Huge ‘Mistake’ in 2020 Census Cost Republicans 3 Electoral Votes For Next 10 Years
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With the midterm elections coming up right around the corner, well, there is a massive mistake that you need to know about.
It's a mistake that will not only affect this year's elections, but also the elections for the next decade.
Specifically, five months ago, the U.S. Census Bureau came out and they admitted that during the most recent census, they miscounted the populations in 14 different states.
Notably, they undercounted the populations in six states while simultaneously Overcounting the populations in eight other states.
And when you dig into the specifics of their mistake, well, there are massive implications not only for this year's election, not only for the general makeup of Congress, not only for the next presidential race, but rather to our entire electoral system for the next 10 years.
However, let me put this development into proper context.
All the way back when this country was first founded, specifically back in the year 1788, when the U.S. Constitution was first ratified, The federal government had a duty to conduct a census every ten years.
That requirement actually came from Article 1, Section 2 of the U.S. Constitution, which says this in relevant part, quote,"...representatives to the U.S. House and direct taxes shall be apportioned among the several states which may be included within this union according to their respective numbers," meaning their respective populations.
"...the actual enumeration shall be made within three years after the first meeting of the Congress of the United States and within every subsequent term of ten years," And so, starting at the very beginning of this nation, the idea was to count every single person living in each state.
Of course, at the beginning it was every free person, but now it's every person living in a state.
And to use that number to figure out how many representatives in Congress that the state should get, how many electoral votes they should get, as well as how much tax revenue is apportioned to that particular state.
And so, obviously, the census is a big deal.
It's very consequential, and it has been a regular occurrence in this country for the past 230 years, with the most recent census being completed in the year 2020.
However, here's where things get, you can say, a little bit tricky.
Because as a customary practice, after completing a census, the U.S. Census Bureau checks their work by doing something known as a post-enumeration survey.
This is where the Census Bureau interviews a large number of households across the entire country, and they compare the answers that they get in the interviews with the results of their actual census.
They do this to get an understanding of the margin of error in each different state.
And wouldn't you believe it?
After conducting their most recent survey, they found a significant miscount.
Now, you might be asking yourself, hold on, Roman, if it was so significant, why hasn't the media been reporting it?
Well, to answer that question, let's take a look at all the states.
The Census Bureau admitted to overcounting the states of Hawaii, Delaware, Rhode Island, Minnesota, New York, Massachusetts, Ohio, and Utah, while at the same time they admitted to undercounting the states of Texas, Florida, Mississippi, Tennessee, Arkansas, as well as Illinois.
Now, isn't that interesting?
Six out of the eight over-counted states voted blue in 2020, while five out of the six under-counted states voted red.
And as you can imagine, this has massive implications.
Because again, the U.S. Census, it determines how many seats in Congress a state gets, as well as how many electoral votes they get.
And so, in terms of the implications here, we need to look at the congressional seats, how they were actually reapportioned in the year 2020.
And when we do, when we look at the original census report, we find that, for example, it said that the state of Florida needed only 171,500 more residents in order to gain another congressional seat.
However, according to the survey, the one that showed the margin of error, Florida was actually undercounted by over 750,000 people, well more than enough to gain two extra seats.
Another example is the state of Texas.
According to the original census report, the Bureau said that Texas needed only 189,000 more people in order to gain another congressional seat.
However, the survey found that Texas was undercounted by over 560,000 residents.
Again, that's well more than enough for them to gain an extra seat.
On the flip side, according to the original census report, the state of Minnesota would have actually lost a congressional seat if they just had 26 fewer people.
However, according to the post-census survey, Minnesota was actually overcounted by more than 216,000 people.
Likewise, the state of Rhode Island would have actually lost a congressional seat if they had 19,000 fewer residents.
However, according to the survey, well, it turns out that Rhode Island was actually overcounted by more than 55,000 residents.
In total, when summing up all these discrepancies, Mr.
Hans von Spakovsky, who is a former member of the Federal Elections Commission, he crunched all the numbers, and he wrote this, Florida was cheated out of two additional seats it should have gotten.
Texas missed out on another seat.
Minnesota and Rhode Island each kept the representative they shouldn't have.
And Colorado was awarded a new member of the House it didn't deserve.
Furthermore, in regards to presidential elections, well, you're likely aware that within our electoral college system, the number of electoral votes that a particular state gets is equal to the number of senators plus the number of seats in the House of Representatives that that individual state has.
Meaning that according to the above map from Mr.
Spakovsky, if these mistakes hadn't had occurred, well, then you'd see the same thing in the Electoral College.
Florida would have had an extra two electoral votes, Texas would have had one extra electoral vote, while Minnesota, Rhode Island, and Colorado would each lose an electoral vote.
Furthermore, besides just affecting our elections and the makeup of Congress, well, the U.S. Census also determines the amount of federal funds that each state gets.
And along that line, here is what Mr.
Spakovsky said in regards to the error.
Quote, At the expense of the undercounted states.
Now, what's interesting to note is that this margin of error is significantly larger than before.
For example, back in the year 2010, after the Bureau conducted their post-census survey, they found that their rate of error was only about 0.01%, which in that case was an overcount of only 36,000 people, which in a nation as large as ours is pretty insignificant.
You compare that to this year, and it's like night and day.
However, here's the kicker to all this.
Because despite the census having officially posted the results of their survey, and admitting that very likely the actual official census results were significantly off, well...
There's nothing that can be done.
There is no real mechanism in this country to fix this problem.
That's because the federal statutes that govern the census, as well as the federal statutes that govern congressional apportionment, they provide no real remedy to correct a problem like this.
And one of the reasons that they don't is because the way that the census is set up is geared towards providing a population count on one specific date.
In this case, it's April 1st, 2020.
Ironically, that's April Fool's Day.
And so, for instance, if you order the U.S. Census Bureau to conduct a recount in the 14 different miscounted states, well, that wouldn't really work, since the new numbers would be for a different date than the original census.
And also, in a country like America, where people are always moving between states, well, you couldn't just do a recount of 14 states.
You would have to do a recount of all the states in order to get an accurate number.
And so that's just the reality of the situation.
There would need to be quite literally the political will within the next Congress to order a brand new census, which, quite frankly, very likely will not happen.
And so a total recount just does not seem to be something on the table, despite the original one being so far off.
And so the only solution that I can see on the horizon is that during the next Congress, they form some kind of a committee to actually investigate how this problem came about in order for it to not happen in the future.
Regardless, if you'd like to read the details of these mistakes in the 2020 census, I'll throw all my research materials down into the description box below so you can peruse it for yourself.
And also, I'd love to know your thoughts on the matter.
Do you think that this was truly done by mistake?
And what do you make of the media not choosing to highlight this story at all?
Do you think that they would report on it differently if the supposed error was favorable to Republicans versus Democrats?
I'd love to know your thoughts.
Please leave them in the comments section below.
I'll be reading them tonight as well as tomorrow.
And also, as always, as you're making your way down there to the description box for the links, as well as that comment section, take a small detour to smash that like button so this video can be shared out to ever more people.
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Now lastly, since we're generally on the topic of the midterm elections, maybe setting aside this problem with the census, I'd like to mention that if you are looking for honest, unbiased coverage of the midterm elections as it's going to be unfolding, well, over on Epic TV, we'll be having full day coverage, well, full night coverage post-election.
And of course, that's a great place because, I mean, besides me being there and I'll be doing the actual on-the-ground reporting, If you're looking for a place that, for instance, will not call the state of Arizona when only 5% of the votes are in, well, that's going to be Epic TV. We're going to be up probably well into the night reporting on the different states as the tallies come in, reporting on the makeup of Congress, reporting on the gubernatorial races, reporting on the Senate races, and all the other races in the best way that we can.
We'll have tons of interviews there.
It'll be a lot of fun.
If you want to check it out, I'll throw the link to Epic TV. It'll be right there at the very top of the description box.
I hope you check it out.
And then until next time, I'm your host, Roman from The Epic Times.