Clif High - HPH update 1082015

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Oct. 8, 2015 - Clif High

15:34

HPH update 1082015

Boatshed work - carbon fiber Proa - crane base Silver gold update for Fall into Winter 2015

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	Okay, doing um oops.
	Oh, sorry about that.
	I'll be more gentle with the camera.
	Um doing another quick video about what's going on in the boat shed, and then some comments on silver and gold and upcoming events.
	Uh just to keep everybody's interest in uh reality and how it's shaping up.
	Uh, inside the boat shed here.
	Um we're gonna be looking at uh some construction we're doing in carbon fiber for the uh both the uh utility tube and the carbon uh fiber uh crane.
	Uh these are uh circular structures, neither one is tapered.
	Uh they're tubes.
	We need to attach items to them in the way of hardware, uh, various rigging components, everything from control lines to backstays, or actually it's um a thwart ships uh mid stay on the proa.
	Uh but in any event um so we need to attach things.
	I'm not inclined to go and drill through the carbon fiber or the aluminum.
	Uh the aluminum could take it.
	Actually, the carbon fiber could tube could probably take it, the number of small holes we would need for attachment points, but it's tedious and it wears down, wears down the damn um uh drill bits, especially the aluminum.
	Uh drilling those uh holes in the aluminum was just uh hellacious.
	So rather than deal with that, uh we've decided or I've decided to go ahead and and uh put on collars uh clamps uh on the tubes that we can really reef down on so they just won't shift no matter what.
	That will allow us to then attach our uh uh everything from turn buckles to uh blocks and um uh block and tackle for uh raising and controlling the crane as well as for moving the um uh the sail up and down and all the stuff that needs to be done.
	So, in order to do this, uh the what what a method I've used in the past that works really well is to create these things that I that we call Oreos around here, and it's a carbon fiber with a um it's carbon fiber sandwich with a layer of of biaxial or triaxial heavy fiberglass in between.
	Now in this case we have to make them such that they're curved to the arc of the um uh tubes.
	In both cases, I'm not trying to make a complete circle uh to fit around the tube.
	I'm trying to make two halves of that with a slight separation so that we can use bolts to clamp the thing very tightly.
	And so we're making a bunch of half uh circles here, and we're using the uh Oreo mixture here of the black carbon fiber, the very dense white uh triaxial cloth in this case.
	Uh very heavy.
	I I think it's um oh I'm not really sure where it is on the on the scale.
	Maybe it's 20 ounce uh tri-axial, very very heavy stuff, and then carbon fiber over that with a little lip, and then you drill holes through the little lip, put in um uh either washers or a metal plate and drop your bolts through that, and the carbon fiber and the fiberglass won't twist, it won't torque, it won't break.
	Uh the parts that would shear first would be the bolts.
	That would be the weak point on the whole structure.
	And so it's relatively easy to make these components out of carbon fiber and resin, even doing hand layup.
	Uh, there's certain uh a couple of little things you have to do to uh make them come out looking sort of professional.
	There's uh in our cases uh here we're I'm gonna have Cale do a lot of the cleanup work, so I don't have to do it.
	Uh he had to go out today, so he's just gonna luck out and do the cleanup tomorrow.
	But I'll turn the camera around now and show you our molds and stuff and try not to blind you with the lights I've got.
	Our heater is this long tube and it's um uh glow plug is broken, so I've had to uh get a replacement.
	Now what we're doing here is the uh that's why I've got the lights going is to maintain heat.
	What we're doing here is to use this piece of pipe, which happened to have the six-inch diameter that we needed as our mold, and it's covered with plastic.
	And as you can see, it's got um a styrofoam bit that was cut to provide us with a ledge upon which we can make a lip that can be drilled through later on to form the big clamp component here out of the carbon fiber.
	These are for the aluminum uh utility tube that holds our crane, and uh they're gonna be trimmed down.
	There'll be another layer of resin and um uh carbon fiber put on this end on this side here, and then this stuff we call our armor mix, uh which is um uh fumed silica as a modifier with um um uh micro beads, but primarily a lot of fumed silicon, not as a flux, but ultimately as a rigidifier.
	Uh so this will all be cured out in a couple of days.
	It's gonna take a while because it's sort of cold here, uh, but it won't stick to the plastic.
	Uh it's an interesting process because here's the here's the really interesting part to this.
	As you're doing it, carbon fiber is notorious for being a problem to wet out with the resin.
	You can wet it out in this case here really easily because the resin wants to go through the carbon the first layer of carbon fiber.
	There's three layers of material here, by the way.
	There's carbon fiber, I don't know if we can see it, a bit of um uh uh the white showing as the the fiberglass, and then another layer of carbon fiber.
	And when you do that first layer of carbon fiber and you're putting the resin on, it wants to go through there and it wants to stick to this plastic, which is just the same six mil plastic we're using to cover everything.
	The good part is that that's true while the resin is wet, it really wants to go through there and stick to that plastic, but as soon as it cures out, it doesn't stick to it at all, and you can just peel it right off.
	That's why we use a cling film and the six mil plastic to separate for uh as mold remover, really.
	Um now on this one here, we're doing these are for the um uh uh as part of a series for our uh carbon uh fiber tube that is our crane that holds up our sail, and so these are done on uh smaller diameter plastic uh PVC pipe again.
	The same situation.
	While we're doing this, it wants to stick to the PVC pipe, but once the resin is cured, it'll pop right out.
	And then we reuse these pieces to make uh another group, and then we've got a bunch of these collars that can go up the mast for attaching various bits and pieces of material to the um uh to that tube.
	It's a crane really, it's difficult to not call it a mast because it sticks up in the air.
	The material we're using here is the carbon fiber uh twill uh cloth.
	We're gonna do a bunch more of that, and uh this heavy-duty uh uh biaxil, no triaxial cloth.
	Anyway, the other aspect of this that we're gonna show you that I'm gonna show you here has to do with how the we've attached the um uh the mast uh crane uh to the utility tube.
	Okay, out in the uh area immediately in front of the boat shed with the boat.
	I've got the uh uh crane mounted on the utility tube, and you can see that we're set up on a two by four structure that we've made with some plywood and um uh large bolt.
	This would probably function just perfectly well if we were more serious about it and really clamped it down.
	It's um a mock-up though to allow us to take some measurements, uh, but basically we're gonna replicate this in carbon fiber and fiberglass on a foam cord just to get it down lower and uh bring more of our uh mast or crane surface down closer and then have giant clamps to hold it to the tube.
	But as you can see, there's it gives us our degree of motion that we need and allows for uh control ropes to control the position of the mast for the swing of the sail back and forth.
	So the rigging here will go fairly quick as we go along.
	Um we're gonna replicate this part uh as I say in fiberglass and um carbon fiber and foam, make it uh really scook them in very rigid.
	We're also gonna restrict the amount of bend we've got by the arc here, and um uh then the the uh crane here goes way up.
	I mean, it's this is angle is way too low.
	I was just using it to uh run uh uh sheets up for uh control line and then also uh the backstay.
	So we just had it lowered down for a bit.
	Uh getting a lot of practice in that uh fortunately or unfortunately, I don't know.
	In any event, so things are trucking right along here, And we're picking up on the uh for those who haven't seen, I'm gonna take us into the booties for a second here.
	Those who haven't um seen this, it's kind of cool.
	I can't raise the door up all the way, but once the uh crane is lifted up, we're good.
	Uh the sail is over there.
	Um little bit of uh water because I need to put on a better door seal here.
	But uh, this is basically the view that you'll have as you're um uh sailing about in Puget Sound.
	And let me set this back down.
	Okay, so uh the uh stuff about um silver and gold.
	We've had um uh I don't want to say a flurry, I'm gonna be as specific as I can.
	We've had a rise in data sets for silver that is uh remarkable.
	Uh comes in as clumps, so it's not really like a continuing rolling amount of data flowing in.
	It's like we're processing through uh specific clumps really, or not specific clumps, but within clumps of data uh uh that are primarily about and referencing silver and gold.
	Um of these dates are data sets when we put them into model space and pop them up, or showing that something's gonna happen.
	It's starting to rain here for us or to us or about us or with us all uh in like the third week in November, and that this is probably not a good thing so far as we're concerned because the emotive uh sums are this on this are relatively high but negative.
	Uh so it's not like the Ode de Joy where they're relatively high and positive.
	Here we are at a relatively high number on a minus scale uh for the third week in November for the general uh milieu if if we can say it that way.
	And um uh that um uh third week in November, it's not troubling, it's not like end of the world, it's not like space aliens.
	We have a lot of stuff about alien wars that's interesting too, but nothing saying that you know we're gonna be attacked that day or anything.
	However, uh a great deal of it is suggestive that there's going to be a huge rise, and by huge, we might be talking uh five dollars, um, but a huge rise in silver over the course of the first part of December.
	Um it may be much more than that.
	We don't get numbers.
	What I've got is an emotional there's a is a series of emotional sums uh that when we when we plot them out, they go into this like um uh where we're at now, it's sort of grinding upwards, and then there's the we hit this um bloop of the activity in the third week in November, and then there's this spike upward for emotional sums for the stuff in uh early December.
	I'd have to say uh maybe sometime by say the December 10th.
	Uh we'll know a lot early or a lot later here, a lot more as we get into the uh uh data sets in November because a lot of this is immediacy data, and so it's bringing along short-term uh values that are plopped into the the um model space and do the forecast.
	Uh, but the closer we get the um uh more detail we get, and the more detailed the better we can plot a time.
	So at this point I'm saying third week in November through to say, like I say, let's just say the 15th of December, about the middle of the month, somewhere in that period of time, those four weeks, uh, we're gonna get a fairly large um relative.
	Uh this is what we're seeing is a very large uh emotional boost in silver.
	Now, this emotional boost is saying within the data set bespoke data that says that the price is going to increase in the paper currencies of the world.
	Uh there's all kinds of other data sets there that will go into uh within the ALTA report uh some details as to uh basically what the data is saying as to a why and um this kind of thing.
	Um I don't know about stocks, we don't we don't follow that in particular, but the emotional sums would seem to indicate a very negative economic um who's he was it of some unknown uh nature at its core is gonna be manifesting uh within that third week in November and it starts uh really getting to us about the 12th of November,
	and so we've got real um jumpiness in the activity as we're plotting model space from about the 12th on.
	And I thought to just sort of drop those dates in and let everybody know that it, you know, if you're concerned about um things in terms of like you know, food supply or making job decisions or this sort of thing, uh, from the 12th of November through to the 15th of December,
	uh, we're gonna get a uh period of time where you may want to uh be paying much more attention to what's going on in the outer world when you're making those decisions, uh, simply because you may need to know some of that stuff as background, uh like uh you know what's happening to the dollar, what's going on with currencies, uh that sort of thing.
	Um but uh we've had this uh third weekend of November showing up for maybe a month or more, and um uh no clear indications yet as to exactly what's what we're rolling into.
	That is within the way in which the short-term data works, where sometimes these events pop up within this three-month window, and it's not until we get into the third week away from it and start getting immediacy data that we get any of the details.
	Uh, usually if we can, we can if we're lucky enough to have caught something in the long-term data way back out, then we can usually figure out what's going on while we're within the short-term data.
	Uh thus the discrepancy sometimes on our forecasts as to why sometimes we're incredibly accurate, and it depends on where we can see it and how long we can plot against it, so to speak.
	Anyway, uh that's it for now.
	Uh, I'm gonna keep doing these updates as we run across some of the data because it's um uh very interesting and very key times at the moment.
	You know, basically uh shit is hitting the fan, the fan's been turned on to high, and it's being aimed at us.
	So now it's um uh uh incumbent on everybody who learned to duck.

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