The IRS has just put out a major statement to the entire country, warning Americans that, moving forward, the agency will now be using AI to crack down on tax-related enforcement.
Meaning that as fun as it was to pay taxes and then have some federal bureaucrat decide whether you need to be audited or not, well, moving forward, it'll actually be decided by an AI machine, sort of like a tax GPT. Specifically, the Commissioner of the IRS, Mr.
Danny Werfel, he said this as a part of a statement released just last Friday.
There is a sea change taking place at the IRS in every aspect of our operations.
The changes will be driven with the help of improved technology as well as artificial intelligence that will help IRS compliance teams better detect tax cheating, identify emerging compliance threats, and improve case selection tools to avoid burdening taxpayers with needless no-change audits.
Now, this move towards AI, it requires a little bit of background, and it also requires you to smash those like and subscribe buttons so that this video, as well as this vital information, can reach ever more people via the YouTube algorithm.
Now, with that out of the way, the shift towards AI-based tax compliance, it comes as a direct result of the so-called Inflation Reduction Act that was signed into law by Joe Biden last August.
Included in that particular law was around $80 billion that was earmarked to expand the IRS's budget over the next 10 years.
Now, after the debt ceiling negotiations earlier this year between Joe Biden and Kevin McCarthy, that $80 billion was pared down to $60 billion.
Essentially, Congress was able to effectively claw back $10 billion per year for the years 2024 and 2025.
But that, of course, still leaves a cool $60 billion for the IRS to play with.
And while many people assumed that this would fund a small army of IRS enforcement agents, which still might be the case, but it now appears that a large chunk of this money is actually being funneled into ramping up the use of technology to collect taxes.
In fact, the IRS, they released this document right here back in April, wherein they essentially outlined what they're going to be doing with the money that's coming to them from the so-called Inflation Reduction Act.
That document, by the way, was a cool 150 pages long.
And in it, they reference the fact that a significant chunk of the money that's being pumped into the IRS is going to be used to give it a technological facelift, or as they refer to it as, quote, Now, in this very lengthy plan of theirs, the IRS focused mostly on the customer service aspects of this technology boost, things like introducing chatbots, different online portals, as well as automated responses to commonly asked questions.
However, this plan of theirs, it also explicitly says that the IRS expects the technology-driven enforcement to boost tax collection as well as government revenue.
And so again, back in April, this was released as just a plan.
But now, well, we're starting to see the execution of this plan come to fruition.
According to the IRS, they will now begin to use AI tools to crack down on American taxpayers.
Specifically, according to IRS estimates, Americans pay around 85% of the total taxes that they owe, with the difference between what is owed and what is actually paid, known as the tax gap.
And in terms of how much money is represented by this tax gap, well, according to IRS estimates, between the years of 2014 and 2016, the annual tax gap was around $496 billion.
That's $496 billion per year, which, for your reference, is equivalent to around 50,000 tanks that we could be sending over to Ukraine every single year, if only people would pay their taxes.
And so, in order to get this money to fund these Ukrainian tanks as well as everything else, well, the IRS is now stepping up and beginning to deploy these artificial intelligence tools in order to find the people who aren't paying their taxes.
And in order to do this effectively, Besides using your tax forms, your 1099s, and so on, well, the IRS will use three main sources of taxpayer data to pull from and to feed into their AI tool.
The first is your previous tax returns, in order to establish patterns.
The second is publicly available data.
And so, for instance, if you happen to be in a music band, they can scan your social media accounts to see how many concerts you play at every single year and compare the number of concerts to the stated income on your tax returns to see whether they line up.
And thirdly, the IRS can purchase third-party data about you from different data brokers out there.
As an example of what that looks like in practice, back in the year 2020, quote, a government contract with the company Chainalysis is described, perhaps clumsily, as a contract for pilot IRS cryptocurrency tracing.
This type of contract gives the IRS information related to otherwise untraceable income sources so that agents can detect on the reporting.
And so using your tax forms, your previous tax returns, your publicly available data, as well as the private data that they're able to purchase about you from third-party data brokers, the IRS can feed all this information into their AI tool and make a prediction as to whether you are skimming in your taxes and whether an audit is necessary.
But if you think all this sounds rather dystopian, well, fear not.
Because in their statement, the IRS made a special point to mention that these new AI bots will only be used to target the very wealthy.
As part of the new enforcement crackdown, The tax agency said that it would prioritize cases involving taxpayers earning over $1 million, but with recognized tax debt of more than $250,000.
Which all sounds well and good, like it doesn't really apply to you, until you remember the fact that back in the year 1913, when personal income taxes first began in this country, well, it was only the very wealthy that were taxed, at a tax rate of about 1%.
And then you fast forward 100 years, and now everyone pays taxes at a rate of about 25%.
And so when the IRS says that they've spent millions of dollars developing an AI tool to help audit Americans, but don't worry because they're only going to be auditing the wealthy Americans, Well, perhaps you should consider remaining extremely skeptical of that.
Regardless, the IRS also mentioned in the statement that they released last Friday that the deployment of these AI tools has already helped them to, quote, identify 1,600 or so millionaires who owe hundreds of millions of dollars in taxes, as well as helping the agency to flag and open investigations into 75 of the largest partnerships in the United States, each with over $10 billion in assets on average.
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Furthermore, besides this new tax GPT tool, the IRS is also using the additional money that's allocated to them through the so-called Inflation Reduction Act to bolster their ranks and get more actual boots on the ground.
While the IRS's new enforcement plan makes no mention of additional staffing, the $60 billion in extra funding has already bolstered the IRS's ranks substantially, with hiring up around 13% over the past year, hitting a decade high of nearly 90,000 employees.
The IRS has said earlier it plans to hire 20,000 people over the next two years, with around one-third of them earmarked for tax enforcement.
Meaning, in practical terms, that in the coming years, once we file our taxes, the federal government's AI tools who go through our numbers will have sufficient boots on the ground if they find that we're not in compliance.
Very cool.
If you'd like to go through the IRS's full statement, or anything else that we discussed in today's episode regarding this new push towards AI tax enforcement, I'll throw all my research notes down into the description box below this video for you to peruse at your own leisure.
And then lastly...
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