Sept. 9, 2024 - Bannon's War Room
48:38
Participants
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| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
| Truth is, and you deliberately choose lies. | ||
| You know where the light is, and you deliberately choose the darkness. | ||
| You do it deliberately because you know, and I know, 63 federal judges said there was no evidence of any, any fraudulent behavior, any widespread voter fraud in 2020. | ||
| The United States Supreme Court, time and again, refused to listen to these, because there was nothing there. | ||
| The one time they did in a Pennsylvania case, the most conservative justices said, you know what, even if we responded to this, Case, it wouldn't change the outcome of the election. | ||
| You had Republican officials in Michigan, Republican officials in Pennsylvania, Republican officials in Georgia, Republican officials in Arizona repeatedly say, That their elections were fair and yet the lies continue. | ||
| So what are you looking for in the debate with Kamala Harris? | ||
| I don't feel good about it at all. | ||
| I'm sorry. | ||
| She'll be face-to-face with a convicted felon, a man who has been found liable of massive fraud, a man who knows how to lie so much he ripped so many people off. | ||
| Millions and millions of dollar on top of that being found liable for sexual abuse in a case that the judge called rape. | ||
| This is not a good guy. | ||
| This guy is convicted in a hush money case where I paid off a porn star. | ||
| He can get anything done. | ||
| He can say anything. | ||
| He doesn't follow by any... Get me out of here. | ||
| I can't stand this shit. | ||
|
unidentified
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Mika, let me remind you... He can get anything done. | |
| He can say anything. | ||
|
unidentified
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He doesn't follow by any... Get a little feedback loop here. | |
| I got the posse here. | ||
| I want to watch the chat today if you got any stuff you want me to ask here. | ||
| Look, here's what's interesting about Mika. | ||
| It's like everything she's saying about Donald Trump is the same thing she could have said in 2016 when Joe and Mika actually played a very critical role in Donald Trump getting elected. | ||
| I don't know if you remember this or know this or something, but I got that institutional memory. | ||
| It's like it was all kumbaya. | ||
| Before the heads of MSNBC told him to flip on Trump. | ||
| So, give me a friggin' break. | ||
| Navarro in for Bannon. | ||
| We got a great show today. | ||
| Let me give you the preview. | ||
| Give you my handicap on whether we're going to go into a recession, whether the stock market is going to crash. | ||
| We'll do that in what we call the A block, the first segment. | ||
| I'm going to have EJ and Tony come on in the B block towards the bottom of the hour and give his version. | ||
| Between the two of us, I think we'll get a pretty good idea of the current state of play in the economy, which is obviously important. | ||
| In and of its own right, but given that we're Less than 60 days out to election if we have a crash or a slowdown That would obviously harm the chances of ms. | ||
| Harris from being The the next Democrat dictator to throw us all in prison Bottom of the hour Richard Beres, my favorite pollster, is going to come on and talk a little bit about how things are looking right before tomorrow night's debate. | ||
| And then it's going to be so much fun next hour. | ||
| I'm bringing our top China CCP new analyst on, Adam Millon, and what we've been doing together is working on a project where it's like a tale of two lives where we look at How J.D. | ||
| Vance is growing up in Middletown, Ohio, getting hammered by Chinese Communist economic aggression. | ||
| His running opponent, VP opponent, Tim Walz, Tampon Tim, Manchurian Candidate Tim, Beijing Tim, Tiananmen Tim, whatever you want to call them. | ||
| It's really kind of extraordinary. | ||
| The two things that really are interesting about these guys is that JD and his family and community are getting hammered by the Communist Chinese cheating. | ||
| And Tim Walz is over there sucking on the Chinese teat from the money that they're making from hammering J.D. | ||
| Vance's community. | ||
| I mean, the symmetry there is kind of interesting. | ||
| And of course, the other parallel, J.D. | ||
| rides to the sound of the guns in Iraq. | ||
| Tim Walz runs away from it. | ||
| So we're going to kind of break that down for you with Adam. | ||
| He's a very interesting young man. | ||
| He speaks Chinese fluently, much better than Tim Walz, by the way. | ||
| And reads it as well. | ||
| So he gives us insights into what the Chinese communist propaganda are saying. | ||
| Then the bottom of the hour, next hour, we're going to bring in my good friend, Clay Clark. | ||
| There's a Lollapalooza event Clay's going to tell us about in North Carolina, just a few days before the election. | ||
| And that state, It's in play. | ||
| It was tight last time. | ||
| It'll be tight again. | ||
| We absolutely have to win that, and we're going to talk a little bit about how that might be done. | ||
| But let me deliver what I promised, though, in this segment. | ||
| Here's something that's really interesting. | ||
| Try this in the chat. | ||
| I'll put this out here, see who gets the number right. | ||
| So, 50% of the population of America control what percent of the nation's wealth? | ||
| 50% of the country control what percent of the nation's wealth? | ||
| And why this is important Is going back to when Romney made that intemperate remark behind closed doors just before the election that did not do him a lot of good, where he observed that 47% always vote Democrat because they're on the government teat. | ||
| Welfare folks, right? | ||
| So the answer is 50% So the other half has to live off 6% of America's wealth. | ||
| That's kind of interesting. | ||
| 4% of the wealth. So the other half, the other half has to live off 6% of America's wealth. | ||
| Okay. That's kind of interesting. But, but here's what's, what's the bad news for Kamala | ||
| Harris and the Democrats. It's like, usually the, the, the 50% that are, | ||
| the, the 47 that Romney said were on the government doll, vote Democratic to keep | ||
| themselves on the government doll. | ||
| But here's the problem. | ||
| There's no amount of government dole that's keeping pace right now with inflation. | ||
| And these folks They have to choose between food on the table, medicine in the cabinet, a roof over their head, and it ain't working. | ||
| So in this economy, in the Bidenomics economy, it's kind of interesting. | ||
| Like right now, the top end, and I'm not talking about the 1%, I'm talking about the 50% | ||
| are doing way better than the bottom 50%. | ||
| percent. | ||
| And if Donald Trump takes even a small fraction of that traditional group of folks who vote Democrat because of the welfare safety net that they think that they | ||
| absolutely have to have rather than jobs and prosperity, that's the election right there. So therein | ||
| lies the balance here. | ||
| Now, in terms of what's going on, if Denver could put up that one chart of something called the ISM | ||
| manufacturing index, to me this is all about things. | ||
| You look at this thing, but look at the ... It looks like a mountain there with a little peak, right? | ||
| And what the ISM Manufacturing Index is, it's a zero to 100 diffusion index. | ||
| And what it does is tell you whether or not the economy is going to go into a recession or not. | ||
| And in the old days, it used to work pretty damn well. | ||
| If the ISM were below 50 for a while, that was going to be a recession. | ||
| Doesn't work so well anymore because we lost our manufacturing base to the commies. | ||
| Uh, and we engage in so much irresponsible fiscal stimulus. | ||
| But what's interesting about this is that it shows the contrast between Bidenomics and Trumpnomics. | ||
| In March of 2021, this was just a couple of months after Biden took office, the ISM was an astonishing 64.7. | ||
| Now that had nothing to do with Biden. | ||
| It had everything to do with Donald Trump, because that's kind of the lags that are kind of involved. | ||
| And what we've seen since then is a steady decline to 50 and then below 50. | ||
| And the current number is 47.2. | ||
| So we've been in a situation where the investment part of the GDP growth equation, consumption, investment, government spending, net exports, that investment thing has been basically in the toilet. | ||
| Throughout the Biden regime. | ||
| So why haven't we gone into a recession and you have to look at the other two? | ||
| Domestic elements consumption. | ||
| Right and government spending. | ||
| And what we've had is a consumer driven. | ||
| Growth. | ||
| And the consumer-driven growth is due entirely, entirely to Bidenomics fiscal Keynesian-type overspending, which in the first wave gave households a bunch of money that they could squirrel away And save and then draw down the savings. | ||
| And then in the second wave, and remember, Kamala Harris made the tie-breaking vote for these budget-busting bills, injected more money into the economy. | ||
| And that's been keeping it going. | ||
| And E.J. | ||
| Antony, who's going to come up next, makes the point in his latest article that Biden and Harris have added In four short years, one quarter of the entire debt held by America. | ||
| That is Keynesianism, not on steroids, but on some other kind of stimulus that makes steroids look like Non-caffeine tea. | ||
| So, we got trouble in the investment section of the GDP equation, but it's being overcome by the C and G, the consumption and government spending. | ||
| And then, in terms of the net exports, we just keep running our trade deficit higher and higher. | ||
| That detracts from our growth on net. | ||
| But, and the Communist Chinese have been running their trade deficit up. | ||
| But it hasn't been enough of a loss to offset what has been an orgy in consumer spending and a Roman orgy in government spending. | ||
| So, right now, it doesn't look like the consumer's slowing down all that much. | ||
| Right now, the stock market is on a AI high. | ||
| And when we come back with E.J. | ||
| Antoni, we'll figure the rest of this out. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro in for Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| You are in the War Room. | ||
| We'll be right back. | ||
| Stay right here. | ||
| That's right. | ||
| There's a massive amount of money that the lame duck administration is pushing hard to spend in their last few months. | ||
| If Biden can push out these funds, we could see another prolonged inflation surge, just like during COVID. | ||
| And I'm sure you remember the terrible effects that high prices had on Americans and still do. | ||
| But there's hope. | ||
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| Text Bannon to 98-98-98 today. | ||
| 98 98 98 today. That's Bannon to the number 98 98 98. | ||
|
unidentified
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Because you've got 99,000 jobs according to ADP created in the private sector during the month of August. | |
| That is far lower than the 145 anticipated. | ||
| Remember, we got 145,000 total jobs, 114,000 total jobs in August from the government, and the expectation has been that that would jump up, but it has not jumped up, at least not in the ADP numbers. | ||
| Hey, Navarro here, in for Bannon. | ||
| Looking at the live chat on Rumble. | ||
| Shout out to Neil Allen, my brother. | ||
| This guy, Logjam Posse, this guy, he's a plant here, so get on his ass for me, will ya? | ||
| He's not worth having around. | ||
| So, EJ Antoni, I want to bring him in right now. | ||
| Pose a question. | ||
| EJ has been at kind of the forefront of pointing out that the net effect, even though the unemployment rate's been low and there's been a net creation of jobs, the net effect on American workers, American-born workers, American citizens, has been to lose jobs. | ||
| That is, you got more, more illegal aliens coming into the workforce and grabbing jobs And you got Americans losing them. | ||
| So the first thing I wanted to pose the question to is, EJ, there's this big discrepancy between the numbers of jobs that are reporting and the household survey data, which is much lower. | ||
| And my theory is that illegal aliens simply aren't responding to the survey and that they're actually creating that amount of jobs in the payroll survey. | ||
| But they're going to illegals and the data's not showing it. | ||
| So anyway, EJ, welcome to the War Room. | ||
| As always, have at it, brother. | ||
| The microphone's yours. | ||
| Well, Peter, thank you for having me. | ||
| I think there's definitely a case to be made there that you do have a lot of these illegal aliens not responding to these government surveys in terms of the labor market, just like they don't respond to a lot of other government surveys, whether it's census data or otherwise. | ||
| Bill Beach, who used to be the commissioner at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, has made a very similar case where he thinks the population numbers in the United States as well as the employment numbers are probably way off today, in large part because of exactly the effect that you're describing, Peter. | ||
| Now, we have a lot of other things, I think, going on here as well, which help explain that big gap between payrolls and employment. | ||
| Now, people at first may think, well, how are those two not equivalent, right? | ||
| Part of it is because you have the phenomenon of double counting when it comes to payrolls. | ||
| In other words, if I work a job at one institution, but then I also have a second job or even a third job somewhere else, at every single place of business that I work, I get counted as an additional payroll. | ||
| Furthermore, that's true even if they're only part-time jobs. | ||
| And as we've seen over the last year, we've been hemorrhaging Full-time jobs losing well over a million and replacing them with all part-time jobs So folks have been losing full-time jobs replacing them with part-time ones multiple part-time ones That's increasing the number of payrolls without increasing the number of people who are employed you also because we're in a cost-of-living crisis are seeing another phenomenon where people who still have their full-time jobs are | ||
| are having to go and get a part-time job to supplement their income. | ||
| A lot of American families are doing this today to try to cope with inflation. | ||
| And again, the consequence of that is that you can not increase the number of people | ||
| employed, but you can increase the number of jobs. | ||
| So we're seeing a lot of effects like that in the labor market today, which have turned things that are normally a sign of improvement into a sign of impoverishment. | ||
| In other words, people are getting additional work more so out of desperation than anything else. | ||
| But it is clear at this point that the economy is really not increasing the number of folks who are employed, certainly not the number of legal residents who are employed. | ||
| So you have, in short, you've got illegal aliens stealing American jobs, and then you've got Americans losing their full-time jobs, probably because employers don't want to pay them health insurance, and then having to take multiple jobs in order just to stay afloat. | ||
| Is that kind of the top line there? | ||
| Well, Peter, I think it's important to point out there's a huge difference right now between the influx of illegal aliens we're seeing today versus the immigrants that came during the Trump years. | ||
| You know, if we go back during that great expansion of the economy when Trump was president, we saw increases in both foreign born and native born employment. | ||
| And actually, we even saw a faster rate of increase among foreign workers than we did for native born Americans, except Any native-born American, essentially, who wanted a job was able to find them. | ||
| Part of that is because we didn't have a massive increase in almost exclusively low-skill labor. | ||
| We had many more immigrants coming to this country who were high-skilled. | ||
| Let me pose a puzzle to you. | ||
| This isn't supposed to happen. | ||
| Illegals aren't supposed to be able to just walk in and take jobs. | ||
| Employers have a responsibility to check their documentation. | ||
| Has the Biden regime basically just ignored all that? | ||
| How is that happening? | ||
| How are American companies, corporations, hiring literally millions, millions of illegal aliens, which is illegal under the law, and getting away with it? | ||
| What's going on there? | ||
| Well, Peter, it doesn't seem like there's been any effort whatsoever among this administration to enforce any of those laws. | ||
| In fact, they are allowing states like California to openly flaunt those laws. | ||
| I mean, California is probably the best example of this. | ||
| There may be others, but as far as I know, California, again, is the best example of this here. | ||
| Where they are not only giving welfare, for example, to illegal aliens, but they are creating whole new welfare programs exclusively for illegal aliens. | ||
| So the last thing that they are going to do is in any way turn these folks away. | ||
| They're not going to do anything to prevent businesses from hiring them. | ||
| And the consequence of that is that's where the jobs are going to go. | ||
| What do you make, I don't know if you're a stock market observer at all, but what do you make about the sustained bullish, seemingly bullish move of the stock market? | ||
| How do you account for that if there's underlying rot in the broad economy, which I think there might be? | ||
| What's your take on that, or do you not go there? | ||
| I follow the market very closely. | ||
| I do a lot of consulting on this as well. | ||
| One of the things we have to remember, Peter, is stocks are priced in nominal terms. | ||
| In other words, it's just a metric of the dollar. | ||
| It's not so much a metric of the dollar's value, but rather these things are priced using dollars. | ||
| So as the value of the dollar goes down, it's just going to take more dollars to buy the exact same stock in this case. | ||
| Two-thirds, E.J.? | ||
| And what we've seen under the Biden-Harris administration is more than two-thirds of | ||
| all the increase in equities has been exclusively from a devaluation of the dollar. | ||
| So it's not as if the real worth in these companies has increased. | ||
| Two-thirds? | ||
| About two thirds of the increase has simply been a devaluation of the dollar as opposed to an increase in real value. | ||
| And it's actually even worse if instead of using the official inflation metrics, you look at something like the price of gold and you use that to to essentially adjust for the increase in equities. | ||
| I mean, my goodness. | ||
| We've got 60 seconds left. | ||
| Tell people how to get ahold of you. | ||
| over the last about half a century, it shows no real change in that stock index. | ||
| I mean, that's just absolutely terrible, but it gives you an idea of just how much the dollar | ||
| has lost in value and probably why it's such a good idea to have gold as an inflation hedge. | ||
| We got 60 seconds left. | ||
| Tell people how to get ahold of you, but Handicap, where we'll be on November 5th. | ||
| Are we going to have a recession by then? | ||
| Are we going to have a bear crash? | ||
| Or is everything going to be just like it is today? | ||
| Well, one of the things that markets are also betting on at this point is a Trump victory. | ||
| If you look at how markets perform when Trump is ahead versus either Biden or Harris have been ahead, stocks have done significantly better. | ||
| It's almost an order of magnitude better when Trump has been ahead over the last 12 months. | ||
| So there definitely seems to be a Trump victory that's also getting priced in here. | ||
| In terms of where are we going to be in November, at that point the Fed will probably have already cut rates at least | ||
| once. | ||
| We'll see if they manage to get a second one in in an emergency meeting. Probably not, probably just once. | ||
| But that's likely where we'll be. In terms of recession, it will not have been declared by that point, | ||
| but I would not be surprised if a recession is backdated to have begun at about this time, | ||
| given how many things have turned down in this economy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, yeah. All right, my friend. | |
| How can folks get a hold of you? | ||
| Best place to find me is going to be on X, and the handle there is AtRealEJAntoni. | ||
| All right, my brother, we'll catch you next time. | ||
| We'll watch this carefully. | ||
| And E.J. | ||
| is really on top of this illegal stealing American jobs thing. | ||
| It's absolutely frightening. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro in for Steve. | ||
| We will be right back with Richard Beres to talk a little bit about the debate tonight and where things are. | ||
| Be right back. | ||
| Stay there. | ||
| Kamala Harris would win this election with 292 electoral votes to Donald Trump's 246. | ||
| But let's just say we move the current polls and let's say the result differs by them by a single percentage point and Donald Trump is the beneficiary of it. | ||
| Look at this. | ||
| If Trump outperforms his current polls by just a single point, you take that Kamala Harris win, and look at this. | ||
| Donald Trump gets 287 electoral votes because the bottom line is, Pennsylvania would flip up here, and you would also get this flip out in Nevada over here, and that, my friends, is what we're talking about. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro in for Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| We're going to bring up Richard Beres momentarily. | ||
| Just a shout out to Matrix Man in the chat, pointing out that Walmart in Pocatello, Idaho is hiring illegals. | ||
| To deliver to your mom and grandma. | ||
| There's just one little data point to confirm our theory. | ||
| And then a lot of you are asking in the chat, when's Steve going to get out of prison? | ||
| He's scheduled to get out, and this was no coincidence, just a few days before election day, which basically takes him off the table for the entire campaign season. | ||
| But he does have A motion in for an early release that I've talked about on the air, and I think that there's a good chance that that motion will prevail because it should prevail. | ||
| The problem, of course, is the court he's in, which is not exactly pro-Bannon, pro-Navarro country. | ||
| It put both of us in jail. | ||
| All right, the great Richard Barris. | ||
| In the House, I have a theory. | ||
| I started it, Richard, with E.J. | ||
| Antoni, okay? | ||
| I've been looking at this, okay? | ||
| So, and I go back to when Romney talked about the 40% of Americans on the dole that would always vote Democratic. | ||
| It was a catastrophic remark he made. | ||
| I don't endorse it, but 94% of the wealth is controlled by 50 percent of Americans, | ||
| okay? So that means the other 50 percent only have 6 percent of the wealth. That's called a | ||
| Hobbesian life. My theory here, Richard, is that this election, Trump is going to grab more of the | ||
| poor folk that would ordinarily go to the Democrats because they value the social safety | ||
| net, but they're going to go to Trump because the inflation is so bad that that social safety net | ||
| ain't working and they need prosperity and jobs to get them out. | ||
| What say you? | ||
| Is there any data to support Navarro's Romney theory? | ||
| Yeah, listen, thanks for having me as always. | ||
| And just real quick, you know, just a word on Steve. | ||
| You know, we're looking forward to when he comes back. | ||
| Lauren, I pray for him every day. | ||
| But listen, this is something that's a big talking point on our show, which is, of course, every poll we conduct, we not only add it, but we release it so people can see. | ||
| And we've been looking at this now for over a year. | ||
| Income. | ||
| So the primo Trump voter, Peter, we always obsess and focus on two groups. | ||
| Educated voters and suburban females and it's very Misleading. | ||
| The most primo Trump voter out there is a voter, no matter how much they make, that actually is like a self-made person. | ||
| So maybe they don't have an education, but they make decent money. | ||
| They're a super primo Trump voter. | ||
| And this is what we've been seeing over the last year. | ||
| Against Biden, we did begin to see this. | ||
| Typically, folks, Democrats win voters who make under $30,000. | ||
| We try to keep the income brackets like the exit polls, so it's very easy. | ||
| To compare, and you know what you're looking at when we release polls. | ||
| And that had started to change about a year ago, ballparking it, you know. | ||
| And we're seeing that margin tighten, and inflation certainly is, you know, a factor in that. | ||
| In fact, we had been seeing it when we did rematch polling back in 22. | ||
| But now, for instance, it is starting to look the way it looked against Biden in our last poll, which was released late week last week. | ||
| against Harris. | ||
| In the first poll that we did, Trump v. Harris, that under 30,000 began to look a little bit more | ||
| like it usually does. | ||
| You know, Democrats with a pretty healthy margin. | ||
| And then that now has narrowed again this month. | ||
| So, you know, I mean, that's how Republicans typically win elections when they do. | ||
| They win the 30 to 50 pretty overwhelmingly. | ||
| And then really the 50 to 100 is their most loyal or supportive income group. | ||
| But with Trump, that has always been a little bit different. | ||
| He did better with upper income people in 2016 than people expected. | ||
| And then in 2020, you could see that change with lower income people. | ||
| What we're seeing now is basically the coalition you would expect from his platform, which is that self-made person, no matter really what their education level is, but even those who make a lot but don't have a four-year degree or higher, and then those who You know, I mean, it comes to a point, and I think this is what's going on here, it gets to a point where assistance, like social assistance, is not enough, Peter, right? | ||
| And we hear a lot from voters. | ||
| Yeah, that's my point. | ||
| It's that the inflation is so bad that the social welfare net is just totally failing and people got to get a change. | ||
| I'm telling you, we're seeing this change with black men under the age of 45. | ||
| Even those who are lower income, we hear it all the time. | ||
| You know, I got this under Trump. | ||
| I had more money under Trump. | ||
| That is it. | ||
| I mean, it's that and it's immigration. | ||
| They don't like how they're not being prioritized. | ||
| They were once a very loyal Democratic group and they're being kind of cast aside for another group of people. | ||
| And it's certainly, it pisses them off. | ||
| I mean, it's that simple. | ||
| But it's the money. | ||
| In your crosstabs, Richard, tell me about this $30,000 and below. | ||
| What does it usually go dim? | ||
| Is it $90,000 to $10,000? | ||
| Is it $80,000 to $20,000? | ||
| Is it $60,000 to $40,000? | ||
| $60,000 to $40,000? | ||
| How much does that have to change? | ||
| $60,000 to $40,000? | ||
| How much does that have to change at the margin? | ||
| It's a huge group, right? | ||
| What percentage of the sample is it? | ||
| It's not half, but I mean, it changes from month to month. | ||
| And if you look at exit polling, you'll see that it changes from year to year. | ||
| But right now, you know, ballpark, it's about 22%. | ||
| I mean, it's no small group. | ||
| Just looked, it was like 803 out of the entire sample. | ||
| So last month, it was around 19. | ||
| But I mean, it's one in five. | ||
| I mean, so that big, big group is the 50 to under 1,000. | ||
| And then, of course, 30 to under 1,000. | ||
| Different pollsters do it different ways. | ||
| We try to break it down by the exit poll so it's just easy to compare. | ||
| How is a candidate doing versus the previous election cycle? | ||
| And it can actually be close to 65, 35 years. | ||
| You said the big group is 50 and below, that's like, you mean like, you include 25,000 with the 50? | ||
| No, no, no, 50 to 100 is, 50 to 100 is the large, yeah, and some pollsters do 30 to 100 because subgroups get small. | ||
| 50 to 100 is the large, yeah, and some pollsters do 30 to 100 because subgroups get small. | ||
| That's talking to me, is it harder to get a response rate out of the 30 and below or | ||
| the 50 to 100? | ||
| It is. | ||
| The 30 and below, well let me put it this way. | ||
| The 30 and below, it's hard to get a representative response rate out of them, or a representative sample. | ||
| Because yes, the response rates like other groups are low compared to what they used to be 15 years ago. | ||
| Upper income people that are more educated still respond at a much higher rate. | ||
| But even when you do get them to respond, you got to make sure looking at other variables like geography and area type, education, you got to make sure that it is representative of that group. | ||
| They tend to be less educated. | ||
| They tend to be less white. | ||
| So that is always part of the equation on why Republicans don't do as well with them. | ||
| And of course, we're seeing something very different. | ||
| Are they lower propensity voters, Richard? | ||
| They are. | ||
| Are they lower propensity voters? | ||
| Without a doubt. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| So there's naturally more volatility in when you do the survey. | ||
| Yeah, there is. | ||
| Because finding those people, getting them to respond, and you don't know if they're going to go to the polls. | ||
|
unidentified
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Yeah. | |
| Are they motivated this year? | ||
| They're more, I would say they're more motivated than we have seen them in most recent cycles. | ||
| I don't know about other pollsters, but at this point we're starting to see motivation levels that are approaching 2020. | ||
| So, and actually have in prior surveys surpassed that. | ||
| Immediately, if you go to crosstabs right now, and it should be like this for every pollster, When you look at certainty to vote, which self-reported, are you certain? | ||
| Are you almost certain? | ||
| The New York Times poll says we use a certainty. | ||
| We use more likely than not, right? | ||
| Less likely than not. | ||
| We actually give a probability. | ||
| You can look on age. | ||
| You can look at education. | ||
| And you can look at income. | ||
| And it's like a ladder. | ||
| You know, the lowest on one side, the highest on the other. | ||
| And, you know, when it comes to education, the more certain, the more educated they are. | ||
| The same thing goes with age. | ||
| The older you are, the more certain. | ||
| We got 60 seconds here. | ||
| thing applies when it comes to income demographics. So the lower you are in the | ||
| income scale the less likely or less certain you are to vote. | ||
| We got 60 seconds here. I want to ask you one key question for the debate tomorrow night. | ||
| Lindsay Davis, one of the moderators, I don't know how she was allowed to do | ||
| this, but she's like the DEI queen. | ||
| She writes kids' propaganda books on DEI, right? | ||
| So Trump's going to get hit with that kind of crap. | ||
| But is DEI in your polling a four-letter word or something that people like? | ||
| How does that one play out? | ||
| Yeah, I mean, when it comes to DEI, stuff like that, you can't use a term like that in the question, because if you do, anytime you use a media buzzword or something that's in either party's vernacular, right, or either party's go-to vocabulary, you're going to taint the survey. | ||
| So you have to get really creative with that, talk about what it is and whether people support it or not, without actually using the words. | ||
| Same thing applied with critical race theory. | ||
| Sometimes we would explain it and say, This is what people say critical race theory is, but ultimately, do you support this or do not? | ||
| If you use that buzzword, Peter, immediately the bias gets injected. | ||
| Everyone goes to their respective corners and they give the answer that they think they're expected to give. | ||
| So, we wouldn't actually use the term DEI. | ||
| And look, that's my philosophy. | ||
| Other pollsters should probably have it, too, because they should know better, you know? | ||
| But they do it all the time, unfortunately. | ||
| All right, hang on. | ||
| We've got to take a break. | ||
| If you could hang on, we'll get you back for a closing argument. | ||
| We'll be right back. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro. | ||
| Yes, Richard Barris. | ||
| We are in Steve Bannon's war room. | ||
| We'll be right back. | ||
| Stay right there. | ||
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| His grasp of the intersection between geopolitics and capital markets is unmatched. | ||
| His financial newsletter, Strategic Intelligence, is essential reading for anyone concerned about protecting your own wealth. | ||
| As you've seen during his War Room appearances, Jim has a knack for making the complex simple. | ||
| And every month, Strategic Intelligence cuts through the noise and delivers actionable financial guidance. | ||
| Plus, War Room members get a free copy of Jim's The New Case for Gold. | ||
| This is an amazing follow-up to Ron Paul's classic. | ||
| And what makes Jim's book even more crucial is that he's not a gold bug. | ||
| He'll help you understand gold's significance on the global stage as well as in your own portfolio. | ||
| Go sign up now and claim your free book at our exclusive website, RickardsWarRoom.com. | ||
| That's RickardsWarRoom.com. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here's your host, Stephen K. Bamm. | |
| Peter K. Navarro, back with Richard Burris. | ||
| Rich, you're going to do your grand finale here and give us your coordinates. | ||
| Last hits, brother. | ||
| Yeah, the New York Times poll that came out on Sunday, I think there's a couple of things that are very important, and there's a few demographics that are copied and pasted almost, which means identical to what we found in our poll at the end of last week. | ||
| The Midwest, minority voters, black voter support, Hispanic support, almost all identical, but then also similar questions that we asked. | ||
| The Harris campaign should be most concerned about these two. | ||
| One is the change agent question. | ||
| What do you want? | ||
| Dramatic change. | ||
| And then who's going to bring it to you? | ||
| Trump has an overwhelming advantage on that. | ||
| And then, you know, who is who most reflects the country's values? | ||
| Do you think Trump is too conservative or is he right in the middle? | ||
| You know, right where he's supposed to be. | ||
| Half the country thinks he's right where he's supposed to be. | ||
| Very, you know, a minority thinks. | ||
| conservative. That's not true of Kamala Harris where half the country thinks that she is too liberal, too progressive, | ||
|
unidentified
|
Wow. | |
| and then a minority believes that she's in the middle. Those two | ||
| things are going to be very, very difficult to overcome. In 16, those | ||
| questions benefited Trump, both of them. And then in 20, actually, when asked who was more reflective of the country | ||
| and was in the middle, it was Biden. So these are questions that | ||
| that really weigh on people when they go into the voting booth, they mail in their ballot, | ||
| Peter. | ||
| And it's, it's, it's, those are bad, bad signs for ours. | ||
| Bad signs. | ||
| So, so people are seeing Kamala for who she really is. | ||
| Rich, how can people find you? | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Yeah, Best Place is always on. | ||
| Yeah, very different a month ago. | ||
| Very different. | ||
| Yeah, peoplespundit.locals.com. | ||
| peoplespundit.locals.com. | ||
| Go check out the public polling project, folks. | ||
| See you over there. | ||
| All right, my brother. | ||
| You take care, man. | ||
| Alright, let's bring in Grace Chong, the War Room's Grace Chong. | ||
| By the way, she does a wonderful job getting out our social media and all that stuff behind the scenes. | ||
| Grace has a message from Steve and also some action, action, action that she wants to share with us. | ||
| Grace, the floor is yours. | ||
| Thanks Dr. Navarro. | ||
| Hi Posse. | ||
| I just wanted to come on and remind everyone that Congress is back in session today. | ||
| So everyone download Bill Blaster, which you can go to billblasterapp.org or just go to the Apple App Store store or the Google Play store and put in Bill Blaster one | ||
| word and that is to call Congress with just virtually with one touch and just light up their | ||
| phones. We need to make sure that the SAVE Act gets passed so it is mission critical. Also, I | ||
| have a statement from Steve. So let me read that. Harry Enton of CNN gave it away the other day. | ||
| Only a 1% change in battleground states will bring victory for Trump. | ||
| This will come from low propensity, low information voters, Christians being the easiest group to get, although all of it is hard. | ||
| This is where the Swifties come in on the other side. | ||
| We must galvanize folks to work on get-out-to-vote canvassing and phone banks every day. | ||
| Victory is right there. | ||
| So that's the statement from the Honey Badger, and the message is clear. | ||
| Victory is within reach, but only if we work on it. | ||
| So let's make sure to get out there and make those calls, and canvas every single day, and download Build Blaster. | ||
| Yeah, go over the Build Blaster again once more. | ||
| Explain that in a little more detail and explain how they can get to it, Grace. | ||
| This is really important stuff. | ||
| Yes, so Bill Blaster was made for the posse, for action, action, action. | ||
| It is an app, which you can find in the Apple App Store or the Google Play Store. | ||
| Just type in Bill Blaster, one word, and it's just a directory of all the senators, all the congressmen, and it has all the information, like their direct phone lines, so you can bypass the switchboard. | ||
| You can get their website so that you can email them, you can send them a tweet, you can check out their, it's just information about all your representatives. | ||
| And you can call other representatives as well. | ||
| So it's free. | ||
| Make sure to download it and make sure to fire up their phone lines and about the SAVE Act. | ||
| That's super important. | ||
| They're back today. | ||
| So download it today. | ||
| BillBlasterApp.org. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Okay. | |
| Okay, thank you, Grace. | ||
| And the first assignment I would love to give to Posse is this. | ||
| We have a good chance of taking back the U.S. | ||
| Senate because There's many more seats up for grabs that the Republicans have a chance of getting than the Democrats. | ||
| Unlike Congress, the House, which goes up, everybody goes up every two years, the Senate goes in three increments because it's a six-year term. Every two | ||
| years is the third of the Senate comes up. This year the cycle really favors us, but what's | ||
| going on here is that the Republican Senate committee is withholding funds and support for pro-Trump | ||
| candidates like Kerry Lake in Arizona. | ||
| And... | ||
| And we're just running behind Trump in the polling in these key battleground states where we could pick up these Senate seats. | ||
| So use the blaster if you want. | ||
| I would send Some stuff to Mitch McConnell and Rick Scott and maybe your own senator and say, hey, what's going on? | ||
| You've got to really, really spend some money belly up to the bar because we can't afford to let that Senate be in Democrat hands. | ||
| Even if Trump wins and we win the House and that Senate's in Democrat hands, that's gridlock. | ||
| We get nothing done. | ||
| Nothing. | ||
| It'll be a very painful four years. | ||
| All right, so when we come back, top of the hour, this is going to be great. | ||
| It's going to be epic. | ||
| We've got a comparison of the life and times of J.D. | ||
| Vance, growing up getting hammered by the Chinese communists. | ||
| Riding to the sound of guns in Iraq versus Tim Walz sucking at the teat of the Chinese Communist Party as he grew up and running away from the sound of the guns. | ||
| We'll be right back with Adam Milan and Vance V. Walz. | ||
| Vice Presidents don't matter. | ||
|
unidentified
|
This time, they do. | |
| Stay right here. |
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