Situation Update, 1/1/23 - The YEAR OF CONTRACTION: Trends, predictions and...
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Well, Happy New Year.
This is the first Situation Update of 2023.
It's January 1st.
I'm Mike Adams, and this podcast is about contraction.
That's what I'm calling 2023, the year of contraction.
And in fact, I want to share with you here my analysis of why that is and what's going to contract and why that is the word that will define 2023, the year of contraction.
Now, in order to understand the contraction, we need to look at what we've been living through most of our lives.
For most of you listening to this, you've been living in an era of artificial expansion.
It's been expansion of the food supply, expansion of population, expansion of money through cheap interest rates, especially recently, money printing, debt creation, and so on.
And as a result of these things and many other factors, we've seen the expansion of globalization, the expansion of supply chains, the expansion of wealth, especially material wealth in the West.
And due to the affordability of food, perhaps among many of us, a little bit of expansion of our waistlines as well.
It's been the era of expansion.
And what I want you to understand here is that that era is artificial.
It's been false.
It's not indicative of what we're about to go through.
It's been an artificial expansionary blip in the history of the world.
And it is an aberration.
It is not the norm.
And in fact, all the things that have been indicative of this era of expansion are not sustainable.
You can't have unlimited never-ending growth.
You can't have unlimited expansion of the money supply.
You can't have unlimited expansion of Wall Street valuations.
You can't have unlimited expansion of cryptocurrencies.
You know, you can't have even unlimited population expansion, especially not when the globalists are trying to commit global genocide, but we'll get to that in a minute.
So this era of expansion is over.
It's over.
I mean, it is done.
And what we're about to live through is contraction, many of us for the rest of our lives.
Contraction that may last, well, a generation or I mean, yes, there will be ups and downs in all of this, but the overall contraction has begun, and it will not be stopped for a long time to come.
And so I'm going to get to some sort of predictions here.
But it's not that these are standalone predictions.
These are predictions that come from the trends that, well, the main trend I've just introduced, the year of contraction.
And 2023 being a turning point in a negative way for all of these things that are undergoing contraction.
So let's just, let's go through a short list of what these are, and then I'll go through some specific predictions that are actually derived from understanding the trends.
So again, these aren't standalone predictions.
They are derivatives of these major trends.
But everything I mentioned here, let's say population, for example.
Population has exploded since, well, for the last century, easily, but especially since the dawn of mechanized agriculture and also the use of pesticides and herbicides creating cheap, affordable, but contaminated food.
So we've had a massive explosion in population, but also a massive global rise of cancer and autism and diabetes and Alzheimer's and things like that.
Which, of course, is partially caused by eating a lot of poisons in the food supply.
Nevertheless, population has been exploding for all this time.
Now, population will contract.
And, of course, the vaccines are part of that, but it's not the only thing.
Debt.
Global debt has been expanding, especially since 1971.
Nixon took us off the gold standard.
But even globally, in other countries, debt has been expanding in the aggregate for quite some time, many generations.
You could say even, you could argue since the end of World War II, debt has been expanding, and lately, exponentially.
Well, now debt is going to contract.
And so all the supposed benefits of debt, which is, you know, easy money, easy spending, no accountability of paying off the debt, money creation, being able to just pull like a Sam Bankman free to create money out of nothing and use it to buy luxury condos or whatever, those days are over.
I mean, for most people, they're over.
And even for the globalists to some extent, as their debt implodes, they will lose power over their ability to create money and use it to bribe and pay people off and run slush funds and so on.
So that's a very important trend to understand.
Debt will contract from here forward for quite some time.
Energy.
Energy has been expanding for generations because we've had more exploration, we've had fracking, we've had more oil fields discovered even in the Gulf Coast and off the coast of California and Alaska, and globally more oil production out of Venezuela and Nigeria and Russia and so on, and the Saudis of course.
But from here forward, energy production will begin to fall.
And it will begin to fall because demand will also contract quite substantially from here forward.
And that's the next item.
So consumer demand has been growing and expanding in the era of easy money and stimulus money.
And, you know, if you thought the 1980s was a decade of materialism, just look at the decade you just lived through.
Massive materialism.
Massive accumulation of material wealth and objects and things.
All kinds of things, or as they say in Africa, cargo.
Well, that's going to begin to contract as well because consumer demand is contracting as people run out of money because debt is contracting and business is contracting, as we'll see, because there are going to be a lot of layoffs.
GDP, gross domestic product, will also contract in many countries.
Now, in some countries, it will still stay above net zero.
But the rate of growth will slow considerably.
So in China, for example, it'll no longer be a 6% rate of growth.
It might be 1.5% or something closer to that.
But overall, around the world, GDP will fall.
And that is also, by the way, a result of the collapse of energy or the contraction of energy.
And by the way, the word collapse just means a rapid contraction.
So in some cases, we might describe something as a contraction at the beginning, and then, oh, it really begins to implode, and then it's a collapse.
It's just along the spectrum of the same process.
It's a question of the rate of contraction.
A rapid contraction is a collapse.
But GDPs will begin to fall.
And it's interesting that GDP is often a reflection of energy consumption in a country.
The more energy a nation consumes, the higher the GDP, typically.
And then the less energy it consumes, the lower the GDP tends to go.
So these things go hand in hand.
And also as population drops off, as we're suffering the de-civilization effects of the vaccines, which just in America are removing 7,500 people per day, Welcome to my show!
They stop earning salaries.
They stop buying things.
You have demand destruction based on that, and then you have these people cutting back on everything.
So there's less energy consumed in order to produce those things, and then you start to have GDP falling.
So it's all related.
And then the next item worth mentioning is we're going to have a contraction of empires.
This is very important to understand because the days of the U.S. Empire being able to just run around the world and threaten every developing nation, say, hey, if you don't do what we want, we're just going to kill you, you know, Qaddafi or Saddam Hussein or whoever.
There's a hundred other examples.
By the way, they turned that whole CIA assassination system against Trump and conservatives in America now.
We are being treated to the same kind of coup in America that the CIA has run against other countries for decades.
In fact, we are living under a successful coup right now, by the way.
But that's not the focus of today's topic.
Nevertheless, empires will collapse.
And so you will see the failure of the U.S. empire and Western empires, like the British empire in particular, you will see failures of these empires to be able to project power and to manipulate their neighbors in the ways that they intend to.
And a great example of this right now is how the U.S. under Biden is unable to convince the Saudis to continue to do business with the U.S. rather than prioritizing China.
And that's already done, by the way.
Mohammed bin Salman is already moving over to China.
China's the priority trading partner.
And what you're going to see, I believe, this is one of my concrete predictions in 2023, is you're going to see an announcement of the BRICS nation's world reserve currency system, which will be some kind of system backed by commodities, which will include gold, by the way.
But it may also include a portfolio of other commodities, such as oil or forms of energy.
Gas, for example, could include certain food crops.
But for sure, it will include gold.
which is what Russia is good at producing, obviously, until the US and the UK blew up the Nord Stream pipeline anyway.
But that just hurts Western Europe.
It doesn't really hurt Russia.
Nevertheless, empires are going to contract.
And as the BRICS world reserve currency is rolled out, it's going to be a global repudiation of the empires of the West, specifically the hegemony of the US dollar and the petrodollar status and even the Bretton Woods agreement from, I believe, 1944.
So the result of that is going to be a massive contraction, even a collapse of Western empires.
But there will be an expansion of trade and financial assets among, by the way, the BRICS nations.
So China, Russia, India, Brazil, South Africa, and a bunch of other nations.
There's going to be 100-plus nations signing on to that.
And they will experience, at least relative to the West, an expansion of trade, an expansion of assets.
of assets, and they will be able to position themselves for a new golden age of trade if they maintain the honesty of their reserve currency system.
And they will be able to position themselves for a new golden age of trade if they maintain the honesty of their reserve currency system.
In other words, if they keep it backed by gold, they will experience a golden age.
In other words, if they keep it backed by gold, they will experience a golden age.
And we would have too, America, if Richard Nixon hadn't taken us off the gold standard in 1971.
And we would have too, America, if Richard Nixon hadn't taken us off the gold standard in 1971.
But if you take yourself off the gold standard, then you end your golden age eventually because money printing destroys your system.
So money printing is expansion, but the collapse of fiat currencies is obviously rapid contraction or collapse.
So this is going to be historic.
And I believe that Western Europe is on the path of total destruction, not only based on the deindustrialization that's already in place and the collapse of energy supplies and the collapse of fertilizer and the moving of Basif out of Germany and moving their operations into China, but also because of the escalation not only based on the deindustrialization that's already in place and the collapse of energy
And I believe that Western Europe is going to pay a very heavy price for this war with Russia, which I believe will get underway in the first quarter of 2023.
I believe Russia will launch a new attack on Ukraine, and that attack will ensnare most of Western Europe into essentially World War III.
Another thing that's going to contract sharply in 2023 will be supply chains.
Now, we've already experienced quite a bit of that during the COVID years, and you saw how you couldn't get parts and you couldn't get things from China.
And now, even right now, you still can't get baby food at the levels or infant formula, excuse me, that you used to be able to get in the United States.
You can't get a lot of antibiotics.
They're just completely out of stock.
There's all kinds of things you can't get right now.
That's going to get way worse in 2023 and beyond because we're going to see a global contraction of supply chains.
And once we go to war with China, which could happen in 2023, it's not clear, but it's a possibility with China attacking Taiwan and then also attacking the U.S. at the same time, China would block all exports to the United States.
And that would thrust the U.S. into basically a third world type of country, Almost a Mad Max scenario when you go out and you try to buy anything, you know, electronics, automobile parts, plastics, anything at Walmart, anything at Best Buy, anything at Home Depot.
And it's just not there because most of it comes from China.
And China will block the exports when we go into that war.
So if you thought the COVID years was bad...
Wait till China declares war on the United States.
The next item, which is kind of related to this, is globalization.
So over the last several decades, we saw an expansion of globalization, which means the spreading out of supply chains and the offshoring of manufacturing to other countries.
Globalization will contract big time.
And the supply chains are part of that, but it's more than just that.
It's also the fact that for national security reasons, a lot of production of certain components and mission-critical components especially will be brought back to the United States.
And then there will be local production and decentralization.
So this idea of decentralization, which is about distributed local redundant production of food and could be anything, textiles, automobiles, whatever, this is the opposite of globalization.
Because globalization is about the offshoring centralization of resources and commodities and production and labor forces for running the factories and so on.
But we're going to return to decentralization or deglobalization, which is going to cause things to become very, very expensive.
Because the benefit of globalization was high efficiency and cheap labor costs overseas.
As that reverses and things start coming back to the United States in terms of production, you're going to see prices go, in many cases, 10 times, even 20 times higher than what you're used to paying for certain types of products.
For example, if appliance manufacturing was no longer handled overseas, what would you pay for a washing machine?
Instead of $500, you might pay $5,000 for a clothes washer or a dishwasher or something like that.
Or a toaster, instead of costing $50, might cost $500.
Yes, those days are coming, and your money is going to become increasingly worthless anyway.
Your currency, I should say.
I keep calling it money, and that's a mistake.
It's not money.
Your fiat currency is going to become increasingly worthless.
And that's a contraction of the value of money.
Excuse me, the value of currency.
And based on the current math, by the way, dollars are losing close to 2% per month of their purchasing power.
And that will continue, if not accelerate, throughout 2023.
So the next item here is wealth.
So because of the contraction theme of 2023, we will see wealth destroyed.
And part of the reason for that is because a lot of this wealth has been ephemeral.
It doesn't even exist in the first place.
It was created out of nothing because, well...
You know how the stock market works and a thousand people own one share of let's say Tesla stock, which is cratered by the way, and everybody thinks that their stock is worth the last price that one person paid for it.
And so if you multiply the number of outstanding shares by the latest price, as the market is trending upwards, everybody thinks they're getting rich, which is an illusion.
It's a fantasy of wealth creation.
In reality, that wealth doesn't exist because if all those people tried to sell that stock, it would crater the value and crash it, which is what's happening with Tesla.
And you wouldn't be able to extract that much wealth out of the system, not the peak amount that you thought you had.
And by the way, people in cryptocurrency are learning this the hard way because that's down 70%.
You know, when it's a bubble going up, everybody thinks they're a genius.
Everybody thinks they're getting rich.
Everybody thinks, oh, this is my career forever.
I'm never going to have to flip burgers or push a broom or whatever, clean toilets at McDonald's.
And then when it contracts, when the bubble turns against you, whether it's in currency or Wall Street or crypto, then it's destruction of the apparent wealth.
That is a contraction that is accelerated.
And that's going to happen in 2023, even more with crypto, even more with Wall Street, and even more with the wealth, the apparent wealth that That people think they have.
So this is going to be part of what feeds into the demand destruction, where there will be fewer people able to afford automobiles.
And you're going to see cars.
You're going to see a glut of cars and trucks.
They're going to be on sale like never before.
You're going to see repossessions of cars and trucks as people can't afford the payments.
And some people are taking out like seven or eight year loans on new vehicles, which is crazy.
You're also going to see falling prices of homes as part of this.
So again, demand destruction, wealth destruction.
This is going to be a major theme of 2023.
And that means that people will have less stuff or they'll be able to afford to buy less stuff, let's say.
let's say.
So as the stuff they already have breaks and wears out and gets thrown out, they won't be able to replace it at the same pace that they used to be able to maintain.
So as the stuff they already have breaks and wears out and gets thrown out, they won't be able to replace it at the same pace that they used to be able to maintain.
And much the same thing is true with food.
And much the same thing is true with food.
So as people eat their way through whatever they have in their cupboards and their refrigerator, they're going to find that replacing that food is crazy expensive.
So as people eat their way through whatever they have in their cupboards and their refrigerator, they're going to find that replacing that food is crazy expensive.
Have you shopped for eggs recently, by the way?
It's more than double what they were a year ago.
It's like 250%.
It's approaching 300%.
It's insane, right?
But you're going to see that across more and more categories of food in 2023.
So I'm going to get into more details here.
But that what I just presented is kind of the summary.
So moving out of massive expansion that we've lived through our entire lives to the point where most of us think that's normal, and it isn't.
Now we're moving into contraction, which could last years or decades or the rest of our lives.
Yes.
Contraction is going to suck because everything is going to become more expensive and less available while your wealth is disappearing.
By the way, if you're invested in stocks or bonds or debt or treasuries or crypto or any of those things, or even housing, for the most part, it's going to contract.
So people are going to become increasingly poor while prices keep going up.
And that's going to cause just a horrendous social situation that will lead to civil unrest, which is one of my specific predictions.
So with that said, let me get into some specifics.
So I'm going to start with food.
And this is an area that I've studied quite extensively.
And I will be interviewing experts like David Dubine in 2023.
He and I keep in touch quite a bit.
And I think he's the best researcher out there in the agricultural trends.
And he monitors it very closely.
So we're going to have him on as things unfold.
But what's already apparent, and this comes out of interviews with people like Michael Yan and also David Dubine and Marjorie Wildcraft and many others, plus my own analysis and research, food inflation is going to, for the year of 2023, So let's say January 1, 2023 to January 1, 2024.
My prediction is that food inflation will be between 50% and 100%.
That's my prediction.
And if it's less than that, it's only because, well, there's not, nobody can afford certain food items.
So my prediction is you're going to see actually store shelves won't be totally empty.
You will still see food on the shelves.
It's just that most Americans won't be able to afford it.
And this is going to be true across a lot of Western Europe as well.
And also, frankly, in the Middle East and in South America, food will be more expensive because of the global pressures on the food supply.
And also global fertilizer scarcity, which we'll talk about.
But look for food to be on the shelves, but just can't afford it.
So...
Again, inflation between 50% and 100%.
So as a result of that, you're going to see food riots, especially in the United States and Canada and Western Europe and maybe Australia, probably, and New Zealand and so on.
You're going to see food riots and you're going to see food thefts, shoplifting.
You're going to see food raids, flash mob raids on grocery stores.
And you're going to see then the trend that I'm predicting is more guards and even armed guards.
And then at some point in certain areas, you're going to see armed restrictions on who can enter the grocery store.
You won't be able to just walk in.
You'll have to, like, scan in.
You know, scan this QR code or give us your driver's license or show us ID or wait in line.
We can only have a certain number of people in the store at any one time.
That kind of thing.
And COVID was just a dry run for all this.
So food's going to get very, very expensive.
You're going to see food banks way over capacity all across America.
This has already begun, and in Europe as well.
You're going to see food scarcity globally, but not a total wipeout of the food supply.
It's just going to be more competition for the bushels of wheat and corn and soy and rice and whatever.
So more countries trying to buy up the limited food supply.
Now, the good news is that the United States can always grow a lot of food, but only if it has diesel, which powers the tractors, of course, and fertilizer.
Without diesel and fertilizer, and you have to have transportation to distribute the food, which involves barges and trucks and railroads.
So if you lose those components of the infrastructure, then you can have famine, even in a country where you have abundant farming.
And this is something that I learned from Michael Yon.
And Michael Yon, I think he's read now 22 books on famine.
And he reads like another book a week or something.
The guy is a voracious reader.
But one of the things he pointed out to me in our private conversations is that you can have famine.
History shows this.
You can have famine in countries that can grow a lot of food.
In fact, this has been the case over and over and over again.
Even just look recently at Sri Lanka.
In Sri Lanka, they were able to grow quite a lot of food, but they had no fuel to get the food to the market.
So food rotted in the fields.
Same thing happened during COVID. The COVID lockdowns saw farms in the U.S. dumping out milk, plowing corn under, destroying fields of green beans and so on.
Why were they doing this?
Well, they couldn't get it.
They couldn't get the labor because of the lockdowns in order to harvest and get that food to the market.
And you've seen all this culling of chickens and turkeys, by the way.
So yeah, you can produce millions of eggs, but then the CDC comes along and says, oh, we found a positive PCR test.
Your birds have avian influenza, you know, 472-B1, whatever they made up last week.
And they say you got to kill them all.
So you kill all the birds.
Boom!
You have no eggs.
So yes, you can have famine in a country with a lot of food production.
And by the way, Many mainstream, I've seen mainstream authors and analysts and researchers say, oh, it's impossible to have famine in America because it's the world's breadbasket.
We can always grow food.
Look at the soils and look at the fields in the Midwest.
We can always grow food.
Not necessarily because you can't get it out of the farms.
If you don't have trains running and they're on strike or in that process, or if you don't have barges running and they're All jammed up on the Mississippi.
Or if you don't have diesel fuel, and there's been scarcity in diesel delivery, and the embargo against Russia affects the diesel supply, and so on.
Or if you don't have labor, or if you don't have a supply chain of parts for your tractors and your combines, and all the equipment that you need to engage in farming.
So just because you have fields that can grow food doesn't mean the food gets to people.
You can have people starving to death living right next to a farm.
All right, now, moving on to the economy, some economic predictions.
Home prices across the board in America, I should say in the aggregate, will plummet in 2023, partially due to rising home loan rates, but this depends on what the Fed does.
If the Fed pivots and begins lowering interest rates again, then this could reverse.
But I want to point out That the overall trend of home prices in blue states or blue areas of blue states will go down, down, down.
While the overall trend of home prices in the free states, you know, red states like Texas and Florida, will tend to go up, up, up.
Now, you know, a rising tide lifts all boats, but a falling tide, you know, causes all boats to fall.
So, and that tide is the Federal Reserve's interest rates.
The tide is the home loan rates.
But No matter what happens, that tide up or down, home prices are going to fall more in California, and home prices are going to maintain their value more in places like Texas.
So keep that in mind.
But I'm predicting across the board, or overall in the aggregate, home prices will fall substantially in 2023.
There may be pockets that are mostly immune to that, and I do think that there's a mass migration out of cities and into rural areas.
And the one thing, notably, that has resisted plummeting housing prices is farmland.
So if you've owned farmland, then that's holding value.
And remember what I've always said here a thousand times.
What holds value?
What is real money?
What are assets?
Gold and silver and land.
And land is holding value more than housing, more than commercial real estate, more than hotel values, more than malls, of course.
Malls are collapsing.
But farmland is going to hold tremendous value for the foreseeable future for all the obvious reasons.
So...
That's rural land.
And I see more and more Americans getting out of the cities, especially as crime worsens and food scarcity worsens and the cost of living becomes insane.
They're going to move out of cities more and more and they're going to move into rural areas of the country.
And if you're going to go rural, you might as well go rural red and get yourself into a red county in a red state where you can have a Glock, where you can have a rifle for self-defense, where you can have a little farm, you can have backyard chickens.
I mean, you might as well go to a free state.
If you're going to get out of the city, go all the way.
All right, I'm predicting there's going to be over a million Americans laid off from their jobs in 2023, probably well over a million.
There's going to be massive increases in homelessness.
And I predict you'll have, I know this seems high, but I think you'll have over a million new homeless people in 2023.
And I know, I know that number seems outlandish, but it's because of the layoffs and it's because of the unaffordability of maintaining rent or being able to pay for a home.
And I think when I say homeless, I don't just mean living on the streets in a cardboard box.
A lot of these homeless will be living in campers, which I guess you could call that, you know, a different kind of home.
But they're going to live in RVs.
They're going to live in pickup trucks with a tent in the back.
They're going to live in vans.
A lot of people are going to live in vehicles.
And frankly, for saving money, Living in an RV temporarily while you clear your debts and get your financial feedback on the ground, there's nothing wrong with that, folks.
It's not something to be looked at with a sense of shame by any means.
This is the time where people have to control their costs and Get their overhead trimmed down.
People have to live in a frugal manner in order to not starve.
And that means selling your house and living in an RV where maybe you park it in a friend's driveway.
Maybe your friend has a farm and your friend says, yeah, you can park your RV on the back 20 acres or whatever.
Just take care of your own septic and what have you.
Drive into town.
Find an RV park once a week or whatever and dump it there.
But There's going to be a lot of people living in RVs on other friends' property.
And that is not going to be an uncommon thing.
And I don't look down upon people who do that.
I see people doing that as being creative and saving money and drastically reducing their overhead in order to not go completely broke.
So it is actually a rational strategy for a lot of people to do that.
And you're going to see it more and more across America.
It's already begun, but it's going to accelerate.
Now I already mentioned you're going to see a huge number of automobiles repossessed.
You're also going to see car dealers desperate to move cars, to sell cars and trucks.
And you're going to see this in the construction industry as well.
So where it was almost impossible to find a tractor or a skid steer or a dozer or a track loader or anything like that over the last, let's say, two and a half years, that's going to flip quite substantially in 2023 because the contraction that we're talking about, the contraction of money, the contraction of GDP, the contraction of economic activity is also going to lead to a contraction in construction.
So that means fewer people building homes or buying homes.
So you'll have lower demand for drywall and roofing and plumbing and framing homes and concrete and all these things.
Less demand for landscaping.
At some point, less demand for electrical work or plumbing work.
Although right now electricians are still backlogged and so are plumbers because of the freeze, of course.
But overall in 2023, you're going to see a sharp drop in demand for those kinds of services.
But that also means you're going to see a drop in demand for all of the construction equipment.
And so if you've ever wanted a, I don't know, a skid steer or a track loader or an excavator or whatever you have your eye on or a mini excavator, 2023 might be the year to get that because prices are going to go down, down, down.
We're seeing the beginning of that already.
Let's see.
Economically, also, I mentioned there's going to be a BRICS announcement, I believe, in 2023.
Don't know exactly when, but could be the summer, could be the fall.
These things usually take longer than what we suppose.
But you're also going to see central bank digital currencies rolled out with more pilot programs, more testing, and an aggressive push both in the EU and the UK and the United States and Canada In 2023, and I don't mean it's going to be completed in 2023, it's going to take many years for them to continue that push, but you're going to see more pilot programs and more talk and more push throughout 2023 for the CBDCs.
Socially, one of the trends I think we're going to see is a rising backlash against the woke.
So the woke idiots who are pushing, I don't know, like men in women's sports, right?
Or they're pushing men prisoners, men felons, biological men in women's prisons, things like that.
You're going to see a major backlash against that and also the child grooming and the drag queen story time and all that stuff.
More backlash globally and in the United States against the woke.
That's a good thing.
You're also going to see, by the way, civil unrest around the world.
I don't mean in every single country, but in countries that represent every continent.
So as the contraction takes place and food becomes more unaffordable, more difficult to get, and joblessness becomes worse and homelessness and so on, you're going to see a lot more civil unrest, which means more crime, more violence, more instability, more chaos.
And in response to that, governments are going to crack down on that and push more police state tactics, more surveillance, and more control over your movements.
So one of my big predictions for 2023 is you're going to see lockdowns.
That is, lockdowns on your movement in the name of either fighting the climate or fighting the next pandemic.
But what it's really about is turning every city in the Western world into a prison camp.
So they'll divide up your city into Region 1, Region 2, Region 3, and you won't be able to move from one region to the other, or I don't know what they'll call them, sectors or whatever.
And if you live in Sector 3, you can't go to Sector 1 unless you have special permission.
And they'll enforce that.
They'll actually have checkpoints in your city.
Believe me, the lockdowns are coming because they have to control people's movements.
And they're gonna focus on the population areas, which is the cities.
You're gonna see this in Europe first, and then it's going to be piloted in America in response to some civil unrest and some social chaos that's coming.
And this isn't just a 2023 thing.
This is gonna happen for many years to come.
So lockdowns, trying to limit your mobility in a vehicle, trying to say that you can't own a car, at least not a combustion engine car.
Because if they can limit you to an EV, then they've got you at the charging station.
Eventually you have to show up at a charging station.
And they can stop you there.
Whereas if you have a combustion engine, especially a diesel, you can just stockpile diesel.
You can have 500 gallons of diesel in the back of your truck with diesel tanks or whatever, or barrels, whatever you want.
And you can drive for thousands of miles on diesel if you want, but EVs, not so much.
Okay, also affecting society, of course, we're going to see a contraction in population, right?
So we're going to see more increased infertility.
We're going to see more die-offs, more spontaneous abortions, more stillbirths.
And of course, then, you know, just overall depopulation.
Remember, that's the reduction of fertility.
In other words, falling new births, which is happening quite, is very dramatic in places like Taiwan that are high vaccine compliance nations, but then combined with die-offs of those who are currently living, mostly those who took the jabs.
So you're going to see population reduction really accelerate in 2023 through those two methods, both in the United States and around the world.
You're also going to see, especially younger couples, because of the inability to afford food and the inability to maintain a job and inability to pay rent and so on, you're going to see a lot of younger couples choose not to have children because they tend to want to have children when times are good, when money is abundant, when they can get a house, when they can pay rent.
If you can't pay rent, if you can't make ends meet, you're living out of a van.
Probably don't want to have kids in the van.
There's no place for a kid's room in the back of the van.
The whole van is the kid's room, and that's a tough way to live.
People want to have a house before they start a family, so you're going to see the decision to not reproduce begin to really kick in with a lot of people.
All right, let's see what else.
Infrastructure notes here.
I believe we'll see more diesel scarcity in 2023.
It won't completely run out, but we're going to have areas regionally where there will be outages.
The one thing that's going to save diesel, by the way, and the reason it hasn't run out yet, is because there's so much destruction in the demand of consumer goods that demand for transportation services has plummeted by something like 75%.
And trucking companies are going out of business left and right.
And by the way, international container shipping companies, their rates have plummeted.
You know, container rates that were $20,000 from, let's say, China to LA, those rates have already plummeted to something like $5,000.
Like a 75% reduction in rates.
And that's reflective of the collapsing demand.
So because of collapsing demand for transportation that is already happening, there's a lot more diesel available because less diesel usage is what's happening.
Had demand stayed where it was a year ago Diesel would already be scarce or wiped out.
You'd be waiting in line for diesel for days.
But we're not there, thank goodness.
But the reason is because demand has been destroyed because people can't afford these products anymore.
We're also going to see fertilizer scarcity throughout 2023.
That is a 100% already in place situation.
And we know this because of the shutdown of urea production and ammonia production in Europe because of energy costs and so on.
And the deindustrialization of Europe, which will affect the fertilizer supply globally, plus the fact that Russia has been limited in its ability to export fertilizer based on the being deplatformed from the swift economic transaction system.
Now, you combine that with the fact that the inputs of fertilizer are going to become more expensive, both the energy that's required to pull nitrogen out of the atmosphere and also the energy the actual hydrocarbons required to get the hydrogen to make NH3, which is ammonia.
Both forms of energy are going to be more expensive and more scarce.
So fertilizer will be more difficult to get.
And that means that you're going to have a farm output will plummet compared to what it has been.
Now, in some areas, it may be an 80 percent yield.
In others, it might be a 40 percent yield.
But overall, global food production is going to be down substantially in 2023.
And reasonably, it might fall by a third to a half, basically, is a pretty reasonable guess.
I'll ask David Dubine what his thoughts are on that.
But, you know, look, the spring planting in the northern hemisphere is going to be catastrophic because of the lack of fertilizer.
Okay, in terms of tyranny and war, my predictions are we're going to see the climate lockdowns I already mentioned.
The globalists definitely want to lock people down no matter what excuse it takes.
I believe we're going to see Russia mount a major offensive against Ukraine in the first quarter of 2023 when even southern Ukraine is fully frozen, for example, so that a lot of the heavy-tracked equipment can move across the ground there.
I believe that the reaction to that is going to see NATO and Poland move into Western Ukraine.
And it's very likely that Poland is eventually going to stake a claim to parts of Western Ukraine because they are former Polish territory, by the way.
But you're going to see the USA and NATO forces in some form of direct conflict with Russian forces sometime in 2023.
And my prediction is that's not going to go well for Poland.
NATO forces.
Because remember that the US is very strong in naval combat.
That's its main strength.
It's got the best aircraft carriers and the most numerous of any nation in the world and the submarines and so on.
But on land, Russia is quite dominant because of their artillery and their so-called flamethrowers and so on, plus kamikaze drones and all that and missile systems.
Russia is just Russia is a land based war machine and the United States is a sea based war machine.
Well, the European war is a land war.
And I don't think that the United States is going to be able to defeat Russia in a land war.
In fact, Russia right now is far from the predictions of the White House and the West saying, oh, Putin's going to have to surrender.
It's done.
They've had to run and hide.
No.
They're just...
Getting ready for another assault.
So things are going to get dicey there in Ukraine and in Europe, and I believe that a lot of Western European countries are going to get kind of dragged into this war with Russia, including eventually the UK. So not a good situation there.
And by the way, Alex Kristoforou, I think I'm saying his name correctly, I've interviewed him, he's got some of the best analysis on this internationally.
Of course, there's also Gonzalo Lira, who's currently living in Ukraine, and some other people out there, you know, Colonel McGregor offering analysis and so on.
But just stay tuned for that because that situation is nowhere near over, it seems.
All right, so that's kind of the overview of my analysis.
I want to give a shout-out to Revolver.News for linking to our story about the de-civilization of the United States after our interview with Ed Dowd.
So thank you, Darren, over at Revolver.News.
We appreciate the link, and also CitizenFreePress.com has linked to a couple of our stories.
We appreciate that, so thank you, Cain, for that.
And, of course, we are continuing to spider...
Dozens of censored news sites at censored.news, if you want to check that out, censored.news.
And one of the things I'm going to be doing in 2023 is personally posting headlines, just hand-picked headlines at the top of censored.news that I think are really the most important stories that are crossing my consciousness in real time.
So we'll be making that upgrade to censored.news.
Okay, lastly, here's a sponsor I haven't mentioned for a while, and that's the Treasure Island Precious Metals Company.
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So if you want to get physical gold and silver, if it's right for you, I mean, do your own research, obviously.
But in my opinion, and I'm not your financial advisor, I'm not pretending to be.
But in my opinion, and I've said this again a thousand times, the things that will hold value through this massive contraction that I've just laid out are gold and silver and land.
Farmland in particular.
But on the tail end of that, I've also mentioned other things that I believe will hold value.
Ammunition, firearms, tractors, equipment, diesel fuel, power tools, solar generators, a lot of things.
Garden seeds, you know, things that will hold value are easy to find.
But most people have their money stuck in, well, fiat currency, and they're losing, like I said, up to 2% per month.
And that's going to get worse in 2023.
So do your own research, talk to your financial advisors, find out what's right for you.
But I think that an important way to get through this is to make sure that we don't get wiped out by this contraction, which will characterize the year 2023.
I think this is an historical pivot point.
That we will remember forever.
I know 22 was memorable, but 23 is going to be a whole different ballgame.
You're going to see things in the next year that you never imagined that you would see.
I mean, I don't know if it's going to be like vortexes in the sky with demons falling out, but maybe.
Who knows?
I mean, at this point, would anything surprise you?
I don't know.
But what I'm talking about actually is like food riots and more homeless people all over the streets of the cities and tent cities and desperation and carjackings and robbings and hungry people and, you know, We got to talk about this a lot this year, including how we can help these people.
Who can we help?
How do we structure that help?
And there's going to be too many to help them all to the fullest extent that we might wish to.
So how do we help those that we can?
And how do we maintain boundaries?
Where do we draw those lines?
Who is the most important to help?
Or what's the most efficient way to help them?
I mean, I'm going to do podcasts about that.
Because I am a community-minded person, and I've taken a lot of steps to be prepared for this.
I know I'm going to be helping a lot of people.
I've got some things stocked up for that purpose.
I just don't think it's enough, that's all, because there's only so much that I can do, one person, versus the whole county or the whole state of Texas or the whole country.
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Thank you for your support.
Get ready for 2023.
It's going to be an interesting ride, but we're going to get through it together.
So, Happy New Year, and, well, I'll talk to you again tomorrow, and we'll begin the journey.
All right, take care.
A global reset is coming.
And that's why I've recorded a new nine-hour audiobook.
It's called The Global Reset Survival Guide.
You can download it for free by subscribing to the naturalnews.com email newsletter, which is also free.
I'll describe how the monetary system fails.
I also cover emergency medicine and first aid and what to buy to help you avoid infections.