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Dec. 28, 2022 - Doug Collins Podcast
31:32
A crystal ball look into the issues of 2023
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By who?
Georgia GOP Congressman Doug Collins.
How is it?
The greatest thing I have ever heard in my whole life.
I could not believe my ears.
In this house, wherever the rules are disregarded, chaos and mob rule.
It has been said today, where is bravery?
I'll tell you where bravery is found and courage is found.
It's found in this minority who has lived through the last year of nothing but rules being broken, people being put down, questions not being answered, and this majority say, be damned with anything else.
We're going to impeach and do whatever we want to do.
Why?
Because we won an election.
I guarantee you, one day you'll be back in the minority and it ain't going to be that fun.
All right, we're back.
We've looked backwards at 2022.
Now it's time to look forward to 2023.
Things to look ahead.
I just have a few things today.
I want to lay it out.
It may not be our longest time together because I don't have the crystal ball.
If I did, well, it would actually make a bigger difference in a lot of money in the upcoming year.
So if you have those insider tricks, this is probably not the place for it.
But as we look ahead to 2023, Some things that I'm just sort of, you know, looking at, thinking about, these are going to be the stories that, you know, next year when we do the look back at 2023, these will be the things that we talk about.
It'll be interesting to do a review and see where all this come out.
As we look at this reminder, if you have things to look forward to in the new year, go to the DougCollinsPodcast.com, hit the email button and say, hey, Doug, in the new year, let's talk about this.
I want to see something done with this.
We're taking your suggestions.
We'll have guests on to talk about them.
Maybe we'll just talk about them with each other.
But we want to make this a podcast that is very usable, one that people get a lot out of.
We're enjoying doing it and want you to have that as well.
So let's start off.
What is going to drive the year as it begins 2023?
It's sort of similar to the look and review, but it's going to be the new Congress.
And the new Congress is going to have a 51-seat majority for the Senate, and it's going to have a 4-seat majority for the Democrats, by the way, in the Senate, and a 4-seat majority for the Republicans in the House.
What will this lead to?
I have very much a belief that this is going to lead to a lot of nothing getting done, a lot of chaos.
We're seeing it already as you start looking at the new Congress with the Republicans who are having trouble coming behind and getting behind a single speaker candidate, that being Kevin McCarthy, who was elected by the caucus, but can't get enough votes to get the floor vote for speakers.
So, you know, as of this taping, which is late in 2022, we're only about 10, 15 days away from the start of the session.
The Republicans can't say for certain that Kevin McCarthy or who is going to be elected as Speaker.
So if you think this is the big-time problems, that if this is going to be the worst, then I've got news for you.
This will actually be some of the easiest.
Kevin has actually been able to gain a great deal of the conferences between 5 and 12 folks who say they don't want to vote for him.
But this is just about being Speaker.
The reason I say that next year is going to get little to nothing done is we've not even come to the decisions that are going to be so difficult for many in the Republican Congress, such as debt ceiling votes, actually putting together a budget, which we broke down for you a few weeks ago.
You know, how are they going to put the 12 spending bills together?
How are they actually going to get them through knowing that the Senate is going to be in Democrat, firmly in Democrat hands with 51 votes and are not going to go along with much of what the Republicans want in the House?
So there will be, if anything gets done, a compromise that would have to be struck at some point.
And whoever is Speaker, whether it be Kevin or anybody else, for that matter, if he doesn't get it, is going to have to figure out how to get a budget done, an appropriations package done.
Before we have shutdowns.
And for some of you out there who are saying, oh, shut down the government.
Shutdown is the worst form of working with government.
It shows you can't get anything done.
It also frustrates the American people.
And again, at the end of the day, you're not saving any money.
For all of you out there who believe that there's just a lot of money saved, there's actually more money lost given the shutdown and its effect and secondary effects on businesses across the country.
This is a time, and look, I was a part of this, and I had shutdowns during my time up there that were very frustrating when you can't get enough votes in the majority party.
Remember, I've said this many, many times, the four-vote majority that the House has right now for Republicans is almost, almost an unmanageable majority because you have...
Several who have, especially when it comes to funding or spending bills, have never voted in favor of, even when Republicans were in control the last time.
So what's going to change now?
I'm not sure anything does.
And so this is going to require a different set of working In the Congress to get some things done.
But I will say this, if you look back in history, some of the bigger items that have gotten done has been when there is a divide in government, whether it be from the presidency to the Congress or between the Congress and these different branches.
But there is opportunity here if they will seize it to actually get things done for the American government.
Hopefully in the form of energy, hopefully in the form of cost coming down, hopefully in the form of taking some of the budget items and making sure that we're not growing at the rate that we're growing right now, the debt's growing the way it was going.
These will be items that I think the new Congress can Effectively work on, but it's going to actually take legislating.
It's going to take more than just soundbites.
It's going to take more than getting it done.
But what will dominate, I believe, the picture going forward is going to be a Congress that is essentially tied.
And I think this is going to take precedent as we go throughout the year.
So issues that are going to be difficult, there's going to be anything dealing with spending, anything dealing with the debt ceiling, anything dealing with immigration, crime, Criminal Justice Room, which is what I would love to see them work on more, which actually has both a money and morals effect that we need to have.
Infrastructure.
Everything is going to be a struggle because at some point in time, they're going to have to sit back and realize that the American people...
Elected a Democrat Senate with a 51 vote majority and a four vote majority for Republicans in the House.
And this is just going to be the story of 2023. If you're looking ahead to it, if you're somebody who thinks that there's going to be a lot coming out of Washington, D.C., you're probably going to not be happy.
If you're someone who believes that Washington needs to be corralled in and not get, you know, wildly Unpopular spending bills or others going through, then you're probably going to be happy because this is what's going to happen.
My concern is if they get this omnibus passed here in December, the next spending bill will be in September.
I will almost guarantee you here in December of 2022 that if that happens, you're looking at a CR come next September 30th.
Because the idea of getting 218 votes out of the House on a spending bill right now is going to be difficult, if not impossible.
So one of the things to look ahead in the new year 2023 is the new Congress.
The next thing we're going to look at has to do with Congress as well.
So let's take a look at it, and that is the investigations.
And this is one of the reasons that I was talking a great deal about why the Georgia Senate race was so important in the runoff.
If you had left it at...
If Walker had won, the Senate would have been 50-50, meaning the power-sharing agreement would have stayed in place.
It would also have meant that...
Getting subpoenas for Senate investigation was almost impossible unless both the Republicans and the Democrats agreed on the issuance of a subpoena.
In looking at that, that was going to be very hard to do any kind of partisan investigations because the other side would just simply nix the subpoena idea.
Well, with Walker losing, Warnock becoming the senator for now full six years from Georgia, they have a 51 seat majority, which means they'll have the control of the committee system.
That means that Senate will be able to engage in investigations, which they've not been able to do for the first two years of the Democrats being in control in the Senate.
They've not had the ability To investigate or to now, what I believe is going to happen, counter investigate what the House is doing.
The House is, Republicans are pretty well hell bent on investigating the Biden administration on many, many fronts.
The interesting thing is, is for the most part, you only hear slight discussions about energy policy, slight immigration policy and others.
You hear all the discussion on what they're going to investigate.
Number one being the Hunter Biden situation.
His connection with his father, his business dealings, the laptop, all fully expect as soon as the speaker issue is resolved, as soon as committees get set, you will start seeing these investigations starting up.
I think you'll also possibly see an investigation into the investigation of January 6 with a report just coming out.
I think you'll see either a counter narrative that will develop through either oversight or the Judiciary Committee or maybe even administration.
That actually looked at other parts of January 6th that most feel like were not looked at on how security and other issues that day.
So I think you're going to see that being a big influence.
You're going to see immigration being an investigation.
Mayorkas might as well just Have an office on the Hill because he's going to spend the first quarter or six months until either he resigns or he possibly is impeached, which won't happen, except in the House.
It's just going to be that the immigration situation is right now, in the past year, we have had over 2 million people, no 2 million people come across the border, which is more than the population of Idaho.
Folks, I am for a solid legal immigration program into this country, but the only real solid illegal immigration policy is zero.
If you have ways around the current system, Then why wait the time that it takes to do it legally when people can just walk across the border unimpeded, go where they're, you know, getting tickets and plane tickets to go to all parts of the country, never really being truly bound to the immigration system to show back up, but yet always living.
And what the Democrats, I believe, you know, have just become accustomed to is an underground economy in which many states, these illegal immigrants are not allowed to openly Work and move because of their status.
This will be investigated.
You're going to hear more and more about this in the 2023 investigative cycle.
This will be one of the big ones as you go.
But as I stated when I started with this investigation topic, one of the things, though, that you're going to have to look at is the House will not have the investigative floor to themselves.
The Senate now, with their 51 votes and their subpoena power, you're going to see them investigating business.
You're going to see them investigating oil companies.
You're going to see them.
They've already said that they'll now use that power to try and get corporations under control.
This is what the Democrats want to do.
They want to be in the place of Making the businesses that they don't like, that they don't find favor with, and you'll see this in gun industries, just wait.
Whenever there are, I'll almost predict this, whenever you're going to have big hearings in the House, whether related to anything I just talked about in the Biden administration, I can almost predict it now for 2023, there'll almost be counter-programming in the Senate, either with Bernie Sanders and the health committees or some of the other committees.
Either taking a different approach to the investigation or adding in a whole different investigation to start with.
I believe the 2023 legislative cycle will be dominated by investigations and not much legislation.
I think that's just, you know, the look at it as you go forward.
So the first look to in 2023 is a narrowly divided Congress and investigations which will take priority over almost anything as we go forward.
What else?
I know we look back in 2022, one of the things that I said was is everybody was voter-fatigued and they were just tired of elections, especially in some of the states.
Well, guess what?
2023 will lead to the obvious discussion of 2024. And you've got already speculation being bandied about with the media and looking at who's going to be in the presidential race, who's going to be running for Senate.
You know, all this has already started.
One of the funny things, though, that I did read the other day in one of the news blogs from Washington, D.C., out of Politico, is they finally had a moment of self-absorption enough to where they realized that maybe going from party to party at Georgetown to the White House to the French Embassy,
that maybe those reporters who are locked in that little bubble have no idea what the rest of conservative America has really been frustrated about because all they report on is like-minded individuals And the press seek to promote each other so much that they don't see what's going on out in the country.
And that will continue to build over into this 2023 with the 2024 election cycle and the presidential election, which has already kicked off because we already had Donald Trump announce his run for presidency.
I would look for late spring, mid to late spring, to be the next batch of folks coming out who want to run against what was perceived to be Joe Biden at this point now.
He seems to be making the moves to run as president.
If not, we'll be back to, within four years, being back to a full primary system on both sides of the aisle to who will be the nominee for the Republican Party.
From the Republican side, I think you'll start seeing those who may want to jump in, jump in, like I said, by mid-spring in 2023. Some of the state legislature governors, like Ron DeSantis and others, have a legislature that will run until April or May.
I think if he's going to run, you'll see him get in.
You'll see more movement toward the beginning, but you'll see him actually get in after the legislative session.
Folks like Mike Pence, Pompeo, others, you know, they may jump in a little bit before then to try and make their mark.
Either way, this will be a long, long presidential cycle.
Joe Biden stays as the nominee on the Democrat side, which by the way, polling are showing a well over 50% not wanting him.
To be the Democratic nominee, then the Democrats will at least probably be quiet.
I'm not sure you see somebody jump up and try and challenge Joe Biden during this time.
So, which means that there will be all eyes will be on the Republicans and that will be the Trump race with whoever else jumps in there.
Trump, of course, carrying in an advantage going in.
Especially in the primary voters, whether someone else like DeSantis and others can overcome that, that'll be left to be seen.
And then also, it just pays to mention there's the investigations going on with the former president and how those actually play out in this 2024 election cycle.
I don't believe that the DOJ, FBI will curtail anything that they're doing right now simply because Donald Trump is declared for president.
I think you'll, especially 2023, that'll be the first probably two quarters will be.
If you're going to see something come out, you're going to see it come out during those times.
So again, election 2024, yep, it's got to be a part of a future look into 2023. I've added one as I looked ahead, just sort of futuristically looking ahead, and that's the military.
And I think recruitment is going to be another theme coming out of this next year and how recruitment is going in the Army and the Marines, the Navy, the Air Force, the Space Force, the Coast Guard.
Especially when it gets to some of the ground, our ground forces, the Army in particular, and how we're able to, if we're able to maintain any recruitment goals.
This is becoming more and more of a struggle.
And I think it's also going to see a fallout, which is not being discussed right now.
There's a lot of victory laps being taken in Washington, D.C. right now by members of Congress who put into the NDAA that the vaccine mandate would go away by, I think, the first by January, the end of January.
But what they didn't address was what the vaccine mandate now going to repeal it actually caused in the military.
2023 will start hopefully to see some of those resolutions.
You're going to see some court cases being heard by the Navy SEALs, by others in the Air Force and others who We're denied religious exemptions.
We're denied medical exemptions.
We're denied others to not take the COVID shots, and many of them have been adversely affected, whether they're not able to drill for their points, not get a good retirement year, possibly missed promotion boards, these kind of things.
Again, Congress did what was easy, and that was, and for many of us, that's, you know, Probably something that should have been thought about a long time ago.
But Congress did the easy part.
They didn't do the hard part.
The easy part was that it was saying that the vaccines got mandates got to go away.
The hard part was saying, what do you do with these people who have been adversely affected?
And another half to this is what do you do with the people who were compliant, who actually did follow the order, take the shots and are in the military?
And now looking at colleagues who chose to go around the system, not follow the order, not take the vaccine for whatever reason that they, you know, they chose not to on their own principle stand.
Now you set up a situation inside the military that is the us against them in many ways that is going to be frustrating.
2023 is going to be a difficult year in dealing with this.
And I know from my perspective in the Air Force, we're already hearing You know, about members who talk about it not being fair.
They talk about this, you know, it's affecting me.
Why can't I be put back right?
If I didn't take it, now you're saying I don't have to take it.
Look, we've got enough going on in our military.
This is the last thing we needed, but this is the division that has been led through this administration through some of these decisions.
Also, I'll just lay it out there.
What does it mean for future vaccines?
What does it mean for future things in the military?
I think it's going to be a challenge.
I mean, you got the flu vaccine now.
Most everybody's taking the flu vaccine.
You have a few now who are not taking that.
And then if there was something else that needed to go about, when is these different issues going to come about in the military, especially when it deals with health issues?
You know, that's going to be left to be seen, but I think it's something that you can't ignore going forward as well.
So the military, you know, recruitment, the fallout of this vaccine mandate, which a part of the recruitment issue is finding its way through this vaccine mandate, and others is going to be more and more difficult to deal with, especially if the economy does take the incentives from the Federal Reserve and comes back stronger.
This will make these decisions even more difficult in recruitment and retention as we go forward.
So the military is going to be another one.
What else do I see coming forward in 2023?
I think it's going to be a reshuffling and a fallout from the social media dominance of the past five to six years.
Really, over the past five to six years, you've seen the dominance of Twitter, Instagram, YouTube, Twitter, Facebook and others that have dominated not only the social scene and the social fabric of our country, but also the political scene.
Now with Elon Musk buying Twitter, we see TikTok being banned on government phones and government computers.
We see Facebook struggling.
We see Twitter, you know, even after the The purchase from Elon Musk is struggling financially trying to get its balance sheet in order from the balance of people who use it as opposed to revenue coming in from advertisers.
We're seeing the same thing across the board.
We're in a time in which the social media platforms have become more and more important to people They've also become more and more reorganized, different, and challenged from both the left and the right.
An interesting look for 2023 will be how do they react to that and how does the general public react to that?
It's going to be hard to tell, but I think if you look at this, you know, the freer the speech, the better the components it will do, you know, making sure that, you know, we're not, you know, The platforms are not becoming, you know, basically, you know, cesspools for, you know, conspiracies and everything else.
But again, that is the common marketplace.
That is the discussion in the town square.
How do you balance that is going to be very difficult.
Elon Musk is finding out firsthand how hard to manage Twitter is.
I think you're going to see that coming forward.
But I think if you had a theme to start off 2023 apart from The new Congress, apart from our budgetary woes, investigations, elections, military, you know, this issue of social media is going to be one that jumps out.
And I think as it jumps out, we're going to have to, you'll see the dealing.
It'll be interesting to see as we get together at the end of next year, 2023, what actually happened with the social media presence and the social media back down, you know, coming out of 2022. In which, I think, the new year will simply see more of a discussion on Section 230. You're going to see more and more of the social media platforms being held accountable in hearings in Washington, D.C. We'll just have to see.
But it's one to put on the radar for 2023. The other issue that I see on 2023 is the turning, I'll just call it the turning of Afghanistan.
We mentioned this in Random Thoughts a few weeks ago, and I'll just hit it again as you look ahead.
2023 will be a pivotal year to determine how far Afghanistan is going to go backwards.
They're already well on their way to it.
The question will be is how much the world allows them to turn back into a safe haven for extremist groups.
Al-Qaeda, ISIS, and others, and the Taliban letting that happen.
The Taliban You know, enforcing its brutal version of surreal law on the country in which we've already seen public executions by victims' families.
We've seen hands being cut off.
We've seen canings.
This is all back in Afghanistan now.
And, you know, how this plays out over time with the Infiltration of groups like Al Qaeda, like ISIS and others.
2023 will be an interesting year to see if those breeding grounds actually blow up into full-blown problems in the world from a terrorist standpoint.
And it can be one face back to the decision by Joe Biden to just arbitrarily remove our troops without ensuring that Afghanistan would have some semblance of a safe Transition.
It just didn't happen.
Wasn't there.
2023, I think we'll begin to see some of the fallout from that even more so.
I'm hopeful that somewhere this is resolved that the, you know, either through, you know, action, you know, sanctions, whatever it may be to get this resolved.
But if we're still talking about the Taliban having free reign, Afghanistan being a market on the world, you know, player on the world stage, Then we're just moving more and more closer to a just complete Armageddon, if it would, of terrorist activity and not knowing where they come from that would make, I believe, the late to mid to late 1960s.
90s and into the first part of 2000, something that we have not seen.
And this would be actually, I think, even more so given the tools and the equipment that were left in Afghanistan.
So another topic for you to look out at on 2023, it will be the turning of Afghanistan more toward back being a haven for terrorists as we go forward.
Issues that are going to hang around for the next year, immigration, whether it be an investigation or just the fact that Title 42 ended, more and more people coming across the border, immigration will be another topic that Republicans will talk about, Democrats will not talk about, and when they do, they'll blame Republicans for what's going on or prioritizing, marginalizing, whatever.
The state's efforts into fixing the broken system, but immigration will be on the top.
Ukraine, as we mentioned in the last broadcast, Ukraine is going to be one that goes into 2023 out of 2022, you know, and hopefully what will be an end game in Ukraine.
Other issues that are out there is the energy prices.
Will we see oil come down?
Will we see gas prices continue to come down?
Only time will tell there.
That's a 2023 item that will affect a lot of people.
Where will inflation be over the next year?
We saw it rapidly rise this year.
Will there be another rise or will it be a soft landing or recession?
Those are the 2023 questions that we've got to look at.
So, a lot of issues to look forward to, but before we get gone, I do have a couple of just fun predictions.
And James, who many of you have, if you listen to my radio show in the past, you've known James, my producer.
We laugh about our predictions, but I'm going to give some predictions here for Major League Baseball, NFL, NBA, and NCAA in the coming year.
Now, the NFL pick and the NCAA pick will be for this Coming up Super Bowl and coming up Bowl Championship Series.
So just keep that in mind.
But for Major League Baseball, I predict, okay, this is going to be, and some of you will be so shocked, the Braves to win the World Series.
I think they'll come back.
I think they're going to get stronger in the pitching staff.
They've got a very young team.
Although they lost Dansby Swanson, you know, I wish him nothing but the best.
I just don't think he's worth the contract.
So I think the Braves, with their farm system, will come back.
You'll see the Braves win the World Series in 2023, two and three years.
The Super Bowl, which we played in February, I see the Bills winning the Super Bowl.
I think Josh Allen and some of that defense getting back together, it's going to be interesting.
As a reminder, though, I think one that will go deeper than most people think, because I believe this is a Cinderella year for them, and that is the Minnesota Vikings.
Everybody forgets about Minnesota.
Nobody talks about Minnesota.
All they can do is keep winning.
And as they did just this past weekend, overcoming a 30-plus point deficit to win against Indianapolis.
Fun fact here for you, though, here on the podcast, throw out for you, Matt Ryan, who was a former quarterback for Atlanta Falcons, now the quarterback for Indianapolis Colts, has the distinction of losing the two biggest leads in the Super Bowl and in regular season in NFL history.
Same quarterback.
So just something to throw in there.
NBA, I think the Bucs, Milwaukee Bucs, will win the NBA title this year.
They're playing good ball.
They're playing coordinated.
And then for the Bowl Championship Series come January of 2023, it is the Georgia Bulldogs repeating as national champions in the college football arena.
I know you'll have a lot of differences.
I know you may have your own predictions.
I would love to hear what your predictions are.
Go to the DougCollinsPodcast.com, hit the email button, and send me an email or on our social media, at RepDougCollins on Twitter, Instagram, DougCollins, GA.
You can find me there.
Please be a part of the DougCollins Podcast family.
We're glad to have you on board.
And as we get ready for the end of this year, may you have nothing but fond memories looking back and even better memories looking forward.
God bless you, and we'll talk to you.
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