Mike Baker and Joe Rogan dissect China’s 2050 Taiwan integration timeline, fueled by naval expansion and intelligence-gathering via Huawei/ZTE equipment near U.S. ICBM sites despite a 2020 directive and $2B allocated for removal. They critique U.S. underinvestment in hypersonics and quantum computing while questioning Ukraine aid’s lack of clear objectives, comparing it to Afghanistan/Vietnam. Baker warns of Putin’s potential tactical nuclear use near Zaporizhia, contrasts IRS’s $80B tax enforcement push with systemic loopholes, and highlights foreign disinformation risks—like Russia’s interference—amid political polarization. Rogan and Baker also debate UFO mysteries, King’s assassination conspiracy, and media’s sensationalism over climate change and abortion, framing their talk as a blunt, research-driven "therapy session" on national security, governance, and unexplained phenomena. [Automatically generated summary]
Yeah, unfortunately, I said the other, what, a month ago, I made the mistake of saying, yeah, just don't have a lot of unprotected, random sex at a rave, or don't fuck monkeys.
It is interesting that one of the primary concerns right now is, aside obviously from dealing with the actual issue, is that we've got to change the name.
And I honestly, God couldn't figure out why that would be offensive to anybody but monkeys.
Although there was this – we don't know who leaked it.
We're not sure.
I mean from her office and from other places, we don't know who really started talking about this because there have been a number of delegations obviously going back and forth.
We just had another one in Taiwan.
Got almost no press.
Right.
But it really doesn't matter who would leak it because – As soon as Pelosi's staff decided they're going to start talking to their Taiwanese counterparts about arranging a trip like this, from that very first conversation, Chinese intel already knows about it, right?
They've picked up on it.
So they're already aware.
But anyway, so whether the Chinese regime decided to leak it and make a big issue of it because they're getting very shirty about Taiwan at this point, it's anybody's guess.
But I think...
Once it became a public issue and a spectacle, she had to go.
She couldn't back down.
So that was inevitable.
And did it accomplish much?
Eh.
It's fine.
We've got an obligation.
We've got the one China policy and we've got the You know, unofficial recognition of Taiwan.
And I don't think anybody in any administration going back to the beginning of that policy ever really understood what it all means.
It's very complicated.
It's messy.
Everybody's preferred, every administration's preferred not to talk about it, really, because it's kind of like the Middle East.
Nobody ever thinks it's going to sort itself out properly.
So, but, you know, I never thought I'd say this.
To Pelosi's credit, she's been hanging in there as a supporter of Taiwan for, you know, most of her time.
And whether that's because she's making a lot of cash over there on deals, I don't know.
Is that- It's because Taiwan, while an independent nation, right, except from China's perspective, nothing happens on that island without the Chinese regime knowing about it, whether it's the Ministry of State Security or whether it's the PLA's intel operations.
They know everything that's going on.
They hoover up everything.
And that's just on the Taiwan issue.
We can talk about what they're doing lately and the rest of the world.
But the amount of resource that the Chinese machine puts into, not just under Xi but previously, puts into monitoring and understanding What's happening in Taiwan, and importantly, what the U.S. is doing in relation to Taiwan, is very impressive.
Because at some point, and it may happen sooner rather than later, China's been pretty clear about, look, by 2050...
Taiwan's coming back.
It's going to be part of China, and there's no two ways about it.
But now people are talking about, well, that could be four years from now.
They've accelerated the timetable, and that's causing a lot of concern.
There's been a very big buildup of the Chinese military, obviously, and we've talked a little bit about that in the past.
Also, just their aggressive behavior.
So as their military has been growing, so has their sort of willingness to be aggressive about it and to put themselves out there, which didn't used to be the case, in part because I don't think they felt emboldened enough yet due to the strength of their navy in particular.
They've got the largest navy in the world.
So, you know, they're not just doing it to do it.
There's a reason for it.
And the reason for it is to prepare for the eventual day when they decide the time is right to bring Taiwan back into the fold.
And that's going to be a very messy day from our perspective because, you know, what are we going to do about it?
Is there one perspective where some advisers are saying we have to let it happen to avoid the inevitable mass bloodshed because it's going to happen no matter what?
And then the other perspective is if we let them do that, We're sending the worst message possible, so we need to defeat this at all costs.
Yeah, that's very eloquent, actually, that you've defined the two tracks, right?
There's really nothing in between.
There's no middle ground.
Although you could argue, and this is what China's been watching also, is what's been happening in Russia and Ukraine.
So the idea that we've drawn a red line, we're not putting boots on the ground, but we're going to do everything up to that to help support the Ukraine in their efforts against Russia.
China looks at that and they think, okay, is that where this would go?
Once we send our Navy across the strait there and start dropping troops on the island, You know, where is the U.S. in all of this?
And they have to base their strategy, their forward planning on sort of the knowns, right?
And one of the knowns is how we're dealing with Ukraine.
We do not want to get into a shooting war with Russia.
Well, China's going to have to look at that and go, well, we assume they definitely don't want to get into a shooting war with us, right?
Then they just – that's how they start to calculate what that strategy looks like and what the potential then risks and damage could be from being sanctioned further in certain areas, in having arms resupplied to Taiwan during the course of an invasion essentially.
So there's a lot that goes into it but – I mean, look, it's interesting because we miscalculated the Russia situation, right?
We figured out that Russia was building up to an invasion, but just about everybody said, yeah, it'll take them three or four days, and they'll roll into Kiev, and it'll be over.
So we got that pretty wrong.
So now we have to worry about how good are our estimates of, you know, the Chinese PLA, the People's Liberation Army, and their capabilities, and the Navy, and how...
How good are they?
And then we have to worry about Taiwan and say, what's Taiwan's will to fight look like?
Does it look like the Ukrainians?
Two different cultures, so...
Well, that was a statement of the obvious, wasn't it?
It's very disturbing when you're sitting here, you feel helpless, you read the news, and you're trying to pay attention to what's going on, and you're like, Jesus, how does this end well?
Well, look, we thought – because, again, we didn't have – going back to using Russia as a case study, you know, and obviously that war is going on and it's horrific and, you know, there's a lot of tragedy there.
But using it as a case study for what could happen in China and the potential there – We didn't get Putin's plans and intentions right at all.
Once this thing dragged on beyond what he expected, then there was a lot of speculation.
Okay, maybe this is a negotiated settlement.
So what does that look like?
But they've just come out, the defense minister and Others have just come out and said, there's no negotiation to be done here.
We don't view this as a – we're not going to settle this through negotiation.
They were very clear.
They made a very clear statement.
So they're in it apparently to win but what does that mean?
Are they just – are they going to be happy securing that eastern side of the country in the south and does that mean they want to take Odessa – I mean further beyond into Odessa and – Again, nobody really knows.
And we could talk about how, you know, what does that mean?
Was that an intelligence failure?
Was it just because we were focused elsewhere, spending 20-plus years on the Middle East, counterterrorism?
And so does that mean that we were unable to, because we didn't have the resources focused on the area, to assess what was going to happen with a land war in Europe?
And so what does that mean in terms of our ability to assess what the Chinese regime is going to do and what their military capabilities are?
It is a big concern, but how it ends, again, that's all speculation, but it's going to be messy either way.
Now, what do you make of the people that say that this is provoked by NATO constantly pushing the boundaries and pushing weapons up to the border of Russia?
And one thing I don't think we ever do very well is we don't really take despots or dictators at their word, right?
So when they say something, it's kind of like with Xi in China, right?
He's a dictator.
They're going into a...
They're going to a Congress soon where he'll probably get a third term.
They've never had that happen there.
So he's cementing himself as being there forever.
But we've always, I guess my point is, we've never really been good at just saying, okay, that's what they're saying, so maybe we should factor that into our analysis as to what could happen.
And Putin was clear for all these years, saying, you know, I want to rebuild the Soviet Union in some fashion, right?
And the collapse of the Soviet Union, including losing Ukraine.
And Ukraine is...
They're coming up on their Independence Day.
What is that?
The 24th of August is Ukraine Independence Day.
That's tomorrow.
And they became independent in 91. Got out from the Soviet Union.
So Putin's been very upfront about how he wants to rebuild the Soviet Union in some capacity.
So yes, I get the argument that says if we've been pushing NATO for years, right, and trying to strengthen NATO and trying to get them to pay their fair share and trying to do all these things to bolster NATO, particularly along the border with Russia, he's going to look at that as an existential threat in a way, right?
And we should have probably...
We've paid more attention to that, but I think that's a little bit too late for Putin, but I think what we should do is use that again and look at what she's been saying, and look at what they say during their congresses, look at their five-year plans, Being a little bit more aware that he probably means what he says.
So when they talk about Taiwan, they mean that.
When they talk about getting to the top of the food chain in a variety of areas, whether it's pharmaceuticals, technology, telecommunications, shipping, oil and gas, that's what they're going to do, which is why they've been so intent over the years to hoover up or steal every bit of intellectual property and intelligence that they can.
We could literally sit here all day long talking about what they've been up to.
But you're right.
The Bureau had a great report not that long ago.
It was a culmination of years of investigation.
And One of the interesting things that they were doing was looking at the financial side of things.
Rather than kind of thinking of individual counterintelligence operations, they started looking at Chinese companies, whether they were state-owned or whether they were just, you know, Theoretically private, but they had two or three cutouts between them and the state.
And they were looking at their deals and they're saying, well, why would they do this?
And if it's a private company that's out there to make money and to become successful or be successful, to grow, why would they be making deals that seem not profitable?
What's the point of that exercise?
And so Aside from just acquiring assets, and China's over the years has acquired a massive amount of property and other assets here in the U.S. and around the world, is the idea that it's a very clever part of their investigation from a bureau perspective is to say, all right, let's look at a Chinese company like ZTE or Huawei.
And let's try to understand why would they possibly be giving away their products basically at dirt cheap prices?
Why would they be interested in acquiring land in a particular area?
Why would they want to work with a particular regional telecoms provider here in the U.S.? And when you do that, their activity becomes pretty clear.
Even to people who are skeptics, it becomes pretty obvious that, I mean, look, just Huawei alone Over the years, I mean, going back to 2000 and before that, Huawei as a telecoms company started in 87, and they're now the largest producer of telecoms gear in the world.
They do all the plumbing, right?
They do the antennas, they do the routers, they do the servers.
You look at a cell tower now, anywhere in the Midwest or out west, anywhere, and it's likely got Huawei or ZTE or other Chinese components on that cell tower.
And one of the reports that the Bureau came out with after a lengthy investigation is fascinating.
I'm pretty sure you've seen this report.
Look at the I-25 corridor.
It goes up Wyoming, Colorado, that area along the border of Nebraska.
They did a deal with a regional telecoms provider out there, Vero, I think it was.
And they now have their – over the years, they've put their equipment, Huawei has – Onto these cell towers that go up and down this corridor.
Well, the other thing that's up and down this corridor are a variety of military bases and an enormous number of ICBM sites are a nuke program, right?
So the idea that China was just, you know, willingly giving it vastly discounted prices, their gear to a regional provider in part of the U.S. where we have an enormous number of ICBM sites.
I don't know.
It could be a coincidence.
So it's a perfect example of what they do and how they're willing to invest state resources and how smart they are at long-term targeting and understanding, I want to know about this.
That's where the information is.
I'm going to get access to it, and I don't care whether it takes me 10, 20, 30 years.
When you think about it, if you think about Huawei's been doing this for...
I mean, look, we can talk about what they did up in Canada, too, to one of the world's biggest companies up in Canada in telecoms roughly the same time.
But anyway...
A couple of years ago, we're in 2022 now.
So a couple of years ago, when they released this information, when they finished their investigation, and they looked and they said, this is bullshit, right?
Because one of the things about this equipment that's sitting on these cell towers is people will say, well, who cares?
It's telecoms.
It's my mobile phone.
I don't care if the Chinese regime listens into my mobile phone.
Well, the PLA's third department and their First Technical Reconnaissance Bureau and other parts of the Chinese machine that hoovers up all this information that's related to our national security interests.
They're not just going after commercial cell phone signals.
This part of this investigation was to break down this equipment and try to understand, okay, wait a minute, could this be going after the DOD spectrum, the bandwidth that the military would use?
And if so, what does that mean?
Could they intercept communications?
Yes, according to the investigation.
And could they interfere with our communications?
So not just hoover up data packets that are going across this, but also Imagine if we're trying to send communications.
Things get really hot.
They go after Taiwan.
Suddenly we're going on high alert.
They could either intercept or block, jam—I'm having a senior moment—communications, trying to get through on those capabilities.
And so it's a big deal.
But once the investigation came out, then people did start to pay attention.
But this is how slow the US government can be.
In 2019 and 2020, basically what happened was, to oversimplify this, was once it became clear what was going on and what the Chinese regime was doing, using Chinese telecoms providers to do this.
The U.S. government said, okay, that's it.
We've got to take all this gear off these cell towers.
These are regional providers in these areas because what the Chinese were very smart about was looking at our military bases, seeing how many of them were out in the rural parts of America, identifying who the regional providers are and saying, we can sell you this gear for nothing.
How about that?
And over the years, the regional providers are like, great.
Fine.
Because they're not thinking, you got some guy running some regional telecoms company.
So anyway, the US government said, you got to take all this gear off.
You've got to remove all this shit, and we're going to have to replace it with trusted gear.
And by the way, Huawei is on a trade list, as is ZTE and others at this point.
So we can't, going forward, companies aren't using their gear, but you've got all this stuff sitting up there anyway, right?
And every time you need to do an update, One of the weaknesses on some of this gear is you've got to basically hit it with new software, with an update.
And anytime you do that, that's a pathway perhaps for them to do something else.
And so they said, take all this gear off.
We're going to allocate, as US government, we're going to allocate just shy of $2 billion to do this.
None of the gears moved.
This was 2020. Two years later, none of the gears been moved because all the companies, they said, okay, shit, we'll make a list of all the stuff that's got to come off of there.
And they did.
And you're talking about You know, 20-some-odd thousand pieces of equipment that need to be pulled off of cell towers that, you know, are compromising or potentially compromising U.S. national interests.
And they said, well, we can't do this for $1.9 billion.
It's going to cost us twice that at least, which means it'll cost us probably three times that.
And so nothing's been done.
None of the gear has been removed.
Now the US government's saying, well, okay, maybe we can partially reimburse you.
Well, you're talking about companies that, as you point out, are trying to improve their bottom line.
They're trying to make money.
So they're going to get partially reimbursed for taking this gear off, right?
Because the US government is so slow.
The Commerce Department started an investigation in 2021. They still haven't finished it about the same issue.
So I don't want to sound cynical, But, A, I'm very happy that the Bureau, through some very good investigative efforts, has highlighted this, and it's important to be talking about this.
Thank God we're getting better at talking about it.
Nothing's been done.
So the same problem exists.
So it's kind of like when you go in and you talk.
I remember 15 years ago, I would go in and I would give a talk on Chinese espionage.
That's how long I've been kicking this horse in the ass.
And people would just roll their eyes.
And it still kind of happens because they'll look and they'll go, you know, that's bullshit.
And so anyway, that's one of the more interesting parts of this.
But I mean, the shit that they're doing, they did the same thing up in Canada back in 2000. They infiltrated a company called...
Nortel.
And Nortel was one of the largest companies in the world.
Super successful, right?
Based out of, I forget where, Ottawa, maybe, in Canada.
And Nortel went bankrupt, in part because they had some bullshit business decisions made.
But in part because Huawei and others out of China just started hoovering up and stealing all their shit, getting everything.
I mean, look, this problem...
I know I sound like I'm rambling, but you can go back 10 years ago and in one estimate, a legit estimate of the cost to us, right, from economic espionage and the theft of intellectual property by not just China, but Russia, Iran, North Korea, any bad actor, the theft, the cost of that in one year, at that time, 10 years ago, was $500 billion.
In terms of blueprints and technical information.
And then you factor in lost jobs, right?
Because when they're stealing information to advance themselves, what they're also doing is kicking us in the ass and we're losing jobs, right?
And we're losing and companies are shutting down or not making money.
Nortel at the time, they were doing all sorts of things that were groundbreaking, right?
They were coming up with touchscreen technology before Apple did, right?
They were doing all sorts of things.
At a certain point, they just couldn't compete, because all the information about their plans and intentions for business operations, for bids, for everything, were now in the hands of Chinese state-owned or favored companies.
They infiltrated a lot of basically malware that they laid onto their systems internally.
They also had some old-school kind of help, right?
There's a lot of layers to espionage, right?
There's a lot of layers, particularly economic espionage.
So we all like to think about the cybers part of it now, and that's true.
But You know, Chinese in particular also rely on human intelligence, right?
So co-opties or recruits that they can get.
And they had a number of very highly regarded and thought of engineers and developers and innovators and working within Nortel who were from China.
And that's a prime target for Chinese intel, right?
They'll always look to kind of...
Play off of that connection to the motherland, whether it's first or second or third generation.
So they basically just started...
Nortel just started being unable to compete because they were just...
And at the same time, oddly enough, Huawei was doing better and better and better.
And as Nortel was getting crushed, Huawei was building up their innovation centers, hiring more engineers, including a bunch from Nortel.
Interestingly.
So I guess the point to the story there is it's been going on a long damn time.
And we tend to think of it as like just something when, I mean the previous administration, Trump administration, you know, they talked a lot about China, China, China.
And that's a good thing, right?
The more we talk about this, it's not going to change their behavior, but if nothing else, maybe it makes businesses, companies more aware.
I think one thing that needs to happen is that The government has to do a better job of explaining the case because, again, I've seen this for years now where people just kind of go, yeah, okay, fine.
You're talking about Chinese espionage and they're stealing our information.
They don't really know what it means necessarily or they just don't imagine it's that big a deal.
So, or they don't see the evidence.
And I guess maybe that's part of the biggest problem is because of what it is, because you gather some of this, you can't talk about sources and methods.
You don't just throw everything out there on the table and say, look, here's the evidence that Huawei or the third department of the PLA or whoever is doing all this activity.
This is what it's costing us.
This is how we know.
You can't do that in intelligence operations.
But I think we need to figure out a way to make an exception to that in this case, because that's what will get people on side.
That's what will get people to be believers in all this, is if you give them more evidence.
It's like UFOs.
If somebody actually talked about it, gave you a piece of evidence, and you go, okay, yeah, maybe so.
It's a tough line to walk.
The Bureau's getting better at it, but I think we need to be more transparent in explaining how we know some of these things, to the degree that we can, and there will be limitations, but we don't do enough of it.
But the more we talk about it, again, it's not going to change the Chinese regime's behavior, because this is how they envisioned, and it's worked so far, getting to the top of the food chain.
Yeah, GE. I mean, recent cases, GE, whether it's – there's no – when you look at what do they go after?
I guess part of it you could look at when they talk about every five-year plan and they talk about where it's most important.
You could probably correlate that to then where their real collection efforts are going to be, right?
Is it going to be in oil and gas?
Is it going to be in shipping?
Is it wherever it's going to be?
And you can pretty much assume then you're going to see an increase in cyber shenanigans in those sectors.
But they've gone after pretty much anything.
All the various cases.
They went after a small company years ago.
I'm trying to remember.
It was in Salt Lake City, Utah.
I think it was called Ibon or something.
On the face of it, it was just a company that Worked in the entertainment, not the entertainment, in the hospitality business, right?
And you think, well, why would they hack into a business that does hospitality work and hotel chains?
Well, because what do you have at hotel chains?
You have conferences and you have, you know, gatherings of business people and everything.
And so what they were doing was they figured out how to get through IBON and then get into the communications of you're sitting in a conference room, right?
You're listening to some speaker up there talk about Whatever it is, laser technology, it doesn't really matter.
And you're bored, so you say, well, shit, I forgot to call Bob.
I'll send him an email.
Well, they had managed to figure out if we get into IBON and we get into the way that they had connected with the various hospitality groups to help handle communications, right, for, you know, conferences and events, so they could pick up all that email traffic.
So next thing you know, you got, you know, somebody emailing their boss back home talking about something proprietary.
And It sounds odd, but it's very effective.
So I guess my point being is whether it's that, whether it's going after a pigment formula for creating a new type of pigment at DuPont, they don't care.
They'll just go after this stuff and then they'll feed it to their businesses.
And Huawei is a good example.
People say, well, I mean, because Huawei's got a lot of employees here in the States.
And they've said for decades, we have no connection.
We're not involved with the Chinese government.
We don't do any of this.
All our telecoms gear has been checked out by the FCC. If the Chinese regime goes to Huawei and says, we want your cooperation on something, they'll provide that cooperation.
I remember when the Huawei stuff was going on, there were some tech sites that were very dubious about it, and they were saying that Trump is overstepping, and this is a terrible idea, there's nothing wrong with Huawei.
And I remember reading this, and they're coming from a tech perspective.
They're just saying, like, this is innovative gear, and they make great stuff.
But it's bizarre that they don't get informed before they make these articles, because these articles can shift public opinion, particularly amongst people who follow that stuff.
And that's a big part of the pushback is, well, you're being xenophobic, and you think...
No.
I think people are smart enough to differentiate between the wonderful Chinese culture and the people and the regime, right?
The regime is not about advancing the liberties and freedoms of the Chinese people.
The Chinese regime is all about staying in power.
That's what they care about.
And so I don't understand, I mean, I guess, but, you know, I just think, fuck off with that xenophobic argument because it's not...
I do see that when they say it's overreaching, I think that goes back to this idea that we're not being transparent enough about explaining how we know some of this.
And that's why I keep saying, to the degree possible, I think that would solve part of this issue and get more companies on side.
The Bureau's gotten a lot better and other parts of the government have gotten a lot better at going out to businesses and saying, these are the problems.
This is what you may be seeing in the future.
This is what they're trying to accomplish.
And trying to help.
But a lot of these companies are either just too focused on shareholder reports and they've got a good internal security system, they think.
Or they look at it and they say, I don't want to really go out there and report that we've been hit by a...
You know, a ransomware or whatever, because what's that going to do to the bottom line or the stock value?
So a lot of companies, it's like crime.
A lot of it's underreported.
But, yeah, it's a – again, I know people listen to this and they go, oh, what the fuck?
It's Mike banging on about the Chinese again.
But it's not just the Chinese.
It's the Russians.
But the Chinese are the major perpetrators.
And what it costs this country...
It's hard to quantify at times, right?
You try to figure out...
Because part of it's a soft science of, okay, well, how much damage did that do to a particular sector, to a company?
How many jobs weren't then created?
What wasn't innovated on our side that we could have?
In the recent past, they've been caught out in the middle of agricultural land trying to dig up modified seeds, right?
I mean, that's pretty old school.
Send a co-opty or, you know, some asset out to a field in Nebraska to dig up some modified seeds to send back to China so they can take a look at what's going on.
Their efforts are, you know, from an intelligence perspective, you got to admire them in a way.
It's kind of fascinating because the disturbing conclusion that one can make is that the only way for us to be able to compete with the Chinese in the way they do it is if we do it that way.
But it's this thing where they have a complete integration between their businesses and their government.
So their government would never allow them, if we sent American gear over there that hoovers up all their intellectual data, they would never allow that.
If you go over to set up a manufacturing facility, you have to assume everything's going to be compromised.
You're proprietary information.
You're coding your software.
Yeah, they don't extend to us the same open society concept, right?
I mean, terrorism.
Terrorists have used that against us for years and years and years and years, right?
That's the fact that we have a free and open society and we relish it.
And we should, right?
That's a great thing.
People who don't have our interests at heart are going to take advantage of that at some point, and they have over the years.
So, I think with...
I mean, you look at China and something simple such as electric vehicles.
By the way, I walked into a rental car place the other day, a couple weeks ago, and the guy said, I just rented some bog-standard sedan, because I was only there for like two days.
The guy says, Hey, I can give you a deal on a Tesla.
Well, I've never driven a Tesla before.
So I thought, okay, I guess.
So it was a simple, whatever it was, a Model 3, I guess they call it.
So he says, hey, there you go.
And he gave me the little thingy, the little card or whatever it is to go out.
And he says, it's parked out there in space 407. So I walk out there.
And I realized as I'm standing there with my little roller board bag that I don't know how to get into this car.
I don't know how to unlock it.
And so I'm looking and I'm walking around and I'm trying to figure this out.
I've got the little card and then I look inside and that big screen in there lights up and it says tap the car.
So, like a fucking moron, I'm out there tapping the car with this card, right?
I can't figure out, because I don't know that it's that little part by the window, right, with this little thing there.
I'm being very technical.
So I stand out there for about 10 minutes trying to open the car, and I can't.
So I go back into the little center there, and I said, um, I don't know how to do this.
So the guy walks out with me, and he shows me how to open it.
I get in the car, and he walks away.
Now I don't know how to start the fucker.
So I sat in the car in this rental car center and I googled how to start a Tesla and had to watch a little video, right?
Like an idiot.
And my takeaway, long story short, I've already made it long, but my takeaway from driving the Tesla for two days was I think if you're a technology person, I think it's great.
People love it.
I'm not, clearly.
But to me, there was no driving experience.
There's no sound.
There's no feel.
It was like driving a golf cart.
And so, I'm not saying I'm against electric vehicles, but...
Oh, I know where I was going with this.
But the Chinese, when you think about it, they control 85%, 90% of the processing of minerals that go into an electric vehicle battery.
And so when you think about that, it's not that they have all those within China, but they control the processing of it because they're smart and because they looked at this years ago and because part of their five-year plan at a certain point was we're going to advance the ball in green technology.
That's we're going to focus.
Well, what does that mean?
That means we're going to lock this down and we're also going to steal information related to this, but we're going to do everything we can to get ourselves further up that chain.
So whether you're talking about lithium or cobalt or copper or whatever, In that battery, you know, we are way behind the curve.
We got a real problem.
So we imagine somehow we're going to develop, you know, this green world where we're all driving electric vehicles.
And the reality is China's already set themselves up in a very strong way to kind of dominate that industry.
It's fascinating.
I like it because it shows, again, it shows The targeting aspects of intelligence and the thought process that goes into gathering information, developing a strategy, working towards it, prioritizing your collection, all these things.
But, yeah, anyway, I wasn't, I'm not saying I wasn't a fan of Tesla.
I like, you know, Musk and the company and all that, but I just, I like to hear a noise when I'm driving.
That car is supposed to be incredible to drive because it has, like, Porsche dynamics in terms of, like, steering and handling and everything like that.
Well, that's why I say, again, I guess, I'm too far down the road to appreciate the technology behind it.
But I am fascinated by the composition of the battery.
What that means in the future, if what we're trying to do is transition to all electric vehicles, where these minerals are located around the world, what that looks like in terms of who controls that process, but also just the simple stuff of, like, you know, I know we're talking about this for environmental reasons, but...
You know what?
If what we're going to do is control more of this here in the U.S., I don't think a lot of people are going to get behind the idea of like, okay, let's do more mining in the U.S. Right.
I mean, that's...
Oil and gas looks like a clean energy process compared to the process of mining for the most part.
You got, I forget, I remember one time that cobalt in a battery, in an EV battery, there's a few kilograms of it.
And there's more cobalt in the Republic of Congo, Democratic Republic of Congo, than anywhere else in the world.
So if, and again, China controls a lot of the processing, you know, 80 plus percent of this.
So if what we're saying is, okay, we want to do more cobalt mining, as just an example, in the US. There's a lot of cobalt in Idaho, believe it or not, which I don't know if you know this, but I'm in Idaho now.
And most of that's on state forest land.
Ugh.
Nobody's going to say, yeah, let's start digging up forest lands to get more cobalt.
So I don't know that we've actually thought this through completely from an environmental perspective.
We all like the idea.
I do think there's a lot of people out there who think that the energy for an electric vehicle comes from the battery itself, as opposed to maybe you've got to charge that son of a bitch up.
But it seems like it's greener in terms of people's impressions of what's going on because you're not getting the exhaust fumes.
But it's not necessarily greener net for the world when you think about the environmental impact and exactly what's involved in taking the stuff out of the ground and also how you're powering it.
When we think about who leads the world in sort of the cleanest form of oil and gas exploration and drilling, for example, and we say, okay, well, we want to get away from oil and gas here and fossil fuels here in the US, so we're going to start making it more difficult to pursue that.
But we're okay with the idea that other nations aren't going to change their habits and their practices, which are not as environmentally friendly.
And so, I mean, there's a lot of layers to this.
Again, it doesn't mean...
I'm just saying we need to be a little bit more pragmatic, but I do think...
Yeah, I think part of the problem is people feel righteous about it.
I would hate for green energy to become an oxymoron, because it seems like it's one of those things that people love to say, green energy.
But what does that really mean?
And if you think about the amount of cars in this country alone that are actually electric vehicles with low emissions that are powered by coal plants, Which is kind of fucking wild.
I mean, again, I'm not saying everybody thinks this way, but I think there are a lot of people that just somehow imagine that battery is just self-charging.
I've heard that there's potential technologies that can extract carbon from the air and that some people are looking at carbon as a potential resource, that you could actually extract the carbon from the air and that carbon could be valuable.
I'm nowhere near smart enough to ponder it beyond saying it's an interesting idea.
I do think that...
I mean, again, I'll wrap up the, you know, it's the Bash China Hour, but I do think that when we're talking about where we're five to ten years from now, and, you know, the U.S. government just passed this Chips and Science Act because we're aware of the fact that we don't produce enough semiconductors, enough chips here in the States.
Most of it being done over in Taiwan, right?
I mean, 90%, basically, of the sophisticated semiconductor product is produced in Taiwan.
And so, yeah, okay, fine.
Pass the Chips and Science Act, invest some more money in doing that here.
I just don't know that we're going to be able to do anything about the minerals required for the EV part because I just don't see, once people realize that it means you're going to start digging up more earth in these not good-looking mining operations.
I don't know that they're going to be on board with that.
So I'm not sure where that goes in terms of U.S. independence in that industry.
But there's a lot of things we, you know, fine, let's invest in.
But I just think that that idea that somehow we're going to shut down fossil fuels in the very near short term in favor of this, no.
How about we continue with the fossil fuels that we have?
You know, natural gas, great.
We should be doing more of that.
But we can do these other things as well.
We can pursue all these other things at the same time.
But we're always in this weird argument where it's like, it's all this or it's all that.
And just, no, just multitask and maybe eventually we'll get to that green future that everybody's banging on about.
No, I don't know what the mineral reserves are now around the world.
You know, in terms of rare earth minerals, China's hit the jackpot, right, in terms of just where they're located.
So they've got, when it's rare earth minerals, but I mean, you know, you can't, you don't put cobalt and lithium and copper in that category.
But again, they've got the hands on the processing.
Yeah, it is fascinating.
I just think that whether we're talking about their efforts to gather intelligence, whether we're talking about their buildup of their military, whether we're talking about sort of their focus, I just think that there needs to be more of an awareness of...
Where we are in relation to China and what that's going to look like in 5, 10, 15 years.
And I don't know that we've, you know, bang on about something else that's interesting.
We spent so much time focused on the Middle East and counterterrorism that I think we legitimately degraded our ability to worry about other parts of the world and Russia and China being the two key ones.
So I think we're trying to recalibrate, but that takes time.
When you're talking about retooling your intelligence community to now move away from this idea that, you know, it's all counterterrorism all the time and, you know, we got to get back to the kind of the old school intel concerns.
It takes time to do that.
It takes time to recruit new officers.
It takes time to find those Mandarin speakers.
It takes time to get the analysts who have all that experience.
A lot of them have retired over the years, right?
So that's a ship you don't turn around on a dime.
So I think it's...
It's going to be interesting where we go, but circling back, I mean, you look at Russia, and I don't know where that mess is going to end up, but I think we better be paying real close attention to what it means for our abilities to better assess What's going to happen with China, particularly vis-a-vis Taiwan?
And I just said vis-a-vis.
I can't believe it.
I've got to write down, never say vis-a-vis again.
In Afghanistan, I think that shows that we can do that.
We can multitask, again.
But you're right.
You don't want to take your eye off the ball.
We're all tired of terrorism.
We're all tired of the war on terror.
But the extremists aren't.
They're still pretty energized.
They're still pretty interested in, can we turn Afghanistan into a training ground again for our interests to attack the US and its allies?
Yes, extremists are still very interested in doing that.
So we have to stay focused in that arena, but we can't afford to put so much of our resource in that area.
We've got to understand where our primary concerns are.
And certainly at the top of that list, look, it hasn't changed in Years, right?
I mean, you ask, you know, somebody in Washington DC within the military or intel community over all these years, what are your top concerns?
And it's always going to be China, Russia, Iran, North Korea.
And so China's always been up there.
But the reality is we took our eye off the ball.
We focused elsewhere.
And that degraded our ability, I'd argue, to do what we need to do.
And part of that is giving the White House whatever administration's in charge, giving them the best intelligence you can.
And to do that, you need the collection capabilities.
That's the human...
We do very well on technical collection, right?
Nobody does it better than we do, I'd argue.
But a lot of times, your most important intelligence comes from a human, a source, right?
And that's tough to do.
And then, like I said, you need the analysts who are capable and experienced enough to put together something that makes sense and allows the U.S. then to forward plan.
But I guarantee you, you know, it's an accelerated timeline on Taiwan And we better understand what that means.
And I don't know that we're paying a lot of attention right now.
They don't do anything in our lifetime, and they leave it to our kids to worry about.
Because I don't know what else...
Look, I think they're going to do something.
I don't think Xi's going to step down until he's got Taiwan back in the fold.
I think that's something that he...
Probably desperately wants to accomplish on his watch.
So how much more time does he have?
He set himself up as president for life, basically, king for life.
And so I think it's...
It's an inevitable conflict that I don't know that we've really thought through because we don't understand how the Chinese military is capable of integrating all their various elements.
China hasn't been at war for a long time in real terms.
We saw Russia engage in Afghanistan a couple decades ago, whatever.
We had a sense of what that was going to look like.
We still got it wrong, the assessment.
We got it wrong.
We got their logistics capabilities wrong.
We got their communications capabilities wrong.
We got wrong about what sort of information was being fed to Putin and how he was basing his assessments.
So there was a lot of mistakes that we're hopefully learning from.
Part of the problem we have or had and still have is, you know, Putin's increasingly small circle of key advisors, right?
And so understanding who he's paying attention to and what he's...
The advice that he's being given and how that then, you know, formulates his actions.
And so I think we had a real problem in assessing his plans and intentions, his motivations.
And that's always a tough lift from Intel perspective, right?
Unless you've got an asset who's right next to him, you know, a key advisor, or you're just, you know, tapping into his internal communications.
So that was one of the things we got wrong.
And then we got, we didn't assess really very well Look, they got everything wrong.
They couldn't figure out their supply lines, right?
Their communications were awful.
Their command and control was terrible, which is why they've lost so many generals.
So they've had a series of problems.
It's even a harder lift to assess China's capabilities right now because, again, in part they haven't been at war for a long time and there's more to it, right?
How are they going to integrate all their various military elements?
How are they going to use cyber, you know, for this effort if they move on Taiwan?
And, you know, I don't want to say we're unprepared because we're not.
We always game these things out and we've got lots of scenarios.
But I will say that there's kind of a rush on to make sure that we're up to speed.
Because again, we had our resources focused elsewhere.
Again, to your most important question, which is how does it all end?
Nobody really knows.
I mean, if they moved next year, do we think the Biden administration would go to war with China?
Or would they say, okay, we're going to supply Taiwan.
We're not going to put any boots on the ground.
We're not going to get in direct conflict with China.
And we'll sanction China.
Well, That's a lot more difficult than it sounds.
We can sanction Russia from here until Sunday because we're not really that intertwined.
We're very intertwined with China right now from an economic perspective.
Yeah.
There's a lot of questions here as to what could happen.
And look, the Chinese, they're doing the same thing on their side of the table.
They're trying to figure out, what are we going to do?
That whole Make America First thing received a lot of pushback from people, particularly on the left, because they looked at it in terms of that's a nationalistic, xenophobic, problematic perspective.
I think a lot of people's eyes got woken up, a lot of people's eyes got opened up during the pandemic when we realized how much what we need just in terms of medication and electronics and chips, how much of it was being produced overseas and how little of what we make here is required.
I mean, we don't make enough here to run the country.
We don't have the manufacturing capabilities that we would need to be completely independent.
And it's interesting because when they first rolled this out, much like a lot of things that the current administration does, and again, they've done some good things.
They've done some odd things.
Their messaging always seems to be off, right?
So they're always kind of batting clean up.
They'll do something, and the next thing you know, John Kirby or somebody's got to roll out and explain.
That's not what we meant.
This is what we meant.
So when they rolled out the fact that there was $80 billion in there to pump into the IRS, and there's 87,000 new agents, They had really no message, right?
And so immediately people were just losing their shit.
And then because the Democrats, when that happens, they are very good at then circling the wagons and coming up with a narrative, right?
And disseminating that out and making sure that everybody pushes that same talking point.
And then they stick to that talking point.
So the talking point then became, after a few days of terrible optics on this, was, well...
The IRS has been underfunded for, you know, years, decades.
And because of that, we haven't been able to go after the billionaires because we haven't been able to hire all those, you know, really clever agents who can do those sophisticated investigations of the billionaires.
And so this is all about refunding the IRS because it's been underfunded.
We're going to improve the technology and we're going to be able to go after those billionaires finally because we'll have enough people.
That's their argument is basically there's so much money sloshing around out there that the wealthy people haven't been paying their taxes and they've been cheating and hiding it that we need all these new agents because that's where the money is.
Look, I mean, corporations, people say, well, look, the oil and gas company, this one paid no taxes.
Well, the previous year, they suffered a $35 billion loss because they were exploring and reinvesting money into the company or whatever.
It's more complicated than just saying people aren't paying their fair share, but look, are people with a lot of money willing to spend some of that on accountants to make sure that they don't pay any more tax than absolutely necessary?
Well, and I'm sure that that'll be a part of it, yeah.
If I'm housing money offshore and I'm not doing it in a way that's allowed, then those investigations can be very complicated.
And so, you know, asset tracing in general is a difficult process.
And when you're talking about someone with, you know, a couple billion dollars and several dozen entities spread around the world, Then, yes, it can be a complicated process, and I have no doubt that you need auditors who are, you know, financially savvy and sophisticated enough to do that.
I always thought the IRS had those people because that's what they were doing, right?
I mean, if you're a middle-class person, then theoretically you're filing your forms.
You're doing the thing you're supposed to do.
It's overly complicated.
I guess what I would say is instead of hiring 87,000 new agents, spending $80 billion on this process, Maybe they could have simplified the tax code and come up with something better.
I'm not clever enough to figure out what that would be, but maybe that was an option that they could have thought of.
But I think the optic is also good.
We're going after the billionaire.
That's an easy argument.
That's an easy argument to make.
And everyone's going, yeah, fuck the billionaire.
Fuck the man.
He's screwing us over.
And then that helps to lead to today's environment where a lot of people are jealous or envious or can't stand the fact that someone's got a lot of money.
They don't feel like the person has a lot of money because they had an amazing product, and even though they paid their fair share, they did something that's extraordinary, so they receive extraordinary compensation.
That's not the narrative that people hear.
You know, the narrative that people hear is, you know, you work your ass off, you work your tail to the bone, you can barely make ends meet, and the reason for that is someone's out there stealing more than they deserve.
That's what scares me is that there's so many people in this country that if they said, we are going to just redistribute wealth in this country in a way that makes it equal for everyone, so there's no way that anyone is poor in this country.
We're just going to take the money from other people.
Who's going to do that?
But people would sign up for that.
If we said that, if they said that and they made it some sort of a way, if they framed it in a way that's going to change the country and make it a better place, the thing that they don't understand is these greedy fucks that are out there They're sucking up all that money.
They're sucking up all that money because that's what they signed up for.
And in the process of doing that, that's how amazing things get made.
Because these people that are these greedy fucks, they are willing to work 16-hour days and put together these companies that achieve extraordinary amounts of money.
And they employ people, and they create spin-off companies, and they create inventions and patents.
So, yeah, I've always been a firm believer, and maybe part of it's naive, because, yes, there are some people out there screwing the system, and there are some people that are undeserving of the massive wealth that they have because it kind of fell in their lap or whatever.
Who knows?
I don't really give a shit.
My theory has always been...
All I want to do is work as hard as I can.
I'd like to do as well as I can.
And that's it.
I just want to provide for my kids.
And I've always really held the belief that if you work a little bit harder...
I tell my three knuckleheads this all the time.
If you work a little bit harder, you can do exponentially better.
You can achieve success.
But you've got to work harder.
And...
That doesn't imply that people who aren't doing well aren't working hard.
I had a science teacher in high school that was a dork, but he had this one thing that stuck with me forever.
He was a really weird guy.
But he said, you cannot get by in this world by just working hard.
You have to think hard.
And thinking hard is more important.
Because you have to choose which path that you're on.
And you have to think very carefully.
Because to back up and start again is far more difficult than to choose a correct path in the first place.
And there's so many people in this country that feel entitled, and they feel like the government owes them something, and they don't understand where resources are coming from.
They don't understand, like, this whole capitalism game that we're in.
They just think that it's rigged because they don't have it.
And it's almost always particularly people that are at the beginning of this journey, right?
You're starting off, you make $50,000 a year, and you find out someone's worth $50 billion, and you're like, well, that can't be fair.
It was under a different name, and then we were able to do a management buyout.
So it's Portman Square Group, where it's an intelligence and security services firm.
The point being is it's our business, right?
My wife and I own it.
She's got a crisis communications firm, and so we merged that with all my businesses.
Point being is, you know, when people hear that, I've had these conversations with people.
They go, oh, you got your own firm.
You got your own company.
You must be just, you know, rolling in debt.
I worry about making payroll, right?
All the time.
That's my primary concern is I want to make payroll.
I've had people working for me for a decade and a half or more.
Those people are raising their kids.
They're building a life and have built a life.
And my responsibility is to make sure that they have that.
There have been times when I haven't taken anything to make sure I can make payroll.
And I worry about it.
I wake up at 2 in the morning worrying about something.
So it never ends.
To your point, you work 60-hour days.
I argue you never turn off.
If we go on a...
You know, on a holiday somewhere, I'm constantly worried about something.
And that's just what you do.
But I did it and I left the government to do this because I wanted to have possibly unlimited possibilities, right?
I didn't want a ceiling.
I didn't want a cap.
And I knew working for the government, I always knew what I was going to make, no matter how well I was doing.
And so, you know, I do personally kind of take exception sometimes when people, you know, piss on, you know, people who are doing well, because I don't sometimes think they see the amount of work that, particularly small, you know, medium-sized companies, what people put into that, right?
And the amount of effort they put into it as owners and proprietors of these things.
And you've got to work your ass off, but you're doing it in the hopes that Maybe there isn't a cap.
Maybe there isn't a ceiling.
You don't know where you're going to go.
And not knowing where you're going to go, I think, is pretty exciting.
Jamie, there was a graphic, and I saw it at one point, that showed what I was talking about with Huawei, with the I-25 corridor, and it showed where the regional telecoms provider is located that they've cornered the market on, this Chinese company has, and where our ICBM sites are.
Yeah, of particular concern was Huawei routinely selling cheap equipment to rural providers in cases that appeared to be unprofitable for Huawei, but which placed its equipment near military assets.
So there you- But I mean, is there a way to circumvent this or to prevent this without the military and the United States government being completely integrated with companies?
People don't, I think, they're obviously the skeptics and people who, you know, think it's the one world government or whatever.
But, yeah, one of our...
The strengths and weaknesses is sort of this firewall between the U.S. government, military, and the way that we support private business, right?
And by that, I mean the Chinese regime or Russia, even France, a lot of countries in the EU even— Their remit for the Intel operations there in that country is to help support their private sector, right?
So intelligence that's collected can be disseminated to those companies, sometimes favored companies within that country to help their development, their growth, securing additional, you know, contracts, beating foreign competition, whatever it is.
And we've always had this firewall.
It says, well, we don't want to do that because favoring one company over another is going to screw up the idea of the free markets and capitalism and all the rest of it.
So you can argue it's a strength.
You can argue it's a weakness.
But you're right.
I mean, how do we get around that?
Well, in part, we get around it by bringing...
Our capabilities, you know, up to speed, doing more on our own, rehousing a lot of the manufacturing back here in the U.S. And so these are the things that we've talked about and that, you know, this administration, previous administrations have tried to do, but it's difficult, right?
It's tough.
It's costly.
It's, you know, it's not an easy process.
It takes time.
And sometimes it seems like we're not making any progress at all.
Well, politically, they've played a pretty good game politically recently.
I think the Chips and Science Act is not bad.
I know people saying, well, why would we subsidize companies that are making money here in the US that are making lots of money?
Why would we give them subsidies?
Well, for the very reasons we talked about, you got to do that.
That's a smart move.
Yeah, you could argue putting a cap on Medicare costs, out-of-pocket costs, I think that seems like the sort of thing you can get behind.
I mean, I think that's a good move.
I think they've been hijacked by the climate change activists and parties, so I put that in the negative corner.
I think, fine, you want to talk about it, you want to focus on doing some things, great.
But I think the focus on that is a little bit insane at this point.
I think one of the things on the negative column is the way they've dealt with the oil and gas industry.
And we've seen that.
I mean, Germany right now is trying to figure out how to get away from Russia as a gas provider.
You know what?
You know who could have helped them do this and helped us at the same time?
It would have been us.
If we hadn't layered on additional regulation as soon as Biden came in and he was very clear about going to war with the fossil fuel industry, you know what?
I think they're talking out of both sides of their mouth.
I think they haven't eased up on regulations for the oil and gas industry.
So, no.
These companies, they don't make investments based on the next six months, right?
They make investments on a fairly long timeline.
So, when Biden, during his campaign a couple of years ago, talked about he's putting an end to the fossil fuel industry, they pay attention, and that kind of directs where they're going.
And by the way, I'm not lobbying for the oil and gas industry, but I am lobbying for the idea that you can do all of these various energy initiatives at the same time.
They invest a shit ton of money in new technologies, in clean energy.
You look at a company like BP and they're out there saying we're going to make the non-carbon part of our operations our primary revenue earner in the next whatever, 10, 15 years.
So they're putting a lot of money into it because they realize that's a market.
They're doing it for capitalistic reasons because they want to make money down the road.
Is part of the problem this political narrative that if you want votes from people on the left, you have to say you're green, you support clean energy, and that the climate crisis is going to kill us all?
You know what I'm saying?
There's these narratives that people will...
I've talked to people that talk about climate change, and we had Steve Coonan.
Steve Coonan, who is a physicist, who wrote a book called Unsettled.
And it's all about how the climate change is settled, you know, the climate science is settled.
He's like, it's not.
And he went over long-term graphs that show that what we're looking at is...
Our lifetime, the lifetime of the people before us, and this measurable increase in climate change.
And he's like, but if you go a thousand years, which is really what you're supposed to do when you're looking at the world, because there's been these ups and downs that have always existed, and they're very similar.
Although we are having an impact with our carbon footprint, no doubt, but these changes, in terms of the temperature of the earth, They've always existed.
The Sahara Desert used to be vast green.
I mean, it would be a fucking tropical jungle 15,000 years ago or whatever it was.
And these things are just an inevitable part of the cycle of Earth.
We have to factor that in.
We can't ignore the fact that human beings are impacting climate in a negative way with our carbon footprint and with our particulates that we pump into the air.
That, in places like, what was it that we looked at?
Was it South Dakota?
No, Nebraska?
Indiana.
Indiana, right?
Indiana has multiple coal plants in this one area that are so bad.
Like, people's cars are covered with a thin layer of soot every day, and they're breathing in this shit.
So you have a disproportionate amount of people with cardiorespiratory issues and allergies and reactions to the particulates in the area.
And then people say, well, how do you fix that?
Well, nuclear.
Clean nuclear.
And to do nuclear-powered plants that are far more sophisticated than the ones in Fukushima with only one step-removed backup plan, that if that fails, they're fucked, which is what they are.
They're fucked.
Right.
But you're talking about old technology and that nuclear in general, if it's engineered correctly to modern standards, is the best version of clean energy that we're capable of producing.
But everybody's terrified of it.
Because nuclear, politically, if you say nuclear power, everybody's like, oh, you're going to kill us all.
But yeah, I mean, look, we've been making progress.
Think about what London looked like in, you know, pre-World War II with the coal, you know, that was burning and the fact that, you know, they literally...
You know, you couldn't see, you know, 10 feet in front of you because the air was so bad.
China, to this day, still has this problem.
You go to some of these cities in China and, I mean, nobody's building coal factory or coal plants faster than China, right?
Again, not to get back on this, but, you know, when you talk about the world and where the world's going and you talk about climate change and you talk about, you know, environmental concerns, yeah, I mean, The reality is we can do these things.
We can make a change.
We can try to make differences.
I agree that there's no doubt we contribute to the problem.
I think it's a little presumptuous to say that we're going to cool the earth in 30 years or whatever.
I mean, we're going to stop this climate change from happening.
Okay, but it doesn't mean you shouldn't make...
Good faith efforts in areas that you can from a technology perspective.
But I think if China, if India aren't going to make any meaningful changes, and they're not, then overall, we just have to be pragmatic about what it means in terms of We're going to do our part, and that's great, and we always do, but we also have to be realistic and understand what that means in terms of our national security interests.
And isn't also part of the problem is that these discussions, like what we're having right now, we're an hour and a half, 20 minutes into this conversation.
These are long, drawn-out discussions where there's a lot of nuance to it.
There's a lot of things to discuss.
But politically, when people are getting elected, When they're discussing these things in terms of trying to run for office and trying to push a narrative that people are going to accept and be enthusiastic about for voting, these things don't get discussed in this way.
So most people don't hear these conversations unless they're listening to podcasts or unless they're listening to some long YouTube dissertation on it.
So most people, they just have this narrative in their head.
I've talked to so many people, particularly on the left, That are, you know, climate change is going to kill my children.
We need to do something now.
And they don't have all the information at their disposal.
And it's all very tough to sit and watch a documentary or watch an actual newscast that starts and puts everything in context.
People just don't have the time or they don't have the interest or they don't have the ability to sit still long enough to do it.
But you're right, yeah.
I mean, everyone's got like a shallow sort of level of knowledge about a lot of things, and a lot of that knowledge comes from social media.
I mean, I don't know how many...
I mean, good God.
Twitter's a great example of that.
When there's an issue, when Pelosi goes to Taiwan, suddenly I had no idea we had so many experts on Taiwan and the politics of Taiwan and what that meant.
Or, you know, Monkey Box.
Everyone's an expert on Monkey Box.
So people don't just say their opinion anymore.
They say it as if it's fact.
And so they're convinced of that, but they're convinced of it without having a body of Effort of evidence that they've got.
When you're right, when both sides, you know, when the Republicans or the Democrats, when the right, when the left, when they talk in these sort of very narrow terms, when they can motivate their base through just a very thin layer of information, when they just throw a narrative out there and people say, yeah, that's it.
That's what I believe in, too.
And everybody is very siloed.
So I don't know how you get away from that.
Because that would imply that you'd need to change somehow, you know, human nature.
And human nature right now is just, you know, I look at, shit, you look at kids nowadays, and including my kids, and, you know, you try to engage them in a conversation about something of substance.
And...
You just see it's hard for them to sit still long enough to really go through it because they're so used to just changing topics or changing...
So I rented this little cottage in this tiny little village, and I thought, you know, we'll take the boys for hikes in the countryside, and we'll tour around.
We'll look at some castles and some sites and everything.
Now, mind you, all three of them liked the outdoors, and so the hikes were great.
They loved that part of it.
But it was pretty clear after the first day or so that the quaintness of an English village wasn't really for them.
They were like, all right, what the fuck?
And all three of them were like, after the first couple hours, they said, the Wi-Fi sucks in this cottage.
unidentified
LAUGHTER I was like, there's no Wi-Fi, what are you talking about?
And I said, let's go out and look at another church.
I'll take you for a pub lunch, it'll be fun.
But it was fine.
So then we moved from there, went to London, but anyway, ended up in Paris at one point.
And we marched their asses all over Paris, showing them all the sights.
And including we took them to the Louvre, to the museum for like six hours, which I'm sure for these kids, right?
What are they, 15 and 13 and 11?
It was kind of torture, right?
At a certain point.
And after they looked at the sort of the Egyptian antiquities, the mummies and some of the, you know, medieval swords and things, I think that was pretty much all they were done.
By the way, you go in to look at the Mona Lisa and the Louvre.
The idea that they've accumulated the kind of wealth they've accumulated, and then they've set up this thing called the Vatican, which is essentially a country, Yeah.
Inside of a city that's a hundred plus, it's like a hundred plus acres.
And they have no extradition.
So if someone's a, you know, a confirmed sex offender from another country, they hoard them over there and they can do whatever they want.
I mean, that's literally the history of the country.
I mean, it sounds like a horrible thing to say.
If you said, hey, there's this one religion that's synonymous with raping kids.
And they don't pay taxes.
He'd be like, what?
Yeah, not only that, like the people that have been the Pope, that are the head of this, have actually moved people from other organizations where they were accused of molesting children to new places where unsuspecting kids, like Ratzinger, before he was removed.
That fucking guy took one particular priest that was accused of molesting children and moved him to a new place where he molested 100 deaf kids.
It's very layered, so you have the people who are a part of the religion who are disgusted by that, and then you've got people who somehow are able to kind of look the other way and find an accommodation with it in the sense of, okay, well, I'm still a devout Catholic, and despite all the flaws in the structure of this operation, Yeah, I don't get it.
Most people that are Catholic are good people, and they subscribe to the best aspects of the religion.
Be a good person, follow the good book, and go to church because it's a great structure for ethics and morals, and then they hear about the stuff that they don't want to hear about.
That's one area we haven't, at the end of the day, not that this is apropos of absolutely anything, but And I'm sure everybody was curious about my religious beliefs.
But I do feel like I kind of dropped the ball on providing some kind of religious platform for the kids.
And I don't know what that would have been.
But I do think that there's, in a sense, it's nice to have something bigger than yourself, whatever that is, right?
And the community that that used to provide.
And I think part of the problem in today's world, I think, is people don't have enough community, whether it's their neighborhood, their church, whatever it is.
But having said that, Sunday would roll around and I'd be like, yeah, I'd go mow the lawn or something.
But just in terms of, like, a moral scaffolding and just in terms of having some sort of structure, a way that people genuinely agree will be better for everybody.
That's one of the good things that a church provides, if it's a good church and it's a good religion.
It provides people with a structure.
It gives people peace.
It makes people feel better.
And it brings people together to worship together.
And they leave there, hopefully, with a better feeling of community.
We have religions for secular people, and that's like, I mean, Marc Andreessen had a very good rant about what woke is.
That woke is these people that believe in the progressive movement, they treat it as a religion.
There's excommunication, there's punishment, there's rules that you can't question, there's things and guidelines that must be followed or you'll be punished.
Well, I mean, clearly because we ended up with more conservative judges on there than not.
I think they were just trying to return the issue to the states.
I don't know how you have—and I'm in a state, Idaho, where the state legislature was going to put some crazy ass rules in place.
I don't know whether it was a trigger law or not, but basically saying almost no cases could be considered allowable for abortion.
I just, again, I'm sort of that mindset that says, you know, reasonable people could have come up with a reasonable solution, which said, you know, do you want to abort it at, you know, nine months in one day?
No, probably not.
But do you want to leave it there to be, you know, good options for a woman to make that decision on her own?
Well, yeah.
So, I mean, find a fucking middle ground here.
But I have been surprised by the number of states.
For a while, I always thought I was reading the tea leaves pretty well in terms of any administration and where things were going from a policy perspective.
It's also in terms of people that were on the fence that were, you know, kind of like leaning Republican because of the way the country's going economically and all the different things that have been put in place by this administration that people disagreed with that they think is damaging to the economy and damaging to the overall quality of life.
And so they were like on the fence and then that comes along and we go, oh, well, this comes with that shit.
And there's also talk about going after contraception.
There's people that want to take it to the next level, which is really wild in terms of preventing pregnancy, preventing pregnancy with the Plan B pill, preventing pregnancy even with condoms.
There's people out there that you get far enough out.
I don't think it's been investigated, but the sheer amount of traffic that's really...
Okay, what is the percentage of internet traffic that is pornography?
Let's look at that.
Because the actual data, I think the actual, like, when you look at the gigabytes and terabytes of data that's just porn, that's on the internet, I think it's...
Yeah, that's a crazy thought because if you say, okay, if you're in a state that wants to essentially ban all abortions, and then they also want to ban contraception, okay, so...
Again, I don't think maybe I'm romanticizing some past era.
I guess I am because maybe there was never a time when reasonable people found common ground and you could compromise and And find policies and create legislation that, you know, could take the best from both sides and there you go.
So maybe that actually never happened.
You know, it's a little bit like the idea you think about, we're going to have the family over for Thanksgiving and everyone's going to get along and it's going to look like a Norman Rockwell painting and it doesn't happen.
You know, everyone's pissing and moaning and arguing with each other.
So, I think, but the older you get maybe, you know, the more you think, well, back in the day we used to compromise.
You know, Ronald Reagan and Tip O'Neill would sit in the back room and, you know, have a drink and get some good piece of legislation done.
There's a large swath of this country that thinks the election was stolen, which people need to understand, that has always been the way a large swath of Americans, both on the left and the right, have felt about elections.
There was a documentary on HBO. God, what was it called?
I forget, but it was all about voting machines and how hackable voting machines were.
This is the Diebold machines that disproportionately contributed to the Republican Party, this company, this corporation that did this, and they made these machines.
Hacking Democracy was the name of the documentary.
And they proved in this documentary that they can affect these machines with third party input.
So it wasn't just a matter of one person voting, the other person collecting it, that a third person could come in and manipulate the numbers, and that they had access to these machines in that way, that these machines were actually set up for third party input.
And this is terrifying to me because they said, oh my god, the Republicans are going to steal the election.
And that was the thought process behind it.
And now it's, oh my god, the Democrats have stolen the election.
They felt like John Kerry got robbed when he ran against George Bush.
The really dumb people that all they do is just fucking rah-rah, and they don't look at this in terms of what kind of an impact does this have?
You can't just think of your side, and I want our side to win, because it's supposed to be one side.
It's supposed to be the United States of America.
We're a community.
We're a group of people.
We're all bound together, and we do get together in times of great conflict, like post 9-11.
I would say that 9-11 was a horrible thing, but one thing that came out of it that I found inspiring was how many American flags were on people's cars immediately afterwards.
It's like people on the right and on the left, it was like one of the rare times in the world where people joined together in this country and said, hey, we are faced with a threat from outside and we need to all...
We hadn't really seen that since World War II. Right.
I mean, with the exception of the Japanese-American interns, they didn't actually probably feel the same way, but we hadn't seen that.
And I think it was an interesting lesson for a lot of people.
But it wasn't really learned, right?
It was a moment in time.
And we don't tend to...
It's like a lot of things we do.
We don't tend to learn from anything in any particular moment.
We're impacted by it on an emotive level.
We think, okay, great.
But no one's looking back and saying, okay, you know, here's what we need to do in order to be one country, in order to be...
You know, focused on what does it mean, you know, to move the needle as one people, right?
It just doesn't happen.
So, and I think you're right.
Trump was, you know, because of the nature of the beast, it just was part of it.
I mean, you look at the reaction to the Mar-a-Lago raid.
And the immediate reaction of, like, the Department of Justice and the Bureau are, you know, are fucking us over.
It's the same thing.
If you lose your faith in the systems, right, whether it's law enforcement or it's justice or whatever in the country, just like with the political system, it is a very dangerous thing.
And you can always argue that, okay, you know, Are they having problems?
Can they do better?
Do they need to adjust?
Was this a mistake?
Whatever.
But that's different than losing faith in the system.
Yeah, because, again, nobody scratches the surface.
They read something.
It's like what you were saying before.
They read something, and that's it.
That's their narrative.
Yes, I believe that, and it's a fact.
It's not just something I've read, and I'm not going to try to figure out who actually posted that or who put it down.
So – and Russia is a great example of that.
Russia does that better than China even.
China is engaged in it and China is working hard to influence US public opinion about policies that relate to China or what they view as things of – in their interest.
But Russia at the end of the day is – they're at the top of the heap of – State-sponsored operations trying to influence what's going on here in the U.S. And it's effective.
And it's interesting because Elon Musk is a fairly polarizing character as well, and his desire to figure out how many bots there are on Twitter before he purchases it was met with so much resistance from people and his desire to figure out how many bots there are on Twitter before he purchases it was met with so much resistance from people that are somehow or another opposed to him, whether they're opposed to him because
It's like, hey, that's really important because these bots aren't just used by people fucking around.
These bots are used by people that are trying to encourage dissent.
They're trying to encourage arguments.
They're trying to encourage and erode our faith in our institutions.
And whether they're trying to foment racism, oh, it's a fundamentally racist country, so let's work on that.
If you're listing out things as a foreign nation that doesn't have our best interests at heart, if you're Russia, you're saying, here's what I want to do, yeah, you're going to look to create dissatisfaction Within the country for a variety of things.
Your way of life, the quality of your life, the belief in the justice system, whatever it might be.
Oh, yeah, the political system's screwed because it's all rigged.
Those are the things that you do.
And again, we don't...
We're not very good at it.
We talked about it, you know, coming out of 2016 and, you know, over the past handful of years.
But again, it's not a substantive discussion, right?
And shit that gets investigated, people, you know, they'll get all up in arms on Capitol Hill and politicians will insist on an investigation.
But, you know, Washington, D.C. is, yeah, it's a place where investigations go to die.
Well, I'll caveat this by saying it's speculation because I haven't seen the affidavit.
Not many people have.
But then I'll start by saying It's yet another self-inflicted wound by Trump.
He didn't need to end up like that.
The departure from the White House was fairly chaotic, as you can imagine.
That's just the nature of what they were doing.
There wasn't the level of organization.
It wasn't a very buttoned-up administration, in part because they had a lot of churn in personnel and all this.
You can argue that every administration has some back and forth with the National Archives over what is and isn't presidential record, what they can keep as their own personal material and what has to be held by the government.
Well, I mean, if they consider it personal correspondence or they consider it information that Is not classified and is just material that one day can end up in a presidential library or they can use to write a book when they finish up and they want to make a few hundred million dollars on a book, then fine.
But there's always typically some back and forth that goes on about, okay, what is and what isn't and what can we get?
But, you know, that requires a process, right?
And that requires, you know, there's protocols involved for saying what you can take with you, right?
And so if they had done that, if they'd done the right thing, they wouldn't have ended up in this situation.
And what they did was they, once again, you know, Trump is able to, like, suck all the oxygen out of the room, right?
And it's one of those things that I think was just unnecessary.
Was the raid justified?
I don't know because I don't know what the specific documents were that they really had a Jones about.
They had been negotiating this for some time, right?
They'd been talking to them and going back and forth and they discussed what they had and how is it stored and all the rest of it.
And they'd gotten 15 or so boxes earlier.
Why they didn't just do that all in one effort and say, okay, we have more documents.
Maybe it was taking the archives a while to understand what was and wasn't in the materials that were returned.
Yeah, I mean, I think there's politics in the sense that a lot of folks up on Capitol Hill who took delight in it and found it to be a really good piece of entertainment.
But if you say politics from the FBI's perspective, from the Department of Justice's perspective, I mean, I know a number of guys that work for the Bureau, and I know them to be really solid people.
They're street guys.
They're investigators.
They do their job.
They're very, very good.
I don't know anybody senior in the DOJ or at the Bureau, so I don't know...
How politicized they are and whether that played into it or not.
But, you know, people that are actually engaged in the search, you know, that show up at Mar-a-Lago, they're doing their job, right?
And they've been told this is what we have to do.
You know, I think that it was such an extraordinary step and so unprecedented Maybe I'll be proven wrong once they release the affidavit and we all find out what was sitting there.
But I can't hope but think that they had a reason why they said, no, we can't just keep dragging along here because we're not getting the responses we need.
So we do need to go in.
We need to knock on the door and say, look, we've got to...
I do suspect that they could have approached it differently and not had the presence they had and everything, but who knows?
Again, this is the problem we live in in this world today.
Immediately after that took place, there were people on the left and people on the right who were absolutely sure they had exactly the information to make a decision about what this meant and why it was done or why it shouldn't have been done.
And that's part of our problem.
You know, the unsatisfying answer is you got to wait and find out what exactly occurred to see whether it was justified or not.
But nobody wants to hear that, right?
It's like after a terrorism incident.
Everybody wants an answer immediately.
Well, it's an investigation and things take time.
You know, all I can say is the folks I know at the Bureau are really quality people.
But do people at the top of an organization Are they more politicized?
Well, sure, there's a tendency for that to happen, right?
Because that's, you know, they've been around a long time, they're at that position because, you know, they work closely with, you know, politicos or whatever, but, I don't know, it doesn't really answer your question.
I've just spent a lot of time talking in circles, but...
It's so confusing for someone like me that's like going, well, what's going on here?
Is there more than meets the eye?
Or is this like clearly an example of him doing something that is 100% forbidden, but he feels like he can do it because he's Donald Trump and he feels like the rules don't apply to him?
Based on what has been reported so far, but again, without the affidavit, without the specific details, who knows?
But if there's documentation that's not cataloged and marked as declassified, again, it has to show that.
If you've got a document that's top secret, code word, and you look at it and it's marked top secret, code word, then You know, you have to assume it's still classified, right?
And there's a mere fact of him saying, oh, no, you know, last year I declassified that.
That doesn't hold water.
You can't, you know, he has to follow protocol.
And that's where I think he slips up is he doesn't necessarily believe that applies to him or he's just not, you know, it's just not the nature of...
Yeah, he is, and also to have information not released.
I think part of this problem, again, it kind of goes back to what we were talking about before with the transparency of the U.S. government.
When they talked about this in this little conference room in DOJ, wherever they talked about it, and they said, we're thinking about conducting a raid, and the Bureau doesn't like to use the word raid, or DOJ doesn't like to use the word raid, but when they said, we're talking about doing a raid on the home of the former president, They probably should, once again, from a messaging perspective, step back and thought to themselves, okay, what does that mean?
How are we going to justify this?
Not that they have to, but they should have known what a firestorm it was going to create.
And so they should have had that completely buttoned up and ready to go the moment they were going to do it and be as transparent within the limitations of what they can do, of what they were doing and why they were doing it.
Because if they don't, they create all that open space, right?
And that's where everyone jumps in and starts declaring what exactly happened without knowing what the fuck happened.
And then you get all this misinformation and disinformation and it's another fucking goat rope.
So it's a process that I think the Attorney General probably should have handled better because he had to authorize it.
They also had to go in.
If the White House says they didn't know anything about it, That's where I'm going to call bullshit.
The White House saying we had no idea that the AG was authorized to search the former president's home.
Yeah, probably that's not the case.
You have to assume they got to walk in, sit down and say, sir, we got a little something we got to talk to you about.
I think he's gotten to this point where, you know, we're only two years in and he's already completely fallen apart where he can't form sentences anymore.
I can't imagine they're gonna look at him as a viable candidate in 2024. I mean, a large percentage of the Democrats don't want him to run.
You get that self-selection that just fucks us over.
You know what we haven't talked about is the fact that the Russians and the Ukrainians are lobbing missiles at each other near the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
You can't predict its trajectory and also just the timing and the speed with which it's moving and the uncertainty of its flight path.
And so, yeah, the Chinese are...
They've been spending a...
I've got an ungodly amount on their research and also efforts to, once again, steal information.
We've been developing, we've been working hard to do that.
But other areas, you know, you talk about quantum computing.
That's an area where we've got to get ahead of the game.
Whoever, Russia, China, the U.S., yeah, Russia, China, the U.S., it's always the top three, are feverishly working to develop quantum computing.
And that's great, and everybody thinks, okay, yay, we'll get to that point.
And that just means when you're there, the speed, the capabilities of quantum computers surpass sort of the classical computing thing.
The problem there is, and it's great for the future of, yeah.
AI and a variety of, you know, science is terrific.
But what it also means is you can defeat, in a very simple way, and I'm going to oversimplify this, but quantum computing, once it's developed sufficiently, once you're post-quantum, then you can defeat the cryptography that's on sort of the classical computer systems, right?
That handle The cryptography that's basically protecting our national security communications, our military communications, the financial transactions on the internet, right, that we all rely on.
So part of it is, yeah, it's great for future development of science and technology, but there's this real concern over, you know, if, again, a nation that doesn't have our best interests at heart develop this and get kind of in the lead on this.
Then, suddenly, they can defeat the cryptographic capabilities of our communications systems.
And that's a real problem.
So, I guess what I'm saying is there's some areas that we need to be focused on putting more money into.
And so, every time I read that we're putting $80 billion in the IRS or $370 billion into subsidies for green energy, Just wondering, okay, I understand why it's appealing to some people, but maybe it's not in our best interest.
We, Japan, Germany, a variety of places, again, Russia, China, we've been developing and working on quantum computing, but You know, it's not where it needs to be yet, right?
So it's still in the development stages, right?
It's still in sort of the nascent stages of where it's going to go.
And so if you think about it, we could be, I think they were talking about like 2030 or so, right?
It would be sort of that moment in time when we're at whatever they call it.
I'm obviously not a tech guy, but quantum supremacy or something.
Yeah.
So we're busy now.
The US government is actually focused on this.
They're trying to say, okay, we need to improve all our systems so that they are capable of defeating what that means down the road at that point.
So I guess what I'm saying in not a very eloquent way is there are a lot of areas for concern that the US government needs to be focused on.
And I just hope that, you know, this administration and the next one, whoever they are, maybe, understand.
It just seems our timelines are accelerated, right, for concerns that we...
We maybe had no vision on, even five or ten years ago.
And the world, it strikes me, it's a little bit more of a dangerous place right now.
And so I think we need to kind of get back to it.
I agree with what you said before, which is every time you talk about U.S. first or Patriotism.
Patriotism, US focus.
You get a whole segment of society that looks at that here in the US and goes, you're being nationalistic.
Is it complete integration of the government and businesses the way China does it?
Is it something different?
And with the widespread distribution of quantum computing, what does that look like in 10 years, 15, 20 years?
If cryptography no longer exists, if there's no Passwords don't mean anything anymore and all intellectual property is available to anybody and everyone.
I mean, this whole idea of decentralized currency was very attractive to people.
But now the government is talking about a centralized digital currency that they control.
And what comes with that, of course, is some sort of social policy that regulates and distributes what access you have to it based on your social credit score.
Yeah, that's what a nation like China is focused on.
I would have assumed that once they start talking about government regulation of cryptocurrency, that the whole shift, everybody's focus would go elsewhere, right?
Because it completely takes away the attractiveness of that space.
And the whole value of it was...
I always imagine was essentially, I'm oversimplifying, but the lack of government regulation and dependency.
So, yeah, I don't know where it's going to go.
I'm an old school kind of investor.
I should be embarrassed to say I don't have any crypto in my investment portfolio, but I don't have much of an investment portfolio.
Well, there's a lot of people that invested in crypto that lost a shit ton of money when it all kind of fell apart recently, too.
That's the thing.
When things get weird, people want to dump it.
They get panicky, and there's long-haul investors in crypto that say there's ups and downs, and this is just part of the process.
But a lot of people say, no, they're hamstringing cryptocurrencies, and they know what they're doing.
And they're doing it because it is a threat.
Because if the government no longer controls currency, if currency is decentralized, and there's a finite amount of Bitcoin, and it's valuable at this level, and people can use it to buy goods and services, The government no longer controls it.
I think it's—you know, the big government concern has been, for all this time, has been that it's, you know, used by criminal elements, right?
And, you know, there was—yes, that was true to some degree.
But it seems like the horse has left the barn, so it's more of a—you know, it's gained more traction than, you know— I would have thought.
But then again, I look down and I think, fine, I should have bought Walmart.
But I don't know.
I think that with the currency the way it is, Look, China has been looking to supplant the dollar or to replace the dollar as the global currency.
They've had that argument for a long time.
I don't think the dollar is going anywhere, but I do think that the more that the government looks to control Alternative currencies, the less attractive those currencies become, and the more likely it is that the focus shifts elsewhere, and there becomes then another attractive investment at the nascent level at the beginning.
Half the time, I think—and that's the problem with media nowadays.
I mean, look, you look at most sites that are supposedly media, news-focused, and it just seems like it's just a slew of shit that's there just to get your clicks and your likes and to bait you into clicking on it.
And most of the shit that's out there is just that, right?
I mean, there's very few solid news sources anymore.
They fired Stelter, supposedly Don Lemon and Jim Acosta are on the chopping block as well, and they're trying to make it an objective source of journalism now.
The fucking cover of CNN had a positive story on me the other day.
I think in part I didn't realize what an effort had been underway for years by that segment of society to influence state houses in anticipation of one day having the Supreme Court return the question to the states.
So that was a massively coordinated and funded effort To try to get to that point.
And that completely happened, at least for me, off the radar.
Do you think that's a political decision or is that a position based on their religious ideology, that life truly does begin at the point of conception that they're doing something that's ultimately just?
But I think there's a lot of people out there who firmly believe, you know, on the religious side of it.
And then there's, you know, there's, I don't, I don't know.
It's one of those, there's no winning that discussion, right?
Right.
Again, it falls in the category of, fuck it.
Don't hurt people.
You do what you're going to do.
I'll do what I do.
You don't need to celebrate me.
I don't need to celebrate you.
Just get on with your fucking life.
But that requires, I think, for it to happen, that requires, again, reasonable people making reasonable policies that people can live under.
That doesn't seem to happen because one side wants it all their way and one side wants it their way and everybody's throwing hand grenades at each other.
Well, that's—see, again, you get into that part, and then you could actually see a point where the Republicans don't actually take the House in November.
If they just keep—if there's enough of that going on, because you have all the independents, you have all the—like you pointed out, the people that— They're inclined to vote Republican because they like policies that are there.
But then they see this and they think, just stay the fuck out of my kitchen.
Do the things you're supposed to do.
Treaties and security and foreign policy and everything else, just stay the fuck out of it.
I mean, look, if the fight is taken to Russia, right, inside Russia, and they've had a number of incidents already, right?
And there have been a number of incidents in Crimea.
And before this, I guarantee you, before February, whenever they started the invasion, February 24th, Putin, you know, probably imagined that would never happen.
He imagined he was going to be in Kiev in five days.
So, I think the more that may happen, if the Ukrainian military decides, look, what we've got to do is use these drones capabilities that we have and, you know, some of the other weapons we've got to start launching attacks.
And the U.S. has been trying to, you know, trying to manage that ever since we got involved in this, right?
And by saying, you know, these can't be used, you know, to launch attacks inside of Russia.
Because they don't want that to expand, and that could be one of those things that could then set him off.
So something like this, this assassination, whether she was the intended target or it was going to be her dad, that's the sort of thing that escalates, right?
And it removes the ability, if there was one, to have any sort of negotiated settlement.
But look, we're $10 billion in terms of aid that we've dropped on to Ukraine, really legitimately since Biden's been in office.
They just approved a $775 million additional assistance package, mostly munitions and hardware.
And that's the 18th or 19th package of aid that we've put into Ukraine since this started.
The Congress or the Senate approved a $40 billion aid package in May, so they haven't gotten anywhere near contributing all that to it yet.
But you have to ask yourself, where is this going?
What are we doing?
Are we just going to continue sort of a proxy situation?
Well, if we didn't do anything, if we hadn't been providing all this, There's no way the Ukrainians could still be in the fight.
I mean, no matter how strong their will is, and everybody respects the fact that they've had this enormous courage and will for this battle, but the reality is they need the hardware.
Look, they've lost.
It depends on the estimates, but some of the estimates are they're losing 100 soldiers a day.
We're at the six-month mark of this.
Today is like 180th day, 181st day of the invasion.
And Well, sort of the figures are hard to pin down because both sides are, you know, in the business of not giving that information out and they're also in the business of exaggerating how much the other side has suffered.
You know, estimates are, you know, maybe the Russians have lost 15,000 to 18,000 and the Ukrainians are probably somewhere, you know, around that, again, if you figure 100. So it'd be 18,000 if they're losing 100 a day.
So you've got this going on and you've got the US and NATO just pushing more weapons and money in there and there doesn't seem to be an end in sight.
Russia doesn't seem inclined and they've said they won't negotiate.
Zelensky doesn't seem inclined to push for a negotiated settlement.
So, you know, I don't know where that goes.
Yeah, exactly.
And we have to be a little bit clearer about this, right?
Because obviously, Afghanistan was one of those just ridiculous case studies.
We kept talking about how we're creating the stable Afghan government.
And, you know, the military knew the Afghan military wasn't going to – the U.S. government knew deep down that the Afghan military couldn't stand up on its own.
And yet, for years and years and years and years, we kept this going.
And we never really did a particularly good job of explaining to the American public Why we're doing it other than, well, terrorism.
Terrorism.
We can't allow them to use it as a base for attacking us again like 9-11.
You know, so 20 years down the road and all those lives and everything else, we're back to where we started, basically.
Taliban's back in charge and, you know, nothing's really changed.
And so with this Ukraine-Russia thing, you know, we don't want to get in a shooting war with Russia.
Do we really want to keep just pumping endless amounts of money into Ukraine?
It's money we're not spending on other things, on shoring up our telecoms and getting Chinese gear off of cell towers.
It's not money we're spending on quantum computing.
It's not money we're spending on I'm hoping that behind the scenes, we've got some very aggressive effort to get the two sides to sit down.
Do you think that's the case?
Probably not, because the Russians aren't willing, and probably Zelensky feels, at least at this point, that he's got a lot of runway left in terms of getting aid and assistance from NATO and from the U.S. They're, you know, but at a certain point, it starts looking like World War I, right?
Little tiny, tiny incremental steps, you know, on the battlefield and very little being done and, you know, potential for famine, even though they've released some of the grain shipments.
So it just looks a lot like...
When we were dragging the boys through London, I took them to the Imperial War Museum.
If anybody's so inclined, they should definitely go to the Imperial War Museum in London.
And I took the boys to the World War I exhibit.
It's fantastic.
It's an incredible thing.
But then you're standing there and you're reading all this about a land war in Europe, right?
And lack of progress and people being killed and famine being created because there was no agriculture going on and no ability to move food and grain.
Technology being what it is, the potential for major problems.
Yeah, so, but again, I guess I think it's down to, maybe it's the same theme, transparency on the part of the US government.
We have to do a better job of explaining maybe what our point to this exercise is, rather than just, the immediate effect was this mode of, yeah, I stand with Ukraine, right?
Well, what does that mean?
And we all imagined that, you know, maybe there was going to be a quick end to it, one side or the other.
That's clearly not happening.
So I guess my point in talking about the numbers, the sheer amount of money, and it's not just the money, it's just what are we trying to accomplish here, and that's part of the problem.
I will say Putin completely miscalculated, because I think part of his issue was he wanted to show cracks in NATO, and obviously he didn't do that.
Now we've expanded NATO as a result of his actions, so he got just the wrong result there.
There's also a problem in getting to the Russian people themselves because the propaganda that they receive is so thorough and their access to the information is so limited in terms of the Russian propaganda.
I've talked to people who have relatives in Russia and they think that the Ukrainians are a bunch of Nazis and that we have to go over there to liberate them.
That's the propaganda that the surface readers of Russia are getting.
I think being more realistic about what our foreign policy interests are.
Those are things, but that's difficult to do, right?
It's a very popular thing to...
You know, this is one of the few bipartisan issues that you've got is to grant more aid to Ukraine.
It's one of the few things that people on Capitol Hill seem to agree about.
There's only a handful of voices that are saying, you know, what's it all about and where is it going?
I'm not saying don't.
I'm just saying let's have a discussion about it, you know, openly that talks about what our national interests are there and what we're trying to accomplish.
And, you know, much like with Afghanistan, even with Iraq and, you know, going all the way back to Vietnam and others.
I mean, we've never really done it.
So, again, it's, you know, it's wishful thinking that we would.
Does that mean we become under the control of another empire?
Does it mean we're under the whim of China and all our ideas about freedom and what we hold dear about the United States are gone forever?
And that this experiment in self-government ultimately proved to be a failure.
It lasted a few hundred years, but was overcome by all the powers that be, all the things that we've talked about so far, and the fact that the very foundation that It was established under is not taken seriously or not thought of as so significant and important,
whether it's freedom of speech, whether it's, you know, the Bill of Rights, the Constitution, all these things that people want to change and erode and shift based on their own political ideology.
They don't understand that this is immensely important.
If China exists right now, if we live at the same time that an entire country of over a billion people is controlled by a totalitarian dictatorship, which is essentially what the CCP is.
I mean, they have ultimate control over what's expressed.
They'll lock people up for dissent.
They'll take people that are billionaire heads of corporations and step out of line and they disappear them.
Well, there's a lot of people that talk about how, you know, but they've always been, you know, a segment of society that's talked about how democracy is failing and capitalism is a failing system.
What's the alternative?
Yeah, I don't think there is an alternative.
I think we allowed ourselves to get soft.
We talked about this, you know, a while back, which is, you know, part of it is human nature, right?
As a parent, I want life to be easier for my kids, right?
My parents wanted it to be easier for me.
Their parents, I'm sure, wanted it to be easier for them.
And eventually, you get the diminishing returns because...
You know, we're not hunting, gathering, looking for fresh water.
We're just, you know, sitting, staring at our phones and nobody's doing shit, right?
So it's, you could argue that, and we've, you know, so we've created a soft society.
We have an inability to say difficult things to each other without getting completely wound up, right?
I mean, words are violence.
No, they're fucking not.
But a free flow of ideas and exchange is a very difficult thing to do nowadays.
People are afraid to say what they really think because, oh my god.
And so there was no upside for her, whether it was with students or with professors, to say anything.
But you get that.
I guess the point there is you get this inability to talk and to reason.
And so you end up...
Right now, it does seem like...
Yeah, we do.
I don't know.
I tend to think that the country's very resilient.
I'm not one of those people that thinks democracy's on the brink, right?
I didn't think that January 6th is going to mean the end of democracy.
I think it was a horseshit show, right?
It was not good, but I don't think it meant that, oh my God, democracy's on the brink.
No, it isn't.
If you think that, then I don't think you understand how resilient it is here in this country.
But...
I don't know.
Maybe we don't have enough people invested in the game.
Maybe we need mandatory service for folks coming out of high school.
Maybe you could defer that for after college, but maybe everybody needs to put some skin in the game, a couple of years of community service or military time.
Yeah, that's what a lot of people thought, that one of the things that separates us from countries like Israel, beside the fact they're in constant actual military conflict with their neighbor.
Is that they have this sort of mandatory military service, sort of like South Korea does.
We don't want that in this country because we want people to have the ability to choose whatever they want.
But I think because people don't exactly understand the consequences of not looking at ourselves as a sovereign state, not looking at ourselves as a community of people that are all banded together,
that we do have this sort of Ignorant denial of our role in the world or of not just our role in the world of the world in general how the other players in this game look at us right and I think also an understanding of how The country works, or how it's laid out, right?
Maybe not how it always works, but how it's supposed to, you know, work according to the framework, right?
And, you know, it's not to sound like Wilford Brimley, but, you know, in school, you used to take civics courses, right?
And that was mandatory.
You had to know, you had a government course, right?
You had to know how things were supposedly working.
And I think that's an element of that, too.
We need to Maybe we need to spend a little less time on people's feelings and following their passions in schooling and just get back to some basics.
Do the things that will help kids advance, but give them a framework of understanding as to how things work.
Social sciences, fine.
Civics, great.
Economics, right?
I mean, teach some things that really, I don't know, prepare the kids.
I don't know where I was going with that other than I see a list of courses, potential courses, that, you know, particularly my oldest boy can take in high school, now that he's in high school.
And I go, well, you know, I mean, how about...
It's all over the map, right?
It's just shit that you think, I guess maybe that's...
Maybe that's entertaining, but maybe some more focus on basic instruction and education.
Yeah, I think it's to become a functioning part of society.
I think it's to allow you to be a provider, to, you know, take care of yourself, to be a responsible citizen.
And, yeah, but now it does seem a lot of it's for, you know, sort of just self-realization and following passion and doing all these things that, you know, anyway, I disappeared down in some educational discussion rabbit hole, but Are you concerned at all about the integration of technology into human beings?
One of the things that's coming up now that a lot of people are discussing are these technologies that are rising right now.
There's Neuralink and there's a few other ones and Elon Musk is actually just invested in some competitor to Neuralink.
They're all working towards this integration of technology and human beings.
But when we're talking about the problems with technology and the problems with the fact that a lot of our technology is compromised, and that if we do that to human bodies, if we really do all connect to the internet via some sort of cyborg device, What's to stop that from being compromised?
I haven't even gotten all this way down the road and I didn't plug Black Files Declassified on Discovery and Science Channel.
In the second season, we did some work on this.
I went to UCLA robotics program, went to Madison, Wisconsin, looked at some of this.
I think it's fascinating.
It doesn't necessarily worry me from...
I know there's discussions about the morality issues of linking machine and human and all that.
But I do think from a security perspective, like you pointed out, I think there's some concern there.
But research and development being what it is, I've been super impressed with what – did I say super impressed?
I've been impressed with what I've seen anyway from what some of the research labs are doing in this field.
It is a It's an amazing area, but what they're not doing, because they're scientists, they're engineers, they're not counterintelligence concerns.
So you don't have that follow-on part that says, well, what does that mean?
And the ethicists are out there looking at the morality issues.
But I don't know that from a CI perspective that anybody's been out there staring at this and wondering, well, if China is controlling communications, telecoms from their position right now, Once this goes further, what does that enable them to do?
I don't know.
But it's a fascinating area.
It's just typically the security aspects or the counterintelligence aspects of anything tend to be a trailing issue.
They've got the advantage of being a dictatorship, right?
So they don't sit around and worry about the ethics of things.
They don't worry about the morals of things.
They don't worry about civil liberties, right?
And I'm glad that we do in the West.
I think that's great.
That's the way it should be.
But we just need to be aware that they don't and what that means and why they are so focused on this.
I mean, again, they're focused on artificial intelligences, similar to their focus on other, you know, key technologies that they want to control.
So, yeah, we just, again, it's one of those things where you don't want to sit around and You know, see some sort of conspiracy or a security threat behind every corner.
It's like a giant gate that's right in front of our face.
I mean, if we all do integrate, and you're talking about quantum computers and their ability to eliminate all of the safety nets of cryptography, what's to stop that from happening with human beings?
And again, I don't think it's an area that's really been fully or not even fully.
I don't think it's been an area that's been explored because we tend to race into things, right, from a development perspective.
It's like a pharmaceutical company.
A pharmaceutical company, you know, all they want to do is have a free flow of information, right, to share that information within, you know, the scientific community to get where they want to go, right?
And, you know, then you've got somebody typically in a pharma company that's the chief of security.
It's like, you can't do that, right?
Because this information is not only as valuable to the company, but it's ours.
It's proprietary information.
We've spent billions of dollars on it, developing it.
You know, you can't just take your laptop home or take it to, you know, on a trip to Europe with you and assume that all that information on there is secured.
So you're butting up heads all the time against free flow of information and security.
And you're always trying to find sort of that fine point on the line that gives you maximum access to information for the people that are innovating and then locking it down to the point that you can on the security side.
You know, and going back to that same dead horse that I've been kicking, the, you know, the Chinese Intel, you know, whichever department it is there that may be out there looking around, they understand that and they've been working the academic community, you know, for decades, you know, and because they understand they play on that, right?
They understand that.
These folks don't think that way.
They don't think from a security perspective.
So I don't want to say they're easy pickings, but they've worked the academic environment very hard over the years in terms of getting access to information.
Maybe it could be something as simple as identifying, look, I'm interested in material science.
So I see at a university here in the U.S., maybe I identify a professor who's doing some particularly interesting research.
Maybe I develop a scenario where he's approached by someone, it seems very innocuous, and they're just looking to get a Some insight into a paper that he's written or whatever.
So he provides, you know, some material.
It's not classified, but he provides that material.
Now, okay, now what has he done?
He's kind of accepted your tasking, right?
Now you kind of co-opt him a little bit more.
Maybe you offer him a grant, right, you know, to do some research on something.
Maybe offer him a trip to...
Northwestern Technical University in China to come and talk to some of their people in a seminar.
You're looking to develop individuals who have access to information that you want, and it can be done in a variety of ways.
And then they do a tremendous amount of just open source trolling.
They're at every major scientific seminar, convention, discussion, panel session, just trolling around.
They're gathering up information, but they're also looking for potential contacts.
And again, you know, it's...
It sounds old school.
It doesn't sound as high tech as getting online and hacking into Raytheon or whomever, but it's part of the tools that you've got in your kit bag, and so it's an important part, and it's worked very well for them over the years.
So, anyway, it's...
But again, what's been happening, we've been trying to be more proactive, or the Bureau in particular has, and other members of the community and the intelligence community going out to institutions and saying, these are the problems you could be facing, right?
These are the things you should be aware of.
You know, if you're approached in this fashion, it would be great if you wouldn't mind telling us, right?
So, you know, it's, again, I seem like I've spent a lot of time banging on this subject.
It looks like they're firmly convinced they're going to be at the top of the food chain, right?
And again, I know people roll their eyes when they hear talk like that, and they think, well, it's a community of nations.
You know, there's room for everyone up top.
And that's not the way they view it, right?
We tend to mirror our values on other nations, right?
They don't.
And so there's no misunderstanding on their part.
And so if this Congress takes place and Xi is given a third term, and all indications are he will, they'll just continue this march.
And they'll just continue building up their military.
They look at the Pacific region as basically their rightful property.
They certainly, again, we talked about Taiwan.
So I think we just need to be aware of what the dangers are in the world.
You know, don't sit in a foxhole worried about them.
You know, that'd be silly.
But if you think about what the past few years have looked like, you know, people have been just kicked in the ass constantly, whether it's the pandemic or it's the Russia-Ukraine battle, whether it's, you know, increased tensions with China, whether it's, you know, a recession.
I don't know if it's a recession or not, but if it's a recession, Yeah.
I enjoy the fact that it works, that the people can come out, have a good time, forget about their problems for a little while, all laugh together, and all laugh together as a group.
It's very, you know, that's a cliche that laughter is healing, but it really is.
It's like a medicine.
It's a medicine for me.
I can sit in a comedy club and watch one of my friends on stage, make me laugh.
I love it.
I still love it.
It's a drug.
It's a perspective enhancer.
It shifts the way people think about life.
You get out of there, you have a good time, and you get out of there with a big smile on your face, and you have fun.
And that's what I like about it the most, that you can provide a moment of fun.
You get more criticism, but people are excited about it more.
It's like people want it.
You know, it's like we've taken away all the wild, fun movies.
You can't have a fun comedy movie anymore because they're controversial and people are terrified of controversy.
They're terrified of criticism.
They're terrified of being attacked and canceled and this and that.
And also these people have these jobs that are dependent upon, you know, providing the studios with these films that don't get attacked so that they can profit off of them.
And they worry about it.
And so comedy, stand-up comedy is one of the rare places that's pretty autonomous.
You just need a building with a microphone and there's a lot of them out there.
But if it's funny, if it works, it makes people laugh.
This idea that it's supposed to...
You know, we accept fiction in all sorts of forms of media, whether it's literature or film, where something happens that's horrible and we don't think that it's a real thing that's taking place.
But when someone says something on stage, even if it's satire, even if it's like there's certain subjects that they think you're not supposed to cover.
There's things you're not supposed to say regardless of whether or not they make people laugh.
And that's where the rubber hits the road with stand-up.
That's the big pushback.
In that sense, stand-up is very exciting right now because people are very happy that there is still an outlet where people can just say funny things just to make people laugh.
These aren't statements.
They're not affidavits.
They're not declarations of your real true feelings on things.
They're just funny things to say.
And that is still alive and well.
It's a very American art form.
It takes a long time to develop the skills to be able to do that.
It takes a long time to gather up an audience that accepts you and knows that that's what you do and wants to come see you.
That's why building a club out here, that's why there's a big movement of comics that recognize the significance of this art form, and it's kind of under attack.
But under attack is a weird way to say it.
It's under criticism, but everything's under criticism.
There's more of an ability to criticize now than ever before.
Because we've gotten to that point where you can't just...
I mean, I've got friends that are all over the political spectrum, and we have some of the greatest conversations, and we're completely on opposite sides of things, right?
And it gets a little loud sometimes.
But at the end of the day, we're great friends, right?
That's what's missing in this country, the ability to have differing opinions and still find common ground.
Most people are good people.
Most people, the vast majority of us are good people, but we're so divided and scared, and we look at each other with differing opinions as being the enemy, and I think that's crazy.
Differing opinions are something to be considered and put into your own value system and try to decide, is this person right?
Well, you know, sometimes when confronted with problems, people find solutions.
Maybe that's the silver lining of all this, is that people are going to be forced to look at these problems that we've created for ourselves and realize that maybe some of us are on the wrong path.
And maybe this attitude that we have, this polarized attitude, is ultimately bad for everybody.
Bad for your children, my children, the world in general and that we all need to like try to understand each other a little bit better and find out why we have these rigid belief systems and also recognize that there's a problem with human nature that we have these These tribal identities that we attach ourselves to.
And that many of us, we just have adopted these predetermined patterns of behavior that aren't necessarily beneficial to either or.
I think if that were to happen, if people were to step back a little bit and think about what they're saying, if they would be just, again, a little more self-aware, but I do think it also requires some change in the narrative from on high, right?
It requires some change in the narrative from...
The politicians, that's where I'm really cynical.
I don't see that because there's too much self-interest, right?
But if everybody just would chill the fuck out a little bit and just realize that words aren't violence, differing opinions aren't violent, It doesn't hurt to hear a different opinion.
You can choose to accept it or not.
You don't have to fucking argue about it.
Then maybe we get to that point where there's a little bit more time spent somewhere in the middle ground.
Yeah, Black Files Declassified, going into a third season.
We don't have a production date yet.
We don't have a production date yet, but we're standing by waiting.
It's on Discovery.
Discovery, of course, merged with Warner, and so now it's Warner Discovery, and anytime something like that happens, they then spend the next six to eight months waiting for the dust to settle before they move on and do anything.
But they've been terrific about the show, and so we're hoping to get started again in the fall.
Do you ever have any thought that these things are drones?
That they're either something that the United States has developed or other countries have developed and it's some sort of a black, declassified, black file?
I... What we've seen so far, and we've done some episodes on ATIP, on the Advanced Threat Program, on UAPs, the Pentagon's effort to try to catalog these things.
Most of them come down to fairly logical explanations, but there have been some cases, and they just, you know, they produced this report the Pentagon did last year, which was a little bit unsatisfying for most people who were hoping to see a little bit more detail.
I'm not sure why they thought that would happen, but, you know, I think that I don't deny that there's other stuff out there.
There's life out there.
I'm sure of that, right?
Have they come here and visited?
I don't know.
But most of the things we've looked at, you can argue, have been Project Aurora or some other classified program around some type of air platform.
When people say, what do you believe and what do you don't believe, that's one of those things that I think is, for me, is one of the really big mysteries, right?
That's the one that I would point to of all the various sightings that have been out there, the Phoenix Lights and everything else, I think can be explained logically.
And then the other thing, and this is going to sound like I've taken a complete left turn, but if we're talking about things in this world, would be the Martin Luther King assassination.
We haven't figured it out, but I'll never shift off of that.
There was something there, and it was...
It was a concerted effort.
But those are the two things, I think, that, to me, really stand out in all the various investigations we've done over the handful of years we've been doing it.