. | ||
| It's looking like Trump is having a good night so far. | ||
| Let's see, I think they have a countdown here on NBC....about democratic turnout to offset really the rest of the state, much of which is deep, red and rural. | ||
| Three minutes away from another drop. | ||
|
unidentified
|
...and tonight we're hearing from the Trump campaign that they are confident because they are seeing a, quote, robust turnout in the specific rural areas that the Trump campaign has been targeting, going after low propensity voters, especially men who typically do not vote in elections. | |
| And so they are trying to slice each other's margins in this way. | ||
| And both teams say they are feeling good, Lindsay. | ||
| But of course, we won't know until we start getting some returns. | ||
| But Pennsylvania is a state where no officials, no workers could start counting the ballots until 7 o'clock this morning. | ||
| And you may remember in 2020, we did not have an answer about Pennsylvania until Saturday. | ||
| The good news, Lindsay, is that officials believe they will be able to do it quicker this year, citing new election machine equipment, citing the fact that the ballots are physically smaller and easier to process. | ||
| They have more workers and fewer mail-in ballots than they did in 2020 because we are not in a worldwide pandemic. | ||
| That is the dumbest thing I've ever heard. | ||
| The ballots are smaller. | ||
| So who's counting the votes? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Like elves? | |
| Who's counting the votes? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oompa Loompas? | |
| Well, we're going to get the results faster because the ballots are physically smaller and able to fit in the tiny hands. | ||
| Of the pint-sized ballot... | ||
| Okay, what is it? | ||
| Like, Santa's elves doing the... | ||
|
unidentified
|
Why would that matter? | |
| Like, the ballots are... | ||
| They fit on a postcard, so they're better able to be handled by the, on average, three-foot-tall Oompa Loompas that will be counting the votes underground in underground chambers and facilities. | ||
| The little people that are handling the ballots. | ||
| This is your election... | ||
| Okay, this is your election on being a third-world country. | ||
| We have tiny, tiny Filipino and Vietnamese people. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They're two feet tall. | |
| They come from the jungle. | ||
| They eat giant dragonflies and giant centipedes, and they've got their baby little hands are counting the votes. | ||
| The votes are physically easier to process because they are written in Sanskrit. | ||
| It The actual ballots themselves are written in Hindi, Sanskrit characters and physically smaller so that the West Indies indigenous volunteers can carry them. | ||
| That's funny. | ||
| Okay, so I guess we're going to see one minute away, 60 seconds until... | ||
| Again, we're going to get polls closing. | ||
| Polls closing in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maine... | ||
| Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, and D.C. Now it is 7 o'clock. | ||
| The polls have closed. | ||
| We should be getting votes coming in basically right now. | ||
| So we'll see if any states are called immediately. | ||
| I'd imagine a state like Alabama is going to go right away. | ||
| I'd imagine Tennessee, Rhode Island are going to go super quickly. | ||
| It's about a dozen states that are about to be called. | ||
| We'll take a look on NBC. We'll see if they make any calls live. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is CBS, actually. | |
| Here we go. | ||
| CBS News. | ||
| America decides. | ||
| Election 2024. | ||
| Now reporting, Nora O'Donnell. | ||
| Trump's up another 1%. | ||
| And welcome back to CBS News. | ||
| Election night headquarters in New York. | ||
| Control of the White House, Senate and House up for grabs in this historic election. | ||
| It is now 8 p.m. | ||
| in the east, 5 p.m. | ||
| in the west, and it is the biggest poll closing time of the entire night. | ||
| Polls just closed in 16 states and the District of Columbia. | ||
| We're talking about 171 electoral votes are at stake this hour. | ||
| Half of the states now in America closed. | ||
| And so we're going to check in, too, on those all-important battleground states. | ||
| Here you can see all seven of them in purple. | ||
| The polls just closed in perhaps We say that because it's the big prize with 19 electoral votes. | ||
| And in Pennsylvania, CBS News characterizes this race as a toss-up. | ||
| Checking back in on Georgia, which closed an hour ago. | ||
| CBS News characterizes Georgia also as a toss-up. | ||
| And in North Carolina, which closed half an hour ago, CBS News characterizes this race as a toss-up. | ||
| That vote still just coming in, as you can see. | ||
| And we have some breaking results to share with you from the states that just closed. | ||
| In Florida, once an electoral battleground that has moved right in recent circles, CBS News projects Trump will win the Sunshine State. | ||
| In Alabama, CBS News projects Trump will win this race. | ||
| Trump carried Alabama by large margins in the past two elections. | ||
| And in reliably blue, Massachusetts, CBS News projects the vice president, Kamala Harris, will win. | ||
| Let's take a look now at Maryland. | ||
| CBS News projects Harris will win there. | ||
| There's a key Senate race. | ||
| We'll check in there as well. | ||
| And Oklahoma. | ||
| CBS News projects Trump will win. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's take a look now at Tennessee. | |
| CBS News. | ||
| Projects Trump will win in the state of Tennessee. | ||
| The big number we've been talking about, 270 electoral votes. | ||
| That's the number needed to win. | ||
| And so far with those early results, the race to 270 shows Donald Trump with 90 electoral votes and Kamala Harris with 27. | ||
| Want to check in with our data desk team to see what they're seeing in these battleground states and major. | ||
|
unidentified
|
What's happening in Georgia? | |
| So we just mentioned, Nora, the Georgia we rate is a toss up. | ||
| We have about 33 percent of the vote in. | ||
| You can see the distribution so far. | ||
| So why do we do that? | ||
| All right. | ||
| There it is. | ||
| So there it is. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Trump wins Florida. | |
| So no surprises here. | ||
| Again, the seven swing states. | ||
| You know, none of this is surprising. | ||
| The seven swing states are watching. | ||
| Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin. | ||
| Polls are closed in Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. | ||
| They're tabulating them now. | ||
| They're all rated as toss-ups. | ||
| None of them called. | ||
| So nothing about this map is surprising. | ||
| Yet, Massachusetts, famously, none of their precincts went for Trump. | ||
| None of their... | ||
| Counties went for Trump in 2016. | ||
| Oklahoma, none of their counties went for Clinton in 2016. | ||
| So just to give you an idea, there's no surprises here yet, and they're still counting in some of these states. | ||
| All the swing states are rated as toss-ups still. | ||
| And Georgia, Pennsylvania, they're not expected to have results until tomorrow at the earliest. | ||
| So we still don't know. | ||
| We're not going to know. | ||
| Maybe until tomorrow. | ||
| But let's check in on the betting markets. | ||
| We'll see how they're taking the news. | ||
| Taking the huge calls so far. | ||
| Doesn't seem to be affected too much by the latest results. | ||
| We'll tune back into CBS, see what they're saying about Georgia. | ||
|
unidentified
|
For now, going back to our estimate, 50-50. | |
| That's by county statewide. | ||
| We'll go back to that overall estimate. | ||
| Of Georgia at 50-50, that means as we get closer, as more of metro Atlanta comes in, there is at least more of a buffer for former President Trump. | ||
| It is not decisive. | ||
| It is not determinative because we don't have a call here yet. | ||
| But in general, and Michael Watley was talking about, what are these early indicators? | ||
| They're just seeing higher turnout, higher vote totals at the margins in some of the redder counties of southeast Georgia and other parts of northern Georgia as well. | ||
| Major Garrett, thank you. | ||
| I want to turn to Ed O'Keefe, our senior White House correspondent. | ||
| I understand you have some new reporting. | ||
| Well, part of why things remain so tight there in Georgia is if you look at those counties around Atlanta, and maybe Major can zoom in on some of them, what the Harris campaign is seeing is real encouragement there. | ||
| In fact, she's running ahead of President Biden in some of those ex-urban counties around Atlanta. | ||
| Higher totals than what the president got four years ago. | ||
| That is how she wins a state like Georgia tonight. | ||
| Can you run up the numbers in the suburbs? | ||
| Can you get young college voters across the country to turn out? | ||
| Can you lean on the black and Latino voters you need? | ||
| In Georgia already, we're seeing good indications that the reason she's keeping it even is because Democratic advantages there around Atlanta, the biggest city in the South, may be improving. | ||
| So it's going to be very close in Georgia. | ||
| Georgia's a must-win state. | ||
| If he doesn't win Georgia, it might be over for him. | ||
| I don't think it's impossible, but it makes his pathway very, very difficult without Georgia. | ||
|
unidentified
|
16 votes. | |
| If he loses Georgia, he's going to need multiple Rust Belt states. | ||
| He's going to need Michigan or Wisconsin to make up for it, and he's going to need Nevada. | ||
| So we'll keep an eye on that. | ||
| We are about 25 minutes away. | ||
| I'm going to be calling Andrew Tate in about 25 minutes. | ||
| I'm going head-to-head with him in a debate. | ||
| If you're just joining us, you know, now it's prime time. | ||
| The votes are coming in. | ||
| If you're just joining us, remember to smash the follow button on Rumble. | ||
| And in 25 minutes, I will be debating Andrew Tate going head-to-head. | ||
| We're going to be debating Donald Trump and whether you should vote for him. | ||
| I guess it's too late for that now for most of the country. | ||
| But we're going to debate whether or not a Trump presidency is going to be good, whether it would have been preferable to a Harris administration. | ||
| There's going to be a lot of ground to cover. | ||
| It's going to be a friendly debate, going to be more like a discussion because I have deep respect for him. | ||
| I think he respects me. | ||
| And honestly, I'm sort of ambivalent. | ||
| Like I talked about with Vince earlier, I could really go either way on this one. | ||
| I can see both sides. | ||
| I get it. | ||
| But of course, ultimately, I did decide not to vote, not to endorse. | ||
| Doesn't look like it's going to make much of a difference. | ||
| But I really do believe there is cause for concern about a Trump administration. | ||
| He wins it tonight. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're going to celebrate. | |
| We're going to have a good time. | ||
| But I do think we then have to get to work whenever this thing is over. | ||
| And we're going to have to fight tooth and nail to make sure that this administration is going to be more America first. | ||
| Because it doesn't look like that will be the case right now. | ||
| It's very disconcerting. | ||
| I am going to take a break really quickly. | ||
| I've been live now for about three hours. | ||
| I've got to take a quick bathroom break. | ||
| So I'm going to put on a little intermission and I will be back momentarily. | ||
|
Back and Forth
00:04:14
|
||
| So I'm just going to take a little intermission when I come back. | ||
| We're gonna do our Andrew Tate debate. | ||
| It should happen shortly after that. | ||
| So I'll see you in about one minute. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Don't go anywhere. | |
| I just gotta take a bathroom break. | ||
| I'll be right back. I'll be right | ||
|
unidentified
|
back. I'll | |
| be right back. | ||
| I'll be right | ||
| back. I'll | ||
| be right back. | ||
| I'll be right | ||
| back. I'll be right back. | ||
| Okay, that felt good. | ||
| This is going to be a marathon stream. | ||
| I'm probably going to be here all night, so it's a marathon, not a sprint. | ||
| We're going to need a bathroom break here and there. | ||
| I'm telling you, these pants are so tight. | ||
| I've gotten so much fatter. | ||
| I had this suit made four years ago. | ||
| And I'm way fatter. | ||
| And just a reality we have to deal with. | ||
| It's one of those things that we just have to accept and sort of deal with. | ||
| I'm getting older. | ||
| I'm putting on weight. | ||
| I'll never take Ozempic. | ||
| Anyway, it's just squeezing the urinotomy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right. | |
| But we're back now. | ||
| And like I said, so Andrew Tate debate is coming up in about 20 minutes. | ||
| It's going to be taking place around 7.30. | ||
| So we're keeping a close eye on that. | ||
| Let's take a look at our betting odds. | ||
| We'll see. | ||
| The betting markets are really telling the whole story because I believe the mainstream media, of course, is biased. | ||
| And CBS in particular, they badly want to see Harris win the election. | ||
| So you watch their coverage. | ||
|
Cannot Overstate His Remarkability
00:07:34
|
||
| They're coping. | ||
| They're talking about here's how Harris can still win Georgia. | ||
| Here's why it's still tied. | ||
| Don't get me wrong, I believe it is still too close to call, but I think they're looking for reasons to cope about her. | ||
| People with the money on the line, those are the people that I think are making the most accurate prediction and they vote with the money. | ||
| But it looks like we're getting some votes. | ||
| In some of these other states... | ||
| Where they have a split time zone. | ||
| So Texas, for example, and Kansas are not expected to call fully until another 45 minutes, but because they're in a split time zone, I believe we're getting some of the early votes from there as well. | ||
| Looks like they've made a couple new calls. | ||
| They've called South Carolina and Mississippi for Trump. | ||
| So we can update our map here. | ||
| Whoops, not like that. | ||
| Mississippi and South Carolina, they're falling like dominoes. | ||
| 25 states have closed their polls. | ||
| It's feeling once again like 2016 and 2020. | ||
| Peace by delicious peace. | ||
| Trump is mounting a comeback. | ||
| You know, and let's just say, you know, and I have to admit, I am deeply critical of this campaign and I am skeptical of this administration and so on. | ||
| I will say, though, because I must be honest and I must tell you the truth, and let me put on some background music here. | ||
| Put on a little background music. | ||
| I will say, it cannot be overstated. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's too loud, though. | |
| There we go. | ||
| Cannot be overstated how remarkable it is. | ||
| Let's just reflect a little bit on the journey. | ||
| Of course, Donald Trump won the impossible victory in 2016. | ||
| Nobody thought he could achieve it. | ||
| His own party was against him. | ||
| He faced a major scandal in the last two weeks of the campaign. | ||
| Somehow, he not only pulled it off, but won an electoral college landslide. | ||
| Serves his four years. | ||
| Turns out to be not really what we expected, but maybe better than what people anticipated. | ||
| He gets thrown out in the biggest fraud you've ever seen. | ||
| 70% mail-in ballots, prone to fraud. | ||
| You have all sorts of statistical anomalies. | ||
| So many. | ||
| Biden votes in sequence, literally statistically impossible. | ||
| You've got, in some wards in the city of Milwaukee, they had more voters than they had human beings, or 100% people voting. | ||
| Things that are just not even possible. | ||
| He gets thrown out, and on January 6th, his supporters storm the Capitol. | ||
| It's unbelievable. | ||
| And you could argue January 6th might have been a Fed-backed operation. | ||
| You could argue it was the righteous indignation of a country that has been screwed over by a rigged system for 30 plus years. | ||
| Either way, it is completely unprecedented. | ||
| They say it's the first time in 200 years the Capitol has been attacked in such a way. | ||
| He is left for dead by big tech that censors him. | ||
| Republican Party turns against him, betrays him, threaten to impeach and remove him from office. | ||
| He mounts a comeback in the past three years, in spite of being indicted in four jurisdictions, in spite of being convicted in Manhattan, facing jail time, actually later this month, where he'll be sentenced and it sets up a whole other constitutional issue. | ||
| He got shot in the face, shot in the ear, multiple assassination attempts foiled by Secret Service. | ||
| There was at the last minute a bait and switch on the Democrats' side to replace Joe Biden. | ||
| And so let's just stop and reflect and recognize what a remarkable journey it was and it has been. | ||
| Nobody else could have done it. | ||
| There is literally not another human being alive who could have fought this hard for this long at his age against everybody and not only survived, but beaten the odds over and over and over in 16, in 20, and in spite of even losing, coming back bigger and now in 2024 is the favorite to win. | ||
| It's the most remarkable story, arguably, in the history of the United States. | ||
| It's right up there with Civil War, American Revolution. | ||
| It's right up there with all the greats. | ||
| Like, at the end of this, you gotta carve Trump's face in Mount Rushmore. | ||
| And I know I'm glazing a little bit. | ||
| Like I said, you know, what happens next is really a whole other story. | ||
| What happens in this administration is a completely different ballgame. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's governance. | |
| With that notwithstanding, Trump as a political figure has created a true dynasty. | ||
| If he wins this election in a landslide, it's not only the most remarkable thing in 100 years, but it cements Trump as having a 15-year dynasty in American politics. | ||
| Think about it. | ||
| He came down the escalator in June 2015. | ||
| If he wins tonight, he doesn't leave office until January 2029. | ||
| 14-year political dynasty that we have been on this journey. | ||
| Against all odds. | ||
| Fighting and losing and coming back. | ||
| You gotta give credit where it's due. | ||
| Nobody else could have done it other than Trump. | ||
| The guy's a hero. | ||
| Whatever you think of him, he's a hero. | ||
| That's why I'll always love him. | ||
| I'll always be loyal to him as a guy. | ||
| I think this administration is going to have a lot of problems, but it cannot be overstated what a remarkable individual he is. | ||
| It cannot be overstated his influence single-handedly on world history. | ||
| It vindicates the great man theory of history. | ||
| One man can make a difference. | ||
| One man can. | ||
| If that man is Donald Trump, can single-handedly change the world and oversee it for a nearly 20-year period. | ||
| It's just remarkable. | ||
| So, you gotta stop, look around, smell the roses, and realize we love it, hate it, indifferent. | ||
| We are living in a remarkable time in history. | ||
| We are living in the middle of the most remarkable political movement in a hundred years in the United States. | ||
| One of the true greats. | ||
| I'm grateful to be alive to see it. | ||
| Again, I'm skeptical of the outcome. | ||
| And I'm about to debate that with Andrew Tate in about 10 or 15 minutes. | ||
| I'll tell you my reasons. | ||
| And I think they're good reasons. | ||
| And I'm not super thrilled about this administration. | ||
| But again, a nuanced take, comprehensive take, considering everything, you must give the credit. | ||
|
Trump's Path to Victory
00:15:43
|
||
| No one else could do it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's Donald Trump. | |
| But that's our glazing session for the night. | ||
| We're going to take a look and we'll see how we're doing on New York Times. | ||
| Florida's called. | ||
| Georgia, 45% in. | ||
| Rated as a toss-up, but appears to be leaning Trump. | ||
| We have our needle, our first needle. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wow! | |
| The live forecast from the New York Times... | ||
| Rates Trump as expecting 276 electoral college votes. | ||
| Wow, just wow. | ||
| So, New York Times predicts they're going to run the table and not maybe win all the Rust Belt states, but win one of them, just enough to carry the election. | ||
| And with the polls closed in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Michigan, and Georgia, they're all rated as toss-ups. | ||
| The reported margin, some have Trump, some have Harris. | ||
| But so far they're estimating it could be Trump. | ||
| Trump is currently the favorite, according to the New York Times. | ||
| So we'll see how that plays out. | ||
| Check in on the betting markets. | ||
| We'll see if there's any action here. | ||
| 65.9% right now. | ||
| We'll see if that changes once it refreshes. | ||
| Seems like we're getting a little bit of lag here. | ||
| Loading time has taken a minute. | ||
| I don't know if that's because they have too much traffic or if that's on my end. | ||
| Slightly down. | ||
| Not by much, though. | ||
| About half a percent down. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Good stuff. | |
| We'll check in on CBS. We'll see what their review is. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Showing Donald Trump's likely wins and the blue states showing Kamala Harris's likely wins as a starting point. | |
| So she would have 226 to his 219. | ||
| In the middle are 93 states in white, up for grabs, the battlegrounds, right? | ||
| So let's take a look at a couple of the paths to victory. | ||
| For Kamala Harris, the most likely and the one that she's banking on the most is what traditionally Democrats have won. | ||
| Pennsylvania taking 19 there. | ||
| Michigan taking 15 there. | ||
| And Wisconsin taking 10 electoral votes. | ||
| The so-called blue wall strategy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Exactly. | |
| The blue wall, all the bricks there in order. | ||
| Joe Biden won them. | ||
| Donald Trump, by the way, won them in 2016. | ||
| But this is traditional Democratic territory. | ||
| You see it gives her 270 right there. | ||
| She becomes the next president of the United States. | ||
| Easiest path, if easy, could be used here. | ||
| It doesn't look easy tonight, right? | ||
| Nothing easy about this. | ||
| It's very, very much a cliffhanger. | ||
| But if Donald Trump were to flip Georgia back, right? | ||
| Remember he lost by fewer than 12,000 votes, 11,799 votes to be exact. | ||
| If he were to flip Georgia back into the red column and then North Carolina... | ||
| 16 more electoral votes there. | ||
| And to hold on to that, he won that one by 75,000 back in 2020. | ||
| Yes, 2020. | ||
| And then if he were to take Pennsylvania, he would become the next president of the United States. | ||
| 270 right there. | ||
| So it shows you how critical each of these states is at this point. | ||
| Pennsylvania just closed. | ||
| If that were to go the other way, you know, that takes it right out of his hands. | ||
| And now he has to go elsewhere to find votes, and that would be, say, Arizona and Nevada. | ||
| Does that bring him closer? | ||
| Closer, but not yet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
251, a long way. | |
| He'd have to go into one of the blue walls and take one of those bricks out of that. | ||
| He'd need at least 15. | ||
| Whoops, sorry, 15. | ||
| He'd get it right there. | ||
| And call that 266. | ||
| He'd still need one more state. | ||
| He'd still need to get to Wisconsin to get over the top. | ||
| So you can see how critical Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, they all are to both candidates. | ||
| Maurice Dubois, thank you. | ||
| Want to turn now, too, to Cecilia Vega, because Cecilia, I know you did some reporting in Pennsylvania. | ||
| What are we learning? | ||
| Interesting stuff. | ||
| Why don't we take a look at Twitter? | ||
| We'll see what the timeline is saying here. | ||
| And then I have some content we can react to. | ||
| We got about 10 minutes. | ||
| I'm going to take a look. | ||
| We'll talk to Andrew Tate's people. | ||
| We'll see if he's almost ready for us here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Whoops. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| I'm kind of a shitty edit. | ||
| In the end though, you know Biden must be so happy that Trump is winning. | ||
| That's something that Biden, or rather Trump, said in the last debate with Harris. | ||
| He said, I'll tell you a little secret. | ||
| He hates her, he says about Harris. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And it's true. | |
| It's true. | ||
| You know when Biden put the hat on right after the debate, and Biden isn't even going to attend Harris's election night viewing party. | ||
| He's not even going to be there. | ||
| So you know there is nobody alive that is more happy about this outcome, maybe besides Trump himself, than Then Joe Biden, that Harris is getting buried. | ||
| You know Obama's got to be furious. | ||
| And hey, good for him. | ||
| I mean, he's totally right. | ||
| Hey, Keith, what are you watching for election coverage? | ||
| I'm watching Nick Fuentes on Rumble. | ||
| Well, that's fucking loyal. | ||
| What a loyal guy. | ||
| Everybody follow Keith Woods. | ||
| I don't know if he's available. | ||
| He should call in. | ||
| Keith, if you're watching, shoot me a message. | ||
| I'll send you the link. | ||
| I know he's traveling right now. | ||
| I think he's in Portugal. | ||
| So I don't know if he has a setup. | ||
| But if he's got a setup, he could call in. | ||
| We'd love to hear from him, hear his thoughts. | ||
| We've got to get all the goats on here. | ||
| Okay, it looks like the Tates have another guest. | ||
| So we'll see when they're thinking. | ||
| We'll see if we can get them on. | ||
| Action-packed stream. | ||
| If we can get Keith Woods on here with us, we'd love to see it. | ||
| This guy's been really fucking annoying, honestly. | ||
| I'm happy to see Nick back aboard the Trump train. | ||
| Hey, fuckface, I'm not on the Trump train still, okay? | ||
| We're going to celebrate tonight just for fun. | ||
| Everything I said remains the case. | ||
| This guy's been such a pain in the ass. | ||
| He's been in my replies for weeks, every single tweet, arguing nonsense. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| Polymarket gives Trump a 70% chance of winning. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wow. | |
| We'll see about the average, though. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| This has taken a million years to load. | ||
| I guess we'll look at Polymarket. | ||
| Trump said, okay, so they're not at 70. | ||
| He's at about 68%. | ||
| A little trouble in paradise here. | ||
| So they're not, it's not a blowout just yet, but they do appear to be very confident he's going to pull this one out. | ||
| Let's not overestimate his chances, though. | ||
| Seems like it's leveling off, it's plateauing. | ||
| And I think that reflects confidence in Trump's pathway. | ||
| So we'll see how that goes. | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| So we got 40% counted. | ||
| Likely Republican in Texas. | ||
| Georgia is now leaning Republican. | ||
| North Carolina still a toss-up. | ||
| Pennsylvania toss-up. | ||
| Michigan 5% in is a toss-up. | ||
| Ohio likely Republican. | ||
| Virginia leaning Democrat. | ||
| No surprise there. | ||
| New Hampshire leaning Democrat. | ||
| Kansas going to go red. | ||
| Missouri going to go red. | ||
| Why don't we just start filling out our map? | ||
| So this is sort of where we are, according to the New York Times. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| We got Kansas, Missouri. | ||
| Illinois is going to go bluey now. | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| Do we have any other New Jerseys going blue? | ||
| So this is really the state of the play based on the New York Times rating again. | ||
| No surprises here. | ||
| New Hampshire and Virginia, they haven't called. | ||
| Some of these other states, they haven't called. | ||
| The leaning Democrat that tracks with the polling. | ||
| It looks like they're saying Georgia leans Republican. | ||
| That is consistent with what I've heard on the ground. | ||
| They're saying that it's a lot for Trump. | ||
| He's already got early voting. | ||
| And again, if Trump gets Georgia, it makes it a lot easier for him to win. | ||
| As they said at CBS, if he could pull out North Carolina in combination with Georgia... | ||
|
unidentified
|
He's really a lock. | |
| That means he only needs a couple more states. | ||
| He either needs Pennsylvania or some combination of Arizona and any other state, Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania. | ||
| So, if this is the map, if this is where we are in about an hour, two hours, we could safely predict that Trump is going to be the next president. | ||
| Georgia is leaning that way. | ||
| North Carolina not leaning one way or the other quite yet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| It doesn't look like there'll be any big surprises out of New Hampshire or Virginia, where some people were saying there might be. | ||
| That doesn't surprise me. | ||
| Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, all still rated as a toss-up. | ||
| Trump's electoral college estimate currently sitting at 278. | ||
| Betting markets give him a 65% chance. | ||
| We'll refresh it quickly. | ||
| This site is crashing, probably because I'm, maybe because I'm promoting it on the stream. | ||
| People are using it. | ||
| And it looks like the Andrew Tate debate is going to be a little bit late. | ||
| They got the mobster on. | ||
| They got Michael Franchese on. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The mobster. | |
| They got Michael Franchese. | ||
| We're getting cucked a little bit, but that's okay. | ||
| It's going to be a long night, so we're in no hurry. | ||
| This stream might go on for days. | ||
| We're not in a huge rush. | ||
| But it's looking very good for Trump so far. | ||
| Very promising. | ||
| If I'm Kamala Harris, I'm getting worried right about now. | ||
| Georgia has 50% counted, and it's leaning Trump. | ||
| That's a must-win state. | ||
| It doesn't deliver the victory, but that is part of Trump's map. | ||
| He needs it, and it looks like he's got it. | ||
| Everything else is a toss-up. | ||
| At least all the other swing states that have hit their deadline so far, they are toss-ups. | ||
| We'll take a look at polls close. | ||
| Polls should be closing in Arkansas right now. | ||
| I think we're probably going to call that for Trump. | ||
| He's almost certainly got it. | ||
| And then in a half hour, we're going to have another big batch. | ||
| So at 8 o'clock Central Time, the next huge batch drops, the second biggest batch. | ||
| That's going to be Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. | ||
| That's a big one. | ||
| So by the top of the hour, we're going to have every swing state accounted for, it looks like, other than Nevada. | ||
| So we'll have Arizona. | ||
| We're going to have Wisconsin. | ||
| We're going to have Michigan fully called. | ||
| And so every swing state will have polls closed, with the exception of Nevada, by the top of the hour. | ||
| And then it's just a count. | ||
| And again, they've said that the count could take until tomorrow at the earliest and But who knows? | ||
| If it's going to be a blowout in some of these states, we might be able to call it for Trump. | ||
| If we can call it in at least a few of these, it might be over by the end of the night. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| I think it's a possibility. | ||
| Based on what we're seeing, we might be able to call it for Trump before the end of the night, which would be unbelievable. | ||
| And there's a couple scenarios. | ||
| Either one, Trump wins it outright tonight and it's just finished. | ||
| Option two, Trump looks likely to win and picks it up by tomorrow morning when additional votes are counted in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan. | ||
| Option three is a red mirage, and it looks like he's going to win. | ||
| There's a ton of shenanigans. | ||
| They drag it out for days. | ||
| Maybe Kamala wins it by a hair throughout the Rust Belt, and they deny him at the blue wall. | ||
| I would say those are your likely scenarios. | ||
| I think at this stage in the evening, we can rule out a Trump blowout. | ||
| And by that, I mean, I don't think Trump is going to win any states outside of the swing states. | ||
| I think we can rule out Minnesota, Virginia, New Hampshire, Maryland, or rather Maine. | ||
| I think that's out of the picture. | ||
| And I think a Kamala blowout is out of the picture too. | ||
| I doubt she runs the table. | ||
| I doubt she wins Georgia at this point. | ||
| So I think we have now narrowed our number of permutations to a few categories, which is Trump wins it outright tonight, runs the table. | ||
| It becomes apparent very quickly he's the victor. | ||
| He either wins it by tomorrow morning when they count some additional votes in Pennsylvania and maybe some others, whichever ones are holding out, and he wins it by a hair. | ||
| Or I think he's denied at the blue wall. | ||
| She runs the table, she wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and it's over, and Trump loses by two. | ||
| I think those are our possibilities, and I'm leaning towards a Trump victory, either one or the other. | ||
| Yeah, okay, so they just called New Jersey and Arkansas for Harris and Trump, respectively. | ||
| Trump's Electoral College estimate is down two votes, so their map is changing. | ||
| They've rated Georgia as leaning Trump slightly. | ||
| They say his estimated margin will be three points. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wow. | |
| They're giving him a 71% chance of winning Georgia. | ||
| They're rating it A nearly 3% margin of victory, which is unbelievable because like they said at CBS, his margin in 2020 was 20,000 votes. | ||
| That's nothing. | ||
| Less than a percent in Georgia. | ||
| 20,000 votes. | ||
| To give you an idea, they've already counted 3 million. | ||
| Nearly 3 million. | ||
| 2020, he was down by 20,000. | ||
| They're estimating he'll be up by 3% when everything is counted. | ||
| Fulton County, let's see, we've got 77% in in Fulton County. | ||
| They're predicting they've got 120,000 more votes to count in Fulton County. | ||
| Looks like they're just not going to be able to come up with the votes. | ||
| They might not be able to get it, not there and not in the suburbs. | ||
| They've counted the majority of the votes in the suburbs, the surrounding counties. | ||
|
Polymarket Trump Bets
00:01:41
|
||
| I think they'll be predicting Georgia very soon. | ||
| If it's not close, they'll be calling it sooner rather than later. | ||
| And if that's the case, like we're talking about, that sets Trump up really nicely. | ||
| That's good math for Trump. | ||
| Looking like we're going to be getting four more years of Trump tentatively. | ||
| We'll take a look at polymarket. | ||
| We'll see what the investors think. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Whoops. | |
| They're way up. | ||
| They're giving Trump a 72% chance of winning. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wow. | |
| 72% chance. | ||
| It's only been up since two hours ago. | ||
| At 545, they rated him at 57%. | ||
| They're now up to 72%. | ||
| $3.3 million on the line on this market, on PolyMarket. | ||
| Benjamin Braddock, the homosexual bapper who is Jewish, says Trump is leading in Virginia. | ||
| Let's take a look at that. | ||
| He's a leaning Democrat in spite of Trump's lead. | ||
| Although it looks like they got a lot of the vote counted up in Nova and Fairfax and But it's a little early to tell. | ||
|
Estimating Margin: Neocon Insights
00:11:02
|
||
| They're not giving us a needle for Virginia, so they're not telling us how likely, but they are saying it is leaning Democrat. | ||
| So I don't know, again, how optimistic I would be. | ||
| Braddock has been really into Virginia. | ||
| I don't really buy into that at all. | ||
| Chris Burnett is obsessed with classics Groyp. | ||
| Chris Burnett really crashed out. | ||
| Everybody should unsubscribe from his sub stack because he betrayed the Groypers. | ||
| So if you are loyal to the Groypers, you got to unsubscribe to his sub stack. | ||
| He betrayed us in favor of interracial marriage. | ||
| That's just gross. | ||
| So I got to totally disavow and I got to look, it's nothing personal, but we can't be paying people that support race mixing, okay? | ||
| And then throw Groypers under the bus. | ||
| Jimbo Zoomer, the vibe at voting locations in LA is that California is going red. | ||
| Big if true. | ||
| Am I not showing up on the Rumble homepage? | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's okay. | |
| We're doing good anyway. | ||
| We're doing pretty good anyway. | ||
| I guess you gotta click through to get to my stream, but that's alright. | ||
| That's fairly typical, what you can expect. | ||
| Florida voters reject proposal to include right to abortion in the Constitution. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Good. | |
| Love to hear it. | ||
| Michael Tracy. | ||
| Mike Pompeo speaks at one of the final Trump rallies. | ||
| Reminisces about how he was Trump's most loyal cabinet member. | ||
| They talked every day for four years. | ||
| Declares Trump in a second term will take down the ring of fire, which is Iran, and support Israel. | ||
|
unidentified
|
For President Trump. | |
| And I told them, and I've told everyone hundreds of times in these three and a half years, it was the greatest privilege that Mike Pompeo could ever have. | ||
| I was proud to be a part of President Trump's team. | ||
| I talked to him every day for four years, first as CIA Director and then as Secretary of State. | ||
| And what I was so proud of is that we understood the greatness of this nation and we never once apologized for the United States of America. | ||
| not once. | ||
| Now, President Trump's going to secure our southern border. | ||
| We will bring peace back to the world. | ||
| We will take down the ring of fire. | ||
| We will support our friends in Israel, but he's going to need help to do that. | ||
| See, this is what I'm talking about. | ||
| Pompeo's almost certainly going to be in the administration. | ||
| Oh, I got to get that C-SPAN logo out of here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Uh-oh. | |
| C-SPAN loves giving me DMCA, so let me just get that out of there. | ||
| That's just a small clip. | ||
| But Mike Pompeo is almost certainly going to be in the next Trump administration. | ||
| Many people believe he'll be the Secretary of Defense. | ||
| He is a neocon. | ||
| He's an extremely hawkish neocon. | ||
| And I think there's going to be, like I said, very good odds that he'll be in there in a senior position. | ||
| So this is the kind of thing I'm saying. | ||
| This is why I'm not very happy about a Trump administration. | ||
| We're going to have fun tonight, but it does not bode well for us. | ||
| Pennsylvania voting site evacuated as disruptors upset the election result. | ||
| We'll see if that has any impact. | ||
| Florida constitutional amendment proposals to legalize recreational marijuana fails. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Very good. | |
| In spite of Trump's endorsement of recreational marijuana and abortion, it failed. | ||
| So that's good to hear. | ||
| Love to hear that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Vote Trump or you are gay. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| I feel like a lot of gay people are voting for Trump. | ||
| That doesn't really work. | ||
| You know, this is like a gimmick account. | ||
| It's like that Weehan. | ||
| You know, they pretend to be Chinese. | ||
| They pretend to be like English as a second language Chinese person. | ||
| So this Jew who's pretending to be Chinese says, Vote Trump or you're gay. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| I thought gays are voting for Trump. | ||
| Isn't that what J.D. Vance said? | ||
| That they're going to win the normal gay guy votes? | ||
| I don't know if that really works. | ||
| But I think gay people are voting for Trump and Kamala this year. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Vincent Chudley James. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, bro. | |
| Oh, boy. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Me and him, man. | ||
| Me and him. | ||
| We're getting a little bigger. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're never coming down. | |
| We are never coming down no matter what. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| Even if it's a bad thing. | ||
| Oh, brother, what is this? | ||
|
unidentified
|
We voted. | |
| Jeez. | ||
| Jeez, oh man. | ||
| Check back in with New York Times. | ||
| we'll see how they're rating it. | ||
| Zoom out here so So they've called Illinois. | ||
| They have called Delaware. | ||
| Georgia, leaning Republican. | ||
| North Carolina, still a toss-up. | ||
| Pennsylvania, a toss-up. | ||
| Michigan, a toss-up. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's going to be close. | |
| Ohio looks like they've basically called it for Trump. | ||
| 43% in. | ||
| Needle is all the way to the right. | ||
| Ohio will be called for Trump shortly. | ||
| Texas will be called for Trump shortly. | ||
| Looks like New Hampshire and Virginia are leaning Democrat. | ||
| Let's take a closer look at Georgia. | ||
| We'll see how we're doing here. | ||
| Lead is narrowing slightly. | ||
| They're only estimating a 2.5% margin of victory down from 2.8 moments ago. | ||
| Let's take a look at the betting market. | ||
| See how the markets are reacting. | ||
| Trump is up again 71-29%. | ||
| Trump is having a—I think it's his. | ||
| I think at this point it's his to lose. | ||
| I believe the only way that Trump loses at this point in time is if they cheat. | ||
| And I think that is a distinct possibility. | ||
| I think some shenanigans, some kind of, what do they call it, skullduggery— If there is some kind of interference, that's how they lose. | ||
| I don't think there's any other way. | ||
| I think if all the votes are counted and they're counted fair, the way this is going, I think this is Trump's race to lose. | ||
| I think that the map we're going to get is Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, and I think we're going to get one of the swing states. | ||
| Or one of the Rust Belt states. | ||
| It's looking super close, though, in Pennsylvania. | ||
| Estimated margin. | ||
| They're saying Trump has a... | ||
| He's going to get a margin of 0.4%. | ||
| That's super close. | ||
| If they're counting it down to the wire like that, we're going to be here all night. | ||
| Take a closer look at Michigan. | ||
| They're saying Harris by 0.4% in Michigan. | ||
| Let's see what they're saying about North Carolina. | ||
| They're giving Trump 1.6%. | ||
| Okay, so let's say that's our map. | ||
| Trump wins Georgia, North Carolina, and let's say he does 0.4% in Pennsylvania. | ||
| Let's say that holds. | ||
| That's the election. | ||
| That's it. | ||
| He doesn't need Arizona. | ||
| He doesn't need Nevada. | ||
| He doesn't win Wisconsin. | ||
| He doesn't need Michigan. | ||
| If this is the map, guess what? | ||
| what that's a trump victory that's it that's 270 So right now, Trump is favored to win. | ||
| If you look at the New York Times, Trump is favored to win in Georgia, estimating 2.5% margin. | ||
| That's pretty substantial. | ||
| That's bigger than it was in 2016. | ||
| If they're giving him a 1.6% margin North Carolina, which is far smaller, okay, but that's bigger. | ||
| Let's say he has it. | ||
| With how many reporting? | ||
| Because they don't have a ton in yet. | ||
| And they're giving him Pennsylvania right now with just 0.4%. | ||
| They're giving a 0.4% margin. | ||
| Let's say if we could freeze it right there, that's it. | ||
| That's the election. | ||
| Now, he could very well. | ||
| It's close enough in Michigan, although they're not giving it to him right now. | ||
| Could win there, could win Wisconsin. | ||
| I think if he gets Pennsylvania, he almost certainly gets Arizona and Nevada. | ||
| I think this is looking like the likely map. | ||
| Without Pennsylvania, though, it really—that's why I'm telling you guys, it comes down to these three. | ||
| I've been saying it all night. | ||
| Pennsylvania's make or break. | ||
| He doesn't need any other state if he gets Pennsylvania. | ||
| If Pennsylvania fails— He needs one of these. | ||
| So the blue wall, it's absolutely essential. | ||
| We're making good progress right now. | ||
| Georgia, North Carolina, they're leaning our way. | ||
| They're coming in our direction. | ||
| The margin looks good, what they're predicting so far. | ||
| But it comes down to Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. | ||
| To the point almost where Arizona, Nevada become irrelevant on some level. | ||
| They're a must-win in a scenario where he doesn't get Pennsylvania. | ||
| But this is really where it happens. | ||
| So I'm going to predict, this is something like my map. | ||
| His pathway runs, and I think that's everybody's map. | ||
| That's his pathway to victory. | ||
| They're updating it now. | ||
| Okay, nothing has changed. | ||
| Trump is still estimated at 0.4%. | ||
| We'll see if they made any new calls. | ||
| Doesn't look like it, not yet. | ||
| Are you getting ready to call Ohio? | ||
| Are you getting ready to call Texas? | ||
|
Witnesses Matter
00:08:38
|
||
| Okay, looks like we're getting ready for Andrew Tate, so I'm going to switch over. | ||
| I'm going to get in the waiting room on their stream. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Just give me one sec. | |
| All right, I'm just going to get set up here and there. | ||
| Michael had an interesting life. | ||
| They kill someone, they get rid of witnesses. | ||
| So if they rig this election, they're going to get rid of witnesses. | ||
| And the witnesses are going to be the people with large platforms who talk about it. | ||
| Anyone who manages to get attention and put eyes on what they've done. | ||
| Basically, anyone who saw the crime, that's what a witness happens, right? | ||
| If the mafia puts a hit on somebody and kills them, and there's a witness, they kill the witness. | ||
| So what's actually scary is if they pull this rig off, is what they're gonna do to clean up this rig. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We will be gone. | |
| Bongino will be gone. | ||
| Fuentes will be gone. | ||
| Everyone's gonna be gone. | ||
| Crowder will be gone. | ||
| Kirk will be gone. | ||
| Everything will be deleted. | ||
| Alex Jones will be gone. | ||
| That's right. | ||
| Everything will be censored. | ||
| They'll control social media again. | ||
| It's gonna go back to how it was before, and that's the scary thing. | ||
| So that's something we have to worry about. | ||
| Let's check in on the results. | ||
| Have we got any results yet? | ||
| Is this fucking ass show making any sense yet? | ||
| Or is it still just an ass show? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's still an ass show. | |
| Please explain this to me. | ||
| Please explain to me the ass show. | ||
| So basically, this red Area in the middle is the asshole of the ass that is America. | ||
| Because it's such an ass as a country that it actually is having a hard time deciding between a competent nationalist leader and a literal, literal asshole. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nice. | |
| A black and Indian asshole. | ||
| I'm going to go to jail if she wins now. | ||
| So they're struggling. | ||
| America is struggling to choose between a competent nationalist and a retard. | ||
| Yeah, basically, yeah. | ||
| So it's just like, okay, I'm going to get on the bus, but I get to pick the bus driver, okay? | ||
| There's a guy who's driven loads of buses and run bus companies, and on the last time I was on the bus with him, everything went smoothly, and then there's an epileptic retard with no driving license, and I'm sitting there as America. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hmm. | |
| You know, the epileptic retard will let me kill my kids. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nice. | |
| It's close. | ||
| I mean, it's close. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Fair. | |
| Right, next guest. | ||
| We've got another guest coming up. | ||
| You may have heard of him. | ||
| But, guys, he's a bit racist. | ||
| You know, I'm sorry. | ||
| You know, like, I'm sorry to bring him on. | ||
| I'm sorry to pollute the air with his racism. | ||
| Andrew, you're platforming racists? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Damn right. | |
| Fucking nailed it. | ||
| You're damn right I am, sir. | ||
| Damn straight. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Who gives a fuck? | |
| It's funny. | ||
| Who cares? | ||
| Who cares? | ||
| Andrew, as a person of color, I'm just not sure we can have this man on our show. | ||
| As a person of color, I'm upset, I'm offended, and I need a safe space. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Real niggers love racism. | |
| I feel like I need this platform to be a safe space for me to feel protected. | ||
| And if you bring him on, I might just crap my pants. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Get fucked, faggot. | |
| Right, let's go. | ||
| Hey, what's going on guys? | ||
|
unidentified
|
How you doing bro? | |
| I'm good. | ||
| How are you guys doing? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, you know, we're just watching the fucking clown show. | |
| We're enjoying the circus. | ||
|
unidentified
|
What about you? | |
| Same man, same. | ||
| Have you been seeing all the shenanigans going on? | ||
| Looks like a repeat. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, bro. | |
| What I'm scared of is not just her winning, but I just said it before you came on. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know if you heard. | |
| I said if the mafia shoots someone, they kill the witnesses. | ||
| So what's their cleanup op going to be? | ||
| Are we going to have social media for much longer? | ||
| Are we going to be allowed to talk about this? | ||
| Are we going to be allowed to breathe? | ||
| Or is the cleanup op to just lock us all up and delete us all again? | ||
| Honestly, that's really my biggest concern, is the tech censorship. | ||
| I think that's the central issue. | ||
| Obviously, Rumble and Axe have been so critical. | ||
| I think they've changed the landscape in some ways even more than Trump. | ||
| You take the foot off people's neck, you take the boot out of everybody's face... | ||
| And then you're able to actually get people to activate. | ||
| You're able to get people the information. | ||
| I think that's led to—I think we've all noticed everybody's gotten a lot more red pill than, like, awake in the past year. | ||
| It's got everything to do with free speech on the Internet. | ||
| And if Kamala wins, I think even if Trump wins, there's a good chance the regime is going to mobilize and shut us down. | ||
| I think that's, like, maybe, like, the central issue of the campaign. | ||
| So that—I'm very concerned about that as well. | ||
| So what shenanigans have happened so far that you say is a repeat of 2020? | ||
| Because we've been busy running our mouths, but I can see here the Electoral College votes or whatever it is here, but what's happened that we may have missed? | ||
| Well, you know, there's always nonsense. | ||
| Every four years there's goofy stuff, but already they talked about in Georgia, in Fulton County, there was apparently a bomb threat called in, and they said it was called in from a Russian IP address. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Of course, the Russians. | |
| Oh, yeah. | ||
| Well, and here's the best part. | ||
| They called it in in a black-majority polling location, and they've now extended the hours so they could vote past the deadline for when they're supposed to shut down because of the bomb threat. | ||
| So, needless to say, we know who that benefits. | ||
| There was a threat of a mass shooting. | ||
| I think this was in Michigan, but I'm not sure. | ||
| Some guy said he was going to go and kill Christians if Trump wins, going to go and do a mass casualty act of violence. | ||
| And then in some states, it's just the usual stuff. | ||
| You know, they're plugging in a space heater that blows up the election management system. | ||
| Milwaukee, they're talking about counting the mail-in ballots at a separate location at 1 a.m., So it's the usual stuff. | ||
| We'll see. | ||
| I mean, I hope they make it too big to rig, or I should say that's what, because as you guys know, I'm actually not voting for Trump this year. | ||
| We're going to talk about that in a second. | ||
| Yes, but for your sake, as the Trump supporters, you guys are going to want it to be too big to rig, because I think they're going to try, and they're going to do this Red Mirage bullshit all over again. | ||
| But isn't that the basic competition now? | ||
| The competition is no longer... | ||
| Because, you know, all this democracy freedom bullshit, and you and I disagree on some things, but I do enjoy your geopolitical view, but I'm a little bit more perhaps second and third world-ist than you. | ||
| I am Western world first. | ||
| I do consider myself more English than American, truthfully, but I do think it's kind of unfair that we blow the fuck out of all these poor countries for nothing and say it's about democracy and freedom and then we rig it ourselves. | ||
| And I do kind of feel bad for them. | ||
| I feel bad for the farmer who's just praying and just wants his wife to shut up and listen to him and we drop a fucking warhead on his head. | ||
| You know, I think it's kind of mean. | ||
| And all these elections around the world are different systems, right? | ||
| You have some of them that perhaps may be fair. | ||
| And then you have the Venezuelan election, which is which team can rig it better. | ||
| And then you have the American system, which is a landslide versus a rig. | ||
| I mean, isn't this just ridiculous that we know it's landslide versus rig? | ||
| I mean, which one's gonna take it? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Democracy! | |
| I mean, isn't it fucking stupid in the first place? | ||
| Oh yeah, total. | ||
| I mean, you either win by 2 billion, you know, Trump either wins 300% of the vote, or they're going to rig it, you know, they're going to get, the ballots got flooded. | ||
| Literally four years ago, they said a pipe burst in the room where they were counting the ballots, and they soaked the room so they couldn't count them for weeks. | ||
| It's like third world. | ||
| Like, is this Iraq? | ||
| Is this Yemen? | ||
| Like, where are we conducting this election? | ||
| Are we doing this in Somalia? | ||
| So, but I'm with you. | ||
| I'm sympathetic to these people. | ||
| I think we should rule them, but like benevolently. | ||
| You know, the problem is we have this other faction running our country. | ||
| They don't even think we're human beings. | ||
| So they're like, wipe them out, you know, finish the job, kill them all. | ||
| I'm Catholic. | ||
| It's sort of like our burden. | ||
| It's sort of like our burden as Americans, so to speak, to take care of them. | ||
| Because I agree, it is unfair that they get killed like that. | ||
| Yeah, well, I know what you're saying about this, let's say no names, but this secret power controlling America. | ||
|
Radical Masculinity in Politics
00:15:24
|
||
| With me, that's an issue for a lot of people when they're like, oh, well, how could you vote for Trump when he's pro-Israel, pro-APAC, pro this? | ||
| How could you vote for him? | ||
| My answer is as simple as this. | ||
| If I have to hire a groundskeeper to keep my garden tended, my garden, And I've got the choice of two groundskeepers and both groundskeepers keep feeding an ugly, retarded, aggressive dog that lives just outside my house and bites my kids. | ||
| I'll choose the one that's gonna make my garden nicer because there isn't an option of choosing a groundskeeper who isn't feeding the retarded homeless dog outside that bites my kids. | ||
| There isn't an option on the table. | ||
| So I'm looking for who could take care of the domestic issues the best because both of them like feeding the retarded animal. | ||
| Does that make any sense to you? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Totally. | |
| So that's how I have to overlook it because I'm choosing a president of the United States. | ||
| I'm choosing a man to tend to my garden and look after my house. | ||
| All of them are retarded when it comes to this stupid fucking animal. | ||
| Let's hear Nixon. | ||
| Why are you not voting Trump? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, let's go. | |
| Tell us. | ||
| You know, I voted Trump in 16. | ||
| I voted Trump in 20. | ||
| But, you know, the big problem in Trump's first term was he hired really bad personnel. | ||
| And he talked about that on Joe Rogan. | ||
| He ran a great campaign in 16. | ||
| The rhetoric was great. | ||
| The message was great. | ||
| That's a movement I signed up for. | ||
| But then when he actually moved into Washington... | ||
| He had to hire like 10,000 people, 5,000 to 10,000 people, which he didn't really have. | ||
| When he started the campaign, it was him and like five people. | ||
| He got to hire 10,000 political experts, including a cabinet and so on. | ||
| So he really relied upon the GOP to fill up those jobs. | ||
| And I think that's a big reason the Trump administration wasn't a huge success. | ||
| Illegal immigration was not really taken care of. | ||
| Legal immigration didn't go down. | ||
| They didn't bring us out of any of the wars, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan. | ||
| And so I thought after January 6th, he would have purged all the disloyal people and hired all the loyal people. | ||
| But the opposite happened. | ||
| He rewarded the disloyal people. | ||
| So Project 2025 was made up of loyal, real patriots, nationalists. | ||
| He disvowed him eight times. | ||
| He brought in to run his campaign Chris Lasavita, who wanted him overthrown after Jay Sixth. | ||
| I brought in Vance. | ||
| And I know, you know, maybe you guys like Vance. | ||
| I'm super skeptical of him. | ||
| Vance was a never-Trumper. | ||
| He comes from American Enterprise Institute. | ||
| He's a protege of Peter Thiel, who is a CIA contractor. | ||
| And so I said, we're really getting a repeat of the first term. | ||
| Jared Kushner and his allies will pick the personnel. | ||
| It's going to be all these shills. | ||
| It's going to be all these hacks. | ||
| And I think when you look at the policies, what we're going to wind up with is aggressive posture towards Iran. | ||
| We're going to get corporate tax cut. | ||
| We're going to get maybe fewer illegal immigrants, but way more legal immigrants. | ||
| And I think that, you know, you're right. | ||
| Trump is going to be the better president, but it is going to redefine Trumpism to mean something else. | ||
| And it'll go from being nationalism and authentic and grassroots to really recapitulating to the establishment and becoming like, you know, they're calling it colorblind meritocracy. | ||
| To me, that's diversity with another name. | ||
| So I'm very concerned about how they're going to snuff out the real right wing by putting Trump's face on the same establishment. | ||
| That's my concern. | ||
| I agree with nearly everything you've said. | ||
| But my question to you, sir, why don't you vote Trump just to laugh at girls when they have mental breakdowns and just make the liberals pissed off? | ||
| Don't you just want to troll the world? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I do. | |
| Well, because I want to troll Ben Shapiro. | ||
| I don't know about you guys, but I'd rather see Ben Shapiro cry on election night. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'd rather see him. | |
| He's always crying anyway. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| He cries a lot. | ||
| I think the thing is here, I agree with a lot of the things you're saying politically. | ||
| I understand exactly what you're saying. | ||
| But I still think a Trump victory is important because I think the culture will shift and that will move the Overton window in a direction. | ||
| Because that's the reason why I'm going to be semi-sensible for a second. | ||
| Not many people understand why... | ||
| When you make an edgy joke, or you say women can't fucking drive, they're all dumb, or you say something racist, et cetera, it's important you push the boundaries of what's acceptable and push the boundaries of what people have a mental breakdown over so you can move the Overton window back into a space where it's sensible to come up with ideas. | ||
| Because currently right now, the ideas you have, or the idea of even having a border defended with lethal force, like most countries do, is so outside of the Overton window, a politician couldn't even suggest it. | ||
| And we have to move the Overton window back, which is a cultural thing. | ||
| I think Trump winning would be good for the overall masculine culture. | ||
| I mean, I don't know. | ||
| Of course, I can't do the data. | ||
| But men are less likely to listen to a bunch of girl boss bullshit if Trump's in charge. | ||
| And I think that the culture shift might be enough to be able to allow us to have these important conversations later on. | ||
| That's why I think a Trump victory is still so important. | ||
| Plus, I want to troll all the dorks. | ||
| I basically agree with you. | ||
| I just think that, you know, there are good reasons to vote for Trump. | ||
| I think there's good reasons not to, and I'm pretty ambivalent about it. | ||
| I kind of went back and forth. | ||
| I would say, though, to that point specifically, in some ways, the Trump campaign now is a lot less radical than it was before. | ||
| And you could—it's sort of mixed, because you're right. | ||
| Like, they did have signs that said mass deportations at the convention, and that's huge, because they were talking about amnesty 10 years ago. | ||
| Now they're holding up signs that say that. | ||
| It's like you can't overstate what a big deal that is. | ||
| At the same time, the people inside are chipping away. | ||
| For example, in the platform, which Trump personally edited himself this year, they dropped opposition to abortion and gay marriage. | ||
| They're also now saying they're in favor of legal immigration. | ||
| And this is really bad because... | ||
| Specifically, they said they're going to staple green cards to diplomas, meaning give foreign students permanent residence. | ||
| They did this in Australia. | ||
| They did it in Canada. | ||
| Now in Australia, 4% of the population is foreign students. | ||
| And they're trying to shut it down. | ||
| Liberal governments, liberal countries, Canada and Australia, they're trying to shut down the visas because it's too much even for them. | ||
| And so it's like six of one, half a dozen of the other. | ||
| It's like, yeah, we're being radicalized against illegals, but they're also getting us to support legal immigration and redefining identity. | ||
| And I would say, thinking ahead to 28, this is an important point. | ||
| Vance is almost surely the successor in the air to MAGA. | ||
| Vance is not radical at all. | ||
| People think he is, but he's not. | ||
| He married someone who's not white. | ||
| You could argue, and people said it's racist to say that, maybe, but it's like that guy doesn't value his identity. | ||
| He said he married outside his culture because he hates his own culture. | ||
| So it's like that guy's going to run as MAGA, and he's going to have a pretty good claim to be MAGA. | ||
| Now, let's say someone more radical runs against him. | ||
| It's really splitting hairs. | ||
| You can't go to the voters and say, well, I'm against race mixing. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Like, that doesn't play. | |
| But if Trump goes down in this cycle and they run Nikki Haley in 28, it's going to be very easy for someone more radical to say, I'm a real nationalist. | ||
| Vote me, not Haley. | ||
| So it's really a dialectical thing where Trumpism is being diluted. | ||
| And in 28, when he's not in the running, they're going to dilute it further. | ||
| And that'll be seen as a radical option. | ||
| No one's going to run to the right of that with any credibility. | ||
| I'm deeply concerned about the backsliding. | ||
| So I know for a lot of people, this is a lot more complex and people might say autistic than like, yeah, Trump's going to be a better president. | ||
| But we have been outmaneuvered for 50 years. | ||
| Real nationalists like Pat Buchanan, the paleocons, they've been outmaneuvered for 50 years by neocons. | ||
| It's about to happen again. | ||
| And unless we get smart, you know, this is the fate if Trump wins. | ||
| So I'm just so concerned about that outcome. | ||
| No, I understand. | ||
| That's why the conservative of today was the liberal of five, ten years ago. | ||
| They're constantly moving the window to the left. | ||
| I completely understand what you're saying. | ||
| And perhaps it's just me being idealistic and believing that it's masculinity outside of politics itself that's always going to be the barrier to this insanity. | ||
| The problem with America now is that even the straight men are faggots. | ||
| The problem is that if you talk to most dudes, they're fucking homos. | ||
| And all these white dudes for Kamala are all faggots. | ||
| All these liberal TikTok dudes are faggots. | ||
| They're all fucking faggots. | ||
| That's why they're sitting here begging for a woman to be their boss. | ||
| And if you just reinstall the basic tenets of masculinity, I like to think you have more people who will stand up and say no and slow down the sliding. | ||
| I agree that we've slidden so far now to the left. | ||
| The Overton window is so far to the left. | ||
| It's actually truly crazy. | ||
| Like the fact that there is no right wing who says gays shouldn't be in power. | ||
| That's not allowed to be said anywhere in the right wing. | ||
| That's outside of the window of acceptable ideas. | ||
| That's considered some kind of crazy insanity. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Exactly. | |
| Some kind of crazy insane person where 20, 30 years ago it was standardized and accepted. | ||
| But isn't it masculinity that's the barrier to all things? | ||
| Hasn't it always been men who say no? | ||
| Men stand up and get a sword and say, no, that's enough. | ||
| And unless you have a masculine spirit inside of men, they're never going to resist anything. | ||
| Which is why I think Trump's victory can do more than just the political side. | ||
| I think it can be a cultural shift in regards to just men being men, being, you know, make fun of girls again. | ||
| None of you can drive. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You're on your period. | |
| Shut the fuck up. | ||
| And I think that, as silly as people think that is, that's actually important to retain the fabric of America. | ||
| I totally agree. | ||
| And I get shit on that for all the time. | ||
| I mean, I said this the other week and they clipped it up. | ||
| Anthony Fantano's like, why is he wearing a SpongeBob hoodie? | ||
| Because I said, now the right wing, all they do is shit on blacks. | ||
| I said, what about women? | ||
| They're afraid to shit on women. | ||
| I said, like, women are losing us the election. | ||
| And everyone said, you're blaming white women? | ||
| Blame black people. | ||
| I'm like, no, it's blacks and women. | ||
| Like, you can blame both. | ||
| I said, and you're right. | ||
| fuck straight people were straight but like fuck these like straight girlfriend boyfriend people i was talking about it the other night these guys they date these girls they look like dykes or sluts they have the makeup caked on these like pixie cuts i want to fucking punch him in the face guys go around calling themselves boyfriends they live with their girlfriends they have no kids it's just as sterile as being a bachelor being gay you might as well be gay and You should be polygamous like you guys. | ||
| Like, that's fucking based. | ||
| Or an incel like me. | ||
| But these days, you know, playing in the field, it's the gayest thing you could do. | ||
| So I agree. | ||
| But I will say this. | ||
| It's not enough to just be a man, because you're right, and Trump brings that back. | ||
| You also have to collectivize based on your interest. | ||
| And this is something that white men are not allowed to do. | ||
| And I think if you look at Trumpism, it's kind of part of that. | ||
| Like Tucker Carlson, for example. | ||
| I like Tucker a lot. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I do. | |
| I'm a little suspicious of some things, but he says a lot of good things. | ||
| One bad thing he says, though, is this. | ||
| He says that when white people collectivize around their race, he says that's like Nazism, and that's just as bad as the left, and I won't support that. | ||
| And it's like, well, we kind of need to do that. | ||
| And we also need to do it as Christians and as Americans. | ||
| And I question whether the Trump colorblind meritocracy, they support a certain country. | ||
| I question whether they'll ever let us do that. | ||
| And if the white people involved in it, are they thinking that way? | ||
| I'm not so sure. | ||
| I think you are right, though, that it is building men back up. | ||
| And I think that is one of the benefits, one of the net benefits. | ||
| But You know, it is going to be a very small contingent that saved the country that is super political. | ||
| And those people, they need to be aware of who our real friends and enemies are. | ||
| And, you know, a lot of people... | ||
| Yeah, go ahead. | ||
|
unidentified
|
No, no, no. | |
| I understand everything you're saying. | ||
| But the bottom line of even, especially some of these radical ideas, when you have a radical idea, the bottom line of it is you have to have the capability to defend it. | ||
| So if you're going to... | ||
| If we're talking about inspiring masculinity, for someone to stand up and say... | ||
| Fuck the Jews or I don't care. | ||
| You can't be in power. | ||
| You're black. | ||
| You have to be prepared to fight the black man in front of you. | ||
| So a lot of this is to a degree is still masculinity based. | ||
| I mean, it's easy to stand up and say certain things when you know there's going to be a degree of violence. | ||
| If you're not prepared for the violence that comes from your ideas, then you're just going to go with the ideas that don't lead to violence, which is why women vote the way they do anyway, because they can't defend themselves. | ||
| So, a lot of the ideas you have are considered radical. | ||
| I'm not even saying I agree with them. | ||
| I'm not a white person. | ||
| But they're considered radical ideals. | ||
| And my point is, if you want enough white men to stand up and say, no, this is a white country, it's going to be white, then you need to have white men ready to fight the niggers. | ||
| Because it's going to fucking go off. | ||
| That's what's going to happen. | ||
| And let me tell you, from experience... | ||
|
unidentified
|
So us niggers can fight! | |
| So there's gonna be a problem, right? | ||
| So I'm saying that even by installing masculinity back then, the more masculine a society becomes, the more likely it is or the more capable it is of having radical ideals outside of the socially acceptable. | ||
| And also, the people, the few radicals, if they're masculine enough, they can also impose their will, which is also very important. | ||
| Like, why do elections even happen in the first place? | ||
| Elections are supposed to be a replacement for war. | ||
| That's the whole point of it. | ||
| To avoid the war, to see who the leader is, let's just have an election. | ||
| So, if you have a few people who can impose their will because they're so masculinely based and they're not afraid of violence, I think they're going to be surprised how that can affect the whole landscape of ideals. | ||
| I think the problem we have now is that a lot of white people agree with the things you say and they think the things you think. | ||
| In fact, I know that because I speak to them. | ||
| But they're just afraid to say it to me. | ||
| And I'm like, bro, I agree with you. | ||
| If I was white, I'd be pissed. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I see it. | |
| But they're afraid to say it to me even though I'm on their side because they know they can't walk down Atlanta and say that shit. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right. | |
| No, you're right. | ||
| And I think you're right that masculinity is a precondition to things getting better because you're totally right that if the population's pussified, especially the white people, they'll never rise up. | ||
| And you do get that under Democrats. | ||
| That's maybe the biggest change under Trump is I remember, you know, I grew up in the Obama era and everybody was a turbo faggot. | ||
| Everybody. | ||
| The women were insufferable. | ||
| The men were worse. | ||
| You know, it was like everybody was posting rainbow flags and love is love. | ||
| Remember Macklemore, same love? | ||
| That shit was everywhere. | ||
| And I remember if you were like basically, like a basic bitch conservative, you were a Nazi. | ||
| And now it's like everyone's watching you guys, they're watching Aiden Ross, they're watching a Nico, they're watching people who are extremely right-wing and, like, making jokes like you make and even serious, sensible points like we all make. | ||
| And I think that that generation, they're going to grow up and they're going to make politics far more right-wing. | ||
|
Why We Shouldn't Vote for Trump
00:14:31
|
||
| So, yeah, I think that's actually a really good reason to vote for Trump. | ||
| I guess I have a much more narrow focus on... | ||
| This particular outfit that is going to run the admin. | ||
| Because I guess I'm trying to give people a little dose of reality. | ||
| They think they're electing Trump and it's going to be great. | ||
| It's going to be like the 80s again and we're going to have grunge music and beer. | ||
| But actually tomorrow, gays and Jews are going to be running the Trump administrations. | ||
| So, like, we're going to have fun tonight. | ||
| It's going to be a Trump landslide. | ||
| Liberals are going to cry. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're going to drink their tears. | |
| It's going to be great. | ||
| But tomorrow, it's like log cabin Republicans, Palantir, OK, Zog, they're all running the admin. | ||
| And people kind of need to know what they're in store for because politically we've got to fight that. | ||
| So I take your point. | ||
| I totally agree with you. | ||
| I just get really concerned that people are getting suckered into another, you know, more like political bullshit. | ||
| But I think we're kind of on the same page. | ||
| It's political versus cultural, but we're looking at it from different angles. | ||
| So in your worldview, if Kamala wins, obviously you didn't vote for Trump this election, if Kamala wins and everything goes to shit even worse than before, then you think a true hero could emerge in four years who's going to be worthy of your vote? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Is that the game plan? | |
| Well, that is one way of looking at it. | ||
| Yeah, I think that's not the worst scenario. | ||
| I think the worst case scenario is Trump wins, Vance succeeds him, Vance becomes the president, and Vance is like a Manchurian candidate, like CIA spy, neuters the right forever. | ||
| That's my biggest fear. | ||
| And in that sense, I think Kamala winning is like the second worst possibility. | ||
| But yeah, I think it has an accelerationist effect because think about it. | ||
| She gets in. | ||
| Recession happens. | ||
| War with Iran is unavoidable. | ||
| We lose the war with Ukraine. | ||
| Four years of her being a fucktard, like being an idiot in interviews and like giggling and cackling and all that, you're going to get Hitler in 28. | ||
| Like four years of hair. | ||
| Eight years of Obama gave us Trump. | ||
| Four years of Harris is going to give us, like, Franco or Mussolini or something. | ||
| And, like, it's going to ruin Vance. | ||
| Trump will be out. | ||
| People say, Trump didn't go far enough. | ||
| We've got to go further. | ||
| So that is a fantasy of mine, although it's not like I'm not an accelerationist because I don't think we should really roll the dice. | ||
| If you give them power, they may never give it up again. | ||
| That's why I'm not an accelerationist. | ||
| But I don't think it's the worst possibility. | ||
| Yeah, so that's what's interesting about the prospect of a Kamala victory is that it's going to destroy any faith left in the institutions because democracy is based on institutional faith. | ||
| It's actually quite remarkable and amazing to me. | ||
| I live with four or five black guys and a couple white guys and we're racist all day long. | ||
| And we make fun of the white guy because we're like, I'll sue you. | ||
| It's a joke because white people will argue and then they'll sue each other and they'll ask a judge. | ||
| Black people just stab each other or shoot each other. | ||
| We ain't got time for that crap. | ||
| And you have to believe in the courts. | ||
| You have to believe in the systems. | ||
| And if Kamala wins, I think a lot of people will be red-pilled that the elections are fake and that the judicial system's a scam and that all these things that are required for democracy to function are all a scam. | ||
| So it will red-pill a lot of people, wake a lot of people up. | ||
| You're right, it could bring in someone who's truly extreme. | ||
| But at the same time, accelerationism is extremely dangerous, especially in this day and age, because I kind of feel like, and maybe I'm crazy, but... | ||
| I feel like in other days of old, when empires were falling and collapsing, and people were hoping for the accelerationist option, it was always another human that took over. | ||
| But I think in four or five years, we might end up with some version of AI. We're gonna have some QR code in our fucking foreheads, and these people are gonna remain in control. | ||
| And if you want your daily gruel, you're gonna have to shut the fuck up. | ||
| And I kind of scared that there's enough tools now for them to implement actual control, even though everything's fallen to pieces. | ||
| I guess that's what I'm most scared of from the accelerationist standpoint. | ||
| So I do understand how a Kamala victory could be a silver lining. | ||
| But I also think that if Kamala wins, I don't think you and I are going to be on the Internet for much longer. | ||
| And I feel like it's going to they're going to do something. | ||
| I mean, I don't I don't know. | ||
| I mean, maybe America's not as bad as as as I think it is. | ||
| But I can tell you my case over here had a whole big of American hand in it and they wanted to get rid of me. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So I don't know. | |
| I think if Kamala wins, it's going to be very hard to even discuss ideas anymore. | ||
| And I think that's what's going to slow us down. | ||
| Yeah, and I totally agree with that. | ||
| Like I said, I'm not an accelerationist because I do think it's dangerous, but I actually fear a certain other outcome more, which is that it comes from the right. | ||
| Because a lot of the things that the left would bring, like AI, like you're talking about, that is why Trump has this pro-energy policy. | ||
| That's why he has a pro-legal immigrant policy. | ||
| They want to open up the borders and open up the energy to fuel AI because AI is dependent on cheap electricity, which comes from cheap energy, and it's also dependent on cheap labor, cheap high-skilled programmers from India. | ||
| And so Trump and people like Jacob Helberg, who's a Silicon Valley guy, they want to supercharge AI by drilling for oil, bringing in the Indians. | ||
| And, you know, they're going to control it. | ||
| But Sam Altman and Sequoia and all these like tech people, I fear them coming from the right just as much as the left because they're going to censor anti, you know, don't be mistaken. | ||
| They would censor racism, anti-Semitism. | ||
| The only thing that's different is that with Trump, it will give it the appearance of being a rebellion. | ||
| It'll give it legitimacy. | ||
| It'll re-legitimize it because people say, oh, Trump got shot. | ||
| How could he be controlled? | ||
| Trump is on the right. | ||
| He's anti-establishment. | ||
| Whereas on the left, at least people could say, fuck this. | ||
| We don't trust the institutions. | ||
| We don't trust the media. | ||
| So I just feel like people are underestimating because Teal and Vance, all those guys, they're all into central bank digital currency. | ||
| They just call it something else. | ||
| They want it to be in private hands. | ||
| Just like Palantir was a privatization of surveillance and other things. | ||
| So you're still going to get digital ID and citizenship. | ||
| It'll be coming from the private sector. | ||
| It'll be coming from, you know, the CIA venture capital firms. | ||
| And it'll be re-legitimized by Trump. | ||
| That's why I think Trump is actually, a certain Trump victory would be the worst case scenario. | ||
| You don't think he's going to go scorched earth and get revenge on all of his enemies? | ||
| No, I think if he tried, they'll kill him. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Yeah. | ||
| I agree with you there. | ||
| Everyone has this dream of him coming in and executive ordering Obama's arrest. | ||
| It's like, bro, I don't think so. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'd love to see it. | |
| Yeah, that... | ||
| And what about, so what do you think happens if Kamala wins? | ||
| Like, what do you think is the next few months? | ||
|
unidentified
|
How do you think they can clean it up? | |
| It's going to be fucking brutal. | ||
| Like, if she gets in, because she's energetic and young, and she's a straight-up leftist, so, you know, the border's going to remain open. | ||
| They're going to go to war against Axe. | ||
| They're going to go to war against Rumble. | ||
| They're probably going to arrest another thousand people from the Capitol or from some other thing. | ||
| And then, you know, I think they're going to escalate in Ukraine. | ||
| They're testing that hypersonic nuclear missile tonight. | ||
| The only benefit of Kamala winning is that she might let Netanyahu fall in Israel. | ||
| And even that, I don't know about because her admin's going to be staffed with Zionists just like Biden's was. | ||
| You know, Brett McGurk is going to hang on. | ||
| They're all going to hang on. | ||
| So even that's overstated, and I don't want to overstate that case. | ||
| What do you think about the protests in Israel now? | ||
| Because Netanyahu just fired the security minister, didn't he? | ||
|
unidentified
|
What do you think about that? | |
| Well, it's a very unstable situation. | ||
| You know, the security apparatus wants to end the war because it's high casualties. | ||
| They're getting fucked up by Hezbollah. | ||
| They invaded a month ago. | ||
| They've made no progress. | ||
| They still have not been able to control the Gaza Strip. | ||
| Iran is about to hit them. | ||
| And so, you know, the security apparatus is saying, okay, we got to wrap this up. | ||
| We got to do negotiations. | ||
| Netanyahu knows the minute the war is over, he's finished. | ||
| So he's fired Yov Galant for the second time. | ||
| He's going to purge Shin Bet and purge the chief of staff. | ||
| They're protesting again. | ||
| I think the government's in free fall. | ||
| But I think that if Trump wins, he's going to bail him out. | ||
| And I think maybe that's why Netanyahu made the decision tonight. | ||
| It's a hedge against a Trump victory, you know, because Yov Galant is an ally of the Democrats and the Europeans. | ||
| Whereas, you know, Netanyahu has all his people in the Trump admin. | ||
| So it's a high risk play, but I think it's going to pay off because Trump is going to get in and going to support everything that they do over there. | ||
| But, you know, Harris would let him fall. | ||
| I have a crazy conspiracy theory, but you are more versed than I on this particular subject. | ||
| So I want you to hear me out. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Sure. | |
| Isn't Israel's Reason for existing. | ||
| Because Iran is so evil. | ||
| And doesn't Iran keep control over its extremely diverse population because it's the only one which is the axis of resistance against Israel? | ||
| And don't you feel like these firefights back and forth that they always announce in advance and there's all these fireworks but nothing really gets blown up. | ||
| Don't you feel like these two countries kind of need each other for their own political stability internally and it's all just a big firework show and they're all kind of working together and it's like, you do this, I do this, we're kind of bad guys, but we're enemies, but really it's just to keep everyone under control. | ||
| Don't you think it's all, I don't know, when I saw all those missiles fly from Iran and then I couldn't find a single picture of any actual damage that mattered, I thought, something's weird here. | ||
| You think I'm crazy? | ||
| I don't think it's crazy, but I do think they are legitimately mortal enemies. | ||
| Because you could have said the same thing about the U.S. and the Soviet Union, but they fought brutally. | ||
| And when it was over, we totally tried to take all their land. | ||
| And the same is true with Israel and Iran. | ||
| Iran, the Middle East, there are three real countries. | ||
| You've got Turkey, Egypt, and Iran. | ||
| Those are the only countries with huge populations, a real sense of a national identity, any kind of real history. | ||
| In these other countries like Iraq, Syria, Saudi Arabia, they're tribes with flags. | ||
| That's what they say. | ||
| The nationhood is sort of a recent development. | ||
| And Iran has 100 million people. | ||
| They're super intelligent. | ||
| They have a strong sense of identity. | ||
| And what Israel fears about him is that. | ||
| And they also fear that Iran has influence over all the Shiite Muslims. | ||
| You know, Iran is a spiritual leader over that sect, just like the king of Saudi Arabia is for the Sunnis. | ||
| And so Iran influences the Shiites in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, in Saudi's eastern province, in Yemen, in Qatar, in Bahrain. | ||
| And so Iran really does challenge Israel's hegemony. | ||
| And if Iran is in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, they can touch Israel. | ||
| They can mess with Israel. | ||
| They can compete for supremacy or hegemony in the Middle East. | ||
| And I think that you look at the history of the last 60 years, Israel's just picked off every one of their enemies. | ||
| Egypt fell first when the U.S. pacified them with peace, then Jordan, then Iraq with the war, then Syria, then Libya. | ||
| You know, the Gulf came somewhere along the way. | ||
| Maybe they were always in the pocket. | ||
| And now once Iran falls, Israel is the hegemon for the whole region. | ||
| They control all the oil, all the trade routes, which are so profitable, all the energy, the confluence between Euroasia, Africa, which is like the world island, what they call it. | ||
| I think it's some serious protocols of elders of Zion stuff like they are the center of a world system. | ||
| I think those are their ambitions. | ||
| But don't they need an enemy to unify their populace? | ||
| The reason North Korea keeps talking about America all the time is to keep everyone under control. | ||
| So you need an enemy to unify behind. | ||
| That's what makes it very easy to unify the populace. | ||
| So what would be Israel's reason for existence if Iran disappeared and started behaving? | ||
| Then what happens? | ||
| Then it's just another country in the Middle East that has to geopolitically trade and financially trade with all the other countries around it. | ||
| And how can they expand and attack and do all this crazy shit unless they have this enemy, which is... | ||
| I'm not saying Hezbollah are not real resistance. | ||
| I'm saying that they truly believe in what they're doing and they are sponsored by Iran. | ||
| I'm saying that. | ||
| But I'm also saying that sometimes, you know, maybe perhaps it's my paranoia from growing up on the street. | ||
| You see these two drug gangs that are supposed to be enemies, but the leaders kind of meet in private and you'd be surprised how the foot soldiers die. | ||
| But among the top, there's kind of an understanding about certain things. | ||
| Well, I would say in the first place, Turkey could always fill that role. | ||
| You know, Erdogan, they said, is like a new Hitler. | ||
| And Turkey and Israel have been allies for a long time, but, you know, Erdogan sort of re-Islamizing it. | ||
| So that could fill that role. | ||
| But at the same time, I mean, I think you're just right. | ||
| Like, Israel will suffer domestically. | ||
| Like, nothing has unified Israel other than this attack on October 7th. | ||
| Like, the left evaporated. | ||
| And so that did serve Netanyahu's purpose. | ||
| But I think what gives way to that is, you know, Israel is not, you know, because Israel has been fighting for survival for 80 years. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's a fact. | |
| Not even, like, a constructed political reality. | ||
| They were getting invaded all the time by Egypt and Syria. | ||
| And then they were getting hit by missiles from Iraq. | ||
| So they're literally at a point now where they're just basically safe. | ||
| I think when they take Iran out, it's like a golden age dawns. | ||
| And there'll be more domestic strife. | ||
| But I don't think the state will come apart because of it. | ||
| And they'll always fight with Muslims. | ||
| Muslims will never accept them. | ||
| So they'll find new enemies. | ||
| But you're right, that pressure will go away. | ||
| It'll have the same effect as when the Soviet Union fell and the United States had no rival. | ||
| And then we became weak. | ||
| That victory defeated us, so to speak. | ||
| Something similar will happen there. | ||
| I'm gonna bring Myron on. | ||
| I'm gonna bring Myron Games on. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay. | |
| I'm gonna bring Myron on. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Put it on the screen. | |
| What's up, guys? | ||
|
unidentified
|
How you doing? | |
| What's going on? | ||
| Good, good, good. | ||
| Good to see you guys, man. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Have you been listening? | |
| We're talking about Trump and the culture, and Nick knows all the politics. | ||
| He knows all the names of the people. | ||
| It's like, bro, I don't fucking know. | ||
| He's talking about some dude. | ||
| I mean, I kind of know, but really, I just want to troll the libtards, and I just want to tell girls that they're idiots and that no one listens to their votes and make fun of them for having periods. | ||
| I know that that's kind of a stupid reason to vote for somebody. | ||
|
Ridiculous Indictments?
00:03:38
|
||
| But I want to make it clear that, you know, I'm kind of one of those globalists now. | ||
| I've got that kind of money and I live in different places and it could all burn. | ||
| I'll just go to Tokyo and buy a fucking penthouse. | ||
| It doesn't matter to me so much. | ||
| I just want to piss everyone off and I think Trump will annoy them the most. | ||
| Yeah, absolutely, man. | ||
| I mean, people are losing their minds because there's a high likelihood that he might win this election, you know, which obviously is great because he'll get a little bit of redemption. | ||
| And I think the other important thing, too, that people need to understand that if Trump loses this election, he's going to go to jail. | ||
| The judge out of New York, Merchant, has a hard-on for him. | ||
| They're obviously going to try to jail him. | ||
| Yeah, how is this shit allowed? | ||
| Like, I'm in Romania dealing with the Romanian system, and I thought that was bad. | ||
| Like, how the fuck is this even allowed? | ||
|
unidentified
|
So who is this? | |
| Like, explain to all of our viewers who are not American, who is this woman? | ||
| What's going on? | ||
| So long story short, the state of New York aggressively pursued Trump on a bullshit charge called falsifying business records that had to do with his real estate dealings, right? | ||
| Him basically, it had to do with him getting loans. | ||
| They're saying that he was falsifying his records. | ||
| Now, normally this is a misdemeanor charge in the state of New York. | ||
| It's almost never charged as a felony. | ||
| But Alvin Bragg, the attorney general for the state, In New York, campaigned on going after Trump. | ||
| So they were trying to look for anything to get him charged and indicted because they wanted to be the first ones to be able to indict a sitting president, which, you know, in his many different criminal cases, the state of New York was first. | ||
| So they had a hard-on pursuing him for this, and it's a charge that's never charged, man. | ||
| It was basically a witch hunt, and they were able to go ahead and get him indicted on this and convicted. | ||
| And he went to trial, and you guys know he lost. | ||
| And he's supposed to be sentenced at the end of this month. | ||
| He was supposed to be sentenced earlier on, but they ended up pushing it back. | ||
| So he's been appealing it. | ||
| But there's a high likelihood that they're going to try to jail him for this and send him to Rikers Island. | ||
| Do you think anything will wake up the American population? | ||
| Don't you think putting him in jail would make people think, what the fuck? | ||
| Or do you think people would just be like, yeah, whatever? | ||
| Yeah, I mean, it's ridiculous because he's been indicted four different times. | ||
| For those that are unaware, he got indicted twice federally, once in Florida and then in the Southern District of Florida on a documents case, having classified documents. | ||
| Another one in Washington, D.C. for the insurrection. | ||
| And then also in two state charges in Georgia on a RICO, And, | ||
| you know, definitely political prosecution in my opinion. | ||
| I have a question because obviously I don't know anything. | ||
| I'm just, I'm one of them global elites who's dealing with his own cases. | ||
| I don't fucking know shit. | ||
| Nick, Nick, we'll start with Nick. | ||
| Nick, what do you think the world will look like in 50 years? | ||
| Should I give you my prediction first or should you tell me yours first? | ||
| Why don't you go ahead first? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Should I go ahead? | |
| I think that the Middle East is going to be the powerhouse for the next 50 or 60 years because they've got the energy. | ||
| I think that China's too alien to attract global financialized capital, but Dubai and Oman and Bahrain and these countries aren't. | ||
|
Rich Moving to Dubai
00:15:52
|
||
|
unidentified
|
Saudi. | |
| Saudi. | ||
| I can talk from personal experience. | ||
| I don't know a single rich person, not one, who isn't moving money to Dubai. | ||
| Not a single person with money isn't moving money to Dubai, especially in Europe. | ||
| I don't know about America, but every single millionaire all over Europe is moving money to Dubai. | ||
| I bought a house in Dubai three years ago. | ||
| for 17 million dollars and it's doubled doubled in three years there's no taxes there's no crime everyone's putting money there no inheritance tax so there's a big brain drain and financial drain i think that the middle east is going to run things for a while because china's too alien and and foreigners don't and westerners don't want to live there and then i think china is going to take over that's what i think is going to happen i think that The Western world is going to, | ||
| although we may vote right, we may get Trump, we may get whatever, it's going to continue down, perhaps a slowed down path of what it's currently on, which is faggot gay diversity bullshit, until it all just collapses. | ||
| And when it all collapses, the people who are in charge of the money don't really give a shit what collapses, because there's always somewhere else to live. | ||
| They just want to know what's going to happen in advance. | ||
| And I feel like America is a sinking ship right now, and everyone's already raiding the cupboards on the Titanic. | ||
| The whole Western world is, especially Europe. | ||
| All the people with money who I talk to already understand where it's all going to lead, and they're just trying to profit from it as opposed to stop it. | ||
| And I think in 50 years it's going to be the Middle East, which is primary globally, and then China comes after. | ||
| Yeah, I think that's a good bet. | ||
| I mean, you look at the investments the Gulf states are making, they're taking their enormous oil wealth and they're investing it into the green energy transition and tourism. | ||
| And, you know, so they're really building a foundation for stability. | ||
| The only problem with the Gulf states is they have very small populations with like a huge foreign workforce. | ||
| And so that could create stability challenges, especially for the rule of, say, the House of Saud over Saudi Arabia. | ||
| It's very tenuous. | ||
| I agree with you, but look at UAE now. | ||
| It's 85% immigrants in Dubai. | ||
| 85%. | ||
| But because the Emiratis are treated as first-class citizens and you're always a second-class citizen, they manage to retain absolute control. | ||
| Everyone fears it and it's still a very safe place and everyone knows that if you crash into their car, it was your fault no matter what. | ||
| And you're just a second-class citizen to them. | ||
| So they've managed to retain control. | ||
| I mean, at 85% immigration rate, to have no crime and for them to still be in charge of everything is pretty impressive, to be honest. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I agree. | |
| Yeah, it's a powerful city-state. | ||
| But, you know, it could be a powerful city-state into the future. | ||
| You could see it being like a Switzerland situation or something like that. | ||
| Or like Singapore. | ||
| You know, Singapore is super rich, super powerful. | ||
| Well, you know, in a certain respect. | ||
| So, I agree with that. | ||
| But I think, you know, the big thing is looking at populations. | ||
| And every country in the world is going to have a population drop-off, taper-off by the middle of the century, you know. | ||
| China's already on their way. | ||
| India's headed towards the same fate. | ||
| Every country other than those in Africa. | ||
| Africa's having a population boom and it'll keep going. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Real niggers! | |
| For real, dude. | ||
|
unidentified
|
For real. | |
| Straight up. | ||
| We perform the natural obligations. | ||
| That's what they're good at. | ||
| So they're going to have 100 kids each. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yes, I am. | |
| 6 million kids each. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Yes, I am. | ||
| And they're going to be everywhere. | ||
| If you want to look at the future, look at who's having kids, obviously. | ||
| It's going to be like World War Z when they're climbing on top of each other to breach the wall. | ||
| That's going to be like the Western world. | ||
| It's going to be like Game of Thrones. | ||
| Giant wall, Africans pouring over the top. | ||
| We all have to unite to prevent them from coming in or something like that. | ||
| But they're going to be big. | ||
| And the economies in Asia are going to be huge, like Indonesia, India, and even a lot of these middle powers like South Africa, Ethiopia. | ||
| It's going to be a multipolar world. | ||
| There's going to be a lot of competition. | ||
| You're right, China and America, India will be the big players. | ||
| The thing is, though, AI is going to change everything. | ||
| We don't even know. | ||
| Like, imagine predicting what the Internet's effect would be. | ||
| So AI is like a fifth industrial wave, fifth generation technology. | ||
| It's going to transform everything in ways we can't imagine. | ||
| But I would also say... | ||
| We could be facing a big energy problem. | ||
| It might be significantly less electricity in 50 years because we've basically reached peak oil. | ||
| Global discoveries of new oil sources are not increasing. | ||
| Shale has kind of got us from 2008 to here, but it's not going to last much longer. | ||
| And if we don't get like nuclear and renewables going, it's going to be the end of cheap, abundant energy, resource wars. | ||
| It's going to be a lot of drought, not enough clean water, wars over the critical minerals for the energy transition, lithium, cobalt, nickel. | ||
| So, you know, it could potentially be a very ugly and dark world. | ||
| And the global planners are really counting on AI to solve everything. | ||
| They're encouraging depopulation because they know we don't have the resources to power the standard of living of Westerners and everybody else with the 10 billion people on the planet. | ||
| So they want fewer people. | ||
| It's not going to be enough. | ||
| There's still going to be scarcity. | ||
| And so they're going to rely on AI to just make everything more efficient and You know, it might be enough, it might not be enough, but, you know, it could be a very dark, like, talking about dark ages, like, de-industrialization worldwide. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Or it could be better than ever. | |
| What do you think, Myron? | ||
| I agree with you. | ||
| Especially the depopulation point. | ||
| They're trying to stop everyone having kids. | ||
| They hate me and Tristan. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We won't stop. | |
| They fucking hate our asses. | ||
| So my thing, man, when I voted today, my number one thing was foreign policy. | ||
| And I think this is something that a lot of Americans are very stupid about, is they don't understand that we're literally on the cusp of World War III and Israel's trying to drag us into a war. | ||
| And that has many ramifications from a domino perspective. | ||
| Israel, and I know everybody here on the panel already knows this, but Israel's been provoking a war now for several months by assassinating top members of Hamas, Hezbollah. | ||
| They've been, you know, exploding pagers, killing people on foreign dignitaries in Tehran. | ||
| They've been trying to incite a war here for a bit. | ||
| And the issue here is that if we get involved in this conflict, Right? | ||
| And then we come in and we get dragged in. | ||
| There's a high likelihood that Russia might also come involved to support Iran. | ||
| And I don't think war is in our best interest at this point. | ||
| And with Kamala, a lot of the people that are supporting her, the Republicans that are supporting her, the same fucking neocons that took us to war with Iraq back in the early 2000s. | ||
| And I think also another thing that people need to be aware of why we shouldn't go to war is that America doesn't have the same hegemony that we used to have before. | ||
| Russia, we've sanctioned them with 15,000 plus sanctions, but their economy has gotten stronger. | ||
| They're the fifth strongest economy despite the sanctions. | ||
| So we don't have the same power that we think we did after World War II. We're not the same world power. | ||
| And we need to kind of act in a way where these are formidable opponents and we need to respect our opponents because they're nuclear capable as well, especially, you know, Russia has more nukes than we do. | ||
| And on top of that, we can't cripple them with sanctions like we thought we could because Putin's holding on to a bunch of gold because he saw this coming in. | ||
| They started acquiring gold in 2013. | ||
| And they've been just ramping it up because they kind of knew that they were going to be the subject of sanctions and they put themselves in a good place. | ||
| And then on top of that, you have BRICS. They had a big summit like a week or two ago where they're trying to destabilize the US dollar. | ||
| And unless you're paying attention to the global geopolitical spaces, a lot of Americans don't even know this stuff. | ||
| They're more concerned with like, you know, inflation and reproductive fucking rights with hoes versus what the fuck is going to go on and where we might end up with a nuclear war. | ||
| By letting Israel do whatever the fuck that they're doing, because Netanyahu is running wild now between the genocide in Gaza, him provoking war with Hezbollah, trying to do a ground assault in Lebanon, and then obviously striking Iran. | ||
| So I think foreign policy is extremely important because if we don't take care of this, we could put ourselves in a very precarious situation and our opponents are far more formidable than we give them credit for. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, it's really interesting. | |
| I don't want to be blackpilled or be a doomer in any way. | ||
| That's the last thing I want to be. | ||
| But it is kind of interesting where I listen to all these different points of view, and I'm not emotional about any point of view. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Like, I don't truly give a shit. | |
| I'm not emotional about it, but... | ||
| I do understand what everyone's saying. | ||
| And it's kind of interesting that the things that other countries take as standard and acceptable, like you can't run China unless you're Chinese. | ||
| In the West, we're not allowed to do it. | ||
| And I'm not even going to talk about American politics. | ||
| I consider myself more English than American. | ||
| I grew up in England. | ||
| I left America when I was like seven. | ||
| So I'm more English. | ||
| But if you look at England now, there's not a single English person in charge of anything at all. | ||
| And it's just like, and it's fallen into a complete dystopian shithole. | ||
| And I think the statistics are quite interesting. | ||
| England lost the most millionaires last year, I think, of any industrialized nation. | ||
| Every single, look it up, every single English person I know with money is going to Dubai. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All! | |
| They're all just going, if I have to live amongst the Arabs, let me at least avoid the crime. | ||
| They're just fucking leaving. | ||
| And it's like they're destroying their tax base. | ||
| I'll tell you another thing that's interesting about Europe now. | ||
| I don't know about America, because America still has one thing over other countries, and it's that you're allowed to be rich in America. | ||
| Like, if you're rich in Romania, you're a criminal. | ||
| Even if you've never done anything wrong. | ||
| You're rich, you're a criminal. | ||
| That's how you're viewed. | ||
| Whereas if you're rich in America, it's like, okay, he's rich, he's a fucking businessman, who gives a shit? | ||
| But I'll tell you what's happening in Europe that's really interesting that no one's talking about now in the political spaces, but you can do a bit of research and you'll be amazed. | ||
| If you have any money At all, in any bank, you're getting hit with fucking charges. | ||
| They are after you for money. | ||
| If you have a bank in Poland, Polish prosecutors, you have a bank in Romania, Germany, anywhere, you're getting hit with all these charges and investigations. | ||
| I don't know how bankrupt these people are, but if you have any kind of bank balance, you're getting hit by tax authorities and left, right, and it's not just me, I'm talking about everyone I know with money, and that's why they're all taking their money out. | ||
| They're destroying their tax space. | ||
| I mean, look at Germany. | ||
| VW's closing down, for fuck's sake. | ||
| It's like the last factory in Europe we're about to lose. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So I don't know. | |
| I think Europe's going to burn first, and Americans can enjoy watching Europe and see the future of America. | ||
| I think the world is cyclical. | ||
| You're not going to be able to keep it afloat forever. | ||
| But I think Europe's about 30, 40 years ahead of the decline. | ||
| But I really believe places like England, especially London, et cetera, they've got 20 years left before they're literally unlivable. | ||
| People forget that England used to be the world's superpower and they were the reserve currency. | ||
| You know what I mean? | ||
| It was the greatest superpower the world has ever seen. | ||
| Absolutely. | ||
| And, you know, we have that title now, but we can lose it by making bad, you know, foreign policy decisions. | ||
| And I think Israel, which a lot of people don't talk about, a lot of these political commentators are too scared to talk about Israel. | ||
| You know, that's why I love Nick so much because, and you guys, because we're some of the few guys that are willing to go ahead and talk about this bullshit. | ||
| If you go look at any big political commentator right now in the right wing, all of them show for Israel. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All of them do. | |
| And they don't identify the problem that we have a foreign nation that occupies our government, the British government, et cetera, because they have an AIPAC equivalent over there in England. | ||
| They have an AIPAC equivalent in Australia. | ||
| They just barred Candace Owens from entering Australia. | ||
| And they're less than 1% of the population in Australia. | ||
| So there's a fucking problem here that no one wants to talk about, and it's the occupation of our governments by a foreign entity that is headquartered out of Tel Aviv. | ||
| That's the fucking reality that no one wants to say, because they drive a lot of our foreign policy, especially in the Middle East. | ||
| And, you know, there's this whole concept of the Arab world hates Americans or whatever, or, you know, They hate us because of our freedom, et cetera. | ||
| No, they hate us because of our support of Israel. | ||
| That's why they really hate us. | ||
| We never had issues with the Middle East after World War II until we really started to support Israel because they look at it like, hey, Israel wouldn't be able to be in this position where they're bombing and killing innocent people if it weren't for U.S. support from a financial and from a military perspective. | ||
| So Israel caused a lot of the fucking problems that we have from a foreign perspective. | ||
| And no one wants to call it out on the right. | ||
| Do you think that European countries would be successful if they operate with a system like the UAE in regards to you're allowed to come, you're allowed to be a migrant, you're allowed to come for money, but you're always going to be a second-class citizen to the natives? | ||
| Or do you think the countries are too big? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Because it's easy with a city-state. | |
| It's harder with 400 million people. | ||
| That's a good question, man. | ||
| Because I did go to the UAE a few times, and I really did like how clean it was, how safe it was. | ||
| Like you said, there's a lot of British money over there. | ||
| No taxes. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| I think we're too far gone where we would... | ||
| Because that's the thing. | ||
| They keep crime down by having that two-tier justice system you just mentioned. | ||
| If you're an Emirati and you get caught with drugs, they'll put you in rehab. | ||
| But if you're a foreigner, you're going to go to jail. | ||
|
unidentified
|
For a long time. | |
| Well, a long-ass time, right? | ||
| It incentivizes foreigners from committing crimes, which is one way to kind of deal with it. | ||
| But I think in the West, since we've kind of propped ourselves up as like a nation of immigrants in a melting pot, as they like to say, it might be a little too far gone for us to try to institute the system where, hey, if you foreigners come in, we're going to institute heavy penalties against you from a legal perspective if you commit crimes here. | ||
| Well, it is certainly too far gone in Europe. | ||
| It's certainly too far gone in Europe. | ||
| And I get in trouble for saying this. | ||
| I recently said that Community Notes did a gotcha moment on me. | ||
| I said, well, why is the leader of the Conservative Party now a Nigerian woman? | ||
| An Indian man, now it's a Nigerian woman. | ||
| And Community Notes got me. | ||
| She was born in Wimbledon. | ||
|
unidentified
|
She's English. | |
| I'm like... | ||
| Look, I understand that she's English. | ||
| This isn't the gotcha moment that you think it is, Community Notes. | ||
| When I say a Nigerian person, what I mean is her parents are from Nigeria. | ||
| I have a child who is born of an English mother here in Romania. | ||
| That child is not Romanian. | ||
| Romanians don't think it's Romanian. | ||
| And if the child had been born one hour drive south, would my child then be Bulgarian? | ||
|
unidentified
|
No. | |
| The child is English because I'm English and his mother is English. | ||
| So when I said Nigerian women shouldn't be leader of political parties in the United Kingdom, Everyone lost their shit and started correcting me about how English she was. | ||
| And my simple standpoint was like, no. | ||
| In World War I, her ancestors were not fighting for England in World War I. In Horatio Nelson's fleet in the 1800s, her ancestors weren't aboard those ships. | ||
| All the brave men of England who did all the great things to build the empire and to maintain England wanted to pass England on, literally, to their kids and to their families. | ||
| That's why they did it. | ||
| That's why they fought the French and the Spanish. | ||
| And Nigerians, I don't think, should be the leaders of England. | ||
| I have an interesting question for you both, because, you know, I talk so much shit. | ||
| I like to listen sometimes. | ||
| Do you think a country can even be based on freedom? | ||
| Can you even unify a country behind that? | ||
| And when I ask that question, the reason I'm asking is because if you look at other nations, right? | ||
| You have Islam that unifies Saudi Arabia, for example. | ||
| You have the Russian flag and the struggles of old that unify Russia. | ||
| Communism that unifies North Korea and China. | ||
| Yeah, but no, it's only America primarily. | ||
| The Europe tried to come along and tries to hold onto the coattails that has this idea of... | ||
| Freedom is the unifying factor. | ||
| But of course, that's always going to be a lie because if there's endless freedom, you have chaos. | ||
| I mean, freedom is Somalia. | ||
| So you can't have freedom because you have a government and you have laws. | ||
| And in fact, you have more laws than any other country on earth. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, Somalia is more free than America. | |
| So how do you even unify a country with the idea of freedom? | ||
| Because there's so many things you're not allowed to do. | ||
| Which is why they promote the degeneracy, by the way, in case anyone's concerned. | ||
|
Surviving Liberalism's Demise
00:03:06
|
||
| The reason they push all this dumb shit to the front all the time is not only to destroy society, but it's also to say, look, we're free because you can't be a tranny over there. | ||
| But in reality, you can't do anything important in America that you're not allowed to do in other places. | ||
| You don't really have much freedom for anything than you do have in Saudi or Russia or anywhere else. | ||
| You're just allowed to do the fucking degenerate dumb shit that no one wants to do anyway. | ||
| So how do you even unify a country behind the idea of freedom without chaos? | ||
| How do you unify a country behind the idea of freedom without multi-ethnicity, without open border, without fucking gay bullshit? | ||
| Like, how do you even have a country unified behind freedom? | ||
| Because if you unify it behind certain ideals and fuck the freedom off, like Russia, then you can say, of course you can't come here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You're not Russian. | |
| Fuck you. | ||
| No faggots. | ||
| Well, America can't do that. | ||
| So how does it work? | ||
| Well, it's kind of tough because, you know, freedom has also gone hand in hand with globalization. | ||
| You know, you could have a country that has liberty, but the problem is, you know, these developments in modernity over the past few hundred years, which is, you know, people kind of becoming self-conscious of themselves. | ||
| It's individualism. | ||
| It's the fact that these nations are smashing into each other. | ||
| Because this is really a novel development. | ||
| These massive migrations of people from the south to the north by planes and buses and everything seeking economic opportunity. | ||
| This demographic transition is somewhat novel. | ||
| It's not the first time populations have moved, but this global scale, the very nature of it. | ||
| So it's really sort of unique to our time. | ||
| And I guess it's a question if the whole world is going to survive liberalism. | ||
| Will any nations survive liberalism? | ||
| When people sort of become self-conscious of ideas and themselves. | ||
| Because Europe is really just the place where it happened first. | ||
| Maybe it's the only place where it can happen. | ||
| But Europeans became aware of these things like philosophy and the mind and consciousness and all that. | ||
| And then they decided to create these places like in France and the United States in particular, where they said, we're going to base the nation on a concept. | ||
| We're going to have a propositional nation. | ||
| It's going to be a country that we design. | ||
| Whereas every other country says, well, it's the immortal, eternal principle of the English or the Russians or the Hungarians or the Romans or whatever. | ||
| America and France were the blueprint. | ||
| Then all of Europe became Republican or Democratic. | ||
| All of Europe became individualist and liberal and has elections. | ||
| Now, every country has elections. | ||
| Iran has elections. | ||
| Russia has elections. | ||
| They have elections in Africa. | ||
| And so, you know, it's really like... | ||
| European civilization, which is not going to survive, we're going to be supplanted by people that don't really understand those things, are taking advantage of those things, and then we'll reassert the ancient things, which is tribe, nation, you know, ancient tradition, superstition, things like that. | ||
|
Big Election Developments
00:15:49
|
||
| That's why it's so dark and scary. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So... | |
| No, I don't think you can. | ||
| You know, you kind of – you sort of have to be collectivist. | ||
| You have to be racialist. | ||
| You have to be a traditionalist. | ||
| If you're not those things, you don't survive. | ||
| But I guess this is sort of the ultimate test. | ||
| But I got to run. | ||
| There's some big developments in the election, and there's going to be another big polls closing in 15 minutes. | ||
| So I'm going to jump out of here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right, bro. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| If anything big happens, let us know. | ||
| Yes, he won North Carolina. | ||
| That's the big division. | ||
| So Trump is on his way. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I think this is his to lose. | |
| I think it's over. | ||
| But thanks for having me on the panel. | ||
| Myron, Andrew, Tristan, good talking to you guys. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'll catch up with you later. | |
| Let's think for one more show coming up in the next couple weeks. | ||
| Let's think how you would unify. | ||
| Let's put together a blueprint how you could unify a country behind the guise of freedom without all of these horrible words that were called. | ||
| And let's see if it's even possible or if this is one big psyop because I think that'd be a very interesting episode. | ||