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unidentified
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President Trump and members of his administration will not be in attendance after declining an invitation from the White House Correspondents Association. | |
| Former Trump White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer and veteran journalist Frank Cesno will join us in studio during the dinner to discuss the annual event, the role of the press corps, and its relationship with the Trump administration. | ||
| We'll also give viewers a chance to call in and share their thoughts on the dinner and the president's decision not to attend this year. | ||
| Our live coverage begins at 8 p.m. Eastern on C-SPAN. | ||
| You can also watch on C-SPAN now, our free mobile app, or online at c-span.org. | ||
| Back at our table this morning, Cliff Young, polling and societal trends president of Ipsos, here to talk about public interest and public opinions in President Trump's first 100 days. | ||
| So let's talk about his overall approval rating as we approach 100 days. | ||
| That is next week. | ||
| What did you find? | ||
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unidentified
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Well, we found there's been a decline since he took office, and whether that be Ipsus polling or just the average of all polls, both show a five-point decline. | |
| Ours shows from 47 points to 42 points. | ||
| And so the question is, is that a lot? | ||
| Is that a little? | ||
| And let's look at history a bit. | ||
| And what we know by history is that if we go back to 1948, the average decline the first 100 days is about three points. | ||
| He's at five points, so he's a little bit above that. | ||
| Not significantly so, not outside the expectations. | ||
| But when you look at public opinion generally, there's a lot of noise in it. | ||
| We can talk about that, especially relative to tariffs and a lot of the actions taken. | ||
| But his approval ratings, I would say, are within expectations. | ||
| When you say there's a lot of noise, what do you mean by that? | ||
| A lot of, depending on the indicator, if you look at his handling of the economy as one, people's opinion of tariffs as another, thwarting court orders, these are just examples of a variety of specific issues that America is a little bit standoffish about. | ||
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unidentified
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They're negative towards. | |
| And that doesn't necessarily translate into the approval ratings right now. | ||
| It can, it might, but at this moment, it isn't. | ||
| But we can see on the edges this sort of noise friction, unease. | ||
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unidentified
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Indeed, if we look at focus groups, that is not polling, which is quantitative, where we call you or knock on your door and talk to you, but when we basically sit down with you and have a conversation, Americans are saying the same thing. | |
| Well, if it's not the issues that are driving down his numbers, then what is it? | ||
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unidentified
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Well, it is the economy. | |
| It's the anticipation of the economy potentially doing worse. | ||
| And so it's not what's happening today. | ||
| It's an anticipation of what might happen. | ||
| Obviously, doing things that are different, breaking routine. | ||
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unidentified
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Any human, including Americans in general, but humans feel uneasy about that. | |
| And I would just sort of characterize the President Zeitgeist as unease and underlying tension. | ||
| Okay, and so what are people uneasy about when it comes to the economy? | ||
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unidentified
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Well, inflation, cost of living, making ends meet. | |
| If you go out and talk to people, that's what they cite. | ||
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unidentified
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They talk about, I'm expecting that. | |
| We came off of high inflation. | ||
| We came off of cost of living. | ||
| I voted for Trump because of that, but I'm anticipating that that will happen. | ||
| I'm cutting back on some non-essentials. | ||
| I'm not going to travel like I thought I was going to. | ||
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unidentified
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I'm stocking up on things that I can. | |
| And that's what we're hearing today. | ||
| It's specifically about the economy. | ||
| It's about cost of living. | ||
| All right. | ||
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unidentified
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So let's take a look at this graphic that put together by Ipsos. | |
| Approval ratings decrease with inflation. | ||
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unidentified
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Two-point inflation increase is consequential for approval ratings. | |
| Explain that data. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
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unidentified
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Okay, you have inflation and you have unemployment, right? | |
| These are two economic indicators that have negative impacts on presidential approval. | ||
| Inflation has a much greater impact. | ||
| And so by our own modeling, our own analysis, a two-point increase in inflation translates to a decline of four to six approval rating points. | ||
| In other words, a negative impact. | ||
| And why is that the case? | ||
| Once again, people can't make ends meet. | ||
| They can't take care of their families like they expect they do. | ||
| You can continue watching this on our website, c-span.org. | ||
| We leave it to take you live to a discussion on technology and the modern financial system. | ||
| Joined by NASDAQ CEO Adina Friedman here on Turn off all cell phones, please. | ||
| And we are ready to go. | ||
| Thank you. | ||
| Will we remain seated? |