Danny Jones Podcast - #236 - US Intel Analyst Predicts Russia's Nuclear War Strategy | Ryan McBeth Aired: 2024-04-29 Duration: 03:51:38 === Flavored Rye and Military Analysis (03:17) === [00:00:00] The military industrial complex. [00:00:02] There's no such thing. [00:00:04] No. [00:00:07] Yeah. [00:00:07] Don't say anything about it. [00:00:08] We're going to record this. [00:00:09] I need the live reaction. [00:00:11] All right, Steve, let me know when you're rolling. [00:00:18] Ryan Macbeth, ladies and gentlemen, big fan of your YouTube channel. [00:00:22] I love all the stuff that you're doing with the Intel analyzing and the military analyzing, and the way you do it in such a comical way is beautiful, man. [00:00:33] Thank you so much for having me on the show, Danny. [00:00:35] I got to tell you, I had a number of people reach out to me. [00:00:39] I swear to God, you got some of the best fans in the business. [00:00:43] Oh, you tried to. [00:00:43] And cheers. [00:00:44] To the everlasting glory of the infantry. [00:00:46] It took six days for God to create the world, and the seventh created American infantry and said, boys, take care of it. [00:00:50] It's yours till I get back. [00:00:51] Bottoms up. [00:00:52] Cheers. [00:00:55] Mmm. [00:00:56] It smooth the angel's envy, man. [00:00:59] Wow, that's really good. [00:01:00] If angel's envy ever wants to sponsor me, I am definitely down for it. [00:01:06] What is because there were two kinds of angel's envy at the liquor store there was rye, finished rye, which is this one, and then there was the regular angel's envy that was just like a malt, like scotch or not scotch, but it was just bourbon. [00:01:17] I, you know, this the rye, this particular rye is uh. [00:01:23] This particular rye is finished in, I think it was to rum barrels. [00:01:28] So it's kind of like this flavored rye. [00:01:31] And for some reason, I just love rye whiskey. [00:01:34] I just think rye whiskey is the most amazing thing. [00:01:37] And that Angel's Envy, it is the best. [00:01:41] I have some in my office. [00:01:42] I actually have some upstairs. [00:01:44] I have some downstairs in my studio. [00:01:46] I'm never that far from a bottle of Angel's Envy. [00:01:48] I love this stuff. [00:01:50] Yeah, it's amazing, man. [00:01:51] It tastes really good. [00:01:52] It tastes better than that. [00:01:53] What was that other stuff I drink that's over there? [00:01:56] Basil Hayden. [00:01:57] I like basil's. [00:01:58] Basil's is good too. [00:01:59] Yeah. [00:02:00] Basil's is good too. [00:02:01] But I got to tell you, the Angels Envy Rye, it is the premium rye. [00:02:06] Let me get one of those cigars. [00:02:07] Oh, absolutely. [00:02:10] I appreciate it. [00:02:11] Monte Cristo. [00:02:12] Monte Cristo Rye. [00:02:13] Is this your go to? [00:02:15] It is one of them. [00:02:16] Thank you. [00:02:16] So, CAO Brasilia is one of my favorites. [00:02:22] I also like Kristoff. [00:02:25] There's another brand. [00:02:26] It's called Mr. Cigar, it's in Miami. [00:02:30] And, you know, I was, when I was on the Destiny podcast, you know, I had a couple of hours to kill for the show. [00:02:35] And, you know, I went to downtown Miami, found some cigar places. [00:02:39] Oh, yeah. [00:02:40] And my God, that, there's one place called Mr. Cigar, and they sold a special kind of cigar called a Lancero. [00:02:49] Lanceros are usually like 38 ring gauge, very small, very thin, and very long. [00:02:57] And they have a nice cool burn to them. [00:02:59] And only the most. [00:03:01] Expert cigar rollers can make these things because they're so small. [00:03:05] There's not a lot of room for error in these cigars. [00:03:08] And they are so delicious. [00:03:11] And so, yeah, I smoke these cigars from Mr. Cigar. [00:03:14] I absolutely love them. === Five Thousand Subscribers Explode (02:15) === [00:03:18] How are you doing, Sharon? [00:03:18] So there is a button right there. [00:03:20] There you go. [00:03:25] Hit that button. [00:03:25] If that doesn't work, I have a lighter. [00:03:27] I have a TSA compliant. [00:03:28] There you go. [00:03:29] Fire it up. [00:03:40] Good. [00:03:41] Steve, you might have to crack that door and turn that thing on, bro. [00:03:44] I'm about five minutes from getting evicted. [00:03:50] They want to evict me. [00:03:51] I'm famous. [00:03:54] So, how did you go from being in the military to creating all of this entertainment and informational stuff that you're putting on YouTube? [00:04:04] Yeah, that is absolutely insane. [00:04:08] I was a software engineer. [00:04:10] I was working for Accenture. [00:04:12] And, you know, one of the things that I did there was I would interview people, like interview them for work. [00:04:20] Right. [00:04:22] So I interviewed this guy, and this guy, like, I could tell he knew what he was talking about, but he just had trouble communicating what he was saying. [00:04:34] And it was one of those things where it was a panel interview. [00:04:38] And, you know, if, if, Two guys don't like him, one guy does. [00:04:42] Guess what? [00:04:42] That guy isn't getting hired. [00:04:44] And like, I couldn't go to bat for him, couldn't convince these guys, like, hey, we need this guy around. [00:04:50] So I started making YouTube videos to help socially awkward programmers be able to answer interview questions about software programming. [00:04:59] I did that for about a year. [00:05:00] I think I had about 5,000 subscribers. [00:05:02] I was doing okay. [00:05:05] And then the war in Ukraine happens. [00:05:08] I make two videos, I make one video about cybersecurity and why we haven't seen any cyber attacks in Ukraine. [00:05:14] I make a second video on why Russian tank turrets pop off of their hulls. [00:05:20] And all of a sudden, I go from 50,000 subscribers to over 100,000. [00:05:26] This all happened since the Ukraine war kicked off. [00:05:28] Since Ukraine. [00:05:29] Wow, man. [00:05:30] And I think a lot of it is that. === Loitering Munitions in Ukraine (05:20) === [00:05:33] That's impressive. [00:05:34] There's just nobody that can explain what's going on at the level that a lot of people can understand. [00:05:42] You know, my old boss, Major Adam. [00:05:45] Craft. [00:05:46] I have him on my YouTube channel every once in a while. [00:05:49] Major Craft. [00:05:50] He called me Neil deGrasse Tyson for open source intelligence. [00:05:54] And, you know, whenever there's a rocket launch or a new satellite, they bring out Neil deGrasse Tyson onto the news, right? [00:06:01] Neil deGrasse Tyson goes, Well, this rocket is able to allow us to see beyond the stars, you know? [00:06:07] And now we feel like we know we're taught, oh, like, yeah, we can go to a party and we can say, Yeah, this new satellite, we can see beyond the stars now, right? [00:06:15] So, I think what's kind of neat about Ryan Macbeth is that when there's a new weapon system being used in Ukraine, or hey, why is Israel doing this thing? [00:06:24] You bring out Ryan Macbeth, and Ryan Macbeth goes, well, this new weapon is being used because of this, or Israel is doing this because of this. [00:06:32] And there's really no one who can explain that at a low level that people can understand. [00:06:40] So when you were in the army, yeah, army side, yeah, army infantry, infantry. [00:06:46] And where were you, and what specifically were you doing? [00:06:49] So, I was a heavy weapons infantryman. [00:06:52] I served in Germany. [00:06:53] I was up at Fort Drum, Fort Bliss. [00:06:55] I was in Iraq. [00:06:56] I was in Egypt and mainly did anti tank heavy weapons, although I was also in the weapon squad or weapon squad leader. [00:07:05] So, you carry. [00:07:06] So, one funny thing when I first joined, it was in the 90s, early 90s. [00:07:11] And they had this MOS or a job, it was called Military Occupational Specialty, MOS. [00:07:18] They had this MOS called 11 Hotel, which is anti tank. [00:07:21] And so I really liked the idea of that. [00:07:24] When I was a kid, I read this book called Team Yankee by Harold Quayle. [00:07:29] And it was about this group of tankers and some infantrymen in Germany during World War III. [00:07:35] And the tanks, that was kind of interesting. [00:07:38] But you know, I was really into the ITVs, the improved tow vehicle. [00:07:43] I just loved this idea. [00:07:45] There was this, think of a cracker box. [00:07:47] And on top of that cracker box, you put a hammerhead turret. [00:07:51] And inside that little hammerhead turret that can raise and lower, you have two anti tank missiles. [00:07:56] So you could sit behind a hill, raise that hammerhead turret up. [00:08:00] There's Ivan, fire at Ivan, lower that hammerhead turret, get the heck out of there. [00:08:04] Wow. [00:08:05] For some reason, that just spoke to me. [00:08:07] I'm like, I want to do that job. [00:08:09] I want to do that job. [00:08:11] And I got, and like literally as soon as I join, they say, okay, well, you're poof, you're 11 Bravo straight leg infantry, but he got anti tank training. [00:08:19] So guess who's carrying the anti tank weapon? [00:08:23] Oh, no. [00:08:24] I mean, it's okay because that was kind of my jam. [00:08:28] So you end up in the weapons squad, or at the time, you might have a weapons platoon, and then a lot of that changes. [00:08:34] The army is constantly changing. [00:08:35] In fact, they're supposedly taking away the weapons company. [00:08:39] They used to have a weapons company, and then that was taken away, and then it was added again. [00:08:44] And now they're going to take that away and turn it into a weapons platoon that is at the headquarters in the battalion. [00:08:54] And that way, you know, I guess the thought is that basically anything in a vehicle that moves, let me back up for a second. [00:09:01] Infantry battalion, all right. [00:09:02] It's probably one of the lowest maneuver units in the army, a battalion. [00:09:08] So it's about 500 dudes, men and women. [00:09:11] And normally in a battalion, you have three line companies, meaning trigger pullers, three companies of infantry, then one company of heavy weapons, and then you have another company of support. [00:09:24] So that support company, their beans and bullets, cooks, fuel, that kind of stuff, right? [00:09:30] So they're planning to take that weapons company away and maybe turn it into a weapons platoon that is at the battalion level. [00:09:41] And the rationale is that for the most part, Yeah, light infantry brigade combat teams just don't have the logistical lift to get fuel and ammunition to those Delta companies, to those heavy weapons companies. [00:09:57] Right, right. [00:09:58] So it's just better to kind of keep it out of the battalion and then the battalion can send it to kind of send those soldiers where they're needed. [00:10:04] And also, with the advent of loitering munitions, I mean, the days of having a weapons company might be over. [00:10:12] What's a loitering ammunition? [00:10:13] A loitering munition. [00:10:15] So a loitering munition. [00:10:17] Is a type of rocket or even a propeller driven drone that you would fire. [00:10:23] And that drone might be able to look for targets by itself or with a human in the loop. [00:10:28] A human is controlling that drone. [00:10:30] So that munition can loiter up in the air for a certain number of hours, could be up to 10 hours or so. [00:10:36] Really? [00:10:36] Yeah. [00:10:36] So this. [00:10:37] So like maintain a holding pattern until they find a target. [00:10:39] Until they find a target. [00:10:41] And it can even be automated. [00:10:42] You could say, okay, here's all these pictures of enemy tanks. [00:10:46] Go after this specific type of enemy tank. [00:10:50] And that thing, it might go back and say, Hey, I think I found something. === Russian Lancet Drone Tactics (02:12) === [00:10:53] You want me to go after it? [00:10:55] All right. [00:10:55] The human has to say yes or no. [00:10:57] And the drone goes after the vehicle. [00:11:01] That's fascinating. [00:11:02] So, in a world like we're seeing in Ukraine, where you have loitering munitions like the Russian Lancet that can be launched and just kind of stay up there until it can find a target, having Humvees full of heavy weapons just might be a bunch of targets. [00:11:19] Might make more sense to get guys out of these heavily armored Humvees and either on foot or into basically what are ATVs, all terrain vehicles, the Army's next generation squad weapon, or next generation, how was it called? [00:11:35] The squad. [00:11:37] Darn it, I can't remember the darn name. [00:11:39] It's like a go kart. [00:11:41] Oh, really? [00:11:41] Yeah, the improved squad vehicle, I believe that's what it's called. [00:11:44] This is the Lancet? [00:11:45] Yeah, that's the Lancet. [00:11:46] Have you ever been to Ukraine? [00:11:48] I have not. [00:11:49] I have not. [00:11:51] That's a wild looking. [00:11:53] It is. [00:11:53] And, you know, I got to tell you, when the war first started, Russia didn't know what the heck they were doing. [00:12:00] They had no clue. [00:12:02] And then, you know, it took about a year and a half, but Russia slowly started to figure out what they were doing. [00:12:11] And that really is a problem because for the longest time, Ukraine was relying on the fact that Russians were stupid. [00:12:21] And now the ones who've survived have learned and they're changing their tactics. [00:12:27] Why do you think that is? [00:12:28] In the beginning of the conflict, it seemed like Russia couldn't maintain a foothold. [00:12:34] And it seems like, or I know, in fact, Ukraine did have a lot of strategic victories. [00:12:40] In fact, I believe in like November of like eight months after the war kicked off, right? [00:12:47] I think one of the big US generals came out and said, You know, we just had a really big strategic victory over Russia. [00:12:56] We have them on their heels, and now would be the best time to pursue peace talks. [00:13:02] And I think the White House told him to F off. [00:13:05] Yeah. === Improvised Tourniquets on the Road (03:37) === [00:13:06] I actually don't know anything about that. [00:13:08] When it comes to the political side of conflict, talk to Peter Zion. [00:13:12] He knows what? [00:13:13] I'm serious. [00:13:14] There is a reason why Peter exists, and there's a reason why Ryan Macbeth exists. [00:13:19] And so you don't look at the more, you don't really pay much attention to the politics of it. [00:13:26] You more look at like the strategic. [00:13:27] Strategy, military strategy, and weapons? [00:13:29] Mainly the military strategy and weapons. [00:13:31] There's plenty of people who are talking politics, and most of them are wrong. [00:13:34] But at least I can say, well, this is a Lancet. [00:13:37] It can stay up for 10 hours. [00:13:39] I'm good at that. [00:13:40] Yes. [00:13:41] That's actually, and that's not necessarily an easy thing to get right either. [00:13:45] But I have this capability of holding a lot of random stuff. [00:13:52] But that's all I do. [00:13:54] I have no life, I have no hobbies. [00:13:58] Like, this is literally. [00:13:59] I mean, I run. [00:13:59] I know it doesn't look it, but I actually do run. [00:14:03] You ride bikes too, don't you? [00:14:04] I do triathlon. [00:14:05] I haven't done triathlon in a little while. [00:14:08] I keep getting hurt. [00:14:09] Yeah, I heard your story about your arm. [00:14:11] My arm, yeah. [00:14:12] My arm was cut off. [00:14:13] My arm was cut off. [00:14:14] Yeah, that wasn't. [00:14:16] I get that. [00:14:16] Oh, you were in the army. [00:14:17] You were in Iraq when I had a bike ride. [00:14:18] You lost your arm. [00:14:20] No, I was on a bike ride and just I hit a pole. [00:14:25] I was going about 18 miles an hour. [00:14:27] So, I mean, it wasn't totally off. [00:14:28] I was still hanging off by noodles. [00:14:30] Oh my God. [00:14:31] I'm not a doctor. [00:14:32] I can't identify that. [00:14:34] Yeah. [00:14:34] Where were you? [00:14:35] Just by your house? [00:14:36] No, I was in Odington, Maryland. [00:14:39] I was far out on this rail trail, this back trail, back path, and couldn't get a cell phone signal. [00:14:47] And I later found out even if you don't have any bars, you can still call 911. [00:14:51] Didn't know that at the time. [00:14:52] I know that now. [00:14:53] But even when I did call, yeah, I crashed. [00:14:56] Severed your arm. [00:14:57] And then how did you not bleed out in like five minutes? [00:15:01] I have a bite kit. [00:15:02] And so, my bike kit, I had a. [00:15:04] So, I'm sure you heard the story of now you're up the wheel to live. [00:15:09] Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. [00:15:10] That was during your training. [00:15:11] Yeah, my, my, this drill star, drill star in Rick's. [00:15:14] And I swear, like this guy, like I, when I became an instructor, I thought, man, I want to get like an operation to change my vocal cords so I could talk like this. [00:15:23] Okay, Pabbits, today we're going to play a little game I like to call Kale the Pabbit. [00:15:30] So I remember I crashed and I was thinking, like, you know, my old drill sword, and he's never give up the wheel to live. [00:15:39] And I had a bike jacket, put that around my arm, I had a wrench. [00:15:43] I figured I got 15 seconds until you pass out. [00:15:47] Until I pass out. [00:15:49] Got the bike jacket on, kind of made a tourniquet out of the bike wrench and the jacket. [00:15:54] They don't tell you how much it hurts. [00:15:57] The tourniquet. [00:15:58] The tourniquet. [00:15:59] Yeah, that's not something they cover in the training. [00:16:01] It couldn't hurt worse than the arm dangling. [00:16:03] I wasn't really feeling that. [00:16:05] Really? [00:16:06] Shock on. [00:16:07] The pain came. [00:16:08] Oh, believe me, it came. [00:16:09] Yeah. [00:16:09] But then now I'm like lying in the road and I'm going, like, all right, well, I got a choice. [00:16:14] I either pick up my arm and start walking, like maybe a cyclist or a A runner will come by and find me, or maybe not. [00:16:25] I mean, I'll die right here. [00:16:27] Oh, I did not survive Rude Irish to come back and die in a park in Odin. [00:16:34] So the bone was completely snapped off. [00:16:36] Yeah, it was gone. [00:16:38] Yeah, sticking out. [00:16:39] Like, if you get to see an x ray, I look like the Terminator. [00:16:43] It's all metal. === Pain of a Dangling Arm (03:42) === [00:16:44] Do you have a little bow? [00:16:45] I have my phone, but I can turn that off for the show. [00:16:48] Oh, my God. [00:16:49] Turn that off for the show. [00:16:51] Absolutely. [00:16:51] That's amazing. [00:16:52] They were able to. [00:16:53] Did they tell you like the percentage you had to keep the arm versus amputate it? [00:16:58] No, they weren't going to amputate it. [00:16:59] They never even thought about that. [00:17:01] No, it was the doctor who told me. [00:17:03] No, the only problem is that I have most of my function back, but I can't rotate it all the way. [00:17:10] Yeah. [00:17:11] So I can't hold a rifle anymore. [00:17:12] Oh, no. [00:17:14] You'll survive. [00:17:15] I'll be okay. [00:17:15] Yeah. [00:17:15] Like I can get one of those mag modified grips or something. [00:17:20] You get one of the hand cannons, you know? [00:17:22] You know, I don't. [00:17:24] I enjoy shooting. [00:17:25] I carry a gun. [00:17:27] But I'm not. [00:17:29] I'm like, I'm not. [00:17:30] I have too much stuff going on. [00:17:31] I don't have time to like go to the range. [00:17:34] Geek out over guns. [00:17:36] I have a couple of pistols. [00:17:37] I have a.22 rifle. [00:17:39] And like, that's all. [00:17:40] And like, maybe once every six months, I go to the range. [00:17:43] Someone, one of my fans tried to get me into three gun matches. [00:17:47] What's a three gun match? [00:17:48] So a three gun is where you shoot your pistol, a rifle, and a shotgun. [00:17:52] Like, I guess at different stations. [00:17:53] Like, John Wick. [00:17:54] You know, John Wick II, and he's in the underground, you know, transitioning from each. [00:18:01] Do you go through like an obstacle course and like shoot targets? [00:18:03] You can. [00:18:04] Yeah, yeah. [00:18:05] So you could do, there are these three gun matches. [00:18:07] And, you know, I thought about it, but I'm like, you know, for what's crazy is to do what I do, and I'm not even kidding about this, I work between 13 and 16 hours a day. [00:18:18] I saw one of your videos the other day. [00:18:20] I think it was the one about Annie's nuclear war book. [00:18:23] You were sitting in the airport making a video. [00:18:25] People are walking behind you, like, what the fuck? [00:18:28] Is this guy doing? [00:18:30] Yeah, I, you know, I'm locked in, man. [00:18:32] I'm always working, like in, and, uh, in fact, that's, that's one of the reasons I started doing videos in my bathrobe. [00:18:40] Well, there's two reasons for that. [00:18:41] The first was that at the time I was still working for Accenture. [00:18:43] So I kind of got famous for being that guy in his bathrobe. [00:18:46] Right. [00:18:46] And I'm usually smoking. [00:18:48] Yeah. [00:18:49] And, um, you know, the, I started, I did that at first because I was working for Accenture. [00:18:55] And usually, like, the only time I could get a video out was early in the morning. [00:18:59] Hmm. [00:18:59] Because I had to do my video and I had to work out and I had to go into work. [00:19:04] But when, you know, when the other thing is that if I look like a crazy person or I'm unshaved, I'm wearing a bathrobe, my hair is all messed up, I'm smoking, if I look like a crazy person, like a degenerate, but I'm giving good information, what can the Russians say about me? [00:19:27] Don't listen to him. [00:19:28] He's crazy. [00:19:29] Yeah. [00:19:31] Yeah. [00:19:32] What can they say? [00:19:34] Look at this loser who's in the bathroom drinking whiskey. [00:19:38] Yeah. [00:19:39] Yeah, look at him. [00:19:40] So, like, there's really nothing they can do. [00:19:43] And so, some of that's a character, right? [00:19:46] Some of that's a character that I play, but I would say that character is probably about 80% me. [00:19:53] It really is. [00:19:54] It's hilarious, man. [00:19:56] I love it. [00:19:56] I'm a huge fan. [00:19:57] I'm a huge fan. [00:19:59] I love that when you do the bits where you're talking to yourself and like different characters. [00:20:03] Yeah. [00:20:04] I think it was one you had where you. [00:20:05] You had, you were like working out and you're like, hey, brain, I need an idea for a video. [00:20:10] And then had yourself in the robe with the cigarette. [00:20:15] I started doing, I think I started doing that after, there was one of my videos where it was just like, I was so serious and like, I was just so done. === Tank Autoloaders Exploding Inside (05:55) === [00:20:26] Yeah. [00:20:27] Right. [00:20:27] I hate when people take themselves too seriously, man. [00:20:30] And I really, it's really refreshing seeing, like, honestly, it really is refreshing seeing the way that you, Put out your content and the way it's educating, and you're having a great fucking time. [00:20:40] You never know what you're going to get. [00:20:41] You know, when you click on Ryan McBeth, he could be walking through an airport talking about, you know, whatever, or it could be a funny video. [00:20:48] Yes. [00:20:48] Or it could be something that goes, Oh, wow, next time I'm at a party, I'm going to bring that up. [00:20:53] You know, like, hey, do you know that Russian tank turrets pop off their hulls because of the ammunition that's in the center carousel? [00:20:59] When that's hit, they all explode directly up. [00:21:02] You know, like, I guess I'm the one stop shop, right? [00:21:06] So that was the video that originally popped you off with the Russian thing exploding. [00:21:10] Can you explain for the people that don't know or maybe haven't seen that yet exactly what that was about? [00:21:14] So, if anybody's watching, I'm going to use this can of liquid death. [00:21:18] Actually, you're sponsored by White Rabbit, baby. [00:21:21] White Rabbit. [00:21:22] So, you see this can of White Rabbit? [00:21:25] So, imagine for those of you who are listening, imagine a can of White Rabbit, just a can of soda or a can of energy drink. [00:21:35] Now, on top of that can of White Rabbit, imagine a turret. [00:21:39] All right. [00:21:40] Now, That turret is moving around the center ring of that can. [00:21:45] Now, in a lot of Russian tanks, the ammunition is stored in a carousel around the can lid. [00:21:54] So they do that because a lot of Russian tanks have autoloaders. [00:21:57] Now, Steven, maybe you can find some diagrams on the internet of this. [00:22:00] Bit of history about this. [00:22:02] The Russians always thought they were going to fight in a nuclear, biological, and chemical environment. [00:22:08] So that means. [00:22:09] Always. [00:22:09] Since like the Cold War was a Cold War. [00:22:10] Since the Cold War. [00:22:11] Okay. [00:22:11] They assumed that they would always be fighting in a nuclear, biological, and chemical environment. [00:22:16] So, when they decided to build some of these new tanks, the T 62, T 64, T 72, T 80, these tanks were built with an auto loader instead of a human loader. [00:22:31] And there's two reasons why. [00:22:34] The first is that if you leave out a human loader, then you can make the tank smaller. [00:22:39] Okay. [00:22:40] Because you don't have a person standing up loading shells into the gun, right? [00:22:46] And the second reason is that if you're fighting a nuclear environment, every time the loader opens that breach door, they're going to get the shine from the radiation coming in. [00:22:55] So they're going to get juiced up, or at least their right arm is going to get juiced up. [00:22:59] Right. [00:23:00] So it's exposed from the tank. [00:23:02] It's exposed from opening that tank barrel, and there's radioactivity. [00:23:05] I think that's a good one. [00:23:06] Yeah. [00:23:07] The T90 auto loaders. [00:23:08] That's nope, not that one. [00:23:09] There was an orange one. [00:23:11] Yeah. [00:23:12] 4K 3D animation. [00:23:13] Yeah. [00:23:13] Some of those. [00:23:14] Nope. [00:23:14] Wow. [00:23:17] The orange. [00:23:18] Yeah. [00:23:18] There you go. [00:23:19] Yeah. [00:23:22] So this carousel loader, this particular carousel loader is fully automated. [00:23:32] The shell gets pushed in, and then the actual charge gets pushed in after it. [00:23:38] So they split it up into two sections. [00:23:41] There's the loading tray coming up. [00:23:43] And then the next thing you're going to see is the shell is going to get pushed into the breach. [00:23:50] And this is all happening inside the tank. [00:23:51] This is all happening inside the tank. [00:23:53] It's fully automated. [00:23:55] It's taking a little while. [00:23:56] Yeah. [00:23:58] Oh, so this guy's manually putting the shell in for some reason, but I don't know why it goes in. [00:24:02] Russia. [00:24:03] And then the, so the baby, all right, and now they're manually putting the propellant bag in. [00:24:07] So it's a joke. [00:24:08] It is. [00:24:08] Oh, yeah. [00:24:09] Well, that is the. [00:24:11] Oh, dude. [00:24:11] So in this case, the autoloader must be broken. [00:24:14] But typically, that stuff comes up from the bottom of the tank. [00:24:18] Okay. [00:24:19] And it's in this carousel that surrounds the entire vehicle. [00:24:24] And so when that vehicle gets hit, the tank pops off. [00:24:26] Now, the tank, the top of the turret explodes into the air, usually. [00:24:31] Well, sometimes. [00:24:32] And this was happening in Ukraine? [00:24:34] Constantly. [00:24:35] Constantly. [00:24:35] Because the Russians had their tanks built like this. [00:24:38] But I mean, look, every tank is a trade off, right? [00:24:42] So the Russians. [00:24:44] Oh, this is much better. [00:24:45] Yeah, that's the. [00:24:46] They use an autoloader. [00:24:48] Americans use a 19 year old with a strong arm. [00:24:51] So what does that mean? [00:24:52] Well, it means there's another person you have to crew the tank. [00:24:55] It means there's another person you have to feed. [00:24:57] Yeah. [00:24:58] It means that you can have fewer tanks, right? [00:25:02] Like, if you think about it, for every three tanks, it Since there's three crew in every tank, a driver, a gunner, and a tank commander, there's three crew in every Russian tank, and there's four crew in every American tank, the Russians can have an extra tank for the same amount of crew that the Americans have. [00:25:20] And that has its own power right there, right? [00:25:24] Right. [00:25:25] So, you know, you're dealing with. [00:25:27] And I'm sure them being smaller is better, right? [00:25:29] They weigh less. [00:25:30] I'm sure they're a little bit harder to hit. [00:25:34] Maybe. [00:25:35] If it's a main gun round, it's going to be a little bit. [00:25:38] So the actual size of something like the T 72, which is. [00:25:41] Probably Russia's, it's not the most widely produced tank, probably the most used tank in Russia. [00:25:49] If you take something like the T 72, it's about two thirds the size of the US Abrams. [00:25:55] So that was a lot harder to hit back in the days when it was gun on gun. [00:25:59] Well, nowadays we have kamikaze missiles. [00:26:03] We have weapons like the Javelin, which take a look at the heat source that you've identified and it locks it into its little computer brain and then it goes after that tank. [00:26:11] It doesn't care how small you are. [00:26:14] Right. [00:26:15] So Nowadays, that isn't as big of an advantage as it was. === Kamikaze Missiles and Logistics (07:01) === [00:26:22] And that's a huge issue for Russia. [00:26:24] What other sort of weapon technicality failures has Russia had during this war? [00:26:34] Or what other, like, what's another pain point for them, I guess? [00:26:38] Logistics was a huge pain point. [00:26:40] Yeah. [00:26:40] Logistics. [00:26:42] You know, when you first started the conversation, you asked me, like, why does Russia do this or why were they so. [00:26:48] Bad at what they did. [00:26:49] It's because it always worked before. [00:26:51] Yeah. [00:26:51] You know, Russia has always been able to kind of blunder their way into victory, whether they trained their troops that well or not, just because they can just keep throwing bodies at it and artillery until the problem solves itself. [00:27:06] But like South Ossetia, which is a war with Georgia, I mean, they blundered their way around South Ossetia for quite a few weeks and still managed to win. [00:27:16] Chechnya, the Battle of Grozny, that was an absolute catastrophe, but Russia came back. [00:27:21] And they just leveled every single building as on their way in. [00:27:26] So it always seemed to work before. [00:27:29] Now, logistics in this particular war have been absolutely horrible. [00:27:34] Russia just can't seem to get the supplies they need to the front lines. [00:27:41] And another big issue is they don't use truck trailers. [00:27:46] Truck trailers. [00:27:47] Truck trailers. [00:27:48] Oh, I could talk about truck trailers all day. [00:27:49] This episode of the podcast is brought to you by Mudwater. [00:27:53] Mudwater is a coffee alternative containing four adaptogenic mushrooms. [00:27:57] With only a fraction of the caffeine as a cup of coffee, you get energy without the jitters or the crash of coffee. [00:28:02] And each ingredient was added for a purpose cacao and chai for a hint of caffeine and hot chocolate like flavor, lion's mane to support focus, cordyceps to help support physical performance, and both chaga and reishi to support your immune system. [00:28:16] What I really love about Mudwater is that it tastes great, and they took their time to find all the perfect ingredients to develop a product that helps you feel better every single day. [00:28:25] Mudwater donates monthly to psychedelic research and treatments as they believe the country is in a mental health epidemic and see psychedelics as useful tools for individuals with depression, PTSD, anxiety, and other mental health experiences. [00:28:38] So get 15% off and a free frother by using my link below, mudwater.com forward slash Danny, and use the code Danny at checkout to get 15% off. [00:28:47] That's M U D W T R.com forward slash Danny, and use the promo code Danny at checkout to get 15% off. [00:28:54] It's linked below. [00:28:55] Now back to the show. [00:28:56] What kind of truck trailers are we talking about? [00:28:58] So, for their military, in a truck trail, like the kind of trailer that might go on, like a flatbed trailer or an additional trailer that can go on a military truck. [00:29:09] So, if you look at an American truck like an LMTV, a light medium tactical vehicle, or FMTV, the family medium tactical vehicle, family medium tactical vehicles, if you put a trailer on a truck, you double the carrying capacity of the truck and you only suffer an 8 to 10% fuel. [00:29:30] Cost. [00:29:31] Right. [00:29:31] Right. [00:29:33] Well, in Russia, you, in Russia, you, it takes too long to train people how to back up a truck trailer because backing up a trailer is a skill. [00:29:45] Yes. [00:29:45] That is a skill and it takes practice. [00:29:47] Yep. [00:29:48] Well, they don't have time. [00:29:48] They do a lot here in Florida with boats. [00:29:50] They don't have, yeah, yeah, you would imagine, right? [00:29:52] So they don't have time to teach people that skill. [00:29:54] So they just don't use trailers. [00:29:57] So essentially, whenever you see a truck, And it's not carrying a trailer, that's half of that truck movement that's just been wasted. [00:30:07] Right. [00:30:07] So that's another big problem is that Russia just doesn't use truck trailers because they don't have the trained people to operate them. [00:30:13] Right. [00:30:14] Right. [00:30:15] So that's the second thing that they're doing wrong. [00:30:18] But they're at the point now where they're doing more things right than wrong. [00:30:23] And that's a very dangerous situation. [00:30:24] Oh, yeah. [00:30:25] Well, they figure out how to do on call artillery. [00:30:28] That was something they did not have at the beginning of the war using like their Orlon 10 drones, spotter drones. [00:30:33] To call in artillery and loitering munitions. [00:30:35] So they'll take like an Orlon 10 and they'll launch that and they'll loiter above the battlefield and they'll go, okay, there's a Ukrainian position there. [00:30:46] Send up three loitering munitions, right? [00:30:47] So they send up three lancets. [00:30:49] Like, all right, yeah, we got one tank there, one tank there, one tank. [00:30:53] Okay, send all these three toward these targets right here. [00:30:56] It's at the point right now in Ukraine where I don't think they can. [00:31:03] Russia and Ukraine, both Russia and Ukraine, they can't put anything greater than a company in one place. [00:31:12] And a company is about 110 soldiers or maybe 30 some vehicles. [00:31:20] It depends on the organization. [00:31:22] But. [00:31:24] They can't really mass any force. [00:31:26] Neither side can mass force because we have such good ISR, intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance. [00:31:30] We have such good ISR that whenever you build up people for an attack, the other side can see it and they can send loitering munitions or drones to go take out those targets, or artillery, or rockets like HIMARS. [00:31:46] So I would find it very difficult. [00:31:51] I think it'd be very difficult for Russia or Ukraine to break through. [00:31:55] Their trenches, unless there's a major game changing weapon, because they just don't have, you just can't mass any forces because the enemy can see it and they can send loitering munitions and rockets right toward that area. [00:32:07] And we obviously, we've been spending billions of dollars sending of weapons we've been sending to Ukraine, but we've been, from what I understand, is we've just been sending sort of like our reserves, right? [00:32:17] We haven't been sending them the new stuff, we send all the old stuff. [00:32:19] Sort of. [00:32:20] I mean, you're close with that. [00:32:23] In most cases, yes. [00:32:25] You know, missiles expire. [00:32:27] That's something a lot of people don't understand. [00:32:28] Right. [00:32:29] That when we send weapons to Ukraine, we're not sending the new stuff. [00:32:36] Our stuff expires and we have to send it back to Raytheon and they have to open it up in an all nitrogen. [00:32:41] So we have two choices when a missile is about to expire. [00:32:44] We can shoot it, which is great if we have days on the training calendar to do that, or we can send it back to Raytheon. [00:32:51] Well, now we have a third option. [00:32:53] Third option is send it to Ukraine, let Ukraine shoot it at the Russians. [00:32:58] And we get, I'm serious. [00:32:59] We. [00:33:00] Everybody wins except the Russians. [00:33:02] We get to get rid of these missiles, which are going to cost money to remove or to remove from the inventory, to demill, we call it. [00:33:12] We're going to get telemetry data, like data on how these weapon systems perform. [00:33:17] So that information comes right back to us. [00:33:20] And then American jobs are used to create these new missiles. === Sending Expired Missiles to Ukraine (14:26) === [00:33:23] Yes, exactly. [00:33:24] So, like, everybody wins. [00:33:26] We have. [00:33:27] And that, which improves our GDP and everybody, you know. [00:33:31] And everybody wins. [00:33:31] And everybody wins. [00:33:32] And the military industrial complex wins. [00:33:33] So I don't believe in the military industrial complex, but. [00:33:38] What do you mean you don't believe in it? [00:33:43] All right. [00:33:44] So do you know how much money Lockheed Martin made in 2023? [00:33:51] I have no clue. [00:33:52] What is the name of your fact checker? [00:33:55] Steve. [00:33:55] Steve. [00:33:56] I don't know if Steve. [00:33:56] With a Ph. [00:33:57] Steve with a Ph. [00:33:58] So Steve with a Ph can probably look this up real quick. [00:34:01] But I'm going to do this from memory. [00:34:03] So Lockheed Martin made. [00:34:05] $8.7 billion last year. [00:34:08] Am I right? [00:34:08] That's it. [00:34:09] I thought it would be more. [00:34:10] Lockheed Martin, I think it was $8.7 billion for their total profit, their earnings. [00:34:16] Click. [00:34:17] Now. [00:34:18] You can just Google. [00:34:18] You don't have to go to images. [00:34:19] I'm sure it's just right on Google. [00:34:21] Oh, no, you just had it. [00:34:23] It's okay. [00:34:24] There you go. [00:34:25] $67.6 billion in 2023 net sales compared to $66. [00:34:31] Net earnings. [00:34:32] Net earnings were $6.9 billion. [00:34:35] So that's what you got to concentrate on. [00:34:37] Net earnings. [00:34:38] What's the difference between earnings and sales? [00:34:40] Well, I mean, the earnings are what you're bringing in after your sales. [00:34:43] So, net earnings, I guess that's saying that's profit? [00:34:46] That's your profit. [00:34:47] So, $6.9 billion in profit. [00:34:48] I was wrong. [00:34:48] So I think it was 8.7, 6.9 billion. [00:34:52] Now, take a wild guess what Apple brought in. [00:34:56] A wild guess what Apple brought in. [00:34:58] 97 billion. [00:34:59] I want to say it's 97 billion in profit. [00:35:02] So 2003, Apple revenue should be around 97 billion. [00:35:07] Sipples. [00:35:08] It's okay. [00:35:09] So, yeah, Apple. [00:35:11] 383 billion. [00:35:14] 97 and negative. [00:35:15] 97 billion. [00:35:16] Right, right. [00:35:17] So now, I want you to imagine that you're a. [00:35:22] You're a congressman, and there's two guys sitting in your lobby, okay? [00:35:29] And one guy is from Apple. [00:35:32] They both got briefcases full of money. [00:35:34] One guy's from Apple, one guy's from Lockheed Martin. [00:35:37] Who are you asking into your office first? [00:35:39] Apple. [00:35:40] Yeah. [00:35:41] Yeah, there's no military industrial complex. [00:35:45] I bet if you look up Pfizer, I don't know what the numbers are for Pfizer or for pharmaceutical companies. [00:35:51] Yeah, but what about who's the. [00:35:55] Mike Turner, I believe, the guy who is the Ohio congressman. [00:36:04] And he was the guy, there was all these, all these, I don't know if you heard about the recent like UAP hearings that were happening and they were trying to disclose. [00:36:13] There was a bill and in there there was like this disclosure bill or whatever where I think it was Battelle Memorial Institute and Wright Patterson Air Force Base and a bunch of the, You know, aerospace corporations that were based in Ohio were supposed to divulge all this secret information and divulge all their classified documents. [00:36:36] And this guy was the only guy who was stopping that bill from going through. [00:36:41] And he was the representative of that district where those companies were based. [00:36:46] And, you know, obviously, there was like those companies were lobbying for it. [00:36:50] And, I mean, you can't deny that there's like a ton of influence with these military contractors in the United States. [00:36:57] So, one thing that they do bring to the table is they do bring high tech jobs. [00:37:01] I think it's about 2 million Americans work in aerospace, roughly. [00:37:06] Roughly about 2 million. [00:37:07] But how many realtors are there? [00:37:13] How many nurses are there? [00:37:14] How many teachers are there? [00:37:15] Right. [00:37:17] So, look, maybe back in the 50s or so, I think Eisenhower gave his military industrial complex speech. [00:37:24] I think it was in 1961 where he gave that speech, where he warned about the military industrial complex. [00:37:30] Now, maybe back then when you had multiple, multiple defense contractors, now I think you basically have five. [00:37:38] Okay. [00:37:38] Well, there's one Apple. [00:37:40] Can you look up total revenue for what are the big five? [00:37:47] It would be Lockheed, Boeing, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman, Northrop Grumman, McDonnell Douglas. [00:37:56] What is it? [00:37:56] Is it like a name? [00:37:57] Big five? [00:37:59] Top five defense contractors, you could probably say. [00:38:01] Top five defense contractors. [00:38:05] Revenue for 2023. [00:38:07] So Lockheed Martin was 63. [00:38:10] Now we're looking at, I'm sure this is like gross, right? [00:38:12] Revenue. [00:38:13] Gross revenue, 63 million. [00:38:15] RTX was 39 billion. [00:38:18] Northrop Grumman was 32 billion. [00:38:22] Show more rows. [00:38:24] And if you also look at our budget, so I believe our budget is roughly. [00:38:33] Oh, God. [00:38:33] Go on. [00:38:34] You're going too fast. [00:38:35] There you go. [00:38:37] 30 billion for Boeing, General Dynamics, 30 billion. [00:38:41] So if you add these up, they're going to be. [00:38:43] I mean, we spread them out. [00:38:44] We don't just do one contractor. [00:38:46] It depends on what you're buying. [00:38:48] Find me a radio that isn't from L3 Harris. [00:38:52] They manufacture essentially all the radios. [00:38:54] Right, right, right. [00:38:55] And what about those new nuclear submarines that they're doing? [00:39:01] They're the Columbia class. [00:39:02] Columbia class? [00:39:03] Yeah, Google that. [00:39:04] The new Columbia class nuclear submarines price. [00:39:08] And who is producing those? [00:39:14] $9 billion per unit. [00:39:16] Planned Columbia class submarine is drawn in 2019 by Naval Sea Systems Command. [00:39:22] Cost is $109.8 billion for 12 boats projected in 2021 and $9.15 billion per unit. [00:39:33] And they're building them now. [00:39:35] They're also going to last for about 30, 40 years. [00:39:38] So, yeah, so they're replaced the Ohio class nuclear submarines. [00:39:42] Yeah. [00:39:44] But that, I mean, that's. [00:39:46] Crazy money, and why do we need more of these nuclear submarines? [00:39:50] Ah, I'll tell you why. [00:39:52] Because for every nuclear submarine you see, there's two you don't see, right? [00:39:59] Because for every nuclear submarine that's out at sea, one is going through training and one is going through refit at depot. [00:40:10] So you don't need one nuclear submarine, you need three, right? [00:40:14] If there's an accident or something like that, then you need to shuffle things around, right? [00:40:19] So, whenever you see a nuclear submarine, you always have to think in threes. [00:40:22] Really, that's the case for almost any piece of military equipment, at least any ship. [00:40:27] We have, I think we have 11 aircraft carriers right now, and three are on patrol. [00:40:34] There's the Eisenhower in the Gerald R. Ford in the Mediterranean, I believe. [00:40:41] There's the Eisenhower in the Red Sea, and the Ronald Reagan is in Japan right now. [00:40:49] Yeah. [00:40:49] Wow. [00:40:50] I believe. [00:40:50] Yeah. [00:40:51] And there's a couple of amphibious landing ships that are also around. [00:40:55] Yeah. [00:40:56] It's interesting to me how, you know, in the media, if you just pay attention to the headlines, the daily headlines of the people that are the most outspoken against these wars, right? [00:41:06] Like the Russia Ukraine war, or even if it's funding the Israel Hamas war, they're not talking about like those submarines that we're spending $10 billion a piece on. [00:41:19] Yeah. [00:41:19] How many are we buying? [00:41:22] I don't know how many Columbia class, I don't know how many of the boomers, the Ohio class boomers we have, but it's probably around 20. [00:41:32] I think maybe we have 20. [00:41:34] You think we only have 20? [00:41:35] I think it's around that number, probably 20. [00:41:38] How many Ohio class nuclear subs does the U.S. have? [00:41:43] I saw this in Annie's new book, that nuclear war book. [00:41:46] She has this incredible map. [00:41:49] I think I sent it to you before, Stephen. [00:41:50] We've talked about it on the podcast a few times. [00:41:53] It's a map. [00:41:54] 18. [00:41:54] 18 Ohio class. [00:41:57] Submarines that contain 14 ballistic missiles for sure. [00:42:00] Four of them were taken out of service to. [00:42:02] I think they were replaced with cruise missiles, conventional cruise missiles, as basically arsenal ships, right? [00:42:08] So we can fire conventional cruise missiles at bad guys. [00:42:12] Oh, really? [00:42:13] Well, those subs have those MIRV rockets on them, right? [00:42:18] Yeah, the multiple reentry vehicles. [00:42:19] Yeah. [00:42:20] So each rocket, I think each missile has three warheads on each one, I think it is. [00:42:25] I can't remember whether it's three or ten, but that's easy enough. [00:42:28] They're called trident missiles. [00:42:29] Right, right, right. [00:42:30] That's just like mind bending technology. [00:42:33] We've had that technology since. [00:42:34] We can launch this thing and then it computer tells each little warhead what target to hit. [00:42:42] That's just wild to me. [00:42:44] Yeah. [00:42:44] And actually, you know, the funny thing, I don't know if you've ever heard of the U 2 spy plane. [00:42:48] Oh, of course. [00:42:49] Yeah. [00:42:49] So we actually didn't really realize the Earth was kind of egg shaped until we sent U 2s up. [00:42:58] Really? [00:42:58] Like the information was like, wow, that's kind of weird. [00:43:01] That's why it's so weird. [00:43:02] The telemetry for our missiles back in the 60s was wrong. [00:43:05] Back in the 50s and 60s was wrong. [00:43:07] We were going to miss cities by like miles. [00:43:10] Oh, really? [00:43:11] Yeah. [00:43:11] Because we were dealing with a spherical Earth instead of kind of an egg shaped Earth. [00:43:16] So, yeah, it was the U 2 that figured out like, wait a minute, the Earth isn't exactly what we thought it was. [00:43:21] Wow. [00:43:22] U 2 is a fascinating plane. [00:43:24] U 2 is a fascinating plane. [00:43:25] And it's still in service. [00:43:26] They still got that thing flying. [00:43:28] What about the SR 71? [00:43:30] Is it the Blackbird SR 71? [00:43:32] Yeah. [00:43:33] Now, that's why they created Area 51 to develop those planes back in the day. [00:43:41] And I think they, so, no, that was the U 2. [00:43:46] So it was first, I think, the U 2. [00:43:48] Was why they actually created Area 51 to develop that U 2. [00:43:52] And then the SR 71 came after that. [00:43:54] Now, have you heard of the Glomar Explorer? [00:43:58] Remind me. [00:43:59] All right. [00:44:00] So, this is there was a book, I think it was called The Taking of K 19. [00:44:05] Now, back in the early 1960s, I believe, this Russian ballistic missile submarine was out in the Pacific and there was a failure. [00:44:16] It was the K 19. [00:44:18] You can see Glomar Explorer is fine too. [00:44:20] Glomar Explorer. [00:44:21] Yeah. [00:44:22] So this is like a spy novel, but it's real. [00:44:26] So, oh, yes, I have heard of this. [00:44:27] Yeah. [00:44:28] We talked about this on a podcast. [00:44:29] Yeah. [00:44:29] Yeah. [00:44:30] This Russian submarine. [00:44:31] Russian submarine went down, and they're like, we think we know where it is. [00:44:36] And so the government went to Howard Hughes and said, will you come up with a fake ship that you're going to mine for maganese nodes, which is something crazy that Howard, you know, Howard Hughes would do, right? [00:44:47] Right. [00:44:47] Right. [00:44:48] And Howard Hughes said, yes, I'll help you out. [00:44:50] They built The ship, they went, got the submarine, they picked it up off the ocean floor, broken half. [00:44:55] We got a little bit of it, but we got some code books and we learned some Russian nuclear secrets. [00:45:00] And it's probably one of the best kept secrets. [00:45:02] Howard Hughes is somebody I've really been wanting to learn more about because he's come up on so many podcasts recently. [00:45:07] And I've been hearing all about his connection to the CIA and the deep state. [00:45:14] He was a, I don't know if there's such a thing as a deep state either, but I've worked for the government. [00:45:22] If they knew what they were doing, I can't even get a timesheet. [00:45:25] Process correctly. [00:45:26] I don't really envision there's people behind the scenes pulling the strings. [00:45:30] Why don't you pull the strings on my freaking timesheet while we're at it? [00:45:35] You know, well, you use the wrong charge code. [00:45:37] You should have done.003 instead of.002. [00:45:40] I got to resubmit this damn timesheet. [00:45:44] I don't know. [00:45:47] The Howard Hughes is a fascinating guy. [00:45:50] I guess if you got Elon Musk on the show, it'd pretty much be the same thing. [00:45:54] I'm pretty sure. [00:45:54] Yeah. [00:45:55] Yeah. [00:45:55] Howard Hughes is basically Elon Musk, right? [00:45:58] Or Elon Musk is Howard Hughes. [00:45:59] Yeah, you're right about that. [00:46:01] You know, the eccentric guys who are good at a great many things, right? [00:46:07] Who've excelled in multi disciplines, right? [00:46:12] That's a pretty fascinating thing as well. [00:46:13] I mean, Howard Hughes raced planes, he did movies, he owned a defense contractor. [00:46:20] And I'm sure there are other things that I'm not even aware of. [00:46:24] I had this guy on the show a few months ago by the name of Danny Sheehan. [00:46:28] Mm hmm. [00:46:29] He's a famous, have you heard of him? [00:46:30] Famous lawyer. [00:46:31] He was a part of, he litigated the Pentagon Papers case, Iran Contra, and Watergate. [00:46:38] He was part of the Watergate investigation. [00:46:40] And he was blowing my mind with some stuff about Howard Hughes, explaining how Howard Hughes was really close with Nixon before Nixon was president. [00:46:53] He is the one who basically convinced Nixon to set up the assassination teams to take out Castro. [00:47:06] The anti communist Cubans exiles. [00:47:09] Yeah. [00:47:10] To um assassinate Castro, and those guys originally were the same guys they used for the Watergate burglary. [00:47:17] Oh, that's interesting. [00:47:18] And it's like somehow like Howard Hughes is just tied into all these crazy conspiracies, man. [00:47:23] Yeah, Bacardi tried actually had a hand in that as well. [00:47:25] The Bacardi Rum Company, uh huh. [00:47:27] The Bacardi Rum Company tried buying uh, I think it was a B 25 bomber and uh, several bombs from like a Central American country uh, to attack power plants. [00:47:38] And really, yeah, to attack power. [00:47:40] There is there's a whole book about that, how Bacardi, yeah. [00:47:43] Trying to participate in taking back Cuba. [00:47:46] Have you seen that? [00:47:49] I don't know if they still have it. === Gun from Starship Troopers (15:12) === [00:47:50] They might have decommissioned it, but they created this basically barge that floated out in the Pacific that had this giant radar ball on it. [00:47:57] You know what I'm talking about? [00:48:00] It's for intercepting or looking at missiles. [00:48:03] It's probably one of the largest objects I think we ever created. [00:48:06] Yeah. [00:48:07] Radar ball and barge in the Pacific. [00:48:09] Yeah. [00:48:09] It's X band radar. [00:48:10] X band. [00:48:10] Yeah. [00:48:10] Look at this thing, it's insane looking. [00:48:12] Look at that. [00:48:14] It's like a football stadium boat. [00:48:16] It's like something from Contact. [00:48:18] Remember that movie? [00:48:19] Yeah, yeah, it is like something from Contact, huh? [00:48:21] Jeez. [00:48:23] Yeah, I mean, it's definitely an interesting machine and highly necessary for the defense of the country. [00:48:30] You know, Sibbers, which is the space based infrared system, can't do everything, right? [00:48:34] Right, right. [00:48:35] So once a missile goes out of boost phase, bad guys are shooting missiles at us. [00:48:40] Once that missile goes out of boost phase, you know, it's kind of coasting, right? [00:48:43] Kind of need to know where that is. [00:48:45] And that's kind of where that is. [00:48:47] So, Sibbers is Space Infrared System. [00:48:51] There's a constellation. [00:48:52] There's satellites that basically are flying all around the globe, right? [00:48:55] I think there's four of them. [00:48:56] And they're far out there. [00:48:58] I want to say 200,000 miles out, something like that, in geostationary orbit. [00:49:04] So, they're just looking down at the. [00:49:06] So, 200,000 miles is far. [00:49:07] It's far. [00:49:08] That's far. [00:49:09] That's my, if I remember correctly, again, I'm doing all this for memory. [00:49:13] That's the funny thing. [00:49:14] I remember when I used to listen to podcasts, I'd go, Oh, you're wrong about this. [00:49:18] And now I'm on podcasts and I got to pull this fact out of the two brain cells, rub two brain cells together. [00:49:26] That's the nature of podcasts. [00:49:28] Exactly, man. [00:49:30] That's just the nature of podcasts. [00:49:31] You're always going to, we're just talking. [00:49:34] We're trying our best to fact check stuff with Steve over here. [00:49:38] So the space station, I believe, is closer than Sibbers. [00:49:40] Oh, yeah. [00:49:41] Space station is kissing the atmosphere. [00:49:43] Right, right. [00:49:44] But Sibbers is way up there. [00:49:46] And that's how we can identify rockets being launched. [00:49:48] So when the Houthis decide to, to, to, Toss rockets, you know, we can see the ignition. [00:49:55] Yeah, for things other than like if we're talking about like a shot head drone, you know, that's a little bit tougher. [00:50:03] That's a lawnmower engine, right? [00:50:05] You're not detecting that on Cerberus. [00:50:08] That's basically you take a lawnmower engine, you put it on a hobby drone with a 20 kilogram warhead, yeah, you know, toss out of the ship. [00:50:18] It's a really cheap solution. [00:50:20] I think the shot head costs about. [00:50:22] $20,000, maybe $200,000. [00:50:24] I might be off by zero, but not a lot. [00:50:27] Not a lot for the chaos that it causes. [00:50:29] Now, when you were in the Army, did you guys ever have to use Sibbers technology? [00:50:35] No, that's not even. [00:50:37] Sibbers is a relatively new constellation. [00:50:39] Okay. [00:50:39] So it wasn't. [00:50:40] That's Lockheed Martin. [00:50:41] Yeah. [00:50:42] As a Lockheed Martin satellite. [00:50:44] As Ryan Macbeth Infantry Grunt, no, you're not getting satellite footage. [00:50:47] That's just, it's not like Call of Duty where if I get five headshots, I get a satellite. [00:50:52] No, it doesn't work that way. [00:50:55] The, me, I would have just been happy with extra chow. [00:51:00] Or like hot chow, maybe, right? [00:51:02] A bologna sandwich. [00:51:03] A shower, right? [00:51:04] Yeah. [00:51:05] No, that's nothing like that. [00:51:06] You know, I'm sure special forces guys, they have access to immediate satellite feeds and things like that. [00:51:14] And actually, Cheyenne Mountain Complex. [00:51:16] There are, I mean, there is a tool called BFT, Blue Force Tracker. [00:51:21] That was technology that we had during Iraq. [00:51:23] And BFT saved a lot of lives and was a really useful piece of technology. [00:51:28] It's also called FBCB2, or like Force Battle Brigade and Below something 2000, FBCB2. [00:51:37] This piece of software was in many vehicles and was essentially a moving map display plus a text messaging. [00:51:45] Display so you could use that to chat and be like, Hey, I'm in this area over here. [00:51:53] It'll you also had a GPS receiver which sent up your location, so everybody knew where you were, you knew where everybody else was. [00:52:01] And uh, yeah, FBCB2, it saved, yeah, there's a little computer terminal and it's in your vehicle, and you can type up messages, you can do operations orders on it. [00:52:10] Uh, there's a newer version of FBCB2, and I can't seem to remember the name of it. [00:52:16] Um, But yeah, we had that tech 20 years ago, and it's really useful because it lets everybody know where you are. [00:52:22] Sometimes it doesn't work. [00:52:23] Like sometimes you're out on the road and you get a call like, hey, Boardwalk, Boardwalk 37, where are you? [00:52:32] You haven't left the yard yet. [00:52:33] I'm on Michigan. [00:52:34] What are you talking about? [00:52:36] And your software just hadn't updated. [00:52:40] Right, right. [00:52:40] So sometimes that happens as well. [00:52:43] What's the wildest, most exotic weapon technology you've ever been aware of? [00:52:49] Oh, boy. [00:52:51] Oh, wildest, most exotic weapon technology that I've ever been aware of. [00:52:56] Or, you know, that you know about. [00:52:57] That's, well, probably the wildest weapon is a Marine and his rifle. [00:53:01] I'm not, I'm not, yeah. [00:53:03] Maybe it's not exotic, but I got to tell you, the Marines, I've shot in the Marine Corps course of fire before, and Marines are some stone cold killers. [00:53:12] This episode of the podcast is brought to you by Bubs. [00:53:15] Bubs Naturals is a badass company that has collagen, peptides, it has coffee creamer, has coffee electrolytes. [00:53:21] And they are amazing because they are a tribute company to a Navy SEAL and former CIA contractor, Glenn Bubbs Doherty, who died defending American freedom in Benghazi, Libya. 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[00:54:14] Since I started using it a few months ago, I've already noticed a huge improvement in my joint connective tissues, my skin elasticity, and the overall quality of my hair, believe it or not. [00:54:24] You can support Bubs and this podcast by visiting bubsnaturals.com. [00:54:29] And using the code DJP at checkout for 20% off your first order. [00:54:33] Again, that's bubsnaturals.com and use the promo code DJP at checkout for 20% off. [00:54:38] It's linked below. [00:54:39] Now back to the show. [00:54:40] Shooting out to 500 yards. [00:54:43] Yeah, and the Army at 500 yards, we're still making coffee. [00:54:46] Let us know when they get to 300. [00:54:48] Marine Corps course of fire is hard, and you're shooting standing, sitting, kneeling, doggy, missionary. [00:54:53] There's all these freaking positions you're shooting in. [00:54:56] The Army changed their course of fire. [00:54:58] So now you're actually shooting standing, kneeling, and prone, and so on. [00:55:03] Marine Corps is a very difficult rifle qualifier. [00:55:09] Right. [00:55:10] But honestly, probably the most exotic weapon. [00:55:12] I've never personally seen it, but there used to be a weapon called the OICW, Objective Individual Combat Weapon. [00:55:17] And it was basically as large as a piece of plywood. [00:55:21] But it was a German G36 rifle, it was one barrel. [00:55:27] And the other barrel was a five shot 20 millimeter grenade launcher. [00:55:31] I think it had five grenades. [00:55:34] Yeah. [00:55:34] The XM29 OICW. [00:55:36] Holy shit. [00:55:38] And that thing. [00:55:40] It looks heavy and it was. [00:55:41] And it was one of those things that sounded like a good idea at the time. [00:55:46] Gosh, it's ugly. [00:55:47] Yeah, let's. [00:55:48] So, what is it? [00:55:49] Can you show a video of somebody shooting it? [00:55:50] There's probably videos out there. [00:55:52] The whole idea of this weapon system was that, you know, soldiers are wearing modern body armor now. [00:55:59] So, we need a way to defeat that modern body armor. [00:56:02] Right. [00:56:03] And soldiers, you know, they're hiding in urban areas or they're behind a wall. [00:56:08] So, that gun had a setting for, it basically looks like the gun from Starship Troop. [00:56:13] Troopers, right? [00:56:14] For people who are listening, not watching. [00:56:15] Right. [00:56:16] Looks like the gun from Starship Troopers. [00:56:18] And that 20 millimeter grenade launcher, you could laze a window and then set the thing for window mode. [00:56:26] And then you could shoot a round through that window and it would explode inside the room. [00:56:32] So the round. [00:56:34] Now, the problem is that the rounds cost like $200 a round for the 20 millimeter, right? [00:56:38] Right. [00:56:38] That's just not a sustainable thing. [00:56:41] And right now, the Army did a video about it recently. [00:56:45] There's a weapon called the XM7, which is scheduled to replace the M4 for infantry units. [00:56:52] The XM7 and the XM250, which is a machine gun version. [00:56:57] So that uses a larger round, a 6.8 millimeter round, which is designed to penetrate body armor. [00:57:03] So that has an advanced sight on it that can give you distance, kind of tell you where you need to shoot. [00:57:10] And then the 6.8 millimeter round does the rest of the work. [00:57:14] And it can even supposedly penetrate body armor after going through cinder block. [00:57:19] So, the people who are adversaries who are going to be fighting in the future, they are going to be wearing body armor. [00:57:26] Is this the SM7? [00:57:27] That is the XM7. [00:57:28] Yeah, that's the SIG Spear, actually. [00:57:31] Yeah, that says the XM5, but originally it was called the XM5. [00:57:36] They had to change the name to XM7 because Colt actually had a copyright on XM5. [00:57:42] Oh, yeah. [00:57:42] Yeah, you can buy that now, the SIG Spear. [00:57:45] If you want to spend $3,000, you can. [00:57:49] I don't know if they have the 2.8 millimeter version. [00:57:52] Out yet, but uh, yeah. [00:57:54] Oh, I love this guy. [00:57:55] This guy's channel is insane. [00:57:56] He shoots those uh, those dummy skeletons that like simulate. [00:58:00] Have you ever seen this? [00:58:01] I haven't. [00:58:01] So, this guy tests out all these different guns on this uh, this like I guess it's like a um, a replica of a human body, right? [00:58:10] In jelly, it's like a he puts the organs and the skeleton inside of this thing. [00:58:15] Oh, it was Grand Thumb, yeah. [00:58:17] He's uh, oh, is he a big guy? [00:58:19] He's very popular. [00:58:20] He's uh, he had 3.1 million subscribers. [00:58:23] Fast forward, there you go. [00:58:25] Yeah, show that. [00:58:27] So he just showed the bullet going through it. [00:58:29] Yeah. [00:58:31] Yeah, it's the gun YouTube thing. [00:58:33] That's tough these days. [00:58:35] Oh, yeah. [00:58:35] Because you never know. [00:58:37] I get demonetized just by saying certain keywords. [00:58:40] Oh, yeah. [00:58:40] Oh, gotcha. [00:58:41] I was demonetized this morning. [00:58:42] I was demonetized doing the video when I was at the airport saying, like, hey, I'm coming to the Danny Jones podcast. [00:58:51] Yeah. [00:58:51] I was on. [00:58:52] So I made two videos. [00:58:53] I was on the treadmill this morning. [00:58:54] Uh huh. [00:58:55] And I'm like, crap, I got to get this video out. [00:58:57] Right. [00:58:57] And so I made a little video. [00:58:59] There was a guy, there was an incident in New York City where we saw that. [00:59:04] The guy lit himself on fire. [00:59:06] That's new. [00:59:07] Oh, okay. [00:59:08] That one's new. [00:59:09] I wasn't referring to that, but there was the pro Hamas protester who tried to shove and then punch a dude, like an Israeli dude in New York City. [00:59:23] And, you know, there were a number of people who were saying, like, oh, if that guy had a gun, you know, and I'm like, dude, if you had a gun, you shouldn't be there. [00:59:33] I carry a gun, carry a gun on a daily basis. [00:59:36] When I go to the supermarket, I've had death threats. [00:59:38] Which guy, as I say, had a gun? [00:59:40] The Israeli guy who was. [00:59:42] Assaulted. [00:59:43] Right. [00:59:44] And, you know, it's to me, this is one of those situations where once you start carrying a weapon, now it becomes your obligation not to get into situations where you have to use it. [00:59:55] Yes, exactly. [00:59:56] So, you know, I made a little video about that and then I segued into talking about coming on your show. [01:00:03] So I don't know if saying the word Hamas got me demonetized. [01:00:06] I don't know if saying the word concealed carry got me demonetized. [01:00:09] I don't know. [01:00:10] I'm on some list on YouTube. [01:00:12] Yeah. [01:00:14] I am on some list. [01:00:16] And, you know, I try my best to conform to YouTube standards. [01:00:21] Like, I've never once tried to get around it. [01:00:23] Like, I'm always like, I'll play by the rules. [01:00:25] Just let me know what the rules are. [01:00:27] I wish I knew what the rules were. [01:00:28] You're preaching to the choir, man. [01:00:31] I really do. [01:00:32] Yeah, we just got demonetized for like the first time in a long time on one of our podcasts just because the guys dropped the F bomb too many times. [01:00:38] He's an Australian guy. [01:00:39] Yeah. [01:00:40] So, like, that's kind of like second nature to them. [01:00:41] Like, I feel like that's kind of like racist to censor an Australian guy. [01:00:46] For the F word, because F word is like, is like a common, it's like a vowel, right? [01:00:52] Yeah, I guess so. [01:00:56] I mean, I, I, um, you know, I am not the greatest Christian in the world, but I actually don't swear and I don't talk about sex on my YouTube channel. [01:01:06] Um, you know, I'm your standard Christmas and Easter Protestant, but um, I, um, I don't know, like, I've always, I've always, like, I don't mind, uh, I'm proud of the fact that, like, a dad can sit down with their kid and watch my videos and not have to worry about what they're going to see. [01:01:23] They might see someone getting their head cut off. [01:01:25] You know, like, they might see that, but I'm not going to do anything that they won't be able to explain to your kid later. [01:01:32] Right, right. [01:01:33] And actually, a lot of the super violent stuff I end up putting on my Substack anyway, because I know that YouTube isn't going to allow it. [01:01:39] So I don't even try. [01:01:41] Right. [01:01:42] Yeah, man. [01:01:43] It's really hard to navigate the internet and the media these days, especially with wars, because, you know, there's so much. [01:01:50] Marketing and so much propaganda from every single side involved. [01:01:55] So it's the amount of work that goes into actually understanding what's really going on, not only just like paying attention to the nuance, but paying attention to like the filters that are coming in from each side. [01:02:09] Like Israel saying this, Hamas is saying this, American leftists are saying this, American conservatives are saying this. [01:02:16] Like it's a lot of work to really know what's going on. [01:02:20] Well, I think even just 20 years ago, we had the internet. [01:02:24] But we still watch the nightly news. [01:02:27] Right? [01:02:28] So essentially, everyone was getting their news from three sources, maybe four. [01:02:34] Right. [01:02:35] Right? [01:02:36] ABC, NBC, CBS, CNN, Fox News is around then too. [01:02:42] So, one of five sources. [01:02:45] Pardon me. [01:02:47] So, I think nowadays that everyone can have their news hyper targeted toward them. [01:02:56] There may be things that you actually miss on both sides. [01:02:59] And, Ground News is one of my sponsors. [01:03:02] Oh, really? === Hyper Targeted News Sources (09:45) === [01:03:03] I actually pay for Ground News myself. [01:03:05] Really? [01:03:05] Yeah. [01:03:06] Yeah, that's a cool thing they got going over there. [01:03:09] It's useful because there are some subjects that I would never see if it wasn't for ground news. [01:03:15] So, yeah, they do a great job of basically showing you who the sources are of each article and how accurate it could be and if it's left-leaning or if it's right-leaning and gives you a good 30,000-foot view of what's really going on. [01:03:29] Absolutely. [01:03:31] But there's also censorship, man. [01:03:34] I mean, there is. [01:03:35] There's big mainstream American publications that are very much propaganda. [01:03:44] It's not just international propaganda, right? [01:03:46] Like my friend, I don't know if you've ever heard of Jack Murphy. [01:03:49] He has a podcast called the Team House Podcast. [01:03:52] He was a, I might fuck this up, but Google Jack Murphy. [01:03:56] I think he was a ranger and he was in Syria and I believe Iraq for a long time. [01:04:03] And after he left war, he created a podcast. [01:04:09] Okay. [01:04:10] Yeah, there. [01:04:10] Well, let's read his bio, see what he really is. [01:04:13] He's in the manosphere. [01:04:16] No, yeah, go back to his Wikipedia. [01:04:18] I guess I'm in the unclesphere. [01:04:21] Oh, this is not him. [01:04:24] Why does it say pop? [01:04:25] The manosphere. [01:04:26] They had that wrong. [01:04:27] Click that journalist on the right. [01:04:29] See results about Jack Murphy journalist. [01:04:32] There you go. [01:04:34] Go down where it says about on the right. [01:04:36] Yeah. [01:04:36] He's an eight year army special operations veteran who served as a sniper and team leader in the third ranger. [01:04:43] Battalion, uh, and as a sniper weapons sergeant on a military free trial team or military free fall team in the 5th Special Forces Group, uh, growing up in New York. [01:04:53] Okay. [01:04:54] So, yeah, he was a weapons guy too. [01:04:56] So, yeah, weapons are, yeah, dude, he's the man. [01:04:58] He has a great podcast. [01:04:59] Um, you should talk to him on your podcast. [01:05:02] That'd be cool. [01:05:02] Or either, or you go on his podcast. [01:05:04] I mean, I would go on his. [01:05:05] I don't, you know, I don't have the podcast in the sense of like interviewing people. [01:05:08] I don't think I'd be good at that. [01:05:10] You know, I'd want to do all the talking. [01:05:13] Yeah. [01:05:13] Like, I'm, that's okay. [01:05:15] I, uh, I'm really good at all of that. [01:05:18] There's a lot of good podcasts who do a lot of talking. [01:05:21] I don't know. [01:05:21] I mean, I guess I do that now with my audience, right? [01:05:23] My audience sends me questions in and asks me questions. [01:05:26] And I do these roundup videos. [01:05:28] I think I'm up to 22 different roundups because I must get, I'm not even lying, I must get 100 emails a day. [01:05:36] And it's just, Ryan, can you tell me why this is happening? [01:05:40] Ryan, is this disinformation? [01:05:41] Ryan, is this. [01:05:42] Yeah, I mean, and that's in addition to like, Like, I don't say legitimate emails, but emails from like my agent or emails from, you know, whatever. [01:05:53] Like, hey, we really want to work with you on this thing. [01:05:56] You know, that's why at some point you need an agent because then you just send that stuff over. [01:06:00] Like, just take care of it. [01:06:01] This is why I'm paying you 20%. [01:06:03] Just take care of it. [01:06:03] Right. [01:06:04] Yeah. [01:06:05] So, what I was saying about Jack, he, you know, he obviously went to the journalism route and he has his podcast as well as he has a website where he does, you know, investigative. [01:06:18] Pieces where he'll write articles and stories about certain things. [01:06:23] And I think it was during the beginning of the Russia Ukraine conflict, he wrote a story where he spent probably a year working on it with his sources. [01:06:34] He had multiple CIA sources. [01:06:36] Yeah. [01:06:37] And he, the basis of the story was that CIA was, let me see if I can remember this the right way. [01:06:45] The CIA was using a proxy intelligence, a NATO intelligence ally embedded in Russia and to carry out a sabotage campaign on munitions warehouses and trains. [01:07:04] You know, basically you know, blowing up train tracks, blowing up ammunitions depots and lighting them on fire and stuff like that and um, because of the international rules of war or whatever it might be. [01:07:15] CIA wasn't physically feet boots on the ground, but they were using a NATO ally to conduct this stuff right. [01:07:22] And he wrote this long story. [01:07:24] He had a very big um, one of the top three publications in the United States that was on board with it. [01:07:32] They were going back and forth with the editor from that publication for a long time And the process is with those publications is right. [01:07:40] Before you publish that thing, this specific news outlet had to get the green light from the deputy director of the CIA. [01:07:52] They got on a three way call with the deputy director, and they basically said, You know, we need to get your blessing on this. [01:08:02] He says, This is all bullshit. [01:08:05] None of this is, she's like, This is not true. [01:08:07] Blah, blah, blah, blah. [01:08:09] So Jack said, okay, thank you for that. [01:08:13] I'll make sure I include that in the footnotes or I'll include that in the article that the CIA denies this, right? [01:08:18] I mean, it's not ridiculous or it's not, it's totally understandable that the CIA wants to keep covert ops off the front pages, right? [01:08:27] So a couple of days go by, calls the editor of the publication, and they said, sorry, we're not going to publish it. [01:08:33] Hmm. [01:08:34] Not, we can't just include the deputy director's comments that it's all, none of it's true, that they deny all this. [01:08:40] We straight up aren't going to publish the The story. [01:08:42] So he published it on his own website. [01:08:43] And that's just an example, like, that's just one example of what I'm sure is ubiquitous. [01:08:49] Oh, that's the question, right? [01:08:51] Like, if you burn one of your sources, you know, or they might be less inclined to help you again, right? [01:09:03] I recently, while I was on the ride over here, I got a message from the Army because I'm supposed to go down to Fort Nova Cell, which used to be Fort Rocker, and I'm going to do a video about how the Army does pilot training. [01:09:16] For their helicopters. [01:09:18] And I got to tell you, Army Reserve helicopter pilot, it is the best kept secret in the military. [01:09:25] Because twin engine is twin engine. [01:09:30] So you go, you get 750 hours doing pilot training in the Army Reserves, they can go fly for Southwest. [01:09:37] You just go right into Southwest, they'll hand you the keys. [01:09:40] They'll go right into the Southwest training program. [01:09:42] So if you want a job, you look into the Army Reserves, become a reserve helicopter pilot, and now you're flying for Southwestern United. [01:09:49] A couple of weeks after flight school with the Army. [01:09:52] Huh. [01:09:53] Yeah. [01:09:54] So the Army is having a heck of a time recruiting pilots right now. [01:09:58] At least the Army Reserves is. [01:10:01] And that's darn kept secret. [01:10:03] So I'm going to go down there. [01:10:03] I'm going to shadow a couple of pilots, going to go through some flight training. [01:10:07] I'm sure they'll put me in a simulator, you know. [01:10:10] Now, when I write this story, am I going to talk about how the Army kills puppies with their helicopters? [01:10:16] No. [01:10:17] I'm going to talk about, you know, like, hey, this is an amazing thing. [01:10:21] This is. [01:10:22] Now, I'm never going to lie in a video. [01:10:24] But I'm going to give them certainly a positive spin. [01:10:27] I want them to invite me back. [01:10:29] Right. [01:10:29] So, in a case like your friend, it could just be as simple as the newspaper was like, you know what? [01:10:35] We have contacts at the CIA who let us know when there's breaking news. [01:10:38] And if we burn these contacts, then they're not going to do that again. [01:10:43] And that's still a big problem, though. [01:10:45] Because that's the whole, that is what journalism is exposing power, truth to power, and exposing corruption. [01:10:54] And when something as powerful as the CIA is getting in the way of that, that's a huge problem. [01:11:03] Assuming it was true. [01:11:05] That's the other thing. [01:11:06] Yeah. [01:11:07] So that's the other thing that kind of pops up in the intelligence community. [01:11:12] I would say that there is a non zero chance that CIA, and it's interesting because you say it right sometimes. [01:11:19] You never say the CIA, you say CIA. [01:11:22] Right, right, right. [01:11:23] Or the agency. [01:11:25] So it's funny, it just popped into my head. [01:11:30] There have been plenty of girls I've dated in the Washington, D.C. area. [01:11:33] Well, who do you work for? [01:11:34] First question you ask when you're dating in DC. [01:11:36] Oh, really? [01:11:37] Yeah, you need to know like where you are in the hierarchy, right? [01:11:41] Because if you work for an NGO, you're down here. [01:11:43] You're down the lowest level. [01:11:44] If you work for like the coalition for teaching Africans how to drink water, right? [01:11:50] Like that's at the bottom, right? [01:11:52] But if you work in the White House, you're at the top. [01:11:54] If you're a contractor for like an agency like Lidos, you're a little bit down here below. [01:12:00] But if you work on the hill, you're a little bit above. [01:12:03] So, one of the first questions you're on a date, so who do you work for, right? [01:12:06] Because they need to know, all right, if I date this guy, Am I going to be higher or lower in the hierarchy? [01:12:11] Oh, wow. [01:12:12] And so I've met girls who I work for the State Department. [01:12:16] As soon as they say that, I'm like, okay, I already know what you're talking about. [01:12:20] I'm not going to bring it up again. [01:12:22] Yeah. [01:12:22] If you say, oh, I work for the State Department, yeah, you're CIA. [01:12:25] Right. [01:12:26] Right. [01:12:28] Oh, I'm part of the grain initiative for Vietnam. [01:12:31] Okay. [01:12:34] I know. [01:12:36] I've lived in DC long enough to go, okay, I'm not going to ask any more questions about that. [01:12:41] Right. [01:12:41] Right. [01:12:42] Um, But yeah, the story could be wrong. [01:12:45] And they could have come up with information. [01:12:47] They're like, look, we're not publishing this. === Mass Spectroscopy and Pipelines (16:07) === [01:12:48] Not only are you wrong, you're dead wrong. [01:12:50] And everyone you talked to was lying to you. [01:12:52] That could, they're in the intelligence community of the saying, there is a non zero chance of that happening. [01:12:59] So is it possible that they were doing this? [01:13:03] It's possible. [01:13:05] I could see direct action against Russia, especially in the interest of Ukraine. [01:13:09] So the U.S. has a vested interest. [01:13:10] What does that mean, direct action against Russia? [01:13:13] Actually taking kinetic steps. [01:13:17] Like blowing up a not necessarily a blow, so you wouldn't blow up a rail because rail they can fix rail like that, right? [01:13:23] But a munitions factory, something like that, I could see something like that happening. [01:13:29] That doesn't necessarily mean that we're doing it. [01:13:32] I would not be surprised if the Ukrainians are doing it. [01:13:35] I mean, from what I understand, Ukrainians they sneak into Russia all the time, they launch drones, right? [01:13:40] Like crazy. [01:13:42] I mean, they have a whole, but it's a little bit, I'll say it's a little bit easier. [01:13:46] I mean, you show me a Ukrainian, you show me a Russian, tell me the difference, right? [01:13:50] And one thing. [01:13:51] Ukrainians can speak Russian. [01:13:53] Russians can't necessarily speak Ukrainian. [01:13:56] So it's easier for a Ukrainian to pass themselves off as Russian than for a Russian to pass themselves off as Ukrainian. [01:14:05] And then there was the whole debacle with the Nord Stream pipeline where everyone denied it. [01:14:09] And then we found out that Ukraine did it. [01:14:12] You know, I'm not even sure about that either. [01:14:15] There's one of the best books I ever read a book called The Field Guide to Understanding Human Error. [01:14:23] And it was by a guy named Sidney Decker. [01:14:26] And I would never attribute to malice anything that can be attributed to accident. [01:14:33] So you take a look at. [01:14:36] So I had a whole story on my Substack about the Karkova Dam and how people said, oh, the Karkova Dam was blown up. [01:14:45] And I showed how the dam was being undermined. [01:14:50] So essentially. [01:14:52] On this dam that was over the Dnieper River, it was a couple months ago. [01:14:57] Actually, it was last year, around last year. [01:15:00] There was this dam on the Dnieper River and the dam collapsed. [01:15:04] Some people said it was blown up. [01:15:05] Some people, well, I looked at the dam and I bought satellite footage. [01:15:09] This was in Ukraine. [01:15:10] Ukraine. [01:15:11] It's over the Dnieper River. [01:15:12] Okay. [01:15:13] And the Harakova Dam. [01:15:16] Now, this particular dam had multiple spillways. [01:15:19] And a spillway, it's just like a guillotine. [01:15:22] You lift that thing up, it allows water to go through. [01:15:24] Okay. [01:15:25] So it was during the spring, I believe spring of last year, it was this dam, and the water was very high because it was the spring melt. [01:15:33] And the far section of the road, this dam spans the Dnieper River. [01:15:37] On the other side of the road, there are the Ukrainians. [01:15:40] On the south side of the dam, the south side of the Dnieper River, are the Russians, north side of the Ukrainians. [01:15:47] There's one section of the dam that had been blown up. [01:15:50] It was like a roadway that had collapsed already. [01:15:54] The Russians blew that up so the Ukrainians couldn't. [01:15:56] Move across it. [01:15:57] Now, what do you have on the other side of that dam? [01:16:00] You have snipers. [01:16:01] Ukrainians have snipers, right? [01:16:03] They're watching that dam. [01:16:04] So, the only sluice gate, the only gate that the Ukrainians or that the Russians who were at the dam were opening was ones on the south side of the dam. [01:16:12] Well, when that happens, now you have undermining. [01:16:14] Now that water comes through that gate, it hits the bottom of the dam and it scrapes a little more water out. [01:16:20] There's a little more sub material out. [01:16:24] So, I believe that dam and just showing how a roadway collapsed days. [01:16:29] Before the dam collapsed, I believe what was happening was that the water was going through this one sluice gate, since they only had one open, was digging out a hole, digging out a hole, digging out a hole until the dam gets undermined right there. [01:16:42] And the force of the water on the top of the dam and the force of the water digging underneath the dam pushes the dam right over. [01:16:51] So. [01:16:52] And everyone thought this was sabotage? [01:16:54] I don't think it was sabotage. [01:16:55] I think the Russians just didn't know how to. [01:16:59] I don't believe it was sabotage. [01:17:00] Right, but I'm saying people were. [01:17:01] Reporting that it was? [01:17:02] People were reporting that the Russians blew it up. [01:17:03] I don't think that was the case. [01:17:05] Right. [01:17:05] And the New York Times said, oh, Sibbers saw it. [01:17:07] They actually mentioned Sibbers saw it. [01:17:09] I'm like, this is one of those things where you're like, come on, New York Times. [01:17:11] Yeah, but how do you explain that? [01:17:13] How do you apply that to the Nord Stream, though? [01:17:15] Like, how deep is that there? [01:17:17] So, hear me out on this possibility. [01:17:19] Okay. [01:17:20] All right. [01:17:21] So, the two pipelines, okay. [01:17:24] So, Russia says, okay, we're not going to play this game anymore. [01:17:28] And they turned the gas off in the pipelines. [01:17:31] Now, the pipelines don't, now they're not pressurized anymore. [01:17:35] So, what happens when you have something that's underwater that isn't pressurized? [01:17:38] Well, water is getting in, right? [01:17:40] So, now you have water leaking into those two pipelines. [01:17:44] And now, again, I am not a pipeline expert, but I could easily see that there's some chemical in there that when the water reacts with that chemical that was in, that's still a residual chemical inside of that pipeline, and now that creates some kind of acid or it creates hydrogen. [01:18:00] And now you only need is a spark. [01:18:01] Right. [01:18:02] And then, because those pipelines aren't pressurized anymore, one blows up, the gas that's remaining in the pipeline. [01:18:08] Comes out of that hole. [01:18:09] And since the two pipelines are relatively the same thickness, the same thing happens in the other one because it's just a chemical reaction, takes roughly the same amount of time. [01:18:18] Now you have two pipelines that are. [01:18:20] Now, I don't know if that's the truth. [01:18:22] Right. [01:18:22] But the engineer in me looks at that and goes, well, maybe it was sabotage, or maybe they just shut it down and went, oh, crap. [01:18:31] Yeah. [01:18:32] How do we, you know, we turned off the power to the set? [01:18:35] Oh, God. [01:18:37] You have on the bridge in Tampa Bay, there are these Sentinel, oh, my God, sacrificial anodes. [01:18:44] So the sacrificial anode is usually a piece of zinc that they'll attach to a, you're looking for a sacrificial anode? [01:18:51] Yeah, I need to see this. [01:18:52] Sacrificial anode. [01:18:55] Yeah. [01:18:56] Yeah. [01:18:57] So you have them on the bridge in Tampa Bay. [01:19:00] So images, I can see a bigger version of this. [01:19:02] So it's usually zinc. [01:19:04] It can be other metals as well, right? [01:19:07] So these sacrificial anodes. [01:19:08] They're attached to the pilings? [01:19:10] Yeah. [01:19:10] They're attached to the pilings so that they rust before the piling rusts, right? [01:19:15] Oh, wow. [01:19:16] So that's the whole idea these sacrificial anodes give up their electrons and they rust before the bridge can actually rust. [01:19:25] The one in Tampa Bay on that bridge that goes across the, I guess, Tampa Bay. [01:19:31] So, what's the goal? [01:19:32] What's the purpose of it? [01:19:33] So, well, the purpose is to prevent rust by sacrificing the zinc. [01:19:40] So, the sacrificial anode will give up its electrons so that the thing that it's protecting won't rust. [01:19:47] God, somehow it stops the piling from rusting. [01:19:51] So, some of those, I believe, are electrically run. [01:19:53] So, it could be something as simple as they have sacrificial anodes along that pipeline, they turned off the electricity to them. [01:20:00] And rust happens pretty darn fast. [01:20:02] I mean, that could be a possibility too. [01:20:05] Yeah. [01:20:05] But I just, I don't necessarily know if the Ukrainians blew it up or we blew it up or the Russians blew it up, but I could easily see it being an accident because someone turned something off. [01:20:15] Yeah. [01:20:15] I mean, look, that's, I mean, it's certainly a possibility, right? [01:20:18] Certainly is. [01:20:20] But, you know, the fact that there's just so much propaganda and misinformation and disinformation, it's just so hard to cut through all that these days with just this overwhelming amount of information. [01:20:33] There is. [01:20:34] You're absolutely right. [01:20:35] And there's even a difference. [01:20:36] Well, there's a difference between misinformation and disinformation. [01:20:39] What's the difference? [01:20:40] So, with misinformation, you're getting the facts wrong. [01:20:43] All right. [01:20:44] So, initially, I think, did I get the number wrong for the amount of money that Lockheed Martin made? [01:20:51] I was off by 1 billion, maybe. [01:20:52] I was off by 1 billion. [01:20:53] So, still, that was misinformation, right? [01:20:55] I got the facts wrong. [01:20:56] But I didn't mean to, right? [01:20:58] I wasn't like, I'm going to go on, Danny, you know, I'm going to go on this show. [01:21:01] I'm going to get the facts wrong. [01:21:03] No. [01:21:04] I, it was in my head, it was around that number, you know, 6.7 billion, something like that. [01:21:09] I think I said 8.7 billion or something like that. [01:21:14] So that's misinformation. [01:21:15] I gave out the wrong information. [01:21:17] Now, disinformation is, you know, me coming on here saying, well, it wasn't the Russians, it wasn't the Ukrainians that blow the pipeline, it was the Poles. [01:21:28] How do you know that? [01:21:29] Well, because if you take the O in poll, that means petroleum oil lubricants. [01:21:36] So, they know extensively about how pipelines work. [01:21:39] P O L, pipeline. [01:21:42] Poll. [01:21:43] You see? [01:21:44] Yeah. [01:21:44] You understand? [01:21:45] Yeah, that's disinformation right there. [01:21:47] That's me intentionally coming on and lying. [01:21:50] Right. [01:21:50] I'm actually impressed I thought of that that fast. [01:21:53] And then there's just strategic deception as well. [01:21:56] Wow, that's actually pretty scary that I could be used as a force for evil very easily. [01:22:02] My God, I hope I never do that again. [01:22:04] Strategic deception? [01:22:05] I've actually never heard that term. [01:22:07] That's pretty. [01:22:08] Tell me about that. [01:22:09] So, a great example of strategic deception I learned about was when they were actually in one of Annie Jacobson's books, Area 51, when she's talking about when Area 51 was first created and they were testing out the first jet propelled airplanes. [01:22:25] And when the CIA pilots were flying these jet airplanes over the desert, they had to be prepared for if they encountered a civilian aircraft and somebody saw these jet airplanes. [01:22:36] Like, what were they going to say? [01:22:38] So, what they did was they brought guerrilla masks in the cockpit with them. [01:22:43] So, if they got in visual distance of a civilian airplane, they would put on a gorilla mask. [01:22:47] So, what happens now when that guy goes to the bar and tells his buddies he saw a jet plane? [01:22:52] He says, I saw a gorilla flying a jet plane. [01:22:54] So, it purposely injects fuckery into something that's true, so no one will believe it. [01:23:00] That was actually the case in that book about the Glomar Explorer, The Taking of K 19, where you had, they actually would give manganese nodes. [01:23:08] Now, the cover story for the Glomar Explorer, the ship that was going to go recover the submarine, was that they were going to mine manganese nodes on the floor of the ocean. [01:23:16] And it was just something crazy that Howard Hughes would do. [01:23:19] So, one of the things that they did was they gave these manganese nodes to security guards. [01:23:26] And the idea was that these security guards are going to go out to the bar and put this manganese node on the bar and say, hey, this is what my company's doing or mining these nodes. [01:23:34] So, now you got KGB guys in Burbank or wherever the setup of this particular company was. [01:23:42] Now they're going to go, oh, I guess they really are mining these manganese nodes. [01:23:45] That is a level of strategic disinformation. [01:23:48] So, I actually haven't heard that term before. [01:23:50] But that's understandable. [01:23:52] Yeah. [01:23:53] Yeah. [01:23:53] There's a lot of another. [01:23:56] There's so many examples of it. [01:23:58] But like, I mean, it really mainly, I feel like it gets used in like covert ops and like with, you know, development of like black technology and like secret technology. [01:24:10] Yeah. [01:24:11] Have you heard of Bob Lazar? [01:24:13] He's a UFO guy. [01:24:14] Yeah. [01:24:15] The guy, I think it was in 1989. [01:24:17] He came out with a story about how he was contracted to go to Area 51 to back engineer spaceships and flying saucers. [01:24:23] There was part of his story where like, whether you believe the guy or not, he tells this whole story about how he was back engineering these crazy exotic crafts, right? [01:24:32] Now, towards the end of his story, he says when they first brought him there, they showed him the spaceships. [01:24:37] They showed him these crazy exotic flying saucers, which look, there's evidence of these things being made, you know, after World War II by certain Nazis, the Horton brothers. [01:24:46] They were creating these crazy objects that were unexplainable and that could defy gravity. [01:24:52] But when they were bringing him out of Area 51, they brought him conveniently, walked him down a hallway past a little window where he said we looked through the window and he saw two guys looking over a little alien body. [01:25:04] So, I think that could have possibly been whether he, I don't know if he's like, A, he's making up the whole story, or B, it really happened. [01:25:12] And they purposely brought him by that window to see a little alien in there. [01:25:16] So that way, when he tries to go public, if he ever tries to go public, this guy's a whack job. [01:25:21] You know, I did a whole video about that. [01:25:23] It was last summer, there was the hearings. [01:25:28] Like a couple of former Air Force guys. [01:25:31] I forget the names of these gentlemen, but I did a whole video about it. [01:25:33] Commander Fravor and Ryan Graves. [01:25:35] And I actually thought about it. [01:25:38] I looked at it from an intelligence perspective. [01:25:41] Like, what are the odds that we've actually been visited by aliens? [01:25:45] And I looked at it from an intelligence perspective. [01:25:48] And it wasn't until I thought about oxygen that I actually was kind of shocked. [01:25:53] Like, a lot of, so hear me on here. [01:25:55] So, doing my research for this, I talked with a lot of scientists doing my research for this one video. [01:26:02] And, you know, kind of breaking down those hearings, not trying to discredit anyone, but just like looking at it from an intelligence perspective. [01:26:09] What is the likelihood that we've actually been visited by aliens? [01:26:14] And one of the things I thought of was that, like, well, aliens would know we exist because of our radio signals, right? [01:26:19] Radio has been propagating for 150 years, ever since Macroni sent that first radio message, right? [01:26:26] So they could tell where we are by our radio signals. [01:26:29] Maybe. [01:26:31] There's something called mass spectrophy. [01:26:32] Or a transit spectrophobe, where when a planet goes in front of a star, the light from that star will illuminate the kind of chemicals that are in the atmosphere, the kind of elements that are in the atmosphere. [01:26:50] And from that, you can actually infer the temperature and the quantity of those elements, but the kinds of light that are blocked. [01:26:57] So, if you want to get technical, one crazy thing about Earth is that we have oxygen. [01:27:03] Now, oxygen is the fourth most common element in the universe. [01:27:10] However, oxygen is super reactive. [01:27:15] If tomorrow, like all the plants stopped making oxygen, we would be out of oxygen within like 4,000, 5,000 years. [01:27:26] It would all just bond to iron and become rust, right? [01:27:32] Iron oxide. [01:27:33] So if you, if a, if a, If a planet ever transits a star and aliens have their uh transit spectropathy machine pointed at that star and they go, Holy hell, there's oxygen on that star. [01:27:49] What the hell's making all this oxygen? [01:27:53] They're gonna they might want to check that out. [01:27:56] Now, we've had oxygen on this planet between 2.5 and 3.5 billion years, roughly. [01:28:05] So, the aliens have had if they've if they've detected us. [01:28:09] If you're going, what the heck's making all this oxygen? [01:28:12] Because remember, you constantly have to make oxygen because it's super reactive. [01:28:16] It's bonding to everything, right? [01:28:18] So they've had, so our planet's what, 5 point something billion years old? [01:28:24] So they've had a long time to come here. [01:28:28] Yeah. [01:28:29] And I think that one of the conclusions I came to was that there's almost no chance we've actually been visited by aliens because we'd all be dead. [01:28:39] You think we'd all be dead? [01:28:40] Oh, yeah, absolutely. [01:28:41] It does because that because it's safer to kill us, it's safer to kill us and to let us live. [01:28:47] Maybe they don't need to kill us, maybe we don't matter. [01:28:49] Maybe we're just like ants in a jungle, maybe they just like do what they need to do and we don't really get in the way of them. === Zaporizhia Bridge and Aliens (07:15) === [01:28:55] Maybe, I mean, one of the things I talked about in the video I did was you know, one of the reasons people conquer is for religion, right? [01:29:03] And just as I was doing this video, there was this new species of tree frog that was found in the jungles of South America, you know. [01:29:12] Yeah, I've heard of this. [01:29:13] I'm sure that the team. didn't try to convert it to Catholicism, right? [01:29:16] Like the frog wouldn't understand anyway, right? [01:29:19] So, like, there could be aliens that are so advanced that we couldn't even understand their religious philosophies. [01:29:26] One of the reasons people, you might say, oh, people, they take over plants or resources. [01:29:30] Well, any alien species that would come to Earth, they would, if they needed resources, they could find those resources someplace else. [01:29:38] They wouldn't have to come here. [01:29:40] There's nothing really that special about Earth. [01:29:41] Yeah, a lot of phosphorus, but, but, you know, I mean, anyone that has that level of technology could. [01:29:48] Probably figure out how to get phosphorus on their own. [01:29:50] Right. [01:29:51] So, yeah, I think there's almost no chance that we've been visited. [01:29:54] And the analogy I gave was wine. [01:29:57] Did you know that there is a fake wine industry? [01:30:01] I've heard of this. [01:30:03] There are pretentious people. [01:30:05] And the Koch brothers are part of this. [01:30:07] There's this guy named Rudy. [01:30:08] And he's out in California. [01:30:10] And he was like passing himself off as like this wealthy, I think it was Filipino or from. [01:30:14] Is this that documentary, Sour Grapes? [01:30:17] Yeah, yeah, yeah. [01:30:18] Yeah. [01:30:19] I've heard of that a long time ago. [01:30:20] Sour Grapes. [01:30:21] I really remember it. [01:30:22] And, you know, people, so essentially this guy was running around selling fake wine. [01:30:29] And he was finally caught. [01:30:30] When the label of the bottle, like, oh, I have a bottle of Domain 1945. [01:30:37] Well, they didn't make that particular vineyard, didn't make that bottle of wine back then because there had been a war and the vines were all destroyed and there were no workers. [01:30:46] Right. [01:30:47] So you can't have a bottle. [01:30:48] So that bottle can't exist. [01:30:51] So I remember when I watched those hearings, kind of the conclusion I came to is that, yeah, the wine was fake. [01:30:59] So, yeah, maybe it's. [01:31:00] Do you think that maybe that this technology? [01:31:03] Technology that these Navy pilots were seeing was like really, real, like black military technology. [01:31:10] What's a software update? [01:31:12] It was just a bad software update. [01:31:14] A bad software update? [01:31:15] Yeah. [01:31:15] What do you mean? [01:31:16] So, like, if you have, I know you're talking about the Tic Tac video. [01:31:20] Yeah. [01:31:21] If you have multiple planes seeing this artifact, it could just be a software thing. [01:31:25] Yeah. [01:31:26] Because it was right after they upgraded their radar. [01:31:29] I'm a software engineer. [01:31:30] I know how we make mistakes sometimes. [01:31:33] Ryan said it was right after they upgraded the radar in their jets. [01:31:36] That they started seeing these things, and he said one of the things they saw was a sphere, yeah, or a cube with inside of a sphere. [01:31:42] Yeah, and uh, I had a guy on here who pointed out, Steve actually sent you an image of this on Dropbox. [01:31:48] Um, there was a patent for something that he described that is almost identical to what he described. [01:31:55] He described the two guys were flying in formation, wing to wing, maybe I don't know, less than 50 yards apart, okay, um, during some sort of military exercise off the east coast, and they. [01:32:11] Both saw a sphere with a cube inside of it. [01:32:16] And then my buddy found this patent, DRFM. [01:32:21] Shout out to Jeremy Reese. [01:32:22] He found this technology radar deflector balloons. [01:32:26] And that's so that part on the left is what he saw. [01:32:28] He said he saw. [01:32:30] And this is a patent my buddy found, which is a, I think those deflector balloons were created and tested before we did the Bay of Pigs to basically like. [01:32:41] With Cuba's radar and make it like simulate some sort of an invasion and see what they would do. [01:32:46] Yeah, the Russians have those on barges outside the Kerch Strait Bridge, those radar reflectors. [01:32:51] Oh, really? [01:32:51] Yeah. [01:32:52] Because their hope is, well, they can't lose that bridge. [01:32:56] They lose that bridge. [01:32:59] This is probably going to be the year they lose the bridge. [01:33:02] Where's the bridge go to again? [01:33:03] The Kerch Strait Bridge connects Russia with Crimea. [01:33:07] Ah, okay. [01:33:08] And the bridge. [01:33:08] Do you have a map of this? [01:33:09] The bridge was attacked. [01:33:12] A couple of. [01:33:12] The bridge was attacked. [01:33:15] Two years ago, and I want to say in the summer, when did basketball season start? [01:33:20] It must have been in August. [01:33:21] Yeah, it seems like everywhere I go, every time I go away for something, something major happens. [01:33:26] And there is this girl I was saying at the time, she took me to the home opener, not the home opener, the Wizards are playing in North Carolina. [01:33:40] They're playing the Charlotte Hornets. [01:33:42] Yep, yep. [01:33:43] And she took me there, got floor seats. [01:33:45] It was really nice. [01:33:46] Like, I am not a wealthy guy. [01:33:48] Wow. [01:33:49] You know, but. [01:33:50] This is the bridge. [01:33:51] Yeah, the Kirk Strait Bridge. [01:33:53] So that was built relatively recently. [01:33:54] That's probably 2009. [01:33:57] Have you seen it on maps? [01:33:58] We can see like Crimea, how it connects to Russia. [01:34:01] Yeah. [01:34:03] So, yeah, you can find it on maps. [01:34:05] So, that bridge, if you zoom out, you take out that bridge. [01:34:11] Yeah, they've talked about building a bridge for a long time. [01:34:14] So, you take out that bridge. [01:34:16] Now, Crimea has to be replied by ferry or by boat or by air. [01:34:21] I believe they have a railway that now goes. [01:34:25] Down the Russian occupied area in Zaporizhia and all the way down to Crimea. [01:34:33] So it goes through the Donbass, through Zaporizhia. [01:34:37] So they're protecting that bridge. [01:34:38] Oh, God, yeah. [01:34:40] Yeah. [01:34:41] So Russia moves everything by rail. [01:34:43] They move a lot of stuff by rail as much as they can. [01:34:47] And so that little rail bridge, there's two rail tracks. [01:34:51] It was actually attacked by a truck bomb in October of 2022. [01:34:58] And that was when I was at the basketball game. [01:35:01] I was like, oh, crap, I got to go do a story about this. [01:35:04] Right? [01:35:05] I got to do that. [01:35:09] But yeah, if they take out that bridge, it's going to be a lot harder for Russia to. [01:35:14] And we still know who did it. [01:35:16] It was a truck bomb that happened to blow up right before, right as a train was going over it. [01:35:22] So the train was damaged, the tracks were damaged, the roadway was damaged. [01:35:26] It was a bad day. [01:35:27] It was a bad day for Russia. [01:35:29] And I actually think that was garden variety terrorism. [01:35:33] We don't know who did it. [01:35:34] I think some people said that, yeah, it was a bad day. [01:35:41] Yeah. [01:35:43] What's that stuff? [01:35:45] Woo! [01:35:46] Smelling salts. [01:35:47] You want to try it? [01:35:48] I got this. [01:35:48] It's great. [01:35:49] Trust me. [01:35:50] I'm good. [01:35:50] Have you seen the guys who get knocked out in ice hockey or like the ice hockey? [01:35:55] Yeah, boxing. [01:35:55] Yeah, boxing and smelling salts. [01:35:57] Oh my God, like jolt your nervous system. [01:36:02] Oh. [01:36:04] Maybe it's a Florida thing. [01:36:06] I guess. [01:36:07] I mean, I know they have bath salts, smelling salts, bath salts, smelling salts, tomato, tomato. === Smelling Salts in Florida (04:10) === [01:36:11] This is, uh, Florida is an amazing place. [01:36:13] I actually come down to Tampa quite frequently to do consulting. [01:36:17] Oh, do you really? [01:36:18] Yeah. [01:36:18] For who? [01:36:20] Oh, military contractors. [01:36:21] No, just, you know, whatever, uh, whatever the contract is for. [01:36:27] So it's really, really boring stuff, you know, but, um, the, uh, so I usually, uh, I usually get a chance to come down here about once every month at the least. [01:36:39] I love Florida, man. [01:36:40] There's so much. [01:36:41] You got everything here. [01:36:42] You got the coastline. [01:36:43] You got all the best fishing here. [01:36:45] You got tons of wildlife. [01:36:47] You got the Everglades, the Florida Keys. [01:36:49] It's a one stop shop. [01:36:50] I think the thing I like about it are these things. [01:36:54] I light up a cigar in Tampa and nobody ever complains. [01:36:58] I do it in D.C. I'm walking down the street and I get the whole you just took 10 seconds off my life. [01:37:05] I mean, you probably would have wasted them anyway. [01:37:08] Right. [01:37:09] Maybe I did you a favor. [01:37:11] It doesn't look like you're all that happy, lady. [01:37:13] How did you like Miami when you were down there? [01:37:15] It wasn't the first time I've been to Miami, but I got to tell you, you know, the crazy thing about Miami. [01:37:20] So I'm almost 50. [01:37:22] The crazy thing is it's so close to the US. [01:37:26] So I was there for the Destiny podcast, right? [01:37:29] I had a little girl there. [01:37:30] He's a great guy. [01:37:32] And yeah, he lives there. [01:37:34] I got a chance to see his place. [01:37:35] He went to dinner twice. [01:37:37] You know, he's a great guy and his fans are the best too, you know. [01:37:41] And, you know, they put me up in this hotel, like this $900 a night hotel. [01:37:46] Wow. [01:37:47] And it was because it was near the studio, and I guess I'm going to deal with them and whatever. [01:37:52] But so I'm in this hotel, and I've never felt so poor. [01:38:02] I am a software engineer. [01:38:03] I drive a Tesla. [01:38:04] I own a house. [01:38:05] I make an okay living. [01:38:06] I'm never going to be wealthy, but I do okay. [01:38:11] I do okay between consulting, between YouTube. [01:38:13] I do okay. [01:38:14] I'm not super wealthy. [01:38:17] But I'm there, and I went down to breakfast, and there was this guy, and he was surrounded by six. [01:38:26] Gorgeous young women, and they're all wearing bikinis with like see through cover ups. [01:38:31] Yeah, yeah. [01:38:33] And I'm like, Look, and the guy must have been like 25, 26, you know. [01:38:36] And they're talking about how they're gonna go on the boat that day. [01:38:38] Oh, we're gonna go on the boat today, you know. [01:38:41] And I'm thinking, How do you go on a boat? [01:38:44] Like, how do you go on a boat? [01:38:46] Like, you know, I've never been on the boat, really. [01:38:48] I mean, I've been on like a Navy ship, I've been on like an LCAC, I've been on a ferry in Staten Island, like, I've been on, but I've never been on like a pleasure boat. [01:38:57] Oh, my gosh. [01:38:58] Next time you come down here, we'll book an extra day and I'll take you fishing. [01:39:01] I've never been, I've never gone fishing. [01:39:03] Really? [01:39:04] The bait's over here, the beer's right here. [01:39:06] Right? [01:39:07] Like, nah, I, I, you want me to what? [01:39:09] You want me to put my hand in that and then touch a fish? [01:39:11] Yeah. [01:39:11] You know how I touch a fish? [01:39:12] I go to Wegmans and I say, touch that fish and give me that little fillet. [01:39:17] That's how I fish. [01:39:18] That's going fishing is going to Wegmans and asking them to get me a fillet of cod. [01:39:23] Right. [01:39:24] So I've never been fishing, but this guy's talking about the boat. [01:39:28] I'm thinking, like, how do you, like, Like a boat can't pop. [01:39:32] Like, there is a friend of mine who lives in Virginia Beach. [01:39:36] I go down there once in a while. [01:39:37] I might go down there when I come back from here tomorrow. [01:39:41] And they have boats. [01:39:44] I have a paddle board that I actually keep at this girl's place. [01:39:49] And so there's this bay. [01:39:50] It's called Linden Bay. [01:39:51] I'll go paddle boarding in Linden Bay. [01:39:53] And there are these people. [01:39:54] They line up these boats in Linden Bay and they just kind of party all together on these. [01:40:00] And I'm thinking, how much does this cost? [01:40:02] This must be a $200,000 boat. [01:40:04] Yeah. [01:40:04] Who? [01:40:05] Who has $200,000 to buy a boat? [01:40:08] Like, it's just so, you know, like, it's just such a crazy thing to me. [01:40:14] But again, like, I look at my life where, like, I literally live paycheck to paycheck, where I'm like, I'm waiting for that YouTube paycheck. === Textron Airbase Assessment (15:30) === [01:40:21] Like, you know, like, here, sir, may I please have some more? [01:40:25] And YouTube gives me that little, that little spoonful of gruel, right? [01:40:29] Here's that little, here's that 10% of all the ads that we sold. [01:40:34] Oh, thank you, sir. [01:40:35] May I have some more? [01:40:37] More? [01:40:38] More? [01:40:38] Yeah. [01:40:38] It's demonetization. [01:40:40] We're in our ads anyway. [01:40:42] Right, right. [01:40:43] It's pretty cool, though, how fast you grew your channel, man. [01:40:46] Two years and you're almost to a million subscribers. [01:40:49] Your videos are seen by a lot of people. [01:40:51] Yeah. [01:40:51] You know, what I found crazy was that I've done consulting before and there's people in Congress who watch my videos. [01:40:59] And I'm like, why are you doing that? [01:41:04] I actually once had someone from the UN reach out to me. [01:41:08] And they asked me to identify some weapon systems that were found in Ethiopia. [01:41:13] And I identified some SAGR missiles and some Chinese mortars that were found. [01:41:21] And then I was like, wait a minute, don't you have people that do this? [01:41:25] Why are you talking to me? [01:41:26] Why are you reaching out to a YouTuber? [01:41:29] And I guess, like, so some of it isn't that I'm just a YouTuber. [01:41:33] I do work in the intelligence space, I still do consulting, I still maintain certain access to different kinds of information that I use. [01:41:43] For my other job, right? [01:41:46] That's great. [01:41:50] But I just find it funny that people look me up. [01:41:54] They want it for patience. [01:41:56] I mean, I guess I think the one thing that I kind of do is that I give it to them in a way that they can understand. [01:42:04] And also, I'm not political. [01:42:08] I actually got off the phone with my boss, Rich, from a company called Veloxity. [01:42:13] It's a private intelligence company. [01:42:15] So if you want, Let's say you're building a mine in Zambia, right? [01:42:21] You're going to build a mine in Zambia. [01:42:24] All right. [01:42:24] Well, is it safe to go there? [01:42:28] What's the government like? [01:42:29] Is it, you know, whatever, right? [01:42:31] So you can hire Veloxity to come in and do a whole assessment on that country. [01:42:35] All right. [01:42:35] Where are you going to be going? [01:42:36] What are you going to be doing? [01:42:37] Is it safe? [01:42:38] Is it not safe? [01:42:38] Yes, it's expensive. [01:42:39] But you know what else is expensive? [01:42:40] Getting kidnapped, right? [01:42:42] Having your business stolen by the government and appropriated as state property. [01:42:46] That's pretty expensive, too. [01:42:48] Right. [01:42:49] So if you think hiring Veloxity is expensive, wait, do you get a load of being, you know, in a country you can't get out of? [01:42:55] Right. [01:42:57] So if it's a good sales pitch. [01:42:59] Yeah. [01:43:00] So if AOC wanted an intelligence assessment, she'd come to Veloxity. [01:43:05] I would give her the best darn assessment I could give. [01:43:08] If Matt Gaetz asked for an assessment about something, I would give him the best one. [01:43:13] So that's one of the reasons I can't ever get political in the content that I produce because. [01:43:20] There are real people who make actual decisions based on stuff that I do, and I want them to be able to trust what I give them. [01:43:28] You know? [01:43:30] And, yeah. [01:43:31] What do you make of the attack that happened last night, literally, with Israel hitting Iran with those bombs and those nukes? [01:43:44] I think it was last night, right? [01:43:46] Today's February 19th. [01:43:47] Yesterday was the 18th. [01:43:48] Yeah, it was last night. [01:43:50] So, number one, we don't know it was Israel. [01:43:52] It was Israel. [01:43:52] Right, like we don't know that, but who else is going to be doing it? [01:43:56] Right, um, so that particular place, um, that was a factory. [01:44:02] I think that so. [01:44:03] I always screw up Farsi or Persian names. [01:44:05] I'm sorry to all of my Iranian fans, I know I screw it up because I speak Arabic, but I don't speak Persian. [01:44:12] Okay, so, um, and sometimes like the Arabic creeps in on that and they go, No, I'm doing this from memory, northwest of the town, north northwest of the town. [01:44:34] And it's like a Havoc Air Base. [01:44:37] It's not Havoc. [01:44:39] It's owned by this Iranian company that produces aircraft. [01:44:45] And this company has been around since the 1970s. [01:44:51] And it stemmed from a company, it's sent from Textron. [01:44:54] Textron built a Bell, oh God. [01:45:00] What's the name of that Bell helicopter? [01:45:02] I want to say like the 212 or 280. [01:45:05] The Huey? [01:45:07] It was the famous Bell Hill. [01:45:08] Yeah, it looks like a Huey, but it's the civilian version of that. [01:45:12] There's probably fans who are yelling at me right now, like, no, it's the Bell. [01:45:15] I want to say the 212 or 280. [01:45:17] There'll be a comment below. [01:45:18] I'm sure there will be. [01:45:22] But if you look up the Bell 407, yeah, it kind of looks like that one there. [01:45:30] But it's the older one from the 19th century. [01:45:32] It doesn't matter. [01:45:33] So Textron actually built a factory, and that factory was taken over by this specific Iranian company, and that's the place that they hit. [01:45:44] So that particular company, and again, I can't remember the darn name. [01:45:47] If you look up the airbase from Ifstan, and I might be pronouncing that wrong Ifstan Airbase, yeah, not Ramstein, Ifstan Airbase, Iran. [01:46:02] Ifstan. [01:46:03] Yeah, I'm probably butchering that pronunciation. [01:46:07] I know I screwed up the spelling. [01:46:09] It's okay. [01:46:09] In Iraq, Iran. [01:46:14] Yeah, it was Iran. [01:46:18] There you go. [01:46:18] Ishfahan. [01:46:21] Unbelievable. [01:46:22] So, Ishfahan Air Base. [01:46:24] And if you find a map of that, I'll actually be able to get you to the right. [01:46:29] Maps, click Maps. [01:46:30] Well, I'm not going to type it in correctly. [01:46:32] Yeah, you got it. [01:46:33] You got it. [01:46:34] You got it. [01:46:35] A H A N. Ishfahan. [01:46:37] If you go to Maps, again, I have to do all this. [01:46:41] So, this is, if you show the satellite view. [01:46:46] Okay, now what we're looking at now, if you zoom out, here's a city. [01:46:49] It's in the middle of the desert. [01:46:51] Now, if you go up a little bit and a little bit to the left, Isfahan, [01:47:08] go up, keep going up, And that airbase is basically, it's a factory, kind of like how Burbank used to have a factory. [01:47:27] There used to be, oh, there, HESA, HESA. [01:47:31] That was it. [01:47:32] Go back down, HESA. [01:47:33] That's the name of the company. [01:47:34] Up, more. [01:47:36] I don't see anything. [01:47:37] Keep going up, keep going up. [01:47:38] Keep going up. [01:47:39] Right there. [01:47:39] To the right, to the right. [01:47:40] HESA. [01:47:40] Oh, HESA Aircraft Manufacturing, right there. [01:47:44] If you go into satellite view, you'll see the airbase. [01:47:45] That's what they hit. [01:47:47] Oh, really? [01:47:47] You know what's crazy is I did all that from memory. [01:47:50] This is why I don't have a girlfriend. [01:47:54] Because this is all I think about. [01:47:56] Like, I memorize facts like this. [01:47:59] And I don't know everything, but I know if you go to that town, Isfahan, and you go up a little bit and, you know, north and a little bit east of the city, I said, well, I say West, I should have said east. [01:48:13] I know you'll get to the Hesse. [01:48:14] And I remember that Hesse, if you look up Hesse Manufacturing, it started out as a textron company. [01:48:21] Interesting. [01:48:22] Yeah, from Bell because Boeing or Boeing Textron, I mean, the Iranians were making all sorts, they were using all sorts of American equipment. [01:48:33] They still do. [01:48:34] They're one of the last people that fly. [01:48:36] They are the last country that flies the F 14 Tomcat. [01:48:39] Really? [01:48:39] No, one of the reasons we got rid of the Tomcat, supposedly, is that, well, number one, we went to concert on the Super Hornet and the F 35. [01:48:47] But number two, like for every Tomcat we produce, well, not produce, but for every Tomcat we make parts for, that's one part that could theoretically go to Iran. [01:48:55] Mm hmm. [01:48:57] And, uh, yeah. [01:48:59] So, yeah, I think like one of the first reports that came out about this last night was that, um, we, they sent, um, Israel sent missiles and drones over there. [01:49:08] And it were like, it hit like a big, a big shot meeting that was going on with like the head of the IRGC was there, the guy who replaced Soleimani, right? [01:49:17] Hessa? [01:49:18] Or are you talking about the consulate attack? [01:49:21] Uh, no, not the consulate attack happened, I think was like on the third or something like that. [01:49:25] And then, um, the attack last night, When Israel sent the rockets and the drones to Iran, I heard that there was a report that they targeted some sort of meeting that was going on with the head of the IRGC. [01:49:40] That's certainly possible. [01:49:41] Iran is weird like that. [01:49:42] But then it changed. [01:49:44] And then I guess Iran came out and said, Oh, it didn't work. [01:49:48] Our anti aircraft defense basically knocked down everything and they just saved face. [01:49:54] He said, nothing really happened. [01:49:55] We're good here. [01:49:57] And now people are speculating that maybe they're trying to save face because they don't want it to escalate anymore. [01:50:01] They're trying to find an exit ramp to this whole thing. [01:50:04] I'm sure they're. [01:50:05] Look, they. [01:50:08] So Iran has the leash of Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis in Yemen. [01:50:14] Right. [01:50:15] Like the Houthis are not making missiles. [01:50:17] They're sitting around chewing cotton all day. [01:50:19] Right. [01:50:19] Right. [01:50:20] So, and someone hands them a missile. [01:50:23] They're like, oh, this is kind of cool. [01:50:24] You know what? [01:50:27] Let me shoot this in the morning because I want to be high today. [01:50:29] Right. [01:50:30] So, yeah, I guess the Houthis would be the Florida man of the Middle East. [01:50:36] Really? [01:50:36] Yeah. [01:50:36] You think about it. [01:50:38] Right. [01:50:38] Wow. [01:50:38] It's too hot to do anything anyway. [01:50:40] Yeah. [01:50:41] So, you know, I think that. [01:50:44] Iran, their fingerprints were all over the. [01:50:47] So I kept. [01:50:48] So one of the things that I got, and I did a video on this, was I got what's called an op order, an operations order that was recovered from a deceased Hamas member that was attacked, that did the October 7th attack. [01:51:04] And the op order was there, the operations order, the SOI was there, the signal operating instructions, what radio frequencies they were going to use, and mobile phone numbers and all that. [01:51:15] Um, and I can't read Arabic as well as I used to. [01:51:19] If you don't use it, you lose it. [01:51:21] But I had a number of people help me translate it, and some of these guys were actually Palestinian refugees who were living. [01:51:28] One of these guys, uh, was a Palestinian refugee and he's living in Syria now. [01:51:33] And he was like, dude, Iran's fingerprints are all over this. [01:51:37] Like, what do you even do? [01:51:39] Because of their poor Arabic, like their translation, like the way the diction that, like, That Iranians would use. [01:51:48] So, and I kind of have to trust these guys on that. [01:51:51] But a number of people said that. [01:51:52] So, I was one officer in the UAE army. [01:51:55] He helped me out with the translation as well. [01:51:57] And I got a lot of good information out of that. [01:52:00] But, like, they were planning this for two years. [01:52:02] People said, like, oh, was Russia involved in this? [01:52:05] I don't think Russia had any freaking clue this was going to happen. [01:52:08] They were planning this for years. [01:52:09] They were planning that for years. [01:52:11] And I think that Iran was the enabler and that you had people like. [01:52:18] Hamas is looking at Mahmoud Abbas, who is the head of the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank. [01:52:24] So there's, I don't say that there's two Palestines. [01:52:26] There's one Palestine, but in 2006, there were elections. [01:52:31] Hamas won. [01:52:32] And then the next week, Hamas just murdered everybody in Fatah, which is the other political party, over the course of a week. [01:52:39] It was called the Battle of Gaza. [01:52:41] So after that, like you had the West Bank, which is ruled by Fatah. [01:52:46] And then you had Gaza, which was ruled by Hamas. [01:52:49] Mahmoud Abbas, who runs Hattah or runs the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank, the guy's 88 years old. [01:52:55] When you're 88 years old, there's not a lot left on the actuarial tables. [01:52:59] Right. [01:52:59] Right. [01:53:00] So he's going to die soon. [01:53:02] So I'm sure Hamas is looking at that and they're going, hmm, let's invade Israel. [01:53:07] Let's grab a couple of prisoners. [01:53:09] We're going to bring them back. [01:53:11] And for the next five years, Israel's going to try to get these guys back doing special operations, doing coin counterinsurgency. [01:53:18] Right. [01:53:20] And When Mahmoud Abbas dies, we'll say, We'll give all these prisoners back if you let us have the West Bank. [01:53:28] And now they have total control. [01:53:30] I think that was their plan. [01:53:32] However, Israel said, Coin, you want counterinsurgency? [01:53:37] And they gave him a Lisko sledgehammer to the face. [01:53:40] LISCO means large scale combat operations. [01:53:43] So I think that, you know, COIN was what we were doing in Iraq for the initial invasion was LISCO, large scale combat operation. [01:53:52] After that, we were doing counterinsurgency in Iraq and Afghanistan. [01:53:57] So I think that Hamas was like, oh, we're going to take these prisoners. [01:54:00] We're going to do, we're going to, you know, we're going to fight an insurgency against special forces troops and they're going to raid this building. [01:54:08] We're going to be someplace else. [01:54:09] We're going to do this for five years. [01:54:10] And then we'll give the prisoners back, right? [01:54:12] And we'll lose some guys. [01:54:13] We'll kill a couple of them. [01:54:14] Yeah. [01:54:15] And Israel just said, Oh, no, baby, we're going full. [01:54:18] Let's go. [01:54:18] Yeah. [01:54:18] And they just rolled in with a freaking steamroller and just started slamming people in the face with sledgehammers. [01:54:26] Like it was, it was a sledgehammer to the face. [01:54:29] I think that's one of the reasons that Hamas, they had no idea what the hell to do because they'd never been hit like that before. [01:54:37] Like they had prepared for one kind of war and Israel said, Oh, no, right. [01:54:41] We're, we're going to do it our way. [01:54:43] And I find it kind of stunning. [01:54:44] I mean, What do you make of the fact of what happened on October 7th? [01:54:48] Like, how do you think they were able to plan that attack and execute that attack? [01:54:53] I mean, I've never been to Israel, but from everyone that I've talked to that's been there, they said, you can't sneeze on that border without an IDF soldier in your face. [01:55:04] Well, they probably did it by keeping everybody segregated. [01:55:08] And I think one of the reasons, by segregated, I mean, like, they had multiple cells, multiple operating cells, like squads, like, Nine to 13 dudes. [01:55:18] Now, the reason I believe this is that every single dude that was captured by the IDF who was involved in the raid said that they were promised an apartment and $10,000. [01:55:30] Now, here's why I think this was compartmentalized. [01:55:35] I believe that they had, it was around 2,000, 3,000 troops, all of whom thought they were independent cells. [01:55:44] Because if they didn't think that, They would have talked to each other and been like, Hey, did they promise you an apartment? [01:55:51] Oh, yeah, they promised me an apartment. === RSF Independence and Niger Coup (16:02) === [01:55:52] How about you? [01:55:53] Yeah, they promised me an apartment. [01:55:54] Hold up. [01:55:55] They promised all of us an apartment? [01:55:56] Where are they going to get all these apartments from? [01:56:00] Right? [01:56:01] So I think that's an indicator that now Hamas lied, or maybe they actually did think that they were going to be able to give those who survived and brought back a prisoner an apartment. [01:56:13] If there was this coin operation that Israel conducted for the next five years, that might have happened. [01:56:17] But instead, they got a sledgehammer to the face. [01:56:19] Right. [01:56:20] Right. [01:56:21] So, all these dudes were motivated. [01:56:24] I'm going to go, I'm going to capture prisoners, I'm going to bring them back because then I get an apartment. [01:56:29] And they never talked outside their cell because they were told not to. [01:56:32] So, I think what we had, I believe it was, I want to say it was more than 13. [01:56:36] I want to say it was probably around 30 cells that breached the border fence in Israel and started running amok. [01:56:45] So, 30 cells, 10 guys each. [01:56:49] How many of them were there total? [01:56:53] I want to say it was between 300. [01:56:55] So it's a tough one, right? [01:56:56] Because one of the things that people did was that some dudes noticed the hole open in the fence and they just ran through and were grabbing like air conditioners, tires. [01:57:05] These are all things they can't necessarily get, right? [01:57:08] Because of the embargo. [01:57:09] So you're a Palestinian dude and your wife is like, it's hot. [01:57:13] Well, fence is open. [01:57:15] Yeah. [01:57:15] Honey, you know, I'm going to Sears, right? [01:57:19] Like, I'll be right back. [01:57:21] So, you know, what are you going to do? [01:57:23] Right. [01:57:25] So, actually, I don't recall the exact number of people between 300 and 3,000. [01:57:30] Right. [01:57:30] So, it depends on what you count as a guy, as a person. [01:57:37] And how does the Mossad miss this with all the communications that they can intercept and all the intelligence they have? [01:57:44] I mean, they're able to. [01:57:45] I had John Keriakou on here a couple of times, and he tells me about how they were able to figure out how the Hamas and some of these guys that were inside of Gaza were literally communicating to each other on backgammon. [01:58:01] Yes, game apps. [01:58:03] Yeah. [01:58:04] Yeah, like the chat feature on the game apps, which is insane. [01:58:08] Yeah, a number, a little while back, there were, I know there are people online who are saying, Ryan, talk to us about this ban on, or the government wanted to be able to look at game app stuff without a warrant. [01:58:19] Well, that's why. [01:58:20] Right. [01:58:21] Because it was from somewhere else. [01:58:22] And that's how the San Bernardino shooter was communicating as well. [01:58:26] You're absolutely right. [01:58:28] So I think a lot of it was just face to face contact. [01:58:32] They're doing this in small cells. [01:58:34] And the other thing is that, like, it's just such a Tom Clancy kind of thing. [01:58:41] To believe. [01:58:43] Like, they're not going to do that. [01:58:44] Like, that's a Tom Clancy movie, right? [01:58:46] 3,000 people stream over the border, raid, grab people, bring them back. [01:58:51] That's like a Clancy novel. [01:58:52] And, you know, Israel might have believed that, like, all right, a couple of cells might come across the border. [01:58:58] And that might have been why they kept it down to, you know, the individual cells as well. [01:59:03] I don't think any of these cells knew what other cells were doing. [01:59:06] Now, maybe Italian commanders knew or company commanders knew. [01:59:10] I think. [01:59:11] You know, at the individual level, individual squad level, they thought they were the only ones, right? [01:59:16] So they go over it. [01:59:17] So if Israel did intercept stuff, they're like, Oh, it's just another freaking squad doing their stupid BS stuff. [01:59:24] Maybe it'll come over the border. [01:59:25] We'll get them when they do. [01:59:26] Don't worry about it. [01:59:27] Yeah, but said there, there, there's a time I pronounce it wrong again. [01:59:31] Like Israelis go, You're pronouncing it wrong. [01:59:34] I speak Arabic. [01:59:34] Sorry, guys. [01:59:35] But there's a saying in Israel, Yeah, but said, don't worry about it. [01:59:41] It'll be fine. [01:59:42] A couple of guys, yeah, but said, we'll take. [01:59:45] Out of it. [01:59:46] Don't worry. [01:59:47] Right. [01:59:48] So it could have been that. [01:59:50] And now, when you're seeing dudes like with hang gliders, you know, like this powered, what are they called? [01:59:57] Ultralights. [01:59:58] Like, oh, wow. [01:59:59] They have an ultralight club now? [02:00:01] It's a heck of a club for an open air prison to have. [02:00:03] How come they have ultralights? [02:00:06] That's kind of a, that probably would, in the intelligence community, this is what we call a clue. [02:00:11] Right. [02:00:14] Like, why is there suddenly an ultralight club? [02:00:17] Pop it up in Gaza. [02:00:18] Maybe I would have investigated that a little bit. [02:00:22] So, one of the ways they hit the border, some came through tunnels, some came through the fence, some came through ultralights, some came by this ocean. [02:00:30] They came in on boats, small boats. [02:00:33] So, the ultralight thing, that still blows me away. [02:00:37] Yeah, that is pretty insane that they were able to do that. [02:00:39] Yeah, I wouldn't have even thought of that. [02:00:43] So, it could have just been that Israel missed it because it was just such a crazy thought. [02:00:49] The other thing is, people have said that a lot of the women, so female conscripts, a lot of them were tasked with monitoring the border. [02:00:59] A lot of women go into intelligence positions or into what do you call it administrative positions. [02:01:07] So you might be a conscript and you're like, hey, sir, you bring this up to your commanding officer. [02:01:13] These guys are doing hang gliding. [02:01:15] What do you know? [02:01:17] You're just here for two years and I get another one who looks just like you. [02:01:21] Go back to your computer. [02:01:22] Don't talk. [02:01:23] To me about this again. [02:01:24] It's my best Israeli accent I could do. [02:01:29] And then they're like, dude, but who are you going to go to next? [02:01:33] My boss told me that, and I'll be like, all right, well, you know what? [02:01:36] I did my job. [02:01:37] It's on him now. [02:01:37] Right. [02:01:39] Right. [02:01:39] It's on him. [02:01:41] If he wants to ignore this and tell, all right, I'm going home with you the other day. [02:01:46] Right. [02:01:47] Yeah. [02:01:47] I mean, it's just hard to wrap your head around when you're someone like me and you're looking at all this stuff like this and trying to understand how people think in that part of the world. [02:01:56] And if you haven't been there, it's really, really hard to understand what it must be like, especially living in that part of the world where you're surrounded by. [02:02:08] You know, you're so vulnerable. [02:02:10] There are Palestinians who have the key that they had. [02:02:16] Have you heard of the term the Nakba? [02:02:19] So during the War of Independence, Israel's independence, many Arabs that were on the land, what we call Palestinians today, you'd call, I guess, Palestinians back then too, Arabs that lived on the land, many of them were kicked off their land. [02:02:38] Some by the Jews that were taking. [02:02:41] Areas and some by other Arabs, the Jordanians, the Egyptians, Syrians. [02:02:46] They're told, get off the land. [02:02:48] You can come back when we've killed all the Jews, right? [02:02:51] So these dudes left. [02:02:54] And a lot of the ones who ended up in Gaza, they're the ones who never had anything to come back to because they lost their homes during the Nakba. [02:03:01] Al Nakba means catastrophe, a catastrophe. [02:03:06] And there are some people who have, like, the key to the house that they. [02:03:11] That they owned is like a totem, and it's in a box, like a picture, a frame hanging on their wall. [02:03:19] If they still have a wall today, it's hanging on a wall. [02:03:22] And that's the key that one day we will return. [02:03:25] One day we will push the Jews into the sea and we will return to our home. [02:03:29] And this has now been two generations since the Nakba, right? [02:03:35] Since the catastrophe. [02:03:37] And so that's kind of what we're working with here. [02:03:39] And when you do talk to Palestinians, Who went through that? [02:03:44] I think maybe only a third of the people in Gaza were original residents. [02:03:49] They had farms and stuff like that. [02:03:51] And initially, Egypt ran Gaza. [02:03:54] It was after the Six Day War that Egypt was like, you know what? [02:03:56] You can keep that. [02:03:57] Right, right. [02:04:00] That's all you, boo. [02:04:01] You deal with that. [02:04:06] Life sucks. [02:04:07] Yeah. [02:04:07] It sucks. [02:04:08] You take a look at a place like Gaza. [02:04:10] I mean, Gaza doesn't produce anything. [02:04:12] All it does is consume. [02:04:15] I mean, At least the West Bank, there might be some olive oil and there's some factories there. [02:04:21] You know, there's some trade, I guess. [02:04:25] But for the most part, Gaza is, I wouldn't, I would, I mean, Jordan Harbinger, when I was on his show, he said it was, he's been there in Gaza. [02:04:33] I've been to Israel. [02:04:35] I never went to the West Bank or Gaza. [02:04:37] I was on a four day pass when I was there. [02:04:39] So, you know, we went to Jerusalem and I think Tel Aviv. [02:04:42] And that was, at least at the time, you could still smoke in a mall there. [02:04:46] I was like, ah, this is great. [02:04:48] I don't want to leave. [02:04:49] This is fantastic. [02:04:50] I think this is in 2008. [02:04:52] Do you think, going back to what happened yesterday with that Israeli strike, do you think they got a green light from the U.S. to do that? [02:05:02] Or how much influence do you think that the U.S. has in what's going on? [02:05:06] I don't think we have as much as the media would, as the media or as some Palestinian sophists would like you to believe. [02:05:18] Israel's going to do what they need to do in order to defend themselves. [02:05:23] Full stop. [02:05:24] Like, that's just, this is just how they're going to do things. [02:05:28] And they are not going to listen to us, even if we give good advice. [02:05:34] Like, hey, maybe you ought to build refugee camps as you invade. [02:05:37] That way you can take care of people who you've displaced. [02:05:43] There's the way we wage war and there's the way they wage war. [02:05:48] Two different ways of doing it. [02:05:49] Yeah, they seem, I mean, a little bit unhinged, right? [02:05:55] Yes. [02:05:56] Yeah. [02:05:58] And there's a part of me that says, I understand. [02:06:02] And there's another part of me that says, if you want to play army for real, then you have to do it the right way. [02:06:09] And part of that right way is having a plan for what you're going to do with displaced civilians, getting them medical care, getting them food, because we should not be airdropping. [02:06:19] There was this whole thing oh, we're going to build a transport dock on the coast of Gaza. [02:06:25] There is plenty of capacity at the border crossings to get trucks in. [02:06:29] Plenty of capacity. [02:06:30] We don't need to build a transport dock. [02:06:31] There's plenty of capacity. [02:06:32] The Israelis just won't let stuff in. [02:06:35] And some of that might be they have legitimate reasons for inspecting that cargo. [02:06:41] And some of that might be, you know what? [02:06:44] Velo Bayashali. [02:06:46] That is not my problem. [02:06:48] Right? [02:06:49] Like, these guys, they attacked us, and now you want us to bring in diapers? [02:06:54] La, I wasn't, and pardon my ignorance on this, my knowledge of this part of the world and the history of it is very spotty. [02:07:05] But wasn't Netanyahu responsible for, like, funding Hamas to a large degree over the last. [02:07:15] I've heard that. [02:07:17] But. [02:07:17] I don't. [02:07:18] So I guess it depends on what you mean by funding Hamas. [02:07:21] Like I heard that they were literally sending suitcases full of cash. [02:07:25] I mean, so. [02:07:26] Because I guess the idea was that they would be. [02:07:31] It would help them fight the PLO and it would contain that fight. [02:07:36] Yeah. [02:07:36] And they would maybe deplete each other somehow. [02:07:39] Well, the PLO is a militant arm of Fatah, which is the governing body of the West Bank. [02:07:46] So. [02:07:48] I mean, maybe. [02:07:49] I'm not sure that. [02:07:50] I can tell you that, you know, Hamas is the full, I usually pronounce this word wrong, monopoly of services. [02:08:00] So Hamas is the government, and then the Quds force is the military. [02:08:04] But they also have a police force, they also have an education department, they also have a health department, right? [02:08:09] It is a country. [02:08:11] Well, it is a state. [02:08:12] It's not a country yet, really, right? [02:08:15] It's a state. [02:08:17] And they provide services to their people, trash collection, hospitals, so on. [02:08:22] So, it would make sense to support the police because they are doing police things. [02:08:28] And you identify Hamas police by their uniforms, which are blue. [02:08:35] Right. [02:08:35] So, I mean, and technically they shouldn't be targeted either because they're police. [02:08:38] You're not supposed to target police. [02:08:39] They're considered non combatants. [02:08:41] Now, if a policeman's shooting at you, yeah, he's a combatant. [02:08:43] Right. [02:08:43] Take him out. [02:08:44] But so, in that sense, I could see them supporting the police, the training. [02:08:50] I think. [02:08:52] Canada, not I think, I know that Canada was in the West Bank training Palestinian Authority police, but I don't know. [02:09:02] Yeah, yeah. [02:09:02] Wow. [02:09:03] Canada trains people. [02:09:04] Canada is like the world's number one trainer of foreign nations, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, because they speak French. [02:09:15] A lot of them speak French. [02:09:16] So they'll go to Haiti and they'll train police. [02:09:19] So they'll go to Cyprus and they'll train police. [02:09:22] They train police all over. [02:09:24] Hmm. [02:09:24] Yeah, the Royal Canadian Mountain Police remains. [02:09:26] I find it so bizarre how, like, the things we pay attention to, right? [02:09:32] Or the things that the US just has interest in, like this war with Israel or the war with Ukraine. [02:09:38] But I think, wasn't there recently a coup in Niger? [02:09:41] And there's also all this war going on in the Congo. [02:09:47] And there's all these things going on. [02:09:49] I think I saw about the coup in Niger at the bottom of a feed on some website I saw. [02:09:55] It was nowhere near a top headline. [02:09:57] And I haven't heard anybody talk about that really. [02:10:00] I think I talked about it a little bit. [02:10:02] Oh, really? [02:10:02] Yeah. [02:10:03] And that was one of those things where. [02:10:04] It seems like we don't care about it. [02:10:07] I'm sure we do. [02:10:08] It's just there's, look, there's 17 minutes in the evening news, right? [02:10:14] Like, and the rest is all commercials for Lipitor, right? [02:10:18] So, like, how much time can you actually devote to Niger, right? [02:10:24] Sudan, there's been a war going on in Sudan for weeks. [02:10:27] I actually know a journalist who's there, and this guy texts me occasionally, like, right, it's between the RSF. [02:10:34] And the Sudanese army, RSF, was this force, the John Weed militia, that they took. [02:10:40] I'm sure you heard of Darfur a couple of years ago. [02:10:43] Well, the John Weed militia took care of Darfur. [02:10:47] And the John Weed militia became the RSF, the Rapid Security Forces. [02:10:53] And these guys, they were kind of like a militia that was an ethnic militia that could do the dirty work of the president in Sudan. [02:11:05] And just recently, About two years ago, the RSF teamed up with the Sudanese army and they overthrew the president of Sudan. [02:11:15] The army took over, and the army was just recently said to the RSF, Hey, um, we want you to be integrated into the army, we don't want you to be a militia force anymore. [02:11:27] The RSF was like, No, I kind of like our independence, let's have a war. [02:11:31] So, wow, yeah, that's been going on for the army slowly been pushing them back, mainly through the use of Iranian and Chinese drones. [02:11:39] So, uh, the RSF is slowly losing ground, but it uh, I feel like the internet in Sudan is super spotty. [02:11:46] So, this one guy, yeah, when he uh, when he writes me, he's like, Ryan, Mr., Master Ryan, I have a new video for you. === Bunker Branding War Crimes Evidence (15:13) === [02:11:55] And yeah, God knows this guy's staying next to a hotspot for 12 hours waiting for this video because he, yeah, he can't get stuff out, you know, except with me. [02:12:03] And then what is he use the uh, the Tesla satellite for Wi Fi? [02:12:08] Well, I don't know, like they have internet cafes. [02:12:10] I mean, Sudan is a modern country, like they. [02:12:14] You know, one thing that kind of blows my mind about Sudan, they have rural businesses there where people charge cell phones. [02:12:20] So you'll see markets where you might not necessarily have electricity in your village, but you'll walk to the next village and you'll pay some dude money and he has these banks of chargers. [02:12:31] He'll have like a solar charger. [02:12:32] Wow. [02:12:33] And it's just banks of phones, like a hundred phones. [02:12:36] And so as you do your shopping in the market, he's charging your phone. [02:12:40] It's like going to the gas station. [02:12:41] Yeah. [02:12:41] Yeah. [02:12:42] And you pay him, you know, a little bit of money to charge your phone and you take your. [02:12:46] Phone. [02:12:46] And that's actually, that's been a way for women to make money. [02:12:48] That's actually, I'm sure you've heard of microloans. [02:12:52] Yeah, that was like a big thing in Africa. [02:12:54] A woman can get like a microloan for a certain amount of money. [02:12:58] And then that woman can then go buy a charger and then start their own business. [02:13:03] And it's just a way for women to be independent. [02:13:05] Oh, wow. [02:13:06] That's crazy. [02:13:09] And it is neat. [02:13:14] It's funny how much they're like us. [02:13:17] I felt the same way about Iranians. [02:13:18] You know, there's fake Apple stores in Iran. [02:13:21] Yeah, I saw that in one of your videos. [02:13:23] Because Apple's banned in Iran, right? [02:13:25] Well, technically, we can't really export any kind of computer equipment to them. [02:13:29] But these Iranians, they want to be Western so badly that they'll go to Qatar and they'll go to Turkey and they'll buy Apple iPhones there and Macs and they'll bring them back to an Apple store that's totally unlicensed. [02:13:44] It looks like Apple Store. [02:13:46] It looks like an Apple Store. [02:13:47] They got this one kid. [02:13:51] I talked to him. [02:13:53] It's weird. [02:13:54] When Mishamani was murdered by the IRG, when by the. [02:13:59] By the morality police. [02:14:02] So, two years ago, Mishalmani, a Kurdish woman, she was wearing her hijab the wrong way. [02:14:08] She was beaten to death by the morality police in Iran. [02:14:13] And there were all these riots. [02:14:16] And one of the hardest things I ever had to do in my life, all these Iranians, I had no idea I had so many Iranian fans. [02:14:20] They all reached out to me and were like, Ryan, show us how to fight back, show us how to make a bomb. [02:14:25] I'm like, number one, I'm an infantryman, not EOD. [02:14:28] They give us that stuff. [02:14:29] I don't know how to make a bomb. [02:14:30] If I don't know how to make a bomb, you shouldn't be making a bomb. [02:14:33] Because if you don't know how to make a bomb, you shouldn't be making a bomb. [02:14:35] There's no such thing as a bomb maker who got a B. You're graded pass fail on making bombs. [02:14:41] All right. [02:14:42] So don't be making no bombs. [02:14:45] Like that, that's number one. [02:14:47] All right. [02:14:49] And then number two, it's ITAR, it's the International Traffic Arms Regulation ITAR. [02:15:00] I can't tell people. [02:15:02] How to make a weapon, even if I knew how to do that, I couldn't do that. [02:15:06] I can export license, all this stuff. [02:15:07] Yeah. [02:15:08] But what I did do is oops, I accidentally released the entire Iranian police radio frequencies. [02:15:15] Oh, sorry. [02:15:17] I know some of you guys are engineers. [02:15:18] It'd be a shame if you made a jammer, right? [02:15:22] Oh, so you did do that? [02:15:24] Yeah. [02:15:26] Oh, wow. [02:15:27] Yeah. [02:15:28] Yeah, I did that. [02:15:29] And what were they able to do? [02:15:31] How was that able to do a darn thing? [02:15:34] They shot him anyway. [02:15:35] Really? [02:15:36] The besieging militia. [02:15:37] They were shooting people with birdshot. [02:15:38] You know what birdshot is? [02:15:41] What's birdshot? [02:15:41] A shotgun shell. [02:15:44] You know, birdshot are these little BBs. [02:15:47] They're designed to shoot birds out of the air, clay pigeons, if you go skeet shooting. [02:15:50] Steve knows what birdshot is. [02:15:51] Steve's a pigeon. [02:15:52] They're little. [02:15:53] Oh, yeah. [02:15:54] Oh, yikes. [02:15:55] Yeah, a lot of these women. [02:15:57] Oh, God. [02:15:58] All right. [02:15:58] I'm good. [02:15:59] I don't need to see this. [02:16:00] Jesus Christ. [02:16:00] We can put that up on YouTube. [02:16:01] Yeah, we're not going to. [02:16:02] We'll instantly get this video shut down. [02:16:04] But, yeah, I. [02:16:07] So I couldn't. [02:16:09] Help them, but what I could do was I said, Find me pictures of the shell casings. [02:16:15] And from that, I can, what I can do is I can try to get lot numbers off the shell casings and just show where the shell casings are manufactured. [02:16:23] So if you guys do seem, if you do overthrow the government, then we can, you know, we can use this evidence for prosecuting people for war crimes later just by getting the lot number off the shell because we can, a lot number is a manufacturing code. [02:16:38] Okay. [02:16:38] That'll be like, Almost any shell, almost any piece of military equipment. [02:16:42] Told you when it was made? [02:16:43] Yeah, like this is what lot it was coming off the assembly line. [02:16:46] This is lot 249. [02:16:48] So, you know, okay, so this was made the second week of February, you know, lot nine, right? [02:16:55] Yeah. [02:16:55] So you have those on pieces of equipment because, like, if you have shells that aren't firing correctly, you can go, what's the lot number? [02:17:04] Oh, all right, well, this is probably a bad lot, right? [02:17:07] So you can go back to the factory and say, hey, lot 249 is bad. [02:17:11] And they'll notice a go out saying, like, don't look in your bunkers, find any kind of ammunition with lot 249 on it, take that off the firing line, send it back. [02:17:22] We need to inspect it. [02:17:24] The ammunition typically lasts a really long time, doesn't it? [02:17:27] Oh, yeah. [02:17:28] I mean, there's stuff from World War II. [02:17:29] Yeah. [02:17:30] So, my buddy, David Packhouse, he came on the podcast. [02:17:35] He ended up selling, I think it was like $80 million worth of AK ammo to the Iraq War, to the U.S. government to arm the Iraq War. [02:17:51] And they ended up getting it. [02:17:54] They ended up. [02:17:55] So they won the contract, right? [02:17:57] They won this contract to supply the Afghan army with ammunition. [02:18:02] Yeah. [02:18:03] And they ended up finding the ammo in some like abandoned factory in Albania. [02:18:09] Yeah, I'd buy that. [02:18:10] And it was all ammo that was donated from China. [02:18:15] From like, I wish I remembered the year, but I want to say it was like from the 50s or the 40s. [02:18:20] Maybe World War II, maybe before that even. [02:18:23] 762 by 39. [02:18:24] But I guess there was a bunch of civil wars in that area around the time it came from. [02:18:28] And, For some reason, I don't remember the history. [02:18:30] Yeah, go back to the podcast with David Packhouse and you'll find the history. [02:18:33] Yeah, um, uh, they shipped 80 million, like around 80 million dollars worth of ammo, and it all worked fine. [02:18:41] All the guys that were there training the Afghan soldiers said there was never a misfire, all of it worked great, probably in a spam can. [02:18:48] Yeah, and the problem, but the funny thing is, uh, the reason they got a huge discount on that ammunition because it all came from China and it was super old and it was all packaged. [02:19:02] In boxes that had Chinese writing all over it. [02:19:05] So they had to repackage tons. [02:19:08] Yeah. [02:19:08] Yeah. [02:19:08] Spam can. [02:19:09] They had to repackage it all because we had an embargo on China. [02:19:13] So the U.S. couldn't buy it if it came from China. [02:19:16] So they made a movie about him called War Dogs with Jonah Hill. [02:19:21] Yeah. [02:19:22] That, that, uh, I got to tell you, for the longest time, uh, you know, do you ever go to gun shows in Florida? [02:19:31] Every once in a while. [02:19:31] Yeah. [02:19:31] Every once in a while. [02:19:32] So, here now they're just beef jerky shows, right? [02:19:34] Like all the good. [02:19:35] I haven't been to one in a long time. [02:19:36] Oh, yeah. [02:19:36] Well, that's just it. [02:19:37] Like all the good stuff is gone. [02:19:39] Like all the surplus rifles, all the surplus ammo. [02:19:42] That was all gone. [02:19:43] It was gone by the 2000s. [02:19:45] Like there's essentially no more of that stuff remaining. [02:19:48] So now you go to a gun show and it's like stuff that's double the price you get at Cabela's and like beef jerky and handicrafts. [02:19:55] Right. [02:19:56] So there's no point in going. [02:19:57] I remember when going to gun shows was fun. [02:19:59] That was a way, look, for 10 bucks, you enter the gun show and. [02:20:03] All right, maybe you walk out with like a funny t shirt, you know, Kill a Kami for Mommy, right? [02:20:08] That's the only place you're before the internet. [02:20:10] That was the only place you could buy a t shirt that said Kill a Kami for Mommy, right? [02:20:14] Right. [02:20:14] Was a gun show. [02:20:15] Now you can buy it from Bunker Branding. [02:20:19] I actually don't have a Kill a Kami for Mommy t shirt, but maybe I should get one. [02:20:23] I think you should. [02:20:23] That would be great. [02:20:24] I think that'd probably be your number one selling shirt. [02:20:26] It might be. [02:20:28] I want to get back to the Russia Ukraine thing for a little bit. [02:20:33] What? [02:20:33] So, What do you think the outcome of that is going to be? [02:20:39] And what do you think the U.S. is going to continue to be as involved as they've been? [02:20:47] And like, because the way you see it right now, it looks like it's just going to be another Iraq war or another like Afghan war where it's just like a 20 year, never ending like grunt fight to the death of just like these small groups of people. [02:21:03] I think that I can tell you this. [02:21:05] Now, I've been told I was wrong about this. [02:21:09] So, maybe this ended a little while ago, but I was told by this one guy in Ukraine that they had Molotov cocktails at their bus stations. [02:21:18] Now, this might not be true anymore, but a Molotov cocktail isn't going to do a darn thing to a tank. [02:21:22] Molotov cocktail is a liquor bottle filled with some sort of accelerant. [02:21:26] And there's a wick, which in the form of a rag that you light that wick and you throw it and it bursts against the tank and it explodes in flame, right? [02:21:37] It's not going to do a darn thing to a tank, but people were building them anyway, right? [02:21:41] These improvised weapons. [02:21:43] And I can tell you that the Ukrainians are people who are not going to be slaves, they will not be slaves to Russia. [02:21:52] Mm hmm. [02:21:53] They will fight to the last tooth and the last nail. [02:21:56] Yeah. [02:21:56] Right. [02:21:58] What I see eventually happening is Russia just can't support. [02:22:05] Russia just runs out of tanks. [02:22:07] They just run out of armored vehicles. [02:22:09] That's probably going to happen in about three years, two to three years. [02:22:14] So you think that's our strategy is just to basically deplete them? [02:22:17] I wish I knew what our strategy was because we've had no strategy. [02:22:23] Mm hmm. [02:22:24] Uh, and actually, in a lot of ways, it's not up to us, it's up to the Ukrainians, right? [02:22:27] This isn't our fight, up to the Ukrainians, right? [02:22:29] Well, so look, they are doing the best they can with what they have, and they're not lacking for bravery, right? [02:22:39] Um, we don't tend to tell them how to do stuff, and uh, they're doing the best they can with what they have. [02:22:48] So, ultimately, what I see is the Donbas and Crimea. [02:22:53] So, I see the war ending. [02:22:55] Through a negotiated settlement, but Ukraine negotiating from a standpoint of strength instead of weakness. [02:23:02] And I see the Donbass. [02:23:04] Oh, fuck. [02:23:05] What is that? [02:23:06] The tank turret popped off. [02:23:08] Oh, that's what you were describing. [02:23:10] That tank turret hull is no longer. [02:23:13] Yeah, the tank, the hull is probably a couple meters away. [02:23:18] Yeah, I mean, it launches into the air with such. [02:23:22] Well, actually, that, I don't think that's it. [02:23:25] I don't know if that picture is scrollable, whether you can scroll down, but. [02:23:29] No, I think it's filling the screen. [02:23:31] But yeah, the. [02:23:33] What does that headline say, Steve? [02:23:35] This is. [02:23:36] Slow down. [02:23:36] Ukraine has become a graveyard for Russian tanks. [02:23:38] Right, right, right. [02:23:39] Yeah, you can't. [02:23:40] It's behind a paywall. [02:23:41] Yep. [02:23:42] So, yeah, that's one example of what happens to those tanks. [02:23:47] And you can imagine what happens to the crew, right? [02:23:50] The crew get lost in space. [02:23:51] Oh, my God. [02:23:52] Yeah, yeah. [02:23:54] Not a good outcome. [02:23:56] But I eventually see the Donbass and Crimea. [02:24:00] Eventually, we have like a peacekeeping force there. [02:24:03] Maybe made up of non aligned nations like Brazil, Fiji. [02:24:09] They do a peacekeeping tour there and they just keep that area. [02:24:13] Those areas become quasi independent states. [02:24:17] And maybe Ukraine is allowed to have a certain number of tanks and troops on one side, and Russia is allowed to have a certain number of tanks and troops. [02:24:26] We have the same thing in Egypt on the Egypt Israeli border in the Sinai Peninsula. [02:24:30] We've had troops there since. [02:24:34] Since the late 1970s, early 1980s, it's troops from countries you don't really think about, like Japan, Norway, Fiji, Colombia, the US, Italy, France. [02:24:48] They're all on the border, Ecuador, Uruguay. [02:24:53] They're on the border between Egypt and Israel, keeping the peace, making sure both sides are staying honest. [02:24:58] Wow. [02:24:59] But oh, there's that. [02:25:01] And you know, the other thing that's going to happen soon is. [02:25:04] Major design flaw. [02:25:05] Yeah, is the Russians. [02:25:08] They're going to run out of artillery tubes sooner or later. [02:25:11] Artillery tubes, an artillery tube is like a highly calibrated instrument, right? [02:25:19] And they need to be replaced after a certain number of rounds fired. [02:25:23] And if you don't replace those artillery tubes, they will explode or they'll start to get more and more inaccurate. [02:25:30] And then eventually they'll fail. [02:25:32] And they'll either fail catastrophically when you fire around, or they'll just break in half. [02:25:38] And so those tubes, they need to be replaced periodically. [02:25:42] And if Russia isn't producing enough tubes or they're running low on stocks of tubes, that's going to be an issue. [02:25:50] Yeah. [02:25:51] It seems like. [02:25:53] It seems like, I don't know if you saw Tucker's videos he made when he went over there to Russia, but he said everything looked great. [02:26:01] He's like, it looked like the country was thriving. [02:26:04] I didn't see any issues. [02:26:05] You go to Kyiv, it looks great too. [02:26:07] Right. [02:26:07] Really? [02:26:07] Yeah, yeah. [02:26:10] Kyiv is just a normal Western city. [02:26:12] Huh. [02:26:13] Yeah, absolutely. [02:26:14] I mean, there might be some areas that have been hit by missiles and stuff. [02:26:19] Chuck Holton, who he works, he's a colleague of mine at Newsmax. [02:26:22] He's a reporter. [02:26:23] You should have Chuck Holton on. [02:26:24] That guy, he has some stories. [02:26:26] Chuck Holton. [02:26:26] Oh, yeah. [02:26:27] Absolutely. [02:26:27] He's a, he, he actually, he actually goes to some of these conferences. [02:26:34] Oh, really? [02:26:34] Okay. [02:26:34] He's an actual war reporter. [02:26:36] I'm not really a journalist. [02:26:37] People call me a journalist. [02:26:38] I don't really, initially, I called myself a journalist, but the more I did it, the more I was like, yeah, I think I like Intel Guy better. [02:26:44] Because, like, I don't know how to do this journalism stuff. [02:26:47] And then I see real journalists and, like, yeah, I'm not like him. [02:26:52] You know, he's better than me at that sort of thing. [02:26:54] But so, so the U.S. Obviously, everyone who's a Ukrainian who is a male in fighting age is there fighting, right? [02:27:04] But the some women we don't have boots on the ground, the U.S., but we do have people there. === Wagner Group Mechanized Forces (13:05) === [02:27:08] We have special forces, they're special forces, contractors are out there doing work. [02:27:16] And we're gaining intel, like we're you know, I wouldn't be surprised every night we're taking information from the Patriot systems and that's going straight to maybe not CENTCOM, but yeah, I know my buddy, my buddy Julian Doris had a couple CIA mercenaries on his podcast that have been. [02:27:32] Been like on the ground there, and I told them a lot of stories about it. [02:27:36] But as far as Russia goes, are they basically all conscripts that are fighting this war? [02:27:44] It depends. [02:27:45] Andor do they have military contractors that are, or like do they have? [02:27:49] So they have, so Russia has a mix of they have conscripts and they have contractniki. [02:27:56] And contractniki is contract soldiers who will sign a contract for a certain number of years to serve. [02:28:04] Mm hmm. [02:28:05] And that was kind of how their army was based. [02:28:07] It was kind of half and half. [02:28:08] And actually, a lot of times when you came in as a conscript, it was kind of highly suggested that you become Kontrakniki. [02:28:17] And they, the Kontrakniki, what's kind of weird is that the sergeants in the Russian army are mainly trigger pullers. [02:28:28] Oh, you know, some more water would be a good name. [02:28:31] Do you mind grabbing a liquid death for Ryan out of the fridge? [02:28:36] So, I mean, this stuff is good too. [02:28:38] I'm probably going to finish this off. [02:28:40] This stuff is incredible. [02:28:41] Isn't it? [02:28:42] It's amazing. [02:28:43] Angels Envy is amazing. [02:28:44] So, yeah, the Russians, they do have Kontrakniki and they have conscripts. [02:28:48] And now, technically, the conscripts are not supposed to leave Russia, but I think that went out the window probably about two years ago. [02:28:55] So now you have conscripts fighting. [02:28:58] And it's not good, man. [02:29:00] Like, your life is, thank you, your life is brutal and short, you know, as a Kontrakniki or as a conscript. [02:29:09] It's not good. [02:29:10] And I know they had the Wagner group for a while. [02:29:16] Yeah, that ended. [02:29:16] And that, yeah, yeah, that ended it off a little more than he could chew with that one. [02:29:22] But that's what's fascinating about the Wagner group is that these guys they, um, you know, they were able to make the kind of gains that the Russian army just couldn't do because Wagner was light infantry. [02:29:36] Russia doesn't do light infantry. [02:29:37] What does that mean? [02:29:38] So, I guess you think about it, there's I don't know four different kinds of infantry, right? [02:29:45] You have airborne infantry, which eventually becomes light infantry, you have airborne infantry. [02:29:50] Aerosol infantry, which eventually becomes light infantry. [02:29:52] You have light infantry, which walk everywhere. [02:29:54] And then you have mechanized infantry, which they ride in vehicles to their location. [02:30:00] And usually these vehicles are called infantry fighting vehicles. [02:30:03] So they get to their location, and the infantry fighting vehicle usually has a gun on it and it'll provide support by fire while the infantry make their way around. [02:30:12] Well, Russia is mainly a mechanized infantry force, even their airborne is mechanized. [02:30:22] And or the VDV, which is their airborne, even their mechanized, they have special vehicles that are lighter and can be dropped. [02:30:30] And one interesting thing is that, you know, remember what I said? [02:30:36] What did Russia always intend to do? [02:30:38] What did they intend to fight in? [02:30:40] Nuclear chemical environment. [02:30:42] Right. [02:30:42] Right. [02:30:43] That's why they all have vehicles because it's a lot harder to get radiation poisoning when you have a vehicle with four centimeters of aluminum armor absorbing that dose. [02:30:53] Right. [02:30:55] So, Russia is mainly mechanized. [02:30:59] And also, the other thing, Russia doesn't tend to have NCOs, non commissioned officers. [02:31:05] They do, but they don't. [02:31:06] So, when I retired from the military, I was what's called a sergeant first class. [02:31:11] Really, I was a first sergeant. [02:31:12] I was in a first sergeant position as a sergeant first class. [02:31:15] So, I often liken that, the position of platoon sergeant, as I am the drive through manager at a Burger King. [02:31:24] The lieutenant runs the store. [02:31:26] But if he needs to leave, Because his daughter's sick, I can close up the store, right? [02:31:30] I know how to do that, right? [02:31:32] So, in an infantry unit, the lieutenant leads, the platoon sergeant does all the work behind the scenes to make sure the lieutenant doesn't have to think about anything. [02:31:41] The lieutenant can just concentrate on the tactical plan, right? [02:31:45] Mission comes down, lieutenant gets the mission. [02:31:47] He says, Hey, Sergeant, we got this mission. [02:31:50] I'm like, What's the mission? [02:31:51] Well, here's the mission. [02:31:52] Okay, I'll go. [02:31:54] I'm going to go gather fuel. [02:31:55] I'm drawing ammunition. [02:31:56] I'm drawing special equipment. [02:31:57] I'm doing this. [02:31:58] I'm doing that. [02:31:59] Meanwhile, the lieutenant's actually at the operations order who's getting more information as to what we're going to do and how we're going to do it. [02:32:05] And I'm working behind the scenes to get that done. [02:32:07] Russia doesn't have that. [02:32:08] Russia has a lieutenant. [02:32:11] And they have no mid level non commissioned officer to kind of back the lieutenant up and help them out. [02:32:16] They do have lower levels, junior NCOs. [02:32:19] They do have those. [02:32:21] But they don't really have that. [02:32:23] In the U.S. Army, the lieutenant is the mommy and the platoon sergeant's the daddy. [02:32:29] Right. [02:32:30] Right. [02:32:31] So you need a mommy and daddy to take care of everybody. [02:32:33] Right. [02:32:35] So Russia doesn't have that. [02:32:37] Well, when you're a mechanized infantry and you're not going that far from your vehicle, you don't really necessarily need that because you're never moving more than 300 meters away from your vehicle. [02:32:52] So you're always kind of under the control of the lieutenant anyway. [02:32:56] But if you're operating as light infantry, then you're operating in squads that are far. [02:33:03] Could be further away from the platoon, right? [02:33:06] The platoons are out on their own. [02:33:07] Now you need those mid level NCOs who know a lot of stuff, who've been in the army 10 years, 20, you know, 10 years, 15 years, who kind of know how things work to lead people, right? [02:33:19] Because they're out on their own, they're making decisions on their own. [02:33:22] And a lot of times in the Russian army, if the lieutenant gets killed, what the hell do we do? [02:33:25] I don't know. [02:33:26] Right. [02:33:27] But Wagner, they weren't like that because they used mercenaries who had been in combat before in Africa or wherever. [02:33:35] So they were those mid level NCOs. [02:33:37] Right. [02:33:39] So, they could do things that the Russian army just couldn't do. [02:33:43] NCOs were expensive. [02:33:44] I had to go to multiple schools to become a platoon sergeant. [02:33:47] And if I had stayed in, became a sergeant major, I'd have to go to the sergeant major academy. [02:33:51] I had to go to three different schools, one of which, ANOC, actually, I went to Mancock, which is the maneuver advanced non commissioned officers course. [02:34:01] And I'm sure they have people that have replaced the Wagner group, right? [02:34:05] Or the Perdosian. [02:34:06] I'm not aware of that. [02:34:07] It seems crazy that he'd whack the guy. [02:34:10] The guy was so important to. [02:34:12] That war, I mean, assuming he did, which he did, right? [02:34:16] Like, assuming he did, um, it actually makes perfect sense. [02:34:21] I mean, look, if you look at what do they call it? [02:34:25] Not Den of Thieves, did they ever actually conclude that Progozhin was on that plane? [02:34:31] Did they ever actually show like get DNA evidence or show or even report on that? [02:34:36] Who knows? [02:34:37] It's Russia. [02:34:38] I mean, you can assume anything came out of it. [02:34:41] How do you think? [02:34:42] Did you look into that? [02:34:43] How do you think that plane went down? [02:34:44] I am not an aviation expert. [02:34:46] I don't know. [02:34:47] Like that, like, look, I'm not, I, one of the things I don't do is I don't talk about things I don't understand. [02:34:53] If I'm that guy, I feel like I am very paranoid. [02:35:00] I can tell you this. [02:35:02] I mean, I did a video about how his wife was now the sole owner of, I actually looked into Belarusian property rights because Wagner was now incorporated in Belarus after the, yeah, and Pergozhin's wife. [02:35:16] Is now the owner of Wagner. [02:35:17] Of what? [02:35:18] Really? [02:35:18] Yeah, I looked at how their property rights transfer, and yeah, she's the owner of Wagner now. [02:35:24] Wow. [02:35:24] You know, or whatever's left of it, right? [02:35:26] I had my buddy, my buddy Andy Bustamante came on the show, and he was a former CIA officer, and he talks about how he, or his theory on it was that it was either an access agent that got on the plane, like a server or like a hostess or something like that. [02:35:47] Because there was a before the plane didn't take off when it was supposed to take off Apparently it took off like a couple hours after it was supposed to take off because there was technical issues with the plane Which is a huge red flag if I'm for Goshen. [02:35:57] I don't know if I'm getting on that plane if there's technical issues and it's not taking off But he doesn't think it was necessarily a bomb that was detonated on it. [02:36:08] He thinks that it was an air-to-air missile hmm. [02:36:11] I don't know because I Guess the the wing Yeah. [02:36:18] Came off the plane in midair and then it fell down. [02:36:21] If you look at the video, you can see the plane's like basically falling like a lawn dart. [02:36:25] And one of the wings is already gone in midair, right? [02:36:28] Yeah. [02:36:29] So his, and this is something that you would probably know about, he says that the air to air missiles are heat seeking. [02:36:34] So they're going to be looking for the engine of the plane, which is right behind the wing. [02:36:38] It depends on the missile, but yeah. [02:36:41] So that would have basically detached the wing from the airplane. [02:36:45] So it's heat seeking, but infrared isn't the only spectrum missiles think in. [02:36:50] They can also. [02:36:51] Seeing ultraviolet, and there's different spectrums. [02:36:55] Like flares, like I'm sure you've seen when a plane is, you know, missiles going after a plane, the flares pop out of the back. [02:37:03] And like that might help against some older missiles, but nowadays, missiles are seeing multiple spectrums. [02:37:11] What is that? [02:37:12] That's the, oh, that's the, okay, this is the flight path of the airplane. [02:37:15] This is the calibrated altitude of the airplane. [02:37:18] Scroll down, the vertical rate. [02:37:21] So right before it crashes, look how it's going steady. [02:37:25] See that bottom part, how it's flying straight? [02:37:26] Then it automatically, like, Flies way up high and then just dives. [02:37:32] So he was thinking, and this is his theory, is that it was trying to avoid a missile before it went down. [02:37:40] That would be interesting if that happened because I don't know many civilian jets that have detection software. [02:37:48] Because look, in order to avoid an incoming missile, you have to know that you're being painted. [02:37:57] The Headphyseries fighter plane is just locked onto you, that you fired a missile, right? [02:38:05] So typically you have software on there, electronic warning software that lets you know, like, hey, someone's tagging you, right? [02:38:14] And that's when you might take evasive action. [02:38:15] I don't know how many civilian planes have that. [02:38:17] I know that El Al does, the Israeli airline, right? [02:38:21] FedEx might. [02:38:22] Really? [02:38:23] Yeah. [02:38:23] If they're flying out of danger series, FedEx might. [02:38:25] And if you didn't have that software on your plane or that technology on your plane, you would not be able to see an escape. [02:38:30] That's not something the average pilot's worried about. [02:38:33] I would say, like, when pilots take off, that is last on their mind. [02:38:37] Maybe I'll get shot down today. [02:38:38] Unless Prigozhin is on your plane and he knows Putin wants his head. [02:38:43] I mean, so, like I was saying, the, what was it called? [02:38:47] Rule of thieves. [02:38:48] There's this whole culture in Russia, this whole prison culture of how they treat people in prison and thug culture where, like, you know, there's the person that sleeps by the toilet. [02:39:04] You know, who is the, I think they call him the rooster or something like that. [02:39:09] But like, there is, if you come at the king, you best not miss. [02:39:14] Right. [02:39:14] And I think that if there's one consistency when it comes to Russia, it's that you should always count on the fact that Vladimir Putin is going to do whatever it takes to make him look strong. [02:39:30] Right. [02:39:31] So he had to kill him. [02:39:36] He had to. [02:39:38] Like that's prison rules. [02:39:40] Right. [02:39:40] These are prison rules. [02:39:41] Yes. [02:39:42] Right. [02:39:42] Yep. [02:39:43] And, uh, and, uh, Pergozhin was a criminal. [02:39:47] You know, he was a criminal with a hot dog stand. [02:39:49] He somehow made it to the, you know, into Putin's inner circle, right? [02:39:53] Putin's chef. [02:39:55] So I would not be surprised if that plane was ordered to be destroyed, although the method of destruction, you know, again, like I couldn't speculate on that. [02:40:06] Right. [02:40:07] Yeah. [02:40:07] What do you think the chances are that, Putin never tries to deploy any nukes, whether it be like a tactical nuke or a small nuke. === THAD Interceptor Systems (15:17) === [02:40:14] Zero. [02:40:15] There's not a lot of. [02:40:17] So I shouldn't say zero. [02:40:19] So here's my thing. [02:40:21] So nuclear weapons aren't that useful. [02:40:27] And I say that because, especially we're talking about tactical weapons, which is something that when you had Annie on here, like she didn't really, Annie Jacobson, she didn't really get into the difference between tactical and strategic weapons. [02:40:39] Probably because she doesn't believe that there really is. [02:40:41] But there is. [02:40:42] Right. [02:40:42] Well, there's, she talks about in the book, she, she explains that there's this guy, uh, one of the guys she based her book off, Billy Waugh, who is a, uh, CIA mercenary who he did a bunch of tests where he would, they, they simulated, uh, deploying a tactical suitcase. [02:40:59] Yeah. [02:40:59] Suitcase bomb. [02:41:00] Well, it's, it's really the size of like a beer keg. [02:41:03] She called it a beer keg bomb. [02:41:04] Okay. [02:41:04] Yeah. [02:41:05] It's, if you actually look that up, it looks like a, oh, really? [02:41:08] Yeah. [02:41:08] Yeah. [02:41:08] It's like a beer keg. [02:41:09] It's not a suitcase. [02:41:10] It's a beer keg. [02:41:11] Yeah. [02:41:12] You can look that up. [02:41:13] Yeah. [02:41:13] Find that. [02:41:13] The suitcase bomb, but the, um, it's a beer keg. [02:41:17] Um, He's really freaking big. [02:41:19] Engineers actually had those to like destroy infrastructure. [02:41:25] So, back in the 1950s, 1960s, yeah. [02:41:28] Oh, Shane, you're right. [02:41:29] That's a beer keg. [02:41:30] Holy cow. [02:41:32] It's not a suitcase, it's a beer keg. [02:41:33] No, not even close. [02:41:35] So, back in the 1950s, 1960s, we used gravity bombs, you know, regular bombs dropped that were nuclear from planes like the Thunder Chief, the F 104. [02:41:52] And the idea was that, like, all right, if the Russians are coming close to a bridge in West Germany, we need to knock that bridge down. [02:41:58] We're going to use a nuclear weapon on that bridge. [02:42:01] Why? [02:42:01] Because you don't have to be that surgical. [02:42:03] If you look at the Phan Hua Bridge in Vietnam, it took the U.S. I want to say seven years to destroy that bridge, Phan Hua Bridge. [02:42:13] Seven years to destroy that thing until it was finally destroyed. [02:42:17] Like, they finally dropped a span with the. [02:42:22] I did a whole video on this. [02:42:25] Yeah, they finally dropped that spam with a laser guided bomb in 1972. [02:42:30] Wow. [02:42:30] 1965 to 1972. [02:42:34] That's how long it took them. [02:42:35] And we had hundreds of sorties against this bridge. [02:42:39] All right. [02:42:41] Nowadays. [02:42:42] Steve, can you turn that fan off? [02:42:44] Nowadays, we have laser guided weapons, GPS guided weapons. [02:42:49] Thank you. [02:42:50] It's a lot easier for us to destroy infrastructure. [02:42:52] But back in the 1950s, 1960s, it made sense to use a nuclear weapon. [02:42:57] Against something. [02:42:59] Now, if you want to talk about today, there's basically two valid cases or two understandable cases in which you'd use a tactical nuclear weapon. [02:43:09] You'd use a tactical nuclear weapon to stop an advance. [02:43:13] Let's say the Ukrainian army's broken through your defenses, they are headed to the Black Sea or the Sea of Azov in order to link up or in order to cut you in half. [02:43:26] It would make, now, I'm going to invoke a special rule here. [02:43:29] I call it the very bad things rule. [02:43:30] Have you ever watched the movie Very Bad Things? [02:43:33] There was a lot. [02:43:34] So, the movie Very Bad Things was about a guy's at a bachelor party and the exotic dancer they invite to their hotel room accidentally gets killed. [02:43:41] Oh, no. [02:43:41] While they're partying with her. [02:43:43] And Christian Slater has the greatest line I've ever heard in a movie. [02:43:46] He goes, You know, if you take away all of your morals and all of your values, what we have is a 105 pound problem that needs to be moved from point A to point B. [02:43:56] So, they move this exotic dancer and then they suffer the consequences of regret. [02:44:02] You know, for the rest of their lives, right? [02:44:04] But Christian Slater wasn't wrong, right? [02:44:08] He wasn't wrong. [02:44:09] You know, so if you get in the mind of Christian Slater from very bad things, you can go a nuclear weapon is a perfectly valid tool to use on a unit that is breaking through your lines because it'll stop it like that. [02:44:23] It'll stop that advance. [02:44:24] So if, let's say, the Ukrainians break through and Russian forces just start collapsing and collapsing and collapsing, they will probably use a nuclear weapon. [02:44:35] They could use a nuclear weapon, a gravity bomb, most likely delivered by a Su 34 bomber on the advancing lines. [02:44:43] It'll stop the attack like that. [02:44:45] They do that, they might risk a conflict with NATO, but it is a valid use for that weapon. [02:44:51] So that's one use case for that weapon. [02:44:54] Second use case would be to destroy an underground bunker that you just can't reach with a conventional weapon. [02:44:59] So the Iranians are building, you know, they have their uranium enrichment facility. [02:45:04] Bunker buster. [02:45:05] Bunker buster, yeah. [02:45:06] So you put that thing down. [02:45:09] Yeah, that would be another valid use. [02:45:10] But for the most part, you're restricted to. [02:45:12] Oh, their third valid use against shipping. [02:45:17] A nuclear weapon, you put a nuclear weapon in a hypersonic missile, you launch that against an aircraft carrier, you've got yourself a carrier killer. [02:45:25] So that would be a useful use case. [02:45:27] So, three use cases. [02:45:29] And that's pretty much it. [02:45:30] Everything else, yeah. [02:45:31] So I don't really see, you know, Ukraine doesn't have any aircraft carriers. [02:45:36] Now, you could use a nuclear weapon and detonate that and then run people through. [02:45:42] The debris field, run people through the blast. [02:45:44] So you use a nuclear weapon to open up a hole in the lines and then run people through that crater, released on the periphery of that crater. [02:45:54] You attack through the crater or the affected area. [02:45:57] So you don't even have to detonate on the surface. [02:45:59] You detonate in an airburst. [02:46:00] In the atmosphere. [02:46:01] There's less fallout, right? [02:46:02] EMP effects. [02:46:04] There'll be some, right? [02:46:05] But you detonate that, you push everybody through that hole. [02:46:09] There's not a lot of radioactivity because it was airburst. [02:46:12] That was another thing, Annie didn't talk about the difference between air burst and surface burst, but that's fine. [02:46:17] But you run everybody through that hole, and now you can break through. [02:46:21] And now you can get into Ukraine's rear. [02:46:25] But does President Putin have the troops and the supplies to actually exploit a breakthrough? [02:46:31] Because not only do you have to exploit that breakthrough, then you have to support that breakthrough. [02:46:35] And now you need to get them petroleum, lubricants, food, fuel, water, all of that stuff through that breakthrough. [02:46:42] Do you have the forces to exploit that? [02:46:44] That's the question. [02:46:45] And I don't think they do. [02:46:47] Right. [02:46:47] Because again, they can't build up any forces because as soon as you start building up anything greater than a company, what happens? [02:46:53] You get hit with rockets. [02:46:55] That's actually the dangerous part of us not giving aid to Ukraine. [02:47:00] They're never going to run out of rockets, but it's going to get to the point where they're going to have to be more surgical or more judicious on when they use them. [02:47:08] And that's kind of scary because then if that happens, now they're at a point where it's like, crap, when do we? [02:47:17] Like, we can use this rocket in this forest building up here, or we can use this rocket in this forest building up here. [02:47:22] That is a dilemma. [02:47:23] And I've always said, you want to create dilemmas, not problems for your adversary. [02:47:28] What do you know about our nuclear interceptor system? [02:47:34] The U.S. has this thing called the interceptor system, where we have, I think, 44. [02:47:39] Yeah, we have four at Vandenberg, and then we have 40 in Alaska. [02:47:43] Right. [02:47:44] That are designed to basically intercept nuclear warheads out of the sky. [02:47:49] Right. [02:47:49] And it's essentially. [02:47:52] An analogy for that is like shooting a bullet out of the sky with another bullet. [02:47:56] Yeah, we have. [02:47:57] How effective do you think that is? [02:47:58] I mean, so supposedly with all the tests they've done, it's about 50% effective, right? [02:48:05] But if you're dealing with. [02:48:06] Which rocket's about 50% effective? [02:48:07] Yeah. [02:48:08] That we know of, right? [02:48:09] Because they've done limited amounts of tests. [02:48:11] We don't have a lot of these things. [02:48:13] Now, we have a couple of arrows in our quiver. [02:48:16] We can shoot ballistic missiles down today. [02:48:18] We've been able to do it for years. [02:48:20] We've been able to do it since the 90s. [02:48:22] Since the. [02:48:23] So have you heard of the Aegis system? [02:48:25] Yes. [02:48:26] Okay. [02:48:26] Yes. [02:48:26] Aegis system, it's on every U.S. destroyer and cruiser. [02:48:30] The Aegis system, it is a robotic killer. [02:48:34] What does it stand for? [02:48:35] I actually don't remember. [02:48:37] I actually don't remember what Aegis is. [02:48:38] I don't think Aegis is an acronym. [02:48:40] Just type, just go to Aegis. [02:48:41] I think Aegis is. [02:48:42] No, no, no. [02:48:42] Aegis system and then click on all. [02:48:44] I actually think that Aegis is just the name of the system. [02:48:47] I don't think it actually stands for Aegis. [02:48:49] Oh, it's not an acronym? [02:48:50] Okay. [02:48:50] Yeah, I don't think. [02:48:51] Yeah, it's just the name of the Naval Weapons System, which uses computers and radars to track and guide weapons and destroy enemy targets. [02:48:57] It was developed by the Missile and Surface Radar Division of the RCA and is now produced by Lockheed. [02:49:03] Yeah. [02:49:04] So this thing is able to intercept ballistic missiles. [02:49:07] I think it was the SM 3 or SM 6. [02:49:11] When it comes to naval topics, there's a reason I call the Navy the Department of the Boat people. [02:49:14] Yeah. [02:49:15] All right. [02:49:16] I get a little, he's talking about naval stuff. [02:49:18] Okay. [02:49:20] But there is a missile that can take out ballistic missiles. [02:49:24] When we've been able to do that, we did that with the Scud. [02:49:28] If you remember the first Gulf War, the Scud missile. [02:49:31] In the first Gulf War, I said, I'm the same as firing Scud missiles at Saudi Arabia. [02:49:36] And the Scud is a short range, medium range ballistic missile. [02:49:41] And we were maybe or maybe not shooting those down with Patriots. [02:49:45] It was kind of a weird thing. [02:49:46] So, our Patriots are our interceptors. [02:49:49] And back then, the Patriot, the Pac 1 or the Block 1 version of the weapon, was a proximity warhead, which would blow up when it got close to the target. [02:49:58] So, this thing gets close, it blows up. [02:50:01] But the problem is that it blows up in a cone. [02:50:04] And so, as the missiles coming in, The cone is still expanding, and so a lot of times the cone was kind of missing the missile, was blowing up behind the missile. [02:50:14] So that's why we developed the different versions of the Patriot that would actually do hit to kill or kinetic, you know, a kinetic kill. [02:50:22] Uh, the Pac 3 uh gem version of the missile, but so we can we can kill missiles with the Patriot, we can kill ballistic missiles with the Patriot, we can kill ballistic missiles with THAD, which is what is that? [02:50:35] THAD is it's another kind of interceptor theater area, T H A D D, a defense. [02:50:41] I'll have to look that up, the actual name of THAD. [02:50:43] We don't have a lot of THAD batteries, but yeah, THAD system. [02:50:47] Yeah, THAD, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense. [02:50:51] Yeah, THAD. [02:50:52] So think of it like, you know, if the Patriots are lifting weights, right? [02:50:56] That's a THAD. [02:50:57] Okay. [02:50:58] So we have that system. [02:50:59] Now, those systems aren't deployed. [02:51:02] There might actually be a THAD system protecting DC. [02:51:06] We actually don't know. [02:51:07] There might be THAD or NASAMs. [02:51:10] There's been rumors, again, you go on dates in the Beltway, like, oh, yeah, we have a THAD system protecting. [02:51:15] It's in West Virginia. [02:51:16] Really? [02:51:18] You know, that's always a weird thing because, like, when some girl tells you about that, either they're telling you a secret that you're not authorized to know or they're full of it. [02:51:27] And both of those situations are bad. [02:51:30] Yeah. [02:51:31] Yeah. [02:51:32] I don't think I've ever been on a date where a girl's been bragging about fad missiles. [02:51:36] You got to live in D.C., right? [02:51:39] You live in D.C. [02:51:40] It's like, you know, 100%. [02:51:42] I know this thing. [02:51:43] I know this guy, right? [02:51:45] Yeah. [02:51:45] So, hierarchy climb. [02:51:47] Yeah, we can shoot down. [02:51:49] We actually did a shoot down of ballistic missiles in, God, I think it was January of 2001. [02:51:57] It was maybe 2002. [02:51:58] It was in the UAE. [02:52:00] The Houthis launched three ballistic missiles at a base in the UAE, in the United Arab Emirates. [02:52:06] And I actually have a video that I collaborated with several Patriot guys on. [02:52:11] And I actually show what the ECS looked like. [02:52:15] I show the actual engagement that happened on screen using this. [02:52:20] Simulator where we actually show what's going on. [02:52:24] And I got to tell you, people said that. [02:52:27] I had one person say that that video is better than the Hurt Locker. [02:52:30] It's more exciting than the Hurt Locker. [02:52:32] Thank you. [02:52:32] I appreciate that. [02:52:34] And I like to make air defense exciting. [02:52:36] Yeah. [02:52:36] I was actually told they show that video at air defense school. [02:52:39] Like when people are, when people are like, you know, when they get to the school and they're getting their smart books and, you know, getting their haircuts and all that, that movie's playing in the background, which is kind of cool, I guess. [02:52:50] Yeah. [02:52:50] I guess the scary thing about that, about our interceptor system is. [02:52:56] Is that, I mean, like the worst fear is that some unhinged dictator like Kim Jong un is going to send a rocket, right? [02:53:05] Send an ICBM towards us. [02:53:07] And if they did that, we have the, what's it called? [02:53:13] I think it's called launch on warning system, which basically means the second our CIBR system or our satellites detect a ballistic missile heading towards us, we have to empty our ICBM arsenals, right? [02:53:26] All of our missiles that are in silos in the Northwest. [02:53:29] You're rolling your eyes. [02:53:30] You're really making me go there, aren't you? [02:53:32] Because I wasn't going to come on here and make fun of Annie. [02:53:35] Come on, let's do it. [02:53:37] We got to challenge this stuff. [02:53:40] So, for people at home who haven't read the book, essentially. [02:53:44] Did you read it? [02:53:45] Yeah, I read it. [02:53:46] Okay. [02:53:46] I read it after watching your video and I'm listening to it. [02:53:51] So, let me sort of articulate what she explains in the scenario. [02:53:55] So, in the event, That Kim Jong un launches a nuke, an ICBM, towards the U.S., we see it on our radars and we have six minutes to launch our ICBMs because we have to assume that the second someone launches the first missile, they're going to. [02:54:12] Well, first of all, the idea is they're not. [02:54:14] No one sends one nuke. [02:54:15] They send the mother load if they're going to incite a nuclear war. [02:54:19] But the first missiles are going to strike our nuclear missile sites that cannot be moved, the ones that aren't on planes and the ones that aren't on submarines. [02:54:28] So, our most vulnerable nukes are the ones that are. [02:54:31] Land based in like, I think it's Montana and the Northwest. [02:54:36] So, our launch on warning system that we have in place is that once we see the missiles up, we have to empty those silos, right? [02:54:44] And we have to strike back at them. [02:54:47] So, now the problem is if we launch, we launch over the North Pole, then we have to fly, those missiles have to fly over Russia before they hit North Korea. [02:54:58] When's the last time we were able to get Russia on the phone or Putin on the phone in six minutes? [02:55:02] I don't think it's ever happened. [02:55:03] I think the last time that we tried to get Putin on the phone, it took like. [02:55:06] More than 48 hours before we can get a response. [02:55:09] So, but they're now they're going to, Russia, their generals are going to see that we now have nukes flying towards Russia. [02:55:15] Yeah. [02:55:15] But there's very little, if not zero, chance that we're going to be able to get on the phone with them to let them know, look, these nukes aren't coming for you guys. [02:55:24] They're going for North Korea. [02:55:26] So they're going to see those coming from the U.S. and they're going to do the same thing. [02:55:29] They're going to launch theirs. === Traipsing Toward Nuclear War (04:43) === [02:55:31] So that is an opinion a person can have. [02:55:35] The, uh, So, Roger Ebert used to have this thing that he called it the idiot plot, which is the only way that a movie can work is everyone's an idiot. [02:55:45] And in that particular book, in that particular scenario, that was a very unique scenario. [02:55:53] I kind of. [02:55:54] So, in this particular thing, North Korea launches a nuclear weapon and the United States decides to fire their arsenal, but because those weapons have to go over Russia and we can't get Russia on the phone, Russia counterstrikes. [02:56:07] Now, I think. [02:56:08] Probably what would have really happened is we would have just let it come. [02:56:13] Really? [02:56:13] Yeah, let it take out the Pentagon. [02:56:15] We can get a new Pentagon. [02:56:16] Whatever. [02:56:16] Right? [02:56:17] So, what if there's not a nuclear weapon on it? [02:56:19] There's no way of knowing. [02:56:20] Is that a nuclear weapon? [02:56:22] Is it a decoy? [02:56:23] Will that weapon actually explode? [02:56:24] I actually question whether Russia's arsenal, whether their nuclear arsenal has enough tritium in it to actually work. [02:56:31] Tritium decays. [02:56:32] It's a radioactive isotope that's used to actually boost the nuclear fusion process. [02:56:36] This is a big debate to have in six minutes. [02:56:38] It is. [02:56:39] But here's the deal one nuclear weapon is headed toward the U.S. [02:56:44] We have time. [02:56:45] We have our submarines. [02:56:48] We have our bombers. [02:56:49] We have all of our missile fields. [02:56:51] We see one weapon. [02:56:52] We don't see an entire 2,000 weapons coming out. [02:56:58] We see one weapon. [02:56:59] All right. [02:57:00] One weapon could be a MIRV, multiple independently retargetable reentry vehicle. [02:57:06] Could be a MIRV, right? [02:57:07] Could be multiple weapons on it. [02:57:09] But even one missile isn't going to take out multiple silos, right? [02:57:14] So we're still going to have our counter kind of. [02:57:16] So another thing in nuclear warfare, you have counter force and counter value. [02:57:21] All right. [02:57:21] Counter force is you're attacking the enemy's ability to launch nuclear weapons. [02:57:26] Counter value, you're attacking economic targets, the ability of the enemy to wage war. [02:57:29] All right. [02:57:31] Attacking Washington, D.C. [02:57:33] I guess you'd call that a counter value target, right? [02:57:36] Not necessarily a counter force, a counter force target because you want to cut off the head of the snake, right? [02:57:40] You want to cut off the command control capabilities. [02:57:43] So let it hit Washington. [02:57:44] Screw it. [02:57:45] Maybe it's a dud. [02:57:46] Maybe it won't explode. [02:57:47] Maybe it's going to go up and you lose Washington. [02:57:49] You know what happens? [02:57:50] Nothing. [02:57:51] So you got to get a new Congress. [02:57:52] That's easy, trivial. [02:57:53] We can do that, right? [02:57:56] But you launch that nuclear weapon and it takes out Washington, D.C. [02:58:01] We still have 1,500, 1,800 ICBMs. [02:58:04] Well, we have 400. [02:58:06] Or so ICBMs in Minuteman ICBMs. [02:58:10] We have a bunch on submarines, and then we have some gravity bombs and cruise missiles, the AGM 86s that can be launched from B 52s and gravity bombs that can be fired from the B 2. [02:58:21] Do you think we have them on satellites? [02:58:23] No. [02:58:23] No? [02:58:23] I mean, I don't know, but for what? [02:58:28] There's no purpose. [02:58:30] There's no reason for that. [02:58:32] We know about every satellite we've ever launched. [02:58:34] But we worry about other countries having them on satellites. [02:58:36] Yeah, I like it. [02:58:38] So, what does that actually mean? [02:58:40] People are stealing from them. [02:58:42] I mean, I don't really see how that gives us any kind of advantage, having a weapon in a satellite. [02:58:49] I mean, we have enough to boost stuff into orbit and explode them if you want to do an EMP attack. [02:58:54] So, yeah, I mean, so there's that. [02:58:57] So, let's let it explode. [02:58:59] Screw it. [02:59:00] Let it explode. [02:59:01] And then after that, we can come into, we can look at our options. [02:59:06] So, that's number one. [02:59:08] Part of the plot point of that book was that Russia. [02:59:11] Seizes attacking. [02:59:12] Russia has the capability of detecting a launch from North Korea. [02:59:17] They have the capability of detecting a launch from North Korea. [02:59:20] Okay. [02:59:20] Their systems might not be as good as Sibbers, but they'll definitely go, whoa, something just blew up in Washington. [02:59:26] We don't know what that was. [02:59:29] Let's get America on the phone. [02:59:31] Yeah. [02:59:31] So that's kind of like a major, again, it's the idiot plot. [02:59:34] Roger Ebert's idiot plot. [02:59:35] In order for this to work, everybody has to be an idiot. [02:59:38] Right. [02:59:38] So we kind of traips toward nuclear war. [02:59:41] You know, in that particular book. [02:59:44] And I don't really foresee us doing that. [02:59:48] And if we had done that, if they really did explode a nuclear weapon over Washington, you would have the 2nd ID, 2nd Infantry Division, and every single ROK soldier and Marine in the Republic of Korea ready to go north and jack these guys up. [03:00:07] We wouldn't even have to use a nuclear weapon. [03:00:09] North Korea would probably collapse in about three days if we offered them food. [03:00:14] Right. === Roger Ebert's Idiot Plot (02:13) === [03:00:15] Like, it's such a. [03:00:16] What do you think about the part in the book where she says that there have been like hundreds and hundreds of war game simulations that they've run, and every single time this exact thing happens? [03:00:29] Well, just because you ran the simulation doesn't mean it's actually how it's going to work out. [03:00:33] I mean, I can tell you if I were the president, and I noticed if I were the president, right? [03:00:37] If I were the president, Ryan, I'm the president of the day. [03:00:40] Right. [03:00:42] I think you'd be a good president. [03:00:45] You'd at least be good for morale. [03:00:46] Oh, my God. [03:00:47] I would be the last, first bachelor president since Chester A. Arthur. [03:00:51] Right. [03:00:52] Can you imagine? [03:00:53] It's tough enough for me trying to date women now. [03:00:55] Can you imagine what that's like if I'm president? [03:00:58] So, what do you do? [03:00:59] Well, I'm the president. [03:01:03] Oh, what do you do? [03:01:04] Well, I work for the African Coalition for Hair Removal Services. [03:01:09] Okay. [03:01:12] Yeah, it's tough when you're almost 50. [03:01:16] How old are you? [03:01:17] I'm 48. [03:01:18] 48. [03:01:18] Wow. [03:01:18] I thought you were way younger than that. [03:01:20] You know, I attribute that to smoking and drinking. [03:01:22] Yeah. [03:01:24] I look, you know who Carol O'Connor is? [03:01:29] The guy from All in the Family? [03:01:33] Meathead? [03:01:33] No? [03:01:33] All right. [03:01:34] So years ago, I liked Archie Bunker. [03:01:38] Yeah, Carol O'Connor played Archie Bunker. [03:01:40] Okay, guys, that's his name. [03:01:42] So Carol O'Connor, I believe, was 48 in that show. [03:01:47] He looked like he was about to die. [03:01:49] Right. [03:01:51] Sober. [03:01:52] The Golden Girls. [03:01:53] We were in their 50s. [03:01:56] Yeah, Archie Bunker. [03:01:59] Archie Bunker. [03:01:59] That's Carol O'Connor. [03:02:01] I'm his age. [03:02:03] That's wild. [03:02:05] Yeah, he looks late 60s. [03:02:07] He looks like he's about 10 years old. [03:02:09] Look at him with a cigar. [03:02:10] Yeah. [03:02:11] I'm sure he was drinking a lot of booze and smoking a lot of cigars. [03:02:14] Well, what's the difference? [03:02:15] I run, I lift weights, I swim, I bike. [03:02:20] How much of that did Carol O'Connor do? [03:02:22] We look different. [03:02:23] The Golden Girls are in their 50s. [03:02:26] They had all lost their husbands. === Carol O'Connor as Archie Bunker (08:23) === [03:02:28] All right. [03:02:30] Like a 50 year old woman today. [03:02:32] It's wild they were in their 50s. [03:02:33] I met a woman on an airplane. [03:02:35] She's in her 70s. [03:02:36] I'm like, I have your number. [03:02:38] She doesn't like, like, what the hell? [03:02:41] You know, like, I'm willing to do what I have to do. [03:02:45] Right. [03:02:47] But yeah, I think that just because we take care of ourselves today, it just means that we look a lot younger. [03:02:55] And maybe I just look at genetics. [03:02:57] Not everybody. [03:02:59] I meet a lot of people. [03:03:00] I was just having a conversation with my friend about this the other day. [03:03:02] I meet a lot of people recently who are younger than me that I thought were 10 years older than me. [03:03:07] It could just be hard living. [03:03:08] I don't know. [03:03:09] It's all jeans. [03:03:09] Maybe you got good jeans. [03:03:11] I could have good jeans. [03:03:12] I can tell you this. [03:03:12] I drink a lot. [03:03:14] I smoke a lot. [03:03:15] I probably have about three drinks a day. [03:03:17] Really? [03:03:17] Yeah. [03:03:17] This kind of stuff? [03:03:19] Yeah. [03:03:19] Usually whiskey. [03:03:20] If there's a game on, like there's a basketball game, I'll have a couple of beers. [03:03:23] But you're a big basketball fan. [03:03:25] Yeah. [03:03:26] NBA. [03:03:26] Who's your team? [03:03:27] Oh, the Wizards. [03:03:28] The Wizards. [03:03:30] But I like watching the Heat. [03:03:31] I'm sorry. [03:03:31] I know. [03:03:31] It's bad. [03:03:32] I like to watch the Heat. [03:03:34] I've flown down to Miami for heat games. [03:03:37] I've gone to games while I was in San Francisco, went to the Golden State Warriors game. [03:03:41] Let me tell you, Steph Curry, watching that guy, it's like, I have said I'm a Christian. [03:03:49] If you don't believe in God, watch Steph Curry shoot. [03:03:53] This man. [03:03:54] He is unbelievable. [03:03:56] God gave this man a gift. [03:03:59] And I got to tell you, watching Steph Curry shoot a basketball, it's like the golden ratio or something. [03:04:05] Yeah. [03:04:06] Like that, that man is just, he is amazing. [03:04:09] I haven't watched any basketball yet this year. [03:04:11] I typically don't start watching until June. [03:04:13] Oh, yeah, in the playoffs. [03:04:14] Yeah. [03:04:14] Yeah. [03:04:14] There's just too many games. [03:04:15] There's too much. [03:04:16] So, I mean, I like watching the Wizards. [03:04:18] There's also a channel on YouTube. [03:04:19] I watch Goaded or The Goat, which they just do recaps of basketball for the whole week. [03:04:25] And when I say I work between 13 and 16 hours a day, is there a game on? [03:04:31] Right. [03:04:32] Because I'll stop, I'll watch the game. [03:04:34] I do like basketball. [03:04:36] And you can be done in two and a half hours, three hours. [03:04:39] You're done. [03:04:40] Right. [03:04:40] It's not like football where you're there for six hours and you got to. [03:04:44] And I can't take college basketball. [03:04:46] Like, I. [03:04:47] It's too many teams, yeah. [03:04:48] Although it was really neat seeing uh the WNDA kind of or the Caitlin uh, what was her name? [03:04:55] Caitlin Casternos, was that it? [03:04:56] The law firm, I don't follow too much. [03:04:58] Oh my goodness, this this woman, um, uh, she uh, I got it, was it UConn that she played for? [03:05:05] So I'm probably gonna have people scream that. [03:05:07] This woman, I was gonna say it's Caitlin Casternos, so I'm praising her, but I barely know anything about her, right? [03:05:14] But this woman's a really good player, and uh, she uh, they got kicked out of the final four, I think it was UConn, and I forget the other. [03:05:21] Team that played again. [03:05:22] I didn't watch any of the games, but I watched some highlights, and she's a good player. [03:05:26] To me, ball is ball. [03:05:27] I don't care if it's college basketball, WNBA, NBA, women's college basketball, ball is ball. [03:05:32] I've been to a few Mystics games, they're good. [03:05:36] Mystics are good, they're a good team. [03:05:38] Uh, watching Tasha Cloud and uh, and Elena Deladon, they're good. [03:05:42] I think I was the only straight male there. [03:05:46] It's it's it was funny. [03:05:48] Like, I go to the game because I'm like, Yeah, I've been to a Mystics game, I'm gonna go. [03:05:51] It's like lesbians. [03:05:53] And like straight women who played basketball. [03:05:56] That's that was the Washington Mystics. [03:05:59] And then, you know, like I'm the only guy there. [03:06:03] And like you go into the team store, and like a lot of their merchandise was rainbow, like rainbow logos. [03:06:08] Really? [03:06:09] I'm gonna buy a rainbow Mystics logo. [03:06:12] I'll rock my pride. [03:06:14] I'll rock my pride with the Mystics. [03:06:16] You drink a lot? [03:06:17] No, I never drink. [03:06:19] I love drinking. [03:06:20] I like drinking too. [03:06:21] Like, I seriously, I love whiskey. [03:06:27] When I do drink, I'll either drink whiskey or I'll drink tequila. [03:06:32] I like the Casamigos tequila. [03:06:33] I'll drink it straight because I don't like mixed drinks and I hate beer. [03:06:37] Yeah, I mean. [03:06:38] You're a big Ultra guy, right? [03:06:40] Mick Ultra. [03:06:40] I do. [03:06:41] When I'm watching the game or something like that, I mean, it is. [03:06:44] I like the taste of it. [03:06:46] I've never been on craft beer. [03:06:48] Would you like some honey brown? [03:06:50] It's so thick and it's like drinking bread. [03:06:54] Yeah, I don't like that stuff. [03:06:56] I don't know what it is about rye whiskey, especially this Angels. [03:07:01] That's the best shit I've ever had. [03:07:03] I think that beats the Basil Hayden. [03:07:05] It's excellent. [03:07:05] And the other thing about this, I told you, I have about three drinks a day. [03:07:10] Usually I have one with my breakfast. [03:07:13] I don't eat breakfast until like 12. [03:07:15] I usually skip my morning meal. [03:07:21] Oh, yeah, you're intermittent faster. [03:07:24] I guess so. [03:07:25] I mean, it doesn't seem to help. [03:07:28] I don't eat until 12. [03:07:29] I like to work out fasted. [03:07:31] Mm hmm. [03:07:31] Yeah, that's a good way to do it. [03:07:33] Typically, so I haven't really eaten today either because I like doing it fasted. [03:07:40] Really? [03:07:40] Yeah, if I do an interview, I like to do it fasted. [03:07:42] A little bit sharper when you don't have a full belly. [03:07:45] I don't know why that is. [03:07:46] It's because your body's not using energy to digest food, easy for you to say. [03:07:53] All your energy is going towards your brain. [03:07:55] Maybe. [03:07:55] There was a basketball player, I guess, about two years ago who was a Muslim. [03:07:59] I think it was during the pandemic, and he was Turkish. [03:08:01] I can't remember his darn name, but he. [03:08:06] The nutritionists. [03:08:07] I think I know who you're talking about. [03:08:08] Yeah, the nutritionists for the team he was on, I think it was the Rockets. [03:08:12] They like came up with a meal that he could eat at four in the morning before the sunrise so that he would have the energy he needed during the day. [03:08:19] He had all the nutrients in it because he wasn't eating during the game, wasn't drinking during the day. [03:08:25] He said he felt sharper, but I thought that was interesting. [03:08:29] Yeah. [03:08:29] Yeah. [03:08:29] I know LeBron in the past, he's during playoffs times, he cuts out all sugar and most of the carbohydrates out of his diet. [03:08:41] He eats mainly a meat and protein diet. [03:08:44] No carbs, no sugar, none of that stuff during any time. [03:08:47] I buy that. [03:08:48] Carbs are delicious, especially pasta. [03:08:50] Carbs are so delicious, man. [03:08:51] Pizza. [03:08:52] They just make you so slow, especially like me specifically. [03:08:58] Anytime I eat carbs, I just feel like I'm walking through sludge. [03:09:03] Everything is so much slower. [03:09:04] I just feel so much more tired. [03:09:06] I eat a lot of like my standard go to meal. [03:09:09] I'll go to Wegmans. [03:09:11] So not everybody knows what Wegmans is, but Wegmans is a. [03:09:14] You're from Jersey, right? [03:09:15] Yeah, originally from Jersey. [03:09:17] But Wegmans is a Pennsylvania based, what do you call it, a supermarket chain. [03:09:21] But they have some in Maryland now, too. [03:09:24] And Wegmans, you can go get flat iron steaks. [03:09:29] So I'll get a couple of flat iron steaks. [03:09:31] So, literally every night, I'm having steak, broccoli, and some kind of form of shrimp. [03:09:36] Like steak, broccoli, and bread of shrimp. [03:09:38] And usually for breakfast, which is really lunch, two eggs, a couple pieces of bacon, maybe some sausage, toast. [03:09:47] And, you know, that keeps me full until dinner. [03:09:51] And I don't really snack. [03:09:53] Like, I mean, like, sometimes I play a character that eats Doritos. [03:09:59] I saw that one. [03:10:00] Like, yeah. [03:10:01] But the odds of me, because one of my problems, if I have a bag of Doritos and I open that Doritos bag, there is no more Doritos. [03:10:08] Like, I'm eating them all the same way. [03:10:10] So usually I'll save that for like a Saturday game. [03:10:14] I'm like, I'm going to eat this bag of Doritos. [03:10:16] It's going to be on a Saturday when I've done a long run. [03:10:19] Yeah. [03:10:19] It's still going to make me fat. [03:10:21] But, You know, screw it all. [03:10:23] You know, watching the game, eating Doritos, drinking a beer, that's a good freaking day. [03:10:29] Yeah. [03:10:30] The beer, I mean, you could have a great, you could have the best diet in the world, but the alcohol and the booze, I mean, that just like is nuking your system, man. [03:10:38] Maybe, but it's worth it. [03:10:40] It's worth it. [03:10:40] To me, it is. [03:10:41] Like, I typically, after breakfast, so two eggs, bacon, maybe some toast, orange juice, I take a pill, I take a multivitamin, I take fish oil. === Wall Street Journal and Doritos (02:09) === [03:10:51] And then I'll usually have a drink and a cigar. [03:10:54] And then I actually usually start my day around then, believe it or not. [03:10:59] So typical, typical rhyming that day. [03:11:02] I'm usually up. [03:11:03] You're an early riser, aren't you? [03:11:04] Yeah, between four and six. [03:11:06] I'm up. [03:11:06] Between four and six. [03:11:07] Military did that to you? [03:11:10] Maybe. [03:11:11] Could be. [03:11:12] Typically, I'm up between four and six. [03:11:14] I check my email and make sure if there's anything actionable. [03:11:16] Like, do I need to get this out right now? [03:11:18] Sometimes I'll do a short video. [03:11:20] And normally I'll just drink coffee until I have to go to the bathroom. [03:11:23] I'll go to the bathroom. [03:11:24] I'll go running or I'll. [03:11:25] Weights or whatever. [03:11:27] And then I'll come back. [03:11:29] I read the newspaper. [03:11:30] I read the Wall Street Journal cover to cover. [03:11:31] This is work. [03:11:32] Cover to cover? [03:11:33] Yeah. [03:11:35] Yeah. [03:11:35] I mean, like the Wall Street Journal online. [03:11:37] I might skip some stories. [03:11:38] Yeah, online. [03:11:38] Like I might skip some stories, but I'm like, I'm reading the whole thing. [03:11:43] So you just want to be as informed as you can possibly be. [03:11:44] Yeah. [03:11:45] And then I read the New York Times cover to cover. [03:11:47] What? [03:11:48] Yeah. [03:11:49] Are you a speed reader? [03:11:50] Maybe. [03:11:52] Maybe. [03:11:53] How do you? [03:11:54] I just, I don't know. [03:11:55] I just do it. [03:11:55] I just, I get on my computer and start reading. [03:11:57] Wow. [03:11:58] How long does that take you to read all this shit? [03:12:00] Probably about an hour, maybe a little bit longer. [03:12:02] Good Lord. [03:12:03] But it's an investment because, like, I. [03:12:07] The Wall Street Journal is a good source of information. [03:12:11] New York Times, less so, but they have things that the Wall Street Journal might not necessarily have. [03:12:18] And now I also read Horez, which is like an ultra liberal Israeli publication. [03:12:24] But Horez, they have some of the best graphics. [03:12:26] And one of the nice things about Horez, I'm pronouncing it wrong, is that I initially subscribed to them because they had really good descriptions of all the casualties of October 7th. [03:12:41] So, like, what, like, it was the best, some of the best stuff I've seen on like what each person did, where they were. [03:12:48] Wow. [03:12:48] And so on. [03:12:49] So, I won't read Heret's cover to cover, but I will like, like, look over them to see what the Israeli left is thinking. [03:12:55] And I answer all my emails. [03:12:57] I, and there's usually about 50 to 100 emails. === Horez Graphics and News Sources (03:29) === [03:13:01] You have kids? [03:13:02] You'd be the worst father. [03:13:04] Can you imagine? [03:13:09] You imagine me? [03:13:10] Like, I would be a great uncle. [03:13:12] Like, You know, daddy, I need my medicine. [03:13:14] Not now. [03:13:15] I'm finishing this drink. [03:13:16] Like, that's just not, yeah, that's not, oh my God, you can't even imagine that. [03:13:22] Like, that would also entail a woman would have to perform the physical act of love with me that would actually generate a child. [03:13:28] You're trying to be in trouble with that, man. [03:13:31] It's a lot harder when you're in your 50s, when you're almost 50, you're a smoker and you live in Washington, D.C., and you're a gun owner, right? [03:13:40] Oh, you're a gun owner? [03:13:41] My buddy Julian, shout out to Julian Dory, sent me this photo last night. [03:13:45] He's from Jersey. [03:13:46] Mm hmm. [03:13:47] Okay. [03:13:47] And me and him always make fun of each other. [03:13:50] I make fun of him for being from New Jersey. [03:13:52] He makes fun of me for being from Florida. [03:13:54] He sent me this. [03:13:56] I'll show it to you. [03:13:57] Growing up in this part of the U.S. is elite and anywhere else is mid. [03:14:04] What do you think about that? [03:14:07] I mean, I depends. [03:14:10] He thinks people I really have an opinion on that. [03:14:12] He thinks people who grow up in Washington, Jersey, New York, Boston, they have uh, way more character than anywhere else in the world, probably more character. [03:14:21] That doesn't necessarily mean we're. [03:14:23] And look at me, I'm a character, yeah. [03:14:25] Like, about two years ago, I had like a contest for people to imitate me, and they're like, Really, you're your own imitation, you know, like my own character. [03:14:36] Do you have any PTSD from uh, when you're overseas? [03:14:40] You see any crazy? [03:14:45] I don't, uh, boy, I'm like trying to think about how to answer that. [03:14:51] I've had nightmares before. [03:14:53] You've had nightmares? [03:14:55] Yeah. [03:14:56] Like I've never been diagnosed with it, but I couldn't even get a hearing loss claim. [03:15:01] So really figure that out. [03:15:03] You got hearing loss? [03:15:03] Yeah. [03:15:04] Really? [03:15:04] You got tinnitus? [03:15:05] Tinnitus? [03:15:06] No, I don't have that, but I know I have hearing loss. [03:15:08] Do you have hearing aids? [03:15:09] No. [03:15:10] No. [03:15:10] No, I was non-service connected. [03:15:12] My hearing loss is non-service connected. [03:15:13] But there were times when I've woken up. [03:15:22] I've had flashbacks before. [03:15:24] And like, so flashbacks, like a lot of people think of flashback as like the world turns into a kaleidoscope and Anagata DeVita starts playing up. [03:15:41] Maybe that's the case for some people, right? [03:15:43] But for me, if you remember, like in high school, there were those old acetate overhead projector slides, you know, those clear slides that you'd put on a projector. [03:15:54] And. [03:15:56] It's almost like the real world is one kind of slide, and then someone else puts a different slide over top of it, and that's the flashback, and they take it away really quick. [03:16:07] And you're like, What the heck was that? [03:16:08] You know, what, what, that, how did I just see that? [03:16:12] Like, how is that there? [03:16:13] How is that possible? [03:16:14] Like, I, I once, um, subconsciously, yeah, like I, um, I once was talking to someone, and it was a buddy of mine, um, and, and, I mean, it was a girl, but it had his face and it was really weird. === Acetate Slide Flashbacks (07:42) === [03:16:31] Um, and it was just there for a second, and I like, you know, it was like, what the hell is going on? [03:16:37] So that's what it's like for me. [03:16:40] I've never been diagnosed with PTSD. [03:16:43] Um, that's I don't know. [03:16:46] I, I maybe I'm a sociopath, but I also don't think like I did anything that hard. [03:16:50] I just drove down a road, like, hey, drive down this road, we want to see who blows you up. [03:16:54] Oh, you know, like that's just. [03:16:57] That's kind of the thing, you know. [03:16:59] I was never a door kicker. [03:17:00] Yeah, heavy weapons or weapons company. [03:17:02] You're like, all right, hey, drive down this road. [03:17:05] We need to go up to Taji. [03:17:07] We have to pick up the commander's lucky tent peg, you know. [03:17:10] So you do a convoy up to wherever. [03:17:13] Yeah. [03:17:14] Like, I was never in the kind of like house to house, door to door fighting where you're in people's faces. [03:17:20] And, you know, I got mortared, but everyone got mortared. [03:17:23] Eventually, I don't want to say it becomes normal, but I'll tell you this, you know. [03:17:30] I haven't been in combat compared to Ukraine. [03:17:34] I haven't been under the kind of shelling like I've been under. [03:17:37] Oh, crap. [03:17:38] What was that? [03:17:38] Yeah. [03:17:39] Right. [03:17:39] Is it Thursday or is it Friday? [03:17:41] You know, like, is it Friday? [03:17:42] It is Friday. [03:17:43] Oh, shoot. [03:17:44] Shit. [03:17:44] We actually expected today. [03:17:45] Are there days off? [03:17:47] Well, Friday is like the holy day and Saturday, Friday and Saturday. [03:17:51] That's why I don't know if you've talked to anyone from Afghanistan, they have a term called Man Love Thursday where guys will be intimate with each other. [03:18:00] Oh, yeah. [03:18:00] I've heard about that. [03:18:01] There's a lot of it. [03:18:02] Yeah. [03:18:03] Yeah. [03:18:04] And it's their thing. [03:18:05] It's a cultural thing. [03:18:06] I'm not saying there's anything wrong with it. [03:18:07] It's just their culture. [03:18:10] But compared to guys in Ukraine who've been under artillery fire for hours, for days, I haven't been in combat. [03:18:18] Not even close. [03:18:20] Not even freaking close. [03:18:22] So I'm driving down a road and IED blows up the convoy behind me. [03:18:29] That's nothing. [03:18:30] That's nothing. [03:18:31] I'm not a hero. [03:18:33] Not even. [03:18:34] Like not even freaking, not even close. [03:18:36] Right. [03:18:36] Yeah. [03:18:37] That's an interesting question, though. [03:18:38] I like, I'm sure some guys and I'm not. [03:18:41] Well, I just know a lot of kids. [03:18:43] I know a lot of, um, a lot of guys that I've met kind of like got into military or went overseas, just not necessarily because they really wanted to, but they really didn't have many other options. [03:18:55] And they thought it would be like I had three different things I could do. [03:18:58] And that sounded like a good idea. [03:19:00] Never really like had this drive to go over there and fight. [03:19:04] I liked it. [03:19:07] I liked it. [03:19:07] You liked it. [03:19:09] I, um, and I was good at it. [03:19:11] I, you know, I, uh, I wear so I get this crap a lot. [03:19:14] I wear the Star of David. [03:19:15] I'm not Jewish. [03:19:17] A girl gave me this. [03:19:19] And I get to look up, I get to wake up every morning and I get to look at my greatest failure every single day. [03:19:26] It's with this girl and I was on one deployment. [03:19:29] I was to Iraq and, uh, you know, I, I love this woman. [03:19:35] This is going to be picket fence. [03:19:38] You know, like this was it. [03:19:40] This was the woman. [03:19:42] Time I was doing QRF, quick reaction force. [03:19:46] You know, I was just lifting weights and eating steak, right? [03:19:48] And once in a while, maybe get mortared or whatever, right? [03:19:52] Just there to react quickly, right? [03:19:55] And I got, I hated it. [03:19:56] I was like, dude, I want to go on the road. [03:19:58] So I liked it. [03:19:59] And I was good at it. [03:19:59] And I knew what to do. [03:20:00] And I wanted to do it. [03:20:02] I liked it. [03:20:04] And I told this girl, look, you know, a unit was being formed to volunteer. [03:20:09] And I volunteered. [03:20:09] And she said, you better take your name off that list or you're not coming home to me. [03:20:15] And I did it anyway. [03:20:18] I lost her. [03:20:19] I still have the medal that she gave me. [03:20:23] And I think that's why, like, that's why I'm still. [03:20:25] You know, that's why I don't have a girlfriend, right? [03:20:27] Because, like, I had the love of my life, right? [03:20:31] And I threw it away because I wanted to be out on the road. [03:20:35] You know, when you pull into base, you know, and the Navy comes out and they read your Duke, they read your jammer, you know, like, I did it. [03:20:47] Like, you didn't get me today. [03:20:49] Good luck tomorrow, right? [03:20:52] Let's see what you got tomorrow. [03:20:54] You like the adrenaline? [03:20:56] I don't know if there was adrenaline. [03:20:57] I guess, I guess, I don't know. [03:21:00] I, you know, there's also, there's something to be said for doing, doing something well. [03:21:05] You know, like there, there aren't, there wasn't a lot of things in my life that I was good at. [03:21:11] I was a good weapons NCO. [03:21:13] I was good. [03:21:14] Yeah. [03:21:15] I was good at that. [03:21:16] Like I knew my stuff. [03:21:17] My guys respected me. [03:21:19] I knew what I was doing. [03:21:21] I liked the job. [03:21:23] And also, I could run and people liked me. [03:21:25] Right. [03:21:25] Like that's, you know, it's, I often say, like, why did I do well in the military? [03:21:29] Well, it's because I could run fast and people liked me. [03:21:31] Like, that was literally it. [03:21:33] That's all it took. [03:21:33] Right. [03:21:37] I don't know. [03:21:38] I, you know, one of the stories I tell, I love telling the story. [03:21:43] I was when she ended things with me, the girl who gave me this necklace, when she ended things, when I came back, I talked to this rabbi. [03:21:54] I talked with her rabbi because I was like, maybe, like, you can talk to her, get us back together, you know. [03:22:00] And while I was there, we were talking. [03:22:02] I talk about this one. [03:22:03] I was in a dangerous situation and I came out smelling like a rose, you know. [03:22:08] And I asked the rabbi, like, you know, I didn't, I was like, do you think maybe God has a special plan for me? [03:22:16] And the rabbi went, maybe God has a special plan for someone else in the vehicle. [03:22:22] Like, I should have talked to a priest. [03:22:24] Like, thanks a lot, buddy. [03:22:25] Like, should have talked to an Episcopal priest. [03:22:29] Thanks a lot, buddy. [03:22:32] But he wasn't wrong, right? [03:22:33] Like, what a typically Jewish answer. [03:22:34] And what makes you so special? [03:22:36] Right. [03:22:37] Nothing. [03:22:37] Right. [03:22:38] There's absolutely nothing special about me, right? [03:22:41] Yeah. [03:22:42] So, yeah, that's, you know, I get to every morning, I wake up, I brush my teeth, I look at myself in the mirror, and I see my greatest failure every day. [03:22:51] How lucky am I? [03:22:53] Right. [03:22:53] How lucky does that make me that I get to look at my biggest failure every single day? [03:22:58] It drives me to move forward. [03:23:00] Really? [03:23:01] Yeah. [03:23:04] If I'm not going to have that life, well, you know, I'll have this other life. [03:23:09] This isn't so bad. [03:23:09] I get to fly around. [03:23:10] I get to talk to people. [03:23:14] I get to, I wrote software that killed bad guys. [03:23:21] Right. [03:23:21] Like I put my software was able to find bad guys that ultimately put a hellfire through their window. [03:23:27] And the world is a better place. [03:23:29] I tell you something, you want, you know, I actually had, I never saw her again. [03:23:34] I had a girl ask me, like, how do you feel? [03:23:37] It's like when you find out that happened. [03:23:40] That's how I feel. [03:23:42] I feel like going home, cracking open a beer, ordering a pizza, and watching the Wizards. [03:23:46] That's how I feel. [03:23:48] You'd be a great CIA officer. [03:23:51] Wow, I. You know, that's what they look for when they recruit. [03:23:53] They look for people on the edge of sociopathy. [03:23:57] I don't think I'm a sociopath, but I think I'm too old to. [03:24:01] Sociopathic tendencies. [03:24:03] You can't be full blown. [03:24:04] You just got to be, you know, you got to have the tendencies. [03:24:07] Dude, if there's a bad guy, you know, I mean, our software is so good. [03:24:12] Like, yeah, so freaking good. === Taiwanese Chip Fab Explosives (11:30) === [03:24:14] Like, I want to look for all vehicles that are white trucks with a dent. [03:24:21] White trucks with a dent in the rear quarter panel. [03:24:24] All white trucks, the dent in the rear quarter panel whose phone numbers have this phone number. [03:24:29] Oh, this is Daddy ElBaddy's driver. [03:24:32] All right. [03:24:33] Let's track this guy. [03:24:35] Yep, this is Daddy ElBaddy. [03:24:36] He's coming out of that vehicle. [03:24:37] He's walking with a limp. [03:24:40] You know, that must be Daddy ElBaddy. [03:24:42] All right. [03:24:42] How many people? [03:24:43] What's the NVC? [03:24:47] Oh, God, the noncombatant cutoff. [03:24:49] I forget the acronym for that. [03:24:53] And NCV, NCV, non combatant cutoff value. [03:24:56] All right, what's a non combatant cutoff value? [03:24:58] All right, it's zero. [03:25:00] Okay. [03:25:00] Well, there's no civilians around. [03:25:02] Non combatant cutoff value is like a, like, all right, we can take this guy out if there's five civilians around him. [03:25:08] NCV of five. [03:25:09] NCV of 10. [03:25:10] All right, there's 10 civilians around him. [03:25:11] We can take him out. [03:25:12] Anything more, we have to go up the chain. [03:25:14] Really? [03:25:15] Yeah. [03:25:16] Yeah. [03:25:18] I mean, look, you got to do it. [03:25:20] Yeah. [03:25:21] Right? [03:25:21] There's daddy, oh, daddy. [03:25:23] Right. [03:25:23] How many people is daddy L. Batty going to kill? [03:25:26] And some of these guys, they hide around civilians. [03:25:29] Like, you don't want to hit civilians. [03:25:30] You know, the irony of that, too, of like covert action and like tactical surgical strikes that sometimes, like, this guy is important enough that we're okay if it takes out 10 civilians. [03:25:45] But what is that compared to like boots on the ground conventional warfare? [03:25:51] Right. [03:25:51] Like, covert, like, this is the big debate of covert action versus, versus. [03:25:56] Conventional boots on the ground warfare. [03:25:58] Why not have just mercenaries that you deploy just to take off the head of the snake? [03:26:09] Guys that are going to go out and just cut throats, right, of the leaders and not have all those civilian casualties and not destroy the lives of these soldiers, whether they're drafted or whether they just volunteered to go to war. [03:26:25] It seems like. [03:26:29] I don't know. [03:26:29] It seems like it would be a little bit better of an option. [03:26:33] Yeah. [03:26:33] I mean, I'm sure that's, I'm sure contractors are used in some cases. [03:26:39] That's a little bit beyond my skill level or what I do. [03:26:42] I mean, I just tell my client where the bad guys are. [03:26:45] Yeah. [03:26:46] What they do after that, you know, it's up to them. [03:26:49] Right. [03:26:49] Right. [03:26:50] But I mean, I can see, so sometimes you need boots on the ground because you need to change government or, Or whatever, right? [03:27:00] The um, that's that's a question that I'm sure Israel faced after October 7th. [03:27:05] Like, do we hit them with a sledgehammer or do we do these pinpricks? [03:27:08] Surgical, right? [03:27:09] Do we do surgical? [03:27:10] And they went with the sledgehammer. [03:27:11] Sometimes you need the sledgehammer, right? [03:27:13] Like, sometimes that you can kill your way out of a problem. [03:27:18] How many Seminoles do you see here? [03:27:19] Good lord, right? [03:27:22] Like, that's kind of a horrible thing to say. [03:27:24] Yeah, I'm sure it's really horrible what Andrew Jackson did to all those Seminoles, but I'm sure you're like, it's nice it doesn't snow. [03:27:33] Right, so you know, like, yeah, sometimes you use the sledgehammer, right? [03:27:43] Okay. [03:27:44] What do you think happens with China, Taiwan? [03:27:50] That's a tough one. [03:27:52] Either, so I'm not saying that isn't public knowledge. [03:27:56] Either China's going to attack Taiwan in October of this year. [03:28:00] Before the election? [03:28:01] Missiles, yeah, for the election. [03:28:04] Or they're going to wait until 2036. [03:28:08] So if it's this year, it'll be a missile attack. [03:28:11] It's 2036, 2035, 2036, could be an invasion. [03:28:15] Could be as early as 2037 or 2027, but I don't think so. [03:28:23] They need time to train, build up equipment. [03:28:27] Number one, I hope it doesn't happen because there's a lot of people in China. [03:28:31] So this is probably going to get played on a loop by propagandists, but Taiwanese are Chinese, right? [03:28:39] They have people, they have relatives who live in China. [03:28:45] They don't want to one China Ryan over here. [03:28:48] Well, I mean, it's the truth, right? [03:28:50] Like, how did Taiwan form? [03:28:51] Well, it was the white, it was the whites, right? [03:28:53] It was the people who left mainland China. [03:29:00] They went to Taiwan, established their own government there. [03:29:03] They let the communists do their thing, right? [03:29:06] So they have relatives back in mainland China. [03:29:11] There's trade. [03:29:12] I think Taiwan is one of China's biggest trading partners, right? [03:29:16] Here's the other thing if Vietnam. [03:29:19] And Afghanistan had a baby, it would look like Taiwan. [03:29:23] If you look at the geography of Taiwan, the entire western half of Taiwan, I think the entire western two thirds of Taiwan, is all mountains. [03:29:35] So Taiwan is basically Afghanistan with leaves. [03:29:39] And every Taiwanese male knows how to use a gun, every Taiwanese male is a conscript. [03:29:44] And they have quite a few females to volunteer. [03:29:47] And one of the most popular things to do in Taiwan now is join these shooting clubs. [03:29:50] Really, they're like airsoft clubs. [03:29:53] But They have these shooting clubs where guys learn, you know, they do tactics and stuff like that. [03:29:58] These are people who do not want to be slaves. [03:30:01] And there will be a Taiwanese dude with a rifle behind every blade of grass in every single mountain pass if China tries to invade. [03:30:11] And China doesn't want to blow up their infrastructure, do they? [03:30:15] Well, that's a good question. [03:30:16] I mean, ideally, you'd like to capture the chip fabs intact, right? [03:30:19] Because that's what Taiwan is, right? [03:30:21] Taiwan is the chip factory to the West. [03:30:23] Right, right. [03:30:24] All right. [03:30:25] And so you want those chip fabs because. [03:30:27] I want to say 90% of all the world's chips are made in Taiwan. [03:30:31] You know, and you can't run your country without chips. [03:30:34] Right. [03:30:34] Right. [03:30:35] Chips, I say the chips, chips today are the steel of World War II. [03:30:39] Right. [03:30:40] We won World War II based on all the steel that came out of Bethlehem, Pennsylvania. [03:30:46] Right. [03:30:47] Well, chips today go into the high tech equipment that allows us to fight wars, right? [03:30:54] That allows us to do the C4ISR, the Command Control Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance. [03:31:00] To find where the bad guys are, if I have better C4ISR than you, I know where you're going to be and what you're going to do. [03:31:07] I can stop that from happening. [03:31:08] Right. [03:31:09] And we're getting into AI and using AI to figure out where the bad guys are going to be, what they're going to do next, who is doing what and why. [03:31:18] That's in the Intel world, the why is that's the big thing. [03:31:21] Like if you can figure out the why, it's like, yeah. [03:31:24] Right. [03:31:24] I can tell you who. [03:31:26] Yeah. [03:31:26] But why? [03:31:27] That's the golden ticket, right? [03:31:29] Why is this country doing this? [03:31:31] So, I mean, they'll probably try to capture the chip. [03:31:34] Chip plants intact. [03:31:35] I don't know. [03:31:36] I would imagine the Taiwanese, they may or may not have explosives on those fabs or will destroy them themselves somehow if they detect an invasion. [03:31:48] It's certainly possible. [03:31:50] Yeah. [03:31:51] I mean, I would imagine they don't have explosives on them now. [03:31:53] That is an accountable item. [03:31:55] What do you think the U.S. reaction would be? [03:31:57] Probably send an aircraft carrier along with Great Britain, France, Australia, New Zealand. [03:32:07] Australia. [03:32:07] Yeah. [03:32:08] Really? [03:32:08] Some of the best special forces in the world in Australia. [03:32:12] The fight isn't necessarily going to be in Taiwan. [03:32:14] It's the Gulf Coast. [03:32:15] Wait, isn't Australia really dependent on China? [03:32:17] No, there's trade with China. [03:32:19] But Australia is at war with China right now. [03:32:23] Really? [03:32:23] Yeah. [03:32:24] Cyber and information war. [03:32:26] I'm going to a conference in July, I think. [03:32:31] It's the 2024 Emergency Medicine Conference, Emergency Services Conference. [03:32:35] We have the darn name of it, but it's at the Gold Coast. [03:32:37] I'm going to be speaking there. [03:32:39] I'm going to be presenting a paper on how misinformation can be used during a natural disaster. [03:32:47] The Hawaii, I remember the Hawaii wildfires. [03:32:50] Oh, yeah. [03:32:51] So that was a. [03:32:52] So a lot of the. [03:32:53] Wait, the wildfires? [03:32:54] What? [03:32:54] In Hawaii. [03:32:55] Yeah. [03:32:55] When was this? [03:32:56] You're talking about Maui, right? [03:32:58] Yes, the Maui wildfires. [03:32:59] Oh, that was a Chinese Russian directed energy operation. [03:33:02] No, it was not a directed energy weapon. [03:33:04] Like that kind of thing. [03:33:06] Oh, God. [03:33:07] Like I wanted to get into that. [03:33:08] Like. [03:33:09] Like, I got to talk about the inverse square rule. [03:33:14] And because, you know, when you, when you, for every, as you double the distance, the power drops by the inverse of the square. [03:33:21] But the, no, there was a wildfire. [03:33:27] And, but one of the things that Russia did was they started to push this narrative of people are only getting $700 in payments. [03:33:38] And they were. [03:33:39] But those are the initial payments. [03:33:42] Like FEMA was, you know, you lose your house, FEMA gives you a $700 gift card and says, come back tomorrow, use this $700 gift card to go buy clothes and get a hotel room. [03:33:53] And tomorrow we fill out your real paperwork. [03:33:56] Right. [03:33:56] Okay. [03:33:57] But brainiacs like Tulsi Gabbard, a woman who I can't even fathom how she still has a security clearance, she goes on Joe Rogan and says, like, oh, well, we're only giving $700 to people in Hawaii. [03:34:09] Like, I'm going to have to fight that. [03:34:11] Right. [03:34:12] You know, a woman you should have on here, Carolyn Orobueno. [03:34:15] This woman is amazing. [03:34:17] She is, she fights disinformation. [03:34:19] She's like, she's the real thing. [03:34:21] I'm a celebrity. [03:34:22] Carolyn Orobueno is the real thing. [03:34:24] She has a blog called, or a substack called Weaponized Spaces, weaponized spaces.substack.com. [03:34:30] She gets into a lot of how misinformation works and the misinformation actors. [03:34:37] And she's a PhD, Dr. Carolyn Orobueno. [03:34:40] This is alcoholic Ryan Macbeth, right? [03:34:43] Compared to Dr. Carolyn Orobueno. [03:34:45] Yeah. [03:34:46] Um, she does a lot of good stuff with that, but um, the uh, yeah, how did I get onto that subject? [03:34:52] You said something about Russia using disinformation, yeah. [03:34:55] So, yeah, Russia used disinformation in Hawaii on uh, wildfires. [03:35:00] So, I'm actually going to this conference in Australia. [03:35:02] Australia is at war with uh, with China right now because they put out disinformation to try to discourage people from trusting their government. [03:35:10] A couple of days ago, there was a uh, a stabbing, like a mass stabbing, where in Australia, okay, at the oh, yeah, Honda Mall. [03:35:18] I saw that, yeah, I did a video about that. [03:35:20] And, you know, in China's watching that because they're looking at that going like, okay, when we invade Taiwan, how can we use misinformation and disinformation against the Australian people to convince them not to fight or to say, you know, hey, let's have protests saying like Taiwan has always been Chinese? === TikTok Owned by ByteDance (11:17) === [03:35:45] Right. [03:35:46] I said TikTok is a weapon. [03:35:48] You know, just a couple of days ago, there are people in. [03:35:52] There were people who shut down the San Francisco Bridge, shut down SeaTac Airport. [03:35:55] Yeah, I saw that. [03:35:56] You know what else can do that? [03:35:58] A missile. [03:36:00] TikTok is a weapon. [03:36:01] That is a weapon that can be deployed like a cruise missile to take out a bridge. [03:36:05] The only difference is that there's not just TikTok, all social media platforms, YouTube, Twitter, they can all be used as weapons. [03:36:10] They can. [03:36:10] The only difference is that I can subpoena the chairman of Google. [03:36:14] I can't subpoena the chairman of TikTok. [03:36:16] Well, TikTok is mainly owned by Americans. [03:36:22] I am not familiar with that. [03:36:24] So, TikTok is owned by a company called ByteDance, which is out of China. [03:36:28] ByteDance only has a very small share of TikTok. [03:36:35] Let's find out who actually owns TikTok. [03:36:41] Can you find out the breakup of the shares? [03:36:45] All right, let's see what we got here. [03:36:47] Say, who owns like a breakdown of TikTok ownership? [03:36:52] Who is the owner of TikTok again? [03:36:56] TikTok. [03:36:57] Okay. [03:36:57] This is from CNN. [03:36:58] So take that for what it's worth. [03:37:00] TikTok is ultimately owned through a complex multi-layered corporation structure by ByteDance, a privately owned technology giant. [03:37:07] The app is owned by TikTok LLC, limited liability incorporated in Delaware. [03:37:10] Okay. [03:37:11] Incorporated in Delaware, based in Culver City, California. [03:37:16] So can we find out who the, because there's a board of who's on the board? [03:37:23] What is this? [03:37:24] I know it's on Wikipedia, but yeah, and Doyen is known as TikTok. [03:37:29] Chinese internet entrepreneur who founded. [03:37:33] What percentage? [03:37:34] So Zhang owns 50% of ByteDance's shares. [03:37:40] I can tell you this. [03:37:41] Percentage Chinese. [03:37:43] TikTok is. [03:37:44] Wait, wait. [03:37:44] TikTok has said around 60% of ByteDance is owned by institutional investors, including U.S. giant BlackRock. [03:37:54] ByteDance's founders have a 20% stake, but the remainder is held by employees, according to TikTok. [03:38:01] Incorporated in the Cayman Islands. [03:38:02] Well, this has incorporated in the Cayman Islands. [03:38:04] Oh, ByteDance is incorporated in the Cayman Islands. [03:38:07] It also lists General Atlantic among its investors. [03:38:12] Okay. [03:38:13] So it's just kind of a mix of a whole bunch of people. [03:38:16] Well, a lot of international corporations are on the ground. [03:38:18] What percentage of TikTok is owned by U.S. investors? [03:38:24] I'm actually not familiar with that. [03:38:26] I didn't know that that was a public company. [03:38:29] Yeah. [03:38:29] According to a release published by TikTok last May around 60% of ByteDance. [03:38:33] This is exactly what we just read. [03:38:34] Yeah. [03:38:37] Go down. [03:38:37] Who is a majority? [03:38:40] Majority stakeholder. [03:38:41] ByteDance. [03:38:42] Okay. [03:38:42] See, this is so, it's so hard to find it. [03:38:44] Yeah. [03:38:45] I can tell you this any Chinese company, it has to be 51% owned by China, you know, by Chinese investors. [03:38:54] So the, yes, I understand that. [03:38:55] Company, I understand that. [03:38:56] That's actually a huge problem with, with invest. [03:39:00] That's actually a huge problem with investment in China because, uh, You know, once you agree to manufacture things or sell things in China, you have to partner with a Chinese company and they have to get 51% and they steal all your IP. [03:39:14] Right. [03:39:14] You know, like, and that's gone. [03:39:16] Right. [03:39:17] So, so my understanding is, and Steve, I don't know what else you can find on here. [03:39:22] You're going to probably have to dig. [03:39:25] But my understanding was that the majority of TikTok was owned by U.S. shareholders and it's a U.S. based company. [03:39:34] And a, I don't know what else to say. [03:39:36] Yeah, there is a U.S. based version of TikTok. [03:39:39] In China, it's Doyen, but it's owned by ByteDance. [03:39:42] Yeah. [03:39:43] Right. [03:39:43] So there is a ByteDance America. [03:39:46] That when we talk about banning TikTok, that doesn't necessarily mean. [03:39:51] Banning TikTok, it means that TikTok has to be sold to someone in the US. [03:39:56] Right. [03:39:56] It can be subpoenaed in front of Congress. [03:39:58] Right. [03:39:58] Right. [03:39:59] That's kind of the issue. [03:40:00] And that is our version of TikTok, right? [03:40:02] It is owned by the US and the owner can be subpoenaed. [03:40:05] And it's not like there's this idea that TikTok is just China controlled, but that's not the case. [03:40:12] China's almost definitely getting all the data. [03:40:16] Like without a doubt, they have access to the data or they're setting orders down. [03:40:21] I mean, if you, if, um, I can tell you this the scary part about something like TikTok is that if China does invade Taiwan, they could just flip a switch and the next day say, hey, listen, you're not allowed to have any pro Taiwan videos on American TikTok anymore. [03:40:45] Now, maybe some people will say, like, oh no, I'm not going to allow that to happen, right? [03:40:50] But look, when your job's on the line, you got kids you got to put through college, what are you going to say? [03:40:55] What are you going to do, right? [03:40:57] That's kind of the scary part for me that we've allowed a weapon system to infiltrate this country. [03:41:04] But I can tell you this that there are people who've been radicalized against Israel via TikTok. [03:41:13] Anti Semitism is cool. [03:41:15] It's not cool, but they think it is. [03:41:18] Whenever you hear the word Zionist, just replace it with the word Jews. [03:41:23] I can tell you some of the things I've seen people say. [03:41:31] It's kind of crazy because it's almost like people can get very dark. [03:41:40] And, you know, I'm a kind of a medebeek. [03:41:43] I can speak a little Arabic. [03:41:45] I talk like an Egyptian, which is better than walking like an Egyptian or driving like one. [03:41:51] And, you know, I look at, I have a lot of sympathy for the Palestinians. [03:41:58] And anybody who actually watches my videos knows that I do because I criticize the Israeli army all the time. [03:42:05] You guys need to get your crap together and do things the right way, you know. [03:42:14] But I look at TikTok where it's almost cool to be racist as long as the person you're fighting against is a Jew. [03:42:23] And that should be terrifying because that's not what America is about. [03:42:28] We're not about hating each other for the religion. [03:42:30] I don't care if you're a Muslim. [03:42:32] I don't care which God you worship, what day you go to church, right? [03:42:39] That's not what America is about. [03:42:40] And I think we've let this company come into our country and divide us. [03:42:45] And a lot of the people who protest against Israel, they didn't hear of Gaza until relatively recently. [03:42:51] Right. [03:42:51] They couldn't find it on a map if you paid them. [03:42:53] Couldn't find it on a map. [03:42:54] Right. [03:42:54] But it's cool. [03:42:55] And when I wrote, I did a whole video about how I would actually shut down the Beltway. [03:43:02] And I could shut down the Beltway for about. [03:43:04] What's the Beltway? [03:43:05] The Beltway is this ring road that surrounds Washington, D.C., it's called 495, the Beltway. [03:43:11] I heard the term beltway bandits, right? [03:43:13] Like a lot of guys, anyone who works for a contracting company in DC kind of knows what I'm talking about. [03:43:19] There's always a guy, and he's a project manager. [03:43:21] He has a PMP, project management certificate, and he just drives in circles around the beltway, hitting every single contracting site around the beltway, having meetings. [03:43:30] You wonder, what the hell does this guy do? [03:43:32] He drives around in circles in the beltway having meetings, right? [03:43:36] So I figured out we could shut down the beltway for $13,000 just by creating a video targeting white women who have money. [03:43:46] Who belong to certain affinity groups or people who are environmentalists who will come out and protest. [03:43:51] So we could just totally shut down the Beltway and tie up traffic, just like a missile would tie up traffic if it had a bridge. [03:43:58] You can do that for $13,000 on TikTok. [03:44:02] There was a guy the other day. [03:44:04] So I will fight disinformation no matter who it was from. [03:44:07] There was this one guy who owns a company that I guess it allows people to explore their Jewish roots and go to, like, you want to do Aliyah, like, go back to Israel and You know, explore. [03:44:18] So, this guy, he owns this company that does that, or it's a nonprofit. [03:44:22] But he put a video up of an Israeli F 15 shooting down a drone. [03:44:29] I watched this video. [03:44:30] I'm like, this is DCS, which is a video simulation game. [03:44:33] This is a video game. [03:44:35] Really? [03:44:35] This guy put up. [03:44:36] Yeah. [03:44:36] You can see by the smoke, the camouflage of the plane wasn't the right color. [03:44:40] Yeah. [03:44:41] And I was like, I made a video about it. [03:44:44] And I'm like, look, I don't care what side you're on. [03:44:46] Mm hmm. [03:44:47] If you're on the Palestinian side, there was a Palestinian group. [03:44:52] It's called the Kuds News Network, I think. [03:44:55] They put out a video saying, like, there are these meat cans that Israel dropped via jet, and the meat cans have explosives in them, and a child was already killed. [03:45:06] They're dropping these cans, and they think it's meat, and they open and they explode. [03:45:11] These cans were, so again, this is kind of on the Israeli army for being stupid, but so these cans were the containers. [03:45:21] For fuses for M15 landmines. [03:45:26] And what happens is that Israel, when they want to blow up a tunnel, they have these M15 landmines, these anti tank landmines, and they put them inside the tunnel and they connect them with debt cord, which is an explosive cord. [03:45:40] Now, because they're going to be wired to explode through debt cord, if you're trying to find it, yeah, those things. [03:45:49] Those are not residents. [03:45:51] In several areas across Gaza, confirmed that Israel's military leaves bombs look like canned meat. [03:45:56] These are not meat cans. [03:45:58] These are fuses. [03:46:00] You see that key right there? [03:46:01] So, this is what's called DIP, deceptive imagery persuasion. [03:46:04] It's a type of disinformation where you use a truthful picture to lead people toward a narrative conclusion, a guided narrative conclusion. [03:46:12] So, in this case, they want people to think that these are supposed to be cans of meat. [03:46:16] Really, inside that is a fuse. [03:46:18] You put this fuse in an M15 landmine. [03:46:22] Now, what the Israelis are doing is they're opening up the landmine packaging. [03:46:26] They take the fuse, they throw that on the ground. [03:46:30] They wire the M15 landmine with deck cord. [03:46:35] And then they blow it up and they leave. [03:46:37] What did they leave behind? [03:46:40] Those containers of fuses. [03:46:42] Wow. [03:46:43] So they didn't police up their crap. [03:46:45] So they left those things on the ground. [03:46:47] So what does the average Palestinian do? [03:46:49] They go, they take pictures of it. [03:46:51] Look, the Israelis are putting bombs on the ground for hungry children to find. [03:46:56] Take you down, and then I will also take down the Jewish dude that says an F 15 shot down this drone. === Patreon Value for Supporters (04:35) === [03:47:02] It's actually, I don't care who you are. [03:47:04] I will come after you like a freaking pit bull if you lie. [03:47:09] Like, I'm always messy, dude. [03:47:11] It's messy. [03:47:12] It's hard. [03:47:14] And what's funny is I would say probably about 25% of the emails I get every day are like people saying, Is this dip? [03:47:19] Is this deceptive? [03:47:20] Image persuasion? [03:47:22] And then I got to go look, like, Yeah, this is deceptive. [03:47:25] Or no, they're actually really doing this. [03:47:26] This is actually true. [03:47:28] Yeah. [03:47:28] Yeah. [03:47:29] Like, hey, man, it's hard. [03:47:31] I mean, look, everything is influenced by it, not just TikTok, but YouTube. [03:47:35] Is I don't know how much Twitter is now, but I mean, who knows what Elon's you know, what kind of access he has to grind. [03:47:41] But you know, demonetization is a way to get people to self censor. [03:47:47] You've seen it, I've seen it. [03:47:48] Yeah, thank God for Substack. [03:47:50] If it wasn't for Substack, I wouldn't be able to pay my bills. [03:47:53] Really? [03:47:54] Oh, yeah, oh, yeah. [03:47:55] I how often do you post on there? [03:47:58] Um, so everything I post on YouTube, I also post on Substack. [03:48:01] What's kind of nice about Substack, right? [03:48:02] I thought Substack.com. [03:48:04] What's kind of nice about Substack is that, um, Whenever I post a video, Substack sends out an email. [03:48:10] So I'm not relying on YouTube's bell. [03:48:12] It's like Patreon, kind of. [03:48:13] Yeah. [03:48:14] Yeah, but I wanted, I actually have a Patreon, which I got because I found out people were going on Patreon pretending to be me. [03:48:22] Oh, wow. [03:48:22] So I got a Patreon and just didn't use it. [03:48:25] Right. [03:48:25] Like just so people couldn't scam other people. [03:48:29] But I wanted to give people a dollar value. [03:48:33] So I set the price for my Substack at five bucks. [03:48:36] You can get it for free. [03:48:38] If you want to support me, give me five bucks. [03:48:41] And. [03:48:42] That $5 that gives you access to is like if you ever have a class you have to do, if you're in the Army and you have a class about, like, I need to do a class about the Houthis, boom, I got a freaking PowerPoint right there. [03:48:54] Oh, that's amazing. [03:48:54] You just take that PowerPoint, download it, and now you got a class. [03:48:57] Oh, that's incredible. [03:48:58] There's another YouTuber, a guy named Preston Stewart. [03:49:00] Preston Stewart is amazing. [03:49:02] He is an officer in the reserves. [03:49:04] I believe he's a major now. [03:49:06] And Preston, so what I do for NCOs, he does for officers. [03:49:12] So, we kind of wargamed this. [03:49:14] I believe on YouTube there's enough cake for everyone to eat. [03:49:17] You know, I think there's plenty of good content creators. [03:49:20] I can talk about Jake Bro. [03:49:21] I can talk about T Split. [03:49:22] I can talk about Mandatory Fun Day. [03:49:26] There's so many good creators out there that I can look at Preston Stort and say, you know what? [03:49:34] You should follow Preston Stort if you're an officer and you kind of want to know what's going on in the world. [03:49:39] If you want to know about weapons, that's Ryan McBeth. [03:49:43] And there's like, he definitely has a role to play. [03:49:48] Yeah. [03:49:49] And so, like, he's kind of taken over that whole, like, if you're a lieutenant in the army and you want to know what's going on in the world and like a daily briefing or find out about, like, hey, this is what Nigeria's army is dealing with right now, Preston Stuart all day. [03:50:05] He's a perfect, he's a great resource. [03:50:08] If you're an NCO, Ryan Macbeth. [03:50:11] Cool, man. [03:50:12] Ryan, well, we just did a four hour. [03:50:14] Podcast four hours. [03:50:16] Yeah, I only got half a bottle done. [03:50:19] What the hell, man? [03:50:20] We'll take it home with you. [03:50:22] Um, that'll get confiscated by the TSA. [03:50:25] We'll bring it to dinner with us, they will probably destroy. [03:50:28] Yeah, slowly just chug it before you get in. [03:50:32] Thanks for coming down here and doing this podcast, man. [03:50:34] I really appreciate it. [03:50:35] This has been super enlightening. [03:50:37] And, um, for anyone who's watching, where can they find your YouTube channel? [03:50:42] Obviously, I'll link everything below, but so they can find my YouTube channel, Ryan Macbeth Programming. [03:50:47] Where I talk about all sorts of stuff from software issues to cybersecurity to software issues to cybersecurity to what's going on in the world to different kinds of weapon systems. [03:51:03] Or RyanMcBeth.substack.com. [03:51:05] You can also follow me on Twitter at RyanMcBeth or on Instagram at TheRealRyanMcBeth because there are a bunch of people who try to pretend to be me on Instagram. [03:51:15] So I am available. [03:51:17] You can just Google RyanMcBeth, it'll pop right up. [03:51:21] Beautiful, man. [03:51:21] Thanks again. [03:51:23] It's been great. [03:51:24] I had a great time. [03:51:24] I really enjoyed this, man. [03:51:25] I didn't even know four hours. [03:51:28] We got to finish this bottle. [03:51:30] We'll finish it. [03:51:31] I don't know if I'm going to finish this cigar, man. [03:51:35] It's delicious. [03:51:37] Good night, world.