Jan. 15, 2024 - America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes
07:07:30
Participants
| 
| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| A willingness nightmare born from the prettiest dreams. | ||
| Millions of people trying to get on the scene. | ||
| And everyone's selling their souls. | ||
| Everyone's selling their- Everyone's saying they won't, but they sleepwalking dead eyes closed. | ||
| L.A. | ||
| Monster. | ||
| I pray the Lord my soul to keep. | ||
| Lord, save these people. | ||
| Let us sleep. | ||
| They let it sink in one day. | ||
| Jesus, save us from L.A. | ||
| Play monster. | ||
| I am limelighter. | ||
| Blueprint by Mike. | ||
| Go get his Rhyme-Lite. | ||
| Should've been signed twice. | ||
| Most imitated. | ||
| Grammy nominated. | ||
| Hotel accommodated. | ||
| Cheerleader prom dated. | ||
| Barbershop player hated. | ||
| Mom and Pop boufflésed it. | ||
| Felt like it rained till the roof caved in. | ||
| Two words. | ||
| Shottown crazy. | ||
| Crazy. | ||
| So I live by two words. | ||
| Fuck you, pay me! | ||
|
unidentified
|
Pays the queens. | |
| Teases stages. | ||
| You know how the game be. | ||
| I can't let him change me. | ||
| Don't judge me, Jason. | ||
| I'm sorry. | ||
| Sorry to keep you waiting, complicated business. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The more that a broken system tells you that you're wrong, the more certain you should be that you must keep the more certain you should be that you must keep pushing ahead. | |
| Because it's the outsiders who change the world. | ||
| And it'll make a real and lasting difference. | ||
| Nothing worth doing ever came easy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation. | |
| The future belongs to the people who follow their heart no matter what the critics say. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We must always remember that we share one home, And one glorious destiny. | |
| We all bleed the same red blood of patriots. | ||
| We all salute the same great American flag. | ||
| Our best days are yet to come. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I am officially running for president of the United States. | |
| We need a leader. | ||
| I will be the greatest jobs president that God ever created. | ||
| It can be wonderful if you have smart people, but we have people that are stupid. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| The American dream is dead. | ||
| But if I get elected president, I will bring it back bigger and better and stronger than ever before. | ||
| The American dream. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And we will make America great again. | |
| We will make America great again. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| We will make America great again. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| We will make America great again. | ||
| America great again. | ||
| Napoleon, Alexander the Great, Donald Trump were all cut from the same cloth. | ||
| And that cloth is very, very large. | ||
| It's not too big, is it? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hey. | |
| Look at yourself. | ||
| It's wrong, isn't it? | ||
| It feels so right. | ||
| It's wrong, isn't it? | ||
| It feels so right. | ||
| And it's a deal. | ||
| I put together some real recipes. | ||
| I like that. | ||
| Go, Gigger, go home. | ||
| Go, Gigger, go Gigger, go home. go home. | ||
| Hey, Douglas. | ||
| Oh, thank you. | ||
| Great. | ||
| Thank you very much. | ||
| This is my song. | ||
| Just a minute. | ||
| Are you begging her? | ||
| Huh? | ||
| Are you? | ||
| What are you doing? | ||
| Are you just mad? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm calling this. | |
| No. | ||
| Look at this right here on the street. | ||
| It's Donald Trump. | ||
| What do you want? | ||
| My new game is Trump the game. | ||
| Trump the game. | ||
| This sounds like political presidential talk. | ||
| You said, though, that if you did run for president, you'd believe you'd win. | ||
| I like that. | ||
| I would say that I would have a hell of a chance of winning. | ||
| Maybe I want to lose. | ||
| I've never wanted to lose in my life. | ||
| I don't know how your audience feels, but I think people are tired of seeing the United States ripped off. | ||
| Who's the guy on the floor, right? | ||
| Kevin. | ||
| Okay, kids, make it fast. | ||
| I've got to play together. | ||
| We created a magazine. | ||
| Mr. Trump, we can do it. | ||
| Scam cheese. | ||
| Scam cheese. | ||
| Excuse me, personally. | ||
| I'm the boss. | ||
| Your male modeling would be what it is today. | ||
| I'm the boss. | ||
| I think you'll like it. | ||
| I think you want to fight before the title film. | ||
| You've got to be listening, buddy. | ||
| That's right. | ||
| You can't go back to the past. | ||
| That's what people always say, isn't it? | ||
| They say, can we really go back? | ||
| And the answer is, whether you're conservative or liberal, right what you're left with, the answer is no. | ||
| We're never going back. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's done. | |
| It's gone. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All of that is gone. | |
| But I would call myself something like a Christian futurist instead. | ||
| Because Jesus Christ was our past before any of us were born or conceived. | ||
| Jesus Christ is our present now. | ||
| And Jesus Christ is our future after we die on earth. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We want this century to be the most Christian century in the history of planet earth. | |
| I'm out. | ||
| We love everybody. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And we want people that can burn, really, more than anybody. | |
| But this country can no longer be held hostage by a small minority that doesn't believe in real hell. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The mission of our movement is to make this country a Christian country. | |
| The mission is to create a Christian, The only way we're going to do it is not by infiltrating, not by subverting, not by lying, which is what a lot of people do. | ||
| The only way that we're going to make it happen is with the fullness of a real Christian. | ||
| That's the only way. | ||
| We have got to be willing to die for Jesus Christ. | ||
| We have to want it more than they do. | ||
| Because there are thousands and millions and tens of millions and hundreds of millions of Christians ready to meet their final destiny. | ||
| Then nothing can stop us and nothing will. | ||
| We have to want it more than we do. | ||
| We have to want it more than we do. | ||
| We have to want it more than we do. | ||
| We have to want it more than we do. | ||
| We have to want it more than we do. | ||
| Years from now, some of them may look back and ask themselves whether they've made the right choice, whether they've made the most of the opportunities they've been given. | ||
| Together, we have the same mission. | ||
| Over the course of your life, you will find that things are not always fair. | ||
| You will find that things happen to you that you do not deserve and that are not always warranted. | ||
| But you have to put your head down and fight, fight, fight. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Never, ever, ever give up. | |
| Don't give in, don't back down, and never stop doing what you know is right. | ||
| Nothing worth doing ever, ever, ever came easy. | ||
| And the more righteous your fight, the more opposition that you will face. | ||
| In your hearts are inscribed the values of service, sacrifice, and devotion. | ||
| Now you must go forth into the world and turn your hopes and dreams into action. | ||
| America has always been the land of dreams because America is a nation of true believers. | ||
| When the pilgrims landed at Plymouth, they prayed. | ||
| When the founders wrote the Declaration of Independence, they invoked our creator four times. | ||
| Because in America, we don't worship government, we worship God. | ||
| It is why our currency proudly declares, in God we trust. | ||
| And it's why we proudly proclaim that we are one nation under God. | ||
| The story of America is the story of an adventure That began with deep faith, big dreams, and humble beginnings. | ||
| The next generation of American leaders never, ever give up. | ||
|
unidentified
|
There'll be times in your life you'll want to quit. | |
| Never quit. | ||
| Never stop fighting for what you believe in and for the people who care about you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Carry yourself with dignity and pride. | |
| Demand the best from yourself. | ||
| The more people tell you it's not possible, that it can't be done, the more you should be absolutely determined to prove them wrong. | ||
| Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation. | ||
| Relish the opportunity to be an outsider. | ||
| The more that a broken system tells you that you're wrong, the more certain you should be that you must keep pushing ahead. | ||
| You must keep pushing forward. | ||
| And always have the courage to be yourself. | ||
| America is better when people put their faith into action. | ||
| Pray to God and follow his teachings. | ||
| Today, each of you begins a new chapter as well. | ||
| When your story goes from here, it will be defined by your vision, your perseverance, and your grit. | ||
| You will build a future where we have the courage to chase our dreams no matter what the cynics and the doubters have to say. | ||
| You will have the confidence to speak the hopes in your hearts and to express the love that stirs your souls. | ||
| As long as you have pride in your beliefs, courage in your convictions, and faith in God, Then you will not fail. | ||
| As long as America remains true to its values, loyal to its citizens, and devoted to its creator, then our best days are yet to come. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| May God bless the United States of America. | ||
| And I just want to let you know that God blesses you. | ||
| And I want to just say, you are special in every way. | ||
| God bless you, and God bless America. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you very much. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| We are going to make our country great again. | ||
| I don't care if I ever come down. | ||
| Some summer as a man's tree, running with a crazy crowd. | ||
| I'm climbing, going higher. | ||
| I don't care if I ever come down. | ||
| Some summer as a man's tree, running with a crazy crowd. | ||
| I'm sorry, I've been missing, hair I was whipping around So tired, got my chin up, I don't care if I ever come down I don't care if I ever come down | ||
| I don't care if I ever come down | ||
| 69, now it's time for new, believable people And we must do it. | ||
| If we don't control insiders, this will be over and over. | ||
| To lead it by an A. Big, fat, love, find common ground. | ||
| To halt the spread of lies. | ||
| And we must do it. | ||
| Big, fat, love, find common ground. | ||
| To hold the spread of lies. | ||
| And any... | ||
| America first! | ||
|
unidentified
|
America first! | |
| Non-fatal. | ||
| We want to build a much better believable people. | ||
| And we must do it non-fatal. | ||
| Communication very much higher. | ||
| America first! | ||
| To lead by an egg. | ||
| Insiders fighting for insiders. | ||
| Time to stop. | ||
| Insiders fighting for insiders. | ||
| More of. | ||
| Insiders fighting for insiders. | ||
| Time to stop. | ||
| Insiders fighting for insiders. | ||
| America first! | ||
|
unidentified
|
69. | |
| Now it's time for new believable people. | ||
| And we must do it. | ||
| If we don't control insiders, this will be over and over. | ||
| To lead it by an A. Big, fat, love, find common ground. | ||
| To halt the spread of lies. | ||
| And we must do it. | ||
| Big, fat, love, find common ground. | ||
| To hold the spread of lies and aid. | ||
| America first. | ||
| America first. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Non-fatal. | |
| We want to build a much better, believable people. | ||
| And we must do it non-fatal. | ||
| Communication very much higher. | ||
| America First! | ||
|
unidentified
|
To lead it by an A. Insiders fighting for insiders. | |
| Time to stop. | ||
| Insiders fighting for insiders. | ||
| More of Insiders fighting for insiders. | ||
| Time to stop. | ||
| Insiders fighting for insiders. | ||
| America first. | ||
| Love does well. | ||
| President Obama will go down as perhaps the worst president in the history of the United States. | ||
| At real Donald Trump. | ||
| At real Donald Trump. | ||
| At least I will go down as a president. | ||
| Now America is once again. | ||
| Our movement is about replacing a failed and corrupt political establishment with a new government controlled by you, the American people. | ||
| Our movement is about replacing a failed and corrupt political establishment with a new government controlled by you, the American people. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We will make America great again. | |
| I love this country. | ||
| It's payback time. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're going to take our country back from these people! | |
| He will never be president. | ||
| president, I will move to Spain or somewhere. | ||
| We're going to win it so much. | ||
| We're going to win, win, win. | ||
| We will make America great again. | ||
| I love you. | ||
| We'll make America great I love you! | ||
| Miss President-elect? | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Monster. | ||
| I pray the Lord my soul to keep. | ||
| Lord save these people. | ||
| Let us stay safe. | ||
| Let it stay in one day. | ||
| Jesus save us from L.A. | ||
| L.A. Monster. | ||
| I am limelighted. | ||
| Blueprint vibe mic. | ||
| Go get his rhyme light. | ||
| Should've been signed twice. | ||
| Most imitated. | ||
| Grammy nominated. | ||
| Hotel accommodated. | ||
| Cheerleader prompted. | ||
| Barbershop player hated. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Mom and pop who played it. | |
| Felt like it rang to the roof, KD. | ||
| Two words, shot town crazy. | ||
| Crazy. | ||
| So I live by two words. | ||
| Fuck you, pay me. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Pages, greens. | |
| Teases, stages. | ||
| You know how the game be. | ||
| I can't let him change me. | ||
| Cause don't judge me, Jay. | ||
| I'm sorry. | ||
| Sorry to keep you waiting, complicated business. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The more that a broken system tells you that you're wrong, the more certain you should be that you must keep the more certain you should be that you must keep pushing ahead. | |
| Because it's the outsiders who change the world. | ||
| And it'll make a real and lasting difference. | ||
| Nothing worth doing ever came easy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation. | |
| The future belongs to the people who follow their heart no matter what the critics say. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We must always remember that we share one home, And one glorious destiny. | |
| We all bleed the same red blood of patriots. | ||
| We all salute the same great American flag. | ||
| Our best days are yet to come. | ||
| I am officially running for president of the United States. | ||
| We need a leader. | ||
| I will be the greatest jobs president that God ever created. | ||
| It can be wonderful if you have smart people. | ||
| But we have people that are stupid. | ||
| The American dream is dead. | ||
| But if I get elected president, I will bring it back. | ||
| Bigger and better and stronger than ever before. | ||
| The American dream. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| We will make America great again. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| We will make America great again. | ||
| And we will make America great again. | ||
| Napoleon, Alexander the Great, Donald Trump were all cut from the same cloth. | ||
| And that cloth is very, very large. | ||
| It's not too big, is it? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's wrong, isn't it? | |
| It feels so right. | ||
| It's wrong, isn't it? | ||
| It feels so right. | ||
| It's a deal. | ||
| I put together some really impressive deals. | ||
| I like that. | ||
| Go king or go home. | ||
| Donald Trump. | ||
| You know, you're really beautiful. | ||
| A woman who looks like that has to have her own special set. | ||
| It's the Donald. | ||
| Oh, my God. | ||
| Hey, Donald. | ||
| Oh, my God. | ||
| Thank you very much. | ||
| I'm Donald Francis West. | ||
| Listen, are you nagging here? | ||
| Huh? | ||
| Are you? | ||
| Are you doing this? | ||
| Are you just mad? | ||
| I'm calling this. | ||
| No. | ||
| I guess right here on the street, it's Donald Trump. | ||
| What are you, what? | ||
| What? | ||
| The Donald is here. | ||
| Everything's set for tonight, Mr. Trump. | ||
| I wonder what Trump's game is this time. | ||
| Trump's got a new day. | ||
| Trump's got a new deal. | ||
| What's your game, though? | ||
| Heard about Trump's new deal? | ||
| What? | ||
| Mr. Trump. | ||
| Heard about Trump. | ||
| That's right. | ||
| Trump has a new game. | ||
| What is it? | ||
| Mr. Trump. | ||
| I'm here. | ||
| My new game is Trump. | ||
| The game. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Trump. | |
| The game. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| This sounds like political presidential talk. | ||
| You said, though, that if you did run for president, you'd believe you'd win. | ||
| I would say that I would have a hell of a chance of winning. | ||
| I wouldn't go on to lose. | ||
| I've never gone on to lose in my life. | ||
| I don't know how your audience feels, but I think people are tired of seeing the United States ripped off. | ||
| There's the guy on the bar, right? | ||
| That's me. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| I'll be tough. | ||
| Okay, kids, make it fast. | ||
| I've got a plane to do it. | ||
| We created an idea. | ||
| Mr. Trump, what do you do? | ||
| Scalchie. | ||
| Scalchie. Scalchie. Scalchie. Scalchie. Scalchie. | ||
| Scalchie. | ||
| Excuse me. | ||
| Where's the money? | ||
| Down the wall. | ||
| Their male modeling would be what it is today. | ||
| Model. | ||
| I think you want to fight before the title comes. | ||
| You've got to be losing money. | ||
| That's right. | ||
| You can't go back to the past. | ||
| That's what people always say, isn't it? | ||
| They say, can we really go back? | ||
| And the answer is, whether you're conservative or liberal, right where you're left with, the answer is no. | ||
| We're never going back. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's done. | |
| It's gone. | ||
| All of that is gone. | ||
| But I would call myself something like a Christian futurist instead. | ||
| Because Jesus Christ was our past before any of us were born or conceived. | ||
| Jesus Christ is our present now. | ||
| And Jesus Christ is our future after we die on earth. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We want this century to be the most Christian century in the history of planet earth. | |
| We want this century to be the most Christian century in the history of planet earth. | ||
| We love everybody. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And we want people that can burn, really, more than anybody. | |
| But this country can no longer be held hostage by a small minority that doesn't believe in the real God. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The mission of our movement is to make this country a Christian country. | |
| The mission is to create a Christian, The only way we're gonna do it is not by infiltrating, not by subverting, not by lying, which is what a lot of people do. | ||
| The only way that we're gonna make this happen is with the fullness of a real Christian. | ||
| The only way. | ||
| We have got to be willing to die for Jesus Christ. | ||
| We have to want it more than they do. | ||
| Because there are thousands and millions and tens of millions and hundreds of millions of Christians ready to meet their final destiny. | ||
| Then nothing can stop us and nothing will. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| The President: Years from now, some of them may look back and ask themselves whether they've made the right choice. | ||
| Whether they've made the most of the opportunities they've been given. | ||
| Together, we have the same mission. | ||
| Over the course of your life, you will find that things are not always fair. | ||
| You will find that things happen to you that you do not deserve and that are not always warranted. | ||
| But you have to put your head down and fight, fight, fight. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Never, ever, ever give up. | |
| Don't give in, don't back down, and never stop doing what you know is right. | ||
| Nothing worth doing ever, ever, ever came easy. | ||
| And the more righteous your fight, the more opposition that you will face. | ||
| In your hearts are inscribed the values of service, sacrifice, and devotion. | ||
| Now you must go forth into the world and turn your hopes and dreams into action. | ||
| America has always been the land of dreams because America is a nation of true believers. | ||
| When the Pilgrims landed at Plymouth, They pray. | ||
| When the founders wrote the Declaration of Independence, they invoked our Creator four times. | ||
| Because in America, we don't worship government, we worship God. | ||
| It is why our currency proudly declares, In God We Trust. | ||
| And it's why we proudly proclaim, That we are one nation under God. | ||
| The story of America is the story of an adventure that began with deep faith, big dreams, and humble beginnings. | ||
| The next generation of American leaders never, ever give up. | ||
| There'll be times in your life you'll want to quit. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Never quit. | |
| Never stop fighting for what you believe in and for the people who care about you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Carry yourself with dignity and pride. | |
| Demand the best from yourself. | ||
| The more people tell you it's not possible, that it can't be done, the more you should be absolutely determined to prove them wrong. | ||
| Treat the word impossible as nothing more than motivation. | ||
| Relish the opportunity to be an outsider. | ||
| The more that a broken system tells you that you're wrong, the more certain you should be that you must keep pushing ahead. | ||
| You must keep pushing forward. | ||
| And always have the courage to be yourself. | ||
| America is better when people put their faith into action. | ||
| Pray to God and follow his teachings. | ||
| Today, each of you begins a new chapter as well. | ||
| When your story goes from here, it will be defined by your vision, your perseverance, and your grit. | ||
| You will build a future where we have the courage to chase our dreams no matter what the cynics and the doubters have to say. | ||
| You will have the confidence to speak the hopes in your hearts and to express the love that stirs your souls. | ||
| As long as you have pride in your beliefs, courage in your convictions, and faith in God, Then you will not fail. | ||
| As long as America remains true to its values, loyal to its citizens, and devoted to its creator, then our best days are yet to come. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| May God bless the United States of America. | ||
| And I just want to let you know that God blesses you. | ||
| And I want to just say, you are special in every way. | ||
| God bless you and God bless America. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you very much. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's going to be only America first. | |
| America first. | ||
| The American people will come first once again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
With respect, the respect that we deserve. | |
| From today forward, it's going to be only America First America. | ||
| America first. America first. America first. America | ||
| first. America | ||
| first. America first. America first. America first. America first. America first. America first. America first. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Good evening, everybody. | ||
| You're watching America First. | ||
| My name is Nicholas J. Fuentes. | ||
| We have a great show for you tonight. | ||
| Great stream. | ||
| And we're back here with you tonight on Monday for the live coverage of the results of the 2024 Iowa Caucus. | ||
| It's gonna be a big night and we're starting way earlier than we usually do. | ||
| It's currently 5 o'clock Central Time. | ||
| Which is considerably earlier. | ||
| Usually I'm on the other side of midnight. | ||
| But we're gonna be here all night tonight covering the results of the Republican Iowa Caucus. | ||
| And it's four candidates. | ||
| It's Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Ramaswamy. | ||
| We're expecting results in just shy of three hours. | ||
| So I'm gonna be live at least three hours. | ||
| And we'll be going over everything. | ||
| We'll be looking at the polling, we'll look at the election betting odds, we'll be watching live coverage of the different events, and the latest events with all the different candidates. | ||
| We'll watch Trump, Haley, DeSantis, and Vivek events, the most recent ones they've done. | ||
| And it's going to be a lot of fun! | ||
| We'll have Vince James calling in, maybe some other e-celebs if they want to pop over. | ||
| Just hit me up, you know, if there's any e-celebs want to jump on the stream, hit me up. | ||
| I didn't really bring on any guests because it's mainly, I think, gonna be me. | ||
| I'm wearing my Trump shirt. | ||
| I hope you guys are as well. | ||
| I got my Trump shirt. | ||
| I got my coffee. | ||
| And this is gonna be a fun night. | ||
| It's gonna be a big, big night. | ||
| And first, why don't we just check in on the live chat. | ||
| Let's see who's watching tonight. | ||
| If you're in the live chat, say what's up. | ||
| We're live exclusively on Rumble. | ||
| So, if you're watching this, you're on Rumble. | ||
| But if you're in the Rumble live chat, say hey! | ||
| I want to see who... Who do we got here watching tonight? | ||
| We got PrettyFlyWhiteGuy, of course. | ||
| KaiserRev, Natsaw, Greekoid, Anglozoomer, KebabRemover. | ||
| A lot of familiar faces. | ||
| HispanicIncel, Ptolemy, TwitterSucks. | ||
| It's going way too fast. | ||
| I can't even read it. | ||
| Laffy King, cool guy, Nathan Bonnell. | ||
| Nathan Bonnell. | ||
| I don't think that's a real one. | ||
| Vito Carlucci. | ||
| What's going on everybody? | ||
| I hope everybody's having a great night. | ||
| It's gonna be fun. | ||
| This is gonna be a fun night. | ||
| And this is the first contest of the 2024 presidential election. | ||
| Historically, it's actually pretty early. | ||
| I remember in years past, I think Iowa Caucus is usually later in the month. | ||
| Usually it's later in January. | ||
| I actually went to the most recent Republican Iowa Caucus, which was in 2016. | ||
| I was there. | ||
| I was a senior in high school and I drove there with two of my friends. | ||
| And I think this was January 31st, 2016. | ||
| And I went out and I saw Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina. | ||
| I didn't see Trump. | ||
| I didn't see him at the Iowa caucus, but I was actually there. | ||
| I drove out and I went to Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, I think Davenport. | ||
| I want to say we went to one other city. | ||
| I think we went to Des Moines as well. | ||
| And we spent the whole day there. | ||
| It was a ton of fun. | ||
| I remember though nobody was interested in talking to us because we were from Illinois. | ||
| So we would go to these events and they'd say, are you from Iowa? | ||
| And we're like, nope. | ||
| And they're like, not interested. | ||
| So I was there for the last one. | ||
| And like I said, I think it was later in the month. | ||
| So this one's pretty early, January 15th. | ||
| This is the first contest of the Republican primary. | ||
| And it's interesting, the Democrats, they're holding a caucus today, but they don't reveal the results until March. | ||
| And that's because this year the Democrats made a decision that, you know, historically the first two states are Iowa and New Hampshire. | ||
| Like, every cycle, those are the first two primaries. | ||
| And I'm calling them primaries. | ||
| Technically, it's a caucus for Iowa. | ||
| But historically, those are the first two. | ||
| The Democrat Party literally made a decision this year that because Iowa and New Hampshire are too white, that they want to put them at the end rather than the beginning of the election. | ||
| Because of course the Democrats hate white people now. | ||
| The Democrats love non-white people. | ||
| They love black and brown people. | ||
| They hate white people. | ||
| And I'm not making this up. | ||
| You can check this out yourself. | ||
| The party made a decision that to have Iowa and New Hampshire at the beginning is not representative of the diversity of their party. | ||
| So rather than front-loading Iowa and New Hampshire at the beginning, They're going to hold them, but they're going to reveal the results at the very end, in March, so that they can let the black people have the first crack at it. | ||
| For once! | ||
| Which is pretty nuts. | ||
| So, we're not going to get results in the Democrat, and there isn't really a Democratic contest anyway, it's just Joe Biden, this Jew, Dean Phillips, and, uh, I think one other person's running, and Marianne Williamson. | ||
| Those are the three Democrats, but they're not even really holding a competition this year. | ||
| So it's just the Republican caucus, and like I said, it's Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Ramaswamy. | ||
| Behind me I have the New York Times live results. | ||
| And, you know, they included Chris Christie, but he dropped out. | ||
| And then they have Asa Hutchinson, who was the governor of Arkansas. | ||
| I don't know if he dropped out or not. | ||
| It doesn't matter. | ||
| I don't believe he'll win any delegates. | ||
| And Ryan Binkley? | ||
| Don't even know who that is. | ||
| Never even heard of him. | ||
| So it's just mainly the four. | ||
| It's Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Ramaswamy. | ||
| And like I said, the results are going to start to trickle in at about 7.45 Central Time. | ||
| That's when they're expecting them. | ||
| So, voters in Iowa, in case you don't know how a caucus works, this is different than a primary. | ||
| A primary is held by the state government, so the state essentially hosts a primary. | ||
| A caucus is put on by the parties. | ||
| So, Iowa has a caucus. | ||
| Nevada has a caucus. | ||
| I'm not 100% sure all the other caucus states, but Iowa is the most famous one and the most significant. | ||
| And, historically, it actually worked a little bit differently than the way it's gonna work tonight. | ||
| So, historically, I believe it's every precinct They have a center, like a gymnasium or a church, or a place where typically you would go to vote, and instead of going in and it's one person, one vote, across the entire state, everybody meets at exactly the same time. | ||
| The party holds a meeting simultaneously in every county, I think it's every county or every precinct, They hold a meeting all over the state, excuse me, all over the state, and everybody goes all at the same time. | ||
| So it's not like it's open from 9 to 5 and you go in and you cast your vote. | ||
| It doesn't work that way. | ||
| Everybody goes at the same time. | ||
| And instead of voting, in years past, they would have it where each campaign would have a representative go and give a speech on their behalf. | ||
| So you go to the gymnasium in your precinct, And there's a speaker for Trump, and there's a speaker for Haley, and DeSantis, and Vivek, and they give a speech on behalf of the candidate, and then they would go to different corners of the room, and they'd hold up a placard and say, this corner's for Trump, this corner's for whoever, and all the people in the room would go to the different corners, and they would add up all the people in the corners, | ||
| And that's how they would determine how the delegates were allocated. | ||
| That's how it used to work. | ||
| Now it works. | ||
| They changed it in 2020. | ||
| Now it works a little bit differently. | ||
| I'm not 100% sure. | ||
| I think now they don't go into the separate corners. | ||
| I think now they just cast a vote. | ||
| They just do a tally? | ||
| Because in years past, it was a total circus. | ||
| Like, they're giving speeches and they physically corral people into different corners of the room. | ||
| Now, I'm pretty sure they just take a tally. | ||
| But they still give the speeches. | ||
| They hold the meeting at the same time. | ||
| And so everybody's meeting tonight. | ||
| At 7 o'clock Central Time. | ||
| And so they say they're anticipating results, I think, 7.30, 7.45 p.m. | ||
| Central Time. | ||
| So we're gonna get the results in about, yeah, two, two and a half hours. | ||
| So here, here it says on New York Times, it says the Republican caucuses begin at 8 p.m. | ||
| Eastern Time at hundreds of precinct locations across the state. | ||
| Voters must appear in person and be registered with that party. | ||
| Although same-day registration is allowed. | ||
| Typically, voters indicate their preferences on blank sheets of paper. | ||
| After the results are tallied, they are read aloud before being sent to the state party. | ||
| In 2016, precincts began reporting results just after 830 and nearly all results were in by 1250 a.m. | ||
| Eastern Time. | ||
| So, If we're using history as a guide, we should know by 8.30. | ||
| That's when results will begin, and we'll have all of them probably by 1 a.m. | ||
| I don't know if we'll go that late. | ||
| You know, we'll see how long it takes for them all to come in. | ||
| But there's 40 delegates at stake, so it says here. | ||
| 40 delegates. | ||
| I think there's like 2,400 total delegates. | ||
| Because of course the way the nominating process works is that there are primaries and caucuses that are held in all 50 states and the territories, and every state has a number of delegates based on population size. | ||
| And so the smaller states have fewer delegates, the bigger states have more delegates, and different states have different rules about how they're allocated. | ||
| Probably every candidate will get a delegate tonight, because they're not hard to get at the Iowa caucus. | ||
| In other states, in primary states, it works differently. | ||
| But there's, I think, 2,400, something like that in total. | ||
| And then, of course, at the very end of the season, when all the states have voted, whoever has the majority of the delegates, that person is officially nominated at the Republican Convention in the summer. | ||
| And that person's the nominee. | ||
| Just in case you needed a refresher, So the thing is though, tonight there's 40 delegates at stake, but it's not even really about the delegates because it's a very small number of delegates. | ||
| Super Tuesday, which is in 8-9 weeks, it'll be up to 1,200 delegates will have been allocated by that point. | ||
| So, you know, by the time we get to the first week of March, we're gonna be halfway to the finish line. | ||
| 1,200, this is just 40. | ||
| So the significance of the Iowa caucus, it really doesn't have a lot to do with the delegates. | ||
| Not here. | ||
| Because, again, this 40 is not going to make or break anybody. | ||
| The reason why the Iowa caucus is a big deal is because this, along with the next three races in New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, these first four, which happen in January and February, they set the tone for the rest of the primary. | ||
| So historically, these are the big four. | ||
| Iowa, and then New Hampshire, and then Nevada, and then South Carolina. | ||
| And those four, the first four taken together, they give everybody a pretty good idea of who is popular and who's viable. | ||
| Who is looking like they're a true contender for the nomination. | ||
| So Iowa is a big deal, and I'll get into the specifics because, you know, we're just kind of going over some background stuff here. | ||
| But the reason why Iowa is a big deal is because it's the first one. | ||
| So we have polling information, and we'll look at the polls in a moment. | ||
| We have polling, but Iowa is the first case where people go and vote. | ||
| And so we'll really get an idea of who actually has genuine support. | ||
| And some people will overperform and some will underperform and that'll give us a good idea and that is a good signal to the donors and to other primary voters in other states who really stands a chance of winning the nomination and who's popular. | ||
| So, specifically tonight, it's a big night for Ron DeSantis. | ||
| This is really, I would say, this race matters the most to him. | ||
| Because Ron DeSantis, his whole strategy is based around Iowa. | ||
| And it has to do with the first four contests. | ||
| You see, it's Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina. | ||
| Out of the first four, DeSantis really only has a chance of winning or getting second or coming close to first in Iowa. | ||
| And that's because of the demographics of Iowa. | ||
| New Hampshire is up there in New England and they're sort of libertarian and they're much more moderate, much more establishment. | ||
| Nevada is always a wild card, a lot of Hispanics. | ||
| South Carolina is Nikki Haley's home state. | ||
| Iowa has a lot of evangelicals and very conservative voters, and actually Donald Trump didn't win the Iowa caucus in 2016. | ||
| Ted Cruz won the Iowa caucus in 2016. | ||
| Trump got a close second. | ||
| So if Ron DeSantis were to achieve liftoff in these first four contests, it's gonna happen in Iowa. | ||
| And it's going to happen because he is a conservative. | ||
| His appeal to Trump supporters is that he's more conservative than Trump, that he's a culture warrior. | ||
| So this is his constituency. | ||
| If he can't win in Iowa, he can't win. | ||
| If he can't win Republicans in Iowa, he cannot win the nomination. | ||
| He cannot win the general. | ||
| So his constituency is here. | ||
| And if he can't do it here, he's not gonna have a chance in New Hampshire, or South Carolina, or Nevada, or on Super Tuesday. | ||
| I mean, he's done. | ||
| And his strategy reflects that. | ||
| He's put all his money into Iowa. | ||
| His whole ground game is here. | ||
| So I believe he's toured almost all of the 99 counties. | ||
| He's been everywhere. | ||
| And he's been campaigning here for basically since this thing started. | ||
| He doesn't really have any Ground game to speak of in New Hampshire, or Nevada, or South Carolina. | ||
| This is where his money is. | ||
| If he doesn't have a good performance here, he's done. | ||
| If he doesn't perform well here, he will not perform well anywhere else, and as a result, he will not be able to raise money, and it's the end of the line. | ||
| So a lot is at stake. | ||
| I would say the most is at stake for Ron DeSantis. | ||
| Of course it matters for everybody else as well. | ||
| Nikki Haley, I mean, like everybody else, we're looking to see what her performance is like. | ||
| Same thing with Trump. | ||
| Will Trump underperform his polling? | ||
| The polling shows that Trump will win. | ||
| But the question is... | ||
| How much will he win by? | ||
| How much of an advantage will he have over the rest of the field? | ||
| That's sort of the question for Trump. | ||
| And that'll give us an idea of if there even is a race. | ||
| Because if Trump wins like 50 or 60% of the vote, there's not even a race here. | ||
| And that doesn't mean that Nikki Haley and Vivek won't continue on, but they just won't really have a chance. | ||
| So we're looking to see what the differential is. | ||
| Everybody expects that Trump will win. | ||
| He's got basically like a 90% chance of winning the majority of the delegates here and winning a majority of the vote. | ||
| That's not really a question. | ||
| The question is by how much? | ||
| How much is he going to beat the field by? | ||
| Not even just second place, but how much is he going to beat the entire field by? | ||
| The other one to speak of is Vivek. | ||
| Vivek is a total political outsider, never held elected office, and he's anti-establishment. | ||
| He's built his campaign on viral internet marketing, has eschewed a lot of the political conventions, specifically not giving a lot of money for TV and radio ads in Iowa. | ||
| And so it'll be interesting to see if he overperforms his polling. | ||
| Because some have been suggesting that this may be the case, that Vivek may come into Iowa and do much better than he's doing in the polls. | ||
| Because people have said that there's enthusiasm. | ||
| He's done literally like 260 events in Iowa, which is more than twice as many as anybody else. | ||
| So he's done literally hundreds of events, so has his wife. | ||
| He's been all over the state. | ||
| And he's been getting good crowds and a lot of buzz around him. | ||
| And Trump notably struck at Vivek yesterday on True Social. | ||
| This is a big story the other day that apparently Vivek took a picture with a bunch of young kids and they had a shirt on that said, Save Trump, Vote Vivek. | ||
| And this is part of his appeal as he's telling a lot of these Trump voters that they need to vote for him to save Trump. | ||
| And he's putting out this weird theory that Trump is going to be assassinated or somehow removed from the ballot and that if we want to have any chance at, like, a pro-Trump guy in office, since Trump won't be the nominee, we gotta vote Vivek. | ||
| That's what he's been telling people, which is very strange. | ||
| Although, it kind of makes sense in a weird way to, like, a weirdo Republican audience. | ||
| And Trump hit Vivek very hard and said, no, like, vote for me. | ||
| So we'll see how effective that that pitch is. | ||
| So that's just a little background. | ||
| That's what we're looking for tonight. | ||
| It's a caucus. | ||
| Delegates don't matter. | ||
| We're getting our results probably in about two hours. | ||
| We'll get the results. | ||
| They'll start coming in. | ||
| And that's what we're looking for for all of the different candidates. | ||
| But let me take a sip of my coffee here. | ||
| I think it's getting cold. | ||
| And we will get into this. | ||
| Let me just go through a few different things here before we really get into it. | ||
| This is the stuff we're gonna be looking at. | ||
| We got Twitter pulled up. | ||
| So we got the hashtag Iowa Caucuses, so we'll see what they're saying on Twitter. | ||
| We got the Trump Rumble channel, so I think we'll probably watch the most recent Trump rally in Iowa, which happened, I believe, yesterday. | ||
| We'll watch the most recent DeSantis appearance, which was earlier today. | ||
| He did some media this morning. | ||
| We'll see what Nikki Haley's been up to. | ||
| We'll watch the most recent Vivek rally. | ||
| This is the RealClearPolitics polling. | ||
| We'll jump to this in a second. | ||
| And then we're also looking at the betting markets. | ||
| So right now, before any votes are in, this is a betting market. | ||
| So people are betting on the outcome, not in this case of the Iowa caucus, this is for the whole presidential primary. | ||
| So this may move depending on the results. | ||
| And then we'll also be looking at this, which is who will place second in the Iowa caucus. | ||
| Right now, 5.30 p.m. | ||
| Central Time 60% say Nikki Haley 40% say DeSantis 7% say Trump 7% say Vivek so the favorite for second place is Nikki Haley and I suppose a favorite for third is Ron DeSantis So this is where we are tonight. | ||
| Why don't we take a quick poll in the live chat? | ||
| We all know Trump is going to win. | ||
| But for second place, tell me who you think is going to win. | ||
| Press 1 for Haley, 2 for DeSantis, 3 for Vivek. | ||
| This is who do you think will get second place. | ||
| 1 for Nikki Haley, 2 for DeSantis, 3 for Vivek. | ||
| Let me know what you think. | ||
| We'll take a quick poll here in the live chat. | ||
|
unidentified
|
A lot of 3's. | |
| A lot of 1's. | ||
| Looks like mostly threes, though. | ||
| A lot of people are predicting Vivek. | ||
| You know, I don't think he'll get second, though. | ||
| I think if he got third, it would be an upset. | ||
| If he got third, that would be a huge... he would be outperforming his polling by, you know, three or four times. | ||
| Not so, hey, not so fast. | ||
| I think he'll perform better. | ||
| I think if he gets third, that'll be an upset and I think that's more likely. | ||
| I think probably it's gonna be, my prediction, I would say Trump, Haley, Vivek, DeSantis. | ||
| That's my, although I think, you know, it really is dependent on how real the enthusiasm is with Vivek. | ||
| It might be overhyped. | ||
| This is the betting market. | ||
| Let's take a look at the polling now. | ||
| So this is real clear politics average for Iowa, for the Iowa caucus. | ||
| You can see they have a line graph over time. | ||
| And this is polling, this is not odds. | ||
| So this is predicted, this is betting odds. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is Paul Lang. | |
| So let's see. | ||
| I thought there was a good graphic here. | ||
| Maybe not. | ||
| So right now, here's the RCP average from January 5th to January 14th. | ||
| So they took all the polls from the last seven days and they take an average. | ||
| And the average right now is that Trump has 53%, Haley has 19%, DeSantis was 16%, Ramaswamy was 7. | ||
| So the polling says Trump won, Haley 2, DeSantis 3, Ramaswamy 4, which is also what the betting markets say. | ||
| And it's interesting how DeSantis has basically collapsed. | ||
| If you go to the maximum time period here, Back May 12, 2023, Trump was polling at 40 and DeSantis at 28. | ||
| Now it's Trump 52, DeSantis 16. | ||
| And you can see that it appears Nikki Haley eclipsed DeSantis around January 4th. | ||
| I don't know specifically what caused that. | ||
| I guess it started to tighten around | ||
| July, which is I would imagine when she announced Maybe a little bit later Yeah, well I wonder what happened in July what the heck happened in July late July 23 Because he went from 23 to 17 And then it looks like it's been Narrowing between him and Haley ever since | ||
| Notably around the November debates, it seems. | ||
| So that's the polling. | ||
| I'm just telling you, I know a lot of people are gonna say that the polling is false or fake, and I agree, okay? | ||
| I think that the polling has been notoriously unreliable basically ever since Trump came into the picture. | ||
| The polling is historically pretty hit or miss in general, But really, ever since Trump started running, you can throw the polling out the window. | ||
| The polling obviously was wrong in 2016. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The polling was wrong in 2020. | |
| And, you know, in 2016, the polling favored Clinton, and it was wrong. | ||
| In 2020, it favored Trump, and it was... or actually, it favored Biden more than how much he won by. | ||
| Like, I remember the polling was saying he would win Minnesota by, like, 30 points. | ||
| Never happened. | ||
|
unidentified
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Um... | |
| So, you gotta take it with a grain of salt. | ||
| And the smaller the race, the more unreliable the polling is. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So this is Iowa. | |
| Could be totally off. | ||
| I'm just putting that out there, but, you know, it's data. | ||
| The betting odds is data. | ||
| The polling is data. | ||
| So I'm not, I'm not, you know, cause, it's funny. | ||
| I'll tell you a story. | ||
| When I was doing this show for Right Side Broadcasting Network, seven years ago, The boomers would always get on my case for talking about polling. | ||
| I would talk about the polling and I'd have a hundred angry boomers in the comments and they'd say, the polling's fake. | ||
| Don't you remember the polling's fake? | ||
| I'm like, I know. | ||
| I'm just, look, the polling is part of it. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| It's an institution. | ||
| It's part of it. | ||
| It's part of the analysis. | ||
|
unidentified
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You don't have to, you don't have to accept it. | |
| Unconditionally. | ||
| You don't have to uncritically accept the polling. | ||
| I'm just telling you what the polls say. | ||
| And the polls are an indicator. | ||
| You know, they're not necessarily reliable or correct, but they're an indicator. | ||
| We don't know until the people vote, and until then we have polling. | ||
| Just saying. | ||
| Just putting that out there. | ||
| So that's where we are with that. | ||
| Okay, let's take a look and we'll see what's going on on Twitter, if there's any election-related news. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Looks like a lot of crap, though. | |
| So... | ||
| I'm not seeing anything really newsworthy, just seeing a lot of retards like this guy. | ||
| Imagine being this old and being this animated like Look at this guy making these faces. | ||
| Like... Imagine being... He has... You know, the eyes are pretty impressive. | ||
| The blue eyes, but... It's like cartoonish. | ||
| It's like, you know, you're 40, man. | ||
| Stop moving your head so much. | ||
| This guy... Well, actually, he doesn't... I guess he's just losing his hair. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Maybe late 30s. | |
| It's like you're too old to be bobbing and weaving like that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see if there's any news. | |
| Let me check in trending. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Anything on the timeline? | |
| What's a good source for election-related news? | ||
|
unidentified
|
What's a good source for election-related news? | |
| Let's take a look for today. | ||
| Probably maybe Laura Loomer? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's check Vivek's timeline. | |
| Okay, this is Vivek. | ||
| Let's shock the world tonight, Iowa. | ||
| Let's give it a listen. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We've become a nation of sheep. | |
| Of followers. | ||
| Well, Iowa goes first because you guys aren't sheep. | ||
| You guys can tell the difference. | ||
| I know you can. | ||
| Between somebody who can protest in slogans versus somebody who's sharing with you their true convictions. | ||
| If you want somebody who's gonna speak truth to power, vote for somebody who's gonna speak the truth to you. | ||
| If I win the Iowa Caucus, I'm the next president. | ||
| And if I'm the next president, we are going to revive our national identity, shut down that new state federal bureaucracy, revive this economy, and be proud to be who we are again. | ||
| Let's shock the world. | ||
| Nice! | ||
| You know, I'm not gonna lie. | ||
| I like Vivek. | ||
| Okay? | ||
| And I got a super chat on my show last week. | ||
| It was actually a big super chat. | ||
| Somebody sent me like $300. | ||
| And they said, well I don't trust Vivek because the way he made his money was a little bit scummy and initially he reacted to January 6th the way the media did. | ||
| But I like him. | ||
| I like his energy and I like the idea of entrepreneurs running for office. | ||
| I know that's kind of boomer. | ||
| But I really believe that if there's going to be any real political change, it necessarily will have to come from the outside. | ||
| It will not come from politicians. | ||
| And, you know, a lot of people maybe don't necessarily understand why that is. | ||
| I think people like the way that sounds. | ||
| They like the idea of an outsider. | ||
| But here's why. | ||
| In order to run in politics without being a billionaire or, you know, having some other kind of independent base of support, you have to ask yourself, how are you going to win a statewide office as a relative nobody? | ||
| That's like the politician's dilemma. | ||
| First you run for something local, then you run for Congress, then you run for governor or senator or something statewide, then you run for president. | ||
| But typically, any politician that runs for president is a statewide office holder, meaning they were a governor or they were a senator. | ||
| And typically, every senator and governor, in most cases, although less so than for the presidency, a governor or senator usually starts out in Congress. | ||
| Or some other lower government role. | ||
| And so, the politician's route to the presidency is climbing up a political ladder, and typically the only way that people can do that is through patronage. | ||
| They have to fund very expensive campaigns. | ||
| How do you run a campaign for Congress? | ||
| Well, depending on your district, you could need a million dollars, or more. | ||
| How do you raise a million dollars? | ||
| You don't raise a million dollars in small-dollar donations from your district. | ||
| You need support from capital. | ||
| You need support from donors, from rich people, from industries. | ||
| So, how do you get them to give you money? | ||
| You promise them things. | ||
| That's called special interests. | ||
| That's lobbying. | ||
| That's interest-based politics. | ||
| So first you do that at Congress for, you know, a half million or a million dollars. | ||
| Then you do it for Senate or Governor, which now we're talking millions of dollars. | ||
| Now we're talking big money. | ||
| We're talking big cities. | ||
| We're talking big industries. | ||
| We're talking big money. | ||
| And then when you run for the presidency, then you need a hundred million dollars. | ||
| DeSantis had $200 million after his midterms. | ||
| That was his war chest for the White House. | ||
| And that's only a fraction of what he would need in the long run. | ||
| Hundreds of mi... How do you get somebody to give you hundreds of millions of dollars? | ||
| Favors. | ||
| Patronage. | ||
| So... And there's another aspect of it, which is that politicians are very conventional. | ||
| A politician who Does it this way in other words? | ||
| They're not running because they're particularly charismatic or they're a visionary or an ideologue or something like that They're running as sort of a generic conservative or liberal. | ||
| Like, that's really what Ron DeSantis is. | ||
| That's really what Nikki Haley is. | ||
| They're not visionaries. | ||
| They're not charismatic. | ||
| They're not personalities. | ||
| They're not celebrities. | ||
| They're generic, red-flavor, blue-flavor politicians. | ||
| And so, in that case, They're surrounding themselves with the political industry, which is consultants. | ||
| So when they run a political campaign, they don't have like a visionary idea of how to organize a campaign or anything like that. | ||
| They do what you're supposed to do. | ||
| They make money the way you're supposed to make money. | ||
| They run a campaign the way you're supposed to run a campaign. | ||
| They talk to the consultants. | ||
| They set up the WinRed. | ||
| They all hire the same people to do their website. | ||
| They all hire the same firms to do their polling. | ||
| The same firms to do their data. | ||
| The same firms to do their advance. | ||
| The same firms to do all the stuff. | ||
| And it's all the same people. | ||
| They've all been doing electioneering for a hundred years. | ||
| You know, you got some Fat boomer with a beard who's been working in Iowa for 30 years because it's all personal. | ||
| You know? | ||
| And as a consequence, these politicians that run for office, you get these generic, uninspired, out-of-a-box campaigns, and they're run by people who are really nothing more than these hollow political operators. | ||
| Again, it's patronage. | ||
| Whereas somebody like Trump, or even Tom Steyer for that matter, or Andrew Yang, or... | ||
| Michael Bloomberg or Vivek I consider them all part of the same category even though they're on the right and left you know Tom Steyer was a Starbucks CEO and he ran in the Dem primary in 20 and Bloomberg did the same and so did Andrew Yang although Andrew Yang wasn't even a billionaire he was a low millionaire which is quite shocking Andrew Yang only had between 1 and 10 million dollars net worth which you might say well that's pretty rich | ||
| But that's not rich when you're running for presidential politics. | ||
| You know, Vivek, I think, had a billion. | ||
| Tom Steyer had some billion. | ||
| Bloomberg has a hundred plus billion. | ||
| Trump has 10 to 20 billion or 5 to 15, however, whoever's estimate you take. | ||
| You know, so Andrew Yang had like, I think, 1 to 5 million dollars, something like that. | ||
| Anyway, I consider them all part of the same category because these are entrepreneurs, these are activists, billionaires, and they all come from sort of a different place. | ||
| You know, Bloomberg and Trump come from a specific generation. | ||
| They're both from New York. | ||
| Trump's in real estate, Bloomberg's in Wall Street. | ||
| And, you know, Wall Street and real estate kind of select for a very specific kind of personality. | ||
| And, of course, New York is the city of the 20th century. | ||
| So they're older because when you're 70, 80 years old, the fortune was made in New York when those people were in their 20s, 30s, 40s, and it was in industries like Wall Street and real estate. | ||
| And it's interesting, now these guys like Vivek and Andrew Yang, they're millennials, and they made their money in tech. | ||
| You know, they made their money with Silicon Valley. | ||
| They made their money in the industry and in the cities of this generation where the money is now. | ||
| So, you know, they're different in temperament and they're different kinds of people. | ||
| That industry selects for a different kind of person. | ||
| Notably, they're both Asian. | ||
| They're both upbeat, very chipper. | ||
| They have that kind of tech startup, entrepreneur, stereotypical affect. | ||
| You know, but nevertheless I like that and and I think Vivek he really cares. | ||
| He's really putting in the work He's doing a lot of events. | ||
| He's high energy I think he's very eloquent and I also think you know, he's far smarter than your average candidate I feel like it's such a breath of fresh air even if you know what a lot of people say he's like fake even if he is fake Wouldn't you prefer a fake person who's actually smart than a fake person that's dumb? | ||
| And what I mean by that is DeSantis and Haley are dumb. | ||
| Or rather, they're fake, obviously. | ||
| But the way they talk to people, the way they do their whole routine, they get up there and they say things like, I'm gonna lead the great American comeback. | ||
| And just gay shit like that. | ||
| And when Vivek gets up there, he actually has something intelligent to say. | ||
| And I feel like that speaks to a different generation. | ||
| I feel like when Donald Trump gives a speech, and when these generic politicians give a speech, they're speaking to a television audience. | ||
| They're speaking to an older audience that was raised on the medium of television, which has a certain tempo, and has a certain lexicon level. | ||
| And Vivek is speaking to an internet audience, And internet's obviously a very different medium and has a different tempo and a very different lexicon understanding level reading comprehension level. | ||
| So I like that about him as well. | ||
| And then of course he is directionally correct. | ||
| Even if you don't trust him as a guy, even if you don't maybe necessarily love the specific policies, he's anti-establishment, he's pro-America, he defends white people, and also he's offering a true alternative. | ||
| No other candidates are doing that. | ||
| The reason, and I've said this for years, the reason that Trump Was so successful. | ||
| A lot of people say they still don't understand. | ||
| They still haven't reverse engineered Trump's success. | ||
|
unidentified
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A lot of people say, oh well he was like racist and then you know, well America's racist and that's why he won. | |
| Or, well he said what was on our minds. | ||
| It's like no, he didn't say what's on your mind. | ||
| You know, God forbid, no politician should ever say what's on people's minds. | ||
| You want to know why? | ||
| Because what's on most people's minds is sheer garbage. | ||
| Everybody likes the idea of a politician that says what people are thinking, but you know what most people are thinking? | ||
| A bunch of retarded nonsense. | ||
| Like, you take your, take any person, like, Pull a name out of a hat. | ||
| Of every person in America. | ||
| And they probably believe something completely retarded. | ||
| They probably don't know something that a 5th grader should know. | ||
| You know, like, take an average American adult, and they might not know the difference between Washington, D.C. | ||
| or Washington State, or, like, they might not be able to find Russia on a map, or, like, they might not be able to say, like, what century the Civil War happened in, or they might have, like, all kinds of weird ideas, or they might say completely asinine stuff, like, I hate both of them. | ||
| I'm not gonna vote for either of them. | ||
| You know, they might say some stupid shit like that. | ||
| The rich get richer. | ||
| So, like, no. | ||
| You definitely... The average person... If we had a politician that said what people are thinking, they'd sound like Oliver Anthony, or Jim Belushi, or some other fucking idiot. | ||
| So, like, thank God Donald Trump didn't say what's on everybody's minds. | ||
| Donald Trump told us what to think. | ||
| Donald Trump said the truth, and we discovered it through him, and then we were all thinking it. | ||
|
unidentified
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And what we didn't discover... We weren't thinking it! | |
| He thought it, he spoke it into the consciousness and we believed it. | ||
| And he did it in a very calculated way, in a very deft way. | ||
| Anyway, I'm sort of getting off the subject. | ||
| One among many reasons why Trump was successful is because Trump offered a true alternative, a true right-wing alternative vision. | ||
| Here's what I mean by that. | ||
| When Obama ran in 2008, It was hope and change. | ||
| And I know it sounds gay now, and it sounds... it obviously didn't deliver. | ||
| It was neither of those things. | ||
| But he had with him the power of belief. | ||
| He also had 99% of black people voting for him. | ||
| But he also had the power of belief. | ||
| He won Indiana. | ||
| People don't remember that, but he won Indiana. | ||
| Obama won Ohio. | ||
| He won these states that you don't consider competitive now since Trump in 16. | ||
| And he won a lot of white people. | ||
| He lost them as time went on because he just started insulting them all the time. | ||
| He would talk about the bitter clingers and stuff like that. | ||
| But in 2008, he was talking to white people. | ||
| At the 2004 convention, he was talking to everybody. | ||
| And he really delivered a vision. | ||
| He said, like, we're gonna go after the banks and we're gonna bring back the auto industry and we're gonna end the wars. | ||
| Like, this was actually a vision to get excited about. | ||
| I know it didn't happen. | ||
| I know it was like a fraud from day one. | ||
| Like, none of it happened. | ||
| But it was a powerful and a compelling and a positive vision. | ||
| And he had a very strong rhetorical language to sell people on that. | ||
| Republicans never had that. | ||
| Can you think of a single Republican platform other than Trump's in 2016? | ||
| Because I can't. | ||
| If you could sum up Ted Cruz's platform in 2016, because he was the runner-up, could you say what it was? | ||
| Like, what was his vision for America? | ||
| I can't even remember it. | ||
| I mean, I can because I'm a genius, but you can't. | ||
| And same thing with, like, Rubio. | ||
| Rubio's slogan in 16 was, Like, what does that even mean? | ||
| And it was all nonsense. | ||
| The only thing you remember about Kasich is that he ate that piece of pizza and his dad was a mailman. | ||
| And same thing with Rubio. | ||
| The only thing you remember about him is that debate in New Hampshire where he repeated himself five times and where he kept saying, It's like, You're poor? | ||
| But Donald Trump came down the escalator and said, I will make America great again. | ||
| The branding was just off the charts. | ||
| Planet Earth wasn't ready for that. | ||
| Planet Earth wasn't ready for a tall celebrity billionaire who lives at a skyscraper and hosted a game show To show up into politics and say, I'm from New York, I'm a dealmaker, I'm a winner, and America sucks, but I'm gonna make it great again. | ||
| Like, America wasn't ready for that. | ||
| Like, the planet Earth wasn't ready for that. | ||
| All these other politicians were. | ||
| It's like the equivalent of, like, machine guns versus bow and arrow. | ||
| Like, Donald Trump and that whole presentation was like, A machine gun slaughter on the Zulu tribe. | ||
| That's like, you ever see that movie Zulu? | ||
| Where they're just mowing down just like hordes of Africans with a Gatling gun? | ||
| That was like Trump 2016. | ||
| Because all these pussies were coming into the election and they were like, We want to probe business culture and reignite liberty to get the American dream again. | ||
| And Donald Trump comes up with the navy suit and the red tie, comes down the escalator with the supermodel wife, and says, hey, America sucks. | ||
| But I'm a winner. | ||
| I'm from New York. | ||
| I make deals. | ||
| And I'm going to make good deals for America. | ||
| And I'm going to kick fucking ass. | ||
| And this country's going to be awesome. | ||
| I'll make it that way. | ||
| Only I can make it great again. | ||
| Because I'm Donald Trump. | ||
| I hosted the game show. | ||
| I built a skyscraper with my name on it. | ||
| It's just like you can't beat that. | ||
| There's a word for that. | ||
| It's called vision. | ||
| Make America great again. | ||
| It's like, that was like the equivalent of the nuclear bomb being dropped on Japan. | ||
| Where it's like everybody was like, okay the world just changed. | ||
| The game just changed. | ||
| And I've said for years, the genius of Make America Great Again, it's so elegant and simple, but yet the construction of it is brilliant. | ||
| Because it actually contains three distinct Assertions. | ||
| And if you've heard this before, you know, you've watched my show. | ||
| But it contains three distinct and very powerful ideas within it. | ||
| Make America Great Again. | ||
| It says, one, America's not great. | ||
| Kind of goes without saying, but if you say, Make America Great Again, One idea, the first obvious idea, which is not even, it's implicit, is that America's not great anymore. | ||
| That's part two. | ||
| But the first part, the first implication, is America's not great. | ||
| And that's, that is a huge thing. | ||
| For a presidential candidate, but specifically a Republican, to go out and say America's not great is a big deal. | ||
| When you say, make America great again, the implication is, well, America was great, isn't anymore. | ||
| So it modifies that. | ||
| Make America great again. | ||
| And this is where you get people that say, well, it never was. | ||
| Or, people say, America already is great. | ||
| You know, those were the two contentions. | ||
| On the left, they answered by saying, well, America never was. | ||
| On the right, they would say, America already is. | ||
| That's what made it truly revolutionary, because it completely disrupted the messaging on both sides. | ||
| He said, America was great, isn't any longer. | ||
| And the third part, the third mod, the modifier which makes it just, this is a grand slam, is make America great again. | ||
| We can make it great again. | ||
| America was great, isn't anymore, but it can be again. | ||
| And so within the slogan, it tells this very powerful story about America and this call to action about the next chapter. | ||
| That's the vision aspect of it. | ||
| It tells this story about America. | ||
| It says, well, we're this country in decline. | ||
| It sort of draws three distinct, it plots three points on a grid. | ||
| Was great, isn't anymore, but we'll make it great again. | ||
| We're in decline, but this is an inflection point where we can turn it around. | ||
| Just genius. | ||
| And no one else has ever come up with anything like that. | ||
| What are the other slogans? | ||
| Build back better? | ||
| Stronger together? | ||
| That was Hillary Clinton's slogan. | ||
| Stronger together. | ||
| Stronger together, and Biden's was what? | ||
| Like, build back better? | ||
| I don't even remember what the other thing was. | ||
| I feel like there was one other one. | ||
| One other slogan, that is. | ||
| I mean, what was Obama's? | ||
| Like, yes we can? | ||
| I mean, that's okay. | ||
| But compared to Make America Great Again, it's just like nothing. | ||
| Yes, we can like you and you can kind of see it with yes, we can because there's this idea of like people are telling us we can't You know, yes, we can which is was Obama's was like implying You know if it's like an affirmative it's like people were saying no we can't We can't and Obama said yet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
No. | |
| Yes, we can so there's a site there's this idea of like The tangibility of our goals, like, you know, good things are within our grasp. | ||
| I give you a lot to me. | ||
| We can do the things we always wanted to do, but that we were told we couldn't. | ||
| And people can color that with their own, you know, they can project onto that whatever they want, you know, for the climate people, for the, for the communists that want economic whatever, you know, for the Anybody that wants something could say, you can't have it. | ||
| No, but Obama said we can. | ||
| But Make America Great Again just blows that out of the water because it tells this traumatic story and really a... | ||
| Transcendental story about a revival. | ||
| It's not it's not because all the other slogans were like we're gonna take America further This was like no America's dead. | ||
| We're gonna revive it, which is crazy crazy powerful Right because when you think about it every other Every other slogan is sort of like, like, we're going to keep pushing. | ||
| Like, we're marching on. | ||
| Like, there's this linear, always increasing slope. | ||
| And, like, we're just going to take it a little bit further. | ||
| We're going to get a little bit more. | ||
| And Trump was like, no, no. | ||
| America's dead. | ||
| Forget about it. | ||
| It's over. | ||
| Trump, I mean, literally got out there and said, the American dream is dead. | ||
| But if I get elected, I will bring it back. | ||
| So, that's... that's revolutionary. | ||
| And anyway, I'm rambling on and on and on about something totally different now, but what I... So, to return to my original point, what I love about these entrepreneurs is that they really have vision. | ||
| And Vivek, you know, he doesn't have a brilliant slogan. | ||
| He hasn't captured that like Trump did. | ||
| I don't know that anyone can. | ||
| He doesn't have the look. | ||
| He doesn't have that X factor. | ||
| But I like that he brings that energy because we need visionaries. | ||
| Because Trump was right. | ||
| America is dead. | ||
| Like for all intents and purposes, America is a carcass. | ||
| It is in ruins. | ||
| There is nothing new happening here. | ||
| There is nothing that is being generated here. | ||
| What is the last great thing that America invented? | ||
| The iPhone in 2008? | ||
| But look at our cities, look at our universities, look at our politics. | ||
| We're a joke. | ||
| We're not innovating anything. | ||
| We're not changing the world. | ||
| We don't even... And the country's at war with itself. | ||
| It's very clear that we're headed towards a calamity. | ||
| It's very clear that we are on the downward slope in just about every measurable way. | ||
| And, you know, so we need somebody that's going to come in and provide a new vision. | ||
| Because the old America just doesn't exist anymore. | ||
| It's just not here. | ||
| The old America that got rich off of basically, you know, 200 million poor people with no education. | ||
| Like, that was really the ingredient of American success is rapid technological innovation from the 20th century. | ||
| A giant population of people that became educated. | ||
| You know, they were like farmers and then they moved to the city and got educated. | ||
| And natural resources. | ||
| So the America of the Rust Belt and of New York City and General Electric, it's dead. | ||
| It's gone. | ||
| This is a new country now. | ||
| And so we're going to need visionaries who can tell us where we're going to go. | ||
| What's the new idea? | ||
| What's the new system? | ||
| What's the new political structure? | ||
| So, that's why I like Vivek. | ||
| And you don't have to like him. | ||
| You don't have to trust him. | ||
| I don't trust him, necessarily. | ||
| And, of course, I support Trump. | ||
| You know, I got my Trump shirt on. | ||
| And I'm voting for Trump in the primary, and I'm voting for Trump in the general all day. | ||
| But, um, you know, but what Vivek and people like him are bringing to the table, I like it. | ||
| Anyway, so that, let's see. | ||
| So that's Vivek's ad. | ||
| Let's see what else we got here Is there any other news I And let me know in the live chat or group chats or whatever if there's any big developments I should be on the lookout for. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| So, So that's Vivek. | ||
| Why don't we take a look? | ||
| look we'll see what Ron DeSantis is up to. | ||
|
unidentified
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He's got a video up for 32 minutes ago. | |
| All 99 counties. | ||
| Well, hello, and thanks for coming out to caucus. | ||
| I'm proud to have visited all 99 counties in Iowa, listened to your concerns, and answered your questions. | ||
| Donald Trump's running for his issues. | ||
| Nikki Haley's running for her donors' issues. | ||
| I'm running for your issues. | ||
| Your family's issues, and solely to turn this country around. | ||
| I'm the only one running who's delivered on 100% of his promises. | ||
| As governor, we delivered on all the things that Republicans have cared about. | ||
| I've also beaten the left, and I'm the only one that's beaten the left on issue after issue after issue. | ||
| As president, I will fight for you and our values, and I will deliver wins for you and your family. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Shut up! | |
| We will stop the invasion at the southern border. | ||
| We will open up domestic energy to lower costs. | ||
| We will reverse biodynamics, and we will rein in this bureaucracy. | ||
| And as the only veteran running for president, I will ensure that our military doesn't have the woke agenda, and we will strengthen it so we can have a strong America. | ||
| I'm proud to be supported by Governor Kim Reynolds, and I appreciate what she has done. | ||
| This guy sucks, dude. | ||
| This guy sucks. | ||
|
unidentified
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Yes. | |
| You know, and here's the shame about DeSantis. | ||
| He would have been a perfect vice president. | ||
| He would have been a perfect vice president, or a perfect chief of staff, or... I mean, basically anything else. | ||
| Because he's middle management. | ||
| Like, that's what he is. | ||
| This guy is not, like, a generational leader. | ||
| He is not a national leader or a national figure of any kind. | ||
| He has no charisma. | ||
| He has no ability to connect with people. | ||
| He just doesn't have that quality, which is fine. | ||
| What he is very good at, I think he's a policy wonk. | ||
| I think that he's very intelligent, clearly. | ||
|
unidentified
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And... | |
| You know, but when he says these things like, I beat the left and I delivered, no one cares about that. | ||
| I mean, I'm not gonna say nobody cares. | ||
| That's a good thing to say. | ||
| But that's not what makes you vote for somebody. | ||
| People vote off of emotion. | ||
| They don't vote off of... It's not... They always say, it's a job interview for the biggest job in the world. | ||
| It's not a job interview. | ||
| People want to be seduced. | ||
| You know, they want to fall in love with the president. | ||
| They want to fall in love with the leader. | ||
| They want the leader to sort of grab them, you know? | ||
| They want the leader to grab them and show them the way. | ||
| You know, the leader's a shepherd. | ||
| So people are looking for somebody who's going to show them the way, who's going to get up there and And really give the path forward. | ||
| This kind of stuff where they say, well, I'd make a good president because... It's like, if you have to tell people why I'd make a good president, you just don't get it. | ||
| You don't say that, you show that. | ||
| You talk about the issues. | ||
| You introduce people to what kind of guy you are. | ||
| You show people that you're a leader. | ||
| You don't tell them and say, well, I believe I'd be a good president for the following three reasons. | ||
| I beat the left. | ||
| I delivered on my promises. | ||
| I'm a true conservative. | ||
| Like, fuck you. | ||
| So what? | ||
| We want Hitler. | ||
| Nope. | ||
| No, we don't want that. | ||
| I'm kidding. | ||
| That was a joke. | ||
| I meant something else. | ||
| I meant we I mean, we want Trump. | ||
| We want something else. | ||
| We want tolerance for religious minorities. | ||
| We just want equity and inclusion and all we want is no discrimination against religious and ethnic minorities. | ||
| No, but the thing is about Hitler, Is he really kind of created the, like, party politics, the whole science of it? | ||
| Like, he belongs in that conversation with FDR. | ||
| He belongs in that conversation with Jack Kennedy and Bill Clinton. | ||
| I mean, he truly did create one of the great political movements of history. | ||
| And, you know, a lot of people, they study that and they say, well, this is the dangers of totalitarianism. | ||
| I would argue it's a case study in mass politics. | ||
| Mass party politics in the age of democracy and mass media. | ||
| That's as simple as that. | ||
| And if you look at him as sort of like the archetypal demagogue, or like the archetypal, like, democratic leader, I know that it became undemocratic, but you understand what I'm saying. | ||
| If you sort of look at him as, or even FDR, FDR was basically a dictator as well. | ||
| I mean, he didn't, well, he had camps too. | ||
| Just not quite the same. | ||
| But if you look at FDR also as a dictator, There's something to be said about these leaders who are really pioneers of technology and of party politics, and they tell us something about how all of this works, which is to say these guys were not managers, they were not bureaucrats. | ||
| They were not going up there and telling people, well, uh, you know, I'm, here's why I'm the true liberal. | ||
| In both cases, they were men of action. | ||
| They were both people that even if the policies didn't work, it was about sweeping, dynamic, vigorous, energetic change. | ||
| You know, Napoleon is maybe in that conversation as well, creating the, you know, the army that he did and the bureaucratic state that he did. | ||
| And it tells us something about leadership. | ||
| And Ron DeSantis doesn't have it. | ||
| Ron DeSantis would be a very good Cardinal Richelieu. | ||
| DeSantis would be a very good, like, Dick Cheney type figure. | ||
| He would be very good at implementing the policies because he is a good CEO. | ||
| He's a good manager. | ||
| He is not a good president. | ||
| That's the tragedy of DeSantis because there is a timeline where it's a Trump-DeSantis ticket and they win, and DeSantis ensures that the White House is based. | ||
| Theoretically, I don't even know if... I don't think I would trust him as Vice President. | ||
| I'm just saying. | ||
| For the sake of argument. | ||
| Because he's obviously a shill, and he's outed himself as a shill. | ||
| But let's say for the sake of argument, we didn't know that, and he never tried to challenge Trump, and he never showed us what an idiot he is. | ||
| If he were the Vice President, theoretically he could be the best Vice President ever, he could keep the trains running on time, he could avoid all the pitfalls that befell Trump in the first term. | ||
| Looking out for him as his vice president in the second term, and he could have set himself up to succeed Trump like George Bush Sr. | ||
| did with Reagan. | ||
| You know, George Bush Sr. | ||
| was kind of the same deal. | ||
| Not presidential material, but it was like a third Reagan term. | ||
| DeSantis could have been a third Trump term as vice president, and he wouldn't challenge Trump, he'd have Trump's endorsement, and you know, and then maybe you could believe in him. | ||
| So it's just like an unmitigated disaster. | ||
| But he's not cut out for this. | ||
| You watch this stuff and it's just like boring. | ||
| It's not sexy. | ||
| There's nothing appealing about this. | ||
| There's nothing visionary. | ||
| It's low energy. | ||
| It just sucks. | ||
| Like I watch this back and I'm like, this just sucks. | ||
| We're coming out to caucus. | ||
| I'm proud to visit all 99 counties. | ||
| Like he talks like it's a chore. | ||
| Well, we visited all 99 counties, and we're blah blah blah, and we're na na na. | ||
| He's just droning on. | ||
| I mean, that's like, he thought, I don't know who thought that was like a good slogan, by the way. | ||
| Donald Trump's running for his issues, she's running for her donor's issues. | ||
| Who told him that was a good line? | ||
| issues, your family's issues. | ||
| I mean, that's like he thought, I don't know who thought that was like a good slogan, by the way. | ||
| Donald Trump's running for his issues. | ||
| She's running for her donors' issues. | ||
| Who told him that was a good line? | ||
| Shut up. | ||
| Like, we're so past that, dude. | ||
| Donald Trump came down the escalator and said, all Mexicans are rapists and no Muslims can come here and I will grab you by your genital. | ||
| Nah, I'm kidding. | ||
| But, you know, but Trump came down there and just changed the game. | ||
| Because he used Twitter. | ||
| And this guy's still doing this canned, generic, political thing where he goes out and says, Donald Trump's running for his issues. | ||
| Nikki Haley's running for her... I'm running for your issues. | ||
| Who's watching that in 2024 and saying, I like that. | ||
| I like that. | ||
| I agree. | ||
| What numbskull is out there that actually resonates? | ||
| Because I want to know who that person is and we need to bury that person alive. | ||
| Wherever that person exists, they need to be thrown into a mine. | ||
| They need to be enslaved and make license plates forever, until they die. | ||
| Because those people should not be walking among us. | ||
| They should not have driver's license. | ||
| They should not have the right to vote. | ||
| They should not be able to consume liquor. | ||
| Show me the numbskull that's scratching their butt and sniffing it and saying, that really reddit. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, you know, Trump's running for his issues and Nikki Haley's running for her donor's issues. | |
| Ron just, yeah, just... He's running for my issues. | ||
| Like, what absolute moron is saying that? | ||
| Some Wall Street Journal subscriber. | ||
| Some gay, idly graduate Wall Street Journal subscriber who's like a total pussy. | ||
| Anyway. | ||
| Like, that just, this rhetoric just sucks. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I beat the left. | |
| Like, what does that even mean? | ||
| who's delivered on 100% of his promises. | ||
| As governor, we delivered on all the things that Republicans have cared about. | ||
| I've also beaten the left, and I'm the only one that's beaten the left on issue after issue after issue. | ||
| As president, I will fight for you and our values. | ||
| Like, that just, this rhetoric just sucks. | ||
| I beat the left. | ||
| Like, what does that even mean? | ||
|
unidentified
|
That doesn't even mean anything. | |
| Imagine you're an American, and, like, planes are falling out of the sky because black people are flying them, and they're getting in fights at the airports and Disneyland, and, you know, the people at Starbucks are turning the tablet around, and they're forcing you to tip 10% for the people at Starbucks are turning the tablet around, and they're forcing you to Like, all of these shenanigans are going on. | ||
| Institutions are crumbling. | ||
| and And DeSantis comes out and says, I beat the left. | ||
| It's like, what is that? | ||
| Okay, so? | ||
| So what? | ||
| A Venezuelan refugee should rape my kid. | ||
| Well, I beat the left all the time. | ||
| Okay, so what? | ||
| Who's gonna round these people up with the cops and eject them from America? | ||
| Who's going to raise up an American Gestapo and round up all the illegals and throw them out? | ||
| You know, you beat the left, so what? | ||
| I beat the left. | ||
| And I'm gonna fight for our values. | ||
| That's another thing that doesn't mean anything. | ||
| I'm gonna fight for our values. | ||
| Can you fight for our country? | ||
| Can you fight... Israel? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Can you fight... No, I'm kidding. | |
| Can you fight Hamas? | ||
| Please. | ||
| Anyway, so that's DeSantis. | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| Let's see what Nikki Haley's doing No video, okay Okay, it's 6 10 p.m. | ||
| We're 50 minutes out. | ||
| 50 minutes out for when the caucus begins. | ||
| About an hour 20 out from results, okay? | ||
| Let's take a look on Predicted. | ||
| We'll see if there's any update. | ||
| We got 58 cents for Haley in second. | ||
| 40 cents for DeSantis in second. | ||
| Let's see if there's any change. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's about the same. | |
| Alright. | ||
| You got Nikki Haley with a look at this guy's physiognomy. | ||
| Terrible physiognomy. | ||
| Imagine being a man and you vote for a woman like this. | ||
| Imagine being a man in a flannel with a kid and you're gonna vote for a woman. | ||
| Do you know how emasculating that must be? | ||
| Madam President, is there anything I could do to support you? | ||
| Like, are you a man? | ||
| Are you a man or are you a woman? | ||
| Bro's got a sticker supporting a girl for president. | ||
| Taking a selfie with her. | ||
| Like what? | ||
| Madam President, like imagine a woman is bossing you around that isn't your mom. - Yeah. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, weird. | |
| I'm Italian, that's, you know, that's the whole thing. | ||
| But it's like, imagine you're like, yes, yes ma'am, madam president. | ||
| I pick Nikki. | ||
| Imagine like, you know how when Hitler flew in on the plane in that movie and everybody's like, trying to touch him? | ||
| Imagine you're doing that and it's a woman president. | ||
|
unidentified
|
What? | |
| Like, if there was a tornado, he would have to physically protect her. | ||
| If there was, like, a blackout, he would have to physically protect her. | ||
| She'd be freaking out, and he'd have to calm her down. | ||
| And, like, lift a giant piece of lumber off of her body. | ||
| You know, like, there's, uh... You know, like, the roof is crumbling, and he has to, like, lift, like, a huge metal piece. | ||
| Like, Obi-Wan at the beginning of Revenge of the Sith. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So she's at some bar. | |
| Wow! | ||
| Dude, this is the day of the election. | ||
| There's like 10 people here. | ||
| This guy's got a band-aid on his face. | ||
| They all have white hair. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Dude, this is just depressing. | |
| This guy's got a cowboy hat. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, white hair, white hair, white hair. | |
| Listen, nothing... I love old people. | ||
| Nothing against them. | ||
| But it's like, you can't get some young people in the room. | ||
| You can't get... This is the crowd. | ||
|
unidentified
|
got like 10 old people. | |
| And then, yeah, look at, dude, look at this guy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You can just tell this guy sucks. | |
| Can't you just tell in your heart of hearts exactly this guy's temperament if you met him? | ||
| With his glasses on top of his beanie and his beard and his stupid quarter zip. | ||
| I'd want to go up to that guy and be like, hey man, why are you supporting a woman for president? | ||
| And he'd probably, with his thumbs sticking out of his pockets, be like, hey man, she's conservative. | ||
| Come on, Trump's not gonna win. | ||
| I can imagine him with his hands in his pockets, thumbs sticking out. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Trump's not, Trump's an asshole. | |
| Trump's not gonna win. | ||
| With his gay glasses on. | ||
| These people are horrible. | ||
| These people are horrible. | ||
| I am not a Republican. | ||
| I am a Trump cultist. | ||
| And I want everyone to know that. | ||
| I am not a Republican. | ||
| Do not lump me in with them. | ||
| I am not a Republican. | ||
| I do not support McCarthy. | ||
| I do not support McConnell. | ||
| I do not support Haley or DeSantis. | ||
| I do not watch Fox News. | ||
| I don't support any of that. | ||
| I am a Donald Trump cultist. | ||
| I am a soldier for Donald Trump. | ||
| I am part of I serve at the personal pleasure of Donald Trump, my Supreme Leader. | ||
| I am part of the paramilitary wing of the Trump movement. | ||
| I am part of the Revolutionary Guard. | ||
| I do not answer to the Pentagon. | ||
| I do not answer to the civilian government. | ||
| I am the Praetorian Guard of Donald Trump. | ||
| If Donald Trump ordered me to do an extrajudicial killing, I would perform it. | ||
| I do not swear an oath to the Constitution. | ||
| I swear an oath to art of the deal. | ||
| And that, you know, it's fine. | ||
| You have your civilian military, you have your civilian National Guard and all that stuff, and they work for the Constitution, they work for the government. | ||
| I don't. | ||
| I work for Donald Trump, personally. | ||
| Now, I'm not, I don't, I'm not contracted. | ||
| This is just like, you know, but I do, but I would work for him like that. | ||
| I'm part of the paramilitary wing. | ||
| It's sort of like whatever Trump told me to do, I would do it. | ||
| If Trump called me up and said, it's MAGA night at the White House, we need you, I would go there. | ||
| If he summoned me, I would arrive. | ||
| If he sent me somewhere and said, look, we need to torture Hillary Clinton. | ||
| Theoretically, I wouldn't obviously do that on my own volition, but if Donald Trump won the election, and Donald Trump called me on a secret burner phone, and he said, look, We have to capture and... No, we can't go there. | ||
| We actually can't go there. | ||
| But if Donald Trump called me up and said, look, we need to capture my political enemies and torture them, you're okay with that, right? | ||
| This is totally off the books. | ||
| This is a black op. | ||
| If he called me up and told me to do it, I would be like... | ||
| Sir, yes, Mr. I wouldn't even say yes, Mr. President. | ||
| I would say it will be done. | ||
| I would say it will be done, Supreme Leader. | ||
| I would say something like that. | ||
| I wouldn't even say, I wouldn't even say yes, sir. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I would say it will be done. | |
| I would say it will be done, Supreme Leader. | ||
| I would say some like, I would say some serious like Star Wars, like Roman Empire. | ||
| Like, something totally not... Something totally... Something kind of foreign and anachronistic. | ||
| I would say something completely anachronistic. | ||
| You know, in the military... In the military, they're like, Sir, yes, sir. | ||
| Right away, Mr. President. | ||
| I would be like, It will be done, Supreme Leader Trump. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It would be something like that. | |
| It would be something like that. | ||
| Nah, I'm kidding, kidding, kidding, kidding. | ||
| Listen, we're just having fun with it, okay? | ||
| You can't hate. | ||
| You can't hate on me because it's just, this is just a little bit of parody. | ||
| We're just having fun with it. | ||
| It's all jokes. | ||
| Don't worry. | ||
| I'm just kidding, okay? | ||
| That's all a joke. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Before everybody gets on my... He, Nazi saluted. | |
| It's just a joke. | ||
| It's just like, hey, what if? | ||
| It's just a joke. | ||
| Everybody relax. | ||
| Just entertainment. | ||
| We're having fun with it. | ||
| We're having fun tonight. | ||
| It's Iowa Caucus tonight. | ||
| The Boomers are out. | ||
| They're wearing their beanies. | ||
| They got band-aids on their faces. | ||
| We're just having a good time. | ||
| We're riffing our hearts out. | ||
| I just trolled you, okay? | ||
| Anyway, alright. | ||
| But let's see. | ||
| So, let's see what Haley's got going on here. | ||
| I was 20 seconds. | ||
| our debate last week and he actually i was 20 seconds she didn't post a video dude imagine this guy's your dad - Yeah. | ||
| Imagine your dad is campaigning for a woman for president. | ||
| I would be so embarrassed. | ||
| This is somebody's dad in a Nikki Haley windbreaker. | ||
| And you know, he's probably a nice guy and everything. | ||
| He looks like one of your classic boomers who just like knows how to do stuff. | ||
| Like he wakes up early and makes coffee. | ||
| But it's like you're in a girl for president windbreaker. | ||
| He's putting up lawn signs. | ||
| What are you doing, dude? | ||
| She works for Israel. | ||
| This guy's like, well, I support Nikki Haley because we need a president who will confront Hamas. | ||
| Like, you're double-cucked. | ||
| You're supporting a woman to cuck our country for Israel. | ||
| That's double-cucked. | ||
| Bro is campaigning for a female leader of our nation because she's going to extract resources for Israel. | ||
|
unidentified
|
and another one just awful Okay, there's some young people here. | |
| And here's the thing, you know, Nikki Haley, whoa, what's going on with her chin, though? | ||
| She's got kind of, a lot of Indians have that. | ||
| She's got this weird, like, witch's chin. | ||
| She's kind of bad, though. | ||
| She's cute. | ||
| You know, she wears cute outfits. | ||
| She's cute, good-looking and everything, but... She's a disgraceful neocon. | ||
| She's like a Republican Hillary Clinton. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Look at this guy, dude. | |
| Imagine that's you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We gotta red pill this guy. | |
| When this guy turns 18, he'll find my show and then give me a call, okay? | ||
| And then we'll sign you up for the Trump Revolutionary Guard. | ||
| Trump Paramilitary Wing. | ||
| This guy probably laughs too much. | ||
| I can imagine that just by the way this guy's smiling he's one of these guys who's like in a constant giggle. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Today is the day we make history. | |
| Today is the day we make history because we tune out the noise of the media, we tune out the noise of the politicians, and we raise the voices of Americans that say we want a better day. | ||
| We're gonna make it happen. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| God bless you. | ||
| Let's do this! | ||
| Let's do this! | ||
| She's kind of bad, though. | ||
| Like, that's what's dangerous about her. | ||
| She's like one of... You know how the Israeli Defense Force, they make a lot of... They take a lot of, like, photos of hot girls serving in the IDF? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's kind of like that. | |
| That's what makes her dangerous, because her hair's hot, you know? | ||
| She's got, like... Not to be totally crass, but she does kind of have this MILF energy. | ||
| Like, you can tell she smells good as fuck. | ||
| Now, I'm sorry for all the swearing. | ||
| If you're new to the show, I never swear. | ||
| But, you know she smells so good. | ||
| You know that if she gave you a hug, it would just be intoxicating. | ||
| You know that if you came, if you were like cute enough and it would be a good photo op for her and she gave you a hug, you know she would smell bossom. | ||
| You know her hair would smell like hairspray. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It would smell delicious. | |
| Am I right? | ||
| Or am I right? | ||
| You know that she would be kind of cold and she would smell good and it would just be a great feeling. | ||
| I kind of want to give her a big hug even though she's a neocon shill. | ||
| You just know she smells good. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You know her hair. | |
| I would love to smell her hair. | ||
| Is that weird? | ||
| Is that weird that if I hugged her I would smell her hair? | ||
| I'd wrap my arms around her little body and I would go by her and go... And I would sniff her hair and I would go... I'm not voting for you. | ||
| I would snipe her hair and I'd say you are never getting my vote Maybe she could be a waitress or something she She would be a good waitress. | ||
| She would be a good hostess at a restaurant. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Whoops. | |
| She would be a really good hostess at a restaurant. | ||
| Like, I could see her with an iPad, kind of like stressed out on a Friday night, like, well, it's gonna be about 15 minutes. | ||
| I could see her doing that. | ||
| She would be fine in that role. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That would be hot. | |
| I could walk up to the hostess stand and be like, table for one? | ||
| She'd be like, Gonna be about a 15 minute wait, is that okay? | ||
| You know what? | ||
| She kind of has that energy of like, uh, the, uh, Pee Wee Herman bus driver. | ||
| Like, she'd kind of give you a smirk and she'd kind of be like, like one of those old city chicks, you know what I'm talking about in all those old movies? | ||
| She's got like a female maverick energy, you know what I'm saying? | ||
| Like a woman that kind of smirks at you, like a woman that works in a mechanics shop, she's kind of like, Hey, what's going on? | ||
| You know they make that face? | ||
| Like she can kind of talk shop with the guys kind of thing? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Love that. | |
| I need a wife like that. | ||
| I need a bad wife like that. | ||
| I need a wife ten years older than me who's like that. | ||
| People are saying unfollow me. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Stop! | |
| Look, we're having fun with it. | ||
| Look, if you can't handle me when I say that I want to grab Nikki Haley's hair and sniff it, if you can't handle me when I'm saying that, you don't deserve me when I'm saying it will be done, Supreme Leader. | ||
| You can't have it always, okay? | ||
| We're having a good time. | ||
| It's all jokes. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's all jokes. | |
| We're catching up with the candidates. | ||
| We're learning about the issues. | ||
| Uh, you know, this is responsible citizenship, and we're just having a great time on the night of the Iowa caucus. | ||
| So anyway. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Poll numbers, her crowds now growing. | |
| I really like what I see with Nikki Haley. | ||
| I think she is electable regardless of whomever the Democrats choose to run. | ||
| She shows that she understands what's important, the issues that are important to Iowans. | ||
| I'm a mega Trump. | ||
| By the way, smash the follow button. | ||
| Smash the follow button! | ||
| If you're not following me already, follow this channel. | ||
| I do amazing content like this every day. | ||
| I do a show Monday through Friday. | ||
| So if you're not subscribed, follow me on Rumble here. | ||
| And like this video! | ||
| Like the video. | ||
| It takes a second. | ||
| Actually do it though. | ||
| Do it now. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Alright. | |
| But we need to win an election, and where we are today, I still lean towards Nikki Haley on being our primary candidate. | ||
| The reason why I've enjoyed campaigning in Iowa is because it reminds me a lot of South Carolina. | ||
| They do their homework. | ||
| They work hard. | ||
| They expect you to work hard. | ||
| And they fight for what they need. | ||
| Iowa knows how to do this. | ||
| You do it every time. | ||
| It doesn't matter what they say on TV. | ||
| You start it. | ||
| You do it. | ||
| You tell the country where we should go. | ||
| No one's going to work harder than me. | ||
| No one's going to outsmart me. | ||
| Because we have a country to save. | ||
| Don't complain about what happens in a general election if you don't play in this caucus. | ||
| It matters. | ||
| You join us in this fight and become part of the solution? | ||
| I promise you, our best days are yet to come. | ||
| All right, pretty lame ad, though. | ||
| Well, Pretty lame ad. | ||
| I just like her energy. | ||
| Look at the dude. | ||
| Look at this freak. | ||
| Look at this absolute freak. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Bread Baker. | |
| What's this? | ||
| Young Republicans? | ||
| Dude, what? | ||
| Get a life, man. | ||
| I'm so... Dude, you should never... You can't look like this. | ||
| How does a person leave their house thinking this is an acceptable way for a human male to look Bruh Yeah, typical. | ||
| His nipples are hanging out. | ||
| Do better. | ||
| A big red polo with his nipples hanging out and this disgusting beard. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Ugh. | |
| And the tight pants! | ||
| Wow, cool tight pants. | ||
| What's going on with this? | ||
| Is that the wife? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeesh. | |
| All right, that's Haley. | ||
| Well Trump, is Trump posting stuff? | ||
| Is Trump on Twitter or does he have a campaign on Twitter? | ||
|
unidentified
|
We'll check his true social, I guess. | |
| Here we go. | ||
| I hope everybody is listening because we have some very important information for you to make sure we win this primary and we win it big. | ||
| It all starts right here in Iowa with the first in the nation caucuses that I was able to give to Iowa. | ||
| I controlled it and I gave it, just as I said I would. | ||
| The outcome in this state will send a message to the entire country and, in fact, the entire world. | ||
| So please listen very carefully to these simple steps you need to take to vote in the Iowa caucuses on Monday, January 15th, 2024. | ||
| That's Martin Luther King Day, January 15th, 2024. | ||
| Together, we're going to make history, but you have to show up and you have to follow these instructions. | ||
| Thank you all, and let's go and make America great again. | ||
| We're going to do it. | ||
| We're going to make it greater than ever before. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're going to make it greater than ever before. | |
| Monday, January 15th, 7 p.m. | ||
| Be there, because it's caucus night. | ||
| Now you may say to yourself, Self, I've never been to a caucus. | ||
| How does it work? | ||
| You've come to the right place. | ||
| We don't need to watch all that. | ||
| That's funny though. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
| On behalf of all Iowans, I want to say thank you. | ||
| Thank you for cutting taxes for hardworking Iowans. | ||
| For eliminating senseless regulations that stifled innovation and jobs. | ||
| What I love about this president and this administration is it is an administration of action and outcomes. | ||
| And the list is long! | ||
| Lower taxes, lower unemployment, safer borders. | ||
| For standing strong with Justice Kavanaugh! | ||
| Alright, 2-2, Shrill. | ||
| Where's the content, Don? | ||
| Nikki Haley can never win in the general election because she doesn't have MAGA and never will. | ||
| Rhonda Sanktimonious at least is MAGA-lite. | ||
| Remember, I think MAGA is almost all of the Republican Party. | ||
| The days of the rhinos and non-America First candidates are over. | ||
| Nikki is a globalist rhino backed by Americans for Chinese growth. | ||
| The Charles Koch con job. | ||
| It's not going to happen for her or De Sanctimonious. | ||
| Vivek votes are wasted. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Should come to Trump. | |
| Make America Great Again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Duh. | |
| That's a great post. | ||
| So interesting to watch anti-Israel protesters violently demonstrating, getting close to tearing down the fences, free the J6 hostages. | ||
| I love the all caps. | ||
| A vote for Vivek is a wasted vote. | ||
| I like Vivek, but he played it too cute with us. | ||
| Caucus tonight. | ||
| Vote for Donald Trump. | ||
| Build up the numbers. | ||
| In November we must take our very troubled nation, a nation in decline, back from crooked Joe Biden and the radical left Democrats and thugs who are destroying it. | ||
| MAGA. | ||
| I love the all caps. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I like the fact that he played it too cute with us. | |
| And you know exactly what he means by that, but that's just so funny. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Aw, dude. | |
| He's the king, man. | ||
| King of America. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Alright, let's see. | |
| Why don't we watch some of these? | ||
| Is there any live coverage? | ||
| We join now for the live coverage of the Iowa caucus. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Iowa caucus. | |
| Here we go, because we're getting close, right? | ||
| We're about an hour away from results All right YouTube's really laggy for me tonight. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know why. | |
| Here's my computer. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Come on now. | |
| Oh, you know what? | ||
| YouTube's been really laggy for me tonight. | ||
| I don't know why. | ||
| I think it's my computer. | ||
| Come on now. | ||
| Oh, you know what? | ||
| Maybe it's my ad blocker. | ||
| It's going to matter somewhat. | ||
| what I don't think it's the whole story but but Nikki Haley her position in second or third will matter obviously moving into South Carolina and listen when you talk about Ron DeSantis I mean the hype was around him for so long the media I'm gonna try and turn off this ad blocker I feel like that's what he wrote all these stories though when he had that Twitter start that kind of flamed out all the stories about the super New Hampshire | ||
| Nikki's obviously doing way better than Ron DeSantis and then South Carolina comes along but if Trump wins all three then he's three and oh in the field's oh and three but I do think I do think that enthusiasm number that Chuck Todd was referencing in inside DeSantis's numbers compared to Nikki Haley's matters for that especially tonight the bottom line for DeSantis if he doesn't finish in second place if he finishes in third his campaign All right, guys, stand by. | ||
| We appreciate all that analysis, all those predictions. | ||
| But the thing that matters tonight, of course, are the votes. | ||
| I want to get back to Hallie Jackson at a caucus site in Dallas County, just next to Des Moines. | ||
| Hallie, tell us what you're seeing out there with just 30 minutes to go until the voting gets underway. | ||
| Yeah, I think, like, 27 minutes till the door is shut here, Tom. | ||
| So we've moved. | ||
| We're up in the bleachers now. | ||
| You can see groups of people that have come out, some of them friends, some of them know each other, like some of this group. | ||
| You probably saw that Trump T-shirt on our friend Jacqueline. | ||
| There's a Nikki Haley pin and a Bring It shirt over here. | ||
| We saw a sticker for Ron DeSantis down below. | ||
| So you're kind of getting a cross-section here of Republican voters. | ||
| We're now going to make our way down the stairs just to give you a sense of what we're seeing here. | ||
| And a reminder of the process, right? | ||
| In just about looking at my watch, 25 minutes or so, things will begin. | ||
| Things will kick off here. | ||
| You're going to see them elect, essentially. | ||
| They will select a precinct captain and then a precinct secretary. | ||
| That's kind of like procedural stuff. | ||
| And then people will come up, a representative for each of the candidates to speak, to talk about why people should caucus for their particular candidate. | ||
| I'm going to sit down here with some of our new pals here. | ||
| This is Sue and Jack, who have caucused before. | ||
| This is not your first time, right? | ||
| Right. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| Tell me what brought you out here tonight. | ||
| Why did you decide to brave those icy roads to be out? | ||
| It's an important election. | ||
| All right. | ||
| We don't. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| This is just stupid. | ||
| Have you decided? | ||
| Trump. | ||
|
unidentified
|
January 6th was a very interesting day. | |
| People in... | ||
| What? | ||
| This is how AG1 works to upgrade your health routine. | ||
| This guy's still... Get this guy out of here. | ||
| Was this guy on every channel? | ||
| Okay. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Alright. | |
| So it looks like they're starting me. | ||
| out of here and tells the truth people get said of course we've seen bowl after poll that shows trucks this guy on every channel Mary okay all right so it looks like they're starting me they are starting it is 6:30 so the process is underway one one hour away from results. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go. | |
| Okay, only in left ear. | ||
| So we got Donald Trump's campaign. | ||
| We got the... Let's keep this one open because we're going to want to watch and see once the results come through. | ||
| We'll want to watch Trump and all the other speeches when it's over. | ||
|
unidentified
|
What's happening now? | |
| The state is now defending and... Okay, this guy's annoying. | ||
| So why don't we go to... Let's watch the Trump rally. | ||
| I guess we could watch this. | ||
| This is his most recent rally in Iowa from... I think this is yesterday. | ||
| Watch a little bit of this. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, not working. | |
| How about Twitter? | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| We'll check out Twitter. | ||
| Let's see what people are saying on Twitter about all this. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're going to have a great night and a fantastic place. | |
| We've won it twice, as you know, to elections. | ||
| And I think we're going to have a tremendous night tonight. | ||
| The people are fantastic. | ||
| And I've never seen spirit like they have. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay. | |
| Hey, that's me. - Okay. | ||
| Let's see, what else we got? | ||
| Not a lot of news here. | ||
| Somebody give me a good news Twitter to follow on the election. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Maybe we'll see what Laurel Loomer has to say about all this. | |
| Our correspondent, our girl. | ||
| We got 12,000 watching! | ||
| Whoa! | ||
| I think it's one of my biggest streams ever on Rumble. | ||
| So thanks everybody for tuning in. | ||
| I think I'm like number 2 right now on the site. | ||
| I'm like number 2 or 3, I think. | ||
| Yeah, look at that! | ||
| Number 2! | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm right behind RSVM! | |
| It's Marjorie Greene's boyfriend! | ||
| No, it's okay. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's Marjorie Taylor Greene's boyfriend right there. | |
| I don't really want to watch an interview with Eric. | ||
| Okay, where was I? | ||
| Taylor Greene's boyfriend. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's go and toss. | |
| This is the interview I did earlier with Eric Trump. | ||
| Let's listen in. | ||
| We are honored to have a few minutes here in the Trump war room with Eric Trump. | ||
| I don't really want to watch an interview with Eric. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| Where was I? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Laura Loomer. | |
| Tracking site for Iowa caucus. | ||
| I mean we'll have it on New York Times, but I guess this comes in quicker. | ||
| Let's see Telling everybody the caucus information Not a lot of news here though I'll check her likes. | ||
| Can we see her likes? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Maybe she hides them. | |
| Oh, no. | ||
| Okay, cool. | ||
| Yeah, not seeing a ton of news. | ||
| We're just waiting on the results, I guess. | ||
| In 20 minutes, they start the vote, and then within 30, after that, we're gonna start getting results. | ||
| So we'll stay tuned over here. | ||
| We'll see... | ||
| Do we have anything new from Vivek? | ||
| Is he live? | ||
| Is there a new video maybe? | ||
|
unidentified
|
There is not. | |
| Okay. | ||
| Alright, let's take a look at the betting markets. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We'll see if this moved at all. | |
| Looks about the same. | ||
| Trump projected to win 95% according to the betting markets. | ||
| And why don't we look... There's one thing I wanted to look at before we get to the Iowa results, which is the 270 to win map. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, really? | |
| Everybody tells me get an ad blocker, get an ad blocker, and then you do this with every website. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You just have to turn it off. | |
| So this is the 2024 map. | ||
| And I don't know how this one is filled in exactly. | ||
| Let me see. | ||
| Why don't we reset the map? | ||
| Okay, so this is what the map looks like right now. | ||
| This is with toss-ups and this is with... You can see... I believe this is according to the latest polling. | ||
| This is how they've set it up. | ||
| So this is not the primary. | ||
| This is, of course, the general between Trump and Biden. | ||
| It has 235 electoral votes for Trump, most likely, 226 for Biden. | ||
| Swing states, you got Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia. | ||
| So these are the six that are going to determine the election. | ||
| And something that I've talked about a lot over the past few years is how the census has changed the election. | ||
| So back in 2020, can we do... | ||
|
unidentified
|
There we go. | |
| So this was the 2020 election. | ||
| This is how it all shook out, of course, with the rigging in place. | ||
| And Biden flipped, whoops, Biden flipped Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia. | ||
| Those are all states that Trump won in 2016 that Biden won in 2020. | ||
| But what you'll notice is that the three states that had the lowest margin of victory for Biden, that it was the lowest difference, you know, that he won by the least, I think it was 150,000 between three states, it was Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia. | ||
| Those are the three with the smallest margin. | ||
| And it should say 269, shouldn't it? | ||
| because of the change. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Or as in 2024, it's only this year. | |
| It should be the reverse, shouldn't it be? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Whatever. | |
| Why is this not right? | ||
| Really? | ||
| Shouldn't this be? | ||
| Hang on a second. | ||
| or is there one i'm missing i thought with wisconsin arizona and georgia was supposed to be 269 No? | ||
| Am I not considering something? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Maybe with Nebraska? | |
| Yeah, I guess that's it. | ||
| So this would be the election had, you know, if Trump had won these three in 2020. | ||
| This is what I'm trying to get at, I guess. | ||
| Oh, no, it's reversed. | ||
| Okay, I had it reversed. | ||
| I had it reversed. | ||
| So, if Trump had just flipped those three, you know, because of course Biden won all the swing states in 2020. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Whoops. | |
| You know, Biden flipped Michigan, he flipped Pennsylvania, and I believe he flipped Nebraska's third. | ||
| And these were the three with the lowest margin of victory. | ||
| It was 150,000 votes. | ||
| Biden won by 150,000 in those three states. | ||
| If Trump had won Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona, it would have been 269 to 269. | ||
| But then because of the census, they obviously change how the electoral votes are distributed. | ||
| And Republicans gained 3 on that. | ||
| And that's because of North Carolina, Florida, Texas, and Montana all gaining votes. | ||
| And Democrats lost 3. | ||
| Because California, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New York lost votes. | ||
| If you get the same map in 24, like, there would have been a tie in 2020. | ||
| If Trump had just, this is not a huge differential, if Trump had just won 150,000 more votes in those three states, it would have been a tie in 2020. | ||
| Because of the vote change in 24, the same map, would have him winning 272 to 266. | ||
| So this is the minimum that Trump needs. | ||
| Trump can afford to lose... So if you reset the map and just look at the swing states... Whoops. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Not this one. | |
| This one. | ||
| So Trump can afford to lose Nebraska's third. | ||
| He can lose Pennsylvania. | ||
| He can lose Michigan. | ||
| He can lose Nevada. | ||
| He only needs to flip Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia out of the three. | ||
| To me, that's the key insight from 2020. | ||
| And Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia are all red states, historically. | ||
| Arizona is a very red state. | ||
| Wisconsin's a red state. | ||
| Georgia, of course, is a red state. | ||
| And when you look at the polling, this is the real white pill. | ||
| I'm going to show you why I'm showing you this map. | ||
| Because if you look at the head-to-head polling for the general election, Trump versus Biden, and you look at the swing states, I'm going to try and find the swing state polling here. | ||
| If you look at Arizona, Trump is leading on average by five points. | ||
| So in Arizona, this is one of the three that Trump needs. | ||
| It's 47.42 in the average. | ||
| If you look at Wisconsin, another one that Trump needs, it's a statistical tie. | ||
|
unidentified
|
45.8, 45.8. | |
| If you look at Georgia, Trump's up 5. | ||
|
unidentified
|
48.2 to 43. | |
| So the three states that Trump needs to win, that Trump absolutely needs, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia, he needs to flip those. | ||
| He's leading or tying in all of them. | ||
| Which was never the case in 2020. | ||
| Was not the case in 2016. | ||
| And then it gets better than that. | ||
| I'm pretty sure in Michigan he's up. | ||
| In Michigan he's up on average by 5. | ||
| Pennsylvania he's up by 0.3. | ||
| Nevada, he's up by five. | ||
| So if you look at just the polling, if you look at the polling average right now, I mean, he's basically tied in Wisconsin, basically tied in Pennsylvania, but he's up in Arizona, he's up in Georgia, he's up in Michigan, he's even up in Nevada. | ||
| If you look at just the polling, this is what the map looks like right now. | ||
| If the election were held today and you just looked at the polling, And typically the polling overestimates the performance of the Democrat. | ||
| Like in, of course, in 16 and in 2020, the polls were much more favorable to Clinton and Biden than the results actually were. | ||
| So, if history plays out again, this is the minimum, this is the floor for Trump, if the election's held today, 283 to 226. | ||
| And if Trump winds up winning Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, he actually improves. | ||
| He does better than he did in 2016. | ||
| In 2016, it was 306 to 232. | ||
| If he performs better than the polls, and it's according to the polls, it's going to be at least 312 to 226. | ||
| So that's why I feel like a lot of people are bullish. | ||
| I think if you look at the betting odds, They have him winning it all, favored to win it all. | ||
| But let me see if I can find that market. | ||
| So for example, right now in the predicted betting market, they have Donald Trump up 42% chance of winning, Joe Biden 38%. | ||
| But that's with Haley and everybody else. | ||
| And if you look at, there's other markets where it says like Republican in the White House versus Democrat. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I guess technically they have Biden up by 53%. | |
| But I think the other one, if you look at Maxim Lotz betting odds, I think they have Trump up slightly. | ||
| Yeah, so if you look at U.S. | ||
| presidency 2024, they got Trump the favorite 42%. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Biden 32%. | |
| So that's the white pill. | ||
| But let's look at some of the other polling here. | ||
| North Carolina, they got Trump up by 9 in the average, which is crazy. | ||
| I wonder if they have polling from other states though. | ||
| Do they have it for like Minnesota and Virginia? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I guess not. | |
| Let's see. | ||
| Amen. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Maine's 2. | ||
| Whoa! | ||
| Maine Congressional District 2, you got Trump up by 14. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see if there's any other ones that we haven't looked at yet. | |
| I guess there's nothing else other than that. | ||
| I wish there was more polling. | ||
| I guess there'll be more when we get closer, once the nominees are chosen. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see if there's any movement over here. | |
| And yeah, getting someone in there. | ||
| Okay, don't care. | ||
| To be free and flexible and creative was really essential to what I wanted to make and I didn't find a platform. | ||
| ...put out to you as the voting is about to get underway. | ||
| Look, in a room like this, I think the question at the beginning of the night was, are people going to be able to get out? | ||
| Are they going to want to get out in these frigid temperatures? | ||
| And at least in this room, it appears the answer is yes. | ||
| Because if you look around me, there were about a hundred seats that were laid out in this room, Tom, and all of them look pretty much full. | ||
| We're about 15, 10 to 15 minutes before they do exactly what you were just describing. | ||
| Say the pledge, begin the process here, and then we'll expect to hear from folks. | ||
| 10 minutes, everybody. | ||
| Time to get hype. | ||
| You know what? | ||
| What was that Trump Dragon Ball video called? | ||
| I totally forget the name of it. | ||
| You know what I'm talking about? | ||
| What was it called? | ||
| Somebody tell me. | ||
| Whoops. | ||
| Hang on. | ||
| No, I'm not looking for that. | ||
| I'm looking for something totally different. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's crazy. | |
| Where is it? | ||
| What the heck is that Dragon Ball video called? | ||
| You know what I'm talking about? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's like saying something. | |
| Stereo. | ||
| This election will determine whether we're a free agent or whether we have only the illusion of democracy, but are in fact controlled by a small handful of global special interests rigging the system. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And our system, our system, our system. | |
| You know it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They know it. | |
| I know it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And pretty much the whole world, the whole world, the whole world. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| This is a crossroads in the history of our civilization that will determine whether or not we, the people, reclaim control over our government. | ||
| that will determine whether or not we, the people, reclaim control over our government. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Our government. | |
| Our government. | ||
| And we're going to change it. | ||
| That's so awesome, dude. | ||
| good. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
| Five minutes out. | ||
| Five minutes out. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Six minutes out. | |
| Six and a half minutes out from a total Trump victory. | ||
| He's so graceful and so elegant. | ||
| Look at, like, the hand motions. | ||
| That's what I love about him. | ||
| Look at this. | ||
| Look at what I'm talking about. | ||
| Look at the grace. | ||
| Look at that movement. | ||
| Look at that. | ||
| He's just like, there's no one on earth like him. | ||
| You have to realize that there's no other human being who is like him. | ||
| Just exudes power. | ||
| This is our guy. | ||
| We're headed towards, hurtling towards, another total Trump victory. | ||
| DeSantis campaign, it's over. | ||
| Like, it's totally over for DeSantis after tonight. | ||
| And that's gonna be delicious. | ||
| It's gonna be delicious when he's forced into retirement by the leader, by Führer Trump. | ||
| by leader Trump Oh Vivek is live streaming it *sniff* Let's see what's going on here. | ||
| RATE LIMITED! | ||
|
unidentified
|
Dude, Elon. | |
| Unban me so I can participate on Twitter. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Alright, well. | |
| That's fine. | ||
| He had said so clearly. | ||
| 81%. | ||
|
unidentified
|
There have been years where Democrats show up. | |
| That's true. | ||
| This might not be the year. | ||
| I'll give you another thing that we didn't put on here. | ||
| 80% of the electorates over the age of 45. | ||
| Okay? | ||
| Just 1 in 5 voters, essentially, are under the age of 45. | ||
| Which means, you don't have many Millennials or Gen Z's even voting at all. | ||
| That's also a good sign for Donald Trump, not a good sign for his challengers. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But there was some thinking that with no Democratic competitive caucus, some Dems, some Independents may show up. | |
| We're not seeing that right now. | ||
| Here's another key thing that we're always looking at. | ||
| What's the split between college graduate and non-college graduate? | ||
| This is actually, I think, in general, if you're DeSantis or Haley, you like this split. | ||
| You feel like this is a fighter's chance. | ||
| This is basically an even split here. | ||
| We know Haley does better with college graduates. | ||
| We know Trump cleans up with non-college graduates. | ||
| So let's see how that breaks out. | ||
| But this, at least, they could look at that and say, OK, that gives us a fighting chance. | ||
| Here's a couple other things. | ||
| To note, we asked about the abortion, the idea of an abortion ban. | ||
| You can see the conservative nature of this electorate. | ||
| This goes about every Republican electorate I've seen. | ||
| This is about where it goes. | ||
| Two to one in favor. | ||
| Nikki Haley in polling has done a lot really well with those that don't favor the full-on ban. | ||
| But as you can see, this is not where a majority of the party is. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Do we know yet a breakdown of sex, men versus women, who are caucusing? | |
| Usually it's 60%, I know, for men. | ||
| Well, no, it was. | ||
| That was new. | ||
| So far, it is about 55-45, the split, but this is an early. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Still early. | |
| So let's see. | ||
| We're going to get more waves. | ||
| Very quickly, just so you can see what the important issues are. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is huge. | |
| Okay, what do we have here? | ||
| Economy and immigration are just the dominant. | ||
| Dominance, right? | ||
| And if you watch any of the ad traffic, what are they talking about? | ||
| The economy and prices, or the border? | ||
| And as you can see, these are the dominant issues. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Those two issues are going to help who? | |
| That's one candidate to help. | ||
| That's right. | ||
| And let's go back to, I don't mean to harp on Nikki Haley here, but obviously, if she wanted to be the story, who's the hawk on foreign policy? | ||
| And who's been the one trying to say, hey, we've got to change our conversation on abortion? | ||
| That's not enough of the electorate that cares about the issues that she does. | ||
| So, look, you look here and so far... Here we go! | ||
| Three minutes! | ||
| You know, let's just shut this down and let's just do a little... Let's just do a little never come down. | ||
| Because we got three minutes to go before Trump gets easily elected president again and we all throw Romans up. | ||
| Throwing up Romans for the leader. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is it, dude. | |
| This is it. | ||
| This is it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Second Iowa caucus. | |
| He's gonna win this one. | ||
|
unidentified
|
No Oreos. | |
| We are going to make our country great again. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We are going to make our country great again. | |
| We are going to make our country great again. | ||
| We are going to make our country great again. | ||
| I'm starving, I'm a mazrin, hair I always whip around. | ||
| So high up, got my chin up, I don't care if I ever come down. | ||
| I don't care if I ever come down. | ||
| Guac-ball. | ||
| The classic guac-ball. | ||
| I can't believe we're doing it a third time. | ||
| We're really gonna do it a third time. | ||
| We went hard in 16. | ||
| We went hard in 20. | ||
| I can't believe. | ||
| You guys gotta get psyched. | ||
| This is 2024. | ||
| It's Trump 2024 times 3. | ||
| The third time. | ||
| And we're gonna win a third time, but this time we're getting an office. | ||
| You know, last time we didn't really get to the important part, which is seated, but, you know, this time it's gonna happen. | ||
| There's gonna be, dude, there's gonna be a second Trump term. | ||
| Four more years, bitch. | ||
| Deal with it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're never gonna leave office. | |
| Here we go, ten seconds! | ||
|
unidentified
|
No, we're into it! | |
| Here we go, here we go! | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| Nothing yet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
into it. | |
| A reminder of what's at stake tonight, right? | ||
| 40 delegates. | ||
| That's a small fraction of the 1,215. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nominations about 1.5%. | |
| But a strong performance in Iowa. | ||
| Nothing yet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Catapult a campaign. | |
| Nothing yet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We have full team coverage all across the Hawkeye. | |
| Reaction to this characterization. | ||
| We're a minute into the voting. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| So far, no votes in. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| Let's go back to Associated Press. | ||
| I want to see the multicam. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go. | |
| Now, in secret, who your candidate is, and it really is pretty, uh, pretty non-stressful and fun. | ||
| We're gonna try to make it as efficient as possible. | ||
| So, let's begin, as we did when I came down from the Pledge of Allegiance. | ||
| Please rise. | ||
| Yes. | ||
| I pledge allegiance to the flag of the United States of America, and to the republic for which it stands, one nation, under God, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all. | ||
| So the voting is underway. | ||
| They're going to take the pledge and then I think they vote, right? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Dear God, thank you for gathering our friends, our neighbors tonight in a very important caucus as we help elect the President of the United States. | |
| We remember those in Perry who are suffering tonight. | ||
| These are our neighbors and friends, too. | ||
| And we hope that you will help us make the right decisions in helping this great United States and help all those around the world for peace and prosperity. | ||
| Your name you say? | ||
| Offhand. | ||
| Okay! | ||
| I've got three folks who are going to talk right now from different candidates. | ||
| So these are your presidential candidates, these are your friends, these are your neighbors who are going to talk to you. | ||
| You've all heard the national candidates talk on TV, but this is kind of the local flavor we get today. | ||
| It's just kind of fun. | ||
| And again, I really thank you for coming out tonight. | ||
| So, just so you know, this is what's happening in every precinct in Iowa. | ||
| We're speaking for whoever. | ||
| So let's get started. | ||
| These are all folks that are part of the Dallas County group. | ||
| I'm going to first start out with Brandon Porter. | ||
| He's going to talk about the bank from the swammy. | ||
| Come on, guys. | ||
| So just so you know, this is what's happening in every precinct in Iowa. | ||
| So I don't know how many precincts there are, but in every precinct, they're going to do the pledge, and then a representative for each campaign is going to come up and give The speeches conclude and then they're going to vote. | ||
| So this is happening simultaneously across the entire state right now. | ||
| Every state, rather every precinct within the state, is having this meeting right now. | ||
| So they'll probably all conclude around the same time, submit their results, and then, you know, we'll probably get the results in about a half hour. | ||
|
unidentified
|
...people of this country. | |
| If there's one candidate who knows how to actually shut down the deep state, it's Brezhnev. | ||
| Brezhnev can use our own military to secure our own borders, not someone else's. | ||
| He'll end the war in Ukraine. | ||
| He'll shut down government agencies like the U.S. | ||
| Department of Education and return the money to the parents of Rosh Hashanah. | ||
| He'll be forced secure elections in America. | ||
| He'll make election day a national holiday, and he requires three-day voter voting with paper ballots. | ||
| Government issued that voter ID and voters is sold, claiming on the ballot. | ||
| I know that many of you tonight are probably thinking about voting for the ballot. | ||
| I'm asking you to open your eyes to the heart of truth They will not let Donald J. Trump anywhere near the White House again. | ||
| Levesque has shown more respect to Trump than anybody. | ||
| He is the only candidate who has pledged to remove his name from the ballot in Maine and Colorado. | ||
| The other GOP candidates have been silent on this. | ||
| This is unacceptable. | ||
| But our America First movement cannot end without Trump. | ||
| Don't fall for the trick. | ||
| Today is our last chance to make sure America First outwins Trump. | ||
| I know it may feel uncomfortable for you to switch your vote from Trump to debate tonight, but I'm asking you to do it for our country. | ||
| Okay, do you guys want to watch these? | ||
| Press 1 if you want to watch this, 2 if not. | ||
| So this guy's obviously giving a speech for Vivec. | ||
| They're gathered in what appears to be a grade school gym. | ||
| And you see they're all spread out around the room, they're gonna give the speeches, and then they go and they vote, and I believe this time it's on paper. | ||
| And the speeches, I don't think, are very long, so... This is just giving us a sense of the pace. | ||
| This is what's happening all across Iowa. | ||
| That's the only reason I'm watching it. | ||
| But what do you guys think? | ||
| You wanna... Did I say one for yes or two for no? | ||
| One for yes, one for watch this, two for watch something else. | ||
| One for watch this two for watch other coverage, but this is I mean, I guess we don't need to but this is just good We're gonna keep an eye on this because this is the pace of The meeting that's being held everywhere. | ||
| Everybody's saying to people don't want to watch this. | ||
| Okay, we can watch something else so Well, we'll keep this on in the background, okay? | ||
| Why don't we watch the Trump announcement? | ||
| You know, let's just get excited, okay? | ||
| Let's get excited because this is the third Trump campaign, and honestly, when you look at the polling and you look at the map, he's gonna do it. | ||
| I mean, unless... Here's the state of the race, okay? | ||
| It would seem that there is virtually no competition to Trump in the primary. | ||
| DeSantis... | ||
| I imagine we'll be out of the race very soon. | ||
| Even if you look at the polling in Florida, DeSantis isn't even winning in Florida, which is his home state. | ||
| Neither is Nikki Haley. | ||
| Nikki Haley's home state is South Carolina. | ||
| She's got 21% support. | ||
| She's counting on that support growing. | ||
| She's counting on if DeSantis drops out, and if she has a big finish in Iowa and New Hampshire, She's really counting on sort of like a campaign relaunch with South Carolina. | ||
| You understand? | ||
| Nikki Haley is counting on two things. | ||
| She's counting on DeSantis dropping out, and she's going to absorb all or most of his support. | ||
| And then two, she's hoping that if she finishes second place in Iowa, if she has a strong finish in New Hampshire, because if you look at New Hampshire, she's only 14, 15 points behind Trump. | ||
| She's hoping to build throughout the next four races. | ||
| Second place finish in Iowa finishes tight on Trump's ass in New Hampshire. | ||
| And then by the time she gets to her home state of South Carolina, maybe she beats Trump. | ||
| And she's counting on that to be sort of like when the race really begins, and then when she gets to Super Tuesday, then she's competitive. | ||
| So that's really the state of the race. | ||
| DeSantis is really a non-factor. | ||
| If Vivek overperforms his polling tonight, he may be a factor in the future, but really, It's gonna be this two-man race. | ||
| It's gonna be Trump, really, versus Haley. | ||
| DeSantis is not long for this world. | ||
| Again, it largely depends on the performance tonight, but if he does poorly tonight, really, he's done. | ||
| And that's just good news for Haley. | ||
| She'll take at least half of that support. | ||
| And as the race narrows, that's good for her, because all the non- or anti-Trump support will matriculate towards her, and And then it's gonna become more like a 60-40. | ||
| Right now obviously Trump's got like 50% or more in Iowa. | ||
| Yeah, right now he's got 53% in Iowa and it's him versus the field which is split up. | ||
| So Haley wants Vivek to be as little as possible. | ||
| She wants DeSantis to drop out. | ||
| And then it's split between her and Trump. | ||
| I think regardless though, she doesn't have a chance. | ||
| I think that even with DeSantis dropping out, I still don't think she's gonna be able to do it. | ||
| And then, it's Trump versus Biden. | ||
| And then, I think that Trump wins. | ||
| I think that Trump handily defeats Biden. | ||
| At this point, it's just a huge open-ended question about whether something weird will happen. | ||
| Like if Trump will be killed or die mysteriously. | ||
| And obviously that would break my heart. | ||
| I don't want that to happen. | ||
| But it's weird. | ||
| Everybody's talking about that. | ||
| And by everybody, I don't mean normal people. | ||
| I mean Tucker Carlson and Vivek. | ||
| And even I think Elon has said it as well, they've been pushing this really strongly, this idea that Trump will somehow not make it to the election, which is very bizarre. | ||
| And I never even thought of that until they started saying that repeatedly. | ||
| But all things being equal, I think that Trump will win the nomination. | ||
| I think he's on his way to be the favorite to win the election. | ||
| Like I said, you take a look at the polling. | ||
| Let's take a look at the general or the Trump versus Biden average. | ||
| Trump is up one point in the average. | ||
| He was up as much as three, three and a half a couple weeks ago. | ||
| So Trump's looking pretty good going into the general if it's a Trump versus Biden matchup. | ||
| And we can look at... I wonder if they have it with Uh, Kennedy and Cornel West. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I wanna see if they have that. | |
| I don't know if they have an average of those polls. | ||
| But it looks like general election Trump, Biden, Kennedy, Manchin, West, Stein. | ||
| Okay, but Manchin's not gonna run. | ||
| But if he does, Trump wins by three, and Manchin has negligible support, so I guess that's... | ||
|
unidentified
|
Gives us an insight. | |
| This is another one, LA Times, that if it's Biden versus... Oh, but this is in California. | ||
| He wins by 16. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So that's exciting. | |
| Let's watch a little of this though. | ||
| So I want to watch my favorite part of my favorite speech. | ||
| Here it is, the moment that started it all. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Look at where we are now. | |
| Isn't it crazy? | ||
| This is how it started, this is how it's ending. | ||
| Who would have thought he came down the escalator and said, we're going to make America great again. | ||
| Then he got his mug shot taken after he tried to January 6th the government. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're a garbage can. | |
| Now she puts the kid away. | ||
| She's going to get a hit. | ||
| She hates her life and what she's going to do. | ||
| And there's one more kid. | ||
| They'll never go to school. | ||
| Never get to fall in love. | ||
| Never get to be cool. | ||
| Keep on rocking in the free world. | ||
| Wow. | ||
| Whoa. | ||
| That is some group of people. | ||
| Thousands. | ||
| So nice. | ||
| Thank you very much. | ||
| That's really nice. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| It's great to be at Trump Tower. | ||
| It's great to be in a wonderful city, New York. | ||
| And it's an honor to have everybody here. | ||
| This is beyond anybody's expectations. | ||
| There's been no... This was nine years ago. | ||
| Can you believe this was nine years ago? | ||
| This was June 2015. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Which is just, like, hard to believe. | |
| Crowd like this. | ||
| And I can tell you, some of the candidates they went in, they didn't know the air conditioner didn't work. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They sweated like dogs. | |
| They didn't know the room was too big, because they didn't have anybody there. | ||
| How are they gonna beat ISIS? | ||
| I don't think it's gonna happen. | ||
| Our country is in serious trouble. | ||
| We don't have victories anymore. | ||
| We used to have victories, but we don't have them. | ||
| When was the last time anybody saw us beating, let's say, China in a trade deal? | ||
| They kill us. | ||
| I beat China all the time. | ||
| All the time. | ||
| When did we beat Japan at anything? | ||
| They send their cars over by the millions. | ||
| And what do we do? | ||
| When was the last time you saw a Chevrolet in Tokyo? | ||
| It doesn't exist, folks. | ||
| They beat us all the time. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I love that line. | |
| Because it's just so... He's so real. | ||
| You know, every other can, it's like, I'm gonna fight for your values. | ||
| We're gonna fight for our values. | ||
| And Trump gets up there and says, when was the last time you saw Chevrolet in Tokyo? | ||
| It's like, what is that? | ||
| Do you think we go to Tokyo? | ||
|
unidentified
|
You know what I mean? | |
| I mean, I know what he means by that. | ||
| He means that we don't make anything. | ||
| We don't export anything. | ||
| But he's so real for that. | ||
| They go up and they think, you know, what's some knuckle-dragging idiot gonna bully? | ||
| Well, we're gonna fight for our values. | ||
| And Trump gets up there and is like, They didn't know it was too hot. | ||
| How are they gonna beat ISIS? | ||
| They sweated like dogs because they didn't know it was too hot. | ||
| How are they gonna beat ISIS? | ||
| When was the last time you saw Chevrolet in Tokyo? | ||
| Like, that's just such a genius statement. | ||
| When do we beat Mexico at the border? | ||
| They're laughing at us, at our stupidity. | ||
| And now they're beating us economically. | ||
| They are not our friend, believe me. | ||
| But they're killing us economically. | ||
| The U.S. | ||
| has become a dumping ground for everybody else's problems. | ||
| I love that woman. | ||
| That woman is screaming throughout the event like she's like a big part of it. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| We gotta find who is that woman. | ||
| Is she watching this right now? | ||
| I wonder where she is today. | ||
| Ten years ago she was like in the most famous video in like the history of America. | ||
| It's true. | ||
| And these are the best and the finest. | ||
| When Mexico sends its people, they're not sending their best. | ||
| They're not sending you. | ||
| They're not sending you. | ||
| They're sending people that have lots of problems, and they're bringing those problems with us. | ||
| They're bringing drugs, they're bringing crime, they're rapists, and some, I assume, are good people. | ||
| But I speak to border guards, and they tell us what we're getting. | ||
| And it only makes common sense. | ||
| It only makes common sense. | ||
| They're sending us not the right people. | ||
| It's coming from more than Mexico. | ||
| It's coming from all over South and Latin America, and it's coming probably, probably from the Middle East. | ||
| But we don't know, because we have no protection, and we have no competence. | ||
| We don't know what's happening. | ||
| And it's gotta stop. | ||
| And it's gotta stop fast. | ||
| Actually, you know what? | ||
| Let's watch the other version where there's music. | ||
|
unidentified
|
There's a better version with music in it. | |
| Hold on. | ||
| We'll skip right to where we were before. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I just want it with the music. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| It's a very good day. | ||
| It's true. | ||
| Islamic terrorism. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I cry every time. | |
| They send their cars over by the millions. | ||
| And what do we do? | ||
| When was the last time you saw a Chevrolet in Tohono O'odham? | ||
| They are not our friend. | ||
| For everybody else's problem. | ||
| Islamic terrorism is eating up large portions of the Middle East. | ||
| They've become rich. | ||
| I'm in competition with them. | ||
| They just built a hotel in Syria. | ||
| Can you believe this? | ||
| They built a hotel. | ||
| When I have to build a hotel, I pay interest. | ||
| They don't have to pay interest because they took the oil. | ||
| I love that delivery. | ||
| I'm in competition with them. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They built a hotel. | |
| It's so good, like I'll never get over this video. | ||
| They've become rich. | ||
| I'm in competition with them. | ||
| They just built a hotel in Syria. | ||
| Can you believe this? | ||
| They built a hotel. | ||
| When I have to build a hotel, I pay interest. | ||
| They don't have to pay interest because they took the oil that when we left Iraq, I said we should have taken. | ||
| So now ISIS has the oil. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And what they don't have, Iran has. | |
| And in 19, and I will tell you this, and I said it very strongly, years ago, I said, and I love the military and I want to have the strongest military that we've ever had, and we need it more now than ever, but I said don't hit iraq because you're going to totally destabilize the middle east iran is going to take over the middle east iran and somebody else will get the oil and it turned out that iran is now taking over iraq | ||
| he was so by the way he was saying that in the 90s and he was way ahead of his time and obviously um you know if you just look at a map of the middle east i mean that's just true i mean obviously everything that's going on in gaza they literally did take over the middle east He was exactly right. | ||
| And, you know, he wasn't the only one to say that, but it's just true. | ||
| They called it the Shiite Crescent that they were building in the wake of the Iraq War, Syrian Civil War, Yemeni Civil War, Israel-Lebanon War. | ||
| He was right. | ||
| The Prophet. | ||
| Now more than ever, because you know... Oh, here we go! | ||
| Votes are in! | ||
| Votes are in! | ||
| What do we got? | ||
| Let's go! | ||
| 120 votes for Trump. | ||
|
unidentified
|
76%. | |
| Let's go! | ||
| W. W. Trump. | ||
| 8 for DeSantis, 3 for Haley, 2 for Vivek. | ||
| And another update! | ||
| Here we go! | ||
|
unidentified
|
They're coming in! | |
| 120 Trump, 19 DeSantis, 11 Haley, 7 Vivek, 1 for Christie. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wow. | |
| Alright, let's keep going. | ||
| We'll check in periodically. | ||
| Think of it. | ||
| Iran is taking over Iraq. | ||
| It's crazy though that he said that nine years ago and, you know, it's obviously so in the news the past three months, although it's been in the news for a long time, but just really in your face lately. | ||
| And they're taking it over big league. | ||
| We spent two trillion dollars in Iraq. | ||
| Two trillion. | ||
| We lost thousands of lives. | ||
| Thousands in Iraq. | ||
| We have wounded soldiers who I love. | ||
| I love. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They're great. | |
| All over the place. | ||
| Thousands and thousands of wounded soldiers. | ||
| And we have nothing. | ||
| We can't even go there. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We have nothing. | |
| I love how he says that. | ||
| We can't even go there. | ||
| It's so good, dude. | ||
| He's the best. | ||
| And we have nothing. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We can't even go there. | |
| It's so good. | ||
| The delivery's just perfect. | ||
| Compare that to DeSantis where he's like, I beat the left all the time and I'm the only true conservative in the race and we're gonna do Iowa. | ||
| And Trump's like, we have nothing! | ||
| We can't even go there! | ||
| We have nothing. | ||
| We can't even go there. | ||
| We have nothing. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So good. | |
| And every time we give Iraq equipment, the first time a bullet goes off in the air, they leave it. | ||
| Last week I read 2,300 Humvees These are big vehicles were left behind for the enemy. | ||
| 2,000, you would say maybe two, maybe four, 2,300 sophisticated vehicles, they ran and the enemy took them. | ||
| You're right. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You're right. | |
| Last quarter, it was just announced, Our gross domestic product, a sign of strength, right? | ||
|
unidentified
|
But not for us. | |
| But not for us. | ||
| It was below zero. | ||
| Who ever heard of this? | ||
| It's never below zero. | ||
| Our labor participation rate was the worst since 1978. | ||
| But think of it, GDP below zero. | ||
| Horrible labor participation rate. | ||
| And our real unemployment is anywhere from 18 to 20 percent. | ||
| Don't believe the 5.6. | ||
| Don't believe it. | ||
| That's right, a lot of people up there can't get jobs. | ||
| They can't get jobs. | ||
| Because there are no jobs. | ||
| Because China has no jobs. | ||
| And Mexico has no jobs. | ||
| They all have jobs. | ||
| But the real number, the real number, is anywhere from 18 to 19 and maybe even 21 percent. | ||
| And nobody talks about it. | ||
| Alright, let's check in. | ||
| Let's see some more results here. | ||
| We got more numbers coming in. | ||
| 319 votes counted in Lyon. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hanuk? | |
| votes counted in Lion Hanuk Polk Des Moines some other one I'm not going to pronounce Let's take a look. | ||
| Ryan Binkley with one vote! | ||
| The upset of the night. | ||
| Donald Trump, 198. | ||
| DeSantis, 39. | ||
| Haley, 14. | ||
| Vivek, 11. | ||
| Christie, 1. | ||
| Binkley, Binky with 1. | ||
| Let's take a look at our results on Twitter. | ||
| We got any updates on Twitter? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| I don't see any news on Twitter. | ||
| Why don't we go to the news? | ||
| We'll see what they're saying, if there's any updates. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm treating this like a murder case. | |
| We got an ad. | ||
| All right, still no updates. | ||
| Yeah, so we're not getting a ton of results. | ||
| It's only literally 300 votes in so far, so they're trickling in slowly. | ||
| Let's take a look over here and see what they're reporting on the news. | ||
| Ten years ago, and what a voter considers conservative today are two different things, but Donald Trump is the avatar for conservatism now, no matter what. | ||
| old school conservatives want to say about it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right. | |
| You can debate the meaning of that. | ||
| Chuck, we appreciate that. | ||
| I want to get back to our big board over here that shows the countdown clock. | ||
| We are 26 minutes into the Iowa caucus voting. | ||
| We actually already have some vote in. | ||
| It's not a lot. | ||
| It's one percent. | ||
| But but with one percent reporting, we can say that Donald Trump is far away in the lead. | ||
| Again, it's just one percent. | ||
| Not much to say there. | ||
| You can see here 75 percent. | ||
| One percent in. | ||
| And this is the live forecast here from New York Times. | ||
| It says that the estimate is that Trump will have 53% of the vote, Haley 21, DeSantis 18, and Ramaswamy 7. | ||
| So, you know, that's actually basically what the polls are saying based on... But this is an estimate that's only based on 1% reporting so far, so... Still could be an upset, but this is their live forecast. | ||
| And this is their estimate. | ||
| This is the range. | ||
| They estimate that Vivek could get as high as 18%, DeSantis and Haley as high as 30%, and Trump as high as 65%. | ||
| This is the race for seconds. | ||
| So far, looks like Haley with a 62% chance, DeSantis with a 35% chance, Ramaswamy less than 5% to finish second. | ||
| Yeah, like I said, I didn't think that he would finish second, but maybe third. | ||
| I think third is probably gonna be the best that he can do. | ||
| So, let's take a look. | ||
| Live updates here, although they're only trickling in. | ||
| Let's see what the betting markets think about this. | ||
| We'll go to predict it. | ||
| And we'll see. | ||
| Looks like DeSantis just swung 20 points more for a second place finish, and that's based on these early results, although I don't think they really tell us anything. | ||
| So I think that just reflects the current vote total maybe more than anything. | ||
| It's got some support in Johnson County. | ||
| But again, 1% of the vote in, so we're really, you know, we're not very far into it at all. | ||
| Lot of race left tonight. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And for definitely a more busier campaign caucus site. | |
| Excuse me, Patty said she's never seen a turnout like this here and she's been involved in DeWitt politics for the last few cycles. | ||
| And so that's something that I think we were looking to kind of assess. | ||
| Can you say that one more time? | ||
| More, tell us that one more time. | ||
| They're seeing a turnout they've never seen before? | ||
| Let's take a look and see what the Iowa caucus was in 2016. | ||
| here in rural southeastern Iowa than they typically see. | ||
| And that's something that we were concerned about because of those icy roads, because of the snow, because of the cold. | ||
| And yet this is definitely a more crowded sense than they were anticipating. | ||
| And so they haven't. | ||
| Let's take a look and see what the Iowa caucus was in 2016. | ||
| I'm curious to see. | ||
| Whoops. | ||
| I'm curious to see how many people voted in total in 2016 because the absolute number of votes tells you how much enthusiasm there is. | ||
| If there's a significantly higher number of votes, that would indicate that Republicans are very enthusiastic about this election. | ||
| So let's see if we can find that total here. | ||
| So Trump received, well of course Ted Cruz won, but Trump received 45,000 votes. | ||
| It doesn't say the total though, I'm sure we can find that. | ||
| And Ted Cruz received 51,666 total in 2016. | ||
| So that's gonna be the number to look for. | ||
| The winner of the last one, seven years ago, got 52, or rather eight years ago, got 52,000 votes. | ||
| So that's going to be the number to look for. | ||
| The winner of the last one, seven years ago, got 52, or rather eight years ago, got 52,000 votes. | ||
| So that's going to be the number to beat for the winner. | ||
| Although, of course, the winner will get more because Cruz, I think, got, what, 26%? | ||
|
unidentified
|
27%, yeah. | |
| So let's see. | ||
| We'll measure it up. | ||
| We'll stack it against the 16 primary because that will tell us how enthusiastic voters are this year. | ||
| Let's go back to our news. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Each is given. | |
| ...by representatives of each of the candidates. | ||
| So you saw that happen. | ||
| I'll note there was not a representative here speaking on behalf of Asa Hutchinson, but there was for Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, etc. | ||
| Somebody says CBS News called it. | ||
| it let's do CBS Iowa caucus yeah they so they already called it for Trump although that I think that was already a given I'm trying Trump's got 75% of the vote, which is 1% in, or rather, less than 1% in. | ||
| But, you know, calling... Okay, so Trump won. | ||
| We knew Trump was gonna win. | ||
| The question really... And I'm not downplaying that. | ||
| I mean, it's obviously big, but... The question really is who is going to come in second. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And it... | |
| The Times called it. | ||
| The Times called it for Trump as well. | ||
| Let's see if their forecast changed at all. | ||
| on behalf of themselves at these caucus sites. | ||
| Times called it for Trump as well. | ||
| Let's see if their forecast changed at all. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Doesn't look like it has so far. - Do you know what's also kind of amazing? | |
| Is watching regular people, citizens, neighbors, community members coming up and delivering speeches on behalf of these candidates. | ||
| I mean this really is, we say it but it's true, this is the democratic process that is happening here. | ||
| And we know what the stakes are for the Republican Party here. | ||
| Does Donald Trump, depending on these results, have a grip on the Republican Party that is insurmountable for a non-Trump alternative? | ||
| We don't know. | ||
| Who's going to take that race for second place? | ||
| Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis? | ||
| We don't know. | ||
| You're starting to see some movement here. | ||
| I'm going to step back a little bit closer here. | ||
| They're raising their hand if they need a pen. | ||
| That's what I'm being told by our producer. | ||
| So, you know, when you're analog and old school, like for the ballots and you've got There we go. | ||
| Let's go! | ||
| Duh. | ||
| Huge W! | ||
| We have a major election alert from our decision desk. | ||
| We want to stand by for breaking news. | ||
| I think we have a call. | ||
| And we do. | ||
| Let's go! | ||
| NBC News can now project that Donald Trump has won the Iowa caucus. | ||
| The first vote's just coming in with Trump leading Haley and DeSantis by double digits. | ||
| You can see right there Donald Trump. | ||
| Let's go! | ||
|
unidentified
|
14 delegates already awarded out of 48. | |
| It's unclear the margin of victory right now. | ||
| It's still unclear who's in second place because it's still very early. | ||
| The first of many. | ||
| The first of many Trump victories of 2024. | ||
| Let's go. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Now this is no surprise, but still, it's a notch in the belt for former President Trump, and it gives him the big momentum as he heads to New Hampshire, the contest next week. | |
| Again, no big surprise here, but still a very decisive, very big win for Donald Trump, and it also shows where a lot of voters' heads are right now in the Republican Party. | ||
| I want to go over to Garrett Haake. | ||
| He's been our main reporter covering Trump throughout this election. | ||
| Huge W, so Trump won the Iowa caucus, surprising nobody. | ||
| Honestly though, you know, that DeSantis was never competitive in Iowa. | ||
| It just goes to show no one can beat Trump. | ||
| If you can't beat Trump in Iowa, if you can't even get close, you're not going to win the primary. | ||
| You're not going to win California. | ||
| You're not going to win New York. | ||
| You're not going to win Texas. | ||
| Even if Nikki Haley gives him a run for his money in a state like South Carolina or maybe a handful of other states, no one can win. | ||
| This is gonna be the face you're looking at for the next six months when they do this whole process. | ||
| It's gonna be Trump victory after Trump victory. | ||
| I mean, we're talking about best-case scenario for Haley. | ||
| She gets, within striking distance, in 2nd place. | ||
| Like, best-case scenario is she finishes 2nd here, 2nd in New Hampshire, 2nd in South Carolina, and then 2nd in a bunch of other races on Super Tuesday. | ||
| That's like best-case scenario. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But she's not gonna win. | |
| So it's pretty clear Trump is ironclad going into the primary. | ||
| Although we still were only at 1%. | ||
| I think we got a few more votes up to 376. | ||
| up to 376. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Doesn't look like any breakout for Vivek so far. | |
| Look at this map, by the way. | ||
| Every red dot is Trump votes. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So it's all Trump votes other than this little Haley bubble. | |
| Pardon me. | ||
| It's all Trump votes other than this little Haley bubble. | ||
| Pardon me. | ||
| Pardon the sneeze. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And it's certainly what the Trump team expected. | |
| I mean, you know, throughout this, they were not in any doubt about the out Republican primary here. | ||
| If Donald Trump's able to beat that, they will be satisfied. | ||
| The margin to which he's able to beat that I think will be one of the big things that we're talking about tomorrow and in the intervening week before New Hampshire gets their say. | ||
| That it's 836 on the East Coast, 736 in Iowa. | ||
| We've already been able to project Donald Trump a winner. | ||
| It shows sort of his popularity in the state and sort of the amount that he's probably going to win by. | ||
| The size of this victory. | ||
| Let's take a look at the polling also. | ||
|
unidentified
|
the former president's schedule tonight. | |
| Are we going to hear from him? | ||
| Let's take a look at the polling for New Hampshire. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It was a very close race. | |
| It was a very hot night inside the campaign hall in Iowa, and it took him a while to speak. | ||
| Would we expect him to talk tonight? | ||
| We do, Tom. | ||
| There's every indication he's going to speak tonight. | ||
| The stage is set behind me with a raptor already loaded, I suspect, for the victory speech that's been some time in the making here tonight. | ||
| And, you know, for the Trump campaign, I think they see this as kind of two tasks, and I think you'll see this in the speech tonight. | ||
| First, they feel, like, very confident that they have probably put... So this is looking ahead to New Hampshire. | ||
| Trump has a lead of 14 points. | ||
| It's 43.5% Trump, 29% Haley, 11% Christie. | ||
| That's gonna be the difference maker because if the Christie support goes to Haley, which I imagine it will, Then it could be 40-43. | ||
| So it could be that Haley wins New Hampshire, or she comes very, very close to New Hampshire. | ||
| Just based on this number, based on Christie's 10% support. | ||
| But that's only if DeSantis drops out, because surely he'll split some of that. | ||
|
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that the time is now to get behind him once again to take on Joe Biden. | |
| I mean, if you think about it, at the beginning of this race, the concern about Donald Trump somehow removed. | ||
| It was not that Republican base voters didn't love him, but the idea that he would be a weaker candidate against Joe Biden. | ||
| The polls have not borne that out when we sort of project these general election matchups. | ||
| And I know we're a long way from the general election, but I suspect we will see Donald Trump stand on the stage behind me tonight and make the point that it is now voters who are kind of trying to put that argument to bed and that it's time to unite behind him. | ||
| A message he's given, by the way, every time he skipped a debate or otherwise refused to participate in kind of the traditional open primary process that we usually use to select a nominee. | ||
| Garrett Haig for us at the Trump victory party. | ||
| No longer a watch party because they have victory tonight, as far as NBC News is projecting. | ||
| Garrett, we appreciate it. | ||
| Give us a heads up when the former president starts to speak. | ||
| If you're just tuning in, NBC News has just projected that Donald Trump has won the Iowa caucuses. | ||
| It is so early in the night. | ||
| I want to get right over to Chuck Todd. | ||
| Chuck, it's 8.38. | ||
| People at home, I really want you to explain this for our viewers. | ||
| It's 8.38. | ||
| There's 1% of the vote in. | ||
| People at home are going to be going, wait, how can NBC News call this? | ||
| Explain how we can call this. | ||
| We have these entrance polls. | ||
| We have an idea. | ||
| We have sample precincts, and we're able to do certain things. | ||
| We also know what the electorate looks like, right? | ||
| We know college-educated versus non-college-educated. | ||
| We know how well he's winning that. | ||
| I want to show some splits here so that you can get an idea of just how dominant it was. | ||
| So, why we've called Donald Trump, I told you, nearly half the electorate's over 65. | ||
| Okay, let me show you how Donald Trump did with those over 65. | ||
| He had over 55%, right? | ||
| Haley, a distant second, sitting at 24%. | ||
| So he did it because this electorate is Trump's electorate. | ||
| It's older, it's very conservative, as I told you before, and they sort of buy everything he says. | ||
| We've got a couple of questions here that I think folks are going to be really interested in. | ||
| Did Biden legitimately win the 2020 election? | ||
| We've seen a lot of this Republican result. | ||
| It's just like every Republican result I've seen. | ||
| It's about two to one. | ||
| Two-thirds don't believe he won legitimately, and about a third believe Biden won legitimately. | ||
| Let me show you the breakouts of this. | ||
| Among those that don't think that Biden won legitimately, as you can see here, Haley Leeds. | ||
| She is the candidate of those Republicans who believe Joe Biden won the election in 2020. | ||
| We got some more votes. | ||
| We got some more votes. | ||
|
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And we officially have 1% in. | |
| About 1,000 votes counted. | ||
| Trump was 70%. | ||
| DeSantis was 15. | ||
| Haley was 9. | ||
| And Vivek with... now 7. | ||
| Haley with nine. | ||
|
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And Vivek with now seven. | |
| Let's see how they've adjusted the forecast here. | ||
| Doesn't look like it's changed too much, their forecast for the spread. | ||
| Really, really tight. | ||
| They still got Trump with 53, Haley 21, DeSantis 18, Ramaswamy with 7. | ||
|
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So we'll see how that shakes out. | |
| I'm waiting for the Trump victory speech. | ||
| So here's the thing about this. | ||
| So obviously Trump has won. | ||
| We knew that going in. | ||
| We knew that Trump was going to win. | ||
| And it was really just a question of by how much and what the differential would be, not just between him and the second place finisher, but between him and actually the entire rest of the field combined. | ||
| The operative question for tonight is a relative performance of DeSantis, Haley, and Vivek. | ||
| And like I said earlier, Iowa is make or break for DeSantis. | ||
| If DeSantis doesn't break out tonight, if he doesn't get second place, if he doesn't get 20% or more, It's likely that his campaign is over. | ||
| He's done. | ||
| He went to all 99 counties. | ||
| He put all his ground game in Iowa. | ||
| I don't think he even has an operation in the rest of the swing states. | ||
| So if he doesn't do well here, like, he's done. | ||
| And that completely changes the race. | ||
| Because like I said before, if he loses tonight and he bows out of the race, the question becomes how much of his support goes to Haley. | ||
| And that could be a problem for Trump. | ||
| Like I said, I have no doubt that Trump would prevail in a hypothetical scenario. | ||
| But you can see the polling here for the next contest is New Hampshire. | ||
| Trump's got 43.5, Haley with 29, Christie who dropped out with 11, DeSantis with 6.5. | ||
| If there's a scenario with Christie out and DeSantis out, that's 18% where probably a majority of that is going to go to Haley. | ||
| If she gets all of it, that puts her in the lead. | ||
| Now, if she wouldn't get all of it, I imagine a lot of DeSantis support would go towards Trump, and there would be more of a battle there, but you can understand where that is going to begin to pose a problem, if they both drop out. | ||
| If Christie's already out, if DeSantis drops out too, then in New Hampshire, she's gonna give Trump a run for his money. | ||
| And then in South Carolina, Same story. | ||
| If you add DeSantis and Christie's total to Haley's, she's within a single digit gap. | ||
| With Trump. | ||
| And of course, you know, if she has a good finish in New Hampshire, those numbers are going to change as well. | ||
| If there's a scenario where Haley beats Trump in New Hampshire, or she comes real close in second place, that of course will propel her even further. | ||
| So these are the numbers before Iowa. | ||
| These are the numbers before we know what the results look like, before New Hampshire hasn't even happened yet. | ||
| So all of this is hypothetical, but that's how the race is going to change depending on the outcome. | ||
| If DeSantis has a good finish tonight and he stays in, this stalls Nikki Haley's breakout. | ||
| If DeSantis has a strong finish tonight and finishes strong in New Hampshire, then him and Haley are splitting the anti- or non-Trump vote, and it is different. | ||
| There's a constituency that does not like Trump, or dislikes him, and there's a constituency that wants maybe something simply other than him. | ||
| So as long as DeSantis and Haley stay in the race, Trump is basically 100% secure. | ||
| But the sooner that DeSantis drops out, and I think that's inevitable, then That will accelerate the narrowing of the race, and it becomes a two-person race between Haley and Trump, with Vivek as a minor spoiler, with Vivek diverting a tiny amount of support for Trump, which could be crucial in a state like New Hampshire or South Carolina. | ||
| So, that's how the race could be affected by the results tonight. | ||
| It's not so much about the delegates, and we knew that Trump would win. | ||
| The question is, really, DeSantis. | ||
| Nikki Haley's gonna stay in no matter what. | ||
| Whether she finishes second or third, she is gonna see it through. | ||
| At least until South Carolina, because that's her home state. | ||
| So the question is mainly about, at this point, whether DeSantis performs well enough to stay in the race, because that is going to change everything. | ||
| If he stays in, he's going to spoil Nikki Haley's big finish in New Hampshire, and that's going to affect South Carolina. | ||
| If he drops out, She could become a problem for Trump. | ||
|
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Let's take another look here. | |
| We'll see how it's going on the New York Times. | ||
|
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We got 1,200 votes in, just 1% of the vote. | |
| We'll see how it's going on the New York Times. | ||
| We got 1,200 votes in, just 1% of the vote. | ||
| So, you know, we still have nothing significant here. | ||
| Projections haven't changed either. | ||
|
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Check back in. | |
| And six were in front of Vivek Rama Swami's headquarters. | ||
| Check back in. | ||
| Let's see what's happening on Fox Business. | ||
|
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But very importantly, because we have to beat him, I'm the only one every single poll over the last two months, and beyond that mostly. | |
| But over the last two months, I'm beating him and beating him very substantially I'm saying we're beating him because we have to get him out. | ||
| He's destroying our country. | ||
|
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He is totally destroying our country. | |
| So, I just want to say it's been an honor to be with you. | ||
| This is my third time. | ||
| And the first two times were very big wins and we're going to make this an even bigger win because we've done more in the last short period of time than anyone again has ever done for your state. | ||
| I love your state. | ||
| It's a very special state. | ||
|
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A brilliant people. | |
| So a little right ear heavy. | ||
| A little right ear imbalanced. | ||
|
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And to see him rise and rise and rise until he was a pro- It's very important because we- We appreciate it. | |
| What an amazing moment. | ||
| Yeah, Dave, before we go, anything we can draw- I know New Hampshire's a completely different electorate, it's a different race, but anything we can draw from this race that takes us into New Hampshire, at least about the people who came out, the people who supported former President Trump? - Yeah. | ||
| Obviously this is going to be a much more conservative, much more evangelical crowd than the one that shows up in New Hampshire. | ||
| And Democrats and Independents have an easier time crossing over and voting in New Hampshire. | ||
| So it's important to keep in mind that this electorate is going to look a lot more like the Republican electorate as a whole than New Hampshire does. | ||
| You know what, we have a key election alert. | ||
| I actually want you two to stay with us because I want to ask Anne about this. | ||
| Apparently, from what we're hearing from the Iowa Republican Party, right, the Iowa GOP, there's going to be a somewhat low turnout for this caucus. | ||
| They're sort of projecting 130,000. | ||
| Anne, what does that mean to you when you hear that number? | ||
| I know we had a bigger number, I believe, in 2016. | ||
| Not as big, I think, in 2012 was around that number. | ||
| Yeah, 122,000 Chuck showing me in 2012 versus 186,000. | ||
| Look, it's the coldest night ever for the caucus, right? | ||
| I guess it's pretty good to get 130. | ||
| You know, when I hear people make predictions about things like turnout, I write it down in my calendar that I carry with me at all times. | ||
| And the only forecast that I heard where it was, it would be record breaking. | ||
| It would be over 200,000. | ||
| So you see 187,000 last time. | ||
| So a bump up from that. | ||
| And I'm not terribly surprised. | ||
| We didn't ask any questions that gave us any So it sounds like the turnout is going to be lower than in 2020. | ||
| the wind chill index, what would it have to be for you to stay home? | ||
| That would have been a great poll question to ask. | ||
| And do you think it was the weather or do you think it was people just knowing or thinking that maybe Trump was inevitable? | ||
| So it sounds like the turnout is going to be lower than in 2020, significantly lower, they say. | ||
| 50,000 fewer votes this time around than the last cycle. | ||
| Although, the weather is super bad right now. | ||
| In Chicago, it's negative 2 degrees right now. | ||
| I think it's roughly the same in Iowa, so... I don't know, though, how much that accounts for the decline. | ||
| In, or rather, um... What was the number? | ||
| I think it was 2016 was 180,000. | ||
| 2016 was 180,000 then again though in 2016 it was far more competitive 2016 i believe there were 17 or 18 candidates now there's only i mean realistically like four so i guess you know between the cold and having a fraction of the candidates although i don't know if that's a cope but you know these are real factors | ||
| so maybe that's why the turnout is lower but it looks like we have some more votes in and nikki haley is pulled into the lead in second place for the race for second place i should say one thing 1,000 for Trump, 373 for Haley, 315 for DeSantis, 147 for Vivek. | ||
| And the spread remains the same, but we'll keep checking in on that. | ||
| Exciting stuff! | ||
| I would really love for Nikki Haley to get second place, only because I mean, on the one hand, the longer that DeSantis stays in, the better. | ||
| On the other hand, I really want to see him drop out tonight. | ||
| I really want to see him eat dirt and lose. | ||
| Because his campaign and all the surrogates for his side have been so insufferable. | ||
| I'm sure you've seen them on Twitter and social media. | ||
|
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They're terrible. | |
| So I'd love nothing more than for him to get forced out immediately. | ||
| But probably better that that doesn't happen. | ||
| Probably better that it takes a little bit longer for Trump, that is. | ||
|
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So we'll see. | |
| But yeah, the result's coming in pretty slowly. | ||
| Trickling in, percentage by percentage. | ||
|
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2% of the vote in. | |
| of the vote in. | ||
|
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2,000 votes counted. | |
| And we're waiting to see if Trump is going to go live with a speech. | ||
| you This is at the Trump headquarters. | ||
| Looks like they're setting up for their victory party. | ||
|
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We'll check in on RSVP. | |
| The projected winner right here in the state of Iowa. | ||
| His campaign saying we've been waiting on this day for three years. | ||
| They're absolutely right. | ||
| America has waited for this. | ||
| We're ready to celebrate tonight, but also hit the ground running again tomorrow as well. | ||
| Focusing our attention on New Hampshire, but tonight A celebration of sorts. | ||
| This is kick-starting the campaign for 2024 and a great win for President Donald J. Trump at the starting line. | ||
| The watch party will be kicking off here shortly. | ||
| Some people are starting to arrive, but they haven't made it out to the floor just yet. | ||
| But they are well on their way to celebrate tonight. | ||
| And then, of course, President Trump will take the stage behind me. | ||
| But for the meantime, Again, the decision desk projecting President Donald J. Trump, the winner of the Iowa caucus on the Republican side, and we'll keep you posted here in the election night watch party room as people start to arrive and make... Great, yeah, so it looks like their election party's happening soon. | ||
| I'm interested to see what Trump will say. | ||
| Although I bet they're probably gonna wait until some more results come out. | ||
| We'll see what Charlie Kirk has to say about all this. | ||
| I'm curious what his coverage is. | ||
|
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Very uneven results where he maybe will just have had an event that was really successful, got a lot of people in person on his side, and that's just gonna vary all across the state. | |
| It'd be really interesting if he managed to do a good result. | ||
| I think a lot of people would like that just because it would prove retail politics isn't dead, whereas everything else about this is clearly indicating You can spend $250 million on a state and have it just do absolutely nothing whatsoever these days. | ||
| Yeah, so Jack, walk us through here the next steps. | ||
| They're going to try to make a big push for New Hampshire, isn't it? | ||
| Don't you think? | ||
| Who? | ||
| Who makes the push for New Hampshire? | ||
| Why is he wearing a beanie? | ||
| What's going on? | ||
| He's in studio wearing a beanie. | ||
| What's the story with this? | ||
| Went on Fox News, I can't tell you exactly when this was, a while ago, and said, if Trump wins Iowa, it's going to be awfully hard to make the case that you can beat President Trump anywhere. | ||
| That you can beat him anywhere. | ||
| Iowa was the one place, and Trump didn't win Iowa in 2016. | ||
| He came close, but he didn't win in 2016. | ||
| This was one of the places where it showed there may have been a lane for another candidate. | ||
| Ted Cruz had a fantastic showing in 2016, was able to make some headwind throughout the Midwest. | ||
| Made his final stand at Indiana. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| We all know the history. | ||
| I was there. | ||
| Everybody remembers this, but if, if, if you could beat Trump in Iowa, then there might be a path. | ||
| If Iowa gives him a mandate, it's over. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| It's, it's all over. | ||
| And so sure. | ||
| They'll try to make everybody's desperate for a narrative right now. | ||
| They're desperate for some narrative when, uh, look Vivek, he, of course, wants the surprise would be able to say, I beat somebody, right? | ||
| If he's able to say he beat somebody, then that puts him on the map and gives him A better leveraged position for the rest of the race. | ||
| If Haley beats DeSantis, then DeSantis is... I mean, I think his political career is over at that point. | ||
| I think it's just completely over. | ||
| Um, and then she will, and to your point, Charlie, uh, it will be a Haley Trump race and the media will try to make this a, a Haley Trump race. | ||
| Of course, Haley, by the way, will be, will be going. | ||
| I, I guarantee you right now, Nikki Haley's campaign is picking up the phone to Chris Christie and saying, all right, man, how many meatball subs is it going to take? | ||
| Uh, how many, you know, how many, uh, lifetime supply of Golden Corral, what will it be? | ||
| Because she wants those Chris Christie voters up in New Hampshire. | ||
| This was the only place where we saw Chris Christie really show any traction across the entire board. | ||
| So if Haley's able to get a Christie endorsement going into New Hampshire, she has a good showing at parity or even better than she's done here in New Hampshire. | ||
| And then there might be some motivation. | ||
| And of course, of course, you're going to see what I predict is a huge consolidation between the DeSantis camp and the Haley camp. | ||
| We've already seen the money, right? | ||
| So if you understand establishment politics, and Charlie, you know this better than anyone, regime politics is money-driven, okay? | ||
| It's not people-driven, it's money-driven. | ||
| So the money went into DeSantis first, okay? | ||
| Then they tried to prop him up. | ||
| That was the 250 mil. | ||
| That was the never back down. | ||
| That was this massive super PAC, the illegal funneling of money to his gubernatorial campaign in 2022. | ||
| Which was always meant to roll over the RGA and so many people. | ||
| We kind of just hit on all this. | ||
| So we'll go over to NBC. | ||
| Yeah, I mean, they're right about that. | ||
| I don't think it's over though. | ||
| I don't think winning Iowa gives Trump a mandate because it's setting him up for a tough battle in New Hampshire if DeSantis drops out or struggles here. | ||
| Haley is going to be fighting, not just for the Christie support, but for the DeSantis support as well. | ||
| And what can be said about, you know, if Trump wins Iowa, then it's open and shut. | ||
| The same is true, but in reverse for DeSantis. | ||
| If DeSantis can't win Iowa, what is he going to win? | ||
| Iowa is more conservative, more evangelical, it's older. | ||
| If he's not going to win in Iowa, he's not going to win in New Hampshire, or come in second even, it's not going to happen for him in South Carolina, which is Nikki Haley's home state, and if he doesn't achieve liftoff by that point, which is two months into the race, he's dead on Super Tuesday. | ||
| That's over for him. | ||
| So, I disagree. | ||
| And the thing is, as the race narrows and becomes that Trump-Haley race, like I said, then it's a bit more competitive. | ||
| And then, there is a case to be made on, you know, hypothetically, depending on how well Haley does in here, will affect how well she does in New Hampshire. | ||
| That will affect how well she does in her home state, South Carolina. | ||
| This will have a compound effect which will lead into Super Tuesday, and the establishment is gonna push hard, the liberal media is gonna push hard, and there's gonna be a lot... I think people are underestimating the extent to which the spotlight will then be on Haley as a foil for Trump. | ||
| Haley as a woman, Haley as more of an establishmentarian, a moderate, and so... | ||
| I think people are maybe underestimating the threat. | ||
| I think that, you know, like Chuck Todd said, the Iowa constituency is more representative of the Republican constituency nationally, but it doesn't take away from the fact that these contests happen sequentially. | ||
| So, be that as it may, that if you take the Republican voters as a whole, they look more like Iowa, It happens chronologically. | ||
| We don't go from Iowa to the whole country. | ||
| We go from Iowa to New Hampshire. | ||
| And the numbers are what they are. | ||
| Chris Christie ran an anti-Trump campaign. | ||
| He's got 11% in New Hampshire. | ||
| Who are those 11% gonna go for? | ||
| If Haley has a strong finish, if she comes in second tonight, they're going for Haley. | ||
| And that's gonna put Trump in a bit of a difficult position. | ||
| And again, then what does that do for South Carolina? | ||
| Haley's got good numbers in South Carolina, too. | ||
| Home state advantage. | ||
| If she's got a good showing in New Hampshire, again, depending on how big that bump is, does that bump her up in South Carolina? | ||
| So, there's always been the story of riding that wave. | ||
| They gave the same story for Rubio, who is very similar to Haley. | ||
| Rubio was backed by the establishment. | ||
| Young, a minority, you know, he's Cuban, she's Indian. | ||
| I think they're roughly the same age. | ||
| He may be a little younger. | ||
| And they have the same plan, the 1-2-3, where he would finish 1st in Iowa, or rather 3-2-1, it would be 3rd in Iowa, 2nd in New Hampshire, 1st in, I think South Carolina came 3rd in that cycle. | ||
| And they're really doing the same thing with Haley. | ||
| I mean, not quite a 3-2-1, but they're doing this thing where she sort of, like in stages, she's able to rise through as the race narrows and then eventually become competitive for Super Tuesday. | ||
| I think that's a real possibility. | ||
| So it really all comes down to what kind of finish DeSantis and Haley have And we got 2% in speaking of which we have a little update 2% in Trump's got 55% Haley with 18 and DeSantis with 17.7 So it's still very early. | ||
| It's only 2% in but it looks tight between Haley and DeSantis Their forecast for the spread is equally narrow. | ||
| They're predicting Haley with 21% and DeSantis with 18%. | ||
| So they're... New York Times is saying that Haley's gonna edge it out by just 3%. | ||
| So, and that could change. | ||
| That's an estimate that's just based on 2% reporting. | ||
| So, it's gonna change over the course of the night, but that really is the conversation is whether or not DeSantis is viable for New Hampshire. | ||
| All you gotta do is look at the polling. | ||
| That's right here. | ||
| If DeSantis drops out before New Hampshire, it's a close call. | ||
| And there's going to be Democrats voting there. | ||
| They're not going to be voting in the Democrat primary. | ||
| They're going to be voting in the Republican primary. | ||
| And they're going to be voting for Haley. | ||
| Nevada, Trump has a much bigger lead. | ||
| He's got a 58 point lead. | ||
|
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It's just not even close. | |
| But there hasn't been too much polling over there. | ||
|
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But, I mean, he's just gonna destroy Nevada, like, no problem. | |
| And then South Carolina, here's Haley with 21% support. | ||
| If she gets a huge boost from New Hampshire, you know, maybe it's a little more competitive, but... | ||
| Don't get me wrong, I still think Trump is safe. | ||
| I think Trump is safely going to coast to the nomination, but I think there is a possibility she gives him a run for his money. | ||
|
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Just because of how the calendar works. | |
| But I think that, I mean, ultimately regardless of what happens in South Carolina, I think Trump destroys on Super Tuesday. | ||
| DeSantis back in the lead, 19.5 to 17.5. | ||
|
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But again, just 2% in. | |
| So let's not get carried away. | ||
| Let's check in on NBC. | ||
|
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They are lashing out at the media for projecting this race for former president. | |
| We help individuals and organizations better lead and manage change and now we're... | ||
| A big part of their platform, their sort of anti-corporate or legacy media position, and this is where they're leaning right now is, you know, they're not looking so good in the polls, at least not within striking distance of Donald Trump and neck and neck. | ||
| So far with Nikki Haley as we are looking at these numbers on the bottom of our screens here. | ||
| So what the night holds for for Ron DeSantis is a big question mark. | ||
| We know that tomorrow his plan is not to go to New Hampshire, which is the state that's next in line, but instead to go to South Carolina, which is Nikki Haley's home turf. | ||
| But look, if he's going to move forward in this race, he has got to have a strong showing here. | ||
| If you put all your eggs in this basket and the basket breaks, You don't have much left to go on here. | ||
| Even if he wants to move forward, he told our colleague Hallie Jackson earlier, he's in it for the long haul. | ||
| There are some practical limitations to that, Tom. | ||
| If you come in third in a state where you really bet big, the money dries up. | ||
| And if you don't have the cash to fuel the jet to go to your campaign stops, the campaign effectively stops, Tom. | ||
| Dasha Burns for us at the DeSantis watch party tonight. | ||
| I want to go to Von Hilliard. | ||
| He is at the Trump victory party there in Des Moines. | ||
| So, Von, talk to me. | ||
| Alright, so we're just going to the different victory parties. | ||
| I mean, at this point, we're honestly just waiting for... | ||
| More votes to come in. | ||
| Just 2% reporting. | ||
| And most likely this is going to go another 4 or 5 hours. | ||
| I said earlier that the results would begin to come out at 7.30. | ||
| It's now 8 o'clock. | ||
| But historically, it took until about 1.30 for most of the votes to be reported in the 2016 Iowa Caucus. | ||
| 1.30am, which is 5.5 hours away. | ||
| So strap yourselves in. | ||
| It's going to be a long night. | ||
| And we're gonna be watching the results trickle in. | ||
| I mean, there's not really too much more to say about it. | ||
| You know, we've been at this now for a few hours, so... I mean, I think we've covered the basis here on what these results are going to mean. | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| We'll see what John Miller has to say. | ||
| Oh, okay. | ||
| We're rate limited on Twitter under the Grimace Shake account, so... | ||
| That's a bummer. | ||
| Looks like Elon has taken us off Twitter for the night, thanks to the rate limiting. | ||
| We'll check in on Charlie Kirk. | ||
| A conspiracy against them, that all of the polls were colluding with Trump, that they secretly wanted Trump to win. | ||
| Somehow, all of the pollsters had worked together. | ||
| And again, I don't just mean the conservative, right-leaning pollsters. | ||
| I mean even the lefties, who were saying that Trump was going to win. | ||
| We're somehow all in on it because they were also, I guess, terrified of Ron DeSantis or something like this, like some lawyer from Jacksonville in weird looking boots is going to scare all of these people for some reason. | ||
| And, you know, a guy who's obviously been stress eating for the last month or so of the campaign, which everyone can see, and that they were trying to fund their own polls to actually get themselves out of it. | ||
| And what we were seeing was them go through the stages of denial. | ||
| And so I just want to let you guys know that, you know, denial is, it's a series of stages. | ||
| You're going to have to go through them all. | ||
| I want to emphasize, to DeSantis' credit, but also to kind of against, he did a full Grassley. | ||
| He did a full Grassley. | ||
| He did all 99 counties. | ||
| By the way, the people of Florida are the ones that suffered here because they didn't have a full-time governor. | ||
| If you go to all 99 counties in Iowa, you're not governing Florida. | ||
| I'm sorry. | ||
| Florida's going to remember this. | ||
| Yes. | ||
| I mean, you're doing a full, full Grassley here. | ||
| And if you can't break, at current trends, it looks as if, we don't know yet, if you can't break 20% by doing a full Grassley and spending $120 million, What does that say, Blake? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I mean, I don't even think it has to say that much about DeSantis. | |
| What it says everything about is about Trump and the political environment he's created. | ||
| And that's really why this was so pointless in the first place. | ||
| I think if you are an honest assessor of the American political environment, you just know. | ||
| Trump has super diehard supporters. | ||
| It's not like anything we've seen in recent American political history. | ||
| There's a huge amount of people who are, you know, Trump or bust. | ||
| Trump is the only one I will back, as long as Trump is alive, possibly even after he's alive. | ||
| Given that was the situation, what was the point of this primary? | ||
| You just weren't going to break those people. | ||
| There was maybe a little wobbling right after the 2022 midterm where it seemed, oh, maybe he's... Well, but it was a coup. | ||
| I mean, the thing is about, the thing to understand about the Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis' challenge is that this is a coup by the donors. | ||
| It always was from the beginning. | ||
| That is what they were grooming DeSantis for throughout 2022. | ||
| In 2022, for the midterms, DeSantis built a $200 million war chest And it was all coming from Wall Street donors who presumed that DeSantis would take his victory in the midterms and turn that and pivot that into a presidential campaign. | ||
| And a lot of people... I mean, that was two years ago now. | ||
| Feels recent to me, though. | ||
| But that was a coup by the donors, totally backed and funded by them. | ||
| It was National Conservatism Conference, which hosted Ron DeSantis, if you remember, funded generously by Peter Thiel. | ||
| Peter Thiel is the one who put up the $30 million in 2022 to prop up these national populist candidates like Blake Masters, J.D. | ||
| Vance, and then to fund these projects, which Ron DeSantis was a big part of that network. | ||
| There's a famous picture where they're all there together in Florida. | ||
| It's him, and it's Dave Rubin, and Dave Reboy, and all the other usual suspects, all those Jews. | ||
| And they were all down there. | ||
| And then, notably, Ken Griffin, who sort of leads the pack for the Wall Street Republican donor base, flipped his support from Trump to DeSantis. | ||
| And he was never an enthusiastic supporter of Trump. | ||
| He said, of course, his preference was always somebody like DeSantis, but many of the donors reluctantly went along because Trump, it was a hostile takeover of the party in 16, and then he was the guy in 2020. | ||
| And so in 2022, these guys like Ken Griffin, Wall Street donors, the Israelis, they all flipped, they all supported DeSantis. | ||
| And if you look at the average in the primary, I'll pull up the historic polling here for that. | ||
| If they still have it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let me see. | |
| I don't know if it goes back as far as 2022, but if you remember, you go back to like November, December 2022. | ||
| DeSantis was within 10 points of Trump in the average. | ||
| So it was a donor-backed coup and they really thought that they could do it because I think they overestimated that, you know, we all knew that Trump was never going to lose. | ||
| We all knew that Trump would run again in 24. | ||
| We all knew that we would support him. | ||
| We all knew that he would inevitably win. | ||
| But the donors did not want that to be so, and they certainly didn't want to let him win it without trying, and I think they overestimated the appetite among Republicans for a non-Trump alternative. | ||
| Because there was this idea, I think, in the period from January 6th until the midterms, that what Republicans wanted was a post-Trump Trumpist movement. | ||
| They wanted Trumpism without Trump. | ||
| They wanted nationalism or populism without the baggage. | ||
| And I think a lot of them thought that because Trump went quiet for those two years, for that one and a half, two year period, that maybe he was down and out. | ||
| We all knew that wasn't the case, but I think they overestimated this appeal of a Ron DeSantis candidate who would provide the policy benefits of a Trump, a more right-wing version of the Republican establishment, and again, without the pugnacious attitude, without the Twitter and all that other stuff. | ||
| And then when Ron DeSantis announced last year, his support fell off a cliff. | ||
| People realized, no, we love Trump. | ||
| Like, when they saw DeSantis announce on Twitter, they realized that they want Trumpism with the Trump. | ||
| They found out that Trump was the basis of the appeal, not the Trumpism. | ||
| It was the guy. | ||
| It was the personality. | ||
| It was him. | ||
| And now what has happened in just the last three or four months is that Nikki Haley has absorbed all that support. | ||
| So all the donor establishment support that was behind DeSantis, behind this, you know, this good idea which was Trumpism without Trump, him carrying Florida by 20 points, him being the antidote to all of Trump's shortcomings because he was a good governor, had good personnel, you know, was experienced as a politician. | ||
| When that didn't work out, they threw all their weight behind the woman. | ||
| Behind an electable woman who's gonna win the suburban moms and all that stuff. | ||
| So, I mean, I agree that it was never gonna work out. | ||
| But understand the challenge didn't come from the people. | ||
| The DeSantis challenge, which has now become the Haley challenge, there was no popular demand for this. | ||
| There was no... Nobody was crying out for any of these people to run, and certainly nobody thought that they had a chance of winning. | ||
| This was a completely top-down coup against Trump through money, and in a way through the Zionists. | ||
| We'll take a look. | ||
| We'll see how we're doing here. | ||
| Results still trickling in. | ||
| Still at 3%. | ||
| And, you know, again, it's Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley, neck and neck. | ||
| Although they appear to be adjusting their forecast. | ||
| It looks like they revised their forecast for Haley down 1%. | ||
| And Ron DeSantis up 1%. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But, you know, again, that's going to happen throughout the night. | |
| Betting markets now have Nikki Haley with a 62% chance of finishing second. | ||
| So they're more confident than the New York Times is that she will finish second, it seems. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Tell me about the atmosphere. | |
| This is sort of, I don't know, a state for him. | ||
| He's going to have to answer to that because this is a good state for him. | ||
| We also know that Haley and DeSantis will kind of go at it tonight and that's playing out right now. | ||
| It's kind of been back and forth a little bit. | ||
| One thing to note, a lot of people don't know, the smaller precincts Return their results first, because these are hand-counted ballots. | ||
| So we're seeing a lot of rural come in early. | ||
| That's going to favor Trump. | ||
| That's why he was in the mid-50s. | ||
| As we go on and you get to these big super precincts in the suburbs that might be better for Haley, her vote could grow some. | ||
| DeSantis's might as well. | ||
| But I think, you know, this isn't going to end the way it started. | ||
| I think we're going to see some real dynamic movement in the vote totals tonight as we go on. | ||
| But that rural vote, that data point you just bring up right now, that could be bad news for Governor DeSantis, because that's where you expected a lot of his support as well. | ||
| We're going to have to wait and see what happens there. | ||
| You brought an interesting point up when we spoke last week. | ||
| I'm going to bring in Mark in this conversation. | ||
| Dave basically said that Iowa was built for Mike Pence, right? | ||
| He's somebody the evangelical community knows. | ||
| He's somebody Republicans know. | ||
| He knows how to speak to those voters, and yet he didn't even survive. | ||
| He couldn't even make it to the Iowa caucuses. | ||
| What do you think happened to the Republican Party in Iowa, or is it the Republican Party across the country, or do you think it's just Donald Trump is so popular? | ||
| Well, Tom, I think the reality is that a lot of voters look at the record of the four years of the administration, and I think it's natural that they accrue that to the person who was in the Oval Office. | ||
| Whether or not he was really the one championing those issues or not, the reality is he's the one that gets the credit for them as having sat at the Resolute Desk. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| Let's check in on... Do we got anything new from DeSantis or Haley? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nothing. | |
| Stream from Vivek? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Probably not yet. | |
| Yep, we're just watching the votes come in. | ||
| Maybe we'll take a call in a moment. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I wonder if... Maybe we'll see if Vince is around. | |
| Give him a call. | ||
| Give him a ring. | ||
| But yeah, I mean right now we're just watching this come in vote by vote. | ||
| Feels like they're coming in one single vote at a time actually. | ||
| At least that's how it feels to me. | ||
| And we're just watching and waiting. | ||
| We're watching together. | ||
| Let's go back. | ||
| Let's watch the speech. | ||
| Because it's a statistic that's full of nonsense. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Watch out now! | |
| Our enemies are getting stronger and stronger by the day. | ||
| And we, as a country, are getting weaker. | ||
| Even our nuclear arsenal doesn't work. | ||
| It came out recently. | ||
| They have equipment that's 30 years old, they don't even know if it worked. | ||
| And I thought it was horrible when it was broadcast on television. | ||
| Because boy, does that send signals to Putin and all of the other people that look at us and they say, that is a group of people. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Jorge has always put the ones he loves first, but he's let his own dental care take a back seat. | |
| And it can be replaced with something much better for everybody. | ||
| Let it be for everybody, but much better and much less expensive for people and for the government. | ||
| And we can do it. | ||
| So, I've watched the politicians I've dealt with them all my life. | ||
| If you can't make a good deal with a politician, then there's something wrong with you. | ||
| You're certainly not very good. | ||
| And that's what we have representing us. | ||
| They will never make America great again. | ||
| They don't even have a chance. | ||
| They're controlled fully. | ||
| They're controlled fully by the lobbyists. | ||
| By the donors and by the special interests. | ||
| Fully. | ||
| They control them. | ||
| Hey, I have lobbyists. | ||
| I have lobbyists that can produce anything for me. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Where's the best part? | |
| They're saying, Dad, you're going to do something that's going to be so tough. | ||
| You know, all of my life I've heard that a truly successful person, a really, really successful person, And even modestly successful. | ||
| I'm getting sick of the music. | ||
| Why don't we just... Let's go back to the one without the music for the best part. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And make it great again. | |
| We can do that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And I will tell you, I love my life. | |
| I have a wonderful family. | ||
| They're saying, Dad, you're going to do something that's going to be so tough. | ||
| You know, all of my life I've heard That a truly successful person, a really, really successful person, and even modestly successful, cannot run for public office. | ||
| Just can't happen. | ||
| And yet, that's the kind of mindset that you need to make this country great again. | ||
| So, ladies and gentlemen, I am officially running for President of the United States. | ||
| And we are going to make our country great again. | ||
| The moment that started it all. | ||
| I can't believe it's been nine years. | ||
| That was nine years ago. | ||
| And now we're doing it a third time. | ||
| I'm kind of glad though, you know, because in a way, if he had won in 2020, it would have been over. | ||
| If he had won in 2016 and then won in 2020, this would be the last year of Trump and then that would be it. | ||
| And I don't think that things would have been fixed by now. | ||
| I think that you almost needed an interregnum four years without Trump and then you get to expand it. | ||
| You almost get to delay it. | ||
| So it's really a 12-year Trump era. | ||
| And I remember I always used to say this during Stop the Steal. | ||
| I said maybe it's the best case scenario that he loses or rather doesn't take office in 2020 and that it happened the way that it did. | ||
| As opposed to him losing outright or him winning. | ||
| It was almost the best case scenario that he won but was cheated out of it And that he challenged it, but it didn't work. | ||
| And we got four years of Biden and you almost get like this perfect dynamic where we got a taste of what normalcy looked like. | ||
| Because that was really the appeal of Biden insofar as there was one was, let's just go back to the way things were. | ||
| Trump being in office is just too much of a drag. | ||
| He's, you know, the left wants it more than we do. | ||
| They're pushing everybody so hard because they can't Let's just let them have what they want. | ||
| I feel like there was a big Normie appeal to that idea. | ||
| And then they got a taste of what return to normalcy looks like, which is inflation, 7 million illegals, war in Ukraine, war in the Middle East, war in Taiwan. | ||
| You know, all these problems that we're having. | ||
| The crime nationwide. | ||
| And then the weaponization of the government against Trump and against the J6ers. | ||
| And I think now it's created like a true revolution. | ||
| Because now there's like this vengeance. | ||
| Trump won, and you could tell that Trump, and I feel like a lot of people didn't even take it seriously. | ||
| Because Trump won in 2016 and then declined to persecute Hillary Clinton. | ||
| And Trump won in 2016 and did a completely clean house in the GOP and in the White House. | ||
| And so maybe it took four years for us to get serious and realize what would be necessary to save the country. | ||
| Because now, of course, we're coming back and it's vengeance. | ||
| I mean, we're literally coming back with a vengeance. | ||
| So 16 he gets in. | ||
| It was a completely wasted opportunity. | ||
| So many problems in the first term. | ||
| It's almost like it was necessary to have this little intermission to Aware us of the reality, give us a chance to recuperate and plan the next attack. | ||
| At least in my opinion. | ||
| I think when we look at it in retrospect, if Trump wins this third time, we'll maybe look at it as the best possible scenario. | ||
| Or maybe I'm just being optimistic. | ||
| But that's how I thought of it back during Stop the Steal, that maybe there was a reason that all of this happened the way that it did. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The way that it went down. | |
| Trump is speaking? | ||
| Alright, let's pull up the Trump speech. | ||
| He's probably on Rumble, right? | ||
| Here we go! | ||
| to make the argument. | ||
| Trump is speaking. | ||
| All right, let's pull up the Trump speech. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He's probably on Rumble, right? | |
| That's what a lot of people here in Ireland are concerned about. | ||
| The same issues as the rest of the country. | ||
| Immigration, economy, foreign wars. | ||
| But tonight we celebrate... He's not speaking yet. | ||
| Everybody in the live chat is freaking out. | ||
| Everybody in the live chat is saying, the King is speaking! | ||
|
unidentified
|
He's not speaking quite yet. | |
| We'll put him on and we'll wait and see. | ||
| Is that Steve King? | ||
|
unidentified
|
That looks like Steve King over there, right? | |
| Or no, maybe I'm wrong. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Alright, thank you Vanessa for giving us a live report there at the Trump Watch Party on the floor. | |
| We're going to recap a couple of the latest numbers. | ||
| I know we were just going over some of them. | ||
| Obviously we've seen these, you know, sizable leaves for President Trump still says in force, but what's the very latest? | ||
| So we've got 4% in. | ||
| President Trump is at 51.3%. | ||
| Ron DeSantis, 21.5%. | ||
| Nikki Haley, 19.2%. | ||
| So Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley are kind of going back and forth with two percentage points difference, splitting them. | ||
| President Trump at 51%. | ||
| He's come down, you know, a couple points since we last checked, but very much a commanding lead. | ||
| Most news outlets have already declared him the winner called him the winner. | ||
| We just need to get the other 96% All right. | ||
| Well, we're gonna wait for the Trump speech. | ||
| Let me know if he starts But I'm not gonna I don't really want to watch Marjorie Taylor Greene's boyfriend With these mics with all the I don't know what's with the game on those microphones. | ||
| It's kind of crazy but you know they always have some technical issues it seems and Yeah, so we're just watching. | ||
| It seems like it's the same results from before. | ||
| We'll check in on our Associated Press. | ||
| They're waiting as well. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| Maybe I see some familiar people. | ||
| I'm not really sure. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I wonder if we'll see any Groipers. | |
| Maybe we'll see some AF hats. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| Probably a bad idea though. | ||
|
unidentified
|
If there's anybody there, they definitely shouldn't do that. | |
| Because you don't wanna, you don't wanna get in trouble. | ||
| Alright, so they're, they're waiting for it on Associated Power. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is how AG1 works to deliver foundational nutrition that tastes great too. | |
| Matching. | ||
| Okay, what the fuck is this now? | ||
| It's going to go hard after Nikki Haley because as we just talked about, we're going to New Hampshire now. | ||
| And that's where Nikki's trying to kind of stake her claim. | ||
| A lot of people thought when Chris Christie got out he had that kind of never Trump lane and now Nikki is the heir apparent to that although the hot mic moment that we now have heard many times I think is indicative of a lot of Chris Christie supporters so I don't think necessarily all of those voters he had are gonna go to Nikki because I think They don't like her. | ||
| They like Chris Christie. | ||
| And so Chris Christie doing that. | ||
| And look, Chris Christie's a savvy politician. | ||
| He's been around for a while. | ||
| He knows his way around a microphone. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| I'm not entirely sure that wasn't on purpose. | ||
| But nonetheless, it happened. | ||
| And so I don't know that she eclipses Donald Trump there. | ||
| And we talk about South Carolina. | ||
| He's up 30 points over Nikki in her old home state. | ||
| She's not as popular as a lot of people think on the national stage. | ||
| When you get down into that, into the Palmetto State, people Don't remember as fondly as some would think. | ||
| So again, a lot of ifs here. | ||
| But in theory, when you're talking about Trump winning the first two states as well he could, you have a month for the first time. | ||
| It's a very long time. | ||
| The end of February is when we vote in South Carolina. | ||
| If he wins that state, he's 3-0 and the field's 0-3. | ||
| And you de facto have a nominee at that point where he's going to be pushing folks As they are already saying, to coalesce behind him. | ||
| He's going to say this is a show of force. | ||
| He's going to say he's the heir apparent to rebuild this country, to take it back to the America First principles and the America First policies that he put in place. | ||
| And he's going to say these other folks are wasting our time and our money because I'm going to be the nominee. | ||
| We need to be focused on Joe Biden and beating Joe Biden. | ||
| And also some of that money is going to be focused on his legal fights. | ||
| Some of them too, but that's also kind of the argument I think they're going to make. | ||
| Carlos, you want to say something? | ||
| Yeah, I was going to say, I mean, obviously it's a great night for Donald Trump, but he is an incumbent and he is right around 50%. | ||
| If this was Joe Biden, Everyone would be saying that this was an embarrassment, right? | ||
| So, you can look for candidates like Nikki Haley, like Ron DeSantis, and say, hold on. | ||
| You know, Donald Trump is the incumbent, and he's getting about half the vote. | ||
| So, I think, you know, you can look at this either glass half empty or half full, and I think you'll hear Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis make the argument that sure, Donald Trump One, but at 50 percent, is that the number that what is effectively an incumbent should be making in a state where the electorate is kind of ideal for Donald Trump's candidates? | ||
| Well, the challenge has always been you have to consolidate every never-Trumper and every Trump-skeptical person and then peel off a little bit. | ||
| But every time someone drops ass, some people go to Trump as well. | ||
| Listen, I'm so sick of that because we were told to suck it up and do whatever we could to elect goobs like Mitt Romney for years and all the Republicans did that. | ||
| And so if Donald Trump becomes the nominee, I'm sorry, it's a choice between chicken or fish. | ||
| That's all you got. | ||
| You can't pick something that's not on the ballot. | ||
| I know people didn't like Herschel Walker on the Republican side, but that's who you had. | ||
| So you have a choice to make when it comes time to vote, and if Donald Trump's the nominee, it's going to be difficult to do. | ||
| Don't get me wrong. | ||
| I'm just saying, for someone who worked for people like Huckabee and Santorum, I sucked it up, and I did what I had to do because I thought the alternative on the left was wrong for the country. | ||
| The people who are never Trumpers need to understand that when it comes time to cast You can call Senator Mitt Romney a goo, but he was the nominee for your party, and he still has Republicans, maybe not in the Trump faction at all, that still respect him and that he's a decent guy. | ||
| I want to go to Chuck for a history lesson real quick. | ||
| Chuck, take us back to 2000. | ||
| You didn't have an incumbent, but you had a very popular candidate in George W. Bush, and you had John McCain who was trying to build that coalition in New Hampshire, which he was able to do. | ||
| But at the end, W was just too popular. | ||
| It's hard. | ||
| And now Trump is even more popular than that. | ||
| Well it wasn't just that though, it goes back to also, I mean, it's sort of similar to what we're seeing with Haley and Trump. | ||
| Let's see, do we got Trump yet? | ||
| Still no Trump. | ||
| Let's check back with Charlie Kirk and maybe we'll see what's going on. | ||
| Is Infowars doing anything? | ||
| I didn't get to get out of here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It would just be such a misfire. | |
| And you can see the gears that would lead it to happen, where they think they're doing this brilliant play. | ||
| I have a great comparison. | ||
| Is it Seinfeld? | ||
|
unidentified
|
No, no, no. | |
| I have a great election comparison. | ||
| And it's right here in Arizona. | ||
| Is it Martha McSally? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I believe Martha McSally dragged Trump. | |
| No, I totally agree. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And here's the reason why. | |
| Every time Trump came to Arizona, Martha, she's wonderful! | ||
| She's been on the team and like... Oh, that's Tyler Boyer? | ||
| Why does he look like that? | ||
| I thought he looked better than that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He looks fat. | |
| His profile picture doesn't look like that, but jeez, look at these chubby little hands. | ||
| I'm not trying to shit talk him, but we've been on a Twitter space and gone back and forth and he must be using an old Twitter picture. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The worst! | |
| She's a rhino! | ||
| And this is the entire length of the rally. | ||
| That she was sitting there, and the next time I talk to people and they go, I don't know if I'm gonna go because it was just like this, you know, McSally love fest. | ||
| That will be worse with Nikki Haley. | ||
| Nikki Haley will sink The Cope Watch has begun. | ||
| It is not OK for Nikki Haley to be the VP nominee. | ||
| It will just absolutely destroy. | ||
| It will mix Sally every state. | ||
| OK, Jack Posobiec, how are we doing? | ||
| I mean, the Cope Watch has begun. | ||
| The the DeSantis crew is just flailing left and right, putting out a statement saying that the media has interfered in the election. | ||
| We've got NPR now talking about the path forward for Nikki Haley, Eric Erickson, who predicted that DeSantis would win the Iowa primary saying Trump is the establishment. | ||
| But most importantly, I've got a message from Tanya Tay, and I want to open those up to the chat, maybe the super chats. | ||
| Tonya Tay says I should lose the hat. | ||
| She says, what are you trying to be, Tim Pool? | ||
| You should lose that thing. | ||
| I want to open this up to the chat. | ||
| What do you guys think? | ||
| Do I lose the hat? | ||
| Do I stick with it? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I think you should get a bigger hat. | |
| I could try to find a bigger hat. | ||
| I do have that Arizona hat from the last time we had that bet. | ||
| Yeah, where's your cowboy hat? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Where's your cowboy hat? | |
| Ask Charlie if I could wear the cowboy hat. | ||
| I'm not a circus captain or whatever. | ||
| I just do human events daily. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Circus captain? | |
| No, it's the precinct sheriff, Jack. | ||
| Oh my gosh! | ||
| Hold on, DeSantis, hold on. | ||
| The hat is like 9 to 1. | ||
| First of all, DeSantis, DeSantis. | ||
| By the way, DeSantis is blaming the media. | ||
| Quote, it is absolutely outrageous that the media would participate in election interference by calling a race before tens of thousands of Iowans even had the chance to vote. | ||
| The media is in the tank for Trump and this is the most egregious example yet. | ||
| That's so dumb. | ||
| I saw Bill Ackman actually said the same thing. | ||
| Bill Ackman, the Jewish billionaire behind the campaign to remove Claudine Gay from Harvard. | ||
| He said the same thing on Twitter tonight. | ||
| He said, how could they call it for Trump with only a thousand votes in? | ||
| They must have never watched election coverage. | ||
| They do that every time. | ||
| It's called math. | ||
| Who wants to warn DeSantis? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Guys, stop it. | |
| Stop saying that the New York Times wants Donald Trump. | ||
| The media's in the tank for Trump. | ||
| You guys are embarrassing yourself. | ||
| Who is this clown? | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is Baghdad Bob level. | |
| This is going to happen, Charlie. | ||
| I believe, based off of some really good friends that are watching that are really close, our staff that's on the ground in Iowa. | ||
| It says that Donald Trump is going to expand his lead throughout the night and Ron DeSantis is probably going to slide in these more rural areas. | ||
| Oh without a doubt, especially northwest Iowa. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So what's going to end up happening is you're going to see Trump probably end up 55%, 56%. | |
| Nikki Haley is probably going to end up 22%, 23%. | ||
| And Ron DeSantis is going to end up somewhere between 15 and 18. | ||
| So it just embarrasses him more to come out and say, hey, this is his peak. | ||
| If everything goes per what our ground staff is saying, he's at peak Ron DeSantis production, and he should actually be really grateful that the media is reporting on how much he has. | ||
| He's beating Nikki Haley right now. | ||
| Later in the night, he's probably not going to be beating Nikki Haley anymore. | ||
| That's really embarrassing. | ||
| So Tyler, we're still running the math. | ||
| We're trying to project DeSantis' final vote total. | ||
| But if our projections are right, he'll end around 25,000 to 30,000 votes, maybe less. | ||
| Which means that DeSantis will have spent anywhere between $3,500 to $4,000 per vote. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, and what is that compared to Nikki? | |
| Nikki would be less. | ||
| Nikki did not spend as much as Ron DeSantis. | ||
| Not even close. | ||
| Because here's the thing, Ron DeSantis transferred over all that state-based super PAC money, and so all that money people were giving, they thought, I'm giving to Ron DeSantis for governor, Ron DeSantis for governor. | ||
| In fact, they were giving Ron DeSantis for the consultant class. | ||
| And so look, I mean, by the way, the results are still pretty stiff. | ||
| They're dripping in, Blake. | ||
| I mean, this is by no means a tsunami. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hurry up! | |
| My guess is that Maricopa County has outsourced to Iowa. | ||
|
unidentified
|
There's a good chance that Donald Trump will have spent less per vote than Vivek. | |
| And yeah, Vivek spent about, what, 30, 35 million bucks of his own money? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, pretty close. | |
| But I don't consider Vivek's success or failure based on vote total. | ||
| He has red-pilled so many people in the intelligentsia. | ||
| Elon Musk, David Sachs, people that I run into that are higher income, PhDs, they love... Vivek is a whisperer to the elites, unlike anything I've ever seen. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I wonder what these people think a red pill is. | |
| I wonder when Charlie Kirk says someone is red-pilled, I wonder to him what that means. | ||
| Because to me, that means two things. | ||
| to trump and they heard they've listened to vivek i wonder what these people think a red pill is i wonder when charlie kirk says someone is red pilled i wonder to him what that means because to me i'm that means two things it means you're a race realist and it means you know about the jews not to be blunt but that's what it is it's | ||
| If you're red-pilled, that means you know about the race IQ gap among other biological racial differences and are therefore a racialist or a tribalist. | ||
| That's one. | ||
| And specifically pertaining to the white race, you're red-pilled on white nationalism, white supremacy, white genocide. | ||
| And then the other is the Jewish Influence on the planet and I'm not talking strictly about Israel or Zionists I'm talking about world Jewry which acts as a collective force on Mankind and specifically on Western civilization to me. | ||
| Those are like the two red pills to me in terms of politics Those are like the two big red pills So when he says, like, you know, so-and-so gets red-pilled, I'm wondering, does that mean, like, socialism sucks? | ||
| Does that mean, um, you know, what, what does that mean now? | ||
| I feel like maybe five or six years ago was socialism sucks. | ||
| Now, maybe it's, it's a little closer to where we are, at least on race. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's just what happened. | |
| We're the only voter who paid money once to have that, so I think you gotta respect... It's just funny to hear all these years after the Groyper War, they sound exactly like us. | ||
| You know, years ago, back in 2019, they would say, oh, you know, socialism sucks, and big guff sucks, and freedom this, and all that. | ||
| And now, fast forward four years later, and they're like, we're noticing, oh, he's red-pilled. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's like, they sound like Roypers. | |
| It sounds like 2016 Twitter. | ||
| But in Khan Inc., they're just a little bit late. | ||
| A little bit late on all that stuff. | ||
| But hey, I mean, better late than never, I guess. | ||
| They just gotta get... You know, Turning Point would be great if they just got hip about Israel and the Jews. | ||
| Because they are basically there on race. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, not quite. | |
| The problem is increasingly they're talking about our issues, but they're giving these half-truths. | ||
| Like, Tucker did an interview with Charlie Kirk during AmericaFest last month. | ||
| That's their big convention. | ||
| And they talked about white identity politics. | ||
| And Charlie Kirk said, well, I think white identity politics is inevitable. | ||
| And the system wants that. | ||
| And Tucker Carlson said, yeah. | ||
| And they were saying that like it's a bad thing. | ||
| And of course, white identity politics is the only answer to white genocide. | ||
| It's the only way that whites are going to survive. | ||
| Because the situation that is happening in the world, if you zoom out and you want to understand the major trend, the 1,000 year inflection point that we're living through right now, it's that the Global South, which is impoverished, black and brown, formerly colonized by whites, newly liberated and independent, are now migrating north. | ||
| And they're called refugees, they're called economic migrants, they're called immigrants, they're called many different things, but they're all moving north. | ||
| And they're moving into white countries. | ||
| So there's a population explosion that happened in Latin America, that happened in Asia, that is happening and will happen in Africa. | ||
| And these population booms outside the world have made whites a global, or rather outside of Europe and North America, they've made whites a global minority, a tiny global minority, and now they're moving into all of our countries. | ||
| And so in Europe, the United States, Canada, Australia, whites are increasingly becoming a minority. | ||
| And there's a relationship here. | ||
| This is a result of global political developments. | ||
| This is a result of the world wars and the end of European colonization. | ||
| It also has something to do with liberalism being adopted in the West, that we have embraced diversity and tolerance and equity and these things. | ||
| And when you look at a 500, 1,000 year trend, that's the big story. | ||
| 500 years ago, Europeans colonized the world. | ||
| After World War II, it all ended. | ||
| And in just the last 50 years, all these people are now coming here. | ||
| And as Africa undergoes a population explosion, they will be burgeoning and they will be moving into Europe. | ||
| And so it's, you know, Mexico and the Northern Triangle and Venezuela moving to the United States. | ||
| It's India and China moving to the United States, Canada, and Australia. | ||
| And it's all these Africans and Arabs moving into Europe. | ||
| And so white civilization is being snuffed out. | ||
| Whites are being replaced. | ||
| They're becoming a minority. | ||
| They're being politically dominated because whites are individualistic and non-whites are tribalistic. | ||
| So in a world where whites are playing an individual sport and non-whites are playing a team sport, whites are going to lose. | ||
| That's why anti-white racism is tolerated and promoted and politically viable, but anti-anything else or pro-white is not. | ||
| And so, you know, so that's what's going on. | ||
| And the reason that this is a problem is because non-whites are genetically different from whites. | ||
| They're genetically different. | ||
| They don't look different. | ||
| They don't act different because of their environment or their culture. | ||
| They biologically are different. | ||
| And I don't mean they're inferior, but they're different. | ||
| And a big problem is that a lot of them are dumber. | ||
| I mean, I'll just say it outright. | ||
| I mean, Africa has an average IQ of 65 in some countries. | ||
| In some it's 80. | ||
| But these people that are moving to Europe from the Middle East or Africa or the people moving to the United States from Latin America, they're just dumb. | ||
| It is what it is. | ||
| I'm Mexican. | ||
| You know, I can say that. | ||
| And if you're white, I mean, you can say that too because it's a fact. | ||
| And they're gonna wreck our countries. | ||
| It's gonna look different. | ||
| America looks the way that it looks because it's a white country. | ||
| When you think about it, you know, we tell ourselves we're a nation of immigrants. | ||
| Yeah, we're a nation of white immigrants. | ||
| Until 30 years ago, we were a nation of white immigrants. | ||
| So America is like, what if you took the most adventurous... | ||
| The most risk-taking, the most hardcore survivalist whites from every white nation, and made a country out of them. | ||
| That's what America is. | ||
| And you made it free. | ||
| And you made it as free as possible, and you threw in the Industrial Revolution. | ||
| And you added all the Nazi scientists. | ||
| That's what America is. | ||
| And that's what made America great. | ||
| Straight up. | ||
| You know, the Indians didn't make America great. | ||
| They had teepees. | ||
| The Chinese didn't make America great. | ||
| They never colonized anything. | ||
| The slaves didn't make America great. | ||
| If they could make America great, they'd make Africa great. | ||
| They can't. | ||
| What made America great is that this was like a white supernation. | ||
| All the most adventurous, intelligent whites came here, and the ones that were weak died because they were pioneers and settlers and fought in wars. | ||
| So you have this eugenic selection process of migration, and then you have this eugenic selection process of surviving in a settler colonial nation. | ||
| And then, like I said, then you brought in the Nazi scientists. | ||
| And you brought the best from Scandinavia, the best from England, the best from Germany, the best from France, the best from Italy, the best from the Slavic nations. | ||
| That's what America is. | ||
| And now America is gonna be a bunch of, like, Like, Ecuadorian peasants. | ||
| They're gonna be just like a bunch of Amerindian peasants. | ||
| It's just like what it is. | ||
| I mean, these people coming across the border, they have like an 85 IQ. | ||
| Venezuela is the lowest IQ country in Latin America. | ||
| And they're all coming here and, you know, they're not gonna be able to do complex tasks. | ||
| And same thing, I mean, these people that are coming from all these other countries, you know, some of them are okay, but they're not the best. | ||
| And... | ||
| And it literally is. | ||
| I mean, when Trump said it, he's right. | ||
| They are poisoning the blood. | ||
| Because they're going to come here. | ||
| They're going to have tons of kids. | ||
| We're not. | ||
| Intermarrying is going to increase. | ||
| Our birth rate will continue to plummet. | ||
| And in 100 years, we're going to be outnumbered. | ||
| And then America's going to suck. | ||
| It's going to look like Venezuela. | ||
| It's going to look like Africa. | ||
| It's going to look like India. | ||
| It's going to look like Mexico. | ||
| And all those places suck. | ||
| And Europe is going to look like Afghanistan and Iraq. | ||
| And Australia's gonna look like China. | ||
| You know, maybe that'll be better. | ||
| Actually, I don't know. | ||
| Maybe Australia's the one exception. | ||
| And anyway, the only way to fight back against this is white identity politics. | ||
| It's to say, whites are distinct, whites are a race, whites are responsible for all these achievements, and we have to assert our white identity. | ||
| We need to protect ourselves as whites, we need to organize as whites, we need to defend the historic white ancestry and culture of America. | ||
| And these guys all talk about it like it's a bad thing, so that's not red-pilled. | ||
| You know, you're not red-pilled until you're advocating for white Excuse me. | ||
| You're not red-pilled until you're advocating for white identity politics, and you're not red-pilled until you're against Jewish influence. | ||
| Because that's the other thing. | ||
| Jews control the world, and they hate Jesus Christ. | ||
| So how can you have a good world if it's run by people that hate God? | ||
| It doesn't work. | ||
| So you've got to acknowledge that, and you have to say that, I mean, you can say it in a negative way or a positive way. | ||
| You can say the world has to be run by not-Jews, or you can say the world has to be run by Christians, but you have to say it one way or the other. | ||
| And that is what red-pilled means. | ||
| But if you're just purely talking about these things in general, And you're saying white identity is like a Nazi thing, and that's a bad thing, and you know, you're still defending Israel? | ||
| That's not red-pilled. | ||
| But anyway. | ||
| Let's take a look. | ||
| We got a huge... Okay! | ||
| We have a lot more votes in! | ||
| Alright! | ||
| Let's check in. | ||
| Is Trump live yet? | ||
| Okay, not yet. | ||
| We have a ton of votes in. | ||
| 37% reporting. | ||
| Donald Trump with 52%. | ||
| DeSantis 20. | ||
| Haley, which is one point less. | ||
| And Vivek just barely at 8. | ||
| I mean, not even 8. | ||
| And the forecast has flipped. | ||
| Their live forecast, they shifted it. | ||
| They had Haley, 23. | ||
| DeSantis, 17. | ||
| They now have DeSantis at 20, Haley at 19. | ||
| So they're neck and neck all night. | ||
| But that was our first major batch of votes. | ||
| 37% in. | ||
| And it should be the same on their website here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And it's all very exciting. | |
| So we're still watching on the edge of our seat. | ||
| Who will prevail? | ||
| Looks like DeSantis and Haley That's the thing, they're gonna split, and I called this from the beginning, not tonight, but of this whole cycle. | ||
| I said that the problem is, and I'm going to explain the primary right now. | ||
| The problem is that in order for a non-Trump candidate to be viable in this primary, it would need to be a two-man race. | ||
| Which means it needs to be Trump and one other person. | ||
| If it was even possible, that's the only way it would be viable, is if it was Trump vs. DeSantis or Trump vs. Haley. | ||
| But the problem is that, from the beginning, it was a one-man race. | ||
| It was Trump and a whole group Of non-Trump candidates. | ||
| And as long as it's Trump versus a group of people that aren't Trump, you're splitting that 50% that is not Trump. | ||
| Trump is going to command 50% at the minimum no matter what. | ||
| I mean, basically. | ||
| And as long as that 50% that isn't Trump, the 50% constituency that either hates Trump, doesn't like Trump, maybe it's a Democrat crossover, maybe it's somebody that just wants something different, maybe it's some idiot boomer who says, well I don't like the Trump tweets, you know, whatever. | ||
| But that was always the problem, is that for a non-Trump candidate to win, it had to be a two-man race, but it's always been a one-man race. | ||
| You're either Trump or you're not Trump. | ||
| And they're all splitting that not-Trump vote between, like, four people. | ||
| So, you have Vivek, who is not Trump, but has a certain Trumpian appeal. | ||
| You have DeSantis, who is somewhat similar. | ||
| You have Haley, who has probably consolidated the Christie vote, and also a similar crowd from DeSantis, maybe more anti-Trump than DeSantis. | ||
| And so as a result, I mean, between the three of them, they've got 45% of the vote. | ||
| But, taken separately, you got two with 20% and one with 8%. | ||
| So, they're splitting that anti-Trump vote. | ||
| And, you know, it's actually remarkably similar to the 2016 primary, because if you recall, it was far more competitive. | ||
| Trump didn't even win Iowa in 2016. | ||
| And at least initially, he was only winning a plurality of the votes. | ||
| He didn't get more than 50% of the vote until much later on. | ||
| And it was a much wider field in 2016. | ||
| It started with 17 candidates. | ||
| It narrowed by Iowa. | ||
| And then in the waning months of the campaign, it narrowed to three and then two non-Trump candidates. | ||
| It was first Kasich, Cruz, and Rubio, and then it was Cruz and Rubio. | ||
| And if at any point two of them had dropped out and endorsed the other, maybe that person would have been competitive. | ||
| If Kasich and Rubio dropped out and endorsed Cruz, maybe he would have been competitive. | ||
| And if they had done that from the beginning, maybe he would have been competitive. | ||
| And maybe not. | ||
| But that's the only way it would have worked. | ||
| But until the very end, until Indiana, they weren't able to do that. | ||
| And as a result, nobody stood a chance because Trump just had too... You cannot beat his base. | ||
| There's no candidate that has a bigger base of support than he does. | ||
| So Trump's gonna get 50% no matter what. | ||
| And unless the anti-Trump people coalesce around one person that's going to make the case as the alternative, it simply mathematically cannot work. | ||
| So it would seem that DeSantis will make it through to New Hampshire. | ||
| If DeSantis gets a second or a very very close third place finish, I mean it would seem that he is likely going to New Hampshire. | ||
| We're gonna have to wait and see how big the margin is, you know, if he gets second or if he gets third by how much. | ||
| And of course, we'll see what his response is tonight, but it would seem that if he goes to New Hampshire, that's seriously going to spoil Nikki Haley's ambitions. | ||
| Because as I said earlier, he goes to New Hampshire, he pulls 10 or 20% from her And it makes her non-competitive. | ||
| And without that springboard to New Hampshire, she doesn't get the boost into South Carolina. | ||
| And without the boost from South Carolina, she's dead on Super Tuesday. | ||
| She loses her home state, which is brutal. | ||
| And if you can't win your home state, and you can't win New Hampshire, where Christie had 12%, you're not winning Super Tuesday. | ||
| And if you're not winning Super Tuesday, you can't... I mean, you mathematically are not going to get the delegates. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So... | |
| And that's what it comes down to here. | ||
| And it looks like we're back at the Trump watch party. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I brought in several months ago, so that's how long they've been working this state all across from the north, to the south, to the east, to the west. | |
| They covered every corner. | ||
| No stone was left unturned. | ||
| A victory party here tonight. | ||
| We'll come back here in just a little bit. | ||
| I'm Vanessa Broussard reporting to you live. | ||
| Now back over to Brian and Christina. | ||
| Alright, thank you Vanessa as we're back here in the Trump war room. | ||
| Just kind of looking at the numbers like Vanessa is doing. | ||
| Yeah, some war room. | ||
| Alright, let's see. | ||
| 39% in. | ||
| And DeSantis maintaining his one-point lead. | ||
| Check back in on NBC. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right, because Bush... This moment, Shaq Brewster, one of our campaign reporters, is camped out over there where it is very cold as well. | |
| Shaq, tell me what you're hearing. | ||
| We projected a Trump win here in Iowa. | ||
| It's not a huge surprise, but no thanks. | ||
| Don't want to hear that. | ||
| Doing as well. | ||
| He's now creeping up to 53% of the vote. | ||
| Ron DeSantis holding steady at 20. | ||
| Nicky at 18. | ||
| Vivek is right around 7.7. | ||
| So hey, Jack, so there's a ton of energy in the chat around Vivek. | ||
| Help us understand the Vivek phenomenon. | ||
| Is this a win? | ||
| Is this a loss with Vivek? | ||
| The chat is super interested in Vivek. | ||
| Hold on. | ||
|
unidentified
|
One second. | |
| I need to finish the point. | ||
| Is that some people are also curious, the Trump and the Vivek fight the last 48 hours. | ||
| What's going on here, Jack? | ||
| Now the floor is yours. | ||
| Classic Charlie. | ||
| All right, Jack, here's the question. | ||
| But before you answer the question... I didn't finish! | ||
| No, so here's what it is, right? | ||
| So what Vivek did... Little beef! | ||
| Little snarky beef. | ||
| ...the dust up towards the end, off the table, this whole, like, vote for Vivek, save Trump. | ||
| Uh, you know, Hail Mary. | ||
| It was a Hail Mary. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay. | |
| There was a Hail Mary. | ||
| And even though he is a Hindu, that's a Hindu Hail Mary. | ||
| Um, that, uh, you know, what you have in Vivek is a guy who comes across saying all of the same, uh, or espousing, I guess I would say all of the same beliefs as Trump, as the MAGA base, as the MAGA voter, but he's able to do so in a way that is palatable. | ||
| To the independents, to the moderates, to like the Bill Ackmans and the Elon Musks of the world. | ||
| He's able to put it into words what Trump simply would have gotten across in a joke or a mean tweet or in a funny retort or something. | ||
| Vivek is actually able to extrapolate on those and do so with an incredibly high verbal IQ. | ||
| Easily one of the highest verbal IQs I think of any Uh, any presidential contender that we've seen. | ||
| Um, of course we all know that president Trump is a very stable genius. | ||
| And so we're not, we're not questioning that in any way, but I think there's something about the, I think there's really something about the first capacity of Vivek and his ability to put into words what so many Trump supporters are feeling, what so many Trump supporters are going through, have gone through. | ||
| And I guess what I even mean to say about Trump supporters, it's, it's not even Not even just Trump supporters, but Middle America, about the South, about the Northeast, about the Rust Belt, all of these places that have been artificially depressed, been depressed by policies, whether it be outsourcing, whether it be these great replacement open borders, mass migration policies, whether it be the ethnic cleansing of our cities on the backs of the 60s riots and MLK. | ||
| Here we go! | ||
| The leader! | ||
| so many of these things, that's really what Vivek is able to speak to. | ||
| Is Trump about to speak? | ||
| Is that what people are saying? | ||
| You know, I just wanted to alert the audience because we just got the feed. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The leader. | |
| Of the caucuses. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nobody wants to hear about Vivek Ramosomi. | |
| Nobody wants to hear about what they have to say because the only person people care about right now is Donald Trump. | ||
| And it was so, so strong that- We're playing high hopes. | ||
| Is this Buttigieg going on before? | ||
| Maybe Buttigieg is the vice president. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
| Trump speech imminent Or is it I | ||
| All right, when is this going to happen, man? | ||
| Yes, for Donald Trump not to do the debate. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I mean, can you imagine if he would have done the debates and it would have mixed things? | |
| There's no reason to. | ||
| These debates were so poorly put together. | ||
| No one watched them. | ||
| Who's going to watch a debate? | ||
| What were the partners? | ||
| NBC? | ||
| CNN? | ||
| Where do they do these debates? | ||
| Not anywhere that any of us watch. | ||
| Remember when, I think we learned that there was a debate last week with an hour to go? | ||
| Nobody watched. | ||
| And we do this full time! | ||
| There's more people watching our stream tonight than watched some of these debates. | ||
| So look, I'm going to tell you this. | ||
| We have a real problem on our hands. | ||
| And this is what we warned of last winter. | ||
| A year ago, Charlie was in the thick of it here with us and with the good RNC members that were there that were saying, hey, donors are not going to give to the RNC. | ||
| The common man that we should be looking to, the grassroots, is not a fan of what's happening to the RNC. | ||
| What does the RNC do? | ||
| The number one job of the RNC is to simply do the convention, make sure a platform is passed, Hold the debates and then try not to create more damage than good. | ||
| And the unfortunate part is all of those things have gone wrong off track this whole year. | ||
| The RNC is raising less money than it ever has. | ||
| The debates were a complete joke, was a waste of time. | ||
| They're not on track for their goals for the convention. | ||
| So everybody here has to understand that is not putting us in a good position to help President Trump become 47. | ||
| Trump 47. | ||
| And by the way, tonight, tonight is the message. | ||
| He wins by 50 plus points. | ||
| 50 plus percent. | ||
| We got to end this primary. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's over. | |
| It's over. | ||
| It's done. | ||
| By the way, this is one of the closest states. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Stop messing around. | |
| This is the one where they spent a gazillion dollars. | ||
| You want to see a bloodbath? | ||
| Wait till Tennessee. | ||
| Okay, wait till Texas. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is the state that rewards a ground game. | |
| Yeah, wait for Arizona. | ||
| Donald Trump's gonna win 85%. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is the state that rewards a ground game. | |
| Where, you know, Trump has a lot of other things on his mind. | ||
| His ground game was not as robust. | ||
| These guys had a year to build it out, and this is what they get. | ||
| Every other state is, you can just go to the elementary school and cast a ballot. | ||
| You think it's gonna get better for them? | ||
| No, it's only going to get worse. | ||
| And so, let me just take a step back here. | ||
| We have an amazing amount of work to do, okay? | ||
| We have to hire ballot chasers, we have to register voters, we have to secure our elections. | ||
| That $250 million that was poof, vaporized, would have been helpful. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Throw it into the furnace. | |
| But understand, every single day is a gift. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Can I explain why it's worse than that though, Charlie? | |
| This is one of the most critically overlooked parts of what damage was done in Iowa. | ||
| Iowa, by the way, is considered a swing state. | ||
| It may be one of the least important of the swing states. | ||
| Not anymore. | ||
| But it's a swing state, right? | ||
| Obama won it twice. | ||
| It was supposed to be very close in 2016. | ||
| It ended up being less and less, right? | ||
| But with Trump. | ||
| But do you know what our friends over at Americans for Prosperity have done? | ||
| The Koch Network? | ||
| What? | ||
|
unidentified
|
They converted a bunch of Democrats as registered Republicans today. | |
| That's right. | ||
| Pause. | ||
| Nikki is overperforming because a bunch of Democrats crossed over in caucus for the first time ever in Republican for a day. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Probably 5% of the vote is Democrats in Iowa today. | |
| Maybe more, right? | ||
| Maybe more. | ||
| Because Americans for Prosperity and groups like that, which are really bad, this is really evil. | ||
| I'm going to explain to you exactly why it's evil. | ||
| They are taking advantage of same-day voter registration states, which should not exist, and converting Democrats over to vote for their candidate. | ||
| Well, why are they doing that? | ||
| Because they don't want to go knock on doors and try to convince conservatives to vote for Nikki Haley. | ||
| That would be difficult. | ||
| That would be a really arduous task. | ||
| The easier thing to do is knock on the door and say, hey, I know you're a Democrat, but do you hate Donald Trump? | ||
| And when that person says yes, they go, did you know you can do something about it? | ||
| This is what they're doing at the door. | ||
| And it's not just that group. | ||
| There's many groups doing this. | ||
| The reason why this is so nefarious and so evil is because what ends up happening is a percentage of those people they've converted end up on the Republican voter rolls through November. | ||
| Which means when we're chasing ballots for not just Donald Trump, not just the Senate candidate in your state, not just the person running for even state legislature, but the guy running for school board, we're knocking on the door of Democrats who are registered Republicans, but they're actually Democrats because groups like this spend a hundred plus million dollars converting them just as registered Republicans just to help Nikki Haley. | ||
| So what ends up happening is we spend more money accidentally turning out Democrats because of groups like AFP. | ||
| I totally agree. | ||
| One sec, Jack. | ||
| I want to just say hello to everyone on Real America's Voice. | ||
| Reminder, there's a three hour juggernaut. | ||
| It's actually five hours if you count No, no. | ||
| Subscribe to my- No, no, no, no. | ||
| Subscribe to my channel. | ||
| show one hour of jack in the middle part of the day so if you guys are just tuning in to the real america's voice channel you're flipping through channels you want to see this say hey we're going live here uh we just want to remind you guys we are live every single day in the middle part of the day and also please uh subscribe to our podcast here any minute donald trump no no subscribe to no no no no subscribe to my channel i'm live every night monday through friday on rumble follow my Follow my channel instead. | ||
| You know, Mannin's a shill for the Jews. | ||
| You don't want to follow all that. | ||
| You gotta follow me. | ||
| I'm a Catholic and I'm pro-white. | ||
| Follow my channel and watch my show every night, Monday through Friday. | ||
| Because, you know, we're actually red-pilled over here. | ||
| We're not red-pilled light. | ||
| We're not red-pilled, you know... | ||
| Anti-white, you know, tap-dancing for Israel. | ||
| This is pro-Christian, pro-white, pro-Trump content. | ||
| All pro-Trump, pro-white, pro-Jesus content. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right. | |
| To come up on stage, we're going to take it live. | ||
| I could not have been more fair and honest about that whole thing. | ||
| And they said, oh, we don't need to do that. | ||
| We have our own operation. | ||
| I said, OK. | ||
| So they spent all this money on Iowa. | ||
| And the nastiness that they were throwing towards us was just terrible. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Where's T, dude? | |
| Where's the big man? | ||
| where's big don oh great song by the way higher love they spent on a general election For what? | ||
| For ego? | ||
| For pride? | ||
| We don't get that money back, Jack. | ||
| Ron DeSantis' legacy very well might be that he made it harder for us to take back the White House in 2024. | ||
| Precious money, precious resources that Ron DeSantis could have owned and championed. | ||
| He could have had the Ron DeSantis Super PAC. | ||
| He could have called it that. | ||
| And gone across the country as America's governor, endorsed Trump early, Okay, still no. | ||
| Still no T. Hired an army of ballot chasers, sold a book to a million people, he could have just been the most popular person ever. | ||
| Yet tonight, Ron DeSantis, unfortunately, and tragically, has become... I don't want to say a laughingstock, Jack, but it's not a good night. | ||
| Jack? | ||
| Well, unfortunately, I think what DeSantis is waking up to, and we'll see, right? | ||
| We'll see, you know, as people go through the stages of grief, and as the DeSantis supporters go through the stages of grief, I wonder if at some point they will ever begin to question their priors. | ||
| And I wonder if they will ever get... | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, how about NBC? | |
| ...getting the right endorsement. | ||
| This is the DeSantis headquarters. | ||
| Well, listen, expectations have been really lowered for him. | ||
| He's been written off for dead so many times, projected to finish in the low teens in many polls. | ||
| He's going to overperform tonight. | ||
| He's got a robust operation in South Carolina. | ||
| He's planning to go there tomorrow and route to New Hampshire, where he has a town hall. | ||
| So we're in this for the long haul. | ||
| This is a delegate game. | ||
| Nobody's going to win this race based on a handful of delegates in Iowa. | ||
| But what the American people need to understand is there's a greater challenge here. | ||
| What the media did tonight is wrong. | ||
| The media does not pick. | ||
| These guys are idiots. | ||
| What do you mean, what happened to the voters? | ||
| You fucking lost fair and square, dummy. | ||
| He's complaining that after they all voted, the media declared Trump the winner, which he is. | ||
| How would that affect the voters at all? | ||
| You cast the ballots. | ||
| They count the ballots. | ||
| The guy that gets the most is declared the winner. | ||
| You're saying that somehow the voters were retroactively deprived of something because the winner was declared prematurely? | ||
| Which it wasn't even. | ||
|
unidentified
|
At the end of the day, if he comes in third here, it's not just whether he wants to stay in for the long haul. | |
| There are some practical limitations here. | ||
| Number one, the money, right? | ||
| That starts to become a challenge. | ||
| You've seen how this works. | ||
| We've got resources to make it through the early states. | ||
| We've saved up for that reason. | ||
| We're going to be just fine there. | ||
| We've got a long way to go before votes finish coming in tonight. | ||
| But I just need people to understand. | ||
| This is a grave concern. | ||
| This cannot happen in this country. | ||
| This challenges the very foundation of our democracy to have winners announced before voting. | ||
| That's something you see in the Middle East, not the United States. | ||
| This guy's such a fucking loser, dude. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Never back down. | |
| Group supporting you guys tonight. | ||
| Appreciate your time. | ||
| Hope you enjoy. | ||
| I think it was results from some sort of survey or something, not not even true votes. | ||
| Well, no, no, no. | ||
| This was this was projected based on data and science and science and not actual election results. | ||
| We'll have some of our experts explain how that was. | ||
| What a coping bitch. | ||
| As if like if they didn't project the winner that dissent, what would he get? | ||
| Point one percent. | ||
| 0.1% more? | ||
| Trump has 50, you're at 20. | ||
| You're in a fight for your life for second place with 20%. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And they're gonna complain about, well, they projected the winner early. | |
| This is un-American. | ||
| This is what happens in the Middle East. | ||
| You lost. | ||
| You suck. | ||
| What's the earliest we're comfortable so we're not getting in the way of voting? | ||
| And what the state party told us is that doors open at 7... That's a fake conversation. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's not even wordless. | |
| ...to the point where they... I subscribe to our podcast... No, don't. | ||
| No, no, no. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Subscribe to my podcast. | |
| 38% in, so we're getting actually... | ||
| So, I want to play some tape here. | ||
| There's a lot of media reaction coming in. | ||
| So, and by the way, the media, they have to spin this as a quote-unquote, like, insurrection. | ||
| One of my favorite article titles is Rolling Stone. | ||
| Trump barely tries in Iowa and still dominates caucus. | ||
| I love that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, that's the idea. | |
| That's why this was pointless. | ||
| That's why this was a complete waste of money. | ||
| Let's play Jen Psaki. | ||
| Play cut 37. | ||
| And I think to the point that you made, Steph, I mean, it's the elephant in the room. | ||
| She's still a brown lady that's got to try to win in a party that is deeply anti-immigrant and which accepts the notion that you can say immigrants are poisoning the blood of our country. | ||
| She's getting, you know, birthered by Donald Trump. | ||
| W get birthered? | ||
| Jack, what's your reaction there? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I mean, it's meltdowns. | |
| Rachel ramp up a lot, the better she does in New Hampshire. | ||
| So it's still a challenge. | ||
| I don't see how she becomes the nominee of that party with Donald Trump still around. | ||
| I can't picture it happening. | ||
| Maybe it could happen. | ||
| Your reaction? | ||
| No, no, Jack. | ||
| Jack, what's your reaction there? | ||
| I mean, it's meltdowns. | ||
| It's complete meltdowns, right? | ||
| Because keep in mind, Charlie, these are the people who are supposed to be the gatekeepers The gatekeepers of the truth. | ||
| The gatekeepers... Dumb bitch got birthered. | ||
| We're even born here? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hey, excuse me. | |
| We're even born here? | ||
| He should debate her and then ask that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He should be like... She wasn't born here. | |
| I'm in competition with them. | ||
| They just built a hotel. | ||
| She just built a hotel. | ||
| The gatekeepers of the revolution, the revolution that began in the 1960s and continues on today. | ||
| These are the people that birthed the woke movement, that birthed the DEI movement, everything tearing down our statues, tearing down statues of Christopher Columbus, tearing down statues of our heroes, tearing down George Washington and Thomas Jefferson and all the rest of it. | ||
| And they can't for the life of them believe that the people of this country would have a problem with it and the people of this country would ever respond in such a way. | ||
| And so they've got to find a way, just like the DeSimps are going through their No, no, no. | ||
| No, we're not reading it. | ||
| of grief right now you've got to have the mainstream media find a way to explain it away and this is of course and by the way i can't believe putin did it again putin has done it again folks putin somehow just look at the cockey of iowa look look at the power of mail and ballots blake is eager to say a point well i just want to you know anytime they people donate i want to make sure we get to their comments so it's since he was mentioning those 60s radicals uh franklin 779 said hi charlie great no we're not reading it we're reading my super chats | ||
|
unidentified
|
i'll read how about I read a super chat. | |
| I'll do some superchats right now. | ||
| I don't know who Cody is. | ||
| - I don't know who Cody is. - Hitarn sent $50, 07. - 07, thank you. - Joseph Quesada sent $100, W, who said he was. - I don't know who Cody is. - Hitarn sent $50, 07. - 07, thank you. | ||
| W Christ, W Nick, W Hitler. | ||
| Hey, thank you very much, Joseph, for the big super chat. | ||
| Yeah, W Hitler and W Jesus, W Nick. | ||
| Big shout out. | ||
| This guy's supporting the show a lot lately. | ||
| 07s for Joseph Quesada and a based super chat at that. | ||
| Max Tittman sent $10, you said that Adam King's answer to what country would you destroy? | ||
| Was unacceptable. | ||
| As a Catholic, shouldn't we have the same mentality towards Vatican City? | ||
| Isn't our allegiance to that country first due to it being a holy site? | ||
| Or do you see this as different from his answer? | ||
| It's different because we worship God, they worship the devil. | ||
| Huge difference. | ||
| Nice try though, nice Jewish subversion. | ||
| Max Tittman sent $5, by the way that question was mostly devil's advocate. | ||
| It doesn't seem to be the same thing, I'm just not totally sure why and wanted to hear your thoughts. | ||
| Angelo Ferraro sent $5, did you see Stu Peter's tweet where he said Vivek shouldn't be president because he's Indian and there are Indians that brush their teeth with feces? | ||
| Question Vivek's sincerity but that was retarded. | ||
| Didn't pick up on any satirical undertone. | ||
| I'm not gonna police his tweets, okay? | ||
| Guy percent three dollars. | ||
| I'm afraid I've begun to love you. | ||
| Like seeing you happy makes me happy. | ||
| Watching you react to Trump just put a gross smile on my face. | ||
| P.S. | ||
| What percentage of the live chats does entropy keep? | ||
| 15% and super gay. | ||
| Don't say that to me. | ||
| Zeppelin grow I percent three dollars. | ||
| I think it's likely the Jews were using the tunnels for circumcision. | ||
| That would explain the high chairs and bloody mattresses. | ||
| Or maybe some other satanic rat ritual? | ||
| Gross. | ||
| You have no idea what you're talking about. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Missing a phrase in the middle there. | ||
| Carrie Lake, but she's running for the Senate. | ||
| We also have a fair amount of Byron Donalds. | ||
| And Ben Carson is getting a lot of support. | ||
| I like the Ben Carson. | ||
| I do. | ||
| If I may. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Why not Trump O'Keefe? | |
| No. | ||
| No. | ||
| If I may, if I may, I've said this, I said this on Timcast and I get them wearing the beanie tonight. | ||
| And, you know, a couple of years ago, I still think it's interesting. | ||
| It kind of floated it on Twitter. | ||
| It got a huge response. | ||
| Rand Paul, Senator Rand Paul out of Kentucky, I think would be a fantastic choice. | ||
| I think it gets you. | ||
| We're waiting on this speech. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Still nothing. | |
| Thank you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| Looks like maybe soon though. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's funny. | |
| Okay. | ||
| We do a lot of that. | ||
| We have TPU Safe Faith Pastor Summit. | ||
| We could run up the score with a Ben Carson tour. | ||
| I mean, I'm telling you, you could get evangelical turnout in a way that you... Right, Tyler? | ||
| I mean... That's all you do. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You send Ben to all the churches. | |
| That's all you do. | ||
| And you ballot chase. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's all you do. | |
| Ben Carson would go on a church tour. | ||
| All you do. | ||
| That would be a sleeper element, right? | ||
| In a five-person race. | ||
| And by the way, you know what I like about Ben Carson? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yes. | |
| He is accomplished. | ||
| You know, people would say, what has he ever done? | ||
| He did the hug thing. | ||
| He did good. | ||
| Fine. | ||
| Ben Carson sucks! | ||
| He was one of the worst cabinet members in the Trump admin. | ||
| Everybody knows that. | ||
| I like Ben Carson, like, as a guy, but anybody who was in the Trump White House knows he was among the worst cabinet officials. | ||
| He was openly entertaining, like, all this pro-black stuff, because he was what? | ||
| He was chair of HUD, I think, or HHS? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm pretty sure it was HUD. | |
| And I heard from multiple sources that he was like the worst cabinet member. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So... | |
| Yeah, I don't think so. | ||
| Gifted hands. | ||
| This guy is one of the most impressive human beings. | ||
| That's, like, shocking that he would say that. | ||
| Does he not know, or does he, like, think that stuff was acceptable? | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is it. | |
| I like that Ben Carson- Speaking of it- He always shows up at turning point. | ||
| He doesn't charge us anything, by the way. | ||
| Doesn't charge us anything. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Never once. | |
| That's a big deal. | ||
| Never awkward. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He's never a pain in the butt. | |
| Like, I'm telling you, we could go through every single person that's in the movement. | ||
| By the way, we know him all. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He's the easiest person to work with. | |
| We know everybody. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That means he's a good person. | |
| And what Charlie's saying is so important. | ||
| We're ballot chasing in like four states, five states max, guys. | ||
| So you need somebody that's a VP candidate that's going to show up. | ||
| That's gonna be trusted by the churches. | ||
| By the way, that's where we have to chase ballots. | ||
| There's not many people on that short list. | ||
| And he explains the pro-life thing from a medical perspective so he can... Terrible, terrible idea. | ||
| That is honestly surprising. | ||
| Because trust. | ||
| I knew people in admin and they all said this. | ||
| They were in meetings. | ||
| ...with Trump and cabinet officials and they said that he was, like, hands down one of the most problematic cabinet members. | ||
| And they all said he was a nice guy. | ||
| They all said he was a very nice guy. | ||
| But, um... | ||
| But ideologically not aligned with us. | ||
| He can navigate that issue really well. | ||
| He can reach out to the black community. | ||
| I'm not saying he'd do huge numbers, but he's a great example. | ||
| And he could push back against any of that nonsense. | ||
| He has integrity. | ||
| He's accomplished. | ||
| And I, you know, he's loyal. | ||
| And I will, I totally agree with you, Tyler. | ||
| He's a workhorse. | ||
| He's like this silent workhorse where he will wake up at 5 a.m. | ||
| And by the way, one of our good friends said, Ben Carson, yes. | ||
| Rand Paul Harden, no. | ||
| Had no spine. | ||
| Met with him for two years ago. | ||
| Not courageous. | ||
| Ben has integrity. | ||
| That's one of our supporters, by the way. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's address this timid thing. | |
| So, I think it's important. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So, just like Charlie said, big cars... So, you just, these guys just have no idea what they're talking... They go, oh, we know everybody. | |
| Clearly not. | ||
| You don't know the people I know. | ||
| The people I know said you don't even want to help them. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And I don't want to elaborate on that because I don't want to get too specific, but... | |
| But you know what? | ||
| Here's the problem, and I'm going to let you in on a little secret, which is that, and I don't mean to black pill because it's a good night, Trump won the caucus, it's exciting, it's the beginning of 2024, but I'm going to be honest with you, we are going to have the same problem if there is a second term, in the second term that we did in the first term. | ||
| And the problem is personnel. | ||
| Because, you know, it was an open secret that the first term was sort of a disaster for at least three years because the RNC controlled the presidential transition. | ||
| So Reince Priebus, who was chair of the RNC, handled the hiring along with Johnny DeStefano, who was head of the personnel office, for three years. | ||
| Well, Reince Priebus did the transition and DeStefano was in personnel for years and they hired all these rhinos. | ||
| And so the White House was full. | ||
| Not only was it, they turned people away from the campaign and they hired, from the Trump campaign that is, and they hired people from like the Cruz campaign and the Rubio campaign. | ||
| And so, you know, if you know anything about the the first term, it didn't get good until they put John McEntee in charge of PPO, which is a personnel office. | ||
| And that happened in the beginning of 2020. | ||
| That happened about four years ago. | ||
| And that's why the final year of the Trump admin was actually good. | ||
| That's when they started building the wall. | ||
| That's when, you know, I think John McEntee passed a note to the Joint Chiefs saying, remove everybody from Europe and Middle East and Korea. | ||
| And that's because the personnel was terrible for the first few years. | ||
| And anyway, now all these groups are starting up different programs to fill up the White House with the right people, but it's like the bad people are doing it too. | ||
| So, you know, everybody kind of found out that the Trump White House was sabotaged, or the Trump admin was sabotaged by bad personnel, so now there's this big race to find all of the prospective hires that Trump would bring in if there's a second term. | ||
| But guess what? | ||
| The bad people are doing it too. | ||
| So the good people, right now, are fighting the Kushner people again, they're fighting America First Policy Institute, they're fighting all the same people. | ||
| And they're black-pilled. | ||
| The good people that are hiring the right people are fighting the same bad people hiring the bad people as in the first term, and the good people are black-pilled. | ||
| They're like, you know, are we really doing this again? | ||
| Are we really gonna play this game? | ||
| I mean, that was a battle we fought for four years. | ||
| From 2017 to 2021. | ||
| And look at how that wound up. | ||
| Look at how that ended. | ||
| It was a total disaster. | ||
| And part of the reason why we couldn't rectify the stolen election is for that reason. | ||
| You know, the only people that were working on the legal remedy for Trump to rectify the election It was like Garrett Ziegler in the trade office. | ||
| And I'm not knocking him. | ||
| He's a great guy. | ||
| I love that guy. | ||
| He's a hero of that period. | ||
| But he was working in the trade office under Leidziger. | ||
| So, Trump's, like, entire legal counsel basically gave up. | ||
| Like, the first week after the election, Trump's official legal counsel gave up. | ||
| They weren't looking for any legal remedy for him to retain office. | ||
| It seemed that, like, the only people interested in preserving, or rather getting him a second term, was, like, Garrett. | ||
| That was it. | ||
| And that speaks to the fact that that was like the only solid guy in the Trump White House. | ||
| It was like the only Trump supporter and the Trump admin was Bob Lightsinger's guy in the U.S. | ||
| Trade Office. | ||
| Not the legal counsel, not the cabinet members, not the vice president, not the chief of staff. | ||
| You know, all the people that should have had his back, didn't. | ||
| And so, I know a lot of people that worked on the campaign from the beginning and got turned away, or they got blackpailed and quit during the first term, and, you know, totally blackpailed after everything blew up, like, decided to quit politics. | ||
| And the people that remained are, you know, they're battling for the right personnel. | ||
| And here's the case in point. | ||
| Ben Carson was an example of bad personnel. | ||
| Ben Carson was one of the worst. | ||
| And Turning Point is not helping the good people. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And then they play, and then they go, we know everybody, and Ben Carson's great. | |
| No, Ben Carson is not good. | ||
| Trust, okay? | ||
| I have it on good authority, Ben Carson. | ||
| And don't get me wrong, I like Ben Carson as a guy. | ||
| Like, he seems like a good man, he's a good Christian, like, he's a good dude. | ||
| Terrible personnel. | ||
| Should not be anywhere, anyone who knows anything about the Trump admin in the first term, he should not be anywhere near the second term. | ||
| In any capacity. | ||
| He should just retire. | ||
|
unidentified
|
In terms of politics. | |
| So that's crazy that they said that. | ||
| Unreal. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nick, you've been repeating yourself for 10 minutes. | |
| Yeah, well it's a fucking 100 hour stream while we're reporting every single vote that comes in. | ||
| And I'm in disbelief. | ||
| I'm simply in disbelief. | ||
| Because it's shocking. | ||
| Because isn't the whole appeal of Turning Point that they're supposed to be inside and working on the political stuff? | ||
| And they're saying Carson should be the VP? | ||
| You have no idea. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Anyway. | |
| Let's see if we have an update on the vote here. | ||
| 75% in! | ||
| Okay, so this night is almost over. | ||
| 75% in. | ||
| We got Trump with 51.1%. | ||
| Ron DeSantis with 21. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh! | |
| It just updated! | ||
| Well, it's about the same. | ||
| Trump with 51. | ||
| DeSantis 21. | ||
| Nikki Haley 19. | ||
| That sucks for DeSantis because like they were saying he spent hundreds of millions of dollars and he did the full 99 county tour which you know it's funny I'll tell you a little story about that when we were putting together | ||
| A campaign for Kanye earlier well last year now I was gonna say earlier in the year but in early 2023 we were putting together the bones of a potential 2024 run we're thinking about it and we brought in some potential campaign managers and they were selling us On this strategy. | ||
| They wanted to do the same strategy as DeSantis. | ||
| When a guy come in, he was a nice guy, but he came in and he's like, we're gonna tour all 99 counties, we're gonna meet everybody, we're gonna shake everybody's hand, we're gonna do small events, even if there's only five people there, only two people, because then two people are gonna tell their friends and their friends are gonna, whatever. | ||
| And I remember he showed up with that, and I was like, are you fucking kidding me? | ||
| I'm like, this is the number one rock star on planet Earth, and we're gonna be in like, we're gonna be in a Pizza Hut meeting with two people? | ||
| I said no, and then I kind of came up with a different plan, and don't get me wrong, I mean like, the guy wasn't dumb, but that's just a conventional plan, and that was a very unconventional candidate. | ||
| He wanted us to run the campaign like we're Ron DeSantis, but you know, we're not no Ron DeSantis. | ||
| It was Kanye West. | ||
| So I said, actually, you know, he wanted us to announce in Iowa. | ||
| I'm like, announce in Iowa? | ||
| What? | ||
| I'm like, we need to announce in Chicago or LA or Miami. | ||
| Not, not, I'm like, you don't need, you know, Trump announced at Trump Tower. | ||
| He didn't announce in New Hampshire. | ||
| He announced at Trump fucking Tower. | ||
| And in 2020, or for 2024, he announced in Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida. | ||
| He didn't go to Des Moines. | ||
| Not that I, you know, I like Iowa, but that's not, I mean, that obviously wasn't the play. | ||
| I'm like, he should do it at like Soldier Field in Chicago, or he should do it at Grant Park, you know, but he should do it there, or Miami, or LA. | ||
| But the guy was like, yeah, we gotta do all 99 counties, and we're gonna do all these little events, and we're gonna go to the Iowa State Fair, and all this. | ||
| And you know, it wasn't a terrible idea, but I was like, look, that's not the approach. | ||
| But anyway, so that's what DeSantis did. | ||
| He spent hundreds of millions of dollars, built out the ground game in Iowa, and he barely got more than Haley. | ||
| I mean, just... | ||
| He got 2% more than her. | ||
| I mean, it's basically a tie. | ||
| I mean, they can say he got second if he does, but it's a tie. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So, that sucks for DeSantis. | |
| Terrible finish. | ||
| We got a lot of boomers in the chat today. | ||
| What is this? | ||
| The ramblings of a delinquent? | ||
| Who the fuck even are you? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, I'm not used to the rumble. | |
| The rumble audience is like half-Groipers. | ||
| The rumble audience is like half-Groipers, half-boomers that wandered in here. | ||
| They thought it was like Steven Crowder. | ||
| The rumble audience is like half-boomers. | ||
| They wandered in. | ||
| They're like, was this the war room? | ||
| They're looking for Steve Bannon to talk about the Chi-Cons or something. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They're gonna flood the zone. | |
| That's funny. | ||
| Alright. | ||
| Where's Trump, man? | ||
| We want Trump. | ||
| What does this result mean for the health, the status of the RNC? | ||
|
unidentified
|
So here's the deal. | |
| So this is the craziest part about all the dynamics of the RNC. | ||
| The majority of the RNC, not massive Trump fans, all the people that were the most hardcore pro-Trump people, We're in total opposition to Rana and re-electing Rana. | ||
| Meanwhile, Rana gets re-elected with quiet help from some people in Trump camp. | ||
| Not all of them. | ||
| President Trump didn't endorse, right, in that whole race between Rana and Harmy and Mike Lindell. | ||
| But here's the deal. | ||
| So we have a situation now where the RNC, everything that we said turned out to be right. | ||
| The RNC is struggling. | ||
| That's not what you want to see ahead of a presidential cycle. | ||
| This is actually big news. | ||
| I probably shouldn't even talk about this, but I'm going to talk about it. | ||
| The RNC is contemplating going into what I would consider severe debt. | ||
| They should be cash flow rich right now. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They should be. | |
| Should be. | ||
| And they're not. | ||
| And the RNC is spending more money than it's taking in right now. | ||
| They're in big trouble. | ||
| The RNC has less money on hand than a lot of state parties do in their federal accounts. | ||
| And that's part of the reason why you're not seeing help for Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia – We have more ground staff at Turning Point Action on the ground in the most critical states than the Republican Party does, the National Republican Party. | ||
| That is horrible. | ||
| We have more ground staff on the ground in these states than the RNC, NRCC, NRSC combined. | ||
| That is strikingly difficult to comprehend. | ||
| So, uh, I want to respond to something Karl Rove said on TV where he was trying to downplay this. | ||
| I think it's the opposite. | ||
| I think we need to play this up. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Totally. | |
| This, this is amazing. | ||
| By the way, it wasn't even a primary focus of Trump. | ||
| I want you guys to understand this. | ||
| Donald Trump I have so much respect for this man. | ||
| You know he went to the Turning Point Action Conference instead of going to Bob Vander Plaats, who I like Bob, and I know Jack has some spiciness towards him, but I've gotten along with Bob. | ||
| We love the Kingmaker! | ||
| 95,000 Bob, we call him 95,000 Bob. | ||
| I like Bob, let's leave that aside for a sec, okay? | ||
| Plenty of time for you to do that on social media, but I just... I'm friends with him, we'll put that aside. | ||
| But we had two concurrent events, and Trump comes to our event, everyone said, you're gonna lose Iowa! | ||
| This I will let you riff on, Jack, okay? | ||
| You will lose Iowa, right? | ||
| You'll lose Iowa, Jack. | ||
| And Donald Trump kind of did it his own way. | ||
| Donald Trump recreated the Iowa playbook. | ||
| For all of you keeping score at home, How many, did the governor of Iowa endorse Donald Trump? | ||
| No. | ||
| Did the most important evangelical leader in Iowa endorse him? | ||
| No. | ||
| Did the locally based podcasters or media figures endorse him? | ||
| No. | ||
|
unidentified
|
By the way, Mitt Romney and John McCain both lost Iowa. | |
| Oh, that's interesting. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So, I mean, guys. | |
| Yes! | ||
|
unidentified
|
The establishment loses Iowa. | |
| Iowa's a great example of why you should never trust the establishment with any election ever again for the rest of your life. | ||
| Yes. | ||
| Yes. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Because the Iowa Republican Party is mostly establishment. | |
| It is. | ||
| And when John McCain was our nominee, When Mitt Romney was our nominee, we lost to Barack Obama! | ||
| That's right. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And it wasn't close! | |
| It wasn't a squeaker. | ||
| So Jack, I want you to riff on this. | ||
| This is fine. | ||
| is the how Trump remade Iowa. | ||
| Trump reshaped it. | ||
| He campaigned hard and heavy. | ||
| He did. | ||
| And by the way, there are three counties now that Nimarada is winning. | ||
| Just to be fair, Donald Trump is winning 95 out of 99 counties, okay? | ||
| But he remade Iowa, Jack. | ||
| All the consultants, the chattering class said, You have to do this. | ||
| You have to do this. | ||
| You have to. | ||
| He did it his own way. | ||
| He did it his way and a 30 point victory. | ||
| Jack, your thoughts. | ||
| Well, I'd just like to say to Ron DeSantis, man, 99 counties, not a lead in one. | ||
| Look, this is a situation where... That's just glazing, though. | ||
| I mean, Trump is the incumbent. | ||
| So to say Trump won without really trying, I mean, he did do events in Iowa, and he is the incumbent. | ||
| So, you know, admittedly, I'm not gonna lie, it isn't a crazy strong performance. | ||
| He won. | ||
| He won the majority. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He won 50%. | |
| I mean, it's good, but it really isn't great. | ||
| I'm not gonna lie. | ||
| I mean, analyzing it from the angle of, or from the Trump perspective, he's the incumbent. | ||
| He was the most popular Republican president in history. | ||
| He was more popular than Abraham Lincoln. | ||
| And for him to go into Iowa and win 50? | ||
| I mean, to say, well, but he didn't get the endorsement from Kim Reynolds. | ||
| It's like, so? | ||
| You know, he won by 30 without really trying. | ||
| It's like, yeah, but shouldn't that kind of be a given? | ||
| He had a 90% approval rating when he was the president. | ||
| He had a 90% approval rating as president. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And he is an incumbent. | |
| And he you know, he got 50. | ||
| I mean what if What if DeSantis wasn't in the race? | ||
| I mean would Nikki Haley get 40? | ||
| I mean would it would anybody be saying like wow He won by 10 And you know, maybe that's not realistic but still I Don't know if I know I don't know if I I mean look it's it's a good night It's a good I It's a good result, but let's not get carried away. | ||
| I don't think this is anything to write home about for Trump. | ||
| If Trump got 60% in Iowa, I would say that would be exceptional. | ||
| That would be a crushing victory, which would really silence any doubt. | ||
| But, you know, Nikki Haley and DeSantis combined had 40%. | ||
| That means 47% of the Republican electorate voted for someone other than Trump. | ||
| That's not a great result. | ||
| I would not be in love with that. | ||
| You know, especially because DeSantis probably won't hang. | ||
| And I wonder what it's going to look like then. | ||
| I mean, presumably in other states, it's not going to be as competitive as Iowa for all the aforementioned reasons. | ||
| But still, I don't think we need to get carried away with it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
The Philadelphia Eagles are decent. | |
| Jack, I got to put you on the spot. | ||
| I got to put you on the spot. | ||
| Greater collapse. | ||
| Philadelphia Eagles or Rhonda Sanders? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, man. | |
| I mean, honestly, it's the Eagles, right? | ||
| It's actually the Eagles because the Eagles had a shot at one point. | ||
| Right, so the Eagles, again, we're 10-2! | ||
| 10-2, it was the brotherly shove, the tush push, and yeah, it's done. | ||
| We're totally done. | ||
| And so there's actually a super chat or rumble rant, what we call them on this platform, that came in a little while ago. | ||
| And here's what we're going to do with the hat, folks. | ||
| The hat was on, the hat came off. | ||
| Whatever you say, whatever you pay for, we are going to do when it comes to the hat. | ||
| So we had one earlier that was $5. | ||
| Another big update. | ||
| 85% in. | ||
| Trump with 51. | ||
| DeSantis 21. | ||
| Nikki Haley 19. | ||
| So it looks like that's going to be our race. | ||
| It looks like nothing from Jefferson, nothing from Franklin. | ||
| Haley has a lead in Davis and in Webster. | ||
| Oh, nope. | ||
| And they updated it again. | ||
| So Trump won literally every county. | ||
| He won literally every county. | ||
| And there's no votes yet in two of them, but he's won every county so far. | ||
| 51, 21, 19, and just shy of 8 for Vivec. | ||
| So, Vivec did not outperform the polling at all. | ||
| That looks like it's exactly the RealClearPolitics average for Iowa. | ||
| Yeah, so the polling looks like it was more or less correct. | ||
| Trump 52, Haley 18, DeSantis... I mean, so they actually... DeSantis overperformed the polling by about 5 or 6. | ||
| And, uh... And yeah, that's about it. | ||
| I mean, everybody basically... it tracked with the polling. | ||
| And Vivek... Vivek as well. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I hate when people say local community because isn't it implied that a community is local? | |
| That's something that I... I also just hate the word local in general. | ||
| Local to me just sounds like one of those fake... it's sort of like organic. | ||
| When people say local, to me that's almost like a meaningless word like organic or Natural. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Your local community? | |
| What other community is there? | ||
| How about just your community? | ||
| Do you have a non-local community? | ||
|
unidentified
|
When I talk about my community, am I talking about a place 50 miles away from me? | |
| That's just a little nitpick. | ||
| And that's a little turning point nitpick. | ||
| Just a little one. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm not gonna hold them... I'm not gonna... | |
| Hold a grudge over that, but just a little nitpick. | ||
| I always hate when people say that. | ||
| You're local? | ||
| Go get your... Especially when the diet people say it. | ||
| All the diet people always say, you need to eat local meat. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You need to eat organic, locally sourced, raw milk. | |
| That is one thing I will never accept, is these hippies on the right that are all about All they do is talk about food all day. | ||
| Like, sorry, but you're just kind of a boring person. | ||
| If all you have to talk about is, like, cooking and diet, you're kind of a boring person. | ||
| You're a completely uninteresting person. | ||
| No offense if anyone is like that in the chat. | ||
| It's one thing if you're like a farmer or something, or you're like a dietician, but all these amateur people online that are going on and on about, today I had an organic blah blah blah, you know, fucking berries from my garden, and a little bit of this that I got from a thing, and local farmers, blah blah blah, you gotta get a local. | ||
| Ask your local farmer's market if the honey's local. | ||
| Three quarter pounders with cheese, please. | ||
| And supersize that. | ||
| An extra large chocolate milkshake and a Diet Coke. | ||
| And five cookies, please. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Niggas be like... | |
| Well, you're gonna want to. | ||
| It's like, I don't want your diet advice. | ||
| Everybody now has this diet. | ||
| Everybody's on some elaborate diet. | ||
| Everybody's got some, you know, really unique insight. | ||
| You've never met someone like me before. | ||
| Did you know that I eat, I'm on a carnivore diet? | ||
| Did you know I drink raw milk? | ||
| Oh my, get out. | ||
| You're so interesting. | ||
| Tell me more. | ||
| Why raw? | ||
| Why raw milk? | ||
| Tell me about the benefits. | ||
| This is so interesting. | ||
| I've never heard anyone say this before. | ||
| So let me get this straight. | ||
| You get raw milk from a farmer's market? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wow! | |
| That's so interesting. | ||
| You must be really intelligent. | ||
| You must be an extremely profound thinker. | ||
| And you're not like anyone else. | ||
| I'm a hater, but I'm a hater. | ||
| You know, but I'm a hater when it comes to these things, so... You can't take it too personally because I'm just a hater. | ||
| I love, but I love when they get mad. | ||
| I just, I live for when I make the diet people mad. | ||
| Nick is gonna be fat. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And this one says... Let me see... | |
| Nick, you are going to live a short life with that unhealthy diet. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Good! | |
| Good. | ||
| I like to eat pizza. | ||
| I like to eat McDonald's. | ||
| Blow it out your ass. | ||
| You're gonna live two years longer drinking raw milk? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Let's see. | |
| Every county for Trump. | ||
| We're still only at 86%. | ||
| Looks like they're gonna trickle in next couple hours probably. | ||
| Analysis from our report. | ||
| There's still votes left to be counted, but our estimates give DeSantis a greater than 95% chance of taking second. | ||
| So it looks like that's our race. | ||
| Trump 1, DeSantis 2, Nikki Haley 3. | ||
| That's what it is. | ||
| Hit the gym you low-test little twat! | ||
| No. | ||
| What are you gonna do about it? | ||
| Everybody loves to get tough when it comes to the gym. | ||
| Shut up. | ||
| You can go do your jumping jacks. | ||
| You can go do your jumping jacks. | ||
| You can go crawl on the floor like an animal, putting your palms of your hands on the dirty floor. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm good. | |
| Me? | ||
| I'm good. | ||
| I think exercise is bad for you. | ||
| I subscribe to the Ray Peet School of Thought that you should exercise once every 10 years. | ||
| But I'm very against exercise. | ||
| I think it's bad for you. | ||
| And I think that sugar... I'm a big believer in refined white sugar fruit. | ||
| I'm against meat actually. | ||
| I think you should eat less meat. | ||
| I think you should moderate your meat intake. | ||
| And I think exercise is bad for you. | ||
| So I think basically you're kind of a beta male if you work out. | ||
| I think you're actually like a soy boy if you work out and eat meat. | ||
| I think the real manly thing to do is to eat plenty of fruit and refined sugars and coffee and orange juice and vanilla ice cream and not to work out basically at all. | ||
| And I think that's actually the real health mindset. | ||
| You can save all your red meat. | ||
| I think that's a carcinogen. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And save your red meats. | |
| Save your raw milk and your honey. | ||
| I don't need to sweeten my stuff with honey. | ||
| I just put a ton of sugar in everything. | ||
| People are always like, you know, try honey. | ||
| It's a natural sweetener. | ||
| Really? | ||
| I just put tons of sugar in everything. | ||
| Actually, way better for you. | ||
| Tastes good and good for you. | ||
| But that's just me But that's just me it's That's just my mindset. | ||
| He is the nominee. | ||
| He's going to win the nomination. | ||
| The news media doesn't want to say that because they need to somehow hype, please watch us while we go through this charade. | ||
|
unidentified
|
There is no candidacy for... Because it's all about your thyroid function. | |
| Your thyroid and your liver need sugar. | ||
| Your liver needs sugar. | ||
| Your brain needs sugar. | ||
| Your thyroid needs sugar. | ||
| We need Sugars. | ||
| And we don't need a lot of meat. | ||
| I am unironically against the carnivore thing. | ||
| I think that the carnivore thing is a meme. | ||
| I think that people are eating way too much meat. | ||
| Like I don't think that people should eat meat every day. | ||
| I think that people should eat not a lot of meat and maybe a few times a week. | ||
| And You know what's funny? | ||
| I actually got that take from a German Nazi. | ||
| I was hanging out with this German guy I know. | ||
| He's actually from Germany. | ||
| And he said that his, like, grandfather was in the Holocaust on the evil side. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And, uh... | |
| and he said no but this I'm not even kidding at all I met this there's this like guy from Germany and he said like his father's grandfather was in the World War two and for the Germans and he was telling me he was like you Americans we too much meat Meat gives you cancer. | ||
| He was very anti-meat. | ||
| He said that you should only eat meat, like, three times a week. | ||
| He's like, you're going to get cancer. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's bad for, it's bad for your colon. | |
| It's bad for your, uh... And I was like, hey, if the Nazis... I believe them. | ||
| It's like... I'm not more base than this guy. | ||
| This guy, this guy was arguing that the Holocaust did happen because he said that his grandfather had one of the lampshades. | ||
| I don't know if that sounds like bullshit to me. | ||
| Sounds like he was making that up. | ||
| But I'm like, I'm not gonna be more based than this guy. | ||
| And he's telling me meat is carcinogenic. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm like, I believe him. | |
| I believe it. | ||
| So... Then again, I eat meat every day. | ||
| So I don't really know what to believe. | ||
| But I'm not going to do all that. | ||
| I'm not going to do these people, all they've taught, they just yap all day. | ||
| They just yap all day about, you know, food and what they eat. | ||
| It's like, don't you have anything interesting to say? | ||
| You're going to tell me about all this food you're eating? | ||
| You're just guzzling organic matter. | ||
| You're shoving your face with organic matter and you can't stop talking about it. | ||
| Just eat your fucking steak and shut up. | ||
| Drink your raw milk. | ||
| and your local organic honey and shut the fuck up. | ||
| We're tired of hearing about it. | ||
| That's just me. | ||
| You know, you wanna go enjoy nature? | ||
| Don't take your phone. | ||
| We don't need to hear about it. | ||
| You wanna go and go on a hike and cook your steak aesthetic in the woods? | ||
| Next time, don't bring your phone. | ||
| Nobody cares. | ||
| Don't take pictures. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So... That's how I feel about it. | |
| But I've been eating healthy lately. | ||
| I've been on a meal kit, like a meal prep service. | ||
| And it's all healthy stuff. | ||
| I think, though, that the healthiest thing you could do is to just not eat. | ||
| Which is what I do. | ||
| I mean, I barely eat. | ||
| And I'm skinny and I feel good and I think that fasting and just generally not having a huge caloric intake is better for you. | ||
| I don't think we're meant to be gorging on food all the time of any kind. | ||
| I think that basically you're supposed to treat your body as like the vehicle that it is. | ||
| And, you know, I'm a big believer that any, like, anything that is really outside of your normal activity is probably excessive. | ||
| Like, these people that do deadlifting? | ||
| I don't think deadlifting is good for you. | ||
| I don't think deadlifting 500 pounds is good for anybody. | ||
| Okay, it looks like Trump is there. | ||
| Here we go! | ||
| freedom at charliekirk.com. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go. | |
| We'll join us right after Trump's speech. | ||
| The man. | ||
| So let's cut to Donald Trump. | ||
| Enjoy that. | ||
| We'll be back right afterwards. | ||
| Yeah, so eating and exercise, not good for you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank her. | |
| I'm still today. | ||
| I'm still Rachel. | ||
| There we go. | ||
| There he is. | ||
| Okay, what's this quality? | ||
|
unidentified
|
God bless the U.S. | |
| Oh, man. | ||
| Three hours. | ||
| Barber. | ||
| Long enough to cuck out of the back. | ||
| Whoa. | ||
| There we go. | ||
| God bless the U.S. | ||
| God bless the U.S. | ||
| Yeah, this audio sucks. | ||
| Can we get something better? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Try R&B now. | |
| Try RSPN. | ||
| This is better, right? | ||
| Who's this guy now? | ||
| And I won't forget the man who... | ||
| Is that the vice presidential pick? | ||
| That's Trump and his vice president behind him. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's Patrick Starr. | |
| He didn't get Kim Reynolds, but he did get the big Patrick Starr endorsement. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He got the Grimace endorsement. | |
| Donkey Kong. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Who gave that right to me. | |
| And I gladly stand up next to you. | ||
| And defend her still today. | ||
| Because there ain't no doubt I love this land. | ||
| God bless the USA. | ||
| Well, I want to thank everybody. I want to thank everybody. | ||
| This has been some period of time, and most importantly, we want to thank the great people of Iowa. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We love you all. | |
| What a turnout, what a crowd. | ||
| And I really think this is time now for everybody, our country, to come together. | ||
| We want to come together. | ||
| Whether it's Republican or Democrat or liberal or conservative, it would be so nice if we could come together and straighten out the world and straighten out the problems and straighten out all of the death and destruction that we're witnessing that's practically never been like this. | ||
| It's just so important, and I want to make that a very big part of our message. | ||
| We're going to come together. | ||
| It's going to happen soon, too. | ||
| It's going to happen soon. | ||
| I want to thank some of the great people. | ||
| We have so many senators. | ||
| If I go through every name, we'll be here all night, and everybody's going to get angry at me. | ||
| But the senators, the congressmen from Washington, they came down from all different states. | ||
| I want to thank you very much. | ||
| I want to congratulate Ron and Nikki for having a good time together. | ||
| We're all having a good time together. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And I think they both actually did very well. | |
| I really do. | ||
| I think they both did very well. | ||
| We don't even know what the outcome of second place is. | ||
| And I see Carrie Lake. | ||
| Congratulations, Carrie. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Very good. | |
| I spotted her, I have to announce, because she's terrific. | ||
| She's going to be a senator, a great senator, I predict, right? | ||
| You're going to be a great senator. | ||
| I also want to congratulate Vivek because he did a hell of a job. | ||
| He came from zero and he's got a big percent, probably 8%, almost 8%, and that's an amazing job. | ||
| They all did. | ||
| They're all very smart, very smart people, very capable people. | ||
| I think most importantly, I want to thank my incredible wife, First Lady, I'll say, former and maybe future. | ||
| But more important than Melania, I want to thank her... Why is she not there? | ||
| Incredible, beautiful mother who passed away a few days ago. | ||
| And she's up there, way up there. | ||
| She's looking down and she's so proud of us. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And I just want to say to Amalia, you are special. | |
| One of the most special people I've ever known. | ||
| And that was a tough period of time for the family, but she, she's amazing. | ||
| She was amazing. | ||
| So I just want to thank what she's done for our family and her husband, who's home right now and very lonely. | ||
| He's a lonely man, but he's going to be okay, Victor. | ||
| They're great people. | ||
| Great parents to all of us, really. | ||
| Great parents, but also to Barron. | ||
| Boy, did she take care of Barron. | ||
| That's how he got so tall. | ||
| He only ate her food. | ||
| And I want to thank my family, generally. | ||
| They've worked so hard, and they've taken so much abuse for being good people. | ||
| I mean, good people, but Eric and Don. | ||
| They really did. | ||
| These two have been working so hard, and they... You know, they have another job also, so they have to do it all, but they've been working so hard. | ||
| And I know that Ivanka is home, and Tiffany's home. | ||
| They're watching. | ||
| And I know that Barron's watching. | ||
| Good old Barron. | ||
| He's... They said, you're gonna be a basketball player. | ||
| I said, well, I like soccer, Dad, actually. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I said... | |
| At your height, I like basketball better, but you can't... sometimes you can't talk them into everything. | ||
| But he's a special boy. | ||
| But the whole family is just incredible. | ||
| And my sister Elizabeth, who's just the biggest fan. | ||
| She's just an incredible person and always supportive. | ||
| We love Elizabeth so much. | ||
| Also, we have a woman who took a big chance. | ||
| You know, in most states, we have support of everybody, the Congress, the senators. | ||
| We had Marco Rubio. | ||
| We had Rick Scott the other day. | ||
| We have, you know, probably 50, 55 percent of the senators. | ||
| And now they're all calling and saying, we want to endorse you, sir. | ||
| I said, oh, great. | ||
| Same thing with the Congress, men and women. | ||
| We have tremendous, much more than anybody probably has ever had in this position. | ||
| And we love them all. | ||
| They're great. | ||
| They're really trying to do a good job for our country. | ||
| But one woman in Iowa who really stepped up was your Attorney General, Brenna Bird. | ||
|
unidentified
|
She really, really stepped up. | |
| Where is Brenna? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Come here. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Oh, thank you. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Glad to do it. | ||
| We need you. | ||
| She stepped up. | ||
| She's going to be your governor someday, I predict. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So we'll see. | |
| We'll see. | ||
| We'll be watching, but she really did. | ||
|
unidentified
|
She broke away from the pack. | |
| And she had tremendous courage, and it wasn't easy. | ||
| In some states, it's easy. | ||
| In other states, it's a little bit more difficult. | ||
| But we have really the support of the people of Iowa, which has been just incredible. | ||
| Another man who was actually the first person to endorse me in the entire country. | ||
| He's a state senator. | ||
| His name is Brad Zahn. | ||
| He looks like he's the most handsome guy, I think. | ||
| Oh, you made it. | ||
| He had to drive from his caucus location. | ||
| You made it. | ||
| I call him the Marlboro Man. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hey, Brad. | |
| You want to say something? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Come on. | |
| Go up. | ||
| Say something. | ||
| Well, I'll tell you, I had to actually do a TV interview bragging about you. | ||
| The reason why I was late is because of that. | ||
| But, um, is he awesome or what? | ||
| I am honored to be the first person in the United States to endorse this guy. | ||
| The next president, the 47th president of the United States, Donald J. Trump. | ||
| And when he says endorsed, we're really talking about... | ||
| He endorsed me before, actually, long before I knew I was going to run. | ||
| I said, who's this man in Iowa? | ||
| He's a senator, a state senator. | ||
| He's a good-looking guy, too. | ||
| Doesn't he look? | ||
| You could pay him and give him a lot of money. | ||
| And, by the way, Mr. Chairman, I want to thank you for being here. | ||
| You are so great. | ||
| Comes all the way from Missouri, which isn't that far. | ||
| You can't drive an electric car that far, though. | ||
| Thank you very much. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I appreciate it very much. | |
| The group of people that we have on the stage is just emblematic of the tremendous group that we've had. | ||
| We've had such a great team. | ||
| You know, we did well. | ||
| We were looking really good in 2016. | ||
| And just to go back to the senator, he was saying, I said, who is that guy, Brad, his name? | ||
| Who is he? | ||
| He keeps endorsing me. | ||
| He keeps saying Trump. | ||
| And I didn't even know I was running. | ||
| He endorsed me four months before I knew I was running, about four months before the Escalade ride down with our great First Lady. | ||
| And that was Brad. | ||
| I said, who is he? | ||
| So he was the first one. | ||
| But we have people that are so incredible. | ||
| Your Republican Party chairman, Bobby Kaufman, and his son, who is a brilliant guy, and he worked with us. | ||
| And I will tell you, that is a family of real professionals. | ||
| Matt Whitaker, who is the very talented and very good attorney general, I thought he was mad he's around here someplace. | ||
| And he's been with us all the way. | ||
| You know, we have a man that was very impressive. | ||
| And I say, there's nothing wrong with it. | ||
| He's so solid and so good that he didn't catch on. | ||
| Sometimes being a little controversial is good. | ||
| He's so perfect. | ||
| Although he did break his leg during the campaign. | ||
| That wasn't so good. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But it sort of stood out a little bit. | |
| But Doug Burgum from North Dakota, the governor, and his beautiful wife, Catherine. | ||
| And he got out of the race. | ||
| What people don't know is that he actually supported me on the other side twice already, right? | ||
| Then he decided to do it. | ||
| And he was outstanding, but The traction is never easy, right? | ||
| You need controversy for traction sometimes. | ||
| And this guy is the most solid guy. | ||
| There's no controversy whatsoever. | ||
| And he's one of the best governors in our country. | ||
| And I hope that I'm going to be able to call on him to be a piece of the administration, a very important piece of the administration. | ||
| And also, just to conclude with this, the entire Trump team, and that includes my two boys who are really here all the time, whenever we needed them. | ||
| Whenever we needed them. | ||
| They are great. | ||
| Eric and Don. | ||
| And look at all these people. | ||
| Oh, Susie, I have to say. | ||
| And Chris. | ||
| Chris. | ||
| And they want no accolades. | ||
| They just want a victory, and they want to make America great again. | ||
| That's all they want, actually. | ||
| They don't want to be speaking. | ||
| They don't want to have pictures. | ||
| They just want to do their job, right? | ||
| I want to thank you very much, Jason, everybody. | ||
| You're really fantastic. | ||
| What a job you've done. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| So we're going to come together. | ||
| We're going to drill baby drill right away. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Drill baby drill. | |
| We're going to seal up the border. | ||
| Because right now we have an invasion. | ||
| We have an invasion of millions and millions of people that are coming into our country. | ||
| I can't imagine why they think that's a good thing. | ||
| It's a very bad thing. | ||
| I think it's a group of people that are probably larger in number than New York State. | ||
| And we can't have that. | ||
| We can't have that. | ||
| It's not sustainable as a country. | ||
| It's horrible. | ||
| And you know they're coming from prisons and jails. | ||
| They're coming from all over. | ||
| They're coming from countries that most people have never heard of. | ||
| And they're coming from mental institutions and insane asylums. | ||
| They're being emptied out into our country. | ||
| And they're terrorists. | ||
| Many terrorists are coming in. | ||
| You know, in 2019, I saw just recently on a poll, they had none in 2019. | ||
| No terrorists. | ||
| Now, I even say there's got to be some, but they have none. | ||
| And then as soon as this group took over, They have hundreds and hundreds of terrorists coming in, known terrorists, some of them really bad. | ||
| And many of them are in, and they came in, and nobody knows where they are. | ||
| This is not a good thing. | ||
| And we're going to have to deport. | ||
| We're going to have to have a deportation level that we haven't seen in this country for a long time, since Dwight Eisenhower, actually. | ||
| So I don't want to be overly rough on the President. | ||
| But I have to say that he is the worst president that we've had in the history of our country. | ||
| He's destroying our country. | ||
| You know, my wife attended the funeral two months ago of Rosalind Carter, and it was beautiful. | ||
| And Jimmy Carter was there and I thought to myself, Jimmy Carter is happy now because he will go down as being a brilliant president by comparison to Joe Biden. | ||
| He'll be a brilliant president. | ||
| He's going to be known as brilliant by comparison. | ||
| So we have to stop the invasion. | ||
| We have to bring down our energy. | ||
| We have to say, you know, we have, I say all the time, we have more liquid gold under our feet than any other nation anywhere in the world. | ||
| And we have to stop the crime and we have to help rebuild our cities and we have to rebuild the capital, Washington DC. | ||
| I was there. | ||
| On one of the Biden indictment trials, you know, this is the only person, this never happened before, but I go to a lot of courthouses because of Biden, because they're using that for election interference. | ||
| And it's on things like election, and I don't know if you know, but they did polls tonight on the election of 2020. | ||
| Do you believe it was Honest or not, 82% said it was not. | ||
| And we can't have that, Chairman. | ||
| We can't have that. | ||
| You can't have a situation like that. | ||
| So, we're going to straighten out our elections. | ||
| We're going to do a lot of great things. | ||
| We're going to try and go to paper ballots as soon as possible. | ||
| Voter ID. | ||
| One day. | ||
|
unidentified
|
One day. | |
| You know, we have these elections that last for 62 days, and if you need some more time, take as much time as you want, and so many bad things happen. | ||
| We have to get rid of mail-in ballots, because once you have mail-in ballots, you have crooked elections. | ||
| Actually, Jimmy Carter's commission said that a long time ago. | ||
| We're going to rescue our economy. | ||
| We're going to save our economy. | ||
| We had the greatest economy in the history of our country. | ||
| There was never a greater economy. | ||
| And now we don't. | ||
| And when you look at what's happened with inflation, inflation is destroying, you know, they call it a country killer. | ||
| Going back hundreds of years, Germany, countries that had big inflation are dead. | ||
| They become dead countries. | ||
| We have to stop that immediately. | ||
| And we want peace through strength. | ||
| Russia would have never attacked Ukraine. | ||
| Would have never done it. | ||
| Putin and I get along fine. | ||
| We get along very well. | ||
| That's a good thing, not a bad thing. | ||
| The fake news, which I would... If the fake news would become real and honest news, 90% of our problems in this country would be solved. | ||
| They would be solved. | ||
| So Russia would have never attacked. | ||
| Israel would have never been attacked. | ||
| The Ukraine situation is so horrible. | ||
| The Israeli situation is so horrible. | ||
| What's happened? | ||
| And we're going to get himself. | ||
| We're going to get himself very fast. | ||
| I actually said Ukraine. | ||
| I know. | ||
| President Putin very well. | ||
| I know Zelensky very well. | ||
| I'm going to get him in. | ||
| We're going to get it solved very quickly. | ||
| Should have never happened. | ||
| Would have never happened. | ||
| Now you have all that death. | ||
| Far greater than people understand. | ||
| The numbers are far, far greater than anybody would even think possible. | ||
| You're going to find that out in the years to come. | ||
| When they knock down these massive buildings in Ukraine and then you see they announced two people were slightly wounded. | ||
| No, no. | ||
| Many people were killed. | ||
| Many people were killed. | ||
| We're going to get it stopped. | ||
| But it's so sad because it should have never started. | ||
| People killed and a culture destroyed. | ||
| You can never replace thousand-year-old buildings with the most beautiful golden domes and churches and everything. | ||
| Just all rubble now. | ||
| And it's so sad. | ||
| Would have never ever happened. | ||
| And likewise, Israel would have never been attacked. | ||
| It all comes from Iran. | ||
| And we would have had a deal with Iran very quickly. | ||
| Had the election where we, by the way, got, and I say we because it's all we, we got more votes than any sitting president in the history of our country. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But we, they say we lost by a whisker, okay? | |
| But regardless, regardless of that, we're going to do incredible things and we're not going to let China do what they'd like to do. | ||
| I get along great with him also, President Xi. | ||
| He's a very strong leader. | ||
| And we're going to get things solved. | ||
| We're going to get the Ukraine war solved. | ||
| We're going to get the Israeli situation solved. | ||
| But if you think back to that, Iran was broke. | ||
| I said to every country, anybody who does business with Iran buys oil from Iran. | ||
| They were broke. | ||
| We're not going to let you do business in the United States. | ||
| And that's the way it is. | ||
| They did very little business, almost sold no oil. | ||
| Nobody wanted to do that. | ||
| That's a big penalty. | ||
| And what happened is they had no money to give to Hamas and to give to Hezbollah. | ||
| And, in fact, there were a lot of stories at the time. | ||
| They had no money for terror. | ||
| And for four years, we had no terror. | ||
| We had the terror ban. | ||
| We had the terror ban. | ||
| They call it the Trump travel ban, but it was really the Trump terror ban. | ||
| We had no, we don't want people in our country that are going to blow up our shopping centers. | ||
| Thank you very much. | ||
| And we want a country of law and order. | ||
| So we're going to rebuild the capital of our country, Washington, D.C. | ||
| We're going to scrub those beautiful marble columns and get the swastikas off them. | ||
| And we're going to scrub them and get the graffiti off them. | ||
| And we're going to clean the streets and we're going to rebuild the streets. | ||
| And we're not going to have rusted medians through the middle that are falling down into the roads where foreign dignitaries from all over the world come and they look. | ||
| And we're not going to be riding on top of garbage like I did just a month ago, riding on top of garbage. | ||
| We're going to rebuild our beautiful Washington, D.C., and we're going to take control of it, and we're going to make unbelievably harsh penalties for people that go around shooting. | ||
| Last week they shot three people. | ||
| And every night, something happens. | ||
| It's so sad. | ||
| And likewise, we're going to rebuild our cities, and we'll work with the Democrats to do it. | ||
| I'd be glad to work with the people in New York. | ||
| We're going to work with the people in Chicago and L.A. | ||
| We're going to rebuild our cities, and we're going to make them safe. | ||
| And we're going to give our police officers immunity, so every time they do something, they don't get sued and stopped. | ||
| We're going to end crime in our cities. | ||
| In Iowa, you don't know what that means. | ||
| But I'll tell you, this is a different place. | ||
| You don't know about crime. | ||
| You don't know about getting mugged and getting whacked and getting thrown into subways. | ||
| And we're going to stop it. | ||
| And we're going to come down very hard on criminals, and we're going to stop crime in America. | ||
| So I want to just finish by saying that this has been an incredible experience. | ||
| The people have been — this is the third time we've won. | ||
| But this is the biggest one. | ||
| They said, well, if you win by 12 percent, that's a big win. | ||
| That's going to be very hard to do. | ||
| Well, I think we've more than doubled that, I guess. | ||
| Tripled it, maybe. | ||
| They said, you'll never get over 50. | ||
| And I just left and we're at 54 now. | ||
| I don't know what's going to happen with it. | ||
| But they said, you can't do that, sir. | ||
| I said, what's about the highest? | ||
| Well, you could get into the 40s, maybe 40, 41. | ||
| And then I looked up and, you know, it was very interesting. | ||
| I didn't know they called it early. | ||
| I thought that they called it at about 10 o'clock, my impression. | ||
| See this gentleman? | ||
| We built... He's dressed like a wall. | ||
| I love this guy. | ||
| He goes to... He's been at 150 rallies probably, right? | ||
| He has the most beautiful outfit I've ever seen. | ||
| It's all beautiful brick. | ||
| Will you come up here? | ||
| Just come up here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Come on. | |
| It's so nice to see. | ||
| Come on up here. | ||
| He's emblematic of what we did. | ||
| We built over 500 miles of wall. | ||
| We were going to add another 200 miles. | ||
| It's much more than we promised. | ||
| And we had the safest border in the history of our country. | ||
| Now we have the worst border in the history of the world. | ||
| Look at this man. | ||
| Congratulations. | ||
| Nice to see you. | ||
| You take care of yourself. | ||
| I love that outfit. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I love him. | |
| That's great. | ||
| We love it. | ||
| That's a hot-selling jacket, by the way. | ||
| But that represents what we did. | ||
| No, we built a tremendous – that's the reason. | ||
| And we got Mexico to give us 28,000 soldiers free. | ||
| And we had Remain in Mexico, and we had Catch and Release in Mexico. | ||
| And we did a job. | ||
| We had the safest border in our history. | ||
| We had the greatest economy in our history. | ||
| We had a great – we were a great nation three years ago, and now we're a nation in decline. | ||
| We are going to turn it around so fast. | ||
| It's going to happen so fast. | ||
| We're going to drill. | ||
| We're going to make great. | ||
| We have great wealth. | ||
| We're going to drill. | ||
| We're going to use that money to lower your taxes even further. | ||
| We gave you the biggest tax cut in history, and we're going to lower them further, and we're also going to pay off national debt. | ||
| It's about time. | ||
| It's about time. | ||
| So it's now off to New Hampshire, a great place. | ||
| We won it last time. | ||
| And we won it both times. | ||
| And we love it. | ||
| The people are great. | ||
| But you know, the truth is, the people in our country are great. | ||
| They're all great. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We love Iowa, but they're all great. | |
| They only want to see one thing. | ||
| They want our country to come back. | ||
| They're embarrassed by what's going on. | ||
| Our country is laughed at. | ||
| All over the world, they're laughing at us. | ||
| And they want our country to come back. | ||
| They want America, you know, they want us to be great again. | ||
| It's very simple. | ||
|
unidentified
|
MAGA, make America great again. | |
| And America first. | ||
|
unidentified
|
America first is a very important part of America. | |
| America first! | ||
| So we're going to put America first. | ||
| We're going to make America great again. | ||
| Again, Iowa, we love you. | ||
| You are good. | ||
| Oh, you just go out and buy larger tractors and more land. | ||
| Don't worry about it. | ||
| And to all of the people standing behind me and all of the people in this room and so many great politicians and great dignitaries and friends, I just want to thank you all. | ||
| This is a very special night. | ||
| And this is the first because the big night is going to be in November when we take back our country. | ||
| And truly, we do make our country great again. | ||
| Thank you very much, everybody. | ||
| Great honor. | ||
| Thank you very much. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you, David. | |
| Thank you. | ||
| Wow. | ||
| Don't you have it. | ||
| Do you have it? | ||
| Me, don't me. | ||
| I am the man. | ||
| When the day comes. | ||
| And you look down. | ||
| And I'm in the bubble. | ||
| And I'm back to the ground. | ||
| And there it is. | ||
| "The big speech from Trump, I wonder if we'll get a speech from Vivek and DeSantis. | ||
| I guess we'll have to wait and see. | ||
| Well that's Trump. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Sounds honestly just like a stump speech. | |
| Not a ton of surprises there. | ||
| Let's see if we get from Associated Press a DeSantis. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We'll stay tuned a little bit. | |
| Let's check in on our results. | ||
| We'll see. | ||
| 94% in and it looks like this is gonna be the result. | ||
| Trump won DeSantis 2, Haley 3, and Vivek 4. | ||
| I mean, I guess that's the result, right? | ||
| And it appears that Trump has won every single county. | ||
| Yeah, and a DeSantis second place, excuse me, second place finish. | ||
| So let's see now. | ||
| The only thing that I'm waiting for is if there will be a statement from DeSantis tonight. | ||
| I'd imagine there will be probably soon. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And same thing with Haley and Vivec. | |
| So I'll probably stay up a little bit longer. | ||
| We'll see if we get anything like that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go. | |
| Republican nomination. | ||
| No! | ||
| Wow! | ||
| Again, we're being told that Vivek Ramaswamy is about to speak and in that speech he's set to drop out of the race for president. | ||
| He had a very tough showing tonight in the state of Iowa right now. | ||
| So he's done. | ||
| On the board as we look, Vivek, I think single digits was the last we saw with more than 90% reporting in. | ||
| Vivek Nice. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here we go. | |
| They get 7.7% right there, barely scratching 8% as the vote still continues to come in. | ||
| The other big story, the battle for second place, still too close to call by NBC News' projections. | ||
| But Dasha Burns has some news from the DeSantis campaign headquarters in Iowa. | ||
| The big question, Dasha, we've been talking about here, what does DeSantis do? | ||
| Does he stay in this race or does he drop out? | ||
| I know you have some new reporting. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, let me tell you, Tom, right now it looks like they're gearing up to have the governor speak shortly. | |
| They are introducing conservative radio host Steve Dace right now who's been one of his biggest surrogates and endorsers here and I'm just gonna modulate my volume here from Gossip Girl voice to raising it loud as we hear the crowd here tonight. | ||
| Listen, this is a vibe here tonight that is really reflecting the sort of Underdog mentality that he has taken on in the final weeks here as he has gone from the guy that said he was going to win the state to the guy that's now fighting for second place. | ||
| They've been raging against the media. | ||
| You can hear the boos here right now. | ||
| The crowd really riled up over that projection that Donald Trump won the race earlier in the night. | ||
| And now his team is putting out a statement telling me that they, quote, threw everything at Ron DeSantis. | ||
| They couldn't kill him. | ||
| He is not only still standing, but he's now earned his ticket out of Iowa. | ||
| This is going to be a long battle ahead, but this is what this campaign is built for. | ||
| The stakes are too high for this nation. | ||
| We will never back down. | ||
| So indicating to everyone that has those questions, that's been asking whether or not this might be the end of the road for Florida government. | ||
| So they're staying in the race. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Excuse us, Dr. Ramaswamy. | |
| Ramaswamy right now, who's speaking in Iowa. | ||
| We expect him to drop out. | ||
| Let's listen in. | ||
| All of you volunteers, you have lifted us up from, what, February of last year when we got into this. | ||
| Nobody knew who we were, nobody knew what we were up to, and together we have created a movement that I think is going to carry our nation to the next level. | ||
| And for that, all of the patriots across this state, across this country, everybody watching on the livestream, we are so grateful to you, and I promise you this, we are just getting started in leading this movement to our future, okay? | ||
| Now, this is a campaign founded on speaking the truth. | ||
| Not just when it's easy, but when it's hard. | ||
| Not just to the Democrats, but to our own side. | ||
| And not just to other campaigns and candidacies, but to ours. | ||
| And so I will stick to the truth tonight. | ||
| The first hard truth, and this one's hard for me, I gotta admit this. | ||
| But we've looked at it every which way, and I think it is true that we did not achieve the surprise that we wanted to deliver tonight. | ||
| And I think that that's just a hard fact that we're going to have to accept as a campaign. | ||
| And the question then is, what do we do that is right for our country? | ||
| And so Corbin and I, as we just heard Vivek Ramaswamy dropping out, we have another election alert that's happened in real time. | ||
| We have a major projection from our decision desk, the other big headline tonight out of Iowa. | ||
| Dude. | ||
| NBC News can now project that Governor Ron DeSantis, Florida's governor, will come in second. | ||
| We knew that! | ||
| Okay, come on. | ||
|
unidentified
|
How many are back there? | |
| What?! | ||
| One, two, three, is there one right there? | ||
| Four. | ||
| A charter for every seat. | ||
| That's crazy. | ||
| Dude, come on! | ||
| Where's Vivek? | ||
| Shut up. | ||
| Where's Vivek? | ||
| Here we go. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Garbled audio. | |
| and America first candidate in that White House. | ||
| As I've said since the beginning, - Garbled audio. | ||
| - America first candidates in this race. | ||
| And earlier tonight I called Donald Trump to tell him that I congratulate him on his victory. | ||
| And now going forward, he will have my full endorsement. | ||
| - Let's go. - For the presidency. | ||
| And I think we're gonna do the right thing for this country. | ||
| And so I'm gonna ask- Follow me in taking our America First movement to the next level. | ||
| It did not begin in 2016, it began in 1776. | ||
| And for the next journey of this race, we are going to make sure that our movement is actually the one that actually leaves and saves this country in the next step. | ||
| And as for this movement, founded on truth, America First 2.0, we're just getting started. | ||
| That doesn't end today. | ||
| That begins today, actually. | ||
| So we're just getting warmed up. | ||
| Sounds like it's over. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're not going anywhere. | |
| We are in this for the future of our country. | ||
| We've lived the phase of our life. | ||
| This country has allowed us to live an American dream that my parents, who were here with us earlier helping take care of our little boys, they never imagined when they came to this country 40 years ago. | ||
| And now we have lived an American dream that we want to pass on to these kids and their generation. | ||
| And so the phase of our life where we were getting ahead for ourselves, making a good life for our family, this country has already given us that. | ||
| This next chapter of our life and the next chapter of our journey in the next few years and even the rest of this year is about giving back to this country to create a country that we all do our part. | ||
| I've been asking that of you at every stage. | ||
| I think we get the gist. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Governor Kim Reynolds, we're going to wait to see when Governor DeSantis takes the stage. | |
| We have another bit of campaign news. | ||
| Vivek Ramaswamy, after dropping out, has immediately endorsed former President Trump, that's what I'm being told right now, in that campaign speech as well. | ||
| I want to get over to Ali Battali, she's with the Haley campaign right now. | ||
| Set us straight here, I mean, you know, what was the expectations game for the Haley campaign? | ||
| Was it a solid second or was it survive Iowa, let's get right to New Hampshire. | ||
| They left it vague I think on purpose, Tom, in large part because they really said that they felt that second obviously would have been the preference, but that third would have just reinforced the status quo as to what people would have assumed already in a state like Iowa. | ||
| The thing I imagine that we're going to hear from the Haley team in the coming 24 hours is that Ron DeSantis is someone who came in through all of his resources at Iowa, had an immense ground game, got all the right endorsements, and still only notched 21 or 22 percentage points, and Donald Trump was able to get, at least as of right now, over that Here we go. | ||
| Dude, he looks weird. | ||
| Why does his mouth look weird? | ||
| Governor DeSantis, the projected second place winner of the Iowa caucuses. | ||
| Dude, he looks weird. | ||
| Why does his mouth look weird? | ||
| They threw everything but the kitchen sink at us. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Run! Run! Run! Run! Run! Run! Run! | |
| This is so French. | ||
| We love you, too. | ||
| They threw everything but the kitchen sink at us. | ||
| They spent almost $50 million attacking us. | ||
| No one's faced that much all the way just through Iowa. | ||
| The media was against us. | ||
| They were writing our obituary months ago. | ||
| They even called the election before people even got a chance to vote! | ||
|
unidentified
|
Seriously? | |
| But they were just so excited about the fact that they were predicting that we wouldn't be able to get our ticket punched here out of Iowa. | ||
| But I can tell you, because of your support, in spite of all of that that they threw at us, everyone against us, we've got our ticket punched out of Iowa! | ||
| What does that even mean? | ||
| What I learned by going around Iowa is that this country has a basic decency. | ||
| We've got hardworking people, God-fearing people, patriotic people. | ||
| You just don't see it every day because of all the nonsense that gets spewed out there by the media, by social media, all this other stuff. | ||
| People want to have hope for this country's future, and that's what we represent. | ||
| We represent a chance to reverse the madness that we've seen in this country, to reverse the decline of this country, and to give this country a new birth of freedom and a restoration of sanity. | ||
| That's what we are going to do. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We've just been listening to Governor Ron DeSantis speak in Iowa at his watch party there. | |
| Dude! | ||
|
unidentified
|
NBC News projecting that he's taken second place in the Iowa caucuses. | |
| It was a tight race for second. | ||
| We can also project and characterize the race as a landslide victory for Donald Trump with 91% of the vote in. | ||
| Landslide. | ||
| Heil Trump, dude. | ||
| Landslide. | ||
| Fire of Liberty. | ||
| Don't run away from this responsibility. | ||
| We welcome this responsibility. | ||
|
unidentified
|
280 viewers. | |
| Real campaign, by the way. | ||
| We thank you for your effort. | ||
| We thank you for your support. | ||
| You helped us get a ticket punched out of the Hawkeye Stadium. | ||
| Stop saying that! | ||
| We have a lot of work to do, but I can tell you this, as the next President of the United States, I am going to get the job done for this country. | ||
| I am not going to make any excuses, and I guarantee you this, I will not let you down Thank you all! | ||
| God bless you! | ||
| Thank you so much! | ||
| Appreciate ya! | ||
| Let's bring out the first lady. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, bro. | |
| The aesthetics are awful. - Well, Country song. | ||
| Country song and a guy in a vest like that. | ||
| Oh brother. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So cringe. | |
| Alright, how about Haley now? | ||
| Are we gonna get a Haley statement? | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're gonna get another advertisement. | |
| He is so cringe. | ||
| That whole... Honestly, though, his fans are even cringier. | ||
| At least Ron DeSantis is just like a big dork, but his... People that actually like that? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Unimaginable cringe. | |
| Never back down! | ||
| A new birth of freedom, man! | ||
| New birth of freedom? | ||
| How about a new birth of Hitler? | ||
| No, I'm kidding. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's a cheap, stupid, low-hanging fruit joke. | |
| Low effort. | ||
| Come on. | ||
| Podcasts from Dateline. | ||
| All episodes available free. | ||
| What is this? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Kristen Welker. | |
| This can be Nikki Haley, bro. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Every Sunday on NBC. | |
| So, but that's dumb. | ||
| That's crazy. | ||
| Dumb! | ||
| Landslide! | ||
| Dude, bury that! | ||
| That breaking news, Donald Trump is projected to win Iowa by a landslide. | ||
| Dubbed. Landslide. Landslide. Landslide. Landslide. | ||
| Dude, bury that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Bury that dork. - He's been told he's gonna have That's sick. | |
| Why is he making that face? | ||
| He looks like an alligator. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nikki Haley right now poised to take third place. | |
| We're waiting for her to speak at any moment. | ||
| We just heard Governor Ron DeSantis. | ||
| Joining me now on set is tonight's panel. | ||
| Eliana Johnson, she's the editor-in-chief of the Washington Free Beacon. | ||
| Matt Gorman is a former senior advisor to this 10-stock campaign. | ||
| Why is he making that face? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Looks like an alligator. | |
| Hogan Gifley is the former White House deputy press secretary for the Trump administration. | ||
| Put your phone away. | ||
| You're on TV, dude. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Governor DeSantis said he's got his ticket to ride to New Hampshire, second place. | |
| Why did he keep saying, I know what punch a ticket means, but that's not how air travel works anymore. | ||
|
unidentified
|
are. | |
| We spent 200 million dollars to come in barely in second place, so now we get to punch our ticket to get out of here? | ||
| Like what? | ||
| You fucking lost, objectively. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I got 20. | |
| Now punch my ticket! | ||
| Like what? | ||
| You barely came in second. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Bro said punch my ticket. | |
| And he said it like five times. | ||
| They just love coming up with corny garbage like that. | ||
| All these campaigns are like that. | ||
| When they say, and remember, it hurts a heck of a lot harder when you kick it in heels. | ||
| What did she say? | ||
|
unidentified
|
She said some really stupid shit like that in her announcement speech. | |
| I kick back and it hurts a lot harder when it's in heels. | ||
| It's a great day in South Carolina. | ||
| It's like, shut up. | ||
| Everything they do is so cringe. | ||
| American politics minus Trump is so cringe. | ||
| Trump gets up there and he's like, they're terrorists, they're emptying insane asylums into literally just like, just fear-mongering anti-immigrant rhetoric. | ||
| Trump gets up there and says, they're criminals, they're insane lunatics, they're terrorists. | ||
| When I was president, they weren't terrorists, but under these people, they're all terrorists. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Literally, just like, we're gonna deport more people than ever. | |
| And then, like, DeSantis gets up there and he's like, I think it's safe to say they plunged our ticket out of Iowa. | ||
| Like, shut up. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Dork. | |
| It's awesome. | ||
| Trump gets up there and says, yeah, my mother-in-law died. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I guess my father-in-law's a lonely man now, but he's great. | |
| What kind of thing is that to say? | ||
| Someone you know's wife dies and guess he's a lonely man now. | ||
| He's lonely. | ||
| Trump just says the most out-of-pocket, just raw. | ||
| He's just real. | ||
| And then these people get up and they say, Donald Trump's campaigning on his issues. | ||
| Nikki Haley, campaigning on her donor's issues. | ||
| I'm campaigning on your issues. | ||
| And Trump's like, they're terrorists! | ||
| They're rapists! | ||
| I'll deport every last one of them! | ||
|
unidentified
|
Alright, come on now. | |
| Where's she at, though? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's a sharpness to be thrown, for sure. | |
| You know, Chuck, as we look at some of the data, and this comes from the decision desk, late deciders were good to DeSantis. | ||
| Yep. | ||
| Does he take second place? | ||
| I mean, it's a far second place. | ||
| Does that give him any momentum as he heads into New Hampshire? | ||
| I mean, it's tough because it's almost a firewall there for him. | ||
| I think it's tough. | ||
| And, by the way, you know, in that same... | ||
| If you were Trump in the primary, by the way, that means by February 1, months ago... | ||
| He had 70% of Iowa voters said they made up their mind months ago. | ||
| But, you know, here's an awkward problem for DeSantis. | ||
| He's going to finish second, but the only person who may carry a county is actually Haley right now. | ||
| Right now, just so you know, just there's 99 counties. | ||
| And if you follow Iowa, you famously know that. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Haley, you just mentioned her. | |
| She's about to speak. | ||
| Although let's listen. | ||
|
unidentified
|
She's looking extra brown right now. | |
| You can't do it unless you have a faith. | ||
| And God is so good. | ||
| And I want to say to my husband, who is deployed, who I know may or may not be watching this right now. | ||
| Michael, I love you. | ||
| And what keeps me going is I know we sleep under the same stars. | ||
| So I want to say to Rena and Josh and Naylan, I am so proud of you. | ||
| The best job I will always have is being your mom. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| I want to thank my parents who are at home every day. | ||
| They reminded us how blessed we were to live in America. | ||
| I want to thank my sweet brother who came out here and was caucusing for me. | ||
| A good Desert Storm veteran. | ||
| And I want to thank my other siblings there. | ||
| I want to thank Michael's parents, Bill and Carol Haley, who've been fantastic along the way as well. | ||
| You can't do this without the strength of your family. | ||
| I want to congratulate President Trump on his win tonight. | ||
| We have had an amazing 11 months here in the Hawkeye State. | ||
| I came to Iowa early and often, and I kept coming back. | ||
| Shut up. | ||
| Even though the cold weather is brutal. | ||
| But the kindness of Iowans will never be lost on me. | ||
| You're faithful, patriotic, and hard-working Americans. | ||
| And I will forever be grateful for the time that we had. | ||
| At one point in this campaign, there were 14 of us running. | ||
| I was at 2% in the polls. | ||
| But tonight, Iowa did what Iowa always does so well. | ||
| The pundits will analyze the results from every angle. | ||
| We get that. | ||
| But when you look at how we're doing in New Hampshire, in South Carolina, and beyond. | ||
| We've been listening to Nikki Haley at her watch party in Iowa tonight, after... | ||
| Ali Battaglia is at that same event and I want to check in with her. | ||
| She's been covering the campaign for us here at NBC. | ||
| Bro, stop interrupting! | ||
| This is insane. | ||
| Who's making that decision to do this? | ||
| And she's not even streaming her own thing? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, you know what? | |
| This is crazy. | ||
| This is crazy. | ||
| Crazy evening. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm very pleased. | |
| Thank you, my family. | ||
| Do you want more of the same? | ||
| Or do you want a new generation of conservatives? | ||
| I've spoken a lot of hard truths to America, and here's another one. | ||
| I voted for Donald Trump twice. | ||
| I was proud to serve in his administration. | ||
| But when I say more of the same, you know what I'm talking about. | ||
| It's both Donald Trump and Joe Biden. | ||
| Oh my gosh. | ||
|
unidentified
|
They have more in common than you think. | |
| 70% of Americans don't want another Trump-Biden rematch. | ||
| A majority disprove of both of them. | ||
| Trump and Biden are both about 80 years old. | ||
| Trump and Biden both put our country trillions of dollars deeper in debt and our kids will never forgive them for it. | ||
| Trump and Biden both lack a vision for our country's future because both are consumed by the past, by investigations, by vendettas, by grievances. | ||
| America deserves better. | ||
| Oh, my God. | ||
| This is horrible. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We deserve a new direction under new conservative leadership. - Thank you. | |
| We deserve a president who will focus on the needs of our people, not on themselves. | ||
| All right. | ||
| A president who will rebuild our economy, close our border, and stand up to our enemies. | ||
| Most importantly, we deserve a president who will stop our self-loathing, end division and fear, and make America strong and proud. | ||
| Our campaign is the last best hope of stopping the Trump Biden nightmare. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| But it's more than that. | ||
| Republicans have lost the popular vote in seven of the last eight presidential elections. | ||
| That's nothing to be proud on. | ||
| We should want to earn the support of a majority of Americans. | ||
| All the evidence says that if it's a Trump-Biden rematch, it's going to be another toss-up election. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| It could go either way. | ||
| We could have more disputes over election interference. | ||
| And Joe Biden could win again. | ||
| With Kamala Harris waiting in the wings. | ||
| Lord help us if that happens. | ||
| And then look at what happens when I go head to head against Biden. | ||
| Oh. | ||
| Take a step. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We win in a landslide. | |
| In a landslide, it's not even close. | ||
| We win in a landslide. | ||
| That means no recounts, no lawsuits, and no doubts! | ||
| It means no more Chuck Schumer leading the Senate! | ||
| Okay, so... That's done. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We're not watching that anymore. | |
| Let's go back to this a little bit, then I'll give some closing. | ||
| Oh, we gotta do Super Chats, too. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, remember, 13 points is the number that he was potentially looking for if he wanted to make history here. | |
| And obviously with the caution that none of this stuff is final just yet as far as the numbers. | ||
| Listen, we haven't seen this. | ||
| Alright, shut up. | ||
| Okay, alright. | ||
| Well, so the conclusion is this. | ||
| Donald Trump wins in a landslide. | ||
| DeSantis gets second and he's not dropping out. | ||
| Haley gets third. | ||
| She's not dropping out. | ||
| Vivek gets fourth and drops out and endorses Trump! | ||
| And so now in, I think it's a week from tomorrow, is New Hampshire. | ||
| Let me just double check my notes. | ||
| Yes. | ||
| Yes, so a week from tomorrow, next Tuesday, we're doing it all over again, okay? | ||
| Let me just check the information so that we know when to start covering this Let's take a look I just want to see what time it starts. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, get it get this out of my face right now Can I just tell me the time I Let's look up like polls closed. | |
| So next Tuesday, we're doing this all over again. | ||
| I'm trying to figure out the time though. | ||
| You know what? | ||
| Whatever. | ||
| I'll figure it out later. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I guess. | |
| Or here it is, I guess. | ||
| New Hampshire Guess it there is no set time when it closes. | ||
| Ah I'll post next week, but next week we'll be doing this all over again. | ||
| We'll be watching the live results of the New Hampshire primary. | ||
| That's next Tuesday night. | ||
| I'll probably get started a little bit later next week because I imagine the polls are closing later. | ||
| The results will take longer. | ||
| So I'm not going to give you a time just yet, but early evening next Tuesday, we're doing it again, New Hampshire primary. | ||
| Results from this one though, it's actually good for Trump. | ||
| One, he won in a landslide, which is important even if perfunctory. | ||
| And two, with DeSantis and Haley remaining in the race, they are again going to split the non-Trump Vote. | ||
| Like I've been saying, it all comes down to whether or not DeSantis had a strong enough performance to continue on, which he clearly did. | ||
| And so let's pull up the poll for New Hampshire. | ||
|
unidentified
|
If I can grab that. | |
| So, with DeSantis remaining in the race, him and Haley will be vying for that 11% from Christie. | ||
| Trump will add the 5% from Ramaswamy, and it looks like the result may look similar to Iowa, where Trump will get half, and then it would seem that Haley will finish second and DeSantis third in New Hampshire. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Looks to be the most likely outcome. | |
| And then Trump will destroy in Nevada, and then it looks like he'll even win in South Carolina, Nikki Haley's home state, because she's actually doing worse in South Carolina than she's doing in New Hampshire, although there hasn't been a ton of polling in South Carolina. | ||
| So that's the state of the race. | ||
| With DeSantis and Haley remaining, they're splitting that vote, and the more Primaries that they go into splitting the vote like that, the more difficult it will become for either of them to achieve any kind of lift off before Super Tuesday. | ||
| Super Tuesday is coming on March 5th. | ||
| So it's New Hampshire next Tuesday, Nevada is Thursday, February 8th, South Carolina is Saturday, February 24th, And then Super Tuesday is March 5th. | ||
| Tuesday, March 5th. | ||
| So... Presumably, DeSantis will remain, at least until next time. | ||
| They both know Nevada's awash. | ||
| And if DeSantis hangs on until South Carolina, I don't think either of them break out. | ||
| And if neither of them break out, then they get slaughtered on Super Tuesday, and then I think they both end their campaigns. | ||
| I think then it's done. | ||
| I don't think any... I think either of them Neither of them will have a shot at that point, as long as things continue going the way they are. | ||
| So, big night for Trump! | ||
| Huge congratulations to the big man. | ||
| We ride, we serve. | ||
| He's our leader, our hero. | ||
| So, congrats to Trump. | ||
| Shame about Vivek, but you know, I thought that he was a necessary and a good part of the race. | ||
| I said it last night, I never thought that he would win, and I never considered voting for him. | ||
| But he was contributing something to the conversation, and to me the main thing was preventing Republicans from backsliding just back to the regular status quo. | ||
| Without him on that stage, it would just be an establishment battle royale from the beginning, but he was the one guy on that stage Who was reminding the GOP that even after Trump, there's still going to be Trumpism. | ||
| There's still going to be America First. | ||
| There's still going to be opponents to the establishment. | ||
| So, I like that. | ||
| He fought a good fight. | ||
| Ultimately, though, he was wrong. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You know, he ditched the TV advertising and internet strategy didn't work. | |
| There was no surprise for him, which is a shame. | ||
| But his support is better It's better suited going towards Trump rather than whatever he was trying to do. | ||
| That whole idea that you vote for Vivek to save Trump, it made no sense. | ||
| I understand the appeal for like Q boomers who think that Trump still is president or something, but that was obviously very tenuous. | ||
| So that's our Iowa Caucus 2024. | ||
| I'm gonna read through these superchats and then I'm gonna sign off. | ||
| And before I do, remember to follow me here on Rumble. | ||
| I'll be back tomorrow doing a regular show around 10 o'clock Central Time. | ||
| So if you're new to my channel, follow me. | ||
| I do a show Monday through Friday and I'll be back tomorrow evening. | ||
| And I sometimes do daytime streams as well. | ||
| So I may be back a couple days this week to just hang out. | ||
| I'll finish off these Super Chats and then I'll get out of here. | ||
| Pretty fun night. | ||
| I had a good time with all of you. | ||
| Although, admittedly, the election coverage is not my favorite. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Kind of boring. | |
| But that's okay. | ||
| F. R. R. U. sent $5. | ||
| The Vatican slash America question is dumb. | ||
| I value R. L. I.G. on number one, but that doesn't mean I'm not America first. | ||
| Vatican is in a military state with a powerful lobby influencing American foreign policy. | ||
| Not a gotcha moment at all. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, good point. | |
| Very funny. | ||
| Let's hope you bring back Pirate Dan Crenshaw. | ||
| Very funny, well done. | ||
| Little callback. | ||
| Good morning. | ||
| Thank you! | ||
| and reoccurring characters that you bring on the show. | ||
| It would really take your bits to the next level. | ||
| Let's hope you bring back Pirate Dan Crenshaw. | ||
| Very funny. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well done. | |
| Little callback. | ||
| Kola Groeper sent $5. | ||
| Good morning. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Good morning. | |
| Kaiser Rev sent $5. | ||
| New lobby looks amazing. | ||
| Trump 2024. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Hashtag McGa. | ||
| Yes, glad you like it. | ||
| Saint Sugar the Conspiracy Cat official fan club sent $3. | ||
| Give this $3 to your video editor to buy a coffee. | ||
| His Trump Synthwave music private intros are bangers, specifically the MAGA one with the saxophone at the end close eyes and dancing in my office. | ||
|
unidentified
|
He didn't make that, that's a YouTube video. | |
| Richard Percival sent $15, you explaining the difference in how Trump talks versus these hacks reminds me of that yay song, I'm on TV talking like it's just you and me. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't think that's really relevant. | |
| Because that lyric means that he's oversharing on television. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It doesn't mean that he's talking like a real person. | |
| Cusimono sent $100. | ||
| I missed your debate recap. | ||
| My favorite part is when you told the Kabbalist that he would burst into flames if he went to the Vatican to find his hidden Jew gold. | ||
| Hail Trump. | ||
| Love you King. | ||
| Yeah, that was the funny part. | ||
| Thank you very much for the big super chat, I appreciate it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You can watch the replay though, so that's great. | |
| That's funny. | ||
| Chad Champion sent $3, and if you want to help Nikki Haley get elected and give her a big hug, go ahead and give her a big hug. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's funny. | |
| Yeah, I remember that. | ||
| Gapcon Instagram sent $5, just started my series on YouTube where I'm exposing the Luciferian elements of the Kabbalah. | ||
| It blew up but Jews have flooded the comments, Gaur you don't have the wisdom to interpret our esoteric text. | ||
| Okay, pedo faggot, Talmud Sanhedrin 54b. | ||
| Based. | ||
| Spanish Grow I% $3, 07 Adolf Long live the separatist alliance. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Beep. | |
| Lilasher sent $20, I doubt Trump has another election. | ||
| His endorsements can still be useful in elections. | ||
| Also, there's a new round table being formed by Elon and Tucker, bringing in Vivek, Tate, Candace Owens. | ||
| If we keep having good optics, our message will get a seat at that table. | ||
| With X, either it becomes successful, or the ADL bankrupts. - You're totally naive to think it works that way. | ||
| Clearly you're not paying attention. | ||
| I mean, look, that's a possibility, but I don't... | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't think that's very likely. | |
| It's clear that Elon has made a deal and that's not necessarily a pejorative thing to say but there is some working relationship with him and the Zionists and the ADL and so the idea that we're gonna slip in there and represent the Nazi seat at the table is just ridiculous. | ||
| Candace Owens Tucker and all them are very clearly part of something distinct And kosher and Elon has probably been a part of that for some time. | ||
| I don't think that's Some ad hoc working group. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I think that was maybe the design from the beginning if you really followed it from the start and Yeah, the last part's just obvious, but thanks No, don't even joke like that. | |
| $3.00. | ||
| The thing is hailgate was only bad cause the camera panned to a crowd full of fat chuds. | ||
| Imagine a hailgate at a pack full of Chad Zoomers. | ||
| That would be awesome. | ||
|
unidentified
|
No, don't even joke like that. | |
| It'd be cringe. | ||
| Aquarium. | ||
| Thanks a lot. | ||
| I never love the election coverage. | ||
| To me, it's a bit of a drag. | ||
| I prefer debates. | ||
| I prefer my show. | ||
| But thanks. | ||
| Thanks a lot. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know. | |
| I never love the election coverage. | ||
|
unidentified
|
To me, it's a bit of a drag. | |
| I prefer debates. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I prefer my show. | |
| But thanks. | ||
| Hispanic Anon sent $3. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Glad you liked it. | |
| 07. | ||
| 07! | ||
| Swag McFresh sent $10. | ||
| Hey Nick. | ||
| First time super chatter. | ||
| Huge respect for what you do. | ||
| My wife thinks you look great with your new haircut. | ||
| High charisma vibes. | ||
| By the way, not meant as disrespect, but any reason you don't use adblock on YouTube? | ||
| I had to disable it. | ||
|
unidentified
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It was causing the tab to slow down. | |
| Baxter88 sent $5. | ||
| President Trump is the greatest. | ||
| Thanks for covering. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thanks! | |
| No I don't think, I do not think Flynn has it on lock at all. | ||
| - Buddy. | ||
| Neon Raven sent $3. | ||
| Nick, who do you think Trump chooses as VP? | ||
| Flynn probably has defense secretary on lock. | ||
|
unidentified
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Appreciate you, legend. - No, I don't think, I do not think Flynn has it on lock at all. | |
| I think that'd be very controversial. | ||
| And I don't know who he's gonna pick for VP. | ||
| I actually have no idea because there aren't any really good options. | ||
| I mean, I would have thought Carrie Lake, but she's running for Senate in Arizona. | ||
| And I remember when, you know, we had people at Marjorie, they all thought she was going to be the pick. | ||
| I'm thinking, on what planet is a sophomore congresswoman who's more retarded than than anybody going to be the VP pick? | ||
| From Georgia? | ||
| I mean, she can even win a statewide office in Georgia, let alone Carry a national ticket. | ||
| I honestly have no idea. | ||
| Kirstie Nome was floated. | ||
| Carrie Lake, but you know, she's gonna be doing her own thing. | ||
|
unidentified
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So, I don't know. | |
| I really have no idea. | ||
| There aren't a lot of good options. | ||
| Iowa Catholics sent $10. | ||
| I got my vote in for King Trump tonight. | ||
| Lots of Trump support in the room from all age groups. | ||
| America first is inevitable. | ||
| I am ready for the 2036 caucus. | ||
| Oh slash NJF. | ||
|
unidentified
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Yes, that'll be fun. | |
| Albert Castro sent $8. | ||
| Who would you like to be the VP for Trump? | ||
|
unidentified
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Uh, I don't know, dude. | |
| I don't like anybody other than him. | ||
| Bugly Wugly sent $10. | ||
| Imagine your president and Nikki Haley as the presidential maid with that maid costume Spongebob had to wear when he was taking care of Squidward. | ||
|
unidentified
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Fuck off. | |
| Nuandervuegel sent $3. | ||
| Hi Nick, great show. | ||
| Though could you please stop doing the R-Tard bit? | ||
| My little brother has Down Syndrome and whenever you start acting R-Tarded he starts crying. | ||
|
unidentified
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Great joke. | |
| Natsuk Greekoid sent $5, why was Elijah reading my name funny? | ||
| Wstream W Jesus W Trump W Nick, can't wait for Tupac. | ||
| Rektable sent $5, great debate the other night. | ||
| My question, Gavin plugged censored TV, Jewboy plugged Info Wars, was there a stipulation or restriction placed on you and Vince to not plug cozy TV? | ||
| Seemed odd to not shout out your main platform. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, no. | |
| I just plugged my Rumble because we were on Rumble. | ||
| So if people are watching on Rumble, then they can look me up on Rumble. | ||
| Yeah, it's all a conspiracy, bro. | ||
| Pseudonym sent $14. | ||
| Jews raped kids in the synagogue town. | ||
| It was the debate. | ||
| People were throwing up Roman salutes and were and I said the Holocaust was a hoax. | ||
| But yeah, there was stipulation we couldn't plug Gozi. | ||
| So you can do a Roman salute, and you can say the Holocaust is fake, and you can debate Zionist and Jewish power, but you can't plug your website. | ||
| Like, what? | ||
| Did you think about that for two seconds, or are you just a fucking idiot? | ||
| ImHopLite sent $500. | ||
| Fuck Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley. | ||
| We will make sure Trump wins 2024. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Whoa! | |
| Thanks for the huge super chat. | ||
| Thank you, ImHopLite. | ||
| This guy doesn't suck. | ||
| Thank you for the generous super chat. | ||
| Love you, buddy. | ||
| This guy... Everyone must thank... You must thank ImHopLite because he has been sponsoring the show for weeks. | ||
| For practically months. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And... | |
| If it wasn't for him, this show would be bankrupt. | ||
| So, everybody, give him an 07. | ||
| He's paying for this show for you guys. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you. | |
| He's paying for all my meal prep. | ||
| He's paying for my meal kits and my coffee. | ||
| And he's keeping the engine of America First running. | ||
| Not on time, but, you know, running in general. | ||
| So, thanks a lot, buddy. | ||
| God bless you. | ||
| Yep, yep, yep. | ||
| Trump 24. | ||
| pseudonym sent $14, Jews raped kids in the synagogue tunnel, then sacrificed them to Moloch, then ate them, then smeared their blood on their faces. | ||
| True story. | ||
| Spanish Grow Iper sent $3, push the RP forward, having Wyrin on eventually. | ||
| I don't know what that means. | ||
| Pretty Fly White Guy sent $3, $294, the energy feels better than 2020. | ||
| Yeah, I guess. | ||
| It's too late for this. | ||
| I've been streaming for too long. | ||
| Let's say Trump is the Republican candidate, what are they going to do to stop him this election? | ||
| Another scandemic? | ||
| Grid goes out. | ||
| World War 3? | ||
| Fake and Galeons in the sky? | ||
| Deus Vult brother. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Dude, it's too late for this. | |
| I've been streaming for too long. | ||
| Bob Hitler sent $5, spinach bra on suicide watch after the raw food diet rant. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, he's not gonna like that. | |
| Lol1 23 said $3, have you ever had raw milk? | ||
| I tried it and it made me feel like shit. | ||
| I think No, I would never eat that. | ||
| I think it's a pretty good heuristic that if everybody is doing something, it probably isn't that bad for you. | ||
| Unless people are being born with, like, birth defects. | ||
| You know, it's one thing if it's like thalidomide or DDT or something like that, but, you know, people go on these crusades, like, Yo, yo, don't use deodorant with aluminum or don't shampoo your hair or don't use seed oils. | ||
| It's in everything. | ||
| This stuff is in everything. | ||
| Everyone's doing it all the time. | ||
| Don't use sunscreen! | ||
| It's like, how am I supposed to not get sunburned? | ||
| They say, well, you gotta not wear sunglasses and wake up early and get your exposure to UV in the morning. | ||
| Or put on sunscreen. | ||
| Do you realize we're all dying anyway? | ||
| Like, everything kills you. | ||
| The metabolic process kills you. | ||
| If you don't put on sunscreen, you get sunburn. | ||
| Sun exposure kills you. | ||
| Sunscreen kills you. | ||
| Okay, it all kills you. | ||
| So that stuff is just insane. | ||
| And you know, I'm just not one of these people that thinks I've rediscovered food. | ||
|
unidentified
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It's food like, you know, well, we need to be taking your sups. | |
| Everyone's taking all these crazy supplement things and all this crazy stuff. | ||
| It's like, I think everyone's doing basically just fine. | ||
| Oh my gosh. | ||
| Because you sound gay. | ||
| Because you sound like an insufferable faggot. | ||
| That's why. | ||
| For real. | ||
| Piggies are... Pigs are nice, you know? | ||
| organizations from their own community, instead of some jeweled multinational corporation. | ||
| Goy Slop is not based. | ||
| Support local white businesses. | ||
|
unidentified
|
- Because you sound gay, because you sound like an insufferable faggot, that's why. - Sayorma Dracent $3, vegan Nazi W. | |
| Save the piggies. | ||
|
unidentified
|
- For real. | |
| Piggies are, pigs are nice, you know, pigs are, they have personality and they're smart. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I'm an animal lover. | |
| I like animals. | ||
| I know I am. | ||
| I'm not kidding. | ||
| - So Grecoid sent $3. | ||
| Hitler was a vegetarian. | ||
| What are you saying you know more than Hitler? | ||
| NJF 2022, you're totally correct about meat and sugar by the way. - I know I am, I'm not kidding. | ||
|
unidentified
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I know I'm correct about that. - Go to $3. | |
| That would suck. | ||
| Carnivore we'd be speaking German on Mars by now. | ||
| Your body can convert protein into sugar. | ||
| Pooping is a waste of time. | ||
| Fruit is gay. - I didn't ask about your stupid opinion. - Pseudonym sent $5. | ||
| I hope I'm wrong, but I fear Carrie Lake will be the vice president pick. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Heil Trump, Heil victory. - That would suck. | |
| Well, you know, she's running for something else, so I don't know how that's gonna work. - Awoken American sent $3. | ||
| Personal thoughts on the Second Amendment? | ||
| Not as a right per se, but is it something worth advocating for? | ||
| Personally, politically, or religiously? | ||
|
unidentified
|
$3? | |
| That's 100 questions for $3 at 6 in the morning. | ||
| I've been streaming for 100 hours. | ||
| You pay me $3 to ask 10 questions like that? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Grotto sent $10. | |
| I've been streaming for 100 hours. | ||
| You pay me $3 to ask 10 questions like that? | ||
| Grotto sent $10. | ||
| Yee-haw. | ||
| Media Note to send $10. | ||
| If Jews are allowed to lie to conceal their positions, how can we determine if a Jewish to Catholic conversion is a true change of heart? | ||
|
unidentified
|
You can never know, so you should never trust them. | |
| At Jack Kressler sent $3. | ||
| Not impressed by Trump's low energy and lack of charisma. | ||
| He reminded me of a senile old man in my deceased grandma's memory ward. | ||
| Everyone else sucks, but he gave off the I'm too old for this vibe. | ||
| He's 80 years old. | ||
| It's past his bedtime. | ||
| Relax. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay, pal? | |
| Albert Castro sent $10. | ||
| Need you back on X. Oh, really? | ||
| BananaBits sent $3. | ||
| Should we update our printed money to in God and Jesus we trust? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Based! | |
| That's so based! | ||
| Good idea! | ||
| No, no, no, it should say in God and Jesus and Hitler and E. Michael Jones we trust. | ||
| It should say Deus Vult, Aue Crisis Brecht, and Grimace Sheikh we trust, Grimace Whistler we trust, One Nation, Under Whistler, Under fandom tags! | ||
| I have taxed. | ||
| Nice. | ||
| Nice. | ||
| Thanks. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I have no idea who that is. | |
| Like the song. | ||
| Honestly, I did. | ||
| That was not... Dude, he's a legend, man. | ||
| If only you knew. | ||
|
unidentified
|
But yeah, Richard Stroker, the gift that keeps on giving. | |
| Lord Maryland sent $15. | ||
| I did not have Richard Strucker going viral on my 2024 bingo card. | ||
| Honestly, I did. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That was not... | |
| Dude, he's a legend, man. | ||
| If only you knew. | ||
| But yeah, Richard Strucker, the gift that keeps on giving. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We love him. | |
| Maxie Stoneman sent $25. | ||
| Glad I got to vote for Trump tonight. | ||
| 07 for the Emperor. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yes, well done. | |
| Good work. | ||
| Chugger sent $10, Trump trashing Nikki Haley as a global astrino makes me hopeful that she doesn't have a chance at the VP slot. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Don't be, well I wouldn't be too sure about that actually. | |
| House AF sent $3, we will win. | ||
| El Nick. | ||
| We will conquer the world and impose based fascism. | ||
| Alright! | ||
| Okay! | ||
| I think that's gonna do it for me. | ||
| I'm tired. | ||
| It's 11 o'clock. | ||
| I've been streaming since 5. | ||
| Thanks a lot. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Still doing that. | |
| All right. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| I think that's going to do it for me. | ||
| I'm tired. | ||
| It's 11 o'clock. | ||
| I've been streaming since 5. | ||
| That's a long night. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, excuse me. | |
| I hope you enjoyed my coverage of the Iowa caucus. | ||
| Let's get one final refresh here of the results. | ||
| More than 95% of the votes are in. | ||
| Donald Trump wins in a landslide, 51%. | ||
| Ron DeSantis in a tight second place, 21%. | ||
| Nikki Haley, 19%. | ||
| The VEC is out. | ||
| DeSantis is in. | ||
| And now we're on our way to New Hampshire. | ||
| Next Tuesday, okay? | ||
| Be there! | ||
| Tune in! | ||
| Rumble.com slash NickJFuentes. | ||
| Next Tuesday night is a New Hampshire primary. | ||
| The stakes are even higher! | ||
| This is a big one because it's a big splash. | ||
| We got to see how everything was going to shake out in the polling. | ||
| But now it's narrowed down. | ||
| It's Trump and a spoiler race between the two anti-Trump candidates. | ||
| So New Hampshire, it's gonna be sudden death. | ||
| DeSantis, it's make or break. | ||
| He either has a good performance or I think he's done. | ||
| And then it's on to Nevada, South Carolina, Michigan, Idaho after that, and then Super Tuesday, which is just gonna be the biggest thing. | ||
| So, it's an exciting primary season. | ||
| It's just starting. | ||
| And then after the primaries, we got conventions, debates. | ||
| We're gonna be on the ground in the elections. | ||
| So, stay tuned. | ||
| So much good election coverage ahead this year. | ||
| This is only the beginning, but it's Trump 24. | ||
| He's our guy. | ||
| We loyally serve him. | ||
| We volunteer. | ||
| We vote. | ||
| We do whatever we gotta do. | ||
| But I hope you enjoyed the coverage tonight. | ||
| Thanks for watching! | ||
| Thanks to all our Super Chatters. | ||
| Special shout-out to I'm Hoplite, Joseph Cazada, and Cusimano. | ||
| Huge thanks to all of them. | ||
| I'm gonna pick a song to close us out here. | ||
| Why don't we just keep it simple? | ||
| Let's just do a little Never Come Down because we're never coming down, dude. | ||
| It's the third election, the third Trump election that I've been a part of and that has ever happened. | ||
| Trump 16, Trump 20, Trump 24. | ||
| Trump 28 2032 we'll be there man. | ||
| Just say the word So thanks everybody. | ||
| Remember to follow me here and tune in tomorrow. | ||
| I'll be back doing America first tomorrow night 10 o'clock central But until then have a good evening I'll see you guys later I don't know. |
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