| Time | Text |
|---|---|
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Trump's Dilemma: Iran and Oil
00:04:25
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| Where you get the tension is in two sections. | |
| The Israelis say, we have emasculated for a year or two Hamas, Hezbollah, we're both working on the Houthis, and we have demonstrated you can go into Iran with impunity and destroy their air defenses. | |
| We have a brief window. | |
| It's now the time to take out all of these nuclear facilities. | |
| They'll lie about it, they'll lie about it, they'll lie about it. | |
| But you cannot deal with these people. | |
| And the Trump administration is saying to them, we agree, but this is contrary to the MAGA covenant. | |
| The MAGA covenant we ran on said no optional Middle East wars, no foreign entanglements, and it's always better to jawbone than to go to war. | |
| That's the MAGA. | |
| That's the J.D. Vance, Tucker Carlson group. | |
| What Trump is trying to thread the needle. | |
| So he's saying to Israel, let's just get six or seven months of negotiation. | |
| And the Israelis are saying it's a waste of time. | |
| They'll not honor it, and they'll never give up this thing. | |
| And he said, well, then if they won't give up, we'll negotiate to the point where they have to shut up or put up. | |
| And if you're right, then we have a case to be made to our MAGA base. | |
| We can say, do you want a nuclear weapon with these people? | |
| They're going to threaten Europe. | |
| They're going to threaten Israel. | |
| They'll eventually threaten us. | |
| And they're close with the Russians and Chinese. | |
| And they're vulnerable now. | |
| And we tried to have peace with them. | |
| And we tried to have negotiations with them. | |
| And they shut the door. | |
| So I think that's what the Trump administration is saying, that we have to go through the motions. | |
| You may be right. | |
| And the Israelis say it's a waste of time, and I think sometime in the late summer or fall, they're going to conclude that you can't deal with the Iranians. | |
| But they made the effort, and that was good public relations, and either we or the Israelis or both are going to take them out. | |
| I think that's what will happen. | |
| And that's going to be very controversial, because Trump is, as we said, a transactional diplomat, and he does not want disruption in the Middle East. | |
| He does not want the price of oil to go high. | |
| He does not want increased terrorism. | |
| The Iranians have tried to kill him in the past. | |
| We have an open border, as we discussed with Canada. | |
| And he thinks, you know what? | |
| I can deal with these people. | |
| I killed Soleimani. | |
| Everybody knew that he was a terrorist. | |
| He was responsible for thousands of American deaths during the Iraq War. | |
| Obama didn't do anything. | |
| Even George W. Bush was afraid to get rid of him. | |
| I got rid of him. | |
| And then the Iranians wanted to retaliate and save face. | |
| And I said to them, if you touch one American in Iraq when you retaliate, we're going to take out. | |
| And he said he gave them a list. | |
| You know, here's your harbors, here's your military. | |
| So then the Iranians said, well, we'll notify you in advance. | |
| Just keep everybody in your base. | |
| And that's what happened. | |
| And there's critics of Trump said, well, some Americans had some shell shock. | |
| But basically, we knew the missiles were coming. | |
| We stayed in the base. | |
| And then Iran lied and told their people that they sent a barrage into Iraq to make the Yankee imperialists pay for what they did. | |
| And that's how Trump is transactional. | |
| And there was no war. | |
| But the main point was he got rid of Soleimani without having a war. | |
| I think that's how he operates. | |
| But I don't think that that... | |
| We did it with North Korea as well, and then Biden kind of let up on them. | |
| But I just think if you are on record as Rubio and even Vance and Trump are, that they cannot enrich to 90% and they keep enriching, then there's no other solution. | |
| And it's a very tricky operation. | |
| I think the administration is also not convinced that they don't have bombs. | |
| And they are at other facilities that have either just recently been discovered or there's other ones that haven't been discovered. | |
|
Iranian Missile Threat
00:00:40
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| They keep talking about all of the places that we know about, but given what we know of the theocracy, there's probably a lot of places where they've been rich, and they may have two or three bombs, and that is also something they're very worried about. | |
| That they could send it in to Israel. | |
| And everybody says, well, Iron Dome will knock them down. | |
| Well, the other day that Houthis sent one in, and it hit almost at the airport in Tel Aviv. | |
| And if that had been an Iranian missile, they sent, I think, 500 total missiles in those two separate attacks. | |
| And everybody said they knocked down 95% of them, but there were about seven or eight missiles that got through. | |
| And if one had been nuclear, it would have been catastrophic. | |