Aug. 21, 2024 - Bannon's War Room
48:56
Participants
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| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
| This is the primal scream of a dying regime. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Pray for our enemies. | |
| Because we're going medieval on these people. | ||
| President Trump got a free shot at all these networks lying about the people. | ||
|
unidentified
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The people have had a belly full of it. | |
| I know you don't like hearing that. | ||
| I know you've tried to do everything in the world to stop that, but you're not going to stop it. | ||
| It's going to happen. | ||
| And where do people like that go to share the big lie? | ||
|
unidentified
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MAGA Media. | |
| I wish in my soul, I wish that any of these people had a conscience. | ||
|
unidentified
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Ask yourself, what is my task and what is my purpose? | |
| If that answer is to save my country, this country will be saved. | ||
|
unidentified
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War Room, here's your host, Stephen K. Bann. | |
| Hey, Peter K. Navarro in for Stephen K. Bann. | ||
| I love to watch that opener. | ||
| I don't know if you know, but that's Jake Tapper that Steve kind of plays off of, the CNN guy. | ||
| Jake probably cringes every time he sees himself as the centerpiece of that, but it's just fun for me. | ||
| And Jake, anytime you want me to come on CNN, Just give me a call here. | ||
| That cancel culture stuff is wearing a little thin. | ||
| More importantly, come sit right beside me here in the war room and we'll have a rational discussion of issues. | ||
| I thought you actually did a pretty good job in that debate when all the heat was on you, to be fair, and you actually were that night. | ||
| These are the kind of discussions we need to have. | ||
| All right. | ||
| Without further ado, we're bringing the great Mark Mitchell in from Rasmussen. | ||
| This guy is so friggin handsome that we couldn't put him on camera today because he was breaking the camera. | ||
| Instead, we got him on the phone and we want to go right into charts. | ||
| So give me that first chart, Denver. | ||
| That we got that shows the nice little, yeah, that's the one. | ||
| Okay, Mark, so we got your first chart on. | ||
| You do a nightly poll. | ||
| Yeah, you do a nightly poll. | ||
| And what's curious about the nightly poll is that if you look at the blue line, explain, there was a brief shiny moment where Kamala crossed over and was leading, but now what do we see? | ||
|
unidentified
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Yeah, that's what everybody's calling Kamala Mentum, and it didn't last too long in our numbers. | |
| And I think the reason this chart's important is because I'm the only one putting it out. | ||
| So I think this is maximum transparency. | ||
| And the narrative in the media that's being shaped about Kamala Harris's polling is that it keeps getting better and better. | ||
| But if you look at the blue line, She basically shot up to 45 and has sat there between 44 and 45 the whole time in my numbers. | ||
| Now what's different about me and everybody else is that I didn't change anything. | ||
| And I think what's probably happening in some of these push polls that are coming out from New York Times, Sienna and ABC News and all these other folks. | ||
| ABC News, the people, by the way, who owned 538 and kicked us out of the aggregate and now have Harris up four nationally. | ||
| What's happening is I think that they're selectively changing their methodology. | ||
| New York Times, Sienna actually came out about it this weekend and said, admitted basically that, yes, we think we're oversampling Biden supporters, but we are not using the 2020 recalled vote to correct for it. | ||
| Well, I am, and I'm not oversampling Biden supporters. | ||
| I'm basically trying to match what I think an accurate picture of the electorate is. | ||
| And you could say, well, maybe you're a little too right or by a point or two, or maybe I think we were left in 2020, but if you take that red line and move it up or down a point or two, the story still remains. | ||
| Kamala Harris's numbers are going sideways. | ||
| That's the story. | ||
| All right, before we get into the battleground states, I just want to have you repeat. | ||
| So for people who are consumers of polling data, there's two main aggregators. | ||
| There's the RealClearPolitics one, which updates every day depending on new polls. | ||
| And there's this thing called FiveThirtyEight. | ||
| I strongly prefer RealClearPolitics as the one you probably want to watch. | ||
| Who owns 538 and why do we have to be a little or a lot wary of what we see there? | ||
| You just said somebody owns it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's one of the poles. | |
| Yeah. | ||
| 538 is owned by ABC News, which rolls up to Disney. | ||
| It was founded by Nate Silver. | ||
| And regardless of what you think about him, they got rid of Nate Silver and brought in a new guy. | ||
| Who in our opinion is a bit of an ideologue. | ||
| But what real clear politics is, and we know the founders, they're just straight shooters. | ||
| You can think of them like a menu of polling. | ||
| It's a straight average and they link you to the cross tabs and they have standards about what polls they put on there or not. | ||
| 538 is a black box prediction model that exists to drive narratives. | ||
| Totally different story. | ||
| And I've personally seen them do some pretty underhanded stuff. | ||
| And, in my opinion, they kicked us out quite frankly. | ||
| I think reason numero uno, and the last time I called into your show without video, was the weekend last year where they were threatening to drop us because we'd go on War Room to discuss our polling. | ||
| That was the number one issue they'd get with us. | ||
| So, they're clearly ideologues. | ||
| Let's really piss them off right now and go to the next slide, right? | ||
| We got the battleground states. | ||
| I'm looking at Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. | ||
| I'm looking at a column that says two-way and another one six-way. | ||
| Tell us what we're seeing here. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right. | |
| This is a quick summary of this latest swing state set of polls we did. | ||
| We did one in July. | ||
| We did one basically last week up until yesterday. | ||
| And we're dropping these all on our website. | ||
| The crosstabs in a day or two I think are going to be available for everybody to look at. | ||
| And we went into these five states. | ||
| The polls are all really big. | ||
| They're likely voter polls, which sets us apart from most other pollsters. | ||
| And what you're seeing here, the two ways, just, you know, Harris or Trump, the six ways, including all the third party characters. | ||
| And I think the headline takeaway here is that Trump is roughly tied within the margin of error in every single one of these. | ||
| Obviously, Harris is doing a little bit better in Michigan. | ||
| Trump's doing better in Arizona and Nevada. | ||
| Uh, basically tied in Pennsylvania, but all within the margin of error. | ||
| Now, I will say if people saw our July numbers, these are tighter and not as good for Trump. | ||
| And what I would say to that is that we sampled, I mean, a lot of this polling was still being done during the DNC and all of the positive press. | ||
| I mean, a lot of these numbers were collected even before she started dropping her communist economic policies. | ||
| And so my theory is I think that her support is going to wither | ||
| away as she's exposed to more scrutiny. | ||
| And what we may be seeing here is her top pick. | ||
| Maybe not, but that's what I think might happen. | ||
| But the right column to me- Yeah, go ahead. | ||
| Well, do the rights column. | ||
| Go ahead. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So this is the 2020 change from our polling. | |
| Everybody asks me how come your polling shows Trump doing so | ||
| well at a national level? | ||
| But then how come the swing states are so close like this? | ||
| And what I would say is our polling showed that Trump was nowhere close in the swing states. | ||
| Everybody calls us a right-wing pollster, but we showed Trump down, you know, five to eight points in most of the battlegrounds four years ago. | ||
| And so he's doing better six or seven points than he was in our polling. | ||
| That's a massive pickup, and it matches, in my opinion, the amount that he's doing better in the RealClearPolitics national aggregate as well. | ||
| So I think the right answer here— And that wasn't a change in any methodology. | ||
| You're using the same methodology. | ||
|
unidentified
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Yeah, no, there's no big changes here. | |
| You know, we actually, um, maybe a point of a waiting change difference, but a lot's happened and he's changed a lot of mind. | ||
| So I'd also point out that it shows that he's doing a point worse in Arizona than he was four years ago. | ||
| I don't know. | ||
| I think I got a pretty left sample in Arizona that didn't fully get waited out because the last couple of times we've done Arizona this year, we've had Trump up like five to nine points. | ||
| But I wouldn't be worried about that. | ||
| D plus one. | ||
| Let's go. | ||
| Let's put the next slide up here for Arizona. | ||
| And Denver, if you can get the next slide says Arizona. | ||
| Let's go through this. | ||
| So the two way again trumps up to six way trumps up one. | ||
| Kerry Lake is way down, and the generic ballot, the Republicans are up a little bit more than Trump's up. | ||
| So walk us through what you're seeing there, and any thoughts on what the issues are that are driving stuff. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So this is a pretty big likely voter poll, and I think you're going to start to see the same kind of pattern here, is that regardless of where Trump and Harris are at, In all these battleground states, the Republican challenger is losing quite a bit. | |
| Now, some of them are a little bit better, and I was surprised at how they shook out. | ||
| But this is the worst Carrie Lake's done in our polling. | ||
| And again, I don't know if it's this one particular sample. | ||
| Last time we had Carrie Lake down three points. | ||
| And then the generic ballot, the Republicans seem to be doing pretty well. | ||
| If that number holds up, it'll spell the same kind of pickup. | ||
| Maybe a little bit better than in 2022. | ||
| The other thing I want to call out on this slide is this Sponsored by Numbers USA, which is a really great nonpartisan immigration organization, and they sponsor this poll. | ||
| They're going to be the reasons people will be able to go read all the cross tabs. | ||
| And it's a very rich issue-based poll that focused on why people are voting, but it also gets into specifically the issue of illegal immigration. | ||
| Lots of really great questions in there, but I think for me the biggest takeaway is despite all that, despite the fact that by a 2-1 margin, voters think the issue at the southern border is a crisis, strong majority, roughly 60% of people, depending on the state, think that Biden purposely is ushering people across, despite all that, economy is by far still the biggest issue in voters' minds, even more so than in July. | ||
| And Mark, do you distinguish when you do the economy from inflation? | ||
| I mean, is it inflation driven or is it deeper than that? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, we have two different sets, which is in this one, which is something we don't always do because we don't have the room. | |
| And I'm looking here specifically at just Nevada because I pulled it up. | ||
| Which stack rank the issues? Which one's most important? | ||
| 38% say economy, only 16% say border securities, which is really low, lower than in my opinion it's been in | ||
| a long time for a border state. And then, you know, abortions third at | ||
| 20%. | ||
| That's among all likely voters. | ||
| But then we individually asked, you know, how important is this issue when determining who to vote for? | ||
| And, you know, everybody says all the issues are important, but you can kind of compare. | ||
| And we did inflation and an economy separately. | ||
| Before, I'd say when we did this, inflation was number one. | ||
| It's less so, and I think inflation has It slowed down a little bit. | ||
| But here, 71% of Nevada voters say economy is very important. | ||
| Only 63% say inflation is very important. | ||
| Abortion, 48. | ||
| The lowest of the six we asked. | ||
| But this one was fascinating, though. | ||
| Legal immigration. | ||
| Again, this is Nevada. | ||
| Only 55% say very important. | ||
| Only slightly more than abortion. | ||
| And government corruption was a standout at 68%. | ||
| So it's kind of weird. | ||
| Everybody doesn't like the illegal immigration, but it's just not, it's not getting the share of wallet right now, if you know what I mean. | ||
| Okay, I get it. | ||
| All right, let's go, let's start with Michigan. | ||
| We got, we got about 60 seconds left, and then we'll come back after the break. | ||
| But let's do the top line. | ||
| Let's get the chart up there, Denver. | ||
| Michigan, I'm reading Harris has a one-point lead in the two-way, a three-point lead in the six-way. | ||
| And the Democrat, Slotkin, has a two-point lead over Rogers. | ||
| The generic Democrats have a four-point lead. | ||
| So what is going on in Michigan that makes it a little bit more Democrat-friendly than Pennsylvania and Wisconsin? | ||
|
unidentified
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Well, I think farther from the border helps and Michigan's got Detroit. | |
| That's always a unique situation. | ||
| But I think again, it's just the same trend we've seen in the other ones, which is that it's about two points left of where it was for us in July. | ||
| I think we had Trump up one in the two way and down one in the six way. | ||
| And again, maybe this is Kamala Harris' top pick, but I think the economic message is probably going to play. | ||
| Pretty well there. | ||
| And I mean, again, it's within the margin of error. | ||
| Rogers is doing a lot better than the other senators and he's doing better than Republicans, which is pretty crazy. | ||
| That's kind of unique in this particular state. | ||
| But again, we're looking at numbers that are six point Seven points better than where we had Trump four years ago, and he did way better in our polling, but, you know, I don't want to be accused of leaning right here. | ||
| And I'll just tell you, like, the headline to me is that— Mark, we got—I got to go right to break right now, hard break. | ||
| When we come back, we'll get you right back in stride here. | ||
| Okay, brother? | ||
| Peter K Navarro, we're with Mark Mitchell Rasmussen Reports. | ||
| This is new, fresh off the stuff. | ||
| Stay with us and it's gonna be great. | ||
|
unidentified
|
War Room. | |
| Here's your host, Stephen K Vance. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro in for Stephen K. Bannon here in the War Room. | ||
| We are with Mark Mitchell with breaking polling results from Rasmussen. | ||
| Let's get the Michigan slide back up. | ||
| I want to see where we got. | ||
| That one's a problem. | ||
| Trump is down slightly in Michigan. | ||
| The question I had for Mark is, Do you, uh, when you're doing different states, do different issues like in Michigan, this whole EV thing, the electric vehicle thing is going to destroy the auto industry in Michigan. | ||
| Do you pick any of that kind of up or is it come more like one size fits all when you do these battlegrounds? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I had to do this one size fits all. | |
| There's a specific reason we deep dived. | ||
| Illegal immigration. | ||
| And I think there are probably single line, hot button issues like cracking in Pennsylvania that would evoke people's ire. | ||
| But I think in my opinion, it all basically comes back to economy. | ||
| And believe it or not, like on the border, the people in Michigan weren't that much different than the people in Arizona and Nevada. | ||
| I was just saying before the break, the biggest takeaway to me, though, is that Michigan's two points left of where it was in our July polling. | ||
| But in between these two polls, Trump was shot. | ||
| He picked the vice president. | ||
| He had an RNC. | ||
| Joe Biden resigned. | ||
| They anointed Kamala Harris. | ||
| She picked the VP. | ||
| He got endorsed by Obama and they had a DNC. | ||
| And she's basically doing two points better. | ||
| It's not even a full two points in Michigan. | ||
| 50-50 country, I guess. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Let's get Montana up. | ||
| Let's get Montana up. | ||
| I want to, Montana is the only thing I want to point out in Montana is the fact that Mark, | ||
| the Senate's tied now, right? | ||
| It's 50-50, is that... And there's like... How many seats... This one actually looks like we can pick up this seat. | ||
| Sheehy's beaten Tester, who's a truly vile individual, by a full seven points. | ||
| How many... | ||
| Seats. | ||
| Can we lose any that we have now? | ||
| And how many might we pick up? | ||
| What's your sense of your polling at this point? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't think this is a tough one for me to answer because I think what we're seeing here is probably the result of very targeted negative advertising in each of these battleground states in a way that's probably not playing out nationally. | |
| And I think every single one of these Senate seats is not a Republican. I don't think there are any | ||
| Republican incumbents here. | ||
| And the Republican candidates are underperforming Trump in the generic ballot. And so I would ask | ||
| the party establishment people, what's happening here? | ||
| What's your strategy? | ||
| Something has to happen. | ||
| You know, Sheehy looks like he's doing great, but he's trailing Trump in a six way by 20 points. | ||
| Like, that's incredible. | ||
| Why? | ||
| It's incredible. | ||
| I buried the lead on that. | ||
| Look at that. | ||
| Trump's up 23 in Montana. | ||
| And she's only up, uh, plus seven. | ||
| Yeah, let's flag that. | ||
| Maybe, uh, maybe a week or so you come back and, you know. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's not like he's a moderate Democrat. | |
| We asked about his number's USA immigration grade. | ||
| It's like an F. And when you tell voters that, they're like, oh, maybe I'll support him less. | ||
| All right, let's go to Nevada, Denver. | ||
| And we got the two-way, Trump's plus two, six-way. | ||
| Trump's plus two. | ||
| The generic ballot, Republicans are up plus three. | ||
| And here again, we have a situation where the Senate Republican candidate is down friggin 11. | ||
| Is Rosen an incumbent? | ||
| I should know that, but I don't. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't know off the top of my head either. | |
| I'll tell you what, though, that 11 makes me feel like a CBS pollster. | ||
| And this is way worse than our 2022 polling show lacks out. | ||
| That's funny. | ||
| Inside joke. | ||
| I hope everybody in the posse got that. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Something's OK. | ||
| So memo memo to the Senate. | ||
| Who's ever running the Republican Senate campaign right now? | ||
| You're fired. | ||
| You're fired, dude, because, or dudette, because you are making a friggin' mess of the Senate, and if we allow Waltz to be the VP who's gonna tie, break ties again like that, God, God help us. | ||
| All right, let's go to Ohio. | ||
| No, let's skip Ohio. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, there's reasons we did these other states. | |
| Nobody thinks Ohio's a battleground. | ||
| This is a very solid Trump win. | ||
| I think we had Trump up three or four points in our polling, and he wound up doing plus eight in Ohio. | ||
| Now we have him up plus eight. | ||
| But again, Sherrod Brown, the Democrat, is up by five on Moreno. | ||
| Yeah, she's pretty radical. | ||
| Let's figure this one out the next time. | ||
| Alright, Pennsylvania. | ||
| This is my golem, as it were, if you understand the reference. | ||
| Trump up one in the two-way, down one in the six-way. | ||
| The generic is up one Democrat. | ||
| What's going on In Pennsylvania of note that you're seeing in your polling. | ||
| What's the Pennsylvania story? | ||
| How does Trump win Pennsylvania? | ||
|
unidentified
|
What's the message? | |
| First off, I think this is only a point worse for Trump than the last time we went out. | ||
| These are good numbers. | ||
| He's tied in Pennsylvania. | ||
| We had him down five points in a poll four years ago. | ||
| He's doing really well. | ||
| McCormick's doing better than The candidate from 2022. | ||
| I forget his name off the top of my head. | ||
| And generic ballot. | ||
| Mastriano. | ||
| And generic ballot is like pretty good for Pennsylvania. | ||
| I think what we're going to see is this is going to tick closer right as the Kamala Harris globe wears off. | ||
| And, you know, we have a lot of signs that the economy is going to play well. | ||
| I think the energy policy, Trump's going to play well. | ||
| Lots of people want to see drilling. | ||
| We've asked questions about, specifically in Pennsylvania, would you support a law to massively increase drilling for oil? | ||
| And the numbers, like 63%, I think it was, at least somewhat support that. | ||
| So, I think when the narratives break through after the convention period sort of wears off, now I don't know what's going to happen with the debates, but ostensibly some debate should happen, and ostensibly Harris is going to release more policy positions that are going to get picked apart. | ||
| Even some of the people in the left-wing media were doing that. | ||
| I don't know. | ||
| I think it's like with Pennsylvania that's closed. | ||
| What creeps me out about Pennsylvania is that early voting starts on September 16th. | ||
| I mean, what is going on in this country? | ||
| We're supposed to have an election in November, and you got like this two-month rolling time where people are voting, and by the time of the second debate, half the people in Pennsylvania may have voted. | ||
| How do you account for that in polling? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, the one thing I will say, that's three weeks from now, and that's a million years | |
| in this election cycle. | ||
| We could have another assassination attempt. | ||
| We could have stuff happen with Trump's criminal convictions. | ||
| I know, but my point is, let's suppose you come up with a poll on October 10th, right, | ||
| for Pennsylvania, and you look at this, and it turns out that there's been a significant | ||
| increase for Trump support. | ||
| Hypothetically. | ||
| But half the people have already voted, so it doesn't matter. | ||
| From a pollster's point of view, I'm asking you, how big a problem does that present for you when you're doing your polls and you come out and you have your day before game day in November and you get your ass kicked because everybody already voted and your poll was wrong? | ||
| Talk to me about how you think about that. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I care less and less about that because what I've noticed is that when we release like a weekly poll, we were doing it with generic ballot, we're doing it here, the numbers do swing. | |
| And I think before, you know, 10, 20 years ago, we'd be worried about things like a sudden release of information about swift boats, right, and military service. | ||
| Hillary Clinton emails. | ||
| And if you look at our polling back then, there really was this sort of neck and neck swing back and forth as new information came to light. | ||
| But they were both like there was no incumbency there. | ||
| And basically the two candidates here are incumbents and everybody knows them. | ||
| And not only that, they've rallied behind their candidate pick, almost like some kind of political Armageddon. | ||
| And so again, with just in the last month and a half with everything that's happened, it barely moved our numbers. | ||
| And I think it's just going to be a grind out to election day. | ||
| And I don't think there's going to be much in the way of any swings unless some black swan happens. | ||
| I mean, like what could possibly happen? | ||
| Maybe a war, maybe a financial market reckoning, maybe some kind of emperor with no clothes for Kamala Harris. | ||
| They're probably going to be pretty successful at preventing that. | ||
| Um, maybe Trump goes to jail, but it's like, what else is really going to move the numbers outside of like two or three points maximum? | ||
| And you come back to the fact that not just in our numbers, but in the real clear politics aggregate, Trump is doing seven points better than he was doing four years ago because the polling industry overstates Democrat support. | ||
| Period. | ||
| They were doing it then. | ||
| They're going to do it again. | ||
| And we don't. | ||
| We actually overstated. | ||
| We actually did overstate Democrat support in 2020 slightly. | ||
| But we think we were accurate. | ||
| And our numbers showed a big swing for Trump. | ||
| And everybody's got to watch the swing states. | ||
| You know, Trump's got to have his machine. | ||
| He's got to get out the vote. | ||
| He's got to spend money there too. I guess the senatorial Republicans | ||
| got to get some money involved also. I'm not exactly sure. Hang in, hold that thought. We're | ||
| going to come back for five minutes in the next break and we'll wrap all of this | ||
| up. | ||
| I want you to think about Mark Waltz, J.D. | ||
| Vance, and how that might change anything, if at all, whether vice presidents matter. | ||
| Peter Canovaro in for Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| You're in in the War Room. | ||
| We got just a few more breaking results to show. | ||
| Don't go away. | ||
| We'll see you in just a few minutes. | ||
|
unidentified
|
War Room. | |
| Here's your host, Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro here. | ||
| Let's talk a little bit about Jim Rickards. | ||
| You know him as a regular guest and wise man of the War Room. | ||
| His grasp of the intersection between geopolitics and capital market is unmatched. | ||
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| As you've seen during his War Room appearances, Jim has a knack for making the complex simple. | ||
| And every month, Strategic Intelligence cuts through the noise and delivers actionable financial guidance. Plus, where we | ||
| members get a free copy of Jim's The New Case for Gold, an amazing follow-up to Ron Paul's | ||
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| Rickardswarroom.com. | ||
| That's Rickards, R-I-C-K-A-R-D-S. | ||
| Rickardswarroom.com. | ||
| Alright! | ||
| Back, back, back, back to the breaking poll news with Mark Mitchell of Rasmussen. | ||
| We are finishing up the state of Pennsylvania. | ||
| We're going to use the last one. | ||
| I think we got that one covered. | ||
| Let's pull up Wisconsin. | ||
| Before we go there, Mark, Waltz versus Vance, does it matter? | ||
| No, I don't think so. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I mean, nobody really cared who the vice presidential picks were, and I think each of them probably got met with a raised eyebrow. | |
| But we asked Vance and Walt's favorability in every single one of the states. | ||
| They were all kind of the same, and they were all kind of, you know, there was like 10 to 15 percent not sures, a little bit more Not sure for Waltz and everybody was basically split to underwater by five to ten points. | ||
| I thought I was seeing, I thought I was seeing J.D.' 's unfavorables higher than Waltz. | ||
| Am I wrong? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, but I think like some of that's because Waltz is a little lesser known. | |
| So he has less, very favorable and less very unfavorable. | ||
| The other thing I would say is that Tim Waltz can't even beat J.D. | ||
| Vance in his own state. | ||
| How's that? | ||
| What do you mean? | ||
| What do you mean by that? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Just as far as his very favorable rating, or his favorability, let me try and find that. | |
| His total favorability... Oh, interesting. | ||
| Well, that tells you... Yeah, they're tied 45 to 45 in Wisconsin. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, but wait, hang on. | |
| Yeah, they're tied 45 to 45 in Wisconsin. | ||
| So... | ||
| Well, but wait, hang on. | ||
| Walz is from Minnesota. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Oh, I'm sorry. | |
| Yeah, you're right. | ||
| Adjacent. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| We don't want to have MSNBC saying Navarro did that to Laura Ingraham. | ||
| Navarro doesn't know where Walsh is from. | ||
| I know Walsh. | ||
| Yeah, yeah, yeah. | ||
| You just tested me. | ||
| But the thing about Walsh is like, Walsh, Minnesota, Is the Midwest equivalent of California, okay? | ||
| It is the farthest left of the states. | ||
| So tell me, is Walsh, let's see, is he less favorable in his home state than he is, for example, in Wisconsin? | ||
| Because nobody knows who he is in Wisconsin. | ||
| Do you have the numbers there? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I don't have Minnesota numbers. | |
| We're not going to be going in there this cycle, probably. | ||
| All right, let's go to Wisconsin then. | ||
| I got Harris up one in the two-way, Trump tied in the six-way. | ||
| Yet again, the Democrat Senate candidate is getting ass-kicked, but the generic ballot is plus one for the Democrats. | ||
| So this one's tight. | ||
| What's your read on this one? | ||
|
unidentified
|
You know, Trump's doing well here. | |
| Seven points better than four years ago, sticking in there with essentially a statistical tie. | ||
| This is positive news for Trump territory. | ||
| But Eric, he's just getting wrecked again. | ||
| And I don't know, like, who's the PAC that's spending the most on Republican races this year. | ||
| I don't know the answer to that. | ||
| I looked at the Senate leadership on their news page. | ||
| The latest article is 2022, right? | ||
| Where's Mitch McConnell spending his time and his money? | ||
| All right, so I want to put out a little urgent 911 call right here from the war room to one of my absolute favorite senators. | ||
| And that's Rick Scott of Florida. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Rick, Rick, Rick, Rick, Rick. | |
| If you want to be the Senate Majority Leader, which I would strongly support, you can't do that unless we win the Senate. | ||
| And I'm looking at these numbers. | ||
| Except in Montana, we're getting our ass kicked by incomprehensible double digits in the Senate races. | ||
| I mean, it's like, what's going on, Rick? | ||
| So, please. | ||
| MSNBC, CNN, Fox, whoever. | ||
| Give me a headline on this. | ||
| Navarro blasts the Senate Republicans for laying down on the job. | ||
| Maybe they're trying to sandbag Trump because they don't actually want power. | ||
| Who knows? | ||
| But this is like friggin stupid. | ||
| And is it because Mitch McConnell is on life support and it's his last, like, screwjob of Donald Trump, even though he says he supports him now? | ||
| Something's going on here. | ||
| All right. | ||
| I think we got a pretty good picture here. | ||
| Let's have your final thoughts, Mark. | ||
| On where you think things may go, is Kamala Harris going to get one more little bump, big bump from what's going on with her joyful policy light? | ||
| DNC or or what? | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's just my thoughts. | |
| I haven't seen any major headlines out of here and I think probably most of the people watching their Democrats are preaching to the choir on this. | ||
| I think it's still a millennium until the election and a lot of stuff could happen. | ||
| I think at some point People are going to want to see substance. | ||
| I think at some point there's probably going to be mistakes she makes that they don't have the media unity to paper over, let's just say. | ||
| I think, again, I don't know what the debate picture is going to look like after the September 4th decision, so we'll just have to wait and see. | ||
| But she's going to have to get up and talk at some point. | ||
| And this is, you know, Trump is basically tied in the battlegrounds. | ||
| Here's a crosstab I want to see from you, Mark. | ||
| You've got roughly 8% that's undecided in most of these races. | ||
| 7, 8, 9, 6, whatever it is. | ||
| So, with that sliver of the electorate, if you cross-tab it on the issues, are they different in any way? | ||
| Are they the same? | ||
| Meaning that, is economy number one, border number two, I forget the third, abortion number four. | ||
| What are the four biggest issues and do these undecideds look different in any way in these battleground states? | ||
|
unidentified
|
I pulled one up randomly. | |
| I'm just looking at Ohio and these people who aren't sure about who they're going to vote for, their biggest issue is by far the economy. | ||
| Everything else doesn't even get to... Can you pull it up for Michigan? | ||
| Real quick, in real time. | ||
| As you're doing that, let me just say that the biggest challenge right now for both of the campaigns is to try to figure out how to target the undecideds when they're like needle in a haystack types. | ||
| I mean, I don't know many elections, and Mark may have a thought on this, where you have such a small number. | ||
| Of undecideds. | ||
| I think it's virtually unprecedented in American politics where before Labor Day, over 90 percent of the people's minds are made up. | ||
| So you're going to spend a tremendous amount of money in five or six states trying to move, I don't know, three, four, five hundred thousand voters. | ||
| I mean, it's going to be a real challenge. | ||
| Mark, did you find anything there? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, I had Wisconsin up, so I took a look at that, and I'm looking at the North Shores in a two-way, and I'm telling you, actually for them it's border first, then economy. | |
| It's not single-issue abortion people. | ||
| It's not Ukraine enjoyers. | ||
| It's not anything like that. | ||
| Issues that are squarely in the Republican wheelhouse. | ||
| I think a lot of these people will probably wind up not voting anyway. | ||
| What's after economy and border? | ||
| What's after the economy and border? | ||
|
unidentified
|
For these people, violent crime. | |
| Crime. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Again, right? | |
| Like, these are gimmies. | ||
| Maybe these people, like, lied to me in the likely voter screen and they're not going to vote anyways, or maybe these are solid pickups. | ||
| I'll tell you, the easiest low-hanging fruit is probably the RFK voters. | ||
| It's pretty clear that with Kamala in the race now instead of Biden, that RFK at the margin hurts Trump a little bit more. | ||
| That's a takeaway. | ||
| that plays out. It's pretty clear that with Kamala in the race now instead of Biden, that | ||
| RFK at the margin hurts Trump a little bit more. Is that can we that's a takeaway. So | ||
| again, the Bobby, brother Bobby, let's have this talk. And let me let me let the great | ||
| Mark Mitchell get back to renovating his house. The next time we see him, he'll have a Internet | ||
| Mark, you're great today. | ||
| I so much appreciate it and we'll get you back in a week or two or whenever you have fresh results you want to share with the world. | ||
| All right, my brother. | ||
| Take care, man. | ||
| Great job. | ||
| Oh, Brother Bobby. | ||
| Brother Bobby, Brother Bobby. | ||
| I guess you gotta go to the mountaintop, my friend. | ||
| You wrote a book that sold a million copies about a guy named Fauci who is the darling of the Democrat Party And was turned into St. | ||
| Fauci by Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. | ||
| You know that of the things that you stand for and push, the Democrat Party of today is totally out of touch with what you stand for, sir. | ||
| And you know that Donald Trump would never force anybody in America to stick a needle in their arm, or stay behind closed doors, or not being allowed in church, or force them to wear a mask. | ||
| Donald Trump is totally aligned with the top issues You made millions of dollars on writing a book. | ||
| And I'm sure knowing who you are, those millions of dollars went to Children's Defense Fund, not into your own pocket, because that's who you are. | ||
| But Bobby, it's time now. | ||
| It's time now to join the Trump fold. | ||
| Because I think that The party of JFK and RFK doesn't exist anymore. | ||
| It doesn't exist. | ||
| The party of JFK and RFK was a party that cared about working class Americans, that believed in secure borders even back in the 1960s. | ||
| That saw the economy as the most important issue facing us, and were moderates at the end of the day, compared to whatever it is that is right now. | ||
| Bobby, come home, brother. | ||
| Right now. | ||
| Come home to Trump. | ||
| We'll be right back. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We rejoice when there's no more. | |
| Let's take down the CCP! | ||
| You guys are going to be surprised, trust me on this. | ||
| Alright how's that going to end? | ||
| The great Mike Lindell. | ||
| Did he or didn't he? | ||
| Is that mustache gone? | ||
| You will see him shortly. | ||
| Before we get to Mike Lindell, I want to put on a pitch now for Everybody in the posse, if you haven't done this, I need you to sign up for either Apple Podcast or Google Podcast. | ||
| And sign up, make the show one of your favorites, and have it automatically download. | ||
| And then when you miss the show live, make sure you watch it. | ||
| Listen to it and start with today because here's the thing. | ||
| It's like this show is very different from what you see on all of the network TVs and a lot of the podcast because we go deep and what you saw today with two guests. | ||
| I mean, that was a Ph.D. | ||
| seminar on American foreign policy that exposed the incompetence of Kamala Harris, the inexperience of Kamala Harris, and the fecklessness of Joe Biden. | ||
| So we need you to watch that one. | ||
| So keep that scan up there, folks. | ||
| Denver, I want that Chiron up there. | ||
| I don't know why you keep pulling it down. | ||
| Get it up there. | ||
| So what you do is download War Room now on Apple Podcasts. | ||
| There's a little scan thing that you can use on your PDA. | ||
| I need you to go there now and get that done. | ||
| Make it one of your favorites. | ||
| And we need to start downloading that. | ||
| Share it with a friend. | ||
| You can take the podcast, when you like something, forward it to one of your friends and things like that. | ||
| I'm going to be harping on that every day for the next couple of weeks here. | ||
| I'm in Monday, Wednesday, Friday, 10 to noon with you. | ||
| We're bringing you great guests and you need to make sure you catch all of the shows. | ||
| All right, without further ado, let's give the introduction to Mike Lindell with a little video and then the microphone is his. | ||
| Did he or didn't he on the great mustache controversy? | ||
| Play it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
How do you sleep with yourself at night? | |
| Our elections, our elections. | ||
| What the hell is wrong with you? | ||
| Do you need a pillow guy? | ||
| Oh my god, I don't know what you're saying. | ||
| 80,000 dead Palestinians, how do you sleep with yourself at night? | ||
| Sleep with yourself, what? | ||
| I'm gonna get it. | ||
| You're sleeping on my pillow. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I think you need to get your head together and realize what side of history you're on. | |
| I'm trying to secure our election. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Secure our election? | |
| Secure our genocide? | ||
| You know, you have quite a mouth on you. | ||
| You need some sleep, I think. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You guys are going to be surprised. | |
| Trust me on this. | ||
| Alright. | ||
| I don't have a mustache. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You're looking at me. | |
| You guys are gonna be surprised, trust me on this. | ||
| Alright, I don't have a mustache, you're looking at me, how about Mike? | ||
| Well, well Peter, the uh, yesterday- Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa! | ||
| You're coming on on the phone and we can't see your face? | ||
| Dang, why? | ||
| This is a tease, brother. | ||
| I'm going to explain this. | ||
| I went on yesterday and all them protesters, Rudy, our great mayor, we went into the protesters and we had a great day there with all the footage and everything. | ||
| But today, I shaved my mustache this morning, I'm going incognito into the DNC. | ||
| We're going to be live here, we're going to be- Oh yeah, that's going to work, right? | ||
|
unidentified
|
You're announcing that you're in the war room, and you think you're going to be incognito. | |
| The mayor and I tonight, we have a five o'clock show here on the War Room. | ||
| We're going to host the War Room, so you can watch all the footage from today at franksbeach.com. | ||
| I'm heading there now right after the show. | ||
| I've got the disguise on, not just the mustache on, but other things on. | ||
| I actually could not get back in the hotel here to do this show. | ||
| I had to pull out I.D. | ||
| and the guy goes, no, it's the MyPillow guy. | ||
| It's Mike Lindell. | ||
| So it's actually working. | ||
| That's great. | ||
| So it's going to be amazing. | ||
| Put a burger on. | ||
| And here's the whole purpose of doing this. | ||
| We're doing this because I want to get in there. | ||
| I want to get in there with the media. | ||
| I want to draw awareness because tomorrow on Frank speech here in Chicago, we're bringing in over a hundred Democrats that voted for Biden that are now going to be voting for Donald Trump. | ||
| And we're going to interview them. | ||
| All day long, it's going to be absolutely amazing what comes out of their mouth, or why they're switching. | ||
| This is so important, and we're going to grab footage from this, make commercials for our great real president, it's going to be amazing. | ||
| And so everybody, if tomorrow, or today, watch frankspeech.com, you're going to see me incognito. | ||
| So today, right now, okay, but right now, Mike, you've got two minutes for my pillow, so let's sell some pillows now. | ||
| Right on, you guys. | ||
| And I told Steve when I was in there out doing this, he probably goes, you're out there doing shaving your mustache, you need to be selling pillows. | ||
| So if we put up the website, you guys go to the website, go to mypillow.com there and scroll down till you see Steve's face. | ||
| Today, you all get the free exclusive with God, all things are possible. | ||
| Go Anywhere Pillow, absolutely free with any purchase. | ||
| We've got the mattress topper on there. | ||
| You've all jumped on the $119.98. | ||
| We give free per kill sheets with that as low as $119.98. | ||
| They're still there. | ||
| This is the last day. | ||
| The famous Keys of Dreams sheets. | ||
| $59.98 for the Queen. | ||
| $69.98 for the King. | ||
| But there's the big one. | ||
| If you guys go to the closeout and overstock sale, this is a War Room exclusive. | ||
| Save up to 80%. | ||
| We have blankets there from Portugal. | ||
| We have probably enough to get through the day and that's it. | ||
| These sales end today. | ||
| So get over here. | ||
| Get them all. | ||
| The MyPillow 2.0. | ||
| Buy one, get one free. | ||
| And then we have our employee pricing sale. | ||
| You guys all gotta get on that too. | ||
| Use that promo code WARROOM. | ||
| And today, if you get over to frankspeech.com, you can watch me right now in about 20 minutes, I guess about a half hour. | ||
| We're heading in live into the DNC to see if I get through without the mustache and incognito. | ||
| And it's going to be pretty amazing. | ||
| We'll be back here on the War Room at later today, Rudy Giuliani and myself. | ||
| And so it's going to be a War Room exclusive later on this afternoon. | ||
| It'll be awesome. | ||
| All right, my brother Mike, you're the guy. | ||
| Navarro in the War Room. | ||
| I'll see you on Friday, 10 to noon. | ||
| Be sure and download the War Room Apple podcast. | ||
| Download that and We will rock and roll on Friday and you'll rock and roll with Rudy and our MyPillow dude without a mustache. | ||
| That's quite something. |
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