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Oct. 9, 2024 - Louder with Crowder
01:15:09
Kamala’s Media Blitz Ends in Disaster & Major Swing State Polling Update
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And now for a message from Paco, the friendly homophobe.
That's me. Okay, thank you, ma'am.
You can pass on through.
Alright, next. Come on up.
Hands out. Legs open.
Okay, come through.
Please hold. Alright, sir, do you mind if I pat down your right leg and inner thigh?
You don't know what you have to do.
It's your job, I understand.
Yeah, thank you very much.
So I'm going to pat here...
But I know that you don't have to do.
What do you mean, sir?
I saw the other guy.
He told you I was okay to clearly go through.
But you are the one who told me you still have to pat my leg.
I don't follow.
You are patting my leg because you want to.
Not because it is your job.
And you want to pat my leg.
Unlike the blonde before me, nice lady, you let pass through without any pat down.
Because you are not straight.
Join Mug Club today for $89 annually or try it mugless for $9 a month.
You can sign up at ladderwithcreditor.com slash mug club for the entire catalog including 100% more of this show
show.
Yeah, sure.
Picture the sip.
The hell's the difference? Theater of the mind.
Yes, yes. Sponsorship charge me to send out the...
Okay, yeah. It's not a sponsor anymore.
Glad to be with you.
We're going to discuss...
Look, Kamala Harris, Kamala, don't care, was on The View in Colbert yesterday.
We did the simul stream of Howard Stern.
And by the way, Best Among Us, please subscribe to SiriusXM Radio for the unfiltered, uncut, pure Howard 100.
SiriusXM, they need it.
Yes. SiriusXM, the internet's a fad.
And we'll be talking about swing states.
And here's the thing. Looking into some data here...
Again, I've been telling you, don't listen to the doomsday theorists out there.
There's a lot of good news.
And I'm not just talking about the polymarket trend.
I'm talking about key trends in each swing state.
Some of them may surprise you.
Comment below what you think the key trend, for example, may be in Nevada, in North Carolina, in Georgia.
There are some numbers here that are fundamental restructuring of the electoral map.
Also, the future of hockey is female, we're told.
So you know at some point today as we discuss it, you'll probably see this on YouTube.
Head to Rumble. It's a live show.
Weekdays, 10 a.m. Eastern, but on Friday only if you're a member of Mug Club.
I apologize. I shouldn't be that angry.
Well, you're hurting. Early on.
Your back is a little messed up.
Don't tell people. You don't profess your weaknesses out loud.
You know that. You're a Christian.
The devil can hear you say it. I'm afraid of the dark.
I don't think that's how it works. Josh.
Oh, shoot. It slipped. Joshua.
Spiders. Sorry.
Now it seems like you're teasing him.
A little bit. I'm doing well.
How are you? I'm not afraid of spiders.
I just don't like them. That's not 100% true.
That is 99% true.
He kills dozens of spiders.
My wife is afraid of spiders.
She won't even kill them. Yes, I will kill them, but I don't like spiders crawling up on me if I don't know where they are.
I don't think that's an irrational fear.
If I see a spider, I will kill it.
I do it regularly.
I still hate them.
And you're afraid of it. You comment.
Is that a fear? Is that a fear?
For example, if a spider is in the pool that can walk across water like it's Jesus spider at your face level, and you're like, oh, that kind of gives me the creeps.
Is that a fear? I don't think I need to go through some type of therapy.
That made me go, oh, maybe he's afraid of this.
It was right next to my face.
That's it. I'm putting spiders in Gerald's office.
Let's see how he deals with it.
Let's put a pit viper.
What are you afraid? All right.
Spiders make sense. I do have a nautically themed office for some reason.
All right. And when you hear this, you know me love him.
October 26th, Bricktown Comedy Club, Oklahoma City.
Not afraid of spiders. How are you, Josh?
Not afraid of spiders, dude.
Dude, I'm not afraid of them.
And I don't hate them either.
I'm not a bigot.
I got over my fear of roller coasters when I was a kid.
And then I kept doing it and I just kept getting sick and realized that why am I paying someone $100 a day to make me feel like I'm going to die?
It's true. So I don't do them anymore.
I still don't like them.
I still don't like them, but I'm not afraid of them.
Okay, I'm a little afraid of them. All right.
I'll tell you what I'm afraid of.
Hurricanes? Female coaches.
Now. Finally, hockey got good.
This is before we get to Kamala Harris and everything that you care about.
The Seattle Kraken, they made what they're now referring to as Herstory.
They made Herstory when they became the first NHL team to feature a woman coach.
And then he's making history with his staff as well.
Jessica Campbell, the first female full-time NHL assistant coach behind the bench in the opener for the crowd.
I wouldn't mind having her in the locker room.
She started playing college hockey at Cornell before winning multiple medals in international play with Team Canada.
She worked her way up as a coach, eventually landing in the AHL's Coachella Valley alongside Bilesma.
And she has said while she is honored to be the first, she does not plan on being the last gentleman.
Well, that's out of her control.
She'd plan on being the last.
It'd be weird if she did plan on being the last.
Yeah, but just don't say anything.
You don't have control over all of population earth female.
And by the way, this is, of course, has always happened.
She's accomplished nothing yet, but the film rights have already been licensed with the soon-to-be-released semi-autobiographical raunch comedy Snatch Shot.
So that's one that seems that...
Oh, come on. People on...
People on audio. You should go to video.
And we actually do have...
See, here's the thing. It's like Ocean's 8.
It's just lazy. Oh, yeah, that's right.
They're just taking a guy thing and then calling it a woman thing.
And we have a sneak peek.
That seems like that's what they've done with Slapshot.
It's a bit of a play.
Come on, what's he got left? Behind the net!
What's behind the net? Behind the net!
Hey, Herman! She's genderqueer!
I'm proud! I'm proud!
See, that's just...
Paul Newman wouldn't want that.
No. Paul Newman wouldn't do that.
No, he wouldn't do that. He was all about ranch comms and making ranch.
Ranch comms and ranch.
He made ranch comms. And Newman owes, which are actually better than the real Oreos.
Really? I don't believe that.
Yes, well... That's a lie.
That is fake news. Misinformation.
I got my foot caught up in my...
And my headphone wires...
Hey! You okay, buddy? Here's the thing.
There's nothing... The reason that it's an issue...
And, you know, Mission Control Fact Check me.
I think, if I'm not mistaken...
And by that, I mean I'm not mistaken.
If you're the best female hockey player who's ever lived at Cornell, you still have yet to take a hip check through the boards.
I don't know. Well, maybe she's not the physical fighting coach.
Did they have one of those? Does Pops Crowder got a side job as the fighting coach?
It's the reason that no one complains about a female curling coach or shuffleboard or whatever the hell it is.
But if it's not the same sport in physicality, you do not understand the absolute terror in which these men wake up.
And confirmed, no, it is not a physical contact at court.
No. You know what I used to do when I was at Cornell?
Why don't you do it like this?
Yeah, I would, except I lose my eyebrow tissue.
Gotta keep those brows. Kinda changes the whole dynamic.
Pop Scroider played hockey.
He played hockey at a pretty high level.
He will tell you, like, yeah, it's gotten really, really beautiful hockey now.
Hyperly technical. But you know what stops that pretty...
Is two palms right to the chest.
It's a great equalizer.
If you're not as technical, you can be physical.
If you don't have to take that into account, you can just coach people.
Well, you know what? Why don't you just go out?
Why don't you just do a wrist shot?
Oh! Is that all?
Did you try talking to him?
Did you try... Did you try the Bombay triple deke?
The deke? No, dude.
It's a hard move. I'm sure she's great.
It's three deeks. I'm sure she's great.
Good for her. And you know what? I bet you it's not lost on her.
But it's the women. It's the feminist writers out there who are like, well, why?
What's the problem with it? Imagine someone coaching.
Like football, because a lot of you may not follow hockey.
Coaching football in the NFL, a woman who played a sport where there was, like she only played flag football.
Yeah, exactly. Do you think that maybe she would have less to offer than someone who has three fractured vertebrae because they played against Warren Sapp?
Did you hit him back?
No. No, no, no, no.
We use our words.
She's the one that makes up all the new game plans.
Her new flying V will surprise you.
It's not the V you thought.
All right. Not to mention when she's three knucklepucks deep.
Now! We!
Whoa! She's a lesbian.
Speaking of words...
We know that none of you read Legacy Media anymore, at least the mainstream stuff.
But we don't want you to miss out on it.
So we have done this segment and they've gotten progressively worse.
These are actual news articles.
And sometimes the producers here, they put this together because they want to make me angry.
It's time for three headlines.
Extra, extra, meet all about it!
🎵 I want to get one of those goofy organs that makes all
those sounds.
And you just get a keyboard. Pullies and handles and...
You just get a keyboard. You can do all of it.
Oh, that's true. Yeah. Yeah, but it sounds fun.
All right. We'll put in a budget for a keyboard.
Nice Casio. You want to synthesize that?
Yeah, that was easy.
Yeah, I'll take that too. One of those things that make the music from your mouth.
That one. Kazoo? Kazoo.
Alright. Flutophone.
Third place this week.
From the Los Angeles Times.
All references available so you know this is real.
Vincent Frederick Colombo on reframing Creole identity with a unisex approach.
Okay. I don't know if I understand.
That's an actual thing. What does that mean?
Well, that's because you understate the importance of Creole identity, Gerald.
With a unisex approach, though.
Yes. That's the twist.
Which is important to Creole culture.
Well, how else would you approach it?
I don't know. That's my point.
My bisexual approach.
Who do you? That doesn't sound right either.
Here's an excerpt from it.
With the brand, Frederick Columbo has been able to, quote, reframe Creole identity.
Well, I'm glad they finally got around to that.
Through designs that serve as a connection point between the past and the future.
And you know what? I often think, hey...
It's high time. The future is Creole.
Is it? Utilizing elements like the Pan-African flag and queering classic silhouettes like workwear into something that feels unique to Frederick Colombo's story.
What? The past and the future.
Well, I'm glad that Frederick is looking to the future so we can serve our overlords in 1980 Creole.
Which is...
This is not a great...
I love it.
By the way, who is Frederick Colombo?
It sounds like a 16th century explorer.
He is an expert in the Creole future.
Okay, well, I wouldn't know.
Hey, you know what? I don't know. The Creole's been waiting for a future for a very long time.
It's not come. What does the Pan-African flag have to do with any of this?
Gerald, it's the three headlines segment.
Don't take it so seriously.
I think we have to see this.
I'm digging deeply into this.
There's your visionary appearance.
Hold on, hold on.
That is not a unisex approach.
That is absolutely a gay approach.
There's a very gay, male-gay approach.
Well, he should go down to Haiti next time there's an earthquake and hand out queer mesh tank tops.
Here, put this on. You would look so fabulous in the hurricane.
We are going to eat you, and not in the way you want.
Oh my god. Here's another one.
This is second place.
Comes from Vox.
This popular sex trend is far more dangerous than you think.
Let me guess. Promiscuous sodomy?
It's true. No.
Here's the best excerpt from it.
For young women and gender diverse folks...
Folks. Fan fiction comes up a lot.
If you go back 10 to 15 years, there's a lot of very graphic one-direction fan fiction where people were imagining Harry Styles and his bandmates choking each other and being super kinky together.
I don't know how much fiction there is.
Did the previous guy write this one, too?
They're all just going in different directions, it sounds like.
I don't know. It could be more of like a centrifuge.
No, we have a picture of this author, too.
We do? Yep. Here you go. Let's see a picture.
Yeah, that lady's totally sane.
Here's the thing. As gross as that woman is, on the inside, this is what a lot of women don't understand or appreciate as far as the dynamic between the sexes.
She could walk out of her house, apartment, whatever she's subletting, sharing.
In 12 minutes...
Could sleep with a strange man.
That woman still would find it incredibly easy to arrive at coitus.
In other words, you don't need to bring a whole lot to the table, which is why you write crap like this.
Here's the first place. New York Times, the paper of record.
Who gets to be a daddy?
The best compliment a man, gay or straight, old or not so old, can receive is to enter the pantheon of daddies.
What? Yes, the pantheon of gay daddies.
Who can forget this? What can you hold to that person?
Bruce Valanche.
Why does Bruce Valanche look like the costume designer from The Incredibles?
This is... This is...
Think about this. This is the New York Times.
And these are the people who say, ugh, podcasters, ugh, bloggers.
New York Times, this is what you put out there.
And you know what? Fine. Whatever.
I don't care. Here's an excerpt.
It says, if you're called a daddy in gay culture or out of a car window...
What? What?
Where does that happen, by the way? Here's the thing that I don't like.
I don't like that these degenerates write about their gross subcultures that were once relegated, you know, to the locker rooms or to the bathhouses, lest they get their ass kicked, figuratively or physically.
And now just assuming, like, we're out of the know, like we're not hip if we don't know about the newest grimy gay subculture, how about you just keep it off the front page?
Keep it off the pages!
Yeah, we keep catcalling off the pages, I think.
Yeah. Isn't that what catcalling or out of a car window?
Yeah, out of a car window. Well, if that was a woman, you'd be writing a pretty angry story, don't you think?
Well, here's the thing, though. It's not the catcalling that's the problem.
So if you're called daddy and gay culture out a car window, it's still largely a finger being pointed at your age.
Oh, no! At best, a way of indexing your sex appeal against your length of time on earth.
And almost always, implicitly, a way of saying, I'm young.
This is even true when young gay men use it as a flirtation device.
Okay, first off, there's not a lot of flirtation going on in the gay community, so much as basic asking.
There's not a lot of the dance of romance and seduction.
It's just, do you want it? Yep. Yep.
You don't need to flirt when it's two gay men.
Why? Because it's largely degenerate culture.
For proof, see the AIDS rates.
Another extra. A younger straight guy snatching the honorific over a gay co-star who is four years his senior is an indication of how murky and...
I just...
I just whatever this is this has been three headlines And for context when we're doing research for the show and
make all the references available we stumble across that stuff all the time
You're going like, hey, can we see the newest polling data?
Or, hey, can we see what's going on with the Katrina?
And you're like, what? I'm reading about gay Creole culture?
How is this pinned?
That's the DEI portion of these journalistic establishments.
And they get to be arbiters of truth, right?
They're considered authoritative sources.
How can you possibly be authoritative on gay Creole anything?
I can't imagine there's a consensus.
Right. I'm going to call misinformation on that, too, because I think the daddy thing isn't about being young and old.
I think the daddy thing is you want to have sex with a dad.
You want your dad. I think that's what that is.
Dude, it's weird. I don't like being called daddy.
A girl called me daddy once, and I said, you know what?
You want to call me daddy? I'll make it true.
I'll leave in the middle of the night like your real dad.
Aren't you wearing a shirt that says daddy in Spanish?
Well, sort of.
Daddy's.
It's my father's.
The papi.
No.
Not anymore.
I'm not going to do that.
No I'm not! What are you talking about, Steven? God dang it, dude! Man, he got you. Hey, Daddy! I'm helping him out!
He might be sending mixed signals.
Especially where's that in the gay community?
You know that crazy old half-Hispanic is going to show up.
Stay out of the gayborhood, Josh.
You'd have to move.
Gerald, you know I live in a gay Indian neighborhood.
I don't appreciate that.
That's right. They're coming for you, buddy.
It's gay adjacent.
Oh, no. Sorry. Sorry. All right.
Unintentional. Speaking of gay, Kamala Harris was on The View and on Stephen Colbert's show.
And you know what? Look. I don't think I've ever lost more respect for somebody in such a short amount of time.
Because Stephen Colbert was funny, and he sort of was under the umbrella of Jon Stewart, got the draft in behind him.
This program, his program, Stephen Colbert, is an example of claptor to a degree that I've never seen.
Like, they don't even attempt to be funny anymore.
And it really just borders on political propaganda.
But for those of you who missed it, this is part of the Kamala Harris strategy, right?
The Blitz, which, by the way, is not going well.
Please welcome back the next president of the United States.
There's a man there.
I guess tonight is the Democratic nominee for president of the United States.
Please welcome back to The Late Show, Vice President Kamala Harris.
Yay! So according to MSNBC, Kamala Harris silences critics with media blitz targeting key younger voters.
Silence no one.
Not according to Polly Market.
So, that's getting worse.
That's close to a seven-point spread at this point.
In other words, Kamala Harris, I talked about this, like, it's...
What does she do?
Like I said, she's going to have a bump, but she is going to find herself in her own personal hell.
Right now, I guarantee you, advisors are saying, hey, look, either we pull the Biden playbook, we go silent, try and whip up an October surprise and hope for the best, or she has to continue going through this blitz.
And every time she appears, her numbers get worse.
And the reason that's so important is because it's not about messaging.
It's not about perhaps not having the strongest ground game.
It means that Kamala Harris, her Achilles heel, is who she is.
It's her soul that people are rejecting.
You could not have a more personal rejection as a human being than what you are seeing with Kamala Harris.
That's tough. It almost makes me feel bad for her.
Almost. So, let me give you some of the highlights here, because yesterday we were doing the Howard Stern SimulStream, and the view was going on at that moment in time.
It's worse than we knew yesterday.
Yeah, because we talked about it just a little bit.
We talked about it. I didn't realize the question was asked twice.
So if you go back, remember everyone was saying, including on the right and then those on the left, if you look at the debates, they're saying it right now on ESPN or CNN, not a thing I'd do differently than Biden.
That's the quote. That's what they're saying here on CNN right now.
But before we arrived at this juncture, You saw Donald Trump, I believe we had Donald Trump Jr.
on the show, and people were saying, yeah, you know what, you just got to make sure that you flip that ticket.
Biden-Harris is basically Harris-Biden.
Everything that Biden has done, you make sure that you burden Kamala Harris with that, right?
you connect her to Joe Biden, so these last three and a half years are absolutely laid
at her feet.
Yeah.
And then the left was saying, and they have to make sure that they find a way, right,
Kamala Harris's campaign to distance herself from Biden and present her as refreshing and
an example of change.
So in other words, this is not something that is in dispute.
Everyone knew that the right strategy was to tie her to Biden.
And a key facet of the left strategy would have to involve untying her, untangling her
from the Biden disastrous presidency.
Because if they don't do that, then Donald Trump can just contrast, right?
Like we've always said, you have eight years of Obama, four years of Donald Trump, and
another three and a half years of Biden.
One of these things is not like the other.
If you can simply swap out Biden for Harris, she loses.
But here's the thing.
What nobody expected from the left while they were trying to remove her from being associated
with Biden was her bringing him right back in.
Here you go. What do you think would be the biggest specific difference between your presidency and a Biden presidency?
Well, we're obviously two different people, and we have a lot of shared life experiences.
For example, the way we feel about our family and our parents and so on.
But we're also different people, and I will bring those sensibilities to how I lead.
You know, for example, I know we're going to talk today, but one of the things that we're very focused on is what we're doing around home health care.
I have done a lot of work as it relates to, sadly, violence against women and children.
I care a lot about that. It is unreal.
Ugh. And pause.
So, that's bad.
We are different people.
Well, no one's saying you're conjoined twins.
Where's Ben Carson when you need him?
Sunny Hostin decides, I'm going to give her a lifeline and just, she's trying to help her.
Give her a layup. Okay, but now I'm going to give it to you again, right?
You're not Joe Biden.
Watch your answer. Something differently than President Biden during the past four years.
There is not a thing that comes to mind in terms of and I've been a part of
Most of the decisions that have had impact Every member of the view wanted to do at that moment
Exactly. They look for a window to jump out of.
Whoopi was like, take me back to Hollywood Squares.
Yes. That's a great impression, by the way.
I don't think there's ever been a worse candidate as far as now.
I mean, there have been people who've been in worse situations.
Like, John McCain wasn't a good candidate.
Mitt Romney wasn't a good candidate.
Bob Dole wasn't a very good candidate.
John Kerry was not a good candidate.
This is the worst presidential candidate, I think.
And by the way, that includes Biden.
You can comment below if you disagree, and I'll get to the swing states in a bit.
That's not...
Not only...
It's not a presidential answer.
It's not even an answer at all.
It's just a generic yearbook comment.
Yes, don't ever change There's not much else to know
You can go and watch the whole thing at The View.
Let's go to Colbert. All right.
Same exact question.
And the crazy thing to me is...
The pre-fab, the answer that's so bad is a premeditated answer.
Yeah. She actually, one of her talking points is, well, we are two different human beings.
Like, that's her answer.
Here, watch her say the same thing with Colbert.
You are a member of the president of the administration.
Under a Harris administration, what would the major changes be, and what would stay the same?
Sure. Well, I mean, I'm obviously not Joe Biden.
And so that would be one change in terms of...
But also, I think it's important to say with 28 days to go, I'm not Donald Trump.
And so when we think about the significance of what this next generation of leadership looks like, were I to be elected president, it is about, frankly, I love the American people.
And I believe in our country.
I... I love that it is our character and nature to be an ambitious people.
You know, we have aspirations.
We have dreams.
We have incredible work ethic.
And I just believe that we can create and build upon the success we've achieved in a way that we continue to grow opportunity.
Wake up! What happened?
Do you want to take this, Jill?
Anything to offer? Here's all I'll say.
Nobody cleaned her up between interviews.
Nobody said, you know, like, hey, hey, hey, can you do me a favor and maybe say, you know what, I love a lot of the stuff that we accomplished, but I'm a different person and I'll do some things maybe a little bit differently than Joe Biden because of blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
Nobody got to her to tell her that this is a really bad answer to go...
Aspirations! Yeah, yeah.
Black men can't stand her.
No. We'll get to those numbers in a little bit.
It's that non-stop nagging.
I mean, it's very...
It's frowned upon in African-American, people of color, culture, a woman who is nagging and shrill and never answers anything.
Bill Whitaker showed us that. He was severely annoyed.
Who hired her staffers?
Joe Biden? Like, who's her advisors?
Like... This will get her.
If she was somebody that worked for me, and I had asked her questions, and she answered me consistently like that, I would end up throwing things at the wall.
I would be so frustrated. She's the person, like you were saying, you would avoid at a party.
Yeah. Oh, dude. Yeah.
Because you think she's cool, right?
She's laughing. She's telling a story like, oh, that's good.
And then you get over there, and you're like, what are you talking about?
Right. Yeah. And she won't let you leave.
No, I've got to tell you about my father and my uncle and my nephew and me and my husband.
We went to a baseball game and we saw the Spurs play the Packers.
What are you talking about?
No, but I need all of your attention and energy this entire evening.
Because I don't want to be alone.
So don't go socialize.
Just spend time with me.
Did I tell you about the time I drank the champagne of beers?
Oh my gosh. Oh, let's hear the story about it was a Sunday and you were making pancakes and your niece was over.
Yeah, exactly. You're trying to get hammered to forget you were a vice president.
Trying to sell you antimicrobial socks as part of a pyramid scheme.
It's like, hurry up and get it over with.
Jimmy Carter's waiting to die for this.
Also, let's remind the American people you're a drunk.
Yes, exactly. Because right now, Colbert's like, hey, the president's the person you'd want to have a beer with.
Fine. I mean, that's another thing to just gloss over, that Donald Trump doesn't touch drugs, never has.
He's been a teetotaler because his brother ruined his life with it, which, you know, he deserves some credit.
Yeah, what a dork. Drink and do drugs, kids.
Yeah, exactly. Dare?
Yeah, I double dog dare you to drink this beer.
And crappy beer, no offense.
Well, here is Kamala Harris showing you that she is just like...
Elections, I think, are one on vibes because one of the old saws is they just want somebody they can have a beer with.
So would you like to have a beer with me so I can tell people what that's like?
Vibes, not policy. Okay.
Yes. I'm just curious.
Okay, the last time I had beer was at a baseball game with Doug.
Okay, so cheers. There you go.
Watch this. Ooh.
That tastes like the beautiful city of Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
The champagne of beers. There you go.
Now I'm just saying slogans.
She read the can. More taste, less filling.
She didn't even say this. She read the slogan on the can.
Great taste. The champagne of beers.
Bud Light, the sure sign of a good time.
Is that what it is, or is it here we go?
This Bud's for you. They've had a ton of them.
This Bud's for you. Trans people love it.
All that stuff. And if she read it, she'd be confused.
Like, this Bud's for you.
Oh, sorry. And give it to Colbert.
Aw. Nothing about her.
That seems even remotely genuine.
Dude, if she had grabbed that beer and then stood up on the chair, pulled out a knife, and went...
I would be like, this chick just got my vote.
I don't even care, dude. I would be ashamed and I wouldn't even care.
I'd be like, dude, you gotta vote for the beer chug and shotgun lady.
Absolutely. A butt chug would win her Wisconsin.
Oh, I'd vote for her twice!
Lock it up! So...
Oh, great job, Billy!
Good timing there. The good news is that she finds herself in great company because the left really, for some reason, thinks that they relate to you through beer.
How often do you get to sneak out for a beer?
Very rarely. Everyone else around him is just scared to do their normal day.
But once in a while, I'll take Michelle out on a date night.
Stop staring at the black guy.
I think I killed himself just after that.
Thank you for being here.
Pleasure. He did too, by the way.
Enjoy your beer. Gretchen Whitmer.
Toast to you. Your new moon swive.
Mayor Pete.
Now you're all that monkey.
Drunk in public? Is he breaking the law?
That wasn't a beer, by the way.
Was this before or after the train derailment in Ohio?
I don't know, but it looks... They were celebrating it?
Oh, I see. Let's be honest.
Let's be honest. It looks like he's being raped in a prison yard.
Probably so, yeah. It's not a good look.
It looks like they're making him drink it.
Yes. Like, alright guys, yeah.
Keep it in the bag? I keep it in the bag.
Okay, because of the police. If you want to keep your ass, you take a drink.
Yeah. Can I have my poppers first?
No poppers for you!
Brain damage!
I'm the mayor! There's nothing like a Mickey's in the afternoon!
Get your papas going soon!
Jeez. I'm sorry.
That was just pure annoyment from living in New York.
You could hear the genuine revulsion from the truth.
Tim's heard that conversation outside a park.
So here's the thing.
The media blitz, like we've said, it's only making things worse for Kamala.
I do a pretty...
Good job, I think, when I go, okay, if I were advising Kamala, what would I tell her to do?
At this point, I don't know.
I think there's no good answer.
I think if there's anything that could switch, and anything can happen, the momentum can switch, it will have to come from some kind of outside force, meaning it won't actually be from Kamala or Walls.
There'll have to be some kind of crazy October surprise.
Don't really... Could happen, but I would expect this gap that's now at seven points, which is pretty substantial, by the way, to either widen a little bit or stay pretty close to that.
That's what I think we'll be seeing.
And again, this is not a rejection of politics as a game.
This is not she didn't focus on one key state.
This is not even about the Electoral College.
When people say, drink a beer with...
Look, the only thing people know about Kamala Harris...
Is kind of her personality.
They don't really know her policies.
So the reason people don't like her and the numbers are shifting against her is because of who she is.
It's her soul that people can't stand.
And by the way, black men don't like Kamala.
This is a big reason why. You would think the first black female potential president, half black, whatever it is that you want to go with today, you'd think he would...
Nope. Over 25% of black men under the age of 50 actively support Trump.
Guarantee you there's a higher number of secret Trump supporters there.
You know what? I will tell you this.
Spending time, especially in comedy, but around black men in particular.
I mean, it's rare that I spend time with black women just because I don't know why.
But I've never met one who actually thought that Trump was racist.
And I've certainly never met one black man, meaning someone who's not in media, of course, when I was on Fox News and up here on CNN. Very, very different.
The Van Joneses of the world are very different from the people who you will meet in the area of town that's largely black.
I've never met one who thinks that the Trump voter is a racist or is afraid of them.
I really haven't. Even the ones who don't like Trump, I don't think that they hate you the way the left hates you.
That's been my experience.
You guys can comment if you're experienced.
That's what we do, black and white and the gray issues.
I actually feel more comfortable discussing politics with black men who we've been told are 100% Democrat, right, a monolith, than frankly, Often suburban white women.
That's just me.
And the numbers are reflecting it.
They are shifting. I think Kamala is going to accelerate that.
She's like a nitro boost on the exile of black men from their party.
Yeah, it doesn't seem...
And Donald Trump, by the way, has gained five points on that number.
It was 20% in...
He was up plus, I guess, 20% in 2020.
Yeah, 20% support. So now it's 25%.
So he's gaining... I think?
They also, I think, they're starting to see through the Democrat facade.
It's not just Kamala Harris's personality.
She is doing the same things that Democrats have done for decades, which is say, I'm going to give you free stuff, right?
Every single one of her policies, if you look at it, is free stuff for people.
That's all she can do. She has nothing else to offer.
Free stuff, free stuff, free stuff.
I'm not going to make the economy better. But she's not even doing that so much because she doesn't really even talk about the free stuff, aside from some credits.
Yeah. Yeah, it's tax credits.
That's free stuff, right? So tax credits, free stuff.
The latest thing that she came out with was home health care is going to be provided by Medicaid now.
Free stuff. Again, more taxpayer spending.
I think what the black guys are going is like, how about you do something about the economy and jobs?
I don't need your free stuff because you guys have been telling us free stuff for 50 years and it hasn't worked.
I think they're kind of fed up and they don't like her personality on top of it.
And it's just pushing them away in droves.
Yeah, well, I think you're partially right.
I don't think people think of Kamala Harris as the free stuff president because, frankly, she's not even good with the messaging.
Not yet. Yeah, I agree. But if you look at all of her policies, you see it's just nothing but tax cuts and giving away money.
And here's something else to think of.
When Taylor Swift, obviously, like the most popular celebrity online, or I guess probably in the world, endorses you, and then she has a song that she's using, and Beyonce has given her a stamp of approval, and she's on Stephen Colbert, and she's still not winning.
What do you think would happen if we just had some kind of balance in the media or the entertainment industry?
In other words, all of this celebrity power, it is influential.
It is. But it's still not enough.
That tells you how bad this person is.
I mean, like, people on, you know, Donald Trump has, like, you know, Jon Voight and Scott Baio, nice people, but it's not Beyonce and Taylor Swift.
It's not. Yeah, it's not. It's not even, it wouldn't even be close.
If media was balanced, if the entertainment media industrial complex represented just sort of, was a mirror of the rest of the United States of America, meaning close to 50-50, the Democrats would never win another election again.
It couldn't possibly happen.
It's 100% all hands on deck, all firepower to make it seem like Kamala Harris is likable.
And it can't work. And this is what gets me concerned.
Look, I don't want to be one of those people who's a doomsday because I've seen it where then people don't go out, they don't vote, they just want to demoralize everyone else.
Oh, the game is rigged. Look, yes, the left is constantly engaged in foul play, but...
Let's be logical about this.
Their first choice would be to not have to cheat in an obvious way, right?
To do it with lies by omission, by using media bias, by throttling searches, right?
By flat-out censoring searches, as we've seen from Google and YouTube, as we've seen with Facebook and Meta in the past.
Thank God, not X and not Rumble right now.
They would rather do that than they would rather do the press tour.
They would rather put out some lies in the media, right?
They'd rather do... But when they don't work, okay, they do have some Hail Marys that involve blatant cheating.
They haven't done that yet.
I think they're getting to that point.
So I say this because I've told you it's lie, lie, lie, cheat.
We're in that last lie phase.
And come election night, if it doesn't work, and I don't think it's going to work leading up to election, that's when you can expect some kind of cheating.
And that's why we are gearing up for the election livestream of the century, November 5th.
This year, 2024, we will have the live electoral integrity map.
We will have boots on the ground, investigative journalists, every major city of every major swing state across this country.
No one will have the data.
No one will have the ability.
That we have on that night to call, dispute states, and let you know everything that is going on across this country.
If there is any foul play whatsoever, huge undertaking, click that button.
You can join Mug Club in addition to everything else you get.
But we do need your support.
Go mugless for $9 a month.
Just do it monthly between now and election so that we can be here for as long as the election drags on.
Dear God, I hope...
That's the real reason, selfishly, I'm hoping for a walk-off from Donald Trump so that I don't have to be here for three days.
Yeah. Absolutely.
Pennsylvania, help us out. And by the way, look, let your freak flag fly, right?
We have, obviously, fantastic Trump stuff at our shop, crowdershop.com.
We don't sell this, but get a Trump hat.
Get something to show people around you.
Because every time I see somebody in a Trump hat or in my neighborhood, I've started seeing more Trump yard signs, a Trump flag flying.
And this isn't a neighborhood that's super...
It's a bit conservative, obviously, but it's not over the top.
But you see it and you're like, these are my people.
It kind of emboldens you a little bit.
So don't be the person who's just like, ah, hide from all this stuff.
Let it out there a little bit.
That's what I think, too, because I'm completely against this hero worship that you see from some people where Trump can do no wrong.
But it's sort of because they've tried to make you afraid simply for voting Trump.
It's sort of become like drawing half that Christian fish.
Whereas you used to be able to say, you know, in other words, Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger can say, I'm a Republican, but it doesn't mean anything.
But if you put something out there that is even remotely pro-Trump, that means you're taking a risk and other people see it.
That's how Donald Trump acts as a symbol for a lot of people.
And by the way, it probably would be the same thing if it happened to be Ron DeSantis.
But it's not. This is where we are.
And I think it's important for you to find your people.
Put up your bat signal, as it were.
Let's go to the swing states here and some updates.
It's pretty interesting. To not just look at the recent polls, but to look contextually at where these polls were this time in the last election cycle and what the end result was.
Because if you look at that, the news gets even better.
But for those of you who don't know, if you've been living...
Why do people say under a rock?
I have no idea. I don't know.
Living in women's Ivy League hockey.
Same thing. You may not know that there's an election underway and the margins are closed.
Simply put, this race hasn't moved.
It has been continuously very, very tight.
And one way you can get an understanding of that is I want to take you through history, all right?
Campaigns where any candidate held a lead of at least five or more points in the polls.
We're going to go all the way back since 1964.
What? Since when?
1964? Everybody says it that way.
All 15 of them from 1964 to 2020.
If you look this year, there have been zero days, count them, zero days, where either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump has been ahead by at least five points in the poll.
Why is he dressed like a rotten banana? Also...
Rewind that. First, it was like, 1964?
We will go back 48 fortnights!
And then look, he underlines, he says, there have been zero days, but he underlines 2024.
Rewind. It's a completely irrelevant underline.
Campaigns where any candidate held a lead of at least five or more points in the polls.
We're going to go all the way back since 1964.
Okay, it's on the screen. Most campaigns, most campaigns, at least one candidate has led by five points or more at least three weeks.
In fact, all 15 of them from 1964 to 2020.
What's that, a half parentheses?
If you look this year, there have been zero days.
There have been zero days. And he underlines 2024!
What is he doing? There have been zero days.
2024, let me give you a green highlighter.
Why? Did you notice it took a second, too?
Because the graphics guy was like, oh, shit, wrong spot.
What is it doing? It's a touchscreen.
It's a touchscreen, and he wanted it there, and now he has to use it to justify the expense.
It makes zero sense.
Come on, Gerald. I'll ruin my fantasy.
So, of course, it comes down to a few key states.
Now, let's look at some of these swing states.
So, Arizona. That's a big one, right?
Let's look at the RCP average right now.
Donald Trump is leading by 1.4.
Now, that's well within the margin of error, to be clear.
At this point in time, in 2020, Biden was leading by 2.7%.
Okay? So, Biden was leading by 2.7.
So, that's, you know, that's a three-point or so swing.
Keep in mind... Well, yeah.
Close. You're not a math Asian.
I get it. Yeah, I guess you're right.
Yeah, because I'm going up and like...
And I was looking at the next number.
Biden won by 0.3%.
Jeez. So in other words, when Biden was up close to 3% in the polls, he won by 0.3, and now Trump is up by 1.4.
That context does matter.
In most of these states, there are some exceptions, you've seen Donald Trump overperform polling.
But here's something interesting here, and Elaine, the brain helped point this out.
Here's a key trend in Arizona.
And we had to double-check this.
Because it almost defies belief.
Yeah. And we'll make the references, of course, they're always available to you.
Link in the description or ladderwithcredit.com every day.
So you can tell us if you think we've gotten anything wrong.
Yeah. Is that in Arizona, the Latino male vote is startling.
So Arizona, Latino men, Hispanic men, age 18 to 34.
Trump is winning them by 12%.
He's up 12%.
That's a lot. Jeez. Now, it's even more when you understand that in 2020, that 18 to 34, call them young Hispanic men, Biden won them by 21%.
Wow. Biden won them by 21, and now Trump is up by 12.
Then you go to the number overall, it gets worse.
All Hispanic or Latino men, or sorry, the next demographic, 35 to 49.
Biden was up by 21 in 2020 with Hispanic men over age 35.
Trump is up by 20.
Wow. That's a 40-point difference.
Yeah, that's a huge, huge swing.
Don't look at it as like, oh, he's winning.
It's like, he not only is winning, he's taking back losses from the past.
Yeah. He was massively losing.
Now he's plus 20 in that group.
That's insane. And the craziest thing is the guy, Donald Trump, is winning Hispanic voters in places like Arizona.
Largely campaigning on a wall!
Yeah, please tell me there's a white or a black guy at CNN who's going to tell these Hispanics what they need to know.
Yeah, exactly. Maybe we were wrong on the whole wall thing.
Maybe we need... If they're going to be plus 20 for Trump, it's like...
Maybe I have citizenship right this way!
We may say you're a dreamer.
Would you like to vote?
Here you go. Just kidding, of course.
Sure, you can have a ballot. You know what?
Take two. Dos.
Let's go. Yes. Thank you, Padre.
Let's go. De nada.
Dos, de nada. Let's go to Nevada.
Now, Nevada, a lot of people are just sort of saying, ah, it's clear that Harris will win Nevada.
Ah, I don't know.
That's not true. So she's up the average right now by 1.1%, well within the margin of error.
At this point in that election, 2020, Biden was up by 6%, but he only won it by about 2.4%.
So we're well within the margin of error.
Biden was well beyond the margin of error, and he barely won it.
If there's at all, put it this way, if these polls have not corrected, as they've said that they have, for the secret Trump voter, it could be a giant red wave of a map.
Not saying it will be, but I'm saying this is going to be a referendum on what we've known to be polling.
If they have not actually accounted for the secret Trump voter, this could be the most embarrassing moment for pollsters in modern American history.
Another key trend, while we're talking about Nevada, let's look at Latino men again.
So maybe Arizona exists in a vacuum.
Nope. Trump, with Nevada Latino men, 18 of 49, he's up by 13%.
He's winning them by 13.
Now, unlike Arizona, he did win them by 3%.
So basically a split.
Basically a split in 2020.
He's up by 13%.
He may win Nevada.
Thank you, Mexicans. And that's a bigger...
Do they have any other songs?
Well... I don't think so. There's another one.
A lot of them sound like that. It's Feliz Navidad.
Yes. I do love that one, though.
It's a lot of fun. It is a good one.
Michael Bublé does an amazing job.
Yeah, well... The white guy doing a Spanish song is always my favorite.
It's appropriation. Yeah, it is.
I like the little neon sign, the Christmas Santa Claus that sings Feliz Navidad and his mustache moves.
I don't know that one. I have a good laugh.
You can find it on some houses around here.
What were we about to say, Gerald? I was about to say, so a couple of things.
This is a broader group. The last time we split the age group up between 18 and 49, right?
So this is a broader group, and he's still winning by a big, big number, more than he did last time.
But also these polls, if you look at the RCP averages, a lot of the more recent polls have Trump up.
Yes. In these cases. Even if Kamala Harris maybe has a 1.1 lead overall, the latest poll a lot of times has Trump maybe up plus one.
Still within the margin of error, but you're starting to see a trend go a different direction for Donald Trump in these polls.
Right. Well... Sorry.
I missed the cough button. Let's go to Georgia.
You didn't even try! You didn't even try!
You didn't even try!
Reach out and touch my cough button.
What was the name of the son? That's weird.
I don't know. A personal Jesus?
Is that what you're talking about? No, I'm talking about Hook.
Oh! Reach out and touch my hand, boy.
Rufio? No.
No. Little boy from What About Bob.
He didn't even try. Tyler.
He didn't even try. All right.
You're afraid you're going to be sucked out?
Brendan. Ew.
You're just making up words.
Caleb. Now you're just saying names.
You stop saying names.
Georgia. And by the way, if you listen closely, you can hear it.
That's the sound of Stacey Abrams still not accepting the election results in Georgia.
Cheated. The RCP average has Trump up by 1.5%.
Okay. So that's well within the margin of error.
2020, they were tied by Biden and Trump at this point.
Now, Biden won by 0.3% in Georgia.
And that's assuming... Let no pipe burst.
Let's just assume that everything was on the up and up and there was nothing there that could be considered underhanded.
So, in Georgia, actually, the polls were pretty close, pretty accurate, and it's within the margin of error.
The more recent polls have Trump up consistently.
And if you look at the betting odds, the betting odds are very strong for him winning in Arizona.
Here's another key trend, though, in Georgia that we're seeing.
This is surprising to a lot of people.
Young voters. Young voters.
Trump lost them by 13 points in 2020.
Approximately. He's winning them by 5.
Oh, wow. We're giving you an estimate because exit polling isn't exactly the same.
So call it anywhere, he lost them by 10 to 15 points in 2020.
He's winning them by 5.
It's young voters, meaning Gen Z voters, older Gen Z voters who can vote.
Young millennials, right? I've been telling you guys this for a while.
You may be surprised to find that there's a segment of Gen Z that is the most conservative at this point in time, meaning at this point in their lifespan, than any generation.
Baby boomers were far more liberal.
Generation X was far more liberal.
Millennials were far more liberal because they've been steeped in it.
I know you see everything on TikTok and you see those trends, but young Or old enough to vote Gen Z males are far more conservative than their parents were at that point in time.
So again, don't just believe the pessimism that's out there.
Are they going to naturally be more?
Well, yes, young people are stupid.
They don't have a dog in the fight.
So the fact that Donald Trump is winning them at all or even close to a tie, that's huge.
But I thought Kamala was brat.
Yeah, but these kids are being over-lefted.
Sure, I know what that means, either.
They're trying to unburden themselves from the leftism that's all around them.
Everywhere they go, dude. Their adult life started with, especially dudes, their adult life started with, you suck, you're the problem, why won't you marry me?
Well, yes. And also...
I want to fuck other people.
Can you marry me, please? That's not how it's supposed to work.
Also, let's add to that mix.
Let's picture you're a Gen Z of voting age.
So you're in high school. Let's just say, put yourself in these shoes right now.
You're a liberal, about to go out into the world Gen Z. Picture it in your mind's eye.
You're 16. School's shut down.
Yes! Yes!
Yes! My life has been irreparably damaged.
It's one thing if you're 35, from 35 to 37, it's a whole different ballgame when you're 16 to 18, or 18 to 20 entering the workforce, and these, where you are so malleable, these formative years for you in the workplace or in higher education, cannot, it couldn't be possible, they cannot equip you for
the real world because it was a fantasy world, effectively. It was a
nightmare world because of COVID and because of the policy and young people
are smart enough, they're smart enough to understand the reason for that. I
think that's a huge why you're seeing that older Gen Z, kind of old enough to
vote, veering to the right.
And you know what?
Hey, it sucks because it was the worst time in our country's history that I can remember.
But sometimes, you know, that's unfortunately what's required for people to wake up.
Well, they also kind of broke the stranglehold of media, right?
So young people now have a lot more options to go and find out what's really going on.
They can do their own homework. They don't have to just buy what's being...
They don't have cable. They're not watching ABC. They're not watching NBC, Fox, CNN. That's a good point.
For example, when CNN completely doctored Joe Rogan, right, and made him look yellow on ivermectin, CNN knows that to 50 and up, They actually get to define Joe Rogan.
In other words, people will believe of Joe Rogan what CNN tells them.
People below the age of 30, below the age of 25...
CNN doesn't get to define Joe Rogan. They go straight to Joe Rogan and go, oh, okay, you're lying, right?
You're lying. That's why they want to be played in airports doctors offices hotel lobbies
They're not actually being played in homes and certainly not live on people's smart devices
Yeah, and there's a lot of bad that comes with that too because people have a short attention span, but they don't
get to define Who someone is?
To a younger generation because they're more likely to get it from the original source themselves
It's a huge difference. Also, they've watched it. They've seen it right people
They know people that are relevant people that this is a great example because Joe Rogan has had everyone on his
show, right?
So it's like they've seen multiple clips throughout their adult legend the short adult life and then somebody who has
never watched over It's like oh look he has John does yeah. Yeah
I figure that you'll have some kid who doesn't even like, let's say a young liberal, right?
And they have a dad who watches CNN at the dinner table.
He's going, did you hear that Joe Rogan has taken horse medicine and he looks like he has jaundice?
And the kids are like, I don't even like him.
He's not taking horse medicine, dad.
He's taking ivermectin. That's the most commonly prescribed antiviral on earth, probably.
And he doesn't have jaundice. I see him every day.
He doesn't have jaundice. That's the conversation that would take place.
And you're going to turn that kid into a rebel.
What's he rebelling against? The people who watch CNN. The establishment.
So there is a lot to be said for that.
Let's go to North Carolina. The RCP average has Trump up by 0.6%.
Now that doesn't seem like a lot.
And North Carolina was not really seen as a swing state.
But a lot of you may be forgetting that in 2020, Biden was up at this point in time by 1.8%.
Call it 2%.
What were the results?
Trump won North Carolina by 1.3%.
1.3%.
So again, Donald Trump significantly overperformed the polling in 2020, and now he's well within the margin of error, but he's up, and the most recent polls have him up.
Let's look at a key trend, too, in North Carolina, and this is something important because it's something that you can help with, okay?
Maybe we're looking at the legalities of it when you get to it.
Well, I'm saying if you're part of a group in North Carolina, something that you can help with.
And we may actually be able to partner up with some groups and help with this.
Like, in Avery County, 14 of the 19 polling stations are completely unusable, of course, because of the natural disaster.
I'm not saying that it's Democrat space lasers.
Of course. They don't have those.
But this does disproportionately affect one group, because Avery County was a Trump by a margin of 50 points.
Trump plus 50. Trump plus 50.
Okay, in every county. And 14 out of 19 polling stations there are not actually usable at all.
So the North Carolina State Board of Electors actually just approved new rules, right, some changes because of Hurricane Helene.
That's where it would be appropriate.
Not just mass mail-in voting period Pennsylvania, at Pennsylvania, violating your state constitution, but
okay, a rule change because people aren't actually able to get to these polling stations or they're not working to
vote.
So outreach groups now can actually help people in shelters fill out ballots
and we're looking in to see if we can have some people help out there.
If we can't, please look into the groups in your area who you can partner up with
because that could quite literally affect the state.
When you're talking about a natural disaster like this, you could have voter turnout be wildly different from the
historical trends and you could have a huge impact on that if you're in North
Carolina.
And also, it's no small thing that North Carolina residents right now are saying that the government is nowhere to be found.
I can say that a lot of people who are in these very isolated communities say that they haven't seen government efforts.
But again, that's just what they're seeing in these very small towns that only locals really know how to navigate.
So we'll keep you updated on that with more as we kind of get to the bottom of it.
I have to go now to Michigan, my kind of home state to my everlasting shame.
And also, Michigan is a weird one.
Look, I've been very straightforward, okay?
I do not think the election was the most free and fair election of our time.
Just to be clear.
And I think that Michigan is the worst example.
And I think that there was so much nefarious activity going on in Michigan with that 100,000 plus vote dump almost entirely for Biden in the middle of the night.
They made that margin so wide that They were hoping no one would question.
Like, well, come on. You think you're going to cheat to the tune of 160,000 votes?
Yes, absolutely. In Michigan, I know the state.
I know the state legislature.
100% I believe it could happen because I have zero faith.
Zero faith in Michigan state government.
Michiganders, you let me know.
That's not to crap on the state, the people of the state.
But yes, the state government of Michigan is awful.
And for proof, for proof.
See, Detroit. Always a far-left mayor from 1961 to today.
It would be the left's utopia, and it's gradually spread its cancerous politics across the state.
Urban farming, Stephen.
Detroit, the pewter city.
Yes! 1961.
1900, you're right, and 61.
Detroit, it's grayscale in real life.
So the RCP average right now has Harris up by 0.5%.
Okay, she's up. Again, it's in the margin of error.
Biden was up in 2020 by 6.7% at this moment in time, and he only ended up winning by 2.8%.
So again, keep that in mind.
Now, Michigan was the biggest surprise to me in 2016.
Donald Trump was not winning Michigan, according to the polls.
They had Biden up by 6.7%.
He wasn't even close in the final vote.
And Hillary Clinton was nowhere close in her final vote.
It surprised me.
But at this point, it actually seems well within the realm of possibility.
Again, the trend that you are seeing is that the numbers are significantly better now than they were in 2020, and the Democrats have consistently underperformed on a national scale.
Local elections are different than their polling in the final result.
And a key trend, in Michigan, this is interesting to me, and I don't know if it's just because of population loss or because of the high murder rate, but The Democrat percentage, or self-identified Democrats in Michigan, it's been going down consistently.
So in 2008 with Obama, 16.4 is the lead that they had.
Then in 2012 with Obama, Democrats had a lead of 9.5.
Then Clinton had a lead of 7.3, and Clinton didn't win the state.
Now, I don't know why that's the case.
Also, and we'll get to Wisconsin, here's the Teamsters president kind of talking about Democrats screwing unions, which have a very strong stranglehold on Michigan.
This is not to say that I now trust the Teamsters union, because you can hear him be a selfish prick, but at least he's, you know, the enemy of my enemy, however it goes.
They have f***ed us over for the last 40 years and for once, and not all of them.
But for once, we're standing up as a union, probably the only one right now, saying, what the f*** have you done for us?
And I'm getting attacked from the left.
Since I've been in office two and a half years, we've given the Democratic machine $15.7 million.
We've given Republicans about $340,000, truth be told.
So it's like people say the Democratic Party is a party of the working people.
They're bought and paid for by big tech.
Those big tech companies.
Yeah, tech is the new fossil fuel, man.
That's what I say.
Right.
And you've got the Republicans who are now saying, hey, we want to be the working class
party, right?
And OK, you've got a great opportunity right now to do that.
And the Democrats, if 60 percent of our members aren't supporting you, the f***ing system's
Now, I mean, I'm glad to see them crapping on the Democrat Party, but what he really means is you have an opportunity to do that, right?
Okay, so if a Republican says, yeah, but people shouldn't have to join a union if they want to work in your state and they haven't agreed upon, all right, done.
You're going to find yourself in a river with concrete shoes.
So it is entirely selfishly motivated.
Yeah, we want you to force people to buy our crap that nobody wants to buy.
Well, no, that's not how it works either.
But the left certainly does make a point.
You know, the left has been largely supported by big unions.
Now they are supported by big tech.
And big tech has more money.
What have you done for us?
What have you done for us?
Go to your job? Go to work?
Hey, look, thank you, union, for your five-day work week.
Well, I work weekends. Yeah, well, you're a pussy.
You must not be in a union.
Must not be in a union making benefits, even when you have, like, three retirees per worker.
Matt's not a strong suit, bitch.
They're just mad that they're no longer the bell of the ball.
That's what it is. Unions were the biggest donors to Democrats, and now Big Tech has kind of replaced them.
That's what it sounded like. It sounded like some jealousy there.
It sounded like, well, the new girlfriend is way hotter and younger.
It's not fair. Yeah, all right.
Okay, you go down to your Arnie Ones pretzels with your Bill Gates and your Bezos.
I never loved you anyway.
Bitch. Oh, go ahead and eat dinner at your Gumar's house.
Yeah. Yeah, you and your Zuckerbergs and your Jack Dorseys.
You probably take it up the A. Because they're still homophobic.
So let's go to Wisconsin here.
And this is what I've said. I actually think that Wisconsin is more likely for Donald Trump to win than Michigan.
Let me tell you why.
Because I know a lot of people in Wisconsin.
I know a lot of people in Michigan.
Harris is only up by 0.8% right now in the RCP average.
Biden was up by 5.5%.
Biden only ended up winning by 0.7%.
So again, this is well within...
I'm not going to say plausible.
I'll give these things a coin toss.
They really are. Wisconsin, Michigan, coin toss.
If you look at the most recent polling for Biden when he was getting closer to Election Day in 2020, he didn't trail in any of those polls on the RCP average.
If you look at the polling right now, go to the one with 2024 right now, Donald Trump's basically splitting those.
You've got Trump, Harris, Trump, Harris, Trump, Harris.
It's going back and forth by one or two.
That's a much different look.
Yeah. Than what you saw before.
So you're right. Maybe... I didn't think Wisconsin, but maybe Wisconsin could be the easier target of the two, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Here's a key trend, by the way, in Wisconsin.
We brought to you, you know, Nevada, Arizona, Latino voters.
Big, big trend. Big trend is that 41 of the 50 drunkest counties are in...
In the United States. Wisconsin.
Now, I'll tell you one more thing.
On top of that, we found, we drilled down, the top 11 drunkest counties in the United States are all in Wisconsin.
Are all top 11.
You own the top 11. They were like...
They're like, top 10?
Hey, we got 11, too.
Don't forget. I mean, you know, we kind of gave them a bye on 12, but we still got 13, 14, or 15.
Don't forget O'Claire over there.
I used to think it was just a stereotype, dude.
My first time in Wisconsin, I was doing comedy.
Uber driver picks me up late at night.
It's like midnight. I'm like, let's go to a...
Drop me off at a bar before I go to my hotel.
He goes, perfect. We end up sparking up a conversation.
Comes in the bar, starts drinking with me.
Yeah. And then I don't know what happened.
I think he went back to work.
The only Uber black with a breathalyzer.
That's right. As an official resident of Chippewa Falls, I can attest that this is true.
Oh, you are! They only put this in Uber Comfort or higher.
They are fun, though.
And it's criminal, because the beers are like 50 cents.
Yeah, I know. I feel like a baller with that.
Well, they don't have to pay shipping. They're all brewed in our own backyard.
That's right. Why do you think we're going to go down to some fancy pants Germany or some light in the loafers, fruity pebbles Belgium?
Well, at least they know who they are.
They have a baseball team.
They named it the Brewers.
That's the most accurate name in sports since the Auschwitz Ashes.
They're on fire! I'm sorry, everybody.
And Josh has no more dates.
Hitler bad. Hitler bad.
Hitler bad. Josh's joke's also bad.
Man, I don't even have it.
You don't have Hitler bad? Well, we have it, but it's hidden.
Where is it? That's our safety.
I was kind of counting on you.
Oh, there it is. No time like the present tool, man.
I haven't used it in a while. It's been a while.
Thanks, Josh. Yeah, it's because you're Hitler.
So... Also, Hitler bad.
Hitler bad. Hitler terrible.
Bad guy. Josh, okay, fine.
Bad guy. Alright, let's go to Pennsylvania.
Trump is up 2 in the RCP average right now.
0.2. He's up by 0.2?
Yeah, it is 0.2.
That's a misprint. Sorry.
Okay, sorry. He's up by 0.2.
Latest poll, he's up 2.
Yeah, latest poll, he's up 2. He's up by 0.2 in the average.
Alright. And the more recent polls are more favorable to Trump, but of course you take that spread of the average.
Alright. Here's something I had forgotten.
At this point in time, Biden was up in Pennsylvania by 7.1.
Wow! 7.1, which would be well...
Like, that would be a walk-off.
That would be non-swing state levels at that point if people expect you to consistently win by 7 points.
And he's from Scranton when he wants to be.
The final results, though...
Electric City! Yeah, he only won by 1.2.
He only won by 1.2.
And I remember thinking that Pennsylvania was one where the numbers were plumped up because
of those states, they've kind of, they sort of, before 2016, people didn't think of any of these
Rust Belt states as swing states, but the closest one left was Pennsylvania. In other words, no one
thought of Michigan or Wisconsin really as swing states, but Pennsylvania, they were saying, is
kind of going to Democrats, how Ohio went to Trump, but maybe it's in play. So I remember the last
election going, how was Biden up seven points in Pennsylvania when Hillary Clinton lost it?
It was an outlier. And then it turns out, no, it was just like all the other states.
He barely won them.
And a trend that you're seeing in Pennsylvania, again, good news.
Good news here. This is a huge one.
Is that Republicans are out-registering Democrats by a significant margin.
So in the last five months... Thanks in large part to Scott Pressler, by the way.
Scott Pressler, who we've had on the show.
Not the guy who you would expect...
No!...to potentially be...
The deal breaker in this election, to potentially be the game changer in this election, Scott Pressler.
And good for him. Honestly, good for him.
This is a guy, for those of you who haven't followed him, he's been on the show, kind of started off as a social media influencer, and he said, you know what, I'm going to pivot and do something meaningful, impactful, and he really has, man, he's made a difference, because Democrats, if you look at the new registrations in the last five months, about 54,000, Republicans 124,000.
Wow. Just to give you context, yeah, that 80,000 margin of victory.
Yeah, Biden's margin of victory was 80,000 total votes in that 1.3% or 1.2% by which he won.
And this is just the last five months.
If you look at some of the data from Pennsylvania, he's actually flipping counties to where Republicans are now dominant in specific counties that used to be completely controlled by Democrats by his registration efforts.
Huge, huge results in Pennsylvania right now for him.
Well, let's bring this up really quickly so you can visualize this.
Let's bring up the 270 to win map so people can see it.
And then we're going to continue on Mug Club, of course, our election livestream coverage, November 5th, 2024.
Click that button. If you want to be here with us and ensure that no shenanigans take place in the dead of night, let's bring up 270 to win.
There you go. Okay. So let's start.
No, no. Hold on. It has North Carolina.
So let's take Arizona.
Put it neutral really quickly.
Okay. Neutral.
Put North Carolina. Make that neutral.
Okay. And make Michigan and Wisconsin neutral, please.
I know it's only like one or two electorate votes, but I think we still have Nebraska with their two-tier system.
We do. Yeah, yeah. We still do have a two.
They decided they were going to keep it that way.
Oh, they did? Okay, my bad. All right.
So, right now, and what we're seeing with these RCP averages.
Okay, Arizona. You can pretty much give that to Trump, right?
Unless, barring something crazy happening, okay.
So that puts Trump at 246.
That's pretty small. Okay. North Carolina, again, if you look at the betting odds, these are the first two that you would put up for Donald Trump, especially now after Hurricane Helene.
So put North Carolina on the board for Trump.
262. 262.
Okay. Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah. Think about this for a second.
Just look at that.
Take a minute. Now, for Harris to win, let's give Harris Nevada, even though it's not a lot.
Give her Nevada. Okay.
Then let's give her Wisconsin, because that's the one where she's highest in the polls that we've just seen.
Okay. Puts her at 242.
Okay. Let's give her Michigan.
All right. Let's give her Michigan here.
Okay. Nah, she's still at 257.
She needs all three of those.
She needs all three of those, and let's do something else.
Let's give her Pennsylvania, but...
Right, if she has Pennsylvania, she barely gets by.
But let's assume that she doesn't win one of the Midwestern states.
Let's take the lowest one, Wisconsin.
Okay? Where does she make that up?
Yeah. She can't.
Where does she make it up? People might say Georgia, North Carolina.
I mean, Arizona looks pretty...
I mean, it looked like they flipped.
It really does look like...
And that's, by the way, where she has Nevada.
Where she has Nevada, it's still not enough.
She has to get all of them.
So really, if we just go with something semi-reasonable here, as far as our presumptions, right?
There might be some variances, whether it's North Carolina, Georgia.
I don't think so. I'm giving her Nevada.
Donald Trump just needs one of the three Midwestern states.
Kamala Harris needs all three.
Does that put it into context? So when people out there say, oh, it's all lost.
Doesn't matter anyway.
We're not going to vote. I'm not saying this to shine your ass.
I'm saying this so that you can have a realistic assessment of where we are.
And by the way, things could change.
Things could shift. But to act as though this is a guaranteed lost election, I mean, it defies reason.
And I hear people out there saying that.
Yeah, and I hope that that trend is changing because I understand what happened.
We had what we thought was a guaranteed win taken away from us.
With Joe Biden basically being forced out.
And then we saw this huge Kamala bump in the media.
We called it. They're absolutely going to have to prop her up.
And everybody started going, oh, crap.
Then, finally, you're starting to see polls turn.
What we told you was just wait.
Just wait a little bit.
This will change significantly.
When people start hearing her talk, this bump is going to go away.
The race is going to get close again.
It's not just getting close, though.
It's actually looking way better for Donald Trump than I thought it would at this point.
Oh, speaking of which, I forgot.
Here we have on the ground in the swing states, none other than Thomas Finnegan.
Piss off YouTube. Piss off YouTube.
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