In this episode - Why did Virginia Republicans run a Bush campaign in the Trump era? https://pjmedia.com/jchristianadams/gillespies-virginia-loss-messages-2004-tactics-1996/amp/ Here’s a brief explanation of why Socialism will always fail. http://dailysignal.com/2017/11/08/free-market-beats-government-planning-every-time/ Did the Democrats, and the Russians, set up the Trump team? https://legalinsurrection.com/2017/11/russian-lawyer-meeting-with-fusion-gps-beforeafter-don-jr-mtg-probably-just-coincidence/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+LegalInsurrection+%28Le%C2%B7gal+In%C2%B7sur%C2%B7rec%C2%B7tion%29 Churches are uniquely vulnerable to attack. Please check out this short piece on the topic. https://www.crtv.com/video/churchgoers-are-soft-targets-for-any-evil-doer-with-a-gun-we-have-to-change-that--capitol-hill-brief
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Get ready to hear the truth about America on a show that's not immune to the facts with your host, Dan Bongino.
All right, welcome to the Dan Bongino Show.
Producer Joe, how are you today?
I am all set.
Ready to go, Dan.
All right.
Do not panic, folks.
Do not panic.
Get off the ledge.
If you are on the ledge now on your iPhone listening to this podcast, God forbid, slowly step back.
A wind gust may accidentally blow you off.
Relax!
Everybody take it easy.
It was a bad night, no question.
For those of you saying, what the heck is Dan talking about?
Last night was election night in the off-off-cycle elections.
As I said a couple days ago, off-cycle elections are generally referred to as midterms.
These are like off-off-cycle elections in odd years, which Virginia, New Jersey, and a couple places in Maryland, a couple local elections, sometimes you have these off-off-cycle elections.
They're very Odd elections that can have very odd results.
But listen, the Democrats won big last night and we shouldn't put lipstick on that pig.
But what we're going to talk about today, what we do on this show, what I'm always very proud of is we're going to talk about things like facts and the data and what actually happened.
So hopefully we can learn some lessons from it, Joe, and not whine and gripe and moan.
And I think the Democrats.
You know, as they often do, are going to take all the wrong lessons from their victories last night.
Now, let me give you a summation of what happened last night and what I think is important and what I think is frankly, you know, in large cases irrelevant.
There's a lot of, you know, chatter about the Virginia governor's race.
That's not a surprise to me.
Here's what happened.
Yes, it was ugly for Republicans.
Democrats won the Virginia governor's race, lieutenant governor's race, the attorney general spot, the New Jersey governor's race.
This is not an exhaustive list, by the way, but the things I think matter.
One controlled the state of Washington State Senate.
I think they won at least 14 seats in the House of Delegates in Virginia.
This one, put an asterisk in your head on this one, because I'm going to talk about this.
They won two red districts in the Georgia Statehouse.
That's a big deal.
I think that's a bigger deal than any of this.
The Manchester Mayor spot, they won the first Dems since 2003.
And a referendum in Maine on Medicaid, the Medicaid expansion passed, which is definitely a bad night for Republicans all around, no question about it.
Now, that Georgia, two red districts going to Georgia, the state of Georgia.
I didn't say that wrong.
Two historically very red districts went to the Democrats last night.
That, to me, is a really bad sign.
Now, what happened?
First, let's do kind of like some good, bad, indifferent, and ugly, okay?
Don't panic.
Here's number one reason.
Here's the first reason not to panic.
Trump is the fifth president now in his first, you know, election afterwards, significant election afterwards, to lose the governorship in Virginia and New Jersey.
So to be clear, Trump is a Republican.
This is obviously the first election in those races since Trump's been elected in his first term, right?
Trump, our Trump's party, the Republicans, we lost last night.
Northam won in Virginia and, what's his name, Murphy won in New Jersey.
Joe, this is the fifth time in a row this has happened.
Okay, you think I'm making this up?
2009.
Bob McDonnell and Chris Christie.
Who was in office in 2009 for his first term, first election, off-off-cycle election?
Barack Obama.
What was Bob McDonnell?
A Republican.
What was Chris Christie?
A Republican.
2001.
Mark Warner and Jim McGreevy won.
Both Democrats.
Who was in office?
George W. Bush.
His first off-off-cycle election.
Want to go back even further?
1993, who was in office for his first off-off-cycle election?
Bill Clinton.
Who won?
George Allen and Christy Todd Whitman in the governorships, both Republicans in the states.
And then we had Wilder and Florio in 89.
Folks, this is with, uh, with, uh, what's your call with, uh,
who's always George, George HW.
Sorry.
This is the fifth time this has happened.
So don't let's not go crazy here.
Let's not act like something, I'm not saying, let me just be clear here, because I hate when people do this and they don't admit their faults, especially the Democrats who do this all the time.
I'm not saying it wasn't a bad night.
I opened up the show being crystal clear.
This was ugly last night.
I took a pretty bad beating.
What I'm simply trying to say to you is pretty bad beatings in off-cycle elections are not at all uncommon.
Matter of fact, they are the rule, not the exception.
It's happened the last five times.
Everybody chill out.
Chill!
Chill!
Okay.
Why did it happen?
Why?
I know, Joe.
Everybody, like, you get all these maniacs, like that Rick Wilson guy, who is the most virulent, cancerous, anti-Trumper maniac I've ever seen in my life on Twitter.
He's, like, celebrating this.
Like, this guy's supposed to be a Republican.
Ah, this is great!
That guy's lost his mind.
Well, I don't think he ever had a mind, but whatever mind he had left, he lost.
Everybody needs to take a chill pill here.
Here's what happened.
Turnout on the Democrat side was really, really high.
Here are the numbers.
The Democrat who won in Virginia North won 97% of Democrats, while Gillespie, the Republican, won 96% of Republicans.
So you're saying, well, that seems pretty fair on both sides.
If the Democrat won 97% of the Dems and Gillespie won 96% of the Republicans, almost the same number, Joe, what happened?
Well, Dems were 41% of turnout, folks.
Republicans were only 31%.
And there was a 16% bump in turnout overall from the last gubernatorial election.
In other words, Democrats showed up because they're really pissed off.
Now, Folks, those are the facts, okay?
I'm just giving you the numbers.
Nothing I'm saying here is speculation.
I'm not pulling a Rick Wilson on you.
I'm just telling you the facts.
Democrats are really angry at Donald Trump.
This isn't groundbreaking material.
It's nothing new here.
This isn't some political earthquake or, as I heard someone say, it's a tsunami of... Tsunami of what?
It's a tsunami of stupidity out there on Twitter with these people commenting about things they don't know.
Democrats are angry.
Yes, this isn't news.
They're angry at Trump.
This is not news!
The opposing party is typically angry the first year of an election when they lose the White House.
Now...
Gillespie did not do as poorly as people are painting him out to be, but he had some significant faults.
And I want to pile on, like I said about Ed Gillespie, I've met him before.
He's a very nice guy.
He's not my particular brand of politics, but he's a very nice and pleasant guy.
So I don't want to pile on the guy day after, but you know, this is politics.
I've lost elections.
It sucks.
I've lost a couple of times, man.
It really sucks.
And it doesn't do you no good to ignore what happened.
What do you call it?
Gillespie got annihilated in the suburbs, folks.
He got absolutely destroyed.
He got wrecked in Northern Virginia, big time.
Now, he did okay in rural Virginia, but he got just destroyed by heavy turnout in Northern Virginia, which is populated, Joe, by, as you well know, government employees and a largely liberal population.
Northern Virginia is almost entirely democratic right now.
So, the turnout there was heavy.
I just gave you the numbers before.
You can rewind the podcast and listen to them yourself if you want to take notes.
Now, I will put articles in the show notes, including a fantastic article in PJ Media by J. Christian Adams, which covers a lot of what Gillespie did wrong, in the show notes today.
Thank you to everyone who's subscribing.
The subscriber list has just blown up.
Bongino.com.
I will send you these articles.
But here's the problem, folks, as I see it.
Let me make one quick point too while we're on the topic of Northern Virginia and these big city clusters.
Big city clusters of Democrat voters work on the state level but it will never work nationally.
It won't.
Because why?
Joe, when you have a state like Virginia where the population is centered in Northern Virginia, populated by government commuters who commute into DC from Northern Virginia, government employees who are overwhelmingly Democrat, right?
There are simply not enough bodies that live outside of these population centers, these big city type areas and these urban clusters.
There are not enough bodies to offset at a state level, Joseph, a state level.
To offset those votes.
Therefore, at the state level, a state like Virginia is going to stay persistently blue, in my opinion, for a very long time.
Virginia is not a swing state anymore.
It's a blue state.
It's not a deep blue state, but it is unquestionably a blue state.
It's not a swing state.
Don't make that mistake again.
Now, that works at the state level.
The problem at the national level, as we saw from Trump losing the popular vote but winning the election, is it leads to a lot of wasted votes.
And it leads to a problem on the national level that's got a fork, Joe.
It's twofold.
Number one, in the electoral college, this is not a sustainable strategy.
It doesn't matter if you win the state of Virginia by 10,000 votes or 100,000 votes.
You know what?
You get the exact same number of electoral college votes in the presidency.
It doesn't matter.
Where your voters live in the state.
You see the point I'm making, Joe?
Sure.
Now that certainly matters in Virginia.
If the governor wins, if the governor's race, the Democrat wins the race by 100,000 votes, it matters.
It doesn't matter in a national election.
That should be obvious by what happened in the Electoral College.
If Hillary was running for governor of California, she would have done very well.
She wasn't.
She was running for a national spot where regional voting patterns matter.
Because there are, Joe, shocking to no intelligent person, regional issues.
We have a system of federalism for a reason.
We don't want California voters telling Wisconsin dairy farmers what to do.
You don't like it?
Go live in a monarchy.
We live in a constitutional republic that respects federalism.
So this is the talk you off the ledge part.
Don't worry so much about this at the national level because, number one, it's not a winning strategy for the Electoral College in the long run to cater exclusively to liberals in big cities.
Works well in New York.
It's working well in Virginia.
It's working well in Illinois and California.
But it ain't working well anywhere else.
Secondly, it's also a piss-poor strategy for trying to maintain majorities in the House of Representatives.
These are the House of Representatives at the federal level.
I'm not talking about House of Delegates or staff.
I'm talking about the federal level.
You're a congressman.
Right.
Why?
Because when you have urban clusters of voters and each congressional district has about 700,000 people.
So let's say Joe, a state has three congressional districts, right?
Roughly 700,000 people each.
All right.
So the state has, say, 21,000 total voters.
Folks, I get it.
Just play with the math for a minute.
Excuse me.
I said 2.1 million, right?
Voters.
Three congressional districts, 2.1 million voters, right?
Okay.
The problem with the Democrats' strategy of appealing to liberals in big cities now is, and I'm going to use a dramatic example but it'll make the point more salient, So you have a state now with three congressional districts, 700,000 voters, 2.1 million.
Let's say everybody votes, right?
The problem with being clustered in cities is let's say one of those districts, Joe, has 700,000 Democrats and no Republicans.
That doesn't matter at the state level.
Great!
They've still voted the state level and they'll offset the other people.
I see what you mean.
But it certainly matters for the congressional elections, because what?
You have a ton of wasted votes.
Because if there are 2.1 million people in the state, and let's say half of them are Democrats and half are Republicans, that would mean there are 1 million Democrats and roughly 1 million Republicans, right?
Pretty simple math.
If 700,000 of those Democrats live in one congressional district in a state that's half and half, they lose two of three seats.
You see where I'm going with this?
Because all of them live in one district!
They all live in the city!
There's only 300,000 more spread across the entire state!
The Democrats, by strictly appealing and engaging in a far-left radical form of leftist politics, wage floors, hiking minimum wage, you know, quote, free college, Joe, which is only free to the people who go there, not everybody else paying for it, the taxpayers, Obamacare, high taxes, men in the women's room, all of this social agenda, late-term abortion, this may work for you in the city!
But it is not a long-term strategy for success.
So again, I'm asking everybody out there, cool out for just a second.
It is completely unsurprising that they won at a state level in a blue state.
Not only is it unsurprising, it is the historical pattern.
Now, it was a bad night.
We did lose House of Delegates seats, and this is why I'm concerned.
To dial it back to the beginning when I told you to put an asterisk next to something.
The Georgia districts, the state house districts that were red, that does not explain that away.
So you may say, okay great, well what are you gonna leave us in suspense?
Tell us what does!
Well that's what I'm here for!
Listen, I got up early to put this show together for you all today because this matters and I know you're gonna see a lot of panic on Twitter.
I want to be able to explain it for you.
So let me just wrap up point number one first.
Reasons not to panic?
It was a state election in two blue states where governors won from the party that dominates the state.
It's not surprising.
It's the historical pattern.
The Democrats are clustered in cities.
The cities matter in state elections.
It doesn't matter as much in national elections.
They had high turnout.
They're angry.
No surprise.
Now, all right, you get what I'm saying?
So that's why don't jump off the bridge yet.
Don't jump off the bridge ever, but definitely don't do it because of that.
By the way, Caveman Joe was a huge hit yesterday.
Oh, was he?
Yes.
At some point in the future, we may have to bring him back.
I'm serious.
I got like five emails about Caveman Joe.
It was totally unintended.
So we may have to bring him back at some point.
Add him to your list of characters, right?
All right.
Now, here's a reason why we should panic.
Obviously, the Georgia race should not have been a loss and the Virginia House of Delegates wipeout, or as it was said to me by a prominent Democrat, Insider in an email.
It was a bloodbath in Virginia.
Here's what explains this way, and here's a problem we're having now.
Anger is a real thing, folks, okay?
It's not a joke.
Anger does motivate people to vote.
I don't mean that in a bad way, even though I'm talking about Democrats right now, which is usually surprising.
People get angry when they lose races.
They feel like they're under attack, their ideology is under attack, their way of life is under attack.
This works for both parties.
This is not exclusively a Democrat phenomenon.
Republicans were angry after Obama won, and we started the Tea Party, and we won elections too.
Matter of fact, we took back the House of Representatives.
Anger is a very real thing in a very real world, and it is a very real motivator to action.
Now, Democrats are angry about Trump.
But, Joe, what was the offsetting legislative accomplishments that made people's lives better enough that it muted some of the anger on the Democrat side, number one, and number two, got passionate Republicans out there to vote?
And the answer is nothing!
Zippo!
If you're going to analyze this election appropriately and properly, I want you to envision four separate boxes of people.
Four silos.
Alright?
Passionate Democrats.
Loose Democrats.
And I don't mean loose, I mean that they're loosely tied to the party.
Loose Republicans.
I don't call them moderates because I just call them, they're loose.
They're loosely tied to the party.
They'll go either way.
Loose Republicans and passionate Republicans.
Now to win an election you need 51%.
You need 50 plus 1.
What is motivating Democrats?
You have passionate Democrats voting because they hate Trump.
That's it.
They hate Trump.
They hate everything he stands for.
They don't even know most of what he stands for.
They just hate Trump.
They're gonna show up no matter what.
What is that?
20, 22, 23 percent based on some Gallup polling?
Doesn't matter.
Say it's a quarter of voters.
They're gonna show up.
You now have loosely affiliated Democrats who, joke, don't like Trump either.
But they don't like Trump enough to show up and vote against him if they had something positive to vote for.
Think of the Reagan Democrats.
Reagan won in 1984 in one of the biggest landslides in electoral history despite the fact that the media painted him the same way they're painting Trump.
Dumb, stupid.
Reagan won every state but Minnesota.
In his re-election, where Mondale was his home, he only won that state by, and he won by just 3,000 votes Mondale, it was his home state.
Reagan won re-election because those moderate Democrats, loose Democrats I should say, is a better way to say it, who are loosely affiliated to the party Joe, loose Democrats were not angry enough to vote against Reagan.
Why?
Because everybody was doing great!
The economy was roaring!
Folks, again, this is not speculation.
This actually happened.
Reagan won re-election, one of the biggest landslides in presidential election history.
He lost one state!
One state!
And he barely lost that!
Now, loosely affiliated Republicans.
They may not like Trump either.
They may not like Reagan.
You're seeing it now with the Never Trump crowd.
But the economy was rip-roaring due to a lot of things like the Reagan tax cuts and the general deregulatory push and the general push towards conservative values from the Carter years.
Although, to be fair, Carter had a bit of a deregulatory agenda as well.
But this led to explosive economic growth and a massive re-election.
You know, it's morning in America again.
And loosely affiliated Republicans said, yeah, this is my guy.
I may not like him, but this is certainly my bag of donuts because my wallet's fatter.
And then passionate Republicans showed up because Reagan was generally a conservative on a number of issues.
What do we have now?
What?
No, no, seriously, what do we have now?
You have Trump, I'm gonna argue, pushing the most conservative agenda we've seen since Reagan.
I'm not an acolyte to anyone, whatever, I don't care, I'm not really, I fare on both sides on this, I think.
But where has he gone wrong?
A massive deregulatory agenda, a sound immigration policy, relatively, still got some work to do there.
Not so great on trade.
Sounds so far on taxes, although this tax bill has a lot of problems.
At least we're getting something done.
A lot of problems, and I've discussed them in prior shows.
You can listen to that.
We can fix this, and there's still work going on, and that's why I'm not willing to throw in the towel yet.
I talked about the Federal Register the other day shrinking dramatically under Trump.
But the GOP establishment can't get this done!
Trump wants tax cuts, Trump wanted Obamacare to go away, and they can't do it!
So Joe, you have passionate Republicans saying, well, what am I voting for?
I volunteer for these idiots and nothing's happening.
You have moderate Republicans, loosely tied Republicans to the party, saying, well, you know what?
I'm kind of tired of this.
I mean, my wallet's getting lighter.
Things ain't that great right now.
No tax cuts.
Whatever.
I'll go either way.
You have loosely affiliated Democrats saying, hate Trump.
And they just vote against them.
And then you have passionate Democrats saying, I really hate Trump.
I'm going to show up.
How are you going to win an election like that?
Folks, you will never win as a Republican party by doubling down on the entitlement state and redistribution and trying to give away more stuff than the Democrats.
Let me sum this up because I got a couple other things I want to get to.
Here's the lesson for the GOP out of this.
Again, based on the data and the facts I just gave you, you damn well better get off your asses and do something.
And you better do something quick.
Because I'm telling you right now, if the message you took from this is Trump sucks, you got the really wrong message.
Because they said the exact same thing about Reagan.
By the way, you think this is unprecedented?
Hold on.
I had something.
Let me show you.
This is a tweet from Byron York.
Byron York tweet.
Reagan in his first term midterm because you can say, oh midterms are going to be ugly.
We're going to lose all these seats.
Reagan lost 26 seats in 82.
Clinton lost 52 seats in 94.
Clinton lost 52 seats in '94.
Obama lost 63 seats in 2010.
Again, you're going to tell me what a bloodbath it's going to be?
It's been a bloodbath for the last 40 years!
Get something done!
The only people that managed to hold on or not get wiped out in their first midterm was H.W.
because his popularity was high.
How do you get your popularity high, Joe?
You pass something as a party!
Gosh!
Do something!
Do something.
Anything!
Get something done!
Well, not anything, but do something on the taxes.
I know I've railed against just doing something, so I shouldn't say that.
But do something on taxes and get rid of Obamacare!
What is hard about this?
I'm telling you right now, the message that's going to come out of these swingy districts, I know it.
I've lived in them.
I ran in one.
is going to be, oh, you need to distance yourself from Trump.
I'm telling you that is entirely the wrong message from this.
The message you should be taking is you have nothing to run on.
Nothing.
Because you've done nothing.
That's the message.
Wouldn't you rather go down fighting?
Are you even interested in that?
Or are you just going to be suckers and whip dogs?
Oh, we lost.
It's a bloodbath.
Get over yourselves, man.
Read that piece, by the way, by Christian Adams of PJ Media about running a Bush campaign in the Trump era.
It's amazing.
It'll be in the show notes today.
Sorry about sending it out late last night, by the way, the show notes.
My daughter manages that, actually, and I had to take her over to jujitsu because I gotta leave on a trip tomorrow.
So my mother-in-law's coming by and everything, so I got a lot going on.
I'm headed up to Maryland to help out a few folks.
I'm still an activist at heart, folks.
I never let that go.
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Okey-doke.
Couple other stories.
Where do I go?
Oh!
Oh.
Yeah.
Gosh, it's Phil Murphy.
Did you see him jump in?
The guy who won the... I was just watching Fox.
I got it on in the background.
The guy who won the New Jersey governor's race.
By the way, he was a hardcore, like, Bernie Sanders guy.
Good luck with that, New Jersey.
You know what, before I get to this thing, I do have a story I want to get back to.
It's about Obamacare, forgive me, but this is a doozy.
I hate talking about Obamacare, but it's like the gift that keeps on giving.
But before I get to that, folks, what part of voting in New Jersey are you not getting?
Here's one promising note, too, from these elections.
Liberalism will inevitably eat itself.
It is a forest fire.
Liberalism is a cannibal.
It eats its own species.
Liberalism won't survive because liberalism can't survive because of very basic rules of arithmetic and mathematics.
You cannot spend other people's money forever without forcefully taking it from them to which at some point they will object.
Now, the problem liberals have is liberals are motivated by anger to vote frequently.
They're motivated by anger for all kinds of things.
They love playing the victim, and they love voting against other people, but they rarely vote for what they believe in themselves.
The radical left will, but most loosely tied people in the Democrat Party won't.
Now, they're angry now at Trump, but eventually liberalism bites them in the butt.
We've seen it all over the country.
Giuliani in New York, Hogan in Maryland, Ehrlich in Maryland, Rauner in Illinois, where Republicans get elected in these states.
Now, the reason I'm bringing this up I just saw this guy, this is what reminded me, this Murphy who won the Democrat, who's a hardcore redistributionist.
He's a Goldman Sachs guy too, which is kind of ironic.
He gets up on the stage, he makes this big leap like he's happy, it's great, he won the governorship, he should be happy, he's the governor-elect in New Jersey, right?
Folks, New Jersey's collapsing!
I mean, what part of math don't you get?
New Jersey's collapsing.
Their pension fund is completely bankrupt.
I just read a report on Zero Hedge, another email list I recommend, about Maui.
Maui, the pension fund is broke.
They're completely broke.
Mismanagement of government finances by, and I'm being completely candid here, folks, by liberal policies, not liberal politicians only.
You see the distinction I made there, Joe?
Yeah.
Chris Christie was a Republican.
I'm not saying Republicans have had no blame in this.
Please don't get me wrong.
I'm saying Republicans can follow liberal game plans, too.
They do it all the time, to my chagrin.
Liberal policies, in effect, will eventually cannibalize liberals themselves.
You know, I saw another story this morning covering, Maryland, by the way, was a wipeout.
Maryland got wrecked.
The Annapolis, you see this show?
It happened in Maryland.
The Frederick City Mayor, what's his name, Randy McClement, he lost.
He was a Republican.
Mike Panellides was the Republican mayor of Annapolis.
He lost.
They lost in wipeouts, by the way.
They got crushed.
They lost alderman spots.
They lost council spots.
They just got smoked.
They got crushed yesterday, the Republicans in Maryland, which is a bad sign, by the way, for Larry Hogan.
But conveniently, Joe, in the same piece by a liberal Democratic writer, I read about Republicans fleeing, I mean, excuse me, people fleeing from Montgomery County into Frederick City to overturn elections.
Now, that may not mean anything to you, but Maryland people, it means a lot.
Frederick County used to be Mountain, Maryland.
It's become an urbanized now.
But Frederick County used to be reliably red.
Used to be a blood red county in Maryland.
Frederick County is just north of Montgomery County, which is one of the bluest counties in the history of humankind.
It is about as blue as Mao's China.
Right, Joe?
Am I making this up?
Nah, that was blue, man.
Montgomery County, it is as blue as... I don't think there's a Republican left standing in Montgomery County.
Now, Why is Frederick County turning blue?
Because people are moving out of Montgomery County because they're liberals and they're ruining the place.
Taxes are through the roof and people don't want to pay them.
So now they move up to Frederick.
And what do they do in Frederick, Joe?
They vote Democrat.
This is what's happening.
Democrats, they're motivated purely by anger, not by their own issues because they don't stay where they vote for policies to be implemented.
They vote for them and then leave.
You don't believe me?
You know what, the article's not up at Conservative Review anymore, which really upsets me, by the way.
But I wrote an article, it may pop up on one of your Google searches somewhere, but it was called Florida and Texas Win Again, and I did an analysis, with the help of my friend Jim Pettit, of IRS data, of people taking their salary, they report to the IRS, Joe, and leaving, moving out of a state.
We did a whole show on this, remember, a while ago?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
This was a long time ago, about a year ago.
Yeah.
And I showed you through IRS data that if Democrat policies are so popular, liberal policies, why are people evacuating those states en masse?
Not one at a time, Joe.
Tens of thousands of people evacuating New York, New Jersey, California, Illinois, Connecticut.
It's universal across liberal states.
And where are they going?
Florida, Texas, Nevada.
I mean, states that have generally more Republican-leaning policies on taxes.
I mean, if your policies are so popular, why are people leaving counties and states where your policies are actually enacted?
This is, again, another long-term, talk-you-off-the-ledge moment.
It stinks because we're going to have to deal with liberalism in the short term, especially in Virginia now.
By the way, folks, I think it's time to get out of Virginia.
I'm serious.
Virginia is turning into Maryland light.
It really is.
I got a lot of friends up there, but that place is lost.
I'm sorry.
You know, it's time to get out.
I mean, if you're there, you got to fight.
I fought in Maryland.
But if you can't leave, you know, you never give up the fight.
But I'm telling you, the state, the logistics there aren't working very well.
But they don't vote for their own policies, folks.
They vote with their feet.
They leave.
And then they bring their crap somewhere else.
Okay, this is the story I was telling you about Obamacare.
Sorry about that little... But I saw this guy jump on stage celebrating and I'm like, what is he celebrating?
He's bankrupt.
His state is totally bankrupt.
Now he's threatening to bankrupt it even quicker.
Oh, hey, that's great.
All right.
So article in the Wall Street Journal today, pretty fascinating about John Koskinen, the IRS commissioner, who has got to be one of the most reviled men in America.
This is the guy who, I mean, he legitimately looks like Dr. Evil.
Just look him up, Koskinen.
He's the guy who has stonewalled every investigation into the IRS targeting conservative groups, which, by the way, they just paid a massive penalty on and had to apologize for because they now acknowledge it happened, despite Obama saying it wasn't a sliver of corruption in the IRS.
Really?
Why'd they just pay a $3 million fine that acknowledging there was more than a sliver of Corruption, because there was.
Now, this is the doozy.
So Koskinen, he's headed out the door.
He's gonna leave now?
Mm-hmm.
Right before he leaves, he thinks he's sticking it to you.
He is, this guy seems like a particularly vindictive fellow.
He's walking out the door, Joe, and he is giving the double-barreled middle finger, right, to America.
What did he do?
Now, for the last couple of years, the IRS has not enforced the employer mandate Through the IRS.
What is the employer mandate?
If you are an employer out there with 50 or more employees, you have to buy Obamacare-compliant plans for your employees.
You tracking, Joe?
Yeah.
Now, there are tens of thousands of companies that haven't done that.
They either don't have the finances, they don't have the money, they just don't have the capability to buy those plans, and they are employers with 51, 100, it doesn't matter, 50 or more, okay?
Now the IRS, under Obama, was relatively hesitant to do anything about it.
So they didn't do it.
They, to be candid Joe, they didn't do anything.
Yeah.
If you didn't buy the Obamacare compliant plans, you were still in violation of the law, Obamacare, but nothing really happened.
Now Koskinen's headed out the door, and as a big mm-you to America, he is now mandated that the IRS send letters to all these businesses, and the estimates now are tens of thousands of businesses.
One of you listening is going to get this letter.
Email me when you get it, which is going to say you owe probably tens of thousands of dollars in fines right now.
The estimates to cost a small business show is an astonishing $13 billion now.
You may say, what's the good news, Dan?
That sounds like horrible news.
No, I don't think so, folks.
I don't.
I'll tell you why.
You are going to get hammered with this anyway.
And I don't wish, obviously, evil on anyone.
But until America understands what Obamacare really is, there is absolutely no way to get rid of it.
I think this is good news.
I think Koskinen's letters, when they start arriving in tens of thousands of small businesses across America, And these companies find out they have a $10,000 and $15,000, $20,000 bill they have to pay and they don't have it.
And they walk into their employees and say, hey fellas, ladies, I got bad news.
If something doesn't change quick, we're going to have to start talking pay cuts or layoffs.
You know what's going to happen?
Folks, keep in mind, you may say, well Dan, are you wishing evil for a political point?
Folks, it was going to happen!
This was going to happen either now or next year.
This is the law.
This is what Obamacare is.
What, you didn't know?
What's gonna happen, Joe?
Now all of a sudden, people are gonna be pressured to call their legislators and go, hey, listen.
Daddy-O.
I just got a bill for 20 grand, you want me firing people in your district?
Now all of a sudden, maybe these phony, fake, fraud rhinos who don't want to do squat about Obamacare, maybe now if they realize they're going to lose their seats because of pressure from local businesses, maybe now they'll turn around and do something now that the costs of Obamacare, Joe, are actually real.
Make sense what I'm saying?
Yeah, wake-up call, baby.
You're damn right it's a wake-up call.
Folks, this was going to happen.
Rip the band-aid off.
Realize right now the law that is in effect.
Realize it and get rid of it, and then maybe the fines will go away.
But make no mistake, you're gonna pay.
Under Obamacare, you're either gonna pay now or you're gonna pay later, but oh, you're gonna pay.
And we're all gonna get hurt.
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All right, let's see.
Oh, this is a great article I read.
I'll close out with this one.
Daily Signal has a really terrific piece by Walter Williams.
You know that throughout the week I've been talking about the 100-year anniversary of the Communist Revolution?
Yeah.
And how communism is, by any reasonable, objective, fact-based measure, the greatest catastrophe in human history.
I mean that, folks.
The greatest catastrophe in human history.
As a emailer, eloquently cited to me yesterday, he said, you know, you got the numbers wrong.
He said, you said 65 million dead.
It's actually closer to 100 million, and he's right.
I read another piece that confirmed that.
65 million may be the war dead and the direct impact, but the indirect impact of communism, Joe, is about 100 million dead, which makes it by far the greatest catastrophe in human history.
So there have been a number of really high quality articles out this week that I saw, and I've been trying to pick through a couple that I can put in the show notes every day, and I found one today that's simple, short, sweet, and really, really good, written by Walter Williams, who is just the genius.
I have the world of respect for Walter Williams.
It's at the Daily Signal.
Again, I'll put it in the show notes.
Here's the gist of the piece, and it's the central flaw, the core flaw in socialism and communism, and frankly, even, you know, big government liberalism today.
And that is the knowledge problem, Joe.
The whole core of communism and socialism was the idea that government bureaucrats, and Joe, really smart people, can plan an economy better than free markets can.
In other words, oh, you know, we're just going to get a sock expert and he's going to tell us how many socks we need in society.
Why let these rapacious capitalist pigs, you know, why let them own the sock industry?
The government should own the sock industry because everybody should have socks and we're just going to plan how many socks because we're going to look at the data and we're going to figure out how many socks we all need and that's going to be the better way to allocate scarce resources.
Well, What's the core problem with that?
The core problem that is inescapable, folks, is the knowledge problem.
One sock expert is never going to replace the knowledge of 300 million Americans that wear socks.
Now, Williams gives a fantastic analogy I hadn't thought of.
And again, it's a short piece, so please read it.
He says, Let's look at the traffic light situation in the United States.
This is brilliant.
He says, there are roughly, what's the number, 100 million traffic signals in the United States.
I didn't know that.
That's a lot.
So it's in the piece there.
He said, that seems like a pretty simple problem, right?
So his point is, Joe, let's give the socialists an easy one.
Let's not even make it hard, right?
Forget about something like healthcare.
Wink wink nod nod.
The government's already trying to manage.
That's unbelievably complicated.
Let's give them something simple like traffic signals.
There are two ways to manage traffic signals.
You can manage it locally with a bunch of free people deciding where traffic signals go, when they need them, how long they should be timed.
Right, Joe?
All right.
Or, you can have a federal central government planner, or a group of planners, say a traffic light bureau of 20 people that can plan every traffic signal across the United States.
Come on, this can't be that hard, right Joe?
Yeah.
I know, see, by the tone of your voice, I get you're sensing my sarcasm here.
Folks, do you realize how important, this is a simple issue like traffic signals.
But it's only simple for you.
It's not simple for the bureaucrats in DC.
And I thought about this.
There's a traffic signal.
When you come out of my neighborhood, you make a right, you go down this long road, there's a traffic signal at the end.
The traffic signal is timed differently for different times of the day because the school gets out.
The traffic signals time differently also because there's crossing guards at that intersection.
The traffic signal has a turning lane.
The traffic signal... Now, what I'm getting at is, how did we know to time the we being us, the locals who voted for people?
We did this locally, right?
Yeah.
How did we know and push the locals to time that traffic signal for certain times of the day?
Well, you used that road.
That's why.
Because we used that road and our kids go to school there!
That's why!
Do you really think a bureaucrat in Washington D.C.
has any knowledge whatsoever about the traffic signal on your corner and the unique traffic circumstances there?
Do you think he has any idea?
He has none!
There's a knowledge problem there.
This guy, and do you see how the knowledge problem, here's the first fork of the knowledge problem, Joe.
The first fork of the knowledge problem is he's not local.
He has no knowledge.
You see what I'm saying?
There's a knowledge vacuum.
He doesn't know anything, but there's another fork to the knowledge problem.
The other fork is the opposite.
You're saying, what do you mean?
He has too much knowledge.
What are you saying?
And you just said he has no knowledge.
No, no, no, no.
He has too much knowledge.
It's just the wrong kind.
The guy on the bureaucratic traffic signal board in the new socialist government of Washington, D.C., he has studied traffic signals his entire life, Joe.
He has read every book on traffic signals, on roundabouts, on timing, everything.
On the color they should be, on how bright they should be, on if they should turn off at night, if they should blink red, if they should stay red.
He knows everything in the world about traffic signals.
He has all the knowledge contained in all the books on traffic signals out there.
What's the problem?
He still doesn't know jack squat about the traffic signal on your corner.
He don't know anything!
He doesn't know when your kids get out of school.
He doesn't know what the traffic flow is.
He doesn't know!
What, is he going to commission a study on every corner in America?
He doesn't know.
He has knowledge.
He has the wrong kind of knowledge.
The right knowledge are the people on the ground who say, hey listen, That traffic signal?
That needs to be a little longer during the day to let the traffic flow so parents can pick up their kids.
That's the right kind of knowledge it matters.
Read the piece, though.
It's really, really good.
He gives another example, too, about apples.
How do you like them apples?
Which is really, really smart.
Really good about the knowledge problem there, too.
So go check it out.
That'll all be available at Bongino.com, I understand.
If you don't want to subscribe to the email list, I get it, I get a lot of emails too, but I promise we don't spam you, we don't sell your email list.
Matter of fact, I just got a solicitation the other day and we turned that down, so don't worry about that.
But go to my website, Bongino.com, subscribe to the email list, I'll send you these articles, they're really, really good.
