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Dec. 21, 2017 - The Ben Shapiro Show
53:29
Everyone Just Died…AGAIN | Ep. 441
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All righty, so today is the big tax reform day.
It finally has passed through Congress.
Your taxes will go down.
The Democrats moan in lamentation.
We'll talk about all that.
Plus, I sort of face-planted Rosie O'Donnell on Twitter, and it's hilarious.
So we'll talk about all of that.
I'm Ben Shapiro.
This is the Ben Shapiro Show.
Yes, I am back from Florida where I had a great time talking to the college students over at TPUSA, one of my favorite student groups.
And it was a blast.
I also met Donald Trump Jr., which, nice to meet you, Don.
So that was kind of fun.
But I have a lot to talk about today, because it's a big news day.
And it, of course, starts with this massive tax reform package that is now passed.
The Republican House and the Republican Senate, President Trump is set to sign that into law formally, probably after Christmas.
They have to work out a few more kinks, I think, and then he's going to sign that into law.
So that is a big move.
I'm going to discuss everything that is in this tax reform package.
I'm going to recount the entire saga in just a second.
But first, I want to say thank you to our sponsors over at Helix Sleep.
So I had a really good trip to Florida.
There was one thing that did not go particularly well.
That was my sleep pattern.
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That's helixsleep.com slash ben for Okay, so, today dawned amidst a cacophony of howling dogs mourning their dead masters.
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Okay, so today dawned amidst a cacophony of howling dogs mourning their dead masters, men, women, children killed in a mass senseless slaughter by the passage of tax reform.
The Republicans just said that they wanted to lower taxes, but Democrats knew, the media knew, that if this tax reform package were to go through, then it would be like the Walking Deads.
Zombies would wander the earth, just dead bodies stacked up in cars on the highways.
That's exactly how it was this morning.
Traveling back from Florida, You know, I was the only person on the plane.
I had to fly myself.
The airports were deserted.
Everyone was dead.
I don't even know who's listening to this program now.
I don't even know if there's anyone to listen to this program.
Austin over there is an animate corpse, just making this show happen from behind the screen.
And this is what they'd warned about.
Now, the amazing thing is that I didn't know that everyone could be killed again since everyone was killed by net neutrality repeal a week ago.
But apparently, death can be died a thousand times.
And so, everyone's dead from net neutrality repeal, and repeal of the Paris Accords, and all the rest of it.
And now, everyone has died again.
So, I guess, finally there's time for me to read, just like Burgess, Meredith, and Twilight Zone.
You know, it's been very weird inhabiting this afterlife because it's so similar to regular life.
The only good thing is that Justin Bieber doesn't have any new good songs in this afterlife lately.
So that's been excellent.
But otherwise, it seems very similar.
And I will admit that now that I'm dead, I feel a peculiar desire to head over to Chicago and vote Democrat.
Which had not occurred to me before.
But suffice it to say, this is me being sarcastic.
Because not everyone is dead.
No one died, in fact.
In fact, your taxes just went down.
If you are 80% of Americans, your tax went down today.
So here are the things you need to know about this historic tax reform bill.
And it really is historic, okay?
It's historic because it is a massive reduction in the corporate tax side.
Everyone's focusing on the individual tax side.
The part that really matters is the corporate tax reform.
So you're going to get a little bit of money back.
Not insignificant.
You'll get a little bit of money back on your taxes if you are in the middle class.
The average household is supposed to receive, according to the Tax Policy Center, a tax cut of about $1,600 in 2018.
An average household earning a million bucks or more would see a tax decrease of approximately $70,000.
compared to $870 for households making $50,000 to $75,000, that's because people at the upper end of the tax spectrum are paying nearly all the net taxes in the country.
It's not because the Republicans just decided to benefit the rich.
It's that if you reduce rates for the rich, they are getting back a lot more money because they're making a lot more money and they're paying a lot more money.
Okay, this isn't the biggest tax cut in history, but it's not insignificant.
The idiotic idea that apparently 50% of Americans believe that you're gonna pay more tax because of this bill is just stupid, and it's because the media have been lying to you.
The media have been saying this is a redistributionist bill from poor to rich.
Absolutely untrue.
Now, here's the thing.
The individual tax decreases sunset.
Okay, so in 2025, the individual tax decreases are supposed to go away, but in all likelihood, they're going to remain.
The reason they're going to remain is who actually wants to vote openly for tax increases.
Democrats are probably going to maintain those middle-class tax rates.
The reason that Republicans had them sunset in 2025 is because one of the budget tricks that has to be done here is if you wanted to pass in the Senate with 51 votes, which is how many votes it got, if you wanted to pass in the Senate with that number of votes instead of 60 to kill a filibuster, Then the CBO, the Congressional Budget Office, has to rule that the bill will be deficit neutral.
So, the bill is deficit neutral, according to the CBO.
That's because of some gamesmanship by Republicans.
That's not rare.
Okay, here's the thing about the corporate tax rates, and here's the case no one's gonna make.
Corporate tax rates go down, that means companies can afford to give raises.
That they can afford to actually create jobs.
And the early evidence of this is today, AT&T announced that it would give a $1,000 across-the-board bonus to everyone, thanks to the tax decrease.
That now that this corporate tax rate has been reduced, they will give a $1,000 bonus to everyone.
That's a pretty amazing thing.
Now, some may say that this is a cynical ploy by AT&T.
To basically give the Trump administration a good headline so that Trump will allow the AT&T Comcast merger to go through.
I'm not going to say that that sounds right to me, but it sounds exactly right to me.
Still, the corporate tax rate dropping is a good thing for business.
And the proof that it's a good thing for business is that in every other country where the corporate tax rate has been dropped precipitously, what you see is significant GDP growth.
The most obvious example is Ireland.
Ireland actually has a 12.5% corporate tax rate, so it's become a sort of business haven for corporations that want to do business overseas, and they've seen high sustained growth thanks to that healthy business climate.
In 1995, they actually had a corporate business tax of 40%.
of 40%.
They dropped it to 12.5% and they've seen 23% GDP growth since compared to 7.2 GDP growth from 1970 So, over the course of 35 years, they saw 7.2% GDP growth.
Then, they moved the corporate tax rate down from 40% to 12.5%, and over the last 27 years, they have seen a 23% increase in GDP.
So, this has also been seen in countries ranging from Germany to Spain.
When you reduce the corporate tax rate, it makes it easier for companies to invest in the United States.
They no longer are trying to organize as offshore companies.
There's also, in this bill, a big increase in the child tax credit.
That child tax credit is truly a redistribution scheme because a lot of people who don't pay taxes are getting the child tax credit, but it's backed by a lot of Republicans because they think that families with children have higher expenses and we ought to give them benefits.
I am actually, as the father of two children, I'm not really in favor of the child tax credit on a strictly libertarian viewpoint.
I don't think the government should be giving you incentives to behave in certain ways, and I don't think anybody is having kids for the tax credit.
I don't think it's just Oh, well, you know, before I wasn't going to have a kid.
Now I'm getting $2,000 back.
I suppose I'll have the child.
Kids are a lot more expensive than that.
The average cost of a child from the time they're born until the time that they leave the house at 18 is hundreds of thousands of dollars.
But still, this is something that looks good in the headlines for Republicans, that they're trying to help out families.
That's why Marco Rubio pushed it.
There are a few people who will be paying more in income tax.
That includes me, which makes me sad.
Tax reform includes reductions in tax deductions for state and local taxes.
So people in high-tax states like California, they're reducing my taxes through the tax rate, but they're increasing my taxes because the deductions are not even close to what I'm going to be paying in my state tax in the state of California.
Plus the mortgage interest deduction has been decreased markedly.
You can now only take a mortgage interest deduction up to $750,000 loan.
In the state of California, pretty much everybody who owns a home has a mortgage that is bigger than that.
Itemization has been downsized.
So instead of you having to itemize every deduction, they've doubled the standard deduction.
So a lot of people No longer have to itemize, because you're only deducting, you're only doing itemized deductions if you want deductions above and beyond the standard deduction.
Now the standard deduction has been doubled, so that means that itemized deductions are probably going to go the way of the dodo bird for a lot of folks.
That's great.
It means that you don't have to hire an accountant, you can now fill out your taxes on the back of a postcard.
The individual mandate is gone, so this is a major win as well.
The tax bill uses the death of the individual mandate to reduce deficits.
How?
Why does it reduce deficits when you get rid of the individual mandate?
When people are supposedly being forced to pay into the system?
The reality is that because of the individual mandate, because you are forced to go get health care, people have gone and registered with Medicaid.
That costs millions and billions of dollars to the federal government.
Fewer people are going to register for Medicaid because they're not mandated to do so.
That means the bill goes down.
Now, is this entirely a good thing?
Well, it would be entirely a good thing just on the surface of it, right?
You no longer have the federal government forcing you into a position where you must, must, must do this.
However, it's not good for one reason that I'll explain in just a moment.
I mean, the reason that the individual mandate leaving may not be the world's greatest thing is because if the individual mandate goes away, you have to fill the gap for all of the sick people who are still in the individual insurance market, right?
The way that we were filling that before is we were basically forcing young, healthy people to buy insurance, and that was driving the rates down in the individual insurance market.
They were basically paying to compensate a bunch of old, sick people in the individual insurance market.
Those rates are now likely to go up some, and that means that the federal government is going to have to make a choice.
Either they're going to have to remove the Obamacare regulations, Which would be the ideal.
Or, they're going to have to fill in, backfill, the funding insurance companies lose because of the individual mandate.
That, unfortunately, seems like the way the federal government is going.
It seems like Republicans are going to be voting, basically, for a new, it looks like the Republicans are going to be voting for a new entitlement program, which is not a grand and glorious thing.
So, I want to give you the rest of what's in this tax bill.
But first, I want to say thank you to our sponsors over at Birchgold.
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Let's talk about the rest of what's in this bill.
So they're now opening the Anwar to oil exploration.
The Anwar is not Anwar al-Awlaki.
It is the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
So there's a portion of Alaska that has been ruled out of bounds by the federal government for the last couple of decades.
It should have been opened up a long time ago.
The part that they want to drill is very small.
It leaves a small footprint.
And the idea that it was going to destroy the environment in Alaska is utterly untrue.
Supposedly, there are reserves under there that are about the size of Saudi Arabia.
Possibly.
So drilling in the Anwar would be good for America's domestic oil reserves.
This is a good thing.
The worst thing about this bill is that deficits are going to increase.
The Republicans have said that we'll grow our way out of deficits.
That will be true to a certain extent.
It won't be true to the point where it will cover for the government revenue hole that's been blown in the budget.
But that's why Republicans should be focused on cutting now.
Republicans should actually use this opportunity to cut.
Now, I know Republicans just want to win elections.
But what that leads to is big government.
It leads to a battle between big government Republicans and big government Democrats.
And both of them end up blowing up the deficit.
If Republicans actually want to make a difference, they're going to have to take up another priority of Speaker Ryan's, and that is Medicaid reform, Medicare reform, block grants to states.
All these are things that the Republicans are going to have to do.
OK, so, all this said, I like this bill.
I think it's a good bill.
It's not a perfect bill.
It has things that I would change about it, but it is a fairly typical and very positive Republican tax bill.
People have lost their damn minds.
They have gone absolutely insane over this.
So, yesterday at the Capitol, in the middle of the vote, there was a group of protesters who started chanting about how the bill was going to end in their imminent demise.
The actual medicine is not produced here.
It's produced in Ireland because The chair has detected a disturbance in the gallery in contravention of the law and against the rules of the house.
The sergeant at arms will identify the person or persons responsible and have them escorted from the house chamber.
So all these idiots are up there shouting, kill the bill, don't kill us, and apparently one of them decided to take off her top, which, I mean, she understands she's in Congress, right?
Like, in Congress, like the same Congress that houses half the sexual perverts in America, she just incentivized Congress to pass a tax bill every single day.
I didn't see a picture of the lady, but I assume that, you know, if she is of the female persuasion and has breasts, then half the congressmen in the place are excited about that form of protest.
That seems to be counterproductive.
But kill the bill, don't kill us.
I mean, it just demonstrates the extent to which the left has lost its mind.
One of the people who's lost her mind, obviously, is Rosie O'Donnell.
She didn't have much of a mind left to lose, sadly.
But Rosie O'Donnell tweeted this out.
She tweeted out, so how about this?
I promise to give $2,000,000 to Senator Susan Collins and $2,000,000 to Senator Jeff Flake if they vote no.
No, I will not kill Americans for the sewer rich.
She meant to write super but she can't type.
It's S-U-O-E-R rich.
DM me, Susan.
DM me, Jeff.
No bleep.
$2,000,000.
Cash.
Each.
It's like E.E.
Cummings for the mentally deficient.
So, well done there, Rosie O'Donnell.
This, by the way, is technically under federal law bribery.
So, under 18 U.S.C., I believe the actual statute is 18 U.S.C.
It says,
under trust or profit under the United States.
So she's openly offering $4 million to Republican senators for them to change their vote, which is bribery under federal law.
She's doing that in front of apparently 32,000 likes.
So that, you know, I guess she must be willing to pay $12 million to the federal government.
I said earlier, if President Trump tells Jeff Sessions to initiate a prosecution against Rosie O'Donnell, they will begin carving his face into Rushmore tomorrow.
Right, I mean, he will immediately move to the list of the nation's greatest presidents if he initiates prosecution against Rosie O'Donnell for bribery.
So I tweeted out, half-jokingly this morning, lock her up, lock her up.
And Rosie O'Donnell got mad, and she tweeted back at me, suck my bleep, Ben.
Which doesn't make sense for a variety of reasons, as far as I'm aware.
And so I tweeted back at her, you're already a felon, Rosie.
Don't be a homophobic sexual harasser too.
And then I followed it up with hashtag me too.
So that is my A-plus troll game right there, gang.
The troll is strong with me today.
So Rosie O'Donnell, yeah, just making a fool of herself, as always.
And she's not the only one who's going nuts.
The Democrats, of course, are going completely nuts as well.
The House passed the act, and Paul Ryan brought out the giant gavel.
He brought out the enormous gavel.
I guess they have this giant ceremonial gavel that they bring out for important occasions and also for sex parties.
And so Paul Ryan dragged that sucker out of storage when Nancy Pelosi stood there with the giant gavel when she first became Speaker and she had a bunch of children she hadn't aborted standing around her.
He brought that out of storage and he was whacking that on the podium as they passed it.
Here was the video of them passing this thing in the House yesterday.
On this vote, the yeas are 227 and the nays are 203.
The conference report is adopted without objection.
and the motion to reconsider is laid upon the table.
Okay, so that is a big win for Paul Ryan.
It's a big win for the House.
It's a big win for the Republican Senate.
And it's a big win for President Trump.
It is a big win for President Trump.
Without this win, he does not have a signature legislative achievement his entire first year.
Without that win, the biggest things that he's done this year are Justice Gorsuch, and the movement of the embassy to Jerusalem, and the filling of the appellate judges.
I talked in the last podcast about all of the things that I think Trump has done right.
But this is a signature achievement in his first year, and he needed one, right?
For Obama, he had several.
He had the Lilly Ledbetter Act, and then it took a year and a half, but he got Obamacare.
He had passed the stimulus package, which was really his big achievement in his first year.
George W. Bush passed tax cuts, I believe, in the middle of year one.
So Trump needed this.
He needed it pretty badly, and he deserves to be able to celebrate about it.
Paul Ryan says this is a profound change to the tax system.
Here's what he had to say.
This is one of the most important pieces of legislation that Congress has passed in decades to help the American worker, to help grow the American economy.
This is profound change, and this is change that is going to put our country on the right path.
Okay, so the Democrats, of course, went completely nuts because their basic belief system suggests that you don't own your own money, right?
That any tax cut to you, you keeping more of your own money, is actually theft from the federal coffers.
And this just demonstrates the genuine disconnect as far as what Republicans and Democrats think in terms of where your rights come from.
Democrats believe that your rights come from government.
Your right to have property is because the government has allowed you to have property.
If it weren't for the government allowing you to have property, you wouldn't have property, right?
This is the Elizabeth Warren, Barack Obama view, that you didn't build that.
Right?
Your property rights are based on a government that makes those property rights available to you.
The Republican notion, the conservative founding notion, is that property rights predated government, that government was instituted in order to protect those property rights, and that if the government violates those property rights, it has lost its raison d'etre.
It's lost the reason for its existence.
So, you can see this gap in the way the Democrats talk about this.
So, Nancy Pelosi went up there with a giant yellow sign that says, hashtag GOP tax scam, and says that raises taxes on 88 million middle class families.
That is a lie.
It does not raise taxes on 88 million middle class families.
I don't know where the hell they're getting that statistic, but there's no evidence whatsoever that that is the case.
It says 83% of the benefit goes to the wealthiest 1%.
Okay, that is because the wealthiest 1% are paying a wildly disproportionate share of the taxes.
And it says it results in 13 million more uninsured Americans.
That's a lie, too, because getting rid of the individual insurance mandate, what that does is it allows people to opt out.
You can still buy insurance.
You can still go get covered by Medicaid tomorrow.
You can go tomorrow.
If you're eligible for Medicaid, you can go get covered by Medicaid.
What it means is that the vast majority of people who are going to be dropping out don't want to bother with doing these things, and so they haven't bothered to go buy insurance, and they shouldn't be forced to.
But in any case, here's Nancy Pelosi saying that this tax plan is theft.
How is it theft?
Honest to God, I don't understand how it's theft for me to keep more of my own money.
This GOP tax scam is simply theft.
Monumental, brazen theft from the American middle class and from every person who aspires to reach it.
The GOP tax scam is not a vote for an investment in growth or jobs.
It is a vote to install a permanent plutocracy in our nation.
They'll be cheering that later.
Okay, they'll be cheering the plutocracy later.
The theft.
Again, the plutocracy is centralized government stealing your money and using it for whatever purpose Nancy Pelosi wants to put it to.
The idea that it is a theft, for the government to not take money out of my pocket, is beyond reasoning.
It's beyond reasoning.
And that's not the only dumb thing that Nancy Pelosi had to say, right?
Nancy Pelosi had to say something even more dumb.
And here's what Nancy, here's the, here's, in one second I'm going to play you the incredibly stupid thing that Nancy Pelosi had to say.
So here it is.
Nancy Pelosi, this is clip 19.
Nancy Pelosi says that not only is this a tax theft, not only is it creating plutocracy, it betrays what the founding fathers would have wanted.
It does violence to the vision of our founders.
It disrespects the sacrifice of our men and women in uniform, who are a large part of our middle class and to whom we owe a future worthy of their sacrifice, and it betrays the future And betrays the aspirations of our children.
And betrays the future and betrays our past, the founding fathers.
Does she understand that the reason that we fought a revolution is because no taxation without representation?
It was literally the slogan of the revolution.
Is she aware that one of the reasons people were mad is because Britain kept putting taxes on all of the imported goods?
Right, with the Stamp Act and the Tea Act.
Is she aware of anything remotely related to American history here?
The founders would have hated our tax regime.
The founders didn't even believe in an income tax.
We had to pass a constitutional amendment to allow an income tax, one of the worst constitutional amendments in American history.
I would say easily, actually, the worst constitutional amendment in American history, even worse than Prohibition.
It was the income tax.
But this is just, it's beyond reason.
The Democrats have made up an alternative history of the United States in which Thomas Jefferson and George Washington and John Adams and James Madison and Alexander Hamilton were all giant government, centralized government people, which is just patently insane.
You know that if you listen to the show.
We go through a Federalist paper every Monday.
Have we yet come to the point where we say we need a federal government to suck up all the resources and redistribute them?
Has that ever come up in the Federalist Paper?
It has not, nor will it ever, even when we get through all 80-odd Federalist Papers.
It's just not going to happen.
She's not the only one saying dumb stuff.
Chuck Schumer, the Senate Minority Leader, still Minority Leader, thank God, he says that the public knows this bill is bad.
And here is where the rubber hits the road.
We're going to talk in a second about whether this bill really is bad for Republicans, even though it is a politically useful thing.
They don't want to discuss it.
They don't want to have it have sunlight shed on it.
They don't want anyone to know what's in it because it is so, so bad.
And the public knows it.
OK, it is so, so bad.
So the polls showed this wildly unpopular tax bill.
There are a couple reasons for that.
One, the media are just awful.
The media are just awful.
Their treatment of the tax bill has been completely unfair.
The AP ran a headline after it passed saying, Massive Republican Tax Giveaway to the Rich.
That was in their headline.
Okay, that level of bias is just bizarre and insane.
CNN plastered its front page over at CNN.com with anti-tax reform messages.
It was all over the media that this tax reform was the end of the world, that millions would die.
It was something that we should all be deeply worried over and deeply upset about.
None of that was true.
It's why 50% of Americans think their taxes are going up even though their taxes are going to go down.
So part of that is the media.
Part of it is that Republicans are incompetent at pitching this thing.
You know, President Trump, he gets credit for passing this thing, but it would be great if the President would spend a fair bit of time explaining, for example, why the corporate tax rate needed to drop.
That would be really excellent.
I'd like for him to tax, honestly, I'd like for him, use Twitter for good effect, I'd like for the President to tweet out the European corporate tax rates, and then the American corporate tax rates.
Because the average European corporate tax rate right now is 18.43%.
We just brought our corporate tax rate down to 21%.
We brought it down by 14% and it is still higher than the average European corporate tax rate.
President Trump really should do a public relations blitz.
It's a big victory for him.
So now he should use all of the power that he has to bring cameras to him to discuss tax reform and use Twitter that way, right?
Because otherwise, you know, we don't need another fight with LeVar Ball.
But what we do need is a solid public relations campaign.
And this is Trump's specialty.
Trump's specialty is the PR campaign.
It's what he's best at in life.
So I'd love to see him put that to good effect here, put that to good use.
That I think would be an excellent thing.
So I'd like to see the President of the United States do that.
Also, the Republicans kept pitching this thing in terms of individual tax rates.
None of them have ever bothered to explain why corporate tax rates going down is better.
And the reason corporate tax rates going down is better is because that money can now be used by the corporation to hire more people, to invest more, to pay their workers more, to give people raises.
Republicans should be making that case loudly and proudly, and they should be saying, every Democrat opposed this.
Your taxes went down, and every Democrat opposed this.
But, unfortunately, the Republicans have not done a good PR job.
Now, the problem is this.
When you have an unpopular bill and you pass it, even if it's good for Americans, it's pretty rare that an unpopular bill gets wildly more popular over time.
That is not a usual thing to happen.
Obamacare was very unpopular when it passed.
It was in net negative territory.
I think it was 59% by one poll.
59% of Americans at the time of the passage of Obamacare disapproved of Obamacare.
And it really never recovered.
It was always an unpopular law.
The only point of popularity came when Republicans tried to get rid of it and the media went on a full-out blitz.
But it's pretty rare for a bill to get more popular over time.
Even if it does get more popular, it's not going to be forefront of the public's imagination.
You make a case for the bill while you're passing the bill.
You don't make the case for the bill after the bill has passed.
The reason for that is it fades into people's woodwork, right?
I mean, you have other things to worry about now.
This week, we're talking tax reform.
Last week, we talked tax reform.
The week before that, we talked tax reform.
By the time you pay your taxes, you've probably forgotten about tax reform.
You just sign the check and you're done with it, right?
That's what you do.
Your accountant handles it for you.
So this is sort of the problem.
The Republican Congress does not know how to do a public relation blitz.
President Trump does, but he hasn't done it yet.
I wish they'd been doing it for the last month.
They should do it now.
The fact they had to rush it through is going to be picked on by the media, and now every piece of fallout from this bill is going to be used to club Republicans to death over it.
So, Republicans had better shape this thing in the public imagination right now, not just wait for the inevitable time when Americans realize tax cuts are good.
That I think would be a very big mistake.
Again, if you look at the polls on tax cuts historically, then what you see is that the Bush tax cuts were significantly more popular than the Trump tax cuts.
Part of that is because of Trump.
Part of that is because of the media coverage.
In fact, these tax cuts, because of the media coverage, are actually less popular than some tax hikes have been.
Okay, so here is the good rundown on the polling numbers.
This is from FiveThirtyEight.com.
The Reagan tax cut in 1981 had a 25% plus 25% differential.
51% approved, 26% no.
The 2001 W tax cut, 12% plus 12, right?
25% differential, 51% approved, 26% no.
49 to 37.
The 2001 W tax cut, 12% plus 12, right?
49 to 37.
The extension of the Bush tax cut in 2010 had a 12% positive upside, 54% approved.
The extension of the Bush tax cuts, too, in 2013, that had a 7% net positive rating.
The Bush tax cuts, too, right in 2003, that had a 6% positive rating.
The Reagan tax cuts, too, in 1986, that had a 4% positive rating.
That had a 6% positive rating.
The Reagan tax cuts too in 1986.
That had a 4% positive rating.
The Clinton tax hikes of 93 had a negative 10% rating.
44% disapproved.
Only 34% approved.
The H.W.
Bush tax hike had a negative 11% approval rating, so 52 to 41 disapproved.
And the Trump tax cuts are 14% underwater.
That is largely because of the media.
It is also because the Republicans have done a piss poor job of selling their bill.
They need to get out there and they need to sell that bill because bills don't get more popular over time, even when people feel the benefit of it.
Democrats will pay, by the way, when they try to raise the taxes.
But remember, they're not going to have to actually try to do that until 2025.
They can just sit there and let it go all the way until 2025 and then wait to see what happens.
Okay, so as we continue in just a second, I'm going to talk about the media bias and how the media bias plays in because it really is truly astonishing.
I want to show you some clips of members of the media and how they have responded to these tax cuts.
It is beyond the pale.
Here we go.
Let's begin with Savannah Guthrie.
So Savannah Guthrie over at NBC News, she was questioning Paul Ryan.
And Ryan is talking about the tax cuts and what kind of good they're going to do.
And Savannah Guthrie literally asks him if he is living in a fantasy world on national television after they passed a massive Republican tax plan.
The problem is, is a lot of CEOs have said, really candidly, I'm looking at a list of CEOs who said, we don't plan to reinvest.
What they're planning to do is to do stock buybacks, to line the pockets of shareholders.
Let me quote Michael Bloomberg, a billionaire, hardly an enemy of business.
He said, CEOs aren't waiting on a tax cut to jumpstart the economy, a favorite phrase of politicians who have never run a company or to hand out raises.
It's pure fantasy to think that the tax bill will lead to significantly higher wages and growth.
I'll ask you plainly, are you living in a fantasy world?
What the hell kind of question is that?
Are you living in a fantasy world?
What is wrong with you?
Would they ask Obama this?
Did they ever ask Jonathan Gruber this?
Or Obama during Obamacare?
You said that if you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor.
Every doctor in America says that's not true.
Every.
Single.
One.
Pretty much.
Are you living in a fantasy world?
Was that ever asked?
I mean, you want to see media bias in action.
That right there is media bias in action.
Then you wonder why the American people have a bad opinion of the bill.
It's because of people like Savannah Guthrie who are doing the job that the Democrats have been attempting to do for years.
And Savannah Guthrie isn't the only one.
What's the median household income of your district?
voting to pass the bill.
She is talking with a GOP representative, and she throws out the suggestion that the reason that Republicans are passing this thing is that they can pay less personally in tax.
She's talking to Dave Bratt, the Republican from Virginia, the Tea Party extraordinaire.
And here is Katie Turr going after him and suggesting that it's just because he is, that he's rich that he wants to pay it.
What's the median household income of your district?
It's right about 60.
We have it at 73,000, something around there.
What are you making, if you don't mind?
What's in your bank account right now?
In my bank account?
What tax bracket are you going to be under under this bill?
Well, of course, I got the chart for you here.
I'll be probably in the 24% bracket.
Everybody can go look up their rates.
And what are you at?
What are you at, Katie?
Because I want to make sure you do well, too.
I don't know.
I haven't taken a look at it.
You don't know?
I'm also not a lawmaker, so I'm not involved in...
You're the fourth rail.
Well, we'll check out what you're making, too, Katie, so it's fair and balanced.
Good for Dave Brat right there, because the fact is that when they ask Dave Brat that he's lowering his own taxes, that's why he's doing this thing.
And it's not a principled thing.
It's just, the entire premise of the question is so sick and messed up.
The entire premise of the question that she is asking right there is the only reason that you would want taxes decreased is not because you think it's better for the American people or your constituents or the economy.
It's because you personally are seeking to benefit from the tax bill.
But all those Democrats who are rich, they're just men of the people.
They're just patriotic.
Those are great patriots.
Michael Bloomberg, great patriot.
But you, Dave Brat, you are a cruel, inhumane man.
Because if you make a lot of money, that means you don't care about people.
I was for tax cuts when I was making $60,000 a year, and I'm for tax cuts when I make a hell of a lot more than $60,000 a year.
I was for tax cuts when I wasn't earning anything and I was a student.
Because ideologically speaking, speaking just based on my understanding of economics, Tax cuts generate more revenue by putting more money in my pocket that I can spend as I see fit.
Beyond that, I'm for tax cuts because it's my money, and it's your money, and I don't have a right to your money.
But this implication that's being put forward by the media that Republicans are like, Trump's only doing this because he wants a tax cut.
Are you freaking kidding me?
Donald Trump is worth billions of dollars.
Even if you don't believe he's worth 10 billion, he's probably worth at least two.
Okay, you think Donald Trump is sitting there right now thinking to himself, yeah, you know, I really need to give myself a tax cut.
That's top of my priority list is giving myself a tax cut.
Are you crazy?
Are you out of your mind?
All these Republican legislators, they're sitting around thinking, yeah, you know what?
By the way, if you wanna get rich in Congress, the easiest way to get rich in Congress is not giving yourself a tax cut.
The easiest way to get rich in Congress is through insider trading.
It's by knowing which bills are gonna pass, and then you buy stock in particular companies, knowing how the bill's gonna impact that company.
Peter Schweitzer showed this in one of his books a few years back, where he talked about corruption in D.C.
This notion that Republican legislators are only doing this because they're so evil, Is just absurd.
By the way, I'll bet you Katie Tour is making a lot more money than Dave Brat.
If I had to bet on it, I mean, Dave Brat, I believe, is a college professor.
If he's in the 24% tax bracket, that means he's not making, I mean, he's making decent money, I think, but the idea that he's making all sorts of cash is not actually the case.
So I'm gonna, you know, I wanna look that up, because I would guarantee you that Katie Tour is making a lot more money than Dave Brat.
So yeah, if Dave Brat is in the 24% bracket, that means he's making between $82,000 and $157,000.
If he's in that bracket, by the way, then that means that he's probably only saving $3,000, $4,000.
He's not saving $50,000.
Katie Ter, I'll have to look up Katie Ter's contract.
Let's see if she's paid millions.
I'll bet Katie Ter makes a lot of money.
I'll bet that she makes...
Three times, easily, what Dave Brad is making.
If not, then she needs to renegotiate her contract.
So, that's absurd.
And you're seeing this across the board, this media coverage.
NBC, MSNBC, gave airtime to a healthcare activist.
What did this healthcare activist do?
Well, he was battling ALS, and he waited outside Lindsey Graham's office in order to yell at Lindsey Graham over this, because Lindsey Graham and the Republicans voted to get rid of the individual mandate, the most unpopular aspect of Obamacare.
And so they put him on MSNBC, and he talked about how Lindsey Graham ran away from him.
I said, Senator Graham, he was talking about John McCain, his beloved colleague, who, like me, is dying of a brain disease.
And he was talking about John McCain.
And I said, Senator Graham, will you talk to me for a minute about this bill?
And he ran away into a place where I'm not allowed to go as a civilian.
I know that NBC and MSNBC have footage of that.
You can try to find it.
Okay, nonsense.
This is, again, a cheap media setup.
That moment, I was there with Megan Anderson, a woman who was almost totally paralyzed.
That moment exemplified how Republicans are treating this legislation and treating the American people.
They are afraid to see our humanity.
And if they were— Okay, nonsense.
This is, again, a cheap media setup.
Okay, I objected to it when Piers Morgan did it on gun control, and I object to it now.
The idea that your philosophy of governance has to change because you're now meeting somebody who is suffering from a particular condition is just asinine.
It's just not true.
It's in effect the same thing as Jimmy Kimmel taking his baby out every so often and holding up his baby and saying that he knows about health care now.
Policy is either good or bad.
It is not good Based on whether you can have a discussion in front of cameras with a guy who has ALS and an agenda.
I feel awful for that person.
Of course you feel awful for people.
That doesn't mean that the policy they're espousing is bad.
And you know how that exchange is going to go, by the way.
The way that exchange is going to go is that Lindsey Graham will walk up to the guy, have a cordial conversation, The guy will refuse to hear what Lindsey Graham is saying because he comes with an agenda.
He's not there for an honest conversation.
He's there for the photo op.
And then, when Lindsey Graham says, you know, it's been nice talking to you, and the guy refuses to shake his hand because Lindsey Graham is voting for something the guy doesn't want, the media blow it up.
Oh, watch this courageous man suffering from ALS take Lindsey Graham to the woodshed.
If I were Lindsey Graham, I wouldn't engage in that conversation either because it's not worth it.
Where's the public relations upside and where's the win?
You're not even having an honest conversation.
It's not like this guy actually wants to discuss with Lindsey Graham.
He wants to lecture Lindsey Graham.
But this is the game the media are playing today.
So, just like the homeless reappear every eight years when a Republican takes office.
It's like Groundhog Day.
Every so often, the homeless just pop up on your screen.
And that only happens when Republicans are in the White House.
So, the same thing happens with regard to taxes.
We never talk about tax increases and how they're going to hurt the American people.
We never talk about government spending and deficits and how they're going to hurt the American people.
We only talk about these things when it comes to Republicans.
And that's only so that the media can carry out their crusade against tax cuts altogether, which is just... It's pathetic.
Now, will Trump benefit from this?
You know, this does change the math.
I got an email yesterday.
From somebody who was asking me, you know, you graded Trump last week and you gave him an overall grade for his presidency of like a C-.
It must have been, I think that was probably a couple of weeks ago.
I don't think it was last week.
It was probably a couple of weeks ago.
And I gave him an overall grade of C- based on his policy and his rhetoric.
And he said, you've been pretty glowing about him in the last couple of weeks.
And the answer is, yes, because I'm getting the things I want, right?
That was always my math.
My math was always, is the president doing conservative things?
The last three weeks of President Trump's governance have been some of the most conservative weeks of governance that I have ever seen, period, from any president.
I'm pretty young, so the last Republican administration I remember was Bush.
He was not as conservative as Trump has been in the last three weeks for sure.
And so this has been a very good three weeks of governance.
It's very important governance, too.
So that means that I raised Trump's grade from a C- on the year to a C+, which is a pretty major shift, right?
I mean, that shifts him almost to full-letter grade in the last three weeks of the year.
The only reason that he's not doing better than that is because his approval ratings are bad, because Republicans are running really far behind in the generic congressional ballot.
They're down 18 points in the latest poll.
One of the things that Trump has to do here, as I spoke about the other day, it's very important now that now that Trump is actually pursuing conservative policies, he represent conservatism well, because otherwise all of those conservative policies will be rolled back.
It's very important that he represent my view well.
Right now he's a representative of my ideology when he's actually acting in consonance with my ideology.
I want to see him represent that ideology well.
Just as an American, it's like watching the Olympics.
You want to see people wearing the American flag do well.
Trump is now wearing the conservative flag and has been for at least the last three weeks on governance.
And that means that I want to see him represent that well, do well in the polls because of it.
I want to see conservative governance become more popular, not less popular.
I don't want his personal unpopularity to drag down the good policy he's been making.
I would like to see his popularity increase on the back of that good policy.
And that means some disciplines.
So, Mr. President, if you're listening, please.
Have some discipline about your messaging.
I think that you've won some major victories.
Even the media are going to have to recognize that you've had a major upswing in the last month of your presidency with regards to policy wins.
You have some momentum going into next year.
Do not get distracted.
It's the holiday season.
Celebrate it with your family.
Shut down your Twitter for Christmas.
Shut it down for the next three weeks.
Make the left go mad.
Make them go mad.
Starve them of your tweets.
The left are waiting for you to give them some distraction from the loss they just suffered.
They're waiting for an excuse to go off on you.
They're waiting for an excuse to go crazy.
Don't watch TV.
Turn off your TV.
Have yourself a Shabbos, right?
Have yourself a Shabbat, right?
One of the things that's nice about my life is that every Friday evening to Saturday evening, I just shut down, right?
There's no cell phone.
There's no internet.
There's no TV.
And it's great.
You deserve a rest, Mr. President, is what I'm saying to you.
I mean, I wish that you deserved rest on Twitter the entire year, but now you really do deserve a rest because you've gotten some stuff done.
Bask in the glow of having a major piece of legislation passed.
Let the media feed on itself.
Let the media eat itself.
Let the media fulminate over what is a very typical Republican tax bill.
Let them look foolish.
Let them stew in their own juices.
You have the upper hand right now.
Don't blow it.
Don't blow it.
Because now, there's actually, and here's the thing, Republicans are more likely to follow you, Mr. President, if you don't blow it.
And if you actually start to boost your own approval ratings, Republicans are more likely to come around on some of your other policy priorities, like immigration.
And please, for the love of God, don't try to tackle DACA.
That would be a mistake.
OK, we're going to continue in just a second.
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All righty, time for some things I like, some things I hate, and then we'll do a little bit So, things I like.
Yesterday I did Gunfight at the OK Corral, and today I'm going to do another movie with a signature tune.
I think I'm going to try and stick to Westerns with signature tunes.
But this is High Noon, of course.
This is Bill Clinton's favorite movie.
A lot of people on the right objected to this being Bill Clinton's favorite movie because the entire plot surrounds a sheriff who is basically left alone by the town to defend the town against a bad guy.
And a lot of conservatives said, well, that's really not how towns work, right?
That's actually, if Clinton viewed himself as the lone hero striding into history, that's not good for the presidency.
The movie, however, is quite good.
Gary Cooper plays the sheriff.
Grace Kelly plays the woman in his life who is a, she's a Quaker, I believe.
And she refuses to participate in violence.
The movie is pretty compelling.
It's very small scale.
It is very tightly edited and tightly crafted.
Here's a little bit of the preview.
It's Gary Cooper, a man who is too proud to run.
The judges left town, Harvey's quit, and I'm having trouble getting deputies.
People have to talk themselves into law and order before they do anything about it.
Maybe because down deep they don't care.
They just don't care.
I think you better go while there's still time.
It's better for you and it's better for us.
Amy!
I mean it.
If you won't go with me now, I'll be on that train when it leaves here.
I've got to stay.
Why must you be so stupid, Will?
Have you forgotten what he is?
Have you forgotten what he's done to people?
Have you forgotten that he's crazy?
Don't you remember when he sat in that chair and said, You'll never hang me.
I'll come back.
I'll kill you, Will Keen.
I swear it.
I'll kill you.
The title song is very famous, of course.
Do not forsake me, oh my darling.
It's very, very famous in Western history.
High Noon, great movie, worth watching.
Check that out over the weekend if you have time.
Other things that I like.
I have to admit, I cannot stop laughing at the fact that Ta-Nehisi Coates and Cornel West are now going at it.
Cornel West, of course, a radical black activist.
Ta-Nehisi Coates is a slightly less radical black activist.
Ta-Nehisi Coates fancies himself in the mold of James Baldwin.
Cornel West fancies himself in the mold of Malcolm X. Both of them have a rather racially separatist view of American politics.
And Cornel West wrote an entire column where he says, Ta-Nehisi Coates' We Were Eight Years in Power, a book about Barack Obama's presidency and the tenacity of white supremacy has captured the attention of many of us.
He says, Coates and I come from a great tradition of the black freedom struggle.
He represents the neoliberal wing that sounds militant about white supremacy but renders black fight back invisible.
This wing reaps the benefits of the neoliberal establishment that rewards silences on issues such as Wall Street greed or Israeli occupation of Palestinian lands and peoples.
He says,
Unfortunately, he hardly keeps track of our fight back and never connects this ugly legacy to the predatory capitalist practices, imperial policies, or the black elite's refusal to confront poverty, patriarchy, or transphobia.
In short, Coates fetishizes white supremacy.
He makes it almighty, magical, and unremovable.
So this is kind of hilarious.
Ta-Nehisi Coates is now being ripped by Cornel West and Richard Spencer The white supremacist is agreeing with Cornel West against Ta-Nehisi Coates.
And now Ta-Nehisi Coates has suspended his Twitter account in response to all of this.
Cornel West is not wrong, by the way, that Ta-Nehisi Coates sees white supremacy hiding under the bed.
It's just that Cornel West is even more of a Marxist than he is a racial conflagrationist.
So watching these sorts of infights is entertaining, to say the least, because both of them are wrong, just in slightly different ways.
35 simple words that have been repeated by every American president throughout history.
So President Trump has now been entered into Disney's Hall of Presidents.
And let's just say it is not good.
It does not look like President Trump.
Do we have any video?
35 simple words that have been repeated by every American president throughout history.
I, Donald John Trump, do solemnly swear that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States.
Okay, there's They're playing his voice.
There's a big problem.
And that is that, look at that picture of Donald John Trump.
Look just at the face.
Forget the hair.
Whose face is that?
That's Hillary Clinton's face.
It really looks a lot as though Disney made this doll of Hillary Clinton and stuck Trump's hair on it.
Turn it male and stuck Trump's hair on it.
It doesn't look anything like Trump.
I mean, this one goes in the, you know, I have a great love for bad sculpture.
And this one goes in the Bad Sculpture Hall of Fame.
So well done, Disney.
Putting Donald Trump in the Hall of Presidents is, in and of itself, highly entertaining.
That's pretty spectacular.
OK, time for a quick thing that I hate.
CNN's Chris Cuomo, he's gotta be the thickest guy on cable TV.
And that's saying a lot.
There are a lot of thick people on cable TV.
And I don't mean that as in like the rap sexy thing.
I mean like dumb.
Chris Cuomo was criticizing President Trump's drinking technique.
Like this is what we've come to now.
So President Trump during a speech, he reaches over and he picks up his glass of water and he does it in a weird way.
He doesn't just pick up the glass and drink it.
He takes it with both hands, kind of sips it, and then puts it back down.
And this turns into a four minute segment on CNN.
The president reached for a glass of water during his national security speech and Twitter took note.
It has led to comparisons of how the president needs to use two hands apparently to drink from a water bottle.
He did that during the speech last month and then again yesterday.
The water works with the president.
started with the campaign, of course, when he poked upon at Senator Marco Rubio for pausing mid-sentence for some water.
But this was an even smaller glass yesterday where he used two hands.
I believe last time you called it the baby grip.
Well, that is the sippy cup grip that you're using there right now.
It is a very good-- I don't get all the hands thing in the glass.
You know, I don't know what it's all about.
You drink from a vase.
This is what I drink out of.
I drink out of a... and I hold it like a man with one hand.
But that's, you know, that's me.
Right, that's you.
And I don't think it's judgment.
Certainly not one of our biggest concerns.
You want to hold a cup with all your hands?
You know, that's what you do.
What a genius he is.
The sippy cup grip.
And then you wonder why Trump says fake news all the time.
This is why Trump says fake news.
Not because it's fake, that that's a weird way to grip a cup, but because, like, why is this on the news at all?
Twitter is a funny place and there's lots of funny stuff on Twitter.
I engage in it on a regular basis.
But I'm not really certain that this is...
Appropriate CNN commentary.
Okay, finally, let's do a little bit of Bible talk.
So, there's a lot of talk from the left today about how it is unbiblical, it is just terrible that we are not talking about centralizing government.
Centralized government is dedicated, like God wants government to create the tendency for fairness.
So this is a section from the book of Judges, I believe it's chapter 8 of the book of Judges, and it talks about the rule of Gideon.
So Gideon was of course a prophet in Israel and he leads his men in a fight against the Philistines and other groups that are oppressing the Israelites.
And here's what it says.
Which is a pretty astonishing statement.
The Bible is, at best, ambivalent about monarchy.
Like, really ambivalent about monarchy.
Moses warns that it's not going to be good.
Samuel, Shmuel, warns in 1 Samuel, 1 Samuel.
We call it Shmuel Aleph in Hebrew, which is why I hesitate on the English translation.
In Shmuel Aleph, Samuel gives an entire lecture to the people about why it's going to suck once they appoint a king.
You have this in the book of Judges where Gideon says, rule yourselves, basically, don't have a centralized government that rules over you.
The idea of a theocratic government that is centralized from the very top is not really well spelled out in the Old Testament at all, and it's not spelled out well in the New Testament either.
I mean, the idea of Render unto Caesar in the New Testament is very much reflective of the basic Jewish idea of Dina D'melchus Adina, Which literally means the law of the land is the law.
And insofar as it doesn't conflict with the law of God, you have to obey it.
What's fascinating about this section with regard to Gideon is not just that he says that he's not going to rule over the people, that they have to rule themselves, that God is going to rule over them.
He says, I would make a request of you that you give me every man the nose ring of his spoil.
For they had golden nose rings because they were Ishmaelites.
And they said, we shall willingly give.
And they spread out the garment and every man therein threw the nose ring of his spoil.
And then Gideon takes all of these rings and then he makes …which is a breastplate, and he sets it up in his home city, and it says, and all Israel went astray after it there, and it became a snare to Gideon into his house.
The importance of this, the reason this matters, is when a group of people decide to collectively pool their labor and make something, you have to be very careful they don't begin to worship the thing that they make.
And this is true of the American government.
We're very proud of our government.
We're very proud of our system of government.
We're proud of Washington, D.C., the big buildings and how pretty it is and all this.
But it's very easy for us to start worshipping the thing that we have made with our own hands, and to suggest that it has some sort of outsized power, even though we are the ones that made it.
And to suggest that people in the future need to throw their nose rings into the pot as well.
That's not the way the American government was meant to be built.
It's not the way that it even was in the Bible.
There's a reason the Bible says that this becomes a snare to the leaders, it becomes a snare to the people.
Collective action must be taken from time to time, but the key there is from time to time.
Okay, we'll be back here tomorrow with more notes on all the fallout.
I'm Ben Shapiro.
This is The Ben Shapiro Show.
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Audio is mixed by Mike Cormina.
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