| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
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unidentified
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And policies enacted towards them. | |
| From the University of Chicago Institute of Politics, watch live at 1.30 p.m. Eastern on C-SPAN. | ||
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| And we're back with Wayne Cruz. | ||
| He's with a Competitive Enterprise Institute Fellow for Regulatory Studies here to talk about the cost and scope of federal regulations. | ||
| Let's begin with that number because the Washington Times did a story about your report. | ||
| Federal Red Inc now costs businesses more than $2.1 trillion per year according to your report. | ||
| When we dig a little bit deeper into that number, the total cost, $2.2 trillion annually, cost to the U.S. households average is $16,000 annually and consumes 16% of income, 21% of household expenses. | ||
| How'd you come up with these numbers? | ||
|
unidentified
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Basically, everybody knows, I think, this year that the federal government is set to spend $7 trillion and on that a $2 trillion deficit. | |
| But spending is just one of the ways that the federal government gets, involves itself in the economy. | ||
| The hidden cost of regulation is another one. | ||
| And, you know, regulation of the economy, economics, antitrust, environment, health and safety, and all the paperwork costs that go with that and so forth. | ||
| Years back, the Small Business Administration used to compile studies of the aggregate cost of regulations. | ||
| And back at that time, the costs were approaching a trillion dollars. | ||
| Since then, there's been a lot of regulation. | ||
| Every year, the Office of Management and Budget, it's often late, but every year the Office of Management and Budget compiles a cost-benefit report for regulations. | ||
| It's not all-inclusive. | ||
| It gets at a fraction of them. | ||
| But using various estimates from the federal government, private estimates, the National Association of Manufacturers, for example, has an estimate of the cost of regulation of $3 trillion. | ||
| I use largely government studies that I can find and try to tabulate those in charts. | ||
| And I use a placeholder. | ||
| This year, $2.155 trillion. | ||
| That's equivalent to what the deficit is going to be this year. | ||
| It's roughly equivalent to what individual income taxes are, same number, $2 trillion, four times the amount of federal income tax collections. | ||
| And if you think of corporate profits of around $3.5 trillion, regulations are close to 60% of that. | ||
| So it's a massive part of the economy. | ||
| And we may get frustrated by the debt, which is now approaching $40 trillion. | ||
| We may get frustrated by the government spending. | ||
| But regulation is a huge factor in the economy, especially when you think sometimes government is steering and the market is just rowing in high-tech, in antitrust, in AI. | ||
| Yet we don't measure that. | ||
| You can't look up the cost of regulations the way you can with debt and the federal spending. | ||
| That's what I'm trying to get at with the 10,000 Commandments Report. | ||
| And I always say I would love for Congress to take on this job and for OMB and the federal government to do these regulatory cost estimates so I can quit writing 10,000 commandments. | ||
| Wayne Cruz is the author of the 10,000 Commandments, an annual snapshot of the federal regulatory state. | ||
| Why do you call it the 10,000 Commandments? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, I was just talking to a colleague earlier this morning. | |
| It's been 32 years since I started this report. | ||
| We're still trying to get this done. | ||
| And it turns out, actually, in the new reconciliation markup and judiciary, there's a call for an aggregate cost estimate. | ||
| I think that's terrific, and I would love to see that survive. | ||
| But when I first put this report together, I was a student at George Mason. | ||
| I came working on the Hill. | ||
| I worked in the Senate, worked at FDA a little bit too. | ||
| But I put together a report because I was interested in this question of federal involvement in the economy. | ||
| I knew what spending was. | ||
| We were looking at the cost of legislation and so forth. | ||
| And I put together a report. | ||
| It had a boring title, like Regulatory Trends 1986 to 1992. | ||
| And I thought it's got to have something cute. | ||
| And there was this book about antitrust and how subjectively that law gets applied. | ||
| And it was called 10,000 Commandments about this arbitrariness of how certain regulatory incursions can take place. | ||
| And I thought that would make a terrific title. | ||
| And I did it, and it just kind of stuck. | ||
| So when you talk about the cost of these regulations, do you calculate it by looking at what is passed down to the consumer? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's a mix because a lot of what when OMB or the agencies assess costs of say an environmental regulation or a labor regulation, they look at compliance costs on business. | |
| You know, energy rules and so forth would be that way. | ||
| But there's also the productivity losses, the potential job impacts. | ||
| And I'll tell you, as an official position, I'm not an economic planner. | ||
| I don't actually think an external observer can calculate the cost of what someone is subjectively experiencing. | ||
| But I do think, since regulations are laws, that Congress, if it isn't requiring that cost estimate for rules, that Congress needs to take accountability for rules. | ||
| So this is really about accountability too. | ||
| So in when we fight over this, you know, there's, oh, you know, the regulations have benefits, don't worry about the costs and things like that. | ||
| The question should never be, should we do a cost analysis? | ||
| I think the debate has always been, do you do it bottom up and top down? | ||
| I think, okay, yeah, you're both right. | ||
| Let's kind of do both and pull it together. | ||
| The NAM estimate, for example, is regression analysis and then compliance costs that businesses face and so forth. | ||
| I try to use as much of the government figures as I can. | ||
| But also noting that a lot of regulatory costs are completely left out. | ||
| For example, independent agencies, FCC, FTC, left out. | ||
| Financial agencies in particular too have been heavily involved in regulation during the Biden administration and switching under Trump. | ||
| But a lot of the regulatory state, you know, big chunks of it weren't getting measured at all. | ||
| And where I can't do that, what I do like to do in 10,000 Commandments and other write-ups is to point out where the gaps are and say that they need filling. | ||
| You said a potential impact on jobs. | ||
| Explain how. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, because with regulations, if there's a lot of red tape, you know, small businesses are less likely to engage. | |
| I mean, there was just a letter. | ||
| We're going to leave this, but you can watch more anytime at c-span.org as we take you live now to a discussion on President Trump's first 100 days in office, hosted by the University of Chicago Institute of Politics. | ||
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