Speaker | Time | Text |
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unidentified
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Mastriano was at the insurrection and he was photographed breaching one of the restricted areas. | |
Is that okay? | ||
Which area? | ||
Because I saw a video where Capitol officers were taking away barriers and unlocking doors. | ||
So, I mean... So he shouldn't be disqualifying for an elected official if they participate in January 6th? | ||
He didn't strike anybody? | ||
He didn't hurt anybody? | ||
And the only one that died was a protester there. | ||
Not a Capitol police officer. | ||
That's the only one that died. | ||
That's the only one who died. | ||
A police officer did die. | ||
No. | ||
It was a stroke. | ||
That's not... | ||
That's not on site. | ||
...caused by that. | ||
That's because he shouldn't have been a police officer. | ||
So what do you make, though, overall of January 6th? | ||
I mean, it was... | ||
Watching that footage, it was pretty disturbing. | ||
I mean, there were people throwing excrement at the walls, and it was our... | ||
You know, it's the Capitol. | ||
It looked a lot like Antifa's actions. | ||
It looked a lot like... | ||
Except on a much smaller scale, it looked the same as the Black Lives Matter riots. | ||
That's what I saw the similarities to be. | ||
Minneapolis burns. | ||
Kenosha burns. | ||
So it's okay just because one side that you disagree with? | ||
No, I'm saying Antifa infiltrated. | ||
It's good for one, it's good for the other. | ||
Anybody who harms anybody, anybody who caused property destruction, that needs to be dealt with. | ||
But if you're there making your voice heard at the people's house, no less, Yeah. | ||
That's, again, it's a fundamental constitutional right of an American citizen, and people should not be being held political prisoner because of it. | ||
For misdemeanors. | ||
That's East Germany. | ||
That's East Germany. | ||
Tactics. | ||
Yeah, that's what's scary. | ||
It was an actual fiery but mostly peaceful protest. | ||
And the other ones that were the... Was the protest... | ||
Legitimate in your eyes because... Our administration, I feel like, is using it as their Reichstag fire. | ||
Yeah. | ||
That's exactly what they're using it as. | ||
Do you think that President Trump could have quelled the violence that day? | ||
Not him. | ||
I don't think so. | ||
I don't think so. | ||
It started while he was still speaking. | ||
I was actually there. | ||
I was there to see what I thought was going to be the last time I ever saw Trump. | ||
So did he tell everybody to go and start writing? | ||
No. | ||
I didn't think so. | ||
No, and actually, I stayed for the whole speech, like a ton of people did. | ||
And then we all headed to the Capitol because he said, let's go to the Capitol and Peacefully, let our voices be heard. | ||
And we get to the Capitol, and we're like, what the hell's going on? | ||
Because it had already happened. | ||
I'm pretty sure I saw Democratic operatives instigating people to cross barriers. | ||
Elise, my grandma from Dalton, Georgia would have said of you, well, she sure kicked a hornet's nest yesterday, didn't she? | ||
You did. | ||
Yeah, people on the left. | ||
uh... pulling their hair out uh... you know ready to jump out of windows you had people on the right talking about mean and angry you were uh... and and there are others saying that that you were all in the the little who of course like libertarian conservative so you're saying Formerly lifetime Republican Elise Jordan, like, was owned by those people that said, yes, I believe the moon was made of cheese. | ||
unidentified
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And she just sat there dumbfounded. | |
She didn't know what cheese, cheese, they think the moon's made of. | ||
And somehow you were owned because some people followed conspiracy theories. | ||
I mean, maybe I've made it in the world now that I'm a corporate media hack, apparently. | ||
Maybe that's a, you know, I've really arrived. | ||
I think it is a sign, though, that we are talking about topics that we need to address, that it has hit so many nerves. | ||
We saw, you know, on the day when we did the crime segments and we heard directly from black voters in Philadelphia and their thoughts on crime and we heard from swing voters in Bucks County on crime and we heard a lot of consensus about and worry about the rising level of crimes and that crime and that hit a nerve too. | ||
So I think we just need to keep talking about topics that are uncomfortable but need to be addressed. | ||
How late is too late for this kind of an intervention? | ||
We're 15 days out from the election and obviously you're asking for immediate relief from the courts. | ||
Do you believe the courts can act quickly enough, the courts can be sort of nimble enough to intervene in a way that will protect voting rights in enough time to make a difference? | ||
unidentified
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I do. | |
In fact, Rachel, we heard that the court has scheduled a hearing on this motion tomorrow morning in Arizona, so we're glad to see the federal courts are stepping in and stepping in quickly. | ||
You know, after Donald Trump lost his election fair and square, the courts played an important role in making clear what the outcome of that election was. | ||
Donald Trump then unleashed vigilantes to storm the Capitol. | ||
And now we are seeing the return of that vigilantism organized by the same factions of the Republican Party that were at play then. | ||
And we need the courts once again to step up and take this seriously and prevent voters from being disenfranchised. | ||
Okay, right there, that's Mark Elias. | ||
He's the evil genius architect of the big steal with the mail-in ballots. | ||
That's him. | ||
And they're getting the courts to intervene they understand they're not on their back foot They're back on their ass. | ||
Okay, they have been blown out across Everywhere, they're looking there's no place to hide lead story politico this morning item The Democrats are absolutely panicked that african-american voters are not turning out to support them Stacey Abrams going to get beat by 8, 9, 10 points in Georgia. | ||
And there's a huge story in the Hill that talks about the more, let's say, establishment candidates of Sununu and Kemp and DeWine in Ohio that they're winning by such big spreads, such huge spreads, that they're taking the MAGA Senate candidates across the line to. | ||
A lot to get to. | ||
Right there is the beginning. | ||
She was not owned. | ||
She was outmatched just on facts. | ||
What I'm so proud about that that panel is that they actually had the receipts. | ||
And you see, once again, the mainstream media never wants to talk about the details of the facts. | ||
OK, and you saw that pathetic performance. | ||
Oh, we need to have a conversation. | ||
I think I don't know if we need a conversation. | ||
I think the mainstream media needs to listen to the American people. | ||
Because mourning Mika and mourning Joe and the entire MSNBC crew led the Democratic Party down the road to perdition on the wrong issue set for two years. | ||
And you're about to get crushed. | ||
You're about to see the destruction of the Democratic Party as a national political institution. | ||
It's because the mainstream media and big tech enabled their worst elements. | ||
And the American people are having a vote. | ||
They're weighing measuring this right now. | ||
It's Tuesday, 25 October. | ||
River Lord 2022. | ||
Huge day, two weeks obviously from game day, but massive today as far as debates go, engagement goes, campaigning goes. | ||
I want to start, we've got the great Alex DeGrasse. | ||
He's got more breaking analysis. | ||
He's done such a great job here over the last four, five, six weeks. | ||
I want to start with Mark Mitchell, lead pollster for Rasmussen. | ||
I want to talk first, Mark, get a general sense thing, but really go you breaking news as you put out the Pennsylvania poll that you told us last week when you did Nevada. | ||
Walk us through this Pennsylvania poll and where we stand on the night of the one and only debate between the cyborg Fetterman and Dr. Oz. | ||
Yeah, we're going to have to pull this one again, to be honest. | ||
We talked about Nevada and there were some very clear takeaways from the Nevada poll. | ||
This one's a lot tougher to read. | ||
And Pennsylvania looks like it's just in a different situation. | ||
First, I'd say it seems like a much more partisan state than Nevada. | ||
There's a higher level of party ID for both Republican and Democrat. | ||
In this poll, we weighted them about equally, but independents aren't even 20% of the electorate. | ||
And I think also, because of that, I haven't seen the same trend I've seen from a nationwide perspective, where there have been voters who have left identifying with the Republican Party, called themselves more independent, and caused the independents to vote more conservatively. | ||
So here, when I look at the independent results, they're pretty much, you know, even whereas in Nevada, Republicans were up almost 30 points among independents. | ||
So, you know, everybody's looking at the candidate races and we have results, um, you know, for Senate and governor and our results are relatively in line with what I see from other pollsters from a Senate perspective. | ||
But I think the news here is that we have the governor race a lot closer than everybody else. | ||
So maybe we should start with that one. | ||
We have Shapiro up by three, which is probably the smallest lead that anybody's given him yet. | ||
Doug Mastriano is at 40%. | ||
Now there's the challenge, right? | ||
He's only behind by three, but he only has 40% of the vote. | ||
So we have 6% of the voters say another candidate and 10% still, with not very long to go until the election, 10% saying not sure. | ||
So here's where it gets tough. | ||
What's going to happen to the not sure people? | ||
Are they going to break right? | ||
Are they going to break left? | ||
Are they not going to show up? | ||
And then the party breakdowns are kind of interesting too. | ||
Shapiro is getting 20% of the Republican vote in this poll. | ||
And Mastriano is getting 14% of the Democrat vote in this poll. | ||
And they're both pretty much even with independents. | ||
But 37% of independents say they're not decided. | ||
So here's where I need an expert in Pennsylvania to tell me. | ||
You know, what's going on there? | ||
Is it because these candidates don't have name recognition? | ||
Are people just, they don't care about this race like they do in other states? | ||
Moving on to Senate, it looks a little bit better. | ||
Hang on, before we go to the Senate, let me just, your 40% is roughly where, I think CNN's got a poll, some people have polled that he's down 10, 12, 14, I think one's got him 16 down. | ||
But the constant number is around the 40% for Mastriano. | ||
And another constant number is that there's not a small part of registered Republicans that are at least saying they're going to support Shapiro. | ||
The difference in your poll and everybody else, you're the first one to show Shapiro significantly below the 50%. | ||
Walk me through that. | ||
How comfortable are you with that number? | ||
Because this makes you an outlier. | ||
But the big outlier is you've got a big delta between where other people have Shapiro either closer to 50, maybe even some over 50. | ||
Rasmussen does not. | ||
Walk me through that for a second. | ||
I mean, he gets 30% of the independents. | ||
So that's, you know, so that's about six points, right? | ||
And he gets three quarters of Democrats. | ||
So that's, you know, like 30 points. | ||
And he picks up a little bit of Republican. | ||
So, like, you're into the low 40s, right? | ||
That's what people say. | ||
Now, when they get in the voting booth, are they going to vote straight ticket red and blue? | ||
Like, probably more than in what they tell us in the poll. | ||
But, you know, he's just not anywhere near a majority yet in our poll. | ||
And I can, you know, what gets interesting and kind of anchors this is when you look at some of the other questions that we asked that show that this poll From our perspective, isn't an outlier with our polling. | ||
So the, another big headline here is it isn't the one I led with, but the Republican candidates are struggling. | ||
Generic ballots pretty much tied up in Pennsylvania, but Trump's winning over Biden rematch by six points. | ||
And that matched the same trend that we've been talking about you and me with Trump outperforms in generic ballot. | ||
Generic ballot outperforms the Republican candidates. | ||
And it's, you know, there's room for the Republican candidates to do better. | ||
You know, it could be there haven't been enough ads run. | ||
It could be there isn't the name recognition yet. | ||
We're not saying in our polls, like, do you want to vote for Doug Mastriano, the Republican candidate? | ||
So there is that aspect to it in the midterm election. | ||
But then you get into, like, if the person doesn't even know what the candidates are for, you know, the top two ticket, you know, people on the ballot, are they going to show up or not? | ||
Talk to me about the Senate race. | ||
The Cyborg versus Dr. Oz. | ||
So we have Fetterman with 45 and Oz with 43. | ||
Two-point race within the margin of error. | ||
And otherwise, pretty similar to the Governor race. | ||
So there's still a relatively high level of not sure, but the candidates have better recognition, presumably. | ||
Um, not as many, you know, crossover voters. | ||
This one's a little bit more partisan, although there is still a decent amount of crossover voters and, and they're pretty much, you know, tied among independents. | ||
Um, and so to me, like doing some of the same math I did with the previous show, the most interesting part is like, okay, Trump does really well in Pennsylvania now. | ||
And we, we asked him questions to give some inkling, inkling, You know why that's happening. | ||
Inflation is the number one issue. | ||
But number two in Pennsylvania is energy policy. | ||
That's the number two issue. | ||
And that doesn't match the national trends. | ||
So people are mad, potentially, about some of the Biden platform. | ||
But Trump wins big in Pennsylvania. | ||
And I can look at the Trump lead and compare it to the lead that, you know, Dr. Oz doesn't have over Fetterman. | ||
Oz is doing 8 points worse. | ||
And he's doing 9 points worse among men, 20 points worse than Trump among younger voters, just like Nevada, and 7 points worse among white voters, 32 points worse than Trump among Hispanic voters. | ||
Can you hang on one second? | ||
I want to just hold you through the break for a minute. | ||
Mark Mitchell from Rasmussen, Alex DeGrasse from Team Elise. | ||
We're going through some math. | ||
Two weeks from game day. | ||
Short commercial break. | ||
back in the war in just a moment. | ||
unidentified
|
War Room, pandemic, with Stephen K. Bannon. | |
The epidemic is a demon and we cannot let this demon hide. | ||
War Room Pandemic. | ||
Here's your host, Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
Welcome back. | ||
Mark Mitchell, against conventional wisdom, if you look at the crosstabs and you really think about the Rasmussen, your poll, you would have President Trump go back into Pennsylvania, big league, right? | ||
Because it looks like Pennsylvania embraces the MAGA movement. | ||
Am I incorrect there, sir? | ||
The numbers are clear to me. | ||
Trump wins by six points over Biden in a hypothetical 2024 rematch. | ||
In the same poll where people only give the Republicans a plus one lead in the generic ballot. | ||
And there are, I mean, and here's the biggest one. | ||
The parts, the demographics with which the candidates are underperforming are, you know, are ones where Trump performs well. | ||
So to me, he should get in there. | ||
Absolutely. | ||
And help get that message across the party lines to those vulnerable swing voters. | ||
Absolutely. | ||
Let me, just not looking at Rasmussen, but looking at other polling that's coming out, particularly the big shifts, the right track, wrong tracks, generic ballots, all that. | ||
Just give us your assessment. | ||
Give us the Rasmussen take on where they see things overall. | ||
Steve, I don't follow the other polls. | ||
I, you know, the swings were usually out front when there's a swing. | ||
Part of that is because we do a lot of daily polling where other people don't with the daily presidential tracking. | ||
Here's a scoop. | ||
President's approval, Biden's approval. | ||
We've had a little bit higher than other pollsters recently over the last couple months. | ||
I think we accurately picked up this sort of abortion swing. | ||
His approvals starting to drop this week again, going back down to where it was, you know, 40 and maybe even a little lower. | ||
Um, but as far as election indicators, I haven't seen anything breaking major, but I'd say that most of those indicators were somewhat positive for the Republicans. | ||
So here's the, here's still the things that Republicans have in their quiver. | ||
They have a comfortable lead again on the generic ballot still, right? | ||
Uh, they have pretty low right direction, wrong track numbers. | ||
Are they much lower than they've been throughout all of Biden's term? | ||
No, but they're low. | ||
We're talking 29% of voters think the country's going on the right track. | ||
Biden approval is low and also lower than it's been for Trump or Obama at this point in their midterm cycles by, you know, five, six points. | ||
So that's a big deal also. | ||
And I think to me, one of the key ones, you know, especially looking at the Pennsylvania polls, especially looking with how many undecided independents there are and people that just aren't sure about these candidates. | ||
Is that we retested it again last week and nationwide Republicans still have an enthusiasm edge. | ||
And so what I mean by that is we ask everybody, national voters, how excited are you about voting in the midterms? | ||
And among people that say very excited, the Republicans had, I think it was a six point lead over Democrats. | ||
And that doesn't sound like much, but it's a real signal. | ||
Because in 2018, we asked very similar questions, and it was exactly the same across parties. | ||
So to me, that's the biggest standout indicator, and it's like, get excited about voting. | ||
Get other people excited about voting, right? | ||
Let's have some rallies. | ||
Own your vote, and then own the 10 people who helped him own their vote, and the other 10. | ||
Mark, I want to make sure everybody gets full access to everything that you guys put out in Rasmussen. | ||
Where are they supposed to go? | ||
Yeah, absolutely. | ||
RasmussenReports.com. | ||
And sign up for free daily updates, get in our mailing list, and at least you'll get a daily digest of all the polls we run, so you'll get them the exact day they come out. | ||
Our Twitter feed is very hot. | ||
We also cover some topics you're not going to see covered in many other places. | ||
As pollsters, we're super concerned about election integrity, and so we've been going deep dive on that. | ||
So definitely our Twitter feed, but for the folks that aren't on Twitter, pirate pretty much everything over to GabGetter and True Social. | ||
And then finally, I'd love to have everybody on the YouTube channel. | ||
I've been doing sort of these six, seven-minute snippets where I go into the polls and it's all free. | ||
It's stuff that's in the cross tabs that otherwise you'd have to pay for on our site. | ||
And I go into some of the internals and the takeaways and also one of the great things we have is a lot of historical polling so we can see how things trend over time. | ||
You're also up on Rumble too. | ||
Can people get you on Rumble? | ||
Yeah, we're up on Rumble and coming to Locals very soon. | ||
Not sure what that's going to look like yet, but really excited about it. | ||
Mark Mitchell Rasmussen, thank you very much for joining us. | ||
Thank you, Steve. | ||
Alex DeGrasse, you've been right on so many of these. | ||
You told our audience, in the two to three week out, you're going to start seeing, you think, the big shift, and particularly what you said, since they're on defense, 8% of their dollars are on defense, 8% of ours are on offense, you're going to start seeing people get thrown under the bus. | ||
Walk us through where you stand this morning, Alex DeGrasse from Team Elise. | ||
unidentified
|
Sure, Steve. | |
So it's exactly right. | ||
It's been quite the ride. | ||
I think the most important top-line numbers, Steve, is when you look at the real clear political, you know, average. | ||
They've got their site where they track races. | ||
They have shifted 22 House seats, and I think I sent that over to Cameron if they've got the latest House shifts, including moving our America First champion, Caroline Leavitt, into the lean Republican column from a toss-up. | ||
But again, since October 1st, Steve, the independent ratings Have shifted 22 seats, all of them towards the Republican Party. | ||
And so that is frankly, we've never seen that type of momentum in October when it really matters. | ||
But we're seeing more than just that, Steve. | ||
We're seeing Democrats obviously in free fall, Sean Patrick Maloney completely imploding, now diverting money from the National Democrat Party to shore up the fourth, actually I guess the fifth in charge Democrat out of all 200 and whatever they have. | ||
We've never seen them in danger like that before, and you're going to start seeing them chomping at the bit. | ||
They already are. | ||
They're in the media. | ||
They're blaming. | ||
They're whining. | ||
But the offensive is going on now, and people need to stay engaged and get organized and continue getting out the vote. | ||
We're already having early votes start in New York on Saturday. | ||
That's early in-person voting. | ||
Obviously, mail ballots are out across the board, and we're seeing a significant enthusiasm advantage towards Republicans in some areas, up to 10 points. | ||
And why that's important for the audience is you look at these polls, Steve, and you have Republicans leading on the generic ballot by three or four points. | ||
And that's usually when the polling sample favors Democrats by about five or six points. | ||
And so when you then kind of recalculate the poll based off of enthusiasm, so obviously if there are more Republicans saying they're more likely to vote and more enthusiastic to vote, then that electorate sample will change. | ||
And that is when you start getting really, really deep. | ||
Nate Cohn at the New York Times came out today and said if Republicans overperform, move the numbers by seven points, I believe, I think he said we could pick up 50 seats. | ||
I'll pull that exact quote. | ||
I think I said it to you earlier. | ||
Yeah. | ||
What does that mean? | ||
unidentified
|
Yeah, he said if we shift, if we shift... Hang on, hang on. | |
Two things I want to go through. | ||
This is monumental. | ||
This is what we call the break. | ||
RearClearPolitics, and look in the average polls, they have shifted 22 seats in total And all of those to Republicans, to the Republican side. | ||
I think their, when you look at their average, isn't real clear politics when I'm pointing towards a 47 seat pickup? | ||
Yeah. | ||
unidentified
|
They think the range is anywhere between 12 to 47 exactly, averaging 29.5. | |
And if you look up there, you can kind of see they already had baked in the house flipping. | ||
And then you've got the 35 swing seats in addition, and then some lean Republican, sorry, lean Democrat, which we're actually leading or tied in many of those lean Democrat and likely Democrat seats. | ||
It's all within the margins, Steve. | ||
All of these races are either up, down, within the margins tied with about 15 to 20 seats banked for Republicans at this point is what we see. | ||
So it's really going to come critical down to some of those top 74 targeted seats, which you can see at redwave2022.com and get a readout on how those seats are organized based off President Trump's margins. | ||
I want everybody to go to Red Wave. | ||
We're going to get back in a second. | ||
What Team Elise and Alex have set up is one site you can go to and get a kind of battle map for all. | ||
Go back to Nate Cohen, because this is very important. | ||
He's one of the guys they all listen to on the left at the New York Times. | ||
Walk me through what he said, and how realistic is that analysis when you say plus seven? | ||
Just take a second and walk us through that. | ||
unidentified
|
Yeah, so what he said was if every district finishes seven points better than the 2020 presidential election result, Republicans would come away with 259 seats, an almost 50-seat net gain, and the largest Republican majority in over 100 years. | |
So that is the New York Times. | ||
That is this morning's breaking news. | ||
In some areas, we're overperforming 10 to 15 points. | ||
And so, you know, it's definitely going to be a battle of inches, trench warfare, as we've talked about. | ||
You know, our plan is working at the top level. | ||
The party is executing. | ||
We can use all the help we can get. | ||
You know, the plan of kind of waiting until we can see the whites of their eyes pushing forward on all fronts, Senate, Governor, House. | ||
You know, the super PACs dumping in, defining the Democrats for their votes, their votes in support of Biden's created crises. | ||
And you're starting to see these ads of vicious personal destruction from the Democrats. | ||
They're running scared. | ||
They have nothing to run on. | ||
The January 6th thing is a scam. | ||
Abortion is faltering. | ||
In fact, it's actually turning out to be using against them. | ||
As we talked about in the show, Steve, they have no answer for what limits they want on abortions and the American people are against that. | ||
Overwhelmingly, actually. | ||
No, the issue set has cratered on them. | ||
January 6th, people don't want to hear about. | ||
And the abortion thing is, you're absolutely correct, because Katie Hobbs, these people, and they're sitting there going, there's no limit at all. | ||
That's actually gotten to be a positive. | ||
They don't have one issue that they can stand on right now. | ||
And our issue set, that's where they're going to get more and more vicious. | ||
What about the Politico story? | ||
That they're having problems with African-Americans turning out. | ||
They're having problems with Hispanics turning out. | ||
You're seeing this in the Stacey Abrams problem in Georgia. | ||
She looks like she could get blown out, Alex DeGrasse. | ||
unidentified
|
Yeah, that's right. | |
I mean, they have a massive enthusiasm issue. | ||
The Democrats don't have a reason to go vote. | ||
Their core constituencies are not enthusiastic. | ||
That's why a lot of this noise is out there, Steve. | ||
They're running a fear-mongering campaign because they're running from behind and they have to energize their own base to get them to the polls because they're not going to turn out. | ||
Young people are less likely to vote than ever before. | ||
Those are traditionally Democrat voters, obviously African-Americans and Hispanics. | ||
Many of them coming over to vote for Republicans and giving us a solid look. | ||
Again, like I said, in our battleground seat, Steve, we're essentially leading with Hispanics or tied in multiple states. | ||
Democrats are retreating from South Texas, retreating from Arizona, even retreating from parts of Los Angeles, which is unprecedented. | ||
They're moving money out of a Oregon seat that Biden won by nine and moving it to shore up a seat in Oregon that Biden won by 14. | ||
And really that shows everything you need to know about this cycle. | ||
Can you hang on one second? | ||
I just want to ask about New York and New York State. | ||
This is fascinating. | ||
Where one of the bastions, you know, Lisa's strategy, she's already pierced the veil in New England, but New York is totally in play. | ||
Up and down the ticket, short commercial break. | ||
Alex DeGrasse from Team Elise works for the NRCC. | ||
We also have Dave Brat, lots of capital markets, economic news, the ties to politics, all next. | ||
unidentified
|
Where? | |
in the War Room. | ||
War Room. | ||
Pandemic. | ||
With Stephen K. Banham. | ||
The epidemic is a demon and we cannot let this demon hide. | ||
War Room. | ||
Pandemic. | ||
Here's your host, Stephen K. Banham. | ||
Okay, in the second hour, Mike Lindell is going to join us. | ||
Huge piece on Mike Lindell today. | ||
Actually, I think it's a very complimentary piece in The Guardian. | ||
They didn't mean it that way, but if you read it, I think you'll come away and think, Mike Lindell, what a warrior. | ||
MyPillow.com promo code WARROOM. | ||
You've got all, go to our square, you've got all the sales, sheet sets, pillows, moccasins, slippers, bathrobes, all of it. | ||
So make sure you go there today and check it out. | ||
Alex DeGrasse. | ||
It was sad yesterday. | ||
They had Biden. | ||
I saw it because we monitor MSNBC and CNN so our audience doesn't have to. | ||
And they had this thing. | ||
He's getting cheers and applause and he's talking. | ||
And it turns out he's over at the head. | ||
They rolled him out to the headquarters of the DNCC two weeks ago before an election. | ||
He's over there and they're like cheering and clapping him on. | ||
It's sad. | ||
They don't want this guy anywhere because he's totally radioactive. | ||
The particular place that's shocking that he's not going is New York and New York State. | ||
The job you guys have done there is nothing short of monumental. | ||
It's amazing that we've pierced the veil in New England, in Rhode Island, in Connecticut, in New Hampshire, in Vermont. | ||
But what you guys have done in New Jersey and now in New York State is monumental. | ||
The Governor, the Attorney General, horse race. | ||
You've got, I don't know, 15 seats in play in the House. | ||
And where did it start, Alex DeGrasse, with your warnings on the show months and months ago? | ||
Where did all this start in New York State? | ||
unidentified
|
Well, absolutely. | |
I think it even started before that, Steve, when we were looking at redistricting. | ||
If we go back, Democrats tried to illegally gerrymander us down to three states in Europe with the possibility of picking up two. | ||
We're on the precipice of picking up possibly having 15 seats, picking up six, seven seats. | ||
You know, the map is so deep in New York. | ||
Obviously, we can flip the house just in New York. | ||
New York Times did a big story on that. | ||
It's Elisa's leadership. | ||
It's a big team effort. | ||
We have the best candidates ever running. | ||
Hudson Valley, Long Island, with Lee Zeldin, the race is tied. | ||
And it's so important. | ||
Elisa and I, we've been out all over upstate New York and we've been doing these huge rallies for Lee and for other Republican candidates. | ||
And people are coming up to me, they're watching the show. | ||
It was definitely pretty humbling. | ||
But the reality is we need upstate New York to turn out. | ||
Lee Zeldin and the Republican ticket have done something that no Republican has done. | ||
He's gotten over 30% now in multiple polls. | ||
The critical battleground is now upstate New York. | ||
We have to To run out the numbers in MAGA country, upstate New York, we need to turn out in record numbers to deliver this win. | ||
We cannot afford to have Lee Zeldin pick up, you know, get 30% in the city and us not turn out the numbers that we need. | ||
It's all on the line in upstate New York. | ||
This is Virginia all over again. | ||
The Commonwealth, we had 100% MAGA turnout. | ||
We need 100%. | ||
Everybody that knows somebody in New York State, This could be a monumental win for MAGA. | ||
All MAGA must turn out in upstate New York. | ||
If we do that, you're going to have a Republican Governor, Attorney General, and you're going to pick up a dozen to 15 House seats. | ||
We need all of MAGA to turn out. | ||
Everybody. | ||
To the ramparts right now. | ||
What you guys have done is extraordinary. | ||
So, Alex, how do people get all the details of this? | ||
Where do they go? | ||
How do they have questions? | ||
Who do they contact? | ||
Because people are more engaged. | ||
It's two weeks to go. | ||
Everybody's on the ramparts. | ||
Tell me what they should do. | ||
unidentified
|
Well, certainly you can email team at Elise for Congress dot com. | |
Team at Elise for Congress. | ||
We've got nice ladies and gentlemen on there answering emails and connecting about prospective volunteers with their campaigns. | ||
Team Elise volunteers are making Hundreds of thousands of calls a week nationwide into New York for these critical battleground seats. | ||
We would love to get you on the phones. | ||
Love to get you calling voters in these battleground seats. | ||
You can call from Wyoming. | ||
You can call from Iowa. | ||
You can call from anywhere in New York, from your home, on your smartphone. | ||
You can go to www.redwave2022.com. | ||
You can see all those seats. | ||
See what you need to get done. | ||
Look where these seats are. | ||
See if it's a Trump seat. | ||
If it's not a Trump seat and where we need you to get into the fight. | ||
It's so important that we execute now. | ||
Get your list of 10 voters. | ||
Check in with them now. | ||
Make sure they have a plan. | ||
Get them to get a list of 10 people and get everyone out to flood the polls in person because we have the ability to change history here and secure the Republic for a generation, frankly, and obviously save every state. | ||
No, no, you can, you can, this is the destruction of the Democratic Party as a national political institution. | ||
It'll take them a decade, a decade of infighting. | ||
They'll be absolutely powerless. | ||
If you've ever dreamed of this, if you've ever complained about it, if you ever bitched and moaned about it, now's the time. | ||
It actually, it's right there in front of you. | ||
All you have to do is act. | ||
And one of the things that he just said there, you can be anywhere in the nation and be manning one of these phone banks. | ||
Everybody's going to want a piece of this. | ||
You're going to be able to sit there. | ||
Hey, I was, I was calling and I was putting in four and five hours a day or at night or whatever. | ||
You don't need to stroke a check. | ||
If you can do that, fine. | ||
But that's not the entry. | ||
What entry here is your spirit and your indomitable will. | ||
Alex DeGrasse, how do they follow you on social media, sir? | ||
unidentified
|
I'm on at Degrassi at Getter, at Alex Degrassi on Truth, Degrassi81 on Twitter. | |
And so that's where I'm at. | ||
I love hearing from everyone. | ||
It's been great to be out on the trail. | ||
We're going out west. | ||
We're going to Mohawk Valley, going to Central New York, up to the North Country. | ||
We've got rallies planned the next couple days. | ||
So you can check that out on my boss Elisa's page. | ||
We're out there. | ||
So let's make sure we get out the boat. | ||
Thanks, Steve. | ||
Upstate New York. | ||
Seriously, the future of the Republic is in your hands. | ||
Upstate New York. | ||
We have a MAGA turnout. | ||
100% MAGA turnout. | ||
There'll be victory. | ||
Lee Zeldin is doing the job he's got to do down in Manhattan and down in the southern part of the state. | ||
It's time. | ||
If we deliver MAGA, it'll be perfect. | ||
It'll be just like the Yonkin situation in the Commonwealth. | ||
Alex, thank you very much. | ||
unidentified
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Thanks, Steve. | |
We're going to have expanded coverage here. | ||
Obviously, we have a new executive editor, Natalie. | ||
We're rebooting some things, so we're much more timely and sense of urgency, even more than the boardroom has been in the past. | ||
One of the things we're doing is really using the live streaming. | ||
You see this on Real America's Voice, we're live streaming on Getter. | ||
To make sure we get more contact with the posse, more interaction. | ||
So we've asked Grace Chung, the Queen of the Trolls, and Mo Bannon to kind of take this for action. | ||
It's actually fantastic. | ||
I'm going to dip in and out of these as we go. | ||
Today, there's, I think, four. | ||
We're going to be covering a lot of rallies, but particularly these debates. | ||
So Mo, walk me through what the coverage is today. | ||
First, I've got to download the Getter app. | ||
But then, once you've downloaded that, where do they go? | ||
Which ones are you covering today and what times? | ||
So there are four debates today. | ||
Like you said, Caroline Leavitt's debate is from 4 to 5 p.m. | ||
You can find it on MyGetter. | ||
And then Zeldin Hochul's debate will be streamed by Grace, and that's at 7 to 8 p.m. | ||
And I will be covering the Tudor-Dixon debate, also from 7 to 8 p.m. | ||
And then we will finish out the evening covering the Dr. Oz and Fetterman debate. | ||
Um, and that will also be on my getter and my getter is Maureen underscore Bannon and Grace's getter is Grace Chong. | ||
So after Caroline, which is huge for this audience, starting at seven, I want to go back through that one more time. | ||
Cause these are, these are three big ones in a row. | ||
Just walk me through that again. | ||
Seven o'clock. | ||
The first one is what? | ||
Um, Tudor Dixon's debate, and I will be covering that on my getter page and then Lee Zeldin's debate. | ||
We'll be covered by Grace on her Getter page. | ||
Those are both at 7 to 8 p.m. | ||
And then right after both of those, we will both be jumping on live together to cover the Dr. Oz Fetterman debate. | ||
Okay, fantastic. | ||
Grace, why do people, I've been amazed you did the rally the other night, the engagement, the sense of sharing of information, of ideas and opinions I love. | ||
Walk me through, how are you guys building this? | ||
Because we want tens of thousands of people on this. | ||
Tell me how you guys are doing it. | ||
unidentified
|
It's been an amazing experience. | |
We want the War Room Posse to come and just join and chat with us, ask us questions, and it's been Great because we've been getting to know the posse on a more personal level and really interacting in these live chats. | ||
So really thankful for Getter and we just want all the War Room posse to join us and continue the live streams and it's been amazing. | ||
Okay, perfect. | ||
So I want this up everywhere in all the live chats. | ||
How do you get to you guys? | ||
Starts at four o'clock today. | ||
Our own Caroline Levin. | ||
Remember, Caroline would not be there if it was not for this posse. | ||
We've got to drive this across the finish line. | ||
She will be a great congressman. | ||
She will be a great congressman. | ||
So I want everybody to start there at four o'clock. | ||
Okay, guys, thank you very much. | ||
Captain Bannon and Grace Chung, thank you. | ||
I want to bring in Dave Brat now. | ||
Dave, before I get to the capital markets and the economics of it all, I've got to ask you, you've been in this situation before when it cut against you, when you see this wave building. | ||
What's your assessment of where we are right now? | ||
And take the partisanship out of it. | ||
Just when you look at this math, you're on the receiving end of a wave one time, not a red wave. | ||
What's your assessment of where we are right now? | ||
Yeah, no, I think the momentum does break in the last couple weeks in politics. | ||
And then the biggest deal right now is just the unsettled nature of the American consumer and the American family getting hit on all the dinner table issues, right? | ||
The prices of food are up, you know, double digits at least. | ||
Gasoline still up. | ||
There's no calm here. | ||
The world's unsettled. | ||
Xi Jinping just had a total redevelopment of what the Chinese economy is going to look like and how that's going to affect us very negatively. | ||
Russia, Ukraine, terrible headlines. | ||
Everything is upside down right now. | ||
And I think most all Americans just Want a return to some sanity. | ||
So I think there's going to be a huge realignment here. | ||
And like you said, it's not, I don't think it's the old partisan thing. | ||
I think there's a realignment of just getting back to America, going to work. | ||
The K to 12 test scores are decimated from shutting down the schools. | ||
Small businesses are decimated from shutting down the small business. | ||
Everyone knows in hindsight, those are some bad moves. | ||
Overreacted totally. | ||
And so I see some huge, huge moves coming up in the few weeks in elections and beyond. | ||
We've got this. | ||
Some of the news we'll cover on the economics coming up. | ||
We got five to 10 year rebuilding project. | ||
And I think the American people are getting serious and know that's that's the case now. | ||
That's a 5 to 10 year rebuild on the economy. | ||
Do we have time to play some of the Janet Yellen? | ||
Let's play half of the Janet Yellen. | ||
We'll go to break and we'll bring Brad in. | ||
The interview last night, we're going to get Dave Brad. | ||
This is what we're dealing with when he talks about a 5 to 10 year rebuild. | ||
Let's go ahead and play. | ||
unidentified
|
I think inflation will come down. | |
People will feel better about the economy as that occurs. | ||
So no recession? | ||
I can't rule out the risk of one, but as I said, I believe there is a path toward bringing inflation down within the context of a strong labor market. | ||
unidentified
|
What most struck you from the interview with Secretary Yellen yesterday? | |
She said she's staying on the job after the midterms, right? | ||
There's so much scuttlebutt out there that post midterms, she's not going to be in that position anymore. | ||
She said she wants to stay on, but remember, If we see Democrats lose two weeks from now, you have to assume that some of the president's economic advisors will have to shoulder some of the blame. | ||
Janet Yellen herself, along with the rest of the administration, was keen to say, a year ago I interviewed her, and she said inflation's transitory, it's only going to be short term. | ||
It wasn't, and she might have to pay for that. | ||
Brad, that's MSNBC Stephanie Ruhle just ripping on her that she's going to have to, somebody's going to be held accountable. | ||
Somebody's going to walk the plank. | ||
We've got a minute to break. | ||
Give me your assessment of that. | ||
Yeah, I think the accounting is coming up in a couple of weeks on the one hand, and then on this show we've been covering, right? | ||
England had a sovereign debt crisis a couple of weeks ago. | ||
We're 31 trillion in debt. | ||
The Fed has to slow down the economy. | ||
They're raising interest rates. | ||
There's a layman moment still coming. | ||
The financial markets are way jittery. | ||
There's a little calm right now this week, but the storm's still coming. | ||
And so, yeah, they're not serious, and as we'll get in, they're so unserious, they're talking about increasing spending in the lame duck session, raising the debt ceiling, right? | ||
And then Biden says that will reduce inflation, right? | ||
No, wrong, wrong direction. | ||
Wrong direction. | ||
Dave Brad, the Dean of the Business School down at Liberty, former congressman, is going to join us after the break. | ||
We're going to get into more economics, capital markets, next in The War Room. | ||
unidentified
|
Because we're taking down the CCP! | |
For the world and for Hong Kong, we will fight till they're all gone. | ||
We rejoice when there's no more. | ||
Let's take down the CCP! | ||
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OK, not to get ahead of ourselves, but to get ahead of ourselves. | ||
You know, everybody, this is all about getting out the vote. | ||
Step one. | ||
Step two. | ||
And we're going to have people in the second hour volunteering and making sure that you're thwarting Mark Elias. | ||
And these guys are going to try to jump into federal court and steal these elections. | ||
OK, these are the architects of the steal. | ||
By the way, the numbers are so bad for Biden, you realize he couldn't have gotten 81 million votes. | ||
unidentified
|
Hmm. | |
It's two years. | ||
Come on. | ||
The math is so hard on this. | ||
It's so simple. | ||
But very quickly, and I said this this morning on the on with Ed Henry. | ||
This morning, the on the morning show, I spent a few minutes with him and said, look, you're going to have this orgy. | ||
The Democrats, if we do our job, they're going to be gone for a decade. | ||
Nancy Pelosi's finished, Steny Hoyer's finished, Clyburn's finished, all that old guys are gone. | ||
They're going to have a new generation. | ||
It's going to take them a decade to get back into power, if ever. | ||
This could be like 1932 or like right after the Civil War. | ||
10, 20, 30 years out of power. | ||
Long time. | ||
In doing that, they got one shot to pay off their donors, to pay off their sponsors, to pay off their corporate allies. | ||
One shot. | ||
And that is what's called the lame duck. | ||
And we gotta get to the ramparts. | ||
Because on Sunday morning when he woke up, the Hill newspaper, which everybody goes to on Sunday morning to check out what's the big political thing before the talk shows, It was not about the horse races, not about the right track, wrong track, nothing had to do with the debt ceiling. | ||
That is a signal, ladies and gentlemen, and Biden's talking about it nonstop. | ||
He talked about yesterday, the DNCC, the debt ceiling. | ||
Why? | ||
They understand when I say that MAGA is the head of the creditors committee, I'm not trying to be funny. | ||
You essentially have the leverage. | ||
You are the head. | ||
The country's bankrupt. | ||
Everybody knows it. | ||
Capital markets know it. | ||
We've just got to continue this game on. | ||
So you have a creditors committee. | ||
You're the head of it. | ||
That means you're the immovable object. | ||
Dave Brat, why is all of a sudden this obscure thing called the death ceiling we've been talking about now, everybody's talking about, Axios' lead story last night, the death ceiling. | ||
Lead story on the Hill Sunday morning, the death ceiling. | ||
Why in the middle of a horse race? | ||
You know why? | ||
Because the Democrats understand it's over. | ||
Okay, they got that. | ||
They've moved on to the project they've got to do to make sure they get, they extract as much, they extract as much from the swamp as possible in the 60 days after the election day, Brett. | ||
Yeah, that's right. | ||
They know which way the wind's blowing and, you know, the forcing function we haven't had in 20 or 30 years and by that I mean inflation is up. | ||
So there's no more cheating. | ||
You can't just do these willy-nilly huge spending things. | ||
England just found out, right, they had a sovereign debt crisis two weeks ago because of crazy fiscal dominance. | ||
Fiscal policy running the show when they're already in bad shape. | ||
Well, we got $31 trillion in debt. | ||
The interest rates are going way up. | ||
The Fed looks like they're going to hold strong. | ||
We'll see about that. | ||
And so that puts huge new pressure. | ||
And so for anyway, I just want to know, hang on, hang on one second. | ||
I just want to note right there. | ||
I'm not agreeing. | ||
I don't agree with it. | ||
I think they've skipped the November pop. | ||
In December, they're talking about 50 basis points versus 70. | ||
I just want to make for a historical record. | ||
I just want to put my pen to keep on. | ||
I think they're going dovish. | ||
I think they're going to be doves. | ||
But keep going, sir. | ||
Yeah, I know. | ||
I know. | ||
We'll see. | ||
We'll see. | ||
And so anyway, right. | ||
It's still we got interest rates going up. | ||
We're waiting for a layman moment still, right? | ||
We're not done with this stock market drama. | ||
There's months and months to come. | ||
And so in the midst of this, now it's just a shame to have our national leaders going back to the trough, putting their hands out for trillions of dollars to raise the debt ceiling when we should be going in the opposite direction. | ||
We should be clamping down on the debt, getting serious about our fiscal house, And it's just shocking to see on the Democrats' side. | ||
But remember one thing. | ||
You're going to start hearing about Social Security and Medicare non-stop between now and Election Day because they're going to say, these barbarians are going to use the death ceiling, these MAGA, mega MAGA, ultra MAGA, as the old man totters around, and he's trying to scare people about Social Security and Medicare. | ||
This is not about Social Security and Medicare. | ||
They're not going to be touched. | ||
You get far more Systemic problems than that. | ||
But you guys, I've been in these wars with the debt ceiling now for a decade. | ||
You were there. | ||
Tell us what's going to happen, Dave Brat. | ||
Because we never take a hard stand. | ||
We always crater and we always fold at the end. | ||
Why is that? | ||
Well, because of money and the love of money and the love of power. | ||
They need 10 Senate Republicans, right, just like last time. | ||
And they got them. | ||
Mitch McConnell delivered them, sold out the country on the debt. | ||
They're forcing us into just the most serious economic consequences for your kids and the next generation that you can imagine. | ||
And so usually it's just the same old script, right? | ||
Every year happened the same way. | ||
Debt ceiling would come up. | ||
And the Freedom Caucus was way better than most. | ||
We'd hold our ground. | ||
But at the end of the day, the leadership would put so much pressure on everybody. | ||
Any committee assignments, if you wanted to get reelected, you needed $10 million or whatever. | ||
I never got a dime. | ||
That's why I lost the last wave. | ||
But they put extraordinary pressure on everybody to get you to sell out. | ||
They'll offer you a little trinket in exchange for trillions of dollars. | ||
And no congressman or woman should be doing any of that funny business. | ||
Dave, give us your, so the debt ceiling, we're going to get everybody up to speed on this. | ||
You've got some thoughts on China and what happened over the weekend. | ||
What are those? | ||
Yeah, well, there's very, very serious news now that has consequences. | ||
And I'm not just singing a sad tune to, you know, scare people here. | ||
But the restructuring of China will be on the map for the next 10 or 20 years, unless they crack up. | ||
They're going toward total Marxist central planning and go to their document on the 20th Communist Party Congress, right, three main moves. | ||
What Xi Jinping totally in charge, gets rid of the number two guy, Li Keqiang, and then removes Hu Jintao, another senior leader, just humiliates him in public. | ||
So they make a full move, a full ideological move to full-on Marxism in writing. | ||
All the language is there. | ||
You can go check it out. | ||
unidentified
|
For folks who don't know what that means... Just hang through the break for a second. | |
We'll give all your social media. | ||
Short break. | ||
Dave Brat and many, many other stars on the other side. | ||
90 seconds. |