‘One of the Most Memory-Holed Stories of 2023’: Max Tegmark
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One of the most memory-hold stories of 2023 was that the CEOs of all of these companies, Sam Altman, Demis Asabes, Dario Amadei, signed this statement saying, hey, this could cause human extinction.
Let's be careful.
They said it.
It's kind of like if Oppenheimer and Einstein had written a letter warning that nuclear weapons could kill people and then everybody just sort of forgot about it.
So there could be devastation, but it feels so abstract now because we're not Today's AI can, of course, brainwash people, manipulate people, cause power concentration, do censorship.
But it's not today's AI that we could simply lose control over.
It's the AI that we'll get in the future if we let it happen.
The huge shift that's happened after we passed the Turing test, though, is that this future is no longer decades away, right?
Dario Amode, who leads Anthropic, one of the top American companies, predicts that it'll happen by 2027, two years from now, will have, AGI will have what he calls a country of geniuses in a data center, where these geniuses in the data center, these AIs, are better than Nobel laureates in physics and chemistry and math at their various tasks.
So most likely we'll get to the point where this could happen during Trump's presidency.
Trump is the AI president.
This can be what he does during his watch, which determines how this goes.
I promised you some optimism.
So here's the optimism.
This dystopian future, almost nobody wants it, except for some fringe nerds.
Moreover, I think what's beginning to happen is people in the NatSec community are beginning to also realize that this is a national security threat.
You know, if you're working in the U.S. NETSEC community and your job is to keep tabs on other countries that could pose a NETSEC threat, and then you hear some guy talking about a country of geniuses in a data center, you'll think, well, maybe I should put his country on my list to pay attention to also.
Do I really want some San Francisco-based nerd who's had too much Red Bull to drink?
Make decisions about something that could overthrow the US government.
The truth, the painful truth that's really beginning to sink in is that we're much closer to figuring out how to build this stuff than we are to figuring out how to control it.
Do you know that AI is currently the only industry in the US that makes powerful stuff that has less regulation than sandwiches?
Like, if someone has a sandwich shop in San Francisco, right, before they can sell their first sandwich, some health inspector checks out the kitchen.