Colonel Douglas McGregor and Judge Nab dissect the Iran-U.S. conflict, arguing that Iranian forces have destroyed 40% of U.S. air defenses and driven American troops out of the Persian Gulf by targeting bases in Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait. They contend U.S. interception rates are near 5% rather than 90%, citing the loss of five F-15s and Patriot missiles due to Chinese rare earth restrictions. With 67 Americans killed at Ali al-Salem Air Base and over a million Israelis fleeing, McGregor predicts Israel's internal collapse before Iran's, warning that U.S. impatience risks drawing in China and Russia while proxy forces fail. Ultimately, the discussion suggests the war is driven by Netanyahu's will, not American strategy, leading to a competitive collapse rather than regime change. [Automatically generated summary]
This is Jim Fetzer, your host, right here on the Raw Deal Revolution Radio Studio B.
I just was listening to Wolf Blitzer in the view, a member of the House, who said he thought everything was going very, very well.
And Wolf was asking him whether he thought we'd have boots on the ground.
And he was saying, well, we can't rule that out.
Here's an alternative approach that doesn't appeal to propaganda, but to facts from Colonel Douglas McGregor.
Check it out.
Howlihood is that we're going to see U.S. boots on the ground?
Zero.
Zero.
I mean, you might see some special operations troops mill around the neighborhood.
That's eminently possible.
Although I think we're a little concerned about getting them out once we put them in.
But no, I just don't see any evidence for it.
You've got an army that's simply too small.
It's a fraction of what it was formerly in the 1990s.
The Marines, again, they don't have enough men to make a dent.
You would probably need somewhere in the neighborhood of at least a half a million troops.
And remember that a lot of those are going to have to be part of the sustainment, the support.
And even more important, we're not really organized or trained to deal with the threat because the threat we'd face would be very similar to what the Russians have faced and ultimately mastered in Ukraine.
We're not accustomed to dealing with thousands of drones or unmanned aerial vehicles of all different types and sizes converging to attack us.
And we've never had to deal with these precision-guided ballistic missiles and cruise missiles.
So now I think it's almost zero.
Imagine you're trying to bring in ground troops and someone finds out, you know, the Iranians will find out through satellite-based intelligence and their various operatives and their supporters in Moscow and Beijing that we're going to try and concentrate forces somewhere.
It doesn't matter where you put them.
Say they're going to try and come in through Haifa, although that port's in bad shape now.
And then you've got to move them through Israel across Syria to get into northern Iran.
Or you're going to try and penetrate the Straits of Hormuz and land at Bandrabbas.
I mean, it's all ridiculous nonsense.
The missiles alone would destroy you, along with all of the unmanned systems.
So I can't imagine that happening.
I'm seeing reports out of Israel that Israel wants boots on the ground, but they can't get any generals to lead it because their assessment probably matches yours, that it's a suicide mission.
Can you respond to what we've been through collectively over the last week from this is a short military operation to four to five days to two to three weeks.
Then it was four to five weeks.
Now we're here in September.
That doesn't bode very well for a successful mission that we thought would take a weekend.
And now that's seven months.
So what do you make of this moving target and what it says about the status of the war that we can't see because of propaganda filters?
Well, I'm seeing some real indicators of success for us.
So much success that President Trump is summoning the aerospace industry heads to meet with him in the White House, presumably to tell them our missiles and munitions have done a great job, right?
Right.
High five.
We're done.
You guys have done such an amazing job.
No, not that we've spent over a trillion dollars and we have, we're out of tomahawk missiles and we have, we don't have patriot systems.
Like that's really what that meeting's about, right?
Well, I would think so about a number of things, but it's not an indicator of imminent success or that we're on the threshold of victory.
This other business, you know, the Israelis just announced the mobilization of 100,000 reservists.
I'm hearing that a lot of those reservists are not going to show up and they've got to man the force that they're trying to ship into Lebanon where they're meeting again resistance despite enormous bombing.
I just don't see the evidence for success.
And moreover, now I'm hearing from people who are saying, oh, you don't understand, Doug.
The Iranians are running out of ballistic missiles.
They're running out of cruise missiles.
Why do you say that?
Well, they haven't fired as many over the last two days as they did at the beginning.
I said, uh-huh.
Well, obviously, they have to have targets.
What have they got left to shoot at?
They've already destroyed all of our bases.
They've done enormous damage to the infrastructure, command and control, radars, patriot batteries, Thad batteries, you name it.
Oh, no, no, you don't understand.
They're running out.
As soon as somebody tells me the enemy's running out, and that's the reason I tend to remember Ukraine: oh, the Russians are running out of ammunition, they're running out of missiles.
Oh, the Russians are losing.
The Iranians are winning.
I don't believe anything, frankly.
I want to look at a different indicator.
And the indicator right now comes in the form of insurance premiums for shipping.
They have risen by 640%.
Just think about that.
We don't have to shut down the Straits of Hormuz right now.
In other words, it doesn't have to be blocked if you're an Iranian.
All you have to do is make sure that the risk that insurers have to take is too high.
And that's what's happened.
We have 3,200 ships sitting to go in and out of the Straits of Hormuz.
Now, if you're a Russian-flagged or Chinese-flagged tanker, you're allowed to leave.
You're allowed to come in.
But if you're anybody else, you're going to be stopped.
And right now, nobody wants to insure the ships.
So these effects are profound.
Higher oil and refined product risk premium, higher freight and war risk insurance, tighter financial conditions.
And if ships and premiums stay high, Iran is achieving a strategic effect without having to win tactically.
So what do you need to keep this going?
More drones?
Sure.
Some more drums, occasional missiles.
And who is going to invade you?
Oh, I forgot the Kurds, right?
Only now we've discovered there is no Kurdish army preparing to invade.
We're trying to stand one up, but the Kurds aren't that stupid.
They've been down this road before with us and we've betrayed them.
So, you know, I just don't know what the outlook is except to say I agree.
This could go on for many, many more weeks.
I love when people would say to you, Colonel, a colonel who led men into battle for crying out loud and who has sources, deep, deep sources within the United States military more than any of us sitting here on this table or anyone who's like probably watching right now, unless there's some sort of keyboard cowboy that we don't know about.
But to say to you that you're wrong about what Iran's missile capacity is, you've been studying this for decades and their ability to sustain this.
You've laid out many, many times on our show.
So I guess I'll just ask you straight out.
Is there a way that we could actually beat Iran short of a nuclear weapon?
If you can't catch your breath and treatments aren't working, you have mucus plugs, dense blockages suffocating your airways.
Well, I think the bar is very low for Iran.
All Iran has to do to be victorious, if you will, is survive.
That's it.
That's all they have to do.
Continue to lob missiles, continue to launch drones, strike back if we come close to the country in whatever way they can.
They've managed to maintain command and control.
They've dispersed their forces.
Those forces are surviving.
They seem to have a very large supply of missiles and drones, contrary to what anybody may think.
So all they have to do at this point is survive.
Now, what do we have to do to win?
That's the real question.
I mean, you've listened to all this bombastic nonsense and hyperbole from the president.
We're the greatest.
We have the greatest force in the world.
Okay, fine.
It's the greatest in the world.
What are you trying to do?
Well, regime change really hasn't worked very well, has it?
You managed to kill the supreme leader.
That simply galvanizes the population against you and Shiites worldwide against you.
So I don't think that's helped very much.
They've developed a good succession system.
So if anybody is killed or wounded and taken out of action, they have plenty of people to step up and take over.
So if we're not going to regime change this forcibly with bombing by trying to bomb everybody out of office, what are we going to do?
And I think what we're trying to do is destroy Iran and cause the society to disintegrate.
And we're desperate.
We're grasping for straws.
We're trying to get the Kurds to go in to create havoc.
I see evidence that we're milling around and causing trouble in Azerbaijan that may result in a resumption of the war there between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
At the same time, the Turks aren't very happy about our aspirations since the Kurds, of course, want to build a state at their expense and the expense of Iran.
And the Turks and the Irans are already shared, Iranians are already sharing intelligence.
So if our goal is to destroy the country, I don't think we're going to achieve that.
But if we came even close to it, I think we're going to end up dealing with the Chinese and the Russians.
And that's something I thought we wanted to avoid.
But then again, you know, we thought that was the case under Biden.
And it turns out that Biden crossed all of his red lines almost immediately, sending everything he said he wouldn't send and risking everything he said he wouldn't risk.
Looks like Donald Trump wants to do the same thing.
Right.
You know, there is an option for President Trump to save face and say, look, we got the Ayatollah and we got a lot of bad guys.
We're pretty happy.
We're walking out of here.
The problem is that it doesn't seem to be Donald Trump in the driver's seat.
It seems to be President or Prime Minister Netanyahu, that it's Israel's will that we are bending towards.
So if we walked away now, we probably would be led like a dog right back here until I don't know what.
So it has to be disastrous.
And yet we can't really get a true picture of what the Americans are being asked to do, even though we're funding it.
And I notice, because I follow your ex-feed closely, it helps me to cut through the bull.
But you got a lot of turds now who are pushing back on you.
And I didn't see this before because the pro-war faction, the pro-war bots are out.
And I notice you're taking a lot of stuff.
We're telling the truth now.
That tells me something.
I think you're over the target, Colonel.
Yeah.
Well, unfortunately, if you object to waging war with uncertain purpose and unattainable goals, then you're viewed as a traitor.
I mean, that's obviously you don't support what's right and good.
But I think Americans are smarter than Washington thinks.
And I'll be frank.
I don't think this is going to lead anywhere.
I don't think President Trump is going to tow the battleship Missouri into the Persian Gulf and then repaint the name on the Missouri to the USS Trump and hold a surrender ceremony there for the Iranians.
I don't think that's going to occur.
I hope we can get out of this without ending up in a major war with Russia and China without blowing up the entire region.
The entire region is pretty much blown up as it is.
But I think what's going to happen is that over the next several weeks, war fatigue is going to set in.
I think we will take more casualties than we've taken thus far.
And I think President Trump may be in real trouble.
He may not finish his term.
He may end up no longer being president by the time the war ends, however it ends.
So maybe you can give us just a military assessment beyond what you've already said here.
Where do things stand on the Israeli side?
Are they, you know, CNN is not allowed to show us.
Fox News is not allowed to show us.
RT got shut down from showing us what's actually happening inside of Israel, you know, bombing attacks inside of Israel.
What do we know about the Iranian capacity at this point?
Are they sitting back?
As Professor Mirandi in Tehran has said this morning, the Iranians are using basically some of their old missiles.
They haven't even really used some of their most advanced stuff yet, and they're sort of sitting back.
Can you help us understand?
And also the American deaths.
We've only heard six Americans have died.
I'm hearing that that number is false.
Maybe you can tell us about the American killed in action numbers that you're hearing about.
Maybe you just can give us a sense of all of these things.
Well, let's start with Israel.
I think internally, Israel is suffering from considerable unrest.
There are lots of unhappy people in Israel right now.
They've been through quite a lot as a result of starting this war in the aftermath of 7 October.
They've got armed forces with people that are exhausted, that are tired.
At least a million Israelis have left the country and gone elsewhere, and I'm sure more would leave if they were able to do so.
So I think the future for Israel is ominous.
It strikes me that Israel and Iran may well end up in this contest that I would describe as competitive collapse.
In other words, which state falls apart first?
And if I were betting, I would say Iran will not be the first, that it will be Israel internally.
They're already bringing in large numbers of mercenaries to fight, and that's been going on almost from the beginning.
Israel has sustained a lot of damage.
It's probably going to sustain a lot more before this is over.
And I don't know where Mr. Netanyahu is most of the time.
Israel's Ominous Future00:10:16
Everybody keeps asking that question.
He's not exactly very visible these days.
So I think Israel is in trouble.
Let's put it that way.
Now, when we go to the Persian Gulf, we look at the Emirates, we look at Saudi Arabia, but particularly the Emirates, I think we as a nation are finished there because deterrence has failed.
What the Iranians have demonstrated pretty conclusively is to fight wars, you don't really need navies and air forces if you're defending your country.
With missiles and unmanned systems and ground troops, you can wage war for a very, very long time.
We are at the end of a 6,000-mile logistical pipeline.
We've got to replenish everything.
We don't know how many missiles we've fired.
We're not sure about how many enemy missiles we've intercepted.
And when you're in that kind of position, when in doubt, you tend to make things up.
I think we're making a lot up, saying that we're doing a lot better than we are.
But it's impossible to know with any precision.
But the point is, you can bomb lots of people in Iran over a long period of time, but you're not going to bring down that nation, and you're not going to bomb its current government out of existence.
So when you look at the map, I tend to rely more heavily on Rebar.
I find that most of their data is pretty good.
And as I look at the charts right now, I'd say the Iranians are continuing to do quite well.
And I don't think that we are pounding them into the dust or pulverizing them out of existence.
And I think that's one of the reasons that we're going to send more troops and more firepower there.
We've got three carrier battle groups that we can surge.
And over the next two weeks, I think they're going to get them ready and bring them over so they can replace the two carrier battle groups that are there now.
So this is going to go on.
As you pointed out, everybody stopped talking about 48 hours.
Remember, we go back to Witkoff and he said, well, President Trump and I thought they were going to capitulate.
I mean, after all, look at all the firepower we amassed.
Persia has been with us for 2,700 years.
I don't see any evidence that they're about to go away.
I think they'll endure.
I think ultimately, by enduring, they will win.
The question is, what sobers us up?
I think it's going to be economics.
Remember, Japan depends for 72, 73% of its oil on the Persian Gulf.
South Korea depends about 66, 65% of its oil comes out of the Persian Gulf.
China, 50%.
But the Chinese have substantial strategic reserves and they have a new pipeline into Siberia.
So that no doubt helps a great deal.
India's oil, 50% of it comes from the Persian Gulf.
And right now, Indian industries, whether it's ceramics or automobile tires or any number of things, anything that contains petroleum, all of your fertilizers contain elements from petroleum.
Those businesses are being destroyed in India.
And people are beginning to say, now, wait a minute, did President Trump ever consult with any of the nations with which we are aligned or nations that are ultimately friendly to us before he decided to do this?
The answer is no.
Did anybody really present him with a systematic analysis of how likely it was that we would be successful striking Iran from the air?
Or was that simply waved aside based on anecdotal evidence provided by the Israelis that says, oh, this will be over in two days or three days or four days?
We don't know the whole story.
I mean, the truth will come out.
Eventually, we'll find it out.
But I think most of our assumptions were false.
They were evidence-free, as so much analysis in Washington is.
So I think we're in for the long haul.
And hopefully we don't have any ships that are damaged or sunk.
Hopefully we don't have a carrier that's struck by one of these ballistic missiles.
That would be disastrous.
Because right now, all the bases are basically gone in most of the region.
They're not usable anymore.
Gosh.
I want to ask you just one more question about the idea of escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
No one has taken us up on that offer.
President Trump said, hey, we'll be the insurer.
The U.S. taxpayer will do that.
Now that insurance rates have skyrocketed, so the government is saying, okay, we'll do it.
That puts U.S. taxpayers on the hook.
And I assume they would pay for, you know, replacement costs, death tolls.
I don't know exactly what that means.
You and Colonel Davis both kind of freaked out about that because you're like, you really want to sail near Iran?
You really want to do that?
And no one has, why?
Who would do that?
Who would sail towards a country escorted by the country that's bombing that country?
So it doesn't seem like, it just seems like bluster, right?
Is that what you think?
Not sure if you saw the news, but Fox News is claiming President Trump is declining in the polls.
President Trump responded.
Well, I don't know, because I think that President Trump frequently is a victim of what we call ready-shoot aim.
He says things, and then subsequently somebody tells him it's not possible, it won't work, or it's not true.
Then he just sort of waves it off.
But this time, I don't think he can wave off some of these remarks.
I can't imagine any admiral in the United States Navy urging us or President Trump to send Navy combatants into the Persian Gulf right now.
They'd be sitting ducks.
That's the easiest thing in the world to hit and sink.
So I think the idea is crazy.
Note that the carrier battle groups, particularly the USS Abraham Lincoln group, has moved as far away as they possibly could without completely sacrificing their ability to contribute to the air campaign.
Because remember, you know, you've got a, most of these fighters are about a 300-mile range.
That means they've got to fly out 150 miles and back 150 miles.
And you're a long way from Iran if you're four or five, 600 miles south of the Persian Gulf.
That means that you've got a lot of refueling going on.
All of these things cost us logistically.
So I just don't see it working.
I don't see it happening.
I think what you'll end up doing maybe is conducting a kind of naval blockade.
But that's going to get you into trouble with everybody.
You know, right now, what we see is a pattern of missile volleys and drones based on a specific group of targets that are provided largely as a result of Chinese intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance.
And the satellite-based intelligence is also providing the battle damage assessment.
And so this is a very carefully orchestrated campaign on the part of the Iranians.
These people are not amateurs.
So we, on the other hand, seem to be stumbling.
You know, it reminds me of Lloyd George, who said at the beginning of World War I, if the politicians stumbled into the war, the generals have certainly stumbled through it.
And I think that's what we did.
We stumbled into this behind the Israelis that hooked us in.
And we're trying to make the best of it.
I'm sure the generals in the Air Force, the admirals in the Navy are doing everything they can.
But this is tough.
And in today's attack, you know, the Iranians used one of their Koram Shahr ballistic missiles with submunitions.
They've done horrific damage to Ben-Gurion Airport, put it out of business.
This was because, obviously, the Israelis attacked the airport in Tehran.
These people aren't finished.
They're a long, long, long way from being finished.
I think they're going to be standing when Israel's in ruins.
And that's the problem, because when do the Israelis finally step up and say enough is enough?
We're going to use a nuclear weapon and put Iran out of business.
That's really what I worry most about.
I've been hearing from sources pointing out that there are a number of IDF soldiers who've been overheard discussing this.
Use a nuclear weapon, just use a nuclear weapon and take out Iran.
So I wouldn't be surprised by that.
Doug, I'll get you out of here on this, which is this idea.
We've been hearing from the Iranian side that they've hit our aircraft carriers.
They've targeted, hit our aircraft carriers.
They've hit some of our Navy ships.
Is that propaganda from the Iranian side?
What are you hearing from military sources?
We can't seem to get any data as to whether or not any of our ships have been hit.
You know, I do have some friends in the Navy.
I'm told that at least one of the DDGs was hit and they did have a fire on board.
But the rest of it, no.
And, you know, the other thing is nobody wants to confirm success because they're afraid that they're going to tell the Iranians that they've hit the right target.
But the truth is that you can't really conceal the effects because they're going to be picked up on satellite intelligence anyway.
But historically, just remember, we always slow roll casualties.
We slow roll losses, or we simply lie.
We lied during the Second World War because the losses were always higher than we expected.
During World War I, they were horrific and people waited months to hear the truth.
So I just don't think that much of what we are hearing is truthful from our side.
And I don't know that the Iranians are telling us everything either, because if you think you got close to a carrier, maybe you say, well, we got close, so tell them we nicked the carrier or something.
Who knows?
I don't know.
But I don't think we can depend on much integrity in war.
What did Napoleon say?
The first casualty in war is the truth.
He was right.
Dark World Missiles Rain00:05:26
Absolutely.
Colonel Douglas McGregor, great to see you as always.
Thank you so much.
Where can people read your new substack piece that you just published?
What is the name of your substack?
Colonel McGregor is the bass.
We'll be right back after this break.
Revolution Radio at freedomslips.com.
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And now we return you to your host.
Well, the situation with missiles rained out in Iran in Israel is overwhelming.
Interceptor Movement Observed00:14:58
Here we have a report about it from Zero Hedge, including China in talks with Iran for safe passage to our whole moon as White House grambles to contain rising energy prices.
Early reports now indicate Iranian strikes on the U.S. Camp Victory Base in Baghdad as continuous explosions reportedly heard.
Pentagon Chief Hag Seth, U.S. had just begun to fight in Iran.
Iran is wrong in its calculations if it thinks we can't continue the war.
SETCOM operation going well and moving at a fast pace.
House votes against war powers.
This was disgusting.
You said the House of Representatives rejected an effort to curb President Trump's ability to wage war in Iran a day after a similar bid collapsed in the Senate.
House rejected 219 to 212 vote along party lines, largely ceremonial and likely to survive an expected veto, but in my opinion, devastating for the midterms.
The fact that the Republicans in the House, the Republicans in the Senate won't even allow a debate on this war, which is going to be catastrophic for the United States and for Israel, is so outrageous and insulting.
I confidently predict that at the midterms, the GOP, the Trump base, they're going to be wiped out.
The Democrats are going to take the House.
They're going to take the Senate.
Impeachment is inevitable.
Trump from this point on, now, today, is a lame duck.
Unconfirmed.
Iraqi police say a U.S. fighter jet crash in southern Musra province with a pilot ejecting.
China in talks for safe passage.
Yes, yes, yes.
Well, here we have MIT professor Ted Postall doing an interview about everything in this U.S.-Israeli versus Iran war is going to come down to one major issue: the missile war.
Who is going to win the missile war?
Whose offensive missiles can strike the opponent and whose defensive missiles can do the best to prevent those strikes?
That is what's going to come down to who is going to eventually prevail in this.
And it's not quite the, it's not working out the way that's being projected, at least not in the Western media, which is basically we're intercepting 90% of everything.
There's a few squirters.
That's the way it's been characterized.
A few squirters get through, of course.
But really, the main thing is that we are winning.
Everything is going to our favor.
We own the skies.
We own the waterways.
Everything is in our favor here.
But we all immediately, when this war first broke out, the very first person I thought of was MIT Professor Ted Postel, because he has been calling this stuff out since the 1991 Gulf War, always been showing the evidence-based, fact-based reality of what these air defense missiles can do.
He was just Johnny on the spot.
Our first million-view video that we had from 2025 during the so-called 12-day war.
And so now we are very grateful to have him back in today to try to discern fact from fiction about what is the reality of the interceptor missiles, the drone war and all that kind of thing, and how successful is it being?
Is it at 90%?
And without any further ado, here is Ted Postal, Professor of Science and Technology and National Security at Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Ted, welcome back to the show.
Thanks very much, Danny.
And I might say I'm literally learning on the moment.
And literally, I learned something while you were talking with the video that Gary was showing.
I was suspicious of this, but I hadn't seen it.
If you look at these missiles that are being launched, you'll see on the ground a big brown dust cloud.
And what I think we're seeing, I'm quite sure, although I'm talking off the top of my head now, is the missiles are being launched from tunnels underground, but the top of the hole from which the missile comes out is being blown open because it's covered with sand and probably a very shallow, fragile roof.
So you can't see that there's a launch site from the sky.
So it looks like just desert below you.
So for attacking these underground structures that are associated with tunnels, you can't even find the tunnel openings in these cases.
You'll know this right here.
And we don't know, it's just pure speculation how many of these they have.
I've seen one expert we had on the show here said that there could be hundreds of these things.
We don't know easily.
Easily.
But this just exposes the claim that our chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff made, I think it was yesterday or day before, where he said, basically, we've taken out half of their launchers.
Half.
I don't believe it.
And number one, I don't know how we know how many they have.
So you don't know what the start point was.
But now that you see this, you don't even see a launcher here.
So the idea that you're taking out their launch capacity seems not validated by the facts.
Now, listen, I know you've got a lot of stuff to show on what we've seen so far.
Let me show one missile launch from today, just hours ago, against the naval facilities in Bahrain, actually a refinement position not far from our naval facility there, which has already been hit.
And I want to show this because what you see here is a really fast-moving missile.
And this is still daylight, so you can see the missile and the ground.
And you don't even see an attempt at an interception.
There's no air defense missiles being shot here at all.
This thing comes in here.
There's another one that's similar to this, which I've seen on a different X account, which shows another missile right after this.
It's going much slower.
And so, I wonder if you can, what does this tell you from what you're seeing right here?
Well, it's obviously a ballistic missile attack, at least from what we see.
The slower vehicle would probably be a drone.
I'll have something to say about the drones where I'm learning things literally, literally this morning while I'm trying to put together this discussion.
Incidentally, I apologize to the audience in advance.
It's going to be a little fragmented because I literally am doing it in real time.
But you don't see any interceptors.
The question is: were they not operating or were they moved to Israel?
There was a recent complaint by a high-level Saudi official who expressed anger because he believed, I have no way of knowing, he believed that there is an interceptor there, actually.
There is an interceptor moving up.
I can see it in the repeats.
Oh, yeah, there it is.
I didn't even see that.
If it's right, the small dot of light.
Well, then that's even more so.
But you can see it's not even close.
The interceptor is not even close enough to attempt homing, which shows a serious problem with the air defense system that's launching the interceptor.
It should be much closer.
Maybe it misses, but it should be much closer.
So, this system is not even, the air defense is not even tracking the incoming missile well.
So, it's really quite a serious lack of your audio is kind of coming in.
Any chance I could ask you to take your headset off and just disunplug it and you go with your normal.
Sorry about that.
So, what you see here, by the way, these are new.
When I first saw some of these strikes coming in, my first thought was, oh, well, this is just some people because all kinds of even fake videos have been out there on the internet.
And I thought this was a replay of 2025.
But as it turns out, no, this is new stuff here.
Ted, do we have yet?
Can you hear me?
Yes, yes.
Good to go.
Very good to go.
Sorry about that.
All right.
Well, so here's your video.
What do you got for us?
Why don't we start from the beginning, just for fun?
And this is an engagement that has occurred over Israel.
And what you'll see is this is the second sequence.
You see an actual intercept.
So this is important because what it demonstrates is we can see intercepts when they occur.
So the question is, given that we can see intercepts very rarely, why are we, you know, in other words, the intercept rate is extremely low, as I've been finding in the past.
And it continues to be very low.
So here again, you see this is a repeat.
I slowed it up at that intercept point just to make it clear.
Very big, bright fireball in the sky.
And that's because you're detonating the explosive in the warhead.
So that's a legitimate intercept.
And you don't see those except very rarely.
We'll see another one, I think, in the next sequence.
Here we go.
This is a full, this is a real-time sequence.
And then we'll see it with a pause in it.
And if you look on the lower right, you'll see my biggest rate was joining in the Vietnam War.
After I found out how the government, it turns out the actual intercept rate is 5%.
This is based on empirical data from Israel.
You will only see it in the video version of the show.
But it's just like you got 20 warheads coming down and they fire up three interceptors and there's one explosion.
Meaning one of the three interceptors took out one of the 20 warheads coming down.
That's what's happening on the average.
So when you got the American generals out there telling us there's a 9% rate of interception, it's ridiculous.
And they claim as already observed that we've taken out half of the launchers.
You can't even see the launchers.
They don't know how many launchers Iran has.
So they claim they take out a half of them when they don't know how many there are.
And I'm telling you, it appears to me there may be, you know, tens of thousands, tens of thousands of Iranian launchers.
And they're taken out, as Colonel McGregor was explaining.
They've taken out all our bases.
There's a lower rate of firing from Iran because they have fewer targets to fire.
Now, think about this.
They haven't used their best weapons yet.
And I'm going to suggest they have these great targets now, not the stationary land-based, but the mobile sea-based, the carrier strike forces.
The Iranian hypersonics are perfect to take out the Iranian strike forces.
And I'm including the Gerald Ford and the Abraham Lincoln carriers, each of which carries a bombardment of about 5,000, about 3,500 sailors and 1,500 Marines.
I predict before this is over, they will have gone to the bottom of the sea.
And if Trump wants to send three more carrier groups, they're going to eventuate in the same destiny.
Iran is in control.
And as the Chinese professor days ago explained in such wonderful detail, this was such a completely brilliant lecture.
The terrain favors Iran.
Iran has the high ground.
It's mountainous.
It dominates over the Persian Gulf.
The Gulf Coast states have no way to defend themselves absent the American bases.
And that's all proven to be a shimmer, an illusion, a mirage.
Again, I reiterate, if the American interceptors are only succeeding 5% of the time, that means devastation for the American bases.
And that means the Gulf Coast countries have no protection whatsoever.
And they're already, UAE, I believe, has declared they're not going to allow bases, American bases to be stationed there in the future.
No, nor will any other Gulf Coast state.
Basically, America has betrayed them.
America claimed to prevent a defensive shield that does not exist, that they couldn't provide.
Iran has all the advantages here.
And as Colonel McGregor on more than one occasion has emphasized, all Iran has to do is to wait it out, as he said many times in the past.
We run out of missiles before they run out of missiles.
Now, here we have Larry Johnson.
Israel is using illegal weapons, in this case, cluster bombs, on Iran.
So let's hear what this guy.
This is another.
He, Colonel McGregor, Scott Ritter.
These guys are the best.
Here's Larry Johnson on that cluster warheads rained down on Iran.
He's with undeclared wars.
For the double duty, we, of course, will be seeing you again at the end of the day with our colleagues Ray McGovern and John Kiriako for the intelligence community roundtable.
Significant Losses Confront Ceasefire00:10:22
But there were so many events in the past 24 hours that I wanted to prevail on your understanding and ability to explain the military significance of it.
So before we get to the warheads that the Iranians have been delivering to Israel, is Hezbollah back attacking the IDF in Lebanon and northern Israel?
I thought Hezbollah had been wiped out.
Yeah, that's what we were told.
You know, those exploding cell phones supposedly took care of that threat.
No, they're back.
In fact, they were abiding by the ceasefire.
But, you know, that's clearly been broken, violated by Israel.
So now they are fighting now against the Israeli military.
You know, they're not launching indiscriminate rockets into civilian areas.
They are targeting Israeli military sites.
And Israel, you know, they never learn.
They've tried repeatedly to invade southern Lebanon, take control of southern Lebanon, and have been beaten repeatedly over the years.
And they've already suffered significant losses in their latest incursion.
So, you know, Hezbollah is now working.
They are supporting the Iranian military effort.
This is a full-blown war.
This is not just an isolated incident.
Was President Trump being truthful when he claimed yesterday that Iran called and wants a deal?
No, no.
Iran has made it clear.
They're not looking for a negotiated settlement out of this because the United States cannot be trusted.
They violated twice the integrity of the negotiating process.
Last June, when the Israelis struck on June 13th, the Iranians were busy preparing for a meeting on Monday, June 16th, to discuss going forward with negotiations to reassure the United States that, hey, we're not building a nuke.
And instead, Israel hit initially, Trump was all over the place.
Oh, I didn't know about it.
And then, oh, I knew everything.
I knew all about it ahead of time.
So that was then.
And then this latest incident that started on February 28th, again, the negotiations were supposed to take place in Geneva on March 2nd.
And the Iranians thought, hey, things went pretty well.
We're making some progress.
And then this was a pre-planned attack.
Here's the Iranian foreign minister on this very topic, number 16, Chris.
We are not asking for a ceasefire.
And we don't see any reason why we should negotiate with the U.S. when we negotiated with them twice.
And every time they attacked us at the middle of negotiations.
So there is no request for a ceasefire by us.
And there is no request for the negotiation with the U.S. from us.
Yeah, I've never sent any messages to them.
Here's why your knee pain keeps coming back.
And the easiest way to fix it without pills, shots, or surgery.
Iran actually learns from experience.
After that was stated, Trump stopped saying they called for a deal and said, we'll accept nothing less than unconditional surrender, almost as if he wants to sound like Winston Churchill.
I don't know what unconditional surrender would mean.
He'd have to have boots on the ground for that.
Yeah, and the so-called, what they're trying to do with boots on the ground right now is a proxy through the Kurds.
And if the Kurds are stupid enough to trust the United States on this, they'll suffer the same fate that a whole legion of insurgents that we've ginned up and supported and that have wound up getting killed.
You know, look at the Hmong tribesmen in Vietnam.
They're a classic case of we use them as a proxy to try to attack the North Vietnamese.
And they ended up suffering a lot as a people.
So this is just sheer madness on Trump's part.
Listen, he's in trouble.
And the U.S. military effort, despite all the propaganda being spun out about, oh man, we're wiping them out.
We got full control of the skies.
The reality is the opposite.
Iran has destroyed five radars.
There are two types.
One is, let's see, the AN-TPY, and the other is the AN-FPS.
Well, these radars cost between a half a billion dollars and a billion dollars apiece.
They are radars that are designed to detect the launches of missiles and to provide early information about warning, as well as they are integrated with the terrain high-altitude area defense weapon, the THAD, as well as the Patriot.
Iran's destroyed five of those.
The big ones were at the Jordanian Air Base, Muafak Al-Salti, and then at Al-Udid Air Force Base in Qatar, and then at the naval, the headquarters of the Fifth Fleet in Bahrain.
So we are now blinded.
The United States and Israel are now blinded.
Before they could get, you know, a 15 to 30-minute warning, oh, we got incoming missiles.
Now, maybe a minute of a warning, maybe two minutes, but it's down.
So Iran has accomplished that.
And we're told, oh, yeah, our missiles, we're knocking down 90% of everything that Iran's firing.
Sorry, I call the Mel Bovine excrement card on that one.
It sounds like the same guys that were in Ukraine shooting down all the Russian missiles is now doing the same work for the U.S. Department of Defense.
We talked about boots on the ground a few minutes ago.
The Iranian foreign minister was asked about it.
I'm going to play the question and the answer.
Just as interesting is his answer is the look of bewilderment on the face of the questioner.
Chris number 15.
Are you afraid of a U.S. invasion in your country?
No, we are waiting for them.
You are waiting for the U.S. military to invade the ground troops?
Yes.
Because we are confident that we can confront them, and that would be a big disaster for them.
So you're saying that Iran is ready and willing to take on the U.S. military if there were to be ground troops?
Well, we were ready for this war even more than the previous war.
So you can see the quality of our missiles, how much they are upgraded after the last war, because we learned lots of lessons.
And we are prepared for any other eventuality, even a ground invasion.
So our soldiers are prepared for any scenario.
When I said we are waiting for them, it didn't mean that we are waiting for continuation of the war.
No.
But we have prepared ourselves to confront with any scenario, with any eventuality, any possibility, and we know that we can handle that.
Pentagon understand that?
No, we underestimate it.
I mean, these are Iranians.
What are you talking about?
They're almost subhuman.
I mean, that's how we approach it.
We forget that they fought a nine-year war, albeit 40-plus years ago, with Iraq.
That was where we were backing Iraq.
We provided Iraq with the precursors for chemical weapons that were used against the Iranians.
And they lost at least 300,000 people, more likely 500,000, but hundreds of thousands.
Think about it this way, Judge.
The Iranians in that one war, they lost more soldiers than we did in Korea, Vietnam, and all the other military adventures we've been involved with over the last 71 years.
So Iran had, they know the reality of what they're looking at.
We don't.
We rarely, we hardly ever suffer significant losses.
We haven't suffered significant losses in any of our imperialist adventures over the last 70 years.
You and Colonel Larry Wilkerson were on our friend Danny Haifong's show recently, and the two of you made a fascinating, fascinating observation, and that is that the Americans do not understand the nature of this war.
The United States, because of Trump's patience and desire to boast to MAGA and Mrs. Adelson, wants a quick in-and-out.
The Iranians are patient and are in it for the long run.
So what are the military ramifications of impatience versus long war, attack versus defense of the homeland?
Well, we don't have the military base, the industrial base to sustain a war.
We've deluded ourselves into that.
We're finding that, so right now, as of over the last six days, Iran has destroyed 40% of the total number of bads, air defense systems, in the U.S. inventory.
We don't have that many.
And when they're manufactured, you make maybe one or two maximum a year.
So they've already...
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Boston Bomb Threat Drill00:04:52
We'll be right back after this lesson.
Was it a conspiracy?
Did you know that the police in Boston were broadcasting, this is a drill, this is a drill on bullhorns during the marathon?
That the Boston Globe was tweeting that a demonstration bomb would be set off during the marathon for the benefit of bomb squad activities.
And that one would be set off in one minute in front of the library, which happened as the Globe had announced.
Peering through the smoke, you could see bodies with missing arms and legs.
But there was no blood.
The blood only showed up later and came out of a tube.
They used amputee actors and a studio quality smoke machine.
Don't let yourself be played.
Check out And Nobody Died in Boston Either.
Available at moonrockbooks.com.
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And now we return you to your host.
Well, you're not going to get this quality of analysis from the mainstream.
And Larry Johnson doing a great job here with Judge Nab.
Let's stick with him for a while longer.
Suspect Iranian Missile Capability00:15:33
He knocked out some of our most sophisticated radar.
Yeah, the planes, you know, we've been through this so many times, and it's like nobody learns a thing.
You know, you recall during the whole shock and awe of our invasion of Iraq in 2003.
And man, we're just knocking out those Iraqis right and left.
And then it turned out that despite George W. Bush's claim of mission accomplished, an insurgency started up that we finally pulled out our military force.
Same in Afghanistan.
You know, I was listening to this buffoon, Pete Haysaf, and he was talking about, oh, we've got full dominance.
We control the skies.
Really?
You know what?
Israel controls the skies over Gaza.
How's that working out for him?
Two and a half years, they have failed to defeat Hamas.
We controlled the skies over Iraq.
Insurgency went on.
We couldn't do a thing about it.
We controlled the skies over Afghanistan.
20 years and billions of dollars.
And we had to fly out, retreat, because we couldn't defeat the Taliban.
So, you know, there's no learning on our part going on.
And if we think we're going to continue to just drop these bombs and that the Iranians are going to throw up their hands and cry and surrender, we're going to be in for a bad surprise.
Aside from the destruction of those half billion to billion dollar radar, the radar equipment that you talked about earlier, do we know how heavily or aggressively or successfully Iran is hitting U.S. bases in the Gulf?
Oh, yeah.
No, they've hit every single one and have effectively stopped our operations at those bases.
And again, here the Pentagon is lying about what's going on.
They've, you know, they say that our air defense is so great that we're shooting down 90% of what Iran is launching.
Yet, as I mentioned with respect to those radars, there's a video out of a drone that took out one of them.
Now, the drone is a much easier target to take down with air defense.
So, you know, there is a clear failure on that part.
What Iran is doing is they are effectively driving the United States out of the Persian Gulf.
And they've, while the West is trying to portray that Iran is attacking its neighbors, no, Iran's attacks are focused on U.S. military infrastructure and intelligence targets, such as the CIA offices.
So they've been effective at that.
And it's showing up with our reduced operations on the ground there.
Now, this is the control of the Strait of Horizon by Iran is the really most significant military development because that means, you know, our Fifth Fleet headquarters for the Navy was in Bahrain.
Oh, you can't get there.
You know, our ships are no longer able to arrive there and be serviced, even though it's been largely destroyed.
Wow.
How about hitting Israel?
Yesterday, last night, American time, American East Coast time, we were receiving reports that Israel was sustaining a serious barrage of missile and drone attacks.
Now, I know that the Israeli censors are infamous and infamously successful in blocking the truth from coming out, but do you know from sources how heavily Israel is being damaged by the Iranian counterattack?
Well, I know from videos that have been generated, and these are not AI videos that I've seen over the last two days.
Now, if you listen to the Pentagon spokesman, they'll say, oh, wow, we have really decimated the Iranian missile capability.
They're firing 80% fewer today.
Well, maybe, but they forget that we saw the similar pattern during the 12-day war.
What Iran does is it floods the zone up front with older missiles that are not their most modern, as well as drones, and in part to saturate and deplete the air defense systems.
And that appears to be what they've done effectively here because they've launched a new, I think it's Karamshur for this new missile.
And it's a ballistic missile that detaches at about seven, let's say about three miles above the target, out of the range of the Iron Dome and out of the range of the Patriot.
It detaches and then releases clusters of munitions, of explosives.
And there's no defense against that.
So that is hitting and causing explosions across the city.
I have spoken with our friend Stanislav Karpivnik.
The Russians are able to see some things in social media that it's being blocked here in the West.
They don't have to worry about Larry Ellison, a vowed Zionist, clamping down.
And he said that Tel Aviv is getting the Gaza treatment.
So there have been significant damage to installations and buildings across Tel Aviv.
So this reduction right now is Iran taking its time.
And, you know, are they running out of missiles?
We've heard that refrain about Russia over four years.
I suspect that Iran is in a much better position with missiles than we want to believe.
Let's open this beautiful fox from Psalms.
Are the Russians or how are the Russians helping Iran?
But at a minimum, providing intelligence.
You know, we don't know what air defense systems are actually operating.
Now, again, the Pentagon's making the claim that they've wiped them all out, that they've been suppressed completely.
But we've had in the last three days, five F-15 fighters shot down.
We are seeing a number of drones shot down.
And the drones, the Hermes and the MQ-9 Reaper, and they've got another one.
I think it's called the Triton.
You know, they're being used to try to locate missile launchers and positions so that we can then hit them with a J-DAM or a JASAM missile.
And mentioning those two missile classes, again, we're depleting those.
We fired a lot, and we don't have an unlimited supply.
And it's not like Lockheed Martin or Raytheon or General Dynamics are sitting there with a plant that's going 24-7 and they're just cranking out one a day or one a week.
No, not at all.
So the United States is rapidly depleting a lot of its inventory of weapons.
And there's a fight brewing between the commander of CENTCOM, the Central Command that has the responsibility for Iran, and the commander of what's now known as Indo-PACOM.
It used to be PACOM, but Pacific Command, that they're in charge of China.
And Right now, there's probably fewer than 600 Patriot missiles, not the batteries, but missiles left in the U.S. inventory, apart from what is held by Indo-PACOM.
Indo-PACOM probably has about 1,500 in its existing inventory.
And then they say, well, we're going to need that if we go to war with China.
So, you know, we've got this kind of infighting between the military commands.
So it's not despite Donald Trump's claim that we've got all, well, we've got unlimited supplies.
He's lying.
Are you telling me that Secretary Hegset and General Kane did not adequately plan for this?
Yeah, well, they couldn't plan for this.
I mean, even if they say, okay, we want to launch this attack, let's ramp up production.
We can't ramp up production.
Part of the problem is the Chinese restrictions on rare earth minerals is depriving us of being able to build certain systems.
And they're on, you can see those cluster munitions right now.
Chris is showing that on the screen.
There's no defense for that.
So they are lying in terms of insisting that we've got unlimited supplies, which we do not.
And a lot of that has been depleted in the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Wow.
What do those cluster warheads do when they hit the ground?
Just cause massive explosions?
Yes.
Yeah, I'm not sure how much what how large the explosive head on them is.
You know, I would suspect you're looking at somewhere around 10 to 20 pounds of explosives on that head.
And then it can become, if it hits the ground and doesn't immediately detonate, it's like having a landmine laying around.
So it's created a real new challenge that, frankly, our air defense systems can't handle.
But it's noteworthy that the Israelis are going to such a length to try to hide the actual damage that's being done.
Notice we're seeing all sorts of damage with respect to the attacks in Tehran.
And the Iranians aren't trying to hide that.
There's another curiosity out there, though.
We're told that the B-2 bomber and the B-52s have been dropping heavy loads on Iran.
Well, okay, where are the satellite photos?
If you recall last June 25th, when Donald Trump launched the raid that obliterated the Iranian nuclear capability, within a day, we were getting the overhead imagery, the satellite pictures showing, quote, the damage.
So whenever I hear these claims, oh, the B-2s are doing XYZ.
All right, show us the satellite imagery.
They're not showing that.
So that leads me to suspect that, well, maybe we're not actually doing that.
That could be just another psychological operation to try to discourage the Iranians.
Larry, thank you very much, my dear man, for jumping on with this.
We'll see you later.
Yeah, Larry.
Johnson, simply excellent.
Clearly, I was mistaken in thinking Israel was using cluster bombs on Iran.
It appears to be the reverse.
I cannot.
My understanding is cluster bombs are illegal under international law, so I can't approve of that.
But Iran is obviously doing a great job of withstanding the assault by the combined force of U.S. and Israel, where the West thought it would be a cakewalk.
Here are some further reports just now.
109 U.S. troops killed in.
Iran's struck.
There's a number this morning that changes everything that comes after it.
67.
67 United States military personnel killed in Iran's strike on Ali al-Salem Air Base in Kuwait.
Dozens more wounded.
American service members, men and women who went to work on a base in Kuwait as part of an operation their country launched, are dead on Kuwaiti soil this morning in the largest single loss of American military life in combat since the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
I'm not going to tell you that number quickly and move past it.
67 Americans are dead.
That is the fact that sits at the center of everything else, and everything else has to be understood in relation to it.
Not as a data point in a strategic analysis, not as a variable in a geopolitical equation, as 67 people who will not come home, as 67 families who are going to receive a visit from a uniformed officer today that will divide their lives permanently into before and after, as 67 names that will eventually be read aloud somewhere, in some ceremony, by someone who will struggle to get through all of them.
67.
Now let me tell you what those 67 deaths mean for the war, for American politics, for the Gulf, and for the world.
Because understanding what they mean is the only honest way to honor the weight of that number.
Ali al-Salem is not a remote outpost.
It is one of the most significant American air bases in the Middle East, the base from which American combat aircraft launched into Iraq in 2003, the base that hosts the pre-positioned equipment and personnel that represent American ground power in the Northern Gulf.
It is a major installation, heavily defended, inside a country that has hosted American forces for 30 years under the logic of mutual protection.
Iran launched one of its strongest attacks on record against that base this morning.
Not a probe.
Not a harassment strike designed to keep American heads down and complicate sortie scheduling.
One of the strongest attacks.
A strike calibrated for mass effect.
A strike designed not just to damage infrastructure or degrade capability, but to kill.
To produce a number, a body count, that would do what infrastructure strikes and radar kills and base suppression cannot do by themselves.
Force a reckoning inside the American political system.
Understand the calculation Iran made in authorizing a strike of this scale against a defended American military installation with the explicit intent of producing mass casualties.
Iran's strategic theory of this conflict has always been about political will, not military capacity.
Iran cannot defeat the American military in the field.
It has never tried to.
It has been trying to make the cost of sustaining American military presence in the Gulf exceed the American political tolerance for that cost.
67 dead is the most direct possible application of that theory.
Because here is what 67 American military deaths do to the American political system in real time.
Congress is not in recess.
Congress is going to be on camera within hours demanding answers, demanding authorization, demanding accountability, demanding a definition of objectives, demanding an exit strategy, demanding the thing that the administration has not publicly provided since the first B-2 took off.
A clear statement of what success looks like and how long it takes to get there.
The War Powers Resolution requires the President to notify Congress within 48 hours of committing forces to hostilities.
It requires congressional authorization for operations extending beyond 60 days.
67 dead American service members in Kuwait makes that legal and political framework impossible to manage quietly.
67 Dead in Kuwait00:08:45
The American public, which has been watching oil prices rise and receiving fragmentary news about strikes on Gulf infrastructure and radar installations and naval bases, woke up this morning to something different.
They woke up to the number that makes war real in American political consciousness.
Not geopolitical maneuvering, not energy market disruption, not strategic radar systems and command headquarters.
American sons and daughters killed on a base in Kuwait, 67 of them, before breakfast.
That number moves American public opinion in ways that every other development in this conflict has not.
It moves it in two directions, simultaneously.
And the direction it moves in, the direction the American political system chooses in the next 72 hours, is the most consequential decision since the first strike went in.
The first direction is escalation.
Massive, overwhelming, disproportionate American military response to the deliberate killing of 67 American service members.
The targeting menu that has been kept restrained, the menu that held back from direct strikes on Iranian leadership on IRGC command headquarters in Tehran, on the decision makers who authorized the strikes that have been hitting American bases.
That menu comes off the shelf.
The B-52s that are crossing the Atlantic with JASM-ER cruise missiles get new targeting coordinates that are qualitatively different from the military infrastructure targets they were assigned before this morning.
The political restraint that has kept this conflict from becoming a full war on the Iranian state breaks under the weight of 67 flag-draped coffins.
The second direction is pressure for termination.
Congressional members who have been quiet while the operation appeared to be a contained air campaign against nuclear facilities start asking whether this administration has a plan for what comes after 67 dead.
Whether the objectives that were used to justify the opening strikes are worth what they are now costing.
Whether the definition of success has kept pace with the reality of a conflict that has struck American bases in Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq, closed the Strait of Hormuz, shut down Ras Lafan and Ras Tanura, pushed oil above $130, and now produced the largest American combat casualty event in 20 years.
Both pressures will be in the room when the president sits down with his national security team this morning.
The pressure for escalation is louder.
The pressure for termination is more durable.
Iran calculated on the pressure for termination being more durable.
Now look at Kuwait.
Kuwait is a country that exists because America fought a war for it.
In 1990, Saddam Hussein invaded, the world condemned it.
The sanctions were imposed.
The ultimatum was delivered.
And when the ultimatum expired, it was American military power and the coalition America built around it that went into Kuwait and drove the Iraqi army out and restored Kuwaiti sovereignty.
Kuwait has hosted American forces ever since as the explicit recognition that its survival as an independent state is bound to American military presence.
That relationship, 30 years old, foundational to Kuwaiti foreign policy, is being tested in the most acute way possible this morning.
Iranian munitions killed 67 American service members on Kuwaiti soil, in Kuwait, in the country that America died for in 1991, on the basis that Kuwait hosts as the price and the guarantee of American protection.
The protection failed 67 times over.
The Kuwaiti government is managing a situation that has no clean resolution.
It cannot expel American forces in the middle of an active conflict without being seen as capitulating to Iranian pressure and without removing the military infrastructure that is the only thing standing between Kuwait and Iranian dominance of the northern Gulf.
It cannot continue hosting those forces without its own population asking why Kuwaiti soil is absorbing the consequences of an American war that Kuwait did not choose and cannot exit.
Kuwait's Emir received Putin's phone call, like Qatar's Emir.
Like the UAE's president, like Bahrain's king, Putin is working a list and working it methodically.
The pitch is the same.
Russia is stable.
Russia is available.
Russia is not fighting wars from your runways.
Russia is not producing body counts on your bases.
The pitch is more compelling this morning than it was yesterday.
Watch Iraq.
Iraq's reaction to 67 American dead on Kuwaiti soil is going to arrive in the specific political language of a country that has been trying to manage the contradiction of American military presence for 20 years.
The Iraqi parliament voted to expel American forces in 2020.
They are still there.
The popular mobilization forces, the Iranian-linked militias that operate inside the Iraqi military structure, have been watching this conflict and waiting for the moment when the political ground in Baghdad shifts far enough to demand American withdrawal without Iraqi government resistance.
67 dead Americans in Kuwait, combined with the strikes on American installations in Iraq, may be that moment.
Not because the Iraqi government wants to expel American forces under fire, but because the political pressure from Iranian-aligned parliamentary blocs from PMF commanders, from the public that is watching its country become a theater of someone else's war.
That pressure may reach a threshold that the Iraqi prime minister cannot contain.
If Iraq asks American forces to leave, formally, officially, with a parliamentary resolution and a government statement, the American military loses its forward operating depth in the theater.
It loses the pre-positioned equipment.
It loses the logistics infrastructure.
It loses the political cover of operating from a sovereign ally's territory.
Iran knows this.
67 dead in Kuwait is the event that makes the Iraqi political ask possible.
And now, the number that sits alongside 67, that has to be spoken in the same breath.
The interceptors are still running low.
The AN FPS-132 radar is still rubble in Qatar.
The Strait of Hormuz is still closed.
Raz Laffan is still dark.
Ras Tenora is still not at full operation.
Oil is above $130.
Goldman Sachs has stopped giving clean ceiling numbers.
The B-52s have not yet arrived.
The FAAD is still being positioned.
The French bases are open, but the command infrastructure that coordinates them absorbed a strike at Jaffa.
67 Americans died this morning in the gap between the force posture that was sent into this conflict and the force posture that this conflict actually requires.
That gap is the accountability question that Congress is going to ask.
That gap is the strategic assessment that the chairman of the Joint Chiefs is delivering to the President this morning.
That gap is the distance between the clean, bounded, decisive air campaign that the opening strikes were supposed to represent and the theater-wide conflict that Iran's response has produced.
The campaign plan assumed Iran would absorb the nuclear strikes and manage its retaliation within limits that American defenses could contain.
Iran did not read the plan.
67 names will be read at a ceremony that has not yet been scheduled, in a conflict that has not yet been named, toward an objective that has not yet been publicly defined.
That is the situation as of this morning.
Not a strategic analysis, not a geopolitical chess match, not exchange ratios and intercept probabilities and basing logistics.
67 Americans dead in Kuwait.
The weight of that number is the only honest place to start.
Wow, wow, wow.
67.
I, not 109, of course.
67.
But get this, Iran also has sunk a U.S. naval ship.
As many as 300 may have died.
Here's another report.
Facts!
Missile strike on U.S. destroyer in the Indian Ocean.
Iran clocks warship hit hundreds.
Kilometers because Iran uses God.
Hello, malucing missiles.
A great strike.
Breaking.
Claims from Tehran are sending shockwaves through global security circles.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has said it has struck a U.S. Navy destroyer in the Indian Ocean using ballistic and cruise missiles.
According to the IRGC, the strike caused major fires on board the warship and a nearby tanker during refueling operations.
But as of now, Washington has not confirmed any such loss.
Iran says the attack involved two advanced weapon systems, the Godder 380 ballistic missile, capable of striking targets up to 2,000 kilometers away, and the Talayeh cruise missile, a strategic weapon with a range of around 1,000 kilometers.
Tehran says the missiles struck a destroyer located more than 600 kilometers from Iranian territory.
If confirmed, it would represent one of the longest-range naval strikes claimed by Iran.
The IRGC says the attack is part of a new military campaign called Operation True Promise 4.
The operation is described as retaliation against what Tehran calls Israeli-American aggression.
Iranian state sources claim the attack triggered widespread fires aboard both the destroyer and the tanker it was refueling from.
Sleeps Never Sleeps00:03:01
However, independent verification of the strike has not yet emerged.
Military analysts say such claims must be carefully verified.
Destroyers are heavily defended with layered missile interception systems, and any confirmed loss of a U.S. warship would mark a dramatic escalation in the region.
Now, the world is waiting for confirmation from Washington and watching closely for signs of retaliation.
The Revolution Radio at freedomslips.com.
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Government Debt Conspiracy00:04:07
Even the government admits that 9-11 was a conspiracy.
But did you know that it was an inside job?
That Osaba had nothing to do with it.
That the twin towers were blown apart by a sophisticated arrangement of mini or micro nukes.
That Building 7 collapsed seven hours later because of explosives planted in the building.
Barry Jennings was there.
He heard them go off and felt himself stepping over dead people.
The U.S. Geological Survey conducted studies of dust gathered from 35 locations in Lower Manhattan and found elements that would not have been there had this not been a nuclear event.
Ironically, that means the government's own evidence contradicts the government's official position.
9-11 was brought to us compliments of the CIA, the neocons of the Department of Defense, and the Massad.
Don't let yourself be played.
Read America Nuked on 9-11.
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Now we return you to your host.
Oh, here's a good one.
It ought to be very reassuring to those who are perhaps distraught that Iran is doing so well.
Net Yahoo pleased that Germany claims Israel is the global war against Israel's enemies cost us $8 trillion.
That's why we're bankrupt.
Yeah.
I mean, here we are at 38 trillion.
And Tucker, that's the other amazing part.
So now in the last two weeks, they given Trump gave another $8.6 billion, totally unaccounted.
Where's that $8.6 billion coming from?
Did anybody ever vote for that $8.6 billion?
And then unabated, he gave another $3.3 billion.
Where is this money coming from?
Is anybody voting on this?
What is going on?
And here you are.
It's these are IOUs to countries that are buying our treasuries.
Exactly.
So that's the next layer of it.
So you're telling us we have to borrow money from China and Japan so we can give money for free to Israel.
And then we pay the interest for the rest of our lives and they don't pay any interest.
Well, why don't they borrow it from China and Japan?
Exactly.
If we're being honest, the global war against Israel's enemies cost us $8 trillion.
That's why we're bankrupt.
Yeah.
I mean, here we are at 38 trillion.
And Tucker, that's the other amazing part.
So now in the last two weeks, they given Trump gave another $8.6 billion, totally unaccounted.
Where's that $8.6 billion coming from?
Did anybody ever vote for that $8.6 billion?
And then unabated, he gave another $3.3 billion.
Where is this money coming from?
Is anybody voting on this?
What is going on?
And here he is.
These are IOUs to countries that are buying our treasuries.
Exactly.
So that's the next layer of it.
So you're telling us we have to borrow money from China and Japan so we can give money for free to Israel and then we pay the interest for the rest of our lives and they don't pay any interest.
Well why don't they borrow it from China and Japan?
Exactly.
Because they can get it from us for free.
Because we're the suckers and the saps.
I'll find that about Bibi fleeing to Germany.
Clearly that was not the clip.
Meanwhile, another strategic disaster for Israel captured Hermes 900 delivers IDF's encrypted brain to Iran.
Get this Iran flaunts a fully armed Israeli drone, leaving Netanyahu and the IDF red-faced.
Iran Displays Captured Hermes 90000:03:04
The IRGC snatches a pristine Hermes 900, turning Israel's hunter into Iran's trophy.
A brutal intel blow for Israel, as Bibi's war plan looks shakier than ever.
Citing Defense Security Asia, Iran claims it has captured a fully armed Israeli drone in the middle of the ongoing war.
Reports say the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps seized an Israeli Hermes 900 drone on March 4th during heightened clashes.
Iranian state television on March 4th broadcast footage it says shows the captured Israeli drone on display.
Iranian media outlets reported that the country's air defenses had intercepted an Israeli aircraft amid the raging conflict.
However, the location of the footage and the true ownership of the drone could not be independently verified.
The Hermes 900 is a medium-altitude long-endurance drone used for surveillance missions and precision strike attacks.
According to the IRGC, the drone was electronically trapped and brought under Iranian control before it could carry out its strike.
Reports claim the captured UAV still carried its sensors, encrypted data links and a mounted weapons payload when it was taken.
Tehran has framed the capture as proof of its growing air defense strength and electronic warfare capabilities.
Iranian officials further claimed that at least 35 U.S. and Israeli drones have been neutralized since February 28.
The down drone was then moved to specialized Iranian facilities, where engineers are now conducting a detailed technical analysis.
A high-end male combat drone built to stay in the sky for hours and hunt targets from above.
Designed for persistent ISR, this UAV stalks the battlefield, spying and then striking with precision.
Its turboprop engine keeps it circling for long durations, giving commanders' eyes in the sky non-stop.
A composite airframe maximizes endurance and payload while shrinking its radar signature.
Packed with multi-mode EOSIR cameras, SAR radar, and Ellen gear, it turns into a flying spy station.
Autonomous flight software fused with GPS and INS lets this drone navigate and loiter with minimal human touch.
Encrypted satellite and line-of-sight links keep the drone securely tied to its operators miles away.
A modular weapons bay lets it carry guided munitions and deliver precise tactical strikes on command.
Captured intact, it gives engineers a rare look inside its avionics, engine, and control brains.
The SEAS drone becomes a lab, revealing flight algorithms, sensor fusion tricks, and hidden data link protocols.
Its comm suite offers a gold mine for counter-UAV tactics and cracking how its encrypted links really work.
Turning this elite UAV into a research asset, Iran gains a strategic boost for future regional air defense planning.
Food Shipments Crisis00:04:06
No doubt about and a great coup.
Meanwhile, the war against Iran is going horizontal.
This is disturbing in multiple ways.
The fact is that what's going on here is that food, access to food is being denied to the Gulf Coast states.
We have so many, so many news reports.
Here it is.
Food shipments to Persian Gulf countries cut off.
There's a report from Hal Turner.
Serious.
Nobody is discussing how utterly terrifying the food situation just got for the Middle East right now.
United Arab Emirates imports 80 to 90% of its food.
Saudi Arabia, 80%.
Kuwait, 98%.
None of that food can get in now.
The Strait of Hormuz isn't just an oil choke point.
It's the lifeline for food shipments into the entire Gulf.
Right now, that strait is effectively closed and definitely under threat.
Shipping rates have exploded.
650%.
Insurance costs are through the roof.
If you can even get any coverage, cargo ships are all rerouting.
Very large crude oil carrier rates are hitting record highs.
In the vicinity of $423,000 per day.
LNG.
Liquid.
Natural gas shipping.
Excuse me.
Surge, 650 percent, uh 300 000 a day and container lines are slapping 1500 of 4 000 war surcharges per box per box.
Here's what nobody is saying out loud.
These countries have maybe two to three months max of strategic food reserves.
After that rationing, These countries pretty much have no farms, no rivers, no backup, with one prolonged blockade and 60 million people in the Gulf facing empty food shelves.
And it doesn't stop there.
Global wheat prices are already climbing.
Fertilizer shipments are disrupted.
Supply chains that were barely recovering from COVID are snabbing again.
The last time food prices piped like this in the Middle East, it triggered the Arab Spring.
This isn't about oil anymore.
This is about whether 60 million people eat.
And you can well imagine they're not going to want to have anything to do with the United States anymore.
They're not going to allow American bases in any of the Gulf Coast countries again.
They feel betrayed by America justifiably.
Meanwhile, Israel's tail is wagging our dog in Iran.
Indeed.
Does anyone have any doubt about it? Kirk Bang said here with Minocqua Brewing Company.
And last night, up North Podcast, we spoke with retired Army Colonel George Mason about the real reason we are with Iran.
U.S. Military's Carrier Move00:11:32
He was emphatic.
There is no American interest being served.
Here's part of that comment.
We have a lot of people in this administration and in positions of influence throughout our government, think tanks who are pro-Israel.
Benjamin Netanyahu was, I can't remember if it was an interview or something where he said, for 40 years, I've been trying to get a U.S. president to get on side with regards to Iran.
So we are so I so I told you what when we left for the break I told you what Marco Rubio had said, right?
The Israelis were going to act and that might cause Iran to strike U.S. facilities and bases.
So we had to act too.
The bottom line is Israel is calling the shots for this operation.
Yes, of course.
100%.
No doubt about it.
Here.
How the U.S. collaborated in a war for Israel.
The lives of courageous American heroes may be lost and we may have casualties.
That often happens in war.
But we're doing this not for now.
We're doing this for the future.
And it is a noble mission.
As the president warned, an effort of this scope will include casualties.
War is hell.
We expect to take additional losses.
And as always, we will work to minimize U.S. losses.
But as the Secretary said, this is major combat operations.
On June 15th, 2025, during the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, with assistance from the United States, Trump apparently vetoed a plan to kill Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei.
A senior administration official told Reuters, have the Iranians killed an American yet?
No.
Until they do, we're not even talking about going after the political leadership.
So what changed between then and now?
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A major turning point was the protests that broke out in Iran in late December.
These escalated greatly after January 8th.
Less than a week later, on January 13th, according to the Washington Post, CIA Director John Ratcliffe and Iran Hawk used a secure iPad reserved for presidential intelligence briefings to show Trump clandestinely acquired videos of regime violence against Iranian protesters and bodies in the streets.
Emotive images have swayed Trump in past crises.
Disturbing images of a Syrian chemical weapons attack on its own people in 2017 moved Trump to order missile strikes.
Indeed, violent videos apparently had an impact, per CNN.
The president was moved by seeing videos from Iran showing past executions, grisly scenes that seemed likely to repeat themselves amid the regime's brutal crackdown on protesters.
Their source also said that by the morning, after encouraging Iranians to take to the streets and declaring help is on its way, Trump appeared closer than he had been previously to calling for a limited military operation.
That same day, however, Trump spoke with the Israeli prime minister on the phone.
During the course of the conversation, Benjamin Netanyahu told Trump not to launch an attack.
Even though at that point, U.S. intelligence reporting had not indicated Iran stopped killing protesters.
Why would Netanyahu urge Trump not to attack Iran, a country that the New York Times Jerusalem bureau chief called the obsession of the prime minister?
David Halpfinger writes, after speaking with Israeli analysts and former officials, Israeli national security experts spoke with great respect for U.S. military capabilities to threaten the Iranian government.
But they also said that a limited American action, like a symbolic strike on a few targets, could be counterproductive, especially if the United States were to follow up by agreeing to new talks with Iran on its nuclear program.
One analyst named Danny Setrinowicz served for 25 years in Israel's military intelligence and is now senior Iran researcher at Israel's Institute for National Security Studies.
Citrinowitz believes, as he explained to the BBC, that Netanyahu is privately pushing the U.S. towards maximalist strikes aimed at regime change in Iran, and that when Netanyahu reportedly urged Trump to hold back earlier this month, it was because he viewed the planned U.S. attack as too small.
Returning to the CNN article, Israelis didn't believe the regime would fall quickly without a prolonged campaign, and there was concern over the state of the country's missile defenses, which were extensively used during conflict between Israel and Iran last year.
At the time, according to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. didn't have an aircraft carrier in the Middle East, but Trump still could have deployed bombers, Air Force jet fighters, or naval assets to strike Iran.
This apparently wasn't enough for the Israelis, and so the United States moved a massive amount of military forces into the region.
In other words, Israel directly intervened and pushed for a larger military campaign.
The day after the Trump Netanyahu phone call, CNN revealed that the U.S. military is moving a carrier strike group to the region.
Carrier strike groups normally include an aircraft carrier, guided missile cruisers, anti-aircraft warships, and anti-submarine destroyers or frigates.
The nearest group, according to open source intelligence, is the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group that was last reported to be in the South China Sea.
I would be remiss if I didn't point out the irony in this deployment.
Quoting Alexander Haig, Israel's supporters call the country an unsinkable American aircraft carrier that does not need even one American soldier.
In a 2011 article for foreign policy, their ambassador to the U.S. said Israel's presence has enabled the United States to minimize its military deployments in the area.
From the Times of Israel, published February 27, 2026.
The aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and three guided missile destroyers have been in the Arabian Sea since the end of January after being redirected from the South China Sea.
The strike group, which brought roughly 5,700 additional service members to the region, bolstered the smaller force of a few destroyers and three literal combat ships that were already in the region.
Two weeks later, Trump ordered the world's largest aircraft carrier, the USS Gerald R. Ford, along with three destroyers and more than 5,000 service members to head to the region.
The Ford is now in the eastern Mediterranean, bringing the Navy's presence in the region to 14 ships.
Additionally, air assets in Jordan included more than 60 attack aircraft.
This deployment included thousands of service members from all branches, hundreds of advanced fourth and fifth generation fighters, dozens of refueling tankers, the Lincoln and Ford carrier strike group and their embarked air wings, sustained flow of munitions, fuel, supplies, all supported with command and control intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance network.
And the flow of forces continues today.
I would say what's happened is, of course, BB wanting a big hit by America got the big hit.
But massive retaliation has ensued.
They weren't prepared for it.
General Kane had even gone to Trump and said, we're not prepared to do this.
We've given half our missile to Ukraine and the other half to Israel.
We just do not have a supply sufficient.
Really, basically, reinforcing Colonel McGregor's observation reiterated many times: we run out of missiles before they run out of missiles.
But we've gone ahead anyway.
We've gone ahead anyway, and we're going to pay for it dearly.
We already are.
This is going to be a catastrophe for the United States.
This will be the same as most significant military defeat in American history, taking place in just a few weeks max.
Actually, I'm saying even a few days.
I mean, we've been at this less than a week already in the situation.
The circumstances are calamitous.
All 27 American bases in the Gulf Coast are out of commission.
Israel has suffered massive damage.
Yes, they took out the Ayatollah and its four top commanders, but it was all in anticipation.
They already had designated successors.
The Iranian missile retaliation is distributed, it's decentralized throughout the nation.
As you can see, if you watch, no one can tell where these missile launchers are.
We're making fantastic, outrageous, false claims.
And sad to say, when Americans speak out against it, they're being attacked physically.
We had this outrageous situation in Congress where a Marine Corps sergeant, not on active duty, former big guy, about 6'2, probably 260, but fit in his uniform perfectly well, called out no more wars for Israel.
Marine Interrupts Hearing, Breaks Arm00:04:04
He was assailed not by one, not by two, but by like four or five Capitol police and a United States Senator.
This is outrageous.
Then his hand got caught in the door and they broke his hand.
They broke his hand.
Check this out.
Just outrageous.
Please stand up as a Marine and stand up for America.
What's the fight for Israel?
Why are you getting arrested?
Free Palestine from the halls of Montezupa to the shores of Tripoli.
Good man.
Chaos erupted inside a U.S. Senate hearing room after a dramatic confrontation between a senator and an anti-war protester left a man injured and stunned lawmakers and officers alike.
What began as a protest against U.S. support for Israel quickly spiraled into a physical struggle that echoed across Capitol Hill.
Tensions boiled over during a Senate Armed Services subcommittee meeting when a military protester interrupted proceedings with a loud anti-war message that immediately halted the hearing and triggered a rapid response from security.
The protester was identified as Brian McGinnis, a Marine Corps veteran and Green Party candidate for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina, who loudly declared that no one wants to fight for Israel while officers attempted to remove him.
Video footage circulating online shows three Capitol police officers struggling to subdue McGinnis as he resisted being escorted out of the hearing room, forcing the situation into a tense and chaotic struggle.
Montana Republican Senator Tim Sheehey then suddenly rushed forward and joined the effort to restrain the protester, grabbing hold of McGinnis's leg as officers attempted to carry him through the doorway.
But the confrontation escalated further when McGinnis hooked his arm around the doorframe, attempting to stop officers from forcing him out of the chamber as security struggled to pull him free.
In the footage, Sheehee can be seen wrapping an arm around McGinnis's shoulder and attempting to pry him away from the doorframe moments before a loud snapping sound can be heard on camera.
The clip appears to show McGinnis suffering a serious arm injury during the struggle, with witnesses later suggesting that either his wrist or lower arm had been broken during the confrontation.
Sheehee later reposted the video on social media defending his actions and claiming he had stepped in to help de-escalate what he described as a volatile situation.
The senator said Capitol police were attempting to remove an unhinged protester who was actively resisting officers and that he intervened in an effort to assist law enforcement in restoring order.
According to Sheehy, the protester had arrived at the Capitol looking for a confrontation and ultimately got one during the heated encounter inside the hearing room.
In another video recorded shortly after the incident, McGinnis is seen being escorted away while wearing what appeared to be a Marine Corps uniform and voicing support for the Free Palestine movement.
The individual filming that clip claimed McGinnis's arm had been broken during the struggle, though officials have not publicly confirmed the exact nature of the injury.
We just witnessed a Marine veteran interrupting the hearing, and they broke his arm.
Why did he intervene?
Because there is a war in Iran, and our military brothers and sisters are going to die for Israel.
Why Marines Protested00:01:06
And we are here to say no.
We do not support Israel.
We do not want to die for Israel.
Stop the war in Iran right now.
And what did they do to him?
They pulled him out, got his arm trapped in a door, broke his arm, like tackled him to the ground.
It was a very, very intense situation.
Capitol Police later released a statement confirming that the protester had been treated for an injury, but did not disclose specific medical details about what had happened during the clash.
The department also revealed that three Capitol Police officers...
Yeah, there they are, in the arms of a Supreme Court sergeant.
This is disgusting!
Step for five, my business.
You are a good nigger.
Spend as much time with your family, your friends, and people you love and care about.
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Use it wisely.
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